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  • IMF head joins chorus calling on China to adapt COVID strategy as officials pledge to boost vaccinations among elderly

    IMF head joins chorus calling on China to adapt COVID strategy as officials pledge to boost vaccinations among elderly

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    The head of the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday joined the chorus of people urging China to adopt a more targeted approach to the coronavirus pandemic as the country’s zero-COVID policy sparks protests over lockdowns and hobbles the world’s second-biggest economy.

    IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva urged a “recalibration” of China’s tough “zero-COVID” approach, which is aimed at isolating every case, “exactly because of the impact it has on both people and on the economy,” as the Associated Press reported.

    See also: Some markets cheer as China vows to vaccinate more elderly. Analysts see positive movement by officials.

    Georgieva made the comments in an interview with the AP on Tuesday, after protests erupted in Chinese cities and in Hong Kong over the weekend, marking the strongest public dissent in decades.

    “We see the importance of moving away from massive lockdowns, being very targeted in restrictions,” Georgieva said Tuesday in Berlin. “So that targeting allows [China] to contain the spread of COVID without significant economic costs.”

    Georgieva also urged China to look at vaccination policies and focus on vaccinating the “most vulnerable people.”

    A low rate of vaccinations among the elderly is a major reason Beijing has had to resort to lockdowns, while the emergence of more-contagious variants has made it increasingly hard to halt the spread of the virus.

    In a rare show of defiance, crowds in China gathered for the third night as protests against COVID restrictions spread to Beijing, Shanghai and other cities. People held up blank sheets of paper, symbolizing censorship, and demanded the Chinese president step down. Photo: Kyodo News/Zuma Press

    Chinese health officials said Tuesday they are preparing a push to get more older people vaccinated, the Guardian reported. The National Health Commission told reporters it would target more vaccinations at people older than 80 and would reduce to three months the gap between basic vaccination and booster shots for elderly people.

    But experts, including President Joe Biden’s chief medical adviser, Anthony Fauci, have expressed concern that China’s homegrown vaccines are not effective enough. China has not yet approved the vaccines developed by Pfizer
    PFE,
    -0.39%
    ,
    BioNTech
    BNTX,
    +1.16%

    and Moderna
    MRNA,
    -0.17%

    for public use. The shortcomings of China’s vaccines have led Chinese doctors to warn that a lifting of the zero-COVID policy could lead to a massive surge in cases that could overwhelm China’s healthcare system.

    Now read: China’s strict zero-COVID policy isn’t worth the damage it does to its economy

    Meanwhile, with police out in force, there was little news of protests in Beijing, Shanghai or other cities on Tuesday, the AP reported separately.

    In the U.S., known cases of COVID are rising again, with the daily average standing at 41,755 on Monday, according to a New York Times tracker, up 6% from two weeks ago. Cases are rising in 22 states, as well as Guam and Washington, D.C., and are flat in Nebraska. They are rising fastest in Arizona, where they are up 82% from two weeks ago, followed by Michigan, where they are up 77%.

    The daily average for hospitalizations is flat at 28,135, while the daily average for deaths is up 6% to 314.

    Physicians are reporting high numbers of respiratory illnesses like RSV and the flu earlier than the typical winter peak. WSJ’s Brianna Abbott explains what the early surge means for the winter months. Photo illustration: Kaitlyn Wang

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • The World Health Organization has issued an emergency-use listing for the Novavax
    NVAX,
    +6.19%

    protein-based COVID vaccine as a primary series for children ages 12-17 and as a booster for those ages 18 and older, Novavax said Tuesday. The WHO previously granted an emergency-use listing for the Nuvaxovid vaccine in adults ages 18 and older in December 2021, the company said. The new listing also paves the way for adults to get a booster shot of the vaccine about six months after completing the primary two-dose series.

    • New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy, a Democrat, said Monday his administration has launched a promised review of its handling of the pandemic, the AP reported. The administration hired regional law firm Montgomery McCracken Walker & Rhoads — which has offices in the state as well as Delaware, Pennsylvania and New York — along with management consulting firm Boston Consulting Group to conduct the review. The review is expected to end with a report in late 2023, the governor said.

    • A Connecticut program that offered “hero pay” to essential workers at the peak of the pandemic got so many applicants that state lawmakers had to go back into session Monday to provide extra funding and put new limits on who could get the biggest bonuses, the AP reported. Initially, the state had expected to award about $30 million in bonuses to people who had to go to work, in person, in jobs in healthcare, food distribution, public safety and other essential services. But after getting 155,730 applications from eligible people, lawmakers realized they would have to either put more money in or slash benefits.

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 641.8 million on Monday, while the death toll rose above 6.63 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 98.6 million cases and 1,079,477 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 228.4 million people living in the U.S., equal to 68.8% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 37.6 million Americans have had the updated COVID booster that targets the original virus and the omicron variants, equal to 12.1% of the overall population.

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  • Crypto lender BlockFi is suing Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in Robinhood: report

    Crypto lender BlockFi is suing Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in Robinhood: report

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    Just hours after filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in New Jersey on Monday, cryptocurrency lender BlockFi filed a lawsuit against a holding company by FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried over his shares in trading platform Robinhood, the Financial Times reported.

    The suit was filed against Bankman-Fried’s vehicle Emergent Fidelity Technologies, of whom BlockFi is seeking to recover unpaid collateral.

    The filing – also lodged in New Jersey – says BlockFi entered into a pledge agreement with Emergent on Nov. 9 stating that an unnamed borrower was obliged to pledge “certain shares of common stock” and has breached the agreement by failing to comply with its payment obligations.

    The Financial Times reports the collateral in question is Bankman-Fried’s 7.6% stake in Robinhood which he bought earlier this year.

    “Emergent has defaulted on its obligations under the pledge agreement and failed to satisfy its obligations thereunder despite written notice of default and acceleration,” the lawsuit filing says.

    The lawsuit also named London-based brokerage ED&F Man Capital Markets for refusing to “transfer the collateral” to BlockFi.

    “This is a highly complex matter,” a spokesperson for ED&F Man Capital Markets told MarketWatch in an emailed statement.

    “We cannot comment on matters that are subject to legal proceedings but will of course comply with any direction given by the judge,” they added.

    On Monday, BlockFi, who was once valued at $3 billion, filed for bankruptcy protection after becoming the latest company to be pushed over the edge from the collapse of crypto exchange FTX.

    See also: BlockFi’s big creditors include an indenture trustee firm, FTX and the SEC

    The lawsuit is the latest headache for Bankman-Fried, who is already the subject of a number of investigations in the U.S. and the Bahamas – where FTX was based. The downfall of FTX has triggered a chain reaction of crypto-casualties including crypto financial-services firm Genesis.

    FTX collapse to be focus of Senate hearing Thursday — here’s what to watch for

    BlockFi and representatives of Bankman-Fried did not immediately respond to MarketWatch’s request for comment.

    See also: Bitcoin prices under pressure as cracks spread across crypto industry

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  • Nestle lifts guidances, confirms plan to buy back $21 billion shares over 2022-24

    Nestle lifts guidances, confirms plan to buy back $21 billion shares over 2022-24

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    Nestle SA has lifted its full-year organic sales-growth guidance and outlined targets for 2025 ahead of its investor seminar on Tuesday.

    The Swiss packaged-foods giant
    NSRGY,
    +0.11%

    NESN,
    -0.26%

    said it now expects sales to grow organically between 8% and 8.5% from previous expectations of around 8%. The underlying trading operating profit margin is still seen at around 17%.

    By 2025, it expects to return to an underlying trading operating profit margin in the range of 17.5% to 18.5%, following the margin impact of cost inflation in 2021 and 2022.

    Annual underlying earnings-per-share growth is seen between 6% and 10% in constant currency over the 2022-25 period, Nestle said. The company aims for free cash flow toward 12% of sales, and return on invested capital of 15% by 2025.

    In terms of portfolio management, it said it will explore strategic options for peanut allergy treatment Palforzia, following slower than expected adoption by patients and heathcare professionals. The review should be completed in the first half of next year.

