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Tag: gold

  • Beyond bullion: Smarter ways for Canadians to invest in gold – MoneySense

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    Images of people lining up at gold dealers around the world have become common again, and Canada is no exception. As early as September 2023, Global News reported a “gold rush” at Costco, where one-ounce gold bars were selling out within hours of being listed online.

    But before giving in to the fear of missing out, it may be worth considering some alternatives to physical gold. Investment case aside, there are several practical reasons why owning bullion directly may not be the best approach for many investors.

    The case against bullion

    This isn’t an argument against owning gold directly. I have a few Gold Maple Leaf coins myself and there’s something almost primal about holding them. The weight, the shine—it taps into an ancient fascination with the metal that no security can replicate.

    But objectively, buying and storing physical bullion has never been the most seamless or efficient way to gain gold exposure.

    The first issue is the bid-ask spread. When you buy from a dealer, you’re not transacting at the spot price you see quoted online. Dealers make their money on the spread between what they sell at and what they’ll buy back for. As of October 17, for example, Vancouver Bullion & Currency Exchange (VBCE) listed one-ounce Gold Maple Leaf coins as follows:

    • VBCE Buy: $5,893 CAD
    • VBCE Sell: $6,068 CAD

    That’s a spread of $175, or about 3%. In other words, gold prices have to rise by at least that much just for you to break even.

    Then there’s the matter of security. I keep mine in a heavy-duty, bolted-down, fireproof safe that wasn’t cheap. Hiding it under a mattress or burying it in the backyard isn’t advisable.

    If you decide to store it at the bank, you’ll pay annual fees for a safety deposit box and, more importantly, reintroduce counterparty risk. The whole point of owning gold is to remove intermediaries, but as soon as it’s sitting in a bank vault, it’s no longer fully in your control.

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    If your top priority is to physically hold your wealth, to have it in your possession, then by all means, buy bullion. There’s nothing wrong with that. Just know it’s not as easy as clicking “buy” on a screen. You have to find a reputable dealer, pay a premium, arrange secure storage, and handle logistics that digital gold holders never have to think about. And since gold produces no income, every expense—from dealer spreads to storage—comes directly out of your total return.

    If your main reason for owning gold is to diversify a portfolio or participate in its price rally—rather than to establish self-custodied reserves as a last-ditch store of value—it’s worth considering other vehicles. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs), closed-end funds (CEFs), and gold mining equities can all provide exposure without the friction, cost, and security headaches of physical bullion.

    Gold ETFs

    Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are open-ended funds that correspond directly to custodied, audited reserves of gold. They benefit from the same in-kind creation and redemption structure used by all ETFs, meaning authorized participants can exchange shares for physical gold (and vice versa).

    This arbitrage mechanism helps keep the ETF’s market price closely aligned with its net asset value (NAV), reducing the risk of persistent premiums or discounts.

    There are plenty of choices from Canadian issuers. The main things to focus on are low management expense ratios (MERs) and tight bid-ask spreads, since both affect total return over time. A good example is the BMO Gold Bullion ETF (ZGLD), which carries a competitive 0.23% MER and holds unencumbered, 400-ounce gold bars in a local BMO vault that’s regularly audited. 

    For investors looking for a low-cost, liquid way to track gold’s spot price, ETFs like this tend to be the most straightforward and accessible route.

    Gold CEFs

    Before ETFs dominated the market, closed-end funds were the go-to security for gold exposure. Unlike ETFs, they don’t create or redeem shares on demand.

    A CEF is issued with a fixed number of shares at its IPO, and afterward, trading takes place only among investors in the open market. Because of that, supply and demand can cause the market price to deviate from NAV, leading to either a discount or premium.

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    Tony Dong, MSc, CETF

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  • Institutional Investors Have Turned More Bullish on Gold Than the Magnificent 7

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    Institutional investors are buying more stocks than ever and yet they have turned more bullish on gold than the Magnificent 7, according to Bank of America’s October fund manager survey.

    Forty-three percent of respondents ranked “long gold” as the most crowded trade this month, ahead of the 39 percent for “long Magnificent 7.”

    That’s flipped since September, when 42 percent of respondents said “long Magnificent 7” was the most crowded trade and just 25 percent said the same for “long gold.”

    For context, over the last four weeks:

    • Gold: +14.3 percent
    • Magnificent 7: -0.50 percent

    No wonder the latest round of fund manager respondents — who together oversee $468 billion in assets — have changed tune on the most crowded trade. 

    The performance and survey sentiment aligns with JPMorgan’s recent report on the so-called debasement trade, which details investors’ broad rotation into hard assets like gold or bitcoin.

    It also tracks with the recent uptick in chatter around an AI bubble.

    In fact, according to BofA’s survey, the biggest tail risk for investors is an “AI equity bubble,” with one-third of respondents ranking that first.

    In September, that wasn’t even seen as a top-three tail risk.

    In a separate report published Wednesday, Bank of America also reported that clients bought the dip last week with the S&P 500 falling 2.4 percent after being net-sellers for the prior four weeks.

    • Inflows into single stocks hit $4.1 billion, 5th highest since 2008
    • Institutional weekly inflows hit highest level since November 2022
    • Hedge funds continued to sell equities for a 5th week in a row

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    Phil Rosen

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  • Elon Musk Ends His Bitcoin Silence With A Surprising Comment

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    They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

    Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

    Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley!

    So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

    Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

    Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

    Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

    Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects.

    So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

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    Christian Encila

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  • Peter Schiff Dismisses BTC’s ‘Digital Gold’ Status Following Recent Crash

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    Economist Peter Schiff renews attacks on Bitcoin, claiming its latest crash exposes the myth of “digital gold” amid rising gold prices.

    Long-term Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff is at it again, this time challenging the cryptocurrency’s narrative as ‘digital gold.’

    This follows the asset’s recent dip that was triggered by increased geopolitical tensions and aggressive tariff announcements from the U.S. administration.

    Schiff Says Bitcoin Crash Is a “Warning”

    In an October 14 X post, the economist dismissed the belief that Bitcoin’s recent flash crash was a buying opportunity, framing it instead as a sign of deeper instability.

    “The Friday Bitcoin flash crash wasn’t a buying opportunity but a warning,” Schiff wrote, adding that the next time its price falls, even a post from President Trump might not be enough to help it recover.

