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  • This dividend-stock ETF has a 12% yield and is beating the S&P 500 by a substantial amount

    This dividend-stock ETF has a 12% yield and is beating the S&P 500 by a substantial amount

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    Most investors want to keep things simple, but digging a bit into details can be lucrative — it can help you match your choices to your objectives.

    The JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF
    JEPI,
    +0.20%

    has been able to take advantage of rising volatility in the stock market to beat the total return of its benchmark, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +1.19%
    ,
    while providing a rising stream of monthly income.

    The objective of the fund is “to deliver a significant portion of the returns associated with the S&P 500 Index with less volatility,” while paying monthly dividends, according to JPMorgan Asset Management. It does this by maintaining a portfolio of about 100 stocks selected for high quality, value and low price volatility, while also employing a covered-call strategy (described below) to increase income.

    This strategy might underperform the index during a bull market, but it is designed to be less volatile while providing high monthly dividends. This might make it easier for you to remain invested through the type of downturn we saw last year.

    JEPI was launched on May 20, 2020, and has grown quickly to $18.7 billion in assets under management. Hamilton Reiner, who co-manages the fund with Raffaele Zingone, described the fund’s strategy, and its success during the 2022 bear market and shared thoughts on what may lie ahead.

    Outperformance with a smoother ride

    First, here’s a chart showing how the fund has performed from when it was established through Jan. 20, against the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
    SPY,
    +1.20%
    ,
    both with dividends reinvested:

    JEPI has been less volatile than SPY, which tracks the S&P 500.


    FactSet

    Total returns for the two funds since May 2020 pretty much match, however, JEPI has been far less volatile than SPY and the S&P 500. Now take a look at a performance comparison for the period of rising interest rates since the end of 2021:

    Rising stock-price volatility during 2022 helped JEPI earn more income through its covered call option strategy.


    FactSet

    Those total returns are after annualized expenses of 0.35% of assets under management for JEPI and 0.09% for SPY. Both funds have had negative returns since the end of 2021, but JEPI has been a much better performer.

    “Income is the outcome.”


    — Hamilton Reiner

    The income component

    Which investors JEPI is designed for? “Income is the outcome,” Reiner responded. “We are seeing a lot of people using this as an anchor tenant for income-oriented portfolios.”

    The fund quotes a 30-day SEC yield of 11.77%. There are various ways to look at dividend yields for mutual funds or exchange-traded funds and the 30-day yield is meant to be used for comparison. It is based on a fund’s current income distribution profile relative to its price, but the income distributions that investors actually receive will vary.

    It turns out that over the past 12 months, JEPI’s monthly distributions have ranged between 38 cents a share and 62 cents a share, with a rising trend over the past six months. The sum of the past 12 distributions has been $5.79 a share, for a distribution yield of 10.53%, based on the ETF’s closing price of $55.01 on Jan. 20.

    JEPI invests at least 80% of assets in stocks, mainly selected from those in the S&P 500, while also investing in equity-linked notes to employ a covered call option strategy which enhances income and lowers volatility. Covered calls are described below.

    Reiner said that during a typical year, investors in JEPI should expect monthly distributions to come to an annualized yield in the “high single digits.”

    He expects that level of income even if we return to the low-interest rate environment that preceded the Federal Reserve’s cycle of rate increases that it started early last year to push down inflation.

    JEPI’s approach may be attractive to investors who don’t need the income now. “We also see people using it as a conservative equity approach,” Reiner expects the fund to have 35% less price volatility than the S&P 500.

    Getting back to income, Reiner said JEPI was a good alternative even for investors who were willing to take credit risk with high-yield bond funds. Those have higher price volatility than investment-grade bond funds and face a higher risk of losses when bonds default. “But with JEPI you don’t have credit risk or duration risk,” he said.

    An example of a high-yield bond fund is the iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
    SHYG,
    -0.10%
    .
    It has a 30-day yield of 7.95%.

    When discussing JEPI’s stock selection, Reiner said “there is a significant active component to the 90 to 120 names we invest in.” Stock selections are based on recommendations of JPM’s analyst team for those that are “most attractively priced today for the medium to long term,” he said.

    Individual stock selections don’t factor in dividend yields.

    Covered call strategies and an example of a covered-call trade

    JEPI’s high income is an important part of its low-volatility total-return strategy.

    A call option is a contract that allows an investor to buy a security at a particular price (called the strike price) until the option expires. A put option is the opposite, allowing the purchaser to sell a security at a specified price until the option expires.

    covered call option is one an investor can write when they already own a security. The strike price is “out of the money,” which means it is higher than the stock’s current price.

    Here’s an example of a covered call option provided by Ken Roberts, an investment adviser with Four Star Wealth Management in Reno, Nev.

    • You bought shares of 3M Co.
      MMM,
      +1.63%

      on Jan. 20 for $118.75.

    • You sold a $130 call option with an expiration date of Jan. 19, 2024.

    • The premium for the Jan. 24, $130 call was $7.60 at the time that MMM was selling for $118.75.

    • The current dividend yield for MMM is 5.03%.

    • “So the maximum gain for this trade before the dividend is $18.85 or 15.87%. Add the divided income and you’ll get 20.90% maximum return,” Roberts wrote in an email exchange on Jan. 20.

    If you had made this trade and 3M’s shares didn’t rise above $130 by Jan. 19, 2024, the option would expire and you would be free to write another option. The option alone would provide income equivalent to 6.40% of the Jan. 20 purchase price in the period of a year.

    If the stock rose above $130 and the option were exercised, you would have ended up with the maximum gain as described by Roberts. Then you would need to find another stock to invest in. What did you risk? Further upside beyond $130. So you would have written the option only if you had decided you would be willing to part with your shares of MMM for $130.

    The bottom line is that the call option strategy lowers volatility with no additional downside risk. The risk is to the upside. If 3M’s shares had doubled in price before the option expired, you would still wind up selling them for $130.

    JEPI pursues the covered call options strategy by purchasing equity-linked notes (ELNs) which “combine equity exposure with call options,” Reiner said. The fund invests in ELNs rather than writing its own options, because “unfortunately option premium income is not considered bona fide income. It is considered a gain or a return of capital,” he said.

    In other words, the fund’s distributions can be better reflected in its 30-day yield, because option income probably wouldn’t be included.

    One obvious question for a fund manager whose portfolio has increased quickly to almost $19 billion is whether or not the fund’s size might make it difficult to manage. Some smaller funds pursuing narrow strategies have been forced to close themselves to new investors. Reiner said JEPI’s 2% weighting limitation for its portfolio of about 100 stocks mitigates size concerns. He also said that “S&P 500 index options are the most liquid equity products in the world,” with over $1 trillion in daily trades.

    Summing up the 2022 action, Reiner said “investing is about balance.” The rising level of price volatility increased options premiums. But to further protect investors, he and JEPI co-manager Raffaele Zingone also “gave them more potential upside by selling calls that were a bit further out of the money.”

    Don’t miss: These 15 Dividend Aristocrat stocks have been the best income builders

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  • Spotify to lay off nearly 600 employees

    Spotify to lay off nearly 600 employees

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    After slowing its pace of hiring last year, Spotify Technology SA confirmed Monday that it was laying off employees, adding to the wave of jobs cuts sweeping across the tech industry.

    The streaming music service disclosed in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it was reducing its workforce by about 6%, which translates to about 588 jobs.

    Bloomberg News had originally reported over the weekend that the company was planning job cuts as soon as this week.

    The Luxembourg-based company said it expects to record charges of EUR35 million to EUR45 million ($38.1 million to $48.9 million) related to severance payments.

    Spotify’s U.S.-listed shares
    SPOT,
    +4.63%

    rallied 4.4% toward a four-month high in premarket trading,

    In October, Spotify laid off at least 38 employees at its Gimlet and Parcast podcast units. Last June, Spotify Chief Executive Daniel Ek told employees that the company would reduce hiring by 25%, according to Bloomberg and CNBC reports.

    As of the end of its third quarter, Spotify had about 9,800 employees, according to its earnings report. More than 55,000 tech workers have been laid off so far in 2023, according to the website Layoffs.fyi, including 12,000 from Google parent Alphabet Inc., 10,000 from Microsoft Corp. and hundreds more from Intel Corp.

    Stockholm-based Spotify has been pressured by massive spending on podcasts in recent years, which have yet to deliver profits and have weighed on margins. In June, Ek predicted a meaningful ramp in profitability within the next couple of years.

    Separately, Spotify said Chief Content & Advertising Business Officer Dawn Ostroff will leave the company.

