ReportWire

Tag: Investment strategy

  • 5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday

    5 things to know before the stock market opens Thursday

    Here are the most important news items that investors need to start their trading day:

    1. Off to a weak start

    2. CRM of the crop

    Marc Benioff, CEO of Salesforce, at the WEF in Davos, Switzerland on May 25th, 2022. 

    Adam Galica | CNBC

    Salesforce surprised everyone – in a good way – with its earnings report Wednesday. Shares of the enterprise software giant and Slack parent surged around 15% in off-hours trading after the company easily topped Wall Street’s expectations for revenue and profit. Activist investors have been putting the squeeze on Salesforce and its CEO, Marc Benioff, looking for fatter profits. The company recently cut 10% of its workforce, resulting in more than $800 million in restructuring costs, as part of a longer-term attempt to control spending. Benioff also said the company disbanded its board committee on mergers and acquisitions, while it works with consultancy Bain on reviewing Salesforce’s business.

    3. Tesla’s new ‘master plan’ underwhelms

    Elon Musk speaking at Tesla Investor Day. 

    Courtesy: Tesla

    Shares of Tesla fell more than 5% in off-hours trading after the electric vehicle company unveiled its latest “master plan,” which, according to CNBC’s Lora Kolodny, was light on details and specifics. CEO Elon Musk spoke in utopian terms as he kicked off the presentation. “There is a clear path to a sustainable-energy Earth. It doesn’t require destroying natural habitats,” he said. “It doesn’t require us to be austere and stop using electricity and be in the cold or anything.” In terms of nitty-gritty business, Tesla is sticking with its goal of producing 20 million EVs a year by 2030. It’s got a long way to go, though. Last year, the company said it delivered a little more than 1.3 million autos.

    4. Biden prepares his veto pen

    U.S. President Joe Biden discusses health care costs and access to affordable health care during an event in Virginia Beach, Virginia, February 28, 2023.

    Leah Millis | Reuters

    In the biggest sign yet that political winds are blowing against environmental, social, and corporate governance, or ESG, guidelines, the Democratic-led Senate on Wednesday voted to overturn a rule that allows retirement funds to consider such progressive standards when making investment decisions. Sen. Jon Tester, a moderate Democrat from Montana, and conservative Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia – who are up for reelection next year in their deeply Republican states – voted with Republicans to make it a 50-46 tally. However, President Joe Biden has said he would veto the measure in order to keep the rule in place. It would be the first veto of his presidency.

    5. Sanders turns up the heat on Schultz

    Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) (L), Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz

    Reuters (L) | Getty Images (R)

    Sen. Bernie Sanders, the democratic socialist from Vermont, is serious about hauling Howard Schultz in for questioning after the outgoing Starbucks interim CEO declined an invitation to testify before lawmakers. The progressive, pro-union senator set a vote for next Wednesday that will decide whether to subpoena Schultz to give testimony to the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions, or HELP, Committee, which Sanders chairs. Baristas at nearly 300 Starbucks stores have voted to unionize, a movement Schultz has opposed. Sanders, in turn, has accused Schultz of union busting.

    – CNBC’s Samantha Subin, Jordan Novet, Lora Kolodny, Christina Wilkie and Amelia Lucas contributed to this report.

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  • Inflation’s direction will drive crypto’s action in March now that the 2023 rally has faded

    Inflation’s direction will drive crypto’s action in March now that the 2023 rally has faded

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  • Here’s our Annual Meeting update on the 7 health care and bank stocks in the Club portfolio

    Here’s our Annual Meeting update on the 7 health care and bank stocks in the Club portfolio

    The logo of Morgan Stanley is seen in New York 

    Shannon Stapleton | Reuters

    Here’s an update on the health care and financial holdings in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust, the portfolio we use at the CNBC Investing Club. Jim ran through all 35 of the stocks during the Club’s inaugural Annual Meeting on Saturday, an in-person event held in New York City. A video replay of the meeting is available here.

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  • Slowing growth is still a significant downside risk to stocks, Morgan Stanley says

    Slowing growth is still a significant downside risk to stocks, Morgan Stanley says

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    Andrew Sheets, chief cross-asset strategist at Morgan Stanley, discusses recent economic data out of the U.K., Europe and the U.S., and the potential risks to stock markets.

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  • Here’s why 7 Club stocks, including Nvidia and Meta, beat the market in January and February, defying this year’s seesaw start

    Here’s why 7 Club stocks, including Nvidia and Meta, beat the market in January and February, defying this year’s seesaw start

    Jensen Huang, president and CEO of Nvidia, speaks during the company’s event at the 2019 Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas on Jan. 6, 2019.