    Schiff believes that its metal counterpart’s surge exposes the “fiction” of Bitcoin as digital gold, suggesting that the cryptocurrency’s perceived role as a safe-haven asset is unraveling. “The bottom can drop out of Bitcoin at any time,” he added.

    Bitcoin recently experienced a sharp correction that dragged it to a low of $110,201 on October 10. On the other hand, gold has continued setting fresh highs this year, crossing the $4100 mark.

    In a separate post, the financial commentator doubled down on his position, stating that gold and silver continue to surge while Bitcoin and Ethereum keep declining. He warned that crypto investors are in for a rude awakening and will soon learn a valuable but costly lesson.

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    His latest remarks follow weeks of commentary claiming that Bitcoin’s underperformance against the precious metal is a warning that the cryptocurrency is in a deeper bear market. The gold advocate went as far as predicting that the leading digital currency will soon crash.

    BTC Price Outlook

    Bitcoin’s brief rebound on Monday has since faded, with the cryptocurrency now trading around $111,800. This marks a nearly 10% drop in the past week and over 11% below its record high above $126,000 that it hit in August.

    The decline follows last week’s market crash, which led to a rise in bearish trading and an increase in put options expiring at the end of October, according to Hendrik Ghys, founder of Thalex Global.

    Ghys said that market volatility has eased to around 40 percent in the short term, showing that the panic has cooled as traders adjust their risk. Market makers who buy during dips and sell during rallies remain cautiously hopeful, expecting to manage their positions more effectively if volatility continues to fall.

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    Wayne Jones

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  • At this rate, the price of gold could soar to $10,000 per ounce in just three years | Fortune

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    After surging nearly 50% so far this year, gold could skyrocket 150% as early as 2028 if its current pace keeps up.

    The precious metal topped $4,000 per ounce for the first time ever earlier this week, then got another jolt Friday, when President Donald Trump said he will impose an additional 100% tariff on China and limit U.S. exports of software.

    Stocks suffered their worst loss since the height of Trump’s trade war chaos in April. The dollar fell while gold jumped 1.5%, reinforcing its status as a safe haven asset as investors lose confidence in the greenback.

    In a note on Monday, market veteran Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, went over his earlier bullish calls on gold, which has repeatedly reached his forecasts ahead of schedule.

    During that time, he cited gold’s traditional role as a hedge against inflation, central banks de-dollarizing after Russia’s assets were frozen, the bursting of China’s housing bubble, as well as Trump’s trade war and his attempts to upend the world’s geopolitical order.

    “We are now aiming for $5,000 in 2026,” Yardeni added. “If it continues on its current path, it could reach $10,000 before the end of the decade.”

    Based on gold’s trajectory since late 2023, the price could reach the $10,000-per-ounce milestone sometime between mid-2028 and early 2029.

    Gold has also gotten a lift recently from the Federal Reserve’s pivot back to rate cuts last month, with policymakers shifting more attention to the stagnating labor market and away from fighting inflation, which has remained stubbornly above their 2% target amid Trump’s tariffs.

    While the Fed hasn’t signaled an aggressive easing cycle, the prospect of more rate cuts while GDP growth remains strong has added to inflation concerns.

    At the same time, soaring debt among top developed economies, including the U.S., has turned investors skittish on global currencies. That’s fueled a so-called debasement trade that bets on precious metals and bitcoin assuming governments let inflation run hotter to ease debt burdens.

    In a note on Wednesday, Capital Economics climate and commodities economist Hamad Hussain said “FOMO” is creeping into the gold trade, making it harder to objectively value the metal. He expects prices to continue rising, though the pace of gains will slow as key tailwinds weaken.

    On the bullish side, Hussain pointed to Fed rate cuts, geopolitical uncertainty, and fiscal sustainability concerns. On the other hand, he noted the recent gold rally came as the dollar was stable (until Friday) with inflation-protected bond yields higher—telltale signs of market exuberance.

    “As ever, the lack of an income stream makes it notoriously hard to value gold objectively,” he said. “On balance, we think that gold prices will probably grind higher in nominal terms over the next couple of years.”

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    Jason Ma

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  • It’s Unusual for Gold and Stocks to Boom at the Same Time

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    Want more stock market and economic analysis from Phil Rosen directly in your inbox? Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily’s newsletter

    Gold is having its best year in decades but it’s happening at the wrong time, according to history.

    The metal is often seen as a fear gauge, a hedge against risk and panic that fluctuates based on economic confidence. That’s why it tends to alternate strong and weak years with equities.

    This year, though, gold is outpacing the S&P 500 by 35 percent — one of its widest margins since the financial crisis. Historically, that kind of move has only happened during moments of stress:

    • 2008 housing crash
    • 2011 euro-zone debt panic
    • 2020 pandemic

    But right now gold is surging while the S&P 500 enters its third year of a bull run.

    Gold is beating stocks by about 1.5 standard deviations above its long-run average, making this moment a statistical anomaly, according to DataTrek Research.

    “Not only is gold’s recent performance versus the S&P unusual in terms of magnitude, but it is also coming at the ‘wrong’ time in an investment cycle,” said DataTrek co-founders Nicholas Colas and Jessica Rabe.

    “There is no analog to this price action over the last two decades.”

    Indeed, the S&P 500 is having a better-than-expected year with a 14.7 percent return, but gold is up almost 50 percent.   

    During past cycles, gold only climbed when investors sought out safety. But somehow right now, with risk-assets booming and Big Tech ruling the market, gold and stocks are making record highs simultaneously.

    There are a few reasons for this:

    • Global central banks have ramped up gold purchases
    • Retail investors are piling into gold
    • Demand for gold ETFs is booming

    It seems, then, that the appetite for gold during the equity bull market is a consequence of investors seeking diversification in their optimism.

    Rather than hedging risk like usual, they want as many winners as possible in their portfolio. That in itself seems to signal an overabundance of confidence in the current outlook.

    “[G]old is dramatically outperforming at a time when history says it should be languishing,” Colas and Rabe said.

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    Phil Rosen

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  • Why Gold and Bitcoin Are Breaking Records

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    Want more stock market and economic analysis from Phil Rosen directly in your inbox? Subscribe to Opening Bell Daily’s newsletter

    Gold and bitcoin have notched banner years, and this week both assets touched new all-time highs. 

    Gold breached $4,000 for the first time ever, while its digital counterpart moved above $126,000. They have climbed 51% and 31% in 2025, respectively.