    Spotify shares have sunk about 50% over the past 12 months, compared with the S&P 500’s
    SPX,
    +1.89%

    10% decline over that time.

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  • Genius Group sees 2023 revenue of $48 million to $52 million, up 27% from 2022; stock jumps 15% premarket

    Genius Group sees 2023 revenue of $48 million to $52 million, up 27% from 2022; stock jumps 15% premarket

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    Genius Group Ltd.
    GNS,
    +8.95%
    ,
    a Singapore-based education company, set guidance for 2023 on Monday, saying it expects revenue of $48 million to $52 million, up 37% from its 2022 proforma guidance. The company, which captured headlines last week when it said it had appointed a former F.B.I. director to lead a task force investigating alleged illegal trading in its stock that it first disclosed in early January, said it expects the number of students attending its entrepreneur-training courses to climb to 5.7 million to 6.0 million, up 30% from 2022. The company expects to achieve adjusted EBITDA, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, of $500,000 to $1.0 million. “In 2023 we are expecting Genius Group to continue our strong growth trajectory, and we are focused on managing our costs and achieving positive EBITDA,” Chief Executive Roger Hamilton said in a statement. The stock jumped 15% premarket. On Thursday, the stock soared a record 290% in heavy volume. Hamilton told MarketWatch on Friday about the company’s plan to go after people or groups that have been engaging in naked short selling of its stock.

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  • Earnings Watch: Microsoft, Tesla and Intel are about to face the doubters

    Earnings Watch: Microsoft, Tesla and Intel are about to face the doubters

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    After one of the worst years in Wall Street’s history, investors have some serious questions for companies. As holiday returns roll in — and with them, forecasts for the months or year ahead — many have the chance to answer those questions, or avoid them.

    In the busiest week of the holiday-earnings season so far, three big names will take the stage on back-to-back-to-back afternoons. Here is what to expect:

    Microsoft Corp.

    Microsoft
    MSFT,
    +3.57%

    shed $737 billion in market value last year, the third-most of any S&P 500 company, then announced plans to lay off some 10,000 workers this month. Previously a Wall Street darling thanks to the phenomenal growth of its Azure cloud-computing offering, Microsoft now faces a cutback in enterprise spending on cloud and other products, as companies seek to cut their bills after spending wantonly during the early years of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    First Take: Big Tech layoffs are not as big as they appear at first glance

    When the company announced layoffs, Chief Executive Satya Nadella admitted customers were cutting, saying “as we saw customers accelerate their digital spend during the pandemic, we’re now seeing them optimize their digital spend to do more with less.” Analysts believe Azure may be holding up better than rivals, however, and will expect to hear about it when Microsoft results hit Tuesday afternoon.

    “Our Azure checks were mixed, but generally better than public cloud sentiment that has turned highly negative over the past few months,” Mizuho analysts wrote. “More specifically, we have heard of increasing levels of optimization, but it is being partially offset by many organizations prioritizing digital transformation.”

    From October: The cloud boom has hit its stormiest moment yet, and it is costing investors billions

    As cloud growth slows down, expect Microsoft to point to the next big buzzword in tech: Artificial intelligence, specifically ChatGPT, the chatbot product developed by OpenAI, which Microsoft has invested heavily in and expects to incorporate into its products. D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria this month wrote that Microsoft’s investments in OpenAI would help it build out more AI technology, including in its search engine Bing.

    Tesla Inc.

    Tesla
    TSLA,
    +4.91%

    stock suffered a much larger percentage decline than Microsoft in 2022,as the electric-vehicle maker’s shares closed out their worst year on record with their worst quarter and month ever. After the year ended, Tesla began slashing prices in China and the U.S. in hopes of qualifying for more consumer tax incentives and reinvigorating demand, which could lead to questions about previously fat margins.

    In-depth: Tesla investors await clues on demand, board actions and weigh downside risks in 2023

    For Tesla, which reports fourth-quarter results Wednesday, the results will offer more context on production of the Cybertruck — currently set to start in the middle of the year — demand in China, competition and the impact of price cuts. Auto-information website Edmunds on Thursday said that Tesla’s decision to slash prices by as much as 20% in the U.S. and Europe led to a jump in interest in the vehicles.

    While those cuts seem likely to hurt profit, Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner called it “a bold offensive move, which secures Tesla’s volume growth, puts its traditional and EV competitors in great difficulty, and showcases Tesla’s considerable pricing power and cost superiority.” And a survey from Wedbush analysts found that “76% of EV Chinese consumers are considering buying a Tesla in 2023.” But Toni Sacconaghi, an analyst at Bernstein, said Tesla needed more low-cost electric-vehicle offerings, which might not ship until 2025.

    Tesla earnings preview: Price cuts in focus as stock hovers around 2-year low

    With Tesla’s stock in the gutter, some analysts have raised the possibility of a share buyback to spur investor interest, and Chief Executive Elon Musk said such a plan was being discussed in the previous earnings call. Musk is not in great favor with many investors right now, however, following some heavy selling of Tesla shares in the wake of his purchase last year of Twitter, which some on Wall Street have said has distracted him from the needs of the auto maker. Musk’s tweets have landed him in trouble elsewhere: Opening arguments began last week for a trial centered on allegations that Musk put investors at risk when he tweeted in 2018 that he was “considering” taking Tesla private and had secured the money to do so.

    ‘He broke the stock’: Why a prominent Tesla investor wants Elon Musk to put him on the board

    Intel Corp.

    Intel’s
    INTC,
    +2.81%

    questions were not fresh in 2022, as the chip maker for years has seen rivals like Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +3.49%

    and Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +6.41%

    challenge it in ways that would have been unthinkable in previous generations. Shares still dove more than 43% last year, as declining sales led to plans for $3 billion in cost cuts.

    There’s little hope for a big rebound when Intel reports Thursday afternoon. Personal-computer sales have experienced their biggest year-over-year declines ever recorded, and Intel’s long-delayed new data-center offering that is meant to answer AMD’s challenge only began selling this year.

    Opinion: The PC boom and bust is already ‘one for the record books,’ and it isn’t over

    Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger, though, has a chance to lay out his vision for a long-term Intel rebound, as he attempts to make Intel a chip-manufacturing powerhouse again after years of struggles. He was forced to trim his annual outlook multiple times last year, so it will be important for him to provide attainable numbers this time, but without reducing hopes in the path forward.

    This week in earnings

    Expectations remain low for fourth-quarter earnings season overall, with consumers squeezed by higher prices and interest rates, and hopes fading for any relief from the holiday shopping season. But even with a low bar, the fourth-quarter results from companies so far have been worse than the historical norm, with FactSet senior earnings analyst John Butters writing Friday that “the fourth-quarter earnings season for the S&P 500 is not off to a strong start.”

    So far, 11% of S&P 500 companies have reported fourth-quarter results, with roughly one-third reporting earnings better than estimates, Butters reported. That’s lower than the 10-year average of 73%.

    Still, Wall Street generally expects strong profit margins for companies in the S&P 500, as earlier price increases — which help businesses offset their own costs and test the limits of consumer demand — mix with more recent cost cuts.

    For the week ahead, 93 companies in the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    +1.89%
    ,
    and 12 of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +1.00%

    components, are set to report quarterly results.

    Mark your calendars! Here is MarketWatch’s full earnings calendar for the week

    Among the highlights: General Electric Co.
    GE,
    +1.07%

    reports Tuesday for the first time since splitting off its GE HealthCare Technologies
    GEHC,
    +4.43%

    business. 3M Co.
    MMM,
    +1.87%

    — which makes Post-it Notes, duct tape, air filters, adhesives and coatings — also reports Tuesday, after the company in October said the costs of raw materials, a big driver of inflation, were showing signs of easing.

    And as demand for goods eases amid worries about a downturn, a number of railroad operators that ship those goods report during the week. Union Pacific Corp.
    UNP,
    +1.54%
    ,
    whose lines ship across the Western half of the U.S., reports on Tuesday, while CSX Corp.
    CSX,
    +1.46%
    ,
    which covers much of the East, reports Wednesday. Norfolk Southern Corp.
    NSC,
    +1.51%

    also reports Wednesday.

    Telecom giants Verizon Communications Inc.
    VZ,
    -0.15%
    ,
    AT&T Inc.
    T,
    +1.53%

    and Comcast Corp.
    CMCSA,
    +3.22%

    report Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Results there will offer a clearer sense of the state of demand for Apple Inc.’s
    AAPL,
    +1.92%

    iPhones, as premium models suffer from production snags, and for broadband, which saw heightened demand when more people were staying home due to the pandemic.

