ReportWire

Tag: Gambling Industries

  • As FanDuel parent Flutter starts trading on NYSE, CEO expects Super Bowl bets to ‘break records’

    As FanDuel parent Flutter starts trading on NYSE, CEO expects Super Bowl bets to ‘break records’


    Flutter Entertainment, the parent company of FanDuel, started trading on the New York Stock Exchange for the first time Monday, as the company tries to narrow the valuation gap between it and rivals including DraftKings.

    Flutter said Monday that it’s planning to make the New York Stock Exchange its primary listing and will put that to a vote of its shareholders in May. Making the NYSE its home, rather than London, will help it get included in important U.S. indexes, the company said.

    Launching Monday with the ticker FLUT, it’s targeting New York as its primary listing late in the second quarter and early in the third quarter.

    Having a New York listing will also boost its profile in the U.S., help with recruitment and retention, and access “much deeper” capital markets.

    Flutter CEO Peter Jackson spoke with Yahoo Finance about the company after it started trading on Monday. The total addressable U.S. sports betting market is expected to reach $40 billion by 2023 — but Jackson thinks that’s lowballing it. “I expect [$40 billion] will turn out to be conservative, because everything in America turns out bigger than you expect,” he said.

    And when asked about betting on the Super Bowl matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers, he said, “We’ll break records in a couple of weeks time.”

    London-listed shares
    FLTR,
    -0.92%

    drifted 0.3% lower on Monday, though the stock has gained 17% this year.

    According to FactSet, DraftKings
    DKNG,
    +1.88%

    trades on 8.2 times estimated fourth-quarter sales, compared to 2.6 times for Flutter Entertainment.

    Flutter said it plans to retain its London listing, having already delisted from Euronext Dublin.

    Flutter earlier this month said that FanDuel was the “clear number one sportsbook” in the U.S. during the fourth quarter.

    Other Flutter brands include Betfair, PokerStars and Paddy Power.

    Weston Blasi contributed.





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  • This New Jersey financial pro just won nearly $500K on a sports bet. He'll use it to pay off student loans.

    This New Jersey financial pro just won nearly $500K on a sports bet. He'll use it to pay off student loans.

    After winning nearly $500,000 on a $5 sports bet, a New Jersey financial adviser said he is planning to follow some of the advice he gives to clients and put the money to good use.

    Travis Dufner, a 32-year-old adviser with Millstone Financial Group in Millstone, N.J., is the bettor who has stepped forward to say he won the $489,378.01 parlay payoff. The wager involved picking 14 players who would score a touchdown over the holiday weekend’s NFL games.

    When…

    Master your money.

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  • Stocks Are Poised to Rise Monday

    Stocks Are Poised to Rise Monday

    U.S. stocks are poised to rise on Monday ahead of a week of earnings and economic data releases, including quarterly reports from Tesla, Netflix, and .

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  • You just won the Powerball jackpot — what should you do next?

    You just won the Powerball jackpot — what should you do next?

    One lucky person picked the winning $1.73 billion Powerball number in California. It is a life-changing amount of money for the lucky winner or winners — but not necessarily in a good way. 

    Robert Pagliarini, author of “The Sudden Wealth Solution,” has been guiding lottery winners for decades. And he has seen plenty of people run through their winnings faster than you can say “jackpot!” Or, friends and family (and certainly office lottery pool players) can see their winnings tied up in legal battles for years, as the parties argue over who gets how much. About 70% of lottery winners lose or spend all the money in five years or less, after all. 

    “Money — especially when you’re talking about this level of money — absolutely upends people’s lives,” Pagliarini, the president of Pacifica Wealth Advisors, told MarketWatch. “You should be excited, but you should also be prepared, for sure.” 

    These are his five tips for what to do if you win the lottery or get another windfall.

    Document that the winning ticket is YOURS

    Sign your name on the winning ticket, take a picture of yourself holding the winning ticket — in fact, take a video of yourself holding the signed, winning ticket, for good measure. 

    “The first step is really all about securing the ticket … because whoever has it is the owner,” says Pagliarini. “There’s no record of you having purchased that ticket with those numbers. So having that ticket is everything.” 

    Related: Hoping to win Mega Millions? This woman hit a $112 million Mega Millions jackpot.

    You have to document that this ticket is yours, which is why Pagliarini says legal experts recommend signing it. “I would absolutely sign it myself,” he adds. 

    And then put that ticket in a safe place, like a home safe or lockbox.

    Don’t tell anyone yet!

    You may want to sing the good news from the rooftops that your financial troubles are over. Problem is, everyone else’s troubles aren’t — and Pagliarini warns that, for your own personal safety and peace of mind, it’s better not to let the world know you’ve just become a billionaire overnight — if you can help it. Unfortunately, most states make you disclose that you’ve won.

    “We’re used to seeing people with the big check on TV, which looks pretty cool — but now everybody in the entire world knows that you’re worth $1 billion. And that’s not really the kind of publicity that you want,” says Pagliarini. “You’re going to be hit up for lots of money requests as people come out of the woodwork. And that adds such a huge amount of stress when you’re in a situation that is already stressful.” 

    You generally have 180 days to collect the winnings, and you’re going to have to make some big, life-changing decisions during that time. Staying anonymous, if you can, will give you the space to make those decisions with a clear head. 

    Unfortunately, as noted, most states compel lottery winners to come forward publicly. If you have to reveal yourself and do press interviews, protect your personal information. Some past Powerball winners didn’t answer questions about any meaningful or personal significance associated with the winning numbers that they played, for example, or they refused to share details about their children. One couple simply moved out of their house and refused to speak with the media at all while they settled their affairs.

    “My rule is basically, you tell one family member, and then you immediately try to get professional help,” Pagliarini adds. Which leads us to…. 

    Get a lawyer and a financial adviser

    Bring in the professional help as soon as you can. An attorney can help you decide the best time to claim your lottery prize, and offer more advice on keeping your ticket safe. They can also help navigate your rights and protect your best interests with regards to how much you need to present yourself publicly. And they can also help you manage your safety. 

    Meanwhile, a financial adviser can assess your financial situation and help you decide whether it makes sense to take a lump sum of cash, or to collect your winnings over annual payments. A financial adviser can also help you manage your money so that you can check things off your bucket list without overspending.

    “You know you’ve won, and then typically you have about 180 days to collect the winnings,” says Pagliarini. “So you’ve got to do some serious planning.” You need all the help you can get.  

    Do you take the lump-sum payment or the annuity payment?

    Pagliarini considers staying anonymous as the first big decision a lottery winner makes. The second most important question, however, is how they collect their winnings. Do you want to take a lump sum, or do you want to take the annuity (aka, a payout over time)?

    “This is really the biggest financial decision you’ll ever make in your entire life,” he says. (Granted, it’s one that most of us will never have to make, since the odds of winning the lottery, let alone a jackpot of this size, are infinitesimal.)  

    He notes that most people take the lump-sum payment, and in some circumstances this can be a better decision. But keep in mind that if you win a $1 billion Powerball jackpot, for example, you are not getting $1 billion.

    “They send you about 60-ish percent of whatever the lump sum is,” Pagliarini notes. So for a $1 billion prize, for example, “you would get around $600 million instead of $1 billion,” he said. And after state taxes, depending on where you live, and federal taxes, that jackpot may be closer to $300 million in the end. Whereas, the annuity is given as 30 payments over 29 years, which will come closer to hitting the advertised $1 billion jackpot than lump-sum takers would get. So being patient can pay off in the long run, especially with a bigger prize like this.

    As far as taxes are concerned, Pagliarini still leans toward annuity — especially for a smaller jackpot, like if it was $1 million. That’s because you would get a lump-sum payment of about $600,000, which would put you in the highest federal and state income tax bracket (for single filers anyway) that year — versus taking an extra $30,000 a year for 30 years. “That annuity payment is probably not going to catapult you into the highest tax bracket,” he says. But for a $1 billion-plus jackpot like this, you’re going to be in the highest tax bracket whichever payout you choose, he says.

    But there’s another reason to consider going the annuity route, Pagliarini says — it can save you from yourself. 

    “The biggest advantage of the lump-sum payout is that you get most of the money up front, and then you can do whatever you want with it,” he says, such as pay off debt, invest it, buy a house, etc. “But that actually happens to be the biggest disadvantage of the lump sum,” he continues. And that’s because, if you overspend your winnings and run out of cash with your lump sum, then you are out of luck. But the annuity payments are almost like a do-over each year, he says, because you can learn from your mistakes and spend the next annual windfall more wisely. “I’ve advised most people honestly to take the annuity,” he says. “It just allows you to really make mistakes, but have them not be a total derailment.” 

    If you still can’t make up your mind, he also has a free online quiz to help you decide whether you should take a lump sum or an annuity payment

    Keep it simple when deciding where to put your new money.

