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Tag: Gas Prices

  • California lawmakers approve nation’s first penalty for gas price gouging

    California lawmakers approve nation’s first penalty for gas price gouging

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    California lawmakers on Monday approved the nation’s first penalty for gas price gouging, voting to give regulators the power to punish oil companies for profiting from the type of price spikes that hit Californians last summer.

    The Democrats in charge of the state Legislature worked quickly to pass the bill on Monday, just one week after it was introduced. It was an unusually fast process for a controversial issue, especially one opposed by the powerful oil industry, which has spent millions of dollars to stop it.

    Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom used his political muscle to pass the bill, calling for a special legislative session last December to pass a new tax on oil company profits after the average price of gas in California hit a record high of $6.44 per gallon, according to AAA. Taking on the oil industry has been a major policy priority for Newsom, who is viewed as a potential future presidential candidate.

    He is expected to sign the bill into law this week.

    Legislative leaders rejected his initial call for a new tax because they feared it could discourage supply and lead to higher prices.

    Instead, Newsom and lawmakers agreed to let the California Energy Commission decide whether to penalize oil companies for price gouging. But the crux of the bill isn’t a potential penalty — it’s the reams of new information oil companies would be required to disclose to state regulators about their pricing.

    The companies would report this information, most of it to be kept confidential, to a new state agency empowered to monitor and investigate the petroleum market and subpoena oil company executives. The commission will rely on the work of this agency, plus a panel of experts, to decide whether to impose a penalty on oil company profits and how much that penalty should be.

    “If we force folks to turn over this information, I actually don’t believe we’ll ever need a penalty because the fact that they have to tell us what’s going on will stop them from gouging our consumers,” said Assemblymember Rebecca Bauer-Kahan, a Democrat from Orinda.

    California’s gas prices are always higher than the rest of the country because of the state’s taxes and regulations. California has the second-highest gas tax in the country at 54 cents per gallon. And it requires a special blend of gasoline that is better for the environment but more expensive to produce.

    But state regulators say those taxes and fees aren’t enough to explain last summer, when the average cost of a gallon of gasoline in California was more than $2.60 higher than the national average.

    “There’s truly no other explanation for these historically high prices other than greed,” said Assemblymember Pilar Schiavo, a Democrat from Chatsworth. “The problem is we don’t have the information that we need to prove this, and we don’t have the ability to penalize the kind of historic price gouging we saw last year.”

    The oil industry recorded massive profits last year, following years of huge losses during the pandemic when more people stayed home and fewer people were on the road.

    Eloy Garcia, lobbyist for the Western States Petroleum Association, said California’s high gas prices are the result of decades of public policy decisions that have made the state an island in the global petroleum market and driven many oil refiners out of the state. He noted California does not have a pipeline to send oil into the state, meaning it has to ship what it can’t produce itself from the ocean, which takes longer and costs more.

    “We’re not like Texas. We’re not like Louisiana. We’re not like the Northeast,” Garcia said. “We do not have a fungible fuel supply. We have chosen to do that. We have set ourself up by 30 years of public policy.”

    Garcia said Monday’s vote “sends a clear signal not to invest in California.”

    Lauren Sanchez, who is Newsom’s senior climate adviser, said the state has plenty of supply, noting California oil refineries exported 12% of their product to other states last year.

    “We’re also the third-largest gasoline market in the world for these companies,” she said.

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  • For some electric vehicle owners, recharging now more costly than filling up

    For some electric vehicle owners, recharging now more costly than filling up

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    Here’s how much electricity prices have surged in parts of New England this winter: For some drivers of electric vehicles and hybrid cars, it’s now more expensive to charge up than to fill up.

    Power rates across the region have jumped an average of 30% since last summer, while gasoline prices have receded well below their peak in June of 2022. Web engineer Matt Cain, who lives in Amherst, Massachusetts, said he ran a price comparison when his electricity bill shot up in January and found that his overall costs for utilities had climbed a whopping 50%.

    “We have a Prius Prime that we normally drive around town, and we drive most of it on electricity. It’s now 50% more expensive than fueling it with gas,” he told CBS MoneyWatch. 

    Cain said the price hike hasn’t changed his driving habits. But it has prompted his wife, who works at a local community college, to charge the car at work where it’s cheaper. “It’s not a point of pain for me, but it’s something I’ve noticed,” he said.

    On Reddit, other EV owners have noted the rising recharging costs. One Massachusetts resident said their power company, National Grid, jacked up local electricity prices to 44 cents per kilowatt-hour — three times the national average.

    “We are in pretty much the same boat in [New Hampshire] and it sucks,” said another user. “Went from an average of $220 a month electric bill… to now close to $400 a month and thats with off peak charging, and its supposed to go up again significantly in February.” The rate hike pushed the user to sign up for a solar array, with a monthly bill around half their current power bill, the person added.

    To be sure, these drivers are a small minority of EV owners nationwide. But the episode illustrates how the volatility of fuel prices can complicate the equation when choosing between an electric and a conventional combustion-engine vehicle. And given the higher sticker prices for EVs — which can cost at least $10,000 more than the equivalent gas-powered car — that could tip the balance for some car buyers.

    Blame natural gas

    New Englanders are seeing uniquely high EV charging costs because the region currently has the highest electricity prices in the country. At about 28 cents per kilowatt-hour this fall, it’s double the national average. 

    Ironically, it’s the region’s dependence on fossil fuels that’s pushing these costs higher. About 45% of New England’s electricity comes from methane gas, compared with about 38% nationwide, while the fuel has tripled in price since Russia invaded Ukraine a year ago. All the region’s utilities are raising their electricity rates, although the specific costs can vary a lot even within a small area, WBUR reported this fall.

    The spike in electricity rates recently led 90 local politicians to write to Massachusetts’ utility commission calling for relief. At the same time, gas prices in the area have fallen from over $5 a gallon this summer to $3.40 today.

    “In a large portion of the country, EVs are a lot cheaper to drive,” said Beia Spiller, director of the transportation program at Resources for the Future (RFF), a clean-energy think tank. “It really, really depends on the location.” 

    RFF recently analyzed car ownership data in Massachusetts and found that, at least through 2020, it cost about twice as much on a per-mile basis to drive a gasoline-fueled car than an EV.  

    While electricity prices have gone up recently because of global events, historically, “gasoline prices are far more variable,” she noted. “You have no idea if there’s going to be a war somewhere and all of a sudden you’re paying $5 to $6 a gallon for gasoline prices.”

    Other factors affecting costs

    The tradeoff between electric and gas is not only based on someone’s location (and how much different fuels cost to them), but also based on the car. 

    For instance, muscle cars and SUVs will almost always be cheaper to operate in their electric versions. So will luxury cars, according to a report from the Anderson Economic Group that estimated the cost of fueling different car types. 


    General Motors president discusses new fully electric Corvette and future of electric vehicles

    09:07

    Christopher Hogan, a retired health economist in northern Virginia, had his own price shock when he and his wife drove their Prius Prime to Ocean City, Maryland, last summer. Hodge usually runs the car on gas for long trips, but this time “on a lark we found a station and decided to plug in,” Hogan said. 

    He was astonished to see the price — $1.50 per kilowatt-hour — about 12 times what he pays for electricity at home. “It’s like these ATMs with a $15 fee,” he said. 

    Still, Hogan said the experience hasn’t turned him off his Prius. “I always thought it was hype — I didn’t care that much” about EVs, he said. “But it’s so relaxing. It pushes all my buttons. It’s as convenient as gas cars, good for the environment and it’s fun to drive.”

    Hogan also remains a convert. Asked if he would consider buying a conventional car, he said, “Not a chance. I would never buy a non-hybrid car — that’s depreciated technology.”

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  • 4 oil companies had total sales of $1 trillion last year

    4 oil companies had total sales of $1 trillion last year

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    Global oil companies have rebounded since the pandemic to post their highest ever profits since people started using petroleum.

    Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Exxon and Shell all reported record profits in 2022 — a year in which Russia’s war on Ukraine collided with the post-pandemic economic recovery to drive oil prices to their highest levels in history. 

    Together, the four companies saw $1 trillion in sales last year, a sum greater than the total economic output of Colombia, South Africa or Switzerland. TotalEnergies and BP are set to report their 2022 financial results next week. 