    The call to put on your calendar

    Southwest, post-meltdown: Southwest Airlines Co.
    LUV,
    +1.67%
    ,
    which reports on Thursday, will offer executives with plenty to answer for, after bad weather and an overloaded, aging scheduling system caused thousands of flight cancellations over the holidays.

    For more: Southwest Airlines turns to repairing its reputation after holiday meltdown

    The implosion has raised questions about the air carrier’s investments in its own technology — after restarting dividend payments shortly before the disruptions — and airlines’ ability to handle the post-lockdown travel rebound. The breakdown has underscored the airline industry’s bigger issues with understaffing, after 2020’s wave of departures, as carriers try to reload flight schedules to meet pent-up travel demand.

    Scott Kirby, chief executive at United Airlines Holdings Inc.
    UAL,
    +2.25%
    ,
    said during his company’s earnings call last week that he felt the industry’s goals to expand their flight coverage this year and beyond were “simply unachievable.” And he said that airlines that tried to follow prepandemic patterns were destined to face trouble. He said manufacturers were suffering from delays in building jets, engines and other parts, and that airlines had outgrown their technology infrastructure.

    For more: United Airlines swings to profit despite ‘worst’ winter storm’

    “All of us, airlines and the FAA, lost experienced employees and most didn’t invest in the future,” he said. “That means the system simply can’t handle the volume today, much less the anticipated growth.”

    American Airlines Group Inc.
    AAL,
    +0.37%
    ,
    Alaska Air Group Inc.
    ALK,
    +0.85%

    and JetBlue Airways Corp.
    JBLU,
    +0.94%

    are also expected to report results Thursday morning, along with Southwest.

    The numbers to watch

    Visa, Mastercard and consumer spending: The return of travel and entertainment, along with rising prices, have helped prop up consumer spending. But as Visa Inc.
    V,
    +1.77%
    ,
    Mastercard Inc.
    MA,
    +2.27%
    ,
    American Express Co.
    AXP,
    +3.23%

    and Capital One Financial Corp.
    COF,
    +6.40%

    prepare to report, their finance-industry counterparts are getting nervous — and taking more steps to pad themselves against the fallout from consumers struggling to pay their bills.

    Credit-card issuer Capital One reports results on Tuesday, while card payments-network providers Visa and Mastercard report on Thursday, with Amex on Friday morning. They’ll report after shares of Discover Financial Services
    DFS,
    +4.16%

    got hit last week after the company, which also offers credit cards and loans, set aside more money to cover souring credit, and reported a bump in its net charge-off rate — a measure of debt a company thinks is unlikely to be recovered.

    Larger banks, like JPMorgan Chase & Co.
    JPM,
    +0.24%
    ,
    have also set aside more money to guard against credit losses.

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  • Earnings Watch: Microsoft, Tesla and Intel are about to face the doubters

    Earnings Watch: Microsoft, Tesla and Intel are about to face the doubters

    [ad_1]

    After one of the worst years in Wall Street’s history, investors have some serious questions for companies. As holiday returns roll in — and with them, forecasts for the months or year ahead — many have the chance to answer those questions, or avoid them.

    In the busiest week of the holiday-earnings season so far, three big names will take the stage on back-to-back-to-back afternoons. Here is what to expect:

    Microsoft Corp.

    Microsoft
    MSFT,
    +3.57%

    shed $737 billion in market value last year, the third-most of any S&P 500 company, then announced plans to lay off some 10,000 workers this month. Previously a Wall Street darling thanks to the phenomenal growth of its Azure cloud-computing offering, Microsoft now faces a cutback in enterprise spending on cloud and other products, as companies seek to cut their bills after spending wantonly during the early years of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    First Take: Big Tech layoffs are not as big as they appear at first glance

    When the company announced layoffs, Chief Executive Satya Nadella admitted customers were cutting, saying “as we saw customers accelerate their digital spend during the pandemic, we’re now seeing them optimize their digital spend to do more with less.” Analysts believe Azure may be holding up better than rivals, however, and will expect to hear about it when Microsoft results hit Tuesday afternoon.

    “Our Azure checks were mixed, but generally better than public cloud sentiment that has turned highly negative over the past few months,” Mizuho analysts wrote. “More specifically, we have heard of increasing levels of optimization, but it is being partially offset by many organizations prioritizing digital transformation.”

    From October: The cloud boom has hit its stormiest moment yet, and it is costing investors billions

    As cloud growth slows down, expect Microsoft to point to the next big buzzword in tech: Artificial intelligence, specifically ChatGPT, the chatbot product developed by OpenAI, which Microsoft has invested heavily in and expects to incorporate into its products. D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria this month wrote that Microsoft’s investments in OpenAI would help it build out more AI technology, including in its search engine Bing.

    Tesla Inc.

    Tesla
    TSLA,
    +4.91%

    stock suffered a much larger percentage decline than Microsoft in 2022,as the electric-vehicle maker’s shares closed out their worst year on record with their worst quarter and month ever. After the year ended, Tesla began slashing prices in China and the U.S. in hopes of qualifying for more consumer tax incentives and reinvigorating demand, which could lead to questions about previously fat margins.

    In-depth: Tesla investors await clues on demand, board actions and weigh downside risks in 2023

    For Tesla, which reports fourth-quarter results Wednesday, the results will offer more context on production of the Cybertruck — currently set to start in the middle of the year — demand in China, competition and the impact of price cuts. Auto-information website Edmunds on Thursday said that Tesla’s decision to slash prices by as much as 20% in the U.S. and Europe led to a jump in interest in the vehicles.

    While those cuts seem likely to hurt profit, Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner called it “a bold offensive move, which secures Tesla’s volume growth, puts its traditional and EV competitors in great difficulty, and showcases Tesla’s considerable pricing power and cost superiority.” And a survey from Wedbush analysts found that “76% of EV Chinese consumers are considering buying a Tesla in 2023.” But Toni Sacconaghi, an analyst at Bernstein, said Tesla needed more low-cost electric-vehicle offerings, which might not ship until 2025.

    Tesla earnings preview: Price cuts in focus as stock hovers around 2-year low

    With Tesla’s stock in the gutter, some analysts have raised the possibility of a share buyback to spur investor interest, and Chief Executive Elon Musk said such a plan was being discussed in the previous earnings call. Musk is not in great favor with many investors right now, however, following some heavy selling of Tesla shares in the wake of his purchase last year of Twitter, which some on Wall Street have said has distracted him from the needs of the auto maker. Musk’s tweets have landed him in trouble elsewhere: Opening arguments began last week for a trial centered on allegations that Musk put investors at risk when he tweeted in 2018 that he was “considering” taking Tesla private and had secured the money to do so.

    ‘He broke the stock’: Why a prominent Tesla investor wants Elon Musk to put him on the board

    Intel Corp.

    Intel’s
    INTC,
    +2.81%

    questions were not fresh in 2022, as the chip maker for years has seen rivals like Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +3.49%

    and Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +6.41%

    challenge it in ways that would have been unthinkable in previous generations. Shares still dove more than 43% last year, as declining sales led to plans for $3 billion in cost cuts.

    There’s little hope for a big rebound when Intel reports Thursday afternoon. Personal-computer sales have experienced their biggest year-over-year declines ever recorded, and Intel’s long-delayed new data-center offering that is meant to answer AMD’s challenge only began selling this year.

    Opinion: The PC boom and bust is already ‘one for the record books,’ and it isn’t over

    Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger, though, has a chance to lay out his vision for a long-term Intel rebound, as he attempts to make Intel a chip-manufacturing powerhouse again after years of struggles. He was forced to trim his annual outlook multiple times last year, so it will be important for him to provide attainable numbers this time, but without reducing hopes in the path forward.

    This week in earnings

    Expectations remain low for fourth-quarter earnings season overall, with consumers squeezed by higher prices and interest rates, and hopes fading for any relief from the holiday shopping season. But even with a low bar, the fourth-quarter results from companies so far have been worse than the historical norm, with FactSet senior earnings analyst John Butters writing Friday that “the fourth-quarter earnings season for the S&P 500 is not off to a strong start.”

    So far, 11% of S&P 500 companies have reported fourth-quarter results, with roughly one-third reporting earnings better than estimates, Butters reported. That’s lower than the 10-year average of 73%.

    Still, Wall Street generally expects strong profit margins for companies in the S&P 500, as earlier price increases — which help businesses offset their own costs and test the limits of consumer demand — mix with more recent cost cuts.

