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Tag: Jamie Dimon

  • A hard-landing recession is guaranteed as the full impact of Fed rate hikes have yet to hit the economy, Morgan Stanley’s chief economist says

    A hard-landing recession is guaranteed as the full impact of Fed rate hikes have yet to hit the economy, Morgan Stanley’s chief economist says

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    • A hard landing is guaranteed for the US Morgan Stanley’s chief US economist.

    • That’s because the full impacts of Fed tightening haven’t been fully felt in the economy.

    • It could take 18 months after the last rate hike to feel the full weight of higher rates, economists say.

    A hard-landing recession is certain to come for the economy, and high rates are to blame even as markets start positioning for the Federal Reserve to loosen monetary policy this year, according to Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley’s chief  US economist.

    Speaking to CNBC on Monday, Zentner pointed to Jamie Dimon’s recent comments on the economy, where the JPMorgan boss warned that the chance of a soft landing was about half of the 70%-80% odds other forecasters were predicting. That’s due to a number of risks still facing the US, including the Fed’s tightening regime, geopolitical conflict, and interest rates, which central bankers have said could remain higher for longer.

    Zentner is expecting the US to avoid a recession this year, as there’s no data to support a soon-to-come downturn. But a hard-landing is unavoidable she warned.

    “We will have a hard landing at some point. I guarantee you that. We’re all wondering when does that come,” she said. “The point that Dimon makes is that there are these cumulative impacts that build over time, and we are in the camp that we haven’t seen all of the tightening impacts of monetary policy,” she added, referring to the impact of Fed rate hikes.

    Fed officials raised interest rates a whopping 525 basis points in 18 months to tame inflation, a move that’s taken borrowing costs in the economy to their highest level since 2001.

    Economists have warned high interest rates could spark a recession as financial conditions become restrictive, and the full impact of rate hikes likely hasn’t been felt, as they typically take around 18 months to fully work their way through the economy.

    Signs of stress are beginning to show in parts of the financial system. Corporate defaults soared last year to their highest level since the pandemic, according to Moody’s Analytics. Bank lending has fallen for three straight quarters, according to Fed data.

    Still, signs point to the Fed keeping interest rates elevated as it keeps an eye on inflation. Consumer prices came in hotter than expected last month, with inflation rising 3.1% year-over year in January.

    Inflation will likely reaccelerate over the first quarter, Zentner predicted, pointing to the 3.9% growth in core inflation last month. That re-acceleration could show up in the next consumer price index report, which markets are expecting later this week.

    “We do expect inflation acceleration to be temporary, but that is an open question,” Zentner said, adding that markets may now have to consider Fed rate cuts pushed beyond mid-year.

    Investors had been pricing in ambitious rate cuts to come in 2024, but many forecasters have dialed back their expectations amid hot inflation data. Markets are now pricing in a 39% chance that the Fed could lower rates by 100 basis points or more by the end of the year, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

    Read the original article on Business Insider

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  • Jamie Dimon is unfazed by the $36 billion Capital One-Discover merger that could leapfrog JPMorgan: ‘Let them compete’

    Jamie Dimon is unfazed by the $36 billion Capital One-Discover merger that could leapfrog JPMorgan: ‘Let them compete’

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    The finance behemoth created by Capital One’s pending merger with Discover would immediately surpass credit card leader JP Morgan Chase, but CEO Jamie Dimon isn’t worried about the competition—he relishes it.

    “Let them compete, let them try,” he said in a Monday interview with CNBC. 

    Regulators should allow the merger to go through and let the market hash out the rest, he said. Despite the deal’s threat to his own company, the long-time finance industry veteran said he was “not worried about it really.” 

    Yet, Capital One’s $35 billion acquisition of Discover would allow it to supplant JP Morgan Chase as the largest credit card issuer in the country, and give it access to the lucrative fees Discover’s network charges to facilitate transactions with merchants. It would also allow Capital One to cut costs by shifting some debit and credit transactions to Discover’s payments network.

    When asked about the implications of JP Morgan being replaced as the top credit card issuer, Dimon said that would only be the case, “for now.” 

    Still, he added that if the deal went through it would give Capital One an unfair advantage when it comes to debit cards.

    Thanks to an exception in the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act created for companies like Discover and American Express that issue credit cards and deal directly with merchants, post-merger, Capital One would be allowed to jack up the fees charged to merchants to use Discover debit cards while banks like JP Morgan are more limited due to the law.

    “Of course I have a problem with that,” Dimon said. “Why should they be allowed to price debit different than we price debit just because of a law that was passed?”

    Showing no fear of competition, Dimon added that regulators shouldn’t stand in the way of more mergers in the financial sector.

    “I think they should allow some of these smaller banks to merge,” he said. “If that’s how they think they can best compete with JP Morgan, you should let them.”

    But while JP Morgan’s top boss seems fine with the tie-up of Capital One and Discover, lawmakers are fiercely opposed to the proposal. On Sunday, 13 Democrats led by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) signed an open letter urging President Biden to block the deal because it would be bad for consumers. On the other side of the aisle, last week Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) also came out against the deal in a letter to Assistant Attorney General Jonathan Kanter, who leads the antitrust division. 

    Jamie Dimon’s career

    The 67-year-old’s long track record of success at the helm of JP Morgan shows why he’s not worried about the threat of Capital One’s tie-up with Discover. 

    Dimon is well versed in financial industry acquisitions. His tenure at JP Morgan itself came about as a result of the bank’s merger with Bank One Corporation, where he was chairman and CEO. And before that he helped guide several acquisitions as chief financial officer and later president of Commercial Credit, including its acquisition of Traveler’s Group in 1993. He served as president of Citigroup after the $70 billion merger between Travelers Group and Citicorp. in 1998.

    After becoming CEO of JP Morgan in 2006, Dimon helped navigate the bank through the 2008 financial crisis, offloading billions of dollars of subprime mortgages that allowed the company to weather the turmoil better than other competitors.

    More recently, Dimon led JP Morgan to its seventh consecutive quarter of record net interest income and clinched the title for the most profitable year on record for a U.S. bank in 2023.

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    Marco Quiroz-Gutierrez

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  • Jamie Dimon Fast Facts | CNN

    Jamie Dimon Fast Facts | CNN

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    CNN
     — 

    Here is a look at the life of Jamie Dimon, chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co.

    Birth date: March 13, 1956

    Birth place: New York, New York

    Birth name: James Dimon

    Father: Theodore Dimon, stockbroker

    Mother: Themis Dimon

    Marriage: Judith “Judy” (Kent) Dimon (May 1983-present)

    Children: Julia, Laura and Kara Leigh

    Education: Tufts University, B.A. 1978; Harvard University, M.B.A., 1982

    He has a twin brother, Theodore Dimon Jr., who is the founder of the Dimon Institute in New York.

    1982-1985 – Assistant to American Express president Sandy Weill.

    1996-1997 Chairman and CEO of Smith Barney.

    1997-1998Co-chairman and co-CEO of Salomon Smith Barney Holdings.

    1998 – President of Citigroup. Dimon is forced out of the company after a falling-out with Weill.

    2000-2004 Chairman and CEO of Bank One Corporation.

    2004Becomes president and chief operating officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co. when it merges with Bank One Corporation.

