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  • Dear Penny: Can My 17-Year-Old Grandson Invest in a Roth IRA?

    Dear Penny: Can My 17-Year-Old Grandson Invest in a Roth IRA?

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    Dear Penny,

    My 17-year-old grandson is working after school and putting half of his salary in a savings account. His grandfather and I have prepaid his college tuition, so he will have no big expenses there. 

    I would like for him to invest in a Roth IRA. In doing so, he would not be tempted to withdraw the money. He will be 18 in June if that is a requirement. Is this a smart thing to do?

    -J.

    Dear J.,

    In theory, this is a great idea. The big advantage of a Roth IRA is that you pay upfront taxes on the money you invest in exchange for unlimited tax-free growth. Since your grandson is 17, I’m guessing he doesn’t have a big tax bill. If he has the discipline not to touch that money for four or five decades, even a small amount invested now could have a huge payoff at retirement time.

    But that part bears repeating: Your grandson needs to be willing to not spend this money for several decades. That’s a big ask for a 17-year-old.

    Got a Burning Money Question?

    Get practical advice for your money challenges from Robin Hartill, a Certified Financial Planner and the voice of Dear Penny.

    DISCLAIMER: Select questions will appear in The Penny Hoarder’s “Dear Penny” column. We are unable to answer every letter. We reserve the right to edit and publish your questions. But don’t worry — your identity will remain anonymous. Dear Penny columns are for general informational purposes only, but we promise to provide sound advice based on our own research and insights.

    Before I go any further, let me explain the rules: Anyone can fund a Roth IRA as long as they have earned income for the tax year, i.e., money earned from working. Age isn’t a factor. The classic example here is that even the Gerber Baby could open a Roth IRA.

    Your grandson could contribute up to $6,000 or the full amount of his earnings (whichever is less) for 2022. In 2023, the limit increases to $6,500.

    Because your grandson is a minor, he’d need a custodial Roth IRA. He’d own the money, but an adult would need to make the investment decisions. Once he reaches the age of majority — between 18 and 21, depending on the state — he’d have full control over the money.

    Keep in mind that just because the money is invested in a Roth IRA doesn’t mean your grandson won’t be tempted to spend it. He’d be able to withdraw the contributions (but not the earnings) at any time. With the earnings, he’d pay a 10% early withdrawal penalty, plus income taxes on withdrawals before age 59 ½. But taxes and penalties may not be a huge deterrent when it feels like retirement is a lifetime away.

    If you’re going to encourage your grandson to fund a Roth IRA, make sure you follow up with some guidance. A good place to start is by talking about short-, medium-, and long-term financial goals.

    Buying a car or saving up spending money for college are examples of short-term goals. A medium-term goal might be to buy a house after college or pay for graduate school. But the money he invests in a Roth IRA is for a long-term goal, which is his eventual retirement.

    It is possible to use a Roth IRA for shorter-term goals, which is a frequently cited benefit of this account. For example, you can withdraw up to $10,000 worth of earnings for a first-time home purchase without owing taxes or penalties. You can also use the earnings for higher education and avoid the typical 10% early withdrawal penalty, but not the taxes. That flexibility is nice, but when you use the money on shorter-term goals, you don’t lock in the true power of the Roth IRA, which is unlimited tax-free growth.

    Plus, you make money with a Roth IRA by investing in the stock market. You typically don’t want money invested in stocks if you’ll need it in the next few years because the stock market can be volatile in the short run.

    A good goal for your grandson may be to continue saving half of his paycheck and splitting it between his savings account and Roth IRA. Even if he only invested $100 a month for the next year, the payoff could be substantial. Assuming 8% annual returns, that money would grow to more than $56,000 by the time he reaches his full retirement age of 67.

    But just as importantly, saving even just a small amount for retirement is a great habit to start at 17. If your grandson can get used to investing 10% to 15% of his paycheck while he’s still a teenager and continue doing so throughout his career, he’ll be in great shape for retirement.

    Ultimately, though, this is your grandson’s money, so it’s his call. But if he’s already saving half his paycheck at 17, I think you can trust him to make wise financial decisions.

    Robin Hartill is a certified financial planner and a senior writer at The Penny Hoarder. Send your tricky money questions to [email protected].


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    robin@thepennyhoarder.com (Robin Hartill, CFP®)

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  • Bill Ackman says he sees why FTX victims want Sam Bankman-Fried to ‘suffer’ severe consequences ‘including jail time’

    Bill Ackman says he sees why FTX victims want Sam Bankman-Fried to ‘suffer’ severe consequences ‘including jail time’

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    Hedge-fund titan Bill Ackman appears to be walking back comments he made via Twitter last week about Sam Bankman-Fried that some interpreted as implicit support for the 30-something who presided over one of the most epic bankruptcies in financial markets in recent memory.

    Last week, Ackman tweeted that Bankman-Fried’s statements made during a widely watched interview, streamed to New York from the crypto founder’s location in the Bahamas, was “believable.”

    “Many have interpreted my tweet to mean that I am defending SBF or somehow supporting him. Nothing could be further from the truth,” Ackman wrote Saturday, referring to Bankman-Fried by his initials SBF.

    Ackman went on to describe the implosion of Bankman-Fried’s crypto exchange FTX, and some of its associated businesses, as “at a minimum, the most egregious, large-scale case of business gross negligence that I have observed in my career.”

    Check out: The Sam Bankman-Fried roadshow rolls on: 10 crazy things the FTX founder has just said

    Ackman, who is the chief executive of Pershing Square Capital, a prominent investor in traditional markets, and an advocate of crypto, last week, tweeted this message following the widely watched interview of Bankman-Fried at the New York Times Dealbook Summit:

    “Call me crazy, but I think SBF is telling the truth.”

    Ackman has been chastised by some for seemingly offering verbal succor to a person who some have accused of, at the least, an epic mismanagement of client assets.

    Speaking against the wishes of his lawyers, Bankman-Fried on Wednesday, during the Dealbook interview, admitted to making mistakes but said that he never intended to mingle client funds with those of the firm to make leveraged bets on crypto via hedge fund Alameda Research, which he founded before he started FTX.

    “I didn’t know exactly what was going on,” Bankman said at the time.

    At least one response to Ackman’s Saturday tweet, questioned whether the hedge funder might be responding to blowback from his own clients.

    It isn’t the first time that Ackman has cast Bankman-Fried’s actions in a positive light. As the implosion of FTX was unfolding, Ackman said, in a now-deleted tweet, that he’d never before seen a CEO take responsibility as the crypto exchange operator did and that he wanted to give him “credit” for his actions. “It reflects well on him and the possibility of a more favorable outcome” for FTX, he wrote.