    Nestle said the health-science business will focus more on consumer care and medical nutrition.

    The company confirmed its program to repurchase 20 billion Swiss francs ($21.14 billion) of its shares between 2022 and 2024 and said it aims to keep increasing its dividend year on year.

    Write to Giulia Petroni at giulia.petroni@wsj.com

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  • ‘A rail shutdown would devastate our economy’: Biden urges Congress to head off potential strike

    ‘A rail shutdown would devastate our economy’: Biden urges Congress to head off potential strike

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    OMAHA, Neb. — President Joe Biden on Monday asked Congress to intervene and block a railroad strike before next month’s deadline in the stalled contract talks, following pressure by business groups on the stalled negotiations.

    “Let me be clear: a rail shutdown would devastate our economy,” Biden said in a statement. “Without freight rail, many U.S. industries would shut down.”

    Congress has the power to impose contract terms on the workers, but it’s not clear what lawmakers might include if they do. They could also force the negotiations to continue into the new year.

    Both the unions and railroads have been lobbying Congress while contract talks continue. Four rail unions that represent more than half of the 115,000 workers in the industry have rejected the deals that Biden helped broker before the original strike deadline in September and are back at the table trying to work out new agreements. Eight other unions have approved their five-year deals with the railroads and are in the process of getting back pay for their workers for the 24% raises that are retroactive to 2020.

    Biden said that as a “a proud pro-labor president” he was reluctant to override the views of people who voted against the agreement. “But in this case — where the economic impact of a shutdown would hurt millions of other working people and families — I believe Congress must use its powers to adopt this deal.”

    Biden’s remarks came after a coalition of more than 400 business groups sent a letter to congressional leaders Monday urging them to step into the stalled talks because of fears about the devastating potential impact of a strike that could force many businesses to shut down if they can’t get the rail deliveries they need. Commuter railroads and Amtrak would also be affected in a strike because many of them use tracks owned by the freight railroads.

    The business groups led by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, National Association of Manufacturers and National Retail Federation said even a short-term strike would have a tremendous impact and the economic pain would start to be felt even before the Dec. 9 strike deadline. They said the railroads would stop hauling hazardous chemicals, fertilizers and perishable goods up to a week beforehand to keep those products from being stranded somewhere along the tracks.

    “A potential rail strike only adds to the headwinds facing the U.S. economy,” the businesses wrote. “A rail stoppage would immediately lead to supply shortages and higher prices. The cessation of Amtrak and commuter rail services would disrupt up to 7 million travelers a day. Many businesses would see their sales disrupted right in the middle of the critical holiday shopping season.”

    A similar group of businesses sent another letter to Biden last month urging him to play a more active role in resolving the contract dispute.

    On Monday, the Association of American Railroads trade group praised Biden’s action.

    “No one benefits from a rail work stoppage — not our customers, not rail employees and not the American economy,” said AAR President and CEO Ian Jefferies. “Now is the appropriate time for Congress to pass legislation to implement the agreements already ratified by eight of the twelve unions.”

    Congressional leaders and the White House have said they are monitoring the contract talks closely but haven’t indicated when they might act or what they will do. House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, D-Md., said leaders are aware of the situation with the rail negotiations and will monitor the talks in the coming days.

    Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, R-Pa., said on “Fox News Sunday” that congressional intervention is a last resort but that lawmakers will have to be ready to act.

    “Congress will not let this strike happen. That’s for sure,” said Fitzpatrick, who helps lead a bipartisan group of 58 lawmakers. “It would be devastating to our economy. So, we’ll get to a resolution one way or another.”

    “It certainly could end up in Congress’ lap, which is why we are headed to D.C. this week to meet with lawmakers on the Hill from both parties,” said Clark Ballew, a spokesman for the Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes Division, which represents track maintenance workers. “We have instructed our members to contact their federal lawmakers in the House and Senate for several weeks now.”

    The unions have asked the railroads to consider adding paid sick time to what they already offered to address some of workers’ quality of life concerns. But so far, the railroads, which include Union Pacific
    UNP,
    -2.25%
    ,
    Berkshire Hathaway’s
    BRK.B,
    -1.31%

    BNSF, Norfolk Southern
    NSC,
    -1.49%
    ,
    CSX
    CSX,
    -1.00%

    and Canadian Pacific’s
    CP,
    -1.26%

    Kansas City Southern, have refused to consider that.

    The railroads want any deal to closely follow the recommendations a special board of arbitrators that Biden appointed made this summer that called for the 24% raises and $5,000 in bonuses but didn’t resolve workers’ concerns about demanding schedules that make it hard to take a day off and other working conditions.

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  • Disney CEO Robert Iger at Town Hall Vows to Focus on Creativity

    Disney CEO Robert Iger at Town Hall Vows to Focus on Creativity

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    Disney CEO Robert Iger at Town Hall Vows to Focus on Creativity

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  • Barclays CEO C.S. Venkatakrishnan Diagnosed With Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma

    Barclays CEO C.S. Venkatakrishnan Diagnosed With Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma

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    By Joe Hoppe

    Barclays PLC said Monday that Chief Executive Officer C.S. Venkatakrishnan has been diagnosed with non-Hodgkin lymphoma, with treatment expected to last 12 to 16 weeks.

    The FTSE 100-listed bank said the cancer has been detected early and the prognosis is good. Mr. Venkatakrishnan will continue to actively manage the company during the treatment period.

    Write to Joe Hoppe at joseph.hoppe@wsj.com

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  • ‘We’re headed for a family feud’: My father offered his 3 kids equal monetary gifts. My siblings took cash. I took stock. It’s soared in value — now they’re crying foul

    ‘We’re headed for a family feud’: My father offered his 3 kids equal monetary gifts. My siblings took cash. I took stock. It’s soared in value — now they’re crying foul

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    Dear Quentin,

    Several years before my father’s death, he offered me and my two siblings each an early “cash gift” from his estate in the amount of whatever the maximum non-taxable amount was at the time. He was an active investor and offered the gift in the form of the stock instead of cash. My siblings took the cash and I decided to take it in stock valued the same as the cash amount.  

    Fast forward five years: My father just passed away and my siblings bought expensive toys and luxury automobiles with their cash, while my stock is worth many times what it was when it was given to me. His will states that the three of us should share in equal parts of his estate, but my siblings are arguing that my now very valuable stock should be included as an asset to be split among the estate.

    Legally, they have no leg to stand on, but both are insistent that I’m taking money that is morally theirs. There’s no changing their mind and I’m convinced that we’re headed for a family feud. I’m not sure what I should do. Had the stock value gone to zero in that time, they wouldn’t be arguing that I should get extra to compensate for my “bad gamble.”

    The Other Brother

    Dear Other Brother,

    Them’s the breaks — in this case, the sudden screeching of car brakes.

    Your siblings could have chosen stocks over cash, but they wanted immediate gratification. That was their decision, and they are going to have to take ownership of their choice and live with it. Buying stocks are more likely to pay off if you hold on to them over the long term. You did just that. Instead of buying a Ferrari or a Tesla
    TSLA,
    -0.19%
    ,
    you effectively chose to invest your gift.

    Show the same certainty now, and don’t cave to your siblings’ demands. Don’t allow them to bully you into selling.

    Investing is all about delaying your gratification — the ability to live for today and save for a more comfortable tomorrow, as opposed to having everything today and to hell with tomorrow. The gamification of stock trading with apps such as Robinhood
    HOOD,
    -0.74%
    ,
    which has extended its trading hours beyond the market’s official hours, is in part about getting that dopamine hit. (However, trading after hours comes with risks — chief among them warped stock prices.)

    This dispute is about choice. If you had taken the cash, those stocks would still be part of your father’s estate, but you made the choice to take the stock. Your siblings had the same option and chose not to exercise it. Tell them, “I know it must be frustrating for you, but we all had the same opportunity. I took it. You took the cash.”

    There is only one reason they missed out — and if they look in the rearview mirror of their respective luxury cars, they will see that reason staring right back at them.

