ReportWire

Tag: Finance

  • 12 Things Your Kids Actually Might Want to Inherit

    12 Things Your Kids Actually Might Want to Inherit

    [ad_1]

    One of the things you need to prepare for when you’ve reached your retirement age is your will. It is a document that lists all your properties and assets and how you want them to be distributed when you’re no longer here. While it might seem too soon to think about this uncomfortable topic, it’s still something that needs to be carefully planned to make everyone’s life a little easier as they handle the grief of losing a loved one. In that sense, it’s good to know what things your children might or might not actually want to see as a part of their inheritance.


    Due – Due

    Preparing a list of things you want your kids to inherit might save you a lot of time, especially when you have a lot of things in mind that you want to pass on to them. You might think that your collection of plates and curtains might be an ideal inheritance to give, but they might not be the things that your kids expect to receive — nor want.

    It’s not that including these items as a form of inheritance is bad, but there’s a high chance that they will only end up disposing of them, especially when they do not serve a specific purpose. If you want to make your children’s life a little bit easier if you pass away unexpectedly, here are 12 things that they might actually want to inherit.

    #1 Cash

    Cash is the classic and ideal asset to hand down to your kids. It’s convenient and easy to access, and you can earn interest over time if you have it in a savings account. Additionally, it provides a great deal of ease as cash can be easily divided depending on how many people will receive it and how much each one will have. This can make splitting the inheritance easier and avoid conflict between siblings.

    One reason why your kids might want to inherit cash is because of how versatile it is—they can use it to buy anything they want or invest it to make it grow. Cash also provides an easy way to send money to others and share their wealth. They can even share and send cash to a friend if they ever need to. For example, they may invest it in other assets like properties or stocks or even a personal enterprise, which will provide an opportunity for your children to earn income from their inheritance. This freedom of use and flexibility make cash the first thing your kids will want to inherit.

    #2 An annuity

    An annuity is a great asset to pass down to your children. Inherited annuities have several advantages like tax benefits, especially if they’re non-qualified annuities you paid for with after-tax dollars. By annuitizing an annuity, your children can convert it into a steady and dependable income stream to help cover their living expenses either for a predefined period of time, or for life if the original annuity contract was set up as a multy-life annuity.

    While annuities like the ones mentioned above can be financially complicated to set up and also quite expensive, they do offer simplicity for your heirs.

    #3 Recipes

    Besides the pleasure of each others’ company, there’s a reason why the family flocks together at grandma’s house during the holidays, no matter how far they are, and that’s because of the sumptuous food that tastes like no other. Whether it’s a secret recipe for your classic stuffed turkey or the chocolate chip cookies your grandkids line up for every weekend, your kids will definitely be happy to receive a cookbook full of all their favorite recipes with annotations and footnotes with all your little culinary secrets.

    It is both a sentimental and useful inheritance to have, and it preserves the tradition within the family, even when you are no longer around to make the food. You’ll be surprised how many successful restaurants and gastronomic products started with “grandma’s recipe.”

    That comfort-food feeling you get when you taste your mother’s food isn’t easily replicated. When it comes to good food that only the hands of a parent can make, a record of how it’s done is worth having and passing down.

    #4 Family photos

    As much as your kids may look like they only enjoy things that have monetary value, there are many things that they’ll consider worth having, and old family photos are one of them. While today we have thousands of pictures on our mobile phones, it’s still nice for kids to have something tangible like an old-fashioned polaroid photo that captures moments that are worth keeping for a lifetime.

    Photos never fail to remind someone of something beautiful that has happened in the past, even when they are no longer there to rekindle that moment. Having a physical photograph that your kids know you held in your hands, that you had in a real photo album, is something they’ll value and cherish for life.

    #5 Trust Funds

    A trust fund is a type of asset that helps your kids manage their inheritances wisely. If you are going to be handing them down a huge amount of money and perhaps a couple of properties, there’s a chance that conflicts may arise. Other people might file for a claim on those assets, or your kids might end up fighting among themselves. Even if they don’t, they could splurge and dilapidate all their inheritance through reckless spending on useless things.

    The biggest perk of setting up a trust fund for your kids is that it allows them to properly allocate the money over different uses so that they don’t go about spending it on things that do not matter. You can also set it up so your loved ones will only have access to the money at a certain age and point in time. They probably won’t like these limitations at first, but they’ll definitely be thankful once they’re more mature and realize the value of investing in the future.

    #6 Furniture

    Believe it or not, your kids may be interested in inheriting your furniture as well, especially if it’s something different and hard to find. Accent pieces that are timeless and fit the interior of almost any house. Many are definitely worth keeping, and it can save your kids a couple of hundred dollars when they’re moving to a new apartment or house.

    #7 Vinyl Records

    Besides the great music they contain, vinyl records are also collectible items that only gain value as time passes. Do you have an original Jimmy Hendricks album from the 70s that’s in pristine condition? I’m sure your vintage-loving millennial kids will be more than happy to keep it for years to come.

    If your child grew up listening to vinyl records that have become a collection in the family, chances are they’ll want to have them. Nothing beats a classic Pink Floyd or The Beatles vinyl to take a trip down memory lane, and your kids will be more than happy to know that you have these records ready for them to take in the future.

    Just like photos, music can evoke pleasant memories, and it’s always a good decision to leave something for your kids that will serve as a memento of the things you loved doing back in the day. Your children and loved ones will certainly thank you for this, and they’ll still have a piece of you with them even after you have passed on.

    #8 Life Insurance

    If you want to leave money for your children but worry that the taxes might take a big chunk of it, life insurance is a viable option. The main purpose of applying for life insurance is to avoid your family facing financial difficulties relative to your passing.

    Because of the tax-free feature of life insurance policies, it’s a great idea to set one up with your children as beneficiaries. When the time comes, and the funds are available, they will be able to receive the amount in full, and you’ll have achieved your goal of leaving something valuable for your family without any deductions.

    #9 Real Estate

    After working hard all your life, you may have acquired some valuable properties. These could be the best thing you could ever leave for your kids. Real estate assets are a safe investment that has historically grown throughout the years, so passing these properties down to your kids is a surefire way to protect their financial future.

    Additionally, if the property or properties you leave behind are something that stores shared memories, your kids will feel more connected with this inheritance.

    #10 A Business

    A family business is a common asset often passed down to children as an inheritance, sometimes while parents are still alive. An established business is a great inheritance because it not only has monetary value upfront, but it’s also a source of steady income. This alone can mean your kids will be set up for life financially. When you’re no longer around to provide for them, this can be invaluable.

    You should take this with a grain of salt, though, because businesses can fail as much as they can thrive, depending on how they’re managed. So, make sure that the enterprise you are leaving behind is not something that has acquired debts through the years but is profitable and will provide the children with a steady income. Teaching your kids how to run a business from an early age will prepare them for the unlikely scenario that they may need to take care of your family business soon.

    #11 Brokerage Accounts

    Another form of financial inheritance that is not cash but that can provide long-term value is a brokerage account. These include stocks and bonds that you can start trading while you are still alive, then delegate to your children over time as the account’s value rises.

    One of the best things about having these brokerage accounts is how easily divisible they are. If you have several children to whom you want to leave the stocks, you can easily divide the assets among them.

    Stocks are also easy to liquidate or convert into cash, so if your kids ever need money, they can simply sell them through the brokerage account.

    #12 Quality education fund

    Quality education isn’t cheap in America. Students are often caught up in student loans by the time they graduate, and rather than spending the rest of their lives doing amazing things and checking things off their bucket lists, your children might have to work for a long time to pay off those debts.

    This is why educational savings plans are a great inheritance for your children. Not only will it save them from years of financial struggle, but it will also give them a chance to take on career paths they’re passionate about. In the US, you’ll find options like the 529 plan you can apply for to save up enough money for your children’s future education. Depending on which variation of the plan you get, you will have to pay varying amounts, and your children will also be entitled to an array of benefits.

    The Bottom Line

    Death isn’t something most people like to think about, and it’s definitely not something most people are comfortable planning for. However, putting your children’s happiness and well-being on the table puts things into perspective. This is why you must start thinking of what you’ll leave behind immediately in case of an unwanted and unexpected early departure.

    These twelve inheritance ideas are just suggestions of what your kids will likely appreciate. They’ll make their lives a little easier, and once they’re mature enough to realize their true potential, they’ll be even happier to have them. Whether it is something that carries sentimental value or an actual financial asset that can be traded in exchange for cash, what matters more is the underlying intention of leaving behind something that will help them out in times of need and remind them of you always after you’re gone.

    The post 12 Things Your Kids Actually Might Want to Inherit appeared first on Due.

    [ad_2]

    Jordan Bishop

    Source link

  • Stock Market Rally Déjà Vu?

    Stock Market Rally Déjà Vu?

    [ad_1]

    It feels even more like deja vu as the S&P 500 (SPY) is embarking on its 3rd bear market rally of 2022 with each taking place during earnings season. Despite a handful of high-profile misses, the Q3 earnings season has continued the trend of previous ones by coming in better than expected. Given the market’s oversold state and some bullish seasonals, as we begin Q4, this has been sufficient to send the market more than 10% higher over the last 2 weeks. As we covered previously, it’s difficult to predict an endgame for the rally as this depends on dynamic factors like economic data and earnings, but we can be certain of its outcome. In today’s commentary, I want to recap our strategy for the current environment and then do our monthly review of various market topics. Read on below to find out more….


    shutterstock.com – StockNews

    (Please enjoy this updated version of my weekly commentary originally published October 27th, 2022 in the POWR Stocks Under $10 newsletter).

    Over the last week, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up by 4%. And, it’s indeed confirmation of the bear market rally thesis vs a bounce as we easily exceeded the previous high.

    In terms of sector performance, I think one development is the outperformance of small caps which are up 7% vs the Nasdaq which is up 2%. Of course, the major factor is the high-profile earnings misses of companies like Meta, Microsoft, and Google.

    In contrast, the ‘market of stocks’ is holding much better as evidenced by the Russell 2000 and the performance of the median company in terms of beating expectations for the top and bottom line. Additionally, margins continue to remain much more resilient.

    There also continues to be some evidence for a ‘soft landing’ as the labor market shows no signs of cracking and GDP came in at 2.6% on a preliminary basis.

    Recapping Our Strategy

    However, nothing has changed about my more bearish stance in the intermediate and longer term. In fact, any positive news for the economy and financial markets is just more bullets for Fed tightening.

    Any strength in these areas is construed by the Fed as evidence that it’s not doing its job to a sufficient degree.

    It’s kind of like the absence of pockets of excess and speculation in financial markets is evidence that the Fed has more room to stimulate.

    We are in the opposite situation. As we have discussed in previous commentaries, the good news is bad, because its means a tighter Fed, and bad news is bad, because it means that earnings will decline.

    So, we are going to use this temporary period of strength to slowly take some profits and shift into a more neutral stance.

    Constructive Criticism

    I would say the biggest flaw in my performance this year has been not recognizing how quickly gains in the market and individual stocks can vanish once the bear market reasserts itself.

    I’m determined not to repeat that mistake this time. And, I think one key is to sell on the way up and to act quickly once the short-term trend breaks.

    Market Topics

    Energy: Here’s a reminder of what I said last week on this topic.