    David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This year has, so far, been something of a Jekyll and Hyde market for equities.

    January’s strength was a welcome reprieve from the brutality that was 2022. February’s stumble has reminded us that sticky inflation remains a challenge for both the broader economy and stocks.

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  • Sectors that lead you into a market peak rarely lead you out of a trough, says SoFi’s Liz Young

    Sectors that lead you into a market peak rarely lead you out of a trough, says SoFi’s Liz Young

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    Virtus Investment Partners’ Joe Terranova and SoFi’s Liz Young join ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss Goldman Sach shares dropping following its investor day, resilience in the trading market and competition among banks and financials.

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  • It’ll take actions over words for Goldman to reach its financial targets, says Wells Fargo’s Mike Mayo

    It’ll take actions over words for Goldman to reach its financial targets, says Wells Fargo’s Mike Mayo

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    Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo senior banking analyst, joins the ‘Halftime Report’ to discuss Goldman’s financial target plan, Goldman’s successful legacy business, and lack of resolution about Goldman Sachs consumer banking business.

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  • Watch CNBC’s full interview with Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo senior banking analyst

    Watch CNBC’s full interview with Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo senior banking analyst

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    Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo senior banking analyst, joins the ‘Halftime Report’ to discuss Goldman’s financial target plan, the company’s highly successful legacy business and lack of resolution about Goldman’s consumer banking business.

    05:54

    Tue, Feb 28 202312:39 PM EST

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  • Goldman CEO says asset management is the new growth engine, will learn from bungled consumer effort

    Goldman CEO says asset management is the new growth engine, will learn from bungled consumer effort

    Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said Tuesday that asset management and wealth management would be the growth engine for the bank after his efforts in consumer finance went awry.

    “The real story of opportunity for growth for us in the coming years is around asset management and wealth management,” Solomon told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin. Solomon added that Goldman was already the fifth biggest active asset manager in the world.

    “There’s real opportunity across the firm for us to continue to make the firm more durable,” Solomon said.

    He also acknowledged that the company didn’t “execute well” on parts of his consumer push, but added that management would reflect and learn from the episode.

    Goldman was scheduled to hold its second-ever investor day later Tuesday. The firm released a slideshow for the event online, in which it gave updated targets for growth in its asset and wealth management division and a 2025 breakeven target for its money-losing platform solutions division.

    It also reiterated its target for 15% to 17% return on tangible equity, a key metric tracked by bank investors.

    This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

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  • As the Supreme Court weighs in on Biden’s student loan forgiveness plan, here’s a look back at how we got here

    As the Supreme Court weighs in on Biden’s student loan forgiveness plan, here’s a look back at how we got here

    A Jan. 2, 2023 protest in favor of federal student loan relief outside the U.S. Supreme Court in Washington, D.C.

    Larry French | Getty Images Entertainment | Getty Images

    A shifting financial burden

    These days, tuition accounts for about half of public college revenue, while state and local governments provide the other half. But a few decades ago, the split was much different, with tuition providing just about a quarter of revenue and state and local governments picking up the rest.

    Over the 30 years between 1991-92 and 2021-22, average tuition prices more than doubled, increasing to $10,740 from $4,160 at public four-year colleges, and to $38,070 from $19,360 at private institutions, after adjusting for inflation, according to the College Board.

    Wages haven’t kept up.

    “Household income has been stagnant,” higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz told CNBC previously.

    Because so few families could shoulder the rising cost of college, they increasingly turned to federal and private aid to help foot the bills.

    The shift to “high-tuition, high-aid” caused a “massive total volume of debt,” according to Emily Cook, an assistant professor of economics at Tulane University.

    Pursuit of advanced degrees drives up debt

    More and more students feel they need to go to graduate school to be competitive in the job market. And more time in school means more costs, and a greater need for borrowing. Around 40% of outstanding federal student loan debt is now taken on post-college for master’s and PhD programs.

    The average student debt balance among parents was more than $35,000 in 2018-19, up from around $5,000 in the early 1990s.

    Meanwhile, the private student loan market has grown more than 70% over the last decade, according to the Student Borrower Protection Center. Americans now owe more in private student loans than they do for past-due medical debt or payday loans.

    Every year millions of new students are pumped into the student loan system while current borrowers struggle to exit it.

    Graduates choose longer, costlier payment plans

    Many recent college graduates can’t afford the standard 10-year repayment timeline, according to Kantrowitz.

