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Tag: Government securities

  • RBI permits lending and borrowing of G-Secs

    RBI permits lending and borrowing of G-Secs

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    In a move that will add depth and liquidity to the government securities (G-Secs) market, the RBI has permitted permit lending and borrowing of G-Secs. 

    This move comes even as India is set to be included in the globally tracked JP Morgan’s Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets (GBI-EM) index, starting June 28, 2024.

    The RBI said G-Secs issued by the Central government excluding Treasury Bills will be eligible for lending/borrowing under a Government Security Lending (GSL) transaction.

    Securities obtained under a repo transaction, including through Reserve Bank’s Liquidity Adjustment Facility, or borrowed under another GSL transaction will also be eligible to be lent under a GSL transaction.

    Collateral placement

    Further, G-Secs issued by the Central Government (including Treasury Bills) and the State Governments will be eligible for placing as collateral under a GSL transaction.

    In addition, Securities obtained under a repo transaction, including through Reserve Bank’s Liquidity Adjustment Facility, or borrowed under another GSL transaction will also be eligible to be placed as collateral under a GSL transaction.

    GSL transactions may be contracted using any mutually agreed trading process/platform, including but not limited to, bilateral or multilateral, quote driven or order driven process, anonymous or otherwise, RBI said in its “Reserve Bank of India (Government Securities Lending) Directions, 2023”.

    RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, in his February 2023 “Statement on Developmental and Regulatory Policies” had said that RBI proposes to permit lending and borrowing of Government securities which will augment the existing market for ‘special repos’. 

    “A well-functioning market for securities lending and borrowing will add depth and liquidity to the Government securities market, aiding efficient price discovery.

    “… The system is expected to facilitate wider participation in the securities lending market by providing investors an avenue to deploy idle securities and enhance portfolio returns,” Das then said.

    The minimum tenor of a GSL transaction will be one day and the maximum tenor shall be the maximum period prescribed to cover short sales. All GSL transactions will settle on a Delivery versus Delivery basis.

    The central bank said SLR (statutory liquidity ratio) eligible securities borrowed under a GSL transaction will be eligible to be reckoned for SLR by the borrower.

    Accordingly, such securities lent under a GSL transaction will not be eligible to be reckoned for SLR by the lender.

    Further, SLR eligible securities received as collateral under a GSL transaction will be eligible to be reckoned for SLR by the lender.

    Accordingly, such securities placed as collateral under a GSL transaction will not be eligible to be reckoned for SLR by the borrower.

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  • El Salvador to repurchase more of its debt

    El Salvador to repurchase more of its debt

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    SAN SALVADOR, El Salvador — El Salvador’s government announced Tuesday that it will make a second buyback of its sovereign debt bonds maturing in 2023 and 2025 as it tries to calm market concerns that it could default on its debt.

    The government set the maximum for the repurchase at $74 million. The 2023 and 2025 bond offerings were $800 million each.

    In September, the government bought back $565 million of those bonds.

    President Nayib Bukele said via Twitter that the September repurchase “was so successful that we have decided to launch ANOTHER OFFER for the remainder of the 2023 and 2025 bonds.”

    The debt was issued by previous administrations in 1999 and 2004.

    El Salvador last year became the first country to make the cryptocurrency bitcoin legal tender, drawing criticism from international lenders. The International Monetary Fund asked the government to reverse that decision, but Bukele dismissed the request and said the country would issue bonds denominated in bitcoin, something that has still not happened a year later.

    Bukele’s government has also invested heavily in bitcoin, which has since plummeted in value.

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  • Time to shift from fixed deposits to debt funds; here’s why

    Time to shift from fixed deposits to debt funds; here’s why

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    RBI has been increasing repo rates – the rate at which the central bank lends to banks – and reducing system liquidity over the last five months. The increase in the key benchmark rate, after holding it for a long period since May 2020, has led to bond yields rising across maturities. For example, the benchmark 10-year G-Sec yields have risen almost 160 bps to 7.49 per cent over the last two years. 

    Accordingly, over the last two years, debt funds have not done well as they saw the prices of their holdings going down. This is because when interest rates rise, bond prices fall, and since debt mutual funds need to mark their NAVs to market daily, with the drop in bond prices NAV also suffer. “Debt funds this calendar year have seen investors pulling out almost Rs 2 lakh crore and the returns were mostly positive between 3-4 per cent annualised,” says Sandeep Bagla, CEO, TRUST Mutual Funds.  