    “Lately, we’ve seen some relief in terms of energy prices with supply coming back, while demand has been less than expected due to China. In fact, analysts estimate that China is consuming about 2 million barrels per day less than it would usually does.

     At the same time, Russian oil continues to find its way onto the market.

    There are also rumors of the US easing sanctions against Venezuela and allowing exports which could add another 500,000 barrels per day.

     There were also reports of negotiations with Iran although these seem to have ended with no resolution and are unlikely to restart given the crackdown against protesters.

     And, of course, we have OPEC+’s decision to cut production by 2 million barrels per day.

    Another factor in the mix has been the SPR’s sales of oil which have put downwards pressure on prices. There have also been questions about when the US will become a buyer and replenish these holdings.

    Usually, my reflexive stance is to be critical of governments and find fault in their actions. However, this is an exception. The US government is reportedly going to buy oil futures contracts at around $70 per barrel for 2025.

    This will effectively put a floor on oil prices which will increase production and give producers more certainty about prices.

    The bear market in oil has led to caution among oil producers who were burnt badly by investing aggressively following the 2008-2012 period when prices averaged above $100 per barrel. Many of these projects went bust or were money losers over the next decade.

    Thus, this will lead to more certainty among producers and increase CAPEX. It’s also a rare win for the government which effectively sold oil above $100 and is buying it back around $70 while helping alleviate the supply-side issues.”

    I just want to share my current summation of the matter – longer-term, I continue to see powerful factors on the supply side that are supportive of a multiyear, bull market. In the short term, I think these factors will be overwhelmed by eroding demand due to a brutal global recession.

    Defensive Strategies: One limitation of this universe of stocks is the lack of places to hide during adverse market conditions. One strategy is to overweight cash which we have done for nearly the whole year. But, that’s really it.

    Most stocks under $10 are quite speculative in nature and have limited institutional ownership which makes them more susceptible to deep declines during major selloffs in the market which are a routine part of bear markets.

    In my POWR Growth portfolio, we have overweighted cash in addition to defense & aerospace and pharmaceutical stocks which are up double-digits (or close to it), while the market is down double digits since the positions’ inception.

    Election: I do believe that one factor in the recent market strength are the rising odds of a Republican win. This would eliminate the chances of any fiscal stimulus over the next 2 years which is bullish in an inflationary environment.

    However, it does increase the odds of gamesmanship over the debt ceiling which could rear its head as a threat sometime next year. But, the bigger point is that Republicans are currently favored to win control of the House and Senate.

    What To Do Next?

    If you’d like to see more top stocks under $10, then you should check out our free special report:

    3 Stocks to DOUBLE This Year

    What gives these stocks the right stuff to become big winners, even in the brutal 2022 stock market?

    First, because they are all low priced companies with the most upside potential in today’s volatile markets.

    But even more important, is that they are all top Buy rated stocks according to our coveted POWR Ratings system and they excel in key areas of growth, sentiment and momentum.

    Click below now to see these 3 exciting stocks which could double or more in the year ahead.

    3 Stocks to DOUBLE This Year

    All the Best!

    Jaimini Desai
    Chief Growth Strategist, StockNews
    Editor, POWR Stocks Under $10 Newsletter


    SPY shares closed at $389.02 on Friday, up $9.04 (+2.38%). Year-to-date, SPY has declined -17.15%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


    About the Author: Jaimini Desai

    Jaimini Desai has been a financial writer and reporter for nearly a decade. His goal is to help readers identify risks and opportunities in the markets. He is the Chief Growth Strategist for StockNews.com and the editor of the POWR Growth and POWR Stocks Under $10 newsletters. Learn more about Jaimini’s background, along with links to his most recent articles.

    More…

    The post Stock Market Rally Déjà Vu? appeared first on StockNews.com

    [ad_2]

    Jaimini Desai

    Source link

  • #2 Investment for 2023

    #2 Investment for 2023

    [ad_1]

    In a world with more than 20,000 investments to chose from, then being my #2 selection for the year ahead is still pretty impressive. Discover why the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) has earned this top honor. The key is knowing when to buy your shares during the current bear market cycle. Read on below for full details.


    shutterstock.com – StockNews

    A couple weeks ago I posted my #1 investment pick for the coming year. That was featured in this article.

    However, it is not easy to narrow down to just one pick when there are obviously so many quality choices out there. So, my solution is to roll out my #2 pick for 2023.

    Let me set the backdrop first.

    It is now late October 2022. And anyone reading my ongoing market commentary knows quite clearly that I am still very bearish on the on the short term outlook. My expectation is for the S&P 500 (SPY) to find bottom somewhere between 2,800 to 3,200 in early 2023.

    But then things become glorious for the bulls.

    Because from that darkest hour stocks will rise with gusto. We are truly talking about the “phoenix rising from the ashes” which is how all new bull markets begin.

    In fact, going all the way back to 1900, the average first year gain for new bull markets is +46.2%.

    My #1 pick for the market was TNA which is a 3X bullish ETF focused on small cap stocks. That’s because small caps outperform the S&P 500. Plus you get the benefit of 3X leverage.

    However, with that 3X leverage comes additional risk that not everyone is going to stomach. So yes, it would be easy to simply switch to the 1X small cap ETF variety like IWM. Indeed that would do quite well as the bull market resumes. Gladly we can do a notch better than that.

    Which is why my #2 investment for 2023 is: ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK)

    Right now Cathie Wood’s fund is the laughing stock of the investing world as it has fallen nearly 60% in 2022. Yes, that is about three times worse than the S&P 500.

    The reason is simple. She is focused on the highest growth stocks that also carry the highest beta. That is glorious when the bull is running…and an absolute death sentence when the bear comes to town.

    Here again, we are talking about a great investment idea 2023…and buying it as the new bull market emerges. So if the average one year return for the S&P 500 during a new bull is 46.2%, then it would not surprise me to see ARKK double that return without any leverage.

    Here again, look at the top 5 holdings to appreciate how far these stocks have fallen of late…and thus how much they will likely bounce when the bull is ready to run:

    Tesla (TSLA)

    Roku (ROKU)

    Teladoc Health (TDOC)

    Square (SQ)

    Zoom Video (ZM)

    Aye, But Here is the Rub…

    If you buy too early, and the market is still racing lower, you will have tremendous losses on your hands. So I caution against just blindly buying it without some consideration for determining market bottom.

    Again, right now it is late October 2022. So this is an evolving story that needs vigilant watch on all the key indicators like employment, earnings, inflation, Fed rates and price action. That is the only way to determine when it may be time to enact this ARKK trade. Probably some time in early 2023.

    If you would like some help with that timing, then get your hands on my “Bear Market Game Plan”.

    This will provide the top picks to make money now as the bear market grinds lower. Plus help with timing the market bottom so you can properly load up on your ARKK shares.

    Discover “Bear Market Game Plan” >

    Wishing you a world of investment success!


    Steve Reitmeister…but everyone calls me Reity (pronounced “Righty”)
    CEO, StockNews.com

    Editor of Reitmeister Total Return


    ARKK shares closed at $38.89 on Friday, up $1.02 (+2.69%). Year-to-date, ARKK has declined -58.89%, versus a -17.15% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


    About the Author: Steve Reitmeister

    Steve is better known to the StockNews audience as “Reity”. Not only is he the CEO of the firm, but he also shares his 40 years of investment experience in the Reitmeister Total Return portfolio. Learn more about Reity’s background, along with links to his most recent articles and stock picks.

    More…

    The post #2 Investment for 2023 appeared first on StockNews.com

    [ad_2]

    Steve Reitmeister

    Source link

  • When Will This “Suckers Rally” End?

    When Will This “Suckers Rally” End?

    [ad_1]

    Indeed this nearly 9% rally for the S&P 500 (SPY) from the recent bottom has been impressive. Then again so was the 18% rally back during the summer that fizzled out before new lows were made. THIS TIME WILL BE NO DIFFERENT! This article will explain why plus how to prepare your portfolio to generate profits even as the market heads lower once again.


    shutterstock.com – StockNews

    Stocks continue to bounce this week even in the face of very weak earnings from many leading bellwether stocks.

    Why?

    Because…that’s why.

    Remember that a rally in the midst of a bear market is no more meaningful than a correction in the midst of a bull market. They can happen at any time for any reason.

    The key is to realize the long term trajectory is unchanged and that we have not yet seen the lows for this bear market cycle.

    How much higher could this current rally go?

    That will be focus of this week’s commentary.

    Market Commentary

    Let’s start with the year-to-date chart for the S&P 500 (SPY):

    I have also layered on the 3 key moving averages:

    Red = 50 Day = 3,842

    Green = 100 Day = 3903

    Blue = 200 Day = 4,113

    The first thing to notice on the chart is how many failed rallies there have been already this year before new lows were made. That includes the seemingly impressive 18% rally from June to August that sucked in many investors only to spit them out with a move to new lows.

    This rally will also fail. Probably next week for 2 good reasons.

    First, is that we are right now pressing up against the 100 day moving average. We could easily run out of steam at this level especially given the way we ended the week.

    That being a TERRIBLE earnings report for Amazon (on top of the bad news from Meta and Google) that absolutely has broad meaning for the economy headed in the wrong direction. That Amazon report had stocks properly heading lower at the open only to dramatically reverse course end the session with a rip roaring rally at +2.46%.

    That type of reversal is very common for the last gas of a rally before heading in the other direction. Meaning that the buying pressure may be exhausted and hard to get above resistance at the 100 day moving average (3,903).

    Second, and more importantly, next week brings the most vital economic reports for November starting with ISM Manufacturing on Tuesday. This is followed on Wednesday by the Fed rate decision with another hike on the way. Coming down the home stretch we have ISM Services on Thursday and then Government Employment on Friday.

    Please remember that the Flash PMI report from Monday already confirmed weakening conditions for both manufacturing and services. (49.9 and 47.3 respectively…both under 50 meaning contraction). This bodes poorly for the more widely followed, and market moving, ISM versions of this report.

    Along with that we are still likely in a world of where most everything that happens next week is negative for stocks. Even positive economic news would be a signal that more inflation is in our future which points to more aggressive Fed. Thus, I expect the recent bear market rally to fizzle out with investors getting back in a selling mood.

    From previous commentaries I have shared the view that the likely bottom of this bear is somewhere around 3,000. And if things fall into their typical bear market pattern that is happening in the first half of 2023 just as the economy is likely finding the depths of the recession.

    Yes, it is possible that stocks could keep moving higher a bit longer not unlike the illogical mid-summer rally before new bear market lows were established.

    Bear market rallies are called “suckers rallies” for a reason.

    So the word to the wise is…don’t be a sucker.

    Expect this rally to fizzle out, as early as this week. But probably no higher than the 200 day moving average at 4,100 that capped the last rally.

    Invest accordingly.

    What To Do Next?

    Discover my special portfolio with 9 simple trades to help you generate gains as the market descends further into bear market territory.

    This plan has been working wonders since it went into place mid August generating a robust gain for investors as the S&P 500 (SPY) tanked.

    And now is great time to load back up as we make even lower lows in the weeks and months ahead.

    If you have been successful navigating the investment waters in 2022, then please feel free to ignore.

    However, if the bearish argument shared above does make you curious as to what happens next…then do consider getting my updated “Bear Market Game Plan” that includes specifics on the 9 unique positions in my timely and profitable portfolio.

    Click Here to Learn More >

    Wishing you a world of investment success!