    On Saturday, one Twitter user asked Ackman if had any ties to Bankman-Fried, which the investor bluntly said he doesn’t.

    Bankman-Fried had been viewed as a financial darling inside and outside the crypto industry until his empire collapsed on Nov. 11 and it was revealed that affiliated hedge fund Alameda lost billions in FTX client money in leveraged crypto bets.

    John Ray, the new chief executive of FTX, in a filing to the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware, described the state of the crypto platform “as a complete failure of corporate controls and such a complete absence of trustworthy financial information.” 

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  • Boeing Stock Surges On Report of 787 Dreamliner Order By United Airlines

    Boeing Stock Surges On Report of 787 Dreamliner Order By United Airlines

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    Boeing  (BA) – Get Free Report shares lurched higher Friday following a report that suggested United Airlines  (UAL) – Get Free Report is close to making a deal for dozens of the planemaker’s trouble 787 Dreamliner.

    The Wall Street Journal reported that United could confirm the purchase as early as this month, noting the multi-billion dollar deal would mark a major win for Boeing over its European rival Airbus just as it resumes deliveries of the flagship aircraft following a host of regulatory and production issues.

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  • Home Page – MarketWatch

    Home Page – MarketWatch

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    Golden Dragon China ETF pulls back after record monthly rally in November

    The Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF started December with a pullback, after enjoying a record monthly rally in November amid increasing signs that China was starting to back off from the zero-COVID policy. The ETF, which tracks American depositary shares (ADS) of China-based companies that only list in the U.S., slipped 0.9% in premarket trading Thursday, after running up 9.6% on Wednesday and 41.8% in November. The pullback comes as futures for the S&P 500 tacked on 0.4%, after the index jumped 3.1% on Wednesday. The Golden Dragon ETF’s biggest decliner ahead of Thursday’s open was electric vehicle maker XPeng Inc.’s stock, which dropped 6.0% after rocketing a daily record 47.3% on Wednesday. Elsewhere, shares of Nio Inc. fell 2.0%, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. shed 2.5%, Li Auto Inc. gave up 3.6%, Tencent Music Entertainment Inc. declined 0.9% and Pinduoduo Inc. was down 2.3%.

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  • The Dow ‘exits’ bear-market territory. Here’s why investors should take it with a grain of salt

    The Dow ‘exits’ bear-market territory. Here’s why investors should take it with a grain of salt

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    After outperforming both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite in November, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has exited bear-market territory, based on oft-cited criteria, on the final trading day of the month.

    But before investors get too excited about a new bull market for equities, there’s plenty of reason for caution.

    The Dow
    DJIA,
    +2.18%

    finished Wednesday’s session at its highest closing level since April 21, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Thanks to the gains spurred by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments at the Brookings Institution, the blue-chip gain has now risen 20.4% from its Sept. 30 closing low, meaning it has technically exited bear-market territory. It’s the only major equity index to do so.

    Typically, when a given index or asset has risen 20% or more off a recent bear-market low, it is said to have technically exited bear-market territory.

    Throughout the history of financial markets, there have been many examples where stocks have rallied during a bear market, only to eventually turn lower and erase all of those gains.

    During drawn-out recessionary bear markets, stocks often rip higher, only to see their gains fizzle again and again. This has already happened more than three times since the start of 2022, including notable counter-rallies that occurred in March, in July and August, and again since mid-October, according to FactSet data.

    Looking further back, market history over the last couple of decades is replete with similar examples, as MarketWatch has reported.

    Following the bursting of the dot-com bubble, the Nasdaq Composite endured at least seven rallies of 20% or more before reaching its ultimate cycle low in 2002.

    Market strategists are especially cautious considering that the Fed still raising interest rates, although Fed Chairman Jerome Powell suggested on Wednesday that senior Fed officials will likely opt for a smaller hike in December after four consecutive 75 basis point hikes — remarks that helped fuel a broad stock-market surge.

    This ultimately underscores a simple point: it’s difficult to say when a bear market has truly ended, since the start of a new bull market is often only crystal-clear in retrospect — not unlike the challenge of determining the start of a recession.

    A similar precept holds true for the economy. While consecutive quarters of contracting gross domestic product are often described as a “technical” recession, this is not the criteria used by the National Bureau of Economic Research when determining whether the U.S. economy is actually in recession or not.

    As the Dow charged higher late last week, one UBS markets strategist warned that investors should anticipate more volatility.

    “We remain skeptical that the recent rally marks the start of a new market regime. The priority of the Fed is likely to remain the fight against inflation, pending a more consistent stream of softer prices and employment data. Against this backdrop, we favor adding to defensive assets in both equity and fixed-income markets,” said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.

    The blue-chip gauged finished Wednesday’s session at 34,589.77, having risen 737.24 points, or 2.2%. The S&P 500
    SPX,
    +3.09%

    and Nasdaq
    COMP,
    +4.41%

    also recorded strong gains of 3.1% and 4.4%. It was the best session for all three indexes in roughly three weeks.

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  • CrowdStrike stock drops nearly 20% as elongating sales cycle slows new subscriptions

    CrowdStrike stock drops nearly 20% as elongating sales cycle slows new subscriptions

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    CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. shares dropped in the extended session Tuesday after the cybersecurity company said new subscriptions came in below expectations amid macro headwinds and longer customer buying cycles.

    Given concern that businesses are cutting back on spending, CrowdStrike 
    CRWD,
    -1.04%

    shares plummeted nearly 20% after hours, following a 1% decline in the regular session to close at $138.

    George Kurtz, CrowdStrike’s co-founder and chief executive, told analysts on a conference call that the company reported $198.1 million in net new annual recurring revenue, or ARR, in the quarter, not as much as it had hoped. 

    ARR is a software-as-a-service metric that shows how much revenue the company can expect based on subscriptions. That grew 54% to $2.34 billion from the year-ago quarter, while the Street expected $2.35 billion. Kurtz said that about $10 million was deferred to future quarters.

    “We expect these macro headwinds to persist through Q4,” Kurtz told analysts.

    Burt Podbere, CrowdStrike’s chief financial officer, explained that the company relies on ARR because it’s “an X-ray into the contract sales.”

    “As George mentioned, even though we entered Q2 with a record pipeline, and we are expecting the elongated sales cycles due to macro concerns to continue, we’re not expecting to see the typical Q4 budget flush given the increased scrutiny on budgets.”

    Podbere said it is “prudent to assume” fourth-quarter net new ARR will be up to 10% below the third quarter’s. That would mean about a 10% year-over-year headwind going into the first half of next year, and “full-year net new ARR would be roughly flat to modestly up year over year.”

