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  • Tropical Storm Melissa expected to slam Caribbean islands; up to 25 inches of rain possible

    WESH 2’s award-winning First Warning Weather team is monitoring Tropical Storm Melissa, which is nearly stationary over the Caribbean Sea on Friday, according to the National Hurricane Center.The NHC said Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft data show Melissa is getting stronger with maximum sustained winds now at 65 mph and a minimum central pressure of 993 mb. Melissa is about 180 miles south-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, according to the NHC. A turn to the west is forecast on Saturday followed by a turn to the north and northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to move near or over Jamaica early next week and could be near or over eastern Cuba by the middle of next week.The NHC advised that residents in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba should closely monitor the development of this system. These locations are at risk of heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and hazardous surf conditions. Watches and warnings in effect: Hurricane Warning in effect for JamaicaHurricane Watch in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-PrinceRainMelissa is expected to bring total rainfall of 15 to 25 inches to portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica through Tuesday, with local maxima of 35 inches possible across the Tiburon Peninsula of Haiti. Potentially catastrophic flash flooding and landslides are possible across portions of Jamaica and the southern Dominican Republic, while catastrophic flash flooding is anticipated in southern Haiti.For southeast Cuba, total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts up to 12 inches, are possible into Tuesday. Jamaica braces for impactsHurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    WESH 2’s award-winning First Warning Weather team is monitoring Tropical Storm Melissa, which is nearly stationary over the Caribbean Sea on Friday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The NHC said Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft data show Melissa is getting stronger with maximum sustained winds now at 65 mph and a minimum central pressure of 993 mb.

    Melissa is about 180 miles south-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, according to the NHC.

    A turn to the west is forecast on Saturday followed by a turn to the north and northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday.

    On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to move near or over Jamaica early next week and could be near or over eastern Cuba by the middle of next week.

    The NHC advised that residents in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba should closely monitor the development of this system.

    These locations are at risk of heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and hazardous surf conditions.

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    Watches and warnings in effect:

    • Hurricane Warning in effect for Jamaica
    • Hurricane Watch in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince

    Rain

    Melissa is expected to bring total rainfall of 15 to 25 inches to portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica through Tuesday, with local maxima of 35 inches possible across the Tiburon Peninsula of Haiti.

    Potentially catastrophic flash flooding and landslides are possible across portions of Jamaica and the southern Dominican Republic, while catastrophic flash flooding is anticipated in southern Haiti.

    For southeast Cuba, total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts up to 12 inches, are possible into Tuesday.

    Jamaica braces for impacts

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    This content is imported from Twitter.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Tropical Storm Melissa expected to strengthen into Category 3 hurricane south of Jamaica, NHC says

    Tropical Storm Melissa expected to strengthen into Category 3 hurricane south of Jamaica, NHC says

