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  • What the Art World Can Learn from Pokémon Cards, Labubu and the Nostalgia-Driven Economy

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    Pokémon cards are part of a broader franchise universe that extends the brand’s economic footprint into several different categories of consumption. Photo by Behrouz MEHRI / AFP) (Photo by BEHROUZ MEHRI/AFP via Getty Images

    The question came to me during a recent trip to Japan when, wandering through Tokyo, I listened to a rap by the artist Takashi Murakami. Just the day before—on a Monday, with galleries closed—at an artist’s suggestion, I had visited Nakano Broadway, a mecca for manga and anime lovers, or simply for the nostalgic. There, I encountered a market frenzy I wasn’t fully aware of. While browsing vintage stores for Chanel and Louis Vuitton bags in Shibuya, I saw whole shops dedicated exclusively to Pokémon cards and figurines. Inside, the buyers weren’t kids but people my age and older, actively collecting memorabilia that tethered them to their childhoods—objects that have also acquired undeniable economic and investment value.

    I was born in the 1990s. Pokémon, Digimon, Cardcaptor Sakura, Dragon Ball and countless other anime and manga didn’t just fill my childhood television programming—in Italy’s Berlusconi era, private channels like Canale 5 and Italia 1 devoted vast blocks of airtime to imported Japanese anime—but introduced me to a world of trading cards, toys, video games and every sort of gadget that could build entire imaginative and narrative universes around us. These worlds shaped not only my and my peers’ play but, I’m convinced, our imaginations and even our personalities.

    In Nakano, as on previous trips to Japan, I found myself searching for that one Pokémon or Digimon figure I was missing, compelled to buy it. What drove all this was not only nostalgia but also the enduring effects of that world-building and branding—an entire cultural and narrative ecosystem sticky enough to hold our attention long after childhood.

    Around the same time, the Wall Street Journal published an article by Krystal Hur highlighting how Pokémon cards have become a “hot investment,” reportedly reaching a roughly 3,821 percent cumulative return since 2004, according to an index by analytics firm Card Ladder tracking trading-card values through August. That figure eclipses even the S&P 500’s 483 percent rise over the same period or Meta Platforms’ 1,844 percent climb since going public in 2012.

    The craze for the monster trading cards, first launched in 1996, apparently intensified during the pandemic after influencer Logan Paul revealed in 2022 that he had acquired a near-perfect-grade Pikachu Illustrator card worth $5.3 million, setting a Guinness World Record for the priciest Pokémon card ever sold in a private deal. Even if the exact figure is difficult to verify, the public market has its own headline records: In March 2022, Heritage Auctions sold a 1999 First Edition Holographic Charizard (PSA 10)—the iconic chase card—for $420,000. Another sold earlier this year for $175,000.

    Hur’s article also featured a handful of “success stories” of thirty-somethings who now “diversify their investments” through Pokémon cards, like a 27-year-old account manager in Ohio who funded his fiancée’s 3.5-carat diamond engagement ring and part of their wedding by selling the collection he had begun in the 1990s. (How many times have I wished my mother hadn’t thrown mine away?) Yet one collector openly admitted that his buying was based less on financial calculus and more on sentiment: “A lot of us are chasing pieces of our childhood,” said Matthew Griffin.

    A hand holds a rare Pikachu Illustrator Pokémon card encased in a PSA-graded plastic sleeve, showing Pikachu with a paintbrush and drawing tools against a sparkling gold background with Japanese text beneath the word “ILLUSTRATOR.”A hand holds a rare Pikachu Illustrator Pokémon card encased in a PSA-graded plastic sleeve, showing Pikachu with a paintbrush and drawing tools against a sparkling gold background with Japanese text beneath the word “ILLUSTRATOR.”
    Influencer Logan Paul revealed in 2022 that he had acquired a near-perfect Pikachu Illustrator card for $5.3 million, setting a Guinness World Record for the priciest Pokémon card ever sold in a private deal. Source: Web | The Pokémon Company / PSA

    Skeptics argue that the Pokémon card market is inconsistent and irrational because it runs largely on nostalgia and symbolic value. Others counter that it may still be safer than other pandemic-era alternative assets, like baseball cards or sports memorabilia, because fictional characters like Pikachu are timeless in a way no athlete’s career can ever be.

    This brings us to a series of striking parallels—and key juxtapositions—between the Pokémon card market, other nostalgia-driven economies and today’s art market. Looking at these could reveal insights the art world can learn from Millennial and Gen X buying behavior as it struggles to attract the next generation of collectors.

    Nostalgia-driven numbers

    Pokémon is just one of many I.P.s that have surged in popularity among Millennial collectors, where nostalgia cycles have become engines of value creation. In recent conversations with peers across different regions—particularly in the Asia-Pacific and the U.S.—I’ve noticed a shared trend: vintage cameras, vinyl records and even relics like VHS tapes, CDs, and DVDs are becoming increasingly coveted by Millennials and Gen Z. The market for retro consoles (e.g., Nintendo 64, Game Boy, Sega Dreamcast) and the cartridges that accompanied their childhoods is booming. In July 2021, Heritage Auctions sold a sealed copy of Super Mario 64 (1996, N64) for $1.56 million—the first video game to break the million-dollar mark at auction.

    A physical object tethered to an analog past now carries both aesthetic and identity value, particularly in today’s hyper-technological age. For those of us who grew up watching the dizzying curve of technological evolution unfold—from cassette to CD, from the first unlimited SMS plans to smartphones—these objects are anchors of memory and existential witnesses. The same appetite drives younger buyers toward comic books, graphic novels, vintage watches and retro fashion. Casio G-Shock, Swatch and Seiko dive watches, once essentially disposable, are now hunted down in places like Nakano Broadway or through online resellers. Fashion brands have capitalized on this by recycling Millennial childhood aesthetics tied to the 1990s—Balenciaga is a clear example. Prices for Jordan retros, Nike Dunks and Adidas Superstars are climbing, powered by ’90s and early 2000s nostalgia, while new sneaker drops sell as much on ‘I wanted these when I was 12’ as on freshness of design, as evidenced by the revivals of Puma classics or Onitsuka Tigers.

    A sealed and graded copy of the video game Super Mario 64 for Nintendo 64 is encased in a clear plastic display box, showing Mario flying with a winged cap toward Princess Peach’s castle on the colorful cover art.A sealed and graded copy of the video game Super Mario 64 for Nintendo 64 is encased in a clear plastic display box, showing Mario flying with a winged cap toward Princess Peach’s castle on the colorful cover art.
    A copy of Super Mario 64 sold for $1.56 million at Heritage Auctions on July 11, 2021, shattering the world record for a video game. Courtesy Heritage Auctions

    These markets operate on symbolic value, defined above all by sentiment, which is not so different from the symbolic economy that underpins art prices. Yet for these items, nostalgia—when combined with rarity and scarcity, often manufactured through limited editions, blind boxes, or surprise drops—is enough to justify soaring prices, even among Millennials who are more skeptical, more price-sensitive, and less willing to overpay. As Tim Schneider recently pointed out in The Gray Market, the greatest challenge for an art dealer today is persuading skeptical buyers that a work—especially by an artist their own age—is “good enough” to merit the price tag, at a time when everything else in life is also more expensive.

    So why is this different? In the case of nostalgia-driven collectibles, memory itself becomes monetized, justifying even six-figure sales when the object is the only tangible key left to unlock it. But the real question is: What forged such powerful sentimental bonds that they hardened into identity and culture, transforming disposable childhood ephemera into adult investments?