    So you’ve secured your ticket, tried to keep it quiet, hired some professional help, and decided how you are going to collect your winnings. Then what do you do with all of this cash? 

    Every financial situation is different, of course, which is where a financial adviser can help you sort out the nuances to make this lottery win a real dream come true for you. But in general, Pagliarini recommends keeping things simple — even considering that this $1 billion jackpot (even whittled down after taxes) would allow you to do basically whatever you wanted to do. 

    “If I were meeting with you, we would sit down and make some serious decisions, and prioritize what you want to do,” he says, “such as paying off debt, and discussing what is on your wish list. Do you want to buy a new house or a second house, or buy your family houses?” He suggests pricing out your wish list together with your adviser to see whether you could afford to do everything you want.

    But you still want money left over to live on. “We want to make sure the money left over is generating enough income so that they could survive on that for as long as they wanted — and particularly in this case, I’m sure generations would be able to survive on this amount of money,” he says. “I would invest in index funds. I wouldn’t get esoteric with limited partnerships and venture capital. Just go for a diversified portfolio, because as soon as you start deviating from ‘simple’ you can really increase your chances of just losing it all.” 

    He notes that because lottery winnings don’t feel “earned,” the prize may not feel like “real” money — which is one of the reasons so many lottery winners don’t manage their newfound wealth well. Again, about 70% of lottery winners lose or spend all that money in five years or less. “If the money doesn’t feel earned or real, you’re going to make decisions with that money that are probably not going to be in your best interest,” he adds. “You’re giving it away more freely, spending more freely, or freely investing in things a lot riskier than you would have done if you had to sweat and earn that money.” 

    So keep it simple. “Don’t think just because you have x-millions of dollars now that you really have to get ‘sophisticated,’” he adds.

    And some bonus advice for office pools

    This is more of an extra, hindsight tip for before you and your co-workers start throwing in a buck apiece for a long-shot bid at a jackpot like this. Pagliarini warns that office pools can get “tricky,” so it’s good to sign a contract setting some ground rules before you all pool together. 

    “There’s been a lot of litigation around office pools, because maybe somebody forgets to play one week, and that’s the week everyone wins. Or someone thought they played this week, but on this particular week they didn’t,” he says. “So loosey-goosey situations can end up in court to battle it out.”

    A much simpler solution to avoid this is to have an office pool contract that spells out who is in this pool, how much they are contributing, and it also determines in advance whether the group will take the lump-sum payment or the annuity payment. 

    “Because the last thing that you want is to win $1 billion or $100 million dollars, and then to be tied up in court for four years,” says Pagliarini. “That’s no fun.”

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  • These 20 stocks in the S&P 500 are expected to soar after rising interest rates have pushed down valuations

    These 20 stocks in the S&P 500 are expected to soar after rising interest rates have pushed down valuations

    Two things investors can be sure about: Nothing lasts forever and the stock market always overreacts. The spiking of yields on long-term U.S. Treasury securities has been breathtaking, and it has led to remarkable declines for some sectors and possible bargains for contrarian investors who can commit for the long term.

    First we will show how the sectors of the S&P 500

    have performed. Then we will look at price-to-earnings valuations for the sectors and compare them to long-term averages. Then we will screen the entire index for companies trading below their long-term forward P/E valuation averages and narrow the list to companies most favored by analysts.

    Here are total returns, with dividends reinvested, for the 11 sectors of the S&P 500, with broad indexes below. The sectors are sorted by ascending total returns this year through Monday.

    Sector or index

    2023 return

    2022 return

    Return since end of 2021

    1 week return

    1 month return

    Utilities

    -18.4%

    1.6%

    -17.2%

    -11.1%

    -9.6%

    Real Estate

    -7.1%

    -26.1%

    -31.4%

    -3.0%

    -8.8%

    Consumer Staples

    -5.4%

    -0.6%

    -6.0%

    -2.2%

    -4.4%

    Healthcare

    -4.2%

    -2.0%

    -6.1%

    -1.7%

    -3.3%

    Financials

    -2.5%

    -10.5%

    -12.7%

    -2.5%

    -4.7%

    Materials

    1.3%

    -12.3%

    -11.2%

    -1.9%

    -7.0%

    Industrials

    3.5%

    -5.5%

    -2.1%

    -1.8%

    -7.3%

    Energy

    4.0%

    65.7%

    72.4%

    -1.9%

    -1.4%

    Consumer Discretionary

    27.0%

    -37.0%

    -20.0%

    -0.6%

    -5.2%

    Information Technology

    36.5%

    -28.2%

    -2.0%

    0.8%

    -5.9%

    Communication Services

    42.5%

    -39.9%

    -14.3%

    1.1%

    -1.3%

    S&P 500
    13.1%

    -18.1%

    -7.4%

    -1.1%

    -4.9%

    DJ Industrial Average
    2.5%

    -6.9%

    -4.5%

    -1.7%

    -4.0%

    Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP
    28.0%

    -32.5%

    -13.7%

    0.3%

    -5.1%

    Nasdaq-100 Index
    36.5%

    -32.4%

    -7.7%

    0.5%

    -4.2%

    Source: FactSet

    Returns for 2022 are also included, along with those since the end of 2021. Last year’s weakest sector, communications services, has been this year’s strongest performer. This sector includes Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL
    and Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    which have returned 52% and 155% this year, respectively, but are still down since the end of 2021. To the right are returns for the past week and month through Monday.

    On Monday, the S&P 500 Utilities sector had its worst one-day performance since 2020, with a 4.7% decline. Investors were reacting to the jump in long-term interest rates.

    Here is a link to the U.S. Treasury Department’s summary of the daily yield curve across maturities for Treasury securities.

    The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes

    jumped 10 basis points in only one day to 4.69% on Monday. A month earlier the 10-year yield was only 4.27%. Also on Monday, the yield on 20-year Treasury bonds

    rose to 5.00% from 4.92% on Friday. It was up from 4.56% a month earlier.

    Market Extra: Bond investors feel the heat as popular fixed-income ETF suffers lowest close since 2007

    The Treasury yield curve is still inverted, with 3-month T-bills

    yielding 5.62% on Monday, but that was up only slightly from a month earlier. An inverted yield curve has traditionally signaled that bond investors expect a recession within a year and a lowering of interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Demand for bonds pushes their prices down. But the reverse has happened over recent days, with the selling of longer-term Treasury securities pushing yields up rapidly.

    Another way to illustrate the phenomenon is to look at how the Federal Reserve has shifted the U.S. money supply. Odeon Capital analyst Dick Bove wrote in a note to clients on Friday that “the Federal Reserve has not deviated from its policy to defeat inflation by tightening monetary policy,” as it has shrunk its balance sheet (mostly Treasury securities) to $8.1 trillion from $9 trillion in March 2022. He added: “The M2 money supply was $21.8 trillion in March 2022; today it is $20.8 trillion. You cannot get tighter than these numbers indicate.”

    Then on Tuesday, Bove illustrated the Fed’s tightening and the movement of the 10-year yield with two charts:


    Odeon Capital Group, Bloomberg

    Bove said he believes the bond market has gotten it wrong, with the inverted yield curve reflecting expectations of rate cuts next year. If he is correct, investors can expect longer-term yields to keep shooting up and a normalization of the yield curve.

    This has set up a brutal environment for utility stocks, which are typically desired by investors who are seeking dividend income. In a market in which you can receive a yield of 5.5% with little risk over the short term, and in which you can lock in a long-term yield of about 5%, why take a risk in the stock market? And if you believe that the core inflation rate of 3.7% makes a 5% yield seem paltry, keep in mind that not all investors think the same way. Many worry less about the inflation rate because large components of official inflation calculations, such as home prices and car prices, don’t affect everyone every year.

    We cannot know when this current selloff of longer-term bonds will end, or how much of an effect it will have on the stock market. But sharp declines in the stock market can set up attractive price points for investors looking to go in for the long haul.

    Screening for lower valuations and high ratings

    A combination of rising earnings estimates and price declines could shed light on potential buying opportunities, based on forward price-to-earnings ratios.

