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Tag: inflation data

  • In his national address, President Trump claimed he’s bringing prices down. Here’s what the data shows.

    After nearly two months without new consumer price data, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its latest report Thursday, providing a glimpse at energy costs, food prices and other everyday expenses.

    According to the consumer price index, inflation slowed in November, with prices rising 0.2% over the 0.3% observed in September. (BLS could not collect October data because of the government shutdown.)

    Still, inflation remains stubbornly high. Compared with a year ago, consumer costs are up about 2.7%.

    Thursday’s report came just a day after President Donald Trump delivered a prime-time address from the White House in which he largely discussed affordability concerns, from housing costs to grocery prices, saying the U.S. is “poised for an economic boom.”

    “The last administration and their allies in Congress looted our treasury for trillions of dollars, driving up prices and everything at levels never seen before. I am bringing those high prices down and bringing them down very fast.”

    In truth, of the 11 everyday costs tracked month to month by the consumer price index, only five have decreased since January.

    Here’s a closer look at the president’s claims and how prices are changing, or not, during his second term in office.

    To see the average U.S. price of a specific good, click on the drop-down arrow below and select the item you wish to view.

    Eggs

    In the wake of all-time highs set earlier this year, egg prices have collapsed in recent months.

    That downward trend continued in November, with the price dropping a whopping 63 cents from September and settling at $2.86 per dozen. It’s the first time since June 2024 that the average nationwide price for a dozen large Grade A eggs registered below the $3 mark.

    This steep drop-off in prices is a result of a declining number of bird flu cases in commercial and backyard flocks. In the first two months of 2025, tens of millions of birds were affected by highly pathogenic avian influenza across 39 states, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture data. With entire flocks culled to prevent the spread of the virus, the egg supply was strained, leading to shortages in stores and record costs for consumers.

    Following another spike in cases in the early fall, the number of new infections appears to be subsiding again, with less than 2 million U.S. birds affected in the past two months. More notably, zero outbreaks among egg-laying chickens have been reported in November and December.

    Consequently, costs are “falling rapidly” as highlighted by Trump in his prime-time address earlier this week.

    “The price of eggs is down 82% since March, and everything else is falling rapidly. And it’s not done yet, but boy are we making progress. Nobody can believe what’s going on.”

    While egg prices have dropped considerably from March’s record high of $6.23 per dozen, the difference of roughly $3.37 from March to November represents a 54% decrease — not the 82% cited by the president.

    In a statement given to the Tribune, a White House official clarified that he was referring to wholesale costs, not retail prices.

    Milk

    The cost of milk also saw a measurable decrease from the previous month, falling 13 cents.

    A gallon of fresh, fortified whole milk is now priced at $4.00 — that’s 2.5% less than it was in December 2024, before Trump took office.

    Bread

    The average price of white bread fell in November to $1.79 per pound, marking a three-year low for the pantry staple. Time for bread pudding, anyone?

    Bananas

    The cost of bananas fell slightly from September’s all-time highs, dropping just a fraction of a cent to $0.66 per pound in November.

    Recent price inflation is likely a byproduct of the president’s trade war, with tariffs imposed on the country’s top banana suppliers like Guatemala, Ecuador, Costa Rica, Colombia, Honduras and Mexico — all of which are currently subject to an import tax of at least 10%.

    But in mid-November, Trump took action to combat rising grocery costs, announcing that some agricultural products would be exempt from tariffs due to “current domestic demand for certain products” and “current domestic capacity to produce certain products.”

    Both fresh and dried bananas were among the listed exemptions, indicating that lower prices may be around the corner.

    Oranges

    No data on orange prices was available for November.

    However, in September, the cost of navel oranges was listed at $1.80 per pound, less than a cent shy of record highs and nearly 18% more than they were at the start of the Trump administration.

    Drastically low domestic orange production combined with steep tariffs on foreign growers have been helping to push costs skyward. But, as with bananas, oranges are now exempt from most reciprocal tariffs.

    Tomatoes

    As of November, the cost of field-grown tomatoes was $1.83 per pound. That price is 8 cents lower than the previous month of data and down roughly 12% since Trump took power.

    The change is somewhat abnormal given the growing season, as prices typically rise in the fall and peak in the early winter months, and could be attributable to the Trump administration’s recent course reversal on many of its tomato tariffs.

    Chicken

    The cost of fresh, whole chicken fell for a fourth consecutive month, to $2.04 per pound — its lowest price in a year.

    Rising feed costs and the effects of bird flu on the poultry supply chain have driven persistently higher prices, but with the number of cases dropping again, we could see lower prices in the new year.