    “This would imply a low 30s ending ARR growth rate and a subscription revenue growth rate in the low to mid-30s for FY 2024,” Podbere said.

    Read: Cloud software is suffering a cold November rain. Can Snowflake and Salesforce turn things around?

    The company expects adjusted fiscal fourth-quarter earnings of 42 cents to 45 cents a share on revenue of $619.1 million to $628.2 million, while analysts surveyed by FactSet forecast earnings of 34 cents a share on revenue of $633.9 million, according to analysts.

    CrowdStrike expects full-year earnings of $1.49 to $1.52 a share on revenue of $2.22 billion to $2.23 billion. Wall Street expects $1.33 a share on revenue of $2.23 billion.

    The company reported a fiscal third-quarter loss of $55 million, or 24 cents a share, compared with a loss of $50.5 million, or 22 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted net income, which excludes stock-based compensation and other items, was 40 cents a share, compared with 17 cents a share in the year-ago period.

    Revenue rose to $580.9 million from $380.1 million in the year-ago quarter.

    Analysts expected CrowdStrike to report earnings of 28 cents a share on revenue of $516 million, based on the company’s outlook of 30 cents to 32 cents a share on revenue of $569.1 million to $575.9 million.

    So far in November, cloud software stocks have been getting trashed. While the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.16%

    has gained 2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.59%

    is flat, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
    IGV,
    -0.78%

    has fallen more than 2%, the Global X Cloud Computing ETF
    CLOU,
    -1.12%

    has declined more than 4%, the First Trust Cloud Computing ETF
    SKYY,
    -0.74%

    has fallen more than 6%, and the WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund
    WCLD,
    -1.05%

    has dropped more than 11%.

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  • 20 dividend stocks with high yields that have become more attractive right now

    20 dividend stocks with high yields that have become more attractive right now

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    Income-seeking investors are looking at an opportunity to scoop up shares of real estate investment trusts. Stocks in that asset class have become more attractive as prices have fallen and cash flow is improving.

    Below is a broad screen of REITs that have high dividend yields and are also expected to generate enough excess cash in 2023 to enable increases in dividend payouts.

    REIT prices may turn a corner in 2023

    REITs distribute most of their income to shareholders to maintain their tax-advantaged status. But the group is cyclical, with pressure on share prices when interest rates rise, as they have this year at an unprecedented scale. A slowing growth rate for the group may have also placed a drag on the stocks.

    And now, with talk that the Federal Reserve may begin to temper its cycle of interest-rate increases, we may be nearing the time when REIT prices rise in anticipation of an eventual decline in interest rates. The market always looks ahead, which means long-term investors who have been waiting on the sidelines to buy higher-yielding income-oriented investments may have to make a move soon.

    During an interview on Nov 28, James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and a member of the Federal Open Market Committee, discussed the central bank’s cycle of interest-rate increases meant to reduce inflation.

    When asked about the potential timing of the Fed’s “terminal rate” (the peak federal funds rate for this cycle), Bullard said: “Generally speaking, I have advocated that sooner is better, that you do want to get to the right level of the policy rate for the current data and the current situation.”

    Fed’s Bullard says in MarketWatch interview that markets are underpricing the chance of still-higher rates

    In August we published this guide to investing in REITs for income. Since the data for that article was pulled on Aug. 24, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.29%

    has declined 4% (despite a 10% rally from its 2022 closing low on Oct. 12), but the benchmark index’s real estate sector has declined 13%.

    REITs can be placed broadly into two categories. Mortgage REITs lend money to commercial or residential borrowers and/or invest in mortgage-backed securities, while equity REITs own property and lease it out.

    The pressure on share prices can be greater for mortgage REITs, because the mortgage-lending business slows as interest rates rise. In this article we are focusing on equity REITs.

    Industry numbers

    The National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (Nareit) reported that third-quarter funds from operations (FFO) for U.S.-listed equity REITs were up 14% from a year earlier. To put that number in context, the year-over-year growth rate of quarterly FFO has been slowing — it was 35% a year ago. And the third-quarter FFO increase compares to a 23% increase in earnings per share for the S&P 500 from a year earlier, according to FactSet.

    The NAREIT report breaks out numbers for 12 categories of equity REITs, and there is great variance in the growth numbers, as you can see here.

    FFO is a non-GAAP measure that is commonly used to gauge REITs’ capacity for paying dividends. It adds amortization and depreciation (noncash items) back to earnings, while excluding gains on the sale of property. Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) goes further, netting out expected capital expenditures to maintain the quality of property investments.

    The slowing FFO growth numbers point to the importance of looking at REITs individually, to see if expected cash flow is sufficient to cover dividend payments.

    Screen of high-yielding equity REITs

    For 2022 through Nov. 28, the S&P 500 has declined 17%, while the real estate sector has fallen 27%, excluding dividends.

    Over the very long term, through interest-rate cycles and the liquidity-driven bull market that ended this year, equity REITs have fared well, with an average annual return of 9.3% for 20 years, compared to an average return of 9.6% for the S&P 500, both with dividends reinvested, according to FactSet.

    This performance might surprise some investors, when considering the REITs’ income focus and the S&P 500’s heavy weighting for rapidly growing technology companies.

    For a broad screen of equity REITs, we began with the Russell 3000 Index
    RUA,
    -0.04%
    ,
    which represents 98% of U.S. companies by market capitalization.

    We then narrowed the list to 119 equity REITs that are followed by at least five analysts covered by FactSet for which AFFO estimates are available.

    If we divide the expected 2023 AFFO by the current share price, we have an estimated AFFO yield, which can be compared with the current dividend yield to see if there is expected “headroom” for dividend increases.

    For example, if we look at Vornado Realty Trust
    VNO,
    +1.03%
    ,
    the current dividend yield is 8.56%. Based on the consensus 2023 AFFO estimate among analysts polled by FactSet, the expected AFFO yield is only 7.25%. This doesn’t mean that Vornado will cut its dividend and it doesn’t even mean the company won’t raise its payout next year. But it might make it less likely to do so.

    Among the 119 equity REITs, 104 have expected 2023 AFFO headroom of at least 1.00%.

    Here are the 20 equity REITs from our screen with the highest current dividend yields that have at least 1% expected AFFO headroom:

    Company

    Ticker

    Dividend yield

    Estimated 2023 AFFO yield

    Estimated “headroom”

    Market cap. ($mil)

    Main concentration

    Brandywine Realty Trust

    BDN,
    +2.12%
    11.52%

    12.82%

    1.30%

    $1,132

    Offices

    Sabra Health Care REIT Inc.

