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  • I ruined my family’s finances by withdrawing from my 401(k) to buy a house – I regret it

    I ruined my family’s finances by withdrawing from my 401(k) to buy a house – I regret it

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    I recently made a panic decision to withdraw all my money from one retirement account and I am now closing on a house in February (about $200,000). I am 36 years old, married and have a 1-year-old. Half of me is regretting it, and I’m worried about next year’s taxes due to the withdrawal and the 10% penalty I paid.

    I have been saving up money with my family in order to buy our first home. Recently, however, interest rates have risen, making me worry that this window to get an affordable house was closing. In a fit of panic, I withdrew all of our $26,000 saved money from my 401(k), putting it in a high-yield savings account (3.75%). We have now chosen a home and will be using around $18,000 of this money for the down payment. 

    I am now worried that I might have to pay income taxes and a penalty for the withdrawal itself. I am extremely anxious over this situation as I feel I have destroyed our family’s financial future and that we cannot afford to pay taxes on the money I withdrew. 

    My main concern or question is, is there a way to tell the IRS that this money is being used toward a house? Retroactively? 

    See: I’m a single dad maxing out my retirement accounts and earning $100,000 – how do I make the most of my retirement dollars?

    Dear reader, 

    The first thing you need to do: Take a breath. Most decisions should not be made in a panic, especially when involving money. 

    Because you withdrew from your 401(k), yes, you will have to pay taxes and a penalty. Had it been a loan, you’d have to pay interest on what you borrowed, but it would be to your own account. Keep in mind however that loans from your employer-based retirement plans are also risky – if you were to separate from your job, for whatever reason, you’d be responsible to pay it back or it would be treated as a distribution.

    I understand your sense of urgency in wanting to buy a home during a more favorable market, but your time now should be spent on getting yourself financially situated and saving for the future. 

    “I wouldn’t advise this or done it this way, but he’s not stuck and it’s not detrimental – it’s just a tough lesson to learn,” said Jordan Benold, a certified financial planner at Benold Financial Planning.  

    Get very serious about your current finances and find a way to earmark a portion of your income to savings if at all possible. There are a few things you should be doing. 

    First, assess how much you will be paying in taxes and penalties. I’m not sure what your tax bracket is, but did this distribution push you into a higher tax bracket? You can use a calculator or talk to an accountant to see what that withdrawal will incur in taxes – then make sure you can pay it, or talk to the Internal Revenue Service about an extension. There are penalties for failing to file your taxes or pay them, and you don’t want to add that on top of your stress. 

    Also see: We have 25 years until retirement and are saving 25% of our income – are we doing it right? And are we saving too much?

    The IRS may not be able to do anything for you in terms of waiving those penalties – though it doesn’t hurt to ask, even if you have to wait on the phone for a while to talk to someone – but communication and attention to detail are key when it comes to your taxes. Getting an IRS agent on the phone and talking through your situation won’t be time wasted. There are so many rules, and an agent can help make sense of your options.

    Read: The days of IRS forgiveness for RMD mistakes may soon be over

    Once you get that sorted, look extremely carefully at whatever money you have coming in and what’s going out. You’re about to close on a home, and that costs money – not just the home itself, but all of the extras associated with closing. You may also need money for insurance, furniture, any repairs and so on if you haven’t factored that in yet, so fit that into your budget for when you sign the papers. Beyond that, list every expense you expect to have for the next 12 months – home insurance and taxes, a mortgage or utilities, groceries, medicine, any other nonnegotiable costs and add it all up. Don’t forget anything – ask your partner if there’s anything you may have forgotten. 

    Then compare it to your income. Are you under? Are you over? What changes can you make without totally draining your happiness? I always advocate for a balance…yes, in some cases you have to omit a few expenses for the time being when building up an emergency savings account or paying down debt, but don’t completely rob yourself of joy or all of your hard work may backfire. If you really need to buckle down, make a separate list of activities and entertainment you can get for free (or as close to free as possible)—walks in the park or on the beach with your partner and child, museums on free days, pot lucks and at-home movie nights with family and friends and so on. 

    Want more actionable tips for your retirement savings journey? Read MarketWatch’s “Retirement Hacks” column

    Earmark a portion of your income to replenish your retirement savings before you try saving for any other goals. (This is separate from an emergency savings account, however – you should have one of those.) You may do that with payroll deductions in your 401(k), or also by allocating some of your savings to an IRA outside of the 401(k). 

    Take some time to learn the rules of your retirement plans. For example, an IRA allows an investor to take $10,000 out of the account penalty-free if it’s for a first-time home purchase (whereas a 401(k) does not have that exception). It may be too late for that, but there are other perks with various retirement accounts. 

    The 401(k) has a higher contribution limit and also comes with the possibility of employer matches (if your company offers it), whereas an IRA allows for penalty-free withdrawals for college. With a traditional IRA, you’d have to pay taxes on the withdrawal, whereas with a Roth IRA you’ve already paid the taxes and won’t have to pay any more for withdrawing from your contributions (you may have to pay taxes on the earnings portion, so follow distribution rules closely).

    Remember – you don’t want to make distributions from your retirement savings for just anything. You can borrow money for a home or college, but you can’t borrow money for retirement, so it’s important to protect those accounts. Familiarize yourself with the pros and cons of all accounts so that you can maximize your savings and diversify your withdrawal options when you finally get to retirement. 

    So just buckle down, get yourself in order and think of the future. “He’s got plenty of time – 30 to 40 years to work,” Benold said. “This might be a distant memory that he hopes he can forget.” 

    Have a question about your own retirement savings? Email us at HelpMeRetire@marketwatch.com

    Readers: Do you have suggestions for this reader? Add them in the comments below.

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  • United Airlines swings to profit despite ‘worst’ winter storm, issues blue-sky guidance

    United Airlines swings to profit despite ‘worst’ winter storm, issues blue-sky guidance

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    United Airlines Holdings Inc. late Tuesday reported fourth-quarter earnings that were well above Wall Street expectations, saying it managed well the severe winter-weather disruptions in late December, and offered an optimistic view of the current quarter and guidance for full-year 2023.

    United
    UAL,
    -0.87%

    managed through “one of the worst weather events in my career to get deliver for so many of our customers and get them home for the holidays,” United Airlines Chief Executive Scott Kirby said.

    U.S. airlines canceled or delayed thousands of flights in late December due to Winter Storm Elliott, with Southwest Airlines Co.
    LUV,
    +0.14%

    the worst affected. Southwest told Wall Street to expect a fourth-quarter loss, adding that the cancelations are likely to cost about $825 million.

    United’s Kirby pinned the different outcome for his airline on “critical” investments in personnel and technology. “That’s why we’ve got a big head start, and we’re now poised to accelerate in 2023,” the CEO said.

    United earned $843 million, or $2.55 a share, in the fourth quarter, swinging from a loss of $646 million, or $1.99 a share, in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted for one-time items, United earned $2.46 a share.

    Revenue rose to $12.40 billion from $8.2 billion a year ago.

    Analysts polled by FactSet expected United to report adjusted earnings of $2.11 a share on revenue of $12.23 billion.

    The stock rallied more than 3% in extended trading after ending the regular trading day down 0.9%. The airline has scheduled a conference call with analysts Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. Eastern

    See also: Here’s what Delta Air earnings say about the rest of the industry

    United guided for first-quarter adjusted EPS between 50 cents and $1, well above current FactSet consensus of 31 cents a share, and said it expects revenue to grow around 50% in the quarter.

    For the full year, the airline called for adjusted EPS between $10 and $12, also significantly higher than FactSet consensus of $6.84 a share.

