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Tag: Industrial Electronics

  • National Instruments, Tesla, Bed Bath & Beyond, and More Stock Market Movers

    National Instruments, Tesla, Bed Bath & Beyond, and More Stock Market Movers

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  • Coinbase, Newmont, Tilray, Hexo, Virgin Orbit, and More Stock Market Movers

    Coinbase, Newmont, Tilray, Hexo, Virgin Orbit, and More Stock Market Movers

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  • Micron Sales Plunge 53%. It Is Cutting More Staff. Better Days Lie Ahead.

    Micron Sales Plunge 53%. It Is Cutting More Staff. Better Days Lie Ahead.

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    Micron


    Technology shares are modestly higher in late trading Tuesday after the memory chip company posted financial results for its fiscal second quarter ended March 2 that were about in line with expectations, as a weak market for PCs and smartphones continued to weigh on the company’s results. Micron also said that as part of its cost-reduction program, it will reduce staff by about 15%—up from a previous plan to cut heads by 10%.

    But there are some promising signs for the memory chip maker.

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  • Lululemon, Intel, Carnival, Micron, Walgreens, and More Stocks to Watch This Week

    Lululemon, Intel, Carnival, Micron, Walgreens, and More Stocks to Watch This Week

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    Data on the U.S. consumer and housing market, plus several notable earnings reports, will be this week’s highlights. Barring any surprises, federal financial regulators’ Congressional testimony will be the main event on the banking front.

    On Wednesday, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Martin Gruenberg are scheduled to testify before the House Financial Services Committee. They’ll discuss the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank and efforts to maintain confidence in the U.S. banking system.

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  • Intel Cut Its Dividend. These Stocks Could Be Next. 

    Intel Cut Its Dividend. These Stocks Could Be Next. 

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    Intel


    is cutting its dividend. In a treacherous environment for the economy and profits, more companies could do the same.

    On Wednesday, Intel (ticker: INTC) cut its dividend by 66% to an annual 50 cents a share, helping push the stock down about 16% in the past month. Intel has lost market share for chips to


    Advanced Micro Devices


    (AMD) and has struggled to meet Wall Street’s earnings targets. Weighing on earnings is weak PC demand, with year-over-year declines in sales. A dividend cut this large may partly reflect the economic environment, but also the company’s own problems.

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  • Nvidia Will Be Insulated From Any Slowdown by AI Spending, Says Analyst

    Nvidia Will Be Insulated From Any Slowdown by AI Spending, Says Analyst

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    Nvidia


    should be insulated from any slowdown in the broader economy by increased spending on artificial intelligence, say analysts at Oppenheimer, who lifted their price target for the semiconductor company.

    The heightened interest around artificial-intelligence should set investors’ minds at ease ahead of


    Nvidia


    ‘s earnings next week, say the analysts, with the semiconductor maker’s commentary on data-center spending in focus.

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  • U.S. List of China Balloon Suppliers Hints at New Age in Surveillance

    U.S. List of China Balloon Suppliers Hints at New Age in Surveillance

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    Company profiles point to high-tech parts as military links fuel Washington’s concerns of spy threat

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  • C3.ai, BigBearAI, and SoundHound Stock Are Soaring in an AI Feeding Frenzy

    C3.ai, BigBearAI, and SoundHound Stock Are Soaring in an AI Feeding Frenzy

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    Investors are in a feeding frenzy over artificial-intelligence software plays, and you have to think this isn’t going to end well.

    You can date the start of the AI stock craze to the Nov. 30 launch of ChatGPT, the generative AI chatbot created by the start up OpenAI. Recent data show that ChatGPT reached more than 100 million users in January, reaching that market faster than other buzzy apps like TikTok.

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  • Infineon profit nearly doubles as revenue climbs on strong demand for chips

    Infineon profit nearly doubles as revenue climbs on strong demand for chips

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    Infineon Technologies AG on Thursday posted higher revenue and profit for its fiscal first quarter as strong chips sales in the automotive and industrial segments offset weaker demand for smartphones, computers and data centers.

    The German chip maker
    IFX,
    +7.46%

    said revenue for the three months ended Dec. 31 climbed to 3.95 billion euros ($4.34 billion) from EUR3.16 billion the prior-year quarter. Infineon’s automotive segment contributed EUR1.87 billion to the total.

    “The energy transition and expansion of electromobility are causing a continuously high need for our solutions in industrial and automotive applications. In contrast, we are seeing significantly weaker demand in areas such as smartphones, PCs and data centers,” Chief Executive Jochen Hanebeck said.

    Last week, Intel Corp. reported a fourth-quarter loss and a decrease in sales, reflecting, in part, the sharp downturn the personal-computer market has been experiencing over recent months. Infineon also saw lower demand for chips in laptops, TVs and games consoles.

    Net profit jumped to EUR728 million from EUR457 million. Infineon’s segment result, a key profitability metric, surged to EUR1.11 billion from EUR717 million, generating a margin of 28%.

    Analysts polled by FactSet had forecast revenue of EUR4 billion, a net profit of EUR675 million and a segment result of EUR1 billion.

    Infineon had guided for revenue of around EUR4 billion and a segment result margin of about 25%.

    For the fiscal second quarter, Infineon is targeting revenue of around EUR3.9 billion and a segment result margin of around 25%.

    “We are continuing to navigate carefully in these challenging times and remain flexible in our approach to market dynamics. All in all, we are increasing our guidance slightly for the fiscal year, adjusting for currency effects,” Mr. Hanebeck said.

    For the fiscal year, Infineon continues to expect revenue of around EUR15.5 billion, plus or minus EUR500 million, but raised its segment result margin forecast to around 25% from about 24% previously. The company based its guidance on an exchange rate of $1.05 to the euro, up from $1 previously.

    Write to Mauro Orru at mauro.orru@wsj.com; @MauroOrru94

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  • Intel cuts pay, bonuses and other benefits while maintaining dividend

    Intel cuts pay, bonuses and other benefits while maintaining dividend

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    Intel Corp. continues to cut costs for everything except payments to investors.

    Intel
    INTC,
    +3.03%
    ,
    which is already in the process of cutting what is believed to be thousands of jobs amid steep declines in profit and revenue, is reducing Chief Executive Pat Gelsinger’s base salary by 25% and trimming other salaries at a descending rate based on seniority, down to 5% cuts for midlevel positions, a person familiar with the matter told MarketWatch. While nonexempt workers and junior positions face no pay cuts, Intel is trimming its 401(k) contributions to 2.5% from 5% and will suspend merit raises and quarterly performance bonuses, the person said. Annual performance bonuses and stock grants will remain.

    In an emailed statement, an Intel spokesperson confirmed “several adjustments to our 2023 employee compensation and rewards programs.”

