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Tag: Hurricane Ian

  • Hurricane Ian ‘street shark’ video defies belief

    Hurricane Ian ‘street shark’ video defies belief

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    Photos and videos of sharks and other marine life swimming in suburban floodwaters make for popular hoaxes during massive storms. But a cellphone video filmed during Hurricane Ian’s assault on southwest Florida isn’t just another fish story.

    The eye-popping video, which showed a large, dark fish with sharp dorsal fins thrashing around an inundated Fort Myers backyard, racked up more than 12 million views on Twitter within a day, as users responded with disbelief and comparisons to the “Sharknado” film series.

    Dominic Cameratta, a local real estate developer, confirmed he filmed the clip from his back patio Wednesday morning when he saw something “flopping around” in his neighbor’s flooded yard.

    “I didn’t know what it was — it just looked like a fish or something,” he told The Associated Press. “I zoomed in, and all my friends are like, ‘It’s like a shark, man!’ ”

    He guessed the fish was about 4 feet in length.

    Experts were of mixed opinion on whether the clip showed a shark or another large fish. George Burgess, former director of the Florida Museum of Natural History’s shark program, said in an email that it “appears to be a juvenile shark,” while Dr. Neil Hammerschlag, director of the University of Miami’s shark conservation program, wrote that “it’s pretty hard to tell.”

    Nevertheless, some Twitter users dubbed the hapless fish the “street shark.”

    The surge worsened in Fort Myers as the day went on. Cameratta said the flooding had only just begun when the clip was taken, but that the waters were “all the way up to our house” by the time the AP reached him by phone Wednesday evening.

    He said the fish may have made its way up from nearby Hendry Creek into a retention pond, which then overflowed, spilling the creature into his neighbor’s backyard. A visual analysis of nearby property confirmed it matches the physical landmarks in the video.

    Leslie Guelcher, a professor of intelligence studies at Mercyhurst University in Erie, Pennsylvania, was among the online sleuths who initially thought the video was fake.

    “Don’t think this is real. According to the index on the video it was created in June 2010. Someone else posted it at 10 AM as in Fort Myers, but the storm surge wasn’t like that at 10 AM,” she tweeted Wednesday.

    Guelcher acknowledged later, though, that online tools she and others were using to establish the video’s origins didn’t actually show when the video itself was created, merely when the social media profile of the user was created.

    The AP confirmed through the original clip’s metadata that it was captured Wednesday morning.

    “It makes a bit more sense from a flooding standpoint,” she said by email, when informed the fish was spotted near an overflowing pond. “But how on earth would a shark go from the Gulf of Mexico to a retention pond?”

    Yannis Papastamatiou, a marine biologist who studies shark behavior at Florida International University, said that most sharks flee shallow bays ahead of hurricanes, possibly tipped off to their arrival by a change in barometric pressure. A shark could have accidentally swum up into the creek, he said, or been washed into it.

    “Young bull sharks are common inhabitants of low salinity waters — rivers, estuaries, subtropical embayments — and often appear in similar videos in FL water bodies connected to the sea such as coastal canals and ponds,” Burgess said. “Assuming the location and date attributes are correct, it is likely this shark was swept shoreward with the rising seas.”

    Cameratta sent the video to a group chat on WhatsApp on Wednesday morning, according to his friend John Paul Murray, who sent the AP a timestamped screenshot.

    “Amazing content,” Murray wrote in reply.

    ———

    Associated Press writers Philip Marcelo and Arijeta Lajka in New York contributed to this report.

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  • New technology collects data from inside most dangerous part of Tropical Storm Ian

    New technology collects data from inside most dangerous part of Tropical Storm Ian

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    New technology collects data from inside most dangerous part of Tropical Storm Ian – CBS News


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    Only on “CBS Mornings,” scientists show Ben Tracy how they can fly straight into the eye of a massive hurricane.

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  • Crews rescue residents trapped by Hurricane Ian’s flooding

    Crews rescue residents trapped by Hurricane Ian’s flooding

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    Crews rescue residents trapped by Hurricane Ian’s flooding – CBS News


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    Residents of central Florida woke to high winds and catastrophic flooding, forcing hundreds to flee their homes. Rescue crews raced to evacuate residents. Meg Oliver has the latest.

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  • Aerial views reveal widespread destruction in Florida

    Aerial views reveal widespread destruction in Florida

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    Aerial views reveal widespread destruction in Florida – CBS News


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    David Begnaud got a look from the air at the catastrophic damage that Hurricane Ian left behind. The cost to rebuild could be in the tens of billions. He describes what he saw.