    The record profits come after a year of skyrocketing gas prices. After slumping hard in 2020, global consumption of oil and gasoline bounced back far slower than production, putting pressure on gas prices. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine a year ago further shrank the world’s oil supplies, bringing the average price of gas in the U.S. above $5 a gallon in the spring and summer.

    Shell on Thursday reported a nearly $40 billion profit for last year. That’s more than double the prior year’s results and the most money Shell has ever made in its 115 years of existence. Chevron, the second-largest oil company in the U.S., posted record earnings of $36.5 billion last year, while refiner ConocoPhillips doubled its profits to $18.7 billion, the highest in the 10 years since it spun off its refining business.

    Exxon, the largest U.S. oil producer, this week reported an epic $55 billion in profits for 2022. The oil giant’s bottom line “clearly benefited from a favorable market,” CEO Darren Woods told investors. He also touted Exxon’s investments before and during the pandemic, which allowed it to increase production as demand was ramping up. 

    “We leaned in when others leaned out, bucking conventional wisdom,” Woods said. 

    The windfall makes Exxon the third-most-profitable company of 2022, behind only Apple and Microsoft, according to the Wall Street Journal.

    In addition to high prices for crude oil, elevated natural-gas prices and high margins in the refining business also pushed up oil company profit, said Peter McNally, industrial and energy analyst at Third Bridge.

    “Windfall” profits

    The White House and environmentalists have condemned oil companies’ ballooning profits. The White House has criticized fossil-fuel companies for not increasing production to help bring down gas prices, and last year floated a tax on oil and gas profits. 

    A White House spokesperson called Exxon’s record profit “outrageous” in a statement to the BBC. The spokesperson, Abdullah Hasan, also blasted Chevron’s announcement that it would spend $75 billion on buying back stock from investors.

    “Companies clearly have everything they need — record profits and thousands of approved permits — to increase production. The only thing getting in the way is their own decision to keep plowing windfall profits into the pockets of executives,” Hasan tweeted.

    “A windfall tax on oil and gas profits is needed more than ever, to free up money that’s desperately needed to help those struggling with the cost of energy, and as economies around the world face recession,” Jonathan Noronha-Gant, senior campaigner with Global Witness, told the Associated Press.

    Some jurisdictions, including the European Union and the U.K., have imposed such taxes on surplus energy-company profits, putting the proceeds toward covering citizens’ skyrocketing energy costs. In December, Exxon sued to stop the EU’s tax.

    “We looked at what happened in the EU and said it both is not legal and it’s the opposite of what is needed,” Woods said Tuesday, calling the tax “a penalty on the broad energy sector.”

    Dramatic turnaround

    Oil companies have seen a remarkable turnaround from 2020, a year when travel ground to a halt, demand for fuel evaporated, dozens of oil and gas companies filed for bankruptcy protection, and thousands of industry workers were laid off. Exxon lost $22 billion that year — the first year in decades that it had lost money.

    In addition to oil-extracting operations that were taken offline in 2020, refining capacity also fell, contributing to higher gas prices and refinery profit margins.

    “The refining business, particularly in the U.S., soared to record levels,” McNally, the Third Bridge analyst, said. “The price of crude oil went up but the prices of refined products like gasoline and diesel went up even more. The largest U.S. independent refiner, Marathon Petroleum, delivered record profits, but ExxonMobil and Chevron also compete in refining.”

    The Associated Press contributed reporting.

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  • Consumer confidence helps drive stock market gains

    Consumer confidence helps drive stock market gains

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    Consumer confidence helps drive stock market gains – CBS News


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    The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained over 500 points on Wednesday as investors reacted to a higher-than-expected consumer confidence report. Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board, joined CBS News to discuss her organization’s findings and her expectations for 2023.

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  • Keystone Pipeline oil spill under investigation

    Keystone Pipeline oil spill under investigation

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    Keystone Pipeline oil spill under investigation – CBS News


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    The cause of a Keystone Pipeline oil spill is under investigation after it spewed an estimated 590,000 gallons into a creek in rural Kansas last week. The environmental disaster may impact gas prices. Omar Villafranca has more details.

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  • Gas prices in the U.S. are now lower than they were a year ago

    Gas prices in the U.S. are now lower than they were a year ago

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    The average cost of gasoline in the U.S. has dropped below the price a year ago, the first time that has occurred in 22 months. 

    The average price for regular gas stood at $3.33 a gallon on December 8, compared with an average of $3.34 on the same date in 2021, AAA said Thursday. The last time gas dipped below its year-earlier price was on Feb. 4, 2021, when drivers were paying $2.44 a gallon, compared with $2.46 a gallon on the same date in 2020, AAA told CBS News. 

    Fuel prices have plunged over the last several weeks amid slowing consumer demand across the globe, providing some relief to Americans walloped this year by the highest inflation in four decades. Price hikes for other consumer staples are also easing, from cars to some food products, which could signal that the Federal Reserve’s efforts to tame inflation are bearing fruit. 

    “Half the nation’s 50 states are now seeing average gas prices BELOW their year ago levels,” tweeted Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, late Wednesday. “The number will continue to rise.”

    The average gas price could fall below $3 per gallon later this month, De Haan predicted in a separate tweet.

    The milestone comes after gas prices touched another turning point on December 1, when the cost of fuel fell below what Americans were paying for a gallon of gas before Russia invaded Ukraine in February. The war contributed to a sharp spike in gas prices earlier this year, pushing prices at the pump to an all-time high of $5.02 a gallon on June 14.

    Meanwhile, there are other signs that prices are cooling, with the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation — the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index — easing in October.


    MoneyWatch: Americans delaying financial milestones

    02:33

    “Importantly, signs of slowing inflation are proliferating,” noted Bob Schwartz, senior economist, in a research note earlier this month. “All the pandemic climb in prices that manufacturers paid for raw materials has been completely reversed and the slowdown appears to be filtering through to the consumer sector.”

    Still, inflation remains historically high, and consumers are paying much more for gasoline than they did prior to the pandemic. In February 2020, for instance, the average cost for a gallon of gas was $2.44, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

    Economists expect that next week’s Consumer Price Index report will show November prices rose 7.3% compared with a year ago, according to FactSet. That’s down from a peak this year of 9.1% in June, but still higher than the Federal Reserve’s inflation goal of about 2%.

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  • OPEC maintains oil targets amid uncertainty over Russian sanctions

    OPEC maintains oil targets amid uncertainty over Russian sanctions

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    The Saudi-led OPEC oil cartel and allied producers including Russia did not change their targets for shipping oil to the global economy amid uncertainty about the impact of new Western sanctions against Russia that could take significant amounts of oil off the market.

    The decision at a meeting of oil ministers Sunday comes a day ahead of the planned start of two measures aimed at hitting Russia’s oil earnings in response to its invasion of Ukraine: a European Union boycott of most Russian oil, and a price cap of $60 per barrel on Russian exports imposed by the EU and the Group of Seven democracies.

    It is not yet clear how much Russian oil the two sanctions measures could take off the global market, which would tighten supply and drive up prices. The world’s No. 2 oil producer has been able to reroute much, but not all, of its former Europe shipments to customers in India, China and Turkey. The impact of the price cap is also up in the air because Russia has said it could simply halt deliveries to countries that observe the limit but would likely also find ways to evade the cap for some shipments.

    On the other side, oil has been trading at lower prices on fears that coronavirus outbreaks and China’s strict zero-COVID restrictions would reduce demand for fuel in one of the world’s major economies. Concerns about recessions in the U.S. and Europe also raise the prospect of lower demand for gasoline and other fuel made from crude.

    That uncertainty is the reason the OPEC+ alliance gave in October for slashing production by 2 million barrels per day starting in November, a cut that remains in effect. Analysts say that took less than the full amount off the market since OPEC+ members already can’t meet their full production quotas.

    With the global economy slowing, oil prices have been falling since summertime highs, with international benchmark Brent closing Friday at $85.42 per barrel, down from $98 a month ago. That has eased gasoline prices for drivers in the U.S. and around the world.

    Average gas prices have fallen for U.S. drivers in recent days to $3.41 per gallon, according to motoring club federation AAA.