    “As we continue to navigate macroeconomic headwinds and work to reduce costs across the company, we’ve made several adjustments to our 2023 employee compensation and rewards programs,” the statement said. “These changes are designed to impact our executive population more significantly and will help support the investments and overall workforce needed to accelerate our transformation and achieve our long-term strategy. We are grateful to our employees for their commitment to Intel and patience during this time as we know these changes are not easy.”

    Opinion: Intel just had its worst year since the dot-com bust, and it won’t get better anytime soon

    The move is similar to a 50% cut in stock compensation that Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +0.87%

    CEO Tim Cook requested and received, though Apple is one of the few large Silicon Valley tech companies that has not announced layoffs yet. Intel is targeting $3 billion in cost cuts in 2023 that include hundreds of layoffs that have already been disclosed in California, with many more expected.

    Intel has not touched its dividend, though, even as its free cash flow fell into the red during 2022 and is expected to be negative again this year. The chip maker paid out roughly $1.5 billion in dividends in the fourth quarter, completing $6 billion in annual payments, and maintained the same level of payments for the first quarter despite analysts questioning whether the company can afford it.

    For more: Intel stock’s dividend sticks out among chip makers

    “The board [and] management, we take a very disciplined approach to the capital allocation strategy and we’re going to remain committed to being very prudent around how we allocate capital for the owners, and we are committed to maintaining a competitive dividend,” Chief Financial Officer David Zinsner said when asked directly about the dividend during Intel’s earnings call last week.

    Intel shares have declined 42.1% in the past 12 months, as the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +1.30%

    has dropped 10.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.36%

    — which counts Intel as one of its 30 components — has fallen 3.7%.

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  • AMD CEO promises to keep taking data-center from Intel even as cloud demand pauses following ‘strong’ 2022

    AMD CEO promises to keep taking data-center from Intel even as cloud demand pauses following ‘strong’ 2022

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    Advanced Micro Devices Inc. shares rose in the extended session Tuesday after the chip maker’s data-center sales gained and executives forecast sales of more than $5 billion to start 2023, even as cloud-customer demand begins the year light.

    AMD shares AMD rose 3% after hours, following a 3.7% gain in the regular session to close at $75.15.

    AMD…

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  • These 20 stocks led the January rally

    These 20 stocks led the January rally

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    The initial version of this story had incorrect price changes for 2023. It is now updated with information as of the market close on Jan. 31.

    Investors staged a January rally, with solid gains for the S&P 500 and an even better showing for technology stocks that led the dismal downward action in 2022.

    This…

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  • Could Big Tech layoffs keep growing? Apple, Amazon, Facebook and Google may give hints in biggest week of earnings.

    Could Big Tech layoffs keep growing? Apple, Amazon, Facebook and Google may give hints in biggest week of earnings.

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    In the biggest week of the holiday-earnings season, Big Tech results will receive the spotlight amid thousands of layoffs that could only be the beginning.

    After tech stocks were decimated in 2022, investors will be looking for signs of a turnaround in holiday reports and potential forecasts for the year ahead from three of 2022’s top five market-value losers: Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    -0.66%
    ,
    Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    -0.63%

    and Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    -0.60%
    .
    The other two stocks on that list — Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    -1.38%

    and Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -0.15%

    — reported last week, and Microsoft’s results in the wake of a mass-layoffs announcement did not bode well for its Big Tech brethren.

    See also: Microsoft could be the cloud sector’s ‘canary in the coal mine’

    Those companies — along with Google parent Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    -1.32%

    GOOG,
    -1.49%

    — will deliver results after finding themselves in unfamiliar territory: A backdrop of layoffs amid slowing demand for core products like digital ads, electronics and e-commerce, after a two-year pandemic surge and a two-decade-plus honeymoon with investors. Some analysts say the bottom hasn’t arrived, for either their finances or their workforces.

    The one Big Tech company that hasn’t taken a sword to its payroll is Apple, which also increased its staff the least among the group during the COVID-19 pandemic. Apple shed $846 billion from its market cap last year, and now reports after its core product was part of the smartphone industry’s worst year since 2013 and worst holiday-season decline on record. The iPhone maker could also face questions from Wall Street about changing up its product sourcing, which has relied heavily on China, a nation whose COVID-19 restrictions have constrained production of some phones.

    While the tech-industry layoffs have yet to hit Apple, some analysts say the company is unlikely to be spared, despite Chief Executive Tim Cook requesting and receiving a healthy cut to his compensation.

    “Similar to other big technology companies, we expect Apple to adjust its head count to reflect an increasingly challenging global macroeconomic environment,” D.A. Davidson analyst Tom Forte said in a research note Tuesday.

    Rivals that have already cut could face more if profit continues to fall along with revenue growth. Alphabet, for instance, is cutting 12,000 employees, but an activist investor has already said that is not enough considering how much the company grew during the pandemic, and the difficulties it now faces in the online-ad sector.

    Opinion: Microsoft’s big move in AI does not mean it will challenge Google in search

    Analysts have said Meta’s “darkest days” are still ahead, as it navigates a round of more than 11,000 layoffs, competition from TikTok and its early stumbles in the metaverse. While cutting, Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg has promised to keep spending on metaverse development, even as the efforts slash the Facebook parent company’s previously healthy bottom line.

    “In 2023, we expect Meta to remain engulfed in arduous battles inside the Octagon,” Monness Crespi Hardt analyst Brian White said in a research note on Thursday. “In the long run, we believe Meta will benefit from the secular digital ad trend and innovate in the metaverse; however, regulatory scrutiny persists, internal headwinds remain, and we believe the darkest days of this downturn are ahead of us.”

    Full Facebook earnings preview: Meta’s ‘darkest days’ are ahead, but some analysts say ad sales are still on track

    Online retailer Amazon
    AMZN,
    -0.66%

    was the first Big Tech company to publicly declare cost-cutting was in order a year ago, and still coughed up $834 billion in market value in 2022. It kicked off 2023 with plans to lay off more than 18,000 workers as struggles continued throughout last year, when inflation siphoned away more consumer dollars toward essentials.

    Amazon’s own AWS cloud-infrastructure unit has helped to drive sales in years past, as businesses built out their tech infrastructures. But remarks and the outlook from Microsoft executives — the third-biggest market-cap loser of 2022, and a big barometer for tech spending overall — weren’t exactly encouraging for cloud growth: Executives there last week warned of “moderating consumption growth” for its own cloud business.

    For more: One company could determine whether U.S. corporate profits rise to a record in 2023

    “Sentiment was already bearish on AWS, with investors looking for slowing revenue over the next three quarters, largely confirmed after Microsoft earnings and conversations with industry checks,” Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein said in a note on Wednesday. “Positively, we believe e-commerce revenue has stabilized, and margins should improve from organic scale and announced head-count reductions.”

    Layoffs are also starting to spread beyond Big Tech companies that grew fast during the pandemic in response to massive demand spikes. International Business Machines Corp.
    IBM,
    +0.76%

    confirmed plans for 3,900 layoffs as it reported earnings, despite already reducing its workforce by at least 20% during the pandemic.

