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Tag: Federal Reserve

  • Jay Powell, the Prepster Banker Who Is Standing Up to Trump

    This statement, which the central bank posted on its website, amounted to an unprecedented repudiation of a President by a sitting Fed chair. It caused a political eruption—and not just among Democrats. For once, some elected Republicans spoke up. Remarking that the subpoenas had thrown into doubt the “independence and credibility of the Department of Justice,” Senator Thom Tillis, who sits on the Senate Banking Committee, vowed to block any new nominations to the Fed, including a potential replacement for Powell, whose term as chair ends in May. Senator Lisa Murkowski, the Alaska Republican, publicly backed Tillis’s stance and suggested that Congress should investigate the Justice Department. Even John Thune, the Majority Leader in the upper chamber, voiced disquiet, saying that the allegations against Powell had “better be real.”

    It soon emerged that Trump’s Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, also had reservations, if not for the same reasons. After learning of the subpoenas on Friday evening, Bessent reportedly called Trump and told him that they would create difficulties in Congress—an accurate prediction, it turned out—and could also make it more likely that Powell would decide to stay on after May as an ordinary member of the Fed board, an option he can exercise because his term as a regular governor doesn’t expire until January, 2028. If Powell did remain on the board, it would deny Trump the opportunity to appoint another governor more amenable to his wishes.

    Not for nothing did the conservative editorial board of the Wall Street Journal describe the criminal investigation of Powell as “lawfare for dummies.” Trump insisted that he didn’t know anything about the subpoenas. So did Bill Pulte, the Florida housebuilder who now serves as the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, and who was a key instigator of the trumped-up mortgage-fraud charges against another Fed governor, Lisa Cook, which Trump used to issue an order firing her. (The Supreme Court is due to hear that case next week.) The denials from Trump and Pulte would perhaps be a bit more believable absent a Washington Post report that the two of them recently dined at Mar-a-Lago and that Pulte brought along with him a mocked-up “Wanted” poster featuring an image of Powell. (In a post on X, Pulte denied that the meeting happened.)

    Pirro seems to have been assigned the role of fall gal. Someone, presumably at the Justice Department, let it be known that Pirro hadn’t informed the higher-ups there before issuing the subpoenas. An unnamed Administration official told Axios that Pirro “went rogue.” This, even though she’s known Trump for decades and surely took her cues from his attacks on Powell. Just last week, Trump criticized a group of U.S. Attorneys at the White House for not moving fast enough in prosecuting his favored targets, the Journal reported. Pirro, for her part, blamed the victim, claiming that the Fed hadn’t replied to her office’s requests for information. “None of this would have happened if they had just responded to our outreach,” she said.

    A likely story. As President, Trump is free to criticize the Fed’s interest-rate policies—counterproductive as such a step usually proves—and even to argue that the Administration should have more say in the central bank’s policy deliberations, as it did before the Treasury-Fed Accord of 1951, which separated debt management (the Treasury’s preserve) from monetary policy (the Fed’s bailiwick). But the Fed is an independent agency that operates under the oversight of Congress and the gaze of the financial markets. To change how it works and impose his will, Trump would need the acquiescence of both, which he surely wouldn’t get, and for good reason. The criminal inquiry into Powell smacked of “how monetary policy is made in emerging markets with weak institutions, with highly negative consequences for inflation and the functioning of their economies more broadly,” a bipartisan group of former Fed chairs and White House economic advisers pointed out in a statement this week. To put it another way, would you trust Trump to set interest rates?

    The authoritarian aspect is glaring. In using cost overruns as a pretext for going after Powell criminally, the Trump Administration demonstrated, yet again, its contempt for the institutions of governance and the legal system. Powell deserves credit for fighting back. On receiving the subpoenas last week, he could theoretically have responded with a bland statement that the Fed would coöperate with any legitimate inquiry, and, meanwhile, get on with its work. With his job up in a few months, that would have amounted to keeping his head down again and relying on the courts to strike down any indictment that might come in the future. Instead, he took the advice that he issued to the Princeton class of 2025 in a baccalaureate address last May: “Throw yourself into the deep end of the pool. . . . Take risks.”

    The seventy-two-year-old Fed chair put to shame the heads of law firms, universities, and public companies who have caved to the White House. He also demonstrated that, at least in the economic arena, there are still some institutional constraints that Trump cannot sweep aside, or not easily. Tragically, these guardrails are being trampled underfoot in other areas, including the streets of some American cities, where Trump’s immigration police are running amok. Compared with that outrage, a U.S. Attorney issuing subpoenas to the Fed may seem like a matter of minor import, but it’s part of the same larger phenomenon: Presidential abuse of power. And, in his own way, Jay Powell is standing up to it. ♦

    John Cassidy

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  • Trump: Jerome Powell has

    President Trump blasted Jerome Powell as a “lousy” Federal Reserve chair for failing to more aggressively lower interest rates, while also taking him to task for an ongoing construction project at the central bank. 

