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Tag: Jerome Powell

  • Fed board member Lisa Cook sues to block Trump’s attempt to fire her

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    Washington — Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook filed suit against President Trump, Chair Jerome Powell and the Fed’s Board of Governors on Thursday, asking a federal judge to block the president’s attempt to fire her from the central bank.

    Mr. Trump announced Cook’s termination from the Fed late Monday, citing allegations she had committed mortgage fraud, which he described as “deceitful and potentially criminal.” The move came after the president spent months railing against the Fed and Powell for leaving interest rates relatively high so far this year.

    Cook filed her lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia on Thursday, teeing up a legal showdown that seems destined to ultimately be settled by the Supreme Court. Her legal team asked the district court to declare that Mr. Trump’s attempted firing is “unlawful and void” and that Cook “remains an active member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve.”

    “Governor Cook seeks immediate declaratory and injunctive relief to confirm her status as a member of the Board of Governors, safeguard her and the Board’s congressionally mandated independence, and allow Governor Cook and the Federal Reserve to continue its critical work,” the suit said.

    Members of the Fed board are confirmed by the Senate and serve for 14-year terms. Under the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, the president can only remove them early “for cause.” The law doesn’t specify what qualifies as “cause,” and it has never been tested in court, but it is generally understood to be malfeasance.

    In her suit, Cook’s lawyers Abbe Lowell and Norm Eisen asked the court to state that Fed board members “can only be removed for cause, meaning instances of inefficiency, neglect of duty, malfeasance in office, or comparable misconduct,” citing Supreme Court precedent. Even if the court disagrees with that standard, they wrote, the law “clearly does not support removal for policy disagreements.”

    Powell and the Fed board are named in the suit because Cook asked the court for an injunction ordering them to “refrain from effectuating President Trump’s illegal attempt to fire Governor Cook and treat Governor Cook as a member of the Board of Governors.”

    In response to the lawsuit, White House spokesman Kush Desai said the president “exercised his lawful authority” in removing Cook.

    “The President determined there was cause to remove a governor who was credibly accused of lying in financial documents from a highly sensitive position overseeing financial institutions,” Desai said in a statement. “The removal of a governor for cause improves the Federal Reserve Board’s accountability and credibility for both the markets and American people.”

    The Trump administration has argued in the past that the president has the legal right to remove at will members of federal boards that exercise “substantial executive power,” like the National Labor Relations Board.

    The Supreme Court has upheld Mr. Trump’s power to fire some board members, but said in May that the Federal Reserve is a separate case, calling it a “uniquely structured, quasi-private entity.”

    Earlier this month, the Trump-appointed director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, Bill Pulte, accused Cook of falsifying mortgage documents by claiming two homes that she bought in 2021 as her primary residence. He alleged that Cook — an economist who has served on the Fed board since 2022 — had committed mortgage fraud, and referred the matter to Attorney General Pam Bondi and Justice Department special attorney Ed Martin.

    Days later, Mr. Trump publicly called on Cook to resign.

    At the time, Cook didn’t address the substance of Pulte’s allegations directly, but said in a statement that she had “no intention of being bullied to step down from my position because of some questions raised in a tweet.” She added that she would “take any questions about my financial history seriously” and said she was gathering more information.

    Lowell, her lawyer, said Monday that Mr. Trump didn’t have the legal right to fire Cook “based solely on a referral letter” to Justice Department leadership, a point her legal team reiterated in Thursday’s lawsuit.

    “[R]emoval ‘for cause’ requires some connection to official conduct, prohibiting removal based on an unsubstantiated allegation of private misconduct (which in this case allegedly occurred prior to her Senate confirmation),” the complaint said. “And even to the extent that private misconduct could bear on a particular officer’s official conduct in certain cases, ’cause’ requires a factual basis supporting such asserted misconduct.”

    The broadside against Cook came as Mr. Trump pressures the Fed to lower interest rates. The central bank’s rate-setting committee — which Cook and Powell both sit on — has opted to leave interest rates relatively high so far this year, fearing that inflation could resurge. Last week, Powell hinted that the central bank may cut rates soon, but it will “proceed carefully.”

    The president favors immediate rate cuts, which could boost economic growth and make it cheaper to borrow money, though at the risk of causing higher inflation. He has floated firing Powell at various times over the past few months and has encouraged other Fed officials to overrule him and slash rates.

    The Fed typically makes interest rate decisions independently. Mr. Trump is hardly the first president to criticize the Fed for leaving rates high, but he’s been unusually assertive. Last year, he argued he should have “at least [a] say” in the moves made by the central bank.

    Many experts believe it’s important for central banks to operate independently so they can make decisions based on economic data, not politics. If elected officials are in charge of monetary policy, they could opt for the politically popular short-term benefits of low interest rates — like a hotter economy and cheaper borrowing costs — even if that leads to higher inflation in the long run, Brookings Institution senior fellow David Wessel noted earlier this year.

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  • Video: How Trump Could Gain Control of the Fed

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    new video loaded: How Trump Could Gain Control of the Fed

    By Ben Casselman, Melanie Bencosme, June Kim, Gabriel Blanco and Jon Hazell

    President Trump’s attempt to fire Lisa Cook has laid bare the erosion of the Federal Reserve’s independence, which could lead to economic consequences for Americans, The New York Times’s chief economics correspondent explains.

    Recent episodes in Behind the Reporting

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    Ben Casselman, Melanie Bencosme, June Kim, Gabriel Blanco and Jon Hazell

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  • How Long Can Jerome Powell Hang On to the Worst Job in Washington?

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    Over the last several months, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has become intimately familiar with Donald Trump’s penchant for hiring people and then shitting on them in public. (See: former “first buddyElon Musk, whom Trump called an “amazing guy” last November and described as “the man who has lost his mind” in June.) Appointed by Trump during his first term in office, Powell has since been treated to near-biweekly abuse by the leader of the free world, which is probably not what he was expecting when he took the gig. Yet unlike the many other people the former real estate developer has hired and then turned on, Powell has not yet been fired. Emphasis on yet, because it sure sounds like Trump is this close to canning the Fed chief, possibly via social media.

    So why hasn’t it happened? What exactly is Trump mad at Powell about? Has Trump actually called the head of the central bank a “stubborn MORON” and a “knucklehead”? And who is Lisa Cook, the Fed board of governors member whom the president said he was firing this week? All your burning questions, answered here.

    Why is Trump angry at Powell?

    The president thinks Powell, whose term is up next May, should lower interest rates. Powell has not done that this year, citing the fact that inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target and the job market is healthy. Earlier this month, though, the Fed chair suggested a rate cut could be coming—possibly as early as September—due to a slowdown in the labor market. (When the weaker-than-expected numbers came out, Trump responded by ordering the firing of the head of the agency that compiled the data, a move that one economist called “basically unprecedented.”)

    What has Trump said about Powell?