    One sector to watch is semiconductors, where a chip shortage has turned into a glut: Chip-equipment maker Lam Research Corp.
    LRCX,
    +0.04%

    announced layoffs in the past week as Silicon Valley semiconductor giant Intel Corp.
    INTC,
    +0.27%

    displayed “astonishingly bad” results while laying off workers. When Intel rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    -1.64%

    reports this week, it could determine whether there is any silver lining in the semiconductor storm.

    Earnings preview: AMD faces even more scrutiny after ‘astonishingly bad’ Intel outlook

    Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives said in a Sunday note that a common theme of this week’s Big Tech earnings will be that “tech layoffs will accelerate with more pain ahead to curb expenses,” though he added that “Apple will likely cut some costs around the edges, but we do not expect mass layoffs from Cupertino this week.”

    Big Tech earnings were a salve to other problems in the market for the past decade-plus, but with layoffs already under way and doubts about the path forward, don’t expect salvation from their results this week.

    This week in earnings

    For the week ahead, 107 S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.19%

    companies, including six members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.18%
    ,
    will report results, according to FactSet. While more Dow components reported last week, this will be the busiest week for S&P 500 holiday earnings of the season, FactSet senior earnings analyst John Butters confirmed to MarketWatch.

    Appliance-maker Whirlpool Corp.
    WHR,
    +1.18%

    reports on Monday, after it forecast fourth-quarter sales that were below expectations, following what it called a “one-off supply-chain disruption” and the pandemic home-renovation boom.

    On Tuesday, package-deliverer United Parcel Service Inc.
    UPS,
    -0.26%

    reports, amid questions about holiday-season demand. So does streaming service Spotify Technology,
    SPOT,
    -0.02%

    following its own layoffs and suggestions of possible price hikes, as well as McDonald’s Corp.
    MCD,
    -0.30%
    ,
    amid concerns that rising prices are keeping people from dining out. Exxon Mobil Corp.
    XOM,
    -0.99%
    ,
    Caterpillar Inc.
    CAT,
    -0.12%
    ,
    Snap Inc.
    SNAP,
    +0.64%

    and Pfizer Inc.
    PFE,
    +0.72%

    also report Tuesday.

    Earnings outlook: McDonald’s earnings haven’t been hit by higher prices

    On Wednesday, T-Mobile US Inc.
    TMUS,
    +0.23%

    reports, in the wake of a data breach and wobbling cellphone demand. Coffee chain Starbucks Corp.
    SBUX,
    -0.58%

    reports on Thursday, with analysts likely to be zeroed in on U.S. demand and China’s reopening, after executives said they were confident that higher prices, along with enthusiasm from younger customers and for customizable drinks, could help them navigate any potholes in the economy.

    For the Big Tech companies, Thursday is also the big day: Apple, Amazon and Alphabet will report that afternoon, after Meta reports the prior day.

    The calls to put on your calendar

    WWE upheaval: World Wrestling Entertainment Inc.
    WWE,
    +0.91%

    reports earnings on Thursday, as Vince McMahon — who returned to the professional-wrestling organization this month following allegations of sexual misconduct — seeks a buyer or some other so-called “strategic alternative” for the company.

    Analysts have speculated how the company’s wrestling events and backlog of media content might be repurposed, with some entertaining the possibility of interest from Amazon or Netflix Inc.
    NFLX,
    -0.39%
    .
    But WWE has struggled to develop story lines that stick with viewers, and has thinned its ranks of wrestlers.

    The Wall Street Journal this month reported that McMahon would pay a multimillion-dollar settlement to a former referee who accused him of raping her. Among the changes since McMahon returned was the departure of his daughter, who had been promoted to co-CEO after he stepped down from the role last year.

    There isn’t much clarity on whether Vince McMahon will be on Thursday’s earnings call, which was moved from the morning to the afternoon due to a scheduling conflict. But it should offer drama no matter who attends.

    The numbers to watch

    GM and Ford auto sales: Auto makers General Motors Co.
    GM,
    -2.00%

    and Ford Motor Co.
    F,
    -0.94%

    will issue results on Tuesday and Thursday respectively, amid signs of waning demand and rising interest rates that have made car loans more expensive. Despite falling new-vehicle sales in the third quarter, GM managed to keep its own sales higher, the AP noted.

    Mary Barry, GM’s chief executive, called out the popularity of vehicles like the Escalade, the Chevrolet Bolt EV and some pickups and SUVs during the auto maker’s third-quarter earnings call in October. During that quarter, GM said it completed and shipped nearly 75% of the unfinished vehicles held in its inventory in June. She said supply-chains were opening up again, but added that “short-term disruptions will continue to happen.”

    The auto makers report as they try to put a chip shortage and other production constraints behind them. But some forecasts call for 2022 auto sales, or sales volumes, to be the weakest in roughly a decade. Electric vehicle maker Tesla’s recent price cuts could also cut into GM’s and Ford’s own EV sales.

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  • Intel stock drops nearly 10% after earnings miss, execs predict quarterly loss as data-center market shrinks

    Intel stock drops nearly 10% after earnings miss, execs predict quarterly loss as data-center market shrinks

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    Intel Corp. shares dropped more than 9% in the extended session Thursday after the chip maker reported a big miss for the fourth quarter, forecast a loss for the first quarter, said the data-center market was contracting and that inventory digestion will gnaw at margins.

    Intel
    INTC,
    +1.31%

    executives forecast an adjusted loss of 15 cents a share on revenue of about $10.5 billion to $11.5 billion and adjusted gross margins of about 39% for the current quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had estimated adjusted first-quarter earnings of 25 cents a share on revenue of $13.93 billion.

    Chief Executive Pat Gelsinger told analysts on a conference call he would not provide a 2023 forecast. Gelsinger restricted the outlook to the current quarter, citing macro uncertainties, a digestion of PC inventory that was “difficult” to forecast and a contracting data-center market. In the fourth quarter, AI group sales dropped 33% to $4.3 billion, while the Street expected revenue of $4.08 billion.

    “We expect Q1 server consumption [total addressable market] to decline both sequentially and year-over-year at an accelerated rate, with first-half 2023 server consumption TAM down year-on-year before returning to growth in the second half,” Gelsinger said.

    Chief Financial Officer David Zinsner told analysts that the company will institute an accounting change in the first quarter, where Intel will extend the useful life of their machinery to eight years from a current five years. Gelsinger said that Intel was going to “squeeze” its effective capacity.

    While Zinsner would not give a full-year outlook, he did say that continued inventory digestion should be weighted to the first half of the year.

    Pressed on how Intel could get back to the 51% to 53% margins range he promised a year ago, Zinsner said a “significant inventory burn” on PC inventory would hit gross margins by 400 basis points in the first quarter. Gross margins for the fourth quarter dropped to 43.8% from 55.8% a year ago, and from 45.9% in the third quarter.

