ReportWire

Tag: Industrial Revolution

  • Opinion | AI Is a Tool, Not a Soul

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    Pope Leo XIV tries to head off claims that chatbots are sentient beings with rights.

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    Kristen Ziccarelli

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  • French Army chief Schill sees Europe facing empires, vassals, war

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    PARIS — Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and America’s use of economic force to achieve goals signal the end of a world order based on respect of sovereignty and crisis resolution through negotiation, and indicate the resurgence of empires, French Army Chief of Staff Gen. Pierre Schill said.

    The world is experiencing a turning point that may be at least equivalent to the end of the Cold War, and possibly comparable to the First World War, Schill said at a presentation of his first book, “Le sens du Commandement,” which roughly translates as the meaning of command, at La Procure bookstore in central Paris last week

    “Faced with empires, one is either an enemy or a vassal,” Schill said. The question for Europe and France is now, “how can we influence our destiny so as not to be vassalized in this world that is coming?” the commander of the French land forces said.

    French Army head Schill talks force modernization, Ukraine war lessons

    Schill said Europe’s strength lies in the collective, through the European Union and NATO – both the EU and NATO treaties include mutual defense commitments. For France, that means “we can unfortunately – and this is both the tragedy and the strength – be drawn into the mechanism of a major commitment, even if we don’t have a threat on our borders.”

    Within the changed geopolitical environment, the war in Ukraine may represents a shift similar to World War I, which Schill likened to “an industrial revolution superimposed on a war, or a war superimposed on an industrial revolution.”

    French Army Chief of Staff Gen. Pierre Schill inspects a drone at the Eurosatory defense show in Paris in 2024. (Rudy Ruitenberg/staff)

    Whereas at the beginning of WWI, electricity was in its infancy and oil hardly used, with no air planes and few cars, “by the end, all of this had developed in an absolutely extraordinary way” as two huge blocs poured all their might into the war, generating intense momentum within this industrial revolution, according to Schill.

    “Perhaps today we are experiencing something similar, with the industrial revolution of digital technology, drones, outer space with its use of satellites, and automation,” Schill said. “Perhaps it is crystallizing around this absolutely enormous battle happening before our eyes in Eastern Europe.”

    The future will bring “tougher, larger-scale wars” that put logistics back at the forefront, according to Schill, who called it “absolutely essential that our army adapts to the world that is coming,” including by tweaking its structures and adding artillery for deep fires. Other questions to consider are the return of conscription and increasing France’s number of reservists, the general said.

    In the new world, one source of power will likely be the ability to adapt to evolving technologies, including at lower echelons, according to the French Army chief.

    “The modern world and the world of future combat will in any case be a world in which adaptation and adaptability will be essential,” Schill said. “We need to adopt a mindset of continuous innovation, not only in terms of technology, but also tactics.”

    Schill advocated for command by intent, which fixes objective and purpose but allows for initiative at lower echelons, as the command method best adapted to modern combat, as well as the current generation of young recruits looking for purpose.

    “Command through meaning, through clear objectives, and through subsidiarity, and which makes clear the framework in which we’ll operate, seems to me well suited to the challenges and of our time and its complexity,” Schill said.

    Whereas the French military has a long tradition of summary orders with room for initiative, there has been a shift towards a more detailed and complex style of command, according to Schill. He cited reasons including France’s adoption of the precautionary principle, increasingly powerful command systems integrating AI and the development of international interoperability procedures.

    The general cited the retreat from Cao Bang in Indochine in 1950, where around 3,700 French troops were lost, as a prime example of an operation where “the plan was perfect, the plan was precise,” and when the reality on the ground changed, the order to follow the plan to the letter contributed to the eventual defeat.

    During the operation, two columns of evacuating French troops were to meet up south of Cao Bang, with no contingency plan if the maneuver failed.

    Schill cited the liberation of Paris by the 2nd Armored Division led by Gen. Philippe Leclerc in 1944 as a counterexample of a victorious operation that focused on objectives and left room for initiative, with no more than half a page of orders.

    “So faced with this complexity in the world, it’s important to continue to have initiative at the lower levels, because that’s where the maximum effectiveness will be.”

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  • As Revolutionary As ChatGPT Is, Real Estate Still Needs Real People

    As Revolutionary As ChatGPT Is, Real Estate Still Needs Real People

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    Amidst warnings from scientists and engineers that artificial intelligence (AI) is advancing more quickly than the resolution of ethical control issues surrounding it, ChatGPT has arrived in the residential real estate universe. Agents countrywide have begun using it to write listing descriptions and assemble pitch packages. Just last week, one of our New York agents reported assembling a co-op board package in which two of the reference letters were drafted by ChatGPT. What’s more, she said, they weren’t bad!

    The pace of life-changing innovation accelerates with each generation. The Industrial Revolution, during the first half of the 19th century, mechanized processes that had not changed for literally thousands of years. Human and/or animal labor was behind the production of everything: food, clothing, travel, books. With the advent of the steam engine, boats became engine driven. Factories began to make cloth and clothing. Trains enabled people and goods to travel long distances at formerly unimaginable speeds.

    Next came the automobile, transforming distance and individualizing travel. Then the automated stock ticker. The radio. Airplanes. Television. The world my parents inhabited would have been completely unrecognizable to their grandparents. But all that progress/fallout from the Industrial Revolution had no real transformative equivalent until the arrival of personal computing and the Internet. Today’s kids, who learn to swipe as early as they learn to walk, would, in turn, be unrecognizable to THEIR grandparents. And as transformative as the Internet has been to how we gather information and how information technology seems to be altering people’s work habits forever, the tidal wave of artificial intelligence will transform everything again, perhaps even more profoundly.

    The deep ethical and practical questions behind this newest revolution boil down to this: what will OUR role, as humans, be in a world in which machines can think and do so many of the things which historically only we could think and do. For real estate agents, the longer-term implications seem clear: bots will be more and more efficient at organizational tasks. They will get better and better at writing descriptive prose. They will develop search skills so that engines like StreetEasy and Zillow will become more sophisticated about extrapolating buyer criteria to create a broader pool of listings that fit, or mostly fit, described criteria.

    The same threat exists in many other businesses. Reporters, in particular, will be under fire as chatbots can increasingly both research stories and write them, accessing in moments an entire world’s database of relevant facts, interviews, and opinions. Stockbrokers and asset managers, already threatened by index funds and program trading, will have even more need to define a credible value proposition.

    As with so many technology innovations, however, the degree of disintermediation will likely be most influenced by the cost and quality of the product being sought. The very wealthy will almost certainly continue to retain wealth advisors, for two reasons: first, because they probably got or remained rich by understanding that they know a great deal about their specialty and recognize the benefit of hiring someone who is equally expert in THEIR specialty, and second, because they simply don’t have time to do everything well.

    The same will be true in the real estate brokerage business. The bots will likely have much more impact in lower price point markets where inventory is more similar and algorithms thus more likely to be applicable across a broad selection of properties. In addition, while technology may enable more and more parts of the home-buying process, people tend to want people, not machines, to advise and inform them through the most important life decisions. People have another set of advantages. We listen to tone of voice, we watch body language, we try to attend to the subtle cues that words alone fail to communicate. At least for now, that is the territory where real estate agents continue to add value and where AI cannot follow.

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    Frederick Peters, Contributor

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