    “Generally, people choose the repayment plan with the lowest monthly payment, which is also the plan with the longest term,” he said.

    As a result, it takes people 17 years on average to pay off their education debt, data by the U.S. Department of Education shows.

    Many borrowers put their loans on hold through forbearances, which cause their debt balances to mushroom with interest, and widespread failures in the government’s forgiveness programs have left those who expected to have their debt written off after a certain period still shouldering it.

    The average loan balance at graduation has tripled since the 90s, to $30,000 from $10,000. Around 7% of student loan borrowers are now more than $100,000 in debt.

    Without any intervention, over the next two decades, Kantrowitz estimates outstanding student loan debt could hit $3 trillion.

    “Given how linear the growth in student debt is, it makes these events easy to predict,” he said.

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  • Credit Suisse ‘seriously breached’ obligations in Greensill case, Swiss regulator says

    Credit Suisse ‘seriously breached’ obligations in Greensill case, Swiss regulator says

    The logo of Credit Suisse Group in Davos, Switzerland, on Monday, Jan. 16, 2023.

    Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Credit Suisse “seriously breached its supervisory obligations” in the context of its business relationship with financier Lex Greensill and his companies, Swiss regulator FINMA concluded Tuesday.

    The embattled Swiss lender’s exposure to the London-based Greensill Capital resulted in massive reimbursements to investors after the supply chain finance firm collapsed in early 2021.

    “In its proceedings, FINMA concluded that Credit Suisse Group seriously breached its supervisory duty to adequately identify, limit and monitor risks in the context of the business relationship with Lex Greensill over a period of years,” the regulator said, adding that it also found “serious deficiencies in the bank’s organisational structures” during the period under investigation.

    “Furthermore, it did not sufficiently fulfil its supervisory duties as an asset manager. FINMA thus concludes that there has been a serious breach of Swiss supervisory law.”

    Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Körner welcomed the conclusion of the FINMA investigation in a statement Tuesday.

    “This marks an important step towards the final resolution of the SCFF issue. FINMA’s review has reinforced many of the findings of the Board-initiated independent review and underlines the importance of the actions we have taken in recent years to strengthen our Risk and Compliance culture. We also continue to focus on maximizing recovery for fund investors,” he said.

    In March 2021, Credit Suisse closed four supply chain finance funds at short notice related to Greensill companies. The funds were distributed to qualified investors with client documentation indicating low risk, and client exposure sat at around $10 billion at the time of the closure.

    The Greensill saga was a key reason behind Credit Suisse’s massive overhaul of its risk management and compliance operations, alongside the collapse of Archegos Capital.

    Credit Suisse highlighted that, since March 2021, it has undergone senior management changes, implemented disciplinary measures and a new global accountability model, increased governance oversight and strengthened controls by moving risk oversight into a dedicated divisional risk management function.

    FINMA announced Tuesday that it has ordered remedial measures and opened four enforcement proceedings against former Credit Suisse managers.

    “In future, the bank will have to periodically review at executive board level the most important business relationships (around 500) in particular for counterparty risks,” the regulator said.

    “In addition, the bank is required to record the responsibilities of its approximately 600 highest-ranking employees in a responsibility document.”

    Credit Suisse noted that all of the requirements identified by the regulator “are being addressed through the organizational measures already underway.”

    “FINMA has not ordered any confiscation of profits in connection with the proceedings and the implementation of the additional measures is not expected to result in significant costs for Credit Suisse,” the bank added.

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  • Banks in Japan are still a ‘very, very good’ investment, says financial services firm

    Banks in Japan are still a ‘very, very good’ investment, says financial services firm

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    Jesper Koll of Monex Group says the “big megatrend” in Japan is to “make Japan banks strong again,” and discusses why he likes MUFG Bank.

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  • Why Goldman’s consumer ambitions failed, and what it means for CEO David Solomon

    Why Goldman’s consumer ambitions failed, and what it means for CEO David Solomon

    David Solomon, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., during an event on the sidelines on day three of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, on Thursday, Jan. 19, 2023.

    Stefan Wermuth | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    When David Solomon was chosen to succeed Lloyd Blankfein as Goldman Sachs CEO in early 2018, a spasm of fear ran through the bankers working on a modest enterprise known as Marcus.

    The man who lost out to Solomon, Harvey Schwartz, was one of several original backers of the firm’s foray into consumer banking and was often seen pacing the floor in Goldman’s New York headquarters where it was being built. Would Solomon kill the nascent project?