    Intel reported a fourth-quarter loss of $664 million, or 16 cents a share, versus net income of $4.62 billion, or $1.13 a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for restructuring charges and other items, Intel reported earnings of 10 cents a share, compared with $1.13 a share from a year ago.

    Revenue declined to $14.04 billion from $20.52 billion in the year-ago quarter, for a 10th straight quarter of year-over-year declines.

    Analysts surveyed by FactSet estimated earnings of 21 cents a share on revenue of $14.49 billion, based on Intel’s forecast of 20 cents a share on about $14 billion to $15 billion.

    Intel shares fell 9% in after-hours trading, after closing the regular session up 1.3% at $30.09. Other chip stocks also declined, including top rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +0.33%
    ,
    which saw shares drop more than 3% in after-hours trading, and Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +2.48%
    ,
    which declined 2%.

    Breaking down divisions: Client-computing sales fell 36% to $6.6 billion from a year ago; “network and edge” sales slipped 1% to $2.1 billion; and foundry services revenue rose 30% to $319 million.

    Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected revenue from client computing to come in at $7.36 billion; “network and edge” revenue of $2.23 billion; and foundry services revenue of $199.1 million.

    Over the past 12 months, Intel stock has fallen 43%. Over the same period, the Dow Jones Industrial Average 
    DJIA,
    +0.61%

     — which counts Intel as a component — has slipped 1%, the PHLX Semiconductor Index 
    SOX,
    +1.63%

     has dropped 13%, the S&P 500 index 
    SPX,
    +1.10%

     has declined 7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index 
    COMP,
    +6.59%

     has dropped 15%.

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  • Intel stock drops after  missing on earnings, predicting quarterly loss to start the new year

    Intel stock drops after missing on earnings, predicting quarterly loss to start the new year

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    Intel Corp. shares dropped in the extended session Thursday after the chip maker reported a big miss for the fourth quarter and forecast a loss for the first quarter.

    Intel
    INTC,
    +1.31%

    shares fell 6% in after-hours trading, after closing the regular session up 1.3% at $30.09.

    For the first quarter, Intel forecast an adjusted loss of 15 cents a share on revenue of about $10.5 billion to $11.5 billion and adjusted gross margins of about 39%. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had estimated adjusted first-quarter earnings of 25 cents a share on revenue of $13.93 billion.

    “In 2023, we will continue to navigate the short-term challenges while striving to meet our long-term commitments, including delivering leadership products anchored on open and secure platforms, powered by at-scale manufacturing and supercharged by our incredible team,” said Pat Gelsinger, Intel’s chief executive, in a statement.

    Intel reported a fourth-quarter loss of $664 million, or 16 cents a share, versus net income of $4.62 billion, or $1.13 a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for restructuring charges and other items, Intel reported earnings of 10 cents a share, compared with $1.09 a share from a year ago.

    Revenue declined to $14.04 billion from $20.52 billion in the year-ago quarter, for a 10th straight quarter of year-over-year declines. Gross margins dropped to 43.8% from 55.8% a year ago, and 45.9% in the third quarter.

    Analysts surveyed by FactSet estimated earnings of 21 cents a share on revenue of $14.49 billion, based on Intel’s forecast of 20 cents a share on about $14 billion to $15 billion.

    Over the past 12 months, Intel stock has fallen 43%. Over the same period, the Dow Jones Industrial Average 
    DJIA,
    +0.61%

     — which counts Intel as a component — has slipped 1%, the PHLX Semiconductor Index 
    SOX,
    +1.63%

     has dropped 13%, the S&P 500 index 
    SPX,
    +1.10%

     has declined 7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index 
    COMP,
    +1.76%

     has dropped 15%.

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  • STMicroelectronics revenue, profit jump on automotive, microcontrollers strength

    STMicroelectronics revenue, profit jump on automotive, microcontrollers strength

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    STMicroelectronics NV on Thursday posted a surge in revenue and profit for the fourth quarter led by growth at its automotive and microcontrollers divisions.

    The European chip maker STM IT:STM said net revenue climbed to $4.42 billion compared with $3.56 billion in the 2021 fourth quarter, with the company’s automotive business contributing $1.70 billion.

    Net…

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  • ASML reports forecast beating profit of $1.96 billion on higher sales

    ASML reports forecast beating profit of $1.96 billion on higher sales

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    ASML Holding NV said Wednesday that for the fourth quarter it beat net profit consensus and net sales rose, and that it expects continued strong sales growth in 2023 despite a challenging environment.

    The Dutch semiconductor-equipment maker NL:ASML ASMLsaid net profit for the period was 1.8 billion euros ($1.96 billion) compared with EUR1.77 billion for the fourth quarter of 2021, and consensus of EUR1.71 billion, taken from FactSet and based on 17 analysts’ estimates.

    For…

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  • Earnings Watch: Microsoft, Tesla and Intel are about to face the doubters

    Earnings Watch: Microsoft, Tesla and Intel are about to face the doubters

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    After one of the worst years in Wall Street’s history, investors have some serious questions for companies. As holiday returns roll in — and with them, forecasts for the months or year ahead — many have the chance to answer those questions, or avoid them.

    In the busiest week of the holiday-earnings season so far, three big names will take the stage on back-to-back-to-back afternoons. Here is what to expect:

    Microsoft Corp.

    Microsoft
    MSFT,
    +3.57%

    shed $737 billion in market value last year, the third-most of any S&P 500 company, then announced plans to lay off some 10,000 workers this month. Previously a Wall Street darling thanks to the phenomenal growth of its Azure cloud-computing offering, Microsoft now faces a cutback in enterprise spending on cloud and other products, as companies seek to cut their bills after spending wantonly during the early years of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    First Take: Big Tech layoffs are not as big as they appear at first glance

    When the company announced layoffs, Chief Executive Satya Nadella admitted customers were cutting, saying “as we saw customers accelerate their digital spend during the pandemic, we’re now seeing them optimize their digital spend to do more with less.” Analysts believe Azure may be holding up better than rivals, however, and will expect to hear about it when Microsoft results hit Tuesday afternoon.

    “Our Azure checks were mixed, but generally better than public cloud sentiment that has turned highly negative over the past few months,” Mizuho analysts wrote. “More specifically, we have heard of increasing levels of optimization, but it is being partially offset by many organizations prioritizing digital transformation.”

    From October: The cloud boom has hit its stormiest moment yet, and it is costing investors billions

    As cloud growth slows down, expect Microsoft to point to the next big buzzword in tech: Artificial intelligence, specifically ChatGPT, the chatbot product developed by OpenAI, which Microsoft has invested heavily in and expects to incorporate into its products. D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria this month wrote that Microsoft’s investments in OpenAI would help it build out more AI technology, including in its search engine Bing.