    SBRA,
    +2.41%
    9.70%

    12.04%

    2.34%

    $2,857

    Health care

    Medical Properties Trust Inc.

    MPW,
    +2.53%
    9.18%

    11.46%

    2.29%

    $7,559

    Health care

    SL Green Realty Corp.

    SLG,
    +2.25%
    9.16%

    10.43%

    1.28%

    $2,619

    Offices

    Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.

    HPP,
    +1.41%
    9.12%

    12.69%

    3.57%

    $1,546

    Offices

    Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.

    OHI,
    +1.23%
    9.05%

    10.13%

    1.08%

    $6,936

    Health care

    Global Medical REIT Inc.

    GMRE,
    +2.55%
    8.75%

    10.59%

    1.84%

    $629

    Health care

    Uniti Group Inc.

    UNIT,
    +0.55%
    8.30%

    25.00%

    16.70%

    $1,715

    Communications infrastructure

    EPR Properties

    EPR,
    +0.86%
    8.19%

    12.24%

    4.05%

    $3,023

    Leisure properties

    CTO Realty Growth Inc.

    CTO,
    +2.22%
    7.51%

    9.34%

    1.83%

    $381

    Retail

    Highwoods Properties Inc.

    HIW,
    +0.99%
    6.95%

    8.82%

    1.86%

    $3,025

    Offices

    National Health Investors Inc.

    NHI,
    +2.59%
    6.75%

    8.32%

    1.57%

    $2,313

    Senior housing

    Douglas Emmett Inc.

    DEI,
    +0.87%
    6.74%

    10.30%

    3.55%

    $2,920

    Offices

    Outfront Media Inc.

    OUT,
    +0.89%
    6.68%

    11.74%

    5.06%

    $2,950

    Billboards

    Spirit Realty Capital Inc.

    SRC,
    +1.15%
    6.62%

    9.07%

    2.45%

    $5,595

    Retail

    Broadstone Net Lease Inc.

    BNL,
    -0.30%
    6.61%

    8.70%

    2.08%

    $2,879

    Industial

    Armada Hoffler Properties Inc.

    AHH,
    +0.00%
    6.38%

    7.78%

    1.41%

    $807

    Offices

    Innovative Industrial Properties Inc.

    IIPR,
    +1.42%
    6.24%

    7.53%

    1.29%

    $3,226

    Health care

    Simon Property Group Inc.

    SPG,
    +1.03%
    6.22%

    9.55%

    3.33%

    $37,847

    Retail

    LTC Properties Inc.

    LTC,
    +1.42%
    5.99%

    7.60%

    1.60%

    $1,541

    Senior housing

    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more about each company. You should read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    The list includes each REIT’s main property investment type. However, many REITs are highly diversified. The simplified categories on the table may not cover all of their investment properties.

    Knowing what a REIT invests in is part of the research you should do on your own before buying any individual stock. For arbitrary examples, some investors may wish to steer clear of exposure to certain areas of retail or hotels, or they may favor health-care properties.

    Largest REITs

    Several of the REITs that passed the screen have relatively small market capitalizations. You might be curious to see how the most widely held REITs fared in the screen. So here’s another list of the 20 largest U.S. REITs among the 119 that passed the first cut, sorted by market cap as of Nov. 28:

    Company

    Ticker

    Dividend yield

    Estimated 2023 AFFO yield

    Estimated “headroom”

    Market cap. ($mil)

    Main concentration

    Prologis Inc.

    PLD,
    +1.63%
    2.84%

    4.36%

    1.52%

    $102,886

    Warehouses and logistics

    American Tower Corp.

    AMT,
    +0.75%
    2.66%

    4.82%

    2.16%

    $99,593

    Communications infrastructure

    Equinix Inc.

    EQIX,
    +0.80%
    1.87%

    4.79%

    2.91%

    $61,317

    Data centers

    Crown Castle Inc.

    CCI,
    +0.93%
    4.55%

    5.42%

    0.86%

    $59,553

    Wireless Infrastructure

    Public Storage

    PSA,
    +0.19%
    2.77%

    5.35%

    2.57%

    $50,680

    Self-storage

    Realty Income Corp.

    O,
    +0.72%
    4.82%

    6.46%

    1.64%

    $38,720

    Retail

    Simon Property Group Inc.

    SPG,
    +1.03%
    6.22%

    9.55%

    3.33%

    $37,847

    Retail

    VICI Properties Inc.

    VICI,
    +0.81%
    4.69%

    6.21%

    1.52%

    $32,013

    Leisure properties

    SBA Communications Corp. Class A

    SBAC,
    +0.27%
    0.97%

    4.33%

    3.36%

    $31,662

    Communications infrastructure

    Welltower Inc.

    WELL,
    +3.06%
    3.66%

    4.76%

    1.10%

    $31,489

    Health care

    Digital Realty Trust Inc.

    DLR,
    +0.63%
    4.54%

    6.18%

    1.64%

    $30,903

    Data centers

    Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.

    ARE,
    +1.49%
    3.17%

    4.87%

    1.70%

    $24,451

    Offices

    AvalonBay Communities Inc.

    AVB,
    +0.98%
    3.78%

    5.69%

    1.90%

    $23,513

    Multifamily residential

    Equity Residential

    EQR,
    +1.46%
    4.02%

    5.36%

    1.34%

    $23,503

    Multifamily residential

    Extra Space Storage Inc.

    EXR,
    +0.31%
    3.93%

    5.83%

    1.90%

    $20,430

    Self-storage

    Invitation Homes Inc.

    INVH,
    +2.15%
    2.84%

    5.12%

    2.28%

    $18,948

    Single-family residental

    Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc.

    MAA,
    +1.83%
    3.16%

    5.18%

    2.02%

    $18,260

    Multifamily residential

    Ventas Inc.

    VTR,
    +2.22%
    4.07%

    5.95%

    1.88%

    $17,660

    Senior housing

    Sun Communities Inc.

    SUI,
    +2.12%
    2.51%

    4.81%

    2.30%

    $17,346

    Multifamily residential

    Source: FactSet

    Simon Property Group Inc.
    SPG,
    +1.03%

    is the only REIT to make both lists.

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  • Crypto lender BlockFi is suing Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in Robinhood: report

    Crypto lender BlockFi is suing Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in Robinhood: report

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    Just hours after filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in New Jersey on Monday, cryptocurrency lender BlockFi filed a lawsuit against a holding company by FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in trading platform Robinhood, the Financial Times reported.

    The suit was filed against Bankman-Fried’s vehicle Emergent Fidelity Technologies, of whom BlockFi is seeking to recover unpaid collateral.