    December 31, 2005Assumes title of chief executive officer and president at JPMorgan Chase & Co., effective January 1, 2006.

    December 31, 2006 Named chairman of the board at JPMorgan Chase & Co., effective January 1, 2007.

    2011 Earned $23.1 million in compensation as chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co., making him the best paid bank CEO.

    May 10, 2012On a conference call, reveals that a trading portfolio that was designed to help JPMorgan Chase hedge its credit risk lost $2 billion and could lose $1 billion more.

    May 15, 2012Apologizes to JPMorgan Chase shareholders at the annual meeting. Shareholders approve Dimon’s $23 million pay package and preliminary results show that only 40% support a proposal that calls for the appointment of an independent chairman.

    May 17, 2012Senate Banking Committee announces Dimon has been invited to appear before the committee at hearings looking into the JP Morgan trading losses from a regulatory angle.

    June 13, 2012 Dimon testifies before the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee telling senators that while he did not approve the trades that led to the multi-billion dollar loss, he was aware of it.

    June 19, 2012Dimon testifies before the House Financial Services Committee and says that he did not mislead shareholders.

    July 13, 2012JPMorgan announces that the trading loss originally believed to be $2 billion is now approximately $5.8 billion. JPMorgan later discloses that the loss increased to $6.2 billion in the third quarter.

    2012 Due to the London Whale losses, Dimon’s pay package is reduced to $11.5 million, down from the previous year’s $23.1 million.

    January 23, 2013Dimon apologizes to the shareholders by stating that the “whale” trade that caused the $6 billion loss was a “terrible mistake.”

    May 21, 2013 Approximately 68% of JPMorgan Chase stockholders vote to keep Dimon as chairman and CEO at the annual meeting, but three directors on the risk committee receive a narrow majority of only between 51% and 59% of votes.

    September 19, 2013 – JPMorgan Chase agrees to pay about $920 million in fines to US and UK regulators to settle charges related to the “London Whale” trading scandal.

    November 19, 2013 – Officials announce JPMorgan Chase has agreed to a $13 billion settlement to resolve several investigations into the bank’s mortgage securities business. According to the Justice Department, the deal is the “the largest settlement with a single entity in American history.”

    January 24, 2014 – Dimon gets a 74% pay hike for 2013, even though JPMorgan Chase & Co was forced to pay billions in fines and settlements last year. In a government filing, JPMorgan Chase says that Dimon will receive $18.5 million worth of restricted stock that will vest over the next three years as his 2013 bonus. That’s up from a $10 million bonus for 2012. His $1.5 million base salary remains unchanged.

    July 1, 2014 – Dimon releases a memo saying that he has been diagnosed with a curable throat cancer. He will receive radiation and chemotherapy treatment over the next eight weeks at Memorial Sloan Kettering Hospital in New York, but will remain working while undergoing treatment.

    February 11, 2016 – After the price of JPMorgan Chase shares drop 25% from their all-time high during the summer, Dimon purchases $26.6 million in stock.

    January 30, 2018 – Announces, along with Warren Buffett and Jeff Bezos, a plan to “find a more efficient and transparent way to provide health care services” in order to tackle the rising cost of healthcare.

    March 5, 2020 – In a letter to employees, shareholders and clients, JPMorgan Chase’s co-COOs Gordon Smith and Daniel Pinto announce that Dimon is recovering after undergoing emergency heart surgery. Dimon required surgery after experiencing an “acute aortic dissection,” a tear in the inner lining of the aorta blood vessel.

    July 20, 2021 – According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, JPMorgan Chase awards Dimon 1.5 million stock options for him “to continue to lead the Firm for a further significant number of years.”

    February 22, 2024 – SEC filings show that Dimon has sold $150 million worth of JPMorgan Chase stock.

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  • Jamie Dimon is ‘cautious about everything’ as he sees risks to a soft landing

    Jamie Dimon is ‘cautious about everything’ as he sees risks to a soft landing

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    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon thinks there’s a better-than-even chance that the U.S. is heading for a recession, though he doesn’t see systemic issues looming.

    Speaking Monday from the JPMorgan High Yield and Leveraged Finance Conference in Miami, the head of the largest U.S. bank by assets said markets probably aren’t pricing in a strong enough probability that interest rates could stay higher for longer.

    Dimon noted “there are things out there which are kind of concerning,” and he disagreed with the high level of probability being assigned to the economy missing a recession.

    “The market is kind of pricing in a soft landing. That may very well happen,” he told CNBC’s Leslie Picker. “But the [market’s] odds are 70 to 80 percent. I’ll give you half that, that’s all.”

    The comments come as the market indeed has had to reprice its expectations for monetary policy. Where futures traders earlier in the year had been assigning a high probability to an aggressive series of interest rate cuts starting in March, they now see the easing not starting until June or July, with three cuts now priced in — half of the prior expectations.

    Along with the elevated rates, markets have had to contend with the Federal Reserve rolling off its bond holdings, a process known as quantitative tightening. While the central bank is expected to start tapering the program soon, it remains another factor in tight monetary policy.

    “It’s always a mistake to look at just the year,” Dimon said. “All these factors we talked about: QT, fiscal spending deficits, the geopolitics, those things may play out over multiple years. But they will play out and they will have an effect and in my mind I’m just kind of cautious about everything.”

    However, Dimon said he doesn’t expect a replay of some of the other serious downturns the U.S. economy has faced, such as the 2008 financial crisis that saw Wall Street plunge as banks were hit with fallout from the subprime mortgage industry collapse.

    Higher interest rates along with a recession could hit areas such as commercial real estate and regional banks hard, but with limited macroeconomic impacts, Dimon said.

    “If we have a recession, yes, it’ll get worse. If we don’t have recession, I think most people will be able to muddle through this,” he said. “Part of this is just a normalization process. [Rates] were so low for so long. If rates go up, and we have recession, there will be real estate problems, and some banks will have a much bigger real estate problem than others.”

    As far as regional banks go, he labeled issues that hit institutions such as Silicon Valley Bank and New York Community Bank as “idiosyncratic” and said private credit could take hit but not at a systemic level.

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  • JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says AI is not just hype — ‘This is real’

    JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says AI is not just hype — ‘This is real’

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    The burgeoning artificial intelligence tools from companies such as OpenAI still have their share of skeptics, but don’t count JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon among them.

    The Wall Street titan told CNBC’s Leslie Picker on Monday that AI is not just a passing fad and is bigger than just the large language models such as Chat GPT. He compared the current moment favorably to the tech bubble around the start of the 21st century, when investor excitement seemingly got ahead of the actual changes.

    “This is not hype. This is real. When we had the internet bubble the first time around … that was hype. This is not hype. It’s real,” Dimon said. “People are deploying it at different speeds, but it will handle a tremendous amount of stuff.”

    JPMorgan has done work on the ability to use the new technologies internally, with Dimon saying that AI will eventually “be used in almost every job.” JPMorgan created a new role of chief data and analytics officer last year, in part to handle AI.

    Dimon said Monday that there are 200 people at JPMorgan doing research on the large language models that have recently been rolled out by tech companies.

    While acknowledging that AI can be used by bad actors, Dimon called himself a “big optimist” about the emerging technology, mentioning cybersecurity and pharmaceutical research as areas where it can be helpful.