    For the week ahead, 93 companies in the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    +1.89%
    ,
    and 12 of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +1.00%

    components, are set to report quarterly results.

    Mark your calendars! Here is MarketWatch’s full earnings calendar for the week

    Among the highlights: General Electric Co.
    GE,
    +1.07%

    reports Tuesday for the first time since splitting off its GE HealthCare Technologies
    GEHC,
    +4.43%

    business. 3M Co.
    MMM,
    +1.87%

    — which makes Post-it Notes, duct tape, air filters, adhesives and coatings — also reports Tuesday, after the company in October said the costs of raw materials, a big driver of inflation, were showing signs of easing.

    And as demand for goods eases amid worries about a downturn, a number of railroad operators that ship those goods report during the week. Union Pacific Corp.
    UNP,
    +1.54%
    ,
    whose lines ship across the Western half of the U.S., reports on Tuesday, while CSX Corp.
    CSX,
    +1.46%
    ,
    which covers much of the East, reports Wednesday. Norfolk Southern Corp.
    NSC,
    +1.51%

    also reports Wednesday.

    Telecom giants Verizon Communications Inc.
    VZ,
    -0.15%
    ,
    AT&T Inc.
    T,
    +1.53%

    and Comcast Corp.
    CMCSA,
    +3.22%

    report Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Results there will offer a clearer sense of the state of demand for Apple Inc.’s
    AAPL,
    +1.92%

    iPhones, as premium models suffer from production snags, and for broadband, which saw heightened demand when more people were staying home due to the pandemic.

    The call to put on your calendar

    Southwest, post-meltdown: Southwest Airlines Co.
    LUV,
    +1.67%
    ,
    which reports on Thursday, will offer executives with plenty to answer for, after bad weather and an overloaded, aging scheduling system caused thousands of flight cancellations over the holidays.

    For more: Southwest Airlines turns to repairing its reputation after holiday meltdown

    The implosion has raised questions about the air carrier’s investments in its own technology — after restarting dividend payments shortly before the disruptions — and airlines’ ability to handle the post-lockdown travel rebound. The breakdown has underscored the airline industry’s bigger issues with understaffing, after 2020’s wave of departures, as carriers try to reload flight schedules to meet pent-up travel demand.

    Scott Kirby, chief executive at United Airlines Holdings Inc.
    UAL,
    +2.25%
    ,
    said during his company’s earnings call last week that he felt the industry’s goals to expand their flight coverage this year and beyond were “simply unachievable.” And he said that airlines that tried to follow prepandemic patterns were destined to face trouble. He said manufacturers were suffering from delays in building jets, engines and other parts, and that airlines had outgrown their technology infrastructure.

    For more: United Airlines swings to profit despite ‘worst’ winter storm’

    “All of us, airlines and the FAA, lost experienced employees and most didn’t invest in the future,” he said. “That means the system simply can’t handle the volume today, much less the anticipated growth.”

    American Airlines Group Inc.
    AAL,
    +0.37%
    ,
    Alaska Air Group Inc.
    ALK,
    +0.85%

    and JetBlue Airways Corp.
    JBLU,
    +0.94%

    are also expected to report results Thursday morning, along with Southwest.

    The numbers to watch

    Visa, Mastercard and consumer spending: The return of travel and entertainment, along with rising prices, have helped prop up consumer spending. But as Visa Inc.
    V,
    +1.77%
    ,
    Mastercard Inc.
    MA,
    +2.27%
    ,
    American Express Co.
    AXP,
    +3.23%

    and Capital One Financial Corp.
    COF,
    +6.40%

    prepare to report, their finance-industry counterparts are getting nervous — and taking more steps to pad themselves against the fallout from consumers struggling to pay their bills.

    Credit-card issuer Capital One reports results on Tuesday, while card payments-network providers Visa and Mastercard report on Thursday, with Amex on Friday morning. They’ll report after shares of Discover Financial Services
    DFS,
    +4.16%

    got hit last week after the company, which also offers credit cards and loans, set aside more money to cover souring credit, and reported a bump in its net charge-off rate — a measure of debt a company thinks is unlikely to be recovered.

    Larger banks, like JPMorgan Chase & Co.
    JPM,
    +0.24%
    ,
    have also set aside more money to guard against credit losses.

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  • 7 EVs That Can Cost Less Than the Average New Car

    7 EVs That Can Cost Less Than the Average New Car

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    Electric vehicle buyers in the U.S. can now get a purchase tax credit from the government, and it has pushed the price of several high-volume EVs below the average price paid for a new car in America.

    There are currently seven high-volume EVs that cost less than the average new car, including two


    Tesla


    (ticker: TSLA) models. Buyers should look at those if they are thinking about going electric.

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  • Elon Musk takes the stand as battle lines drawn in trial over Tesla tweets

    Elon Musk takes the stand as battle lines drawn in trial over Tesla tweets

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    Tesla Inc. Chief Executive Elon Musk took the witness stand briefly late Friday in a federal trial in San Francisco over alleged investor losses caused by his “funding secured” tweet and other tweets back in 2018.

    In his roughly half-hour being questioned by a defense lawyer, Musk lauded Twitter Inc. as the most “democratic” way to communicate with Tesla investors and took a swipe at short sellers.

    His testimony is expected to resume on Monday at 11:30 a.m. Eastern. Meanwhile, Tesla shares
    TSLA,
    +4.91%

    were flat in the extended session Friday after ending the regular trading day up 4.9%.

    A defense attorney began with plumbing Musk’s Twitter habits, and that Musk sometimes bristled at the implications his tweets may carry more meaning than what he assigns them.

    “Just because I tweet something, it does not mean people believe it, or act accordingly,” Musk said, giving as example another one of its infamous tweet, in which he said Tesla stock was too high — and the stock then went higher.

    The case revolves around key tweets from August 2018, including one where Musk told his millions of Twitter followers he was “considering taking Tesla private at $420” and then added “funding secured.”

    Investor Glen Littleton, the lead plaintiff in the case, alleges he lost money due to the false tweets and is seeking damages.

    U.S. District Judge Edward Chen already has ruled that Musk’s tweets about taking Tesla private were not true and that Musk acted with recklessness.

    It is still up to jurors to decide, however, if the tweets were material to investors and if the falsehoods caused investor losses.

    During his testimony, Musk said short sellers are essentially pulling for Tesla’s demise.

    “Short sellers are basically a bunch of sharks on Wall Street,” Musk said. “(They) wanted Tesla to die, very badly” because they stood to make money for an eventual bankruptcy.

    Musk testified right after a lengthy testimony from a plaintiff expert.

    The CEO and Tesla each were fined $20 million in September 2018 to settle civil charges around the “funding secured” tweets and Musk was stripped of his chairman role at Tesla.

    Musk and Tesla agreed to settle the charges against them without admitting to nor denying the SEC’s allegations.

    Musk’s bid to end the SEC settlement deal over Tesla tweets was denied last year.

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  • Genius Group CEO on why his company is fighting back against naked short sellers — and it’s not alone

    Genius Group CEO on why his company is fighting back against naked short sellers — and it’s not alone

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    “It’s like being robbed in a library, but you can’t shout ‘Thief!’ because there are ‘Silence, please’ signs everywhere.”

    That’s how Roger Hamilton, chief executive of Genius Group Ltd.
    GNS,
    +55.02%
    ,
    describes the powerlessness he feels as U.S. securities rules prevent him from discussing his company’s share price, even as it comes under attack from a group of naked short sellers.

    The Singapore-based education company on Thursday announced it had appointed a former FBI director to lead a task force investigating alleged illegal trading in its stock that it first addressed in early January. 

    For context: Genius Group stock rallies more than 200% after it appoints former F.B.I. director to investigate alleged naked short selling

    The news sent the stock up a record 290% on Thursday, and it climbed another 59% on Friday. Volume of about 270 million shares traded in Thursday’s session crushed the daily average of about 634,000 — another indicator, Hamilton told MarketWatch in an interview Friday, of wrongdoing, given that the company’s float is just 10.9 million shares. “Clearly, that’s far more shares than we created,” he said.

    Genius Group has evidence from Warshaw Burstein LLP and Christian Levine Law Group, with tracking from Share Intel, that certain individuals and/or companies sold but failed to deliver a “significant” amount of its shares as part of a scheme seeking to artificially depress the stock price.

    The company is now exploring legal action and is planning an extraordinary general meeting in the coming weeks to get shareholder approval for its planned actions. These include paying a special dividend as a way to flush out bad actors and working with regulators to share information.

