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  • Energizer (ENR) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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    These affected results at the end of last year, and we expected them to continue into ’26. These were understood going in, were fully embedded in our plan, and the quarter thus far has unfolded largely as we expected. Looking ahead, we’re encouraged by the trends we’re seeing in the business. Consumer demand has stabilized. We saw a strong rebound in December volumes in the U.S., which remains our largest market. We also strengthened our in-store presence with broader and higher quality distribution across major retailers, which you’ll see over the back half of the year. At the same time, we’ve done additional work to reposition our cost structure, and that’s starting to take hold.

    We are starting to cycle through inventory impacted by those higher rates, and our mitigation efforts are starting to come to fruition. That includes relocating production capacity in the U.S., diversifying sourcing, and investing in efficiencies to make the network more efficient. We’ve taken targeted steps to increase production, to increase the tax credits, which we expect to earn this year, which should drive a benefit of roughly 50% above last year. These dynamics are all coming together and setting us up for a strong acceleration of net sales and earnings in the back half. So while the first half reflected short-term factors, the underlying trajectory is improving.

    This year is really about restoring growth, restoring margins, restoring free cash flow. And thus far, we’re off to a great start. Specific, Lauren, to your question on battery consumption trends, we saw meaningful improvement in the quarter, as I just mentioned. December inflected the volume growth. You see in the scanner trends, the thirteen-week volume was slightly negative. But then when you see the December data, in the four weeks, that was where volume inflected the positive. Obviously, January is going to have very positive volume growth with the winter storms in the U.S. The balance of the year, we expect the category to be stable.

    And the trajectory of the category is essentially what we assumed going into the year. Anything I missed?

    Lauren Rae Lieberman: No. I think that was perfect. Thank you.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Thanks, Lauren.

    Operator: Your next question comes from Peter K. Grom from UBS. Please go ahead.

    Peter K. Grom: Great. Thank you. Good morning, guys. I guess I wanted to follow-up on that last point, right, just on the January trends and kind of the impact of weather. So I asked this in the context of you mentioned in the release that your outlook does not contemplate any impact from the recent winter storm activity. So just whether it’s based on what you’ve seen thus far, maybe what you’ve seen over time, can you maybe just help us understand what this could do to your guidance as it relates to either the second quarter or to the full year outlook? Thanks.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Sure, Peter. Why don’t I start with the storm impact and then maybe John can bridge a little bit of the front half back half dynamic that we’re seeing. I mean, storm volume in the U.S. clearly was a benefit POS. I mean, one week numbers were significant. Category value north of 50%. It is really too early to quantify the impact that this will have on our business as we’ll need to work through replenishment orders. We need to manage through any shipments which may have been disrupted because of the weather, as well as work through resulting inventory levels at retail. Retailer inventory levels.

    It will certainly be a benefit for our business, but it’s just too early to tell how much. I would say there’s just more to come on that in connection with the Q2 earnings call. You want to walk through kind of the bridge as we think through the balance of the year?

    John J. Drabik: Yeah. Mark, I can take us down maybe a level from where you were setting it up. So, you know, our view for the back half of the year or the rest of the year is really that the category is relatively flattish. And as Mark said, kind of what we’ve seen in December and into January. So we’ve got a good base to build on. Some of the key drivers on the top line that we’re looking at, we’ve called out, you know, the transition of APS customers to Energizer branded product. It’s like we expect that to contribute $30 million or roughly 200 basis points of organic growth.

    One of the other things we have plans to really increase distribution in the back half of the year, and that’s by leveraging innovation and leaning into our full portfolio. That’s across both brick and mortar and fast-growing e-commerce. Based on current planogram changes that we’ve got as well as NPD sell-in, and then that e-comm growth, we’re expecting 400 to 500 basis points of growth in the back half. And then we’ve got some carryover pricing and as well as some targeted tactical pricing that we expect to have kind of a 50 to 100 basis point benefit as we go into the back half of the year.

    So we’re seeing good things within our plan on the top line. And then gross margin, obviously, the first quarter was really impacted by a number of factors. A lot of them are not going to continue. So we kind of wanted to give some color around that. I mean, the first one is the tariffs were almost a 300 basis point impact in the first quarter. We’re still flushing through some of that inventory that we bought in the spring and in the summer. So, you know, the rate was higher at that point. We expect that to improve as we go throughout the second quarter and into the rest of the year.

    We also you’ll see in our report, we sold, about that’s really related to the APS transition $65 million of Panasonic branded product in Q1, so we sold through, we’re losing that market. At December 31 and we’ve lost it already. We sold through all that inventory and worked with our customers there in Europe to try to transition. That had a pretty big impact on gross margin. So that was a 200 basis point hit. That’s not going to recur as we go throughout the rest of the year. The other big one that we’ve been talking for a while are the transitional product cost impacts. Those were almost 100 basis points.

    We’ve done a lot of work to reset the global supply chain. We should flush through most of that we get through Q2 and then the rest of the year, we should be in really good shape. So, you know, as we look at Q2, we expect 300 basis points of sequential improvement. And then we, you know, see continued expansion as we go through into Q3 and Q4. Think our plan is to get back into the low 40s, which is kind of where we were, you know, before the tariffs really hit. I think we’re gonna get, you know, past these transitional one-time costs and, you know, leverage targeted pricing.

    And then optimize production credits really in the back half of the year. So we’ve got some good trends going on. Peter, brought your question a little bit. We thought it was important to sort of highlight that front half back half.