    Steve Reitmeister…but everyone calls me Reity (pronounced “Righty”)
    CEO, Stock News Network and Editor, Reitmeister Total Return


    SPY shares . Year-to-date, SPY has declined -17.15%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


    About the Author: Steve Reitmeister

    Steve is better known to the StockNews audience as “Reity”. Not only is he the CEO of the firm, but he also shares his 40 years of investment experience in the Reitmeister Total Return portfolio. Learn more about Reity’s background, along with links to his most recent articles and stock picks.

    More…

    The post When Will This “Suckers Rally” End? appeared first on StockNews.com

    [ad_2]

    Steve Reitmeister

    Source link

  • #1 Investing Strategy for 2022

    #1 Investing Strategy for 2022

    [ad_1]

    Investing before 2022 was easy. Just pick the hottest growth stocks and ride them higher. It kind of felt like 1999 all over again as there seemed to be no end to the gains…that was before the calendar flipped to 2022 and these stocks were crushed. In fact, famed growth investor Cathie Wood’s Ark Innovation fund is down 61.6% on the year. This article will share with you the strategy that is working in 2022 even as the S&P 500 (SPY) is in bear market territory. Read on below for more….


    shutterstock.com – StockNews

    Some people were starting to believe that value investing was dead.

    Yes, that sounds extreme. However, for the bulk of the last several years the path to stock market success was paved with buying growth companies no matter how much momentum…no matter how high their nose bleed PE.

    I am referring to every hot trend from Electric Vehicles to Cannabis to 3D Printers to Metaverse to (fill in the blank).

    This growth only investment blueprint appears to negate the virtue of classic value principles pioneered by Benjamin Graham (and his most famous pupil Warren Buffett) as these “in favor” investments have gravity defying multiples.

    Those who walked away from value investing point to 3 fatal flaws:

    1. Value Traps (where stocks head lower and lower)
    2. Classic Value Metrics Don’t Work Anymore
    3. Lack of Timeliness Deadens ROI

    So, what’s the solution?

    Please give me just a few minutes of your time so I can spell it out for you. Especially as value investing is making a strong come back in 2022.

    This includes sharing details on our coveted Top 10 Value Stocks strategy that has scored an average +37.67% gain since 1999 (4.5x better than the S&P 500 over that stretch).

    Let me first tell you more about this computer generated model. Then we will discuss how it solves all 3 of the fatal flaws of value investing.

    That journey starts with a brief discussion of our quant ranking system; the POWR Ratings.

    If you have spent any time on StockNews.com you have certainly seen information on our exclusive POWR Ratings system. Indeed, these ratings really do help investors gain a decided advantage over the market, as can clearly be seen in the performance chart below.

    Where Does the Outperformance Come From?

    The POWR Ratings model is the most complete review of a stock available to individual investors today. All in all, we look at 118 different factors of a stock before assigning an A to F rating.

    Which 118 factors? 

    The simple answer is ONLY the ones that lead to more profitable stock selection. Truly this is like a DNA check of each stock getting down to the molecular level to appreciate the stocks built to outperform.

    Once that analysis of the overall POWR Rating is done, we then break down those 118 factors into 6 additional grades to appreciate the virtue of a stock on the following dimensions:

    • Value
    • Growth
    • Momentum
    • Stability
    • Quality
    • Sentiment

    For those quick on the draw, you probably just figured out that if you combine a strong overall POWR Rating with a healthy Value score, that you are well on our way to picking the best value stocks.

    Gladly that process will get you going in the right direction.

    Sadly you will still end up with a list of over 700 stocks to research.

    That is not so bad if picking stocks is your full-time job. However, for most of you that is far too time consuming.

    This led to an “Aha!” moment.

    What if we could develop a strategy to unearth the 10 top value stocks at any time producing consistent outperformance?

    So, we went back to the same Data Scientist who created the POWR Ratings and asked the seemingly impossible—could he turn up the volume on the value metrics and somehow exceed their already market beating returns?

    After months of research and rigorous testing the Top 10 Value Stocks strategy was born.

    Not only did we narrow to just 10 value stocks. But we also greatly increased performance to +37.67% per year since 1999.

    The hallmark of this screen is a zealous focus on the 31 individual value factors that help to consistently discover the market’s best value stocks (and just as importantly, ignoring the 100’s of factors that actually don’t work at all!).

    Combining those 31 unique value factors together in optimal fashion leads to uncovering this incredibly consistent winning strategy.

    I’ve Heard Enough…Where Can I See These Top Value Stocks? >

    The Key Word is “Consistency”

    That’s because the POWR Ratings also focuses on the consistency of growth. Not just earnings growth, but also improvements in revenue, profit margins and cash flow.

    Then our rating model goes further into the Quality of a stock by drilling down on the main metrics that show the health of operations over time.

    The steps noted above solve the #1 fatal flaw of value investing. That being how to avoid the value traps that are really just poorly run companies that go from bad to worse. The focus on Growth and Quality aspects are the best possible health checks to alleviate these problems.

    Meaning that we look beyond the overly simplistic value measurements used in the past, allowing us to deliver to you the healthiest growing companies, that just so happen to be trading at attractive discount prices.

    Next up we need to tackle the 2nd fatal flaw. Which is that most classic value metrics don’t work like they used to. 

    Consider this.

    Computer driven trading now dominates the investment landscape. No longer is it seasoned investment managers making the decisions. Instead the vast majority of trades are run by these quant models.

    This has been true for more than 10 years. And truly billions of dollars have been thrown at these quant models to squeeze out every last drop of profit hidden in shares.

    So long ago these models tapped into the benefit of the typical value approaches like PE, Book Value, PEG, Price to Sales etc.

    Now after years of high volume trading of these models it could be said that the value well has run dry.

    More precisely, the best value metrics have very little benefit on their own. So the key to success is to stack as many of these metrics in your favor as possible. Like the 31 value metrics inside the POWR Ratings model.

    That’s 31 advantages working in your favor to generate outperformance. Each one increasing the odds of success. And that’s how the Top 10 Value Stocks strategy is able to produce a +37.67% annual return.

    I’ve Heard Enough…Where Can I See These Top Value Stocks? >

    Finally we address the 3rd fatal flaw which is that value stocks are generally not timely which damages your ROI.

    Value is considered a contrarian investing style. That’s because you are betting on companies that are currently out of favor hoping that the share price turns around.

    Unfortunately the longer it takes…the more it harms your Return On Investment.

    Gladly the POWR Ratings focuses on 25 different factors that greatly increase the timeliness and ROI of the stocks.

    13 Sentiment Factors

    12 Momentum Factors

    Sentiment factors track what the smart money is doing with the stock such as institutional ownership, Wall Street analyst estimates and insider buying. These are time-tested ways of finding timely, in-favor stocks.

    Next up is narrowing in on 12 different Momentum factors that targets stocks ready to rise. Indeed Momentum is just like physics where “a body in motion… stays in motion”.

    All in all the POWR Ratings applies 118 factors to find the best stocks. The combination of which truly helps overcome the 3 fatal flaws of value investing.

    Then we dial up value attributes to create the Top 10 Value Stocks strategy that increases performance to a stellar +37.67% a year.

    This is how you solve the 3 fatal flaws of value investing.

    And this is the consistent path to finding the best value stocks in the future…

    One last improvement

    For as great as the Top 10 Value Stocks strategy truly is, there is still one glaring flaw that exists in all quantitative systems. And that is understanding the all-important WHY behind which stocks to buy, and when to sell to maximize gains.

    That is why I go one step further, using my 40 years of investing experience to dive deeper into each stock, pulling the curtain back on the all-important qualitative metrics that no computer ratings system can uncover.

    The final result is the very best value stocks, that I hand select for subscribers to our popular POWR Value Newsletter.

    This is truly a best of both world’s solution:

    +37.67% annual return from Top 10 Value strategy

    +

    Steve Reitmeister with 40+ years of investing experience with a keen eye for uncovering hidden value stocks

    =

    POWR Value newsletter to help you discover the best value stocks for today’s market.

    Yes, even in these volatile markets, where the portfolio has delivered a solid profit since December 1st, 2021, while the overall market was descending deep into bear market territory.

    Now you can experience the market beating returns of the POWR Value newsletter, for just $1 for a full 30 days.

    During your trial you’ll get full access to the current portfolio, my weekly market commentary and every trade alert by text & email.

    There’s no obligation beyond the 30 day trial, so there is absolutely no risk in getting started today.

    About POWR Value & 30 day Trial > >

    Wishing you a world of investment success!

    Steve Reitmeister…but everyone calls me Reity (pronounced “Righty”)
    CEO, StockNews.com
    Editor of Reitmeister Total Return & POWR Value


    SPY shares . Year-to-date, SPY has declined -17.15%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


    About the Author: Steve Reitmeister

    Steve is better known to the StockNews audience as “Reity”. Not only is he the CEO of the firm, but he also shares his 40 years of investment experience in the Reitmeister Total Return portfolio. Learn more about Reity’s background, along with links to his most recent articles and stock picks.

    More…

    The post #1 Investing Strategy for 2022 appeared first on StockNews.com

    [ad_2]

    Steve Reitmeister

    Source link

  • Shopify Stock Price Surges as Losses Narrow, Investments Pay Off

    Shopify Stock Price Surges as Losses Narrow, Investments Pay Off

    [ad_1]

    Shopify (NYSE: SHOP) stock rose 17% in early trading on better-than-expected earnings. Management outlined that the company is set to get back on track after a couple of weak quarters, where sales came in far lower than expected. Shopify’s management had previously stated that investment into its product mix was had resulted in lower-than-expected profits. Investments were important to get the company back on track to growth. 


    MarketBeat.com – MarketBeat

    Shopify’s Investments Paying Off

    Monthly recurring revenue increased by 8% to 107% as Shopify Plus merchants and retail locations used the point-of-sale (POS) service to drive monthly recurring revenue (MRR). MRR for Shopify Plus was 33% compared to 28% in the same quarter of 2021. Shopify has continued to target entrepreneurs or startup businesses, then looks to convert them to Plus merchants in the future by offering a range of services that can help their businesses get into small- and medium-business territory.

    Shopify had double-digit growth in gross merchandise value, which increased 11% for the quarter. Gross payment value increased from 49% of total gross merchandise value (GMV) to 54% of GMV year-over-year (YOY), as new merchant adoption in the U.S. and internationally drove revenue, helping to improve profitability due to a better mix. Merchant solutions grew by 26% and Shopify has been increasingly investing in this service as it looks to improve synergy between its merchandise sales and payments. Merchant solutions tend to have lower margins, which leads to gross profit increasing by 9% to $681 million, lower than the top line, which increased by 22%.
    Operating losses continue to be a factor. The current quarter witnessed a $45 million loss compared to a $120 million profit in the same quarter in 2021. The lack of profitability can be attributed to lower margin product mix and increasing costs. These costs largely stem from sales and marketing and R&D, both of which make up a significant portion of Shopify’s operating costs.

    Tailwinds from Small Businesses

    Small business optimism has continued to improve in October despite current economic conditions, marking three months of continued improvement. Inflation continues to be the hottest topic for small businesses but the number of small businesses that will increase prices (or plan to) declined to 51% over the last month, according to the National Federation of Independent Businesses.