    Share Intel uses tracking software in real time to determine exactly where there are discrepancies in the market and where brokers are opening large positions, Hamilton said. The software can measure the number of shares that are being naked shorted and has found multiple instances where significant amounts of fake shares were being created, said Hamilton.

    Naked short selling is illegal under Securities and Exchange Commission rules, but that hasn’t stopped the practice, which Hamilton said affects far more companies than is generally known.

    In regular short trading, an investor borrows shares from someone else, then sells them and waits for the stock price to fall. When that happens the shares are bought cheaper and returned to the prior owner, with the short seller pocketing the difference as profit.

    In naked short selling, investors don’t bother borrowing the stock first and simply sell shares with a promise to deliver them at a later date. When that promise is not fulfilled, it’s known as failure to deliver.

    By repeating that process again and again, bad actors can generate massive profits and manipulate a stock’s price lower, with an ultimate goal of driving a company to bankruptcy, at which point all the equity is wiped out and the naked shorts no longer need to be covered.

    Hamilton said the evidence gathered by Genius Group shows a great deal of the illegal activity is happening on U.S. exchanges, but there’s also activity happening off-exchange and involving dark pools.

    The company is fighting back “because we want this to stop,” Hamilton told MarketWatch. “They’re taking value away from our shareholders. They’re predators. They’re doing something illegal, and we want it to stop, whether that means getting regulators to enforce existing regulations or put new ones in place.”

    Public companies have to have committees to monitor and report internal fraud to protect shareholders, he said. But there is no such team looking for external fraud and many retail investors see stocks being manipulated, he said.

    “Hopefully, regulations will change and regulators will see there are as many, if not more, threats from outside a company,” he said.

    Genius Group is not alone, said Hamilton. He cited among other examples Torchlight, an oil- and gas-exploration company that decided to merge with Metamaterial Inc. to thwart a naked-short-selling attack.

    The stock rose from 30 cents to $11 in the six months after the deal was completed, and the company was able to raise about $183 million through a combination of convertible debt and equity. An interview Hamilton conducted with Torchlight’s former CEO, John Brda, can be found below.

    Then there’s Jeremy Frommer, CEO of Creatd Inc.
    CRTD,
    +4.14%
    ,
    which aims to unlock creativity for creators, brands and consumers, who is behind Ceobloc, a website that aims to end the practice of naked short selling.

    “Illegal naked short selling is the biggest risk to the health of today’s public markets,” is how the site introduces its mission.

    On Friday, the stock of Helbiz Inc.
    HLBZ,
    +65.48%

    joined Genius Group in rocketing higher in high volume, after that company said it, too, was taking on naked short sellers.

    The New York–based maker of e-scooters and e-bicyles said that it was following Genius Group’s example and that it believes “certain individuals and/or companies may have engaged in illegal short selling practices that have artificially depressed the stock price.” The stock had plummeted 64% over the three months through Thursday’s close at 12.31 cents.

    Genius Group’s stock, which went public in April 2022 at $6 a share, has gained more than 600% this week. The S&P 500
    SPX,
    +1.89%

    has gained 1.1% over the same four trading sessions.

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  • More than 55,000 global tech workers laid off in the first few weeks of 2023, says layoff tracking site

    More than 55,000 global tech workers laid off in the first few weeks of 2023, says layoff tracking site

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    More than 55,000 global technology sector employees have been laid off in the first few weeks of 2023, according to data compiled by the Layoffs.fyi website.

    The website’s tally of global tech layoffs has almost doubled from just over 25,000 on Tuesday.

    The data suggest 2023 is on pace to surpass 2022 for global tech redundancies, with 154 tech companies laying off 55,324 employees in the first few weeks of the year. Last year, 1,024 tech companies laid off 154,336 employees, according to Layoffs.fyi.

    Related: More than 25,000 global tech workers laid off in the first weeks of 2023, says layoff tracking site

    Layoffs.fyi was set up by San Francisco-based startup founder Roger Lee to track layoffs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Lee is the co-founder of Human Interest, a digital 401(k) provider for small businesses and Comprehensive, an employee compensation platform.

    Major U.S. tech companies are firmly in the layoffs spotlight. This week Google parent Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    +4.69%

    GOOG,
    +4.80%

    confirmed plans to lay off about 12,000 workers globally and Intel Corp.
    INTC,
    +1.62%

    said it is slashing hundreds of jobs in Silicon Valley.

    Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    +3.19%

    confirmed plans to cut about 10,000 positions. The software maker’s layoffs did not come completely out of the blue. Earlier reports from Sky News and Bloomberg indicated that Microsoft was preparing to make cuts.

    See Now: Google joins Intel, Microsoft Amazon, Salesforce and other major companies laying off thousands of people

    In a blog post, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said that while the company is eliminating roles in some areas, the company will continue to hire in key strategic areas. The CEO did not specify which areas will see hiring but did describe advances in artificial intelligence as “the next major wave of computing.”

    Earlier this month Coinbase Global Inc.
    COIN,
    +8.56%

     announced 950 job cuts in an attempt to cut costs.

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  • Omicron subvariant gains more ground in U.S. to account for 49.1% of new COVID cases, CDC data show

    Omicron subvariant gains more ground in U.S. to account for 49.1% of new COVID cases, CDC data show

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    The XBB.1.5 omicron subvariant that became dominant in the U.S. last week has gained more ground, according to data from the nation’s main health agency, accounting for 49.1% of new cases in the latest week, up from 43% a week ago.

    The subvariant is pulling further ahead of BQ.1.1 and BQ.1, the former dominant strains of the coronavirus that causes COVID, according to the data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

    BQ.1.1 accounted for 26.9% of new cases, down from 28.8% a week ago, while BQ.1 accounted for 13.3%, down from 15.9% a week ago.

    In the New York region, which includes New Jersey, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, XBB.1.5 accounted for 86.8% of new cases, up from 82.7% a week ago.

    The World Health Organization has acknowledged that XBB.1.5, which was first detected in tiny numbers in the U.S. in October, has become the most transmissible variant yet thanks to a growth advantage. The agency said that it appears to have a greater ability to evade immunity than earlier variants.

    In its weekly epidemiological update, the agency said the XBB line is one of four omicron subvariants that are showing transmission advantage over other circulating variants. The other three are BF.7, BQ.1 and BA.2.75.

    For now, the WHO said it has no additional data on XBB.1.5, but BA.2.75.2 is showing the most neutralization resistance to sera from vaccinated and COVID-infected patients.

    In the U.S., the seven-day average of new COVID cases stood at 50,839 on Thursday, according to a New York Times tracker. That’s down 20% from two weeks ago and below the recent peak of 70,508 on Christmas Eve.

    The daily average for hospitalizations was down 18% at 39,272. The average for deaths was 498, up 5% from two weeks ago. 

    Cases are rising in just six states, as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico, a significant improvement from recent trends. On a per capita basis, Illinois now has the most cases at 31 per 100,000 residents, followed by Kentucky at 30 and Rhode Island at 27.

    See also: Americans are facing years of ‘tripledemic’ winters that may put patients with other ailments at risk, Jha says

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on Friday announced plans to downgrade the legal status of COVID-19 to the equivalent of seasonal influenza in the spring, a move that would further relax mask requirements and other preventive measures as the country seeks to return to normalcy, the Associated Press reported. Kishida said he has instructed experts and government officials to discuss the details on changing the status of COVID-19. A change would also remove self-isolation rules and other antivirus requirements and allow COVID-19 patients to seek treatment at any hospital instead of restricting them to specialized facilities.

    Read also: Moderna is the latest company to produce a promising RSV vaccine

    • As Chinese people crowd onto trains and buses ahead of the Lunar New Year holiday, which begins on Jan. 21, officials are playing down fears that widespread travel over the popular family holiday will lead to a spreader event, Reuters reported. In comments reported by state media late Thursday, Vice Premier Sun Chunlan said the virus was at a “relatively low” level, while health officials said the number of COVID patients in the hospital and in critical condition was on the decline. But there are doubts about China’s official account of an outbreak that has overwhelmed hospitals and funeral homes since Beijing abandoned strict COVID controls and mass testing last month.