    Peter K. Grom: No, that is helpful. I mean, guess, one follow-up to that. I mean, in the building blocks are really helpful, but it remains a pretty volatile uncertain environment. So you know, how would you characterize or how did you think about layering in flexibility or cushion as you think about the guidance from here?

    Mark S. LaVigne: You know, Peter, we always try to build in enough flexibility in the plan to be able to deal with uncertainty. I mean, what you just described has been a constant over the last five or six years. So every year evolves differently than you expect going in. I think if one thing this organization developed over that time period is the muscle memory to be able to read and react to the situation and adjust your plans accordingly. And that’s a daily occurrence around here. So I think we’ve got the right plans in place. We’re confident in the outlook that we provided.

    It may not play out exactly as we forecast sitting here today, but, ultimately, if we feel like we can deliver the financials we’ve laid out.

    Peter K. Grom: Great. Well, thank you so much for that, and best of luck.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Thanks, Peter. Thanks, Peter.

    Operator: Your next question comes from Robert Edward Ottenstein from Evercore. Please go ahead.

    Robert Edward Ottenstein: Great. Thank you. I think you may have just answered my question, but wanna make sure. So, batteries much stronger than we would have expected. Less increase in gross profit than we would have expected. Is that have you just basically totally explained what happened there in terms of Panasonic and the tariffs, or are there other factors, or do I just have that all wrong?

    John J. Drabik: No. That’s right, Robert. It’s the three items. It’s the higher tariffs, APS was really a it was a 200 basis point drag on its own in the quarter. And then it’s the product cost transitional nature of some of those changes that we’ve got going that should continue to improve.

    Robert Edward Ottenstein: Great. And then can you talk about the strength in December? Was that the category, or was it more you? And does that tell us anything about potential market share gains in ’26? And maybe you could touch on, what you see in calendar ’26 in terms of shelf space, just points of distribution, you know, those sorts of drivers.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Sure, Robert. The category certainly improved in December, but we also have gained share in the latest reporting periods as well. So that’s continuing to be so the category is improving and we’re improving slightly ahead of the category. As we look ahead in calendar ’26, we do expect our distribution footprint to increase both in these broader distribution footprints, but also higher quality distribution. We’re leveraging our full portfolio to do that from value to premium. To make sure that we’re meeting consumers where they are. We also sold in some exciting innovation in both batteries and Auto Care that you’re going to see in Q2 and Q3.

    So we’re excited about the plans we have with our retailers as we head into the rest of the year.

    Robert Edward Ottenstein: Thank you very much.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Thanks, Robert.

    Operator: Your next question comes from Andrea Faria Teixeira from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

    Andrea Faria Teixeira: Hi, good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking the question. I just want to drill down a little bit on the top line. And, obviously, you said that stable categories, and you’re also taking pricing, selective pricing. I was curious to see how the dynamics within private label in particular, obviously, are the largest e-commerce partner that you have. Like, how are you thinking of pricing against volume within that guide? And from there, like, what is your expectation in terms of shelf resets? You did say I believe you did say, as usual, like, some additional shelf space. So just thinking of that.

    And since we haven’t discussed the autos yet, like, just a state of the union there, that’ll be great. Thank you.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Sure, Andrea. Let me start with auto. I mean, it’s the smallest quarter we have in auto in Q1. There was a slight impact from weather as well as some timing as well within the auto business. We’re heading into peak season. We’re really excited about your CURE podium series. We have additional innovation that we’re launching across the portfolio. We always are excited about the prospects of international growth as well as growth in e-commerce. You are seeing a little bit more of a bifurcated consumer in the auto category where higher-end parts of the category are showing growth, where middle to lower ends of the category you’re having some consumers that are delaying purchases or opting out altogether.

    I think that makes the Podium series launch all the more timely for us, which we’re participating now in growth at the high end. So as we head into the Auto Care, for the balance of the year, still expecting growth, but you are seeing a little bit more of a pronounced bifurcated consumer in that part than maybe what you’re seeing in batteries. Now if I want to switch over to batteries, I mean, let’s just talk consumers generally. I mean, consumers are continuing to search for value. You are seeing consumers stressed about finances. In light of those dynamics, they’re comfortable switching channels, retailers, brands, pack size, so they’re willing to rotate their purchases to meet their needs.

    It’s critical that we meet them where they are, and this is where Energizer Holdings, Inc. is uniquely positioned. With our full portfolio. Private label plays a role in the category. Certainly, some retailers are looking to connect with consumers in light of those trends. In the first quarter, we did see an increase in private label at certain retailers as well as some aggressive pricing. This results in volume growth for those retailers, but actually erodes category value at the same time. And our view is this is all about balance, and we’ve already seen some retailers recalibrate their approach and bring more balance to both private label value and premium equation.

    Even with those dynamics, we gained share over the holiday period, and we’re excited about some of the plans that we’re leveraging in order to be able to compete with private label, but also leverage our value brands and our premium brands to connect with the consumer.

    Operator: Your next question comes from Carla Casella from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

    Carla Casella: Hi. I’m wondering if you’re with your guidance, you have a leverage target where you think you would like to get to by the end of this year?

    John J. Drabik: Yeah. I think by the end of this year, we’re expecting to get five or a little bit below. We’re going to continue to prioritize debt pay down. We feel like we can we’ve paid down over $100 million in the first quarter. Still targeting $150 million to $200 million. So I think that’s what will drive the leverage level for the rest of the year.

    Carla Casella: Okay. Great. And should we assume that M&A is backburner until you delever, or are you looking at M&A opportunities?