    Tesla Inc.

    Tesla
    TSLA,
    +4.91%

    stock suffered a much larger percentage decline than Microsoft in 2022,as the electric-vehicle maker’s shares closed out their worst year on record with their worst quarter and month ever. After the year ended, Tesla began slashing prices in China and the U.S. in hopes of qualifying for more consumer tax incentives and reinvigorating demand, which could lead to questions about previously fat margins.

    In-depth: Tesla investors await clues on demand, board actions and weigh downside risks in 2023

    For Tesla, which reports fourth-quarter results Wednesday, the results will offer more context on production of the Cybertruck — currently set to start in the middle of the year — demand in China, competition and the impact of price cuts. Auto-information website Edmunds on Thursday said that Tesla’s decision to slash prices by as much as 20% in the U.S. and Europe led to a jump in interest in the vehicles.

    While those cuts seem likely to hurt profit, Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner called it “a bold offensive move, which secures Tesla’s volume growth, puts its traditional and EV competitors in great difficulty, and showcases Tesla’s considerable pricing power and cost superiority.” And a survey from Wedbush analysts found that “76% of EV Chinese consumers are considering buying a Tesla in 2023.” But Toni Sacconaghi, an analyst at Bernstein, said Tesla needed more low-cost electric-vehicle offerings, which might not ship until 2025.

    Tesla earnings preview: Price cuts in focus as stock hovers around 2-year low

    With Tesla’s stock in the gutter, some analysts have raised the possibility of a share buyback to spur investor interest, and Chief Executive Elon Musk said such a plan was being discussed in the previous earnings call. Musk is not in great favor with many investors right now, however, following some heavy selling of Tesla shares in the wake of his purchase last year of Twitter, which some on Wall Street have said has distracted him from the needs of the auto maker. Musk’s tweets have landed him in trouble elsewhere: Opening arguments began last week for a trial centered on allegations that Musk put investors at risk when he tweeted in 2018 that he was “considering” taking Tesla private and had secured the money to do so.

    ‘He broke the stock’: Why a prominent Tesla investor wants Elon Musk to put him on the board

    Intel Corp.

    Intel’s
    INTC,
    +2.81%

    questions were not fresh in 2022, as the chip maker for years has seen rivals like Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +3.49%

    and Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +6.41%

    challenge it in ways that would have been unthinkable in previous generations. Shares still dove more than 43% last year, as declining sales led to plans for $3 billion in cost cuts.

    There’s little hope for a big rebound when Intel reports Thursday afternoon. Personal-computer sales have experienced their biggest year-over-year declines ever recorded, and Intel’s long-delayed new data-center offering that is meant to answer AMD’s challenge only began selling this year.

    Opinion: The PC boom and bust is already ‘one for the record books,’ and it isn’t over

    Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger, though, has a chance to lay out his vision for a long-term Intel rebound, as he attempts to make Intel a chip-manufacturing powerhouse again after years of struggles. He was forced to trim his annual outlook multiple times last year, so it will be important for him to provide attainable numbers this time, but without reducing hopes in the path forward.

    This week in earnings

    Expectations remain low for fourth-quarter earnings season overall, with consumers squeezed by higher prices and interest rates, and hopes fading for any relief from the holiday shopping season. But even with a low bar, the fourth-quarter results from companies so far have been worse than the historical norm, with FactSet senior earnings analyst John Butters writing Friday that “the fourth-quarter earnings season for the S&P 500 is not off to a strong start.”

    So far, 11% of S&P 500 companies have reported fourth-quarter results, with roughly one-third reporting earnings better than estimates, Butters reported. That’s lower than the 10-year average of 73%.

    Still, Wall Street generally expects strong profit margins for companies in the S&P 500, as earlier price increases — which help businesses offset their own costs and test the limits of consumer demand — mix with more recent cost cuts.

    For the week ahead, 93 companies in the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    +1.89%
    ,
    and 12 of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +1.00%

    components, are set to report quarterly results.

    Mark your calendars! Here is MarketWatch’s full earnings calendar for the week

    Among the highlights: General Electric Co.
    GE,
    +1.07%

    reports Tuesday for the first time since splitting off its GE HealthCare Technologies
    GEHC,
    +4.43%

    business. 3M Co.
    MMM,
    +1.87%

    — which makes Post-it Notes, duct tape, air filters, adhesives and coatings — also reports Tuesday, after the company in October said the costs of raw materials, a big driver of inflation, were showing signs of easing.

    And as demand for goods eases amid worries about a downturn, a number of railroad operators that ship those goods report during the week. Union Pacific Corp.
    UNP,
    +1.54%
    ,
    whose lines ship across the Western half of the U.S., reports on Tuesday, while CSX Corp.
    CSX,
    +1.46%
    ,
    which covers much of the East, reports Wednesday. Norfolk Southern Corp.
    NSC,
    +1.51%

    also reports Wednesday.

    Telecom giants Verizon Communications Inc.
    VZ,
    -0.15%
    ,
    AT&T Inc.
    T,
    +1.53%

    and Comcast Corp.
    CMCSA,
    +3.22%

    report Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Results there will offer a clearer sense of the state of demand for Apple Inc.’s
    AAPL,
    +1.92%

    iPhones, as premium models suffer from production snags, and for broadband, which saw heightened demand when more people were staying home due to the pandemic.

    The call to put on your calendar

    Southwest, post-meltdown: Southwest Airlines Co.
    LUV,
    +1.67%
    ,
    which reports on Thursday, will offer executives with plenty to answer for, after bad weather and an overloaded, aging scheduling system caused thousands of flight cancellations over the holidays.

    For more: Southwest Airlines turns to repairing its reputation after holiday meltdown

    The implosion has raised questions about the air carrier’s investments in its own technology — after restarting dividend payments shortly before the disruptions — and airlines’ ability to handle the post-lockdown travel rebound. The breakdown has underscored the airline industry’s bigger issues with understaffing, after 2020’s wave of departures, as carriers try to reload flight schedules to meet pent-up travel demand.

    Scott Kirby, chief executive at United Airlines Holdings Inc.
    UAL,
    +2.25%
    ,
    said during his company’s earnings call last week that he felt the industry’s goals to expand their flight coverage this year and beyond were “simply unachievable.” And he said that airlines that tried to follow prepandemic patterns were destined to face trouble. He said manufacturers were suffering from delays in building jets, engines and other parts, and that airlines had outgrown their technology infrastructure.

    For more: United Airlines swings to profit despite ‘worst’ winter storm’

    “All of us, airlines and the FAA, lost experienced employees and most didn’t invest in the future,” he said. “That means the system simply can’t handle the volume today, much less the anticipated growth.”

    American Airlines Group Inc.
    AAL,
    +0.37%
    ,
    Alaska Air Group Inc.
    ALK,
    +0.85%

    and JetBlue Airways Corp.
    JBLU,
    +0.94%

    are also expected to report results Thursday morning, along with Southwest.