    “It may invent cancer cures because it can do things that the human mind simply cannot do,” Dimon said.

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  • Jamie Dimon on Capital One’s $35.3 billion Discover acquisition: ‘Let them compete’

    Jamie Dimon on Capital One’s $35.3 billion Discover acquisition: ‘Let them compete’

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    Jamie Dimon, President & CEO,Chairman & CEO JPMorgan Chase, speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 17th, 2024.

    Adam Galici | CNBC

    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon isn’t worried about the added competition from a bulked-up Capital One if its $35.3 billion takeover of Discover Financial gets approved.

    “My view is, let them compete,” Dimon said. “Let them try, and if we think it’s unfair we’ll complain about that.”

    Dimon, speaking to CNBC’s Leslie Picker from a Miami conference, acknowledged that if regulators approve the Capital One-Discover deal, his bank will be eclipsed as the nation’s biggest credit-card lender. But that didn’t stop him from praising Capital One’s CEO Richard Fairbank.

    “I’m not worried about it really, but we do track everything he does,” Dimon added.

    The deal has two major components: the credit card business and the payment network, Dimon noted.

    “The credit card business… they’ll be bigger and [have] more scale,” Dimon said. “They’re very good at it. I have enormous respect for Richard Fairbanks and Capital One.”

    It’s unclear if Capital One can create a true alternative to the dominant card networks in Visa and Mastercard with this deal, Dimon said.

    He added that Capital One will have an “unfair advantage versus us” in debit payments, owing to the fact that legislation known as the Durbin Amendment caps debit fees for large banks, but not Discover or American Express.

    “Of course, I have a problem with that,” Dimon said. “You know, like why should they be allowed to price debit different than we price debit just because of a law that was passed?”

    This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

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  • After Jeff Bezos unloaded $4 billion in Amazon stock, JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon sold $150 million in shares—a first for the banking chief

    After Jeff Bezos unloaded $4 billion in Amazon stock, JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon sold $150 million in shares—a first for the banking chief

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    JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon and his family sold $150 million worth of the bank’s stock, following through on last year’s announcement that he would begin selling shares for the first time since taking the helm 18 years ago.

    Dimon and his family sold about 822,000 shares in a series of transactions on Thursday, according to a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing. The stock, which has outperformed the broader market and peers during his tenure, is trading at a record high. 

    “Mr. Dimon continues to believe the company’s prospects are very strong and his stake in the company will remain very significant,” the company said in an October filing about his planned sales. A representative for the firm declined further comment on Friday. 

    The October announcement said Dimon planned to sell one million shares, subject to terms of a stock-trading plan. Along with his family, he continues to hold about 7.7 million shares after Thursday’s sales.

    JPMorgan was a winner among banks last year amid its deal for First Republic Bank, with its stock rallying 27% and the New York-based company posting record net interest income.

    When he took over as CEO, the stock was trading for about $40. He sold the shares on Thursday for nearly $183 a piece, as the stock had rallied roughly 30% since the October announcement that he planned to offload shares. Shares gained 0.5% on Friday.

    On Wall Street, analysts are decisively bullish on JPMorgan shares’ prospects. Two dozen hold buy-equivalent recommendations, giving it the highest consensus rating among its handful of biggest banking peers. The return potential implied by their price targets is more than 4% over the next twelve months.

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    Bre Bradham, Tom Maloney, Bloomberg

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  • After Larry Fink and Jamie Dimon’s firms bail on climate group, NYC Comptroller lets rip: ‘they are caving to climate deniers’

    After Larry Fink and Jamie Dimon’s firms bail on climate group, NYC Comptroller lets rip: ‘they are caving to climate deniers’

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    The chief financial officer who oversees New York City’s five public pension funds, with $242 billion in assets, has something to say to BlackRock CEO Larry Fink’s asset management firm and Jamie Dimon’s J.P. Morgan Asset Management: You guys are failing.

    “By caving into the demands of right-wing politicians funded by the fossil fuel industry and backing out of their commitment to Climate Action 100+, these enormous financial institutions are failing in their fiduciary duty and putting trillions of dollars of their clients’ assets at risk,” said New York City Comptroller Brad Lander in a statement. “Climate risk is financial risk. Today BlackRock, JPMorgan, and State Street are choosing to ignore both.”

    J.P. Morgan Asset Management and State Street Global Advisors pulled out of the Climate Action 100+, a spokesperson for the group confirmed to Fortune. Climate Action is a global initiative of 700 investors with more than $60 trillion in assets that engages with public companies on net-zero strategies and timelines. BlackRock withdrew as a corporate member and shifted its participation to BlackRock International a few weeks ago, the asset management firm said in a note. 

    Climate Action was founded in 2017 and focuses on 170 companies that are among the heaviest emitters of greenhouse gasses. The coalition, announcing the second phase of its strategy in June 2023, said it intended to see more targeted actions from companies on reducing their GHG emissions and wanted members to support the efforts. Phase 2 takes effect this June. 

    According to a note from BlackRock, this new phase was part of the decision to alter its participation. When the asset management firm became a signatory in 2020, the group was focused on corporate disclosures. 

    “This new strategy will require signatories to make an overarching commitment to use client assets to pursue emissions reductions in investee companies through stewardship engagement,” the note reads. “In our judgment, making this new commitment across our assets under management would raise legal considerations, particularly in the U.S.”

    Fink, between 2018 and 2023, publicly championed “social-purpose” and investing with a focus on environmental, social and governance principles in his annual letters to CEOs. But five years later in 2023 he told an audience at the Aspen Ideas Festival that he was “ashamed” that ESG had become a political issue. “When I write these letters, it was never meant to be a political statement…They were written to identify long-term issues to our long-term investors.” 

    For his part, Dimon in 2019 encouraged companies to focus on “stakeholder capitalism” which he defined as corporate leadership that considered the needs of customers, suppliers, communities and shareholders. He chaired the influential Business Roundtable, which released a statement on stakeholder capitalism that year. In 2022 he then sought to reassure the world that this did not make him “woke.”

    “I’m not woke,” he said. “And I think people are mistaking the stakeholder capitalism thing for being woke.”

    Losing the support of JPMAM, SSGA and BlackRock —with a combined $17.2 trillion in assets—significantly hampers Climate Action’s ability to pressure companies through shareholder proposals. They’ll also have less leverage in negotiations and discussions with company boards of directors, due to their decreased voting power in director elections, which typically take place annually at the largest companies.

    “Lighting Our Investments on Fire”

    Lander said the NYC funds have asset management holdings with all three firms and he chided them for being “part of the problem and not the solution.”

    “Put plainly: they are caving to climate deniers,” he said. “We can’t expect to preserve long-term value for beneficiaries when we are lighting our investments on fire. Securing strong, long-term returns requires real world decarbonization on the timeline of the Paris Accords.”

    In a statement to Fortune, SSGA, like BlackRock, said the second-phase strategy of Climate Action led to their withdrawal. 

    “After careful review, State Street Global Advisors has concluded the enhanced Climate Action 100+ Phase 2 requirements for signatories will not be consistent with our independent approach to proxy voting and portfolio company engagement,” said a spokesman. 