    Both are the two top-performing assets of the year, and as Charlie Bilello of Creative Planning noted, gold and bitcoin have never finished as the first- and second-best performing spots for any calendar year.

    It’s no coincidence that just a week ago JPMorgan strategists crowned the arrival of the “debasement trade.” 

    Investors and institutions, they said, are increasingly seeking out hard assets that won’t depreciate in the face of rising government debt, inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and “waning confidence in fiat currencies.” 

    As I’ve reported for Opening Bell Daily, investors have been seeking out ways to protect their purchasing power and outrun inflation.  

    Equity investors have been able to stave off inflation, but when you denominate the returns of the stock market in bitcoin or gold, rather than US dollars, the returns are not as attractive. 

    As the charts illustrate, gold has appreciated more than 150% since 2020, while the US dollar has lost more than 20% of its purchasing power. 

    Bitcoin, meanwhile, has gained roughly 1,000% in the same period.

    Buying into gold and bitcoin are as much a bet on those assets maintaining their value as it is an expectation for the US dollar to depreciate over time.

    Indeed, structural forces around the world look poised to push more capital into hard assets and out of fiat currencies, pushing their prices in opposite directions. 
    “Investors are scared that governments around the world have created too much debt, therefore nation states and central banks have to debase their currency in order to avoid default,” investor Anthony Pompliano wrote in a note Monday. “Holding dollars will be a losing strategy in this scenario.”

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    Phil Rosen

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  • Shares Cautious in Asia as US Government Faces Shutdown Risk

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    SYDNEY (Reuters) -Share markets got off to a cautious start in Asia on Monday as investors braced for a possible shutdown of the U.S. government, which would in turn delay publication of the September payrolls report and a raft of other key data.

    President Donald Trump will meet with the top Democratic and Republican leaders in Congress later on Monday to discuss extending government funding. Without a deal a shutdown would begin from Wednesday, which is also when new U.S. tariffs on heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals and other items go into effect.

    A protracted closure could leave the Federal Reserve flying blind on the economy when it meets on October 29.

    “If the shutdown lasts beyond the Fed meeting, the Fed will rely on private data for its policy decisions,” analysts at BofA wrote in a note. “On the margin, we think this may lower the likelihood of an October cut, but only marginally.”

    Markets imply a 90% chance of a Fed cut in October, with around a 65% probability of another in December.

    The BofA analysts estimated a shutdown would subtract only a slight 0.1% percentage point from economic growth for every week it lasted, while noting the impact on financial markets had been minimal in the past.

    They cautioned that should the government use the closure to lay off workers permanently, then it could have a more meaningful impact on payrolls and consumer confidence.

    There is also much uncertainty about what might happen at a meeting of U.S. generals and admirals in Quantico, Virginia, on Tuesday, called by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth which Trump will reportedly attend.

    Q4 USUALLY GOOD FOR STOCKS

    Otherwise, analysts expected equities to be supported by buying for the new quarter which historically tends to be a positive one for stocks. The S&P 500 has gained 74% of the time in the fourth quarters.

    S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both up 0.2%, having eased modestly last week.

    EUROSTOXX 50 futures added 0.3%, as did FTSE futures and DAX futures.

    Japan’s Nikkei slipped 0.7%, having risen 6% for September so far, while South Korea bounced 1.2%, bringing its gains for the month to 6.3%.

    MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan firmed 0.4%, to be up almost 4% for the month.

    In bond markets, Treasuries found support at 4.17% having been pressured last week by a run of upbeat U.S. economic data, that led investors to pare back expectations for how low Fed rates might ultimately go.

    A host of central bank speakers are on the diary this week, with at least four from the Fed and the European Central Bank appearing on Monday alone.

    The dollar index was steady at 98.134 having benefited from the batch of better economic news last week. The euro held at $1.1708, in the lower half of its recent $1.1646 to $1.1918 range.

    The dollar stood at 149.49 yen, after rallying just over 1% last week and away from the September low around 145.50.

    In commodity markets, gold was holding just below a record high at $3,764 an ounce. [GOL/]

    Oil prices slipped as crude started to flow through a pipeline from the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region in northern Iraq to Turkey for the first time in 2-1/2 years. [O/R]

    Reuters reported OPEC+ will likely approve another oil production increase of at least 137,000 barrels per day at its meeting next Sunday.

    Brent dropped 0.8% to $69.57 a barrel, while U.S. crude eased 0.9% to $65.14 per barrel.

    (Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

    Copyright 2025 Thomson Reuters.

    Photos You Should See – Sept. 2025

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    Reuters

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  • The Bitcoin Bear Market is Here… or at Least That’s What Peter Schiff Thinks

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    Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has doubled down on his stance, this time claiming the flagship cryptocurrency is in a bear market.

    However, the crypto community pushed back against his remarks, with many arguing that his analysis relied too heavily on short-term data.

    BTC Down 20% against Gold

    The economist dismissed Bitcoin in a September 24 post on X, stating it is “not living up to its hype.” He pointed out that the cryptocurrency has dropped 20% against gold since its August peak, a fall that he said means it’s in bear market territory.

    Schiff added that since the crypto asset is promoted as “digital gold,” the 20% drop terms is comparatively more than the 10% decline in dollar terms.

    Bitcoin recently experienced a sharp correction that dragged it more than 8% down from its all-time high of $123,800 on August 13 to a recent 13-day low of $112,200 on September 22. On the other hand, gold has continued setting fresh highs this year, climbing more than 11% over the past month.

    This isn’t the first time Schiff has made such claims. A few days ago, he predicted that the metal’s steady strength could set the stage for a breakout while it’s counterpart continues to slip. His view is supported by analyst Stockmoney Lizards, who pointed to a bearish rising wedge in the leading cryptocurrency’s pattern.

    The latter’s chart shows $112,000 as the immediate support level, with $110,000 identified as the critical threshold, which means that a break below that point could signal a deeper decline.

    Crypto Community Fires Back

    Crypto supporters have rejected Schiff’s bearish outlook, with people accusing him of not factoring in the digital asset’s long-term dominance. Some claimed he is “moving the goalposts” by measuring Bitcoin in gold, pointing out that the cryptocurrency is still up triple digits against the metal over the past five years. Others dismissed his argument that a 20% decline constituted a bear market, saying that “in crypto, calling a 20% dip a ‘bear market’ is like calling a drizzle a flood.”