    The filing – also lodged in New Jersey – says BlockFi entered into a pledge agreement with Emergent on Nov. 9 stating that an unnamed borrower was obliged to pledge “certain shares of common stock” and has breached the agreement by failing to comply with its payment obligations.

    The Financial Times reports the collateral in question is Bankman-Fried’s 7.6% stake in Robinhood which he bought earlier this year.

    “Emergent has defaulted on its obligations under the pledge agreement and failed to satisfy its obligations thereunder despite written notice of default and acceleration,” the lawsuit filing says.

    The lawsuit also named London-based brokerage ED&F Man Capital Markets for refusing to “transfer the collateral” to BlockFi.

    “This is a highly complex matter,” a spokesperson for ED&F Man Capital Markets told MarketWatch in an emailed statement.

    “We cannot comment on matters that are subject to legal proceedings but will of course comply with any direction given by the judge,” they added.

    On Monday, BlockFi, who was once valued at $3 billion, filed for bankruptcy protection after becoming the latest company to be pushed over the edge from the collapse of crypto exchange FTX.

    See also: BlockFi’s big creditors include an indenture trustee firm, FTX and the SEC

    The lawsuit is the latest headache for Bankman-Fried, who is already the subject of a number of investigations in the U.S. and the Bahamas – where FTX was based. The downfall of FTX has triggered a chain reaction of crypto-casualties including crypto financial-services firm Genesis.

    FTX collapse to be focus of Senate hearing Thursday — here’s what to watch for

    BlockFi and representatives of Bankman-Fried did not immediately respond to MarketWatch’s request for comment.

    See also: Bitcoin prices under pressure as cracks spread across crypto industry

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  • Dow closes off nearly 500 points as Fed speak, China worries rattle markets

    Dow closes off nearly 500 points as Fed speak, China worries rattle markets

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    U.S. stocks finished sharply lower on Monday as several senior Federal Reserve officials hurt demand for stocks with hawkish commentary, while worries about the burgeoning protest movement in China rippled across global markets. The S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.54%

    finished down 62.17 points, or 1.5%, to 3,96395. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -1.45%

    closed off 497.57 points, or 1.5%, to 33,849.46. The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -1.58%

    closed 176.86 points, or 1.6%, lower at 11,049.50.

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  • Stock market could see ‘fireworks’ through the end of the year as headwinds have ‘flipped,’ Fundstrat’s Tom Lee says

    Stock market could see ‘fireworks’ through the end of the year as headwinds have ‘flipped,’ Fundstrat’s Tom Lee says

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    Several headwinds that pummeled the stock market in 2022 have turned into tailwinds, setting the stage for a rally in U.S. equities heading into year-end, according to Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors.

    “The Thanksgiving holiday has ended and now markets are entering the final key weeks of 2022,” said Lee, head of research at Fundstrat, in a note Monday. “While many may be tempted to ‘close the books’ for the year, we think the final 5 weeks will be ‘fireworks.’”

    In Lee’s view, 11 headwinds that this year helped drive the S&P 500 index to a 2022 low in October, including surging oil prices and the Federal Reserve’s hurry to lift interest rates higher to battle soaring inflation, “have all flipped.” On Monday morning, U.S. oil was trading at the lowest price of 2022 amid protests in China over the country’s strict rules aimed at curbing the spread of COVID-19, restrictions that investors fear will hurt consumption and economic growth.

    Lee said he saw the easing of inflation in October, as measured by the consumer price index, as a “game changer” for markets, with the case for “a sustainable rally in equities” being the strongest that it’s been so far this year. Here are the 2022 headwinds that Lee sees becoming tailwinds.


    FUNDSTRAT NOTE DATED NOV. 28, 2022

    Lee said that softer inflation seen in October appears “repeatable” and that the easing of price pressures should be “sufficient” for the Fed to slow its rapid pace of rate hikes, with December potentially being the last increase. Also, “if inflation is ‘as bad as 1980s’ I would have thought midterms would have been an incumbent massacre,” Lee said of the recent U.S. elections.

    He said that other recent signals point to “a far different path forward for markets,” including “collapsing” volatility in the bond market and a relatively large decline in the U.S. dollar. Lee pointed to the plunge in the CBOE 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Volatility Index, saying he anticipated that a further decline would support the S&P 500 soaring to 4,400 to 4,500 by year-end. 

    The S&P 500 ended Friday down 15.5% for the year, but up more than 12% from its 2022 closing low on Oct. 12, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

    U.S. stocks traded lower on Monday, with the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.54%

    down 0.8% at around 3,995, according to FactSet data. In the bond market, 10-year Treasury yields
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.712%

    were flat at 3.69% around midday Monday, while two-year yields
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    4.467%

    fell about five basis points to 4.43%. 

    U.S. yields have recently seen a “massive decline ranking in the bottom 1% largest downside moves in the past 50-years,” said Lee. The odds are rising that 10-year and 2-year yields may be past their peaks, potentially supporting an expansion in price-to-earnings multiples in stocks, according to his note. 

    “Skeptics will say “growth is the problem now” and point to downside” in the S&P 500’s earnings per share, or EPS, said Lee.  But the index historically has “bottomed 11-12 months before EPS troughs,” he said. “So EPS is lagging.”

    Read: S&P 500 earnings estimates for 2023 take ‘complete U-turn’ as recession risks loom, according to BofA

    Also see: Barclays says cash may be ‘real winner’ in 2023 while recommending bonds over stocks

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  • Crypto firm BlockFi files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New Jersey

    Crypto firm BlockFi files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New Jersey

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    Digital-asset lender BlockFi Inc., a cryptocurrency company that once enjoyed a valuation of $3 billion, has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New Jersey, according to a Monday press release. The firm is the latest major crypto company to be felled by the ructions in the cryptocurrency space that have intensified since the start of 2022. BlockFi cited the downfall of cryptocurrency exchange FTX and its associated companies for pushing it over the edge into. As a result, representatives of the company said in the press release that BlockFi will focus on recovering all obligations owed to it by FTX and other companies, although it expects these efforts will be “delayed.” BlockFi said it has $256.9 million in cash on hand, which it plans to use to continue with ongoing operations during the restructuring process. It has submitted filings to the bankruptcy court asking that it be allowed to continue paying employees and providing their benefits to support ongoing operations. Alongside the bankruptcy court filing in New Jersey, BlockFi International, a Bermuda incorporated company, has filed a petition with the Supreme Court of Bermuda for the appointment of joint provisional liquidators in accordance with Bermuda law. However, the company expects client claims will be handled through the Chapter 11 process. BlockFi is only the latest crypto company to declare bankruptcy this year. Earlier this month, FTX collapsed. The company was among the firms that had agreed to a bailout from FTX earlier this year.