    To prevent a sudden loss of Russian crude, the price cap allows shipping and insurance companies to transport Russian oil to non-Western nations at or below that threshold. Most of the globe’s tanker fleet is covered by insurers in the G-7 or EU.

    Russia would likely try to evade the cap by organizing its own insurance and using the world’s shadowy fleet of off-the-books tankers, as Iran and Venezuela have done, but that would be costly and cumbersome, analysts say.

    Facing those uncertainties for the global oil market, OPEC oil ministers led by Saudi Arabia could leave production levels unchanged or cut output again to keep prices from declining further. Low prices mean less revenue for governments of producing nations.

    Maintaining OPEC production targets makes sense because “right now I think they see the market as adequately priced, adequately supplied, and there’s no reason to rock the boat,” said Gary Peach, oil markets analyst with Energy Intelligence.

    The G-7 price cap could prompt Russia to retaliate and take oil off the market. But the cap of $60 a barrel is near the current price of Russian oil, meaning Moscow could continue to sell while rejecting the cap in principle. Oil use also declines in the winter, in part because fewer people are driving.

    “If Russia ends up taking off more oil than about a million barrels per day, then the world becomes short on oil, and there would need to be an offset somewhere, whether that’s from OPEC or not,” said Jacques Rousseau, managing director at Clearview Energy Partners. “That’s going to be the key factor — is to figure out how much Russian oil is really leaving the market.”

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  • Russia warns it will cut off oil supply after countries vote for $60-per-barrel price cap

    Russia warns it will cut off oil supply after countries vote for $60-per-barrel price cap

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    Russian authorities rejected a price cap on the country’s oil set by Ukraine‘s Western supporters and threatened Saturday to stop supplying the nations that endorsed it.

    Australia, Britain, Canada, Japan, the United States and the 27-nation European Union agreed Friday to cap what they would pay for Russian oil at $60-per-barrel. The limit is set to take effect Monday, along with an EU embargo on Russian oil shipped by sea.

    Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Russia needed to analyze the situation before deciding on a specific response but that it would not accept the price ceiling. Russia’s permanent representative to international organizations in Vienna, Mikhail Ulyanov, warned that the cap’s European backers would come to rue their decision.

    “From this year, Europe will live without Russian oil,” Ulyanov tweeted. “Moscow has already made it clear that it will not supply oil to those countries that support anti-market price caps. Wait, very soon the EU will accuse Russia of using oil as a weapon.”

    The office of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, meanwhile, called Saturday for a lower price cap, saying the one adopted by the EU and the Group of Seven leading economies didn’t go far enough.

    “It would be necessary to lower it to $30 in order to destroy the enemy’s economy faster,” Andriy Yermak, the head of Zelenskyy’s office, wrote on Telegram, staking out a position also favored by Poland — a leading critic of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine.

    Under Friday’s agreements, insurance companies and other firms needed to ship oil would only be able to deal with Russian crude if the oil is priced at or below the cap. Most insurers are located in the EU and the United Kingdom and could be required to observe the ceiling.

    Russia’s crude has already been selling for around $60 a barrel, a deep discount from international benchmark Brent, which closed Friday at $85.42 per barrel.

    The Russian Embassy in Washington insisted that Russian oil “will continue to be in demand” and criticized the price limit as “reshaping the basic principles of the functioning of free markets.” A post on the embassy’s Telegram channel predicted the per-barrel cap would lead to “a widespread increase in uncertainty and higher costs for consumers of raw materials.”

    “What happens in China will help shape whether the price cap has any teeth,” said Jim Burkhard, an oil markets analyst with IHS Markit. He said dampened demand from China means most Russian crude exports are already selling below $60.

    The price cap aims to put an economic squeeze on Russia and further crimp its ability to finance a war that has killed an untold number of civilians and fighters, driven millions of Ukrainians from their homes and weighed on the world economy for more than nine months.

    The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported that since Friday Russia’s forces had fired five missiles, carried out 27 airstrikes and launched 44 shelling attacks against Ukraine’s military positions and civilian infrastructure.

    Kyrylo Tymoshenko, the deputy head of the president’s office, said the attacks killed one civilian and wounded four others in eastern Ukraine’s Donetsk region. According to the U.K. Defense Ministry, Russian forces “continue to invest a large element of their overall military effort and firepower” around the small Donestsk city of Bakhmut, which they have spent weeks trying to capture.

    In southern Ukraine’s Kherson province, whose capital city of the same name was liberated by Ukrainian forces three weeks ago following a Russian retreat, Gov. Yaroslav Yanushkevich said evacuations of civilians stuck in Russian-held territory across the Dnieper River would resume temporarily.

    Russian forces pulled back to the river’s eastern bank last month. Yanushkevich said a ban on crossing the waterway would be lifted during daylight hours for three days for Ukrainian citizens who “did not have time to leave the temporarily occupied territory.” His announcement cited a “possible intensification of hostilities in this area.”

    Kherson is one of four regions that Putin illegally annexed in September and vowed to defend as Russian territory. From their new positions, Russian troops have regularly shelled Kherson city and nearby infrastructure in recent days, leaving many residents without power. Running water remained unavailable in much of the city.

    The other regions annexed in violation of international law are Donetsk, Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia.

    Ukrainian authorities also reported intense fighting in Luhansk and Russian shelling of northeastern Ukraine’s Kharkiv region, which Russia’s soldiers mostly withdrew from in September.

    The mayor of the city of Kharkiv, which remained under Ukrainian control during Russia’s occupation of other parts of the region, said some 500 apartment buildings were damaged beyond repair, and nearly 220 schools and kindergartens were damaged or destroyed. He estimated the cost of the damage at $9 billion.

    Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu met Saturday in Minsk with the president and defense minister of Belarus, which hosts Russian troops and artillery. Belarus has said its own forces are not taking part in the war, but Ukrainian officials have frequently expressed concern that they could be induced to cross the border into northern Ukraine.

    Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko said at the meeting that his troops and Russian forces train in coordination. “We ready ourselves as one grouping, one army. Everyone knows it. We were not hiding it,” he was quoted as saying by the news agency Interfax.

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  • G-7 and European Union impose $60-per-barrel price cap on Russian oil

    G-7 and European Union impose $60-per-barrel price cap on Russian oil

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    The Group of Seven nations and Australia agreed Friday to adopt a $60-per-barrel price cap on Russian oil, acting shortly after the European Union reached unanimous agreement on the same price earlier in the day.

    After a last-minute flurry of negotiations, the EU presidency, held by the Czech Republic, tweeted that “ambassadors have just reached an agreement on price cap for Russian seaborne #oil.” 

    Europe needed to set the discounted price that other nations will pay by Monday, when an EU embargo on Russian oil shipped by sea and a ban on insurance for those supplies take effect.

    U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a statement that the agreement will help nations participating in the plan achieve the goal of restricting Putin’s “primary source of revenue for his illegal war in Ukraine while simultaneously preserving the stability of global energy supplies.”

    “Today’s announcement is the culmination of months of effort by our coalition, and I commend the hard work of our partners in achieving this outcome,” she said.

    The price cap, which was led by the Group of Seven wealthy democracies, aims to prevent a sudden loss of Russian oil to the world that could lead to a new surge in energy prices and further fuel inflation.

    Poland long held up an agreement, seeking to set the cap as low as possible. Following more than 24 hours of deliberations, when other EU nations had signaled they would back the deal, Warsaw finally relented late Friday.

    “Crippling Russia’s energy revenues is at the core of stopping Russia’s war machine,” Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas said, adding that she was happy the cap was pushed down a few extra dollars from earlier proposals. She said every dollar the cap was reduced amounted to $2 billion less for Russia’s war chest.

    “It is no secret that we wanted the price to be lower,” Kallas added, highlighting the differences within the EU. “A price between 30-40 dollars is what would substantially hurt Russia. However, this is the best compromise we could get.”


    MoneyWatch: U.S. gives Chevron temporary approval to pump oil in Venezuela

    03:20

    Cap similar to market price

    The $60 figure sets the cap near the current price of Russia’s crude, which recently fell below $60 a barrel. Some criticize that as not low enough to cut into one of Russia’s main sources of income. It is still a big discount to international benchmark Brent, which slid to $85.48 a barrel Friday, but could be high enough for Moscow to keep selling even while rejecting the idea of a cap.