    Another X user highlighted the leading digital asset’s long-term dominance, noting that over the past decade, gold priced in Bitcoin has collapsed by 99.3%, dropping from about 4.84 BTC per ounce in 2015 to just 0.033 BTC today.

    The 62-year-old has remained relentless in his bearish stance. According to the artificial intelligence platform Grok, he has made 237 separate predictions since 2011 forecasting Bitcoin’s crash, collapse, or eventual worthlessness.

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    Wayne Jones

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  • Investors Are So Confident in the Trump Economy They’re Turning to Gold

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    The president promised a “golden age,” but Americans buying actual gold to hedge against an unstable economy is probably not what he had in mind.

    Gold—it’s not only the decoration of choice for Donald Trump’s White House, but, it seems, the asset of choice for investors skittish about the economy he’s overseeing.

    Gold prices have been surging lately, climbing to a record high Tuesday amid declining value of the US dollar, political instability, and anxiety over the president’s signature tariffs—the latest sign that his economy may not exactly be the “miracle” he promised he’d deliver on the campaign trail.

    “Investors turn to gold not only for its historical role as a safe haven, but also for its ability to hedge against inflation, currency volatility, and geopolitical risk,” said Juan Carlos Artigas, regional CEO (Americas) and global head of research for the World Gold Council. “While rising gold prices don’t guarantee economic headwinds, they often signal that investors are preparing for them.”

    The alarm bells have been ringing loudly since this summer, when a bruising Bureau of Labor Statistics report showed the worst three-month stretch of hiring since the pandemic. Trump, furious at the numbers, fired the BLS commissioner, Erika McEntarfer, insisting that she had manipulated the data for “political purposes.”

    “In my opinion, today’s Jobs Numbers were RIGGED in order to make the Republicans, and ME, look bad,” Trump posted on his social media site in August, taking a shot at Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for good measure. (After her firing, McEntarfer told an audience at an event at Bard College, “Firing your chief statisticians for releasing data you do not like, it has serious economic consequences.”)

    Trump, of course, had been browbeating Powell about cutting interest rates—threatening to fire him, and seeking to oust a Fed governor as part of an apparent effort to exert more control over the independent body. (The governor—Lisa Cook—has contested Trump’s allegations of mortgage fraud and sued Trump, and the courts have blocked her firing so far.) The Fed finally did cut rates last week, but only after another troubling sign for the economy: a revised hiring estimate from the BLS that showed 911,000 fewer jobs had been added to the economy in the year ending in March 2025.

    Trump has insisted that everything is running smoothly. “We are, as a country, as you know, doing unbelievably well,” he said at a state dinner hosted by King Charles in the United Kingdom last week. “We had a very sick country one year ago. And today, I believe we’re the hottest country anywhere in the world. In fact, nobody is even questioning it.”

    A good many people do seem to be questioning that though: The economy, a signature issue of Trump’s winning 2024 campaign, appears to be turning into a polling vulnerability for him. Two of his most significant economic initiatives—his belligerent tariff regime, and the “Big Beautiful Bill” his Republican majorities rammed through on the Hill this summer—appear to be broadly unpopular with the American public. And his overall approval rating is underwater. His gilded White House—“That’s all 24-karat,” he has bragged of his redecorated Oval Office—doesn’t seem to reflect the mood of most everyday Americans, whom he’d promised in his campaign to rescue from their economic precarity.

    Back then, he said he would usher in a “golden age” in America. In one sense, that’s true: Investors seem so confident in the economy he’s overseeing that they’re turning to gold.

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    Eric Lutz

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  • You’ve heard that gold is hitting record highs. Not quite, BofA says | Fortune

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    Gold prices have indeed soared to all-time highs in 2025, prompting headlines about a historic rally. But according to Bank of America (BofA) Global Research, the story is more nuanced: The gold sector, while booming, hasn’t returned to all of the metrics that defined previous cyclical peaks, especially regarding its value relative to the broader equity market and its own historical valuations.

    This year, gold surged past major thresholds, as the traditional hedge against inflation and macroeconomic uncertainty has been propelled by a preponderance of both. On September 2, gold shot past $3,500/oz, climbing further to $3,600/oz on the Monday following the disappointing U.S. jobs data for August, which raised bets on easier monetary policy. The BofA Commodities team is “bullish,” they say, now forecasting the quarterly average price reaching $4,000/oz in the second quarter of 2026, with the spot price already up 4.1% week-over-week to $3,589/oz.

    Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, told Fortune in March that gold may be a good investment for some but it’s not exactly liquid. “You’re not sending gold to buy your Domino’s pizza,” he said, adding that gold’s rally in recent years has been driven by central banks buying the precious metal as the U.S. dollar weakens and countries like China seek alternatives.  

    Here’s why Bank of America says perspective is important in evaluating gold’s record high, and it depends on how you look at it.

    Sector market cap doubling past peaks, but …

    The global gold sector’s total market capitalization has ballooned to just over $550 billion, nearly twice the peaks seen in 2011 and 2020 ($331-$334 billion), more than 8x the 2016 cycle low ($70 billion), and more than 3x the recent cycle low of $170 billion in 2022. This rally, according to BofA, reflects not just price gains. but also investor interest heightened by inflation and sector cost pressures.

    Yet, when viewed as a share of the total global equity market, gold’s ascent looks less dramatic and it’s “far below” its previous highs, the Commodities team says. The sector now stands at 0.39% of world market capitalization, matching the 2020 peak but still far below 2011’s high of 0.71%. If the sector returned to that 2011 percentage, it would imply a market cap of nearly $990 billion—a potential upside only if the cycle continues long enough.

    Room to run

    Despite high metal prices, gold equities are not trading at historical top valuations. The sector’s next-12-month (NTM) EV/EBITDA multiple sits at 11x, well below the 2020 peak of 15.4x. Price-to-net-asset-value (P/NAV) for the sector rests at 1.88x, compared to 2.27x in 2020 and 2.19x in 2011. Adjusted for current spot gold prices, sector multiples suggest even further upside, with NTM EV/EBITDA at 11.7x and P/NAV at 1.39x.

    Gold equities have responded to the price rally, but not uniformly. Major indices such as the S&P/TSX Global Gold Index (+5.5% WoW), Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index (+4.8%), and NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index (+4.1%) all surged alongside bullion’s breakout. Year-to-date, Fresnillo is the best performer, climbing over 268%, spotlighting disparate returns in the sector.