    But with the yield-to-maturity of bonds going up, many experts say it is a good time to invest in debt funds. For example, if one has a medium-term horizon (4-6 years), doesn’t mind short-term fluctuations in returns, and is looking at post-tax returns, then a certain class of debt funds, called Target Maturity Funds do score well over fixed deposits. “Target Maturity Funds offer yields (net YTM) in the range of 7-7.25 per cent over the maturity of 4 to 6 years. They predominantly invest in government securities, PSU bonds, and state development loans (SDLs), and the instruments are held till the maturity of the scheme. They are good investment options if one treats them like open-ended Fixed Maturity Plans (FMPs), carrying high-quality bond portfolios and the potential for better post-tax returns. The only caveat is that the investor shouldn’t mind the temporary fluctuations in NAV,” says Alok Aggarwala, Chief Research Officer, Bajaj Capital Ltd.

    “We are recommending investments into funds which have roll down or portfolio maturity of 2 years or lesser. It is quite possible that inflation could remain stubborn and yields may remain higher for a longer period of time. At this point, we would advise only 5-10 per cent to longer-term funds, about 25 per cent to liquid/money market funds, and about 65 per cent to short-term funds or BPSU (Banking and PSU) debt funds with roll-down maturity of lower than 2 years,” says Bagla. 

    Debt funds also score over fixed deposits because of the tax advantage they offer. “When bond rates are rising faster than bank FD rates investing in bond funds should give a portfolio yield higher than fixed deposits. If an investor would hold his/her investment in mutual funds for more than 3 years, the investor would need to pay tax at long-term capital gains tax with indexation benefit. Hence, the post-tax returns for debt mutual funds could be far higher than post-tax returns of bank FDs as there are no tax benefits for holding 3-year deposits,” says Bagla.

    Hence, if one wants to leverage on interest rate movement, it is a good time to invest in debt funds. “For example, in fixed deposits, whereas bank deposits carry a low-interest rate of 5.45-6.10 per cent, certain AAA-rated corporate deposits carry a coupon of around 7 per cent or slightly higher, which, coupled with a lack of interest rate risk, makes them an attractive proposition,” says Aggarwala. Last but not least one needs to pick according to the risk profile, as a higher interest rate comes with higher risks.

    Also read: What is surcharge on income tax? Here’s how you can calculate it

    Also read: Top Sebi official lists out the oft-used modus operandi to commit financial frauds; Check details

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  • Japan Cabinet OKs $200B spending plan to counter inflation

    Japan Cabinet OKs $200B spending plan to counter inflation

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    TOKYO — Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s government approved Friday a hefty economic package that will include government funding of about 29 trillion yen ($200 billion) to soften the burden of costs from rising utility rates and food prices.

    Kishida was set to give a news conference in the evening.

    Inflation has been rising in Japan along with globally surging prices. A weakening of the yen against the dollar has amplified costs for imports.

    The stimulus package includes subsidies for households that are largely seen as an attempt by Kishida to lift his plunging popularity. His government has been rocked by the ruling Liberal Democratic Party’s close ties to the South Korean-based Unification church, which surfaced after the assassination of former leader Shinzo Abe in July.

    “We will make sure to deliver the measures to everyone and do our utmost so that people can feel supported in their daily lives,” Kishida said after preliminary approval of the package earlier in the day.

    Any market reaction to another flood of stimulus was likely already taken into account earlier in the week as share prices fell in Tokyo, with the benchmark Nikkei 225 losing 0.9% to 27,105.20.

    Japan has stuck to using fiscal measures, or government spending, to counter current economic challenges. While central banks around the world are raising interest rates aggressively to try to tame decades-high inflation, Japan’s inflation rate is a relatively moderate 3% and the greater fear is that the economy will stall, not overheat.

    The Bank of Japan, which has kept its benchmark rate at minus 0.1% since 2016, kept its longstanding lax monetary policy at a policy making meeting that wrapped up on Friday.

    In doing so, it runs the risk of seeing the yen weaken further since the Federal Reserve is still raising rates, which tends to push the dollar higher. That in turn will raise prices in Japan since it imports much of what it consumes.

    The overall size of the package, including private-sector funding and fiscal measures, is expected to amount to 71.6 trillion yen ($490 trillion), Kishida said.