    Shopify has also started to bring on a number of large merchants, including Cole Haan and Panasonic, along with already established players such as Gymshark. Shopify also continues to partner with a range of tech companies such as Pinterest (NYSE: PINS) and integrates partners such as Stripe and PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) onto its platform in order to better serve customers. By integrating these partners onto its platform, the company has allowed itself to attract higher-margin clients who already have an established sales network. This could help get margins back to previous levels and the company back to profitability sooner than investors expect.

    International markets remain key to Shopify’s growth if the e-commerce giant maintains its growth rate. Shopify continued to improve its international presence during the quarter by allowing merchants to sell products across borders and by offering a range of logistics, currency and marketing solutions, leading to Shopify Markets adding 175,000 merchants to its platform during recent months.

    Shopify Capital provides advances to merchants and small businesses should also see significant growth across global markets. Since the Dodd-Frank Act, many small businesses remain underserved in terms of working capital, which provides an opportunity for Shopify to fill in the gap that banks usually fill. As small businesses continue to seek capital in a tightening environment, Shopify Capital took advantage of circumstances and total loans grew by 29% YOY to $509 million for the third quarter.

    Shopify’s stock is down close to 80% from its 52-week high and currently trades at around 7x sales, making it still relatively expensive. Historically, stocks whose projected rate of growth was around 20% to 25%, could expect a 5x valuation. A lack of profitability will make investors cautious despite the rally after earnings. As the product mix brings gross margins lower, the bottom line in the long term could also be lower than other tech companies. Unlike competitors such as Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Shopify doesn’t have high levels of capital expenditure, with average capital expenditure ranging around $45 million.

    Global Expansion

    Shopify will continue to concentrate on global expansion and improved cross-selling as it looks to bring more merchants from the entrepreneur and basic services levels to SMB and Plus levels. Shopify concentrates both on expanding globally and providing better tools so its merchants can continue to make that jump. For now, expansion plans are working out but investors will look for Shopify to become profitable. Long-term profitability could be around 20%, considering its current gross margins. For now, management is concentrating on expanding both services and global penetration.
    Overall, Shopify is trying to establish itself as a premium e-commerce company, which provides end-to-end service. It remains to be seen if the strategy will pay off compared to competitors such as WooCommerce and BigCommerce, which have taken a much more targeted approach to merchants.

    [ad_2]

    Parth Pala

    Source link

  • Will Demand from EV Makers Drive Up Freeport-McMoRan stock?

    Will Demand from EV Makers Drive Up Freeport-McMoRan stock?

    [ad_1]

    Shares of copper miner Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX) have been in rally mode lately, getting a further boost from the company’s third-quarter report despite a decline in profit attributed to lower copper prices. 


    MarketBeat.com – MarketBeat

    However, the company topped Wall Street expectations and the company offered an optimistic outlook for sales. 

    Freeport-McMoRan stock attempted to rally out of a base earlier this year, but shares cratered nearly 10% in April, following Freeport-McMoRan’s first-quarter report. Year-to-date, the stock is down 18.67%, but shorter-term rolling time frames show increases:

    • One week: 17.56%
    • One month: 26.38%
    • Three months: 19.91%

    Since the third-quarter report on October 20, shares are up 17.13%.

    In the earnings conference call, CEO Richard Adkerson expressed confidence in the company’s ability to weather the current economic downturn. 

    The company said it expects growing rising demand for copper, which is used in renewable energy products, many of which will benefit from tax incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act, which could spur sales for Freeport-McMoRan.

    Input Costs Higher 

    As of Thursday, copper prices were well off their highs from earlier this year but up from two weeks ago. 

    Fetching higher prices, at least in the short term, can help the company’s business for the foreseeable future. As with many other companies, production inputs such as labor, fuel and equipment, have all risen. That could cut into the company’s bottom line. 

    Freeport-McMoRan operates mining operations in North and South America. Properties include the Morenci minerals area in Arizona and Cerro Verde in Peru. News broke late Wednesday that the company was in talks to acquire an Arizona smelter from Grupo Mexico (OTCPK: GMBXF). It’s a move on Freeport-McMoRan’s part to expand U.S. processing capabilities. 

    Wall Street expects earnings to decline this year and next, although the company will likely continue extending its profitable streak, which goes back to 2016. You can track the company’s net income and revenue history using MarketBeat earnings data

    Aaron Dessen, a certified financial planner at Payne Capital Management, believes the long-term valuation on copper is still intact, in part due to its usage in electric vehicles, global trends and renewable energy. 
    Will Demand From EV Makers Drive Growth At Freeport-McMoRan?

    Copper Sales Forecast to Grow

    Dessen cites analyst forecasts calling for full-year copper sales of 4.2 billion pounds, which is up 10% year over year. He notes that demand from China will also be a growth driver. 

    “China’s the largest demand center for industrial metals and commodities. As the COVID lockdowns hopefully start to ease and go away in the near future, that’s definitely going to be a boon for demand,” he says.

    Dessen also points to the stock’s dividend as an attractive feature. The current yield is 1.80%.

    “It’s not the strongest dividend, but a big focus for Freeport has really been a reduction in debt,” Dessen says. “They’ve brought their debt down from $20 billion to $1 billion since 2016 and they’re really focused on leveraging a long-term recovery in the global economy. I think as cash flow improves, you could see that reflected in the dividend.”

    As noted above, the recent uptrends in the stock price are encouraging and it’s been able to hold above its recent structure low of $24.80 on July 14. You can also compare its performance to that of its index, the S&P 500, which is down only slightly more year-to-date, posting a decline of 19.82%. 

    For investors who base decisions on the technicals, Freeport-McMoRan has some work to do. Its 50-day moving average is currently below the longer-term 200-day line, which is not a sign of strength. However, as with many aspects of chart reading, there is also a more positive sign: Its short-term 10- and 21-day averages are beginning to trend higher, which could signal a nascent rally.

    [ad_2]

    Kate Stalter

    Source link

  • 3 Financial Terms All Starting Entrepreneurs Need to Know

    3 Financial Terms All Starting Entrepreneurs Need to Know

    [ad_1]

    Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own.

    When you jump into the world of entrepreneurship, it’s easy to get overwhelmed. From learning about marketing and sales to books and payroll, it’s a giant learning curve. Everyone comes in from different backgrounds and experiences they bring into their journey. For those without any financial background, it can be overwhelming to do the administrative aspect without proper resources.

    While it’s always smart to hire a bookkeeper or an accountant to help with the financial aspect of your business, understanding the nuances of finances and taxes is also highly beneficial to ensuring things are done right. Here are three terms all entrepreneurs should know to ensure that their books and finances are in order.

    1. What is your cost basis?
    2. What is commingling?
    3. What is depreciation?

    With these three terms, you’ll understand how to organize your books better and eliminate stress during tax season for yourself as a owner or .

    Related: 8 Financial Tips for Entrepreneurs Launching a Startup

    1. What is your cost basis?

    Your cost basis is an important part of starting your business. Simply put, it’s the amount of capital you’ve deployed to start your business. That number matters down the line as you start to increase your revenue and create profit.

    When starting your business, it often takes a decent amount of capital to purchase equipment, lease office space, pay employees and more. These expenses can seem daunting and even more overwhelming if you had to pay taxes on net revenue generated in the or the first couple of years of business.

    The great part about understanding cost basis is that keeping track of this number helps you during tax time to understand what you owe. Since you’ve already earned the money, and paid it isn’t taxed again. So if you spend $100,000 on getting your business up and running, and you net $300,000, you can repay yourself $100,000 without paying taxes on it.

    Your cost basis is an important number to keep track of to understand the financial health of your business and to ensure you’re not paying more in taxes than is necessary. Make sure you keep track of it and those transactions.

    Related: 5 Finance Tips for First-Time Entrepreneurs

    2. What is commingling?

    Commingling is something we often see when an entrepreneur is moving quickly in building their business and often with side hustles as well. Commingling happens when you are using the same bank account or credit card for both personal and business. Not only can it make things difficult to track expense-wise, but it can also be a flag for an audit.

    In a traditional sense, commingling is the act of combining funds. In investing, it can be beneficial, but in a business, it can lead to all sorts of problems. One of those problems is when you apply for a business loan, it can be hard to clearly define business income vs. other funds and understand your cash flow. Keeping these funds separate will be much easier for you or your bookkeeper to establish what your cash flow is and help you understand what size loan you might be able to qualify for.

    At the end of the day, it’s extremely important for a business owner to understand what commingling is and to avoid it at all costs. Do so by starting a separate business bank account and using a separate credit card for business transactions, even if it’s a personal card that you only use for business purposes, while you build enough revenue to apply for a business card.

    Related: These 6 Finance Skills Will Destroy Entrepreneurs if They Don’t Master Them

    3. What is depreciation?

    Depreciation, or a depreciation expense in business, is the ability to write off a physical asset or fixed expense, such as a car, as it depreciates over time, less the salvage value. Essentially you can write off a fixed asset as an expense if it’s used for business purposes. It’s considered an operating expense. Understanding this will also help you at tax time, so you’re not paying more than what’s truly owed.

    For instance, if you purchase a computer for $3,000 and plan to use it for four years and resell it for $400 at the end of those four years, your yearly depreciation expense would be $650.

    There are multiple ways to calculate depreciation expenses, the one described above is called the straight-line method. Other methods accelerate the depreciation of the asset and allow you to write off more of the expenses earlier on in your life. Talk to a tax advisor to better understand these accelerated methods and why you would use them.

    Understanding these three terms as a beginning entrepreneur will help you set yourself up for success and avoid headaches in the future. Most importantly, consult the proper experts for your accounting, bookkeeping and tax planning needs.

    [ad_2]

    Kale Goodman

    Source link

  • How Shared Equity Can Help Fight the Homeownership Crisis

    How Shared Equity Can Help Fight the Homeownership Crisis

    [ad_1]

    Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own.

    Homeownership, for many people, symbolizes the epitome of success that comes from years of hard work and dedication. Homeownership is an aspirational status even amongst those who would rationalize it isn’t for them when believing it is beyond their grasp.

    When only the most “successful” individuals own their homes, we create a gap of disparity within the overall population. As many of us have seen in the last few years, this gap has grown dramatically and created an ever-widening moat around the fortress of affordability, deterring many families from the prospect of homeownership. It would be a rare individual who wouldn’t want to own a mortgage-free home and never have to make a mortgage payment or monthly rent payment again.

    Related: How to Save the Dying American Dream of Homeownership

    How do we as a society overcome this barrier to ownership?

    When looking for ways to introduce accessible and effective homeownership models, the shared equity housing model (SEH) stands out as a solution. Shared equity housing works because it accelerates the saving of a down payment while still offering affordable monthly payments. Through the SEH model, home buyers can plan a realistic route to ownership that allows them to believe they are contributing to their future . Even if the initial investment is a relatively small amount, it still contributes to the overall equity of the individual.

    The three key components of the shared equity approach are: 1) an affordable monthly savings program, 2) a share in the growth in the equity in the home, which creates pride of ownership that leads to 3) the home being well looked after. Having the home cared for like an owner would reduce annual operating costs for the housing fund by more than the cost of the equity share given up.

    How does shared equity housing work?

    There are several factors that make shared equity housing a financially and socially attractive concept. A few of these concepts are as follows:

    • The home buyer starts with a small deposit or down payment, ideally 1%.

    • The home buyer does not need to qualify for a mortgage upfront.

