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Tag: Health Care

  • Senate votes to scrap COVID vaccine mandate for military

    Senate votes to scrap COVID vaccine mandate for military

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    A bill to rescind the COVID vaccine mandate for members of the U.S. military and to provide nearly $858 billion for national defense passed the Senate on Thursday and is headed to President Joe Biden to be signed into law.

    An amendment from Republican Sens. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin and Ted Cruz of Texas was defeated. It would have allowed for the reinstatement of service members who were discharged for failing to obey an order to receive the COVID-19 vaccine and compensate them for any pay and benefits lost as a result of the separation.

    Opponents worried about the precedent of rewarding members of the military who disobeyed an order. Rhode Island Sen. Jack Reed, the Democratic chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said orders are not suggestions — they are commands.

    “What message do we send if we pass this [amendment]? It is a very dangerous one,” Reed said. “What we’re telling soldiers is, ‘If you disagree, don’t follow the order, and then just lobby Congress, and they’ll come along and they’ll restore your rank, or restore your benefits, or restore everything.’ ”

    People took shelter inside metro stations in Kyiv as Russia fired missiles at Ukraine’s capital and other cities on Friday. It’s the latest attack targeting the country’s energy infrastructure, while Ukrainian forces step up shelling of occupied territories. Photo: DIMITAR DILKOFF/AFP via Getty Images

    Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released on Friday found that new omicron subvariants that emerged just weeks ago continued to replace the BA.5 variant in the U.S. in the latest week.

    BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 accounted for 69.1% of new COVID cases in the week through Friday, while BA.5 accounted for 10%. Last week, the two subvariants accounted for 67.9% of all cases, while BA.5 accounted for 11.5%.

    In the New York region, which includes New Jersey, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, the numbers were even higher, with BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 accounting for 70.2% of new cases, while BA.5 accounted for 9.6%.

    When another subvariant, XBB, is included in the tally, the three accounted for 82.7% of all new cases in the region.

    U.S. known cases of COVID were still trending higher at the end of the week, along with hospitalizations, fatalities and test-positivity rates.

    The daily average for new cases stood at 64,889 on Thursday, according to a New York Times tracker, up 33% from two weeks ago.

    Cases are climbing in 43 states, led by South Carolina, where they are up 114% from two weeks ago. Cases have more than doubled in Rhode Island and Mississippi, as well as in American Samoa.

    The average for hospitalizations was up 19% to 40,155, led by Texas, where hospitalizations are up 80% from two weeks ago, and Vermont, where they are up 62%.

    The number of deaths was up 50% to 373.

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Public attitudes toward vaccine requirements for schoolchildren have eroded during the pandemic, according to a new study from the Kaiser Family Foundation. The study found just seven in 10 adults, or 71%, say say healthy children should be required to get the MMR vaccine — which protects against measles, mumps and rubella — in order to attend public schools, down from 82% who said the same in an October 2019 Pew Research Center poll. Almost three in 10, or 28%, say parents should be allowed to decide not to vaccinate their children even if it creates health risks for others, up from16% in 2019. “Among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, there has been a 24-percentage-point increase in the share who hold this view (from 20% to 44%),” the study found.

    • China’s government on Friday ordered rural areas to prepare for the return of migrant workers during the Chinese New Year holiday season in hopes of preventing a major surge in COVID cases in communities with limited medical resources, the AP reported. People returning home for the holiday must wear masks and avoid contact with elderly people, and village committees must monitor their movements, the guidelines said, but there was no mention of the possibility of isolation or quarantining. The news comes a week after China announced the easing of its strict zero-COVID measures.

    • California will stop making companies pay employees who can’t work because they caught the coronavirus while on the job, the AP reported separately. For the past two years, California workplace regulators have tried to slow the spread of the coronavirus by requiring infected workers to stay home while also guaranteeing they would still be paid. But Thursday, the California Occupational Safety and Health Standards Board voted to end that rule in 2023 — in part because the rule has become harder to enforce. 

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 652 million on Friday, while the death toll rose above 6.66 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 99.8 million cases and 1,087,014 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 228.8 million people living in the U.S., equal to 68.9% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 44.1 million Americans have had the updated COVID booster that targets the original virus and the omicron variants, equal to 14.1% of the overall population.

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  • Opinion: I almost died last year from a medical problem that was entirely preventable | CNN

    Opinion: I almost died last year from a medical problem that was entirely preventable | CNN

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    Editor’s Note: Alice Paul Tapper, 15, is a high school sophomore in Washington, DC. She is the daughter of CNN’s Jake Tapper. The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely hers. View more opinions on CNN.



    CNN
     — 

    I almost died around Thanksgiving last year, and it was entirely preventable.

    It started one weekend in November 2021 with stomach cramping, a low fever, chills and vomiting. Soon it became clear I needed to go to the emergency room. By the time I got there, I had low blood pressure, an elevated heart rate, intense abdominal pain and a high white blood cell count.

    I was given IV fluids to combat my dehydration, but I didn’t get better. The doctor and nurses didn’t know what was wrong and stood around me confused, as if they were waiting for me to tell them what to do. The sharp cramping pains and the throbbing feeling in my stomach got worse, so they transferred me to another hospital.

    With guidance from my pediatrician, my parents told the doctors to check for appendicitis. But since I was tender all over my abdomen — not just on my right side — the doctors ruled it out. My parents kept pressing, so a doctor told me to stand up and jump. I could barely get an inch off the ground. The doctors concluded that what I had must be a viral infection and would eventually just go away.

    It didn’t. I got sicker and my skin started turning a pale green. As Monday turned into Tuesday, I was only given Tylenol for my pain. My mom asked the doctors why I couldn’t get a sonogram to see what was happening inside my abdomen; they said it wasn’t needed. My dad asked why I couldn’t get antibiotics; the doctors said for a viral infection they could do more harm than good. My parents kept pushing for a gastroenterologist who might have more insight about my condition to evaluate me, but one never came.

    I felt helpless. My condition wasn’t the only thing that alarmed me; so did the lack of recognition I received from the hospital. I was not being heard; when I described to the doctors how much pain I was in, they responded with condescending looks.

    On Tuesday night, my dad went home to be with my brother, but it wasn’t long before my mom called him in tears. I was in agony and was only being treated with a heating pad. My dad got the phone number for the hospital administrator and begged for a gastroenterologist, for imaging — for anything. The phone call worked, and at the hospital administrator’s orders, I was finally taken to get an abdominal X-ray. The imaging showed this was no viral infection.

    In the middle of the night, I was rushed to get an ultrasound that revealed I had a perforated appendix that was leaking a poisonous stream of bacteria throughout my internal organs. When I learned my diagnosis, I was almost relieved. At least the doctors now had a plan.

    Finally, the surgical team took over. The next couple of hours were a blur. A CT scan was followed by emergency surgery; two laparoscopic drains were inserted in my body to get rid of the toxic leakage. I had sepsis and we would later learn I was going into hypovolemic shock — which can cause organs to stop working. That night was the scariest night of my life.

    Once I was well enough to leave the ICU, I stayed in the hospital for another week, bedridden with uncomfortable drains in my body and horribly sharp cramping pains, for which I was given morphine. I could barely walk. I didn’t recognize the helpless, hunchbacked, green, exhausted girl I saw in the hospital mirror.

    Why did this all go so horribly wrong?

    My mom soon learned about research conducted by Dr. Prashant Mahajan, vice chair of Emergency Medicine and division chief of Pediatric Emergency Medicine at University of Michigan Health C.S. Mott Children’s Hospital. Mahajan’s research notes that, despite being the most common surgical emergency in children, appendicitis can be missed in up to 15% of children at initial presentation. Up to 15%!

    This is because there are so many possible reasons for abdominal pain. Appendicitis can mimic several common conditions including constipation and acute gastroenteritis, which my hospital pediatricians mistakenly thought I had. According to Mahajan, up to half of appendicitis patients may not exhibit the classic signs of right lower quadrant pain, fever and vomiting.

    Mahajan’s research also shows that appendicitis misdiagnoses are more likely in children under 5 — and in girls. I was disappointed but not surprised to learn that girls can be listened to and taken seriously less often.

    Alice Tapper could barely walk after emergency surgery to address her perforated appendix.

    Hospitals need to change the way they assess and diagnose appendicitis because it can frequently present in atypical ways. Anupam Kharbanda, pediatric emergency medicine doctor at Children’s Minnesota, came up with what’s called the pARC (pediatric Appendicitis Risk Calculator) score to help assess a child’s probability of appendicitis, using variables such as sex, age, duration of pain, pain migration, white blood cell count and more.

    The pARC score could be an important piece of changing diagnostic practices and saving lives.

    In 2018, a 5-year-old girl in England, Elspeth Moore, was sent home by a pediatrician even though she complained her stomach “felt like it was on fire.” The doctor diagnosed a viral infection. She died of peritonitis, sepsis and acute appendicitis two days later.

    My story has a less tragic ending. Luckily, I wasn’t sent home without monitoring like Elspeth was, and I finally got the care I needed. Months after my first hospitalization, I had an appendectomy at a new hospital — Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. My health has returned to normal. But I have a new mission to spread awareness about misdiagnoses of appendicitis — because what happened to Elspeth could have happened to me, too.

    The X-ray machine was down the hall, the CT machine just a floor below, the sonogram machine just steps away and the antibiotics I needed were just one phone call away. But doctors didn’t utilize these tools to quickly diagnose and treat me and, as a result, I almost died. It breaks my heart to think about the boys and girls who don’t have parents who can get the phone number of the hospital administrator — who can’t make their voices break through.

    I still can’t believe this happened to me — and I don’t want it to happen to anyone else.

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  • White House preps fresh push to urge COVID preparedness ahead of holidays, including free tests for all households

    White House preps fresh push to urge COVID preparedness ahead of holidays, including free tests for all households

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    The White House has unveiled a fresh push to increase COVID preparedness heading into the holidays and will again make free tests available to Americans, after a three-month hiatus.

    Starting Thursday, households can order four rapid virus tests through covidtest.gov, a senior administration official told the Associated Press.

    Cases of COVID-19…

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  • These are the top 10 mistakes people make when planning for retirement

    These are the top 10 mistakes people make when planning for retirement

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    We all make mistakes in planning for our golden years. But which are the worst, which are the most common, and which ones do we all need to watch out for?

    Financial planners have weighed in with the top 10 they see among clients. It’s emerged in a survey conducted by money managers Natixis and just released. And it’s a terrific checklist for anyone who wants to see how they’re doing, and what they need to change.

    The…

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  • World Cup security guard dies after ‘fall’ while on duty at the Lusail Stadium | CNN

    World Cup security guard dies after ‘fall’ while on duty at the Lusail Stadium | CNN

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    CNN
     — 

    A Kenyan security guard who reportedly fell while on duty at Qatar’s Lusail Stadium has died in hospital, his family and officials have confirmed to CNN.

    His employer had notified the migrant worker’s family on Saturday that 24-year-old John Njue Kibue had fallen from the 8th floor of the stadium while on duty, his sister Ann Wanjiru said.

    “We don’t have the money to get justice for him, but we want to know what happened,” she told CNN.

    A medical certificate obtained by CNN shows he was admitted at the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) at Hamad General Hospital in Doha. The document says Njue had a “severe head injury, facial fractures and pelvic fractures.”

    In a statement, the organizers of the World Cup – the Supreme Committee for Delivery and Legacy – announced Kibue’s death.

    “We regret to announce that, despite the efforts of his medical team, he sadly passed away in hospital on Tuesday 13 December, after being in the intensive care unit for three days,” the statement added.

    “His next of kin have been informed. We send our sincere condolences to his family, colleagues and friends during this difficult time.”

    Earlier this week, the committee announced that Kibue suffered a serious fall while on duty.

    “Qatar’s tournament organisers are investigating the circumstances leading to the fall as a matter of urgency and will provide further information pending the outcome of the investigation, ” it said in its statement.

    “We will also ensure that his family receive all outstanding dues and monies owed.”

    He had been unconscious since Saturday and was connected to a machine to help him breathe, his medical records showed. A family member was informed on Monday morning of his death.

    But the security guard’s family says his Qatari employer, Al Sraiya Security Services, has not explained how he fell or any of the circumstances surrounding his death.

    “We want justice. We want to know what caused his death. They have never sent us a picture to show where he fell from or given us any other information,” his sister Wanjiru told CNN.