    Uh, the kind of stuff that, in a normal workplace scenario, would get him hauled into HR’s office and/or slapped with a lawsuit alleging a hostile work environment. In May, Trump called Powell “a FOOL, who doesn’t have a clue.” The following month, the president, referring to the central banker, told reporters: “He’s an average, mentally, person…Low IQ for what he does. I think he’s a very stupid person, actually.” Days later, Trump declared: “We have a guy that’s just a stubborn mule and a stupid person that is making a big mistake…. We have a guy who’s suffering from Trump derangement syndrome, if you want to know the truth. He’s not good for our country.” On July 14, Trump said at the White House: “We have a bad Fed chairman, really bad. If he would lower the rates, if he would lower the rates. And I tried being nice to the guy. It doesn’t help. He’s like a knucklehead. Oh, he’s a knucklehead, a stupid guy. He really is.”

    On July 16, confirming a report that he’d asked House lawmakers whether he should fire Powell, Trump told the press: “I talked about the concept of firing him.” He also apparently forgot he was the person who originally put Powell in the Fed job:

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    On July 18, on Truth Social: “Sleepy Joe saw how bad he was and reappointed him anyway – And the Fed Board has done nothing to stop this ‘numbskull’ from hurting so many people. In many ways the Board is equally to blame!”

    On August 1: “Jerome ‘Too Late’ Powell, a stubborn MORON, must substantially lower interest rates, NOW. IF HE CONTINUES TO REFUSE, THE BOARD SHOULD ASSUME CONTROL, AND DO WHAT EVERYONE KNOWS HAS TO BE DONE!”

    Was everything peachy between Trump and Powell during the former’s first term?

    In fact, it wasn’t. After nominating Powell for the job, Trump began to turn on him for raising interest rates. In November 2018, for example, he told The Washington Post: “So far, I’m not even a little bit happy with my selection of Jay. Not even a little bit. And I’m not blaming anybody, but I’m just telling you I think that the Fed is way off base with what they’re doing.” That December, he offered a golf metaphor, writing: “The only problem our economy has is the Fed. They don’t have a feel for the market. The Fed is like a powerful golfer who can’t score because he has no touch – he can’t putt!” In September 2019, he tweeted: “Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve Fail Again. No ‘guts,’ no sense, no vision! A terrible communicator!”

    Does Trump have the power to fire Powell?

    Great question. Given that he didn’t fire Powell the first time around, you might be thinking that the president doesn’t have the power to fire the Fed chief—and you would be right! Mostly. Per Section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act, the president of the United States can only remove a member of the Fed’s board of governors, which includes the chair, “for cause.” As CNN notes, members of the board “cannot be removed for policy differences, such as Trump’s disagreement with the Fed’s wait-and-see approach on interest rates,” and “Trump has to prove there is sufficient cause to successfully remove Powell.” In the Fed’s 111 years of existence, no chair has ever been removed by a president. Then again, Trump has said and done a lot of things with no historical precedent.

    Who is Lisa Cook?

    Late Monday, Trump took to Truth Social to announce his firing of Dr. Lisa Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve’s board of governors. In a letter, of which he posted images without additional comment, he accused Cook of committing mortgage fraud, saying her removal was “effective immediately” and adding: “The American people must be able to have full confidence in the honesty of the members entrusted with setting policy and overseeing the Federal Reserve. In light of your deceitful and potentially criminal conduct in a financial matter, they cannot and I do not have such confidence in your integrity.” In a statement released Monday, Cook responded to the firing by saying: “President Trump purported to fire me ‘for cause’ when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022.” Her lawyer, Abbe Lowell, added that Trump’s “reflex to bully is flawed and his demands lack any proper process, basis, or legal authority. We will take whatever actions are needed to prevent his attempted illegal action.”

    How are people receiving the Cook firing, which could theoretically be a test run for firing Powell?

    Not well! “This is a kill shot at Fed independence,” Brookings Institution senior fellow Aaron Klein told Bloomberg. “Trump is saying the Fed is going to do what he wants it to do, by hook or by crook.”

    If Powell is fired, who will be Fed chair?

    Trump’s Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, has apparently been on the hunt for a replacement; James Bullard, the former president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve, has said he would accept the job if, among other things, the central bank were to remain free from political interference. Which doesn’t seem super likely!

    Who else has Trump hired, praised, and then publicly flogged?

    Oh God, the list is so long, but a few examples, in addition to Powell and Musk, include: Trump’s former attorney Michael Cohen, whom he previously called “a fine person” and then declared a “bad lawyer and fraudster”; former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci, who went from “a person I have great respect for” to “a highly unstable ‘nut job’”; onetime secretary of state Rex Tillerson, who was initially dubbed “one of the truly great business leaders of the world,” then deemed “dumb as a rock” and “lazy as hell”; and former national security adviser John Bolton, who in June 2019 was doing “a very good job” and in August 2025 was having his home and office raided by Trump’s FBI. 

    Does Jerome Powell have the worst job in Washington?

    It’s hard to quantify this sort of thing. Some people might argue that the thousands of public servants who’ve dedicated years to serving their country, only to have DOGE sicced on them, have the worst jobs. Others might claim that such a distinction goes to whoever has to clean Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s bathroom after he’s done one of his raw-sewage swims. But Powell, whose job also involves being berated on camera while wearing a hard hat, seems pretty high up on the list.

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    Bess Levin

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  • Sleepless In Crypto: $900-M Liquidated Amid Bitcoin’s Steep Fall

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    A significant plunge in the crypto market has sent shockwaves across the industry over the last 24 hours, leaving a trail of liquidations in its wake. Around 200,000 traders were forced out of their positions as Bitcoin plunged to a seven-week low, wiping out more than $900 million in liquidations over a single day.

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    According to CoinGlass, most of those losses came from long bets that could not weather the slide.

    Liquidations Hit Retail Traders

    Reports have disclosed that a single large sale helped set off the cascade. Selling pressure intensified as a large holder offloaded 24,000 BTC, triggering a wave of liquidations, said Rachael Lucas, a crypto analyst at BTC Markets.

    On Coinbase, Bitcoin briefly fell below $109,000 — its weakest level since July 9. Market participants felt the shock fast; traders who were long were the ones most exposed.

    Source: Coinglass

    Macro Signals And Market Reaction

    A recent hint from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole about potential interest rate cuts changed how some investors priced risk.

    Since August 14, when Bitcoin reached an all-time high just over $124,000, the asset has corrected by over 10%. Based on data, the drop since Powell’s speech is about 7%.

    The single-day move was measured at close to 3% decline for Bitcoin, and total crypto market value slipped back below $4 trillion to about $3.83 trillion as almost $200 billion flowed out of the space.

    Ether Is Holding Up

    Ether traded near $4,340 and, for now, looks steadier than Bitcoin. It did fall, but it did not breach last week’s low. Institutional interest in Ether remains a talking point. According to Lucas, institutions continue to focus on Ethereum, even as traders reassess risk across smaller coins.

    BTCUSD trading at $110,312 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView

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    Altcoins Took Bigger Hits

    Many smaller tokens fell harder than the majors. Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, Chainlink, and Sui were among the worst hit.

    That pushed losses beyond the headline Bitcoin numbers and left traders in altcoin-heavy positions nursing larger drawdowns.

    Thin weekend liquidity served to enhance the price gyrations, making the action more extreme than it would have been on a more active trading day.