    • The buyer is matched with a home where the monthly payment is comfortable for their family’s income level.

    • The buyer shares in the equity growth in the home from the price appreciation.

    • The exact % share of the home equity growth is dependent on the deposit size. 20% is a good range because it accelerates the home buyer towards a 20% down payment.

    • The home buyer keeps their share of the equity even if they don’t end up buying the home.

    These factors are all significant in the process, but the share of equity is crucial when it comes to implementing a change in the industry. Most rent-to-own programs that currently exist do not secure the home buyer’s equity and instead require the home buyer to either close on the home purchase or forfeit their equity.

    Related: Accessibility (or Lack Thereof) in Today’s Housing Market

    How can shared equity housing help buyers?

    Due to the ongoing housing crisis, many families are struggling to even consider the prospect of homeownership. Rather than rely on the adaptive measures we see in the market today, shared equity housing could help alleviate the stresses facing homeowners by providing alternative investment opportunities. SEH models offer prospective buyers the realistic potential to achieve a position of ownership position and make strategic steps toward a more traditional purchase.

    SEH allows smaller, more achievable investments that contribute to a healthier society, market and individuals, with buyers eventually building reputable equity. As a result of SEH models, research has found that the number of foreclosed properties drops drastically in markets where SEH is introduced. Shared equity housing benefits home buyers by creating an environment that increases care for the investment. When multiple individuals are invested in the well-being of one unit or housing community, we see increased pride and commitment to savings and even going above and beyond by adding even more value to the home through improvements.

    Not only does this benefit the buyers, but it builds a stronger community as a result. For buyers, the shared equity housing model is a beneficial solution that opens the door to opportunity in an otherwise exclusive market.

    Key takeaways:

    • Shared equity housing accelerates the ability to buy property by removing barriers.

    • The shared equity housing model creates the potential for buyers who are unable to contribute a substantial down payment.

    • The shared equity housing model is affordable and allows incremental investment opportunities.

    • Shared equity housing implies shared interest in a home and increases stewardship.

    • The model promotes community through a shared interest in one investment.

    • Pursuing SEH would allow the reduction of annual operating costs for the housing fund.

    • There is less instability in the housing market with a shared equity investment than when compared to a high loan-to-value mortgage financing approach.

    Related: What Is a Housing Market Recession?

    Many individuals are skeptical of a large institutional system’s ability to change, but it’s been done before. Developers and real estate professionals need to begin examining the future of the industry and the various ways they can create a more sustainable, families-focused housing market. Shared equity housing is one financial solution to an accessible future in housing for all, and it’s time we begin taking those next steps on both an individual and national scale.

    [ad_2]

    Adam Gant

    Source link

  • Everything You Know About Your 401(k) is Wrong. Here’s Why.

    Everything You Know About Your 401(k) is Wrong. Here’s Why.

    [ad_1]

    Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own.

    Retirement savings is crucial for everyone because relying on social security is not enough to sustain yourself through your twilight years, especially considering that without any changes, the current social security system will only be able to pay benefits at 80% in 2035 and beyond. And the sooner you start, the better off you are.

    It’s true that tax-deferred accounts like traditional IRAs, 401(k)s, defined contribution plans and cash balance plans allow you to save a portion of each paycheck, tax-deferred, to live on once you hit retirement age. Still, everything you’ve learned about these types of accounts is wrong. And here’s the scary part — it’s not that the people spreading incorrect information are uninformed. Many of them absolutely do know that what they’re telling investors is wrong, but they continue because they have a financial incentive to do so.

    So in this article, I’m going to break down why what you know about your tax-deferred accounts is wrong and what you can do to ensure your retirement is spent living the life you love rather than struggling to make ends meet.

    Related: A 401(k) is Risky. Here’s a Safer Investment Strategy.

    Tax deferral plans only sound good in theory

    While most tax-deferred accounts may seem like a great thing, they actually come with a lot of severe disadvantages that adversely affect your investment and retirement goals.

    You’ll face higher taxes in the future

    You may get a perceived tax break right now by putting money into your tax-deferred accounts, but all you’re really doing is deferring your taxes. It’s true that this does allow you to accumulate a larger balance due to compounding, but that also means you’ll pay higher taxes when you eventually do begin withdrawing your money.

    As time goes on, there’s always the risk of higher tax rates when you take distributions. This alone should make you reconsider because you could easily end up paying more tax than you would now. In many cases, your tax-deferred compounding may not make up for the higher taxation, especially in the new economy of stagflation and higher interest rates.

    Most people today go through their daily lives with a false sense of security in their financial decisions. That’s both because we’ve all been misinformed by many in the financial industry and because most people have delegated their financial decisions to someone who has a vested interest in them investing in certain financial asset classes.

    It’s only much later in life, near or after retirement, when most people realize that they’ve made the wrong financial decisions, and by then, it’s usually too late.

    Related: Searching for Talent? Consider Setting Up a 401(k) for Your Small Business to Keep Up in the Market.

    Your money is locked until you’re 59.5 years old

    Any money you place into a tax-deferred account is locked until you reach age 59.5. This means that unless you want to pay a hefty penalty to access it earlier, you’re stuck letting Wall Street handle your funds. There’s no ability to access or use the money for a better investment opportunity that may come along.

    With few and limited exceptions, if you leave the workforce before age 59.5, you can’t live off of your investments if they’re all in a tax-deferred account. A will let you withdraw your contributions but not your earnings, providing some flexibility with those funds.

    You learn little to nothing about investing

    When you put your money into these tax-deferred accounts, you’re trusting your financial future to the financial advisors and money managers who have a vested interest in you following the status quo. Essentially, they make their money by getting you to invest in certain financial instruments and have no direct responsibility or liability for actual performance.

    This teaches you nothing about how to make the most of your wealth, how to use your assets to generate cash flow or how to ensure you’re making solid investments. This is, in my opinion, the biggest disadvantage that no one talks about: Abdication of your own financial future.

    If you discover a fund, stock or another investment that you want to buy, but your retirement plan doesn’t offer it — you’re simply out of luck. The limited choices are meant to keep administrative expenses low, but those limitations prevent you from having full control over the growth of your assets.

    Related: 4 Ways to Save for Retirement Without a 401(k)

    Loss of other tax benefits

    Other tax benefits, such as cost segregation, depreciation and long-term capital gain lower tax rates, are void inside these tax-deferred accounts. You also lose the stepped-up basis tax mitigation allowance for assets you wish to pass to heirs, which greatly reduces the ability to create generational wealth.

    Ridiculous fees and costs

    The small company match in your 401(k) isn’t much more than a little bit of extra compensation. If you’re only using a 401(k) for retirement, you’re doing yourself a disservice. They’re full of fees, from plan administration fees to investment fees to service fees and more. And the smaller the company you work for, the higher these fees tend to be.

    Even if your fee is just 0.5%, which is the absolute bottom of the fee range, you’re still paying far more for your 401(k) than you should, and that money could be invested in other places to help fuel your retirement growth. For example, if you’re maxing out your contributions at $19,500 per year, with an additional $3,000 in employer contributions, you’ll pay about $261,000 in fees, which translates to 9.5% of your returns.

    Opting out of a 401(k) retirement plan enables you to take that 9.5% and invest it in other more effective ways that will provide a higher return. But what should you do instead?

    Self-direction and Roth IRA conversion

    Qualified retirement accounts not tied to an employer-based plan may be “self-directed.” This means that you, the account owner, can choose from an unlimited number of investment assets, including alternatives such as real estate. Moving such accounts from your existing custodian to one that allows for full self-direction is easy to do and should be high on consideration for those who want more control over their investments.

    Roth conversions can be a great way to save money on future taxation. You can convert your traditional IRA into a Roth IRA, which means you will pay taxes on the money you convert in the year of conversion, but after conversion, your money will grow tax-free. This is a great way to save money on taxes in the long run since you won’t have to pay taxes on the money you withdraw from your Roth IRA in retirement.

    Don’t forget the J-Curve strategy

    The idea behind the J-Curve is that if a non-cash asset is converted from a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA and it experiences a temporary loss in market value, the tax on the asset conversion can be proportionally lowered based on the reduced asset value at the time of conversion.

    This strategy is available to anyone who’s invested in stocks, bonds, mutual funds and index funds and experienced a market loss. In the alternative space, however, the decreased valuation is based on information known in advance, with a plan based on a future value add to the asset. This means that while you don’t take a realized loss over the long term, you can benefit from a paper loss to reduce your tax exposure in the short term.

    The J-Curve strategy is underutilized, mainly because so few people know about it, but it can save you hundreds of thousands of dollars when properly applied.

    Ignore what you’ve been taught about retirement savings

    If you want to dramatically change the trajectory of your retirement and create generational wealth for your family, I have a simple piece of advice — ignore everything the financial industry has taught you about tax-deferred accounts.

    Take the time to learn about investing, and avoid the traditional tax-deferred accounts like traditional IRAs, 401(k)s, defined contribution plans, and cash balance plans — instead, leverage assets like Roth IRAs and real estate, which are superior in literally every way.

    [ad_2]

    Dr. David Phelps

    Source link

  • Investors: The Worst is Yet to Come

    Investors: The Worst is Yet to Come

    [ad_1]

    Stocks have enjoyed yet another impressive bear market rally with a quick 8% gain from the recent lows. However, as Q3 earnings season unfolds there are more clues that things are getting worse and stocks have not yet touched bottom which is likely closer to 3,000 for the S&P 500 (SPY). Why is that? Read on below for the full story.


    shutterstock.com – StockNews

    The recent bear market rally is not surprising. That is because stocks dropped as far as they should until there is greater proof of the pain that is to come in the economy. In particular, investors need to see more glaring weakness in 2 key areas before pressing lower: corporate earnings and employment.

    Well, here we are in the midst of Q3 earnings season with early results definitely on the weaker side. We will dig into the stats to understand what it tells us about the market outlook and why I remain decidedly bearish.

    All that and more is on the menu for today’s Reitmeister Total Return commentary.

    Market Commentary

    Yes, we are having another bear market rally as stocks have bounced nearly 8% from the recent lows. Any student of past bear markets will see that each had several meaty bounces before the next leg lower.

    Meaning there is no real reason to give this bounce any merit as the beginning of the next bull market. That is because investors cannot accurately call bottom yet as we are still in the midst of things getting worse. Meaning we need to have a better sense of how bad things will truly be in the end. (More on that topic a little bit later in today’s commentary).

    Now I want to dig into the early results from Q3 earnings season to see what it tells us about economic conditions and market outlook. To put things into perspective I want to share with you this morning’s insights from Nick Raich of EarningsScout.com followed by my thoughts:

    • “In total, 170 companies in the S&P 500 have now reported 3Q 2022 results.
    • The overall earnings results are not making us optimistic that the worst will soon be over.
    • We are discouraged S&P 500 (SPY) EPS growth expectations are not coming down more.
    • As we see it, mild estimate cuts reflect too much optimism and will only prolong the negative EPS estimate revision trend.
    • Stay underweight stocks.”

    Please note that Nick and I spent many years together at Zacks Investment Research where we understood that the earnings outlook was the #1 predictor of stock price movements (both the overall market and individual stocks).

    There is no way to look at the reductions in earnings outlook in a positive light. Note that for Q3 and Q4 the earnings growth rate has been cut in half since earlier in the year. Whereas the first half of 2023 earnings outlook is moving more and more towards recessionary levels.