    Enduring cultural properties

    Pokémon cards derive meaning from a broader franchise universe, which anchors each product within a wider narrative and cultural value. Branding has become synonymous with world-building, capable of creating enduring, authentic cultural and emotional resonance—an identitarian connection that goes far beyond simple fandom. This is the power of storytelling, of making a myth that accompanies an object. It’s a factor that the market for Pokémon trading cards shares with other collectible toys, such as LEGO, action figures, or comics tied to franchises like Star Wars or Marvel, among others.

    The recent Labubu craze, which rapidly expanded from Hong Kong youth culture to the wider world—with people lining up and even fighting to collect this kawaii monstrous plush—follows the same logic. But it has already begun crossing into the art industry. During its Basel edition in June, Art Basel released a limited-edition Labubu figurine (in its signature “Basel blue”) exclusively at the Art Basel Shop. Only 100 were made, priced at SFr 200. The drop sold out immediately, and on-site whispers of flippers floating $5,000 resale offers surfaced within minutes. The current Labubu auction record is for a human-sized “giant” mint green version, which sold for around $150,552 (¥1.08 million) at a Yongle International auction in Beijing.

    A person wearing a mask holds up large Pop Mart shopping bags in front of a brightly colored Pop Mart storefront decorated with cartoon characters and bold pink signage.A person wearing a mask holds up large Pop Mart shopping bags in front of a brightly colored Pop Mart storefront decorated with cartoon characters and bold pink signage.
    A shopper at the Labubu pop-up in June in Shanghai. Photo by Ying Tang/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    All these markets thrive on cults of character built through manufactured mythology, transforming into IP-based storytelling that multiplies value through merchandising. In the art world, by contrast, the focus remains primarily on artist biography and “serious” critical discourse, resistant to pop-cultural world-building and even to branding. “When you buy a Rolex from Rolex, it says Rolex; paintings from Gagosian are signed Koons or Saville,” collector Jeff Magid wrote in an opinion piece for ARTnews, addressing similar questions.

    This provocation reveals how the art world continues to fall short in offering status-signaling objects—and, I would add, community belonging and recognizability—that luxury brands and contemporary collectibles have perfected. Pokémon, Labubu, sneakers and vintage collectibles (across tech, fashion and design) are unmistakable lifestyle signals. Combined with scarcity and shared rituals, they build and sustain cultural capital that can be seamlessly converted into economic capital.

    Connected communities and lower buy-in barriers

    Accessibility matters. Pokémon cards, Labubu and most of the collectibles markets mentioned above have achieved early onboarding because of their relative affordability. Pokémon packs or Labubu blind boxes start at $10-20, a low barrier that draws kids and teens into the narrative and the act of collecting early, setting up a long-tail trajectory to remain engaged and eventually move into higher price points as their disposable income grows. Nostalgia cycles then keep the value alive, ensuring continuity across generations.

    Interestingly, in recent days, former auction-house enfant terrible Loïc Gouzer reposted on Instagram his now-iconic promo video for his cross-category curated sale, If I Live I’ll See You Tuesday…, held at Christie’s in May 2014, where he placed Basquiat next to Koons, Hirst, rare cars and sneakers for the first time in what was then a radical act. The auction was revolutionary at the time because it embraced streetwear marketing logic: drop a disruptive trailer, build hype, collapse categories and make collecting feel cool rather than fusty and exclusive.

    A person stands on a skateboard in an indoor space with grey floors and beige walls, wearing dark jeans, a blue shirt, and yellow shoes, with a large artwork featuring red and blue U-shapes and flames leaning against the wall nearby.A person stands on a skateboard in an indoor space with grey floors and beige walls, wearing dark jeans, a blue shirt, and yellow shoes, with a large artwork featuring red and blue U-shapes and flames leaning against the wall nearby.
    A still from Christie’s promotional video for the If I Live I’ll See You Tuesday… sale. Christie’s

    Coming from a younger generation into the aging world of auctions, Gouzer instinctively understood the need to reinvent storytelling and branding, adopting the cultural language of younger audiences—skate videos, streetwear aesthetics, cross-genre mashups—to reframe how value was perceived. His cross-category auctions also tapped into the logic of nostalgia cycles: pairing high art with luxury toys of a different order—cars, watches, memorabilia—made the auction floor feel like a Millennial collector’s fantasy closet.

    Brand dilution and cross-industry myth

    Here we can return to the “illumination” sparked by discovering that Murakami had also ventured into rap, among so many other expressions of his style—or better said, of his “branding.” Takashi Murakami is arguably one of the first artists to adopt and fully integrate these dynamics, making pop-cultural world-building a core element of his aesthetics and practice. Through Kaikai Kiki, he blurred the line between fine art and merchandise. By applying his instantly recognizable, fresh, youthful style—populated by kawaii characters rooted in Japanese manga, objects, and even experiences—he pursued a pop-culture logic of world-building while embracing a degree of brand dilution that lowered barriers to entry. In this way, a teenager buying a keychain or plush mascot at ComplexCon could enter the same collector’s universe as a seasoned buyer spending millions at Gagosian or at auction on one of his monumental paintings.

    A colorful digital artwork by Takashi Murakami featuring two cartoonish faces—one with rainbow teeth and mouse ears labeled “J” and “P,” and the other with a multicolored flower halo—set against a pink background filled with smiling flower motifs.A colorful digital artwork by Takashi Murakami featuring two cartoonish faces—one with rainbow teeth and mouse ears labeled “J” and “P,” and the other with a multicolored flower halo—set against a pink background filled with smiling flower motifs.
    Takashi Murakami joined forces with JP The Wavy to form one of the most joyful and ageless Hip-Hop duos, MNNK Bro. © Takashi Murakami / Kaikai Kiki Co., Ltd.

    Notably, Murakami didn’t invent this playbook; he absorbed a cultural logic already deeply embedded in Japanese pop culture, as his notion of “Superflat” was designed to articulate. Capsule collections, limited drops, and the collapse of boundaries between “high” and “low” have long defined Japan’s cultural and creative industries. Early streetwear pioneers like A Bathing Ape (BAPE), COMME des GARÇONS and Neighborhood built empires on scarcity and hype. At the same time, manga and anime cultivated devoted fandoms where merchandise was as central as the story itself.

    By asserting that contemporary Japanese visual culture had already flattened its hierarchies, Murakami’s “Superflat-ness” offered a theoretical framework that made his fusion of fine art, commerce, and pop culture not only coherent but essential to his practice—never a compromise of artistic integrity. Even his collaborations with Louis Vuitton or Uniqlo weren’t betrayals of art but natural continuations of a Japanese cultural economy where brand, object, and fandom constantly intertwine, creating symbolic universes that buyers can both belong to and collect.

    Alongside Murakami, KAWS stands as another powerful model, this time on the American side. His toys and Uniqlo collaborations have already fostered a generation of young collectors who later graduated to six-figure Companion sculptures as their first major art purchases. Daniel Arsham has played a similar game, targeting Millennial collectors with his Pokémon sculptures while building pipelines through more accessible editions and sneaker collaborations.