    Still, the average cost is only about 2 cents less than it was when President Joe Biden left the White House.

    Ground beef

    Ground beef is getting more expensive.

    After shoppers saw some relief in September from climbing costs, the price of ground beef jumped another 18 cents.

    Rising costs can be attributed to a confluence of factors. The U.S. cattle inventory is the lowest it’s been in almost 75 years, and severe drought in parts of the country has further reduced the feed supply, per the USDA. Additionally, steep tariff rates on top beef importers also played a part in higher prices stateside, but as of Nov. 13 high-quality cuts, processed beef and live cattle are exempt from most countries’ levies.

    Still, since the change of administrations, ground beef costs have ballooned by 18% — translating to $1 per pound price increases at the grocery store.

    As of November, a pound of 100% ground beef chuck would set you back about $6.50.

    Electricity

    Electric costs have also been steadily rising.

    At approximately 19 cents per kilowatt-hour, the current price of electricity is a fraction of a cent off August’s high. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the average American household uses 899 kWh every four weeks, translating to a monthly bill of about $170.

    Thankfully, the White House appears to be working to mitigate mounting costs. In his presidential address, Trump claimed that within the next 12 months his administration will have opened 1,600 new electrical generating plants.

    “Prices on electricity and everything else will fall dramatically,” Trump said.

    For many Americans, relief is needed. Since last December, the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour has increased more than 7%.

    Gasoline

    Declining gas prices were another highlight of Trump’s Wednesday night remarks.

    The cost of gasoline has tumbled from the record-setting prices Americans saw three summers ago under Biden, and just last month, the price at the pump dropped more than 10 cents per gallon.

    “On day one I declared a national energy emergency,” Trump said. “Gasoline is now under $2.50 a gallon in much of the country. In some states, it by the way, just hit $1.99 a gallon.”

    According to the latest CPI data, the average nationwide cost for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline is $3.23. And though prices are noticeably lower than they were two to three years ago, that average remains higher than it was just a year ago and up nearly 3% during the Trump presidency.

    Prices in Chicago, meanwhile, are about the same month-over-month, costing an average of $3.29 per gallon, according to EIA data.

    Natural gas

    Bucking its previous downward trend, piped utility gas, or natural gas, is another expense that’s climbing. The nationwide cost jumped 3 cents in November, landing at $1.64 per therm.

    On average, Americans are paying close to 8% more to heat their homes, ovens and stovetops than when Biden left office. Year-over-year, that gap is even more drastic: a roughly 10% change or difference of 15 cents per therm.

    Claire Malon

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  • Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise amid trade-war lull, with flurry of earnings on deck

    US stocks stepped higher on Monday as Wall Street kicked off a packed week full of high-profile earnings and a delayed release of key inflation data.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) nudged up roughly 0.4%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.5%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) also gained around 0.5%, with stocks coming off weekly wins.

    Wall Street was assessing the fallout from a major Amazon (AMZN) AWS outage early on Monday morning, the ripple effect of which took platforms such as Robinhood (HOOD) offline. The cloud giant underpins services for a swathe of top companies, and users reported disruption at websites ranging from United Airlines (UAL) to Reddit (RDDT). AWS operations are now returning to normal, the Amazon unit said.

    Markets are also setting aside a laundry list of worries to focus instead on earnings season, which shifts into high gear this week. Hopes are high, with reports from Tesla (TSLA), Intel (INTC), Netflix (NFLX), and Coca-Cola (KO) leading the highlights in a busy roster.

    On Monday, eyes will be on Zions Bancorp’s (ZION) third quarter results due after the bell. The regional lender’s disclosure of bad loans linked to fraud last week spooked investors with concerns about US credit quality.

    A lull on the trade war front also provided solace. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said relations with Beijing have “de-escalated” and said US-China talks are set to resume this week in Malaysia.

    On Sunday, President Trump listed the top issues for the US — rare earths, fentanyl, and soybeans — in a sign the White House is continuing to soften its stance. That raised optimism that Trump’s promised 100% additional tariff on Chinese imports set for Nov. 1 may not come to pass.

    Meanwhile, the US government shutdown has entered its third week, with Democrats and Republicans still at odds over federal healthcare subsidies. Economists warn that a prolonged standoff could dent near-term GDP growth, though most see any slowdown as likely temporary.

    The federal stoppage has slammed the brakes on inflation and jobs data key to the Federal Reserve’s decision making. But the Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release September’s Consumer Price Index on Friday, delayed from last week. The data could prove pivotal to the Fed’s rate path, as policymakers enter a quiet period ahead of their two-day meeting next week.