    CNN has contacted Al Sraiya Security Services for comment after the guard’s death and is yet to receive a response.

    In a statement to CNN, the Kenyan embassy in Qatar said it was aware of the matter and “undertaking necessary consular assistance whilst awaiting official communication from Qatar’s Supreme Committee and competent authorities.”

    The guard’s family says he moved to Qatar last November for a contract with Al Sraiya Security Services.

    A WhatsApp message seen by CNN was sent to his colleagues at other World Cup stadiums soliciting for contributions.

    “He came here to support his family back home but by bad luck his dreams came to an end today,” it reads in part. “Let’s do something for our beloved comrade.”

    He is the second migrant worker reported dead since the tournament began in the Gulf nation after another was reportedly killed in an accident at a resort used by Saudi Arabia during the group stages.

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  • Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

    Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

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    Following a sharp and sustained rise in interest rates, U.S. stocks have taken a broad beating this year.

    But 2023 may bring very different circumstances.

    Below are lists of analysts’ favorite stocks among the benchmark S&P 500
    SPX,
    the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
    MID
    and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index
    SML
    that are expected to rise the most over the next year. Those lists are followed by a summary of opinions of all 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA.

    Stocks rallied on Dec. 13 when the November CPI report showed a much slower inflation pace than economists had expected. Investors were also anticipating the Federal Open Market Committee’s next monetary policy announcement on Dec. 14. The consensus among economists polled by FactSet is for the Federal Reserve to raise the federal funds rate by 0.50% to a target range of 4.50% to 4.75%.

    Read: 5 things to watch when the Fed makes its interest-rate decision

    A 0.50% increase would be a slowdown from the four previous increases of 0.75%. The rate began 2022 in a range of zero to 0.25%, where it had sat since March 2020.

    A pivot for the Fed Reserve and the possibility that the federal funds rate will reach its “terminal” rate (the highest for this cycle) in the near term could set the stage for a broad rally for stocks in 2023.

    Wall Street’s large-cap favorites

    Among the S&P 500, 92 stocks are rated “buy” or the equivalent by at least 75% of analysts working for brokerage firms. That number itself is interesting — at the end of 2021, 93 of the S&P 500 had this distinction. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has declined 16% in 2022, with all sectors down except for energy, which has risen 53%, and the utilities sector, which his risen 1% (both excluding dividends).

    Here are the 20 stocks in the S&P 500 with at least 75% “buy” or equivalent ratings that analysts expect to rise the most over the next year, based on consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    EQT Corp.

    EQT Oil and Gas Production

    $36.91

    $59.70

    62%

    78%

    69%

    Catalent Inc.

    CTLT Pharmaceuticals

    $45.50

    $72.42

    59%

    75%

    -64%

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN Internet Retail

    $90.55

    $136.02

    50%

    91%

    -46%

    Global Payments Inc.

    GPN Misc. Commercial Services

    $99.64

    $147.43

    48%

    75%

    -26%

    Signature Bank

    SBNY Regional Banks

    $122.73

    $180.44

    47%

    78%

    -62%

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM Software

    $133.11

    $195.59

    47%

    80%

    -48%

    Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc. Class A

    BIO Medical Specialties

    $418.28

    $591.00

    41%

    100%

    -45%

    Zoetis Inc. Class A

    ZTS Pharmaceuticals

    $152.86

    $212.80

    39%

    87%

    -37%

    Delta Air Lines Inc.

    DAL Airlines

    $34.77

    $48.31

    39%

    90%

    -11%

    Diamondback Energy Inc.

    FANG Oil and Gas Production

    $134.21

    $182.33

    36%

    84%

    24%

    Caesars Entertainment Inc

    CZR Casinos/ Gaming

    $50.27

    $67.79

    35%

    81%

    -46%

    Alphabet Inc. Class A

    GOOGL Internet Software/ Services

    $93.31

    $125.70

    35%

    92%

    -36%

    Halliburton Co.

    HAL Oilfield Services/ Equipment

    $34.30

    $45.95

    34%

    86%

    50%

    Alaska Air Group Inc.

    ALK Airlines

    $45.75

    $61.08

    34%

    93%

    -12%

    Targa Resources Corp.

    TRGP Gas Distributors

    $70.42

    $93.95

    33%

    95%

    35%

    Charles River Laboratories International Inc.

    CRL Misc. Commercial Services

    $201.94

    $269.25

    33%

    88%

    -46%

    ServiceNow Inc.

    NOW Information Technology Services

    $401.64

    $529.83

    32%

    92%

    -38%

    Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.

    TTWO Software

    $102.61

    $135.04

    32%

    79%

    -42%

    EOG Resources Inc.

    EOG Oil and Gas Production

    $124.06

    $158.24

    28%

    82%

    40%

    Southwest Airlines Co.

    LUV Airlines

    $38.94

    $49.56

    27%

    76%

    -9%

    Source: FactSet

    Most of the companies on the S&P 500 list expected to soar in 2023 have seen large declines in 2022. But the company at the top of the list, EQT Corp.
    EQT,
    is an exception. The stock has risen 69% in 2022 and is expected to add another 62% over the next 12 months. Analysts expect the company’s earnings per share to double during 2023 (in part from its expected acquisition of THQ), after nearly a four-fold EPS increase in 2022.

    Shares of Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN
    are expected to soar 50% over the next year, following a decline of 46% so far in 2022. If the shares were to rise 50% from here to the price target of $136.02, they would still be 18% below their closing price of 166.72 at the end of 2021.

    Read: Here’s why Amazon is Citi’s top internet stock idea

    You can see the earnings estimates and more for any stock in this article by clicking on its ticker.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Mid-cap stocks expected to rise the most

    The lists of favored stocks are limited to those covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.

    Among components of the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index, there are 84 stocks with at least 75% “buy” ratings. Here at the 20 expected to rise the most over the next year:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc.

    ARWR Biotechnology

    $31.85

    $69.69

    119%

    83%

    -52%

    Lantheus Holdings Inc.

    LNTH Medical Specialties

    $54.92

    $102.00

    86%

    100%

    90%

    Progyny Inc.

    PGNY Misc. Commercial Services

    $31.21

    $55.57

    78%

    100%

    -38%

    Coherent Corp.

    COHR Electronic Equipment/ Instruments

    $35.41

    $60.56

    71%

    84%

    -48%

    Exelixis Inc.

    EXEL Biotechnology

    $16.08

    $26.07

    62%

    81%

    -12%

    Darling Ingredients Inc.

    DAR Food: Specialty/ Candy

    $61.17

    $97.36

    59%

    93%

    -12%

    Perrigo Co. PLC

    PRGO Pharmaceuticals

    $31.83

    $49.25

    55%

    100%

    -18%

    Mattel Inc.

    MAT Recreational Products

    $17.39

    $26.58

    53%

    87%

    -19%

    ACI Worldwide Inc.

    ACIW Software

    $20.75

    $31.40

    51%

    83%

    -40%

    Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.

    MODG Recreational Products

    $21.99

    $32.91

    50%

    83%

    -20%

    Dycom Industries Inc.

    DY Engineering and Construction

    $86.03

    $128.13

    49%

    100%

    -8%

    Travel + Leisure Co.

    TNL Hotels/ Resorts/ Cruiselines

    $37.98

    $56.00

    47%

    75%

    -31%

    Frontier Communications Parent Inc.

    FYBR Telecommunications

    $25.21

    $36.18

    44%

    82%

    -15%

    Manhattan Associates Inc.

    MANH Software

    $120.06

    $171.80

    43%

    88%

    -23%

    MP Materials Corp Class A

    MP Other Metals/ Minerals

    $31.39

    $44.79

    43%

    92%

    -31%

    Lumentum Holdings Inc.

    LITE Electrical Products

    $54.45

    $76.44

    40%

    76%

    -49%

    Tenet Healthcare Corp.

    THC Hospital/ Nursing Management

    $44.22

    $62.00

    40%

    80%

    -46%

    Repligen Corp.

    RGEN Pharmaceuticals

    $166.88

    $233.10

    40%

    82%

    -37%

    STAAR Surgical Co.

    STAA Medical Specialties

    $59.57

    $82.67

    39%

    82%

    -35%

    Carlisle Cos. Inc.

    CSL Building Products

    $251.99

    $348.33

    38%

    75%

    2%

    Source: FactSet

    Wall Street’s favorite small-cap names

    Among companies in the S&P Small Cap 600 Index, 91 are rated “buy” or the equivalent by at least 75% of analysts. Here are the 20 with the highest 12-month upside potential indicated by consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    UniQure NV

    QURE Biotechnology

    $22.99

    $51.29

    123%

    95%

    11%

    Cara Therapeutics Inc.

    CARA Biotechnology

    $11.34

    $23.63

    108%

    88%

    -7%

    Vir Biotechnology Inc.

    VIR Biotechnology

    $25.50

    $53.00

    108%

    75%

    -39%

    Dynavax Technologies Corp.

    DVAX Biotechnology

    $11.22

    $23.20

    107%

    100%

    -20%

    Thryv Holdings Inc.

    THRY Advertising/ Marketing Services

    $18.40

    $36.75

    100%

    100%

    -55%

    Artivion Inc.

    AORT Medical Specialties

    $12.93

    $23.13

    79%

    83%

    -36%

    Cytokinetics Inc.

    CYTK Pharmaceuticals

    $38.33

    $67.43

    76%

    100%

    -16%

    Harsco Corp.

    HSC Environmental Services

    $7.17

    $12.30

    72%

    80%

    -57%

    Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc.

    LGND Pharmaceuticals

    $64.80

    $110.83

    71%

    100%

    -35%

    Corcept Therapeutics Inc.

    CORT Pharmaceuticals

    $20.84

    $34.20

    64%

    80%

    5%

    Payoneer Global Inc.

    PAYO Misc. Commercial Services

    $5.70

    $9.33

    64%

    100%

    -22%

    Xencor Inc.

    XNCR Biotechnology

    $28.69

    $46.71

    63%

    93%

    -28%

    Pacira Biosciences Inc.

    PCRX Pharmaceuticals

    $45.50

    $72.90

    60%

    80%

    -24%

    BioLife Solutions Inc.

    BLFS Chemicals

    $19.72

    $31.38

    59%

    89%

    -47%

    Customers Bancorp Inc.

    CUBI Regional Banks

    $30.00

    $47.63

    59%

    75%

    -54%

    ModivCare Inc.

    MODV Other Transportation

    $92.22

    $145.83

    58%

    100%

    -38%

    Stride Inc.

    LRN Consumer Services

    $32.56

    $51.25

    57%

    100%

    -2%

    Ranger Oil Corp. Class A

    ROCC Oil and Gas Production

    $36.98

    $58.00

    57%

    100%

    37%

    Outfront Media Inc.

    OUT Real Estate Investment Trusts

    $17.59

    $27.00

    53%

    83%

    -34%

    Walker & Dunlop Inc.

    WD Finance/ Rental/ Leasing

    $82.22

    $125.20

    52%

    100%

    -46%

    Source: FactSet

    The Dow

    Here are all 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average ranked by how much analysts expect their prices to rise over the next year:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM Software

    $133.11

    $195.59

    47%

    80%

    -48%

    Walt Disney Co.

    DIS Movies/ Entertainment

    $94.66

    $119.60

    26%

    82%

    -39%

    Apple Inc.

    AAPL Telecommunications Equipment

    $144.49

    $173.70

    20%

    74%

    -19%

    Verizon Communications Inc.

    VZ Telecommunications

    $37.95

    $44.60

    18%

    21%

    -27%

    Visa Inc. Class A

    V Misc.s Commercial Services

    $214.59

    $249.33

    16%

    86%

    -1%

    Microsoft Corp.

    MSFT Software

    $252.51

    $293.06

    16%

    91%

    -25%

    Chevron Corp.

    CVX Integrated Oil

    $169.75

    $191.20

    13%

    54%

    45%

    Cisco Systems Inc.

    CSCO Information Technology Services

    $49.30

    $53.76

    9%

    44%

    -22%

    UnitedHealth Group Inc.

    UNH Managed Health Care

    $545.86

    $593.30

    9%

    85%

    9%

    Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

    GS Investment Banks/ Brokers

    $363.18

    $392.63

    8%

    59%

    -5%

    Walmart Inc.