    The series, including the gadget-inspired works, began as a formal collaboration between Daniel Arsham and The Pokémon Company, which partnered to present Relics of Kanto Through Time (2020) at the PARCO Museum Tokyo, where he reimagined Pokémon as archaeological relics unearthed a thousand years in the future. The collaboration continued with A Ripple in Time, a series of exhibitions and installations across Tokyo organized by Nanzuka that paired Arsham’s fictional-archaeology style with Pokémon lore. This phase expanded the project to include bronze sculptures, concept art, animation, and reinterpreted Pokémon cards rendered in Arsham’s signature eroded aesthetic. Most of the Pokémon sculptures were produced in extremely limited editions—99, 500, or fewer units—and distributed through raffles or lottery systems rather than web drops, creating built-in scarcity and positioning the project squarely at the intersection of art markets and collectible fandom economies.

    A life-sized Pikachu mascot stands beside a corroded bronze sculpture of Pikachu by artist Daniel Arsham, displayed outside a modern glass building in Tokyo.A life-sized Pikachu mascot stands beside a corroded bronze sculpture of Pikachu by artist Daniel Arsham, displayed outside a modern glass building in Tokyo.
    Daniel Arsham was the first artist to collaborate with the Pokémon Company, resulting in a new series and a collaborative exhibition, “Relics of Kanto Through Time.” ©2020 Pokémon. Tm ® Nintendo. © Daniel Arsham Photo by Shigeru Tanaka Courtesy Of Nanzuka

    Meanwhile, a museum like MoMA already seems attuned to both the potential and the risk of brand dilution in cross-industry collaborations. The institution recently announced a capsule collection with Mattel featuring seven products inspired by artists and artworks from MoMA’s permanent collection. The figurines range from a Van Gogh Barbie wearing an evening gown printed with Starry Night (1889) to two Little People Collector figures modeled after Monet’s Water Lilies and Salvador Dalí, complete with his unmistakable mustache. The collection also includes an Uno deck featuring details from six MoMA-owned artworks and a Hot Wheels replica inspired by the museum’s Citroën DS 23 Sedan, among other items. Released on November 11, just in time for the holiday season, these art-infused toys will be sold at MoMA’s Design Stores in New York and Japan, as well as on the Design Store’s website and the Mattel Creations site. The partnership also includes Mattel funding MoMA’s Samuel and Ronnie Heyman Family Art Lab, an interactive space for kids and families on the museum’s first floor.

    As I argued recently, cross-industry collaborations offer artists crucial gateways while cultivating new audiences. At the same time, platforms like Avant Arte are proving that there is a young, eager audience ready to engage with art—so long as editions feel authentic and accessible, and community remains central to the narrative. According to recent surveys, the global collectibles market has surpassed $496 billion in 2025. If the art world wants to avoid shrinking in both volume and financial weight as it struggles to broaden its buyer base, then making art more “collectible”—at multiple price points and across different stages of life—may be the only sustainable strategy for cultivating lifelong engagement from the next generation of buyers.

    Two miniature Monet-inspired figurines from Mattel’s Little People Collector x MoMA collaboration stand on a white pedestal against a backdrop resembling Claude Monet’s Water Lilies, echoing the soft blues, purples, and greens of the Impressionist painting.Two miniature Monet-inspired figurines from Mattel’s Little People Collector x MoMA collaboration stand on a white pedestal against a backdrop resembling Claude Monet’s Water Lilies, echoing the soft blues, purples, and greens of the Impressionist painting.
    The Little People Collector™ x Claude Monet figures were inspired by the artist’s Water Lilies. Photo : Courtesy Mattel and MoMA

    What the Art World Can Learn from Pokémon Cards, Labubu and the Nostalgia-Driven Economy

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    Elisa Carollo

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  • Human remains found in Japan identified as girl missing since 2011 earthquake and tsunami

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    Human remains found in Japan have been identified as those of a six-year-old girl missing since the massive earthquake and tsunami of 2011, police said Friday.

    The disaster killed 15,900 people, with 2,520 people still listed as missing as of the end of February, according to the National Police Agency.

    Teeth and fragments of jaw were discovered in February 2023 in the northern region of Miyagi, a spokesman for the local police told AFP. 

    “After dental and DNA identification analyses, it was confirmed the remains belong to Natsuse Yamane, female, who was six years old at the time,” he said.

    Mitochondrial DNA analysis and an examination of proteins on the teeth confirmed the girl’s identity, the Japan Times reported, citing the Miyagi police. Experts at Tohoku University assisted with the analysis, Japan Today reported.

    The girl had been at her home in Yamada, a town around 60 miles away in Iwate Prefecture, when the tsunami swept her away, the police spokesman told AFP.

    She had been listed as missing ever since.

    The remains were found by construction workers sifting through material amassed in a clean-up of coastal areas, the Asahi Shimbun daily reported.

    The child’s family issued a statement of thanks.

    “We had long given up (on finding her remains), so when we were notified, it took us by surprise. We are very grateful,” Japan Today quoted the family as saying. 

    Fishing boats lie amongst tsunami devastation in the town of Yamada, Iwate prefecture on May 4, 2011 nearly two months after the 9.0 magnitude earthquake and subsequent tsunami hit Japan. 

    TOSHIFUMI KITAMURA/AFP via Getty Images


    The last time remains were identified in the three prefectures hardest hit by the disaster — Iwate, Miyagi, and Fukushima — was in August 2023, the Asahi said.  The unidentified remains of six other people are in the custody of authorities in the prefecture, Japan Today reported.

    The 9.0-magnitude earthquake in March 2011 also sent three reactors into meltdown at the Fukushima nuclear plant in this century’s biggest atomic disaster.

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  • Trio Wins Nobel Prize in Chemistry for Work on Molecular Construction

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    Susumu Kitagawa, Richard Robson and Omar M. Yaghi were awarded the Nobel Prize in Chemistry for developing a new form of molecular architecture called metal-organic frameworks that can harvest water from desert air, capture carbon dioxide, store toxic gases or catalyze chemical reactions.

    The structures, metal ions connected by carbon-based linkers, have large holes that allow other molecules to flow in and out, almost like rooms in a house. They can capture and release gases, water or other substances. Changing the size or shape of its components can make a countless amount of new frameworks designed for specific substances, reactions or to conduct electricity.

    Copyright ©2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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    Brianna Abbott

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  • CMC Packaging Automation links with Correns to expand in Japan

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    CMC Packaging Automation, a provider of automated packaging systems, has collaborated with Tokyo-based Correns, a distributor of industrial machinery and technology solutions.

    The agreement will see the two companies expand local sales and service capabilities.

    It will promote sustainable packaging practices and increase the adoption of automated packaging technology across Japan’s retail and e-commerce sectors.

    CMC first introduced its CartonWrap system to the Japanese market in 2015.

    Since then, it has supplied multiple right-sized packaging solutions to major retailers and third-party logistics operators.

    This experience has positioned it as a reliable supplier of process-optimised and sustainable packaging systems in Japan.

    Correns operates several offices across Japan and employs more than 170 people, including service engineers and technicians.

    Its local expertise and national service network will support the partnership’s objectives.

    CMC Packaging Automation CEO Francesco Ponti stated: “Japan is one of the most advanced and demanding logistics markets in the world.

    “Our partnership with Correns represents a strong commitment to our clients in the region. Together, we will deliver packaging solutions that combine efficiency, innovation and sustainability.”

    The companies plan to present their solutions at the Japan Pack business exhibition, taking place at the Tokyo Big Sight convention centre from 7 to 10 October 2025.

    Headquartered in Italy and backed by KKR, CMC Packaging Automation operates in Europe and North America, providing automated packaging systems for e-commerce, retail and logistics clients.

    Correns Corporation president Ivar Johansson added: “Correns is now proud to partner with CMC, a global innovator in packaging automation.