    Yocan email The Moneyist with any financial and ethical questions related to coronavirus at qfottrell@marketwatch.com, and follow Quentin Fottrell on Twitter.

    Check out the Moneyist private Facebook group, where we look for answers to life’s thorniest money issues. Readers write in to me with all sorts of dilemmas. Post your questions, tell me what you want to know more about, or weigh in on the latest Moneyist columns.

    The Moneyist regrets he cannot reply to questions individually.

    By emailing your questions, you agree to having them published anonymously on MarketWatch. By submitting your story to Dow Jones & Company, the publisher of MarketWatch, you understand and agree that we may use your story, or versions of it, in all media and platforms, including via third parties.

    More from Quentin Fottrell:

    • My girlfriend says I should tip in restaurants. I say waitstaff are just like construction and fast-food workers. Who’s right?
    • ‘He was infatuated with her’: My brother had a drinking problem and took his own life. He left $6 million to his former girlfriend who used to buy him alcohol
    • She had a will, but it was null and void’: My friend and her sister are fighting over their mother’s life-insurance policy and bank account. Who should win out?

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  • Bear markets come in three stages; and we’ve only just started the second, says veteran analyst.

    Bear markets come in three stages; and we’ve only just started the second, says veteran analyst.

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    Stocks will start the Black Friday half-session near 10-week highs, having rebounded partly on hopes the Federal Reserve will be slowing the pace of interest rate rises as it waits to see how much previous tightening has impacted the economy.

    Investors are thus looking ahead to when the Fed eventually pivots and borrowing costs can start coming down again. For now, they are displaying few concerns about how much damage any economic slowdown may do to corporate earnings.

    It’s all too rosy, reckons Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer of Bleakley Financial Group. In an interview with Magnifi+, an AI investing and trading platform, the veteran analyst warns that stocks will grind lower next year, and we have not seen the bottom of a bear market still in its middle phase.

    “Bear markets usually come in three stages. The first one is we take a lot of the frothy excesses and euphoria out of the market in terms of the sexy names that we saw in 2021 and we take a PE ratio down. We’ve done that, we went from 22 times earnings, call it 16 to 17,” says Boockvar.

    In the second phase, he adds, investors start calculating the economic and company earnings consequences of the ongoing rises in interest rates…”and then the third phase is everyone throws in the towel. No one wants to own a stock again, and that’s your bottom and that’s when you need to be buying stocks hand over fist.”

    “I feel like we’re really just only beginning to start that second phase,” he said.

    Still, there will be opportunities. It all depends on your time scale, according to Boockvar.

    “If you have a big purchase that you have to make within the next year or two, whether it’s a kid going college or it’s a wedding, a bar mitzvah or some other expense like a home that you have put aside money for, it should not be in the stock market. It should be in the bank it should be in short-term T-bills. It should be in cash equivalents because the next couple of years are going to be challenging for those with shorter-term time horizons,” he said.

    So, what assets is he interested in? Bonds are attractive, but it’s important to stick to quality.

    “You have investment-grade bonds that are yielding 6% and you can do that without taking much duration risk by buying shorter-term durations….And you can buy a short-term, two-year treasury and get a yield of four and a half percent and get some attractive Munis too. So fixed-income land, with shorter durations, I believe, is more attractive. Longer-term trade durations, I’m still more suspect on,” says Boockvar.

    And in equities? “Value stocks are much more attractive than growth, the tech stocks. I think commodity stocks are much more attractive than they’ve been over the past five years. Certainly energy, precious metals, even industrial metals like copper stocks.”

    If the dollar has peaked and pulls back as the Fed gets closer to the end of its hiking cycle, then Boockvar likes the look of foreign markets, particularly in Asia, and gold and silver once the central bank begins cutting rates.

    Finally, the one thing he’s certainly not keen on are techs former darlings. “Just buying Google
    GOOGL,
    +1.45%

    and Amazon
    AMZN,
    +1.00%

    and Apple
    AAPL,
    +0.59%
    ,
    while they’re all great companies, that ship has sailed and the baton in terms of market leadership is going to be passed to other parts of the market,” says the analyst.

    Markets

    Stocks were in line to start the last trading of the week on the front foot, with S&P 500 futures
    ES00,
    -0.14%

    up 0.2% to 4039 and 10-year Treasury yields
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.732%

    were little changed at 3.709%. U.S. crude futures fell 0.7% to $79.50 a barrel.

    For more market updates plus actionable trade ideas for stocks, options and crypto, subscribe to MarketDiem by Investor’s Business Daily.

    The buzz

    It’s a half-day of trading for Wall Street as many traders also extend their Thanksgiving break. Expect very thin volumes.

    Still, analysts and investors are on the lookout for guidance on how the Black Friday sales are going. How is the U.S. consumer holding up in the face of high inflation and sharp increases in borrowing costs? Shares in Amazon
    AMZN,
    +1.00%

    and Walmart
    WMT,
    +0.48%

    were relatively steady.

    Shares in Tesla
    TSLA,
    +7.82%

    are up about 2% in premarket action despite news the car company is recalling around 80,000 cars in China.

    Activision Blizzard shares
    ATVI,
    +0.94%

    are off more than 3% after a report late on Wednesday that the Federal Trade Commission might block Microsoft’s purchase of the videogame maker.

    Fed’s Bullard set to talk inflation, interest rates in MarketWatch Q&A Monday. Sign up here to watch the program and pose a question. 

    China’s central bank eased monetary policy as the country struggles with further COVID-19 outbreaks.

    Best of the web

    China is investing billions in Pakistan buts its workers there are under attack.

    In the court of Mar-a-Lago, ‘King’ Trump still reigns supreme.

    Activists aggravate art insurers climate headache.

    The chart

    Here’s an interesting observation on stock volatility from Benedek Vörös, director of Index Investment Strategy at S&P Dow Jones Indices.

    “It has been a turbulent year, but a degree of relative calm has returned to U.S. equity markets in the past few weeks, and participants in the options market look even more relaxed than their cash counterparts,” Vörös writes in his latest bulletin.  “VIX, having averaged 3 points above the 21-day realized S&P 500 volatility over the past year, has slipped 6 percentage points below it as of yesterday’s close. Historically, that has had some predictive power for lower volatility to come.”


    Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices

    Top tickers

    Here were the most active stock-market tickers on MarketWatch as of 6 a.m. Eastern.

    Ticker

    Security name

    TSLA,
    +7.82%
    Tesla

    GME,
    +1.52%
    GameStop

    AMC,
    +4.37%
    AMC Entertainment

    NIO,
    +5.49%
    NIO

    COSM,
    -2.29%
    Cosmos Holdings

    AAPL,
    +0.59%
    Apple

    APE,
    -3.97%
    AMC Entertainment preferred

    BBBY,
    +4.88%
    Bed Bath & Beyond

    AMZN,
    +1.00%
    Amazon.com

    MULN,
    -10.01%
    Mullen Automotive

    Random reads

    Japan fans show the world how it’s done.

    Coin study suggests ‘fake emperor’ was real.

    Someone’s been going on a gold-buying bender.

    Need to Know starts early and is updated until the opening bell, but sign up here to get it delivered once to your email box. The emailed version will be sent out at about 7:30 a.m. Eastern.

    Listen to the Best New Ideas in Money podcast with MarketWatch reporter Charles Passy and economist Stephanie Kelton

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  • Eurozone economic activity contracted for fifth straight month in November, PMIs signal

    Eurozone economic activity contracted for fifth straight month in November, PMIs signal

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    November saw business activity fall across the eurozone for the fifth consecutive month, adding to fears of a recession, the latest flash purchasing managers indexes showed.

    The S&P Global eurozone composite PMI rose to 47.8 in November from 47.3 in October, according to the preliminary reading. This is above the forecast of 47.0 of economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.

    “The PMI data for the fourth quarter so far put the eurozone economy on course for its steepest quarterly contraction since late-2012, excluding pandemic lockdown months,” S&P Global said in the report.

    Manufacturing continued to lead the downturn, with factory output dropping for a sixth consecutive month, although the rate of decline eased, the report said. Service sector output also fell, down for the fourth consecutive month.