    Mark S. LaVigne: We will always look at M&A opportunities. I think any deals that we would look at would be leverage neutral and not impact our debt pay down trajectory that we’re looking to achieve. So they would be on the smaller side.

    Carla Casella: Okay. Great. And then I know in the past, you’ve often talked about storms. Affecting the hurricanes, winter storms. Are there much are there distinct differences between winter storms and summer storms? Do you refer one or the other? Just curious.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Well, I mean, hurricanes tend to be a little more isolated in terms of impact, whereas this winter storm that we saw over the last couple of weeks really covered a broad section of the country. Which is a little different. So the response is going to be different and the impact on our business will be different. But I wouldn’t say we prefer either, but we make sure that we can deliver products when consumers need them. And, you know, obviously, this is something that the organization excels at.

    Carla Casella: Great. Yes. I can’t figure out to word that. It’s horribly worded, thank you. You got my gist. Don’t worry.

    Mark S. LaVigne: We struggle with that too.

    Carla Casella: Thanks a lot. Thanks, Rob.

    Operator: Pardon me. As a reminder, if you like to ask a question, your next question comes from William Michael Reuter from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

    William Michael Reuter: Good morning. The first, you mentioned that there were impacts of products that were produced during periods when tariffs were elevated, which has since normalized, to the current levels. Can you talk about what the amount of impact that we should kind of normalize this quarter’s EBITDA by, based upon the elevated tariff rates?

    John J. Drabik: Like, I think I’d probably I think we’re calling for something like $60 to $70 million of tariffs or around $60 was maybe the last where we were. I still I think that’d be relatively fixed as you go through. We took maybe a bigger hit in the first quarter, but that should be the run rate.

    William Michael Reuter: Okay. So I guess I thought you guys had highlighted that there were, you know, the elevated tariff rates, the $1.45 probably on some products impacted you. Did I misunderstand that?

    John J. Drabik: Yeah. It will go down a bit as you go through the year. I don’t have the exact and the tariff hit in the first quarter. Got it. Okay. We’ll come back to you on that exact number. But it does get a little bit better. Plus, remember, we’ve got pricing and credits, and the credits the tax credits that we’ve got will continue to grow as we go throughout the year. So you know, the total impact that we’re calling for tariffs will improve as we go throughout.

    William Michael Reuter: Got it. And then on the gross margins, you were explicit that the second quarter will improve 300 basis points. And then you said an additional 300 to 400 by the end of the year. So does that mean you will see a sequential improvement from the second to the third and fourth quarters of 300 to 400 basis in each of okay. That’s exactly right, Bill. It’ll be sequential.

    John J. Drabik: And we did I mean, I did I our first quarter tariff impact was about 300 basis points. That will get better on a margin rate as we go forward. For sure.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Bill, just to clarify, just to make sure you’re not walking away with a different model. So it’s 300 basis points from Q1 to Q2. Then 300 to 400 between Q3 and Q4, not in each of Q3 and Q4. That’s right.

    William Michael Reuter: Not in each. Okay. I might send you an email to make sure I understand that correctly. Lastly, for your input costs, certainly, there’s some inflation in some of those metals. Can you talk about what you’re seeing now how much you have locked in, and then, what that might mean for you know, necessary price increases next year for products which you haven’t hedged if these elevated input costs remain?

    John J. Drabik: Yes. We did see a bit of a drag in the first quarter as about 80 basis points. And we had some momentum offset to that. But it was really input cost especially freight and some of our production inefficiencies. Raw materials were right now, we’re about a bit of a push, but I’m spot prices, we’re seeing, especially zinc has gone up. We’ve also seen some moves, you know, some negative moves in lithium obviously silver, and then r one thirty four a, which is the gas and a lot of our refrigerant products. On zinc, we’re over 90% fixed for ’26. We’ve got between contracts and inventory. We’re probably in a decent position on a lot of these.

    You know, I think we’ll continue to see pressure as we go more into ’27. We’ve also taken some targeted pricing, on the auto side for some of those cost impacts. That should come in, in the second and third quarter. That’s a little bit what we alluded to earlier. So all in, the trends are slightly negative. I don’t expect it to be a huge impact to ’26, but it’s something that we’ve got to continue to manage.

    William Michael Reuter: Got it. Alright. That’s all for me. Thank you. Hey. Hey, Bill. One follow-up on your question on margin, we have a slide within the earnings deck that provides a little bit more color on the margin progression over the balance of the year, which I think you may find helpful. But happy to connect after the call as well.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Great. I’ll take a look at that. Thank you.

    William Michael Reuter: Thanks.

    Operator: And there are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call back over to Mark LaVigne for closing remarks.

    Mark S. LaVigne: Thanks for joining us today. Hope everyone has a great rest of the day.

    Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect. Thank you.

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    This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company’s SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability.

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    Energizer (ENR) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript was originally published by The Motley Fool

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  • Analysts Keep Raising Shopify’s Targets – Make a 3.0% Yield in One-Month SHOP OTM Puts

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    Analysts continue to raise their revenue and stock price targets for Shopify, Inc. (SHOP). Its new target price is 20% higher. This article will demonstrate how to achieve a 3.0% yield by shorting one-month away SHOP puts at a 4% out-of-the-money strike price.

    SHOP closed at $146.82 on Friday, Sept. 5, with a $191.274 billion market cap. That is well over my prior target price of $137 at a 178 billion market valuation.

    SHOP stock – last 3 months – Barchart – As of Sept. 5, 2025

    This can be seen in my July 13 Barchart article, just after its Q2 earnings release (“Shopify Stock is a Bargain – How to Make a 3.2% One-Month Yield with SHOP).