    Let’s look at the sectors again, in the same order, this time to show their forward P/E ratios, based on weighted rolling 12-month consensus estimates for earnings per share among analysts polled by FactSet:

    Sector or index

    Current P/E to 5-year average

    Current P/E to 10-year average

    Current P/E to 15-year average

    Forward P/E

    5-year average P/E

    10-year average P/E

    15-year average P/E

    Utilities

    82%

    86%

    95%

    14.99

    18.30

    17.40

    15.82

    Real Estate

    76%

    80%

    81%

    15.19

    19.86

    18.89

    18.72

    Consumer Staples

    93%

    96%

    105%

    18.61

    19.92

    19.30

    17.64

    Healthcare

    103%

    104%

    115%

    16.99

    16.46

    16.34

    14.72

    Financials

    88%

    92%

    97%

    12.90

    14.65

    14.08

    13.26

    Materials

    100%

    103%

    111%

    16.91

    16.98

    16.42

    15.27

    Industrials

    88%

    96%

    105%

    17.38

    19.84

    18.16

    16.56

    Energy

    106%

    63%

    73%

    11.78

    11.17

    18.80

    16.23

    Consumer Discretionary

    79%

    95%

    109%

    24.09

    30.41

    25.39

    22.10

    Information Technology

    109%

    130%

    146%

    24.20

    22.17

    18.55

    16.54

    Communication Services

    86%

    86%

    94%

    16.41

    19.09

    19.00

    17.43

    S&P 500
    94%

    101%

    112%

    17.94

    19.01

    17.76

    16.04

    DJ Industrial Average
    93%

    98%

    107%

    16.25

    17.49

    16.54

    15.17

    Nasdaq Composite Index
    92%

    102%

    102%

    24.62

    26.71

    24.18

    24.18

    Nasdaq-100 Index
    97%

    110%

    126%

    24.40

    25.23

    22.14

    19.43

    There is a limit to how many columns we can show in the table. The S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio is now 17.94, compared with 16.79 at the end of 2022 and 21.53 at the end of 2021. The benchmark index’s P/E is above its 10- and 15-year average levels but below the five-year average.

    If we compare the current sector P/E numbers to 5-, 10- and 15-year averages, we can see that the current levels are below all three averages for four sectors: utilities, real estate, financials and communications services. The first three face obvious difficulties as they adjust to the rising-rate environment, while the real-estate sector reels from continuing low usage rates for office buildings, from the change in behavior brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic.

    Your own opinions, along with the pricing for some sectors, might drive some investment choices.

    A broader screen of the S&P 500 might point to companies for you to research further.

    We narrowed the S&P 500 as follows:

    • Current forward P/E below 5-, 10- and 15-year average valuations. For stocks with negative earnings-per-share estimates for the next 12 months, there is no forward P/E ratio so they were excluded. For stocks listed for less than 15 years, we required at least a 5-year average P/E for comparison. This brought the list down to 138 companies.

    • “Buy” or equivalent ratings from at least two-thirds of analysts: 41 companies.

    Here are the 20 companies that passed the screen, for which analysts’ price targets imply the highest upside potential over the next 12 months.

    There is too much data for one table, so first we will show the P/E information:

    Company

    Ticker

    Current P/E to 5-year average

    Current P/E to 10-year average

    Current P/E to 15-year average

    SolarEdge Technologies Inc.

    SEDG 89%

    N/A

    N/A

    AES Corp.

    AES 66%

    75%

    90%

    Insulet Corp.

    PODD 18%

    N/A

    N/A

    United Airlines Holdings Inc.

    UAL 42%

    50%

    N/A

    Alaska Air Group Inc.

    ALK 51%

    57%

    N/A

    Tapestry Inc.

    TPR 39%

    49%

    70%

    Albemarle Corp.

    ALB 39%

    50%

    73%

    Delta Air Lines Inc.

    DAL 60%

    63%

    21%

    Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.

    ARE 59%

    68%

    N/A

    Las Vegas Sands Corp.

    LVS 96%

    78%

    53%

    Paycom Software Inc.

    PAYC 61%

    N/A

    N/A

    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    PYPL 33%

    N/A

    N/A

    SBA Communications Corp. Class A

    SBAC 27%

    N/A

    N/A

    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    AMD 58%

    39%

    N/A

    LKQ Corp.

    LKQ 92%

    44%

    78%

    Charles Schwab Corp.

    SCHW 75%

    54%

    73%

    PulteGroup Inc.

    PHM 94%

    47%

    N/A

    Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.

    LW 71%

    N/A

    N/A

    News Corp Class A

    NWSA 93%

    73%

    N/A

    CVS Health Corp.

    CVS 75%

    61%

    67%

    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more about each company or index.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    News Corp
    NWSA
    is on the list. The company owns Dow Jones, which in turn owns MarketWatch.

    Here’s the list again, with ratings and consensus price-target information:

    Company

    Ticker

    Share “buy” ratings

    Oct. 2 price

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    SolarEdge Technologies Inc.

    SEDG 74%

    $122.56

    $268.77

    119%

    AES Corp.

    AES 79%

    $14.16

    $25.60

    81%

    Insulet Corp.

    PODD 68%

    $165.04

    $279.00

    69%

    United Airlines Holdings Inc.

    UAL 71%

    $41.62

    $69.52

    67%

    Alaska Air Group Inc.

    ALK 87%

    $36.83

    $61.31

    66%

    Tapestry Inc.

    TPR 75%

    $28.58

    $46.21

    62%

    Albemarle Corp.

    ALB 81%

    $162.41

    $259.95

    60%

    Delta Air Lines Inc.

    DAL 95%

    $36.45

    $58.11

    59%

    Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.

    ARE 100%

    $98.18

    $149.45

    52%

    Las Vegas Sands Corp.

    LVS 72%

    $45.70

    $68.15

    49%

    Paycom Software Inc.

    PAYC 77%

    $260.04

    $384.89

    48%

    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    PYPL 69%

    $58.56

    $86.38

    48%

    SBA Communications Corp. Class A

    SBAC 68%

    $198.24

    $276.69

    40%

    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    AMD 74%

    $103.27

    $143.07

    39%

    LKQ Corp.

    LKQ 82%

    $49.13

    $67.13

    37%

    Charles Schwab Corp.

    SCHW 77%

    $53.55

    $72.67

    36%

    PulteGroup Inc.

    PHM 81%

    $73.22

    $98.60

    35%

    Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.

    LW 100%

    $92.23

    $123.50

    34%

    News Corp Class A

    NWSA 78%

    $20.00

    $26.42

    32%

    CVS Health Corp.

    CVS 77%

    $69.69

    $90.88

    30%

    Source: FactSet

    A year may actually be a short period for a long-term investor, but 12-month price targets are the norm for analysts working for brokerage companies.

    Don’t miss: This fund shows that industry expertise can help you make a lot of money in the stock market

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  • Stock Plays for October: 3 to Watch, According to J.P. Morgan

    Stock Plays for October: 3 to Watch, According to J.P. Morgan

    The stock market is entering October a little battered and bruised after September’s selloff. However, that also offers opportunities and


    J.P. Morgan


    analysts have some ideas for where to invest at the start of t…

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  • Phil Mickelson responds to sports betting allegations: ‘I never bet on the Ryder Cup’

    Phil Mickelson responds to sports betting allegations: ‘I never bet on the Ryder Cup’

    ‘I never bet on the Ryder Cup. While it is well known that I always enjoy a friendly wager on the course, I would never undermine the integrity of the game.’

    That was golf star Phil Mickelson responding to allegations he wagered more than $1 billion on football, basketball and baseball over the past three decades, and attempted to bet on the Ryder Cup, too.

    The claims were made by professional gambler and Las Vegas businessman Billy Walters in a book due out on Aug. 22, “Gambler: Secrets from a Life of Risk.” Walters said Mickelson placed hundreds of bets with him for exactly $220,000 and 1,115 bets for precisely $110,000 over the span of three decades. Walters claims that Mickelson also asked him to place a $400,000 bet on the U.S. team to win the 2012 Ryder Cup, a request that Walters said he declined, according to excerpts of the book reported by The FirePit Collective. 

    PGA Tour players are prohibited from wagering on events under the organization’s Integrity Program.

    “​​I have also been very open about my gambling addiction,” Mickelson continued in his statement shared on social media. “I have previously conveyed my remorse, took responsibility, have gotten help, have been fully committed to therapy that has positively impacted me and I feel good about where I am now.”

    Mickelson did not specifically address Walters’s claims that he wagered over $1 billion on sports, or that he lost more than $100 million on his bets during the multi-decade span.

    Walters is viewed as one of the more successful professional gamblers in recent memory, with sportsbooks limiting the amount he could wager at their establishments. He was convicted of insider trading in 2017 and served five years in federal prison. Mickelson was named in that insider-trading case; he was not accused of wrongdoing but agreed to pay back close to $1 million earned on a stock tip he received from Walters.

    Representatives for Mickelson did not respond to MarketWatch’s request for comment for this story.

    Mickelson was one of the first professional golfers to leave the PGA Tour for LIV Golf last year. He was offered roughly $200 million to join the Saudi-backed league, according to the Golf Channel’s Brentley Romine. The PGA Tour, the DP World Tour and the Saudi-backed LIV Golf circuit reached a landmark merger agreement in June that aims to create a single operation that would “unify” golf.

    See also: PGA Tour head: it will be ‘difficult’ to earn players trust after LIV merger

    And: Tiger Woods turned down LIV Golf offer in the ‘neighborhood’ of $700 million, says Greg Norman

    Some fellow professional golfers reacted to the alleged gambling issues by taking a few swings at Mickelson.