    The November PMI data also bring some tentative good news, Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said. The economist pointed out that the overall rate of decline has eased compared to October thanks to some easing in supply constraints and the warm weather easing fears regarding energy shortages.

    Price pressures are showing signs of cooling, which should contain inflation. However, both manufacturing and services sectors are still under severe pressure, the economist said in the report.

    “A recession therefore looks likely, though the latest data provide hope that the scale of the downturn may not be as severe as previously feared,” Mr. Williamson said.

    Write to Maria Martinez at maria.martinez@wsj.com

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  • Credit Suisse shares tumble after flagging $1.6 billion 4Q loss amid strain for wealth management comes

    Credit Suisse shares tumble after flagging $1.6 billion 4Q loss amid strain for wealth management comes

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    Credit Suisse Group AG shares tumbled in Wednesday morning trading after the bank said asset outflows at its wealth-management business would lead to a fifth consecutive quarterly loss.

    Shares
    CS,
    -1.45%

    CSGN,
    -4.64%

    at 0830 GMT were down 4.9% to CHF3.66.

    The Swiss lender said it expects to post a loss before taxes of around 1.5 billion Swiss francs ($1.58 billion) in the fourth quarter, after lower deposits and assets under management led to reduced commissions and fees.

    The bank, Switzerland’s second-largest by assets, said that it net-asset outflows in the quarter to Nov. 11 were around 6%, or $88.3 billion of its total $1.47 trillion assets under management.

    At the bank’s wealth-management arm, its key business serving the world’s rich, customers removed $66.7 billion.

    It came after the Zurich-based company experienced deposit and net-asset outflows in the first two weeks of October, it said, after social-media reports and a spike in credit-default swaps caused a frenzy over the bank’s financial position.

    The bank said the outflows led its liquidity to fall below some local-level legal requirements, but it maintained its required group-level liquidity and funding ratios at all times.

    Write to Ed Frankl at edward.frankl@dowjones.com

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  • ‘There are plenty of storm clouds on the horizon’: 5 things not to buy on Black Friday

    ‘There are plenty of storm clouds on the horizon’: 5 things not to buy on Black Friday

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    It’s a year for shopping prudently.

    Americans will spend between $942.6 billion and $960.4 billion this holiday season, according to projections from the National Retail Federation. That’s up from last year when holiday sales hit a record $889.3 billion, the trade association said.

    However, people are not willing to go as crazy this Black Friday compared to previous years: that 6% to 8% year-over-year growth expectation is slower than the 13.5% annual increase in holiday season spending in 2021 when consumers had pandemic-era government benefits to spend.

    Once again, millions of people will also be shopping from the comfort of their home and avoiding the Black Friday crowds. Online and other non-store sales are predicted to rise 10% to 12% (to between $262.8 billion and $267.6 billion).

    People have reason to be concerned about their spending.

    “The economy is probably doing better than it feels right now, but that’s not true for everyone of course,” said Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate.com. “There are plenty of storm clouds on the horizon.” He cited rising interest rates, 40-year high inflation and tech layoffs. 

    People have reason to be concerned about their spending. The personal saving rate — meaning personal saving as a percentage of disposable income, or the share of income left after paying taxes and spending money — fell to 3.3% in the third quarter from 3.4% in the prior quarter, the government said last month. 

    Despite a strong labor market and unemployment hovering at 3.7% in October, Rossman said, “it still seems like a recession is likely in 2023, although the best guess is that it will be a mild one.”

    So what should you not buy this Black Friday? Quite a lot, if you don’t believe in living large. Here are 5 things to think about avoiding:

    — Quentin Fottrell

    Tech accessories

    For tech accessories — like earbuds and headphones — waiting until December may be a better way to score better deals, added Ryan McGonagill, director, industry research at Savings.com, another site that aggregates discounts.

    The most popular electronic products like Apple AAPL iPads, MacBooks and iPhones have scant Black Friday deals. “For a limited time, get an Apple Gift Card to use on a later purchase when you buy an eligible iPhone, Apple Watch, Mac, AirPods, and more,” according to Apple’s Black Friday offer.

    Computer makers and retailers, however, are coming off the work-from-home boom and may have inventory they need to thin before year’s end. Holiday discounts on computers, at least through October, were at 10% off the base price, according to analysis from Adobe
    ADBE,
    +2.92%
    .
     

    The software and analytics provider said computer discounts could go much steeper, up to 32% off the base price before the end of the year. Cyber Monday could be the best day for bargains on computers, Adobe said, but computer deals may stick around for the rest of 2022.

    Pay attention to early deals, if you desperately need a new laptop. “Many retailers offer the same pricing on Black Friday and Cyber Monday,” said Kristin McGrath, editor at RetailMeNot.com, a site that promotes deals. “So start looking on Black Friday and use Cyber Monday as a second chance to snag what you missed.”

    — Andrew Keshner

    Seasonal items

    Winter wear is usually not going to be on sale before Christmas, so it’s best to shop for your puffy jackets and snow boots in the New Year, if you can. The same goes for white linen, tools and holiday decorations, said Charles Lindsey, associate professor in the Marketing School of Management at the University at Buffalo.

    Most stores put their coats, hats, scarves and flannel pajamas on sale — with discounts on big-name brands of 50% or more in January — to make room for their spring collections. Similarly, buy summer clothes in the fall and winter. 

    “The best time to buy holiday decor is immediately after said holidays,” according to DealNews, a site offering shopping advice. “After Christmas sales are generally your best bet for snagging deeply discounted ornaments, lights, and inflatables in order to be well prepared for next year.” 

    Fashion-conscious shoppers inclined to snap up discounted items may want to practice patience on Black Friday. Apparel may have even deeper discounts after the holidays. If you feel compelled to buy something new to wear to the office party, invest in quality pieces. Fast fashion has a cost: It has contributed to a waste crisis, in part because such items are not meant to last very long in your closet.

    But that does not mean you should not keep your eyes peeled for some seasonal goods on Black Friday. Walmart
    WMT,
    +0.34%
    ,
    for instance, is pushing out the boat early with some discounts on toys, including hoverboards, bicycles, remote-control cars, and karaoke machines. Similarly, Kohl’s
    KSS,
    +4.17%

    has discounts on a range of doll’s houses.

    — Quentin Fottrell and Emma Ockerman

    Appliances and white goods

    There might be tempting Black Friday deals on appliances, mattresses and furniture. Discounts on appliances may reach up to an 18% from the base price, Adobe said. Still, “you’re going to get another shot at them during New Year’s Eve sales and again during Presidents Day sales in February,” McGrath said.

    If Black Friday is “too chaotic …you’ll have plenty of opportunities to save,” she added. Department stores usually run very attractive discounts on houseware in the days following Christmas. “Stores know they’ll be getting a lot of traffic with so many people returning gifts — and hope to convince shoppers to make an impulse self-gifting purchase or two,” McGrath said.

    If you can’t wait, Costco
    COST,
    +1.64%

    is already rolling out deals on white goods and appliances, including $70 off a Sonos
    SONO,
    +1.87%

    WiFi speaker. However, Consumer Reports cautions consumers against falling for big deals without checking out the reliability of the brand first, as you could end up paying more in repairs down the road. 

    You might be tempted by offers and rebates on matching kitchen suites — typically a refrigerator, range, dishwasher, and microwave — from the same maker,” Consumer Reports said. “But price is only part of the equation when you’re purchasing appliances. Reliability is key, and it can vary within a brand’s offerings.”

    — Andrew Keshner

    Fitness equipment

    One of the best times to buy exercise equipment is around the New Year, when people are making resolutions to improve their health, said Regina Conway, who researches sales and promotions for Slickdeals, a site that tracks retail discounts.

    When you make your purchase, think twice before buying equipment that runs on proprietary technology, like Peloton
    PTON,
    -1.13%

    or Lululemon’s
    LULU,
    +1.79%

    Mirror exercise products, mainly because the at-home fitness boom faces an uncertain future post-pandemic, Conway noted.