    LIVE 9 updates

    • Apple stock opens at record as strong iPhone 17 sales boost optimism

      Apple (AAPL) stock opened up more than 2.5% on Monday to trade at a record high after research firm Counterpoint Research said in a note Monday that the firm’s latest iPhone 17 was on track to outsell its predecessor model by some 14% in its first 10 days on the market.

      Apple has been a laggard among its Big Tech peers, rising less than 3% so far this year against a nearly 14% gain for the S&P 500.

      The company launched the newest version of its iPhone late last month, unveiling the iPhone 17 with a new camera and display, as well as the iPhone 17 Air, a new lightweight, ultra-thin version of its flagship device.

      Back in September, Yahoo Finance’s Dan Howley said the new lineup was Apple’s most exciting iPhone rollout in almost a decade.

      According to Reuters, Counterpoint’s work also showed that sales of the iPhone 17 in China has nearly doubled sales of iPhone 16 over the same period.

      In a note to clients last week, Bank of America’s Wamsi Mohan noted that lead times for the latest iPhone models remained elevated against prior years, indicating strong demand for the new devices.

    • Stocks rise at the open, oil falls

      Stocks marched higher at the open after a significant AWS outage created disruptions at numerous companies on Monday morning.

      The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.4%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) gained 0.5%.

      Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) hovered below 4% after falling 2 basis points. The 30-year yield (^TYX) also declined 2 basis points to 4.57%.

      Gold (GC=F) futures climbed 2% to $4,334 an ounce. Crude oil futures (CL=F) dropped 1.5% to $56 per barrel.

    • Tesla, Netflix to report earnings as US-China trade fight turns ‘unsustainable’: What to watch this week

      Here’s what lies ahead as markets grapple with the US federal shutdown, a looming oil glut, and “cockroach” fears about credit quality in the economy.

      Yahoo Finance’s Jake Conley reports:

      Read more here.

    • Beyond Meat stock soars 60% amid possible short squeeze

      Beyond Meat (BYND) stock surged over 60% in premarket trading on Monday, recouping some of the heavy losses it suffered this year. Shares remain down over 82% year to date, however.

      The plant-based meat manufacturer is undergoing a debt restructuring, which last week led traders to dump shares. As of Friday’s close, shares were trading at just $0.64 apiece. With Monday’s move, shares are on track to open back above $1.

      The absence of a major catalyst on Monday and increased trading volume suggest the stock may be experiencing a short squeeze, as bearish investors are forced to buy back shares to limit losses.

      Beyond Meat has fallen on hard times since its IPO in 2019, a year when the stock traded as high as $240 a share. On Oct. 13, Beyond Meat announced a debt-swap deal that would issue as many as 326 million shares of stock in order to reduce its debt load by about $800 million.

    • ‘Top of my list of worries’: Why the stock market’s boom could become America’s biggest risk

      Yahoo Finance’s Allie Canal reports:

      Read more here.

    • Jenny McCall

      Good morning. Here’s what’s happening today.

    • Jenny McCall

      Premarket trending tickers: Tesla, Robinhood and MP Materials

      Here’s a look at some of the top stocks trending in premarket trading:

      Tesla (TSLA) stock rose 1% before the bell on Monday. The EV maker is set to report its third quarter earnings on Wednesday. Barclays (BCS) also reiterated the stock as Equal Weight and raised its price target to $350 (from $275).

      Robinhood (HOOD) stock rose 3% in premarket trading. The trading platform recently had its price target raised from rom $130 to $170 and reiterated an “Outperform” rating by analysts at Citizen JMP.

      MP Materials (MP) stock was up 3% before the bell on Monday. The rare-earths materials company has seen a lot of action over the last few weeks after China restricted export of rare earths, forcing the US and other countries to diversify their supply chain. President Trump confirmed on Sunday that rare earth is a key talking point for the US-China trade talks, which will take place in Malaysia this week.

    • Huge Amazon Web Services outage takes major websites offline

      A major outage at Amazon Web Services on Monday morning had a huge knock-on effect, taking down platforms like Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) in widespread disruption that hit several big websites.

      Those hit ranged from United Airlines (UAL) to T-Mobile (TMUS) and Reddit (RDDT), according to Downdetector reports from users. It also degraded services for government agencies and AI companies. per Bloomberg.

      Amazon Web Services said at around 6 a.m. ET that its cloud service had recovered significantly after the disruption, which started having an impact about four hours earlier, going by customer complaints.

      The cloud provider, whose services underpin a big slice of the web, said a problem on the US East Coast were behind the issues.

    • Gold drops as US-China tensions ease

      Bloomberg reports:

      Read more here.