    “At least he can bet on the Ryder Cup this year because he won’t be a part of it,” golfer Rory McIlroy said on Thursday. McIlroy, one of the PGA Tour’s staunchest defenders in its battle against LIV Golf, has been critical of Mickelson and LIV on multiple occasions.

    Golfers including Mickelson and Dustin Johnson have been criticized for joining LIV Golf and turning a blind eye to Saudi Arabia’s human-rights record. According to the U.S. State Department, Saudi Arabia has in recent years been linked to multiple human-rights violations, including unlawful killings; executions for nonviolent offenses; forced disappearances; torture and cases of cruel and inhuman or degrading treatment of prisoners and detainees by government agents, among other offenses.

    Golfer Jordan Speith, a three-time major championship winner, said people in the golf world were “surprised” by the recent headlines about Mickelson.

    Mickelson’s alleged gambling predates the summer of 2018, when the Supreme Court lifted a U.S. ban on sports betting, allowing states to create legislation to legalize gambling. Since then, 34 states allow some form of legal sports betting, according to the latest tally by the American Gaming Association.

    It’s estimated that between 1% and 3% of the American adult population has some sort of gambling issue, although some groups believe the actual number could be even higher.

    “We didn’t have a good problem-gambling infrastructure in place prior to the expansion of sports betting, and we still don’t,” Keith Whyte, executive director of the National Council on Problem Gambling, was quoted as having told the Charlotte Observer in February.

    U.S. sportsbooks accepted $93 billion in sports bets in 2022, according to the American Gaming Association’s Tracker, a massive jump from the $57.22 billion wagered in 2021.

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  • You just won the Mega Millions jackpot — what should you do next?

    You just won the Mega Millions jackpot — what should you do next?

    Robert Pagliarini, author of “The Sudden Wealth Solution,” has been guiding lottery winners for decades. And he has seen plenty of people run through their winnings faster than you can say “jackpot!” Or, friends and family (and certainly office lottery pool players) can see their winnings tied up in legal battles for years, as the parties argue over who gets how much. About 70% of lottery winners lose or spend all the money in five years or less, after all. 

    “Money — especially when you’re talking about this level of money — absolutely upends people’s lives,” Pagliarini, the president of Pacifica Wealth Advisors, told MarketWatch. “You should be excited, but you should also be prepared, for sure.” 

    These are his five tips for what to do if you win the lottery or get another windfall.

    Document that the winning ticket is YOURS

    Sign your name on the winning ticket, take a picture of yourself holding the winning ticket — in fact, take a video of yourself holding the signed, winning ticket, for good measure. 

    “The first step is really all about securing the ticket … because whoever has it is the owner,” says Pagliarini. “There’s no record of you having purchased that ticket with those numbers. So having that ticket is everything.” 

    Related: Hoping to win Mega Millions? This woman hit a $112 million Mega Millions jackpot.

    You have to document that this ticket is yours, which is why Pagliarini says legal experts recommend signing it. “I would absolutely sign it myself,” he adds. 

    And then put that ticket in a safe place, like a home safe or lockbox.

    Don’t tell anyone yet!

    You may want to sing the good news from the rooftops that your financial troubles are over. Problem is, everyone else’s troubles aren’t — and Pagliarini warns that, for your own personal safety and peace of mind, it’s better not to let the world know you’ve just become a billionaire overnight — if you can help it. Unfortunately, most states make you disclose that you’ve won.

    “We’re used to seeing people with the big check on TV, which looks pretty cool — but now everybody in the entire world knows that you’re worth $1 billion. And that’s not really the kind of publicity that you want,” says Pagliarini. “You’re going to be hit up for lots of money requests as people come out of the woodwork. And that adds such a huge amount of stress when you’re in a situation that is already stressful.” 

    You generally have 180 days to collect the winnings, and you’re going to have to make some big, life-changing decisions during that time. Staying anonymous, if you can, will give you the space to make those decisions with a clear head. 

    Unfortunately, as noted, most states compel lottery winners to come forward publicly. If you have to reveal yourself and do press interviews, protect your personal information. Some past Powerball winners didn’t answer questions about any meaningful or personal significance associated with the winning numbers that they played, for example, or they refused to share details about their children. One couple simply moved out of their house and refused to speak with the media at all while they settled their affairs.

    “My rule is basically, you tell one family member, and then you immediately try to get professional help,” Pagliarini adds. Which leads us to…. 

    Get a lawyer and a financial adviser

    Bring in the professional help as soon as you can. An attorney can help you decide the best time to claim your lottery prize, and offer more advice on keeping your ticket safe. They can also help navigate your rights and protect your best interests with regards to how much you need to present yourself publicly. And they can also help you manage your safety. 

    Meanwhile, a financial adviser can assess your financial situation and help you decide whether it makes sense to take a lump sum of cash, or to collect your winnings over annual payments. A financial adviser can also help you manage your money so that you can check things off your bucket list without overspending.

    “You know you’ve won, and then typically you have about 180 days to collect the winnings,” says Pagliarini. “So you’ve got to do some serious planning.” You need all the help you can get.  

    Do you take the lump-sum payment or the annuity payment?

    Pagliarini considers staying anonymous as the first big decision a lottery winner makes. The second most important question, however, is how they collect their winnings. Do you want to take a lump sum, or do you want to take the annuity (aka, a payout over time)?

    “This is really the biggest financial decision you’ll ever make in your entire life,” he says. (Granted, it’s one that most of us will never have to make, since the odds of winning the lottery, let alone a jackpot of this size, are infinitesimal.)  

    He notes that most people take the lump-sum payment, and in some circumstances this can be a better decision. But keep in mind that if you win a $1 billion Powerball jackpot, for example, you are not getting $1 billion.

    “They send you about 60-ish percent of whatever the lump sum is,” Pagliarini notes. So for a $1 billion prize, for example, “you would get around $600 million instead of $1 billion,” he said. And after state taxes, depending on where you live, and federal taxes, that jackpot may be closer to $300 million in the end. Whereas, the annuity is given as 30 payments over 29 years, which will come closer to hitting the advertised $1 billion jackpot than lump-sum takers would get. So being patient can pay off in the long run, especially with a bigger prize like this.

    As far as taxes are concerned, Pagliarini still leans toward annuity — especially for a smaller jackpot, like if it was $1 million. That’s because you would get a lump-sum payment of about $600,000, which would put you in the highest federal and state income tax bracket (for single filers anyway) that year — versus taking an extra $30,000 a year for 30 years. “That annuity payment is probably not going to catapult you into the highest tax bracket,” he says. But for a $1 billion-plus jackpot like this, you’re going to be in the highest tax bracket whichever payout you choose, he says.

    But there’s another reason to consider going the annuity route, Pagliarini says — it can save you from yourself. 

    “The biggest advantage of the lump-sum payout is that you get most of the money up front, and then you can do whatever you want with it,” he says, such as pay off debt, invest it, buy a house, etc. “But that actually happens to be the biggest disadvantage of the lump sum,” he continues. And that’s because, if you overspend your winnings and run out of cash with your lump sum, then you are out of luck. But the annuity payments are almost like a do-over each year, he says, because you can learn from your mistakes and spend the next annual windfall more wisely. “I’ve advised most people honestly to take the annuity,” he says. “It just allows you to really make mistakes, but have them not be a total derailment.” 

    If you still can’t make up your mind, he also has a free online quiz to help you decide whether you should take a lump sum or an annuity payment

    Keep it simple when deciding where to put your new money.

    So you’ve secured your ticket, tried to keep it quiet, hired some professional help, and decided how you are going to collect your winnings. Then what do you do with all of this cash? 

    Every financial situation is different, of course, which is where a financial adviser can help you sort out the nuances to make this lottery win a real dream come true for you. But in general, Pagliarini recommends keeping things simple — even considering that this $1 billion jackpot (even whittled down after taxes) would allow you to do basically whatever you wanted to do. 

    “If I were meeting with you, we would sit down and make some serious decisions, and prioritize what you want to do,” he says, “such as paying off debt, and discussing what is on your wish list. Do you want to buy a new house or a second house, or buy your family houses?” He suggests pricing out your wish list together with your adviser to see whether you could afford to do everything you want.

    But you still want money left over to live on. “We want to make sure the money left over is generating enough income so that they could survive on that for as long as they wanted — and particularly in this case, I’m sure generations would be able to survive on this amount of money,” he says. “I would invest in index funds. I wouldn’t get esoteric with limited partnerships and venture capital. Just go for a diversified portfolio, because as soon as you start deviating from ‘simple’ you can really increase your chances of just losing it all.” 