    The executives were elated when Solomon soon embraced the business.

    Their relief was short-lived, however. That’s because many of the decisions Solomon made over the next four years — along with aspects of the firm’s hard-charging, ego-driven culture — ultimately led to the collapse of Goldman’s consumer ambitions, according to a dozen people with knowledge of the matter.

    The idea behind Marcus — the transformation of a Wall Street powerhouse into a Main Street player that could take on giants such as Jamie Dimon’s JPMorgan Chase — captivated the financial world from the start. Within three years of its 2016 launch, Marcus — a nod to the first name of Goldman’s founder — attracted $50 billion in valuable deposits, had a growing lending business and had emerged victorious from intense competition among banks to issue a credit card to Apple’s many iPhone users.

    Solomon at risk?

    But as Marcus morphed from a side project to a focal point for investors hungry for a growth story, the business rapidly expanded and ultimately buckled under the weight of Solomon’s ambitions. Late last year, Solomon capitulated to demands to rein in the business, splitting it apart in a reorganization, killing its inaugural loan product and shelving an expensive checking account.

    The episode comes at a sensitive time for Solomon. More than four years into his tenure, the CEO faces pressure from an unlikely source — disaffected partners of his own company, whose leaks to the press in the past year accelerated the bank’s strategy pivot and revealed simmering disdain for his high-profile DJ hobby.

    Goldman shares have outperformed bank stock indexes during Solomon’s tenure, helped by the strong performance of its core trading and investment banking operations. But investors aren’t rewarding Solomon with a higher multiple on his earnings, while nemesis Morgan Stanley has opened up a wider lead in recent years, with a price to tangible book value ratio roughly double that of Goldman.

    That adds to the stakes for Solomon’s second-ever investor day conference Tuesday, during which the CEO will provide details on his latest plan to build durable sources of revenue growth. Investors want an explanation of what went wrong at Marcus, which was touted at Goldman’s previous investor day in 2020, and evidence that management has learned lessons from the costly episode.

    Origin story

    “We’ve made a lot of progress, been flexible when needed, and we’re looking forward to updating our investors on that progress and the path ahead,” Goldman communications chief Tony Fratto said in a statement. “It’s clear that many innovations since our last investor day are paying off across our businesses and generating returns for shareholders.”

    The architects of Marcus couldn’t have predicted its journey when the idea was birthed offsite in 2014 at the vacation home of then-Goldman president Gary Cohn. While Goldman is a leader in advising corporations, heads of state and the ultrawealthy, it didn’t have a presence in retail banking.

    They gave it a distinct brand, in part to distance it from negative perceptions of Goldman after the 2008 crisis, but also because it would allow them to spin off the business as a standalone fintech player if they wanted to, according to people with knowledge of the matter.

    “Like a lot of things that Goldman starts, it began not as some grand vision, but more like, ‘Here’s a way we can make some money,’” one of the people said.

    Ironically, Cohn himself was against the retail push and told the bank’s board that he didn’t think it would succeed, according to people with knowledge of the matter. In that way, Cohn, who left in 2017 to join the Trump administration, was emblematic of many of the company’s old guard who believed that consumer finance simply wasn’t in Goldman’s DNA.

    Cohn declined to comment.

    Paradise lost

    Once Solomon took over, in 2018, he began a series of corporate reorganizations that would influence the path of the embryonic business.

    From its early days, Marcus, run by ex-Discover executive Harit Talwar and Goldman veteran Omer Ismail, had been purposefully sheltered from the rest of the company. Talwar was fond of telling reporters that Marcus had the advantages of being a nimble startup within a 150-year-old investment bank.

    The first of Solomon’s reorganizations came early in his tenure, when he folded it into the firm’s investment management division. Ismail and others had argued against the move to Solomon, feeling that it would hinder the business.

    Solomon’s rationale was that all of Goldman’s businesses catering to individuals should be in the same division, even if most Marcus customers had only a few thousand dollars in loans or savings, while the average private wealth client had $50 million in investments.

    In the process, the Marcus leaders lost some of their ability to call their own shots on engineering, marketing and personnel matters, in part because of senior hires made by Solomon. Marcus engineering resources were pulled in different directions, including into a project to consolidate its technology stack with that of the broader firm, a step that Ismail and Talwar disagreed with.

    “Marcus became a shiny object,” said one source. “At Goldman, everyone wants to leave their mark on the new shiny thing.”

    ‘Who the f— agreed to this?’