    BofA’s research points to room for growth—if current trends in monetary policy, inflation, and investor sentiment persist. However, the gold sector remains a small slice of the global equity pie, with equity valuations still well below historical highs. For market observers, the surging price of gold is only part of the story; the fundamentals suggest this boom is not yet a rerun of previous peaks, and “record highs” should be viewed in context.

    For this story, Fortune used generative AI to help with an initial draft. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing. 

    Fortune Global Forum returns Oct. 26–27, 2025 in Riyadh. CEOs and global leaders will gather for a dynamic, invitation-only event shaping the future of business. Apply for an invitation.

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    Nick Lichtenberg

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  • Gold price today, Monday, September 15: Gold opens above $3,600 ahead of expected rate cut this week

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    Gold (GC=F) futures opened at $3,680.20 per ounce on Monday, up 0.8% from Friday’s close of $3,649.40. Gold has opened above $3,600 daily since September 9.

    Investors are awaiting the Fed’s next interest rate decision on September 17. A 25-basis-point cut is widely expected, though President Trump told reporters Sunday that he expected “a big cut.” The Fed will also release its dot plot this week, a chart outlining how each Fed committee member predicts interest rates will evolve over the next few years. The dot plot is an indicator of future rate changes, given the information available today. The Fed’s interest-rate decisions are designed to support maximum sustainable employment and low inflation.

    The price of gold typically responds well to lower interest rates.

    The opening price of gold futures on Monday is up 0.8% from Friday’s close of $3,649.40 per ounce. Monday’s opening price is up 2.4% from the opening price of $3,594.50 one week ago on September 8. In the past month, the gold futures price has increased 10% compared to the opening price of $3,346.80 on August 15, 2025. In the past year, gold is up 43.3% from the opening price of $2,568.80 on September 13, 2024.

    24/7 gold price tracking: Don’t forget you can monitor the current price of gold on Yahoo Finance 24 hours a day, seven days a week.

    Want to learn more about the current top-performing companies in the gold industry? Explore a list of the top-performing companies in the gold industry using the Yahoo Finance Screener. You can create your own screeners with over 150 different screening criteria.

    Investing in gold is a four-step process:

    1. Set your goal

    2. Set an allocation

    3. Choose a form

    4. Consider your investment timeline

    The first step to investing in gold is understanding your goals for buying it.

    Given gold’s historic behavior, three suitable investing goals for a gold position are:

    1. Diversification into an asset that moves independently from stock prices

    2. Protection against inflation-related loss of purchase power

    3. Backup source of value and wealth in an unlikely economic collapse

    Gold has long been part of a balanced portfolio given its ability to hold its value – or even increase further – when the value of other assets is falling. That is why investors utilize gold as a stabilizer. Investors rely on gold’s strength in tough times to limit unrealized losses in equities and inflation-related reductions in purchasing power of cash deposits. That’s exactly what we’re seeing play out now before our eyes.

    Gold is also a widely recognized store of value. As such, the precious metal can potentially stand in as a medium of exchange if the dollar collapses.

    “I recommend that everyone buy a little gold as a hedge against calamity,” said Scott Travers, author of The Coin Collector’s Survival Manual and editor of “COINage” magazine, in an interview with Bottom Line, Inc. Gold “should be viewed as an insurance policy,” he said.

    Learn more: How to invest in gold in four steps

    Whether you’re tracking the price of gold since last month or last year, the price-of-gold chart below shows the precious metal’s steady upward climb in value.

    Historically, gold has shown extended up cycles and down cycles. The precious metal was in a growth phase from 2009 to 2011. It then trended down, failing to set a new high for nine years.

    In those lackluster years for gold, your position will negatively impact your overall investment returns. If that feels problematic, a lower allocation percentage is more appropriate. On the other hand, you may be willing to accept gold’s underperforming years so you can benefit more in the good years. In this case, you can target a higher percentage.

    The precious metal has been in the news lately, and many analysts are bullish on gold. In May, Goldman Sachs Research predicted gold would reach $3,700 a troy ounce by year-end 2025. That would equate to a 40% increase for the year, based on gold’s January 2 opening price of $2,633. Rising demand from central banks, along with uncertainty related to changing U.S. tariff policy, are the factors driving the increase.

    If you are interested in learning more about gold’s historical value, Yahoo Finance has been tracking the historical price of gold since 2000.

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  • What’s Next for Gold and Silver? Bybit Highlights Crucial Market Factors

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    The next few months will be crucial for precious metals like gold and silver, as the market will likely move in either a bullish or bearish direction. Regardless of the market’s direction, an analysis by the crypto exchange Bybit has made it clear that macroeconomic factors will play a massive role in the outcome.

    According to a report written in collaboration with the forex market insights platform FXStreet, Bybit believes that gold and silver could experience a bull run in the coming weeks.

    Fed May Lower Interest Rates

    The report emphasizes that interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve will significantly impact the price trajectory of precious metals. While gold has reached new highs, silver still has more upside. Regardless, on-chain metrics suggest significant room for rallies in both assets.

    Two days ago, gold hit an all-time high (ATH) at $3,508 per ounce, surpassing its previous record of $3,500 set on April 22. At the time, the surge could be attributed to the market uncertainty triggered by President Donald Trump’s tariffs. This time, however, analysts have tied gold’s upswing to expectations of a potential interest rate cut later this month.

    The Fed last cut rates in December; if the agency lowers rates this month, it would mark the first time this year. There are expectations that the rates will be reduced from 4.5% to 4.25%, and the figure could fall further if additional cuts are made in November and December.

    On The Brink of a Bull Run

    Gold is already up 32% this year, but analysts have set a medium-term target of $4,000 by year-end. If gold reaches that level, it would have risen 14% from its current price. On its part, silver has outperformed gold, increasing 40% year-to-date (YTD). However, the precious metal is still trading just above $40, which is below its ATH of $50 recorded in April 2011. The asset needs to rise an additional 25% to revisit and possibly surpass the $50.

    These rallies will be possible if the Fed cuts rates this month and follows up with similar moves in November and December. When regulatory agencies cut interest rates, money tends to leave banks and bonds and move into alternative stores of value. These alternatives include cryptocurrencies, stocks, and metals.