    There is a big risk to the global oil market of losing large amounts of crude from the world’s No. 2 producer. It could drive up gasoline prices for drivers worldwide, which has stirred political turmoil for U.S. President Joe Biden and leaders in other nations. Europe is already mired in an energy crisis, with governments facing protests over the soaring cost of living, while developing nations are even more vulnerable to shifts in energy costs.

    But the West has faced increasing pressure to target one of Russia’s main moneymakers — oil — to slash the funds flowing into Putin’s war chest and hurt Russia’s economy as the war in Ukraine drags into a ninth month. The costs of oil and natural gas spiked after demand rebounded from the pandemic and then the invasion of Ukraine unsettled energy markets, feeding Russia’s coffers.

    U.S. National Security Council spokesman John Kirby told reporters Friday that “the cap itself will have the desired effect on limiting Mr. Putin’s ability to profit off of oil sales and limit his ability to continue to use that money to fund his war machine.”

    He touted the EU’s consensus, saying the $60-per-barrel cap “is appropriate.”


    Oil cartel OPEC+ plans to cut production quotas by 2 million barrels per day

    01:54

    Putin promised retaliation

    More uncertainty is ahead, however. COVID-19 restrictions in China and a slowing global economy could mean less thirst for oil. That is what OPEC and allied oil-producing countries, including Russia, pointed to in cutting back supplies to the world in October. The OPEC+ alliance is scheduled to meet again Sunday.

    OPEC’s move competes with the EU embargo that could take more oil supplies off the market, raising fears of a supply squeeze and higher prices. Russia exports roughly 5 million barrels of oil a day.

    Putin has said he would not sell oil under a price cap and would retaliate against nations that implement the measure. However, Russia has already rerouted much of its supply to India, China and other Asian countries at discounted prices because Western customers have avoided it even before the EU embargo.

    Most insurers are located in the EU or the United Kingdom and could be required to participate in the price cap.

    Russia also could sell oil off the books by using “dark fleet” tankers with obscure ownership. Oil could be transferred from one ship to another and mixed with oil of similar quality to disguise its origin.

    Even under those circumstances, the cap would make it “more costly, time-consuming and cumbersome” for Russia to sell oil around the restrictions, said Maria Shagina, a sanctions expert at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in Berlin.

    Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance in Washington, said the price cap should have been implemented when oil was hovering around $120 per barrel this summer.

    “Since then, obviously oil prices have fallen and global recession is a real thing,” he said. “The reality is that it is unlikely to be binding given where oil prices are now.”

    European leaders touted their work on the price cap, a brainchild of U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.

    “The EU agreement on an oil price cap, coordinated with G7 and others, will reduce Russia’s revenues significantly,” said Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, the EU’s executive arm. “It will help us stabilize global energy prices, benefiting emerging economies around the world.”

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  • Stocks close mixed after strong hiring report fuels inflation worries

    Stocks close mixed after strong hiring report fuels inflation worries

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    Markets were mixed on Friday after a surprisingly strong jobs report renewed worries about inflation and more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

    The S&P 500 ended down 0.1% and the Nasdaq lost 0.2% after being down even more earlier in the day. The Dow ended slightly higher, closing up by 0.1%, at 34,429. 

    Stocks had been on the upswing for the last month on hopes the worst of the nation’s high inflation may have passed already. That fed expectations for the Federal Reserve to dial down the intensity of its big interest-rate hikes as it moves to slow the economy.

    But Friday’s jobs report showed that wages for workers rose 5.1% last month from a year earlier, an acceleration from the 4.9% gain in October and higher than what economists had expected.

    Such jumps in pay are helpful to workers struggling to keep up with soaring prices for everyday necessities. The Federal Reserve’s worry is that too-strong gains could cause inflation to become further entrenched in the economy. That’s because wages make up a big part of costs for companies in services industries, and those companies could end up raising their own prices further to cover higher wages for their employees.

    “Inflation is certainly moving in the right direction,” said Adam Abbas, co-head of fixed income at Harris Associates, “but the market is still going to have to go through some calibration of the risk that we level off at 3% to 4% core inflation versus a natural, steady move down to” the 2% goal set by the Fed.

    Employers also added 263,000 jobs last month, above forecasts for 200,000, while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.7%.

    Fed officials have signaled that the unemployment rate needs to be at least 4% to slow inflation. It’s in the midst of raising interest rates quickly in hopes of slowing the economy just enough to undercut inflation.


    Remote jobs remain in high demand across the U.S.

    03:52

    Fears of more aggressive rate hikes

    Expectations are rising for what the Fed will do in 2023. Treasury yields jumped immediately after the jobs report’s release on speculation the Fed may ultimately hike rates higher than thought a few moments before.

    The yield on the two-year Treasury jumped to 4.29% from 4.24% late Thursday. The 10-year yield, which helps set rates for mortgages and many other loans, rose to 3.52% from 3.51%.

    “Another month with a strong jobs report and torrid wage gains is a reality check for where we stand in the inflation fight,” said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office.


    Fed hints at slower interest rate hikes

    04:40

    Aside from the job market, the economic picture has been mixed. The nation’s manufacturing activity shrank in November for the first time in 30 months, for example, and the housing industry is struggling under the weight of much higher mortgage rates. Even though Friday’s report showed hiring was stronger than expected, it also clearly demonstrated that hiring is gradually slowing from its red-hot pace earlier in the year. November’s jobs gains matched the low seen in April 2021, which was the weakest since December 2020 when the number of jobs shrank.

    Signs of weakening trade, especially for export-dependent economies in Asia, have deepened worries over slowing growth in China and its implications for the global economy.

    More economists are still forecasting the U.S. economy to fall into a recession next year in large part because of higher interest rates.

    “While the Fed won’t back away from” a hike of just half a percentage point “in December, they still have no clue what they’ll do in 2023,” said Brian Jacobsen, senior investment strategist at Allspring Global Investments.

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  • Gas prices are now lower than before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

    Gas prices are now lower than before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

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    Americans are now paying less for gasoline than they did before Russia invaded Ukraine in February as fuel prices continue to drop amid slowing demand across the globe. 

    The average price for a gallon of gas is now $3.47, or less than the average $3.54 per gallon that motorists paid the week of February 21, when Russia began its military campaign in Ukraine, according to data from AAA.

    Russia’s invasion of Ukraine contributed to a sharp spike in gas prices earlier this year, pushing prices at the pump to an all-time high of $5.02 a gallon on June 14. The combination of high gas prices with rising costs for everything from food to automobiles juiced inflation to a 40-year high in 2022, eroding many Americans’ purchasing power and pinching their wallets. 

    But gas prices have fallen sharply in recent weeks amid a slowdown in demand for the commodity, as well as fears about economic shutdowns across the globe, according to AAA. China, for instance, continues to rely on shutdowns to contain COVID outbreaks, although recent protests in that country have prompted some signals that it may shift from its “zero-COVID” policies. 

    Gas prices may have more room to fall in the coming weeks, according to GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan. Prices are dropping “under heavy selling pressure as China sees protests for its zero-Covid policies, shut downs of major cities, and U.S. demand comes under seasonal pressure,” he noted in a November 28 blog post

    “It’s entirely possible the national average price of gasoline could fall under $3 per gallon by Christmas, which would be a huge gift to unwrap for motorists after a dizzying year at the pump,” he added.

    The dip in gas prices was touted by the Biden administration, which on Wednesday tweeted that the decline is “adding up to real savings for American families.” 

    Still, prices remain higher than they were a year earlier — just barely. On December 1, 2021, motorists paid $3.39 a gallon on average at the pump, according to AAA. That’s only about 2.4% less than the average cost at the pump today. 

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  • Stocks surge after Powell says Fed will slow down interest-rate hikes

    Stocks surge after Powell says Fed will slow down interest-rate hikes

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    The Federal Reserve will slow down the pace of interest-rate hikes, Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday, giving markets hope that the aggressive cycle of rate increases will ease up.

    “The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting,” Powell said in remarks delivered at the Brookings Institution.

    Stock markets surged in afternoon trading, with the S&P 500 gaining 3.1% to close at 4,080. The Dow rose 2.2%, to 34,590, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq soared 4.4%.