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  • Hurricane Ian brings historic storm surge to Fort Myers

    Hurricane Ian brings historic storm surge to Fort Myers

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    Hurricane Ian brings historic storm surge to Fort Myers – CBS News


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    Fort Myers sees historic storm surge during Hurricane Ian. Manuel Bojorquez takes a look at the devestating path of destruction.

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  • Live Updates: Hurricane Ian

    Live Updates: Hurricane Ian

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    The Latest on Hurricane Ian:

    WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis spoke by telephone Thursday morning to discuss next steps in the federal response to Hurricane Ian.

    Biden formally issued a disaster declaration Thursday morning and told DeSantis that he was dispatching Federal Emergency Management Agency Administrator Deanne Criswell to Florida on Friday to check in on response efforts and to gauge where additional support will be needed.

    Meanwhile, officials at Tampa International Airport tweeted that damage assessments are underway there and that they hope to have an update later Thursday on plans to reopen.

    ———

    KEY DEVELOPMENTS:

    — Hurricane Ian leaves destruction in southwest Florida

    — Ian strikes Florida hospital from above and below

    — Search on for migrants after boat sinks off Florida Keys

    Cuba begins to turn on lights

    — Find more AP coverage here: https://apnews.com/hub/hurricanes

    ———

    OTHER DEVELOPMENTS:

    TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — The U.S. Coast Guard began performing hurricane rescue missions on barrier islands off southwest Florida early Thursday, as soon as the winds died down, Gov. Ron DeSantis said at a news conference.

    “The Coast Guard had people who were in their attics and got saved off their rooftops,” DeSantis said. The most vulnerable areas were along the barrier islands of Lee, Charlotte and Collier counties, along with inlets and inland areas along rivers.

    Power failures from Hurricane Ian are significant, he said. Two counties, Lee and Charlotte, “are basically off the grid at this point,” the governor said, and will likely have to rebuild the power structure.

    “We’ve never seen storm surge of this magnitude,” DeSantis said. “The amount of water that’s been rising, and will likely continue to rise today even as the storm is passing, is basically a 500-year flooding event.”

    An earlier report of hundreds of deaths in Lee County has not been confirmed and was likely an estimate based on 911 calls, the governor said.

    DeSantis said he will ask the federal government to expand its emergency declaration to cover counties in central Florida that are also reporting damage.

    ———

    NAPLES, Fla. — The Naples Pier, a top tourist destination, has been destroyed by Hurricane Ian, with even the pilings torn out, a county official said Thursday.

    The storm sent waves of at least 20 feet over the historic structure, said Penny Taylor, a commission in Collier County.

    “Right now, there is no pier,” Taylor said.

    Deanne Criswell, administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, told CBS News on Thursday that the agency has “put together a large search and rescue capability” and that searchers are combing areas of southwest Florida where people may be trapped.

    To the north in the Tampa Bay area, officials lifted evacuation orders. Beachfront communities around St. Petersburg and Clearwater emerged largely unscathed, with the main damage being toppled trees and power lines, officials said.

    But with the storm still marching across the state, highway officials closed the Florida Turnpike in the Orlando area because of flooding.

    ———

    FORT MYERS, Fla. — Valerie Bartley’s neighborhood in the Fort Myers area had been under an evacuation order ahead of Hurricane Ian, but she felt it was too late to leave Tuesday with no plans in place.

    As the strong storm passed overhead, she and her husband had to push their dining room table against a sliding door leading to the back patio because they felt the wind was going to blow it into the house, she said in a telephone interview Thursday.

    “My husband just sat there and held it for two hours,” said Bartley, 36.

    “I was terrified through it. What we heard was the shingles and debris from everything in the neighborhood hitting our house. It sounded like the shingles were being ripped out,” she said.

    Bartley said her 4-year-old daughter gave her courage. “She grabbed my hand and said, ‘I am scared, too, but it is going to be OK.’”

    Their patio was torn apart, with some sections missing, and trees were down in their back yard, but their own roof and house stayed mostly intact.

    ———

    FORT MYERS, Fla. — In Lee County, home to the city of Fort Myers, rescue officials said they were overwhelmed with calls for rescues and feared significant fatalities.

    Sheriff Carmine Marceno told ABC’s “Good Morning America” that there had been thousands of calls to 911.

    Rescues have been underway, he said, but “we still cannot access many of the people in the waterways, bridges are compromised, and it’s a real real rough road ahead.”