    WMT Specialty Stores

    $148.02

    $159.86

    8%

    72%

    2%

    JPMorgan Chase & Co.

    JPM Banks

    $134.21

    $143.84

    7%

    59%

    -15%

    Home Depot Inc.

    HD Home Improvement Chains

    $327.98

    $346.61

    6%

    61%

    -21%

    American Express Co.

    AXP Finance/ Rental/ Leasing

    $157.31

    $164.57

    5%

    43%

    -4%

    McDonald’s Corp.

    MCD Restaurants

    $276.62

    $288.67

    4%

    72%

    3%

    Johnson & Johnson

    JNJ Pharmaceuticals

    $177.84

    $185.35

    4%

    36%

    4%

    Coca-Cola Co.

    KO Beverages: Non-Alcoholic

    $63.97

    $66.62

    4%

    73%

    8%

    Boeing Co.

    BA Aerospace and Defense

    $186.27

    $192.69

    3%

    77%

    -7%

    Intel Corp.

    INTC Semiconductors

    $28.69

    $29.54

    3%

    13%

    -44%

    Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.

    WBA Drugstore Chains

    $41.06

    $42.24

    3%

    17%

    -21%

    Merck & Co. Inc.

    MRK Pharmaceuticals

    $108.97

    $110.62

    2%

    65%

    42%

    Caterpillar Inc.

    CAT Trucks/ Construction/ Farm Machinery

    $233.06

    $236.23

    1%

    41%

    13%

    Honeywell International Inc.

    HON Aerospace and Defense

    $214.50

    $217.35

    1%

    54%

    3%

    Nike Inc. Class B

    NKE Apparel/ Footwear

    $112.07

    $112.58

    0%

    64%

    -33%

    3M Co.

    MMM Industrial Conglomerates

    $126.85

    $127.30

    0%

    5%

    -29%

    Procter & Gamble Co.

    PG Household/ Personal Care

    $152.47

    $150.22

    -1%

    59%

    -7%

    Travelers Companies Inc.

    TRV Multi-Line Insurance

    $187.11

    $184.24

    -2%

    18%

    20%

    Amgen Inc.

    AMGN Biotechnology

    $276.78

    $264.79

    -4%

    24%

    23%

    Dow Inc.

    DOW Chemicals

    $51.11

    $48.73

    -5%

    15%

    -10%

    International Business Machines Corp.

    IBM Information Technology Services

    $149.21

    $140.29

    -6%

    33%

    12%

    Source: FactSet

    Don’t miss: 10 Dividend Aristocrat stocks expected by analysts to rise up to 54% in 2023

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  • With COVID cases rising fast, critics question why there’s no push for face masks in indoor settings

    With COVID cases rising fast, critics question why there’s no push for face masks in indoor settings

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    A growing chorus of voices is questioning why there is no concerted effort to persuade Americans to wear face masks in public settings again as COVID cases, hospitalizations, fatalities and test-positivity rates rise across the nation.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention continues to encourage people to keep up with vaccines and boosters and to urge others to do so too. But for now, there is no push for face masks or social distancing, the public safety measures that helped contain the spread of the virus at the peak of the pandemic.

    The daily average for new cases stood at 65,528 on Monday, according to a New York Times tracker, up 56% from two weeks ago. Cases are climbing in 47 states, led by Mississippi, where they are up 356% from two weeks ago.

    The average for hospitalizations is up 24% to 38,331. Hospitalizations are climbing in 44 states, led by Vermont, where they are up 83% from two weeks ago.

    The number of COVID deaths is up 48% to a daily average of 468, a disappointing reversal of the declining trend seen over the past several months. The test-positivity rate has climbed 25% to 12%.

    New York City and New York state have emerged as hot spots, with an average of 6,405 new cases a day in the state in the last week, the tracker shows. Cases are up 74% from two weeks ago.

    The omicron strains called BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 have become dominant in the Empire State, replacing BA.5. Both are sublineages of BA.5 but are more infectious than the original variant, meaning they can spread faster and more easily.

    Meanwhile, other respiratory illnesses including flu, RSV and strep throat are also circulating, adding to the burden on healthcare systems.

    Children are having an especially rough winter so far amid shortages of medicines to treat common childhood illnesses such as flu, ear infections and sore throats, CNN reported.

    “Right now, we are having severe shortages of medications. There’s no Tamiflu for children. There’s barely any Tamiflu for adults. And this is brand-name and generic,” Renae Kraft, a relief pharmacist in Oklahoma City, told the network. Additionally, she said, “as far as antibiotics go, there’s not a whole lot.”

    Physicians are reporting high numbers of respiratory illnesses like RSV and the flu earlier than the typical winter peak. WSJ’s Brianna Abbott explains what the early surge means for the winter months. Photo illustration: Kaitlyn Wang

    Families have taken to social media to highlight their hunt for oseltamivir, the generic for Tamiflu, as well as for the antibiotics amoxicillin and augmentin, said CNN. And there is also a shortage of the inhaler albuterol, which helps open airways in the lungs, according to the American Society of Health-System Pharmacists.

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Some two years after they were first introduced, COVID vaccines have prevented more than 3 million additional deaths and about 18 million additional hospitalizations in the U.S., according to a new study from the Commonwealth Fund. More than 655 million doses of vaccine have been administered in the U.S., and 80% of the overall population has had at least one dose. “The swift development of the vaccine, emergency authorization to distribute widely, and rapid rollout have been instrumental in curbing hospitalization and death, while mitigating socioeconomic repercussions of the pandemic,” the authors wrote.

    • Chinese universities say they will allow students to finish the semester from home in hopes of reducing the potential for a large COVID-19 outbreak during the January Lunar New Year travel period, the AP reported. It wasn’t clear how many schools were participating, but universities in Shanghai and nearby cities said students would be given the option of returning home early or staying on campus and undergoing testing every 48 hours. The Lunar New Year, which falls on Jan. 22, is traditionally China’s busiest travel season.

    Some movie theaters in China reopened and COVID-testing booths were dismantled ahead of an announcement by authorities on Wednesday to scrap most testing and quarantine requirements. The changes come after nationwide protests against Beijing’s zero-COVID policy. Photo: Ng Han Guan/Associated Press

    • The Nasdaq-listed 111 Inc.
    YI,
    +4.80%

    has started retail sales of Pfizer’s
    PFE,
    +1.74%

    oral COVID-19 treatment pill in China, according to the healthcare platform’s website, Dow Jones Newswires reported. The sales page for the Chinese platform on Tuesday showed it is now offering ​Paxlovid, the COVID medication that Beijing approved in February, for customers with positive results from polymerase chain reaction or antigen tests. Paxlovid has been used by medical practitioners to treat patients in China since March, when Shanghai was hit by a COVID outbreak, according to local media reports.

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 650.1 million on Monday, while the death toll rose above 6.65 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 99.5 million cases and 1,084,766 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 228.6 million people living in the U.S., equal to 68.9% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 42 million Americans have had the updated COVID booster that targets the original virus and the omicron variants, equal to 13.5% of the overall population.

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  • China scraps virus tracking app as country braces for Covid impact | CNN

    China scraps virus tracking app as country braces for Covid impact | CNN

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    Editor’s Note: A version of this story appeared in CNN’s Meanwhile in China newsletter, a three-times-a-week update exploring what you need to know about the country’s rise and how it impacts the world. Sign up here.


    Beijing
    CNN
     — 

    China is bracing for an unprecendented wave of Covid-19 cases as it dismantles large parts of its repressive zero-Covid policy, with a leading expert warning Omicron variants were “spreading rapidly” and signs of an outbreak rattling the country’s capital.

    Changes continued Monday as authorities announced a deactivation of the “mobile itinerary card” health tracking function planned for the following day.

    The system, which is separate from the health code scanning system still required in a reduced number of places in China, had used people’s cell phone data to track their travel history in the past 14 days in an attempt to identify those who have been to a city with zone designated “high-risk” by authorities.

    It had been a point of contention for many Chinese people, including due to concerns around data collection and its use by local governments to ban entry to those who have visited a city with a “high-risk zone,” even if they did not go to those areas within that city.

    But as the scrapping of parts of the zero-Covid infrastructure come apace, there are questions about how the country’s health system will handle a mass outbreak.

    Throughout the weekend, some businesses were closed in Beijing, and city streets were largely deserted, as residents either fell ill or feared catching the virus. The biggest public crowds seen were outside of pharmacies and Covid-19 testing booths.

    Media outlet China Youth Daily documented hours-long lines at a clinic in central Beijing on Friday, and cited unnamed experts calling for residents not to visit hospitals unless necessary.

    Health workers in the capital were also grappling with a surge in emergency calls, including from many Covid-positive residents with mild or no symptoms, with a hospital official on Saturday appealing to residents in such cases not to call the city’s 911-like emergency services line and tie up resources needed by the seriously ill.

    The daily volume of emergency calls had surged from its usual 5,000 to more than 30,000 in recent days, Chen Zhi, chief physician of the Beijing Emergency Center said, according to official media.

    Covid was “spreading rapidly” driven by highly transmissible Omicron variants in China, a top Covid-19 expert, Zhong Nanshan, said in an interview published by state media Saturday.

    “No matter how strong the prevention and control is, it will be difficult to completely cut off the transmission chain,” Zhong, who has been a key public voice since the earliest days of the pandemic in 2020, was quoted saying by Xinhua.

    The rapid rollback of testing nationwide and the shift by many people to use antigen tests at home has also made it difficult to gauge the extent of the spread, with official data now appearing meaningless.

    Authorities recorded 8,626 Covid-19 cases across China on Sunday, down from the previous day’s count of 10,597 and from the high of more than 40,000 daily cases late last month. CNN reporting from Beijing indicates the case count in the Chinese capital could be much higher than recorded.

    One note seen on a residential building in Beijing is indicative of the larger situation, reading: “Due to the severe epidemic situation in recent days, the number of employees who can come to work is seriously insufficient, and the normal operation of the apartment has been greatly affected and challenged.”

    The country is only days out from a major relaxation of its longstanding zero-Covid measures, which came as a head-spinning change for many Chinese living under the government’s stringent controls and fed a longstanding narrative about the deadliness of Covid-19.

    Last Wednesday, top health officials made a sweeping rollback of the mass testing, centralized quarantine, and health code tracking rules that it had relied on to control viral spread. Some aspects of those measures, such as health code use in designated places and central quarantine of severe cases, as well as home isolation of cases, remain.

    Outside experts have warned that China may be underprepared to handle the expected surge of cases, after the surprise move to lift its measures in the wake of nationwide protests against the policy, growing case numbers and rising economic costs.

    While Omicron may cause relatively milder disease compared to earlier variants, even a small number of serious cases could have a significant impact on the health system in a country of 1.4 billion.

    Zhong, in the state media interview, said the government’s top priority now should be booster shots, particularly for the elderly and others most at risk, especially with China’s Lunar New Year coming up next month – a peak travel time where urban residents visit elderly relatives and return to rural hometowns.

    Health authorities on Sunday ordered improvements in medical capabilities in rural areas by the end of the month.

    Measures to be undertaken include increasing ICU wards and beds, enhancing medical staff for intensive care and setting up more clinics for fevers, China’s National Health Commission said in a statement.

    Meanwhile, experts have warned a lack of experience with the virus – and years of state media coverage focusing on its dangers and impact overseas, before a recent shift in tone – could push those who are not in critical need to seek medical care, further overwhelming systems.

    Bob Li, a graduate student in Beijing, who tested positive for the virus on Friday said he wasn’t afraid of the virus, but his mother, who lives in the countryside, stayed up all night worrying about him. “She finds the virus a very, very scary thing,” Li said.

    “I think most people in rural China may have some misunderstandings about the virus, which may come from the overhyping of this virus by the state in the past two years. This is one of the reasons why people are so afraid,” he said, adding that he still supports the government’s careful treatment of Covid-19 during the pandemic.

    There are clear efforts to tamp down on public concern about Covid-19 – and its knock-on effects, like panic buying of medications.

    China’s market watchdog said on Friday that there was a “temporary shortage” of some “hot-selling” drugs and vowed to crackdown on price gouging, while major online retailer JD.com last week said it was taking steps to ensure stable supplies after sales for certain medications surged 18 times that week over the same period in October.