    For as bad as these reductions are, please note that the average recession comes with a 20% decrease in expected earnings. Yet at this stage Q2 of 2023 has only slid to a -1.78% outlook. Directionally the slide into the red is a negative. However, as Nick pointed out “We are discouraged S&P 500 (SPY) EPS growth expectations are not coming down more.”

    Nick is not saying that because he likes bear markets. It is because he knows that you first need to see the worst of the estimate revisions take place. Shortly after that the market usually finds bottom and the next bull market begins.

    The point is that Wall Street analysts continue to be too optimistic about what the future holds. The sooner they appreciate the full extent of the pain on the way…the sooner this market will tumble to its lowest levels…the sooner we can get back to the more joyous topic of the next long term bull market.

    Now let’s transition to the uniquely bad news that sprang from Google’s earnings miss Tuesday night.  And reiterated with Meta’s earnings miss on Wednesday night.

    This is not just about these 2 companies. It’s really about the steps taken on the way to recession.

    Consider this…when corporate executives are fearful of the future economic outlook, the first lever they pull on is to reduce ad spending. That is because if the economy worsens, then the rate of return on that ad spend will be poor.

    Seeing what happened to ad revenue reliant businesses like Google and Meta, it means that step 1 of corporations preparing for recession is taking place.

    After that they start to consider holding off on other key investments in the business, like computer upgrades. We have already heard from enough folks in the corporate technology market like AMD that weakness is starting to take place.

    The next and most painful leg of the downward spiral is employee layoffs. That has not happened yet…but no doubt the key indicator that many investors are watching the closest. Once the employment market rolls negative that momentum will carry for a while because of this vicious cycle process:

    Lower employment > lower income > lower spending > lower profits > lower of cost > lower employment (rinse and repeat til bottom is found).

    Given that on Monday we saw the PMI Composite Flash drop from a bad 49.5 last month to terrible 47.3 this month (below 50 = contraction) is even greater signs of the economic slowdown coming together. Most compelling of that report was the surprising weakness in services which had been holding up fairly well til now. All in all, this report shows more of the recessionary pieces of the puzzle falling into place.

    This is why I remain decidedly bearish as there are more dominos to fall. Typically, you cannot find bottom on the stock market until investors have enough facts in hand to stare down into the abyss of the recession and predict how deep is bottom. From that stage investors can envision the eventual return of economic expansion which begets the dawning of the next bull market.

    Since those facts are not yet in hand…then I call BS on the latest rally as there is no way for investors to feel comfortable enough with the forward looking picture to predict bottom and eagerly await the next economic expansion and bull market.

    I have previously said that bottom is likely in the range of 2800 to 3,200 for this bear market given historical precedents. Hard to pin point more til we truly appreciate the full extent of the recession that is to come.

    However, I thought it would be interesting to come at this from the earnings perspective. Typically forward looking earnings will decline 20% during a recession. From a peak of $240 for the S&P 500 (SPY) that EPS outlook would be trimmed 20% down to $192.

    Now consider that the PE for the market usually ends under the long term 15.5 historical average PE as the bear claws its way to bottom. So 15.5 PE x $192 estimated earnings = 2,976 for S&P 500. That is right in the middle of the aforementioned range that I have been predicting.

    Putting it altogether, we are in the midst of another bear market rally before the next leg lower. Thus, the word to the wise is to align your portfolio for much more downside to come.

    What To Do Next?

    Discover my special portfolio with 9 simple trades to help you generate gains as the market descends further into bear market territory.

    This plan has been working wonders since it went into place mid August generating a robust gain for investors as the S&P 500 (SPY) tanked.

    If you have been successful navigating the investment waters in 2022, then please feel free to ignore.

    However, if the bearish argument shared above does make you curious as to what happens next…then do consider getting my updated “Bear Market Game Plan” that includes specifics on the 9 unique positions in my timely and profitable portfolio.

    Click Here to Learn More >

    Wishing you a world of investment success!

    Steve Reitmeister…but everyone calls me Reity (pronounced “Righty”)
    CEO, Stock News Network and Editor, Reitmeister Total Return


    SPY shares rose $0.89 (+0.23%) in after-hours trading Wednesday. Year-to-date, SPY has declined -18.64%, versus a % rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.


    About the Author: Steve Reitmeister

    Steve is better known to the StockNews audience as “Reity”. Not only is he the CEO of the firm, but he also shares his 40 years of investment experience in the Reitmeister Total Return portfolio. Learn more about Reity’s background, along with links to his most recent articles and stock picks.

    More…

    The post Investors: The Worst is Yet to Come appeared first on StockNews.com

    [ad_2]

    Steve Reitmeister

    Source link

  • Strong Fundamentals Make Bristol Myers Squibb Stock a Real Value

    Strong Fundamentals Make Bristol Myers Squibb Stock a Real Value

    [ad_1]

    Bristol Myers Squibb Company (NYSE: BMY) posted a small gain after an earnings report; the company beat its top and bottom lines. The pharmaceutical company delivered earnings per share (EPS) of $1.99 on revenue of $11.22 billion. That was better than the analyst forecast for $1.83 EPS on revenue of $11.18 billion. 


    MarketBeat.com – MarketBeat

    The results were lower when compared to the same quarter in the prior year but both were narrow losses. Earnings per share (EPS) was off by a penny and revenue was down 3%.  

    Growth investors may feel disappointment with the company’s results. However, Bristol Myers Squibb has still posted strong results that establish it as an attractive value stock, even if it may not be as undervalued as it once appeared. 

    BMY Stock Remains a Strong Fundamental Choice 

    Bristol Myers Squibb has a profit margin of over 14%, which is better than 86% of the companies in its sector. Additionally, the company’s return on assets is 6.59%, better than 91% of the industry.  

    The company continues to post a double-digit free cash flow (FCF) yield. Some of that FCF goes toward its dividend, which the company has increased in each of the last 12 years. These numbers take on added significance when you consider that the company expects to post single-digit growth in both revenue and earnings over the next five years.  

    The Pipeline Keeps Flowing 

    In the last year, Bristol Myers Squibb has launched three new drugs. Each should deliver over $4 billion in non-risk adjusted sales by 2029. The company also expects to receive four more approvals by the end of 2023. The company also has a robust pipeline that includes at least 50 candidates.  

    What’s the significance for investors?
    Companies such as Bristol-Myers Squibb only enjoy patent protection for a limited time, which was on display in this earnings report. The company said that sales of Revlimid, its blockbuster cancer drug, were impacted by generic competition. Revlimid was one of three drugs, including Eliquis and Opdivo, that combine for approximately 66% of the company’s quarterly revenue. Opdivo just received encouraging results in a clinical trial that could expand its use in treating melanoma at earlier stages. 

    The company did reaffirm its guidance for annual sales for Revlimid, for sales between $9 and $9.5 billion. Chief financial officer David Elkins told Reuters he expects the actual number to come in at the upper end of that range.  

    A Safe Port for Volatile Times 

    BMY stock has gone up 23% in the last five years. However, it’s clear that the bulk of that gain has come in 2022. This is probably due to investors fleeing to safety. In that regard, Bristol-Myers Squibb delivers consistent, profitable revenue. Plus, the company delivers a dividend that pays out $2.12 on an annual basis and has a yield just under 3%.  

    BMY stock recently has bounced above its 10-, 20- and 50-day moving averages. However, the recent market rally has started to stir the animal spirits in the market. If that’s the case, then growth investors may start to look at risk-on assets. That may create an opportunity for value investors who should look at every dip as an opportunity to buy shares of this still-undervalued stock.  

    [ad_2]

    Chris Markoch

    Source link

  • General Electric May be a Buy in the Right Portfolio

    General Electric May be a Buy in the Right Portfolio

    [ad_1]

    Writing about a stock on the day it posts earnings can sometimes cause you to walk some statements back. But that’s not the case as I look at General Electric (NYSE:GE). If I had written about the company on October 25, the day it posted a solid, but not spectacular earnings report, my thought would have been the same. I think the stock may be a buy, but only in the right portfolio.  


    MarketBeat.com – MarketBeat

    The difference is that investors appear to be viewing the stock much differently. On the day of the earnings report, GE stock didn’t really do a whole lot. But the day after is a different story. GE stock is up nearly 5%. Some of that may be due to the overall bullish sentiment that seems to be gaining steam.  

    It also may be that investors are becoming more familiar with what the earnings report shows for the industrial conglomerate. Yesterday, the news was about the company’s losses in its renewable energy business, specifically wind turbines.  

    Earnings Dropped Sharply 

    So what did the earnings report reveal? The headline numbers showed top-line revenue of $19.08 billion. That was better than analysts’ forecast. It was also better than the prior quarter and the same quarter in the prior year. Unfortunately, the same can’t be said of earnings. The 35 cents per share was below the consensus estimate as well as the prior quarter and the prior year’s quarter.  

    This may be a case, however, of a company preparing investors for the worst and then coming in better than expected. General Electric had warned that supply chain problems would influence earnings. However, the company announced a $1.3 billion restructuring plan in its renewable segment. And chief executive officer, Larry Culp, told analysts he still expects the company’s high-growth offshore wind business to be profitable by the middle of this decade. 

    Growth in Services  

    But the company did post growth in its Aerospace division. And a significant amount of this growth came form Services. Revenue in this area was up 33% from the prior quarter. Since this business tends to have higher margins and is more sticky, investors are rethinking their outlook for the stock. 

    Analysts seem to be as well. After sentiment on GE stock soured over the summer, the initial response to the earnings report is favorable. Three analysts have increased their price target on the stock. And the one that lowered its target still forecasts an upside of over 15% from the stock’s $76.25 price as of this writing.  

    A Split for the Better 

    One of Culp’s missions since taking the helm of GE was to streamline the business. Initially, this meant shrinking the company’s finance unit. And starting in 2023, the company will see its three current business units be separated into three individual companies. GE Healthcare is on track to be the first of the spin-offs with the move expected to happen early next year.  

    The bullish narrative is a reverse “sum of its parts” argument. The thinking is that each individual company may receive a higher valuation from analysts. This will be because each company should be nimbler than they are as part of a conglomerate. This means that investors could exchange their GE shares for shares of the new companies and have the chance for better returns. 

    The Right Stock for the Right Portfolio 

    The idea is that you can buy GE stock today for a lower valuation than the three individual companies would have combined. But the larger question for me is where it would fit into a portfolio.  

    It hasn’t been an income story for a long time. And it’s unclear whether any of the new companies will be in a financial position to consider offering dividends. And as a growth story, it seems there may be other stocks that you can look at in the Industrials space that has a cleaner balance sheet. 

    And the spin-offs are taking place at a time when the economy is in a recession and investors are still avoiding risk-on assets. That’s a lot of unknowns for me. But that’s why I say, in the right portfolio, GE may be a good fit. 

    [ad_2]

    Chris Markoch

    Source link

  • Adidas Drops Kanye West Over Antisemetic Remarks

    Adidas Drops Kanye West Over Antisemetic Remarks

    [ad_1]

    Adidas ended its partnership with rapper Kanye West over his offensive and antisemitic remarks, the latest company to cut ties with Ye and a decision that the German sportwear company said would hit its bottom line. What do you think?

    “At least give him a chance to double down!”

    Mindy Perovic, Family Attorney

    “They’ll always have the memories of making some very ugly products together.”