    “By joining forces, we can provide our Japanese customers with the technology and support they need to remain competitive in a rapidly changing e-commerce and logistics landscape.”

    “CMC Packaging Automation links with Correns to expand in Japan ” was originally created and published by Packaging Gateway, a GlobalData owned brand.

     


    The information on this site has been included in good faith for general informational purposes only. It is not intended to amount to advice on which you should rely, and we give no representation, warranty or guarantee, whether express or implied as to its accuracy or completeness. You must obtain professional or specialist advice before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our site.

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  • Agitated bear injures 2 people in Japan grocery store as man killed in separate suspected attack

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    Tokyo — An agitated bear roamed the aisles of a grocery store in central Japan, injuring two men and frightening shoppers, officials said Wednesday, while Japanese media said a man was found dead after a separate suspected bear mauling.

    More and more wild bears have been spotted in Japan in recent years, even in residential areas, due to factors including a declining human population and climate change.

    A man was found dead on a mountain Wednesday in the northern Iwate region after a suspected bear attack, according to public broadcaster NHK, citing police.

    Separately, the 4.5-foot adult bear that entered the grocery store Tuesday evening in Numata, Gunma, north of Tokyo, lightly injured a man in his 70s and another in his 60s, regional police and fire officials said.

    The store is close to mountainous areas, but has never had bears come near before, Hiroshi Horikawa, a management planning official at the grocery store chain, told AFP.

    “It entered from the main entrance and stayed inside for roughly four minutes,” he said. “It almost climbed onto the fish case and damaged glass. In the fruits section, it knocked over a pile of avocados and stamped on them.”

    The store’s manager told local media that around 30 to 40 customers were inside at the time, and that the bear became agitated as it struggled to find the exit.

    Also on Tuesday, a farmer in Iwate region was scratched and bitten by a bear, accompanied by a cub, just outside his house.

    A warning sign is seen on a walking trail in the Shirakawa-go district, a UNESCO World Heritage site, Oct. 7, 2025 in Hida, Gifu Prefecture, Japan.

    VCG/VCG/Getty


    A Spanish tourist on Sunday was attacked by a bear at a bus stop in scenic Shirakawa-go village in central Japan.

    Between April and September, 108 people nationwide suffered injuries caused by bears, including five deaths, according to the environment ministry. There were a record number of human encounters with bears in Japan last year, with 219 attacks including six deaths in the 12 months to April 2024.

    The impacts of climate change on the bears’ food sources and hibernation cycles has been cited by experts as a key factor, but there are also implications as Japan’s aging population shrinks and humans abandon more rural areas.

    That depopulation has left bears “a chance to expand their range,” biologist Koji Yamazaki, from Tokyo University of Agriculture, told CBS News‘ Elizabeth Palmer in 2023.

    JAPAN-ATTACK-BEAR-ANIMAL

    A chart shows the prevalence of bear attacks in Japan since 2014, according to government data, and the ranges of the Asiatic black bear and brown bear in the country.

    JOHN SAEKI/AFP/Getty


    Japan is one of the few places in the world where a large mammal species has been reclaiming habitat — which is good news for the bears, but if, as biologists suspect, the bear population is growing, the country will have to figure out new ways to protect people and vital infrastructure from the animals.

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  • Japan’s Likely Next Prime Minister Wrestles Coalition Backlash

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    By Tamiyuki Kihara and John Geddie

    TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan’s likely next premier Sanae Takaichi is already facing criticism from her ruling party’s long-time coalition partner, a rift that could delay or, in an extreme scenario, jeopardise her premiership.

    Hardline conservative Takaichi, selected by the Liberal Democratic Party as its new head in a weekend vote, held a meeting on Tuesday with the leader of their moderate partner Komeito to discuss their concerns about some of her positions.

    While Takaichi is widely expected to win approval in parliament to become Japan’s first female premier later this month, it is not guaranteed as the ruling coalition does not have a majority.

    If Komeito splits, Takaichi may seek to broker alliances with other parties including the fiscally-expansionist Democratic Party for the People (DPP), further fraying investor nerves about one of the world’s most indebted countries.

    “Everybody does think that Takaichi probably has the upper hand,” said Kei Okamura, managing director at asset manager Neuberger Berman in Tokyo. “It’s just a matter of how big of a hand that is.”

    A vote in parliament had been expected to take place on October 15, but is likely to be pushed back as coalition talks rumble on, LDP sources said. U.S. President Donald Trump is due to visit Japan at the end of the month.

    OPPOSITION SEEKS ALTERNATIVE CANDIDATE

    Komeito, a socially-liberal party affiliated with a lay Buddhist organisation, has been in an alliance with the LDP since 1999, and is often seen as a brake on its more hawkish leanings like its step back from pacifism.

    The party has criticised Takaichi’s tough language on foreigners and visits to the Yasakuni Shrine – seen by neighbours as a symbol of Japan’s past militarism. It also wants the LDP to take a tougher response to a fundraising scandal that has rocked the party.

    After Tuesday’s talks, Komeito leader Tetsuo Saito told reporters he had raised these issues with Takaichi in talks that lasted around 90 minutes, but reached no conclusion.

    Meanwhile, the main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP) has called for other parties to rally behind an alternative candidate for prime minister.

    If that happens, the DPP’s charismatic leader Yuichiro Tamaki, an advocate for major stimulus and tax cuts, would be a strong candidate, local media cited the CDP’s secretary general, Jun Azumi, as saying on Wednesday.

    Opposition parties can put forward their own candidates when parliament meets to vote on the next premier.

    Any candidate who secures a simple majority in the first round wins approval. If not, a run-off poll follows between the two candidates with the most votes.

    However, getting agreement between a disparate band of opposition parties to challenge Takaichi remains a remote possibility, political analysts say.

    Takaichi “is almost nailed on”, said Paul Nadeau, a political science associate professor at Temple University in Tokyo.

    (Reporting by Tamiyuki Kihara, John Geddie, Yoshifumi Takemoto and Rocky Swift; Writing by John Geddie; Editing by Kim Coghill)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

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    Reuters

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  • In Hometown of Japan’s ‘Iron Lady’, Supporters Stress a Softer Side

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    NARA (Reuters) -Motoko Shimada fondly recalls when a classmate at her public school in the western Japanese city of Nara, Sanae Takaichi, showed early signs of the leadership that would set her on course to become the country’s first female prime minister.

    It was just before an important high school entrance exam, and Shimada had forgotten her lunch, intensifying already jangling nerves.

    “Let’s share mine,” a young Takaichi gestured. Another classmate, overhearing the offer, also came forward. “Thanks to that, I passed the high school entrance exam. I’m truly grateful,” recalled Shimada.

    The anecdote is one of several shared by Takaichi’s hometown friends and supporters that render a softer side to the hardline conservative, who cites Margaret Thatcher, a divisive figure in British politics known as “the Iron Lady”, as her hero.

    The selection of Takaichi, 64, to lead the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, has raised fears that her nationalistic and traditional views may rile neighbouring countries, alienate minorities and stymie social reforms.

    She was picked to rejuvenate a party that has lost control of both houses of parliament in recent elections, with voters angry over rising living costs and drawn to opposition offering big stimulus and controls on foreigners.

    As her party remains the largest, Takaichi is expected to win approval for her premiership from parliament later this month.

    Her former hairdresser, Yukitoshi Arai, believes she is well prepared to solve Japan’s problems and even her hairstyle – which he has dubbed the ‘Sanae Cut’ – is designed to show she is paying attention to people.