    September’s Track Record And Outlook

    There is also a historical component to the tale. September has a history of strong pullbacks in bull markets, with strong corrections in 2017 and 2021.

    Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

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    Christian Encila

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  • Trump says he’s fired Federal Reserve board member Lisa Cook

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    President Trump said Monday he has fired Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors — a dramatic move after months of public attacks against the central bank.

    The president announced Cook’s removal from the Fed board in a letter posted to Truth Social that accused Cook of making false statements on mortgage documents, actions he claimed were “gross negligence” and “potentially criminal.” Mr. Trump had previously urged Cook to resign, leading the economist to say she had “no intention of being bullied to step down from my position because of some questions raised in a tweet.”

    The move is an early test of Mr. Trump’s power to terminate members of the Federal Reserve. Under federal law, Fed board members serve for 14-year terms and can only be fired by the president “for cause.” Cook has served on the Fed since 2022, and her current term runs until 2038.

    Mr. Trump wrote in a letter to Cook: “I have determined that there is sufficient cause to remove you from your position.”

    What are President Trump’s allegations against Lisa Cook?

    The allegations against Cook were leveled earlier this month by Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte, who has positioned himself as an ally of Mr. Trump’s. Pulte sent a letter to Attorney General Pam Bondi accusing Cook of taking out mortgages for homes in Michigan and Georgia in 2021, and telling banks in both cases that she planned to use the homes as her primary residences — in what Pulte alleged was a fraudulent attempt to gain more favorable lending terms.

    Last week, Mr. Trump posted on Truth Social: “Cook must resign, now!!!”

    Cook said in a statement released through the Fed: “I do intend to take any questions about my financial history seriously as a member of the Federal Reserve and so I am gathering the accurate information to answer any legitimate questions and provide the facts.”

    Pulte has also made mortgage fraud allegations against California Sen. Adam Schiff and New York Attorney General Letitia James, two Democratic officials and Trump foes who denied the accusations. Notably, James’s office sued Mr. Trump and his company for loan fraud before his return to the White House, securing an almost $400 million civil court judgment that was tossed out by a New York state appellate court last week.

    Why is President Trump angry at the Fed?

    Cook’s firing came after Mr. Trump spent months attacking the Federal Reserve and its chair, Jerome Powell, over the central bank’s handling of interest rates.

    Cook, Powell and 10 other Fed officials sit on a committee that controls the nation’s monetary policy and sets target interest rates, with a dual mandate of keeping inflation low and employment levels high. This work is typically done independently, with little to no input from political leaders.

    The Fed hiked interest rates to decades-long highs in 2022 and 2023 in a bid to quell inflation. After some cuts last year, the central bank has chosen to leave rates at relatively high levels so far this year, fearing that inflation could come roaring back or that Mr. Trump’s tariff strategy could cause consumer prices to jump. The tradeoff is that higher interest rates can lead to slower economic growth, and they make it more expensive for American consumers and businesses to borrow.

    Mr. Trump has lashed out over this strategy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late.” The president has floated the idea of firing Powell, in some cases accusing him of mismanaging a project to renovate the Fed’s headquarters.

    Even without firings, the president could reshape the Fed board as positions open up. Mr. Trump is widely expected not to appoint Powell to another four-year term as Fed chair when his current one ends in May, though he hasn’t announced a successor yet. Meanwhile, Mr. Trump has nominated his economic adviser Stephen Miran to serve on the Fed board until Jan. 2026, replacing Adriana Kugler, a Biden appointee who stepped down early.

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  • Trump says he has fired Fed governor Lisa Cook. She says he has no ‘authority’ to fire her

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    (CNN) — President Donald Trump on Monday said he has fired Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, according to a letter addressed to her posted on his social media — the first instance of a president firing a central bank governor in the central bank’s 111-year history.

    The unprecedented move represents a significant escalation of the president’s battle against the Fed, which he has blamed for taking too long to lower interest rates. But Cook said the president doesn’t have the “authority” to fire her and that she plans to continue in her post.

    Cook has recently come under fire by Trump and members of his administration for allegedly committing mortgage fraud. The Justice Department has said it plans to investigate those allegations first raised by Federal Housing Finance Director Bill Pulte.

    Cook has not been charged with any wrongdoing.

    “President Trump purported to fire me ‘for cause’ when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so,” Cook said in statement her attorneys shared with CNN Monday night. “I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022.”

    The Fed declined to comment on the news.

    It’s unclear whether Trump has the legal authority to fire Cook over these allegations. The law specifies that a president may only remove members of the Fed’s board “for cause” – though what merits a for-cause firing has not been explicitly defined.

    Trump, in his letter to Cook wrote, “I have determined that there is sufficient cause to remove you from your position.”

    (A CNN review of mortgage documents shows that Cook took out mortgages for two properties, both of which were listed as her principal residence. However, it’s not known why she did so or if she did so intentionally.)

    “In light of your deceitful and potentially criminal conduct in a financial matter … I do not have such confidence in your integrity. At a minimum, the conduct at issue exhibits the sort of gross negligence in financial transactions that calls into question your competence and trustworthiness as a financial regulator,” Trump added in his letter.

    “This is not DOJ opening anything, they haven’t charged her. So as of right now, I think it’s kind of questionable for cause,” former Federal prosecutor Shan Wu told CNN’s Brianna Keilar, referring to the Department of Justice. “It’s definitely gonna get litigated.”

    Appointed to the Fed board by former President Joe Biden in 2022, Cook is the first Black woman to serve as a Fed governor.

    While the firing may be challenged in courts, even going up to the Supreme Court, Trump’s firing of Cook puts the central bank of the world’s largest economy in uncharted waters.

    For example, it’s unknown whether Cook would have to leave the Fed’s board immediately, and if so, will Trump have the opportunity to nominate someone else to fill her seat. Cook’s attorney, Abbe David Lowell of Lowell & Associates, said in a statement to CNN: “We will take whatever actions are needed to prevent his attempted illegal action.”

    The Fed’s next monetary policy meeting is less than a month away, over September 16 and 17.

    Last week Cook released a statement saying she would not be “bullied” into resigning.

    “I have no intention of being bullied to step down from my position because of some questions raised in a tweet. I do intend to take any questions about my financial history seriously as a member of the Federal Reserve and so I am gathering the accurate information to answer any legitimate questions and provide the facts,” she said in that statement.

    Fed independence at risk

    The Fed is designed to be independent from politicians specifically so it can focus on economic data – and not political considerations – in achieving its dual mandate to keep price increases in check while supporting the job market.

    Politicians often prefer lower interest rates, aiming to boost stock prices and make it cheaper for people to borrow money, both popular moves among voters. But lower interest rates risk igniting price pressures. On the other hand, leaving rates too high could overly restrict spending and hiring, hurting the economy.

    No central bank gets it right all the time. However, studies strongly suggest that economies with independent central banks experience better outcomes, including lower inflation.

    If the move costs the US its economic credibility, American assets, such as stocks and the dollar, could get hammered. That in turn could leave investors to demand higher premiums to lend money to the US.