    A hashtag trending on China’s heavily moderated social media platform Weibo over the weekend featured a state media interview with a Beijing doctor saying people who tested positive for Covid-19 but had no or mild symptoms did not need to take medication to recover.

    “People with asymptomatic inflections do not need medication at all. It is enough to rest at home, maintain a good mood and physical condition,” Li Tongzeng, chief infectious disease physician at Beijing You An Hospital, said in an interview linked to a hashtag viewed more than 370 million times since Friday.

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  • Omicron subvariants are now dominant in the U.S. as COVID cases tick up and New York City becomes a hot spot

    Omicron subvariants are now dominant in the U.S. as COVID cases tick up and New York City becomes a hot spot

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    Omicron subvariants continued to account for more new cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. in the latest week than did BA.5, according to the latest data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

    BQ.1 and BQ.1.1, which are sublineages of BA.5, accounted for 67.9% of cases in the week through Dec. 10, while BA.5 accounted for 11.5%, the data show.

    Last week, BQ.1.1 and BQ.1 accounted for 62.8% of all cases in the U.S., while BA.5 accounted for 13.8%.

    In the New York region, which includes New Jersey, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, the numbers were even higher, with BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 accounting for 73.3% of new cases, compared with 10% for BA.5.

    In the previous week, BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 accounted for 72.4% of all cases, compared with 6.9% for BA.5.

    New York City is again emerging as a hot spot for COVID, according to a New York Times tracker, which shows cases up about 60% in recent weeks and hospitalizations at their highest level since February. 

    The test-positivity rate in New York City stood at 13% on Thursday, the tracker shows.

    Overall, known U.S. cases are up 53% from two weeks ago. The daily average for hospitalizations is up 30% at 37,066, while the daily average for deaths is up 35% to 460.

    For now, the numbers remain far below the peaks seen last winter, when omicron first hit, but with flu and other respiratory infections currently sweeping the country and affecting young children, experts are warning people to take precautions.

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • A rash of COVID-19 cases in schools and businesses was reported by social-media users Friday in areas across China. This comes after the ruling Communist Party loosened its antivirus rules as it tries to reverse a deepening economic slump, the Associated Press reported. Official data showed a fall in new cases, but after the government on Wednesday ended mandatory testing for many people, those data no longer cover large parts of the population. That was among the dramatic changes aimed at gradually emerging from the zero-COVID restrictions that have confined millions of people to their homes and sparked protests and demands for President Xi Jinping to resign.

    • U.S.-listed shares of China Jo-Jo Drugstores Inc.
    CJJD,
    +51.20%

    rallied on Friday as the stores filled with customers buying cold medicines after COVID restrictions were eased, MarketWatch’s Jaimy Lee reported. The stock was up 22%. The company, which is based in Hangzhou, China, operates drugstores and an online pharmacy in China. It is also a wholesale distributor of pharmacy products and grows and sells herbs used in traditional Chinese medicine. 

    Some movie theaters in China reopened and COVID-testing booths were dismantled ahead of an announcement by authorities on Wednesday that will scrap most testing and quarantine requirements. The changes come after nationwide protests against Beijing’s zero-COVID policy. Photo: Ng Han Guan/Associated Press

    • Pfizer
    PFE,
    -0.12%

    and German partner BioNTech
    BNTX,
    -0.88%

    have received fast-track designation from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for a single-dose mRNA-based vaccine candidate targeting both COVID and flu. The companies have already announced that they are in early-stage trials to review the safety and immunogenicity of their combined vaccine in healthy adults. The vaccine will target the BA.4 and BA.5 omicron sublineages, which have become dominant globally, as well as four different flu strains recommended for use in the Northern Hemisphere by the World Health Organization. If approved, the vaccine would be the first to target both COVID and flu.

    • A bill to rescind the COVID vaccine mandate for members of the U.S. military and to provide nearly $858 billion for national defense was passed by the House on Thursday as lawmakers scratch one of the final items off their yearly to-do list, the AP reported. The bill provides about $45 billion more for defense programs than President Joe Biden requested, the second consecutive year Congress has significantly exceeded his request, as lawmakers seek to boost the nation’s military competitiveness with China and Russia. The bill is expected to easily pass the Senate and then be signed into law by Biden.

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 648 million on Friday, while the death toll rose above 6.65 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 99.4 million cases and 1,084,236 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 228.6 million people living in the U.S., equal to 68.9% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 42 million Americans have had the updated COVID booster that targets the original virus and the omicron variants, equal to 13.5% of the overall population.

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  • Hospital financial decisions play a role in the critical shortage of pediatric beds for RSV patients:

    Hospital financial decisions play a role in the critical shortage of pediatric beds for RSV patients:

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    The dire shortage of pediatric hospital beds plaguing the nation this fall is a byproduct of financial decisions made by hospitals over the past decade, as they shuttered children’s wards, which often operate in the red, and expanded the number of beds available for more profitable endeavors like joint replacements and cancer care.

    To cope with the flood of young patients sickened by a sweeping convergence of nasty bugs — especially respiratory syncytial virus, influenza, and coronavirus — medical centers nationwide have deployed triage tents, delayed elective surgeries, and transferred critically ill children out of state.

    A major factor in the bed shortage is a years-long trend among hospitals of eliminating pediatric units, which tend to be less profitable than adult units, said Mark Wietecha, CEO of the Children’s Hospital Association. Hospitals optimize revenue by striving to keep their beds 100% full — and filled with patients whose conditions command generous insurance reimbursements.

    “It really has to do with dollars,” said Dr. Scott Krugman, vice chair of pediatrics at the Herman and Walter Samuelson Children’s Hospital at Sinai in Baltimore. “Hospitals rely on high-volume, high-reimbursement procedures from good payers to make money. There’s no incentive for hospitals to provide money-losing services.”

    The number of pediatric inpatient units in hospitals fell 19% from 2008 to 2018, according to a study published in 2021 in the journal Pediatrics. Just this year, hospitals have closed pediatric units in Boston and Springfield, Massachusetts; Richmond, Virginia; and Tulsa, Oklahoma.

    The current surge in dangerous respiratory illnesses among children is yet another example of how covid-19 has upended the health care system. The lockdowns and isolation that marked the first years of the pandemic left kids largely unexposed — and still vulnerable — to viruses other than covid for two winters, and doctors are now essentially treating multiple years’ worth of respiratory ailments.

    The pandemic also accelerated changes in the health care industry that have left many communities with fewer hospital beds available for children who are acutely ill, along with fewer doctors and nurses to care for them.

    When intensive care units were flooded with older covid patients in 2020, some hospitals began using children’s beds to treat adults. Many of those pediatric beds haven’t been restored, said Dr. Daniel Rauch, chair of the American Academy of Pediatrics’ committee on hospital care.

    In addition, the relentless pace of the pandemic has spurred more than 230,000 health care providers — including doctors, nurses, and physician assistants — to quit. Before the pandemic, about 10% of nurses left their jobs every year; the rate has risen to about 20%, Wietecha said. He estimates that pediatric hospitals are unable to maintain as many as 10% of their beds because of staffing shortages.

    “There is just not enough space for all the kids who need beds,” said Dr. Megan Ranney, who works in several emergency departments in Providence, Rhode Island, including Hasbro Children’s Hospital. The number of children seeking emergency care in recent weeks was 25% higher than the hospital’s previous record.

    “We have doctors who are cleaning beds so we can get children into them faster,” said Ranney, a deputy dean at Brown University’s School of Public Health.


    Respiratory “tripledemic” worries nation’s doctors

    02:52

    There’s not great money in treating kids. About 40% of U.S. children are covered by Medicaid, a joint federal-state program for low-income patients and people with disabilities. Base Medicaid rates are typically more than 20% below those paid by Medicare, the government insurance program for older adults, and are even lower when compared with private insurance. While specialty care for a range of common adult procedures, from knee and hip replacements to heart surgeries and cancer treatments, generates major profits for medical centers, hospitals complain they typically lose money on inpatient pediatric care.

    When Tufts Children’s Hospital closed 41 pediatric beds this summer, hospital officials assured residents that young patients could receive care at nearby Boston Children’s Hospital. Now, Boston Children’s is delaying some elective surgeries to make room for kids who are acutely ill.

    Rauch noted that children’s hospitals, which specialize in treating rare and serious conditions such as pediatric cancer, cystic fibrosis, and heart defects, simply aren’t designed to handle this season’s crush of kids acutely ill with respiratory bugs.

    Even before the autumn’s viral trifecta, pediatric units were straining to absorb rising numbers of young people in acute mental distress. Stories abound of children in mental crises being marooned for weeks in emergency departments while awaiting transfer to a pediatric psychiatric unit. On a good day, Ranney said, 20% of pediatric emergency room beds at Hasbro Children’s Hospital are occupied by children experiencing mental health issues.

    In hopes of adding pediatric capacity, the American Academy of Pediatrics joined the Children’s Hospital Association last month in calling on the White House to declare a national emergency due to child respiratory infections and provide additional resources to help cover the costs of care. The Biden administration has said that the flexibility hospital systems and providers have been given during the pandemic to sidestep certain staffing requirements also applies to RSV and flu.

    Doernbecher Children’s Hospital at Oregon Health & Science University has shifted to “crisis standards of care,” enabling intensive care nurses to treat more patients than they’re usually assigned. Hospitals in Atlanta, Pittsburgh, and Aurora, Colorado, meanwhile, have resorted to treating young patients in overflow tents in parking lots.

    Dr. Alex Kon, a pediatric critical care physician at Community Medical Center in Missoula, Montana, said providers there have made plans to care for older kids in the adult intensive care unit, and to divert ambulances to other facilities when necessary. With only three pediatric ICUs in the state, that means young patients may be flown as far as Seattle or Spokane, Washington, or Idaho.

    A young child is treated in a hospital bed
    A young child with RSV is treated at the Community Medical Center in Missoula, Montana. 

    Community Medical Center


    Hollis Lillard took her 1-year-old son, Calder, to an Army hospital in Northern Virginia last month after he experienced several days of fever, coughing, and labored breathing. They spent seven anguished hours in the emergency room before the hospital found an open bed and transferred them by ambulance to Walter Reed National Military Medical Center in Maryland.

    With proper therapy and instructions for home care, Calder’s virus was readily treatable: He recovered after he was given oxygen and treated with steroids, which fight inflammation, and albuterol, which counteracts bronchospasms. He was discharged the next day.

    Although hospitalizations for RSV are falling, rates remain well above the norm for this time of year. And hospitals may not get much relief.

    People can be infected with RSV more than once a year, and Krugman worries about a resurgence in the months to come. Because of the coronavirus, which competes with other viruses, “the usual seasonal pattern of viruses has gone out the window,” he said.

    Like RSV, influenza arrived early this season. Both viruses usually peak around January. Three strains of flu are circulating and have caused an estimated 8.7 million illnesses, 78,000 hospitalizations, and 4,500 deaths, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

    Krugman doubts the health care industry will learn any quick lessons from the current crisis. “Unless there is a radical change in how we pay for pediatric hospital care,” Krugman said, “the bed shortage is only going to get worse.”

    KHN (Kaiser Health News) is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues. Together with Policy Analysis and Polling, KHN is one of the three major operating programs at KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation). KFF is an endowed nonprofit organization providing information on health issues to the nation.

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  • Why we think we’re in a recession when the data says otherwise | CNN Business

    Why we think we’re in a recession when the data says otherwise | CNN Business

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    A version of this story first appeared in CNN Business’ Before the Bell newsletter. Not a subscriber? You can sign up right here. You can listen to an audio version of the newsletter by clicking the same link.


    New York
    CNN Business
     — 

    It seems like you can’t go anywhere these days without colliding headfirst into another ominous prediction of imminent recession. CEOs, portfolio managers, politicians, news pundits, second cousins and even Cardi B are sounding the alarm: Hear ye! Hear ye! Economic downturn awaits all who dare enter 2023!

    But those predictions contradict the slew of positive economic data we’ve seen: The job market is healthy, wages are growing, Americans are spending and GDP is strong. Business is also good: Companies are largely beating revenue expectations and reporting positive earnings results.

    The Federal Reserve’s regimen of painful interest rate hikes meant to tame persistent inflation could certainly cool the economy — as could events in Eastern Europe and China — but the economy has been able to successfully endure nearly a year of hikes and war in Ukraine with barely a dent.