    “He’s been a lousy Fed chairman,” Mr. Trump told “CBS Evening News” anchor Tony Dokoupil in an exclusive network interview Tuesday in Dearborn, Michigan. “He was reappointed by Biden. I was a little surprised at that, because I didn’t think he really earned his stripes.”

    Mr. Trump’s latest remarks follow the Department of Justice serving the Fed with grand jury subpoenas last week in connection with a criminal investigation into Powell over the renovation of Federal Reserve office buildings.

    The costs of renovating the Fed’s Washington headquarters and a neighboring building have swelled to $2.5 billion, from a previous estimate of $1.9 billion. Mr. Trump said in the interview that he “could have fixed them up for $25 million” and said Powell is “either corrupt or incompetent.”

    The White House has denied directing federal prosecutors to investigate Powell, and Mr. Trump on Tuesday brushed off a question about whether the Justice Department probe amounts to political retribution.

    “I can’t help what it looks like,” Mr. Trump told Dokoupil.

    Powell on Sunday attributed the Justice Department investigation to Fed officials resisting pressure from Mr. Trump to lower its benchmark interest rate. Mr. Trump, who nominated Powell to lead the Fed in 2017, has repeatedly accused the central bank chief of being too cautious in lowering interest rates.

    Three former Fed chiefs — Janet Yellen, Ben Bernanke and Alan Greenspan — defended Powell this week in a strongly worded statement, accusing the Trump administration of seeking to undermine the Fed’s traditional independence. 

    Mr. Trump also touted his administration’s economic record, telling Dokoupil, “Look, I’ve created the greatest economy, maybe, in history, and you’re seeing that now.”

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  • 10 central banks and global financial institutions back Fed chief Jerome Powell amid DOJ probe

    London — The heads of 10 major central banks and global financial institutions threw their collective support behind U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, saying in a joint statement published Tuesday that it was “critical to preserve” the banks’ independence.

    U.S. prosecutors have opened an inquiry into Powell, prompting his rare rebuke against escalating pressure from President Trump’s administration to lower interest rates.

    “We stand in full solidarity with the Federal Reserve System and its Chair Jerome H. Powell,” said the statement signed by heads of the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and others, including the central banks of Australia, Brazil, Canada and South Korea.

    “The independence of central banks is a cornerstone of price, financial and economic stability in the interest of the citizens that we serve. It is therefore critical to preserve that independence, with full respect for the rule of law and democratic accountability. Chair Powell has served with integrity, focused on his mandate and an unwavering commitment to the public interest. To us, he is a respected colleague who is held in the highest regard by all who have worked with him,” the statement said.

    From left, Jerome Powell, chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve; Tiff Macklem, governor of the Bank of Canada; and Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, speaking during the Kansas City Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium in Moran, Wyoming, on Aug. 23, 2024.

    Natalie Behring/Bloomberg/Getty


    The Federal Reserve received grand jury subpoenas from the Justice Department on Friday stemming from an investigation into its chair over the cost of building renovations, Powell said in a video statement shared on Sunday.

    The subpoenas threatened a criminal indictment related to Powell’s testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June 2025, during which he spoke about a multi-year project to renovate historic Federal Reserve office buildings, according to Powell.

    He said in his video statement that the move by the Department of Justice should, however, be “seen in the broader context of the administration’s threats and ongoing pressure.”

    “This new threat is not about my testimony last June or about the renovation of the Federal Reserve buildings. It is not about Congress’ oversight role; the Fed, through testimony and other public disclosures, made every effort to keep Congress informed about the renovation project. Those are pretexts,” said Powell. “The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president.”

    Multiple former Fed chairs and Treasury secretaries have also condemned the Trump administration’s probe, as have members of Congress from both parties.

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  • Republicans, Democrats react to DOJ investigating Federal Reserve’s Jerome Powell


    Republicans, Democrats react to DOJ investigating Federal Reserve’s Jerome Powell – CBS News









































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    Lawmakers on both sides of the aisle are reacting to the news of the Justice Department investigating Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. CBS News’ Natalie Brand reports.

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    Lawmakers warn Fed’s independence at stake amid Powell investigation; Minnesota suing Homeland Security over ICE operations.

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  • Former Fed chairs, Treasury chiefs condemn Trump administration’s Jerome Powell probe

    Three former chairs of the Federal Reserve and other top former economic officials are rebuking the Department of Justice for launching an investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, saying the probe will undermine the central bank’s independence and hurt the U.S. economy. 