    The numbers to watch

    Visa, Mastercard and consumer spending: The return of travel and entertainment, along with rising prices, have helped prop up consumer spending. But as Visa Inc.
    V,
    +1.77%
    ,
    Mastercard Inc.
    MA,
    +2.27%
    ,
    American Express Co.
    AXP,
    +3.23%

    and Capital One Financial Corp.
    COF,
    +6.40%

    prepare to report, their finance-industry counterparts are getting nervous — and taking more steps to pad themselves against the fallout from consumers struggling to pay their bills.

    Credit-card issuer Capital One reports results on Tuesday, while card payments-network providers Visa and Mastercard report on Thursday, with Amex on Friday morning. They’ll report after shares of Discover Financial Services
    DFS,
    +4.16%

    got hit last week after the company, which also offers credit cards and loans, set aside more money to cover souring credit, and reported a bump in its net charge-off rate — a measure of debt a company thinks is unlikely to be recovered.

    Larger banks, like JPMorgan Chase & Co.
    JPM,
    +0.24%
    ,
    have also set aside more money to guard against credit losses.

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  • Earnings Watch: Microsoft, Tesla and Intel are about to face the doubters

    Earnings Watch: Microsoft, Tesla and Intel are about to face the doubters

    [ad_1]

    After one of the worst years in Wall Street’s history, investors have some serious questions for companies. As holiday returns roll in — and with them, forecasts for the months or year ahead — many have the chance to answer those questions, or avoid them.

    In the busiest week of the holiday-earnings season so far, three big names will take the stage on back-to-back-to-back afternoons. Here is what to expect:

    Microsoft Corp.

    Microsoft
    MSFT,
    +3.57%

    shed $737 billion in market value last year, the third-most of any S&P 500 company, then announced plans to lay off some 10,000 workers this month. Previously a Wall Street darling thanks to the phenomenal growth of its Azure cloud-computing offering, Microsoft now faces a cutback in enterprise spending on cloud and other products, as companies seek to cut their bills after spending wantonly during the early years of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    First Take: Big Tech layoffs are not as big as they appear at first glance

    When the company announced layoffs, Chief Executive Satya Nadella admitted customers were cutting, saying “as we saw customers accelerate their digital spend during the pandemic, we’re now seeing them optimize their digital spend to do more with less.” Analysts believe Azure may be holding up better than rivals, however, and will expect to hear about it when Microsoft results hit Tuesday afternoon.

    “Our Azure checks were mixed, but generally better than public cloud sentiment that has turned highly negative over the past few months,” Mizuho analysts wrote. “More specifically, we have heard of increasing levels of optimization, but it is being partially offset by many organizations prioritizing digital transformation.”

    From October: The cloud boom has hit its stormiest moment yet, and it is costing investors billions

    As cloud growth slows down, expect Microsoft to point to the next big buzzword in tech: Artificial intelligence, specifically ChatGPT, the chatbot product developed by OpenAI, which Microsoft has invested heavily in and expects to incorporate into its products. D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria this month wrote that Microsoft’s investments in OpenAI would help it build out more AI technology, including in its search engine Bing.

    Tesla Inc.

    Tesla
    TSLA,
    +4.91%

    stock suffered a much larger percentage decline than Microsoft in 2022,as the electric-vehicle maker’s shares closed out their worst year on record with their worst quarter and month ever. After the year ended, Tesla began slashing prices in China and the U.S. in hopes of qualifying for more consumer tax incentives and reinvigorating demand, which could lead to questions about previously fat margins.

    In-depth: Tesla investors await clues on demand, board actions and weigh downside risks in 2023

    For Tesla, which reports fourth-quarter results Wednesday, the results will offer more context on production of the Cybertruck — currently set to start in the middle of the year — demand in China, competition and the impact of price cuts. Auto-information website Edmunds on Thursday said that Tesla’s decision to slash prices by as much as 20% in the U.S. and Europe led to a jump in interest in the vehicles.

    While those cuts seem likely to hurt profit, Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner called it “a bold offensive move, which secures Tesla’s volume growth, puts its traditional and EV competitors in great difficulty, and showcases Tesla’s considerable pricing power and cost superiority.” And a survey from Wedbush analysts found that “76% of EV Chinese consumers are considering buying a Tesla in 2023.” But Toni Sacconaghi, an analyst at Bernstein, said Tesla needed more low-cost electric-vehicle offerings, which might not ship until 2025.

    Tesla earnings preview: Price cuts in focus as stock hovers around 2-year low

    With Tesla’s stock in the gutter, some analysts have raised the possibility of a share buyback to spur investor interest, and Chief Executive Elon Musk said such a plan was being discussed in the previous earnings call. Musk is not in great favor with many investors right now, however, following some heavy selling of Tesla shares in the wake of his purchase last year of Twitter, which some on Wall Street have said has distracted him from the needs of the auto maker. Musk’s tweets have landed him in trouble elsewhere: Opening arguments began last week for a trial centered on allegations that Musk put investors at risk when he tweeted in 2018 that he was “considering” taking Tesla private and had secured the money to do so.

    ‘He broke the stock’: Why a prominent Tesla investor wants Elon Musk to put him on the board

    Intel Corp.

    Intel’s
    INTC,
    +2.81%

    questions were not fresh in 2022, as the chip maker for years has seen rivals like Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +3.49%

    and Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +6.41%

    challenge it in ways that would have been unthinkable in previous generations. Shares still dove more than 43% last year, as declining sales led to plans for $3 billion in cost cuts.

    There’s little hope for a big rebound when Intel reports Thursday afternoon. Personal-computer sales have experienced their biggest year-over-year declines ever recorded, and Intel’s long-delayed new data-center offering that is meant to answer AMD’s challenge only began selling this year.

    Opinion: The PC boom and bust is already ‘one for the record books,’ and it isn’t over

    Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger, though, has a chance to lay out his vision for a long-term Intel rebound, as he attempts to make Intel a chip-manufacturing powerhouse again after years of struggles. He was forced to trim his annual outlook multiple times last year, so it will be important for him to provide attainable numbers this time, but without reducing hopes in the path forward.

    This week in earnings

    Expectations remain low for fourth-quarter earnings season overall, with consumers squeezed by higher prices and interest rates, and hopes fading for any relief from the holiday shopping season. But even with a low bar, the fourth-quarter results from companies so far have been worse than the historical norm, with FactSet senior earnings analyst John Butters writing Friday that “the fourth-quarter earnings season for the S&P 500 is not off to a strong start.”

    So far, 11% of S&P 500 companies have reported fourth-quarter results, with roughly one-third reporting earnings better than estimates, Butters reported. That’s lower than the 10-year average of 73%.