    What’s seen as the world’s largest annual human migration is under way again in China for the Lunar New Year after the country lifted pandemic restrictions. The Wall Street Journal’s Yoko Kubota reports on how it’s expected to boost the economy — and the risk of new COVID-19 outbreaks. Photo: Cfoto/Zuma Press

    • CureVac’s
    CVAC,
    +1.06%

    promising Phase 1 data for flu and COVID-19 vaccine candidates is a signal to investors that its messenger RNA technology is competitive, according to UBS Securities analysts, who upgraded the company’s stock to buy from neutral on Thursday, as MarketWatch’s Jaimy Lee reported. They also more than doubled the price target, to $18 from $8. CureVac had attempted to develop a first-generation COVID vaccine but failed. “As the first data of the 2nd-gen platform’s immunogenicity in humans, this is a major inflection point for the story, and suggests potentially competitive mRNA platform relative to mRNA peers,” the analysts wrote.

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 668.3 million on Thursday, while the death toll rose above 6.73 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 101.9 million cases and 1,103,681 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 229.5 million people living in the U.S., equal to 69.1% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 50.7 million Americans, equal to 15.3% of the overall population, have had the updated COVID booster that targets both the original virus and the omicron variants.

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  • Nordstrom Report Hints at  Weaker Spending by Wealthy Shoppers

    Nordstrom Report Hints at Weaker Spending by Wealthy Shoppers

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    Nordstrom’s holiday season sales were softer than prepandemic levels, the company said.


    Craig Barritt/Getty Images for Nordstrom

    If
    Nordstrom’s
    latest sales update is anything to go by, high-income shoppers are finally starting to feel the pinch of a slowing economy.

    The luxury department store, whose product lineup is aimed mainly at wealthier people, said late on Thursday that holiday sales were softer than hoped. It is the latest retailer to warn that consumers took a more cautious approach to holiday shopping in 2022.

    “The holiday season was highly promotional, and sales were softer than prepandemic levels,” said CEO Erik Nordstrom in a news release late Thursday. “While we continue to see greater resilience in our higher income cohorts, it is clear that consumers are being more selective with their spending given the broader macro environment.”

    Shares of Nordstrom (ticker:
    JWN
    ) were largely unchanged in early Friday trading, with a gain of 0.1% to $17.47.

    The company also updated its financial forecasts for fiscal 2022, the 12 months ending January 2023. It now expects revenue growth to be at the low end of the range of 5% to 7% it had forecast. Holiday sales fell by 3.5% in 2022, driven by a 7.6% decline in the company’ Nordstrom Rack banner and a 1.7% decrease in core Nordstrom sales.

    Nordstrom also said that the need to sell off outdated inventory weighed heavily on profit and margins. Adjusted earnings per share will range between $1.50 and $1.70, compared with the company’s prior call for $2.30 to $2.60. The consensus call among analysts surveyed by FactSet was for earnings to land at $1.81 for fiscal 2022.

    Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes margin will be 3.1% to 3.3%, compared with the 4.3% to 4.7% management had predicted.

    While costly to the bottom line, discounting heavily during the holiday season may actually be better for Nordstrom in the long run. The company expects year-end inventory levels to be down by a double-digit percentage compared with last year, putting them roughly at 2019 levels.

    “We believe this reduction, coupled with cleaner inventory (~flat to 2019), may actually have been better than feared,” wrote BMO Capital Markets analyst Simon Siegel in a research note. Siegel maintained a Market Perform rating and trimmed his target for the stock price to $20 from $23.

    Still, it isn’t an easy time to be a department store. Nordstrom’s announcement comes weeks after
    Macy’s
    provided investors with a similar update, saying sales would come in at the low to middle end of the range it had forecast as a result of unexpected lulls in demand outside of the peak shopping weekends.

    On Wednesday, the Census Bureau reported that department stores’ retail sales fell by 6.6% in December from November, and were down 0.6% from December 2021.

    Analysts have also expressed concern about what Nordstrom’s guidance means for demand from high-end consumers, whose buying has remained fairly resilient despite macroeconomic challenges.

    For
    Piper Sandler
    ‘s Edward Yruma, who the revision indicates that high-income shoppers may be “undergoing a cyclical slowdown,” driven by layoffs in white-collar industries, a volatile stock market, and a weak housing market. He maintained a Neutral rating on the stock.

    Write to Sabrina Escobar at sabrina.escobar@barrons.com

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  • U.S. existing-home sales fall for the eleventh straight month in December

    U.S. existing-home sales fall for the eleventh straight month in December

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    The numbers: U.S. existing-home sales fell 1.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million in December, the National Association of Realtors said Friday.

    This is the 11th straight monthly decline in existing-home sales. The losing streak is the longest since NAR began tracking sales in 1999.

    Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal were expecting existing-home sales to drop to 3.95 million.

    The level of sales activity was lowest since November 2010, in the midst of the foreclosure crisis in America.

    Compared with December 2021, home sales were down 34%.

    Total sales of existing homes in 2022 were down 17.8% from the previous year. Last year, 5.03 million existing homes were sold, which is the lowest level since 2014.

    The last time existing home sales dropped by this magnitude was in 2008.

    Key details: The median price for an existing home fell to $366,900 in December, from $370,700 in November.

    The number of homes on the market fell 13.4% to 970,000 units in December. 

    Expressed in terms of the months-supply metric, there was a 2.9-month supply of homes for sale in December, down from the previous month. Before the pandemic, a four- or five-month supply was more the norm.

    Homes remained on the market for 26 days on average, up from 24 days in November. Pre-pandemic, the average time for homes to remain on the market was a month. 

    Sales of existing homes mostly fell across the country, led by the South, which saw a 2.2% drop. Sales were unchanged in the West.

    All-cash transactions made up 28% of all transactions. About 31% of homes were sold to first-time home buyers, up from the previous month.

    Big picture: Mortgage rates have moved lower, and many buyers are coming back to the real-estate market. 

    A small dip in rates prompted a 28% surge in mortgage demand earlier this week.

    So with rates continuing to move downwards, sales may likely rebound in the next few months, breaking an 11-month losing streak.

    But the market still has to figure out inventory, since there are so few homes for sale on the market.

    What the realtors said: “We really need to begin to address this supply issue,” Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors said.

    Yun said that overall, homeowners have enjoyed more in home price appreciation versus their 401k performance in the stock market.

    What are they saying? Even though sales dropped considerably, “this result was somewhat better than expected,” Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont, wrote in a note.

    And as rates move lower, that will “help to boost demand for homes generally,” Stanley added, “but it will also lessen the impact of homeowners being ‘trapped’ in their current locations.”

    Market reaction: Stocks were up in early trading on Friday. The yield on the 10-year note
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.479%

    rose above 3.45%.

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  • Bed Bath & Beyond gets Nasdaq delisting warning, stock tumbles 7%

    Bed Bath & Beyond gets Nasdaq delisting warning, stock tumbles 7%

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    Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. has received a warning that it is not in compliance for continued Nasdaq listing because the company has not yet filed its Form 10-Q quarterly report with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

    In an SEC filing Thursday, the troubled home-goods retailer said it had received the Nasdaq notice on Jan. 12. The notice has no immediate effect on the listing or trading of Bed Bath & Beyond’s
    BBBY,
    -4.09%

    common stock on the Nasdaq
    COMP,
    +0.86%
    ,
    the filing said. “The Notice states that the Company has 60 calendar days from the date of the Notice, or March 13, 2023, to submit a plan to regain compliance with the Listing Rule,” Bed Bath & Beyond said in the filing.

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  • Genius Group stock rallies more than 200% after it appoints former F.B.I. director to investigate alleged naked short selling

    Genius Group stock rallies more than 200% after it appoints former F.B.I. director to investigate alleged naked short selling

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    The stock of a Singapore-based ed-tech and education company called Genius Group Ltd. rallied more than 200% on Thursday, after it said it appointed a former F.B.I. director to lead a task force investigating alleged illegal trading in its stock that it first disclosed in early January. 

    The stock was last up 264% to mark its biggest-ever one-day percentage gain. Volume of 197.76 million shares traded crushed the 65-day average of just 634,17. Genius Group
    GNS,
    +290.29%

    also said it would issue a special dividend to shareholders to help expose the wrongdoing and is considering a dual listing that would make illegal naked short selling more difficult.

     The task force will be led by Timothy Murphy, a former deputy director of the F.B.I. who is also on the board. It will include Richard Berman, also a Genius Group Director and chair of the company’s Audit Committee, and Roger Hamilton, the chief executive officer of Genius Group.

    “The company has been in communication with government regulatory authorities and is sharing information with these authorities to assist them,” the company said in a statement.

    Genius Group said it has proof from Warshaw Burstein LLP and Christian Levine Law Group, with tracking from Share Intel, that certain individual and/or companies sold but failed to deliver a “significant” amount of its shares as part of a scheme seeking to artificially depress the stock price.

