ReportWire

Tag: Financials

  • Wolfe Research’s Chris Senyek explains why investors should be ‘overweight’ financials

    Wolfe Research’s Chris Senyek explains why investors should be ‘overweight’ financials

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    Sandy Pomeroy, Neuberger Berman senior portfolio manager, and Chris Senyek, Wolfe Research chief investment strategist, join ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss expectations for rate cuts this year, why investors should be overweight financials, and much more.

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  • Banks will continue to outperform if the Fed starts to cut and there’s a soft landing: RBC’s Cassidy

    Banks will continue to outperform if the Fed starts to cut and there’s a soft landing: RBC’s Cassidy

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    Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets co-head of global financials research, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss the latest market trends, state of the banking sector, impact of the Fed’s rate outlook and 2024 election on banks, and more.

    04:04

    Fri, Aug 23 202410:14 AM EDT

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  • Jamie Dimon leaving JPMorgan could take $25B off the market cap, says Wells Fargo’s Mike Mayo

    Jamie Dimon leaving JPMorgan could take $25B off the market cap, says Wells Fargo’s Mike Mayo

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    Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities managing director, joins ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss JPMorgan’s succession plan and the banking sector.

    06:07

    6 hours ago

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  • No emergency rate cut ahead because economy isn’t that bad, says KBW CEO Tom Michaud

    No emergency rate cut ahead because economy isn’t that bad, says KBW CEO Tom Michaud

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    Tom Michaud, KBW, a Stifel Company, CEO, joins 'Fast Money' to talk bank stocks, interest rates, the economy and more.

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  • Banks hit by market sell-off: Here’s what investors should know

    Banks hit by market sell-off: Here’s what investors should know

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    Macrae Sykes, Gabelli Funds portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the banking sector, impact of the market sell-off, and more.

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  • Consolidation with the smaller banks ‘appreciated regardless’ of election: Gabelli’s Macrae Sykes

    Consolidation with the smaller banks ‘appreciated regardless’ of election: Gabelli’s Macrae Sykes

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    Macrae Sykes, Gabelli Investors portfolio manager & global research analyst, joins ‘Fast Money’ to talk the state of regional banks, the impact of the economy on the space, and more.

    05:25

    Tue, Jul 30 20246:26 PM EDT

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  • Piper Sandler’s Scott Siefers on state of financials ahead of earnings this week

    Piper Sandler’s Scott Siefers on state of financials ahead of earnings this week

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    Scott Siefers, Piper Sandler managing director, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss state of the financials sector, what to expect from bank earnings this week, and more.

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  • Fed’s decision is favorable for banks, says RBC’s Gerard Cassidy

    Fed’s decision is favorable for banks, says RBC’s Gerard Cassidy

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    Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets managing director, joins ‘Fast Money’ to discuss why he is still bullish on bank stocks.

    04:50

    2 hours ago

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  • 4. Brex

    4. Brex

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    Founders: Henrique Dubugras, Pedro Franceschi (co-CEOs)
    Launched: 2017
    Headquarters: Salt Lake City, Utah
    Funding:
    $1.4 billion
    Valuation: $12.3 billion (PitchBook)
    Key technologies:
    Artificial intelligence, cloud computing, generative AI, machine learning, software-defined security
    Industry:
    Fintech
    Previous appearances on Disruptor 50 List: 3 (No. 2 in 2023)

    Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse in March 2023 was a windfall for Salt Lake City-based fintech firm Brex. The startup, which first came to prominence by offering a business credit card with high limits and a spend management platform, stepped in to extend credit lines to companies impacted by the SVB collapse. Within 36 hours, Brex signed up nearly 4,000 companies, taking in close to $2 billion in deposits.

    Those gains built on the success Brex had already found in the market, which led it to early on raise $1.4 billion in venture capital from the likes of Y Combinator, Ribbit Capital and DST Global.

    Since SVB, Brex has continued to invest in differentiated services, including AI-powered tools to help streamline expense reporting, booking and management capabilities, accounts payable and procurement management. 

    More coverage of the 2024 CNBC Disruptor 50

    Brex is also winning more business from larger enterprise customers. In fact, co-founder Henrique Dubugras shocked the startup and fintech community in 2022 when he said the company would stop serving smaller companies as it had become “less suited to meet the needs of smaller customers.” It has since backtracked on that position, and has doubled down on its roots serving tech startups. In the last year, Brex opened a new San Francisco office (after closing its office early in the pandemic) to cement ties with the tech community.