    Fort Myers Mayor Kevin Anderson told NBC’s “Today” that he has not been told of any deaths in the city, though there may have been some elsewhere in the metro area.

    Anderson said that he has been in the area since the 1970s and that this was by far the worst storm he has ever witnessed.

    “Watching the water from my condo in the heart of downtown, watching that water rise and just flood out all the stores on the first floor, it was heartbreaking,” Anderson said.

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  • Ian weakens into a tropical storm, moves to Orlando

    Ian weakens into a tropical storm, moves to Orlando

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    Ian weakens into a tropical storm, moves to Orlando – CBS News


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    Orlando is looking at the potential for severe damage as Ian continues into the area as a strong tropical storm. Alex Wilson from The Weather Channel reports.

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  • Live Updates: Ian, now a tropical storm, barreling across Florida

    Live Updates: Ian, now a tropical storm, barreling across Florida

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    Tropical Storm Ian continued moving east across Florida early Thursday and could still cause “catastrophic flooding,” forecasters warned. 

    Ian hit land in southwestern Florida as a major Category 4 hurricane, just shy of a Category 5, as one of the strongest hurricanes ever to hit the U.S.

    It left people trapped in homes and wide swaths of the state without power. Some 2.5 million homes and businesses were in the dark as of 5 a.m. EDT, according to poweroutage.us.

    The National Hurricane Center in Miami said Ian’s center was “expected to move off the east-central coast of Florida later today and then approach the coast of South Carolina on Friday. The center will move farther inland across the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday. … Some slight re-intensification is forecast, and Ian could be near hurricane strength when it approaches the coast of South Carolina on Friday. Weakening is expected Friday night and Saturday after Ian moves inland.”

    The center warned that, “Widespread, life-threatening catastrophic flash and urban flooding, with major to record flooding along rivers, will continue across central Florida. Widespread considerable flash, urban, and river flooding is expected across portions of northeast Florida, southeastern Georgia, and eastern South Carolina tomorrow through the weekend.”

    As of 5 a.m. EDT Thursday, Ian’s center was some 40 miles southeast of Orlando and 35 miles southwest of Cape Canaveral. It was moving northeast at 8 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph. Sustained winds of 74 mph are needed for a storm to reach hurricane status.


    Inside a shelter offering refuge from Hurricane Ian

    01:52

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  • Almost 2.5 million Florida customers without power as Hurricane Ian crosses the state

    Almost 2.5 million Florida customers without power as Hurricane Ian crosses the state

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    Hurricane Ian was so powerful that its winds were just a few miles per hour shy of making it a Category 5 storm as it made landfall in Florida on Wednesday. And it didn’t take long for it to unleash its wrath on Florida’s power grids. 

    Ian’s eye began moving onshore at Sanibel and Captiva islands by midday on Wednesday. Before 2:30 p.m. ET, more than 660,000 customers had their power knocked out, according to tracking on poweroutage.us. Just two hours later, the total surpassed 1 million outages. After sundown, the number surged once again – bringing the total of those without power as of 10 p.m. to more than 2 million people. And as of 4 a.m., the number of homes and businesses in the dark was nearing 2.5 million.

    Southwest Florida was bearing the brunt of the impact. Nearly every customer in several counties, including DeSoto, Charlotte and Lee, was without power as of early Thursday. At least half of all customers in several neighboring counties, including Manatee, Sarasota, Collier, Highlands and Glades, were without power, according to poweroutage.us. 

    Reports of outages continued to extend north along the Gulf Coast, with major disruptions going as far north as Citrus County. Smaller disruptions continued to creep towards the panhandle. 

    Areas along Florida’s eastern coast were also seeing outages. Miami-Dade, while hard-hit with power disruptions, saw steady restorations throughout the day. Outages were also being seen more inland and were detected in every single county on the state’s east coast. 

    Florida officials have been warning for days of the potential power issues. Ian has been relentless on its track, knocking out power to all of Cuba when it raked the island on Tuesday, although power in some areas has been restored.

    The National Weather Service warned prior to landfall that Hurricane Ian would cause “catastrophic” wind damage in Florida’s southwest. The service’s director, Ken Graham, said during a press briefing on Wednesday that the storm would take 24 hours to complete its journey across the state after the eye made landfall. 

    “This is going to be a storm that we talk about for many years to come,” he said. 

    Florida Power & Light, the main provider to the homes and businesses reporting outages, tweeted on Wednesday that the company was expecting “widespread, extend” outages. Of its more than 5.7 million tracked customers through PowerOutage.us, more than 1 million had reportedly lost power. 