    “The bigger picture is sadly simple: The Fed is designed to be independent of politics, for very good reasons,” Alan Blinder, a former vice chair at the Fed told CNN Monday night. “He is trying to end that and make it an arm of the Trump administration, which will be very bad for monetary policy if it happens.”

    Senator Elizabeth Warren, the top-ranking Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, said in a statement that Trump’s attempt to fire Cook is “an authoritarian power grab that blatantly violates the Federal Reserve Act, and must be overturned in court.”

    Representatives for Republican Senator Tim Scott, who leads the committee, did not immediately respond to CNN’s request for a comment.

    Immediately following Trump’s announcement on Monday, the US dollar index dropped by 0.3%. The index measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of international currencies.

    US stock futures, meanwhile, slid further after a day in the green. Dow futures fell 100 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures fell 0.3%. Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.5%.

    The price of gold, which is considered a safe haven asset during times of uncertainty, rose 0.45%.

    This story has been updated with additional context and developments.

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    Elisabeth Buchwald, Bryan Mena and CNN

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  • Here’s What Powell’s Possible Rate Cuts Could Mean For The Shiba Inu Price

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    The crypto market moved quickly after Jerome Powell hinted that interest rate cuts may finally come. Many assets moved immediately, and the Shiba Inu price was among the top gainers. According to this post on X, more than just a price chart, this moment reminded many that SHIB’s strength lies in market timing and its loyal community support.

    Powell’s Hint Sparks Instant Shiba Inu Price Momentum

    When Powell suggested that long-awaited rate cuts may soon be possible, the market responded quickly. Investors waiting for a clear signal rushed to position themselves, and SHIB wasted no time showing its power. The coin’s price surged with a 12% green candle in a quick move that shows how possible rate cut hints from policymakers can send crypto prices soaring fast.

    Related Reading

    It was not just a random jump in price but a reminder of how closely tied SHIB is to larger economic shifts. When the Federal Reserve shows signs of easing, money tends to flow into risk assets, and SHIB has proven it can move with conviction. The sharp rise showed that the price can move much more quickly when the proper signals appear and that the meme coin is more active and responsive than many expected.

    The move suggests global signals could directly influence the Shiba Inu price. In this case, just a few words from Jerome Powell were enough to spark a strong reaction as his comments spread across markets and caught the eye of traders everywhere. It shows that when there are hints of a possible US interest rate cut, SHIB reacts quickly and moves in to align with the market trend.

    The ShibArmy Behind Shiba Inu’s Price Strength

    The X post states that price action can be exciting, but its community truly makes SHIB stand out. While price swings often draw attention, Shiba Inu’s true strength lies in its community. The ShibArmy has shown steady support even during uncertain times, and this loyalty helps SHIB stay strong and resilient in the crypto market. Instead of waiting for the world to tell them when to move, the ShibArmy stays active and prepared.

    Related Reading

    This strength is not new. From the beginning, Ryoshi’s vision for Shiba Inu was more than charts and numbers; it was about creating a project and a community that could endure and be ready when the world finally noticed. The latest reaction to Powell’s hint reflects that same vision, with holders not simply chasing prices but being committed to the bigger picture.

    The ShibArmy understands that charts can rise and fall, but true resilience comes from staying together and believing in the long-term story. Powell’s possible rate cuts may have lit the spark for the latest surge, but the community’s loyalty keeps the fire burning. As others wait on the sidelines for more signals, SHIB’s supporters repeatedly prove they are always ready for what comes next.

    SHIB erases gains triggered by Powerll’s speech | Source: SHIBUSDT on TradingView.com

    Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

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    Sandra White

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  • The Federal Reserve could start resembling the Supreme Court

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    As President Donald Trump ramps up pressure on the Federal Reserve, the typically staid, consensus-driven institution could take on some qualities of the more bitterly divided Supreme Court.

    Since returning to the White House, he has demanded that the Fed cut rates and routinely insults Chairman Jerome Powell for not doing so. After teasing that he could fire Powell then backing off, Trump has threatened to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook if she doesn’t resign.

    For her part, Cook said she won’t be bullied into stepping down and plans to rebut accusations of mortgage fraud from a Trump administration housing official. That’s raised the question of how long she might choose to serve.

    Cook joined the Fed in 2022 after being tapped by President Joe Biden to fill an unexpired term that ended in 2024, then getting reappointed. So she can stay on the Fed board until 2038, though governors typically don’t serve out their entire 14-year terms.

    “However, the Fed has increasingly become a political football,” Ian Katz, managing partner at Capital Alpha Partners, said in a note Wednesday. “Trump has been clear that he wants to put loyalists on the board. As a result, some governors may choose to remain on the board until a president from their same political party is in the White House — making the Fed in that way more like the Supreme Court.”

    Meanwhile, Trump has named Stephen Miran, chair of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, to fill a vacancy on the board left by Adriana Kugler, who stepped down before her term was due to expire in January.

    He has backed Trump’s call for lower rates. More notably, Miran also cowrote a paper in 2024 calling for an overhaul of the Fed that reduces its independence.

    That could factor into Cook’s decision on how long she will stay. In his note, Katz observed that “governors in the past have stepped down without concern that the president would nominate a replacement who isn’t a strong believer in Fed independence.”

    Similarly, Powell’s own plans have come under scrutiny. While his term as board chair expires in May, his term as a governor extends to January 2028. 

    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said Powell should step down as governor when his term as chairman ends, saying that has been the tradition. Powell has declined to say what he will do.

    The stakes could go well beyond how much the Fed lowers rates. Analysts at JPMorgan have even warned that Miran’s appointment represents an “existential threat” to the Fed as it signals an intention to amend the Federal Reserve Act and alter the central bank’s authority.

    Split decisions

    It’s not clear if Miran will be reappointed to the Fed board as the White House looks for someone to replace Powell as chairman. But either way, the Fed will have three Trump-appointed governors.

    To be sure, that’s not enough to sway rate decisions on the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee, which is also comprised of regional Fed presidents. But if Trump is able to name a fourth governor, that’s enough to tip the balance on the seven-member board.

    As Axios recently pointed out, a board majority would give Trump appointees power over the Fed’s budgets, staffing, and even selection of regional Fed presidents. Those presidents are appointed by directors of the regional Fed banks, but they are subject to the approval of the board. And in February, the five-year terms for all the bank presidents are scheduled to expire.

    With composition of the Fed in flux, a more divided era may be looming that also resembles the Supreme Court.

    Fed rate decisions are usually unanimous with even one dissenting vote being rare. By contrast, the high court rarely has unanimous votes, while split decisions along ideological lines are common.

    July’s Fed meeting may have been a preview of what’s to come as two Trump-appointed governors voted to lower rates, going against the majority that kept rates steady.

    And although Powell opened the door to a rate cut at the September meeting, that doesn’t guarantee a consensus either as other FOMC members still sounded hawkish, such as Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid.

    That sets up another FOMC meeting with dissenting votes. In addition, the pace of any subsequent cuts isn’t clear, providing more fodder for debate at the central bank as Trump-appointed officials push for dovish policy.