    He notes that because lottery winnings don’t feel “earned,” the prize may not feel like “real” money — which is one of the reasons so many lottery winners don’t manage their newfound wealth well. Again, about 70% of lottery winners lose or spend all that money in five years or less. “If the money doesn’t feel earned or real, you’re going to make decisions with that money that are probably not going to be in your best interest,” he adds. “You’re giving it away more freely, spending more freely, or freely investing in things a lot riskier than you would have done if you had to sweat and earn that money.” 

    So keep it simple. “Don’t think just because you have x-millions of dollars now that you really have to get ‘sophisticated,’” he adds.

    And some bonus advice for office pools

    This is more of an extra, hindsight tip for before you and your co-workers start throwing in a buck apiece for a long-shot bid at a jackpot like this. Pagliarini warns that office pools can get “tricky,” so it’s good to sign a contract setting some ground rules before you all pool together. 

    “There’s been a lot of litigation around office pools, because maybe somebody forgets to play one week, and that’s the week everyone wins. Or someone thought they played this week, but on this particular week they didn’t,” he says. “So loosey-goosey situations can end up in court to battle it out.”

    A much simpler solution to avoid this is to have an office pool contract that spells out who is in this pool, how much they are contributing, and it also determines in advance whether the group will take the lump-sum payment or the annuity payment. 

    “Because the last thing that you want is to win $1 billion or $100 million dollars, and then to be tied up in court for four years,” says Pagliarini. “That’s no fun.”

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  • Penn dumps Barstool for ESPN-branded sports-gambling service

    Penn dumps Barstool for ESPN-branded sports-gambling service

    Online sports-betting company Penn Entertainment Inc. sealed a $1.5 billion deal with Walt Disney Co.’s
    DIS,
    +1.50%

    ESPN to launch ESPN Bet, a branded sportsbook for fans in the U.S., and pivoted away from Barstool Sports on Tuesday, selling the platform back to founder Dave Portnoy.

    Penn Entertainment
    PENN,
    -0.68%

    will rebrand its current sportsbook and relaunch as ESPN Bet in the fall in 16 legalized-betting states where Penn is licensed.

    The rebrand — which includes the mobile app, website, and mobile website — sent Penn’s stock soaring 13% in after-hours trading Tuesday. ESPN Bet will benefit from exclusive promotional services across ESPN’s platforms, including access to ESPN talent, the companies said.

    Penn will pay ESPN $1.5 billion over 10 years as part of the strategic partnership, and will grant ESPN $500 million of warrants to purchase about 31.8 million Penn common shares, with additional bonus warrants possible.

     “Together, we can utilize each other’s strengths to create the type of experience that existing and new bettors will expect from both companies, and we can’t wait to get started,” Penn Entertainment Chief Executive Jay Snowden said in a release. 

    Penn also said it has divested 100% of its stake in Barstool Sports to Portnoy, allowing the sports media platform “to return to its roots of providing unique and authentic content to its loyal audience without the restrictions associated with a publicly traded, licensed gaming company.”

    For Penn, the ESPN partnership represents “a clear step up from Barstool in terms of mass appeal…and minimal regulatory risk,” according to Wells Fargo analyst Daniel Politzer, who said it was a “nearly impossible challenge for a publicly traded, licensed gaming company” to own “a media platform that thrived on viral/provocative content.”

    Still, he said in a note to clients that “it’s premature to conclude this is a game change” since past partnerships between online sports-betting companies and media players have come up short of what initial fanfare would’ve suggested.

    The news sent rival DraftKings Inc. shares
    DKNG,
    +0.25%

    sinking about 5% in after-hours trading.

     The decline in DraftKings shares comes as they’ve advanced 178% so far in 2023, through Tuesday’s close. Two analysts upgraded DraftKings’ stock just this week.

    See more: DraftKings’ stock has nearly tripled this year — and it just won a new fan

    Disney shares rose fractionally in after-hours trading.

    Mike Murphy contributed to this report.

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  • Fanatics to buy PointsBet’s U.S. sports-betting business for $150 million

    Fanatics to buy PointsBet’s U.S. sports-betting business for $150 million

    Fanatics Inc. will buy the U.S. operations of Australia’s PointsBet for about $150 million, in the company’s largest foray yet into sports betting.

    PointsBet
    PBH,
    -18.70%

    announced the deal Sunday night, specifying that the acquisition only applies to PointsBet’s U.S. assets, not its businesses in Australia and Canada. CNBC first reported the deal. Fanatics did not immediately reply to MarketWatch’s request for comment Sunday night.

    PointsBet is an online sportsbook that launched in the U.S. in 2019, and operates in 15 states, including New Jersey, Iowa, Illinois and Colorado.

    “Despite the strategic success building a valuable asset in the U.S., the costs of operating in a state-by-state environment, together with the requirement to build significant scale to compete against well capitalized operators, led us to explore a number of options,” PointsBet Chief Executive Sam Swanell said in a statement. “The sale of the U.S. Business to Fanatics Betting and Gaming delivers the most attractive risk-adjusted value outcome for shareholders compared to the risks and benefits of other options including the status quo.”

    PointsBet shareholders are expected to vote on the sale at their annual meeting in late June.

    The deal should increase pressure on U.S. sports-gambling companies such as DraftKings Inc.
    DKNG,
    -1.96%

    and FanDuel. In late April, Fanatics launched sportsbook wagering for its customers in Ohio and Tennessee, and the Wall Street Journal reported at the time that the company pans to invest about $1 billion in its new sports-betting division.

    In an interview, Fanatics CEO Michael Rubin told the Journal he wants Fanatics to be the world’s top sports-betting company within the next 10 years, and expects its betting operations to be profitable by 2025 or 2026.

    In December, Florida-based Fanatics — which got its start in sports apparel and collectibles — closed a $700 million funding round, valuing it at about $31 billion, the Wall Street Journal reported. The privately held company is expected to eventually launch an IPO.

    Last year, Fanatics acquired trading-card company Topps.

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  • 18 stock picks in a ‘Goldilocks’ scenario for U.S. consumers

    18 stock picks in a ‘Goldilocks’ scenario for U.S. consumers

    It may not have been a surprise to see the consumer discretionary sector of the S&P 500 get hammered last year amid talk of a looming recession while the Federal Reserve jacked up interest rates to push back against inflation.

    But the stock market always looks ahead. Following a decline of 19.4% for the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.42%

    in 2022 and a 37.6% drop for the benchmark index’s consumer discretionary sector, this may be the time to begin looking for bargains.

    And now, analysts at Jefferies have lifted the sector to a “bullish” rating.

    In a note to clients on Jan. 10, Jefferies’ global equity strategist, Sean Darby, wrote: “A Goldilocks scenario might be unfolding for the U.S. consumer — falling inflation but steady employment conditions.”

    He sees consumer confidence improving, in part because “households are still sitting on [about] $1.4 trillion of Covid savings.”

    Darby pointed to a list of 18 consumer discretionary stocks favored by Jefferies analysts that was published on Jan. 6. Those are listed below, along with three stocks in the sector the analysts rate “underperform.”

    The ratings of the Jefferies analysts for individual stocks is based on their 12-month outlooks for the companies, in keeping with Wall Street tradition.

    So we have added another list further down, showing which companies in the S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector are expected by analysts polled by FactSet to increase sales the most through 2024.

    The Jefferies 18

    Here are the 18 consumer discretionary stocks recommended by Jefferies analysts with “buy” ratings on Jan. 6, sorted by how much upside the firm sees for the shares from closing prices on Jan. 9:

    Company

    Ticker

    Jan. 9 price

    Jefferies price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Three-year estimated sales CAGR through 2022

    Two-year estimated sales CAGR through 2024

    Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.

    MODG,
    -0.22%
    $20.76

    $56

    170%

    32.8%

    10.0%

    Bloomin’ Brands Inc.

    BLMN,
    +3.87%
    $22.08

    $35

    59%

    2.4%

    3.7%

    Coty Inc. Class A

    COTY,
    +1.23%
    $9.38

    $14

    49%

    -7.1%

    3.7%

    MGM Resorts International

    MGM,
    +1.71%
    $37.64

    $56

    49%

    -0.1%

    6.6%

    Chewy Inc. Class A

    CHWY,
    +1.63%
    $40.13

    $57

    42%

    28.0%

    10.6%

    Planet Fitness Inc. Class A

    PLNT,
    +0.69%
    $82.36

    $115

    40%

    10.4%

    13.9%

    Molson Coors Beverage Co. Class B

    TAP,
    +0.67%
    $50.21

    $69

    37%

    0.5%

    1.4%

    Fox Factory Holding Corp.

    FOXF,
    +3.95%
    $99.90

    $135

    35%

    28.1%

    6.6%

    Hasbro Inc.

    HAS,
    +0.99%
    $63.70

    $85

    33%

    9.1%

    3.6%

    Hostess Brands Inc. Class A

    TWNK,
    +0.33%
    $23.10

    $30

    30%

    14.2%

    5.0%

    Lowe’s Cos. Inc.