    United stock has gained 9% in the past 12 months. That contrasts with losses of around 14% for the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.20%

    and of nearly 10% for the U.S. Global Jets ETF
    JETS,
    +0.40%
    .

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  • 10 simple investments that can turn your portfolio into an income dynamo

    10 simple investments that can turn your portfolio into an income dynamo

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    Many people are good at saving up money for retirement. They manage expenses and build up their nest eggs steadily. But when it comes time to begin drawing income from an investment portfolio, they might feel overwhelmed with so many choices.

    Some income-seeking investors might want to dig deeply into individual bonds or dividend stocks. But others will want to keep things simple. One of the easiest ways to begin switching to an income focus is to use exchange-traded funds. Below are examples of income-oriented exchange-traded funds (ETFs) with related definitions further down.

    First, the inverse relationship

    Before looking at income-producing ETFs, there is one concept we will have to get out of the way — the relationship between interest rates and bond prices.

    Stocks represent ownership units in companies. Bonds are debt instruments. A government, company or other entity borrows money from investors and issues bonds that mature on a certain date, when the issuer redeems them for the face amount. Most bonds issued in the U.S. have fixed interest rates and pay interest every six months.

    Investors can sell their bonds to other investors at any time. But if interest rates in the market have changed, the market value of the bonds will move in the opposite direction. Last year, when interest rates rose, the value of bonds declined, so that their yields would match the interest rates of newly issued bonds of the same credit quality.

    It was difficult to watch bond values decline last year, but investors who didn’t sell their bonds continued to receive their interest. The same could be said for stocks. The benchmark S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.20%

    fell 19.4% during 2022, with 72% of its stocks declining. But few companies cut dividends, just as few companies defaulted on their bond payments.

    One retired couple that I know saw their income-oriented brokerage account value decline by about 20% last year, but their investment income increased — not only did the dividend income continue to flow, they were able to invest a bit more because their income exceeded their expenses. They “bought more income.”

    The longer the maturity of a bond, the greater its price volatility. Depending on the economic environment, you might find that a shorter-term bond portfolio offers a “sweet spot” factoring in price volatility and income.

    And here’s a silver lining — if you are thinking of switching your portfolio to an income orientation now, the decline in bond prices means yields are much more attractive than they were a year ago. The same can be said for many stocks’ dividend yields.

    Downside protection

    What lies ahead for interest rates? With the Federal Reserve continuing its efforts to fight inflation, interest rates may continue to rise through 2023. This can put more pressure on bond and stock prices.

    Ken Roberts, an investment adviser with Four Star Wealth Management in Reno, Nev., emphasizes the “downside protection” provided by dividend income in his discussions with clients.

    “Diversification is the best risk-management tool there is,” he said during an interview. He also advised novice investors — even those seeking income rather than growth — to consider total returns, which combine the income and price appreciation over the long term.

    An ETF that holds bonds is designed to provide income in a steady stream. Some pay dividends quarterly and some pay monthly. An ETF that holds dividend-paying stocks is also an income vehicle; it may pay dividends that are lower than bond-fund payouts and it will also take greater risk of stock-market price fluctuation. But investors taking this approach are hoping for higher total returns over the long term as the stock market rises.

    “With an ETF, your funds are diversified. And when the market goes through periods of volatility, you continue to enjoy the income, even if your principal balance declines temporarily,” Roberts said.

    If you sell your investments into a declining market, you know you will lose money — that is, you will sell for less than your investments were worth previously. If you are enjoying a stream of income from your portfolio, it might be easier for you to wait through a down market. If we look back over the past 20 calendar years — arbitrary periods — the S&P 500 increased during 15 of those years. But its average annual price increase was 9.1% and its average annual total return, with dividends reinvested, was 9.8%, according to FactSet.

    Also see: When can I sell my I-bonds? Are I-bonds taxed? Answers to your questions about Series I bonds.

    In any given year, there can be tremendous price swings. For example, during 2020, the early phase of the Covid-19 pandemic pushed the S&P 500 down 31% through March 23, but the index ended the year with a 16% gain.

    Two ETFs with broad approaches to dividend stocks

    Invesco Head of Factor and Core Strategies Nick Kalivas believes investors should “explore higher-yielding stocks as a way to generate income and hedge against inflation.”

    He cautioned during an interview that selecting a stock based only on a high dividend yield could place an investor in “a dividend trap.” That is, a high yield might indicate that professional investors in the stock market believe a company might be forced to cut its dividend. The stock price has probably already declined, to send the dividend yield down further. And if the company cuts the dividend, the shares will probably fall even further.

    Here are two ways Invesco filters broad groups of stocks to those with higher yields and some degree of safety:

    • The Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF
      SPHD,
      -0.33%

      holds shares of 50 companies with high dividend yields that have also shown low price volatility over the previous 12 months. The portfolio is weighted toward the highest-yielding stocks that meet the criteria, with limits on exposure to individual stocks or sectors. It is reconstituted twice a year in January and July. Its 30-day SEC yield is 4.92%.

    • The Invesco High Yield Equity Dividend Achievers ETF
      PEY,
      -0.70%

      follows a different screening approach for quality. It begins with the components of the Nasdaq Composite Index
      COMP,
      +1.39%
      ,
      then narrows the list to 50 companies that have raised dividend payouts for at least 10 consecutive years, whose stocks have the highest dividend yields. It excludes real-estate investment trusts and is weighted toward higher-yielding stocks meeting the criteria. Its 30-day yield is 4.08%.

    The 30-day yields give you an idea of how much income to expect. Both of these ETFs pay monthly. Now see how they performed in 2022, compared with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, all with dividends reinvested:


    Both ETFs had positive returns during 2022, when rising interest rates pressured the broad indexes.

    8 more ETFs for income (and some for growth too)

    A mutual fund is a pooling of many investors’ money to pursue a particular goal or set of goals. You can buy or sell shares of most mutual funds once a day, at the market close. An ETF can be bought or sold at any time during stock-market trading hours. ETFs can have lower expenses than mutual funds, especially ETFs that are passively managed to track indexes.

    You should learn about the expenses before making a purchase. If you are working with an investment adviser, ask about fees — depending on the relationship between the adviser and a fund manager, you might get a discount on combined fees. You should also discuss volatility risk with your adviser, to establish a comfort level and to try to match your income investment choices to your risk tolerance.

    Here are eight more ETFs designed to provide income or a combination of income and growth:

    Company

    Ticker

    30-day SEC yield

    Concentration

    2022 total return

    iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF

    LQD,
    -0.36%
    4.98%

    Corporate bonds with investment-grade ratings.

    -17.9%

    iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF

    HYG,
    -0.34%
    7.96%

    Corporate bonds with lower credit ratings.

    -11.0%

    iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF

    SHYG,
    -0.26%
    8.02%

    Similar to HYG but with shorter maturities for lower price volatility.

    -4.7%

    SPDR Nuveen Municipal Bond ETF

    MBND,
    +0.04%
    2.94%

    Investment-grade municipal bonds for income exempt from federal taxes.

    -8.6%

    GraniteShares HIPS US High Income ETF

    HIPS,
    +0.82%
    9.08%

    An aggressive equity income approach that includes REITs, business development companies and pipeline partnerships.

    -13.5%

    JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF

    JEPI,
    -0.25%
    11.77%

    A covered-call strategy with equity-linked notes for extra income.

    -3.5%

    Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF

    DIVO,
    -0.55%
    1.82%

    Bue chip dividend stocks with some covered-call writing to enhance income.