    Although gold offers no yield, it becomes one of the most attractive safe-haven assets when rates fall. Additionally, the broader macroeconomic environment also favors metals, especially when global debt levels are rising and concerns persist over fiscal deficits and inflation.

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    Mandy Williams

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  • How Much Are Costco Gold Bars Worth Today? | Entrepreneur

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    Gold is hitting record prices this week, reaching above $3,500 per ounce for the first time on Tuesday and then hitting another milestone on Wednesday: $3,593.20 per ounce. Goldman Sachs predicted this week in a research note that gold prices could increase above $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026.

    “Gold remains our highest-conviction long recommendation,” Goldman Sachs stated in the note. In April, JPMorgan also predicted that gold prices would rise above $4,000 per ounce by the second quarter of next year.

    And the effects are being felt far beyond Wall Street.

    Related: ‘Affluent People Love a Deal’: These Luxury Items Are Flying Off the Shelves at Costco, According to the Company’s Longtime Chairman

    Wholesale retailer Costco, which sells up to $200 million worth of gold bars per month, began selling the commodity in 2023 when gold was at an average closing price of $1,943, per Macro Trends.

    According to CNBC, in September 2024, a one-ounce Costco gold bar cost $2,679. If a Costco shopper held onto their purchase this year, the same bar would be worth $3,549 this month, a gain of $870.

    Costco gold bar. Photographer: Clark Hodgin/Bloomberg via Getty Images

    Experts told ABC News that rising gold prices signify elevated economic uncertainty. In an environment of slow hiring and inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, investors are seeking low-risk investments, such as gold.

    “The probability of an economic slowdown has greatly increased, and people naturally look for a safe haven asset,” Duke Business School Professor Campbell Harvey told the outlet.

    Related: Are Costco’s Platinum Bars a Good Investment? Here’s What Experts Say.

    Gold has gained more value than alternative investments, like purchasing company shares on the stock market, according to the outlet. Gold prices have risen by more than 42% this year, greater than a 9% gain in the S&P 500, a 6% rise in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and a 10% spike in the Nasdaq over the same time period.

    Costco had approximately 137 million members in 2024, up from 128 million in 2023, per Statista estimates.

    Gold is hitting record prices this week, reaching above $3,500 per ounce for the first time on Tuesday and then hitting another milestone on Wednesday: $3,593.20 per ounce. Goldman Sachs predicted this week in a research note that gold prices could increase above $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026.

    “Gold remains our highest-conviction long recommendation,” Goldman Sachs stated in the note. In April, JPMorgan also predicted that gold prices would rise above $4,000 per ounce by the second quarter of next year.

    And the effects are being felt far beyond Wall Street.

    The rest of this article is locked.

    Join Entrepreneur+ today for access.

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    Sherin Shibu

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  • Portland Woman Accused Of Selling Fake Gold – KXL

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    PORTLAND, Ore. – Portland police is asking for the public’s help identifying additional victims in an alleged counterfeit gold scheme involving a local woman accused of defrauding people out of more than $40,000.

    Christina L. Duncan, 37, of Portland, was arrested Tuesday, Aug. 19th, during a controlled transaction at a Northeast Portland coffee shop. Officers coordinated the operation with one of the victims, and Duncan was taken into custody without incident.

    She was booked into the Multnomah County Detention Center on charges including first-degree aggravated theft, seven counts of theft by deception and identity theft.

    The investigation began in July after a man reported buying more than $22,000 in fake gold from a woman during four transactions in December 2023. Detectives later identified Duncan as the suspect and believe she also defrauded at least five other individuals, selling an additional $21,500 worth of counterfeit gold.

    Investigators believe more victims may exist.

    More about:

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    Grant McHill

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  • Gold prices have surged in 2024. Here’s how to get in on the gold rush

    Gold prices have surged in 2024. Here’s how to get in on the gold rush

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    Not all that glitters is gold, but the value of the precious metal has been surging this year.Gold prices have broken record after record, rising more than 30% in 2024 while hitting an all-time high of $2,748.23 this week.Video above: Treasure hunt that spanned New England overThe Federal Reserve’s recent dramatic half-point interest rate cut, geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election have created the conditions for prices to soar. The rally has been boosted by the central banks of China, India and Turkey easing their reliance on the U.S. dollar, as well as retail giant Costco stocking 1-ounce bullion bars.”Costco offering gold makes it as easy for a retail investor to buy gold as it is for them to buy household staples,” said Joseph Cavatoni, senior market strategist for the World Gold Council. “Buying gold has never been easier and more accessible.”While gold, typically invested in as a hedge against inflation, has shined this year, there are plenty of things to know before investors join the gold rush.Why hold gold?Traders tend to flock to gold during periods of uncertainty, betting that its value will hold up better than other assets, such as stocks, bonds and currencies, if an economy faces a downturn.”Between 2008 and 2012, the value of gold increased dramatically, as is evidenced by the 101.1-percent surge in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for gold,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics noted.”Gold does well in moments of risk. If you look at market drawdowns or systemic events in the market, that’s when gold really shines,” said Cavatoni.How do you actually go about buying gold?For a new gold buyer, Cavatoni says the first step is considering your objective in holding gold, be it to diversify your portfolio or as a safe-haven asset.From there it’s a matter of deciding whether to make the investment using financial instruments like gold-backed exchange-traded funds or by purchasing it in physical form.Both come with their own considerations. Delivery, storage and safekeeping, for instance, are all factors for holding gold in physical form.Another consideration when buying gold in the retail market is how the sticker price of the bullion compares to the spot price of gold.”You need to make sure that you’re comfortable with that price level — that you’re buying the investment that you want and not being offered something that might be a little bit more collectible,” Cavatoni said.From banks to reputable brick-and-mortar and online retailers, gold buyers have choices in where to invest. But Cavatoni advises having a “round-trip mentality” when purchasing physical gold, emphasizing the importance of the selling stage as much as the purchase process.”When it comes time to holding it for as long as you’d like and selling it, make sure you have a trusted partner that you can go back to and make that sale,” he said.Other things to keep in mind are the gold’s purity and the form it comes in.Products like gold jewelry might command higher premiums based off design and artistic value, which introduce more complexities.On the other hand, gold-backed ETFs free consumers from the considerations that need to be made when purchasing physical gold.”It’s just like buying a stock,” Cavatoni said. “You can do that commission-free on a lot of the platforms these days, so it’s very cheap to get in and out.”But as with any investment, Cavatoni says acting prudently and doing your homework when purchasing gold in any form takes precedence over speed.”If something sounds too good to be true, then it might be not true. Make sure you’re careful before you make the investment,” he said. “You don’t need to rush into owning gold.”