    However, this Black Friday is a little different than previous years, and there are some deals in categories that traditionally don’t have good Black Friday discounts, including exercise equipment. “This year we’re seeing strong Black Friday deals from industry stalwarts like NordicTrack,” Conway said.

    Peloton Interactive, which is facing a challenging time since people are no longer stuck at home due to the pandemic, is currently offering $600 off this fitness bike package. However, consumers will still have to fork over $2,195 for the machine and exercise regime.

    “We think consumers are likely to continue to prefer out-of-home experiences in the near-term and believe Peloton is still working through pandemic pull-forward,” Cowen & Co. analyst John Blackledge wrote in an analyst note on Tuesday, citing “limited visibility” on Peloton’s fiscal 2023 performance.

    — Leslie Albrecht and Quentin Fottrell

    Big-ticket items like TVs 

    Does Amazon
    AMZN,
    +0.80%

    founder Jeff Bezos have a point about the dangers of splurging this year? In something of a Black Friday surprise, Bezos offered some shocking spending tips as Americans gear up for the holiday shopping season — amid four-decade-high inflation. Or, to be more accurate, he offered tips on what not to spend your money on.

    ‘If you’re an individual and you’re thinking about buying a large-screen TV, maybe slow that down, keep that cash, see what happens. Same thing with a refrigerator, a new car, whatever. Just take some risk off the table,” Bezos said in a recent interview on CNN
    WBD,
    +2.27%
    .
    The remarks drew a significant amount of scorn on social media, with some critics advising people to avoid shopping on Amazon too.

    About those TVs: “They’re normally not going to be a high-end TV brand,” Lindsey said. “It will be a lower to mid-tier brand. Companies utilize these TVS as doorbusters to get people in the store and people clicking on their website. You’re probably better off shopping around the Superbowl in late January.”

    Rossman said consumers are becoming more judicious about their Black Friday splurging. “People seem to be pulling back on some big-ticket purchases,” he told MarketWatch. “For example, sellers of appliances, electronics and furniture all posted disappointing results in the most recent retail sales report.”

    “Yet discretionary sectors such as travel and dining are seeing sharp increases in spending,” he added. “I think the main explanation is pent-up demand. People are prioritizing experiences over things right now, largely due to the pandemic. There was also a pull-forward in demand for many physical goods the past couple of years as many out-of-home activities were curtailed.”

    — Quentin Fottrell

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  • China’s three-week COVID case tally tops 253,000 and daily average is rising, government says

    China’s three-week COVID case tally tops 253,000 and daily average is rising, government says

    [ad_1]

    More than 253,000 coronavirus cases have been found in China in the past three weeks and the daily average is rising, the government said Tuesday, the Associated Press reported.

    The trend is putting pressure on officials who are trying to ease economic disruption by easing strict controls that have confined millions of people to their homes.

    China is the only major country in the world still trying to curb virus transmissions through strict lockdown measures and mass testing. The ruling Communist Party promised earlier this month to reduce disruptions from its “zero- COVID” strategy by making controls more flexible, but so far, progress has been slow.

    Beijing, which announced its first COVID death in about six months over the weekend, has locked down parks, populous districts, stores and offices and many school kids have resumed online learning.

    The past week’s average of 22,200 daily cases is double the previous week’s rate, the official China News Service reported, citing the National Bureau of Disease Prevention and Control.

    On Tuesday, the government reported 28,127 cases found over the past 24 hours, including 25,902 with no symptoms. Almost one-third, or 9,022, were in Guangdong province, the heartland of export-oriented manufacturing adjacent to Hong Kong.

    In the U.S., known cases of COVID are rising again with the daily average standing at 41,530 on Monday, according to a New York Times tracker, up 4% from two weeks ago.

    Don’t miss: Confused about COVID boosters? Here’s what the science and the experts say about the new generation of shots.

    Cases are rising in 24 states, plus Washington, D.C., Guam and Puerto Rico. Washington state has replaced Nebraska as leader by new cases, which have climbed 423% from two weeks ago. That’s followed by Arizona, where they are up 110% and California, up 60%.

    The daily average for hospitalizations was down 1% at 27,547, but again, the trend is not uniform across the U.S. Hospitalizations are up 60% in Alaska, up 47% in Arizona and up 30% in Wyoming.

    The daily average for deaths is down 2% to 294. 

    Physicians are reporting high numbers of respiratory illnesses like RSV and the flu earlier than the typical winter peak. WSJ’s Brianna Abbott explains what the early surge means for the coming winter months. Photo illustration: Kaitlyn Wang

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Japan approved an antiviral pill from Shionogi & Co.
    4507,
    +2.77%

    to treat COVID after the company provided new data to show the drug’s efficacy, the Wall Street Journal reported. The treatment is the first locally developed alternative to Pfizer Inc.’s
    PFE,
    +1.45%

    Paxlovid and Merck & Co.’s
    MRK,
    +0.93%

    Lagevrio, which have been authorized for emergency use in Japan. Shionogi aims to win approval from the Food and Drug Administration for its pill in the U.S. Osaka-based Shionogi filed in February for emergency approval for the drug, known as Xocova, in Japan. The health ministry panel said in July it needed to see results from a larger human trial because data submitted at the time didn’t sufficiently show improvements in symptoms associated with COVID.

    • Dubai International Airport passenger numbers surpassed pre-COVID pandemic levels in the third quarter of 2022, the airport’s chief executive said, causing the airport to revise its annual forecast by another 1 million passengers, the AP reported. Paul Griffiths, who oversees the world’s busiest airport, told the Associated Press the annual forecast at Dubai International, or DXB, is more than 64 million. The airport saw 18.5 million passengers in the third quarter of this year, up from 17.8 million during the first quarter of 2020—prior to and at the dawn of the pandemic.

    • Get ready for long lines at U.S. airports and traffic jams galore—just like old times. Airports and roads may be “jam-packed” this year, according to the AAA. It estimates that 53.6 million people will travel for the Thanksgiving weekend, reaching 98% of pre-pandemic Thanksgiving travel. “Families and friends are eager to spend time together this Thanksgiving, one of the busiest for travel in the past two decades,” said Paula Twidale, senior vice president, AAA Travel. “Plan ahead and pack your patience, whether you’re driving or flying.”

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 638.5 million on Monday, while the death toll rose above 6.62 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 98.4 million cases and 1,077,225 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 228.2 million people living in the U.S., equal to 68.7% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 35.3 million Americans have had the updated COVID booster that targets the original virus and the omicron variants, equal to 11.3% of the overall population.

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  • UK Regulator Opens Cloud Gaming, Browsers Probe After Reports of Apple, Alphabet Duopoly

    UK Regulator Opens Cloud Gaming, Browsers Probe After Reports of Apple, Alphabet Duopoly

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    By Kyle Morris

    The U.K.’s Competition and Markets Authority has launched an investigation into cloud gaming and mobile browsers after an earlier report that Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc. have an effective duopoly on mobile ecosystems.

    The regulator said the duopoly allows them to exercise a stranglehold over operating systems, app stores and web browsers on mobile devices.

    Write to Kyle Morris at kyle.morris@dowjones.com

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  • Top Disney exec Kareem Daniel to leave as Bob Iger returns

    Top Disney exec Kareem Daniel to leave as Bob Iger returns

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    Kareem Daniel, the chairman of Walt Disney Co.’s vast media and entertainment distribution segment, is leaving the company as part of an organizational reshuffling that comes a day after Robert Iger returned as chief executive, according to a company note to employees viewed by MarketWatch.

    The move marks the departure of one of the top executives appointed under former CEO Bob Chapek, who was ousted Sunday as a part of Iger’s appointment to the top role. Chapek took over for Iger as Disney
    DIS,
    +6.30%

    CEO in 2020.

    Iger, in the memo, said Disney would soon begin “organizational and operating changes” to save on costs and, he said, give creative teams more influence.