    A JPMAM spokesperson said in a statement that the asset management firm had made a “significant” investment in its stewardship team and engagement capabilities and had developed its own climate risk engagement framework. The fund firm said climate change continues to present material economic risks and opportunities to clients and analysts would factor it into engagements around the world.

    “The firm has built a team of 40 dedicated sustainable investing professionals, including investment stewardship specialists who also leverage one of the largest buy side research teams in the industry—with over 300 analysts globally,” said a spokesperson. 

    Focus on Fink 

    Lander specifically called out BlackRock’s Fink in his statement. Fink, in his 2020 annual letter to CEOs, wrote that climate change had become a “defining factor in companies’ long-term prospects.” Fink wrote that climate-risk evidence had compelled investors to reassess their core assumptions about modern finance.

    “Three years ago, Larry Fink declared that climate risk is financial risk, but today’s announcement makes a mockery of that recognition,” said Lander. “Putting clients who take climate risk seriously in their own small silo, while voting most of BlackRock’s shares against even the most minimal climate disclosures is a failure of both leadership and fiduciary duty.”

    The California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS), with assets valued at about $462 billion, had a similar, albeit more moderately toned, reaction. In a statement, CEO Marcie Frost said CalPERS remains “firmly committed” to Climate Action 100+.

    “The success of Climate Action 100+ depends on maintaining our collective resolve to keep doing the hard work needed in the face of an existential crisis. This work is a vital part of our fiduciary duty to the 2 million California public servants who are CalPERS members,” said Frost.

    A Climate Action spokesperson declined to comment on the individual asset management firms, but said the group is still growing and that investor members are committed to getting companies to implement climate-transition plans.

    “Last fall alone, more than 60 new signatories joined, and we expect strong interest to continue,” said the spokesperson. “Importantly, the initiative continues as intended with hundreds of global investors still committed to engaging 170 companies—in this respect, Climate Action 100+ remains the largest investor-led engagement initiative on climate change.”

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    Amanda Gerut

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  • Big banks have drastically cut overdraft fees, but customers still paid $2.2 billion last year

    Big banks have drastically cut overdraft fees, but customers still paid $2.2 billion last year

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    Pedestrians pass a JPMorgan Chase bank branch in New York.

    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    The three biggest American retail banks collected 25% less overdraft revenue last year as the companies, under pressure from regulators to cap the fees, created new ways for customers to avoid the penalties.

    JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Bank of America reported a combined $2.2 billion in overdraft fees in 2023, roughly $700 million less than in the previous year, according to regulatory filings.

    Overdraft fees are triggered when a customer attempts to spend more than the balance in their checking accounts. At around $35 per transaction at many banks, the fees have been a lucrative line item for the industry, generating $280 billion in revenue since 2000, according to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

    The industry is girding itself for a battle over overdraft fees after the CFPB in January unveiled a proposal to limit charges to as little as $3 per transaction. Banks say overdraft services are a lifeline that helps users avoid worse options such as payday loans, while critics including President Joe Biden say the fees exploit struggling Americans.

    The practice has brought unwelcome attention to big banks. During a 2021 hearing, Sen. Elizabeth Warren needled JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon on the fees. Dimon at the time refused her call to refund $1.5 billion to customers.

    But even before recent efforts by regulators, banks’ haul from overdraft has been on the decline. Pandemic stimulus money helped Americans trigger fewer of the fees starting in 2020, and then firms including Capital One, Citigroup and Ally voluntarily ended the practice.

    Those who kept the fees, including JPMorgan, limited the types of transactions that trigger penalties, got rid of fees for bounced checks and introduced one-day grace periods and $50 cushions to reduce their frequency.

    Bank of America cut the fees to $10 from $35 in 2022.

    “Whether folks eliminated some fees or dramatically reduced the cost of others, there’s been very significant shifts here,” said Jennifer Tescher, CEO of nonprofit group Financial Health Network. “Banks aren’t just getting rid of overdraft, they’re trying to find more customer-friendly ways of meeting their liquidity needs while making sure they aren’t overextended.”

    Steady decline

    Industrywide overdraft revenue totaled $7.7 billion in 2022, 35% below the 2019 level, according to a May CFPB report that included all U.S. banks with at least $1 billion in assets.

    Recent regulatory filings show that the steady decline continued last year, though JPMorgan and Wells Fargo remain by far the largest players in overdraft.

    JPMorgan had $1.1 billion in overdraft revenue last year, about 12% lower than in 2022. Wells Fargo saw a 27% decline to $937 million. Bank of America posted a 64% decline to $140 million.

    More than 70% of overdraft transactions no longer incur fees, and customers can choose accounts that don’t allow the penalties, a JPMorgan spokesman told CNBC.

    “Our customers continue to tell us they want and need access to overdraft protection, which helps them when they are temporarily short on money,” the JPMorgan spokesman said.

    Wells Fargo declined to comment. A Bank of America spokesman noted that after the company voluntarily changed its overdraft policies in 2022, revenue from the practice fell more than 90%, and they now collect less than smaller banks.

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  • After Jamie Dimon warns of market ‘rebellion’ against $34 trillion national debt, Jerome Powell says it’s past time for an ‘adult conversation’ about unsustainable fiscal policy

    After Jamie Dimon warns of market ‘rebellion’ against $34 trillion national debt, Jerome Powell says it’s past time for an ‘adult conversation’ about unsustainable fiscal policy

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    With the United States’ national debt closing in on $34.2 trillion, some of the biggest figures in the world of finance have been speaking out. But few expected Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to address the issue—at least until this weekend, when Powell spoke out about the debt on CBS’ 60 Minutes Sunday. “In the long run, the U.S. is on an unsustainable fiscal path,” Powell warned.

    Even as the U.S. economy avoided a widely forecast recession in 2023, record government spending and lower tax receipts led the national debt to surge to an all-time high. And that trend has continued into this year. The U.S.’s government debt to GDP ratio, a measure of total public debt to economic growth, has surged from just over 100% in 2019 to over 120%. That’s down from the COVID-era peak of 133%, but as Powell put it, the government’s debt is still “growing faster than the economy.” 

    This means it’s now “past time, to get back to an adult conversation among elected officials about getting the federal government back on a sustainable fiscal path,” Powell argued Sunday.

    ‘Borrowing from future generations’

    It’s rare to see a Fed official discuss politics. The U.S. central bank is supposed to be a non-partisan, independent institution, after all. Powell reiterated as much in his 60 Minutes interview over the weekend, saying “we mostly try very hard not to comment on fiscal policy and instruct Congress on how to do their job, when actually they have oversight over us.”

    But almost immediately after that statement, Powell criticized lawmakers for “effectively borrowing from future generations” with their “unsustainable” policies. “It’s time for us to get back to putting a priority on fiscal sustainability,” he added.

    Fed Chair Powell joins a number of critics of fiscal policy and the surging national debt, including JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon. Dimon, warned last month that the U.S. economy is headed for a “cliff” if something isn’t done to address the federal government’s excessive debt burden.

    “We see the cliff. It’s about 10 years out, we’re going 60 miles an hour [toward it],” he said at a Bipartisan Policy Center panel. Dimon argued that U.S. lawmakers will need to alter the current path of spending and control the national debt or there could be “rebellion” among foreign owners of U.S. government bonds.