    Still, Wall Street generally expects strong profit margins for companies in the S&P 500, as earlier price increases — which help businesses offset their own costs and test the limits of consumer demand — mix with more recent cost cuts.

    For the week ahead, 93 companies in the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    +1.89%
    ,
    and 12 of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +1.00%

    components, are set to report quarterly results.

    Mark your calendars! Here is MarketWatch’s full earnings calendar for the week

    Among the highlights: General Electric Co.
    GE,
    +1.07%

    reports Tuesday for the first time since splitting off its GE HealthCare Technologies
    GEHC,
    +4.43%

    business. 3M Co.
    MMM,
    +1.87%

    — which makes Post-it Notes, duct tape, air filters, adhesives and coatings — also reports Tuesday, after the company in October said the costs of raw materials, a big driver of inflation, were showing signs of easing.

    And as demand for goods eases amid worries about a downturn, a number of railroad operators that ship those goods report during the week. Union Pacific Corp.
    UNP,
    +1.54%
    ,
    whose lines ship across the Western half of the U.S., reports on Tuesday, while CSX Corp.
    CSX,
    +1.46%
    ,
    which covers much of the East, reports Wednesday. Norfolk Southern Corp.
    NSC,
    +1.51%

    also reports Wednesday.

    Telecom giants Verizon Communications Inc.
    VZ,
    -0.15%
    ,
    AT&T Inc.
    T,
    +1.53%

    and Comcast Corp.
    CMCSA,
    +3.22%

    report Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Results there will offer a clearer sense of the state of demand for Apple Inc.’s
    AAPL,
    +1.92%

    iPhones, as premium models suffer from production snags, and for broadband, which saw heightened demand when more people were staying home due to the pandemic.

    The call to put on your calendar

    Southwest, post-meltdown: Southwest Airlines Co.
    LUV,
    +1.67%
    ,
    which reports on Thursday, will offer executives with plenty to answer for, after bad weather and an overloaded, aging scheduling system caused thousands of flight cancellations over the holidays.

    For more: Southwest Airlines turns to repairing its reputation after holiday meltdown

    The implosion has raised questions about the air carrier’s investments in its own technology — after restarting dividend payments shortly before the disruptions — and airlines’ ability to handle the post-lockdown travel rebound. The breakdown has underscored the airline industry’s bigger issues with understaffing, after 2020’s wave of departures, as carriers try to reload flight schedules to meet pent-up travel demand.

    Scott Kirby, chief executive at United Airlines Holdings Inc.
    UAL,
    +2.25%
    ,
    said during his company’s earnings call last week that he felt the industry’s goals to expand their flight coverage this year and beyond were “simply unachievable.” And he said that airlines that tried to follow prepandemic patterns were destined to face trouble. He said manufacturers were suffering from delays in building jets, engines and other parts, and that airlines had outgrown their technology infrastructure.

    For more: United Airlines swings to profit despite ‘worst’ winter storm’

    “All of us, airlines and the FAA, lost experienced employees and most didn’t invest in the future,” he said. “That means the system simply can’t handle the volume today, much less the anticipated growth.”

    American Airlines Group Inc.
    AAL,
    +0.37%
    ,
    Alaska Air Group Inc.
    ALK,
    +0.85%

    and JetBlue Airways Corp.
    JBLU,
    +0.94%

    are also expected to report results Thursday morning, along with Southwest.

    The numbers to watch

    Visa, Mastercard and consumer spending: The return of travel and entertainment, along with rising prices, have helped prop up consumer spending. But as Visa Inc.
    V,
    +1.77%
    ,
    Mastercard Inc.
    MA,
    +2.27%
    ,
    American Express Co.
    AXP,
    +3.23%

    and Capital One Financial Corp.
    COF,
    +6.40%

    prepare to report, their finance-industry counterparts are getting nervous — and taking more steps to pad themselves against the fallout from consumers struggling to pay their bills.

    Credit-card issuer Capital One reports results on Tuesday, while card payments-network providers Visa and Mastercard report on Thursday, with Amex on Friday morning. They’ll report after shares of Discover Financial Services
    DFS,
    +4.16%

    got hit last week after the company, which also offers credit cards and loans, set aside more money to cover souring credit, and reported a bump in its net charge-off rate — a measure of debt a company thinks is unlikely to be recovered.

    Larger banks, like JPMorgan Chase & Co.
    JPM,
    +0.24%
    ,
    have also set aside more money to guard against credit losses.

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  • 18 stock picks in a ‘Goldilocks’ scenario for U.S. consumers

    18 stock picks in a ‘Goldilocks’ scenario for U.S. consumers

    [ad_1]

    It may not have been a surprise to see the consumer discretionary sector of the S&P 500 get hammered last year amid talk of a looming recession while the Federal Reserve jacked up interest rates to push back against inflation.

    But the stock market always looks ahead. Following a decline of 19.4% for the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.42%

    in 2022 and a 37.6% drop for the benchmark index’s consumer discretionary sector, this may be the time to begin looking for bargains.

    And now, analysts at Jefferies have lifted the sector to a “bullish” rating.

    In a note to clients on Jan. 10, Jefferies’ global equity strategist, Sean Darby, wrote: “A Goldilocks scenario might be unfolding for the U.S. consumer — falling inflation but steady employment conditions.”

    He sees consumer confidence improving, in part because “households are still sitting on [about] $1.4 trillion of Covid savings.”

    Darby pointed to a list of 18 consumer discretionary stocks favored by Jefferies analysts that was published on Jan. 6. Those are listed below, along with three stocks in the sector the analysts rate “underperform.”

    The ratings of the Jefferies analysts for individual stocks is based on their 12-month outlooks for the companies, in keeping with Wall Street tradition.

    So we have added another list further down, showing which companies in the S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector are expected by analysts polled by FactSet to increase sales the most through 2024.

    The Jefferies 18

    Here are the 18 consumer discretionary stocks recommended by Jefferies analysts with “buy” ratings on Jan. 6, sorted by how much upside the firm sees for the shares from closing prices on Jan. 9:

    Company

    Ticker

    Jan. 9 price

    Jefferies price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Three-year estimated sales CAGR through 2022

    Two-year estimated sales CAGR through 2024

    Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.

    MODG,
    -0.22%
    $20.76

    $56

    170%

    32.8%

    10.0%

    Bloomin’ Brands Inc.

    BLMN,
    +3.87%
    $22.08

    $35

    59%

    2.4%

    3.7%

    Coty Inc. Class A

    COTY,
    +1.23%
    $9.38

    $14

    49%

    -7.1%

    3.7%

    MGM Resorts International

    MGM,
    +1.71%
    $37.64

    $56

    49%

    -0.1%

    6.6%

    Chewy Inc. Class A

    CHWY,
    +1.63%
    $40.13

    $57

    42%

    28.0%

    10.6%

    Planet Fitness Inc. Class A

    PLNT,
    +0.69%
    $82.36

    $115

    40%

    10.4%

    13.9%

    Molson Coors Beverage Co. Class B

    TAP,
    +0.67%
    $50.21

    $69

    37%

    0.5%

    1.4%

    Fox Factory Holding Corp.