    The spend management space has become more crowded, with fellow Disruptors Ramp and Navan, as well as Expensify, Mesh Payments, Airbase and Center competing for market share. Stiff competition is costly for companies which end up paying high customer acquisition fees, spend more in marketing and end up with high churn rates.

    Brex’s growth also has been tempered by the realities in the tech space. Tech companies laid off more than 191,000 workers in 2023 — a trend that has continued into 2024. The impact of those reductions is rippling through companies that cater to startups. In January, Brex cut 20% of its workforce, or 282 people.

    In a blog post about the job cuts, CEO Pedro Francheschi wrote, “looking inward, I realized we grew our org too quickly, making it harder to move at the speed we once did.”

    Francheschi also unveiled a “flatter” company structure, removing layers of management.

    According to The Information, Brex spent an average of $17 million a month in the fourth quarter, even as revenue growth slowed. CFO Ben Gammell told PitchBook that more new wins are coming from larger customers, churn has been “trending down,” and he doesn’t foresee more cost cuts.

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  • It’s not just Jamie Dimon and Wall Street. Local bank branches have big AI ambitions

    It’s not just Jamie Dimon and Wall Street. Local bank branches have big AI ambitions

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    The pandemic accelerated changes at big banks, where Chase and Wells Fargo already have branches that look more like lounges than banks. But it’s not just Wall Street-sized banks where AI is disrupting the way things works.

    Small, independent branches are also following, and experts and executives say they’ll use their small size and agility to their advantage. The local bank branch, with its traditional teller windows and long lines, will transform into an AI-infused, customer-centric financial services center, aiming to beat the big banks on the service that AI will allow them to provide customers.

    “As a small bank, your only value proposition is service. Nothing is proprietary anymore,” said Christopher Naghibi, executive vice president and CEO of Irvine, California-based First Foundation Bank, which has 43 branches in five states. With just over $10 billion in assets, Naghibi helped shepherd First Foundation from a single branch in 2007 to its size today.

    Naghibi envisions community bank branches with fewer employees and more AI. The employees would be freed to help customers reach their financial goals and not be stuck answering basic questions about recent transactions and account information.

    “The teller line, as we see it today, will eventually die,” he said.

    Naghibi isn’t alone among bank CEOs contemplating the AI future for financial workers and customer interactions.

    Jamie Dimon, the veteran chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, has written about artificial intelligence in his annual shareholder letters dating back to 2017. But his latest letter, released on Monday, was notable not only for his AI predictions — he wrote it could be as transformational as the printing press, the steam engine, electricity, computing and the internet — but also how he thinks the technology could impact the jobs of the bank’s more than 310,000 employees.

    “Over time, we anticipate that our use of AI has the potential to augment virtually every job, as well as impact our workforce composition,” Dimon wrote. “It may reduce certain job categories or roles, but it may create others as well.”

    Many of JPMorgan’s AI ambitions are taking place behind the scenes rather than at the teller window — it now has more than 2,000 AI and machine learning employees and data scientists working on 400 applications including fraud detection, marketing and risk controls, Dimon said. The bank is also exploring the use of generative AI in software engineering, customer service and ways to boost employee productivity.

    For smaller banks, the customer interaction may be the critical application, with AI freeing a bank’s resources from answering routine questions..

    “This will be at the forefront of how we engage in service,” Naghibi said. “You can ask AI, ‘Hey, did this happen? Did this check clear? How many payments have I made to this person?’ You’ll get answers directly from AI.”

    Customers will be able to go in 24/7 with a special access technology and pay bills by touchscreens, send a wire at midnight, and see transactions updated in real-time. “Effectively, a small bank’s branch will be a wall of screens,” he said.

    Security will improve at transformed branches as paper money becomes less plentiful and more locked into machines. The AI will bring a lot more security to branches also, with plenty of cameras, biometrics used for access, and PIN codes a thing of the past. It will also help in more extreme scenarios. “If someone has a weapon, AI can automatically see that it is a weapon, sense it, and prevent a problem,” Naghibi said.

    Jackie Verkuyl, chief administrative officer of the eight-branch BAC Community Bank in Stockton, California, a commercial and consumer bank with over $800 million deposits, says implementation of generative AI is already well underway and transforming the small bank. “The AI is getting smarter every day,” she said.

    But while the corner bank will become an AI-infused financial services center, Verkuyl says generative AI will bring the same services to phones, far beyond the capability of current apps. BAC uses an app called Smart Alac (an acronym for All Access Connection), developed by San Francisco-based Agent IQ, which answers customer questions and matches them with a BAC banker who becomes their assigned point of contact. “This allows community and regional banks to provide self-service AI and have a relationship-based banking experience; every customer has a primary point of contact,” said Slaven Bilac, CEO of Agent IQ, a AI-powered customer support platform.