    Since then, Shopify delivered strong Q2 results on Aug. 6. This article will update our prior target price based on its strong free cash flow (FCF) and FCF margins.

    Shopify, which competes more and more with Amazon (AMZN) in the third-party online seller space, said its Q2 revenue rose 31% to $2.68 billion from $2.045 billion a year ago.

    Moreover, its free cash flow (FCF), which is what is left over after all cash expenses, net working capital changes, and even capex spending, rose by +$26.7% to $422 million.

    That means that, as a percent of revenue, its FCF represented 15.75% of sales (which Shopify rounds up to 16%) compared to 15.38% last quarter and 16.3% last year.

    Shopify Q2 FCF and FCF margins page 6 of Q2 earnings release
    Shopify Q2 FCF and FCF margins page 6 of Q2 earnings release

    That implies that the company is continuing to squeeze out good amounts of cash from its operations, even as sales keep rising.

    Keep in mind that during Q4, Shopify tends to make significantly higher FCF margins during the Christmas season.

    For example, last Q4, its FCF margin was 21.73%, according to Stock Analysis. As a result, its look-back trailing 12 months (TTM) FCF margin as of Q2 was 18.14%, based on Stock Analysis data. In Q1, its TTM FCF margin was slightly higher at 18.42%.

    As a result, assuming the next Q4 margin will rise, we can use an 18.5% FCF margin to forecast its next 12 months (NTM) free cash flow.

    Analysts now project 2025 sales will be $11.26 billion (up from $10.88 billion in my prior Barchart article). Moreover, the 2026 sales forecast is now $13.75 billion, up from $13.11 billion.

    That implies that Shopify’s next 12 months (NTM) revenue will be on a run rate of $12.505 billion (up from $12.0 billion in my prior article).

    So, applying the 18.5% FCF margin:

     $12.505 billion NTM sales x 18.5% FCF margin = $2.3134 billion FCF NTM

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  • These 4 Dividend Stocks Are Money-Printing Machines

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    • Coca-Cola has paid nearly $100 billion in dividends over the past 15 years.

    • ExxonMobil returned $36 billion in cash to shareholders last year, the fifth-most among S&P 500 members.

    • Johnson & Johnson generated $20 billion in free cash flow last year, easily covering its dividend outlay.

    • 10 stocks we like better than Coca-Cola ›

    Some companies excel at generating cash. They operate mature businesses that produce significantly more profit than they need to support their continued expansion. That gives them lots of money to pay dividends.

    Here are four top money-printing dividend stocks.

    Image source: Getty Images.

    Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) owns an iconic portfolio of soft drinks, water, teas, and other beverage brands that generate substantial cash. Last year, the company produced $10.8 billion in free cash flow, $8.5 billion of which it paid out in dividends. Over the last 15 years, it has distributed nearly $100 billion in cash dividends to shareholders.

    The company’s durable and growing cash flows have enabled it to steadily increase its dividend payment. Coca-Cola raised it by 5.2% earlier this year, the 63rd straight year it has increased its payout. That puts the beverage giant in the elite group of Dividend Kings, companies with at least 50 years of consecutive annual dividend increases.

    The company expects to produce even more cash in the future. Its long-term target is to organically grow its revenue by 4% to 6% annually, which should drive annual growth in earnings per share in the mid to high single digits. Coca-Cola plans to convert 90% to 95% of its growing earnings into free cash flow, which should support continued dividend increases.

    ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) runs a large-scale global energy business that consistently produces significant cash flows. Last year, Exxon generated $55 billion in cash flow from operations, marking its third-best year in a decade, even though oil and gas prices were around their historical averages.

    The company produced $36.2 billion in free cash flow and returned $36 billion to shareholders via dividends ($16.7 billion) and share repurchases ($19.3 billion). Those cash returns led the oil sector and ranked as the fifth-highest among S&P 500 companies.

    The oil giant expects to invest $165 billion into major growth projects and its Permian Basin development program through 2030. These high-return investments should grow its annualized cash flows by $30 billion by 2030, assuming stable oil prices.

    That has it on pace to produce a huge gusher of $165 billion in cumulative surplus cash over the next five years, which should support continued payout increases. With 42 straight years of dividend growth, Exxon has reached a level that only 4% of companies in the S&P 500 have achieved.

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  • SM Energy’s (SM) Solid Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Drive Analyst Optimism

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    SM Energy Company (NYSE:SM) is one of the deep value stocks to buy according to analysts. On July 31, TD Cowen analyst David Deckelbaum reaffirmed a Buy rating on SM Energy and set a $42 price target. He pointed to the company’s strong second-quarter results, where production reached record levels and came in about 5% ahead of expectations, helped by solid well performance in the Uinta and Austin Chalk regions.

    SM Energy’s (SM) Solid Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Drive Analyst Optimism

    Pixabay/Public Domain Lower cash costs provided an additional boost, offsetting softer pricing and driving a sharp financial beat, including free cash flow that was substantially above consensus. Deckelbaum also noted that SM Energy reduced debt by roughly $140 million during the quarter, reinforcing balance sheet strength. Looking ahead, management raised its oil production forecast while maintaining stable guidance for the rest of the year. These operational and financial improvements support the analyst’s positive stance on the stock. SM Energy Company (NYSE:SM) is an independent oil and gas producer focused on acquiring, developing, and operating crude oil, natural gas, and NGL assets, primarily in Texas and Utah. While we acknowledge the potential of SM as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you’re looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 10 Best Large Cap Tech Stocks to Buy Now and 10 Best Big Tech Stocks to Buy Right Now. Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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  • 1 Stock Yielding 8.6% vs. 1 Stock Yielding 5.2%: Which Is Better for Passive Income Investors?

