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Tag: Hurricane Lorena

  • Maps show Hurricane Lorena’s path and forecast in Pacific

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    Hurricane Lorena is churning in the Pacific, bringing the possibility of life-threatening conditions and other hazards to parts of Mexico. Parts of the southwestern U.S. could also see some impacts.

    While Lorena is quickly weakening off the coast of western Mexico, it is turning toward land — with landfall expected on Friday or early Saturday, according to CBS News and Stations meteorologist Nikki Nolan.

    Baja California Sur and southwestern Sonora face a risk of life-threatening flash flooding, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

    Maps show Hurricane Lorena’s forecast path

    As of Thursday morning, Lorena was located about 110 miles south-southwest of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico, with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph — barely hurricane status. It is expected to weaken for the next couple of days and become a tropical storm later on Thursday.

    “On the forecast track, the center of Lorena is expected to move parallel to the west coast of the Baja California peninsula today and approach the coast of Baja California Sur tonight through Friday night,” the hurricane center said in a Thursday morning advisory.

    This map shows the projected path of the storm, as well as wind speeds, as Lorena approaches — and moves over — western Mexico:

    / Credit: CBS News/Nikki Nolan

    Hurricane Lorena watches and warnings

    A tropical storm warning — meaning tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area within 36 hours — is in effect Thursday for the west coast of the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, from Santa Fe to Punta Eugenia.

    A tropical storm watch — meaning tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within 48 hours — is in effect for the east coast of the Baja California peninsula from Santa Rosalia to Bahia de los Angeles.

    Hurricane Lorena’s potential impact

    Forecasters say heavy rain will impact Baja California Sur and Sonora, Mexico, through Friday.

    “Additional rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with maximum storm total amounts of 15 inches, are possible across portions of Baja California Sur, far southeast Baja California and southwestern Sonora into Friday,” the hurricane center says. “This will bring the risk of life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.”

     / Credit: NOAA

    / Credit: NOAA

    Across the southwestern U.S., 1 to 3 inches of rain — with as much as 5 inches in some areas — are forecast for parts of
    Arizona and New Mexico through Saturday. That could lead to flash flooding in some places. Rain from the storm could also be seen in Texas over the weekend.

    Storm surge is likely in Baja California Sur, near where Lorena makes landfall.

    “Swells generated by Lorena will continue affecting portions of the south and west coasts of Baja California Sur through Friday,” the hurricane center says. “These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.”

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  • Mojave Desert faces triple weather threat with flood risk, extreme heat and wildfires

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    The Mojave Desert is facing a triple whammy of hazards this week as the National Weather Service warns of flash flooding, extreme heat and elevated wildfire risk.

    The overlapping hazards are the result of monsoonal storms combining with tropical moisture linked to Hurricane Lorena, which is helping sustain unstable conditions across the region. Forecasters say the interaction of these systems will keep the risk of heavy rain elevated through the week.

    What’s in the forecast?

    A low-pressure system off the Central California coast is bringing enough moisture and atmospheric lift to generate fast-moving thunderstorms across the region. These storms could produce heavy bursts of rain on the desert’s hardened ground, where water runs off quickly instead of soaking in, creating a potential for flash flooding this week.

    Even brief downpours may trigger flash floods in canyons and dry washes. The risk is expected to persist through the week, though chances for showers and thunderstorms will gradually decrease each day, according to the area forecast discussion from the San Joaquin Valley.

    Moisture is expected to gradually retreat southeast through the end of the week and into the weekend. That shift has slowed due to Hurricane Lorena’s track toward Baja California, and with daytime heating and lingering upper-level energy, scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible in eastern areas into the weekend.

    Meanwhile, temperatures are expected to remain above 100 degrees during the day, with nighttime lows holding in the upper 70s. This extends an already dangerous heat wave and, combined with lightning from passing storms, could spark new wildfires.

    Regional highlights

    • Increased chances for thunderstorms exist today and tomorrow, Sept. 3-4, along the Sierra Nevada and into the Kern County mountains, with a 15% to 30% probability of development this afternoon and a 15% to 25% chance on Wednesday, Sept. 3. These storms are likely to produce little rainfall but may result in dry lightning strikes.