    “It has a sleek, sharp, and stylish look. The sides are long, but she deliberately tucks them behind her ears as a way of showing that she listens carefully to other people,” said Arai, who started cutting Takaichi’s hair around 30 years ago.

    Unlike Thatcher – known for her tough budgeting policies – Takaichi has promised help to households via tax cuts and spending that have shaken investor confidence in the world’s fourth-largest economy.

    “For Japanese people, our underlying problem is really the economy. There’s a strong desire for solid economic policies that make daily life more affordable and comfortable because everything is so expensive now,” said Arai.

    NATIONALIST WITH SOCIALLY-CONSERVATIVE VIEWS

    At Takaichi’s constituency office in Nara, where a massive mound of congratulatory flowers partially blocked the entrance, her school friend Shimada said Takaichi’s modest upbringing had instilled a strong work ethic.

    Unlike the two lead male candidates she defeated in Saturday’s race, who hail from powerful political families, Takaichi’s mother was a local police officer and her father worked at a car company.

    Her surroundings in the ancient city of Nara, where temples dot the skyline and sacred deer roam its park, also shaped her traditional values and nationalist pride, Shimada said.

    “I’m like (Takaichi) too – growing up with that kind of sentiment, and feeling proud of it. I believe that’s really the foundation of who she is,” she said.

    That conservative appeal may help blunt the rise of Sanseito, a ‘Japanese First’ anti-immigration party that broke into the political mainstream in a July election.

    During her campaign, she pledged to crack down on rule-breaking visitors and immigrants, who have come to Japan in record numbers in recent years, and complained about tourists reportedly kicking Nara’s sacred deer.

    But even though she has smashed the glass ceiling like her idol Thatcher, her socially-conservative views – such as opposing changes to allow married women to keep their surnames – mean she is unlikely to be a champion for women, said youth activist Momoko Nojo.

    “She gained her position by accommodating the male-dominated society as much as possible,” said Nojo. “We can’t expect much.”

    (Reporting by Joseph Campbell in Nara; Additional reporting by Kaori Kaneko, Tom Bateman and Rikako Maruyama in Tokyo; Editing by John Geddie and Lincoln Feast.)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

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  • Opinion | Has Japan Found Its Margaret Thatcher?

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    Japan may soon have another Prime Minister after Sanae Takaichi this weekend won the race to lead the (barely) ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). There are reasons to be modestly hopeful, but also reason to curb your enthusiasm.

    Ms. Takaichi, who would become Japan’s first female leader, defeated Shinjiro Koizumi in a runoff in an intraparty campaign centered on whether the LDP can get its mojo back. The party hasn’t had compelling leadership since Shinzo Abe’s retirement and then assassination. It’s been buffeted by election losses as voters flee to upstart parties, especially on the right.

    Copyright ©2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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  • Opinion | Japan Gets New Kind of Leader

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    Sanae Takaichi, a hawkish nationalist, wants to make her country great again.

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    Walter Russell Mead

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  • Opinion | Pacific Allies Need U.S. Support

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    We set out across the Indo-Pacific in August to assess U.S. military readiness and consult with allies. In the Philippines, Palau and Taiwan, we found partners determined to resist Chinese coercion and willing to share the burden.

    In Taiwan we spoke with President Lai Ching-tse and senior officials. They understand the gravity of the threat and are responding with urgency to meet it. Mr. Lai has committed to increasing defense spending and mobilizing the public behind a resilience plan.

    Copyright ©2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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    Roger Wicker

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  • Sanae Takaichi set to become Japan’s first-ever female prime minister, and face immediate challenges

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    Tokyo — Japan’s embattled governing party now has its new leader, former Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi, a hardline conservative who is poised to become the country’s first female prime minister.

    Takaichi, 64, immediately needs to seek ways to get her long-ruling Liberal Democratic Party to stay in power and regain public support by delivering measures to address inflation and diplomatic challenges, including how to deal with President Trump.

    “Japan has just elected its first female Prime Minister, a highly respected person of great wisdom and strength. This is tremendous news for the incredible people of Japan. Congratulations to all!” Mr. Trump said in a message posted on his own Truth social media network.

    Takaichi was chosen by her party members to lead, and as her party holds the most seats in Japan’s parliament, she is set to become the prime minister. She was not elected personally by Japanese voters in a national election.

    Sanae Takaichi, the newly-elected leader of Japan’s ruling party, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), poses for a photo in the party leader’s office after the LDP’s internal presidential election, Oct. 4, 2025, in Tokyo, Japan.

    Yuichi Yamazaki/Pool/Getty


    A staunch supporter of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe‘s conservative vision, Takaichi is on the verge of losing her party’s long-time coalition partner, the Buddhist-backed dovish centrist Komeito, because of her ultra-conservative politics. Those include a revisionism of wartime history and regular visits to the Yasukuni Shrine, seen as a symbol of militarism.

    faces the dilemma of sticking to her ideology and losing the coalition partner or shifting to the center, which would lose her fans of her hawkish politics.

    The LDP and opposition parties are currently considering convening the parliament in mid-October to formally elect a new prime minister.

    Takaichi is likely to be Japan’s leader because the LDP, even without a majority in either house of parliament following consecutive election losses, is still by far the largest in the lower house, which decides the national leader, and because opposition groups are highly splintered.

    She will need to address rising prices to restore support for the struggling party.

    She also faces another big test when she hosts a possible summit later this month with Mr. Trump as his trip to Asia to attend international conferences is planned.

    In her first press conference Saturday as LDP leader, Takaichi vowed to ensure strengthening of the Japan-U.S. alliance as essential to her country’s diplomacy and security, while also seeking to expand trilateral partnerships including South Korea, Australia and the Philippines.

    Takaichi said she will honor the tariffs and investment agreements between the government of the current prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba and the Trump administration.

    One of Takaichi’s most urgent tasks is to secure cooperation from the opposition. The LDP seeks to expand its current coalition with the moderate centrist Komeito to include at least one of the key opposition parties, which are center-right.

    But instead of finding a third partner, Takaichi is on the verge of losing Komeito, which is critical of her regular visits to the Yasukuni Shrine and her recent emphasis on stricter measures against the growing foreign population in Japan.

    In a rare move that shakes their 26-year-partnership, Komeito leader Tetsuo Saito told Takaichi on Saturday that his party has “big worry and concern” about her positions and would not stay in the coalition unless these positions are dropped.

    As new party president, Takaichi’s first job is to decide a lineup of top LDP party posts, which she is expected to announce Tuesday.

    Takaichi has turned to the LDP’s most powerful kingmaker and former prime minister Taro Aso, a conservative who backed her and reportedly influenced Saturday’s party vote. She is expected to appoint him as deputy prime minister and name his brother-in-law and former Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki as party secretary general.

    Aso on Monday met with a senior official of the key opposition Democratic Party for the People about possible cooperation. Another opposition party, Japan Innovation Party, or Ishin no Kai, had been open to a coalition under Agriculture Minister Shinjiro Koizumi, who lost to Takaichi in Saturday’s runoff vote, but that is now up in the air.

    Political watchers say Takaichi is considering appointing those who voted for her in the runoff as a reward. Among them is Toshimitsu Motegi, who is close to Aso and has served in key ministerial posts including as foreign and trade ministers. He is being considered for the position of top diplomat.

    Takaichi has also suggested appointing a number of former Abe faction lawmakers implicated in slush funds and other scandals to senior posts, despite public criticism over the party’s lack of reform measures and subsequent election losses.