    THAT IS GREAT NEWS. ALL RIGHT. YEAH. BRINGING IN FIRST WARNING. CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI TONY. GORGEOUS DAY TODAY. LET’S TAKE YOU OUTSIDE. A SMIDGE HOT, IF I DO SAY SO MYSELF. AND I EVEN DROVE TO WORK WITH THE WINDOWS DOWN. I THOUGHT IT WAS HOT, BUT ACTUALLY, IT IS GETTING BETTER AND BETTER. I’M GOING TO PROVE THAT TO YOU. MICHELLE NOT THAT YOU’RE A DOUBTER. PROVE IT. TONY I WILL GIVE ME A SECOND. RIGHT NOW WE TAKE YOU BACK OUTSIDE. WHEN YOU SEE CRYSTAL CLEAR SKIES LIKE THAT, THERE’S SOMETHING GOING ON. THAT IS OUR FRONT WORKING BACK IN, YOU CAN SEE THE TEMPERATURES UP TO THE NORTH IN THE UPPER 70S. OFF TOWARDS THE WEST. WE ARE RUNNING IN THE MID 80S. HERE’S THE FRONT THAT IS GOING TO MISS MELISSA DOWN THERE. BUT THERE’S A SECOND ONE THAT ARRIVES NEXT WEEK THAT WILL HELP US ON OUT. YOU CAN SEE THE FLOW. WE’VE GOT SOME GUSTY WINDS OUT THERE NOW, BUT HEY MICHELLE, LOOK AT THESE DEW POINTS. THEY ARE LOWERING AND WHEN THEY LOWER, THAT MEANS IT FEELS MORE AND MORE COMFORTABLE. NOW, IF YOU’RE RUNNING ERRANDS TONIGHT, IF YOU’RE GOING TO THE MAGIC GAME, YOU’RE LIKE SITTING PRETTY, SAYING, WOOHOO! TONY DID IT, I LOVE IT! LET’S TAKE A LOOK NOW AT THESE WIND SPEEDS OUT OF THE NORTH, ABOUT 5 TO 10 MILES AN HOUR. AGAIN, AN UPDATE ON THE MAGIC GAME 8479. COMFORTABLE OUT THERE TONIGHT FOR DINNER AND THEN WALKING OVER, GETTING YOUR STEPS IN OVER TOWARDS THE KIA CENTER TOMORROW MORNING. TEMPERATURES HERE 55 IN CITRA, 61 IN RUTLAND, 62 IN ASTATULA ON INTO THE METRO AREAS HERE. WE’RE ABOUT 64 TO 66. COASTAL BREVARD COUNTY STILL SITTING RIGHT AROUND 70 DEGREES. SO THURSDAY FRIDAY DOESN’T GET MUCH BETTER THAN THIS, FOLKS. FRONT’S DOWN ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. COUPLE OF SHOWERS THERE. WE’LL WATCH THE ONSHORE FLOW IN THE RIP CURRENTS, BUT SOME OUTSTANDING WEATHER DO GET OUT THERE. ENJOY IT. GET A WALK IN, DO WHATEVER YOU GOT TO DO SOME TENNIS, SOME GOLF. TEMPERATURES UP NORTH IN THE 70S, SOUTH AND WEST RUNNING IN THE MID 80S. WE TAKE A LOOK AT THE ATTRACTIONS ON A THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DOESN’T GET MUCH BETTER THAN THAT EITHER. LOOK AT THAT LOW 80S FOR AN AFTERNOON. STUNNING WEATHER. GET OUT THERE. YOU NEED THE SHADES. AND THEN FOR HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL, AS WE HEAD INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, OUR GAME OF THE WEEK, THE RAMS AND THE PATRIOTS 7270. LOOKING VERY VERY NICE. ALL RIGHT, SWITCHING GEARS, LET’S HEAD TO THE TROPICS. NOW HERE’S MELISSA. STILL A LOT OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THIS PARTICULAR STORM SYSTEM. YOU CAN SEE THE WEST WINDS. LOOK AT THE CLOUDS. AND THAT DRIER AIR ON THE WESTERN SIDE. NOW WE’VE HAD SOME TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS EARLIER TODAY UP INTO HAITI. NOT SEEING THAT NOW, BUT STILL A GOOD BIT OF WIND THERE. BUT LOOK AT THIS. THIS IS A FIVE DAY CONE AND IT DOESN’T MOVE A WHOLE LOT. BUT WHAT IT DOES DO AS THE UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR BEGINS TO GO AWAY, THIS THING WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. AND THERE’S A VERY GOOD REASON FOR IT. IT IS OVER SOME OF THE WARMEST WATERS IN THE ENTIRE TROPICAL BASIN. AND THAT’S WHY WE’RE SEEING THIS RAPID INTENSIFICATION. NOW WITH REGARDS TO THE COMPUTER MODELS HERE AGAIN, THE GFS IS STILL GOING OVER HAITI. THE MAJORITY OF THESE GO WEST AND THEN BEGIN TO HOOK BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH AND EAST RAPIDLY. NOW, HAVING SAID THAT, LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THEY EXTEND AS FAR WEST AS CENTRAL AMERICA AND AS FAR NORTH THERE AS CENTRAL CUBA. AND THIS TO ME IS GOING TO BE THE BULL’S EYE FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN. SO WHAT’S THE SAVING GRACE FOR FLORIDA? THAT’S AN EXCELLENT QUESTION. FIRST FRONT IS GOING TO MISS THIS STORM BECAUSE IT’S SITTING DOWN THERE FOR ABOUT FIVE DAYS. SO FOR ME I SAID THIS YESTERDAY, I THINK THIS IS THE MOST LIKELY TRACK. I THINK IT WILL COME TO THE NORTH. BUT THEN AS THIS FRONT ARRIVES NEXT WEEK, LOOK AT THAT WALL OF SHEAR. THAT FRONT IS GOING TO SHOOT IT OUT LIKE A MISSILE TO THE NORTH AND EAST. AS WE GET YOU ON INTO NEXT WEEK. SO THAT AGAIN, SHOULD BE THE SAVING GRACE FOR US HERE IN CENTRAL FLORIDA. SO WE’LL TALK MORE ABOUT THAT. AND I’LL TAKE A LOOK AT THE EXTENDED SEV