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  • U.S. stock futures fall as Chinese protests rattle markets, oil hits 2022 low

    U.S. stock futures fall as Chinese protests rattle markets, oil hits 2022 low

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    U.S. stock-index futures sank Sunday night, as Asian markets fell following widespread public demonstrations in China and as oil prices hit a 2022 low.

    Dow Jones Industrial Average futures
    YM00,
    -0.47%

    fell more than 150 points, or 0.5%, as of 10 p.m. Eastern, while S&P 500 futures
    ES00,
    -0.64%

    and Nasdaq-100 futures
    NQ00,
    -0.80%

    dropped even more sharply.

    Wall Street finished mixed on Friday with the Dow notching its highest close since April 21. The S&P 500 
    SPX,
    -0.03%

     finished down 1.1 points, or less than 0.1%, at 4,026.12; the Dow Jones Industrial Average 
    DJIA,
    +0.45%

     closed 152.97 points, or 0.5%, higher at 34,347.03; and the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    +1.42%

     shed 58.96 points, or 0.5%, to 11,226.36.

    Stocks in Asia declined Monday, led by a 2% fall by Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index
    HSI,
    -2.05%
    .
    The Shanghai Composite
    SHCOMP,
    -1.03%

    slid as well, as thousands of protesters in major Chinese cities, including Shanghai, called for President Xi Jinping to resign. The unprecedented protests were spurred by frustration with China’s strict lockdowns as part of its “zero-COVID” policy.

    “Sentiment has turned sour as unrest across China grows,” Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, said in a note Sunday night. “The risk of the situation escalating from here and short-term volatility remains high.”

    Oil prices fell sharply Sunday as well, as investors worried about slipping demand in China. West Texas Intermediate crude futures
    CL.1,
    -2.71%

    were last down more than 2%, at $74.27 a barrel, its lowest price year to date. Prices for Brent crude
    BRNF23,
    -2.70%
    ,
    the international standard, sank as well.

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  • FTX Collapse: Billionaire Mark Cuban Gives Crypto a Dream Boost

    FTX Collapse: Billionaire Mark Cuban Gives Crypto a Dream Boost

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    The abrupt and rapid collapse of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange has caused a shock in the crypto space.

    The fall, in a few days, of a company valued at $32 billion in February, ended up casting suspicion on the entire young industry of financial services, based on the Blockchain technology.

    Confidence in the industry is at an all-time low. Retail investors have fled, while institutional investors, linked to FTX and its sister company Alameda Research, are still determining their losses from their exposure to Sam Bankman-Fried’s empire.

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  • Is the market bottom in? 5 reasons U.S. stocks could continue to suffer heading into next year.

    Is the market bottom in? 5 reasons U.S. stocks could continue to suffer heading into next year.

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    With the S&P 500 holding above 4,000 and the CBOE Volatility Gauge, known as the “Vix” or Wall Street’s “fear gauge,”
    VIX,
    +0.74%

    having fallen to one of its lowest levels of the year, many investors across Wall Street are beginning to wonder if the lows are finally in for stocks — especially now that the Federal Reserve has signaled a slower pace of interest rate hikes going forward.

    But the fact remains: inflation is holding near four-decade highs and most economists expect the U.S. economy to slide into a recession next year.

    The last six weeks have been kind to U.S. stocks. The S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.03%

    continued to climb after a stellar October for stocks, and as a result has been trading above its 200-day moving average for a couple of weeks now.

    What’s more, after having led the market higher since mid-October, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.23%

    is on the cusp of exiting bear-market territory, having risen more than 19% from its late-September low.

    Some analysts are worried that these recent successes could mean that U.S. stocks have become overbought. Independent analyst Helen Meisler made her case for this in a recent piece she wrote for CMC Markets.

    “My estimation is that the market is slightly overbought on an intermediate-term basis, but could become fully overbought in early December,” Meisler said. And she’s hardly alone in anticipating that stocks might soon experience another pullback.

    Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson, who has become one of Wall Street’s most closely followed analysts after anticipating this year’s bruising selloff, said earlier this week that he expects the S&P 500 will bottom around 3,000 during the first quarter of next year, resulting in a “terrific” buying opportunity.

    With so much uncertainty plaguing the outlook for stocks, corporate profits, the economy and inflation, among other factors, here are a few things investors might want to parse before deciding whether an investable low in stocks has truly arrived, or not.

    Dimming expectations around corporate profits could hurt stocks

    Earlier this month, equity strategists at Goldman Sachs Group
    GS,
    +0.68%

    and Bank of America Merrill Lynch
    BAC,
    +0.24%

    warned that they expect corporate earnings growth to stagnate next year. While analysts and corporations have cut their profit guidance, many on Wall Street expect more cuts to come heading into next year, as Wilson and others have said.

    This could put more downward pressure on stocks as corporate earnings growth has slowed, but still limped along, so far this year, thanks in large part to surging profits for U.S. oil and gas companies.

    History suggests that stocks won’t bottom until the Fed cuts rates

    One notable chart produced by analysts at Bank of America has made the rounds several times this year. It shows how over the past 70 years, U.S. stocks have tended not to bottom until after the Fed has cut interest-rates.

    Typically, stocks don’t begin the long slog higher until after the Fed has squeezed in at least a few cuts, although during March 2020, the nadir of the COVID-19-inspired selloff coincided almost exactly with the Fed’s decision to slash rates back to zero and unleash massive monetary stimulus.


    BANK OF AMERICA

    Then again, history is no guarantee of future performance, as market strategists are fond of saying.

    Fed’s benchmark policy rate could rise further than investors expect

    Fed funds futures, which traders use to speculate on the path forward for the Fed funds rate, presently see interest-rates peaking in the middle of next year, with the first cut most likely arriving in the fourth quarter, according to the CME’s FedWatch tool.

    However, with inflation still well above the Fed’s 2% target, it’s possible — perhaps even likely — that the central bank will need to keep interest rates higher for longer, inflicting more pain on stocks, said Mohannad Aama, a portfolio manager at Beam Capital.

    “Everyone is expecting a cut in the second half of 2023,” Aama told MarketWatch. “However, ‘higher for longer’ will prove to be for the entire duration of 2023, which most folks haven’t modeled,” he said.

    Higher interest rates for longer would be particularly bad news for growth stocks and the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.52%
    ,
    which outperformed during the era of rock-bottom interest rates, market strategists say.