    John Amato, Systems Analyst

    “Now I can buy their child labor products without guilt.”

    Keith Gilfoyle, Unemployed

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Solar-Industry Small Cap Array Set For Big EPS Growth In 2023

    Solar-Industry Small Cap Array Set For Big EPS Growth In 2023

    [ad_1]

    Any time an industry is home to top-performing stocks, there’s always opportunity among companies that operate in industries related to the industry’s big names. Array Technologies (NASDAQ: ARRY) makes the ground-mounting systems used in solar energy installations. 


    MarketBeat.com – MarketBeat

    Sure, solar companies like large-cap Enphase (NASDAQ: ENPH) and mid-cap First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR) get more attention than Array, which has a market cap of just $2.4 billion.

    Within the solar energy sub-industry, those are the only two U.S.-listed companies outperforming Array at the moment, and only by slim margins. 

    Array has posted a gain of 30.96% in the past three months, far surpassing the most appropriate benchmark, the S&P 600 small-cap index, tracked by ETFs such as the SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SPSM)

    That index has dropped 20.95% year to-date. In contrast, Array is up 2.17% in 2022. That’s not so much to cheer about, but the not-so-distant future for Array could potentially bring more gains, if analysts are correct and if tax incentives deliver the punch that’s expected. 

    Array qualifies as a newly public company, having made its public-markets debut exactly two years ago, in October 2020. That’s an encouraging sign, as companies often post some of their biggest price gains within the first several years of going public.

    Like other companies in the solar industry, Array is well positioned to get a boost from sales due to the Inflation Reduction Act, which includes incentives for adding solar panels to businesses and residences. 

    Albuquerque, New Mexico-based Array doesn’t make panels, but instead focuses on mechanical gear that helps maximize the panels’ performance. 

    Gear Helps Panels Generate More Power 

    Array is among the biggest makers of gear called trackers, which align solar panels to capture the best angle toward the sun. This adjustment allows the panels to generate as much as 25% more power than more conventional mounting gear. 

    According to the company’s IPO filing, trackers also deliver a 22% lower levelized cost of energy than “fixed tilt” mounting systems. Trackers cost less than ground-mounted solar projects. The company also said that about “70% of all ground-mounted solar energy projects constructed in the U.S. during 2019 utilized trackers,” according to its sources.  

    Other publicly listed companies that make trackers include two small companies, Beam Global (NASDAQ: BEEM), which has a market cap of just $121 million and FTC Solar (NASDAQ: FTCI), which checks in at $205 million. 

    Neither of those companies is profitable, although FTC is expected to book net income of $0.26 per share next year, and Beam has been growing revenue at a fast clip in recent quarters.

    Analysts See 2022 Earnings Growth

    Array has been profitable since 2019, but has an uneven history of earnings growth. Earnings dropped sharply in 2021, but Wall Street sees that trend reversing this year, expecting $0.31 per share for the full year, an increase of 31%. In 2023, analysts see earnings rising another 206%, to $0.95 per share. 

    According to MarketBeat earnings data for Array, the company has an uneven history when it comes to meeting or missing net income and revenue views. However, it beat both top- and bottom-line views in the past two quarters. 

    While a company’s earnings history matters, and can have some predictive value, the new tax incentives as part of the recently passed climate bill could be a game changer for Array and other solar companies. 

    Toward that end, analysts have a “moderate buy” rating on the stock and a price target of $22.38, a potential upside of 39.64%. 

    Array’s chart shows a correction that began in August, as the stock pulled back from a high of $24. Shares closed Tuesday at $16.03, up $0.89, or 5.88%. But a gap-up in late July, followed by another on August 10 still combine to create that three-month gain.

    When the company reports its third quarter on November 8, after the bell, Wall Street expects earnings of $0.10 per share on revenue of $397.18 million. Both would be significant year-over-year increases. 

    [ad_2]

    Kate Stalter

    Source link

  • Why Comerica is a Financial Stock to Bank On

    Why Comerica is a Financial Stock to Bank On

    [ad_1]

    If stocks were Olympic athletes, Comerica Incorporated (NYSE: CMA) would represent Team USA in the sport of banking. Approximately every four years, the Dallas-based regional bank seems to make a nice run and then regroups for the next heat. 


    MarketBeat.com – MarketBeat

    Its arch nemesis isn’t J.P. Morgan or Charles Schwab, but it is named Benjamin Franklin. Not the mutual fund company — the hundred dollar bill. 

    Twice the stock made a run to the $100 level only to be stymied by selling pressure. In 2018, the prospect of falling interest rates was the culprit. This year’s slide from $102 to $65 coincides with a rising rate environment. What gives?

    Even with the potential for higher net interest income, regional bank stocks have been hampered by macro concerns. A slowdown in economic activity generally means a slowdown in lending activity. Higher mortgage rates have hurt as well. So we have a tug-of-war going on. 

    With the S&P Regional Banking index stabilizing recently, the group could be gearing up for a rebound rally. After posting record Q3 results, Comerica appears to be at an inflection point. It is fundamentally undervalued and technically oversold, a good combination for outperformance—and a possible third attempt at clearing the $100 hurdle.

    What Does Comerica Do?

    Comerica has been around since the horse and buggy era. Its roots trace back to 1849 when it served a thriving Lake Erie community of shipyards and sawmills as Detroit Savings Fund Institute. Over 170 years later, it operates 430 branches across Michigan, Arizona, Florida, California and its new home state of Texas.

    The company’s resilience alone makes it an attractive long-term investment. Neither the Great Depression nor the Great Recession could put the company out of business, not to mention a couple of World Wars. Its recent struggles to overcome $100 aside, this is a company that is built for the long haul and one that has split multiple times.

    Today, Comerica is split into three segments — Retail Banking, Commercial Banking and Wealth Management. Together they offer a full range of traditional savings accounts, checking accounts, loans and investments to U.S. consumers and businesses. True to its history, the commercial side of the business accounts for the majority of profits — 82% in the most recent period.

    How is Comerica Performing This Year?

    Since Comerica relies heavily on business lending activity, it has experienced a revival in the post-pandemic economy. Last year earnings per share surged 155%, creating a new base from which to grow. 

    With three quarters in the books this year, Comerica is reaping the benefits of higher interest rates and an expanding loan book that is defying worries of reduced lending activity. 

    Last week, the company notched its best-ever third-quarter performance highlighted by 37% EPS growth. This had much to do with the all-important net interest margin (NIM) expanding from 2.23% in the prior year quarter to 3.50%. But it coincided with a $3 billion increase in the loan balance that showed American businesses are still taking on growth projects despite mounting recessionary fears.

    Comerica’s revenue rose sequentially for the second straight quarter in Q3 and the $2.60 in EPS was an all-time high. Full-year earnings are expected to be up only slightly from last year’s $8.35 but the Street sees EPS growing well beyond 2021 levels next year thanks to higher rates and a high credit quality loan book that limits bad debt.

    What are Comerica’s Growth Prospects?

    With the Fed poised to march ahead with its rate hiking mission, Comerica should continue to derive growth from a higher NIM and healthy loan growth. The consensus forecast for 2023 EPS implies 19% growth over this year and a 6.5x forward P/E ratio. This is a small price to pay for a regional bank with increasing rates and loan activity in its favor.

    Comerica shares have been unfairly dragged lower with industry peers primarily because of less appealing mortgage rates and recession fears. Investors need to be less concerned about these factors since Comerica: 1) is a commercial-led bank with limited retail mortgage exposure, 2) has a strong presence in Texas where oil-related businesses are booming and in need of capital to fund growth initiatives and 3) has shown an ability to grow its loan book in the face of an economic slowdown.

    Aside from having a below-peer P/E ratio, Comerica screams value on account of its shareholder-friendly track record. Despite the Covid setback, the bank has increased its dividend in each of the last 11 years — and has ample room for further dividend growth given the low 27% payout ratio. The forward yield of 4.2% is comfortably ahead of the 3.2% financial sector average. 

    Chart watchers will also note that Comerica has slipped outside the lower Bollinger Band. It has historically bounced off this lower range, and Friday’s high volume recovery suggests bargain hunters are starting to sniff out the stock. 

    Look for Comerica to trend higher after a record quarter in a weakened economy. It could eventually rise to the podium as a big 2023 winner.

    [ad_2]

    MarketBeat Staff

    Source link

  • Unity Software is the Other Video Game Engine To Watch

    Unity Software is the Other Video Game Engine To Watch

    [ad_1]

    Video game engine creator Unity Software (NYSE: U) stock has joined Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker Xpeng (NASDAQ: XPENG) and artificial intelligence (AI) powered lending platform Upstart Holdings (NASDAQ: UPST) in the 80% club. These are stocks that have fallen (-80%) or more from their highs. The Company provides an interactive real-time 3D content platform for developers to design, create, operate, and monetize 2D and 3D content. Nearly half of all the world’s video games including those produced by major publishers Electronic Arts (NYSE: EA) and Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) are created with the Unity 3D engine. It competes with privately owned Unreal Engine. Outside of gaming, the Unity engine is used by a wide assortment of creators from architects, filmmakers and automotive designers including Mercedes Benz (OTCMKTS: MBGYY). Next-gen consoles like Sony PlayStation 5 (NYSE: SNE) and Microsoft Xbox One (NASDAQ: MSFT) are utilizing ever more complex 3D content to push gaming to new levels. 


    MarketBeat.com – MarketBeat

    AppLovin Merger Proposal Shot Down

    On Aug. 15, 2022, Unity reject a $20 billion all stock merger proposal from AppLovin (NYSE: APP) for around $58.85 per share. The Board of Directors determined that a merger with AppLovin would not be superior to its acquisition of ironSource software, an app monetization technology platform. It decided to move forward with the acquisition of ironSource for $4.4 billion to close in Q4 2022 in the best interest of its shareholders. This started the downward spiral from a high of $58.63 to a 10-week sell-off to a lows of $27.60 on Oct. 21, 2022. However, the decision was lauded by Needham’s analyst Bernie McTernan who commented, “This positioning will be further bolsters should Unity close the proposed ironSource acquisition, with Create and SuperSonic acting as the vital on-ramps for creators to then use Unity’s monetization tools, with ironSource filling in the final holes in the create of an end-to-end platform.” The acquisition prepares Unity to accommodate diversified demand for content creation while hedging itself against lower consumer spending and tougher competition in the monetization industry.

    Roblox Reversal of Fortune

    Just as it seemed the video gaming segment was falling off a cliff with various warnings including GPU maker Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), Roblox (NASDAQ: RBLX) reported much improved September 2022 metrics that shot its shares up 18%. Its daily average users (DAU) rose 23% to 57.8 million. Total hours engaged rose 16% YoY to four billion. Estimated bookings rose 11%  were between $212 million to $219 million. Estimated average bookings per daily active user were between $3.67 to $3.79. Estimated revenues were between $171 million to $180 million. Foreign currency fluctuations led to a reduction of (-6%) in YoY growth rate in September bookings.