    FOXF,
    +3.95%
    $99.90

    $135

    35%

    28.1%

    6.6%

    Hasbro Inc.

    HAS,
    +0.99%
    $63.70

    $85

    33%

    9.1%

    3.6%

    Hostess Brands Inc. Class A

    TWNK,
    +0.33%
    $23.10

    $30

    30%

    14.2%

    5.0%

    Lowe’s Cos. Inc.

    LOW,
    +0.08%
    $199.44

    $250

    25%

    10.6%

    -1.9%

    Walmart Inc.

    WMT,
    -0.27%
    $144.95

    $175

    21%

    4.9%

    3.3%

    Dollar General Corp.

    DG,
    -0.26%
    $241.05

    $285

    18%

    10.9%

    6.7%

    Church & Dwight Co. Inc.

    CHD,
    -1.17%
    $82.25

    $97

    18%

    7.0%

    4.6%

    McDonald’s Corp.

    MCD,
    +0.39%
    $267.25

    $315

    18%

    2.4%

    4.0%

    Estee Lauder Cos. Inc. Class A

    EL,
    +0.39%
    $261.63

    $304

    16%

    2.8%

    5.8%

    Mondelez International Inc. Class A

    MDLZ,
    -0.04%
    $67.24

    $75

    12%

    6.3%

    4.1%

    Tapestry Inc.

    TPR,
    +0.73%
    $41.25

    $45

    9%

    3.3%

    3.2%

    Sources: Jefferies, FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more information about the companies.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    The two right-most columns on the table show estimated compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for the companies over the past three calendar years and expected sales CAGR for two years through calendar 2024, based on the companies’ financial reports and consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet.

    (We used calendar-year numbers, some of which are estimated by FactSet for prior years, because some companies have fiscal years or even months that don’t match the calendar.)

    The stock pick with the highest 12-month upside potential, based on Jefferies’ price target, is Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.
    MODG,
    -0.22%
    .
    This company has the highest estimated three-year sales CAGR on the list, and has the third-highest projected sales CAGR through 2024, after Planet Fitness Inc.
    PLNT,
    +0.69%

    and Chewy Inc.
    CHWY,
    +1.63%
    .

    On Jan. 6, the Jefferies analysts also listed three stocks in the sector they rated “underperform.” Here they are, sorted by how much the analysts expect the stocks to decline over the next 12 months:

    Company

    Ticker

    Jan. 9 price

    Jefferies price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Three-year estimated sales CAGR through 2022

    Two-year estimated sales CAGR through 2024

    Lululemon Athletica Inc.

    LULU,
    +2.98%
    $298.66

    $200

    -33%

    26.3%

    14.6%

    Williams-Sonoma Inc.

    WSM,
    +1.75%
    $122.17

    $98

    -20%

    14.1%

    -0.3%

    Harley-Davidson Inc.

    HOG,
    +0.35%
    $43.25

    $39

    -10%

    -2.8%

    4.4%

    Sources: Jefferies, FactSet

    Screen of consumer discretionary sales growth

    A look head at which companies are expected to increase sales the most over the next two years might serve as a good starting point for your own research.

    Bear in mind that some of the companies in travel-related industries suffered declining sales for three years through 2022 because of the coronavirus pandemic. Some of those are on this new list of 20 stocks in the S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector expected to show the highest two-year sales CAGR through calendar 2024:

    Company

    Ticker

    Two-year estimated sales CAGR through 2024

    Three-year estimated sales CAGR through 2022

    Share “buy” ratings

    Jan. 9 price

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Las Vegas Sands Corp.

    LVS,
    +1.59%
    59.2%

    -32.6%

    79%

    $52.78

    $53.53

    1%

    Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

    NCLH,
    +1.67%
    39.6%

    -9.3%

    44%

    $13.78

    $16.96

    23%

    Carnival Corp.

    CCL,
    +1.64%
    35.2%

    -14.7%

    30%

    $9.47

    $10.11

    7%

    Tesla Inc.

    TSLA,
    -1.83%
    34.3%

    49.7%

    64%

    $119.77

    $232.43

    94%

    Wynn Resorts Ltd.

    WYNN,
    +2.01%
    29.3%

    -17.5%

    53%

    $94.33

    $96.07

    2%

    Royal Caribbean Group

    RCL,
    +2.22%
    28.4%

    -6.8%

    53%

    $57.29

    $66.43

    16%

    Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

    CMG,
    -0.17%
    13.4%

    15.9%

    71%

    $1,446.74

    $1,778.81

    23%

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN,
    +2.61%
    12.2%

    22.1%

    92%

    $87.36

    $133.76

    53%

    Booking Holdings Inc.

    BKNG,
    +0.37%
    11.9%

    3.9%

    63%

    $2,208.41

    $2,307.67

    4%

    Aptiv PLC

    APTV,
    +1.66%
    11.9%

    6.4%

    70%

    $97.98

    $117.23

    20%

    Starbucks Corp.

    SBUX,
    +1.28%
    11.2%

    7.2%

    42%

    $104.74

    $103.44

    -1%

    Etsy Inc.

    ETSY,
    +3.56%
    11.1%

    45.3%

    50%

    $120.99

    $124.04

    3%

    Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

    HLT,
    +0.06%
    10.1%

    -2.9%

    38%

    $129.08

    $146.17

    13%

    Expedia Group Inc.

    EXPE,
    +0.39%
    9.0%

    -0.9%

    50%

    $93.77

    $125.65

    34%

    NIKE Inc. Class B

    NKE,
    +0.68%
    8.1%

    5.8%

    62%

    $124.85

    $126.15

    1%

    Marriott International Inc. Class A

    MAR,
    +0.47%
    7.5%

    -1.2%

    30%

    $152.53

    $172.81

    13%

    BorgWarner Inc.

    BWA,
    +1.82%
    7.1%

    15.3%

    53%

    $42.24

    $46.93

    11%

    Tractor Supply Co.

    TSCO,
    +1.06%
    6.8%

    19.0%

    61%

    $217.48

    $232.34

    7%

    Yum! Brands Inc.

    YUM,
    -0.76%
    6.7%

    6.4%

    47%

    $129.76

    $137.79

    6%

    Dollar General Corp.

    DG,
    -0.26%
    6.7%

    10.9%

    67%

    $241.05

    $267.54

    11%

    Source: FactSet

    Among the companies on this list that didn’t suffer sales declines from 2019 levels, Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -1.83%

    is expected to achieve the highest two-year sales CAGR through 2022.

    Dollar General Corp.
    DG,
    -0.26%

    is the only company to appear on this list based on consensus sales growth estimates and the Jefferies recommended list.

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