    Tropical Storm Melissa expected to strengthen into Category 3 hurricane south of Jamaica, NHC says

    Updated: 7:58 PM EDT Oct 22, 2025

    Editorial Standards

    Tropical Storm Melissa formed over the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.Melissa will bring heavy rainfall to Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with totals of 5 to 10 inches expected through Friday. Melissa is about 320 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti, according to the NHC. The system has a minimum central pressure of 1002 mb and maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to approach Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti later this week.The NHC is calling for a Category 3 storm by next week south of Jamaica.The NHC advised that residents in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba should closely monitor the development of this system. These locations are at risk of heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and hazardous surf conditions. Watches and warnings in effect: Hurricane Watch is in effect for Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince.Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Jamaica. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

    Tropical Storm Melissa formed over the central Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Melissa will bring heavy rainfall to Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with totals of 5 to 10 inches expected through Friday.

    Melissa is about 320 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince, Haiti, according to the NHC.

    The system has a minimum central pressure of 1002 mb and maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.

    On the forecast track, Melissa is expected to approach Jamaica and the southwestern portion of Haiti later this week.

    The NHC is calling for a Category 3 storm by next week south of Jamaica.

    The NHC advised that residents in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba should closely monitor the development of this system.

    These locations are at risk of heavy rain, flooding, strong winds and hazardous surf conditions.

    Watches and warnings in effect:

    • Hurricane Watch is in effect for Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince.
    • Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Jamaica.

    This content is imported from Facebook.
    You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

    Hurricane season 2025

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    >> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    >> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast

    >> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

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  • Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 over Gulf of Mexico expected to develop into hurricane next week

    Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 over Gulf of Mexico expected to develop into hurricane next week

    Potential Tropical Cyclone Six over the Gulf of Mexico continues to strengthen and could become a hurricane next week.The National Hurricane Center is watching three areas of interest on Sunday as we head into peak hurricane season in Florida.That’s down from the five tropical waves the NHC was watching last week. Hurricane season peaks on Sept. 10, which explains the recent surge in tropical formations. For now, none are expected to impact Florida directly, but a wave near Texas is sending rain toward the Sunshine State.Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024 PTC 6: Western Gulf of MexicoPTC 6, over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.The area of low pressure is forecast to develop while interacting with a frontal boundary. Environmental conditions appear conducive to more development, which could lead to a tropical storm early in the week. The NHC said additional development could be expected, and a hurricane could form by mid-next week. The system is forecast to move near the Gulf coast of Mexico, upper Texas and Louisiana coast. Maximum sustained winds: 50 mphMinimum central pressure: 1003 mbImpacts: Life-threatening storm surge Damaging windsHeavy rainfallFlash floodsWarnings: Tropical storm watches issued for portions of northeastern MexicoInvest 92-L: Central tropical Atlantic An area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. According to the NHC, the environmental conditions appear conducive to more development in the next few days, and a tropical depression could form. The system will move westward across the central tropical Atlantic later next week. Formation chance through 48 hours: 60%Formation chance through seven days: 70% Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2Eastern and Central Tropical AtlanticA low pressure is causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The system is forecast to move very little in the next few days until it potentially interacts with a tropical wave that is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by early Monday. The NHC said a tropical depression could form by the middle or later portions of next week. Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent Formation chance through seven days: 50% First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    Potential Tropical Cyclone Six over the Gulf of Mexico continues to strengthen and could become a hurricane next week.