    1 Stock Yielding 8.6% vs. 1 Stock Yielding 5.2%: Which Is Better for Passive Income Investors?

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    Many people are searching for investments that create passive income — assets that will distribute cash to them on a regular basis, hopefully in growing amounts over the years. You can achieve passive income from your stock market investments by buying shares of companies that pay dividends. The problem is, most stocks have fairly meager dividends today, or don’t pay them at all.

    Illustrating that point, the average dividend yield for the stocks in the broad-market S&P 500 index is only 1.35%. If you want more passive income than that, you might be better off buying short-term U.S. Treasuries or parking cash in a high-yield savings account. To build a passive income dividend portfolio, investors need to pick individual stocks with durable and high dividend yields.

    Two stocks with high dividend yields today are Altria Group (NYSE: MO) and Philip Morris International (NYSE: PM). Both are tobacco giants and, funnily enough, used to be parts of the same company back in the day. One stock yields 8.6%, while the other yields 5.2%. But which is a better passive income play now?

    Altria Group: High yield from legacy tobacco

    Altria Group owns Philip Morris USA, which is a leading tobacco/nicotine company in the United States. Tobacco stocks have been some of the market’s strongest performers over the last few decades due to how cash-generating the cigarette business is. The company has had to deal with declining sales volumes in the cigarette business, but it has counteracted the impact of that by steadily raising cigarette prices. Last quarter, Altria management estimated that industrywide, total estimated domestic cigarette industry volume fell by 9% year over year. But Altria’s revenues net of excise taxes only fell by 2.2% year over year.

    The combination of price hikes and volume declines has led to consistent earnings growth. Free cash flow per share has grown by 122% over the last 10 years. One driver of this has been Altria’s stock-buyback program, which helps juice free cash flow per share. The number of shares outstanding has fallen by 13.4% over the last 10 years, and the company has accelerated its repurchases in recent quarters.

    Free cash flow is what companies prefer to tap for dividend payments, and it has fueled the growth of Altria shareholders’ payouts. Currently, its annual dividend payment is $3.88 per share, well below its trailing free cash flow of $5.09 per share. That dividend yields an appetizing 8.6% at the current share price.

    MO Dividend Per Share (TTM) Chart

    MO Dividend Per Share (TTM) Chart

    Philip Morris International: Growth in new nicotine products

    The international part of the Philip Morris operation is owned — unsurprisingly — by Philip Morris International. The company sells cigarettes and tobacco products essentially everywhere but the United States. However, unlike Altria Group, Philip Morris is not experiencing huge volume declines in its cigarette business. Last quarter, its combustibles sales volume only shrank by 0.4% year over year.

    On top of this, Philip Morris International is the leader in new-technology nicotine products. It owns the top heat-not-burn tobacco brand, Iqos, which is growing like wildfire in Europe and Japan. In the United States, it has the Zyn nicotine pouch brand, which has grown volumes from essentially zero six years ago to 443 million cans over the last 12 months. These developments drove overall shipment volumes up 3.6% last quarter, and revenue rose by 11% due to price hikes.

    The company currently pays a dividend of $5.17 per share, which is only slightly below its free cash flow of $5.76 per share. That narrow gap is something that income investors should consider. At current share prices, the stock’s dividend yields about 5.2%.

    PM Dividend Per Share (TTM) ChartPM Dividend Per Share (TTM) Chart

    PM Dividend Per Share (TTM) Chart

    Which is the better dividend stock?

    Altria and Philip Morris International both have positives and negatives for income investors. Altria has a higher yield and more room to raise its dividend, based on its free cash flow numbers. However, it is facing faster volume declines in the United States market.

    Philip Morris International pays a smaller dividend and only has a little room to grow it based on its free cash flow. Despite this, I think Philip Morris International is the better stock to buy for dividend investors over the long term. Sales of new-technology nicotine products are growing quickly, and should start generating healthy amounts of cash flow for Philip Morris over the next few years. Cigarette consumption outside the United States is much more durable as well, which should allow it to achieve better revenue and earnings growth. This combination should lead to faster dividend growth for Philip Morris International over the long haul.

    Altria Group should do fine for investors for the next five to 10 years. But the better passive income bet that you can “set and forget” in your portfolio is Philip Morris International.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Altria Group right now?

    Before you buy stock in Altria Group, consider this:

    The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Altria Group wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

    Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $671,728!*

    Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

    See the 10 stocks »

    *Stock Advisor returns as of May 28, 2024

    Brett Schafer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Philip Morris International. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

    1 Stock Yielding 8.6% vs. 1 Stock Yielding 5.2%: Which Is Better for Passive Income Investors? was originally published by The Motley Fool

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  • Forget Buying a Rental Property: Passive Investors Should Buy This Spectacular Dividend Stock Yielding Close to 10% Instead

    Forget Buying a Rental Property: Passive Investors Should Buy This Spectacular Dividend Stock Yielding Close to 10% Instead

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    Tobacco companies used to be among the darlings of the stock market. With growing cash flows each and every year, they made long-term shareholders a lot of money. But that has changed in recent years.

    Over the last 10 years, British American Tobacco (NYSE: BTI) — one of the largest tobacco/nicotine companies in the world — has produced a total return of negative 6%, while the S&P 500 is up 231%. This includes the robust dividend payments it distributes to shareholders every quarter.