    Kevin Guthrie, director of the Florida Division of Emergency Management, said Wednesday that there were more than 30,000 linemen “staged and ready” to help restore power when it is safe to do so. Gov Ron DeSantis said later in the day that number had increased to 42,000.

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  • Oath Keepers trial begins as January 6 committee postpones hearing

    Oath Keepers trial begins as January 6 committee postpones hearing

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    Oath Keepers trial begins as January 6 committee postpones hearing – CBS News


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    The House committee investigating the January 6 Capitol riot has postponed a hearing scheduled for Wednesday due to Hurricane Ian. This comes as a trial for several Oath Keepers charged with seditious conspiracy is getting underway. CBS News congressional correspondent Scott MacFarlane reports.

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  • Waffle House closures along Florida coast are ominous storm sign

    Waffle House closures along Florida coast are ominous storm sign

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    Nearly two dozen Waffle House restaurants are closed across Florida, unsettling for those who view the always-open chain as an informal gauge of just how bad some natural disaster might get. 

    With Hurricane Ian bearing down on the state, the 24-hour restaurant chain currently has 21 restaurants closed from Bradenton to Naples, a spokesperson on Wednesday told CBS MoneyWatch in an email. “Those restaurants are located in the direct path of the storm, with a few located in low-lying, flood-prone areas,” she stated. 

    “We continue to monitor weather conditions, work closely with local government officials, emergency management teams and our local leadership in the field to make appropriate decisions based on the circumstances in each location,” the spokesperson added. 

    Waffle House has more than 1,900 locations in 25 states. 


    What is storm surge? Explaining one of a hurricane’s greatest dangers

    02:47

    Federal emergency officials warn that Hurricane Ian could bring life-threatening storm surge, heavy rain and winds. It made landfall near Cayo Costa, Florida, on Wednesday as a major Category 4 storm — the second-strongest possible category, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    Known for its practice of rapidly reopening after disaster hits, or remaining open to feed first responders amid such events, Waffle House is also eyed as a means of assessing damage to an area.

    “We’re pretty proud of the fact that it is something that is used,” a Waffle House spokesperson told a local CBS affiliate of the brand being seen as an indicator of a storm’s severity. “More so because it is an outward showing of our commitment to the communities we serve.”

    As Craig Fugate, the former administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, in the past explained: “If you get there and the Waffle House is closed? That’s really bad. That’s where you go to work.”

    The so-called Waffle House index ranges from green to yellow to red, depending on whether restaurants are open, closed, or offering a limited menu. 

    “If Waffle House can serve a full menu, they’ve likely got power (or are running a generator). A limited menu means an area may not have running water or electricity, but there’s gas for the stove to make bacon, eggs and coffee: exactly what hungry, weary people need,” according to a 2017 FEMA blog post. 

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  • Live Updates: Hurricane Ian makes landfall in Florida as powerful Category 4 storm

    Live Updates: Hurricane Ian makes landfall in Florida as powerful Category 4 storm

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    “I wish this wasn’t a forecast I had to deliver,” National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said Wednesday as federal officials gave a dire update on Hurricane Ian.

    “This is going to be a storm that we talk about for many years to come,” he said, adding that the majority of the state will be in Ian’s “crosshairs,” including inland areas.

    Ian’s winds are as strong as 155 mph and extend 35 miles beyond the eye of the storm.

    “It’s not just right there in the center. It’s a bigger impact from all this,” Graham said.

    Ian will take 24 hours or so to move across the state after the eye of the storm reaches land, Graham said, setting up a dangerous situation for millions. Powerful winds and rain, on top of slow movement, could contribute to some places seeing up to 18 feet of storm surge and up to 2 feet of rain alone.

    Even Florida’s east coast is expected to see some storm surge and strong winds, he said, and tornadoes will continue to be a threat, mostly in the front right quadrant of the storm.

    Gail McGovern, CEO of American Red Cross, said nearly 500 Red Cross responders are ready and shelter supplies are prepared for 60,000 people. By the end of the weekend, she anticipates more than 2,500 Red Cross responders will be deployed.

    “To everyone in the path of the storm: Please, please, please follow the evacuation instructions from your elected officials and your local officials,” McGovern said. “We know that for many of you, recovery from Hurricane Ian will likely be a very long road, and your American Red Cross will be there.”

    FEMA has staged 3.7 million meals and 3.5 million liters of water ahead of landfall. 300 ambulances – the same used to help the state during the COVID-19 pandemic – are ready to assist. 