    -1.5%

    First Trust Institutional Preferred Securities & Income ETF

    FPEI,
    +0.05%
    5.62%

    Preferred stocks, mainly in the financial sector

    -8.2%

    Sources: Issuer websites (for 30-day yields), FactSet

    Click the tickers for more about each ETF.

    Read: Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Definitions

    The following definitions can help you gain a better understanding of how the ETFs listed above work:

    30-day SEC yield — A standardized calculation that factors in a fund’s income and expenses. For most funds, this yield gives a good indication of how much income a new investor can be expected to receive on an annualized basis. But the 30-day yields don’t always tell the whole story. For example, a covered-call ETF with a low 30-day yield may be making regular dividend distributions (quarterly or monthly) that are considerably higher, since the 30-day yield can exclude covered-call option income. See the issuer’s website for more information about any ETF that may be of interest.

    Taxable-equivalent yield — A taxable yield that would compare with interest earned from municipal bonds that are exempt from federal income taxes. Leaving state or local income taxes aside, you can calculate the taxable-equivalent yield by dividing your tax exempt yield by 1 less your highest graduated federal income tax bracket.

    Bond ratings — Grades for credit risk, as determined by ratings agencies. Bonds are generally considered Investment-grade if they are rated BBB- or higher by Standard & Poor’s and Fitch, and Baa3 or higher by Moody’s. Fidelity breaks down the credit agencies’ ratings hierarchy. Bonds with below-investment-grade ratings have higher risk of default and higher interest rates than investment-grade bonds. They are known as high-yield or “junk” bonds.

    Call option — A contract that allows an investor to buy a security at a particular price (called the strike price) until the option expires. A put option is the opposite, allowing the purchaser to sell a security at a specified price until the option expires.

    Covered call option — A call option an investor writes when they already own a security. The strategy is used by stock investors to increase income and provide some downside protection.

    Preferred stock — A stock issued with a stated dividend yield. This type of stock has preference in the event a company is liquidated. Unlike common shareholders, preferred shareholders don’t have voting rights.

    These articles dig deeper into the types of securities mentioned above and related definitions:

    Don’t miss: These 15 Dividend Aristocrat stocks have been the best income builders

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  • WHO calls on China to release more information on its COVID case surge to learn more about which variants are circulating

    WHO calls on China to release more information on its COVID case surge to learn more about which variants are circulating

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    The World Health Organization has called on China to release more information about its current wave of COVID infections after China said nearly 60,000 people have succumbed to the virus since early December, the Associated Press reported. 

    The announcement of fatality numbers on Saturday came after weeks of complaints that China was not keeping experts abreast of what was happening.

    The announcement “allows for a better understanding of the epidemiological situation,” said a WHO statement. Director-general, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus talked by phone with Health Minister Ma Xiaowei, it said.

    “WHO requested that this type of detailed information continued to be shared with us and the public,” the agency said.

    The National Health Commission said only deaths in hospitals were counted, which means anyone who died at home is not part of the tally. It gave no indication of when or whether it might release updated numbers. China has seen a wave of cases ever since the government ended stringent restrictions on movement in December.

    The WHO is now analyzing the data, which covers early December to Jan. 12. So far, the epidemiology is similar to what has been seen in other countries, “a rapid and intense wave of disease caused by known sub-variants of omicron with higher clinical impact on older people and those with underlying conditions,” said the statement.

     The agency is hoping to get more information on the exact variants that are circulating. China has reported that two omicron sublineages, dubbed BA.5.2 and BF.7 are spreading but the WHO needs more sequences to be shared with open databases to get fully up to date.

    See also: China reports first population drop in decades as birthrates plunge

    Tens of thousands of people resumed travels in and out of China on Sunday as the country lifted almost all of its border restrictions, ending three years of strict pandemic controls. Some travelers expressed relief to be reunited with their families. Photo: Tyrone Siu/Reuters

    In the U.S., the seven-day average of new U.S. COVID cases stood at 59,121 on Monday, according to a New York Times tracker. That’s flat from two weeks ago and below the recent peak of 70,508 on Christmas Eve.

    See also: Americans are facing years of ‘tripledemic’ winters that may put patients with other ailments at risk, Jha says

    The daily average for hospitalizations was down 8% at 45,052. The average for deaths stood at 562, up 78% from two weeks ago to continue the recent trend.

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said its real-time surveillance system has met the statistical criteria to prompt additional investigation into whether there is a risk of ischemic stroke in people ages 65 and older who received the Pfizer/BioNTech
    PFE,
    -3.70%

    BNTX,
    -1.28%

    bivalent COVID vaccine. “Rapid-response investigation of the signal in the VSD (vaccine safety datalink) raised a question of whether people 65 and older who have received the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine, Bivalent were more likely to have an ischemic stroke in the 21 days following vaccination compared with days 22-42 following vaccination,” the agency said in a statement. No such signal has been identified with the Moderna
    MRNA,
    -0.68%

    bivalent vaccine, it added.

    • Italian tennis player Camila Giorgi has denied allegations that she obtained a false COVID-19 vaccine certificate to allow her to travel, the AP reported. A doctor is under investigation in Italy for supplying false certificates and fake vaccines and Giorgi’s name was revealed in a long list of people implicated by an Italian newspaper. Giorgi is currently competing in the Australian Open.

    Getting the flu can increase the risk of getting a second infection, including strep throat. WSJ’S Daniela Hernandez explains the science behind that, plus what it means for the rest of the winter and how we can protect ourselves from the tripledemic. Illustration: David Fang

    • The New York State Department of Health is “exploring its options” after a state Supreme Court judge struck down a statewide mandate requiring healthcare workers to be vaccinated against COVID-19, the AP reported separately. Judge Gerard Neri wrote in a ruling released Friday that Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul and the health department overstepped their authority by mandating a vaccine that’s not included in state public health law, the Syracuse Post-Standard reported. The mandate is “null, void, and of no effect,” the judge said. He sided with Medical Professionals for Informed Consent, a group of medical workers impacted by the vaccination mandate.

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 667.3 million on Tuesday, while the death toll rose above 6.7 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 101.7 million cases and 1,099,885 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 229.4 million people living in the U.S., equal to 69.1% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 49.6 million Americans, equal to 15.9% of the overall population, have had the updated COVID booster that targets both the original virus and the omicron variants.

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  • New York Empire State factory gauge drops sharply in January signaling deep contraction in activity

    New York Empire State factory gauge drops sharply in January signaling deep contraction in activity

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    The numbers: The New York Fed’s Empire State business conditions index, a gauge of manufacturing activity in the state, tumbled 21.7 points to negative 32.9 in January, the regional Fed bank said Tuesday. 

    This is the lowest level since the worst of the pandemic in May 2020 and among the lowest levels in the survey’s history, the regional Fed bank said.

    Economists had expected a reading of negative 7, according to a survey by The Wall Street Journal.

    Any reading below zero indicates contraction.

    Key details: The new orders index fell 27.5 points to negative 31.1 in January. Shipments fell 27.7 points to negative 22.4.

    The indexes for prices paid and prices received moved lower.

    The employment gauges were also weak.

    Firms expect little improvement in coming months, with the futures index at 8.

    Big picture: The Federal Reserve’s steady increase in interest rates is having a slowing impact on capital spending as firms are scaling back investment, economists said. Demand for goods is also slowing after two strong years on the weak global economy. Added to the mix is the strong dollar which makes U.S. exports more expensive.

    The market pays attention to the Empire State index because it is seen as a early read on the national ISM manufacturing index to be released early next month.

    The ISM factory index contracted in December for the second straight month, falling to 48.4% from 49% in the prior month.

    Looking ahead: “Manufacturing conditions in the U.S. are deteriorating and the worst is likely ahead,” said Gurleen Chadha, economist at Oxford Economics.