    It will now explore legal action and will hold an extraordinary general meeting in the coming weeks to get shareholder approval for its planned actions.

    On the Genius website, Hamilton explains what the company, which went public in 2022, thinks happened.

    Genius’ IPO priced at $6 a share in April of 2022, he wrote in a blog. The company, which aims to develop an entrepreneur education system, then completed five acquisitions of education companies to build out its portfolio and reported more than 60% growth in its last earnings report.

    Analysts at Diamond Equity assigned it an $11.28 stock price target, while Zacks assigned it a $19.20 stock price target.

    “By all measures, we believed we were doing all the right things to justify a rising share price,” said Hamilton.

    The company then announced two funding rounds totaling $40 million to grow its balance sheet to more than $60 million, yet its stock fell to under 40 cents, or less than 25% of the cash raised and less than 20% of its net assets.

    “This didn’t happen gradually,” the executive wrote. “It happened in two month intervals from our IPO, in June, August, October and December. Each time, over a period of a few days, massive selling volume that was a multiple of our float (As most of our shares are on lock up, only around 4 million are tradeable) was sold into the market, making our share price drop by 50% or more.”

    The company has since drawn on Wes Christian, a short-selling litigator from Christian Levine Law Group, who has helped it understand how naked short selling works, and then Share Intel helped find the proof that that’s what has happened.

    Individuals or groups get together and sell shares in a target company that they don’t own, with the aim of getting the share price to fall 50% in a short period. They use small-cap firms that have low buying volume, allowing them to scare off buyers.

    “The broker doesn’t bother to find shares to borrow,” said Hamilton. “They simply sell shares they don’t have and after a few days book them as FTDs (failure to deliver) or hide them as long sales instead of short sales. The people who bought the shares have no idea they bought a fake share, and suddenly there’s plenty more shares in the market than there should be.”

    If these groups sell 6 million shares from $12 to $6 each, and then buy back over two months at under $6, they double their money. That allows them to make up to $30 million out of thin air. They can then repeat the whole process a few months later.

     “If they don’t buy back all the shares, they simply leave them as FTDs or hide them in offshore accounts,” he wrote. “At no point do they need to put up any cash to make this happen, as they’re making money from the moment they start selling fake shares.”

    The ultimate goal is to push a company into bankruptcy, where the equity will be wiped out, meaning they never have to cover the short position on the fake shares.

    By issuing a special dividend, Genius is hoping to find who is responsible, as all brokers are forced to disclose to the Depository Trust & Clearing Corp. (DTCC) how many shares their clients hold and how many dividends will be paid. Theoretically, that should expose the oversold shares and dishonest brokers will be forced to cover their position, said Hamilton.

    In practice, dishonest brokers will not declare the fake shares and just pay the dividend out of their own pockets.

    “If you issue a dividend that isn’t straight cash—such as a spinoff of a company so you are issuing shares, or a blockchain based asset, then the brokers can’t do that are a forced to either cover or be exposed,” he wrote.

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  • Ericsson warns on near-term outlook as profit disappoints

    Ericsson warns on near-term outlook as profit disappoints

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    STOCKHOLM–Ericsson AB on Friday posted lower-than-expected fourth-quarter net profit and cautioned that the near-term outlook is uncertain, with operators holding off placing new orders as they rebalance inventories and assess economic headwinds.

    The Swedish telecommunications-equipment company
    ERIC.A,
    -5.29%

    ERIC.B,
    -6.46%

    ERIC,
    -1.66%

    said these trends started to hurt its key networks unit in the fourth quarter and that it expects them to continue at least during the first half of 2023.

    Ericsson reported net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.07 billion Swedish kronor ($588.2 million) compared with SEK10.08 billion a year earlier, as sales rose 21% to SEK86.0 billion.

    Analysts polled by FactSet had expected net profit of SEK7.05 billion on sales of SEK84.78 billion.

    The company expects to start seeing the effect of its SEK9 billion cost-saving activities during the second quarter of 2023.

    “We anticipate declining margins in networks during the first half of 2023 due to changing business mix,” Chief Executive Borje Ekholm said.

    “In 1Q we expect the earnings before interest, tax and amortization for the group to be somewhat lower than Ebita last year.”

    Overall sales of network equipment grew by 15% on the year, but margins were weighed by a switch to new growth markets in south east Asia, Oceania and India, from higher margin front-runner markets such as North America.

    Write to Dominic Chopping at dominic.chopping@wsj.com

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  • Crypto lender Genesis latest to file for bankruptcy as crypto contagion continues to spread

    Crypto lender Genesis latest to file for bankruptcy as crypto contagion continues to spread

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    Embattled crypto lender Genesis announced that it had filed for bankruptcy late Thursday, the latest firm to be taken amid a widespread rout among crypto companies driven by plunging prices and charges of fraud at major players like FTX.

    Genesis, which froze customer withdrawals in November following the collapse of FTX, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in federal court in Manhattan for its lending units, saying it was the best way for it to achieve “an optimal outcome for Genesis clients.”

    “While we have made significant progress refining our business plans to remedy liquidity issues caused by the recent extraordinary challenges in our industry, including the default of Three Arrows Capital and the bankruptcy of FTX, an in-court restructuring presents the most effective avenue through which to preserve assets and create the best possible outcome for all Genesis stakeholders,” said Derar Islim, Genesis’ interim chief executive, in a statement on the company’s website.

    According to its bankruptcy filing, Genesis’ lending unit said it had both assets and liabilities in the range of $1 billion to $10 billion and had over 100,000 creditors. The firm said it had about $150 million in cash on hand to support its operations during restructuring.

    Among those creditors is Gemini, the crypto exchange founded by twin brothers Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss in 2014, that had $900 million of its customers’ money tied up with Genesis.

    Genesis was the main partner of Gemini’s “earn” program, in which its retail investors received payments for allowing their crypto assets to be loaned out to others. 

    Cameron Winklevoss welcomed Genesis’ bankruptcy filing, saying it would provide Gemini a better venue for getting its clients’ money back.

    “We will use every tool available to us in the bankruptcy court to maximize recovery for Earn users and any other parties within the bankruptcy court’s jurisdiction,” he wrote in a post on Twitter.

    Both Genesis and Gemini were charged by the Securities and Exchange Commission last week with illegally selling securities to investors through the Earn program. 

    Genesis and its parent company, Digital Currency Group, had said they were seeking outside investment to help bolster the books and pay customers back in the months before filing for bankruptcy.

    As part of its restructuring, Genesis said it would seek to possibly sell the company and also continue to look for additional investment.

    Shares of bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    +0.12%

    were little changed at just above $20,000. There have been some concerns that the announcement of another crypto bankruptcy could unravel a recent recovery for the No. 1 cryptocurrency, up 25% so far in 2023. That puts it back above levels seen before FTX imploded last November.

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  • Netflix Surprises With a Subscriber Beat and Hastings Steps Back

    Netflix Surprises With a Subscriber Beat and Hastings Steps Back

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    Netflix


    posted better-than-expected subscriber growth in the fourth quarter, adding 7.66 million net new subscribers, well ahead of the 4.5 million the company had projected.

    The company also announced that founder and co-CEO Reed Hastings was moving to the executive chairman role to “complete our succession process.” Netflix said that Chief operating officer Greg Peters will join Ted Sarandos as co-CEO of the company.

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  • Netflix stock leaps after subscriber success in final quarter with Reed Hastings as CEO

    Netflix stock leaps after subscriber success in final quarter with Reed Hastings as CEO

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    Netflix Inc. added more subscribers than expected in the final quarter of 2022, sending shares higher in after-hours trading Thursday even as founder Reed Hastings prepared to step down from the chief executive role he has held since the company’s inception.

    Netflix
    NFLX,
    -3.23%

    announced that Hastings has moved to an executive chairman role, while Chief Operating Officer Greg Peters moves up to co-CEO, joining Ted Sarandos.

    “Since Reed started to delegate management to us, Greg and I have built a strong operating model based on our shared values and like-minded approach to growth,” Sarandos said in a letter to shareholders. “I am so excited to start this new chapter with Greg as co-CEO.”

    In a separate letter, Hastings said “in the last 2½ years, I’ve increasingly delegated the management of Netflix” to Sarandos and Peters.

    “It was a baptism by fire, given COVID and recent challenges within our business. But they’ve both managed incredibly well, ensuring Netflix continues to improve and developing a clear path to reaccelerate our revenue and earnings growth,” Hastings wrote. “So the board and I believe it’s the right time to complete my succession.”