    AI distills all the questions that customers are asking Smart Alac and provides a report to Verkuyl, allowing her to tailor the experience more. “We get lots and lots of questions about debit cards, so we created a whole menu that customers can help themselves to,” she said.  

    “Chase and Wells Fargo’s advantage over BAC is the amount of data they have. We can provide AI benefits without large amounts of know-how from BAC’s team,” Bilac said.

    Not everyone in the industry is convinced.

    The way a bank controls and shares large amounts of data with AI will be critical to effective transformation, according to Ken Tumin, a senior analyst at LendingTree. Banks have to give AI access to enough data to be effective, from account disclosures to frequently asked questions. “Unless a bank is committed to generating and maintaining high quality and comprehensive data, the use of AI in customer service will likely result in more customers being aggravated than pleased,” he said.

    The Independent Community Banking Association, a trade group for small banks, doesn’t think AI can outshine the human element in a relationship. While AI will be a significant factor, “it will never match the local knowledge and personal relationships that are crucial to helping a first-time homebuyer get a mortgage or helping a small business or farm finance its operations,” said ICBA assistant vice president and regulatory counsel Mickey Marshall.

    But bankers like Naghibi believe AI will allow small banks to become more involved in their communities, and in effect, more human.

    “Right now, getting branch managers to go out into the community and get business is tough. We are not a large, important bank; people are not going to come to us. You have to go out and build relationships,” Naghibi said. “If generative AI is in place, you as a branch manager should be going to get business.”

    Multiple human and tech-centered connections serve as “touchpoints” to the consumer, Naghibi said, and “the more touchpoints the bank has in their financial lives, the more we can be involved in their lives. As a community bank, that is where the edge is.”

    “Community banking needs to change; every single one of my clients has my mobile number,” he added. “People don’t want untouchable and unreachable. Making local bankers more accessible is the promise of AI.” 

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  • Morgan Stanley shares drop on WSJ probe report

    Morgan Stanley shares drop on WSJ probe report

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    Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets managing director, joins ‘Fast Money’ to weigh in on the WSJ report that Morgan Stanley is facing a probe by federal regulators.

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  • What to expect from bank earnings as high interest rates pressure smaller players

    What to expect from bank earnings as high interest rates pressure smaller players

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    Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 7, 2024.

    Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters

    The benefits of scale will never be more obvious than when banks begin reporting quarterly results on Friday.

    Ever since the chaos of last year’s regional banking crisis that consumed three institutions, larger banks have mostly fared better than smaller ones. That trend is set to continue, especially as expectations for the magnitude of Federal Reserve interest rates cuts have fallen sharply since the start of the year.

    The evolving picture on interest rates — dubbed “higher for longer” as expectations for rate cuts this year shift from six reductions to perhaps three – will boost revenue for big banks while squeezing many smaller ones, adding to concerns for the group, according to analysts and investors.

    JPMorgan Chase, the nation’s largest lender, kicks off earnings for the industry on Friday, followed by Bank of America and Goldman Sachs next week. On Monday, M&T Bank posts results, one of the first regional lenders to report this period.

    The focus for all of them will be how the shifting view on interest rates will impact funding costs and holdings of commercial real estate loans.

    “There’s a handful of banks that have done a very good job managing the rate cycle, and there’s been a lot of banks that have mismanaged it,” said Christopher McGratty, head of U.S. bank research at KBW.

    Pricing pressure

    Take, for instance, Valley Bank, a regional lender based in Wayne, New Jersey. Guidance the bank gave in January included expectations for seven rate cuts this year, which would’ve allowed it to pay lower rates to depositors.

    Instead, the bank might be forced to slash its outlook for net interest income as cuts don’t materialize, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Manan Gosalia, who has the equivalent of a sell rating on the firm.

    Net interest income is the money generated by a bank’s loans and securities, minus what it pays for deposits.

    Smaller banks have been forced to pay up for deposits more so than larger ones, which are perceived to be safer, in the aftermath of the Silicon Valley Bank failure last year. Rate cuts would’ve provided some relief for smaller banks, while also helping commercial real estate borrowers and their lenders.

    Valley Bank faces “more deposit pricing pressure than peers if rates stay higher for longer” and has more commercial real estate exposure than other regionals, Gosalia said in an April 4 note.