    Market reaction: U.S. stocks
    DJIA,
    -1.14%

    SPX,
    -0.20%

    opened lower on Tuesday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.489%

    retreated to 3.51% after reaching 3.57% in early morning trading.

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  • Alibaba, XPeng, Goldman Sachs, and More Stock Market Movers Tuesday

    Alibaba, XPeng, Goldman Sachs, and More Stock Market Movers Tuesday

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  • Chinese EV maker Xpeng cuts prices after Tesla move

    Chinese EV maker Xpeng cuts prices after Tesla move

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    Chinese electric car maker Xpeng Inc. has cut prices for most of its vehicles by around 10%, joining other auto makers in lowering prices as competition heats up in the country’s fast-expanding electric-vehicle market.

    The company said in a statement on Tuesday that it will slash prices for multiple versions of its P7, P5 and G3i models by 20,000 yuan (US$2,970) to CNY36,000 yuan, representing about a 10% drop from current prices. In particular, the starting price for Xpeng’s
    XPEV,
    -1.19%

    best-selling P7 sedan will be reduced by 12.5%.

    The price cuts will take effect from Tuesday afternoon, the company said. Xpeng has kept prices unchanged for its new G9 model.

    For car owners who purchased Xpeng automobiles before the price cut, Xpeng said it will extend maintenance services for free as compensation.

    Xpeng’s move came after Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -0.94%

    lowered its China selling prices earlier this month. EV makers have been increasingly seeking to fend off rising competition from emerging rivals and traditional car makers’ stepped-up push into the EV industry, where previously soaring sales growth is expected to cool down amid higher market saturation.

    Write to Yifan Wang at yifan.wang@wsj.com

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  • Tanking Biotech Stocks Will Mean a Big Year for Deals. Who Could Benefit.

    Tanking Biotech Stocks Will Mean a Big Year for Deals. Who Could Benefit.

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    Nearly two years after biotechnology stocks began to tumble, executives at small and midsize companies in the space are finally accepting that share prices aren’t bouncing back anytime soon.

    With reality setting in, it’s a buyer’s market for companies looking for acquisitions and partnerships, according to many of the pharmaceutical and medical technology executives who gathered at this year’s


    J.P. Morgan


    healthcare investor conference, which wrapped up in San Francisco on Thursday.

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  • Too Much Government Debt Could Become a Big Problem for the Stock Market

    Too Much Government Debt Could Become a Big Problem for the Stock Market

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    It’s always fun until the bill comes due—and the bill always comes due. In fact, it’s coming due right about now.

    On Friday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned Congress that the U.S. would hit its debt ceiling this coming Thursday, earlier than many had expected. That doesn’t mean the government will be forced to stop paying its bills then—Yellen believes that the Treasury has enough cash and other ways to raise money to last it until early June—but it does mean that an issue that was still purely theoretical has become far more pressing as the X date approaches.

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  • ‘Poker move’ or wake-up call? Wall Street weighs in on Tesla’s price cuts.

    ‘Poker move’ or wake-up call? Wall Street weighs in on Tesla’s price cuts.

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    Tesla Inc.’s price cuts in the U.S. and Europe heightened worries on Wall Street about the electric-car maker’s margins and worsening demand at a moment when both aspects of the business seem at risk.

    Tesla overnight slashed prices of several of its models, including its cheaper Model Y compact SUV and Model 3 sedan, in the U.S. and in several European countries by about 6% to 20%.

    Tesla stock
    TSLA,
    -2.30%

    fell more than 3% by midday trading, eroding weekly gains to about 5%. Tesla shares rallied close to double-digits earlier in the week on some optimism about its coming earnings and news that it was expanding its factory in Texas.

    The stock has traded around two-year lows and lost nearly 50% in the past three months as concerns swirl about the extent of the involvement of Chief Executive Elon Musk with Twitter Inc., which Musk bought in October, and weakened demand amid a global slowdown.

    The price cuts, which also mean some Tesla EVs qualify for tax credits, may represent a gamble that until very recently Tesla thought itself insulated from.

    “Ultimately, management is following through with its strategy to sacrifice industry-leading gross margins to prop up volume demand as the health of the global consumer remains uncertain,” TPH analyst Matthew Portillo said.

    “Today’s move on pricing likely sets the table for management to be able to set more realistic guidance expectations on Jan. 25,” when Tesla is expected to report quarterly earnings, Portillo said.

    The action resulted in at least one downgrade for the stock. Guggenheim analyst Ronald Jewsikow lowered his rating on Tesla stock to sell from neutral with a price target of $89, implying downside of about 24% from current levels.

    “We see a negative catalyst path for the stock to underperform in the near and intermediate term,” Jewsikow wrote in a note.

    Jewsikow went on to forecast a “sizable gross margin miss” in the fourth quarter, mostly thanks to the price reductions and incentives. Fiscal 2023 estimates “need a reset,” the analyst said.

    Tesla is slated to report fourth-quarter earnings after market close on Jan. 25. FactSet consensus calls for adjusted earnings of $1.16 a share on revenue of $25 billion. The numbers are likely to be tweaked as it gets closer to the reporting day.

    Analyst Dan Ives with Wedbush said he was optimistic the price action could prompt more people to get their Tesla.

    Tesla now enjoys the global scale it did not have a few years ago, with more factories, and has margin flexibility to make such moves, Ives said. And there’s the added benefit that some of its vehicles are now eligible for the tax credits.

    “We believe all together these price cuts could spur demand/deliveries by 12%-15% globally in 2023 and shows Tesla and Musk are going on the ‘offensive’ to spur demand in a softening backdrop,” Ives said.

    “Margins will get hit on this, but we like this strategic poker move by Musk and Tesla,” the analyst said, keeping the equivalent of a buy rating on the stock and a $175 price target, which compares with an average $244 price target as gathered by FactSet from 45 analysts.

    Citi analyst Itay Michaeli took more of a middle road. The price cuts confirm Wall Street worries on demand outside of China and Tesla’s strategy of prioritizing volume over price, he said.

    The EV maker’s decision, though, are also part of a broader EV-industry view “that any demand pressures in 2023 would likely be met with price actions as opposed to production cuts,” Michaeli said.

    Ultimately, gaining EV market share “will prove more important than maximizing EV margins in 2023,” Michaeli said.

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  • Dow closes up more than 100 points as earnings season begins, stocks book best week of gains in 2 months

    Dow closes up more than 100 points as earnings season begins, stocks book best week of gains in 2 months

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    U.S. stocks finished higher Friday, as investors weighed a flurry of bank earnings results for the fourth quarter and fresh data on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations.

    All three major benchmarks also booked their best weekly percentage gains since Nov. 11, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

    How stock indexes traded
    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
      DJIA,
      +0.33%

      rose 112.64 points, or 0.3%, to close at 34,302.61.

    • The S&P 500
      SPX,
      +0.40%

      added 15.92 points, or 0.4%, to finish at 3,999.09.

    • The Nasdaq Composite
      COMP,
      -1.10%

      gained 78.05 points, or 0.7%, to end at 11,079.16.

    For the week, the Dow rose 2%, the S&P 500 advanced 2.7% and the Nasdaq gained 4.8% gain.

    Read: Goldman Sachs sees these ‘prospective’ total returns across assets in 2023

    What drove markets

    Major stock indexes posted their best week of gains in two months on Friday after companies began reporting their fourth-quarter results, with big banks kicking off the earnings season.

    No big surprises have come from the banks’ earnings results so far, with Bank of America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. indicating a potentially mild recession this year, according to Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial. 