    The plan includes about 45,000 yen ($300) subsidies for household electricity and gas bills and coupons worth 100,000 yen ($680) for women who are pregnant or rearing babies.

    The 29 trillion yen ($200 billion) spending package will be part of a supplementary budget that still must be approved by the parliament.

    Kishida vowed to compile and submit a budget plan and get it approved as soon as possible.

    His support ratings have sunk since July amid public criticisms over his Liberal Democratic Party’s longstanding cozy ties with the Unification Church, which is accused of brainwashing adherents into making huge donations, causing financial hardships and breaking up families.

    An LDP internal survey showed about half of its 400 lawmakers were tied to the church, though not as followers. Kishida’s economy minister, Daishiro Yamagiwa, was obliged to resign earlier this week because of his ties with the church and failure to explain them. He was replaced by former health minister Shigeyuki Goto.

    The hefty spending package will require issuing of more government bonds, further straining Japan’s worsening national debt that has piled up as the government spent heavily to counter the impact of the pandemic. Japan now has a long-term debt exceeding 1.2 quadrillion yen ($8.2 trillion), or more than 200% of the size of its economy.

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  • Asia stocks mixed after Wall St rises on corporate profits

    Asia stocks mixed after Wall St rises on corporate profits

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    BEIJING — Asian stock markets were mixed Wednesday after Wall Street rose on strong corporate profit reports.

    Tokyo advanced while Shanghai and Hong Kong declined. The yen stayed near a two-decade low near 149 to the dollar. Oil prices gained.

    Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 index rose 1.1% on Tuesday after investment bank Goldman Sachs, military contractor Lockheed Martin and others reported strong results.

    Market sentiment is “looking positive so far amid forecast-beating earnings,” said Anderson Alves of ActivTrades in a report.

    The profit reports helped at least temporarily offset investor worries that repeated interest rate hikes by U.S., European and Asian central banks to control inflation that is at multi-decade highs might tip the global economy into recession.

    That concern has helped to drag U.S. stocks into a bear market, or a decline of more than 20% by the S&P 500 from its January high.

    The Nikkei 225 in Tokyo gained 0.7% to 27,353.87 while the Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.3% to 3,072.85. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong lost 0.9% to 16,766.79.

    The Kospi in Seoul added less than 0.1% to 2,251.88 and Sydney’s S&P-ASX 200 advanced 0.4% to 6,807.80. New Zealand and Southeast Asian markets advanced.

    On Wednesday, the S&P 500 gained 3,719.98 as 90% of the stocks in the index rose.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.1% to close at 30,523.80. The Nasdaq composite advanced 0.9% to 10,772.40.

    With no major economic data releases planned this week, investors focused on corporate earnings.

    Goldman Sachs rose 2.3%, which helped to lift other lenders. Lockheed Martin jumped 8.7%, giving other military-related stocks a boost. General Dynamics rose 3.8%, Northrop Grumman gained 6.7% and Raytheon Technologies added 3.4%.

    Johnson & Johnson slipped 0.3% after reporting solid financial result s but a narrowed forecast as it deals with a strong dollar cutting into sales outside the United States.

    American Airlines, Union Pacific and American Express also report results this week.

    In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude rose 99 cents to $83.06 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the price basis for international oil trading, advanced 66 cents to $90.69 per barrel in London.

    The dollar eased to 149.16 yen from Tuesday’s 149.21 yen. The euro rose to 98.52 cents from 98.50 cents.

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  • UK leader in peril after Treasury chief axes ‘Trussonomics’

    UK leader in peril after Treasury chief axes ‘Trussonomics’

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    LONDON — The U.K.’s new Treasury chief ripped up the government’s economic plan on Monday, dramatically reversing most of the tax cuts and spending plans that new Prime Minister Liz Truss announced less than a month ago. The move raises more questions about how long the beleaguered British leader can stay in office, though Truss insisted she has no plans to quit.

    Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt, said he was scrapping “almost all” of Truss’ tax cuts, along with her flagship energy policy and her promise — repeated just last week — that there will be no public spending cuts.

    While the reversal of policy calmed financial markets and helped restore the government’s economic credibility, it further undermined the prime minister’s rapidly crumbling authority and fueled calls for her to step down before her despairing Conservative Party forces her out.

    Truss declined to attend the House of Commons to answer a question on the economy from the leader of the opposition, sending House of Commons leader Penny Mordaunt in her place. Mordaunt denied a lawmaker’s suggestion that Truss was “cowering under her desk” to avoid scrutiny.