    Not all that glitters is gold, but the value of the precious metal has been surging this year.

    Gold prices have broken record after record, rising more than 30% in 2024 while hitting an all-time high of $2,748.23 this week.

    Video above: Treasure hunt that spanned New England over

    The Federal Reserve’s recent dramatic half-point interest rate cut, geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election have created the conditions for prices to soar. The rally has been boosted by the central banks of China, India and Turkey easing their reliance on the U.S. dollar, as well as retail giant Costco stocking 1-ounce bullion bars.

    “Costco offering gold makes it as easy for a retail investor to buy gold as it is for them to buy household staples,” said Joseph Cavatoni, senior market strategist for the World Gold Council. “Buying gold has never been easier and more accessible.”

    While gold, typically invested in as a hedge against inflation, has shined this year, there are plenty of things to know before investors join the gold rush.

    Why hold gold?

    Traders tend to flock to gold during periods of uncertainty, betting that its value will hold up better than other assets, such as stocks, bonds and currencies, if an economy faces a downturn.

    “Between 2008 and 2012, the value of gold increased dramatically, as is evidenced by the 101.1-percent surge in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for gold,” the Bureau of Labor Statistics noted.

    “Gold does well in moments of risk. If you look at market drawdowns or systemic events in the market, that’s when gold really shines,” said Cavatoni.

    How do you actually go about buying gold?

    For a new gold buyer, Cavatoni says the first step is considering your objective in holding gold, be it to diversify your portfolio or as a safe-haven asset.

    From there it’s a matter of deciding whether to make the investment using financial instruments like gold-backed exchange-traded funds or by purchasing it in physical form.

    Both come with their own considerations. Delivery, storage and safekeeping, for instance, are all factors for holding gold in physical form.

    Another consideration when buying gold in the retail market is how the sticker price of the bullion compares to the spot price of gold.

    “You need to make sure that you’re comfortable with that price level — that you’re buying the investment that you want and not being offered something that might be a little bit more collectible,” Cavatoni said.

    From banks to reputable brick-and-mortar and online retailers, gold buyers have choices in where to invest. But Cavatoni advises having a “round-trip mentality” when purchasing physical gold, emphasizing the importance of the selling stage as much as the purchase process.

    “When it comes time to holding it for as long as you’d like and selling it, make sure you have a trusted partner that you can go back to and make that sale,” he said.

    Other things to keep in mind are the gold’s purity and the form it comes in.

    Products like gold jewelry might command higher premiums based off design and artistic value, which introduce more complexities.

    On the other hand, gold-backed ETFs free consumers from the considerations that need to be made when purchasing physical gold.

    “It’s just like buying a stock,” Cavatoni said. “You can do that commission-free on a lot of the platforms these days, so it’s very cheap to get in and out.”

    But as with any investment, Cavatoni says acting prudently and doing your homework when purchasing gold in any form takes precedence over speed.

    “If something sounds too good to be true, then it might be not true. Make sure you’re careful before you make the investment,” he said. “You don’t need to rush into owning gold.”

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  • Top Comments are spinning comedy Gold once again! (76 Photos)

    Top Comments are spinning comedy Gold once again! (76 Photos)

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    Never stop being exactly who you are, Chive Nation. You’re my kind of demented, and your comments are further proof…

    PS–Sorry for the delayed Top Comments, I had it scheduled at PM instead of AM in the backend. Kudos to EOD Otter for the heads up!!

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    Bob

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  • What is the price of gold in Canada? And more about gold investing – MoneySense

    What is the price of gold in Canada? And more about gold investing – MoneySense

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    That, together with the fear of a stock-market correction, has prompted a lot of Canadians who never considered owning the precious metal before to wonder whether this age-old asset should be part of their portfolios. After all, Canada’s largest robo-advisor, Wealthsimple, allocates 2.5% of its clients’ accounts to gold—and 10% in its halal portfolios.

    Should it be part of yours? Or would you just be buying in at the peak? There’s no way to know, except in hindsight. There will always be “gold bugs” out there urging you to sell everything and buy gold before the world goes to pot. Their advice is best avoided.

    Here instead are some important facts around investing in gold that will help you make a better-informed decision.

    Why is gold so valued?

    Gold is used for a wide range of products—such as jewellery, dental fillings and electronics—but most of it is simply stored in vaults, in the form of gold bars. Like money itself or cryptocurrency, gold is valuable because people have decided it is. But unlike the other two, it’s immune to manipulation.

    As of mid-October, all the refined gold in the world, an estimated 212,582 tonnes, was worth a staggering USD$18.3 trillion. Mines around the world poured another 1,788 tonnes in the first half of 2024. So, the supply of gold is increasing, but slowly. And there’s little anyone can do to change that.

    Why do investors buy gold in Canada?

    As an investment, gold is classified as a commodity. That is, it’s a standardized and graded substance that trades globally. But unlike, say, soybeans or Brent crude oil, you can store a meaningful amount of gold in your jewellery drawer or safe deposit box. It’s also uniquely non-perishable; part of its appeal in ancient times was the fact it didn’t corrode like other metals. So, you can hold it indefinitely.

    If you own gold as an investment, it won’t generate any income; it’ll just go up and down in value according to supply and demand. Over the very long term, its price tends to track the rate of inflation.

    Most importantly, gold has a history as a store of value and unit of exchange. Many central banks still hold it to help stabilize their currencies. In developing countries like India and China, many people consider it more trustworthy than paper or electronic money. This is why it continues to hold a privileged place in investment portfolios.

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    Michael McCullough

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  • SoCal pair milked Medicare for $6 million in gold bars, other riches, feds allege

    SoCal pair milked Medicare for $6 million in gold bars, other riches, feds allege

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    A Medicare fraud scheme ran by a Southern California duo involved multiple local medical facilities, foreign nationals, fake bank accounts and laundering millions of dollars with gold in a Glendale apartment, prosecutors say.

    Larchmont-area resident Sophia Shaklian, 36, and Alex Alexsanian, 47, of Burbank, are accused of submitting more than $54 million in fraudulent Medicare claims for hospice and diagnostic testing services that were never provided, then illegally laundering the $23 million they received in reimbursements, according to a news release from the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Central District of California and the indictment.