    Inflation fight has “long way to go”

    Powell noted that, while the central bank may ultimately raise rates to a higher level than it initially planned, it would do so in smaller increments.

    “It is likely that restoring price stability will require holding (interest rates) at a restrictive level for some time,” Powell said. “History cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”

    Still, he sounded a note of caution.

    “We don’t want to overtighten, so that’s why we are slowing down, and we are going to find our way to where the right level is,” Powell told the audience.

    Powell acknowledged there has been some good news on the inflation front, with the cost of goods such as cars, furniture and appliances in retreat. He also said that rents and other housing costs — which make up about a third of the consumer price index — were likely to decline next year.

    But the cost of services, which includes dining out, traveling and health care, are still rising at a fast clip and will likely be much harder to rein in, he said.

    “Despite some promising developments, we have a long way to go in restoring price stability,” Powell said.

    Powell emphasized that the labor market continues to be too hot for the Fed’s tastes. While job openings fell in October, there are still about 1.7 open jobs for every unemployed worker who is looking for work, signaling “a real imbalance between supply and demand” for workers.


    U.S. economy grew in third quarter despite surging inflation

    07:07

    He added that services costs are mostly pushed higher by rising wages, which have been growing at the fastest pace in four decades but are still below the rate of inflation.

    The lack of workers reflects a jump in early retirements, the death of several hundred thousand working-age people from COVID-19, and a sharp decline in immigration and slower population growth, he said.

    Scrutiny of wage increases

    Many progressives have accused Powell of prioritizing price drops over full employment. Despite the Fed’s scrutiny of wages, there is no evidence that current inflation bout is caused by workers’ pay increases. Powell delivered a rebuke, saying that to have an economy that grows over the long term, inflation must come down.

    “If you’re constantly fighting off inflation, and it goes on for five, 10 years, you can’t have full employment,” he said.

    Last month’s inflation report showed that prices rose 7.7% in October from a year earlier, straining many families’ budgets but down from a 9.1% peak in June.

    Supersized rate hikes

    The Fed has lifted its key rate six times this year, to a range of 3.75% to 4%, the highest in 15 years. Those increases have sharply boosted mortgage rates, causing home sales to plunge, and it has raised costs for most other consumer and business loans.

    Fed officials forecast in September that they would ultimately push their short-term rate somewhere between 4.5% to 4.75% by next year. Powell suggested Wednesday that rates will likely go higher than that. Many economists forecast the Fed’s key rate will rise to at least 5% to 5.25%.

    At the Fed’s last meeting in November, it hiked rates by a hefty three-quarters of a point for the fourth straight time. Powell signaled at the time that its next increase would likely be only a half-point, still a significant step up. Typically the central bank moves interest rates in quarter-point increments.

    CBS News’ Irina Ivanova contributed reporting.

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  • Here’s what you’ll pay for gas in every state in the U.S.

    Here’s what you’ll pay for gas in every state in the U.S.

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    Motorists hitting the road for the busy Thanksgiving holiday weekend can take cheer in slightly lower gasoline prices. Around the U.S., the average price for a gallon of regular on Wednesday was $3.59, according to AAA — down 20 cents from a month ago and well below this year’s peak price in June of $5.02. 

    Still, prices at the pump are roughly 19 cents higher than a year ago, data from the auto club shows. The cost of diesel also remains exorbitant at $5.25 per gallon, driven up this year by a reduction in supply stemming from refinery outages and Russia’s war on Ukraine.

    About 55 million Americans in total are traveling for Thanksgiving this week, the vast majority of whom will drive. 

    Hawaii has the nation’s priciest fuel, at $5.19 per gallon, while Texas has the cheapest at $2.93. The following lists the price of regular gas for every state in the U.S. and the District of Columbia, according to AAA:

    • Hawaii — $5.19
    • California — $5.11
    • Nevada — $4.74
    • Washington — $4.57
    • Oregon — $4.52
    • Alaska — $4.42
    • Idaho — $4.14
    • Arizona — $4.12
    • Pennsylvania — $3.99
    • Utah — $3.94
    • Illinois — $3.89
    • Vermont — $3.88
    • Maine — $3.86
    • New York — $3.81
    • Massachusetts — $3.78
    • New Jersey — $3.76
    • Washington, D.C. — $3.73
    • Indiana — $3.72
    • New Hampshire — $3.68
    • Connecticut — $3.67
    • Michigan — $3.67
    • Montana — $3.67
    • Maryland — $3.59
    • Delaware — $3.58
    • West Virginia — $3.52
    • Wyoming — $3.51
    • Ohio — $3.49
    • South Dakota — $3.49
    • North Dakota — $3.45
    • Florida — $3.41
    • Minnesota — $3.40
    • Nebraska — $3.39
    • Virginia — $3.38
    • New Mexico — $3.36
    • Colorado — $3.32
    • Iowa — $3.32
    • Kentucky — $3.29
    • North Carolina — $3.28
    • Wisconsin — $3.24
    • Kansas — $3.21
    • Alabama — $3.17
    • Missouri — $3.17
    • South Carolina — $3.17
    • Tennessee — $3.15
    • Louisiana — $3.12
    • Oklahoma — $3.11
    • Arkansas — $3.08
    • Georgia — $3.07
    • Mississippi — $3.07
    • Texas — $2.93

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  • Home sales are slumping badly as affordability remains a hurdle

    Home sales are slumping badly as affordability remains a hurdle

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    Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes fell in October for the ninth month in a row to the slowest pre-pandemic sales pace in more than 10 years, as homebuyers grappled with sharply higher mortgage rates, rising home prices and fewer properties on the market.

    Existing home sales fell 5.9% last month from September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.43 million, the National Association of Realtors said Friday. The string of monthly sales declines this year is the longest on record on data going back to 1999, the NAR said.

    Sales cratered 28.4% from October last year. Excluding the steep slowdown in sales that occurred in May 2020 near the start of the pandemic, sales are now at the slowest annual pace since December 2011, when the housing market was still mired in a deep slump following the foreclosure crisis of the late 2000s.

    Despite the slowdown, home prices continued to climb last month, albeit at a slower pace than earlier this year. The national median home price rose 6.6% in October from a year earlier, to $379,100.

    The median home price is now down about 8% from its peak in June, but remains 40% above where it was in October 2019, before the pandemic, said Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist. Since January, home prices have fallen nearly 32%, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics. 

    “That’s really hurting affordability,” he said. “Most household incomes have not risen by 40%.”

    Soaring mortgage rates

    House hunters had fewer properties to choose from as the inventory of homes on the market declined for the third month in a row. Some 1.22 million homes were on the market by the end of October, down 0.8% from September, the NAR said.

    That amounts to 3.3 months’ supply at the current monthly sales pace. In a more balanced market between buyers and sellers there is a 5- to 6-month supply.

    The housing market has been slowing as average long-term U.S. mortgage rates have more than doubled from a year ago, making homes less affordable.

    The average rate on a 30-year home loan was 6.61% this week, according to mortgage buyer Freddie Mac. A year ago, the average rate was 3.1%. Late last month, the average rate topped 7% for the first time since 2002.

    “The plunge in sales this year has tracked the collapse in mortgage demand as affordability has deteriorated,” Pantheon chief economist Ian Shepherdson said in a report, noting that he expects residential real estate sales to slump even further.

    Surging home loan rates reduce homebuyers’ purchasing power by adding hundreds of dollars to monthly mortgage payments. They also discourage homeowners who locked in an ultra-low rate the last couple of years from buying a new home. That, in turn, can limit the number of homes that are available for sale.

    Mortgage rates are likely to remain a significant hurdle for would-be homebuyers for some time as the Federal Reserve has consistently signaled its intent to keep raising its short-term interest rate in its bid to squash the hottest inflation in decades.

    Two weeks ago, the Fed raised its short-term lending rate by another 0.75 percentage points, three times its usual margin, for a fourth time this year. Its key rate now stands in a range of 3.75% to 4%.

    While mortgage rates don’t necessarily mirror the Fed’s rate increases, they tend to track the yield on the 10-year Treasury note. The yield is influenced by a variety of factors, including investors’ expectations for future inflation and global demand for U.S. Treasurys.