    LOW,
    +0.08%
    $199.44

    $250

    25%

    10.6%

    -1.9%

    Walmart Inc.

    WMT,
    -0.27%
    $144.95

    $175

    21%

    4.9%

    3.3%

    Dollar General Corp.

    DG,
    -0.26%
    $241.05

    $285

    18%

    10.9%

    6.7%

    Church & Dwight Co. Inc.

    CHD,
    -1.17%
    $82.25

    $97

    18%

    7.0%

    4.6%

    McDonald’s Corp.

    MCD,
    +0.39%
    $267.25

    $315

    18%

    2.4%

    4.0%

    Estee Lauder Cos. Inc. Class A

    EL,
    +0.39%
    $261.63

    $304

    16%

    2.8%

    5.8%

    Mondelez International Inc. Class A

    MDLZ,
    -0.04%
    $67.24

    $75

    12%

    6.3%

    4.1%

    Tapestry Inc.

    TPR,
    +0.73%
    $41.25

    $45

    9%

    3.3%

    3.2%

    Sources: Jefferies, FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more information about the companies.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    The two right-most columns on the table show estimated compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for the companies over the past three calendar years and expected sales CAGR for two years through calendar 2024, based on the companies’ financial reports and consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet.

    (We used calendar-year numbers, some of which are estimated by FactSet for prior years, because some companies have fiscal years or even months that don’t match the calendar.)

    The stock pick with the highest 12-month upside potential, based on Jefferies’ price target, is Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.
    MODG,
    -0.22%
    .
    This company has the highest estimated three-year sales CAGR on the list, and has the third-highest projected sales CAGR through 2024, after Planet Fitness Inc.
    PLNT,
    +0.69%

    and Chewy Inc.
    CHWY,
    +1.63%
    .

    On Jan. 6, the Jefferies analysts also listed three stocks in the sector they rated “underperform.” Here they are, sorted by how much the analysts expect the stocks to decline over the next 12 months:

    Company

    Ticker

    Jan. 9 price

    Jefferies price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Three-year estimated sales CAGR through 2022

    Two-year estimated sales CAGR through 2024

    Lululemon Athletica Inc.

    LULU,
    +2.98%
    $298.66

    $200

    -33%

    26.3%

    14.6%

    Williams-Sonoma Inc.

    WSM,
    +1.75%
    $122.17

    $98

    -20%

    14.1%

    -0.3%

    Harley-Davidson Inc.

    HOG,
    +0.35%
    $43.25

    $39

    -10%

    -2.8%

    4.4%

    Sources: Jefferies, FactSet

    Screen of consumer discretionary sales growth

    A look head at which companies are expected to increase sales the most over the next two years might serve as a good starting point for your own research.

    Bear in mind that some of the companies in travel-related industries suffered declining sales for three years through 2022 because of the coronavirus pandemic. Some of those are on this new list of 20 stocks in the S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector expected to show the highest two-year sales CAGR through calendar 2024:

    Company

    Ticker

    Two-year estimated sales CAGR through 2024

    Three-year estimated sales CAGR through 2022

    Share “buy” ratings

    Jan. 9 price

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Las Vegas Sands Corp.

    LVS,
    +1.59%
    59.2%

    -32.6%

    79%

    $52.78

    $53.53

    1%

    Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

    NCLH,
    +1.67%
    39.6%

    -9.3%

    44%

    $13.78

    $16.96

    23%

    Carnival Corp.

    CCL,
    +1.64%
    35.2%

    -14.7%

    30%

    $9.47

    $10.11

    7%

    Tesla Inc.

    TSLA,
    -1.83%
    34.3%

    49.7%

    64%

    $119.77

    $232.43

    94%

    Wynn Resorts Ltd.

    WYNN,
    +2.01%
    29.3%

    -17.5%

    53%

    $94.33

    $96.07

    2%

    Royal Caribbean Group

    RCL,
    +2.22%
    28.4%

    -6.8%

    53%

    $57.29

    $66.43

    16%

    Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

    CMG,
    -0.17%
    13.4%

    15.9%

    71%

    $1,446.74

    $1,778.81

    23%

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN,
    +2.61%
    12.2%

    22.1%

    92%

    $87.36

    $133.76

    53%

    Booking Holdings Inc.

    BKNG,
    +0.37%
    11.9%

    3.9%

    63%

    $2,208.41

    $2,307.67

    4%

    Aptiv PLC

    APTV,
    +1.66%
    11.9%

    6.4%

    70%

    $97.98

    $117.23

    20%

    Starbucks Corp.

    SBUX,
    +1.28%
    11.2%

    7.2%

    42%

    $104.74

    $103.44

    -1%

    Etsy Inc.

    ETSY,
    +3.56%
    11.1%

    45.3%

    50%

    $120.99

    $124.04

    3%

    Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

    HLT,
    +0.06%
    10.1%

    -2.9%

    38%

    $129.08

    $146.17

    13%

    Expedia Group Inc.

    EXPE,
    +0.39%
    9.0%

    -0.9%

    50%

    $93.77

    $125.65

    34%

    NIKE Inc. Class B

    NKE,
    +0.68%
    8.1%

    5.8%

    62%

    $124.85

    $126.15

    1%

    Marriott International Inc. Class A

    MAR,
    +0.47%
    7.5%

    -1.2%

    30%

    $152.53

    $172.81

    13%

    BorgWarner Inc.

    BWA,
    +1.82%
    7.1%

    15.3%

    53%

    $42.24

    $46.93

    11%

    Tractor Supply Co.

    TSCO,
    +1.06%
    6.8%

    19.0%

    61%

    $217.48

    $232.34

    7%

    Yum! Brands Inc.

    YUM,
    -0.76%
    6.7%

    6.4%

    47%

    $129.76

    $137.79

    6%

    Dollar General Corp.

    DG,
    -0.26%
    6.7%

    10.9%

    67%

    $241.05

    $267.54

    11%

    Source: FactSet

    Among the companies on this list that didn’t suffer sales declines from 2019 levels, Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -1.83%

    is expected to achieve the highest two-year sales CAGR through 2022.

    Dollar General Corp.
    DG,
    -0.26%

    is the only company to appear on this list based on consensus sales growth estimates and the Jefferies recommended list.

    Don’t miss: These 15 Dividend Aristocrat stocks have been the best income builders

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  • Mega Millions jackpot surges to $1.1 billion: What time is tonight’s drawing?

    Mega Millions jackpot surges to $1.1 billion: What time is tonight’s drawing?

    The Mega Millions jackpot keeps growing.

    There’s a $1.1 billion top prize at stake on Tuesday night, following the news that no one won Friday’s drawing. While that doesn’t come close to the record $2.04 billion U.S. Powerball jackpot someone claimed in November, it’s still a sizable sum that could pay off all those holiday bills (and then some). And it’s the rare lottery jackpot to pass the $1 billion mark.

    Here’s what you need to know if you’re going to play:

    How does Mega Millions work?

    It costs $2 per ticket to play. As the Mega Millions site explains, “Players may pick six numbers from two separate pools of numbers — five different numbers from 1 to 70 (the white balls) and one number from 1 to 25 (the gold Mega Ball) — or select Easy Pick/Quick Pick. You win the jackpot by matching all six winning numbers in a drawing.”

    There are prizes beyond the jackpot, of course. You can win as little as $2 for matching the gold Mega Ball number alone. Other prizes vary depending on how many numbers you match.

    Players also have the ability to increase their potential winnings by adding a $1 Megaplier option, but this doesn’t apply to the jackpot prize.

    When does the drawing take place?

    The next Mega Millions drawing will take place Tuesday at 11 p.m. Eastern.

    Where can you buy a ticket?

    Mega Millions is offered at lottery retailers in 45 states and is also available in Washington, D.C., and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Some states also allow for online purchase of tickets.

    Up until what time can you buy a ticket?

    How late you can purchase your ticket varies depending on the jurisdiction. For some places, the cutoff time is 10:45 p.m. Eastern, but others have earlier cutoffs.

    What are the odds of winning the jackpot?

    You’re looking at some pretty tall odds — 1 in 302,575,350. But the chance of winning any prize ($2 and up) is much better — 1 in 24.

    What are the options for the jackpot payout?

    You can opt for a lump sum, which is less than the actual jackpot — in the case of the current $1.1 billion jackpot, the lump sum is $568.7 million. But you can also opt for annuity payments, which means you’ll receive an immediate payment followed by 29 annual payments that increase by 5% each year.

    Can you watch the drawing live?

    Yes, it’s carried by many television stations across the country, according to the Lottery ‘n Go website. Recorded video of the drawing is also posted to the Mega Millions YouTube channel.

    If you win the jackpot, can you remain anonymous?

    The rules vary by jurisdiction. The Mega Millions site explains it this way: “Public disclosure laws vary from state to state. Some states require their lotteries to publicly identify winners, while others do not.”