    Besides the deposits business, which has attracted $100 billion so far and essentially prints money for the company, the biggest consumer success has been its rollout of the Apple Card.

    What is less well-known is that Goldman won the Apple account in part because it agreed to terms that other, established card issuers wouldn’t. After a veteran of the credit-card industry named Scott Young joined Goldman in 2017, he was flabbergasted at one-sided elements of the Apple deal, according to people with knowledge of the matter.

    “Who the f— agreed to this?” Young exclaimed in a meeting shortly after learning of the details of the deal, according to a person present.

    Some of the customer servicing aspects of the deal ultimately added to Goldman’s unexpectedly high costs for the Apple partnership, the people said. Goldman executives were eager to seal the deal with the tech giant, which happened before Solomon became CEO, they added.

    Young declined to comment about the outburst.

    The rapid growth of the card, which was launched in 2019, is one reason the consumer division saw mounting financial losses. Heading into an economic downturn, Goldman had to set aside reserves for future losses, even if they don’t happen. The card ramp-up also brought regulatory scrutiny on the way it dealt with customer chargebacks, CNBC reported last year.

    Pushing back against the boss

    Beneath the smooth veneer of the bank’s fintech products, which were gaining traction at the time, there were growing tensions: disagreements with Solomon over products, acquisitions and branding, said the people, who declined to be identified speaking about internal Goldman matters.

    Ismail, who was well-regarded internally and had the ability to push back against Solomon, lost some battles and held the line on others. For instance, Marcus officials had to entertain potential sponsorships with Rihanna, Reese Witherspoon and other celebrities, as well as study whether the Goldman brand should replace that of Marcus.

    The CEO was said to be enamored of the rise of fast-growing digital players such as Chime and believed that Goldman needed to offer a checking account, while Marcus leaders didn’t think the bank had advantages there and should continue as a more focused player.

    One of the final straws for Ismail came when Solomon, in his second reorganization, made his strategy chief, Stephanie Cohen, co-head of the consumer and wealth division in September 2020. Cohen, who is known as a tireless executive, would be even more hands-on than her predecessor, Eric Lane, and Ismail felt that he deserved the promotion.

    Within months, Ismail left Goldman, sending shock waves through the consumer division and deeply angering Solomon. Ismail and Talwar declined to comment for this article.

    Boom and bust

    Ismail’s exit ushered in a new, ultimately disastrous era for Marcus, a dysfunctional period that included a steep ramp-up in hiring and expenses, blown product deadlines and waves of talent departures.

    Now run by two former tech executives with scant retail experience, ex-Uber executive Peeyush Nahar and Swati Bhatia, formerly of payments giant Stripe, Marcus was, ironically, also cursed by Goldman’s success on Wall Street in 2021.

    The pandemic-fueled boom in public listings, mergers and other deals meant that Goldman was en route to a banner year for investment banking, its most profitable ever. Goldman should plow some of those volatile earnings into more durable consumer banking revenues, the thinking went.

    “People at the firm including David Solomon were like, ‘Go, go, go!’” said a person with knowledge of the period. “We have all these excess profits, you go create recurring revenues.”

    ‘Only the beginning’

    In April 2022, the bank widened testing of its checking account to employees, telling staff that it was “only the beginning of what we hope will soon become the primary checking account for tens of millions of customers.”

    But as 2022 ground on, it became clear that Goldman was facing a very different environment. The Federal Reserve ended a decade-plus era of cheap money by raising interest rates, casting a pall over capital markets. Among the six biggest American banks, Goldman Sachs was most hurt by the declines, and suddenly Solomon was pushing to cut expenses at Marcus and elsewhere.

    Amid leaks that Marcus was hemorrhaging money, Solomon finally decided to pull back sharply on the effort that he had once championed to investors and the media. His checking account would be repurposed for wealth management clients, which would save money on marketing costs.

    Now it is Ismail, who joined a Walmart-backed fintech called One in early 2021, who will be taking on the banking world with a direct-to-consumer digital startup. His former employer Goldman would largely content itself with being a behind-the-scenes player, providing its technology and balance sheet to established brands.

    For a company with as much self-regard as Goldman, it would mark a sharp comedown from the vision held by Solomon only months earlier.

    “David would say, ‘We’re building the business for the next 50 years, not for today,’” said one former Goldman insider. “He should’ve listened to his own sound bite.”