    “I think the base case for most of the market right now is that we’re going to see a mild recession,” Saglimbene said in a phone interview Friday. “I don’t think anything that was said across bank earnings today surprised investors.”

    Typically, the release of megabank earnings marks the unofficial start of the U.S. earnings reporting season, and market analysts will be watching closely this quarter for indications of how America’s largest companies are bracing for an expected economic downturn driven by higher interest rates.

    JPMorgan
    JPM,
    +2.52%
    ,
    Bank of America
    BAC,
    +2.20%
    ,
    Wells Fargo & Co.
    WFC,
    +3.25%

    and Citigroup
    C,
    +1.69%

    were among banks that reported their fourth-quarter earnings Friday. JPMorgan was the top performer in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, with its shares closing 2.5% higher, FactSet data show.

    Read: JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Bank of America and Citi beat earnings expectations, but worries about ‘headwinds’ remain

    Earnings will continue to be a “big focus” for markets this month, according to Saglimbene. “Analysts took down estimates pretty aggressively in the fourth quarter,” he said. “So the bar is pretty low for companies. We’ll see if they can hurdle past that.”

    In U.S. economic data released Friday, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index climbed in January to its highest level in nine months, as expectations for the rate of inflation one year out moderated.

    “Signs that inflation has peaked and is moderating slowly kind of eases some of the anxiety that we’re going to see runaway inflation this year,” said Saglimbene.

    A reading from the consumer-price index on Thursday showed U.S. inflation fell in December. Many investors are expecting that the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of interest rate hikes this year as the cost of living has cooled.

    Read: Inflation slows again and clears path for slower Fed rate hikes

    Stocks on Thursday pushed higher after St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said the probability of a soft landing for the economy has increased due to “encouraging” inflation data.

    Read: Why the stock market isn’t impressed with the first monthly decline in consumer prices in more than 2 years

    Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, said by phone Friday that he still favors consumer-staples stocks and companies with “more steady streams than more cyclical streams” of income. “If you’re looking at an economy that’s likely to slow down, it’s really hard for me to think that somehow ‘the cyclicals’ will be immune from the economic cycle,” he said.

    Read: Why earnings season could be a ‘market-moving event’

    Companies in focus
    • JPMorgan
      JPM,
      +2.52%

      shares gained 2.5% after reporting fourth-quarter earnings and revenue before the bell that topped Wall Street expectations. The bank said a mild recession is now the “central case.”

    • Wells Fargo
      WFC,
      +3.25%

      shares rose 3.3% after reporting falling profits, as it was hit by a recent settlement and the need to build reserves.

    • Bank of America
      BAC,
      +2.20%

      shares gained 2.2% after reporting earnings per share of 85 cents last quarter, above the 77 cents a share expected by analysts. Revenue also beat expectations. However, the bank’s net interest income fell slightly below expectations despite jumping interest rates.

    • Delta Air Lines Inc.
      DAL,
      -3.54%

      reported fourth-quarter profit and revenue before the bell that beat expectations. Shares of the airline fell 3.5%.

    • Tesla Inc.
      TSLA,
      -0.94%

      shares fell after the company cut prices in the U.S. and Europe again, according to listings on the company’s website Thursday night. Tesla finished down 0.9%.

    • Shares of UnitedHealth Group Inc.
      UNH,
      -1.23%

      dropped 1.2% after the health-insurance giant shared its results.

    • BlackRock Inc.
      BLK,
      +0.00%

      shares closed about flat after the asset-management giant reported a decline in fourth-quarter results.

    —Barbara Kollmeyer contributed to this article.

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  • New COVID subvariant is now dominant across the U.S., accounting for 43% of all new cases in latest week, CDC says

    New COVID subvariant is now dominant across the U.S., accounting for 43% of all new cases in latest week, CDC says

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    The XBB.1.5 omicron subvariant that has been dominant in the Northeast for several weeks is now officially dominant across the U.S., according to an update from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention early Friday.

    XBB.1.5 accounted for 43% of all COVID cases in the week through Jan. 14, pulling ahead of BQ.1.1, which accounted for 28.8% of new cases, and BQ.1, which accounted for 15.9%, the data showed.

    Last week, BQ.1.1 was still dominant nationwide, accounting for 33.5% of new cases versus XBB.1.5’s 30.4%.

    In the New York region, which includes New Jersey, the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, XBB.1.5 now accounts for 82.7% of new cases, up from 72.7% a week ago.

    On Thursday, the World Health Organization acknowledged that XBB.1.5, which was first detected in tiny numbers in the U.S. in October, has become the most transmissible variant yet thanks to a growth advantage, and said that it appears to have a greater ability to evade immunity than earlier variants.

    However, the immune-escape data is based on preliminary lab-based studies and not on research in humans. And with the only data to review coming from the U.S., the agency said there’s no information yet on clinical severity.

    XBB.1.5 is similar to its immediate predecessor XBB.1 but has an additional mutation to its spike protein that may be behind its growth advantage. For now, it does not appear to have any mutation that might lead to more severe disease or death, WHO officials have said. The agency is monitoring it along with five other omicron variants.

    On Friday, the WHO updated guidelines on face masks, treatments and patient care in the age of COVID, a reminder that the pandemic is not yet over, even if people are mostly behaving as if it is. Given current global trends, the agency is recommending that people wear face masks when in public settings that are enclosed or poorly ventilated. People who have been exposed to the virus should also wear masks.

    “Similar to previous recommendations, WHO advises that there are other instances when a mask may be suggested, based on a risk assessment,” the agency said in a statement. “Factors to consider include the local epidemiological trends or rising hospitalization levels, levels of vaccination coverage and immunity in the community, and the setting people find themselves in.”

    The WHO reduced its recommended isolation period for COVID patients and said they can end isolation early if they test negative on a rapid test. Patients with symptoms should isolate for 10 days from the start of symptom onset, but the agency has dropped its advice for an additional three days.

    For asymptomatic patients who test positive, the WHO now recommends five days of isolation, compared with 10 days previously.

    The WHO extended a strong recommendation for the use of Pfizer’s
    PFE,
    +0.29%

    antiviral Paxlovid for patients with mild to moderate symptoms who are at risk of hospitalization.

    The data comes as the seven-day average of new U.S. cases stood at 60,610 on Thursday, according to a New York Times tracker. That’s up 4% from two weeks ago and below the recent peak of 70,508 on Christmas Eve. The daily average for hospitalizations was up 10% to 45,842. The average for deaths was 564, up 61% from two weeks ago. 

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • The peak of China’s COVID-19 wave is expected to last two to three months and to soon extend over the country’s vast rural areas, where medical resources are relatively scarce, Reuters reported Friday, citing a Chinese epidemiologist. Infections are expected to surge in those areas as hundreds of millions of people travel to their hometowns for the Lunar New Year holiday, which starts Jan. 21. “Our priority focus has been on the large cities. It is time to focus on rural areas,” said Zeng Guang, the former chief epidemiologist at the Chinese Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, according to a report published in local media outlet Caixin on Thursday.

    • Private services offering Chinese travelers access to mRNA vaccines are attracting droves of mainlanders to Hong Kong and Macau, the Guardian reported on Friday, as people seek a booster shot that their government has refused to approve. The government only allowed its citizens to get homegrown vaccines developed by Sinopac and Sinopharm
    8156,
    +6.45%

    throughout the pandemic, but many people are now seeking the greater protection offered by the mRNA vaccines developed by Moderna
    MRNA,
    +2.10%

    and by Pfizer and German partner BioNTech
    BNTX,
    -2.92%
    .