    It’s possible that recession chatter is just that. Chatter.

    What’s happening: No one would ever accuse investors of shying away from their emotions: Passions run high on trading floors where feelings are often as valid as facts and fear and greed can sometimes run the show. Economists, on the other hand, are a data-dependent, stoic bunch. The US economy is not Wall Street, and market downturns are not recessions — but sometimes they get jumbled together in the public eye and their borders become hazy.

    That appears to be the case: The Fed’s attempts to tamp down sky-high inflation are having an outsized impact on markets — the S&P 500 is down about 18% so far this year but there has so far been little impact on the US economy as a whole.

    This week, a number of top executives warned of an economic slowdown in 2023. CEOs from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, General Motors, Walmart, United and Union Pacific all said they were making plans for less-profitable times ahead. But hidden behind those “CEO PREDICTS RECESSION” headlines lies a lot of uncertainty.

    Rising interest rates and geopolitical chaos are pointing towards storm clouds on the horizon, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon told CNBC on Tuesday: “When you look out forward, those things may well derail the economy and cause this mild-to-hard recession that people are worried about.” When pressed to predict what was coming, he deflected. “It could be a hurricane. We simply don’t know,” he said. What was left unsaid was that sunny days are also a possibility.

    Feedback loop: United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby also told CNBC on Tuesday that “we’re probably going to have a mild recession induced by the Fed.” He then went on to say that demand in his industry is higher than ever and United entered the fourth quarter with profit margins near all-time highs. He doesn’t see any indication of a slowdown on the horizon, either.

    So why does he think a recession is coming? “If I didn’t watch CNBC in the morning, the word ‘recession’ wouldn’t be in my vocabulary,” he said. “You just can’t see it in our data.”

    It’s almost as though Kirby predicted recession was imminent because other prominent voices predicted that recession was imminent. And it’s possible that we’re all stuck in a feedback loop that amplifies unjustified fear.

    Prophecies are often self-fulfilling. If CEOs believe recession is coming, they preemptively batten down the hatches — and that means less spending and more layoffs, which in turn can trigger an economic downturn.

    Goldman CEO David Solomon said Tuesday that the bank may soon terminate staff and exercise caution with its financial resources due to the mounting economic uncertainty. Morgan Stanley will reportedly slash its workforce by about 1,600 people, roughly 2% of the total.

    The upside: Some parts of Wall Street seem to be avoiding the recession fervor. ​​A recent study by Goldman Sachs found that smart money is betting on a soft landing. Money managers have been favoring industrial and commodity stocks that are sensitive to economic downturns. Stocks that act as a buffer during economic downturns like consumer staples and utilities have fallen out of favor at investment funds with assets totaling almost $5 trillion, Goldman strategists found.

    “Current sector tilts are consistent with positioning for a soft landing,” they wrote.

    Oil prices have tumbled to their lowest level since Christmas as worries about the health of the economy weigh on crude, overshadowing concerns about new restrictions imposed on Russian energy, reports my colleague Matt Egan.

    Brent crude, the world benchmark, lost nearly 3% on Thursday to around $77.45 a barrel.

    The oil selloff comes after the West hit Russia with new restrictions that, so far at least, do not appear to be derailing global energy markets.

    The European Union on Monday imposed a ban on seaborne oil imports from Russia, while the West placed a $60 cap on Russian oil. Both moves are designed to hurt Russia’s ability to finance its war in Ukraine, without hurting consumers by causing Moscow to slash oil production.

    “Russia oil is still on the market. As of now, it appears Russia is willing to play ball,” said Robert Yawger, vice president of oil futures at Mizuho Securities.

    The tame reaction from energy markets is a welcome gift for Americans heading on long drives this holiday season, as prices at the gas pump are expected to continue their recent plunge.

    US oil this week hit its lowest level since December 23, 2021, before recovering a little on Thursday to trade up 2% at $73.60 a barrel. That leaves oil down by 43% since briefly topping $130 a barrel in March amid fears about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

    The national average price for regular gasoline dipped by three cents to $3.33 a gallon on Thursday, according to AAA. Gas prices have dropped 14 cents in the past week and 47 cents in a month. The national average is a cent lower than a year ago when they averaged $3.34 a gallon.

    Britain is bracing for further disruption from strikes heading into the Christmas period, as ambulance drivers and nurses join rail operators and postal workers in the worst wave of walkouts the country has endured for at least a decade, reports my colleague Hanna Ziady.

    More than 20,000 ambulance workers, including paramedics and call handlers, are expected to strike on December 21 in a dispute over pay, according to statements from labor unions GMB, Unison and Unite.

    The strike will involve just under half of all ambulance drivers in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, although unions have said they will cover life-threatening emergencies during the walkouts. More than 10,000 ambulance workers represented by the GMB Union will strike again on December 28.

    Strikes have swept the United Kingdom this year, as workers grapple with a cost-of-living crisis and stagnating wages. Consumer prices rose by 11.1% in the year to October, a 41-year high. Once inflation is taken into account, average wages fell by the biggest drop on record earlier this year, and were still declining in the June-September period.

    According to The Times newspaper, one million UK workers are set to strike in December and January. Data from the Office for National Statistics shows Britain has already lost at least 741,000 days to strike action this year, putting it on track for its worst year of labor disputes in at least a decade.

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  • Most Americans aren’t worrying about COVID this holiday season

    Most Americans aren’t worrying about COVID this holiday season

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    More than 80% of people in the U.S. say, “We are in a better place than we were a year ago,” according to the Axios/Ipsos Coronavirus index, as many say they have returned to their pre-COVID routines.

    Only one-third of those polled say they wear a mask some or all of the time in public even as the holiday season hits full swing and COVID infections and hospitalizations are rising in the U.S.

    “With majorities getting out and about and only about 1 in 4 saying they’re taking steps to avoid COVID or the flu, for most people this is going to be a COVID worry- free holiday,” Cliff Young, president of Ipsos U.S. Public Affairs, told Axios.

    Another poll tracking COVID sentiment in the U.S. showed that concern about the virus was low among all age groups in November — though not as low as it was earlier this fall.

    COVID news to know:

    • China loosens more COVID restrictions; worries about Chinese deaths persist. The country said Wednesday that mass testing will no longer occur in regions that aren’t high risk, people with mild symptoms can isolate at home instead of quarantine centers, and authorities cannot block fire escapes and public exits in locked-down areas, according to the New York Times. However, there are concerns that loosening restrictions could lead to 1 million deaths in China this winter, based on predictions from Wigram Capital Advisors, the Financial Times reported

    • Did political ideology interfere with the U.S. COVID response? Dr. Anthony Fauci, chief medical officer to President Joe Biden, told NBC’s “Nightly News” that “the degree of divisiveness in this country right now has really led to such a polarization that it has interfered with an adequate science-based public health response.” Fauci is set to retire this year. 

    • Vaccines reduce the risk of long COVID. A new analysis, published Tuesday in the Antimicrobial Stewardship & Healthcare Epidemiology by researchers at the University of Iowa, examined a handful of medical studies and found that people who had received at least one dose of a COVID vaccine had a long COVID prevalence rate of 37.6%, compared with 39.1% among the unvaccinated. That’s from data gathered from about 250,000 people in four countries.

    • COVID cases continue to rise across the U.S. The daily average of new infections is up about 28% over the last two weeks, according to a New York Times tracker. There were at least 54,000 new cases on Tuesday, while about 34,000 people are currently hospitalized with COVID. The number of people being treated in intensive care units has also increased, by 21% over the last two weeks, with about 4,100 people with COVID in ICU beds. 

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  • A growing push to fix pulse oximeters’ flawed readings in people of color: ‘This can be dangerous’ | CNN

    A growing push to fix pulse oximeters’ flawed readings in people of color: ‘This can be dangerous’ | CNN

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    CNN
     — 

    As a triple threat of respiratory illnesses – flu, Covid-19 and respiratory syncytial virus, known as RSV – sweeps the United States, emergency departments are using one small tool more than usual to monitor whether a patient needs oxygen: the pulse oximeter.

    “We’re in the midst of a respiratory flood,” said pediatric emergency physician Dr. Joseph Wright, chief health equity officer at the University of Maryland Medical System, which includes 11 hospitals.

    “And the pulse oximeter is used from any age to geriatrics,” he said. “This is a tool that is used on all patients, and right now, as with the height of the pandemic, it’s a tool that is used to assess children with respiratory distress as part of the RSV flood that we’re currently experiencing.”

    But a growing body of research suggests that these devices, which clamp onto a patient’s fingertip to measure their blood oxygen levels, may not work as well on people with dark skin tones.

    The US Food and Drug Administration is mulling over next steps for the regulation of pulse oximeter devices, which may give less accurate readings for people of color. A panel of its Medical Devices Advisory Committee met in November to review clinical data on the issue.

    “For all of us, we would like to have assurance or confidence that the accuracy of the pulse ox reading in children who are melanated or have darker skin tones is reliable,” Wright said. He was not involved in the FDA discussions, but his medical system offered written testimony for the meeting.

    “When I’m assessing a patient, a child, who is in respiratory distress, the pulse ox reading is but one tool. There’s the clinical assessment, obviously, and then other measures of how sick that child is,” he said, but “these devices need to be fixed. It appears that the technology to fix them is known, and the advancement here is to require manufacturers to incorporate this advanced technology.”

    Pulse oximeters work by sending light through your finger; a sensor on the other side of the device receives this light and uses it to detect the color of your blood. Bright red blood is highly oxygenated, but blue or purplish blood is less so.

    If the device isn’t calibrated for darker skin tones, melanin – which is responsible for the pigmentation of skin, hair and eyes – could affect how the light is absorbed by the sensor, leading to flawed oxygen readings.

    The members of the FDA advisory panel discussed recommendations on when and how to use these devices on people with dark skin, how to improve their accuracy and, until the situation improves, whether the devices should have labels – such as a black box warning, the strongest type of warning for medical device or prescription drug labeling – noting that inaccurate readings may be associated with skin color.

    “The agency considers this a high priority and we will work expeditiously to consider the Panel’s input and determine the appropriate next steps,” FDA spokesperson Shauna Nelson wrote in an email to CNN. “We will communicate any significant new information publicly.”

    Meanwhile, the American Medical Association adopted a policy last month calling for the FDA to ensure that pulse oximeters provide accurate and reliable readings for people of all skin colors.

    “Concerns about the accuracy of pulse oximeters in pigmented skin have been noted for more than 30 years, yet Black and Brown communities are still facing adverse health impacts from these devices – particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic when use of and reliance on pulse oximeters increased,” AMA President-elect Dr. Jesse Ehrenfeld said in a statement.

    “We urge the FDA to take swift action to address the growing uncertainty around these devices, including making sure health care professionals are aware of their limitations and increase testing of devices that were already cleared by the agency, to ensure the health and safety of the public.”

    Rekha Hagen told the FDA advisory panel during its meeting that she has seen a pulse oximeter give different readings for various members of her family, based on their skin tones.

    Speaking as a member of the patient and family advisory council at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Hagen said that she is an Indian woman, her skin tone differs from her husband’s, who is White, and from those of their three children.

    “In other words, we are many shades of brown and white,” she said.

    “It’s very important to have an accurate reading because people are acting, or not acting, on this information. For example, if your thermometer says you have a temp of 105, you would treat it differently from a temperature of 101,” Hagen said. “I think of the pulse oximeter reading in the same way. And frankly, if the reading was acceptable, I would not go to the hospital or seek help. Of course this can be dangerous.”

    Ultimately, the pulse oximeter can estimate the amount of oxygen a person has in their blood without the need for a blood sample.

    But on a person with darker skin, the oximeter could indicate that oxygen levels are normal, suggesting that the person may be discharged from a hospital or may not need oxygen support – when a blood sample might show that, in fact, their oxygen levels are low, suggesting that they need additional care and oxygen.

    Hagen asked the panel, “Since we have many skin tones in our immediate family, who would we use this device on?

    “As for current solutions for the FDA, perhaps you could have a skin tone color chart on the box whereby you are advised not to use the product if you are darker than a certain skin tone or sell the oximeter behind the pharmacy counter so that the pharmacist can explain usage to the patient,” she said. “The FDA has time to fix this communication. They should start now.”