    Like the chief justice of the Supreme Court, the Fed chair represents just one vote but is also a first among equals who carried outsized influence. So whoever replaces Powell may need to rely on their powers of persuasion on a Fed with more conflicting views.

    Introducing the 2025 Fortune Global 500, the definitive ranking of the biggest companies in the world. Explore this year’s list.

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  • Fed Chair signals upcoming interest rate cuts, stocks skyrocket in response

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    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave a speech that sent all three stock indexes soaring. Traders excavated clues of an interest rate coming. Archie Hall, U.S. economics editor for The Economist, joins “The Takeout” to discuss.

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  • Video: Fed Chair Hints at Interest Rate Cuts, While Emphasizing Caution

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    new video loaded: Fed Chair Hints at Interest Rate Cuts, While Emphasizing Caution

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    Fed Chair Hints at Interest Rate Cuts, While Emphasizing Caution

    Jerome H. Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, signaled that interest rate cuts may be coming during his final speech as Fed chair on Friday at an annual conference hosted by the Reserve Bank of Kansas City in Jackson, Wyo.

    Labor market remains near maximum employment and inflation, though still somewhat elevated, has come down a great deal from its post-pandemic highs. At the same time, the balance of risks appears to be shifting. Our policy rate is now 100 basis points closer to neutral than it was a year ago, and the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance.

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  • Jerome Powell Signals Fed Policy Shift to Balance Inflation and Jobs Strains

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    Fed chair Jerome Powell delivered what will likely be his last speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium today (Aug. 22). Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

    Jerome Powell, chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, subtly signaled that a September rate cut may be on the horizon during his address today (Aug. 22) at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in Wyoming. His remarks come as he faces the challenge of managing persistent inflation, cooling labor and mounting political pressure.

    Traditionally, rising inflation would prompt rate hikes. But Powell suggested the labor market now poses the greater risk. While stopping short of explicitly endorsing a cut at next month’s Fed meeting, he hinted that a shift is likely. “The shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance,” he told the audience of economists.

    The speech marked Powell’s final appearance at the high-profile symposium, where he has delivered the opening address for the past eight years. His term as Fed chair is set to end next May.

    Powell’s comments landed at a sensitive moment for the U.S. economy. Inflation has stayed above the Fed’s 2 percent target for four years, ticking higher in recent months. July’s inflation read came in at 2.7 percent, while the core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile food and energy costs, rose to 3.1 percent.

    The Trump administration’s unpredictable tariff policy has exacerbated consumer price increases. “We expect those effects to accumulate over coming months,” said Powell, who noted that while levies will likely cause a “one-time” shift in price levels, the impact will filter through supply chains gradually rather than “all at once.”

    Powell also highlighted weakness in the job market. July data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revised employment figures for May and June down by a combined 258,000 jobs, while July itself added only 73,000. Powell described the labor market as being in a “curious kind of balance,” with slowdowns in both supply and demand for workers. He pointed to tighter immigration policies under President Donald Trump as a factor contributing to the slowdown.

    Markets rallied on Powell’s signals that the Fed may cut rates soon. The Dow shot up 2 percent today, while the S&5 500 climbed nearly 1.6 percent. Bond yields fell, with the 10-year Treasuries declining by 7 basis points to 4.26 percent while the 2-year dropping 10 basis points to 3.69 percent, reflecting market anticipation of lower interest rates in the near future.

    Powell underscores the Fed’s independence

    Powell’s challenges aren’t only economic. He has faced repeated demands from Trump for rate cuts, sharp personal criticism, and even calls for his removal. This week, Trump extended his attacks to Fed governor Lisa Cook, urging her resignation on social media after she was accused of mortgage fraud by Federal Housing Finance Agency director Bill Pulte. Trump said today he would fire Cook if she does not step down.

    Ousting Cook would further Trump’s push to reshape the Fed with allies who share his policy views. Last month, two Trump appointees, Christopher Wallen and Michelle Bowman, dissented from the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady, voting instead for a cut.

    Though Powell avoided a direct defense of the Fed’s independence, he carefully underscored it. Monetary policy decisions, he said, will be made “based solely on their assessment of the data and its implications for the economic outlook and the balance of risks,” said Powell. “We will never deviate from that approach.”

    Jerome Powell Signals Fed Policy Shift to Balance Inflation and Jobs Strains

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  • Stocks climb after Powell hints at potential rate cut at Jackson Hole

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    Stocks rose on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a rate cut could be coming, during a speech at policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 936 points, or 2.1%, as of 11:56 a.m. EST on Friday, while the S&P 500 gained 102 points, or 1.6%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was up 1.9%.

    In a sigh-inducing sign of relief for investors, Fed Chair Powell said in his speech Friday that current risk conditions “may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” The central bank would continue to “proceed carefully” he said.

    “Our policy rate is now 100 basis points closer to neutral than it was a year ago, and the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance,” Powell said.

    Despite mounting pressure from President Trump, the Fed has held off on cutting rates this year as it monitors the impact of Trump administration’s tariffs on inflation and the labor market. Powell’s speech on Friday, however, may be the strongest indication yet that policy changes could be afoot.

    “With Powell acknowledging that it may be time for the Fed to alter its restrictive policy, this could set up stocks for a short-term relief rally,” said Bret Kenwell, eToro investment analyst, in an email note on Friday.

    “When Fed chairs open the door for a rate cut, it’s quite difficult to close,” Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. “The August employment report or consumer price index are unlikely enough to change Powell’s opinion.”

    The central bank is tasked with so-called dual mandate of maximum employment and minimal inflation — a tricky balance to strike as lowering interest rates can boost job growth while causing inflation to tick higher, and vice versa. 

    On Friday, Powell noted that job force growth has “slowed considerably” and that the “downside risks to employment are rising.” Job growth came in weaker than expected in July, with employers adding 73,000 jobs. The Labor Department also revised job growth sharply down for May and June.

    “Overall, while the labor market appears to be in balance, it is a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers,” he said.

    Inflation has remained in check this year, although it’s still above the Fed’s 2% target. Powell noted Friday that tariffs have begun to push up prices in certain categories. 

    The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the central bank’s 12-person interest rate-setting panel, is scheduled to meet next on Sept. 17. Interest rate traders now put the likelihood of a cut at 89%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

    In stock markets abroad, Germany’s DAX returned 0.4% after government data showed that its economy shrank by 0.3% in the second quarter compared with the previous three-month period.

    Indexes rose across much of Asia, with stocks climbing 1.4% in Shanghai and 0.9% in South Korea.

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  • Wall Street soars on hopes for lower interest rates as the Dow surges 846 points to a record

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    NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street rallied to its best day in months on Friday after the head of the Federal Reserve hinted that cuts to interest rates may be on the way, along with the kick they can give the economy and investment prices.

    The S&P 500 leaped 1.5% for its first gain in six days and finished just shy of its all-time high set last week.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 846 points, or 1.9%, to its own record after topping its prior high from December. The Nasdaq composite jumped 1.9%.

    “Ka-Powell” is how Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, described the reaction to Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. “The Fed isn’t going to be the party-pooper.”

    The hope among investors had been that Powell would hint that the Fed’s first cut to interest rates of the year may be imminent. Wall Street loves lower rates because they can goose the economy, even if they risk worsening inflation at the same time.