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  • Wall Street’s most overbought stocks include PepsiCo and this little-known insurance company

    Wall Street’s most overbought stocks include PepsiCo and this little-known insurance company

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  • Instagram popularized the perfect home. Virtual design services make affording it possible

    Instagram popularized the perfect home. Virtual design services make affording it possible

    A renovated apartment in New York City after The Expert consultation sessions with designers Jessica Gersten and Athena Calderone.

    The Expert

    Aside from bingeing Netflix, creating the picture-perfect home may have been the pandemic’s most popular habit.

    Whether it’s organizing a pantry or adding on a home office, gym or spa-like bathroom, homeowners have been upgrading and expanding their spaces at record rates for over two years

    Although Americans are no longer sheltering at home, the recent rise in mortgages rates has encouraged more people to stay put and renovate rather than relocate.

    Even in the face of inflation, ongoing supply chain issues and other factors, the vast majority of homeowners are proceeding with their planned home improvement projects in 2023, according to a Houzz survey of nearly 4,000 homeowners conducted in October.

    More from Personal Finance:
    How to figure out what you can spend on rent
    What is a ‘rolling recession’ and how does it impact you?
    Almost half of Americans think we’re already in a recession

    At the same time, Instagram and other social media platforms have raised the bar by presenting an endless array of covetable spaces.

    For most people, decorating is a daunting task, yet hiring a pro is out of reach.

    Few Americans can afford the high-end look depicted online, which often comes with the help of an A-list designer and hefty budget. The average cost to hire an interior designer can vary greatly depending on the region and scope and whether it’s based on a flat rate, hourly fee or percentage of the project, although well-known designers easily charge in the five or six figures.

    “It’s a time-consuming and overwhelming process for a lot of homeowners,” said Wayne Gao, co-founder and CEO of Australia-based Furnishd, which offers virtual consultations for $850 per room or $3,250 for the whole house. “It also costs a fortune.”

    Virtual design services offer real-world pricing

    That’s where virtual services can add value at a fraction of the cost, added Leo Seigal, co-founder and CEO of The Expert. “It’s almost like insurance to make sure you are making the right decision.”

    The Expert was started by Seigal and Los Angeles-based interior designer Jake Arnold in early 2021. The service offers one-on-one consultations with over 150 big-name decorators including Arnold, Martin Brudnizki, Brigette Romanek, Ashe Leandro and Rita Konig. Prices range from $250 for a 25-minute call to up $2,000 for an hour.

    Of course, online design help is not new. Even before 2020, there were services like Havenly and Homepolish. Retailers such as West Elm and Restoration Hardware offer those services, as well. However, now A-list decorators are getting into the game.

    “The pandemic turbocharged interior design and created the environment to get the designers to do this in the first place,” Seigal said.

    Americans are also prepared to shell out more based on what they see on sites like TikTok, Instagram and Facebook. Consumers are now conditioned “to believe they can get whatever they want, whenever they want,” according to an analysis by McKinsey & Company.

    However, home upgrades are another level of spending altogether.

    “Any renovation has the potential to get really expensive,” Seigal said. “You can’t really afford to make a mistake.”

    For consumers who want help but may not have the means or access to a full-service design firm, “we are bridging the gap,” he said.

    The pandemic turbocharged interior design and created the environment to get the designers to do this.

    Leo Seigal

    co-founder and CEO of The Expert

    Other top designers, too, have spun off their own virtual consulting service to meet the demand for a less expensive and more accessible option.

    Marianne Brown, the principal designer and owner of W Design Collective, also now offers virtual design help starting at $500 for a one-hour call, in addition to the high-end remodels and full-service projects she’s known for, which cost substantially more.

    “I couldn’t even afford myself,” she said, referring to the latter.

    More recently, however, Brown said she’s wrestled with the effect that the constant stream of home upgrades on social media has on homeowners and women, in particular.

    “At least when Vogue tells you your skinny jeans are ‘out’ you are only donating a $50 pair of jeans to Goodwill,” she said. “But when Architectural Digest tells you white kitchens are ‘out,’ you are hiring a painter for $8,000 to repaint your kitchen cabinets.”

    Brown advises homeowners to resist the urge to keep up with the Joneses. Rather, she says consider how you will use the space and make sure it reflects your personality. “What have I always loved? Where do I come from and where have I traveled? Stay true to who you are.”

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  • Cramer sees a ‘good chance’ Salesforce’s Benioff will soon announce succession plans

    Cramer sees a ‘good chance’ Salesforce’s Benioff will soon announce succession plans

    Marc Benioff, founder, chairman and CEO of enterprise cloud computing company Salesforce.