    “More and more, they’ve been running the company,” Hastings said in a video call late Thursday. He called the move 10 days in the making.

    The company revealed on Thursday fourth-quarter revenue of $7.85 billion, compared with $7.71 billion a year ago. Earnings were $55 million, or 12 cents a share, down from $607 million, or $1.33 a share, last year; the decline was due to a $463 million noncash charge related to debt held in Europe, executives said.

    Wall Street analysts tracked by FactSet had estimated revenue of $7.86 billion on earnings of 55 cents a share. Shares increased more than 6% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of the results, after closing with a 3.2% decrease at $315.78.

    The streaming-video company reported that it added 7.7 million subscribers in the final three months of the year; analysts had expected 4.58 million, according to FactSet. Netflix will no longer offer guidance on that statistic, which has typically moved Netflix shares more than any other metric.

    In October, Netflix executives predicted the company would add a net 4.5 million subscribers in the fourth quarter as it bounces back from a lull in growth. Netflix reported losses in subscribers for the first two quarters of 2022, prompting leaders to unveil an ad-based service in November for customers who want to pay less, and plans to crack down on password sharing.

    “2022 was a tough year, with a bumpy start but a brighter finish,” executives wrote in their letter to shareholders Thursday. “We believe we have a clear path to reaccelerate our revenue growth: continuing to improve all aspects of Netflix, launching paid sharing and building our ads offering. As always, our north stars remain pleasing our members and building even greater profitability over time.”

    Executives guided for 4% revenue growth year-over-year in the first quarter, which would suggest roughly $8.2 billion in sales, while analysts were projecting $8.15 billion on average, according to FactSet. Executives said they “expect constant currency revenue growth to accelerate over the course of the year,” but that the password-sharing crackdown they expect to roll out widely in the first quarter could cause some bumpiness early in the year.

    Don’t miss: Netflix will crack down on password sharing — here’s how it will work

    “From our experience in Latin America, we expect some cancel reaction in each market when we roll out paid sharing, which impacts near-term member growth,” they wrote. “But as borrower households begin to activate their own stand-alone accounts and extra member accounts are added, we expect to see improved overall revenue, which is our goal with all plan and pricing changes.”

    The video-streaming pioneer offered first-quarter earnings guidance of $1.28 billion, or $2.82 a share; FactSet analysts are forecasting $2.98 a share.

    Netflix’s results arrived in the wake of increasingly bullish research notes. At least two analysts this week raised their price targets on Netflix shares, citing a weaker dollar. Truist analyst Matthew Thornton jacked his target to $339 from $210 while maintaining a hold rating, and UBS’s John Hodulik lifted his price to $350 from $250.

    For more: In Netflix’s unpredictable finale, the focus is on financial estimates

    “We view Netflix as one of the most durable businesses in our coverage as subscription low-cost entertainment with little-to-no exposure to advertising (still very small/new in 2023) or other highly cyclical/macro sensitive revenues,” Truist’s Thornton wrote. “While there could be some pressure on churn and gross adds (as households tighten budgets), we think this should be at least partly offset by increased cord-cutting (going 100% streaming from more expensive linear TV bundles).”

    Optimism was not universal, however. Barclays analyst Kannan Venkateshwar expected Netflix to add roughly half the new subscribers executives had forecast, 2.7 million, based on a drop in app downloads.

    Netflix’s stock has plunged 38% over the past 12 months. The broader S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.76%

    has declined 13% over the past year.

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  • Why the U.S. debt-ceiling is worrying stock and bond investors

    Why the U.S. debt-ceiling is worrying stock and bond investors

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    The U.S. Treasury Department began taking “extraordinary measures” on Thursday to keep the federal government current on its bills, while giving Congress more time to come up with a debt ceiling deal.

    Those special measures allow the Treasury to keep paying its bills, including paying holders of government debt what they are due, while also, for now, continuing the issuance of bills and notes as scheduled in the near $24 trillion Treasury market, the world’s biggest debt market, to replace maturing debt.

    “There’s constant maturities and constant new issuance,” said Jim Vogel, an interest-rate strategist at FHN Financial, in an interview Thursday. “Until the Treasury calls a halt to auctions they go on as normal.”

    In part, new note auctions on deck will replace maturing bonds issued years ago, which should help give confidence to investors that the U.S. government intends to fully repay principal and interest, as promised. It also helps bide time for Congress to strike a deal to increase or suspend the existing debt limit.

    “Your early warning system is when 6-month bills get cheaper,” Vogel said, adding that a wobble in that part of the Treasury market could signal worries by investors that top lawmakers could fail to reach a debt ceiling deal by this summer, which could then raise the threat level of a U.S. government default.

    What’s next in the U.S. debt limit standoff

    The U.S. debt limit was first set in 1917, and already has been increased or suspended 102 times since World War II, according to David Kelly, chief global strategist at JP Morgan Funds, in a recent client note.

    The government had been approaching its current debt limit of $31.385 trillion, prompting Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Thursday to deploy special measures to keep the government current on its bills, including making payments to bondholders, in moves she outlined a week ago.

    Kelly said the Treasury has leeway to make adjustments to postpone “our real rendezvous with disaster” potentially until June, but that from an economic and financial perspective a U.S. default would be “an unmitigated disaster.”

    Tax payments due to the U.S. government from corporations and households this spring also factor into the bigger debt-limit picture, while also influencing the final deadline for Congress to avoid an default on America’s debt.

    “We are coming up to the March corporate tax day,” said Steven Ricchiuto, U.S. chief economist at Mizuho Securities, by phone Thursday. “That could boost the Treasury’s balances,” he said, while also noting the influx from taxes last was higher than anticipated.

    Why investors are focusing on the debt ceiling now

    With the ultimate showdown likely months away there are no discernible ripples in financial markets right now, but investors and analysts do seem to be paying much closer attention to the threat at a much earlier date than in past episodes, market watchers said.

    Blame the intraparty battle between House Republicans that saw Kevin McCarthy elected speaker on Jan. 7 after a historic 15 ballots – and only after agreeing to a series of concessions to a small group of far-right conservatives.

    Investors are “talking about it early because it came on the heels of a very difficult election of the speaker of the House and the sense that there’s now much more leverage that a few members of Congress may have to force this crisis that’s more likely to hit later in the summer,” said Christopher Smart, chief global strategist at Barings and head of the Barings Investment Institute, in a phone interview.

    Some recent history underscores the concern. It took all of then-Speaker John Boehner’s political capital – “and then some” – to finally secure a vote among the Republican caucus on raising the debt limit during a similar showdown in 2011, Smart noted, observing that Boehner had “much more leeway” than McCarthy.

    “So if there are five or more members who won’t vote” on raising the limit “without certain conditions being met,” it’s easy to imagine potentially ugly scenarios that could rattle markets, he said.

    What’s at stake

    Former Federal Reserve Bank of New York President Bill Dudley said Thursday in an interview with Bloomberg that a U.S. default would be a “huge blow” to markets, but also that a contingency plan exits if it happens.

    “The way it works is if you actually run out of money, the Treasury will decide what payments to present to the Fed,” Dudley said. “Presumably, the Treasury will decide to prioritize debt repayment and interest payments, so there isn’t a technical default. The Fed will basically honor the payments the Treasury present.”

    The Fed also could step in to shore up market functioning in the Treasury market, if needed.

    “What we saw in 2011 is that the Treasury market got stronger until we got close to the deadline,” Dudley said. “People don’t want to buy Treasury bills that are maturing right around the time the debt limit could be binding.”

    As a result of a 2011 debt-ceiling standoff, credit rating firm Standard & Poor’s downgraded the U.S. credit ratings to AA from AAA.

    U.S. stocks declined for a third straight day on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -0.76%

    losing 252.40 points, or 0.8%, while the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.76%

    shed 0.8% and the Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP,
    -0.96%

    dropped 1%.

    —Greg Robb contributed reporting to this article.

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  • P&G Earnings Hit By Higher Costs. ‘Strength in Innovation’ May Help Demand.

    P&G Earnings Hit By Higher Costs. ‘Strength in Innovation’ May Help Demand.

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    Procter & Gamble


    stock recovered from an early loss, edging higher after the consumer goods company posted second-quarter earnings that matched analysts’ expectations. Gross margins declined largely due to higher costs.

    Net sales came in at $20.8 billion, while diluted earnings were $1.59 per share, Procter & Gamble said Thursday. Analysts had anticipated $20.7 billion of sales and a per-share profit of $1.59, according to FactSet.

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