    President Donald Trump has angrily been calling for lower rates, often insulting Powell while doing so. And a surprisingly weak report on job growth this month pushed many on Wall Street to assume cuts may come as soon as the Fed’s next meeting in September.

    Powell encouraged them on Friday after saying he’s seen risks rise for the job market. The Fed’s two jobs are to keep the job market healthy and to keep a lid on inflation, and it often has to prioritize one over the other because it has just one tool to fix either.

    But Powell also would not commit to any kind of timing. He said the job market looks OK at the moment, even if “it is a curious kind of balance” where fewer new workers are chasing after fewer new jobs. Inflation, meanwhile, still has the potential to push higher because of Trump’s tariffs.

    In sum, Powell said that “the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance.”

    Treasury yields tumbled in the bond market as bets built that the Fed would cut its main interest rate in September. Traders see an 83% chance of that, up from 75% a day earlier, according to data from CME Group.

    The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.25% from 4.33% late Thursday. The two-year Treasury yield, which more closely tracks expectations for Fed action, sank to 3.69% from 3.79% in a notable move for the bond market.

    On Wall Street, stocks of smaller companies led the way. They can benefit more from lower interest rates because of their need to borrow money to grow. The smaller stocks in the Russell 2000 index surged 3.9% for its best day since April and more than doubled the S&P 500’s rally.

    Homebuilders jumped on hopes that easier interest rates could encourage more people to buy homes. Lennar, PulteGroup and D.R. Horton all rose more than 5%.

    Travel companies, meanwhile, climbed amid hopes that easier interest rates could help U.S. households spend more. Norwegian Cruise Line rallied 7.2%, Delta Air Lines flew 6.7% higher and Caesars Entertainment rose 7%.

    Shares of Nio, a Chinese electric-vehicle maker, that trade in the United States leaped 14.4% after it began pre-sales of its flagship premium SUV model, the ES8.

    Intel climbed 5.5% after Trump said the chip company has agreed to give the U.S. government a 10% stake in its business.

    Nvidia rose 1.7% to trim its loss for the week. The company, whose chips are powering much of the world’s move in to artificial-intelligence technology, had seen its stock struggle recently amid criticism that it and other AI superstars shot too high, too fast and became too expensive.

    Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said Friday that the company is discussing a potential new computer chip designed for China with the Trump administration. The chips are graphics processing units, or GPUs, a type of device used to build and update a range of AI systems. But they are less powerful than Nvidia’s top semiconductors today, which cannot be sold to China due to U.S. national security restrictions.

    All told, the S&P 500 jumped 96.74 points to 6,466.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average leaped 846.24 to 45,631.74, and the Nasdaq composite rallied 396.22 to 21,496.53.

    In stock markets abroad, Germany’s DAX returned 0.3% after government data showed that its economy shrank by 0.3% in the second quarter compared with the previous three-month period.

    Indexes rose across much of Asia, with stocks climbing 1.4% in Shanghai and 0.9% in South Korea.

    ___

    AP Writers Teresa Cerojano and Matt Ott contributed.

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  • Powell signals Fed may cut rates soon even as inflation risks remain

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    JACKSON HOLE, Wyo. (AP) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday opened the door ever so slightly to lowering a key interest rate in the coming months but gave no hint on the timing of a move and suggested the central bank will proceed cautiously as it continues to evaluate the impact of tariffs and other policies on the economy.

    In a high-profile speech closely watched at the White House and on Wall Street, Powell said that there are risks of both rising unemployment and stubbornly higher inflation. Yet he suggested that with hiring sluggish, the job market could weaken further.

    “The shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance,” he said, a reference to his concerns about weaker job gains and a more direct sign that the Fed is considering a rate cut than he has made in previous comments.

    Still, Powell’s remarks suggest the Fed will proceed carefully in the coming months and will make its rate decisions based on how inflation and unemployment evolve. The Fed has three more meetings this year, including next month, in late October, and in December, and it’s not clear whether the Fed will cut at all those meetings.

    “The stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance,” Powell said. That suggests the Fed will continue to evaluate jobs and inflation data as it decides whether to cut rates.

    The stock market jumped in response to Powell’s remarks, with the broad S&P 500 index rising 1.5% in midday trading.

    “We see Powell’s remarks as consistent with our expectation of” a quarter-point cut to the Fed’s short-term rate at its Sept. 16-17 meeting, economists at Goldman Sachs wrote in a note to clients. The Fed’s rate currently stands at 4.3%.

    Powell spoke with the Fed under unprecedented public scrutiny from the White House, as President Donald Trump has repeatedly insulted Powell and has urged him to cut rates, arguing there is “no inflation” and saying that a cut would lower the government’s interest payments on its $37 trillion in debt.

    Trump also says a cut would boost the moribund housing market. A rate cut by the Fed often leads to lower borrowing costs for mortgages, car loans, and business borrowing, but it doesn’t always.

    While Powell spoke, Trump elevated his attacks, telling reporters in Washington, D.C. that he would fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook if she did not step down over allegations from an administration official that she committed mortgage fraud.

    If Cook is removed, that would give Trump an opportunity to put a loyalist on the Fed’s governing board. The Fed has long been considered independent from day-to-day politics. The president can’t fire a Fed governor over disagreements on interest rate policy, but he can do so “for cause,” which is generally seen as malfeasance or neglect of duty.

    Later Friday, Trump told reporters, referring to Powell, “We call him too late for a reason. He should have cut them a year ago. He’s too late.”

    Powell spoke at the Fed’s annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, a conference with about 100 academics, economists, and central bank officials from around the world. He was given a standing ovation before he spoke.

    Cook, who is also attending the conference, declined to comment on the president’s remarks.

    In his remarks, the Fed chair underscored that tariffs are lifting inflation and could push it higher in the coming months.

    “The effects of tariffs on consumer prices are now clearly visible. We expect those effects to accumulate over coming months, with high uncertainty about timing and amounts,” Powell said.

    Inflation has crept higher in recent months though it is down from a peak of 9.1% three years ago. Tariffs have not spurred inflation as much as some economists worried, but they are starting to lift the prices of heavily imported goods such as furniture, toys, and shoes.

    Consumer prices rose 2.7% in July from a year ago, above the Fed’s target of 2%. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core prices rose 3.1%.

    Powell added that higher prices from tariffs could cause a one-time shift to prices, rather than an ongoing bout of inflation. Other Fed officials have said that is the most likely outcome and as a result the central bank can cut rates to boost the job market.

    The Fed chair said it is largely up to the central bank to ensure that tariffs don’t lead to sustained inflation.

    “Come what may, we will not allow a one-time increase in the price level to become an ongoing inflation problem,” he said, suggesting deep rate cuts, as Trump has demanded, are unlikely.

    Regarding the job market, Powell noted that even as hiring has slowed sharply this year, the unemployment rate remains low. He added that with immigration falling sharply, fewer jobs are needed to keep unemployment in check.

    Yet with hiring sluggish, the risks of a sharper downturn, with rising layoffs, has risen, Powell said.