    Tens of thousands of people have resumed travels in and out of China after the country lifted almost all of its border restrictions, ending three years of strict pandemic controls. Photo: Tyrone Siu/Reuters

    • Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly plans to return to work at the Statehouse Friday after learning that a COVID-19 test earlier in the week gave her a false positive result, her office said, the Associated Press reported. Kelly has been working in self-isolation at the governor’s residence since the false positive Tuesday. Her office announced that she had tested positive for COVID-19, and she postponed the annual State of the State address from Wednesday to Jan. 24.

    See also: Sick house: Florida man gets 8 ½ years for using COVID relief to buy lavish 12-acre estate, fleet of luxury cars

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 666.3 million on Friday, while the death toll rose above 6.7 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 101.6 million cases and 1,099,629 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 229.4 million people living in the U.S., equal to 69.1% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 49.6 million Americans, equal to 15.9% of the overall population, have had the updated COVID booster that targets both the original virus and the omicron variants.

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  • Tesla is a ‘soft landing’ stock, says Goldman Sachs. Here are its picks for a gentle economic landing and stocks for a recession.

    Tesla is a ‘soft landing’ stock, says Goldman Sachs. Here are its picks for a gentle economic landing and stocks for a recession.

    [ad_1]

    Pour one out for the beleaguered economists, who for once got an important indicator, the consumer price index, right on the nose, after CPI fell 0.1% in December, while core prices rose 0.3%.

    “The 2021 surge in durable goods demand normalized, and the resulting collapse in durable goods price inflation was stunningly fast,” says Paul Donovan, chief economist of UBS Global Wealth Management.

    “The commodity wave of inflation is fading, and that leaves the profit margin expansion in focus,” he adds. What a good time for earnings season to be upon us, and what do you know, it is, kicking off with the banking sector on Friday before broadening out next week.

    Strategists at Goldman Sachs have a new note out, saying that the market is pricing in a soft landing even though the trend of earnings revisions points to a hard landing.

    They’re not that optimistic — even in the soft-landing scenario, the team led by David Kostin say the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.40%

    will end the year right around current levels, at 4,000. But they identify 46 stocks that could benefit — profitable, cyclical companies that are trading at price-to-earnings valuations below their 10-year median, among other factors.

    One name jumps out: Tesla
    TSLA,
    -0.94%
    ,
    which trades at 22 times forward earnings versus the 10-year median of 117 times. But the other 45 names are less flashy, ranging from Capital One
    COF,
    +1.81%

    and Carlyle Group
    CG,
    +0.54%
    ,
    to a host of industrials including 3M
    MMM,
    +0.12%
    ,
    Parker-Hannifan
    PH,
    +0.73%

    and Otis Worldwide
    OTIS,
    +0.42%
    .
    As a whole, these typically $10 billion companies are trading at 12 times earnings, versus 17 times usually.

    In the hard landing scenario, S&P 500 profit margins would shrink by 125 basis points, to 10.9% — about in line with the median peak-to-trough decline during the eight recessions since 1970, which has been 132 basis points. Consensus expectations are for a 26 basis-point margin decline.

    The Goldman team also have a 36 stock screen for a hard landing — profitable companies in defensive industries with a positive dividend yield. They’re typically food, beverage and tobacco companies as well as software and services companies — including Costco Wholesale
    COST,
    +0.58%
    ,
    Kroger
    KR,
    -0.99%
    ,
    Altria
    MO,
    +0.48%
    ,
    Tyson Foods
    TSN,
    +0.23%
    ,
    Microsoft
    MSFT,
    +0.30%
    ,
    MasterCard
    MA,
    -1.13%

    and Visa
    V,
    -0.25%
    .
    As a whole, these $37 billion companies are trading at 22 times earnings vs. a historical 24 times.

    The market

    After a 2.3% advance for the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.40%

    over the last three sessions, U.S. stock futures
    ES00,
    +0.39%

    NQ00,
    +0.58%

    declined on Friday.

    The yield on the Japanese 10-year bond
    TMBMKJP-10Y,
    0.511%

    exceeded 0.5%, the Bank of Japan’s yield cap, ahead of next week’s rate decision , prompting a second day of aggressive bond purchases from the central bank.

    For more market updates plus actionable trade ideas for stocks, options and crypto, subscribe to MarketDiem by Investor’s Business Daily.

    The buzz

    Fourth-quarter earnings were rolling out from Bank of America
    BAC,
    +2.20%
    ,
    JPMorgan Chase
    JPM,
    +2.52%
    ,
    Citigroup
    C,
    +1.69%

    and Wells Fargo
    WFC,
    +3.25%
    ,
    and outside of banks, Delta Air Lines
    DAL,
    -3.54%
    ,
    BlackRock
    BLK,
    +0.00%

    and UnitedHealth
    UNH,
    -1.23%
    .

    JPMorgan shares slumped after forecast-beating earnings, though investment bank revenue came in light of estimates. Delta shares also declined after topping earnings estimates.

    Tesla
    TSLA,
    -0.94%

    cut prices of Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in the U.S. and elsewhere by up to 20%. The electric vehicle maker stock dropped 6%.

    Virgin Galactic
    SPCE,
    +12.34%

    surged after saying it’s on track to launch space-tourism flights in the second quarter.

    Apple
    AAPL,
    +1.01%

    says CEO Tim Cook requested, and received, a pay cut after investor criticism.

    The University of Michigan’s consumer-sentiment index is due at 10 a.m. Eastern, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker are due to speak.

    Tyler Winklevoss said charges by the Securities and Exchange Commission brought about Gemini Trust for allegedly offering unregistered securities were “super lame” as it seeks to unfreeze $900 million in investor assets.

    Best of the web

    There’s a bull market in swearing on corporate earnings calls.

    The West is now preparing to send tanks to Ukraine in what could be another escalation of its conflict with Russia, which on Friday claimed victory in the eastern town of Soledar.

    A look back at photos of Lisa Marie Presley, who died at age 54.

    Top tickers

    Here were the most active stock-market tickers as of 6 a.m. Eastern.

    Ticker

    Security name

    BBBY,
    -30.15%
    Bed Bath & Beyond

    TSLA,
    -0.94%
    Tesla

    GME,
    -0.68%
    GameStop

    AMC,
    +0.80%
    AMC Entertainment

    MULN,
    -8.59%
    Mullen Automotive

    NIO,
    -0.08%
    Nio

    APE,
    -2.56%
    AMC Entertainment preferreds

    AAPL,
    +1.01%
    Apple

    SPCE,
    +12.34%
    Virgin Galactic

    AMZN,
    +2.99%
    Amazon.com

    Random reads

    Like a scene out of “Stranger Things” — there’s uproar after new restrictions on the Hasbro
    HAS,
    +0.21%

    game Dungeons & Dragons.

    Starting next month, Starbucks
    SBUX,
    +1.30%

    rewards will be less generous for most items, though iced coffee will be easier to get.

    Need to Know starts early and is updated until the opening bell, but sign up here to get it delivered once to your email box. The emailed version will be sent out at about 7:30 a.m. Eastern.

    Listen to the Best New Ideas in Money podcast with MarketWatch reporter Charles Passy and economist Stephanie Kelton.

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  • Delta Beats Profit Estimates. Why the Stock Is Falling.

    Delta Beats Profit Estimates. Why the Stock Is Falling.

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    Delta Air Lines


    beat earnings estimates in the fourth quarter as air travel demand remained strong but the stock fell in early trading Friday as the carrier’s first quarter guidance disappointed.

    The airline (ticker: DAL) reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.48 in the fourth quarter, and revenue of $12.3 billion, an 8% increase on the same period in 2019.