    Today, its dividend yield has risen to just under 10%. With technology stocks pushing to new all-time highs, this forgotten tobacco giant looks increasingly undervalued. Is British American Tobacco an income investor’s dream right now?

    The smokeable business is declining, but cash flows are strong

    British American Tobacco owns some of the longest-standing global cigarette brands. These include Dunhill, Newport, and Camel. While these brands have maintained market share within the cigarette sector for decades, the overall rate of smoking is declining around the globe, which is affecting shipment volumes. To counteract the impact of those volume declines on its financials, British American Tobacco has consistently raised the prices on packs of cigarettes.

    You can see the results of that strategy in the company’s consolidated financials. British American Tobacco’s revenue is actually up 5.7% over the last five years, despite the declining use of cigarettes worldwide. Over the next five years, the company expects to generate over $50 billion in free cash flow. For a company with a market cap of just $68 billion, this shows the potential discounted valuation British American Tobacco trades at right now.

    But these price hikes can’t drive cash flow forever, right? Eventually, most people are going to stop smoking cigarettes. That’s where its new technology products come in.

    Growth can come from new nicotine products

    Almost everyone is aware of the health harms caused by cigarette smoking. So is the executive team at British American Tobacco. That is why they have been working to build and buy other nicotine products to replace cigarettes among the adult population. These include nicotine pouches, e-vapor, and heat-not-burn cigarette devices. These products may have fewer harmful health effects compared to cigarettes.

    Shareholders should benefit, too. The company’s “new categories” segment grew revenue by 21% on an organic constant currency basis in 2023 and should hit $5 billion in annual revenue soon. Of course, since this is a global company, this may be affected by foreign currency exchange rates. This segment finally reached profitability last year, driving a positive contribution profit for British American Tobacco for the first time ever.

    Over the next 10 years and beyond, these new products could drive volume growth for the company and hopefully make up for the eventual profit declines that will arrive in the cigarette business.

    BTI Dividend Per Share (TTM) Chart

    BTI Dividend Per Share (TTM) Chart

    Is the dividend sustainable?

    Volume growth from new products is great. But income investors care about one thing above all else: dividend payments. At today’s share prices, British American Tobacco has a dividend yield approaching 10%. This makes it one of the highest-yielding stocks in the world, which may make some investors skeptical about the payout’s sustainability. 

    When you look at the numbers, it is clear that British American Tobacco actually has plenty of room to maintain its dividend payments at their current level, and will likely be able to grow them in the coming years. Its free cash flow — which is what companies deploy to cover their dividends — was $5.30 per share over the last 12 months. Its dividend is currently just $2.90 per share.

    Even if the cigarette business does worse than expected over the next few years, British American Tobacco has plenty of room to maintain its current dividend payout, so income investors can rest easy owning this cash-generating nicotine giant.

    Should you invest $1,000 in British American Tobacco right now?

    Before you buy stock in British American Tobacco, consider this:

    The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and British American Tobacco wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

    Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $671,728!*

    Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

    See the 10 stocks »

    *Stock Advisor returns as of May 28, 2024

    Brett Schafer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends British American Tobacco P.l.c. and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $40 calls on British American Tobacco and short January 2026 $40 puts on British American Tobacco. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

    Forget Buying a Rental Property: Passive Investors Should Buy This Spectacular Dividend Stock Yielding Close to 10% Instead was originally published by The Motley Fool

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  • 3 Stocks That Could Turn $1,000 Into $5,000 by 2030

    3 Stocks That Could Turn $1,000 Into $5,000 by 2030

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    Growth stocks are your best choice for ensuring your investment portfolio not only beats inflation but also increases steadily in value to help you better prepare for your retirement. Many investors have been touting the strengths and benefits of the “Magnificent Seven” group of stocks and are familiar with their characteristics.

    The problem with large growth stocks is that size itself is a limiting factor — it can be tough for a huge organization to grow quickly. For that reason, it pays to look at medium-sized growth companies. Their smaller size and customer base provide significant leeway for them to grow rapidly, underpinned by growing demand for their products or services. It helps if they have tailwinds that can propel their revenue and earnings higher, helping the share price to do the same.

    Armed with these characteristics, such stocks could multiply your wealth more quickly than the larger growth stocks. Here are three stocks with the potential to increase your investment portfolio by fivefold or more by 2030.

    Person looking at lock on laptop screen.

    Image source: Getty Images.

    1. Fortinet

    Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) is a cybersecurity firm that has a portfolio of more than 50 enterprise-grade products. The company utilizes machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies to identify threats and keep organizations safe. With more businesses digitalizing and using cloud software, Fortinet should also enjoy increased demand for its products.

    For 2023, the company’s revenue rose 20.2% year over year to $5.3 billion, while operating income jumped 28% to $1.2 billion. Net income came in at $1.1 billion for the year, up nearly 34%. The business also generated a positive free cash flow of $1.7 billion for 2023, which was nearly 20% higher than what was churned out in the previous year.

    The momentum has carried over into the first quarter of 2024, as Fortinet reported a 7% year-over-year improvement in revenue to $1.35 billion. Of note, service revenue leaped 24% to $944 million for the quarter, and the cybersecurity specialist also generated a positive free cash flow of $609 million.

    In early May, Fortinet announced the sector’s first-ever generative AI Internet of Things (IoT) security assistant to enhance the software’s operations and allow any individual to use natural language to utilize the software, thus eliminating the need to specifically train staff to handle the software.

    Management has identified a total addressable market of $144 billion this year that could potentially grow to $222 billion by 2028, thus giving the business ample opportunity to grow its revenue and profits over time.