    In order to resolve the core issue of flawed pulse oximeter readings, the FDA must expand premarket testing of the devices to include people with a broad array of skin colors, Dr. Ealena Callender of the National Center for Health Research said during the meeting.

    The FDA now recommends that every clinical study of pulse oximeters include participants who vary in age and gender, with a range of skin pigmentation, of which at least two people or 15% of the group – “whichever is larger,” the FDA guidance indicates – have dark skin.

    “This is woefully inadequate,” Callender said.

    She added that “dark skin” tends to be subjective, and there is a need for objective tools to make that call.

    “Only objective tools for assessment of skin pigmentation should be used in studies of how it affects pulse oximetry measurements,” Callender said, explaining that many variations in hue and other contributing factors make subjective assessments less accurate.

    “In general, inaccuracies related to skin pigmentation increase as the level of oxygenation decreases. Clinically, this means sicker patients are less likely to get an accurate reading, and are therefore less likely to get appropriate care,” she said. “The FDA should require more scrutiny to minimize bias in medical devices so they are accurate and reliable for everyone.”

    The FDA panel discussed certain skin color charts, descriptors and scales that have been used in medicine to determine a person’s skin tone, but those too can be subjective. None of those scales indicates how much melanin a person has in their skin.

    There are technologies, such as spectrophotometry, that can measure how much a chemical substance absorbs light and provide an objective measurement of melanin in the skin, but such spectrophotometers in the lab can cost thousands of dollars.

    All pulse oximeters need to be calibrated in humans in order for the optical signals used in the device to translate and produce an accurate oxygen saturation reading, Dr. Philip Bickler, professor and director of hypoxia research laboratory at the University of California, San Francisco, who has been studying pulse oximeters, said during the FDA panel meeting. Researchers at UCSF are working on a project called the Open Oximetry Project to improve equity in oximetry.

    “You can imagine that if all the calibration procedures are done in subjects with low skin melanin, you produce one marker that would produce pulse oximeters that would be accurate in individuals with lightly pigmented skin – and what has become apparent is that it’s been insufficient to account for the presence of melanin,” he said.

    “Now, you could do another calibration for subjects with darkly pigmented skin and you would get a different calibration curve,” he said. “So that is possible – and almost 20 years ago, we advocated for something like that.”

    Pulse oximeters were invented in 1974, and a body of research – dating to the 1980s – suggests that flawed pulse oximeter readings among Black and brown patients can be a real and life-threatening issue in medical care.

    This difference in how pulse oximeters perform for people with dark skin tones compared with those who have fair skin can drive racial disparities in the care patients receive.

    “This is distinct from some of the other race-based inequities that we’re currently tackling in health care. This one is really clear. It’s very straightforward what the scientific solution is,” the University of Maryland Medical System’s Wright said. “Here is an example where we have a very clearly defined biologic reason for why the infrared wavelengths of light don’t penetrate to detect oxygenation in folks with melanin as opposed to those without.”

    Another distinction: There has been evidence of colorism, or prejudices or discrimination against people with darker skin tones, playing a role in racial biases and the medical care some people get. Historically in medicine, medical data has involved a person’s race and not their skin color. Yet there are both light-skinned and dark-skinned Black people, Asians, Pacific Islanders, Native Americans and Hispanic people, and within each of those racial and ethnic groups, skin tone could play a role in biases in medical care.

    But the focus on specific skin tones – not race – when addressing the risk of inaccurate pulse oximeter readings appears to be “rooted in a very real desire to avoid medicine’s long and deeply appalling history” of disparities that arise when Black and brown communities are not provided the same quality of care as White populations, said Dr. Theodore J. Iwashyna, professor of pulmonary and critical care medicine, and of health policy and management, at Johns Hopkins University.

    The greater error rate in pulse oximeters for people with dark skin “is a prime example of valuing Black lives less,” said Iwashyna, who has studied how racially biased oxygen readings could put patients at risk.

    “There is a potential profound crisis that paying attention to these racial differences has made visible, in a ubiquitous device, that is disproportionately hurting Black patients,” he said. “And if attending to that difference can yield a set of monitoring devices that allow us to more safely and effectively care for all patients, including Black patients, that seems great.”

    In October, Iwashyna and two other researchers at the University of Michigan – Dr. Michael Sjoding and Dr. Thomas Valley – wrote an editorial, published in the American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, calling for the FDA to require pulse oximeter manufacturers to report how their devices perform in patients from diverse racial backgrounds. They wrote that the focus should remain on racial differences in accuracy until skin tone has been confirmed as “the underlying mechanism” for those discrepancies.

    “There are clearly these differences by race. And I think, as you read the historical record over the last 30 years, the reason those differences in accuracy were tolerated for so long is not because of physiology but because of a social valuation as to which patients these devices were less accurate in, and whether that was considered an unacceptable error,” Iwashyna said.

    At this point, he added, conversations should focus on fixing pulse oximetry inaccuracy in sick patients rather than the specific skin tones affected by the error.

    “We could just fix the damn problem,” he said. “Let’s build devices that work better and are calibrated across our entire population. We know, from NASA’s work in the 1960s, that this is possible – just it has not been done.”

    In response to the discussion, the makers of some pulse oximeters have reported that their studies show no evidence of racial biases in the accuracy of their devices.

    Studies of Medtronic’s Nellcor pulse oximeters found that they reported blood oxygen levels that were within 2% of participants’ drawn-blood oxygen levels – regardless of skin color, Dr. Sam Ajizian, chief medical officer of patient monitoring at Medtronic, said in an emailed statement to CNN.

    “Still, the data shows a small statistical discrepancy between results for those with light pigmentation and patients with darker skin pigmentation,” Ajizian said.

    “Medtronic is seeking to make improvements in our devices based on a greater understanding of the impact skin pigmentation has on pulse oximetry readings,” he said. “Through better information-sharing and an industry-wide commitment to continued innovation, we are advocating for improvements in the methods we use to validate pulse oximeters, including standardization of how we assess skin pigmentation and an increase in representation of patients with darker skin pigmentations in clinical trials.”

    The medical technology company Masimo had similar sentiments.

    “We have also calibrated and validated our oximeters using almost equal numbers of dark-skinned and light-skinned individual volunteers. We support prospective clinical studies, patient studies, on this topic, and we are pursuing these now,” Dr. William Wilson, Masimo’s chief medical officer, told the FDA advisory panel.

    “Masimo supports raising the standard on requirements for the percentage of dark-skinned subjects used in calibration and validation studies,” he said. “We also believe it is important that the FDA regulates and applies similar oversight recommendations on all pulse oximeters, including those sold directly to consumers.”

    Some experts worry that these studies of pulse oximeter devices in labs among healthy volunteers, as many manufacturers have done, might not be predictive of how the devices perform in medical centers among sick patients, indicating a need for more real-world data.

    “The lab studies were really small,” Iwashyna said. “And maybe if the things worked for everybody, we wouldn’t have to spend forever trying to figure out which people they don’t work for, because they just work for everybody.”

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  • As China moves away from zero-Covid, health experts warn of dark days ahead | CNN

    As China moves away from zero-Covid, health experts warn of dark days ahead | CNN

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    Editor’s Note: Editor’s Note: A version of this story appeared in CNN’s Meanwhile in China newsletter, a three-times-a-week update exploring what you need to know about the country’s rise and how it impacts the world. Sign up here.


    Hong Kong
    CNN
     — 

    China’s zero-Covid policy, which stalled the world’s second-largest economy and sparked a wave of unprecedented protests, is now being dismantled as Beijing on Wednesday released sweeping revisions to its draconian measures that ultimately failed to bring the virus to heel.

    The new guidelines keep some restrictions in place but largely scrap the health code system that required people to show negative Covid-19 tests for daily activities and roll back mass testing. They also allow some Covid-19 cases and close contacts to skip centralized quarantine.

    They come after a number of cities in recent days started to lift some of the harsh controls that dictated – and heavily restricted – daily life for nearly three years in China.

    But while the changes mark a significant shift – and bring relief for many in the public who’ve grown increasingly frustrated with the high costs and demands of zero-Covid – another reality is also clear: China is underprepared for the surge in cases it could now see.

    Experts say though much is still unknown about how the next weeks and months will progress, China has fallen short on preparations like bolstering the elderly vaccination rate, upping surge and intensive care capacity in hospitals, and stockpiling antiviral medications.

    While the Omicron variant is milder than previous strains and China’s overall vaccination rate is high, even a small number of severe cases among vulnerable and under-vaccinated groups like the elderly could overwhelm hospitals if infections spike across the country of 1.4 billion, experts say.

    “This is a looming crisis – the timing is really bad … China now has to relax much of its measures during the winter (overlapping with flu season), so that was not as planned,” said Xi Chen, an associate professor at the Yale School of Public Health in the United States, pointing to what was likely an acceleration in China’s transition, triggered by public discontent.

    The guidelines released Wednesday open up a new chapter in the country’s epidemic control, three years after the first cases of Covid-19 were detected in central China’s Wuhan and following protests against the zero-Covid policy across the country starting late last month.

    Where China once controlled cases by requiring testing and clear health codes for entry into a number of public places and for domestic travel, those codes will no longer be checked except for in a handful of locations like medical institutions and schools. Mass testing will now be rolled back for everyone except for those in high-risk areas and high-risk positions. People who test positive for Covid-19 but have mild or asymptomatic cases and meet certain conditions can quarantine at home, instead of being forced to go to centralized quarantine centers, as can close contacts.

    Locations classified by authorities as “high risk” can still be locked down, but these lockdowns must now be more limited and precise, according to the new guidelines, which were circulated by China’s state media.

    The changes mark a swift about-face, following mounting public discontent, economic costs and record case numbers in recent weeks. They come after a top official last week first signaled the country could move away from the zero-Covid policy it had long poured significant resources into – though another official on Wednesday said the measures were a “proactive optimization,” not “reactive” when asked in a press briefing.

    “China has pursued this policy for so long, they’re now between a rock and a hard place,” said William Schaffner, a professor of infectious diseases at the Vanderbilt University Medical Center in the US. “They don’t have good options in either direction anymore. They had really hoped that this epidemic globally would run its course, and they could survive without impact. And that hasn’t happened.”

    As restrictions are relaxed, and the virus spreads across the country, China is “going to have to go through a period of pain in terms of illness, serious illness, deaths and stress on the health care system” as was seen elsewhere in the world earlier in the pandemic, he added.

    Since the global vaccination campaign and the emergence of the Omicron variant, health experts have questioned China’s adherence to zero-Covid and pointed out the unsustainability of the strategy, which tried to use mass testing and surveillance, lockdowns and quarantines to stop a highly contagious virus.

    But as some restrictions are lifted, in what appears to be a haphazard transition following years of focus on meticulously controlling the virus, experts say change may be coming before China has made the preparations its health officials have admitted are needed.

    “An uncontrolled epidemic (one which only peaks when the virus starts running out of people to infect) … will pose serious challenges to the health care system, not only in terms of managing the small fraction of Covid cases that are severe, but also in the ‘collateral damage’ to people with other health conditions who have delayed care as a consequence,” said Ben Cowling, a professor of epidemiology at the University of Hong Kong.

    But even with easing restrictions, Cowling said, it was “difficult to predict” how quickly infections will spread though China, because there are still some measures in place and some people will change their behavior – such as staying at home more often.

    “And I wouldn’t rule out the possibility that stricter measures are reintroduced to combat rising cases,” he said.

    Experts agree that allowing the virus to spread nationally would be a significant shift for a country that up until this point has officially reported 5,235 Covid-19 deaths since early 2020 – a comparatively low figure globally that has been a point of pride in China, where state media until recently trumpeted the dangers of the virus to the public.

    Modeling from researchers at Shanghai’s Fudan University published in the journal Nature Medicine in May projected that more than 1.5 million Chinese could die within six months if Covid-19 restrictions were lifted and there was no access to antiviral drugs, which have been approved in China.

    However, death rates could fall to around the levels of seasonal flu, if almost all elderly people were vaccinated and antiviral medications were broadly used, the authors said.

    Last month, China released a list of measures to bolster health systems against Covid-19, which included directives to increase vaccination in the elderly, stockpile antiviral treatments and medical equipment, and expand critical care capacity – efforts that experts say take time and are best accomplished prior to an outbreak.