    • There is at least a 5% chance of excessive rainfall in the Sierra Nevada, Kern County mountains and Mojave Desert today and tomorrow, Sept. 3-4, prompting a flood watch in those regions.

    • Moderate Heat Risk continues for the Valley and Mojave Desert through Wednesday, Sept. 3, with a 40% to 80% chance of triple-digit temperatures. Some areas in higher elevations approach a Major Heat Risk.

    What is dry lightning?

    Dry lightning occurs during “dry thunderstorms,” which produce little to no rainfall. According to the National Weather Service, the drier the storm and the drier the vegetation, the more likely lightning strikes are to spark wildfires. That’s because cloud-to-ground lightning can easily ignite parched fuel without rain to help dampen it.

    Is lightning without thunder still dangerous?

    Lightning is always dangerous, even if unaccompanied by thunder or rain.

    Thunder is simply the sound produced by the rapid expansion of air heated by lightning, according to the National Weather Service. If a lightning strike is far enough away, the sound may not reach you, but the electrical discharge can still travel for miles and ignite fires or injure people.

    How often does lightning cause wildfires?

    Lightning-caused wildfires are much larger and consume more land (53% of the average acreage burned from 2018 to 2022) than human-caused fires.

    However, the majority of wildfires are caused by humans (89% of the average number of wildfires from 2018 to 2022).

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    Brandi D. Addison covers weather across the United States as the Weather Connect Reporter for the USA TODAY Network. She can be reached at baddison@gannett.com.

    This article originally appeared on Palm Springs Desert Sun: Mojave Desert faces triple weather threat. See forecast

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  • Maps show Hurricane Lorena’s path and forecast in Pacific as it threatens Mexico

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    One of two hurricanes churning over the Pacific Ocean early Wednesday could bring heavy rain and perhaps “life-threatening flash floods and mudslides” to Mexico’s Baja California peninsula later in the week, though possibly as a tropical storm, forecasters said.

    Hurricane Lorena just hit hurricane strength, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said but “rapid strengthening” is likely through tonight. Then, the center said, “Fast weakening is expected to begin on Thursday, and Lorena could weaken back to a tropical storm by Friday.”

    The center said that as of 4 a.m. EDT Wednesday, Lorena was about 120 miles south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico and some  275 miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico and moving northwest at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph — barely hurricane status.

    Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 10 miles from Lorena’s center and tropical-storm-force winds extended outward as far as 60 miles.

    Hurricane Loreno off Mexico, as seen by a satellite early on Sept. 3, 2025.

    NOAA


    A second hurricane — Kiko — was much stronger and farther west but was posing no threat to land.

    Maps show Hurricane Lorena’s forecast path

    The center of Lorena is forecast to “move parallel to the west coast of the Baja California peninsula today and Thursday and then approach the coast Thursday night and Friday, according to the hurricane center.

    lorena-path-4a-090325.png

    Hurricane Lorena’s projected path as of 4 a.m. EDT on Sept. 3, 2025

    NOAA


    Warnings issued due to Hurricane Lorena

    Mexico’s government posted a tropical storm warning for Baja California Sur’s west coast from Santa Fe to Cabo San
    Lazaro, and a tropical storm watch for Baja California Sur’s coast north of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos.

    Hurricane Lorena’s possible impact

    Parts of Baja California Sur and far southeast Baja California could get five-to-ten inches of rain with as much as 15 inches through Friday, the hurricane center. “This will bring the risk of life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain,” the hurricane center stressed.

    Hurricane Kiko much stronger but not seen as threat to land

    Hurricane Kiko was already a Category 2 storm with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph early Wednesday and was forecast to get even stronger and become a major hurricane later in the day, the hurricane center said. That would make it a Category 3, with maximum sustained winds between 111 and 129 mph.

    But the center said Kiko wasn’t expected to hit land.

    As of 5 a.m. EDT Wednesday, Kiko was some 1,700 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii and moving west at 7 mph, the center said.

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