    Powell also suggested the Fed would continue to set its interest-rate policy free from political pressure.

    Fed officials “will make these decisions, based solely on their assessment of the data and its implications for the economic outlook and the balance of risks. We will never deviate from that approach.”

    Powell dedicated the second half of his speech to announcing changes to the Fed’s policy framework that was issued in August 2020. The framework, which has been blamed for delaying the Fed’s response to the pandemic inflation spike, provides guidelines on how the Fed would respond to changes in inflation and employment.

    In 2020, after a decade of low inflation and low interest rates following the financial crisis and Great Recession in 2008-2009, the Fed changed its framework to allow inflation to top its 2% target temporarily, so that inflation would average 2% over time.

    And after unemployment fell to a half-century low in 2018, without pushing up inflation, the 2020 framework said that the Fed would focus only on “shortfalls” in employment, rather than “deviations.” That meant it would cut rates if unemployment rose, but wouldn’t necessarily raise them if it fell.

    The Fed reviewed its framework this year and concluded that it was tied too closely to the pre-pandemic economy, which has since shifted. Inflation spiked to a four-decade high in 2022 and the Fed rapidly boosted interest rates afterward.

    “A key objective has been to make sure that our framework is suitable across a broad range of economic conditions,” Powell said.

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  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals path to rate cuts in Jackson Hole speech

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    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday highlighted twin economic risks of a slowing labor market and rising inflation, but opened the door to rate cuts in a widely anticipated speech at the annual Jackson Hole, Wyoming economic forum.

    “Risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment are to the downside — a challenging situation,” Powell said in his speech. 

    The Fed will “proceed carefully” but the shifting balance of risks “may warrant adjusting our policy stance,” Powell said.

    Powell’s remarks signal the Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates at its Sept. 17 meeting, which would mark the first reduction since December 2024, several economists said in research notes following the speech. Wall Street cheered Powell’s remarks, with the S&P 500 jumping 1.3% in late morning trading. 

    “That’s about as clear cut as Powell can get that he has shifted his view since July and is leaning toward a cut in September,” said Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, in an email. “He justifies this change in view by acknowledging the downside risks to employment after the shocking July jobs report.”

    While Powell highlighted the slowdown in the labor market, he also maintained that inflation risks from Mr. Trump’s tariffs remain. The Fed has been closely watching the nation’s inflation rate, which remains stubbornly above the central bank’s 2% annual target and which has inched higher in recent months. 

    Under the Fed’s mandate, the central bank is tasked with keeping both inflation and unemployment low.

    Powell said the tariffs could result in a “one-time shift in the price level,” resulting in a short-term boost to inflation. 

    “Of course, ‘one-time’ does not mean ‘all at once’,” he added. “It will continue to take time for tariff increases to work their way through supply chains and distribution networks. Moreover, tariff rates continue to evolve, potentially prolonging the adjustment process.”

    Powell’s comments come as he faces a range of pressures, including President Trump’s repeated calls for his resignation and conflicting economic signals that could make it tougher for the Fed to fulfill its dual mandate of promoting full employment while keeping inflation in check. 

    When monetary policy makers opted to hold rates steady last month, Powell at that time highlighted the growing economic uncertainty stemming from Mr. Trump’s tariffs, while adding that he believed the economy remained on solid ground. 

    Yet subsequent economic data has pointed to a slowdown. Job growth — a key measure of the economy’s strength — significantly undershot economists’ forecasts, while a large downward revision in May and June payroll gains suggested the labor market was shakier than previously thought. 

    Prior to Powell’s speech, the probability of a rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting stood at about 72%, according to CME FedWatch, which bases its calculations on 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices.

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  • Stock futures tilt up ahead of Fed chief Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

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    U.S. stock futures inched higher Friday as investors await news out of Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to speak later this morning.

    S&P 500 futures were up 15 points, or 0.2%, as of 8:55 a.m. EST, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 140 points, or 0.3%. Tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite futures were up 0.2%.

    World shares were mixed, in response to a drop in Walmart stock Thursday and as investors eagerly hope for signs of a rate cut from the Fed.

    Traders will be eyeing Fed Chair Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole economic forum to see if he hints at a potential rate cut at the central bank’s next meeting, which is scheduled for Sept. 17. The central leader is expected to speak at 10 a.m. at the event hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

    While Powell will likely touch on economic trends on Friday, he’s expected to keep the question of a Fed rate cut close to his chest.

    So far this year, the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) which Powell serves as the chairman of, has held off on a rate cut, maintaining a cautious approach as it continues to assess the impact of the Trump administration’s tariffs. That’s despite pressure from President Trump, who has repeatedly urged the central bank leader to lower rates.

    The Federal Reserve is tasked with keeping inflation in check while also maintaining maximum employment — a challenging mandate in light of the recent slowdown in job growth and signs that the president’s tariffs may be starting to drive up prices. The Consumer Price Index in July rose 2.7% on an annual basis, slightly cooler than economists’ forecasts, but still above the Fed’s 2% target.

    “What is critical in Fed Chair Powell’s speech today is how confident he is that inflation is moving down toward the Fed’s 2% inflation target,” Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok  said in a research note on Friday.

    contributed to this report.

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  • Powell addressing Jackson Hole forum as pressure mounts for interest rate cut

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    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is preparing to address the annual Jackson Hole, Wyoming, economic forum as the Trump administration pushes for an interest rate cut in September. Bill Watts, a markets editor for MarketWatch, joins CBS News with more.

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  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces delicate balancing act in Jackson Hole speech on Friday

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    When Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell takes the stage Friday at the annual Jackson Hole, Wyoming, economic forum, he will face pressures ranging from President Trump’s repeated calls for his resignation to a recent mix of worrying economic data. 

    Powell, whose term as Fed chair ends in May of 2026, will likely be making his last major speech as the central bank’s leader at the event, which is hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. The symposium is closely watched by investors and economists because it provides a stage for Fed officials to share their views on the economy and the direction of monetary policy.  

    A focal point in Jackson Hole will be if Powell offers any hints about the Fed’s next interest-rate decision, scheduled for Sept. 17. Mr. Trump has badgered the Fed to cut rates, pointing to solid U.S. economic data and muted inflation. Powell has mostly shrugged off that pressure, emphasizing that the central bank is taking a “wait and see” approach as it monitors the potential impact of the Trump administration’s tariffs on consumer prices

    Yet Powell also faces a complicated economic picture, with recent signals pointing to a slowdown in job growth and one gauge of inflation registering its largest increase in three years.

    “You have this political pressure balanced off against the economic pressure, which makes Powell’s job particularly difficult, and it’s driving a hyper-focus on what he might say on Friday,” Melissa Brown, managing director of investment decision research at SimCorp, told CBS MoneyWatch.

    The Federal Reserve declined to comment ahead of Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, whose theme this year is “Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy.”

    The Kansas City Fed will broadcast Powell’s speech on its YouTube channel on Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern Time.

    To cut or not to cut?

    While Powell is likely to discuss economic trends in Jackson Hole, he is virtually certain to demur on the question of when the Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank’s 12-person interest rate-setting panel, might choose to lower its benchmark rate. 