    2. Braze

    Braze (NASDAQ: BRZE) provides a customer engagement platform that allows marketers to collect and analyze data from any source. By doing so, these marketers can better engage their customers and tailor messages for them across different channels.

    The company posted encouraging financial numbers for its fiscal 2024, which ended Jan. 31, 2024. Revenue climbed 32.7% year over year to $471.8 million, with gross profit surging by 35.3% year over year to $324.3 million. Operating cash flow turned positive for fiscal 2024, and Braze is close to generating positive free cash flow. The company is guiding for revenue of $572.5 million for fiscal 2025, representing a growth rate of 21.3%.

    Braze is also seeing significant traction when it comes to garnering customers. Total customer count increased by 15% year over year to 2,044 for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year while customers with more than $500,000 of annual recurring revenue shot up 29% year over year to 202. Total remaining performance obligations surged by 40% year over year to $639.2 million, also for the fourth quarter.

    The company is not limiting itself to specific sectors but is cutting across different industries such as media and entertainment, health and fitness, and travel and hospitality in search of more customers. Braze is also expanding internationally in countries such as Singapore, Indonesia, and Australia, and management is finding opportunities in different facets of many organizations.

    With its unique value proposition and growing presence in 75 countries, Braze looks set to continue its breakneck growth.

    3. Samsara

    Samsara (NYSE: IOT) operates a platform that helps complex organizations improve their safety and efficiency. The company makes use of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered programs to protect employees, improve asset utilization, and lower maintenance costs.

    Samsara reported a nearly 44% year-over-year jump in revenue to $937.4 million for its fiscal 2024, which ended Feb 3, 2024. Gross profit climbed almost 47% year over year to $690.4 million. The business saw a sharp improvement in operating cash flow, going from negative $103 million in the prior year to negative $11.8 million, and could be on its way to positive operating cash flow soon.

    Samsara also witnessed good customer momentum as customers paid more for the company’s services. For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, Customers with $100,000 or more in annual recurring revenue (ARR) shot up 49% year over year to 1,848, while those paying $1 million or more in ARR leaped 61% year over year to 82. Customers with more than $100,000 in ARR now make up slightly more than half of Samsara’s total customer base, up from 45% two years ago.

    The company’s strategy of “land and expand” showed that 53% of its net new annual contract value (ACV) was made up of expansion customers, while the remainder were new customers. What’s more, 16% of the latest quarter’s net new ACV came from international customers, a testament to Samsara’s ability to expand its network to more countries.  Samsara expects fiscal 2025’s revenue will grow 27% to 28%, putting total sales at around $1.19 billion at the midpoint.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Braze right now?

    Before you buy stock in Braze, consider this:

    The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Braze wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

    Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $677,040!*

    Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

    See the 10 stocks »

    *Stock Advisor returns as of May 28, 2024

    Royston Yang has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Fortinet. The Motley Fool recommends Braze and Samsara. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

    3 Stocks That Could Turn $1,000 Into $5,000 by 2030 was originally published by The Motley Fool

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  • Boeing Shares Decline After CFO Walks Back 2024 Cash-Flow Target

    Boeing Shares Decline After CFO Walks Back 2024 Cash-Flow Target

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    (Bloomberg) — Boeing Co. scrapped a plan to generate cash again this year and said it will suffer another significant outflow in the current quarter as the embattled planemaker fights on multiple fronts to get production back in order and ramp up deliveries.

    Most Read from Bloomberg

    The cash burn in the second quarter will be similar or even worse than in the first three months of the year, when Boeing ran through almost $4 billion, Chief Financial Officer Brian West said at a Wolfe Research conference on Thursday. The full year will now be “a use versus generation of cash flow,” he said.

    While West cautioned just a few weeks ago that Boeing would experience a “messy” second quarter with a sizable cash outflow, the latest predictions paint a gloomier picture of the manufacturer’s recovery prospects. The company’s woes have been compounded by China’s request for additional certification on some aircraft parts. That, in turn, has halted deliveries to one of the world’s most important aviation markets, leading to a worsening financial profile.

    Boeing fell as much as 6.7% in US trading, the biggest intraday drop in almost four months. The US planemaker is in the midst of a deep crisis following a near-catastrophe in January on 737 Max 9 plane during flight. The planemaker has come under fire from regulators, lawmakers and airlines as the incident brought to light quality and safety lapses at its factories, and triggered the exit of its chairman, chief executive officer and its head of its commercial unit.

    West said in April that the company would generate free cash flow “in the low single-digit billions,” for the full year as it ramps up deliveries again. He had also predicted that the second-quarter cash burn would “improve sequentially.”

    Because China’s Civil Aviation Administration of China sought additional documents related to certification of batteries in cockpit voice recorders, the company has not been able to hand over aircraft to the country, West said. Deliveries in the period will be close to the numbers achieved in the first three months, he said.

    China Setback

    The CAAC move is a setback for Boeing, which had only just resumed deliveries of new aircraft to China after a five-year hiatus. Resuming deliveries of the 737 Max to China is vital for generating cash as well as whittling down its stockpile of already built aircraft lingering from a global grounding nearly five years ago and the Covid-19 pandemic that followed.

    “Our operational and financial performance is going to get better, and it’s going to accelerate as we go through the third and fourth quarter, and that will be the benefit of all the work we’re doing right now,” West said. “I understand everyone would wish it would go faster, but it’s a long cycle business, and we have to be disciplined.”