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  • Florida residents wait out Hurricane Ian at home

    Florida residents wait out Hurricane Ian at home

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    Florida residents wait out Hurricane Ian at home – CBS News


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    Some residents on Anastasia Island are choosing to hunker down at home instead of evacuating as Hurricane Ian pummels Florida. Meg Oliver has more on why they decided to stay.

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  • Inside a shelter offering refuge from Hurricane Ian

    Inside a shelter offering refuge from Hurricane Ian

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    Inside a shelter offering refuge from Hurricane Ian – CBS News


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    Hundreds of Floridians are taking shelter at Tampa schools after they evacuated their homes as Hurricane Ian approached Florida. Norah O’Donnell has more.

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  • Hurricane Ian knocks out power in Cuba:

    Hurricane Ian knocks out power in Cuba:

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    Hurricane Ian knocked out power across all of Cuba and devastated some of the country’s most important tobacco farms when it slammed into the island’s western tip as a major hurricane Tuesday. At least two people were reported killed.

    Cuba’s Electric Union said in a statement that work was underway to gradually restore service to the country’s 11 million people during the night. Power was initially knocked out to about 1 million people in Cuba’s western provinces, but later the entire grid collapsed.

    By Wednesday, the Energy and Mines Ministry announced it had restored energy to three regions by activating two large power plants in Felton and Nuevitas and was working to get others back on line.

    But the capital, Havana, and other parts of western Cuba remained without power on Wednesday in the wake of the major hurricane, which had advanced northward to Florida.

    Ian hit a Cuba that has been struggling with an economic crisis and has faced frequent power outages in recent months. It made landfall as a Category 3 storm on the island’s western end, devastating Pinar del Río province, where much of the tobacco used for Cuba’s iconic cigars is grown.

    Tens of thousands of people were evacuated and others fled the area ahead of the arrival of Ian, which caused flooding, damaged houses and blew toppled trees. Authorities were still assessing the damage, although no victims had been reported by Tuesday night.

    Ian’s winds damaged one of Cuba’s most important tobacco farms in La Robaina.

    Cubans face Hurricane Ian in Pinar del Rio, Cuba
    A vintage car passes by debris caused by the Hurricane Ian as it passed in Pinar del Rio, Cuba, September 27, 2022.

    Alexandre Meneghini / REUTERS


    “It was apocalyptic, a real disaster,” said Hirochi Robaina, owner of the farm that bears his name and that his grandfather made known internationally.

    Robaina, also the owner of the Finca Robaina cigar producer, posted photos on social media of wood-and-thatch roofs smashed to the ground, greenhouses in rubble and wagons overturned.

    State media said Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel visited the affected region.

    Cuba’s Meteorology Institute said the city of Pinar del Río was in worst of the hurricane for an hour and a half.

    “Being in the hurricane was terrible for me, but we are here alive,” said Pinar del Rio resident Yusimí Palacios, who asked authorities for a roof and a mattress.

    Officials had set up 55 shelters, evacuated 50,000 people, and took steps to protect crops, especially tobacco.

    The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Cuba suffered “significant wind and storm surge impacts” when the hurricane struck with top sustained winds of 125 mph (205 kph).  

    Cubans face Hurricane Ian in Pinar del Rio, Cuba
    People pass by an electric transformer laying on the street in the aftermath of Hurricane Ian in Pinar del Rio, Cuba, on September 27, 2022.

    Alexandre Meneghini / REUTERS


    Local government station TelePinar reported heavy damage at the main hospital in Pinar del Rio city, tweeting photos of collapsed ceilings and downed trees. No deaths were reported.

    “I spent the hurricane at home with my husband and the dog. The masonry and zinc roof of the house had just been installed. But the storm tore it down,” said Mercedes Valdés, who lives along the highway connecting Pinar del Río to San Juan y Martínez. “We couldn’t rescue our things … we just ran out.”

    Hurricane Ian continued northward through the Gulf of Mexico, making landfall along the west coast of Florida on Wednesday afternoon after strengthening to a Category 4, approaching the top of the scale.

    Coastal areas around Fort Myers, Florida were warned by the National Hurricane Center to brace for a storm surge that could see water levels rise 12 to 16 feet above normal levels, if the peak surge coincided with high tide. The next high tide in the region was expected at about 7 p.m. local time.

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  • Vulnerable Tampa Bay braces for storm not seen in a century

    Vulnerable Tampa Bay braces for storm not seen in a century

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    ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) — It’s been more than a century since a major storm like Hurricane Ian has struck the Tampa Bay area, which blossomed from a few hundred thousand people in 1921 to more than 3 million today.