    Kim Kulish | Corbis News | Getty Images

    Jim Cramer suggested Saturday that plans for a leadership change at Club holding Salesforce (CRM) — helmed by co-founder Marc Benioff for more than two decades — may be disclosed in the near future.

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  • CNBC ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee debates a bet on financials

    CNBC ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee debates a bet on financials

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    CNBC’s ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee, Brenda Vingiello, Jason Snipe, Jim Lebenthal and Steve Weiss, discuss the financials trade and whether now might be a good time to get in.

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  • Wells Fargo’s Mark Smith advises investors to look to banks if rates stay higher for longer

    Wells Fargo’s Mark Smith advises investors to look to banks if rates stay higher for longer

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    Mark Smith, Wells Fargo Advisors SVP, and Jason Trennert, Strategas chairman, joins ‘The Exchange’ to discuss JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon’s comments earlier today about a recession and the markets overall.

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  • Op-ed: Financials may get more love amid sustained higher interest rates

    Op-ed: Financials may get more love amid sustained higher interest rates

    Credit card providers are benefitting from post-pandemic travel and increasing card usage in general, with balances way up in recent months.

    Valentinrussanov | E+ | Getty Images

    Financial stocks were so out of favor for most of 2022 that perhaps their tickers should have been appended with a Nathaniel Hawthorne-esque “U” — for “unloved.” Yet after some decent gains so far this year, the sector could draw suitors aplenty as 2023 progresses.

    The present allure of financial stocks, stemming from low valuations and high levels of capital, is especially strong as higher interest rates are making lending money more profitable.

    As of mid-February, the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF had recovered about half its 2022 losses. Amid this comeback, robust earnings have kept the sector’s price-earnings ratios low, as reflected by XLF’s P/E of 14.5 in mid-February.

    Buckets are out at the banks

    Low share prices are the norm

    Despite gains this year, share prices of this sector are still quite low, considering good earnings and a long history of corporate performance.  

    One reason for the low prices is fear of recession. But even if the most widely anticipated recession ever actually becomes reality, assuming that the short-and-shallow camp turns out to be right, financial sector earnings could easily prove more resilient than normally expected in a downturn.

    A close haircut for regional banks

    Regional banks, which took a close haircut early last year after hitting a five-year peak in January, are also recovering. The bellwether ETF for this group, SPDR Regional Banking, was up nearly 9% year to date as of mid-February. Many regional banks have recently been buying back shares to support a floor on prices and give shareholders more total return without getting locked into dividend increases.

    Meanwhile, credit card providers are benefitting from post-pandemic travel and increasing card usage in general, with balances way up in recent months. Also positive are prospects for exchanges and data providers, a sector category whose earnings in recent years have grown twice as fast as those of the S&P 500.

    Here are some attractive financial stocks with strong growth prospects and fundamental metrics signaling low downside risk:

    • Truist Financial: Formed in 2019 by a merger of equals — regional banks BB&T Corp. and SunTrust — Truist is now the nation’s seventh-largest bank, with a capitalized ratio nearly twice what’s required by regulators. Truist’s dividend has more than doubled in the last 10 years. Post-merger kinks typically dampen companies’ share price growth, so Truist’s recent underperformance relative to KRE was expected. And Truist’s growth could exceed peers’ because it operates in rapidly growing regions — primarily, the mid-Atlantic and Southeast.
    • East West Bancorp: This is a fast-growing, full-service commercial bank with locations in the U.S., serving the Asian-American community, and in China. Shares were up nearly 19% year to date as of mid-February. This growth is expected to accelerate from China’s reopening from Covid lockdowns. CFRA has this bank as a strong buy, forecasting 2023 growth of 17% to 19%, in part because net interest income currently makes up 89% of its revenue, versus 73% for peers. Also, the bank has “no exposure to mortgage banking or capital markets, which have been severely impacted by rising rates and economic uncertainty,” CFRA states, citing balance sheet momentum, a discounted valuation and the advantage of a Chinese population in the U.S. that’s growing faster than the whole.
    • FactSet Research Systems: FactSet is the star of the sector’s data-provider segment. It’s an interesting, attractive play with recurring revenues of 98%, largely because financial firm customers rely so heavily on FDS’s data. You can see it cited on brokerage platforms and analyst reports. FDS’s software, data and analytics supports the workflow of both buy-side and sell-side clients. Customers include asset managers, bankers, wealth managers, asset owners, hedge funds, corporate users, and private equity and venture capital professionals. The company has an excellent track record of maneuvering through tough economic times, evidenced by its top-line sales growth for 42 consecutive years and annual dividend raises for the last 23 years. The difficulties of changing data providers amount to an economic moat that’s daunting to competitors.
    • American Express: This is the right business at the right time, with business travel improving, China reopening and consumer spending among the affluent strong. Revenue growth went from a 10-year stretch of 2% annually to 25% in 2022, with 17% growth forecast for this year. Connecting better with millennials and Generation Z customers than its peers, American Express is acquiring new cardholders at an increasing rate. Analysts expect earnings to rocket up 30% over the next two years, while those of competitors appear likely to shrink. And because of well-heeled customers, this company has less credit risk than its peers.
    • Chubb: Chubb is the world’s largest publicly traded property and casualty insurer, operating in 54 countries but with 60% of its revenue from North America. CB has a market-leading position in industrial, commercial and mid-market traditional and specialty property-casualty coverage. It is also a leader in high net worth personal-insurance coverage, a category unlikely to feel pain from an economic downturn. Chubb has high-quality underwriting, but shares are trading at a discount to peers with lower-quality underwriting. Higher premiums, a 98.4% customer-retention rate and higher interest rates should all contribute to strong earnings growth, and shares are widely viewed as significantly undervalued.