    “(Is China prepared?) If you look at surge capacity three years on and the stockpiling of effective antivirals – no. If you talk about the triage procedures – they are not strictly enforced – and if you talk about the vaccination rate for the elderly, especially those aged 80 and older, it is also overall no,” said Yanzhong Huang, a senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York.

    Chinese authorities, he added, would likely be closely assessing outcomes like the death rate to decide policy steps going forward.

    Citizens wearing masks board a subway train on Monday in Henan province's Zhengzhou, where negative Covid-19 test results are no longer required for riding public transport.

    The US has at least 25 critical care beds per 100,000 people, according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development – by contrast, China has fewer than four for the same number, health authorities there said last month.

    The system also provides limited primary care, which could drive even moderately sick people to hospitals as opposed to calling a family doctor – putting more strain on hospitals, according to Yale’s Chen.

    Meanwhile, weak medical infrastructure in rural areas could foster crises there, especially as testing is reduced and younger people living in cities return to rural hometowns to visit elderly family members over the Lunar New Year next month, he said.

    While China’s overall vaccination rate is high, its elderly are also less protected than in some other parts of the world, where the oldest and most vulnerable to dying from Covid-19 were prioritized for vaccination. Some countries have already rolled out fourth or fifth doses for at-risk groups.

    By China’s accounting, more than 86% of China’s population over 60 are fully vaccinated, according to China’s National Health Commission, and booster rates are lower, with more than 45 million of the fully vaccinated elderly yet to receive an additional shot. Around 25 million elderly who have not received any shot, according to a comparison of official population figures and November 28 vaccination data.

    For the most at-risk over 80 age group, around two-thirds were fully vaccinated by China’s standards, but only 40% had received booster shots as of November 11, according to state media.

    But while China refers to third doses for its widely used inactivated vaccines as booster shots, a World Health Organization vaccine advisory group last year recommended that elderly people taking those vaccines receive three doses in their initial course to ensure sufficient protection.

    The inactivated vaccines used in China have been found to elicit lower levels of antibody response as compared to others used overseas, and many countries using the doses have paired them with more protective mRNA vaccines, which China has not approved for use.

    Cowling said evidence from Hong Kong’s outbreak, however, showed China’s inactivated vaccines worked well to prevent severe disease, but it was critical that the elderly receive three doses in the initial course, as recommended by the World Health Organization. They should then use a fourth dose on top of that to keep immunity high, he added.

    Top health officials on November 28 announced a new plan to bolster elderly vaccination rates, but such measures will take time, as will other preparations for a surge.

    Minimizing the worst outcomes in a transition out of zero-Covid depends on that preparation, according to Cowling. From that perspective, he said, “it doesn’t look like it would be a good time to relax the policies.”

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  • Democratic incumbent Warnock wins Georgia’s Senate runoff election — here’s why it matters

    Democratic incumbent Warnock wins Georgia’s Senate runoff election — here’s why it matters

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    Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock of Georgia has defeated his Republican challenger Herschel Walker in their closely watched runoff election, according to an Associated Press projection. 

    While Democrats already had maintained their grip on the Senate by winning other crucial races in last month’s midterm elections, Warnock’s win means his party will have a 51-49 majority in the Senate for the next two years of President Joe Biden’s term.

    That’s an upgrade from their situation over the past two years, when the chamber has been split 50-50, and they’ve controlled it only because Vice President Kamala Harris can cast tiebreaking votes.

    Democrats now are expected to adjust ratios on Senate committees so they have a one-vote majority on each panel. Currently, committee ratios are set at 50-50 to reflect the chamber’s split.

    A Stifel analyst has warned investors that committees next year could end up issuing subpoenas without Republican support, increasing headline risk for some sectors such as tech
    XLK,
    -2.14%
    ,
    social media
    SOCL,
    -2.05%
    ,
    financials
    XLF,
    -0.88%

    and healthcare
    XLV,
    -0.76%
    .

    A 51-49 Senate also is expected to lessen the influence of two moderate Democratic senators — West Virginia’s Joe Manchin and Arizona’s Kyrsten Sinema.

    Manchin derailed Biden’s Build Back Better package a year ago, and Democratic-run Washington ended up passing a scaled-back measure in August. Sinema’s recent moves, meanwhile, have included successfully opposing changes to the so-called carried-interest loophole that allows private-equity firms to pay lower tax rates.

    Walker’s loss is another blow for Donald Trump as the former president ramps up his 2024 White House campaign. Trump already saw other allies flop in their Senate midterm races, with, for example, Mehmet Oz coming up short in Pennsylvania and Blake Masters going down in Arizona.

    Warnock had been favored to win by betting markets such as PredictIt, but Cook Political Report said the contest would be close and rated it as a toss-up.

    Walker faced criticism from both Democrats and Republicans for his past treatment of women and gaffes while campaigning.

    Related: Second woman claims Herschel Walker pressured her to have abortion

    The former football star’s loss means the 2022 midterms end on a downbeat note for Republicans, and that’s after their hopes for a red wave were dashed. The GOP took control of the House of Representatives, but will have a slim majority in that chamber.

    Analysts had said voters appeared increasingly focused on issues on which Republicans claimed high ground such as inflation. But exit polls on Nov. 8 suggested the party performed worse than expected because many Democrats and independents voted partly to show their disapproval of Trump — and those voters were energized by the Supreme Court’s June decision that overturned Roe v. Wade.

    See: Anti-Trump vote and Dobbs abortion ruling boost Democrats in 2022 election

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  • Medicare open enrollment is about to close. Here’s what to know.

    Medicare open enrollment is about to close. Here’s what to know.

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    Seniors have one more day to make changes to their Medicare plans, including picking a new Medicare Advantage plan, with open enrollment for the program closing at the end of December 7.

    Medicare Advantage plans are increasingly popular with seniors, with nearly half of Medicare-eligible Americans opting for one of these private programs this year, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation. The typical enrollee has 39 different plans to choose from, which means choosing the right plan can be nearly overwhelming.

    During open enrollment, seniors can also return to the original Medicare plans, also known as Medicare Part A and Part B, and pick a new Medicare prescription drug plan, or Part D. By comparison, Medicare Advantage plans typically bundle Part A, Part B and Part D into a single plan, and often dangle other coverage, such as dental or vision, to convince seniors to sign up.

    Here are pitfalls to watch out for, according to experts, when choosing a Medicare Advantage plan that works for you.

    Check your Medicare Advantage plan’s providers 

    One thing seniors should do every year is check that their doctors — and prescriptions — are within the coverage network of their Medicare Advantage plan. Unlike traditional Medicare, Medicare Advantage functions like a private insurance plan, with in-network and out-of-network coverage. 

    Even if you’re in a Medicare Advantage plan that you intend to keep, make sure to double-check your existing plan’s providers since plans often change year-to-year, said Mary Johnson, Medicare and social security policy analyst for the Senior Citizens League.

    “These are private insurers. They renegotiate their contracts every year with their providers, so providers can change — that includes pharmacies and prescription drug coverage,” she said. “It would be very unrealistic to think that you can just sign up and sit on autopilot, but that’s what the majority of the public does.”

    Often the fastest way to check is to call your provider’s office, since online directories sometimes aren’t up to date — and agents trying to sell you policies can give wrong information. “The best thing I would advise is to call the doctor’s office and just confirm with them,” Evan Tunis, president of Florida Healthcare Insurance, told NerdWallet

    Check your plan’s drug coverage

    Drug coverage is another important factor that could change year-to-year within Medicare Advantage plans, so seniors should verify what they’ll pay for their prescriptions by going to medicare.gov, Johnson said.

    Seniors on insulin should double-check that the brand of medication they take is covered under their Advantage plan. Starting next year, the price of insulin will be capped at $35 a month — but that price limit only applies to brands that fall under a plan’s coverage. 

    “If the brand you take is Lantus, and they cover some other insulin, it could possibly be that you get into a mismatch,” Johnson said.

    Seniors can check coverage by inputting their drug information at medicare.gov.


    How drug pricing reform in Inflation Reduction Act would work

    01:38

    Look at your out-of-network costs

    One error Johnson sees often is seniors picking an Advantage plan based on low premiums or freebies, such as a grocery allowance. 

    “Nothing in life is free,” Johnson said. “There are many Medicare Advantage plans that have a very low or even no premium; however, for virtually every service that people use, there is a copay.”

    Johnson advises projecting the worst-case scenario: If you get very sick and need an intensive medical procedure and many follow-up visits, what’s the maximum you could expect to pay out of pocket? For 2023, that could be as high as $8,300 — or more if you go out of network.

    On the other hand, many Medicare Advantage plans include vision and dental benefits, which traditional Medicare doesn’t cover, so seniors will need to weigh which factors are most important to them. 

    While a plan without a premium could save money for someone who’s healthy, you can’t always predict if you’ll get sick and need a lot of care. 

    “Older people tend to get sick and use services, so it’s a gamble,” Tricia Neuman, director of the program on Medicare policy at the Kaiser Family Foundation, told NerdWallet.


    New research: 100 million Americans face health care debt

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    Take your time and be skeptical

    During the current open enrollment period, which opened October 15 and ends December 7, seniors can switch from traditional Medicare to Medicare Advantage, or change the Medicare Advantage plan they’re on. They can also switch back to Original Medicare.

    It’s not the only chance to make changes for seniors who are already enrolled in Medicare Advantage. People already in these plans can also switch their Advantage plan between January 1 and March 31, although they can only switch plans once during that time period.

    But experts caution seniors against rushing into a Medicare Advantage plan with the hopes of saving money or getting freebies like gym memberships. First, deceptive marketing abounds — from insurance agents wrongly describing coverage and celebrity-filled TV ads touting benefits to marketing mailers disguised as “official” government mail.

    Seniors “are being inundated with aggressive marketing tactics as well as false and misleading information,” Sen. Ron Wyden’s office concluded in a report last month.

    Consider Medigap coverage

    It’s possible to switch from Medicare Advantage back to traditional Medicare during open enrollment, but seniors should also consider their Medigap coverage — formally known as Medicare Supplement Insurance. Seniors are first eligible for Medigap coverage when they turn 65 and enroll in Medicare Part B, which covers doctor’s visits and outpatient care. 

    During a six-month open enrollment period when they first sign up for a Medigap plan, seniors can buy any policy they want, regardless of their health — but that happens only once. Seniors who sign up for an Advantage plan, then switch back to traditional Medicare, could find themselves paying much more for a Medigap plan — if they’re offered one at all.

    “In most states, insurers are not required to offer you a Medicare and Medigap supplement out of your initial coverage period, which is when you first enroll in Medicare,” Johnson said.

    The process can be confusing and overwhelming. “It’s a real pain for the average person. You probably feel as frustrated going through this process as doing your taxes,” Johnson said. 

    People who need assistance can turn to one of two resources:

    The State Health Insurance Assistance Program, or SHIP, can match seniors with a navigator trained in Medicare who can go over the patient’s needs and recommend plans. Seniors should also visit Benefits Checkup, run by the National Council on Aging, to see if they qualify for programs to help pay for medicine, food and other needs.

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  • U.S. COVID cases are climbing again as new omicron variants spread

    U.S. COVID cases are climbing again as new omicron variants spread

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    COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in the U.S. are rising and intensive-care-unit beds are being filled again, in a trend that may spell an end to the stable period the country experienced during the fall months.

    The daily average of new cases was up 22% on Thursday from two weeks ago, to 49,070, according to a New York Times tracker. Cases are rising in 40 states, led by Oklahoma, where they are up 89% from two weeks ago.

    The daily average for hospitalizations is up 21% from two weeks ago to 33,708, although as always, the trend is not uniform across the nation. Louisiana is the state with the highest increase in hospitalizations, up 109% from two weeks ago, followed by California, where they have climbed 66%.

    Visits to the ICU are up 17%, while test-positivity rates are up 29%, to 10%, the tracker shows. On a brighter note, the daily average for deaths is down 3% to 274. 

    Experts are warning that new omicron subvariants are on the rise and are quickly replacing earlier ones.

    The most recent data release from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention showed that the BQ.1.1 and BQ.1 sublineages of BA.5 accounted for 62.8% of all cases in the U.S. in the week through Dec. 3, exceeding the 13.8% of cases caused by BA.5.

    That was up from 57.3% of cases in the week through Nov. 26, when 19.4% of cases were caused by BA.5.