    Meanwhile, for large banks like JPMorgan, higher rates generally mean they can exploit their funding advantages for longer. They enjoy the benefits of reaping higher interest for things like credit card loans and investments made during a time of elevated rates, while generally paying low rates for deposits.

    JPMorgan could raise its 2024 guidance for net interest income by an estimated $2 billion to $3 billion, to $93 billion, according to UBS analyst Erika Najarian.

    Large U.S. banks also tend to have more diverse revenue streams than smaller ones from areas like wealth management and investment banking. Both should provide boosts to first-quarter results, thanks to buoyant markets and a rebound in Wall Street activity.

    CRE exposure

    Furthermore, big banks tend to have much lower exposure to commercial real estate compared with smaller players, and have generally higher levels of provisions for loan losses, thanks to tougher regulations on the group.

    That difference could prove critical this earnings season.

    Concerns over commercial real estate, especially office buildings and multifamily dwellings, have dogged smaller banks since New York Community Bank stunned investors in January with its disclosures of drastically larger loan provisions and broader operational challenges. The bank needed a $1 billion-plus lifeline last month to help steady the firm.

    NYCB will likely have to cut its net interest income guidance because of shrinking deposits and margins, according to JPMorgan analyst Steven Alexopoulos.

    There is a record $929 billion in commercial real estate loans coming due this year, and roughly one-third of the loans are for more money than the underlying property values, according to advisory firm Newmark.

    “I don’t think we’re out of the woods in terms of commercial real estate rearing its ugly head for bank earnings, especially if rates stay higher for longer,” said Matt Stucky, chief portfolio manager for equities at Northwestern Mutual.

    “If there’s even a whiff of problems around the credit experience with your commercial lending operation, as was the case with NYCB, you’ve seen how quickly that can get away from you,” he said.

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  • Goldman Sachs promotes head of strategy and investor relations, Carey Halio, to global treasurer

    Goldman Sachs promotes head of strategy and investor relations, Carey Halio, to global treasurer

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    Carey Halio, Goldman Sachs’ head of strategy and investor relations, is getting promoted to global treasurer at the bank, according to people familiar with the matter. 

    Her new role, effective June 1, encompasses authority over the firm’s more than $1.6 trillion balance sheet, with responsibilities including overseeing the firm’s liquidity, funding and capital. She will report to Denis Coleman, Goldman Sachs’ chief financial officer. 

    Philip Berlinski, the previous global treasurer, is leaving the bank to become co-chief operating officer of Millennium Management, a $62 billion hedge fund, according to the Financial Times

    As part of her new role, Halio will oversee a team of about 900 people, the people familiar said. She will also serve on the management committee.

    “As a tenured leader of the firm with experience working in several of our divisions and partnering with leaders across the organization to drive our strategic priorities forward, Carey will bring important expertise and perspectives to her new role,” Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said in a memo, obtained by CNBC. “Carey will continue to oversee our Firmwide Strategy team on an interim basis.”

    Before running strategy and investor relations, Halio was the CEO of Goldman Sachs Bank USA and deputy treasurer of Goldman Sachs. She joined the firm in 1999 as a summer associate in credit risk and rejoined the following year, ultimately becoming the head of the Americas Financial Institutions team in credit risk. 

    Jehan Ilahi, who worked with Halio for years in strategy and investor relations, will become head of investor relations. 

    Goldman Sachs is slated to report first-quarter earnings Monday.

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  • CHIPS, IRA & Infrastructure Acts driving interest in domestic investment: BNP Paribas’ Fillion

    CHIPS, IRA & Infrastructure Acts driving interest in domestic investment: BNP Paribas’ Fillion

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    Hosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

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  • Rep. Maxine Waters: We must resist big bank mergers right now

    Rep. Maxine Waters: We must resist big bank mergers right now

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    Hosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

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  • What New York Community Bancorp’s billion dollar lifeline means for the battered stock

    What New York Community Bancorp’s billion dollar lifeline means for the battered stock

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    Chris McGratty, KBW Head of Bank Research, joins ‘Fast Money’ to talk NYCB’s recent cash infusion to help it stay afloat and what he expects to see from the bank moving forward.

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  • We’re trimming this bank stock after its curious 4% surge Monday erased its post-earnings losses

    We’re trimming this bank stock after its curious 4% surge Monday erased its post-earnings losses

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  • Fmr. Discover chief risk officer discusses what went wrong at NYCB

    Fmr. Discover chief risk officer discusses what went wrong at NYCB

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    Brian Hughes, former chief risk officer at Discover, joins ‘The Exchange’ to discuss what may have gone wrong in New York Community Bank’s internal review, how newly-proposed transparency rules can make banking safer, and more.