    The current, higher rates aren’t going down anytime soon. This sector is currently positioned for sustained earnings strength and likely price growth throughout this year and into 2024.

    By Dave Sheaff Gilreath, CFP, partner and chief investment officer of Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors LLC and Innovative Portfolios LLC.

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  • Wells Fargo lays off mortgage bankers days after rewarding some with California retreat

    Wells Fargo lays off mortgage bankers days after rewarding some with California retreat

    Palm Spring Deserts, California

    Lonely Planet

    Wells Fargo laid off hundreds of mortgage bankers this week as part of a sweeping round of cuts triggered by the bank’s recent strategic shift, CNBC has learned.

    The layoffs were announced Tuesday and ensnared some top producers, including a few bankers who surpassed $100 million in loan volumes last year and who recently attended an internal sales conference for high achievers, according to people with knowledge of the situation.  

    Under CEO Charlie Scharf, Wells Fargo is pulling back from parts of the U.S. mortgage market, an arena it once dominated. Instead of seeking to maximize its share of American home loans, the bank is focusing mostly on serving existing customers and minority communities. The shift comes after sharply higher interest rates led to a collapse in loan volumes, forcing Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase and other firms to cut thousands of mortgage positions in the past year.

    Those cut this week at Wells Fargo included mortgage bankers and home loan consultants, a workforce spread around the country, who are compensated mostly on sales volume, according to the people, who declined to be identified speaking about personnel matters.

    The company cut bankers who operated in areas outside of its branch footprint and who therefore didn’t fit in the new strategy of catering to existing customers, the people said. Those cuts include bankers across the Midwest and the East Coast, one of the people said.

    Palm Desert resort

    Some of those people were successful enough last year to be flown to a resort in Palm Desert, California, for a company-sponsored conference earlier this month. Palm Desert is a luxury enclave known for its warm weather, golf courses and proximity to Palm Springs.

    It’s common practice in finance to reward top salespeople with multiday events held in swanky resorts that combine recognition, recreation and educational sessions. For instance, JPMorgan’s mortgage division is holding a sales conference in April.

    A Wells Fargo spokeswoman said the bank has communicated with affected employees, provided severance and career guidance, and tried to retain as many workers as possible.

    “We announced in January strategic plans to create a more focused home-lending business,” she said. “As part of these efforts, we have made displacements across our home-lending business in alignment with this strategy and in response to significant decreases in mortgage volume.”

    The bank will also continue to serve customers “in any market in the United States” through its centralized sales channel, she added.

    Hitting your numbers

    While this latest round of cuts wasn’t based on employees’ performance, Wells Fargo has also been cutting mortgage workers who don’t meet minimum standards of production.

    In areas with expensive housing, that could be a minimum of at least $10 million worth of loans over the past 12 months, said one of the sources.

    Last month, the bank said that mortgage volumes continued to shrink in the fourth quarter, falling 70% to $14.6 billion. Wells Fargo said it almost 11,000 fewer employees at the end of 2022 than in 2021.

    The January mortgage announcement, reported first by CNBC, led recruiters to swarm top performers in the hopes of poaching them, according to one of the people.

    Scharf addressed employees in a Jan. 25 town hall meeting in which he reiterated his rationale for the mortgage retrenchment.

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