    In the New York region, which includes New Jersey, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, those numbers were even higher, with BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 accounting for 72.4% of all cases, compared with 6.9% for BA.5.

    That was up from the prior week, when BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 accounted for 70.8% of all cases, compared with 10.4% for BA.5.

    See now: Elon Musk may want employees back in the office, but 29% of Americans still work from home

    For now, the new sublineages have not been shown to be likely to cause more severe disease than earlier ones, but they are more transmissible, which is why they have become dominant.

    Experts continue to urge people to get their updated booster, which is the best protection against developing severe COVID or dying of it.

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Local governments in China are facing a new challenge in the battle against COVID: They are running out of cash needed to finance mass testing and enforce quarantines, CNN reported on Friday. The zero-COVID policy kept China out of recession in 2020, but now the bills are mounting, placing financial strain on municipal authorities across the world’s most populous nation, said CNN. For nearly three years, local governments have borne the brunt of enforcing pandemic controls. 

    • Former NBA star Jeremy Lin, who plays for a Chinese team, was fined 10,000 yuan ($1,400) for criticizing quarantine facilities, according to China’s professional league and a news report Friday, the AP reported. The ruling Communist Party is trying to crush criticism of the human cost and disruption of its zero-COVID strategy, which has confined millions of people to their homes.

    Large protests erupted across China as crowds voiced their frustration over nearly three years of COVID-19 controls. Here’s how a deadly fire in Xinjiang sparked domestic upheaval and a political dilemma for Xi Jinping’s leadership. Photo: Thomas Peter/Reuters

    • Formula One confirmed Friday that the Chinese Grand Prix will not take place in 2023, making it the fourth year in a row the race has been canceled because of the coronavirus pandemic, the AP reported separately. “Formula One can confirm, following dialogue with the promoter and relevant authorities, that the 2023 Chinese Grand Prix will not take place due to the ongoing difficulties presented by the COVID-19 situation,” Formula One said in a statement.

    • German doctors are warning that pediatric units are stretched to the breaking point in some hospitals in part due to rising cases of respiratory infections among infants, the AP reported. The intensive-care association DIVI said the seasonal surge in cases of respiratory syncytial virus and a shortage of nurses was causing a “catastrophic situation” in hospitals. RSV is a common, highly contagious virus that infects nearly all babies and toddlers by age 2, some of whom can fall seriously ill. Experts say the easing of coronavirus pandemic restrictions means RSV is currently affecting a larger number of babies and children whose immune systems aren’t primed to fend off the infection.

    Physicians are reporting high numbers of respiratory illnesses like RSV and the flu earlier than the typical winter peak. WSJ’s Brianna Abbott explains what the early surge means for the winter months. Photo illustration: Kaitlyn Wang

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 644.1 million on Friday, while the death toll rose above 6.63 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 98.9 million cases and 1,081,147 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 228.4 million people living in the U.S., equal to 68.8% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 39.7 million Americans have had the updated COVID booster that targets the original virus and the omicron variants, equal to 12.7% of the overall population.

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  • AI in Health Care: No, the Robots Are Not Taking Over

    AI in Health Care: No, the Robots Are Not Taking Over

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    Dec. 1, 2022 – It’s common for many people to fear the unknown, and exactly how artificial intelligence might transform the health care and medical experience is no exception. 

    People might be afraid, for example, that AI will remove all human interaction from health care in the future. Not true, say the experts. Doctors and other health care workers might fear the technology will replace their clinical judgment and experience. Also not true, experts say. 

    The AI robots are not taking over. 

    AI and machine learning remain technologies that add to human know-how. For example, AI can help track a patient over time better than a health care professional relying on memory alone, can speed up image analysis, and is very good at prediction.

    But AI will never replace human intuition in medicine, experts say.

    “AI is unemotional. It’s fast and very, very smart, but it does not have intuition,” says Naheed Kurji, board chair of the Alliance for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and CEO of Cyclica Inc. 

    Machine learning, a form of artificial intelligence where a computer learns over time as it gets more and more data, could sound threatening to a person who might not fully understand the technology. That’s why education and greater awareness are essential to ease any concerns about this growing technology. 

    “You need to have an understanding of human behavior and how to help people overcome their inherent fears of something new,” Kurji says. 

    All this new science needs to be explained to the public, and machine learning is certainly one that deserves explanation,” says Angeli Moeller, PhD, head of data and integrations generating insights at Roche in Berlin, and board vice chair for the Alliance for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare. 

    “It’s useful to ground it in examples that the general population is familiar with and with technology that has grown,” she says. “On our smartphones, we benefit from a significant amount of machine learning – even if you just look at your Google search or your satellite navigation system.”

    Moeller says it’s helpful to think of AI as an assistant to a doctor, nurse, a caregiver, or even a patient trying to understand more about a medical diagnosis, treatment plan, or prognosis. 

    Also, with big data comes big responsibility. “Health care industry accountability is important,” she says. 

    With than in mind, the Alliance for Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare was created in 2019 as a forum for industry players – drug companies, biotechnology firms, and database entities – to convene and address important AI questions. The group seeks to answer some fundamental questions, including: How do we ensure that we have ethical and appropriate use of artificial intelligence in health care? How do we make sure that that innovation gets to the patient as quickly as possible? 

    “If you think about your personal life, a decade ago, your car didn’t have autopilot modes where it drove itself,” says Sastry Chilukuri, co-CEO of Medidata and founder and president of Acorn AI. “You didn’t really have an iPhone – which is like a computer in your hand – much less like have an Apple Watch – which is like another minicomputer on your wrist pumping out all kinds of data.”

    “Our world has dramatically changed over just like the last 15 years,” he says. “It’s very interesting, I think. It’s a good time to be alive.”

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  • Chinese cities announce further easing of COVID curbs, though police are still patrolling streets to stop protests

    Chinese cities announce further easing of COVID curbs, though police are still patrolling streets to stop protests

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    Major Chinese cities on Thursday announced a further easing of COVID restrictions, as police continued to patrol streets to avert protests and the ruling Communist Party prepared for the funeral of late leader Jiang Zemin.

    Guangzhou in the south, Shijiazhuang in the north, Chengdu in the southwest and other major cities announced they were easing testing requirements and controls on movement, as the Associated Press reported. In some areas, markets and bus service has reopened.

    In Beijing, officials will let those infected patients who are at low risk to quarantine at home for a week, rather than in a government center, Bloomberg reported, citing unnamed sources.

     China has required anyone with any degree of COVID to stay at those sites to cut transmission. The first signs of the shift have been seen in the heavily populated Chaoyang district, home to foreign embassies and offices.

    Read now: Protests against strict COVID-zero policy are sweeping China but there is no sign yet of a national political movement

    Beijing is hoping to avoid more protests, while resources are also getting thin, those sources said. However, anyone wanting to isolate at home will have to provide a written guarantee to stay at home, with a magnetized alarm fitted on their door that will alert authorized if they try to leave, one source said. Bloomberg was unable to confirm the reports with officials from Beijing or its health department.

    Large protests erupted across China as crowds voiced their frustration at nearly three years of Covid-19 controls. Here’s how a deadly fire in Xinjiang sparked domestic upheaval and a political dilemma for Xi Jinping’s leadership. Photo: Thomas Peter/Reuters

    The World Health Organization’s weekly update shows the global tally of cases was flat in the week through Nov. 27 from the week earlier. The number of fatalities fell by 5% from the previous week.

    Japan again led the world by new cases, with an 18% increase to 698,772. It was followed by South Korea, where cases rose 4% to 378,751 and the U.S., where they rose 8% to 296,882.

    Omicron and its many subvariants and sublineages remained dominant in the period from Oct. 28 to Nov. 28, accounting for 99.9% of sequences reported to a central database. The BA.5 omicron subvariant and its sublineages were dominant in the week through Nov. 13 at 73.% of all sequences, and newer strains, including BQ. 1 and XBB continued to spread in November, the agency said.

    In the U.S., known cases of COVID are rising again with the daily average standing at 45,219 on Wednesday, according to a New York Times tracker, up 15% from two weeks ago. Cases are now rising in 37 states from two weeks ago, as well as in Guam and Washington, D.C., led by Georgia, where they are up 60%, and California, where they have climbed 57%.

    The daily average for hospitalizations was up 16% at 32,445, but again, the pace of the increase is not uniform across the country. Louisiana has the highest increase in hospitalizations at 99% from two weeks ago, followed by California, where they are up 62%.

    The daily average for deaths is down 7% at 262.

    Physicians are reporting high numbers of respiratory illnesses like RSV and the flu earlier than the typical winter peak. WSJ’s Brianna Abbott explains what the early surge means for the coming winter months. Photo illustration: Kaitlyn Wang

    Coronavirus Update: MarketWatch’s daily roundup has been curating and reporting all the latest developments every weekday since the coronavirus pandemic began

    Other COVID-19 news you should know about:

    • Nineteen people, including 17 New York City and New York state public employees, were charged in a federal complaint unsealed Wednesday with submitting fraudulent applications for funds intended to help small businesses survive the coronavirus pandemic, the AP reported. The accused, including employees of New York City’s police department, correction department and public school system, listed themselves as owners of businesses that in some cases did not exist in their applications for funds through the Small Business Administration’s Economic Injury Disaster Loan program and Paycheck Protection Program, federal prosecutors in Manhattan said. The defendants collectively stole more than $1.5 million from the SBA and financial institutions that issued SBA-guaranteed loans, prosecutors said.

    • The number of people in Europe with undiagnosed HIV has risen as testing rates fell during the pandemic, threatening a global goal of ending the disease by 2030, Reuters reported, citing a report from the WHO and European Center for Disease Prevention and Control. The report found that in 2021 a quarter fewer HIV diagnoses were recorded compared to pre-pandemic levels in the WHO’s European region.

    • Republican Gov. Jim Justice said Wednesday that West Virginia’s state of emergency related to the COVID-19 pandemic will end at the start of the new year, the AP reported. The state of emergency has been in effect since March 16, 2020. It allows the governor to suspend certain rules on personnel and purchasing. “The truth is, the state of emergency doesn’t affect a whole lot, you know, anymore,” he said. “We absolutely declared an emergency at a time that we had an emergency. … Now, we need to move on.”

    Here’s what the numbers say:

    The global tally of confirmed cases of COVID-19 topped 643.4 million on Thursday, while the death toll rose above 6.63 million, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.

    The U.S. leads the world with 98.8 million cases and 1,080,444 fatalities.

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s tracker shows that 228.4 million people living in the U.S., equal to 68.8% of the total population, are fully vaccinated, meaning they have had their primary shots.

    So far, just 37.6 million Americans have had the updated COVID booster that targets the original virus and the omicron variants, equal to 12.1% of the overall population.

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  • Use of drugs for weight loss causes supply shortage

    Use of drugs for weight loss causes supply shortage

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    Dramatic stories about weight loss seem to be everywhere on social media. Jennifer Huber, who shared her own story online, has lost more than 50 pounds in five months after starting Mounjaro, an injectable drug approved to treat her Type 2 diabetes. 

    “It’s this miracle,” Huber said. “I’ve got to pinch myself sometimes to say, is this real?” 

    The drug now has an Food and Drug Administration Fast Track designation as a tool for weight loss. 

    Mounjaro belongs to a class of drugs called GLP-1 agonists that includes Saxenda and Wegovy, which are already FDA-approved for weight loss in people who are either overweight with at least one weight-related medical problem or obese. 

    Dr. Amanda Velazquez, director of obesity medicine at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, said the drugs have been life changing for her patients. 

    “The medications help by making the gut feel that it is fuller, so fullness signals go to the brain,” Velazquez said. 

    It also helps with blood sugar regulation, she said. 

    However, the popularity of the drugs for weight loss is causing shortages for people who need them for other health issues. 

    “Someone who may only need to lose about five pounds most likely does not qualify for this,” Velazquez said in regards to whether people who don’t qualify per the criteria should take these medications. 

    Wegovy has a higher dose of the same active ingredient used in a diabetes drug called Ozempic, which is not approved for weight loss. Both are so popular that some doses are in short supply, which is troubling for people using Ozempic to treat diabetes. 

    Novo Nordisk, the maker of the drugs, says it’s making “short and long-term investments” to help with Ozempic supply disruptions. While it expects to have “all dose strengths of Wegovy available in December,” health care providers are being asked “to continue to hold off” starting new patients on the drug. 

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