    Other Wall Street heavyweights have been criticizing rising federal deficits for years. Mark Spitznagel, founder and chief investment officer of the private hedge fund Universa Investments, told Fortune last year that we are living “the greatest credit bubble in human history.”

    “And that’s not my opinion, that’s just numbers,” he said. “There is no question about the fact that we are living in an age of leverage, an age of credit, and it will have its consequences.”

    Ray Dalio, founder of the hedge fund giant Bridgewater Associates, has also been warning of brewing issues. In December, he argued that the U.S. government is reaching an “inflection point” with its debt problem. Eventually, the government will have to borrow just to make its annual debt servicing payments, and that’s a recipe for a debt crisis, Dalio warned.

    Some good news?

    The good news? As Powell described Sunday, the U.S. still has a “dynamic, innovative, flexible, adaptable economy, more so than other countries.” Powell argued that this is the “big reason” why the U.S. economy has outperformed its peers over the past few years—but there are a few others, as Fortune detailed last week. America’s dynamic economy means the debt situation isn’t too far gone to rectify just yet. But as Powell said: “sooner is better than later.”

    Despite the criticism, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has brushed off concerns about the rising national debt. The key metric Yellen looks at is net interest payments as a share of GDP, and that is still “at a very reasonable level,” she argued in a CNBCinterview last September.

    Subscribe to the CFO Daily newsletter to keep up with the trends, issues, and executives shaping corporate finance. Sign up for free.

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  • Who Is Succeeding JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon? See Frontrunners | Entrepreneur

    Who Is Succeeding JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon? See Frontrunners | Entrepreneur

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    This article originally appeared on Business Insider.

    A longtime JPMorgan executive who has kept a low public profile while cultivating a reputation as a successful trader with a talent for managing risk is emerging as a contender to succeed Jamie Dimon as chief executive.

    Dimon, the longest-tenured Wall Street CEO, has not revealed plans to retire, though the financial industry has speculated on his succession planning and the people most likely to replace him for more than a decade.

    Troy Rohrbaugh was named co-CEO of JPMorgan’s commercial and investment bank, known as the CIB, as part of an internal executive reshuffle JPMorgan announced last week. CIB is a sprawling group encompassing global investment banking, commercial banking, and other core businesses. Rohrbaugh will run the CIB together with Jennifer Piepszak, a longtime executive who industry insiders have for years floated as a possible Dimon successor.

    Wall Street already knows Piepszak, who had most recently been co-chief executive of consumer and community banking and was the firm’s finance chief from 2019 until 2021. Analysts and investors are also very familiar with Marianne Lake, another long-tenured key executive who was elevated in the reorganization announced last week and is most frequently rumored to take over from Dimon when he eventually retires.

    Rohrbaugh, 53, is lesser known to Wall Street than these colleagues. His new position through the internal shuffle has vaulted him more publicly and prominently into the most closely watched succession race on Wall Street.

    Now, the industry will watch how Rohrbaugh will guide the CIB as JPMorgan performs above analysts’ expectations even in a slumped deal market. Business Insider has tracked Rohrbaugh’s trajectory from his college days to his most recent role as cohead of markets and securities services.

    One industry recruiter noted that Rohrbaugh’s background as a risk manager could make him a powerful C-Suite contender.

    Indeed, Dimon is known for boasting about JPMorgan’s “fortress balance sheet,” or its ability to protect against financial shocks while giving its employees the flexibility to test money-making ideas. “They take prolific risk and manage it well,” this person said.

    ‘Fortunes began to change’

    Rohrbaugh arrived at JPMorgan in 2005, the year JPMorgan announced it would name Dimon, who had been president and chief operating officer, as CEO. Rohrbaugh joined the firm from Goldman Sachs, where he managed the foreign-exchange options business for North America.

    His first post at JPMorgan was global head of forex derivatives. After years of troubles in JPMorgan’s forex business, “the bank’s fortunes began to change” after Rohrbaugh joined in 2005, Euromoney wrote in 2017. He had been a “source of stability not just for JPMorgan but also for the broader FX industry during its most turbulent years,” the publication wrote. The bank then became the first to introduce the ability to trade from a mobile device, the article said.

    Rohrbaugh and longtime executive Eddie Wen, who had also joined JPMorgan from Goldman around the same time as Rohrbaugh, both had a hand in bringing quants and technologists “into the front office so that the business could take ownership of its system development rather than relying on a separate IT department,” Euromoney reported in 2017.

    JPMorgan executive David Hudson told the publication that he returned to JPMorgan after working at Nomura in 2010 “to work for Troy.” He saw how the business had “matured after five years. It was clearly much more aggressive and capable, and there was a big focus on electronic distribution as well as on risk management.”

    Though his profile is less familiar to outside observers, Rohrbaugh’s name is well-known across JPMorgan and in forex industry and advocacy groups. He had been chair of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s foreign-exchange committee and the chair of the Global Financial Markets Association’s foreign-exchange group. He’s also familiar with regulators, appearing on Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler’s calendar of meetings with other top JPMorgan executives in 2022 and 2023.

    Rohrbaugh’s other stops at JPMorgan have been head of global markets and head of macro markets. Before he worked at Goldman, Rohrbaugh ran the Asian foreign exchange options business for the Canadian bank Banque Nationale and started his career trading options for CooperNeff at the Philadelphia Stock Exchange.

    Rohrbaugh’s career spans the dot-com bust, the global financial crisis, and the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, that devastated so many on Wall Street who worked in lower Manhattan.

    While Rohrbaugh was at Goldman, his firm was close to the World Trade Center, and he experienced loss during the attacks. According to the New York Daily News, he was one of the last people to speak with the Cantor Fitzgerald broker Tim Soulas, who was killed. Cantor lost 658 employees in the attacks that day.

    Rohrbaugh before Wall Street

    The Baltimore native’s earliest workplace experience, though, was not in a trading pit.

    “I was 16, and I was a security guard at a condominium at the Seaside,” he said as part of a series of interviews JPMorgan published in 2015 about executives’ first jobs. “I worked in my father’s business for about 40 hours during the week, and then I worked another 36 to 38 hours from Friday night ’til early Sunday morning.”

    Rohrbaugh remains involved in his Maryland alma maters. He is on the board of trustees of Gilman School, an all-boys preparatory school that Rohrbaugh graduated from in 1988.

    In 1992 he graduated from Johns Hopkins University, where he studied political science, played football, and is now a member of an advisory board there. In a video addressing the university’s football team last year, he said “pride and poise,” a slogan the football team uses, are two traits that helped him as a player and in his career.

    He said that along with being prepared while under pressure, “you need to be calm and thoughtful and ready for when things aren’t working out.”

    He was the president of the Alpha Delta Phi fraternity while attending Johns Hopkins, where his frat brothers embraced a special tradition of throwing dozens of shoes out the window and onto a tree outside the frat house east of the college campus, the Baltimore Sun reported in 1992.

    Students would leave the house, forget something, and yell at their roommates about throwing their items out the window, Rohrbaugh explained to the paper. Once, that item was a pair of shoes, and it got tangled in the tree. “From then on, any time you wore out a pair of shoes, or your roommate had really smelly feet with a tendency to leave his shoes l

    Return-to-office tensions

    In the yearslong push and pull between what Wall Street firms’ management and wider workforces want with remote work during the pandemic, Rohrbaugh has been chronicled as a vocal supporter of in-person work. That rubbed some employees the wrong way earlier in the pandemic, according to reports.