    “I’ve asked Dana Walden, Alan Bergman, Jimmy Pitaro, and Christine McCarthy to work together on the design of a new structure that puts more decision-making back in the hands of our creative teams and rationalizes costs, and this will necessitate a reorganization of Disney Media & Entertainment Distribution,” Iger said in the memo.

    “As a result, Kareem Daniel will be leaving the company, and I hope you will all join me in thanking him for his many years of service to Disney,” the memo continued.

    Iger said his goal was to have a new structure for Disney in place “in the coming months.” He said the company would share more information “over the coming weeks.”  

    Disney shares were largely unchanged after hours. They rose 6.3% to $97.58 in the regular session, the stock’s best day since Dec. 11, 2020.

    For more: Disney stock enjoys best day in nearly two years upon Iger’s return, as ‘perhaps the best leader in media’ is back

    The media and entertainment distribution division covers all of its film and TV production and distribution — including channels like ABC and ESPN as well as streaming services like Disney+. The division also handles content sales and licensing duties. Chapek created the new corporate structure not long after he took the helm in an effort to lean more on streaming.

    Iger returned to the helm after Disney executives forecast slower sales growth in the coming year, following a quarter in which a smaller slate of theatrical releases weighed on content sales, and softer results in its parks and media segments.

    According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission earlier in the day, Iger’s contract runs through Dec. 31, 2024 and gives him an annual base salary of $1 million, as well as a yearly bonus of up to $1 million in cash and $25 million in stock.

    Opinion: ‘Steve Jobs Syndrome’ strikes as Disney brings back Bob Iger, but history is not on their side

    He will also serve as a director on Disney’s board until the company’s 2023 annual meeting. The filing said the company “exercised its right to terminate without cause the employment of Robert A. Chapek as Chief Executive Office.” Chapek also resigned from the board.

    Iger was previously CEO of Disney from 2005 to February 2020.

    Disney stock has plummeted 37% so far this year. The S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.39%

    has fallen 17% over that time.

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  • Tesla stock at two-year low, other EV-maker shares plunge as concerns simmer about China, oil futures

    Tesla stock at two-year low, other EV-maker shares plunge as concerns simmer about China, oil futures

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    Tesla Inc. shares on Monday were poised to end at a fresh two-year low, with shares of other electric-vehicle makers also underperforming the broader equity market as worries about China’s COVID-19 lockdowns re-emerged and oil futures prices dropped to their lowest level since January.

    Shares of Tesla
    TSLA,
    -6.84%

    extended their losing streak to a fourth session and were on track for their lowest close since Nov. 20, 2020, when they closed at $163.20. The stock was the 10th worst performer in the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.39%

    and fourth worst in the Nasdaq 100
    COMP,
    -1.09%

    — and the most active stock on both exchanges.

    American depositary shares of several China-based EV makers, including Nio Inc.
    NIO,
    -4.30%

    and XPeng Inc.
    XPEV,
    -5.67%
    ,
    also underperformed the broader market. In contrast, shares of General Motors Co.
    GM,
    -0.63%

    and Ford Motor Co.
    F,
    -0.29%

    merely edged lower.

    The energy sector was taking a broad beating as well, with the SPDR Energy Select Sector ETF
    XLE,
    -1.35%

    looking at a four-week low.

    Related: GM’s EV roadmap is ‘ambitious,’ but Wall Street doesn’t give it full credit just yet

    Tesla’s underperformance as compared with the broader indexes holds on a monthly and yearly basis as well. The stock is down more than 25% so far in November and 52% this year.

    If the trend continues, this would be the worst yearly performance for the stock on record.

    The S&P has lost about 17% year to date and has clawed back to a 2% gain so far in November.

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  • China announces first COVID deaths in months and unveils restrictions in Beijing and Guangzhou

    China announces first COVID deaths in months and unveils restrictions in Beijing and Guangzhou

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    China’s zero-COVID strategy was back in the headlines on Monday, after the country announced its first COVID deaths in nearly six months, announced new restrictions in the capital Beijing and locked down the largest district in the southern manufacturing hub of Guangzhou.

    Beijing residents were told not to travel between city districts, and large numbers of restaurants, shops, malls, office buildings and apartment blocks have been closed or isolated, the Associated Press reported. Local and international schools in urban districts of the city of 21 million have been moved online.

    Beijing reported two more COVID-19-related deaths on Monday, a day after the city reported its first COVID-19 death since May. China’s COVID numbers are widely held to be massively undercounted.

    In Guangzhou, public transit was suspended and residents are required to present a negative test if they want to leave their homes, according to a separate AP report.

    The outbreak is testing China’s attempt to bring a more “targeted” approach to its zero-COVID policies while facing multiple outbreaks. China is the only major country in the world still trying to curb virus transmissions through strict lockdown measures and mass testing.

    A group of Chinese doctors interviewed by the Financial Times said the country’s healthcare system is not ready to deal with a huge COVID outbreak that will inevitably follow any easing of strict measures to contain COVID-19.

    “The medical system will probably be paralyzed when faced with mass cases,” one doctor in a public hospital in Wuhan, central China, where the pandemic started nearly three years ago, reportedly told the FT.

    See: China’s COVID-19 restrictions hit historic Beijing theater

    Chinese President Xi Jinping’s speech at China’s 20th Party Congress suggests the country’s economy is moving in a new direction. As for U.S. investors, they’ll likely be taking on more risk investing in China. WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains. Illustration: Elizabeth Smelov

    In the U.S., known cases of COVID were flat on Sunday with the daily average standing at 40,588, according to a New York Times tracker, up 1% from two weeks ago. Cases are currently rising in about half the states and falling in the rest, but some are seeing sharp spikes.

    In Nebraska, for example, cases are up 153% from two weeks ago, followed by Arizona, where they are up 110%.

    The daily average for hospitalizations was up 1% at 27,781, but Alaska is currently seeing a 50% spike, followed by Arizona where hospitalizations are up 51%.

    On a brighter note, the daily average for deaths is down 10% to 286.

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Hong Kong leader John Lee tested positive for COVID-19 after meeting with other regional leaders at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum in Thailand, the city government said Monday, the AP reported. Lee tested negative throughout his four-day stay in Bangkok but his test upon his arrival at Hong Kong’s airport on Sunday night was positive, a government statement said. Lee is now in isolation and will work from home, according to a spokesperson of the Chief Executive’s Office. Other officials at his office who went to Thailand with Lee all tested negative.

    • Oregon Gov. Kate Brown and her husband Dan Little have tested positive for COVID, after returning from Vietnam, Brown disclosed in a tweet. The pair were attending the Vietnam-United States Trade Forum.

    • A Los Angeles couple who fled to Europe after being convicted of running a fraud ring that stole $18 million in COVID aid money was returned to the U.S. to face prison, the AP reported. Richard Ayvazyan and his wife, Marietta Terabelian, were extradited from the Balkan country of Montenegro, where they were living in a luxury seaside villa before their arrest in February. They arrived in Los Angeles on Thursday, according to the U.S. Department of Justice. While they were on the run last year, a court in Los Angeles sentenced Ayvazyan to 17 years in federal prison, and Terabelian to six years.

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 638.1 million on Monday, while the death toll rose above 6.62 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 98.3 million cases and 1,077,031 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 228.2 million people living in the U.S., equal to 68.7% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 35.3 million Americans have had the updated COVID booster that targets the original virus and the omicron variants, equal to 11.3% of the overall population.

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  • Disney shocker: Bob Iger to return as CEO, Bob Chapek ousted

    Disney shocker: Bob Iger to return as CEO, Bob Chapek ousted

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    In a stunning reversal, the Walt Disney Co.
    DIS,
    +0.38%

    announced Sunday night that Chief Executive Bob Chapek was out, and will be replaced by his predecessor, Robert Iger.

    “We thank Bob Chapek for his service to Disney over his long career, including navigating the company through the unprecedented challenges of the pandemic,” board chair Susan Arnold said in a statement. “The Board has concluded that as Disney embarks on an increasingly complex period of industry transformation, Bob Iger is uniquely situated to lead the Company through this pivotal period.”