    But if inflation doesn’t swiftly recede, the Fed might have little choice but to persevere, as several senior Fed officials — including Chairman Jerome Powell — have said in their public comments. While markets celebrated modestly softer-than-expected readings on October inflation, Aama believes wage growth hasn’t peaked yet, which could keep pressure on prices, among other factors.

    Earlier this month, a team of analysts at Bank of America shared a model with clients which showed that inflation might not substantially dissipate until 2024. According to the most recent Fed “dot plot” of interest rate forecasts, senior Fed policy makers expect rates will peak next year.

    But the Fed’s own forecasts rarely pan out. This has been especially true in recent years. For example, the Fed backed off the last time it tried to materially raise interest rates after President Donald Trump lashed out at the central bank and ructions rattled the repo market. Ultimately, the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic inspired the central bank to slash rates back to the zero bound.

    Bond market is still telegraphing a recession ahead

    Hopes that the U.S. economy might avoid a punishing recession have certainly helped to bolster stocks, market analysts said, but in the bond market, an increasingly inverted Treasury yield curve is sending the exact opposite message.

    The yield on the 2-year Treasury note
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    4.479%

    on Friday was trading more than 75 basis points higher than the 10-year note
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.687%

    at around its most inverted level in more than 40 years.

    At this point, both the 2s/10s yield curve and 3m/10s yield curve have become substantially inverted. Inverted yield curves are seen as reliable recession indicators, with historical data showing that a 3m/10s inversion is even more effective at predicting looming downturns than the 2s/10s inversion.

    With markets sending mixed messages, market strategists said investors should pay more attention to the bond market.

    “It’s not a perfect indicator, but when stock and bond markets differ I tend to believe the bond market,” said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers.

    Ukraine remains a wild card

    To be sure, it’s possible that a swift resolution to the war in Ukraine could send global stocks higher, as the conflict has disrupted the flow of critical commodities including crude oil, natural gas and wheat, helping to stoke inflation around the world.

    But some have also imagined how continued success on the part of the Ukrainians could provoke an escalation by Russia, which could be very, very bad for markets, not to mention humanity. As Clocktower Group’s Marko Papic said: “I actually think the biggest risk to the market is that Ukraine continues to illustrate to the world just how capable it is. Further successes by Ukraine could then prompt a reaction by Russia that is non-conventional. This would be the biggest risk [for U.S. stocks],” Papic said in emailed comments to MarketWatch.

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  • Black Friday Brings a Darker Outlook for Tesla

    Black Friday Brings a Darker Outlook for Tesla

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    When Black Friday comes…. Steely Dan is dominating my mental soundtrack this morning. But, as I mentioned in my column earlier this week, I like to stay away from the herd. So, instead of focusing on mall traffic or Amazon Prime (AMZN) activity, I will focus on a much larger consumer base than the one in the U.S.: China.

    The People’s Bank of China reportedly will cut the reserve requirement ratio for most banks by a quarter percentage point by Dec. 5, which would pour in about $70 billion of liquidity into the economy. 

    I spend so much time on the energy sector that I have adopted its lingo. We always talk about the marginal demand for a barrel of oil. So, if we look at the global economy, China is counted upon to be the marginal demand for … just about everything.

    Yes, that obviously impacts oil, and the recent zero-Covid lockdowns in Beijing and other cities have indeed pressured oil via its Brent crude pricing benchmark. Brent is flat now at $85.30/barrel.

    But energy is still the best of a bad bunch of U.S. stocks. I saw the stat the other day that energy is the only one of the 12 S&P 500 sectors that has posted a gain thus far in 2022. Rest assured that I am not selling any energy names now, nor do I plan to before Dec. 23.

    But when I look at the Chinese consumer, I am focused on purchases of goods, not commodities. The first name that jumps to mind as a China Play is Tesla (TSLA) .

    China’s auto safety regulators announced yet another recall action Friday on older Teslas (models that were actually made at Tesla’s California facility). A terrible record on initial quality combined with a softening macro environment in China does not bode well for Tesla’s global growth prospects. Elon Musk knew that he had to grow where the marginal growth was in the global economy, so he opened Tesla Shanghai. But macro rules the micro, just as much in China as it does in the U.S.

    Earlier this year, the Insane Clown Posse of sell-side analysts that pretends to follow Tesla were climbing all over each other to raise forecasts for Tesla’s unit deliveries for 2022. The highest forecast I saw was 1.7 million units, but now, with a slower China and an awful Europe (Tesla opened a factory in Germany this year) it looks as if consensus is sitting at 1.35 million units delivered for Tesla in 2022. I think they will struggle to get to 1.3 mm units.

    Those unit delivery forecast declines were largely a factor of analysts lowering forecasts for Tesla’s deliveries in China. As delivery wait times mysteriously disappear on Tesla’s Chinese website, we can see that demand has dissipated there. The Model 3 is 5.5 years old and is no longer selling well in China (or anywhere else,) and the Y, while still selling well, is expensive for the average Chinese consumer.

    Tesla was painted as a China Play, and with China slowing so much that its Central Bank is throwing open the monetary spigot, look for Elon to continue to focus his energies elsewhere. As TSLA shares have declined by around 50% this year, I don’t blame him for doing so.

    (For some bonus content, and if you were understandably more focused on family and football yesterday than Brazilian financial media, this is my interview with Brazil Journal regarding Elon Musk, Twitter (TWTR) and Tesla that posted yesterday on that excellent site.)_

    Black Friday comes for everyone. Just make sure your portfolio doesn’t have one today, or any other Friday in the foreseeable future.

    Get an email alert each time I write an article for Real Money. Click the “+Follow” next to my byline to this article.

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  • Credit Suisse shares tumble after flagging $1.6 billion 4Q loss amid strain for wealth management comes

    Credit Suisse shares tumble after flagging $1.6 billion 4Q loss amid strain for wealth management comes

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    Credit Suisse Group AG shares tumbled in Wednesday morning trading after the bank said asset outflows at its wealth-management business would lead to a fifth consecutive quarterly loss.

    Shares
    CS,
    -1.45%

    CSGN,
    -4.64%

    at 0830 GMT were down 4.9% to CHF3.66.

    The Swiss lender said it expects to post a loss before taxes of around 1.5 billion Swiss francs ($1.58 billion) in the fourth quarter, after lower deposits and assets under management led to reduced commissions and fees.

    The bank, Switzerland’s second-largest by assets, said that it net-asset outflows in the quarter to Nov. 11 were around 6%, or $88.3 billion of its total $1.47 trillion assets under management.

    At the bank’s wealth-management arm, its key business serving the world’s rich, customers removed $66.7 billion.

    It came after the Zurich-based company experienced deposit and net-asset outflows in the first two weeks of October, it said, after social-media reports and a spike in credit-default swaps caused a frenzy over the bank’s financial position.