    He is one of many finance executives who spoke publicly about their desire to have more employees working in person rather than at home.

    Bloomberg reported that in March 2020, while New York was in a state-mandated lockdown, a JPMorgan employee wrote in a note to colleagues about Rohrbaugh continuing to “want to push everyone to get back into the office,” which JPMorgan disputed at the time.

    A senior JPMorgan executive who works with Rohrbaugh recalled that time during the pandemic. This person said on Wednesday that he had managed trading operations well during Covid and took “tremendous” precautions for staff.

    Kaja Whitehouse and Alex Morrell contributed reporting.

    ying around, they’d end up on the tree,” he said.

    “You get a technique after you’ve been here,” Rohrbaugh said. “You can always tell a freshman or sophomore because he’ll miss the tree three or four times, and when he finally hits it, it won’t wrap around.”

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    Rebecca Ungarino

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  • JPMorgan Chase shuffles top leaders as race to succeed Jamie Dimon drags on

    JPMorgan Chase shuffles top leaders as race to succeed Jamie Dimon drags on

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    Jamie Dimon, President & CEO,Chairman & CEO JPMorgan Chase, speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 17th, 2024.

    Adam Galici | CNBC

    JPMorgan Chase on Thursday said several executives considered frontrunners to one day take over for CEO Jamie Dimon had new or expanded roles.

    Jennifer Piepszak, co-head of JPMorgan’s giant consumer bank, will now became co-head of the firm’s commercial and investment bank along with Troy Rohrbaugh, a veteran leader of the bank’s trading operations.

    Piepszak’s former partner, Marianne Lake, will transition from consumer banking co-head to being its sole CEO, JPMorgan said. The business includes some of the country’s largest operations in retail banking, credit cards and small business lending.

    The moves should give Piepszak and Lake more experience as the long-running succession race atop the nation’s largest bank drags on. When they were made co-heads of consumer banking in 2021, Piepszak and Lake were considered favorites to eventually succeed Dimon, who is now 67 years old. That year, the bank’s board gave Dimon a special bonus to retain his services for a “significant number of years.”

    It wasn’t clear if there is a frontrunner for the job after the latest set of changes, or if Dimon intends to leave anytime soon.

    The running joke within JPMorgan is that for Dimon, considered the top banker of his generation, retirement is always five years away. Over the years, several of his deputies have moved on to lead other organizations after losing patience that the top job would ever become available.

    Rohrbaugh and global payments chief Takis Georgakopoulos round out the short list of potential successors along with Lake and Piepszak, who have both served as CFO before their current assignments, said a person with knowledge of the bank’s planning.

    As part of the changes, the bank’s new commercial and investment bank run by Piepszak and Rohrbaugh now includes operations that had been a separate division run by Doug Petno. And Daniel Pinto, who had been CEO of the corporate and investment bank for a decade, relinquishes that title while remaining the bank’s president and chief operating officer.

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  • American Express CEO says spending is strong, delinquencies are down from 2019

    American Express CEO says spending is strong, delinquencies are down from 2019

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    Stephen Squeri, chair and CEO of American Express, speaks during an Economic Club of New York event in New York on Nov. 10, 2022.

    Stephanie Keith | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    American Express CEO Stephen Squeri on Friday said the credit card company saw “good consumer spending” during the holidays and signs of strong overall health for U.S. spending.

    In particular, delinquency rates were “lower than they were in 2019,” Squeri told CNBC’s Scott Wapner in an interview at the American Express PGA Tour event in La Quinta, California.

    “Our customers are high-spending premium customers, and they are continuing to spend,” he said.

    The signs of resilient consumer spending run somewhat counter to persistent inflation. December’s consumer price index increased 0.3%, hotter than the 0.2% expected by economists.

    But Squeri said he’s not surprised, adding he’s of the opinion that the U.S. is in the middle of a “soft landing,” slowing spending and bringing inflation down — without spurring a recession.

    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said earlier this week that he remains cautious on the U.S. economy, along with Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, who said it’s hard to imagine the number of Federal Reserve rate cuts that the market seems to be calling for in 2024.

    “I mean look, recessions do happen,” Squeri said Friday. “The nice part about recessions is there’s always a recovery. … We’ll get through whatever we need to get through, and part of that is because of our customer base, and our colleagues that are supporting our customers.”

    American Express reports its fourth-quarter earnings Jan 26.

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  • Jamie Dimon praises Trump, warns MAGA criticism could hurt Biden

    Jamie Dimon praises Trump, warns MAGA criticism could hurt Biden

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    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon on Wednesday praised former President Donald Trump‘s record and admonished Democrats to be “more respectful” of Trump’s supporters, or else risk hurting President Joe Biden‘s reelection bid.

    “I wish the Democrats would think a little more carefully when they talk about MAGA,” Dimon said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” referencing Trump’s supporters by the acronym of his “Make America Great Again” campaign slogan.

    Biden has warned that Trump and “MAGA Republicans” pose an existential threat to American democracy. But he has also tried to distinguish between Trump’s most hardline supporters and “mainstream Republicans,” who Biden says make up a majority of the party.

    What is the World Economic Forum?

    “I think this negative talk about MAGA is going to hurt Biden’s election campaign,” Dimon said from the World Economic Forum annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland.

    Dimon argued that using the phrase “MAGA” incorrectly links Trump’s supporters to the former president’s personality and character.

    Democrats “are basically scapegoating them, [saying] that you are like him,” Dimon said. “I don’t think they’re voting for Trump because of his family values,” he said.

    The remarks by Dimon, who has donated to Democratic candidates but previously described himself as “barely a Democrat,” came two days after the former president trounced his few remaining Republican rivals in the Iowa caucuses.

    In November, Dimon heaped praise on one of Trump’s challengers, former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley, who finished third in Iowa on Monday.

    Read more CNBC politics coverage

    Dimon also gave Trump credit for his policy record.

    “Take a step back, be honest. He was kind of right about NATO, kind of right on immigration. He grew the economy quite well. Trade tax reform worked. He was right about some of China.”

    “He wasn’t wrong about some of these critical issues, and that’s why they voted for him,” Dimon said.

    Asked which candidate would be better for his business, Dimon said, “I have to be prepared for both. I will be prepared for both. We will deal with both.”

    “And I hope whoever it is will be respectful of other people,” he added.

    The White House did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment on Dimon’s remarks.

    Don’t miss these stories from CNBC PRO:

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  • Jamie Dimon warns 'all these very powerful forces' will impact U.S. economy in 2024 and 2025

    Jamie Dimon warns 'all these very powerful forces' will impact U.S. economy in 2024 and 2025

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    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said he remains cautious on the U.S. economy over the next two years because of a combination of financial and geopolitical risks.

    “You have all these very powerful forces that are going to be affecting us in ’24 and ’25,” Dimon told Andrew Ross Sorkin on Wednesday in a CNBC interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

    What is the World Economic Forum?