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  • Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

    Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

    Following a sharp and sustained rise in interest rates, U.S. stocks have taken a broad beating this year.

    But 2023 may bring very different circumstances.

    Below are lists of analysts’ favorite stocks among the benchmark S&P 500
    SPX,
    the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
    MID
    and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index
    SML
    that are expected to rise the most over the next year. Those lists are followed by a summary of opinions of all 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA.

    Stocks rallied on Dec. 13 when the November CPI report showed a much slower inflation pace than economists had expected. Investors were also anticipating the Federal Open Market Committee’s next monetary policy announcement on Dec. 14. The consensus among economists polled by FactSet is for the Federal Reserve to raise the federal funds rate by 0.50% to a target range of 4.50% to 4.75%.

    Read: 5 things to watch when the Fed makes its interest-rate decision

    A 0.50% increase would be a slowdown from the four previous increases of 0.75%. The rate began 2022 in a range of zero to 0.25%, where it had sat since March 2020.

    A pivot for the Fed Reserve and the possibility that the federal funds rate will reach its “terminal” rate (the highest for this cycle) in the near term could set the stage for a broad rally for stocks in 2023.

    Wall Street’s large-cap favorites

    Among the S&P 500, 92 stocks are rated “buy” or the equivalent by at least 75% of analysts working for brokerage firms. That number itself is interesting — at the end of 2021, 93 of the S&P 500 had this distinction. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has declined 16% in 2022, with all sectors down except for energy, which has risen 53%, and the utilities sector, which his risen 1% (both excluding dividends).

    Here are the 20 stocks in the S&P 500 with at least 75% “buy” or equivalent ratings that analysts expect to rise the most over the next year, based on consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    EQT Corp.

    EQT Oil and Gas Production

    $36.91

    $59.70

    62%

    78%

    69%

    Catalent Inc.

    CTLT Pharmaceuticals

    $45.50

    $72.42

    59%

    75%

    -64%

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN Internet Retail

    $90.55

    $136.02

    50%

    91%

    -46%

    Global Payments Inc.

    GPN Misc. Commercial Services

    $99.64

    $147.43

    48%

    75%

    -26%

    Signature Bank

    SBNY Regional Banks

    $122.73

    $180.44

    47%

    78%

    -62%

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM Software

    $133.11

    $195.59

    47%

    80%

    -48%

    Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc. Class A

    BIO Medical Specialties

    $418.28

    $591.00

    41%

    100%

    -45%

    Zoetis Inc. Class A

    ZTS Pharmaceuticals

    $152.86

    $212.80

    39%

    87%

    -37%

    Delta Air Lines Inc.

    DAL Airlines

    $34.77

    $48.31

    39%

    90%

    -11%

    Diamondback Energy Inc.

    FANG Oil and Gas Production

    $134.21

    $182.33

    36%

    84%

    24%

    Caesars Entertainment Inc

    CZR Casinos/ Gaming

    $50.27

    $67.79

    35%

    81%

    -46%

    Alphabet Inc. Class A

    GOOGL Internet Software/ Services

    $93.31

    $125.70

    35%

    92%

    -36%

    Halliburton Co.

    HAL Oilfield Services/ Equipment

    $34.30

    $45.95

    34%

    86%

    50%

    Alaska Air Group Inc.

    ALK Airlines

    $45.75

    $61.08

    34%

    93%

    -12%

    Targa Resources Corp.

    TRGP Gas Distributors

    $70.42

    $93.95

    33%

    95%

    35%

    Charles River Laboratories International Inc.

    CRL Misc. Commercial Services

    $201.94

    $269.25

    33%

    88%

    -46%

    ServiceNow Inc.

    NOW Information Technology Services

    $401.64

    $529.83

    32%

    92%

    -38%

    Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.

    TTWO Software

    $102.61

    $135.04

    32%

    79%

    -42%

    EOG Resources Inc.

    EOG Oil and Gas Production

    $124.06

    $158.24

    28%

    82%

    40%

    Southwest Airlines Co.

    LUV Airlines

    $38.94

    $49.56

    27%

    76%

    -9%

    Source: FactSet

    Most of the companies on the S&P 500 list expected to soar in 2023 have seen large declines in 2022. But the company at the top of the list, EQT Corp.
    EQT,
    is an exception. The stock has risen 69% in 2022 and is expected to add another 62% over the next 12 months. Analysts expect the company’s earnings per share to double during 2023 (in part from its expected acquisition of THQ), after nearly a four-fold EPS increase in 2022.

    Shares of Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN
    are expected to soar 50% over the next year, following a decline of 46% so far in 2022. If the shares were to rise 50% from here to the price target of $136.02, they would still be 18% below their closing price of 166.72 at the end of 2021.

    Read: Here’s why Amazon is Citi’s top internet stock idea

    You can see the earnings estimates and more for any stock in this article by clicking on its ticker.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Mid-cap stocks expected to rise the most

    The lists of favored stocks are limited to those covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.

    Among components of the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index, there are 84 stocks with at least 75% “buy” ratings. Here at the 20 expected to rise the most over the next year:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc.

    ARWR Biotechnology

    $31.85

    $69.69

    119%

    83%

    -52%

    Lantheus Holdings Inc.

    LNTH Medical Specialties

    $54.92

    $102.00

    86%

    100%

    90%

    Progyny Inc.

    PGNY Misc. Commercial Services

    $31.21

    $55.57

    78%

    100%

    -38%

    Coherent Corp.

    COHR Electronic Equipment/ Instruments

    $35.41

    $60.56

    71%

    84%

    -48%

    Exelixis Inc.

    EXEL Biotechnology

    $16.08

    $26.07

    62%

    81%

    -12%

    Darling Ingredients Inc.

    DAR Food: Specialty/ Candy

    $61.17

    $97.36

    59%

    93%

    -12%

    Perrigo Co. PLC

    PRGO Pharmaceuticals

    $31.83

    $49.25

    55%

    100%

    -18%

    Mattel Inc.

    MAT Recreational Products

    $17.39

    $26.58

    53%

    87%

    -19%

    ACI Worldwide Inc.

    ACIW Software

    $20.75

    $31.40

    51%

    83%

    -40%

    Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.

    MODG Recreational Products

    $21.99

    $32.91

    50%

    83%

    -20%

    Dycom Industries Inc.

    DY Engineering and Construction

    $86.03

    $128.13

    49%

    100%

    -8%

    Travel + Leisure Co.

    TNL Hotels/ Resorts/ Cruiselines

    $37.98

    $56.00

    47%

    75%

    -31%

    Frontier Communications Parent Inc.

    FYBR Telecommunications

    $25.21

    $36.18

    44%

    82%

    -15%

    Manhattan Associates Inc.

    MANH Software

    $120.06

    $171.80

    43%

    88%

    -23%

    MP Materials Corp Class A

    MP Other Metals/ Minerals

    $31.39

    $44.79

    43%

    92%

    -31%

    Lumentum Holdings Inc.

    LITE Electrical Products

    $54.45

    $76.44

    40%

    76%

    -49%

    Tenet Healthcare Corp.

    THC Hospital/ Nursing Management

    $44.22

    $62.00

    40%

    80%

    -46%

    Repligen Corp.

    RGEN Pharmaceuticals

    $166.88

    $233.10

    40%

    82%

    -37%

    STAAR Surgical Co.

    STAA Medical Specialties

    $59.57

    $82.67

    39%

    82%

    -35%

    Carlisle Cos. Inc.

    CSL Building Products

    $251.99

    $348.33

    38%

    75%

    2%

    Source: FactSet

    Wall Street’s favorite small-cap names

    Among companies in the S&P Small Cap 600 Index, 91 are rated “buy” or the equivalent by at least 75% of analysts. Here are the 20 with the highest 12-month upside potential indicated by consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    UniQure NV

    QURE Biotechnology

    $22.99

    $51.29

    123%

    95%

    11%

    Cara Therapeutics Inc.

    CARA Biotechnology

    $11.34

    $23.63

    108%

    88%

    -7%

    Vir Biotechnology Inc.

    VIR Biotechnology

    $25.50

    $53.00

    108%

    75%

    -39%

    Dynavax Technologies Corp.

    DVAX Biotechnology

    $11.22

    $23.20

    107%

    100%

    -20%

    Thryv Holdings Inc.

    THRY Advertising/ Marketing Services

    $18.40

    $36.75

    100%

    100%

    -55%

    Artivion Inc.

    AORT Medical Specialties

    $12.93

    $23.13

    79%

    83%

    -36%

    Cytokinetics Inc.

    CYTK Pharmaceuticals

    $38.33

    $67.43

    76%

    100%

    -16%

    Harsco Corp.

    HSC Environmental Services

    $7.17

    $12.30

    72%

    80%

    -57%

    Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc.