    Yoshihiko Noda, head of the largest opposition, centrist Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, criticized the idea, calling it “totally unthinkable.”

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  • Japan LDP Chief Takaichi to Appoint Motegi as Foreign Minister, Asahi Newspaper Says

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    TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party chief Sanae Takaichi has finalised a plan to appoint former party secretary general Toshimitsu Motegi as foreign minister following her appointment as prime minister, Asahi newspaper reported on Monday.

    Takaichi will also name former defence minister Minoru Kihara as chief cabinet secretary, the newspaper said, citing a source close to Takaichi.

    The LDP picked hardline conservative Takaichi as its head on Saturday, putting her on course to become the country’s first female premier.

    (Reporting by Satoshi Sugiyama; Editing by Edmund Klamann)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

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  • North Korea’s Kim Says Country Will Develop Additional Military Measures – KCNA

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    SEOUL (Reuters) -North Korean leader Kim Jong Un said Pyongyang has allocated strategic assets to respond to the buildup of U.S. military forces in the south and vowed to develop additional military measures, the state media KCNA reported on Sunday.

    Kim spoke at a military exhibition event ahead of the 80th anniversary of the founding of the Workers’ Party of Korea, the KCNA said.

    (Reporting by Cynthia Kim in Seoul)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

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  • Japan’s ruling party has elected Sanae Takaichi as new leader, and she’s likely to become country’s first female prime minister

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    Japan’s governing party on Saturday elected former Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi, a hard-line ultra-conservative and China hawk, as its new leader, making her likely to become the country’s first female prime minister.

    In a country that ranks poorly internationally for gender equality, the 64-year-old Takaichi makes history as the first female leader of Japan’s long-governing conservative Liberal Democratic Party. Takaichi is one of the most conservative members of the male-dominated party.

    An admirer of former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, Takaichi is a protege of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s ultra-conservative vision and a regular at the Yasukuni Shrine, seen as a symbol of Japan’s wartime militarism, which could complicate Tokyo’s relations with its Asian neighbors.

    Takaichi beat Agriculture Minister Shinjiro Koizumi, the son of popular former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, in a runoff in a vote by the LDP on Saturday.

    Takaichi replaces Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba as the party hopes to regain public support and stay in power after major election losses.

    She is likely to be Japan’s next prime minister because the party remains by far the largest in the lower house, which determines the national leader, and because opposition groups are highly splintered.

    Former Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi, center, stands as Takaichi was chosen to a new leader of Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party during the party’s leadership election in Tokyo, Japan, Saturday, Oct. 4, 2025. (Kyodo News via AP)

    AP


    Takaichi hopes to strengthen U.S.-Japan alliance

    Takaichi later said she will immediately work on stemming rising prices, while also focusing on diplomatic and security challenges.

    A parliamentary vote is expected in mid-October. The LDP, which has been criticized by opposition leaders for creating a prolonged political vacuum, said Takaichi needs to hurry because the winner will soon face a diplomatic test: a possible summit with U.S. President Donald Trump, who could demand that Japan increase its defense spending.

    A meeting is reportedly being planned for late October. Trump will travel to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea starting Oct. 31.

    Takaichi said ensuring the Japan-U.S. alliance is her top diplomatic priority.

    “It is essential to … confirm the reinforcement of the Japan-U.S. alliance,” she said. Takaichi stressed the importance of their cooperation through three-way frameworks that also include regional partners such as South Korea, Australia and the Philippines, pledging Japan’s greater role in achieving a free and open Indo-Pacific.

    She said she respects all tariffs and investment agreements struck between Tokyo and Washington under the Ishiba government.

    Takaichi tackling domestic challenges

    The LDP, whose consecutive losses in parliamentary elections in the past year have left it in the minority in both houses, needs its new leader to quickly bring back voter confidence and stability and to address challenges in and outside Japan. Takaichi will also need cooperation from key opposition groups to implement her party’s policies.

    Ishiba, who achieved a 15% tariff deal with Washington and put Japan’s ties with South Korea and other Asian countries on track during his one-year stint, said “I hope the LDP will band together under new (party) president Takaichi to serve for the country and the people, as well as the world and for the new era.”

    Ishiba, a centrist known as archrival of Abe, was virtually forced into resigning by ultra-conservative wings in the party.

    5 candidates for the job

    Five candidates, two currently serving and three former ministers, vied for the LDP presidency.

    Saturday’s vote only involved 295 LDP parliamentarians and about 1 million dues-paying members. It only reflected 1% of the Japanese public.

    The LDP’s choice of Takaichi, instead of the more centrist-to-liberal Koizumi, apparently underscores the party’s hope to win back conservative voters who supported emerging far-right groups such as Sanseito in the July parliamentary election.

    But the LDP also needs help from the opposition, which it has long neglected. The party will likely look to expand its current coalition with the moderate centrist Komeito with at least one of the key opposition parties, which are more centrist.

    Takaichi supports fiscal spending for growth

    Takaichi, like other candidate,s called herself a “moderate conservative” during the run-up to the election to show their willingness to work with the opposition and stayed away from stressing her opposition to liberal social issues or anti-China policies.

    Takaichi on Saturday said the Yasukuni issue should not be a diplomatic issue and that she will think about how she can “pay respect to the war dead and pray for peace.”

    She supports bigger fiscal spending for growth, a stronger military and cybersecurity, as well as tougher regulations on increasing foreign tourists and laborers. She was criticized for citing unconfirmed reports to slam foreigners for kicking deer in Nara, her hometown, and saying many foreign law offenders escaped indictments due to a shortage of translators.

    Experts say candidates avoided discussing their usual political views on historical issues, same-sex marriage and other contentious topics, including the party’s political funds scandal, which was the biggest reason for their election losses, and anti-corruption measures. Their avoidance of these subjects raised doubts over the party’s ability to regain public trust, analysts said.

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  • Japan’s Takaichi Vows Nordic Levels of Women in Cabinet. Can She Deliver?

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    TOKYO (Reuters) -In her campaign to become Japan’s first female prime minister, Sanae Takaichi made a bold promise to narrow the country’s wide gender gap in politics and lift the number of women in cabinet to a par with socially progressive Nordic countries.

    Now that she has shattered the glass ceiling to be chosen leader of the ruling party on Saturday – setting her on course to emulate her hero Margaret Thatcher, Britain’s first female premier – Takaichi must try to deliver on promises her party has struggled to keep.

    “The emergence of a single female leader alone may not drastically improve women’s standing in politics,” said Tohko Tanaka, a gender studies professor at the University of Tokyo, noting it was 26 years after Thatcher’s premiership before Britain had its second female leader, Theresa May.

    FEW WOMEN LAWMAKERS FOR TAKAICHI CABINET

    Japan’s next prime minister “must tackle gender issues with a long-term perspective, amid severe labour shortages and the alarmingly inadequate inclusion of women,” Tanaka said.

    Japan ranked 118 out of 148 countries in the World Economic Forum’s latest Global Gender Gap Report, the lowest among the Group of Seven industrial powers.

    While gender equality was not a top issue in the Liberal Democratic Party’s election campaign that focused on tackling inflation and rule-breaking foreigners, Takaichi’s promises to form a cabinet with women’s representation “not particularly lower than Nordic countries” stood out.

    “I wouldn’t appoint women just because they’re women,” she told a party rally last week. “But the plan is to pick far more women who are capable and willing to serve the nation.”