    “Ukraine, the terrorist activity in Israel [and] the Red Sea, quantitative tightening, which I still question if we understand exactly how that works,” Dimon said. Quantitative tightening refers to moves by the Federal Reserve to reduce its balance sheet and rein in previous efforts including bond-purchasing programs.

    Dimon has advocated caution over the past few years, despite record profits at JPMorgan, the nation’s largest bank, and a U.S. economy that has defied expectations. Despite the corrosive impact of inflation, the American consumer has mostly remained healthy because of good employment levels and pandemic-era savings.

    In Dimon’s view, the relatively buoyant stock market of recent months has lulled investors on the potential risks ahead. The S&P 500 market index rose 19% in the past year and isn’t far from peak levels.  

    “I think it’s a mistake to assume that everything’s hunky-dory,” Dimon said. “When stock markets are up, it’s kind of like this little drug we all feel like it’s just great. But remember, we’ve had so much fiscal monetary stimulation, so I’m a little more on the cautious side.”

    Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon: 'Hard for me' to see the market's view of seven rate cuts in 2024

    Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said Wednesday that while the market environment excluding geopolitical issues “feels better today” than a year ago, he was troubled by soaring U.S. debt levels.

    “I’m very concerned about the growing debt,” Solomon said. “It’s a big risk issue that we’re going to have to deal with and reckon with, it just might not happen in the next six months.”

    Dimon is no stranger to dire predictions: In 2022, he warned investors of an economic “hurricane” ahead because of quantitative tightening and the Ukraine conflict.

    In Wednesday’s wide-ranging interview, Dimon discussed his views on Ukraine, former President Donald Trump, immigration, commercial real estate and bitcoin.

    “We have to teach the American public that this is about freedom and democracy for the free world, and that’s why the battle is being fought,” Dimon said about the Ukraine conflict.

    Read more: Jamie Dimon says ‘brace yourself’ for an economic hurricane caused by the Fed and Ukraine war

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings point to a grim season

    CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings point to a grim season

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    (L-R) Brian Moynihan, Chairman and CEO of Bank of America; Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase; and Jane Fraser, CEO of Citigroup; testify during a Senate Banking Committee hearing at the Hart Senate Office Building on December 06, 2023 in Washington, DC.

    Win Mcnamee | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Banks kick off earnings
    Four of Wall Street’s Big Banks reported earnings Friday.
    JPMorgan Chase started the season with lower fourth-quarter profit as it paid a $2.9 billion fee linked to the rescue of some regional banks last year. Citigroup reported a $1.8 billion quarterly loss, while also announcing that it would slash 10% of its workforce. Bank of America’s fourth-quarter net income fell more than 50% from a year ago, while Wells Fargo reported higher quarterly earnings but warned about lower interest income this year.  

    Positive inflation signal?
    An unexpected decline in wholesale prices indicated inflation could be declining for good. The Labor Department’s producer price index fell 0.1% in December, as opposed to a 0.1% rise seen by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. PPI data measures inflation from the producer or manufacturer’s perspective.

    Markets rose for the week  
    The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average shed over 100 points on Friday but rose 0.3% for the week. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed the day nearly flat, while also ending higher for the week. Markets digested the start of the earnings season and an unexpected decline in producer prices. In Asia, China stocks erased losses from earlier in the session after the country’s central bank left its medium-term policy loans rate unchanged, while Taiwan stocks gained after election.

    China skeptic wins Taiwan elections
    Taiwan’s Lai Ching-te won the island’s presidential election on Saturday. This was the Democratic Progressive Party’s third straight win. Lai, who is seen as a strong China skeptic, won by more than 40% of the popular vote. He said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” Beijing dismissed his victory.

    [PRO] Goldman Sachs picks unloved stocks
    Goldman Sachs said Europe’s utilities sector may not have had much action in the last three years, but there could be a potential shift waiting to happen. The investment bank names which European stocks, that have lagged the broader market by nearly 20%, are worthy plays in the industry in 2024.

    The bottom line

    Fourth-quarter earnings have officially begun with four of Wall Street’s top six banks reporting rather bleak results.

    JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, paid a sizeable fee linked to the government seizures associated with regional banking crisis last March, which impacted its earnings.

    CEO Jamie Dimon said: “the U.S. economy continues to be resilient, with consumers still spending, and markets currently expect a soft landing.”

    But he added that deficit spending and supply chain adjustments “may lead inflation to be stickier and rates to be higher than markets expect.”

    Citigroup was also hit by last year’s regional banking crisis but focus was mostly on CEO Jane Fraser’s massive overhaul plan aimed at lifting sentiment around the bank’s financial health and also its stock price.

    The third largest U.S. bank by assets said it will slash about 20,000 jobs over the “medium term,” but did not make it immediately clear on the exact duration. Citigroup has lagged its Wall Street peers since the 2008 financial crisis and remains the lowest valued among the top six banks.

    Outlook from Wall Street’s biggest lenders was cautious against the backdrop of markets pricing in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as early as March. Lower rates hurt the net interest income generated by banks.

    Separately, data showing a decline in wholesale prices came as a positive surprise. It came a day after prices consumers pay for goods and services rose 0.3% in December and were up 3.4% on the year. Still remaining much above the Fed’s 2% target for the year.

    “What inflation risks remain in the U.S. economy clearly cannot be sourced to any upward pressure in producers’ costs,” said Kurt Rankin, senior economist at PNC.

    “Whether surveying from producers’ intermediate or final demand perspective, there is little to no pricing pressure headed into the U.S. economy from the supply side entering 2024.”

    During Asia hours, Taiwan’s election results stole the show. Voters in the island chose the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, or DPP for a third straight presidential term, handing victory to China-skeptic Lai Ching-te.

    Lai, who won by more than 40% of the popular vote, said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” 

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings signal downbeat quarter

    CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings signal downbeat quarter

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    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Monday, June 27, 2022.

    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Banks kick off earnings
    Four of Wall Street’s Big Banks reported earnings Friday.
    JPMorgan Chase kicked things off with lower fourth-quarter profit as it paid a $2.9 billion fee linked to the government’s take over of some regional banks last year. Citigroup reported a $1.8 billion quarterly loss, while also announcing that it would slash 10% of its workforce. Bank of America’s fourth quarter net income fell more than 50% from a year ago, while Wells Fargo reported higher quarterly earnings but warned about lower interest income this year.  

    Positive inflation signal?
    An unexpected decline in wholesale prices indicated inflation could be declining for good. The Labor Department’s producer price index fell 0.1% in December, as opposed to a 0.1% rise seen by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. PPI data measures inflation from the producer or manufacturer’s perspective.

    Markets rose for the week  
    The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average shed over 100 points on Friday but closed 0.3% higher for the week. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed the day nearly flat, while also ending higher for the week. Markets digested the start of the earnings season and an unexpected decline in producer prices. European stocks ended higher, but shares of British luxury firm Burberry fell 7% after a profit warning.  

    China skeptic wins Taiwan elections
    Taiwan’s Lai Ching-te won the island’s presidential election on Saturday. This was the Democratic Progressive Party’s third straight win. Lai, who is seen as a strong China skeptic, won by more than 40% of the popular vote. He said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” Beijing dismissed his victory.