    Setting the Bar Lower

    On Aug. 9, 2022, Unity released its fiscal second-quarter 2021 results for the quarter ending June 2022. The Company reported an earnings-per-share (EPS) loss of (-$0.18) beating analyst estimates for (-$0.21), by $0.03. Revenues grew 8.6% year-over-year (YoY) to $297 million missing $299.05 million consensus analyst estimates. The Company grew its $100,000 clients to 1,085 from 888 in the same year-ago period. Unity partnered with Microsoft select Azure as its cloud partner build real-time 3D experienced from the Unity engine. Unity CFO Luis Visoso commented, “In Create we have momentum with customers in and outside of Games. Our Business outside of Games is growing even faster and now represents 40% of our total Create Solutions revenue, up from 25% in 2021.”

    Lowering the Bar

    Unity issued downside guidance for its Q3 2022 revenues to come in between $315 million to $335 million versus $346.25 million consensus analyst estimates with non-GAAP operating margin between (-10%) to (-16%). For full-year 2022, Unity expects revenues to range from $1.30 billion to $1.35 billion versus $1.36 billion consensus analyst estimates.

    Unity Software is the Other Video Game Engine To Watch

     

    [ad_2]

    Jea Yu

    Source link

  • Why Gold Isn’t the Ideal Hedge Against Inflation in 2022

    Why Gold Isn’t the Ideal Hedge Against Inflation in 2022

    [ad_1]

    Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own.

    has long been regarded as one of the most effective investments for protecting one’s wealth from various possible adverse financial effects. A plummeting stock market and an increase in inflation are two examples of these hazards. Currently, inflation is at extremely high levels, yet gold prices have not been doing particularly well. In terms of the U.S. dollar, it has decreased by over 10% so far this year, which contradicts the overarching perception of gold as an inflation hedge.

    Uncovering the appeal of gold as a traditional inflation hedge

    To reduce their risk exposure, traders and investors in the financial markets often use a strategy known as hedging. In most cases, this is accomplished by creating an opposite position in the market to compensate for any loss that may have been made in their primary position. Hedging may be thought of in a straightforward manner by comparing it to purchasing an insurance policy. When we speak about hedging against inflation, we are referring to the process of preserving your capital from the depreciating effects of inflation. Therefore, to hedge against inflation, investors want assets that are unaffected by growing inflation.

    Gold has always been seen as a hedge against inflation throughout time. As a result, it is the asset of choice for investors who want to ensure that their money will continue to have the same buying power in the future while minimizing the amount of risk they are exposed to. When there is an uptick in inflation that is being kept under control, central banks will not necessarily vote to raise their key interest rates automatically. This indicates that the real interest rates, calculated by subtracting the nominal interest rate from the inflation rate, will be negative for assets such as government bonds.

    When interest rates are at historically low levels, gold’s ability to shift in the opposite way of real interest rates makes it an efficient hedge against inflation. Because of this, investors can protect the value of their funds from experiencing a significant decline.

    Related: Gold Stocks That Might Be Worth A Look As Inflation Continues To Run Hot

    Gold’s decline over 2022

    In March 2022, as a direct consequence of the conflict between and , the price of gold reached an all-time high of more than $2,000 per ounce. Although inflation has reached record highs, gold prices have been falling for the last few months.

    As interest rates continue to climb, some investors are considering selling gold, which does not pay interest, to purchase assets that do pay interest. Temptations come in the form of greater returns, which are now accessible in bonds, property or even shares of stock. Other temptations come in the form of higher interest rates on cash.

    Gold’s position in comparison to other asset classes — such as stocks, currencies and bonds — has recently seen significant shifts due to these developments. All asset classes function independently of one another for various reasons, including changes in how the economy operates, modifications to monetary and fiscal policy and many other factors. Because each of these asset classes experiences a different price action dependent on a variety of factors, including supply and demand, the prevailing interest rate regime, inflation, gross domestic product and other factors, investors should view each of these asset classes as having equal importance.

    Nowadays, the reputation of gold as a trustworthy hedge against inflation is in jeopardy as investors go to other parts of the market in which they might seek refuge from increasing costs.

    Related: Here’s How Inflation Might Impact Your Portfolio

    Why isn’t gold performing better?

    Some analysts consider that gold is a good method to protect oneself against inflation before it occurs. However, the situation changes drastically whenever there is significant price inflation — assuming that the Fed successfully brings inflation under control. Once inflation has reached a high level, it is essentially too late to “hedge” against the inflation that has already occurred, and the gold prices often suffer when the dollar is stronger as well. The price of bullion is expressed in terms of the U.S. dollar, and a strong dollar has the effect of dampening excitement.

    “Gold seems to protect purchasing power over a long period — say, 100-plus years — but provides very little protection against inflation in the short term,” according to Kevin Lum, a CFP and founder of Foundry Financial.

    [ad_2]

    Ron Bauer

    Source link

  • Can American Airlines Stock Maintain Altitude?

    Can American Airlines Stock Maintain Altitude?

    [ad_1]

    Major airline carrier American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL) has returned to profitability with record third-quarter revenues surpassing 2019 pre-pandemic levels. The whole airline industry has been recovering as evidenced by the earnings releases from Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL), Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV), and United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAL). It’s also reflected in the surging demand for Boeing (NYSE: BA) airplanes. Incidentally, American Airlines has no MAX 7 or MAX 10 aircraft on order, which isolates it from any regulatory changes. American Airlines stands out as its flight schedule was more than 25% larger than its nearest competitor as measured by total departures. The metrics were impressive for the nation’s largest airline network averaging over 5,100 daily departures. It’s regional partners surpassed over half a million flights with an average load factor of 85.3%. Demand remains “very strong” for both domestic and short-haul international travel. Long-haul travel is expected to improve as travel restrictions get lifted around the world. The strong U.S. dollar is also making it very attractive for Americans looking to travel overseas despite inflationary pressures. Falling oil prices have also helped to bolster margins.


    MarketBeat.com – MarketBeat

    Hybrid Work Pumping Demand

    The Company has noted that the new pandemic spawned the normal of hybrid and remote work has resulted in a permanent lift in travel demand. Consumers are not restrained to travel by money but by time. Hybrid work has enabled consumers to combine both leisure travel with work since they aren’t restricted to an office. They are taking more short-haul excursions turning weekends into mini holidays which still getting work done. It also doesn’t hurt to be able to write off a piece of the leisure travel as a business expense. While capacity hasn’t returned to pre-pandemic levels, higher pricing is helping to offset this lacking metric.

    Robust Rebound

    On Oct. 22, 2022, American Airlines released its fiscal third-quarter 2022 results for the quarter ending September 2022. The Company reported an earnings-per-share (EPS) profit of $0.69 excluding non-recurring items versus consensus analyst estimates for a profit of $0.56, a $0.13 beat. Revenues grew 50.1% year-over-year (YoY) to $13.46 billion meeting analyst estimates. This reflects the post-pandemic off-the-chart demand generating all-time highs in the summer months. The Company plans to pay down $15 million of total debt by the end of 2025. American Airlines CEO Robert Isom commented, “The American Airlines team continues to deliver on our goals of running a reliable operation and returning to profitability. Demand remains strong, and it’s clear that customers in the U.S. and other parts of the world continue to value air travel and the ability to reconnect post-pandemic. American has the youngest, most fuel-efficient fleet among U.S. network carriers, and we are well-positioned for the future because of the incredible efforts of our team.”

    Good Times Ahead

    American Airlines expects fiscal Q4 2022 EPS to come in between $0.50 to $0.70 versus $0.27 consensus analyst estimates. The Company expects Q4 2022 revenues to rise 11% to 13% over 2019 to $12.56 billion to $12.78 billion beating consensus analyst estimates of $12.61 billion.

    Recent News and Events

    On Feb. 24, 2022, Russian forces invaded Ukraine and prompted many events impacting United Airlines and the airline industry. On Feb. 28, 2022, the European Union (EU) announced that airspace will be closed to every Russian plane including private planes. Crude oil prices surged to 13-year highs above $130 per barrel in March impacting fuel prices. On March 1, 2022, The U.S. government banned Russian flights from American airspace following up on actions

    Can American Airlines Stock Maintain Altitude?

    Here’s What the Charts Say

    Using the rifle charts on the weekly and daily time frames provides a precise view of the playing field for AAL stock. The weekly rifle chart downtrend bottomed out at the $11.68 Fibonacci (fib) level. The weekly rifle chart breakdown has stalled as the weekly 5-period moving average (MA) went flat at $12.65 followed by the falling weekly 15-period MA at $13.60. Shares spiked on earnings to enable the weekly stochastic to attempt to bounce off the 20-band. The weekly 50-period MA overlaps the weekly upper BBs at $15.87 and weekly lower BBs are rising at $11.39. The weekly market structure low (MSL) buy triggered on a breakout above $13.29. The daily rifle chart uptrend is starting to stall as the daily 5-period MA slows at $13.61 and daily 50-period MA at $13.45. The daily 15-period MA is still rising at $12.93 support. The daily stochastic peaked and held above the 80-band temporarily as it decides to either cross back up or form a mini inverse pup plunge back under the 80-band. Attractive pullback levels sit at the $12.74, $12.48 fib, $11.93, $11.68 fib, $11.22, and $10.87 fib level.   

    [ad_2]

    Jea Yu

    Source link

  • Jifiti Launches B2B BNPL Functionality, Augmenting Its Robust White-Labeled BNPL Platform

    Jifiti Launches B2B BNPL Functionality, Augmenting Its Robust White-Labeled BNPL Platform

    [ad_1]

    Banks, lenders and merchants can now provide BNPL financing to business customers, in addition to consumers, through one platform.

    Press Release


    Oct 24, 2022

    Jifiti, a leading fintech company, announced today the launch of its business-to-business (B2B) BNPL solution. Any bank, lender and merchant that caters to business customers can now offer BNPL in their own brand, embedded directly into the user journey, without a middleman. 

    With the addition of B2B financing, Jifiti now facilitates every Buy Now Pay Later option for leading banks, lenders and merchants globally, online and in-store, through a single platform. Merchants that would like to offer B2B-embedded financing can connect to Jifiti’s platform via e-commerce plugins, a simple API integration or use Jifiti’s zero-integration virtual card technology. 

    Jifiti is rolling out its B2B solution to multiple partners across international markets, including top retail brands and financial institutions. Merchants can now support their business customers easily and seamlessly, offering them more payment options that were not previously available to them. Business buyers require specialized BNPL solutions as the purchasing amounts are higher, approvals are more complex and they require different loan terms than consumers. 

    Jifiti’s modular platform supports every BNPL option, including split payments, installment loans, lines of credit and now B2B loans. As the platform is white-labeled, the financial institution and merchant retain full customer and data ownership and are able to build brand loyalty. 

    “The B2B market was the next logical step in our journey at Jifiti. We aim to give every customer the financing that best suits their needs. Now, we can help our bank and merchant partners extend that same level of customization to their business customers through specialized B2B-embedded finance,” stated Yaacov Martin, CEO and Co-Founder of Jifiti.

    About Jifiti

    Jifiti is a leading fintech company that powers point-of-sale financing for banks, lenders and merchants. The company’s white-labeled Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) platform provides banks and lenders with state-of-the-art technology to easily deploy and scale their competitive consumer loan programs at any merchant’s point of sale – online, in-store and via call center. 

    With its multinational presence, Jifiti provides end-to-end point-of-sale financing solutions to global brands in any international market. Jifiti works with leading financial institutions including Mastercard, Citizens Bank, CaixaBank, Credit Agricole, and retailers such as IKEA, Walmart and others worldwide. 

    Source: Jifiti

    [ad_2]

    Source link