    Just 10% of outgoing Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s 20 cabinet members are women, while its highest female representation was just above a quarter. Nordic governments range from Denmark’s 36% to Finland’s 61% female ministers.

    To fill her cabinet, Takaichi has a relatively small pool of female lawmakers to draw from, although non-politicians are allowed to head government ministries. Only 13% of the LDP’s lawmakers across both houses are women, well short of the party’s target of 30% by 2033 – a goal already trailing a government target.

    Past initiatives to close Japan’s gender gap have delivered mixed results.

    Former premier Shinzo Abe, Takaichi’s mentor, pulled more women into the workforce through his “womenomics” initiatives, but critics say progress has been too slow, especially for executive roles.

    In 2020, the government pushed back its deadline of having women in at least 30% of leadership posts across society by a decade to 2030.

    Takaichi also proposes measures such as establishing women’s health centres nationwide, but her broader conservative policies have damaged her support among some women, polls show.

    For example, she has defended legal restrictions that married couples must use a single surname, which in practice means wives overwhelmingly take their husbands’ names and which critics say disproportionately affects women’s careers. Conservatives regard the current law as indispensable to family unity.

    The centre-right LDP faces a challenge from Sanseito, an upstart far-right party whose leader has criticised gender equality policies for contributing to Japan’s record-low birthrate, a claim resonating in some anti-establishment movements globally.

    (Reporting by Kantaro Komiya in Tokyo; Additional reporting by Louise Rasmussen in Copenhagen; Editing by John Geddie and William Mallard)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

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  • Hotel Chinzanso Tokyo Offers Tea Ceremony in 150-Year-Old Garden

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    Guests can now choose to wear traditional kimono during the ceremony, held in the historic Zangetsu tea house in the heart of Tokyo.

    Hotel Chinzanso Tokyo, known for its heritage-rich setting and immersive cultural offerings, invites guests to experience an authentic Japanese tea ceremony. Set within a 150-year-old garden and guided by trained tea masters, the program offers access to the centuries-old ritual of chanoyu (tea ceremony). As a recent enhancement, participants can also choose an optional kimono dressing service.

    Guests are greeted by a tea master in the hotel lobby and guided through the property’s historic garden to the Zangetsu tea house, a registered tangible cultural property. Once inside, they are welcomed as shokyaku – the principal guests in a formal tea ceremony.

    In addition to receiving traditional sweets and freshly prepared matcha, participants are invited to take on the role of the host by learning how to prepare tea themselves. This dual perspective allows for a deeper understanding of the ritual and its principles of respect, purity, tranquility, and harmony.

    What sets this experience apart from others offered in Tokyo is the setting. The tea ceremony takes place within the hotel’s expansive garden, which has a history spanning more than 150 years. It is home to several cultural landmarks including a three-story pagoda, a shrine, and a sacred tree.

    “This offering reflects our ongoing mission to preserve and share Japan’s cultural heritage in meaningful ways,” says Tomohiko Chihiro, General Manager of Hotel Chinzanso Tokyo. “Through our tea ceremony experience, we invite guests to experience Japanese tradition hands-on, not only as observers, but also as active participants.”

    The experience is open to both overnight guests and day visitors. English-speaking support is available, and advance reservations are required. The optional kimono dressing service is offered on-site, allowing visitors to arrive in everyday clothing and change into traditional wear before the ceremony.

    The tea ceremony is part of a series of other cultural programming at Hotel Chinzanso Tokyo, which includes kaiseki dining and the Tokyo Sea of Clouds garden attraction.

    To learn more or make a reservation, please visit:
    https://hotel-chinzanso-tokyo.com/garden/activity/

    About Hotel Chinzanso Tokyo

    Hotel Chinzanso Tokyo is one of the city’s most iconic luxury hotels with over 70 years of history. The property includes 265 guest rooms/suites, eight restaurants, an executive lounge, 38 meeting/banquet rooms, and a full-service spa with a Japanese onsen. Its award-winning garden has a wide variety of botanicals, including more than 100 cherry trees and 1,000 camellia trees. The standout feature of the garden is the ‘Tokyo Sea of Clouds,’ a recreation of the natural phenomenon that can usually only be found in the mountainous regions of Japan. The hotel is owned and managed by Fujita Kanko Inc., a publicly-traded tourism industry corporation headquartered in Tokyo.

    For more information, please visit: https://hotel-chinzanso-tokyo.com/

    Source: Hotel Chinzanso Tokyo

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  • South Korea’s Lee, Outgoing Japan PM Ishiba Hold Talks on Better Ties, US Trade Deals

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    SEOUL (Reuters) -South Korean President Lee Jae Myung hosts outgoing Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba on Tuesday on a goodwill visit aimed at highlighting the two countries’ commitment to improve once-frosty ties and cooperate more closely on trade.

    Lee has engaged with Japan on security and trade issues, continuing his predecessor’s policy of cautious rapprochement after years of tension over Japan’s wartime history.

    Ishiba, whose Liberal Democratic Party is set to pick a new leader on October 4 who will likely become prime minister, is scheduled to visit South Korea for two days and meet Lee in the southern city of Busan.

    Ishiba is a unique figure in the Japanese ruling party and South Korea looked forward to his continued role to help bilateral ties after he stepped down, Lee’s national security adviser, Wi Sung-lac, told a briefing on Monday.

    The two leaders were also expected to compare notes on their respective trade negotiations with the United States to lower tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, Wi said.

    Japan has reached a framework deal with Trump who has signed an executive order formalising the agreement to lower tariffs on Japanese products to 15% including on autos.

    But many issues remain to be ironed out including Japan’s pledge of $550 billion in investment in U.S. industry and further actions threatened by Trump on pharmaceutical and semiconductor imports worldwide.

    South Korea’s Lee made a handshake-deal with Trump during his visit to Washington in August but follow-up talks to finalise the trade agreement remain deadlocked, mostly over the details of $350 billion in investments pledged by South Korea.

    South Korea has said that amount, if made in an upfront cash outlay as suggested by Trump, could trigger a financial crisis for Asia’s fourth-largest economy.

    Lee previously held a summit meeting with Ishiba in August just ahead of his U.S. visit.

    (Reporting by Jack Kim; Editing by Stephen Coates)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

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  • Japan Protests China’s Ocean Research in Exclusive Economic Zone

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    TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan lodged a protest with China to stop ocean research activities in Japan’s exclusive economic zones (EEZ) after spotting a Chinese vessel in the country’s southwest, chief cabinet secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi said on Monday.

    Japan’s Coast Guard found the Chinese ship “Xiang Yang Hong 22” extending a wire-like object into in the ocean in the Japanese EEZ about 379 kilometers (235 miles) west of the island of Amami Oshima early on Sunday morning, Hayashi said.

    “We protested to the Chinese government that conducting marine scientific research in the zone without Japan’s consent was unacceptable,” said Hayashi, the top Japanese government spokesperson. He added that the Chinese ship left the waters and moved westward about three hours later.

    Tokyo and Beijing face a territorial dispute over a group of Japanese-administered islands in the East China Sea, called the Senkaku in Japan and Diaoyu in China.

    (Reporting by Kantaro Komiya; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

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  • Shares Cautious in Asia as US Government Faces Shutdown Risk

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    SYDNEY (Reuters) -Share markets got off to a cautious start in Asia on Monday as investors braced for a possible shutdown of the U.S. government, which would in turn delay publication of the September payrolls report and a raft of other key data.