    That is by design. Fed officials famously keep monetary policy decisions — which are set deliberatively and by consensus — private before they are officially announced to avoid roiling financial markets and to insulate the central bank from political pressure. 

    Meanwhile, policy makers will have a chance to assess several major pieces of economic data before their Sept. 16-17 meeting, including the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report on Sept. 5 and the Consumer Price Index on Sept. 11. 

    The head of the labor statistics bureau was fired in August after the agency’s latest employment figures showed a sharp slowdown in job-creation, prompting Mr. Trump to question the accuracy of the data. For now, the August payrolls and CPI reports remain on the Labor Department’s calendar of scheduled releases. 

    “I don’t think Powell can push the narrative toward cutting because that leaves him no option but to cut,” said Mike Sanders, head of fixed income at investment management firm Madison Investments. 

    “He has to signal, ‘We’re still data-dependent and we’ll see what the data tells us’” so the Fed doesn’t get pushed into a corner, Sanders added.

    For their part, investors are clearly placing their bets on the Fed lowering rates in September for the first time since December 2024. Wall Street economists put the likelihood of a cut at 88%, according to financial data company FactSet, with  most expecting a 0.25 percentage-point dip.  

    At last year’s Jackson Hole event, Powell signaled that interest-rate cuts were coming after the central bank had previously raised its benchmark rate to its highest level in 23 years in trying to extinguish inflation. The following month, the Fed announced a jumbo cut 0.50 percentage points in a move to boost economic growth. 

    Dueling mandates

    This year, Powell could similarly use his platform in Wyoming to indicate his openness to a rate cut, according to Will Denyer, chief U.S. economist at Gavekal Research. At the same time, the Fed is also “in a pickle,” given troubling jobs data and signs that inflation could be creeping higher, he said in a report this week.

    That speaks to the Fed’s so-called dual mandate, which is to both maximize employment and minimize inflation. Balancing those two goals can require different — and sometimes conflicting — policies, as lowering interest rates can boost job growth while causing inflation to tick higher, and vice versa.

    “Data alone suggests a rising risk of a stagflationary scenario, which is, you know, a Fed nightmare,” Denyer said. “That puts them in a bind between their two mandates being in conflict.”

    Minutes for the Fed’s July 30 rate decision meeting, when the FOMC again chose to hold rates steady, show that some members “remained worried that supply-chain disruptions could cause inflation to remain stubbornly elevated,” signaling that price increases remain top of mind, noted Oxford Economics chief U.S. economist Ryan Sweet in a report on Wednesday

    “The labor market will be the swing factor on whether the Fed cuts interest rates in September or not,” he added.

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  • The Fed’s Refusal To Cut Interest Rates Is Costing Americans

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    It’s not every week that sees a Federal Reserve development set to shape America for years to come. But two such developments recently occurred two days apart: On July 30, the Fed’s board decided to hold interest rates at their current level, and on Aug. 1, board governor Adriana Kugler resigned.

    In its latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting, the Fed overruled the objections of two dissenting governors, Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman (who favored a 0.25% interest rate cut).

    Instead, it decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at between 4.25% and 4.50%.

    That marks both the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change and the most governor dissents since 1993.

    The Federal Open Market Committee cites concerns of rising inflation and long-term ambiguity around tariffs as the reason for leaving the target interest rate unchanged.

    The Fed is employing the “wait-and-see” approach before committing to a rate reduction, hoping that two more rounds of monthly job and inflation data will assist in its decision. Fed Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell claims he “remains focused on achieving [the Fed’s] dual mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people.”

    Yet Powell simultaneously points to tariff-driven market uncertainty and strong national economic performance as excuses for inaction. These contradictory justifications, coupled with the Fed’s decision to lower interest rates immediately prior to the 2024 election, suggest this might be a political decision, not an economic one.

    In his press conference address, Powell referenced several indicators of economic resilience: business investment increase, payroll job gains, low unemployment, wage growth, and reduced inflation. That’s an environment Donald Trump administration’s policies created in just seven short months, even in spite of the Fed’s refusal to lower rates.

    While annual inflation has steadily decreased, as of June, it continued to run above the 2% objective—hitting 2.7%. The high inflation of the Joe Biden era still has lingering effects on Americans who experience decreased purchasing power, making everyday essentials like groceries and gas more expensive.

    Trump claims that by keeping interest rates high, the Fed is “hurting people” and preventing Americans “from buying houses”—but the Federal Reserve has consistently resisted pressure to cut rates.

    This inaction has sparked debates regarding the Fed’s dominance and its future role, if any, in the U.S. economic system. Now congressmen, economists, and American citizens are all calling on the Trump administration to audit the Fed and eliminate its role in determining interest rates.

    Such calls find further support from the fact that, while the U.S. has seen positive changes in many economic indicators, others still show room for improvement. As Powell explains, “GDP has moderated, activity in the housing sector remains weak, and [Personal Consumption Expenditure] PCE prices rose 2.5% over the last 12 months ending in June.”

    Due to Bidenflation, housing affordability and availability have become increasingly important political issues. The housing market is currently characterized by high costs and high mortgage interest rates.

    However, as the federal government continues to run massive deficits now and deep into the future, pressures for both inflation and interest rates to climb even higher will only intensify.

    By maintaining the current federal funds rate, the Federal Open Market Committee perpetuates its current policy of passing the costs of the federal deficit on to the American public through higher borrowing costs for mortgages, credit cards, and small business and other loans.

    For prospective homebuyers, this can prevent them from achieving the American dream. For businesses, this can limit expansion and hiring—thus leading to slowed innovation and job creation.

    If the Fed were to reduce interest rates by just 25 basis points, mortgages would become more affordable, and competition among buyers would intensify.

    Lower target interest rates would reduce mortgage and business loan rates, making housing more affordable for Americans and incentivizing businesses to provide well-paying job opportunities.

    This would revive housing demand, bringing buyers back into the market, thus easing the housing affordability crisis.

    Not only that, but this interest rate reduction would decrease the cost of servicing the national debt.

    Despite the Fed’s decision to hold rates constant and Chairman Powell’s ambiguity about the future, economists predict a 25-basis-point cut at the Federal Open Market Committee’s September meeting.

    This prediction partly stems from the latest jobs report, which seems to indicate a slowing economic growth.

    That’s earned Powell the moniker “too late Powell” from Trump, who decries the chief’s reluctance to adjust interest rates.

    The same day that jobs report was released, Kugler, a 2023 Biden appointee, suddenly resigned her governor position (effective Aug. 8) without saying why.

    This vacancy offers Trump the chance to appoint a replacement, pending Senate confirmation, with monetary policy views that align closer to his values of low interest rates and low inflation.

    While it might be “too late” to lower interest rates for the August cycle, a newly appointed board member could give Trump another chance to advocate for Federal Reserve transparency and offer Americans more hope for a stable and robust economy.

    Syndicated with permission from The Daily Signal.

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  • What a resurgence in Wall Street dealmaking means for Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo

    What a resurgence in Wall Street dealmaking means for Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo

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    Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference following the September meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on September 18, 2024 in Washington, DC. 

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