    The National Hurricane Center is watching three areas of interest on Sunday as we head into peak hurricane season in Florida.

    That’s down from the five tropical waves the NHC was watching last week. Hurricane season peaks on Sept. 10, which explains the recent surge in tropical formations.

    For now, none are expected to impact Florida directly, but a wave near Texas is sending rain toward the Sunshine State.

    Related: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

    PTC 6: Western Gulf of Mexico

    PTC 6, over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    The area of low pressure is forecast to develop while interacting with a frontal boundary.

    Environmental conditions appear conducive to more development, which could lead to a tropical storm early in the week.

    The NHC said additional development could be expected, and a hurricane could form by mid-next week.

    The system is forecast to move near the Gulf coast of Mexico, upper Texas and Louisiana coast.

    Maximum sustained winds: 50 mph

    Minimum central pressure: 1003 mb

    Impacts:

    • Life-threatening storm surge
    • Damaging winds
    • Heavy rainfall
    • Flash floods

    Warnings:

    • Tropical storm watches issued for portions of northeastern Mexico

    Invest 92-L: Central tropical Atlantic

    An area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

    According to the NHC, the environmental conditions appear conducive to more development in the next few days, and a tropical depression could form.

    The system will move westward across the central tropical Atlantic later next week.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 60%

    Formation chance through seven days: 70%

    Related: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

    Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic

    A low pressure is causing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

    The system is forecast to move very little in the next few days until it potentially interacts with a tropical wave that is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by early Monday.

    The NHC said a tropical depression could form by the middle or later portions of next week.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent

    Formation chance through seven days: 50%

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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  • National Hurricane Center watching 4 areas of interest

    National Hurricane Center watching 4 areas of interest

    The National Hurricane Center is watching four areas of interest on Friday. That’s down from the five tropical waves the NHC was watching Thursday. None are expected to directly impact Florida, but could bring moisture to the state. Northwestern Gulf of MexicoShower and thunderstorm activity diminished overnight in association with a broad area of low pressure and a nearby weak front over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Although tropical cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day. Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%Formation chance through 7 days: 10%Northwestern AtlanticShowers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization with a gale-force, non-tropical area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles east of North Carolina, and recent satellite wind data indicate a front extends into the low. This system could briefly acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next day while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern U.S. The low is expected to move over cooler waters by early Saturday, and thereafter further development is not expected. Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%Formation chance through 7 days: 30%Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of MexicoDisorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave. Development is not expected before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula later Friday. Some slow development is possible later this weekend after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percentFormation chance through 7 days: 20%Eastern Tropical Atlantic An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the early part of next week while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or northward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percentFormation chance through 7 days: 10%First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

    The National Hurricane Center is watching four areas of interest on Friday.

    That’s down from the five tropical waves the NHC was watching Thursday.

    None are expected to directly impact Florida, but could bring moisture to the state.

    Northwestern Gulf of Mexico

    Shower and thunderstorm activity diminished overnight in association with a broad area of low pressure and a nearby weak front over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

    Although tropical cyclone development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 10%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    Northwestern Atlantic

    Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization with a gale-force, non-tropical area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles east of North Carolina, and recent satellite wind data indicate a front extends into the low.

    This system could briefly acquire some subtropical characteristics over the next day while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern U.S.

    The low is expected to move over cooler waters by early Saturday, and thereafter further development is not expected.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%

    Formation chance through 7 days: 30%

    Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico

    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave.

    Development is not expected before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula later Friday.

    Some slow development is possible later this weekend after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent

    Formation chance through 7 days: 20%

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic

    An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity.

    Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the early part of next week while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or northward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

    Formation chance through 48 hours: Zero percent

    Formation chance through 7 days: 10%

    First Warning Weather

    Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

    Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

    The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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