    Competition remains fierce

    With the number of properties on the market still relatively scarce by historical standards, sellers continue to receive multiple offers, especially for the most affordable homes where competition remains fierce.

    On average, homes sold in just 21 days of hitting the market last month, up from 19 days in September, the NAR said. Before the pandemic, homes typically sold more than 30 days after being listed for sale.

    For buyers, of course the ongoing slowdown in the housing market has benefits.

    “Other leading indicators of home demand suggest that the housing market likely has more downside to go,” Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial, said in an email. “The low supply of homes, the demographic landscape and the continued geographic reshuffling imply that the housing market will not likely repeat the experience of the Great Financial Crisis. As the housing market cools further, median prices should decline, helping affordability levels come back into balance.”

    According to Zillow, in October the monthly mortgage payment on the purchase of a typical house was $1,910. That’s up 77% from a year ago and a 107% higher — or nearly $1,000 — than in 2019.

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  • Here’s how much more Thanksgiving dinner will cost you this year

    Here’s how much more Thanksgiving dinner will cost you this year

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    In early November, Hays Culbreth’s mother sent a poll to a few family members. She said she could only afford to make two sides for their group of 15 this Thanksgiving and asked them each to vote for their favorites.

    Culbreth guesses green beans and macaroni and cheese will make the cut, but his favorite — sweet potato casserole with a brown sugar crust — will not.

    “Talk about Thanksgiving being ruined,” joked Culbreth, 27, a financial planner from Knoxville, Tennessee.

    Americans are bracing for a costly Thanksgiving this year, with double-digit percent increases in the price of turkey, potatoes, stuffing, canned pumpkin and other staples. The U.S. government estimates food prices will be up 9.5% to 10.5% this year; historically, they’ve risen only 2% annually.

    Lower production and higher costs for labor, transportation and items are part of the reason; disease, rough weather and the war in Ukraine are also contributors.

    “This really isn’t a shortage thing. This is tighter supplies with some pretty good reasons for it,” said David Anderson, a professor and agricultural economist at Texas A&M.

    Wholesale turkey prices are at record highs after a difficult year for U.S. flocks. A particularly deadly strain of avian flu — first reported in February on an Indiana turkey farm — has wiped out 49 million turkeys and other poultry in 46 states this year, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control.


    Inflation and bird flu send turkey prices soaring

    02:12

    As a result, U.S. turkey supplies per capita are at their lowest level since 1986, said Mark Jordan, the executive director of Jonesboro, Arkansas-based Leap Market Analytics. Jordan predicts the wholesale price of a frozen, 8-16 pound turkey hen — the type typically purchased for Thanksgiving — will hit $1.77 per pound in November, up 28% from the same month last year.

    Still, there will be plenty of whole birds for Thanksgiving tables, Jordan said. Companies have been shifting a higher percentage of birds into the whole turkey market for the last few years to take advantage of the consistent holiday demand.

    And not every producer was equally affected. Butterball — which supplies around one-third of Thanksgiving turkeys — said avian flu impacted only about 1% of its production because of security measures it put in place after the last big bout of flu in 2015.

    But it could be harder for shoppers to find turkey breasts or other cuts, Jordan said. And higher ham prices are giving cooks fewer cheap alternatives, he said.

    Avian flu also pushed egg prices into record territory, Anderson said. In the second week of November, a dozen Grade A eggs were selling for an average of $2.28, more than double the price from the prior year, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

    Egg prices would have been higher even without the flu, Anderson said, because of the rising cost of the corn and soybean meal used for chicken feed. Ukraine is normally a major exporter of corn, and the loss of that supply has caused global prices to soar.

    Pricier pumpkins

    Add that to rising prices for canned pumpkin — a 30-ounce can is up 17% from last year, according to market researcher Datasembly — and it’s clear Thanksgiving dessert will be costlier too. Nestle-owned Libby — which produces 85% of the world’s canned pumpkin — said pumpkin harvests were in line with previous years, but it had to compensate for higher labor, transportation, fuel and energy costs.

    Plan to fill up on sides? That will also cost you. A 16-ounce box of stuffing costs 14% more than last year, Datasemby said. And a 5-pound bag of Russet potatoes averaged $3.26 the second week of November, or 45.5% higher than a year ago.

    Craig Carlson, the CEO of Chicago-based Carlson Produce Consulting, said frost and a wet spring severely stunted potato growth this year. Growers also raised prices to compensate for the higher cost of seeds, fertilizer, diesel fuel and machinery. Production costs are up as much as 35% for some growers this year, an increase they can’t always recoup, Carlson said.

    Higher labor and food costs are also making it more expensive to order a prepared meal. Whole Foods is advertising a classic Thanksgiving feast for eight people for $179.99. That’s $40 more than the advertised price last year.

    Good year to eat out

    While eating out is typically more costly than dining at home, going to a restaurant could be a relative bargain this Thanksgiving compared with high grocery store prices. 

    Restaurant prices are also elevated, but they have risen at a slower pace. The cost of food at restaurants and other vendors is up 5.8%, compared to food from grocery stores or supermarkets, which shot up nearly 10% from November 2021 to August 2022, Wells Fargo analysts noted in a recent report

    Thanksgiving-specific food items — including eggs, flour and fruits and vegetables — purchased at stores are even more costly, having risen 14.9% over that time, according to the report, which was based on consumer price index data.

    The good news? Not every item on holiday shopping lists is significantly more expensive. Cranberries had a good harvest and prices were up less than 5% between the end of September and the beginning of November, said Paul Mitchell, an agricultural economist and professor at the University of Wisconsin. Green beans cost just 2 cents more per pound in the second week of November, according to the USDA.

    And many grocers are discounting turkeys and other holiday staples in the hope that shoppers will spend more freely on other items. Walmart is promising turkeys for less than $1 per pound and says ham, potatoes and stuffing will cost the same as they did last year. Kroger and Lidl have also cut prices, so shoppers can spend $5 or less per person on a meal for 10. Aldi is rolling back prices to 2019 levels.

    But Hays Culbreth isn’t optimistic about his casserole. He’s not much of a chef, so he plans to pick up a couple of pumpkin pies at the grocery on the way to his family’s feast.

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  • Stocks rise on cooler-than-expected inflation data

    Stocks rise on cooler-than-expected inflation data

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    Stocks rose on Wall Street Tuesday, boosted by more signs the nation’s high inflation may be falling off faster than expected. But a flare-up of worries about the war in Ukraine kept Wall Street shaky Tuesday and undercut much of its big morning gains.

    The S&P 500 rose 34.48 points, or 0.9%, to 3,991.73. Earlier in the day, it saw a 1.8% gain disappear and swung briefly to a loss of 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average  rose 56.22 points, or 0.2%, to 33,593. The Nasdaq rose 1.4%.

    Through the market’s swerves, technology stocks continued to lead Wall Street on hopes that the Federal Reserve may ease up on the pace of its interest rate hikes, which are meant to tame inflation by slowing the economy.

    The government reported that prices at the wholesale level rose 8% in October from 12 months earlier, the fourth straight decline and the latest sign that inflation pressures in the United States are easing from painfully high levels.

    “Today’s data point confirms that the Fed’s strategy is paying off, and while there is still a tough road ahead to bring inflation under control, we seem to be headed in the right direction,” said Raymond James’ Chief Economist Eugenio Aleman.

    On a monthly basis, the government said Tuesday that its producer price index, which measures costs before they reach consumers, rose 0.2% from September to October. That was same as in the previous month, which was revised down from an initial reading of 0.4%.

    “Equity markets are looking slightly positive,” said Craig Erlam of Oanda in a report. The rally of the past few weeks is “perhaps slowing a little,” he said, but “there doesn’t appear to be much appetite at this stage to bail on it.”


    Inflation showed signs of slowing in October

    05:17

    Fed rates likely to stay elevated

    Investors worry this year’s repeated interest rate increases by central banks to cool inflation might tip the global economy into recession.

    Traders expected the Fed to raise its benchmark lending rate again at its December meeting, but by a smaller margin of one-half percentage point after four hikes of 0.75 percentage points. Fed officials say rates might have to stay elevated for an extended time to cool prices.