    As a part of that scheme, about $6 million in gold bars and coins were purchased and moved through an apartment a few blocks from The Americana at Brand in Glendale, according to the indictment.

    The duo was arrested Wednesday and indicted on 24 counts altogether by a federal grand jury in connection with incidents over the last five years.

    Shaklian, who often used aliases, submitted Medicare claims on behalf of seven healthcare providers across Los Angeles County, including a hospice company she owned, the Chateau d’Lumina Hospice and Palliative Care in Pasadena, prosecutors said.

    Shaklian and her co-conspirators submitted claims for services on behalf of beneficiaries “who, in fact, never received any such services, did not need them, and were not even familiar with the fraudulent providers,” U.S. Attorney spokesperson Ciaran McEvoy wrote in the release. The $54 million worth of claims were submitted from March 2019 to August 2024.

    Shaklian allegedly laundered some of the $23 million in Medicare reimbursements by transferring them to accounts held in the name of a fake identity, prosecutors said.

    Alexsanian is accused of directing a foreign national, described as a Ukrainian citizen who later left the country, to open a medical facility in Sylmar and acquire an ongoing practice in Van Nuys, two of the locations for which Shaklian submitted false claims, according to the indictment. Alexsanian then had the Ukrainian relinquish control of the facilities’ bank accounts to him, prosecutors said.

    Alexsanian is accused of conspiring with the foreign national and others to then launder Medicare reimbursements to buy gold bars and coins, prosecutors said.

    Shaklian has been charged with 16 counts of healthcare fraud and four counts of transactional money laundering after an investigation from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Office of the Inspector General and the FBI, the release said. Alexsanian is charged with one count of conspiracy to launder monetary instruments and three counts of concealment money laundering.

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    Grace Toohey

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  • Private equity, private debt and more alternative investments: Should you invest? – MoneySense

    Private equity, private debt and more alternative investments: Should you invest? – MoneySense

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    What are private investments?

    “Private investments” is a catch-all term referring to financial assets that do not trade on public stock, bond or derivatives markets. They include private equity, private debt, private real estate pools, venture capital, infrastructure and alternative strategies (a.k.a. hedge funds). Until recently, you had to be an accredited investor, with a certain net worth and income level, for an asset manager or third-party advisor to sell you private investments. For their part, private asset managers typically demanded minimum investments and lock-in periods that deterred all but the rich. But a 2019 rule change that permitted “liquid alternative” mutual funds and other innovations in Canada made private investments accessible to a wider spectrum of investors.

    Why are people talking about private assets?

    The number of investors and the money they have to invest has increased over the years, but the size of the public markets has not kept pace. The number of operating companies (not including exchange-traded funds, or ETFs) trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange actually declined to 712 at the end of 2023 from around 1,200 at the turn of the millennium. The same phenomenon has been noted in most developed markets. U.S. listings have fallen from 8,000 in the late 1990s to approximately 4,300 today. Logically that would make the price of public securities go up, which may have happened. But something else did, too.

    Beginning 30 years ago, big institutional investors such as pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and university endowments started allocating money to private investments instead. On the other side of the table, all manner of investment companies sprang up to package and sell private investments—for example, private equity firms that specialize in buying companies from their founders or on the public markets, making them more profitable, then selling them seven or 10 years later for double or triple the price. The flow of money into private equity has grown 10 times over since the global financial crisis of 2008.

    In the past, companies that needed more capital to grow often had to go public; now, they have the option of staying private, backed by private investors. Many prefer to do so, to avoid the cumbersome and expensive reporting requirements of public companies and the pressure to please shareholders quarter after quarter. So, public companies represent a smaller share of the economy than in the past.

    Raising the urgency, stocks and bonds have become more positively correlated in recent years; in an almost unprecedented event, both asset classes fell in tandem in 2022. Not just pension funds but small investors, too, now worry that they must get exposure to private markets or be left behind.

    What can private investments add to my portfolio?

    There are two main reasons why investors might want private investments in their portfolio:

    • Diversification benefits: Private investments are considered a different asset class than publicly traded securities. Private investments’ returns are not strongly correlated to either the stock or bond market. As such, they help diversify a portfolio and smooth out its ups and downs.
    • Superior returns: According to Bain & Company, private equity has outperformed public equity over each of the past three decades. But findings like this are debatable, not just because Bain itself is a private equity firm but because there are no broad indices measuring the performance of private assets—the evidence is little more than anecdotal—and their track record is short. Some academic studies have concluded that part or all of private investments’ perceived superior performance can be attributed to long holding periods, which is a proven strategy in almost any asset class. Because of their illiquidity, investors must hold them for seven years or more (depending on the investment type).

    What are the drawbacks of private investments?

    Though the barriers to private asset investing have come down somewhat, investors still have to contend with:

    • lliquidity: Traditional private investment funds require a minimum investment period, typically seven to 12 years. Even “evergreen” funds that keep reinvesting (rather than winding down after 10 to 15 years) have restrictions around redemptions, such as how often you can redeem and how much notice you must give.
    • Less regulatory oversight: Private funds are exempt from many of the disclosure requirements of public securities. Having name-brand asset managers can provide some reassurance, but they often charge the highest fees.
    • Short track records: Relatively new asset types—such as private mortgages and private corporate loans—have a limited history and small sample sizes, making due diligence harder compared to researching the stock and bond markets.
    • May not qualify for registered accounts: You can’t hold some kinds of private company shares or general partnership units in a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP), for example.
    • High management fees: Another reason why private investments are proliferating: as discount brokerages, indexing and ETFs drive down costs in traditional asset classes, private investments represent a market where the investment industry can still make fat fees. The hedge fund standard is “two and 20”—a management fee of 2% of assets per year plus 20% of gains over a certain threshold. Even their “liquid alt” cousins in Canada charge 1.25% for management and a 15.7% performance fee on average. Asset managers thus have an interest in packaging and promoting more private asset offerings.

    How can retail investors buy private investments?

    To invest in private investment funds the conventional way, you still have to be an accredited investor—which in Canada means having $1 million in financial assets (minus liabilities), $5 million in total net worth or $200,000 in pre-tax income in each of the past two years ($300,000 for a couple). But for investors of lesser means, there is a growing array of workarounds:

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    Michael McCullough

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