    The company still expects to win certification for its 777X widebody model in 2025, West said. Some customers have been concerned that that model — already five years late — may be further delayed as Boeing grapples with its many problems. The company is also experiencing part supply issues on its 787 model, including with heat exchangers and seats, though the problems won’t hurt the overall delivery schedule of the widebody model, West said.

    West said he’s still optimistic that Boeing can “get something done” with Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Inc. in the second quarter to reintegrate its most important supplier. While “nothing is off the table” in terms of financing the deal, the company is keen to retain its investment-grade credit rating, he said.

    Cash Burn

    Boeing’s cash burn in the first quarter prompted Moody’s Ratings to cut the company’s credit grade to the edge of junk. The planemaker subsequently raised $10 billion from a bond sale.

    The company is scheduled to deliver a 90-day plan to address shortcomings in its manufacturing processes and its safety culture on May 30, according to the Federal Aviation Administration. The plan will lay out steps the company intends to take to fix quality control issues at its factories after a door plug blew off a nearly-new 737 Max in January.

    West said the 90-day plan is “not a finish line,” and that Boeing looks forward to continued engagement with the aviation regulator.

    “We view this as a longterm investment that’s good for the company, good for our customers, good for the industry,” West of the road ahead.

    –With assistance from Allyson Versprille.

    (Updates with additional comments from CFO)

    Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

    ©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Why Fortinet, CrowdStrike, and Palo Alto Networks Stocks Zoomed Higher Today

    Why Fortinet, CrowdStrike, and Palo Alto Networks Stocks Zoomed Higher Today

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    Wednesday is shaping up to be a good day to own cybersecurity stocks: Powerful fourth-quarter earnings from network security company Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) sent its stock up by 3%, and provided a tailwind to shares of peers CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD), and Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW). Through 11:45 a.m. ET, those two stocks were up 5.8% and 7%, respectively.

    Reporting its fourth-quarter results Tuesday after the close, Fortinet beat expectations on both the top and bottom lines. Instead of the $0.43 per share (adjusted) profit on $1.41 billion in sales it was expected to report, the company earned $0.51 per share on sales of $1.42 billion.

    Fortinet Q4 sales and earnings

    TheFly.com has counted no fewer than 16 analysts raising their price targets on Fortinet in response to its report. And yet, how good was Fortinet’s news, actually?

    You might be surprised to learn that it actually wasn’t all that great. True, sales for the quarter grew by a respectable 10% year over year. But billings — which foreshadow future revenue growth — grew by only 8.5%, implying a slowdown may lurk just around the corner.

    Non-GAAP profits exceeded expectations, and were up a strong 16%. But earnings as calculated according to generally accepted accounting principles were only $0.40 per share for the quarter — flat year over year. Worst of all, free cash flow plummeted by 67% to just $165 million.

    Most of these numbers, by the way, reflected a significant slowdown in growth compared to Fortinet’s performance earlier in the year. Over the course of 2023, Fortinet scored sales growth of 20%, billings growth of 14%, non-GAAP profits growth of 37% — and GAAP earnings growth of 38%. (To give credit where credit is due, however, its free cash flow for the year did grow 19%.)

    What does Fortinet’s earnings beat mean for CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks?

    So yes, Fortinet “beat earnings.” And yes, investors in peer cybersecurity companies CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks have reason to breathe a sigh of relief … for now. All that being said, as an investor in one of these three stocks (Palo Alto), Fortinet’s performance in Q4 actually has me feeling just a tiny bit nervous. Consider this:

    On top of the slowdown seen in Q4, Fortinet’s guidance for the first quarter — and for 2024 as a whole — holds reasons for worry. Management is predicting that sales in Q1 will land in the $1.3 billion to $1.36 billion range. The entirety of this range falls short of Wall Street’s consensus expectation of $1.37 billion. Similarly, for the year, Fortinet predicts revenues between $5.72 billion and $5.82 billion — but Wall Street wants to see $5.93 billion.

    Granted, on earnings, the near term looks a bit better. Fortinet’s Q1 guidance for non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.37 to $0.39 implies the company thinks it could beat Wall Street’s forecast for $0.37 per share. But the midpoint of the company’s earnings guidance for the year implies the company might struggle to earn the $1.67 per share that analysts are expecting it to earn — and Fortinet gave no guidance at all for GAAP profits, nor for free cash flow.

    Now, look ahead to the upcoming earnings reports from Palo Alto Networks (due Feb. 20) and CrowdStrike (due March 5). In each case, Wall Street has its expectations set high, predicting that Palo Alto will report 24% quarterly earnings growth in Q4 … and that CrowdStrike will grow its profits by 75%. Those are aggressive targets. Even more worrisome is the fact that analysts will want to see both companies express similarly high hopes for 2024. To avoid disappointing investors, Palo Alto must promise to keep on growing its earnings at 24% for another year. CrowdStrike, meanwhile, must promise an accelerating growth rate: 92% growth.

    With both of these stocks already trading at extremely high multiples to forward earnings — 64.5 for Palo Alto and 81.3 for CrowdStrike — they look priced for perfection. Any stumble on earnings day — be it in the actual results they report or the future earnings they predict — could send either or both stocks plummeting.

    Caveat investor.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Fortinet right now?

    Before you buy stock in Fortinet, consider this:

    The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Fortinet wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

    Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than tripled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

    See the 10 stocks

    *Stock Advisor returns as of February 5, 2024

    Rich Smith has positions in Palo Alto Networks. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends CrowdStrike, Fortinet, and Palo Alto Networks. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

    Why Fortinet, CrowdStrike, and Palo Alto Networks Stocks Zoomed Higher Today was originally published by The Motley Fool

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