    [PRO] Buffett’s view on airlines                                                                                                       
    Wall Street legend Warren Buffett will most likely never add airline stocks to his portfolio again. The “Oracle of Omaha” has been swift in unloading $4 billion worth of airline stocks in the pandemic and recently with disappointing profit forecast, more aircraft groundings and midair emergencies, he will not give such stocks a chance again.

    The bottom line

    Fourth-quarter earnings have officially begun with four of Wall Street’s top six banks reporting rather bleak results.

    JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, paid a sizeable fee linked to the government seizures associated with regional banking crisis last March, which impacted its earnings.

    CEO Jamie Dimon said: “the U.S. economy continues to be resilient, with consumers still spending, and markets currently expect a soft landing.”

    But he added that deficit spending and supply chain adjustments “may lead inflation to be stickier and rates to be higher than markets expect.”

    Citigroup was also hit by last year’s regional banking crisis but focus was mostly on CEO Jane Fraser’s massive overhaul plan aimed at lifting sentiment around the bank’s financial health and also its stock price.

    The third largest U.S. bank by assets said it will slash about 20,000 jobs over the “medium term,” but did not make it immediately clear on the exact duration. Citigroup has lagged its Wall Street peers since the 2008 financial crisis and remains the lowest valued among the top six banks.

    Outlook from Wall Street’s biggest lenders was cautious against the backdrop of markets pricing in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as early as March. Lower rates hurt the net interest income generated by banks.

    Separately, data showing a decline in wholesale prices came as a positive surprise. It came a day after prices consumers pay for goods and services rose 0.3% in December and were up 3.4% on the year. Still remaining much above the Fed’s 2% target for the year.

    “What inflation risks remain in the U.S. economy clearly cannot be sourced to any upward pressure in producers’ costs,” said Kurt Rankin, senior economist at PNC.

    “Whether surveying from producers’ intermediate or final demand perspective, there is little to no pricing pressure headed into the U.S. economy from the supply side entering 2024.”

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  • Gensler speculates on Ethereum post Bitcoin ETF approval

    Gensler speculates on Ethereum post Bitcoin ETF approval

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    On the heels of the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler is exercising caution on Ethereum.

    In an interview with CNBC, Gensler addressed the possibility of a spot Ethereum ETF gaining SEC approval in the future. While acknowledging the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, he emphasized that this was specific to Bitcoin as a non-security commodity token.

    He carefully refrained from providing further insights on an Ethereum ETF but hinted at a distinction between Bitcoin’s commodity status and the potential classification of other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), as securities.

    Gensler has long maintained Bitcoin’s status as a commodity, outside the SEC’s direct purview, while the agency has yet to officially determine Ethereum’s security status.

    Legal filings indicate the SEC’s inclination to view Ethereum transactions under its jurisdiction. If Ethereum were classified as a security, it could face increased regulatory scrutiny, potentially making the approval of a spot Ethereum ETF more challenging than that of Bitcoin (BTC).

    Despite Gensler’s reservations, recent legal judgments, including a federal appeals court decision ordering the SEC to review a Bitcoin ETF application, may influence the regulatory landscape for crypto ETFs. This legal shift could have implications for Ethereum, especially considering the SEC’s prior approval of an Ethereum futures ETF.

    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon also appeared on CNBC to discuss the crypto industry’s latest developments. The 67-year-old bank boss doubled down on his assertion that Bitcoin is utilized for illicit activities such as sex trafficking, tax avoidance, money laundering, and terrorism financing.

    Meanwhile, the tweet comes as JPMorgan is listed as an authorized participant for spot Bitcoin ETFs, raising questions about whether Dimon’s thoughts on the matter hold water.


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    Bralon Hill

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  • JPMorgan Chase profit falls after $2.9 billion fee from regional bank rescues

    JPMorgan Chase profit falls after $2.9 billion fee from regional bank rescues

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    Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, testifies during the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing titled Annual Oversight of Wall Street Firms, in the Hart Building on Dec. 6, 2023.

    Tom Williams | Cq-roll Call, Inc. | Getty Images

    JPMorgan Chase reported fourth-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday.

    Here’s what the company reported compared with what Wall Street analysts surveyed by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv, were expecting:

    • Earnings per share: $3.04, may not compare with expected $3.32
    • Revenue: $39.94 billion, vs. expected $39.78 billion

    JPMorgan will be watched closely for clues on how banks fared amid volatile interest rates and rising loan losses.

    While the biggest U.S. bank by assets has navigated the rate environment capably since the Federal Reserve began raising rates in early 2022, smaller peers have seen their profits squeezed.

    The industry has been forced to pay up for deposits as customers shift cash into higher-yielding instruments, squeezing margins. At the same time, rising yields mean the bonds owned by banks fell in value, creating unrealized losses that pressure capital levels.

    Concern is also mounting over rising losses from commercial loans, especially office building debt, and higher defaults on credit cards.

    Beyond guidance on net interest income and loan losses for this year, analysts will want to hear what CEO Jamie Dimon has to say about the economy and banks’ efforts to tone down coming increases in capital requirements.

    Wall Street may provide some help this quarter, with investment banking revenue higher than a year earlier, while trading may be “flattish,” JPMorgan said last month at a conference.  

    Beaten-down shares of banks recovered in November on expectations that the Fed had successfully managed inflation and could cut rates this year.

    Shares of JPMorgan jumped 27% last year, the best showing among big bank peers and outperforming the 5% decline of the KBW Bank Index.

    Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup are scheduled to release results later Friday, while Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley report Tuesday.

    This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

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  • JPMorgan CEO criticizes BTC despite backing BlackRock Bitcoin ETF

    JPMorgan CEO criticizes BTC despite backing BlackRock Bitcoin ETF

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    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon reiterated his longstanding skepticism about BTC despite his company’s role in the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF. 

    Despite the cryptocurrency’s status as the most valuable in terms of market capitalization, Dimon remained unswayed, questioning its intrinsic worth. Under Dimon’s leadership, JPMorgan Chase has been identified as an authorized participant for BlackRock’s newly approved spot Bitcoin ETF, the iShares Bitcoin Trust

    “The actual use cases are sex trafficking, tax avoidance, anti-money laundering, terrorism financing; it’s not just people buying and selling bitcoin. There’s no value if you’re buying and selling Bitcoin.”

    – Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase

    This involvement is a notable contrast to Dimon’s personal views on cryptocurrency. His critical perspective on digital currencies is well-documented; he has previously expressed to lawmakers that, were he in a governmental position, he would seek to curtail the growth of cryptocurrencies. BlackRock’s recent amendment to its SEC filing for its spot bitcoin ETF proposal further cements this dichotomy.

    The filing includes both Jane Street Capital and JPMorgan Securities LLC as authorized participants, emphasizing JPMorgan’s emerging role in the developing cryptocurrency ETF sector. The SEC’s approval of several ETF applications today highlights the growing integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional financial systems, a move JPMorgan appears poised to capitalize on despite Dimon’s personal reservations.

    Dimon presents a complex scenario for JPMorgan’s approach to future Bitcoin and cryptocurrency developments. While the firm is strategically positioned to facilitate and benefit from the growth of Bitcoin ETFs, its CEO’s skepticism adds a sense of uncertainty about its long-term engagement in the crypto market.


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    Mohammad Shahidullah

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