    LGND Pharmaceuticals

    $64.80

    $110.83

    71%

    100%

    -35%

    Corcept Therapeutics Inc.

    CORT Pharmaceuticals

    $20.84

    $34.20

    64%

    80%

    5%

    Payoneer Global Inc.

    PAYO Misc. Commercial Services

    $5.70

    $9.33

    64%

    100%

    -22%

    Xencor Inc.

    XNCR Biotechnology

    $28.69

    $46.71

    63%

    93%

    -28%

    Pacira Biosciences Inc.

    PCRX Pharmaceuticals

    $45.50

    $72.90

    60%

    80%

    -24%

    BioLife Solutions Inc.

    BLFS Chemicals

    $19.72

    $31.38

    59%

    89%

    -47%

    Customers Bancorp Inc.

    CUBI Regional Banks

    $30.00

    $47.63

    59%

    75%

    -54%

    ModivCare Inc.

    MODV Other Transportation

    $92.22

    $145.83

    58%

    100%

    -38%

    Stride Inc.

    LRN Consumer Services

    $32.56

    $51.25

    57%

    100%

    -2%

    Ranger Oil Corp. Class A

    ROCC Oil and Gas Production

    $36.98

    $58.00

    57%

    100%

    37%

    Outfront Media Inc.

    OUT Real Estate Investment Trusts

    $17.59

    $27.00

    53%

    83%

    -34%

    Walker & Dunlop Inc.

    WD Finance/ Rental/ Leasing

    $82.22

    $125.20

    52%

    100%

    -46%

    Source: FactSet

    The Dow

    Here are all 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average ranked by how much analysts expect their prices to rise over the next year:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM Software

    $133.11

    $195.59

    47%

    80%

    -48%

    Walt Disney Co.

    DIS Movies/ Entertainment

    $94.66

    $119.60

    26%

    82%

    -39%

    Apple Inc.

    AAPL Telecommunications Equipment

    $144.49

    $173.70

    20%

    74%

    -19%

    Verizon Communications Inc.

    VZ Telecommunications

    $37.95

    $44.60

    18%

    21%

    -27%

    Visa Inc. Class A

    V Misc.s Commercial Services

    $214.59

    $249.33

    16%

    86%

    -1%

    Microsoft Corp.

    MSFT Software

    $252.51

    $293.06

    16%

    91%

    -25%

    Chevron Corp.

    CVX Integrated Oil

    $169.75

    $191.20

    13%

    54%

    45%

    Cisco Systems Inc.

    CSCO Information Technology Services

    $49.30

    $53.76

    9%

    44%

    -22%

    UnitedHealth Group Inc.

    UNH Managed Health Care

    $545.86

    $593.30

    9%

    85%

    9%

    Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

    GS Investment Banks/ Brokers

    $363.18

    $392.63

    8%

    59%

    -5%

    Walmart Inc.

    WMT Specialty Stores

    $148.02

    $159.86

    8%

    72%

    2%

    JPMorgan Chase & Co.

    JPM Banks

    $134.21

    $143.84

    7%

    59%

    -15%

    Home Depot Inc.

    HD Home Improvement Chains

    $327.98

    $346.61

    6%

    61%

    -21%

    American Express Co.

    AXP Finance/ Rental/ Leasing

    $157.31

    $164.57

    5%

    43%

    -4%

    McDonald’s Corp.

    MCD Restaurants

    $276.62

    $288.67

    4%

    72%

    3%

    Johnson & Johnson

    JNJ Pharmaceuticals

    $177.84

    $185.35

    4%

    36%

    4%

    Coca-Cola Co.

    KO Beverages: Non-Alcoholic

    $63.97

    $66.62

    4%

    73%

    8%

    Boeing Co.

    BA Aerospace and Defense

    $186.27

    $192.69

    3%

    77%

    -7%

    Intel Corp.

    INTC Semiconductors

    $28.69

    $29.54

    3%

    13%

    -44%

    Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.

    WBA Drugstore Chains

    $41.06

    $42.24

    3%

    17%

    -21%

    Merck & Co. Inc.

    MRK Pharmaceuticals

    $108.97

    $110.62

    2%

    65%

    42%

    Caterpillar Inc.

    CAT Trucks/ Construction/ Farm Machinery

    $233.06

    $236.23

    1%

    41%

    13%

    Honeywell International Inc.

    HON Aerospace and Defense

    $214.50

    $217.35

    1%

    54%

    3%

    Nike Inc. Class B

    NKE Apparel/ Footwear

    $112.07

    $112.58

    0%

    64%

    -33%

    3M Co.

    MMM Industrial Conglomerates

    $126.85

    $127.30

    0%

    5%

    -29%

    Procter & Gamble Co.

    PG Household/ Personal Care

    $152.47

    $150.22

    -1%

    59%

    -7%

    Travelers Companies Inc.

    TRV Multi-Line Insurance

    $187.11

    $184.24

    -2%

    18%

    20%

    Amgen Inc.

    AMGN Biotechnology

    $276.78

    $264.79

    -4%

    24%

    23%

    Dow Inc.

    DOW Chemicals

    $51.11

    $48.73

    -5%

    15%

    -10%

    International Business Machines Corp.

    IBM Information Technology Services

    $149.21

    $140.29

    -6%

    33%

    12%

    Source: FactSet

    Don’t miss: 10 Dividend Aristocrat stocks expected by analysts to rise up to 54% in 2023

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  • FTC sues to block Microsoft’s $69 billion acquisition of game giant Activision Blizzard

    FTC sues to block Microsoft’s $69 billion acquisition of game giant Activision Blizzard

    The Federal Trade Commission on Thursday sued Microsoft Corp. to block its $69 billion deal to buy Activision Blizzard Inc.

    The acquisition, which would be Microsoft’s
    MSFT,
    +1.07%

    largest and the biggest ever in the video gaming industry, would “enable Microsoft to suppress competitors to its Xbox gaming consoles and its rapidly growing subscription content and cloud-gaming business,” the FTC claimed.

    “Microsoft has already shown that it can and will withhold content from its gaming rivals,” Holly Vedova, director of the FTC’s Bureau of Competition, said in a statement. “Today we seek to stop Microsoft from gaining control over a leading independent game studio and using it to harm competition in multiple dynamic and fast-growing gaming markets.”

    FTC members pointed to Microsoft’s record of “acquiring and using valuable gaming content to suppress competition from rival consoles,” including its acquisition of ZeniMax, parent company of Bethesda Softworks.

    Microsoft President Brad Smith indicated the software giant will fight the lawsuit. In a statement, he said Microsoft has “been committed since Day One to addressing competition concerns.”

    “While we believed in giving peace a chance, we have complete confidence in our case and welcome the opportunity to present our case in court,” Smith said.

    Activision CEO Bobby Kotick, in a statement, said the suit “sounds alarming, so I want to reinforce my confidence that this deal will close. The allegation that this deal is anti-competitive doesn’t align with the facts, and we believe we’ll win this challenge.”

    Still, In recent weeks Microsoft has taken steps to demonstrate to regulators its acquisition of Activision would not give it an unfair advantage in the gaming market. On Tuesday, Microsoft said it would bring the “Call of Duty” franchise to Nintendo Co.’s
    7974,
    -1.31%

    Switch, a rival of Microsoft Xbox, and Microsoft has said it would make Call of Duty available on rival Sony Group Corp.’s
    SONY,
    -0.06%

    PlayStation.

    “It’s a bad idea,” Geoffrey Manne, president of the International Center for Law and Economics, said of the FTC’s lawsuit vs. Microsoft. “There may be markets in which some activities of some of these large tech companies cause concerns, but when they are expanding into new markets or enhancing competition in markets where they aren’t leaders, we should be encouraging them, not threatening them with lawsuits.”

    The government’s action in administrative court marks the first serious regulatory threat to Microsoft’s business in more than two decades, when the Justice Department brought a landmark antitrust lawsuit against the software giant that took years and was settled in 2002. Since then, Microsoft had sidestepped antitrust scrutiny and Smith in particular has focused the glare on its tech rivals Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    +2.24%
    ,
    Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +1.19%
    ,
    Alphabet Inc.’s
    GOOGL,
    -0.94%

     
    GOOG,
    -0.89%

    Google, and Facebook parent company Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +1.26%
    .

    Read more: Microsoft’s shadowy presence in antitrust push is angering the rest of Big Tech

    Shares of Microsoft are up 1% in trading Thursday. Activision’s
    ATVI,
    -1.33%

    stock is down 1.5%.

    The FTC’s lawsuit comes the same day it is heading to court in San Jose, Calif., in what is expected to be a three-week trial to bloc Meta’s $300 million acquisition of VR fitness app maker Within.

    The trial is likely to showcase an intriguing look at the agency’s ability to stifle alleged anticompetitive conduct using largely untested legal theories at a time when Congress is sitting on tech antitrust legislation.

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