    President Donald Trump will meet with the top Democratic and Republican leaders in Congress later on Monday to discuss extending government funding. Without a deal a shutdown would begin from Wednesday, which is also when new U.S. tariffs on heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals and other items go into effect.

    A protracted closure could leave the Federal Reserve flying blind on the economy when it meets on October 29.

    “If the shutdown lasts beyond the Fed meeting, the Fed will rely on private data for its policy decisions,” analysts at BofA wrote in a note. “On the margin, we think this may lower the likelihood of an October cut, but only marginally.”

    Markets imply a 90% chance of a Fed cut in October, with around a 65% probability of another in December.

    The BofA analysts estimated a shutdown would subtract only a slight 0.1% percentage point from economic growth for every week it lasted, while noting the impact on financial markets had been minimal in the past.

    They cautioned that should the government use the closure to lay off workers permanently, then it could have a more meaningful impact on payrolls and consumer confidence.

    There is also much uncertainty about what might happen at a meeting of U.S. generals and admirals in Quantico, Virginia, on Tuesday, called by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth which Trump will reportedly attend.

    Q4 USUALLY GOOD FOR STOCKS

    Otherwise, analysts expected equities to be supported by buying for the new quarter which historically tends to be a positive one for stocks. The S&P 500 has gained 74% of the time in the fourth quarters.

    S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both up 0.2%, having eased modestly last week.

    EUROSTOXX 50 futures added 0.3%, as did FTSE futures and DAX futures.

    Japan’s Nikkei slipped 0.7%, having risen 6% for September so far, while South Korea bounced 1.2%, bringing its gains for the month to 6.3%.

    MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan firmed 0.4%, to be up almost 4% for the month.

    In bond markets, Treasuries found support at 4.17% having been pressured last week by a run of upbeat U.S. economic data, that led investors to pare back expectations for how low Fed rates might ultimately go.

    A host of central bank speakers are on the diary this week, with at least four from the Fed and the European Central Bank appearing on Monday alone.

    The dollar index was steady at 98.134 having benefited from the batch of better economic news last week. The euro held at $1.1708, in the lower half of its recent $1.1646 to $1.1918 range.

    The dollar stood at 149.49 yen, after rallying just over 1% last week and away from the September low around 145.50.

    In commodity markets, gold was holding just below a record high at $3,764 an ounce. [GOL/]

    Oil prices slipped as crude started to flow through a pipeline from the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region in northern Iraq to Turkey for the first time in 2-1/2 years. [O/R]

    Reuters reported OPEC+ will likely approve another oil production increase of at least 137,000 barrels per day at its meeting next Sunday.

    Brent dropped 0.8% to $69.57 a barrel, while U.S. crude eased 0.9% to $65.14 per barrel.

    (Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

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  • All bark, no bite: Trump’s latest trade war turns into another TACO salad for Wall Street | Fortune

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    When President Donald Trump made his “Liberation Day” speech on April 2, announcing sweeping tariffs across a range of sectors, markets reacted sharply. Investors feared a replay of the disruptive trade battles of his first term, and stocks dropped as they tried to assess how new levies might ripple through global supply chains.

    But six months on, the story looks different. Much of the initial panic has faded, replaced by recognition that the real economic impact of Trump’s tariffs has been softened by carve-outs, negotiated deals, and exemptions. In fact, stocks snapped out of a multi-day losing streak on Friday, reacting almost with disregard to the latest surprise from Trump’s social media account.

    Now, as Trump tries to reignite the trade war with an overnight announcement of a slew of tariffs, including a 100% tariff on branded and patented pharmaceuticals and a 50% tariffs on furniture imports, markets are barely reacting. 

    Michael Browne, global investment strategist at Franklin Templeton, said that the markets regard tariffs as “over.”

    “The real level of tariffs is much lower, which is one of the reasons the impact has been muted,” Browne told The Financial Times.

    The other reason could be that consumers have proven far more resilient to higher prices than economists once expected.

    Pharma scare eases quickly

    At first, the news rattled European and Asian drugmakers. Zealand Pharma dropped nearly 3%, Novo Nordisk lost 1.6%, and India’s Sun Pharmaceutical and Divi’s Laboratories fell more than 3% in early trading. The Stoxx 600 Healthcare index swung between gains and losses before closing flat.

    Yet European equities as a whole closed higher, underscoring how investors now discount Trump’s tariff announcements. 

    The pan-European Stoxx 600 finished the day up 0.8%, with the CAC 40 in Paris up 0.97%, the DAX in Frankfurt up 0.87%, and Madrid’s IBEX 35 leading gains with a 1.3% rise.

    JPMorgan strategists quickly told clients the pharma tariff was “largely avoidable” for companies that expand U.S. manufacturing. 

    “We continue to see a very manageable overall impact from tariffs to our large-cap coverage,” the note said, according to CNBC.

    The resilience reflects the numerous carveouts from the pharma tariffs. Generics — which account for nine out of ten U.S. prescriptions — are excluded from the new levies. A U.S.–EU trade agreement limits duties on most European drug exports to 15%. And companies actively investing in U.S. manufacturing, such as Eli Lilly, AstraZeneca, Roche, GSK, and Amgen, are exempt as soon as they break ground on new facilities.

    Analysts were quick to highlight those caveats.

    “Many large-cap biopharmaceutical companies should not be exposed because they are engaged in some sort of U.S. facility construction activity,” Leerink Partners’ David Risinger told BioPharma Dive.

    The White House pushed back on the “carve-out” framing, saying these are Section 232 national-security tariffs aimed at reshoring critical manufacturing.

    The exemptions for companies “building” U.S. plants are temporary, intended to give firms runway to relocate production without immediately hiking prices, spokesperson Kush Desai told Fortune. He added that the 15% caps on many European (and Japanese) pharma exports reflect broader trade agreements that included “significant concessions that favor the U.S.,” not a softening of the tariff stance.

    Resilient consumers 

    For investors, the reaction was familiar. Initial volatility gave way to a recognition that tariffs rarely land as broadly as advertised. 

    Imports account for only around 10% of the U.S. economy, giving businesses and consumers room to adjust. Many companies stocked up on goods ahead of deadlines, while others shifted to alternative suppliers.

    “It may be that inflation comes through, but there is no sign of that yet,” Browne told Financial Times.

    The muted market response also reflects a larger truth: consumers have been much more resilient than most economists expected. Commerce Department data released Thursday showed the U.S. economy grew at a 3.8% annual pace last quarter, its strongest stretch since 2023, powered by robust household spending and business investment.

    Economists note that Americans’ willingness to keep shopping, even amid high borrowing costs, has repeatedly surprised forecasters.

    As Boston wealth manager Gina Bolvin put it, the real lesson may be that “don’t fight the Fed” has become “don’t fight the U.S. consumer.”

    TACO

    Markets’ calm also reflects a trade they’ve come to rely on — what analysts call the TACO trade (Trump Always Chickens Out). After April’s “Liberation Day” shock, investors assumed Trump would follow his familiar pattern: issue sweeping tariff threats, then pull back once markets started to wobble. That confidence helped stocks rebound to record highs.

    Exemptions have reinforced that bet. The effective average tariff rate has stayed well below headline figures, thanks to carve-outs fand exemptions for companies breaking ground on U.S. plants.

    Economists caution that tariffs often take months to ripple through supply chains, so some price pressure could still emerge later this year. But so far, inflation data has remained stable, undercutting predictions that trade policy would deliver a consumer shock.

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    Eva Roytburg

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