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  • Wall Street is worried about NYCB’s loan losses and deposit levels as stock sinks below $4

    Wall Street is worried about NYCB’s loan losses and deposit levels as stock sinks below $4

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    A sign is pictured above a branch of the New York Community Bank in Yonkers, New York, U.S., January 31, 2024.

    Mike Segar | Reuters

    Regional lender New York Community Bank finds itself in an apparently worsening predicament just as the anniversary of last year’s banking turmoil nears.

    Shares of the troubled lender plunged 25% on Friday to below $4 apiece after NYCB restated recent quarterly earnings lower by $2.4 billion, formally replaced its CEO and delayed the release of a key annual report.

    The most worrying development, though, is directly tied to investors’ fears about commercial real estate and shortfalls the bank reported in a key aspect of its business: NYCB said that poor oversight led to “material weaknesses” in the way it reviewed its portfolio of loans.

    The disclosure is a “significant concern that suggests credit costs could be higher for an extended period,” Raymond James analyst Steve Moss said Thursday in a research note. “The disclosures add to our concern about NYCB’s interest-only multi-family portfolio, which may require a long workout period unless interest rates decline.”

    In a remarkable reversal of fortunes, a year after deposit runs consumed regional lenders including Silicon Valley Bank, NYCB — one of the perceived winners from that period after acquiring a chunk of the assets of Signature Bank following government seizure — is now facing existential questions of its own.

    Tough quarter

    The bank’s trajectory shifted suddenly a month ago after a disastrous fourth-quarter report in which it posted a surprise loss, slashed its dividend and shocked analysts with its level of loan loss provisions.

    Days later, ratings agency Moody’s cut the bank’s credit ratings two notches to junk on concerns over the bank’s risk management capabilities after the departure of NYCB’s chief risk officer and chief audit executive.

    At the time, some analysts were comforted by the steps NYCB took to shore up its capital, and noted that the promotion of former Flagstar CEO Alessandro DiNello to executive chairman boosted confidence in management. The bank’s stock was briefly buoyed by a flurry of insider purchases indicating executives’ confidence in the bank.

    DiNello became CEO as of Thursday after his predecessor stepped down.

    Deposit update?

    Now, some are questioning the stability of NYCB’s deposits amid the tumult. Last month, the bank said it had $83 billion in deposits as of Feb. 5, a slight increase from year-end. Most of those deposits were insured, and it had ample resources to tap if uninsured deposits left the bank, it said.

    “NYCB still has not provided an update on deposits, which we can only infer … are down,” D.A. Davidson analyst Peter Winter said Thursday in a note.

    “The question is, by how much?” Winter asked. “In our view, corporate treasurers were reassessing if they are going to keep deposits at NYCB when their debt rating was downgraded to junk.”

    In a statement released Friday announcing a new chief risk officer and chief audit executive, NYCB CEO DiNello noted that he had identified the weaknesses disclosed Thursday and is “taking the necessary steps to address them.” The bank’s allowance for credit losses isn’t expected to change, he added.

    “The company has strong liquidity and a solid deposit base, and I am confident we will execute on our turnaround plan,” DiNello said.

    Key stock level pierced

    The pressure on NYCB’s operations and profitability amid elevated interest rates and a murky outlook for loan defaults has raised questions as to whether NYCB, a serial acquirer of banks until recently, will be forced to sell itself to a more stable partner.

    Ben Emons, head of fixed income for NewEdge Wealth, noted that banks trading for less than $5 a share are perceived by markets as being at risk for government seizure.

    A NYCB representative didn’t immediately return a request for comment.

    For now, the concern seems to be limited to NYCB, where commercial real estate makes up a greater proportion of loans compared with some rivals. While NYCB stock notched a 52-week low of $3.32 per share on Friday, other bank indexes saw only slight declines.

    “We expect more questions on whether NYCB will sell,” Citigroup analyst Keith Horowitz said in a note. “But we do not see a lot of potential buyers here even at this price due to the uncertainty … in our view, NYCB is on its own.”

    — CNBC’s Tom Rotunno and Michael Bloom contributed to this story.

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  • NYCB says it identified ‘material weakness’ in internal loan review controls, announces new CEO

    NYCB says it identified ‘material weakness’ in internal loan review controls, announces new CEO

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    CNBC's Kate Rogers joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' with breaking news on two announcements from NYCB.

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