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  • All Social Security Retirees Should Do This on Oct. 10

    All Social Security Retirees Should Do This on Oct. 10

    Millions of seniors today collect monthly benefits from Social Security. And many people rely on those benefits to cover the majority — or all — of their retirement expenses.

    In recent years, living on Social Security alone has been particularly tough due to rampant inflation. But thankfully, inflation is starting to cool to the point where the Federal Reserve is finally talking about interest-rate cuts, and prices are starting to moderate.

    A couple at a laptop.

    Image source: Getty Images.

    But while a slower pace of inflation is a good thing for seniors on Social Security, it could also have a less desirable consequence — a stingy cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2025.

    If you’re curious to know what next year’s Social Security raise will amount to, you should mark your calendar for Oct. 10. That’s when the Social Security Administration (SSA) is expected to make an official 2025 COLA announcement. But it’s also important to prepare for the fact that next year’s Social Security COLA is likely to come in lower than 2024’s unless inflation takes an unexpected turn in September.

    What we know about the 2025 Social Security COLA so far

    Social Security COLAs are based on third-quarter inflation data, which explains why we don’t have an official number just yet. We need to wait for September’s Consumer Price Index reading to become available, and that won’t happen until Oct. 10.

    However, based on recent inflation data, there are estimates of what next year’s Social Security COLA could look like. The nonpartisan group The Senior Citizens League (TSCL) is projecting a 2025 COLA of 2.57%. That’s considerably lower than the 3.2% raise seniors on Social Security received this past January.

    But again, inflation was also higher in late 2023 than it’s been in recent months. So while a smaller 2025 COLA may be disappointing, it also makes sense.

    Of course, there’s room for that 2.57% projection to wiggle, based on incoming inflation data. But based on how things have been trending, that number is more likely to shift downward than upward.

    Take action once an official announcement hits

    You can check the SSA’s website on Oct. 10 for news of your 2025 COLA. At that time the SSA should also release other updated numbers, like the earnings-test limit for 2025, the maximum monthly benefit, and the wage cap for Social Security tax purposes.

    If 2025’s COLA worries you, then you’ll want to take action before the start of the new year. Specifically, if you think you’ll struggle to pay your bills in 2025, you should assess your spending and see if there’s any room to cut corners. You may also want to consider relocating somewhere less expensive to stretch your benefits further.

    If you have a larger home that’s costly to maintain, downsizing could be another big money-saver. And if you’re already living as frugally as you can bear to and you don’t want to move (or don’t think it’s feasible), see if it’s possible to pick up some occasional gig work. If you’re able to earn an extra $100 to $200 a month, that could easily make up for a smaller Social Security COLA.

    At this point, you don’t have to wait much longer to see what your 2025 Social Security raise will come to. But you may want to brace for a lower number than you’ve seen in recent years.

    The $22,924 Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook

    If you’re like most Americans, you’re a few years (or more) behind on your retirement savings. But a handful of little-known “Social Security secrets” could help ensure a boost in your retirement income. For example: one easy trick could pay you as much as $22,924 more… each year! Once you learn how to maximize your Social Security benefits, we think you could retire confidently with the peace of mind we’re all after. Simply click here to discover how to learn more about these strategies.

    View the “Social Security secrets” »

    The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

    All Social Security Retirees Should Do This on Oct. 10 was originally published by The Motley Fool

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  • Stock market news today: US futures muted in countdown to inflation data

    Stock market news today: US futures muted in countdown to inflation data

    US stock futures traded cautiously mixed on Wednesday, with tech stocks reaching for gains as investors waited for fresh inflation data and absorbed a dramatic turn in events in spot bitcoin ETFs.

    Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) futures were down 0.1%, while benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) futures hovered just above the flatline. Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) futures rose about 0.2%, after tech stocks eked out the sole win among the major indexes the previous day.

    Stock investors are likely treading carefully ahead of Thursday’s US consumer inflation reading for December, watched for signs of further cooling that could prompt the Federal Reserve to pivot on policy. Recent days have seen worries rise that the market is pricing in too many interest-rate cuts in 2024, as once-rampant confidence for an early cut fades.

    Meanwhile, bitcoin (BTC-USD) steadied to trade above $45,000 after a tweet from the SEC’s X account sparked swings in the leading cryptocurrency. The regulator blamed a hack for the false post announcing it had approved spot bitcoin ETFs. The decision on whether the likes of BlackRock and Ark Invest can start offering the funds is due this week, with some expecting it Wednesday.

    Also in focus is the coming start of fourth-quarter earnings cycle, led Friday by Wall Street banking heavyweights such as JPMorgan Chase (JPM). The season will be critical for stocks, after their rough start to 2024.

    Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices.

    Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance

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