    The bank said the outflows led its liquidity to fall below some local-level legal requirements, but it maintained its required group-level liquidity and funding ratios at all times.

    Write to Ed Frankl at edward.frankl@dowjones.com

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  • Understanding The Rise And Fall Of FTX, FTT And Alameda Research

    Understanding The Rise And Fall Of FTX, FTT And Alameda Research

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    The rise and fall of FTX and Sam Bankman-Fried revealed holes in the crypto space that industry peers, the media, and government officials either chose to overlook or refused to question further.

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  • Truist unveils digital investment solution | Bank Automation News

    Truist unveils digital investment solution | Bank Automation News

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    Truist Financial has launched Truist Trade, a self-directed investing solution that allows clients to open investment accounts and conduct online trading. The $534 billion bank unveiled the offering last week as an addition to its Truist Wealth portfolio, according to a Truist release. There are no minimum account requirements, along with commission-free trades for stocks, […]

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    Whitney McDonald

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  • Tesla stock at two-year low, other EV-maker shares plunge as concerns simmer about China, oil futures

    Tesla stock at two-year low, other EV-maker shares plunge as concerns simmer about China, oil futures

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    Tesla Inc. shares on Monday were poised to end at a fresh two-year low, with shares of other electric-vehicle makers also underperforming the broader equity market as worries about China’s COVID-19 lockdowns re-emerged and oil futures prices dropped to their lowest level since January.

    Shares of Tesla
    TSLA,
    -6.84%

    extended their losing streak to a fourth session and were on track for their lowest close since Nov. 20, 2020, when they closed at $163.20. The stock was the 10th worst performer in the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.39%

    and fourth worst in the Nasdaq 100
    COMP,
    -1.09%

    — and the most active stock on both exchanges.

    American depositary shares of several China-based EV makers, including Nio Inc.
    NIO,
    -4.30%

    and XPeng Inc.
    XPEV,
    -5.67%
    ,
    also underperformed the broader market. In contrast, shares of General Motors Co.
    GM,
    -0.63%

    and Ford Motor Co.
    F,
    -0.29%

    merely edged lower.

    The energy sector was taking a broad beating as well, with the SPDR Energy Select Sector ETF
    XLE,
    -1.35%

    looking at a four-week low.

    Related: GM’s EV roadmap is ‘ambitious,’ but Wall Street doesn’t give it full credit just yet

    Tesla’s underperformance as compared with the broader indexes holds on a monthly and yearly basis as well. The stock is down more than 25% so far in November and 52% this year.

    If the trend continues, this would be the worst yearly performance for the stock on record.

    The S&P has lost about 17% year to date and has clawed back to a 2% gain so far in November.

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  • Dear Penny: Can I Keep My $150K Inheritance Secret From My Kids’ Dad?

    Dear Penny: Can I Keep My $150K Inheritance Secret From My Kids’ Dad?

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    Dear Penny,

    I have inherited $150,000 from my father. What can I do with the money so that my children’s father will not know about it ever? Also, what is the best thing to do to make a safe profit with the inherited money? 

    My children’s father is totally an uncontrollable spender. I really believe it’s a serious illness he’s always had, along with many mental disorders. He is a 100% disabled veteran. What should I do right now?

    -K.

    Dear K.,

    Suppose your kids’ father would somehow learn of your inheritance. It really wouldn’t matter because he wouldn’t be entitled to it. Even when two people are married, inheritances and gifts belong solely to the inheriting spouse. So the worst-case scenario is that your ex finds out about your $150,000 windfall, asks you for money and you refuse to give it to him. (The one exception here would be if you owed him child support, in which case the state’s child support agency could go after you for the money.)

    Depending on how your father left you this money, your inheritance may be a matter of public record. If he left you money in his will, your children’s father could find out about your inheritance if he requested probate court records for your father’s estate. But if you received this money through a trust or you were the beneficiary of a retirement account or life insurance policy, this information would generally be confidential.

    Got a Burning Money Question?

    Get practical advice for your money challenges from Robin Hartill, a Certified Financial Planner and the voice of Dear Penny.

    DISCLAIMER: Select questions will appear in The Penny Hoarder’s “Dear Penny” column. We are unable to answer every letter. We reserve the right to edit and publish your questions. But don’t worry — your identity will remain anonymous. Dear Penny columns are for general informational purposes only, but we promise to provide sound advice based on our own research and insights.

    But let’s be realistic. What are the odds that your kids’ father would go snooping through court records to see if you got an inheritance? Loose lips seem like a far likelier source of this information.

    The best way to stop your ex from discovering your inheritance is to not talk about your inheritance. Not with him, obviously. Not with mutual friends and acquaintances. And not with your kids, assuming they don’t already know.  It’s not fair to ask them to keep a secret from their father, especially if they’re young. 

    Now let’s talk about what to do with that money. The first step I’d take is to establish a six-month emergency fund for you and your kids. You always want money stashed away for an unexpected expense or loss of income, but that’s especially important as fears of a recession grow. Keep that money in a high-yield savings account so you can access your cash when you need it while earning a bit on your principal. If you have debt other than a mortgage or a low-interest car loan, paying it off would also give you a good return since you’d save money on interest.

    Once you have your six-month emergency fund, I’d recommend simply putting it in an S&P 500 index fund and letting the money grow. With an S&P 500 index fund, you’re investing across 500 companies representing roughly 80% of the U.S. stock market. 

    Some years (ahem, 2022), your investment will be down, but the S&P 500 has a remarkable track record of delivering profits over long periods. In an average year, returns are around 10%. If you earned average returns, a $100,000 investment would grow to over $670,000 in about 20 years, even if you never contributed another cent.

    It’s essential that you keep that money put so it can grow. Establishing your emergency fund provides a safeguard so you don’t have to withdraw your money for short-term needs. But it’s just as important that you commit to saying “no” to your children’s father if he comes to you asking for money. I don’t know the nature of your current relationship, but it’s pretty clear that his destructive spending has affected you. Even if he would somehow discover your inheritance, make a firm commitment that you won’t use a dime of this money to bail him out of any future messes.

    A $150,000 inheritance can buy you significant financial security, but it’s not a winning Powerball ticket. It’s not enough to splurge on a new home and luxury car or the kind of lifestyle upgrades that would draw attention. If you don’t broadcast your inheritance, odds are good that you can keep it private. 

    Robin Hartill is a certified financial planner and a senior writer at The Penny Hoarder. Send your tricky money questions to [email protected].


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    robin@thepennyhoarder.com (Robin Hartill, CFP®)

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