    “Though today’s reading and last week’s CPI report show prices are heading in the right direction, the Fed is still on pace to raise rates another 50bps in December, with a smaller increase possible in February, as it seeks to bring down inflation markedly,” economists at Oxford Economics said in a research note.

    While for the rest of the year, the Fed is expected to maintain its aggressive stance on curbing inflation that is near a four-decade high, analysts predict Fed hikes to ease up in 2023 as inflation continues to cool down.

    “The Fed will likely increase the fed funds target by 0.50% in December and potentially slow further rate increases to 0.25% increments,” said Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist for LPL Financial, in a note. “Barring geopolitical or financial crises, inflation should continue its deceleration into 2023.”

    Last week’s lower-than-expected consumer prices data propelled markets to their best week since summer.


    Ways to save as inflation and bird flu raise turkey prices and costs of Thanksgiving staples

    02:41

    Walmart announces earnings, opioid settlement

    Walmart jumped nearly 7% after the retail giant announced earnings and a plan to settle lawsuits filed by state and local governments over the toll of powerful prescription opioids sold at its pharmacies with state and local governments across the U.S.

    The $3.1 billion proposal follows similar announcements earlier this month from the two largest U.S. pharmacy chains, CVS Health and Walgreen Co., which each said they would pay about $5 billion.

    The deals are the product of negotiations with a group of state attorneys general, but they are not final.

    As Americans have continued to struggle amid the rising cost of living, some of the nation’s largest retailers have been using soaring inflation rates as an excuse to raise prices and rake in billions of dollars in additional profit, a corporate watchdog group charged back in May. While today’s figures may not prevent the Fed’s from another large hike in December, it may put a damper on the rising cost of everyday products and services.

    “Businesses are losing pricing power in a cooling economy,” noted Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank in an email. “Downside surprises from CPI and PPI inflation are not enough for the Fed to change its tune at next month’s rate decision, though.”

    Weakening dollar

    In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude lost 66 cents to $85.21 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $3.09 to $85.87 on Monday. Brent crude, the price basis for international oil trading, shed 54 cents to $92.60 per barrel in London. It fell $2.85 the previous session to $93.14.

    The dollar edged down to 139.36 yen from Monday’s 139.92 yen. The euro gained to $1.0404 from $1.0353.

    On Wednesday, the U.S. government gives an update on retail spending. Economists say growth likely revived to 0.9% in October from the previous month’s flat performance.

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  • Stocks skyrocket after government report shows U.S. inflation is edging down

    Stocks skyrocket after government report shows U.S. inflation is edging down

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    Exhilaration is sweeping through Wall Street Thursday morning after a government report showed that U.S. inflation eased by even more than economists expected last month.  

     The S&P 500 jumped 156 points, or 4%, to 3,905 as of 10:31 a.m. Eastern. The Dow rose 872 points, or 3%, to 33, 385 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq surged 5.6%. Treasury yields fell dramatically as bond markets relaxed.

    Even bitcoin rose, clawing back some of its steep plunge from prior days caused by the crypto industry’s latest crisis of confidence. A slowdown in inflation could mean the Federal Reserve won’t have to be so aggressive about raising interest rates. Such hikes have been the main reason for Wall Street’s troubles this year and are threatening a recession.

    The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which helps set rates for mortgages and other loans, fell sharply to 3.93% from 4.10% late Wednesday.

    All the moves stemmed from the consumer price index (CPI) showing that inflation slowed to 7.7% last month, from 8.2% in September. It’s the fourth straight month of moderation since inflation hit a peak of 9.1% in June, and it was an even better reading than the 8% that economists were expecting.

    Core inflation slows

    Inflation also slowed more than expected after ignoring the effects of food and energy prices. That’s the measure that the Fed pays closer attention to. So did inflation between September and October.

    “The month-of-month rate of inflation is much more informative,” said Brian Jacobsen, senior investment strategist at Allspring Global Investments. “On that measure, inflation is still high, but not scary high.”

    Slower inflation could keep the Fed off the most aggressive path in raising interest rates. It’s already raised its key lending rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%, up from close to zero in March.


    Federal Reserve raises interest rates another 0.75 percentage point

    04:29

    Hikes to continue

    While the data was an encouraging sign, analysts also cautioned against assuming that the battle against inflation is over.

    “The Fed is still on track to increase the fed funds rate by 0.50% on December 14,” Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial, said in an email. “However, in the near term, investors should respond favorably to these encouraging moves in consumer prices.”

    Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office, also warns investors not to get carried away by the seemingly game-changing report. 

    “The Fed was adamant that it won’t hit the brakes on rate hikes until inflation slows, and while the market’s rally indicates investors may see light at the end of the tunnel, it will get one more reading before its decision next month,” he said. “Remember that even as we see a slowdown, prices remain elevated and have a long way to go before normalizing.” 


    Stock market responds to midterm elections

    04:26

    Another potentially market-shaking report will also hit Wall Street Friday, when the latest reading arrives on how much inflation U.S. households see coming in future years. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said he’s paying particularly close attention to such expectations.

    One of the reasons the Fed has been so aggressive about hiking rates is because it wants avoid a debilitating cycle where expectations for high inflation push people to change their behaviors in ways that lead to even higher inflation.

    Stocks have swung sharply this week, with several factors pushing the market both up and down. On one hand, investors hope Tuesday’s elections may result in a Washington where control is split between Democrats and Republicans. That could prevent the kind of sweeping economic changes that make investors nervous, but the outlook for that is still uncertain as votes are still being counted.

    FTX flameout

    Huge losses in the crypto world, meanwhile, were threatening to spill over into other markets and at least dent confidence among investors. Bitcoin was sitting below $16,500 shortly before the inflation report, down from roughly $20,000 a week ago and nearly $69,000 a year ago. It quickly jumped $1,000 within a half hour before settling back around $17,400.


    Crypto market tumbles as Binance backs out of FTX deal

    05:24

    Much of this week’s furor for crypto has centered on one of the bigger trading exchanges, FTX, where the industry’s latest crisis of confidence caused customers to scramble to pull out their money. Sharp drops in crypto prices can trigger even steeper declines because of how much money many crypto investors have borrowed to make trades, which can amplify market moves.

    Lenders are likely forcing those investors to put up more collateral, something called a margin call, and the process could take weeks to play out, according to strategists at JPMorgan. One challenge for the market is that the number of big, financially strong players that can bail out the weaker ones is shrinking, according to the strategists.

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  • 5 ways to save on holiday shopping amid high inflation

    5 ways to save on holiday shopping amid high inflation

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    This holiday shopping season is shaping up to be longer, pricier and in some ways more chaotic than in previous years, which makes it easy to overspend. But there are also opportunities for significant savings if you know where and how to search for them.

    “There are supply-chain issues, inflation, major retailers reducing inventory — when you put all of that together, it looks like a recipe for disaster,” said Jill Cataldo, a consumer coupon expert based in Chicago. Her solution? “I started shopping now. If you see something and it looks like a good deal, it’s time to pick it up.”

    That’s because while prices are higher overall, retailers have already launched the holiday deal season, spreading out discounts and sales over the final three months of the year. Given that complicated background, here are the best ways to save money this Black Friday season:

    1. SHOP EARLY AND OFTEN

    It might sound counterintuitive, but starting early can ease the impact on your budget and allow you to score the best deals. “I watch prices, see which retailer is offering the best price and always look for coupons before I buy — anything is better than paying full price,” Cataldo said. When she makes an early purchase, she keeps the receipt handy in case the price drops and the retailer offers a price match.


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    2. BE RELENTLESS ABOUT COMPARING PRICES

    Apps, browser extensions and other tools that will help you track and compare prices abound; you just have to pick the one that you like using most. You can find choices that scour the web in the background while you shop and alert you to lower prices, coupon codes and cash-back opportunities.

    For example, the shopping app ShopSavvy will follow price changes on specific items. John Boyd, co-founder and CEO of Monolith Technologies, which owns ShopSavvy, said he uses that feature for things he has his eye on, like a digital single-lens reflex camera. “I want to get an alert the second those things get marked down, because it might only be on sale for a few minutes and then the quantity runs out,” he said.

    The Camelizer app performs a similar function for Amazon prices specifically.

    Greg Lisiewski, vice president of PayPal Shopping , which includes the shopping browser extension Honey, said when he wants to buy something, he looks up the retailer in the PayPal app to see if any discounts are available (under the “Deals” section).