    “The prime minister is not under a desk,” Mordaunt said, words hardly likely to inspire confidence in the leader who only came to power last month.

    Truss’ spokesman said the prime minister and Hunt had jointly agreed on the economic changes. But Hunt told Conservative lawmakers that Truss “backed him to the hilt in making difficult decisions” — suggesting he has a free hand to make policy.

    With Truss sitting silently beside him, Hunt told lawmakers that he was canceling Truss’ plan to reduce the basic rate of income tax by 1 percentage point and most of her other libertarian economic policies. In a message aimed squarely at reassuring the financial markets, he said Britain was “a country that funds our promises and pays our debts.”

    “And when that is questioned, as it has been, this government will take the difficult decisions necessary to ensure there is trust and confidence in our national finances,” Hunt said.

    Hunt was appointed Friday after Truss fired his predecessor Kwasi Kwarteng, who spent less than six weeks in the Treasury job. Hunt is seeking to restore the Conservative government’s credibility for sound fiscal policy after Truss and Kwarteng rushed out a plan for tax cuts without detailing how they would pay for them.

    Truss and Kwarteng jointly came up with a Sept. 23 announcement of 45 billion pounds ($50 billion) in unfunded tax cuts that immediately spooked the financial markets. The cuts fueled investor concerns about unsustainable levels of government borrowing, which pushed up government borrowing costs, raised home mortgage costs and sent the pound plummeting to an all-time low against the dollar. The Bank of England was forced to intervene to protect pension funds, which were squeezed by volatility in the bond market.

    Over the weekend, Hunt has been dismantling that economic plan. The government had already ditched parts of its tax-cutting plan and announced it would make a medium-term fiscal statement on Oct. 31, weeks earlier than previously scheduled.

    On Monday, Hunt went further. He scaled back a cap on energy prices designed to help households pay their bills. It will now be reviewed in April rather than lasting two years — sweeping away one of Truss’ signature plans to help Britons facing a cost-of-living crisis as food, fuel and mortgage prices soar.

    Hunt told lawmakers that the measures he announced would save 32 billion pounds a year, but that spending cuts were also coming.

    “There remain, I’m afraid, many difficult decisions to be announced” in the fuller budget statement on Oct. 31, he said.

    Hunt also said he was setting up a new Economic Advisory Council of economists and investment bankers to help inform policy — a far cry from Truss’ bid to throw out economic “orthodoxy.”

    The pound rose more than 1% to above $1.13 in London after Hunt’s announcements. That pushed the U.K. currency back above where it was trading on Sept. 22, the day before Kwarteng announced the tax cuts.

    Yields on 10-year government bonds, an indicator of government borrowing costs, fell to 3.947% from 4.327% on Friday. It was 3.495% on Sept. 22. Bond yields tend to rise as the risk of a borrower defaulting increases.

    Paul Johnson, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies think tank, said Monday’s announcements would not be enough “to undo the damage caused by the debacle of the last few weeks. But they are big, welcome, clear steps in the right direction.”

    The financial fiasco has turned Truss into a lame-duck prime minister. She took office just six weeks ago after winning a party election to replace Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who was forced out in July after ethics scandals ensnared his administration. Many Conservatives now believe their only hope is to replace Truss — but they are divided about who should take over.

    In a BBC interview, Truss conceded that she had made mistakes. But, she vowed, “I will lead the Conservatives into the next general election.”

    Few believe that possible. The Conservative Party still commands a large majority in Parliament, and — in theory — has two years until a national election must be held. Polls suggest holding an election now would be a wipeout for the Tories, with the Labour Party winning a big majority.

    Labour Party economics spokeswoman Rachel Reeves said Truss was “barely in office, and she is certainly not in power,” and claimed the Conservatives could not fix the problems they had caused.

    “The truth is an arsonist is still an arsonist, even if he runs back into the burning building with a bucket of water,” she said.

    Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at online trading firm IG, said the markets were reassured by the presence of Hunt, a former U.K. foreign secretary and health chief.

    “I think markets in some ways would rather things just stayed as they are for a while,” he said. “OK, the PM has found her authority quite truncated. But at least you’ve got the chancellor in place almost running the country.

    “I think they’re quite content with that slightly odd state of affairs, for the moment.”

    ———

    Jo Kearney contributed to this story.

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