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  • The days of IRS forgiveness for RMD mistakes may soon be over

    The days of IRS forgiveness for RMD mistakes may soon be over

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    Katie St. Ores has a 100% track record of getting her tax clients out of paying the steep penalty for missing a required minimum distribution from their retirement funds. That amounts to only two households getting forgiveness, but it represents a lot of dollars, because the fee for any sort of mistake with RMDs is 50% of what’s missing, which could be tens of thousands of dollars.   

    Now’s the time to make things right if you forgot to make your RMD payment by Dec. 31 for 2022, paid the wrong amount or realized you got it wrong in a past year. The faster you correct it, the more likely the IRS is likely to waive the fines — and your chances are good overall, despite the agency’s stern reputation. 

    Beware, though, that new rules are going into effect in 2023 that could make the IRS less accommodating. For one thing, the age to start RMDs is going to 73 this year, and then 75 in 2033, which means the government is going to be hungry for the missing revenue. Even more important, the penalty will be reduced to 25% — or 10% if you’re really quick about reporting it. 

    The IRS doesn’t publicly track how many people miss or make mistakes with their RMDs, but financial advisers and tax professionals say it happens often enough, and they consider the IRS to be quite liberal about granting waivers. 

    St. Ores, who is a financial adviser and tax preparer based in McMinnville, Ore., thinks the IRS has responded generously so far because they know the rules are complex and mistakes happen.

    “They know people are getting up there in age, and so they’ve probably said up to now, let’s just grant it,” says St. Ores. 

    But the new penalties seem worded to avoid waivers in the future, especially because of the extra reduction to 10% if you act to quickly correct mistakes. Up to now, the IRS has taken pains to point out how to ask for a forgiveness on its website, but now there will be new emphasis on the lower penalties. 

    “The 50% penalty effectively ‘scared’ taxpayers to withdraw RMDs, so reducing the penalty could reduce the fear of additional tax, leading to more taxpayers missing their RMDs,” says St. Ores. “Between more taxpayers that potentially neglect to take their RMDs because of a not-as-high penalty and confusion over the current required age, the IRS will probably collect more taxes overall.”

    What to do about past mistakes

    There are a lot of different ways to mess up your required minimum distributions. The amount you’re supposed to pay is calculated according to a formula that takes your account balance of all your qualified tax-deferred accounts and multiplies it by a factor related to your age. 

    When you get started taking the money out, it works out generally to about 4% of the account value. You keep taking RMDs every year from your designated start time until the accounts are empty (or you die). The beginning age in the past was 70½, then it moved to 72, and now it’s changing to 73. 

    “These things can get complicated,” says Isaac Bradley, director of financial planning at Homrich Berg, an investment firm based in Atlanta. He advised one couple that accidentally took the distribution from the wrong spouse. 

    Another easy mistake is taking the wrong amount because of a math error. Sometimes, the problem is just about communication, because people tend to have multiple 401(k)s at old employers or several rollover IRAs that aren’t consolidated. The adviser helping make the calculations might not know of an account held at a different custodian, and that could throw off the whole equation.

    David Haas, a financial adviser and president of Cereus Financial Advisors, based in Franklin Lakes, N.J., has had to help family members correct RMDs, mostly having to do with inherited IRA accounts. 

    “You’re supposed to take RMD for the person who died, if they didn’t already take it,” he says, but a lot of people miss those in the confusion of grief. 

    Then once you inherit the account, you have to take RMDs over a 10 year period to empty the account. 

    “With one relative, she just kept on missing it and that was her fault. She didn’t realize what she was supposed to do. People don’t know the law, and it’s very confusing,” Haas says. 

    The first step is realizing you made a mistake, and then once you know that, pay the amount that’s missing. You need to file a special form with the IRS for the tax year in question (Form 5329), which you can send in at any point — you don’t have to wait until you file your next tax return. 

    If you want to ask for a waiver, you need to attach a letter explaining the mistake. If your request is not granted, then you pay the penalty.   

    While the process isn’t excessively complicated, you might want to consult with a tax professional to make sure you’re not making more mistakes in calculating the amount that’s missing. It could turn out to be a lot of paperwork if you have missed multiple years. 

    Kenneth Waltzer, a financial planner based in Los Angeles, had a client who did not realize he had inherited an IRA and missed the RMDs on it for five years. “He ignored emails about it,” says Waltzer. “When he came to us, it added up to over $100,000.” 

    For Katie St. Ores, the message going forward is going to be: Get it right the first time. Forgiveness may not be so easy to come by in the future. “I’m trying to stay on top of my clients taking their RMDs on time,” she says.  

    More from MarketWatch

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  • Genesis, Winklevoss twins’ Gemini crypto venture charged by SEC with selling unregistered securities

    Genesis, Winklevoss twins’ Gemini crypto venture charged by SEC with selling unregistered securities

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    U.S. securities regulators on Thursday charged Genesis Global Capital and crypto exchange Gemini Trust Co. with offering and selling of unregistered securities to retail investors, bypassing disclosures and other requirements aimed at protecting market participants.

    Genesis and Gemini raised billions of dollars’ worth of crypto assets from hundreds of thousands of investors through unregistered offers, using a crypto asset-lending program called Gemini Earn, the Securities and Exchange Commission said.

    The complaint seeks the return of any “ill-gotten gains” plus interest, and any civil penalties, the SEC said.

    The SEC is also investigating whether other securities-law violations were committed and whether there are other companies or people relating to the alleged misconduct.

    Twins Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss are the founders of Gemini. The crypto exchange was sued late last year by investors alleging that the company sold interest-bearing accounts without registering them as securities, also through the Gemini Earn program.

    Also read: Gemini’s Cameron Winklevoss accuses crypto exec Barry Silbert of ‘bad faith’ stalling over frozen funds

    The Winklevoss twins were early champions of cryptocurrencies, using the money and fame they won in legal wrangling with Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +2.87%

    and Meta’s founder Mark Zuckerberg over their role in creating the social-media giant to launch Gemini.

    According to the SEC complaint, the Gemini Earn agreement between Genesis, part of a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, and Gemini started in December 2020.

    Gemini customers, including U.S. retail investors, were to have an opportunity to loan their crypto assets to Genesis in exchange for Genesis’ promise to pay a high interest rate.

    Gemini deducted agent fees that were as high as 4.29%, the SEC alleges.

    “Genesis then exercised its discretion in how to use investors’ crypto assets to generate revenue and pay interest to Gemini Earn investors,” the SEC said.

    By November, however, Genesis announced it would not allow the Gemini Earn investors to withdraw their crypto assets because of a liquidity crunch following volatility in the crypto market after FTX’s bankruptcy filing, the SEC said.

    At the time, Genesis held about $900 million in investor assets from 340,000 Gemini Earn investors, the SEC said. Gemini ended the Gemini Earn program earlier this month.

    “As of today, the Gemini Earn retail investors have still not been able to withdraw their crypto assets,” the SEC said in a statement.

    “We allege that Genesis and Gemini offered unregistered securities to the public, bypassing disclosure requirements designed to protect investors,” SEC Chair Gary Gensler said in a statement.

    The charges “build on previous actions to make clear to the marketplace and the investing public that crypto-lending platforms and other intermediaries need to comply with our time-tested securities laws,” Gensler said.

    The SEC’s complaint was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.

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  • Ford Stock Is on Fire. The Reason Isn’t What You’d Expect.

    Ford Stock Is on Fire. The Reason Isn’t What You’d Expect.

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    The outlook for the car market in 2023 is uncertain, but that isn’t stopping investors from piling into


    Ford Motor


    shares.