    Iger served as Disney’s CEO from 2005-’20, and served as executive chairman and chairman of the board through 2021. Over his 15-year tenure as CEO, Disney rebuilt itself as a media powerhouse, with the acquisitions of Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and its “Star Wars” properties, and 21st Century Fox.

    “Mr. Iger has the deep respect of Disney’s senior leadership team, most of whom he worked closely with until his departure as executive chairman 11 months ago, and he is greatly admired by Disney employees worldwide — all of which will allow for a seamless transition of leadership,” Arnold said in the statement.

    Disney’s shares jumped 8% in premarket trade to $99.10.

    Disney shares have fallen about 11% since June, and are down 41% year to date, compared to the 5% decline this year by the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.59%
    ,
    of which it is a component.

    Disney made clear that Iger’s return will be temporary — two years, with a mandate from the board to set a new strategic direction and develop a successor.

    “Wow,” Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said in a tweet Sunday night. “Iger had golden touch at Disney,” he said, adding that his return is a “major strategic move with ramifications across the media and streaming industry looking ahead.”

    Iger announced he was stepping down as CEO in February 2020, with Disney saying at the time he would continue to “direct the company’s creative endeavors.”

    Earlier this month, Disney stock suffered its worst day since 2001 following what one analyst termed a “massive earnings downgrade,” after the company in its fourth-quarter earnings report forecast significantly softer-than-expected, single-digit growth in the coming fiscal year, far below analysts’ consensus view of 25% growth.

    That was all despite Disney’s best year for revenue growth in more than 25 years. Disney’s theme parks grew steadily in the third year of the COVID-19 pandemic, but its largest business segment, media and entertainment distribution, suffered a sharp drop in sales. And while the Disney+ streaming service is rapidly growing, it’s still a money-loser. The service will add a cheaper, advertising-supported tier in December in a bid to increase revenue.

    Earlier this month, the Wall Street Journal reported Disney’s companywide plans to cut costs, including a near ban on business travel, a hiring freeze and likely layoffs. “We are going to have to make tough and uncomfortable decisions,” Chapek reportedly said in an internal memo.

    Earlier this year, Chapek widely criticized for Disney’s response to Florida’s new “Don’t Say Gay” law. After at first saying Disney would stay out of the political fight, he finally expressed his concerns to Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and pledged millions to LGBTQ+ causes and paused the company’s political donations in Florida. That drew harsh backlash from conservatives, while many Disney employees participated in walkouts to protest what they said was Chapek’s slow and lackluster response. Chapek apologized to employees, saying “I let you down.”

    This past June, Disney extended Chapek’s contract for another three years, with Arnold calling Chapek “the right leader at the right time,” and saying he had the board’s “full confidence.”

    Controversial decisions

    While Iger was long seen as a champion of creatives, Chapek chafed many at Disney with his decisions, including one to stream new movies on Disney+ the same day they hit theaters — which drew a 2021 lawsuit from actress Scarlett Johansson, who claimed the decision “cheated” her out of millions of dollars in earnings. (The suit was later settled.)

    In March, CNBC reported that Iger and Chapek — his handpicked successor — had had a falling out and rarely spoke anymore, and that there was significant internal tension caused by Chapek making key decisions about Disney’s future without Iger’s input. “It was extremely awkward,” one source told CNBC.

    Earlier this year in a podcast with Kara Swisher, Iger dismissed “ridiculous” rumors that he might return to lead Disney, saying “You can’t go home again.”

    But in a statement Sunday night, Iger said he was “thrilled” to return.

    “I am extremely optimistic for the future of this great company and thrilled to be asked by the Board to return as its CEO,” Iger said. “Disney and its incomparable brands and franchises hold a special place in the hearts of so many people around the globe — most especially in the hearts of our employees, whose dedication to this company and its mission is an inspiration. I am deeply honored to be asked to again lead this remarkable team, with a clear mission focused on creative excellence to inspire generations through unrivaled, bold storytelling.”

    Kutgun Maral, analyst at RBC Capital Markets, said Iger was “easily” one of the most well-respected executives across its coverage, but the change in leadership has created uncertainty with the company’s big strategy shifts ahead.

    “While we certainly have a positive bias over the long-term opportunity, the near- to medium-term implications to shares will depend on what path Iger will take to deliver on his mandate for ‘renewed growth,’” he said.

    “We note that his term is only for two years, and it might be difficult to execute against a wide-ranging set of initiatives on top of also managing the murky macro backdrop and supporting work on succession planning,” he added.

    — Anviksha Patel contributed to this report

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  • Disney shocker: Bob Iger to return as CEO, Bob Chapek ousted

    Disney shocker: Bob Iger to return as CEO, Bob Chapek ousted

    [ad_1]

    In a stunning reversal, the Walt Disney Co.
    DIS,
    +0.38%

    announced Sunday night that Chief Executive Bob Chapek was out, and will be replaced by his predecessor, Robert Iger.

    “We thank Bob Chapek for his service to Disney over his long career, including navigating the company through the unprecedented challenges of the pandemic,” board chair Susan Arnold said in a statement. “The Board has concluded that as Disney embarks on an increasingly complex period of industry transformation, Bob Iger is uniquely situated to lead the Company through this pivotal period.”

    Iger served as Disney’s CEO from 2005-’20, and served as executive chairman and chairman of the board through 2021. Over his 15-year tenure as CEO, Disney rebuilt itself as a media powerhouse, with the acquisitions of Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and its “Star Wars” properties, and 21st Century Fox.

    “Mr. Iger has the deep respect of Disney’s senior leadership team, most of whom he worked closely with until his departure as executive chairman 11 months ago, and he is greatly admired by Disney employees worldwide — all of which will allow for a seamless transition of leadership,” Arnold said in the statement.

    Disney made clear that Iger’s return will be temporary — two years, with a mandate from the board to set a new strategic direction and develop a successor.

    “Wow,” Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said in a tweet Sunday night. “Iger had golden touch at Disney,” he said, adding that his return is a “major strategic move with ramifications across the media and streaming industry looking ahead.”

    Iger announced he was stepping down as CEO in February 2020, with Disney saying at the time he would continue to “direct the company’s creative endeavors.”

    Earlier this month, Disney stock suffered its worst day since 2001 following what one analyst termed a “massive earnings downgrade,” after the company in its fourth-quarter earnings report forecast significantly softer-than-expected, single-digit growth in the coming fiscal year, far below analysts’ consensus view of 25% growth.

    That was all despite Disney’s best year for revenue growth in more than 25 years. Disney’s theme parks grew steadily in the third year of the COVID-19 pandemic, but its largest business segment, media and entertainment distribution, suffered a sharp drop in sales. And while the Disney+ streaming service is rapidly growing, it’s still a money-loser. The service will add a cheaper, advertising-supported tier in December in a bid to increase revenue.

    Earlier this month, the Wall Street Journal reported Disney’s companywide plans to cut costs, including a near ban on business travel, a hiring freeze and likely layoffs. “We are going to have to make tough and uncomfortable decisions,” Chapek reportedly said in an internal memo.

    Earlier this year, Chapek widely criticized for Disney’s response to Florida’s new “Don’t Say Gay” law. After at first saying Disney would stay out of the political fight, he finally expressed his concerns to Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and pledged millions to LGBTQ+ causes and paused the company’s political donations in Florida. That drew harsh backlash from conservatives, while many Disney employees participated in walkouts to protest what they said was Chapek’s slow and lackluster response. Chapek apologized to employees, saying “I let you down.”

    This past June, Disney extended Chapek’s contract for another three years, with Arnold calling Chapek “the right leader at the right time,” and saying he had the board’s “full confidence.”

    Disney shares have fallen about 10% since June, and are down 38% year to date, compared to the 5% decline this year by the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.59%
    ,
    of which it is a component.

    While Iger was long seen as a champion of creatives, Chapek chafed many at Disney with his decisions, including one to stream new movies on Disney+ the same day they hit theaters — which drew a 2021 lawsuit from actress Scarlett Johansson, who claimed the decision “cheated” her out of millions of dollars in earnings. (The suit was later settled.)