    Those discounts are especially valuable now because PayPal Honey reports that toys and games are 11% more expensive this year compared with last year, coffee machines have increased 7%, and cycling gear and equipment is up 9%. The company also reports that the biggest discounts this holiday season have been in cosmetics, musical instruments and general department stores.

    3. LAYER ON COUPON CODES AND CASH BACK

    Getting a good deal isn’t only about price: You can add on other savings with coupon codes and cash-back offers.

    Cataldo takes advantage of cash-back offers, which are available through apps like Rakuten, CouponCabin and Ibotta. “It’s just one extra step if you are going to buy online, and then you receive a check,” she said. “I like things that are easy, and that’s very easy.”

    Scott Kluth, founder and CEO of CouponCabin, said stores with excess inventory will often have discounts of 10% to 15%, and cash-back offers range from 3% to 20%. “Stack all of those savings on top of each other,” he said, adding that sometimes online retailers accept multiple coupon codes plus provide free shipping.

    4. GET TO KNOW YOUR LOCAL STORES

    Deborah Weinswig, CEO and founder of Coresight Research, a retail research and advisory firm, said that getting to know your local stores and attending in-person events can be the way to score the biggest deals. “Store managers are being given the ability to negotiate and price match or price beat,” she said, especially when they have excess inventory in stock.

    She suggests joining livestreams, following your favorite brands on social media and signing up for brand loyalty programs to be the first to hear about discounts or sales. “Some codes are only good for 24 hours and some prices are only good for four hours,” she said, so if you want the best deals, be ready to move quickly.

    5. TALK TO FRIENDS AND FAMILY ABOUT SCALING BACK

    With so many people feeling the strain of rising prices, it’s a good year to talk with family and friends about setting limits. For Sarah Schweisthal, social media manager at the budgeting app You Need a Budget, that means creating a gift exchange with family members so each person purchases just one gift within an agreed-on spending cap. “We used to all buy gifts for each other, but there are a lot of adults in our family. It just took one of us to say, ‘Hey, this doesn’t feel sustainable,’” she said.

    Schweisthal estimates that the gift exchange approach has saved her family hundreds of dollars — and this year especially, that’s more important than ever.

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  • Special Report: Biden releasing oil from Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help lower gas prices

    Special Report: Biden releasing oil from Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help lower gas prices

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    Special Report: Biden releasing oil from Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help lower gas prices – CBS News


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    President Biden on Tuesday announced the release of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in an effort to lower gas prices amid the Thanksgiving holiday. Major Garrett anchors a special report from Washington, D.C., on the president’s decision, Weijia Jiang joins from the White House and Jill Schlesinger discusses the economic impact.

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  • Republican Wave Promises Shift In America’s Energy Policy

    Republican Wave Promises Shift In America’s Energy Policy

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    Republicans are expected to gain enough seats in the November 8 midterm elections to capture majorities in both chambers of Congress. A shift back to Republican control could complicate President Joe Biden’s energy policy priorities, but it would undoubtedly provide a boost to energy security advocates.

    The Biden administration’s energy policies have prioritized a climate agenda that has contributed to supply scarcity and soaring costs for consumers. The White House’s answer to the energy crisis has so far been to attack America’s oil and natural gas producers, demanding increased production and threatening higher taxes.

    Such bully-pulpit leadership from the White House isn’t enough to calm energy markets that are skittish over runaway inflation, Russian aggression in Europe, a standoff with China, and a global pandemic that won’t go away.

    Current polling shows Republicans with an 84 in 100 chance to take back the U.S. House of Representatives, according to polling website FiveThirtyEight. The battle for control of the Senate is tighter, with Republicans holding a 52 in 100 shot of winning control of the upper chamber.

    While Republican candidates have been gaining in the polls as Election Day approaches, the most likely outcome is a closely divided Congress with small Republican majorities. But even slim Republican majorities can create headwinds for President Biden’s agenda.

    Under Biden’s presidency, retail gasoline prices surged to a record $5 a gallon in June. Prices at the pump are about $3.75 a gallon today, which is still 60% above where they were when Biden took office on January 6, 2021. Gas prices are poised to push higher before the end of the year due to tight global supply and rising geopolitical risks, including the Ukraine war and mounting sanctions on Russia, a top oil and gas producer.

    It’s not just the price of gasoline that’s a problem, though. The diesel situation is even worse. Meanwhile, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects heating costs to soar this winter – with households forecast to spend nearly 30% more for natural gas and heating oil and 10% more for electricity.

    Republicans are expected to upend Biden’s anti-fossil fuel agenda, which has seen the President recently threaten a windfall profit tax on domestic producers that would hamper investment in new oil and gas supplies.

    Biden doesn’t have the political support in Congress now for such a tax, never mind when a new legislature convenes with increased Republican membership.

    Biden administrators at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have been critical of the domestic oil and gas industry. They have slow-walked new oil and gas lease sales, blocked drilling permits, and slowed approvals of pipelines. Such moves have created an anti-investment atmosphere in the traditional energy sector.

    As the election approaches, Biden has grown more desperate to reduce consumer prices at the pump. The White House has drained the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) – America’s emergency oil stockpile – and courted oil-producing countries with horrible human rights records that promote terrorism.

    Somewhere along the line, the President forgot that America is the world’s largest oil and gas producer – with a far better track record of producing energy in an environmentally responsible way than Iran or Venezuela.

    Even with control of the House, Republicans could challenge the White House’s energy policies and push for a return to the energy priorities of the previous administration.

    That includes the White House’s fraught relationship with Saudi Arabia, the leader of the OPEC cartel, which ignored Biden’s calls for an increase in global oil supplies, instead opting recently to cut production by 2 million barrels a day.

    Congressional action on so-called NOPEC legislation, which would allow the U.S. Department of Justice to sue OPEC members on antitrust grounds as members of a monopoly, could come up for a vote in early 2023.

    The issues troubling the U.S.-Saudi relationship do not fall neatly along party lines. Criticisms of Riyadh tend to be louder on the Democratic side, and former President Donald Trump was widely seen to have better relations with the kingdom. But Iowa’s Republican Senator Chuck Grassley has long led the charge to pass anti-OPEC legislation.

    Trump’s continued influence over the Republican Party could prompt a more powerful Republican Congress to press for better relations with OPEC again. It’s hard to say how this one will fall, but it will be more difficult politically for Biden to veto or lobby against a vote on NOPEC than it has been for past presidents.

    Biden’s crowning climate achievement, the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), remains a GOP lightning rod. And while there is a high hurdle to paring back the law, Republicans can be expected to go to great lengths to expose its flaws.

    Republicans remain extremely unhappy with the passage of the Democratic spending bill, which contained $369 billion in clean energy spending. House GOP lawmakers have gone so far as to repeal the law, which Biden signed in August, a central policy plank for the next Congress. If Republicans win control of the House, that means many hearings and bills centered around dismantling the IRA.

    Among the most vulnerable of the IRA’s energy provisions are the new methane tax on oil and gas operations and the minimum corporate tax of 15% on income. While Congress has wide latitude regarding tax provisions, Republicans would have to win both chambers to repeal the provisions successfully. Even then, they are not likely to capture the two-thirds majority needed to overcome a presidential veto. Still, hefty GOP House oversight of federal agencies charged with implementing the law — and their budgets — could slow things down.

    There is much at stake in energy at the state level in this election, too.

    Republican wins in crucial producing states could exacerbate GOP pushback against environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues. Political rhetoric around the clean energy transition in Washington is at a palpable high, which climate hawks fear could trickle down to state-level politics, widening the band of anti-ESG states.

    Related debates have emerged in critical races, including gas-rich Pennsylvania. In the state’s closely watched Senate race, Republican candidate Mehmet Oz has vowed to cast aside the Biden administration’s “woke agenda” and ensure that capital flows to oil and gas projects are uninterrupted. And an SEC climate risk disclosure rule, also said to be on the GOP’s chopping block, is yet to be finalized.

    Meanwhile, several tight gubernatorial races carry climate and energy implications, where a power change would almost guarantee a shift in state-level policy in those arenas. States to watch are Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Oregon.

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    Dan Eberhart, Contributor

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