    Many of these people live in low-lying neighborhoods that are highly susceptible to storm surge and flooding they have rarely before experienced, which some experts say could be worsened by the effects of climate change.

    The problem confronting the region is that storms approaching from the south, as Hurricane Ian is on track to do, bulldoze huge volumes of water up into shallow Tampa Bay and are likely to inundate homes and businesses. The adjacent Gulf of Mexico is also shallow.

    “Strong persistent winds will push a lot of water into the bay and there’s nowhere for it to go, so it just builds up,” said Brian McNoldy, a senior research associate at the University of Miami’s Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric and Earth Science. “Tampa Bay is very surge-prone because of its orientation.”

    The National Hurricane Center is predicting storm surge in Tampa Bay and surrounding waters of between 5 and 10 feet (1.5 and 3 meters) above normal tide conditions and rainfall of between 10 and 15 inches (12 and 25 centimeters) because of Hurricane Ian.

    “That’s a lot of rain. That’s not going to drain out quickly,” said Cathie Perkins, emergency management director in Pinellas County, where St. Petersburg and Clearwater are located. “This is no joke. This is life-threatening storm surge.”

    Officials in the area began issuing evacuation orders Monday for a wide swath of Tampa, with the St. Petersburg area soon to follow. The evacuations could affect 300,000 people or more in Hillsborough County alone.

    Gov. Ron DeSantis took note of the region’s vulnerability in a Monday afternoon news conference in Largo, Florida.

    “Clearly, when you look at the Tampa Bay area, one of the reasons why we fear storms is because of the sensitivity of this area and the fragility of this area,” DeSantis said.

    The last time Tampa Bay was hit by a major storm was Oct. 25, 1921. The hurricane had no official name but is known locally as the Tarpon Springs storm, for the seaside town famed for its sponge-diving docks and Greek heritage where it came ashore.

    The storm surge from that hurricane, estimated at Category 3 with winds of up to 129 mph ( 207 km/h) was pegged at 11 feet (3.3 meters). At least eight people died and damage was estimated at $5 million at the time.

    Now, the tourist-friendly region known for its sugar-sand beaches has grown by leaps and bounds, with homes and businesses along the water the ideal locations — most of the time. Hurricane Ian could threaten all of that development.

    Just as an example, the city of Tampa had about 51,000 residents in 1920. Today, that number is almost 395,000. Many of the other cities in the region have experienced similar explosive growth.

    A report from the Boston-based catastrophe modeling firm Karen Clark and Co. concluded in 2015 that Tampa Bay is the most vulnerable place in the U.S. to storm surge flooding from a hurricane and stands to lose $175 billion in damage. A World Bank study a few years before that placed Tampa as the seventh-most vulnerable city to major storms on the entire globe.

    Yet for years storms seemed to bypass the region somewhat inexplicably. Phil Klotzbach, research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University, noted that only one of five hurricanes at Category 3 strength or higher has struck Tampa Bay since 1851.

    “In general, cyclones moving over the Gulf of Mexico had a tendency of passing well north of Tampa,” the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration said in report on the 1921 storm.

    Also lurking in the waves and wind are the impacts of climate change and the higher sea levels scientists say it is causing.

    “Due to global warming, global climate models predict hurricanes will likely cause more intense rainfall and have an increased coastal flood risk due to higher storm surge caused by rising seas,” Angela Colbert, a scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, wrote in a June report.

    McNoldy, the University of Miami researcher, noted that Hurricane Andrew’s storm surge today would be 7 inches (17 centimeters) higher than it was when that storm pounded South Florida 30 years ago.

    “As sea level rises, the same storm surge will be able to flood more areas because the baseline upon which it’s happening is higher,” McNoldy said.

    Amid all the science, a local legend has it that blessings from Native Americans who once called the region home have largely protected it from major storms for centuries. Part of that legend is the many mounds built by the Tocobagan tribe in what is now Pinellas County that some believe are meant as guardians against invaders, including hurricanes.

    Rui Farias, executive director of the St. Petersburg Museum of History, told the Tampa Bay Times after Hurricane Irma’s near miss in 2017 that many people still believe it.

    “It’s almost like when a myth becomes history,” Farias said. “As time goes on, it comes true.”

    It appears Hurricane Ian will give that legend a test in the coming days.

    ___

    Associated Press writer Anthony Izaguirre in Tallahassee contributed to this story.

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