    Ford


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  • COVID subvariant dominant in northeastern U.S. has a growth advantage and may have greater ability to evade immunity than earlier strains, WHO says

    COVID subvariant dominant in northeastern U.S. has a growth advantage and may have greater ability to evade immunity than earlier strains, WHO says

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    The XBB.1.5 omicron subvariant has a growth advantage over other circulating subvariants of the virus that causes COVID-19, and early data suggest it also has a greater ability to evade immunity than previous ones, according to the World Health Organization.

    In its weekly epidemiological update, the agency said the immune-escape data is based on preliminary lab-based studies and not on research in humans.

    “At present, there is no available information on clinical severity for XBB.1.5,” the WHO said. Data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are showing that XBB.1.5 has become dominant in the northeastern U.S.

    Six omicron variants are currently being monitored, and they accounted for 76.2% of sequences submitted to a central database in the week through Dec. 25, the update said. The BQ.1 subvariant accounted for 53.4% of those.

    The global case tally fell 9%, to 2.9 million new cases, in the week through Jan. 8, although with testing and delays in reporting from some countries result due to the end-of-year holidays, those numbers should be treated with caution, said the WHO.

    The number of fatalities reported was down 125, to over 11,000.

    In the U.S., the seven-day average of new cases stood at 63,088 on Wednesday, according to a New York Times tracker. That’s down 2% from two weeks ago and below the recent peak of 70,508 on Christmas Eve.

    The daily average for hospitalizations was up 12% to 46,278. The average for deaths, meanwhile, was 555, which is up 61% from two weeks ago.

    Cases are now rising in 28 states, led by Florida, where they are up 90% from two weeks ago. On a per capita basis, New Jersey has the highest rate, at 32 new cases per 100,000 residents, followed by North Carolina, Rhode Island and South Carolina.

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Travelers whose package tours were affected by the imposition of COVID-19 restrictions may be entitled to at least a partial refund, the European Union’s highest court said Thursday, the Associated Press reported. The European Court of Justice weighed in after being asked for its opinion by a court in Germany. The Munich court is considering the case of two people who bought a two-week package vacation on the Spanish island of Gran Canaria that started on March 13, 2020, just as the pandemic hit Europe. They are seeking a 70% refund because of restrictions that were imposed there two days later and their early return home.

    • People in China worried on Thursday about spreading COVID to elderly relatives as they planned visits to their hometowns for a holiday travel season that the WHO warns could inflame a raging outbreak, Reuters reported. The Lunar New Year holiday, which starts on Jan. 21, comes a month after China abandoned a strict zero-COVID regime of mass lockdowns that prompted widespread frustration and boiled over into historic protests. The outbreak, which is spreading from China’s megacities to rural areas that have weaker medical resources, is overwhelming some hospitals and crematoriums. The WHO on Wednesday said it would be challenging to manage the virus over a holiday period that is considered the world’s largest annual migration of people.

    Tens of thousands of people have resumed travels in and out of China after the country lifted almost all of its border restrictions, ending three years of strict pandemic controls. Photo: Tyrone Siu/Reuters

    • A 14th Mississippi child has died from COVID, the state’s department of health said Wednesday, the AP reported. The infant under the age of one was the first person under age 18 to die from COVID-19 in the state in 2023. According to state department of health data, eight children between the ages of 11 and 17 have died since the first cases of the virus were identified in 2020, making that age range the most prone to pediatric deaths in the state so far.

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 665.8 million on Thursday, while the death toll rose above 6.7 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 101.5 million cases and 1,098,512 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 229.3 million people living in the U.S., equal to 69.1% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 48.2 million Americans, equal to 15.4% of the overall population, have had the updated COVID booster that targets both the original virus and the omicron variants.

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  • China stops issuing visas to Japanese and South Korean visitors as spat over test mandates for Chinese tourists widens

    China stops issuing visas to Japanese and South Korean visitors as spat over test mandates for Chinese tourists widens

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    China stopped issuing visas for visitors from Japan and South Korea on Tuesday in apparent retaliation for COVID-testing measures imposed on travelers from China, the Associated Press reported. 

    China had warned it would take action against countries that mandate testing for its citizens, who are now free to travel after the government lifted strict restrictions on movement last month, unleashing a wave of new cases.

    At least 10 countries in Europe, North America and Asia have imposed test requirements recently, with officials expressing concern about a lack of information about the Chinese outbreak and the potential for new virus variants to emerge.

    Japan and South Korea protested the visa stoppage, the AP reported separately on Wednesday.

    South Korean Foreign Minister Park Jin said he finds it “significantly regrettable” that China stopped issuing short-term visas to South Koreans and called for China to align its pandemic steps with “scientific and objective facts.”

    Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirokazu Matsuno criticized China for “one-sidedly” restricting visa issuances to Japanese nationals “because of a reason that is not related to COVID-19 measures.”

    Tens of thousands of people have resumed travel in and out of China after the country lifted almost all of its border restrictions, ending three years of strict pandemic controls. Photo: Tyrone Siu/Reuters

    In the U.S., the seven-day average of new cases stood at 63,982 on Tuesday, according to a New York Times tracker. That’s down 4% from two weeks ago and below the recent peak of 70,508 on Christmas Eve.

    The daily average for hospitalizations was up 15% to 46,900. In an alarming statistic, the average for deaths stood at 580, up 50% from two weeks ago.

    Cases are currently rising in 22 states, as well as Guam, the U.S. Virgin Islands and Northern Mariana Islands. In Maryland, cases are up 170% from two weeks ago.

    On a per capita basis, New Jersey and Rhode Island are showing the highest rates, with New Jersey recording 32 cases per 100,000 residents and Rhode Island 31.

    Cases are also high on a per capita basis in North Carolina and South Carolina, as well as Mississippi and Florida.

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Cyprus has joined the list of countries mandating COVID testing for tourists from China, the AP reported. The health ministry said it was heeding the advice of the European Union’s executive arm in requiring passengers from China to submit results from a PCR test taken 48 hours before their departure. The ministry also recommended the use of protective face masks on all flights to and from Cyprus as well as in any areas where people gather in large numbers.

    • The Chinese air-travel regulator is preparing to allow airlines to fly more routes between China and the U.S. following the lifting of COVID travel restrictions, state TV reported Wednesday, as the AP reported. U.S. and Chinese airlines are among some 40 carriers that have submitted applications covering some 700 flights per week involving 34 countries, China Central Television reported on its website. It gave no timeline for when normal flights might resume.

    See also: Chinese COVID cases expected to peak at 3.7 million a day by Jan. 13, with daily deaths reaching 25,000: health-data company forecast

    • The Pentagon formally dropped its COVID-19 vaccination mandate Tuesday, but a new memo signed by Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin also gives commanders some discretion in how or whether to deploy troops who are not vaccinated, the AP reported. Austin’s memo has been widely anticipated since Dec. 23, when a new law gave him 30 days to rescind the mandate. The Defense Department had already stopped all related personnel actions, such as discharging service members who refused the shot. “The Department will continue to promote and encourage COVID-19 vaccination for all service members,” Austin said in the memo. “Vaccination enhances operational readiness and protects the force.”

    Getting the flu can increase the risk of getting a second infection, such as strep throat. The Wall Street Journal’s Daniela Hernandez explains the science behind that, plus what it means for the rest of the winter and how we can protect ourselves from the tripledemic. Illustration: David Fang

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 665.3 million on Wednesday, while the death toll rose above 6.7 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 101.3 million cases and 1,097,660 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 229.3 million people living in the U.S., equal to 69.1% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 48.2 million Americans, equal to 15.4% of the overall population, have had the updated COVID booster that targets both the original virus and the omicron variants.

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