    In March, CNBC reported that Iger and Chapek — his handpicked successor — had had a falling out and rarely spoke anymore, and that there was significant internal tension caused by Chapek making key decisions about Disney’s future without Iger’s input. “It was extremely awkward,” one source told CNBC.

    Earlier this year in a podcast with Kara Swisher, Iger dismissed “ridiculous” rumors that he might return to lead Disney, saying “You can’t go home again.”

    But in a statement Sunday night, Iger said he was “thrilled” to return.

    “I am extremely optimistic for the future of this great company and thrilled to be asked by the Board to return as its CEO,” Iger said. “Disney and its incomparable brands and franchises hold a special place in the hearts of so many people around the globe — most especially in the hearts of our employees, whose dedication to this company and its mission is an inspiration. I am deeply honored to be asked to again lead this remarkable team, with a clear mission focused on creative excellence to inspire generations through unrivaled, bold storytelling.”

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  • The PC boom has gone bust, and we are about to see the results ahead of Black Friday

    The PC boom has gone bust, and we are about to see the results ahead of Black Friday

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    The pandemic-fueled personal-computer boom has ended, so how will that affect demand and pricing for PCs and the retailers that sell them this holiday season?

    A sense of the fallout will be provided in the week ahead with results due from PC makers Dell Technologies Inc.
    DELL,
    +0.67%

    and HP Inc.
    HPQ,
    +0.17%
    ,
    along with videoconferencing platform Zoom Video Communications Inc.
    ZM,
    -1.15%

    and electronics chain Best Buy Co Inc.
    BBY,
    +2.88%

    All of those companies will report amid signs of deep holiday discounting for products such as clothing and electronics, after many customers — stuck at home in 2020 and 2021 — loaded up on laptops and other goods and turned Zoom into a digital conference room. But this year, decades-high inflation, and a return to prepandemic spending on travel and hanging out in person, have forced retailers and electronics makers to adjust to a world where more people are spending on essentials.

    PC shipments have fallen at rates not seen since at least the 1990s. Adobe
    ADBE,
    -2.06%

    has said online holiday discounts for electronics have been as steep as 17%. For computers, they’ve run for as much as 10% less. TVs are also being sold for cheaper. Holiday-season forecasts have generally called for sales increases, helped by price increases and enduring demand despite those price increases.

    In-depth: The pandemic PC boom is over, but its legacy will live on

    However, results from Target
    TGT,
    +0.54%

    on Wednesday missed big on third-quarter earnings, and the big-box retailer said it was bracing for a possible decline in fourth-quarter same-store sales, citing “softening sales and profit trends that emerged late in the third quarter and persisted into November.” Results from Walmart
    WMT,
    +1.51%

    were almost the opposite, however, detailing earnings that beat by a wide margin and a raised full-year outlook.

    Among smaller retailers, discounter Ross Stores Inc.
    ROST,
    +9.86%

    hiked its full-year profit forecast, citing sales momentum but easier year-over-year comparisons up ahead. But Williams-Sonoma Inc.
    WSM,
    -6.15%

    noted “macro uncertainty” and “increasingly inconsistent” demand.

    This week in earnings

    The companies report during a shortened, quieter week — thanks to Thanksgiving — and after concerns about a recession have hung over much of the year. With 94% of S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.48%

    companies having already reported third-quarter results, only a dozen are set to release earnings in the week ahead.

    But among those 94%, there are signs that preoccupations with a downturn might be easing, after the economy grew during the third quarter and reversed after two quarters of declines.

    FactSet senior analyst John Butters, in a report on Thursday, said 179 companies have mentioned the term “recession,” during earnings calls in the third quarter. That’s still above the average over 10 years, but it’s below the 242 companies that mentioned a recession in the second quarter.

    Previously: Executives seem pretty convinced a recession is coming

    Elsewhere on Monday, J.M. Smucker Co.
    SJM,
    +1.11%

    — best known for Folgers and Jif — reports results, following concerns about higher food prices and how much higher they might go. Life-sciences electronics maker Agilent Tecnologies Inc.
    A,
    +1.21%

    report results on Monday as well. Fast-food chain Jack in the Box Inc.
    JACK,

    reports Tuesday. Tractor and construction-vehicle Deere & Co.
    DE,
    +0.31%

    reports Wednesday, following production and supply-chain snarls but steady demand.

    The calls to put on your calendar

    Clothing demand, discount demand: Urban Outfitters Inc.
    URBN,
    +2.44%

    reports Monday, while Burlington Stores Inc.
    BURL,
    +4.63%
    ,
    Nordstrom Inc.
    JWN,
    +1.71%

    and dollar-store chain Dollar Tree Inc.
    DLTR,
    -0.21%

    report on Tuesday.

    The discounting wave across clothing retailers, an effort to clear inventories, might attract more consumers, but it’s worried Wall Street analysts focused on margins and the bottom line. Still, some analysts have said that more younger shoppers feel like their wardrobes are getting stale, and they say Nordstrom, whose customers tend to have more money, is best geared for “an upcoming wardrobe refresh.

    Off-price clothing and home-goods retailer Burlington, meanwhile, will report after rival discounters Ross and TJX received a lift from investors this week.

    See also: The holiday-shopping season has a different problem this year than last — and it could lead to some deals

    Ross’ chief executive, Barbara Rentler, noted that rising prices had hurt its lower-income consumers. But Jefferies analysts said that Burlington and other discounters, which often buy up goods that other retailers don’t want, stood to benefit from the inventory purge.

    Dollar Tree, meanwhile, reports as more shoppers seek cheaper grocery options, but as food prices rise nonetheless. But Bank of America analysts, in a note last month, said traffic data implied a “slowdown” heading into the results.

    The numbers to watch

    Demand trends for PCs, electronics: Dell and HP report in the wake of deeper job cuts across the tech industry, while Zoom tries to tack on more features — such as calendar and email functions — to appeal to small business and adapt to a hybrid-work world.

    The PC boom’s demise hit home at Dell during its prior quarter, reported in August, after personal-computer sales at the company came in below estimates. Executives, at that time, said PC demand had fallen and that “customers are taking a more cautious view of their needs given the uncertainty.”

    Opinion: Tech earnings are about to dive, and there’s no life preserver in sight

    Some analysts, however, signaled that some degree of investor pessimism was already baked into the stock prices.

    “We recognize the deteriorating industry fundamentals in relation to PCs as well as incremental slowdown in IT Infrastructure. That said, we believe the magnitude of the cuts last quarter set up Dell to be less exposed to another round of material earnings revisions,” JPMorgan analysts said in a note. And even as HP feels similar pain, analysts there said share buybacks could be “a bright spot.”

    Results from HP and Dell could also have implications for Best Buy, which sells laptops, TVs, phones and other electronic devices.

    “Recall that initial expectations for the year were that BBY would face pressure as it lapped stimulus-fueled spending and broad-based demand for technology products and services,” Wedbush analysts said in a note on Friday.

    “However, the macro has been more volatile than expected with consumers facing significant inflationary pressures and lower-income households are making decisions to trade down in some categories such as televisions.”

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  • They Lived Together, Worked Together and Lost Billions Together: Inside Sam Bankman-Fried’s Doomed FTX Empire

    They Lived Together, Worked Together and Lost Billions Together: Inside Sam Bankman-Fried’s Doomed FTX Empire

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    NASSAU, Bahamas—Sam Bankman-Fried’s $32 billion crypto-trading empire collapsed in an incandescent bankruptcy last week, prompting irate customers, crypto acolytes and Silicon Valley bigwigs to ask how something that seemed so promising could have imploded so fast.

    The emerging picture suggests FTX wasn’t simply felled by a rival, or undone by a bad trade or the relentless fall this year in the value of cryptocurrencies. Instead, it had long been a chaotic mess. From its earliest days, the firm was an unruly agglomeration of corporate entities, customer assets and Mr. Bankman-Fried himself, according to court papers, company balance sheets shown to bankers and interviews with employees and investors. No one could say exactly what belonged to whom. Prosecutors are now investigating its collapse.

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