    The statement, posted on Substack on Monday, was signed by former Fed Chairs Janet Yellen, Ben Bernanke and Alan Greenspan, as well as by former Treasury Secretaries Timothy Geithner, Jacob Lew, Henry Paulson and Robert Rubin.

    “The reported criminal inquiry into Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell is an unprecedented attempt to use prosecutorial attacks to undermine that independence,” the signers of the statement said. “This is how monetary policy is made in emerging markets with weak institutions, with highly negative consequences for inflation and the functioning of their economies more broadly.

    President Trump has pushed the Fed to more aggressively cut interest rates, arguing that the U.S. economy would benefit from lower borrowing costs. 

    A fight over independence

    Powell has long defended the central bank’s independence on the grounds that shielding the Fed from political influence allows monetary policy makers to make objective decisions based on economic data, rather than the interests of elected officials. 

    Justice Department subpoenas to the Fed threaten a criminal indictment related to Powell’s testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June 2025, Powell said in a video statement on Sunday. 

    “That testimony concerned in part a multi-year project to renovate historic Federal Reserve office buildings,” Powell said.

    Other former senior economic officials to sign the statement: Jared Bernstein, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) under former President Joe Biden; Jason Furman, CEA chair under former President Barack Obama; Glenn Hubbard and Gregory Mankiw, who both led the CEA under former President George W. Bush; Kenneth Rogoff, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund; ad Christina Romer, CEA chair under Obama.

    “The Federal Reserve’s independence and the public’s perception of that independence are critical for economic performance, including achieving the goals Congress has set for the Federal Reserve of stable prices, maximum employment, and moderate long-term interest rates,” the signers wrote. 

    The statement signals that “folks are unifying against this,” Nick Anthony, a policy analyst at the Cato Institute, a nonpartisan think tank, told CBS News. “Whether it changes the administration’s mind is a tough question because it’s a new source of pressure. But at the same time, it might amplify their resolve in seeing that the establishment is against this, so we must be right.”

    Why Powell says he’s being targeted

    The $2.5 billion project to renovate several Fed buildings, along with Powell’s testimony about that effort, came under scrutiny by the Trump administration last year, with Office of Management and Budget Chair Russell Vought accusing Powell of leading an “ostentatious” project that may be “violating the law.”  

    Powell had called some descriptions of the renovation “misleading and inaccurate,” disputing claims by the Trump administration that the overhaul included water features or rooftop gardens. 

    In his video remarks on Sunday, Powell tied the investigation to Mr. Trump’s efforts to pressure the Fed to cut interest rates and undermine the central bank’s independence.

    “This new threat is not about my testimony last June or about the renovation of the Federal Reserve buildings. It is not about Congress’ oversight role. The Fed, through testimony and other public disclosures, made every effort to keep Congress informed about the renovation project. Those are pretexts,” Powell said. “The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president.”

    The Federal Reserve has cut its benchmark rate three times since Mr. Trump’s inauguration in January 2025, with Mr. Powell citing easing inflation and a slower labor market as causes for the reductions.

    Lawmakers across the aisle spoke out in defense of Powell. Sen. Thom Tillis, a North Carolina Republican and member of the Senate Banking panel, said on Sunday that he would oppose any of the Trump administration’s nominees for the Fed, including to replace Powell. 

    “If there were any remaining doubt whether advisers within the Trump Administration are actively pushing to end the independence of the Federal Reserve, there should now be none,” Tillis said in a statement

    Sen. Lisa Murkowski, an Alaska Republican, called the investigation “nothing more than an attempt at coercion.” 

    Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a Massachusetts Democrat, said in a speech at the National Press Club on Monday that “Trump is trying to push out the chairman of the Federal Reserve Board and complete his corrupt takeover of America’s central bank so that it serves his interests, along with his billionaire friends.”

    Powell’s future at the Fed

    Powell is set to step down as Fed chair in May, but he could continue to serve as a Federal Reserve governor beyond that time. If he remains, the Trump administration would be deprived of the chance to fill another seat on the board.

    Powell has declined at several press conferences to answer questions about his plans. Asked on Monday by reporters if Powell planned to remain a Fed governor, Kevin Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council and a leading candidate to become Fed chair, said he was unaware of Powell’s plans.

    “I’ve not talked to Jay about that,” Hassett said.

    In the meantime, Mr. Trump has also called on another Fed official, Lisa Cook, to step down. Bill Pulte, who Mr. Trump appointed as director of the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency last year, claimed Cook committed mortgage fraud after designating two homes as her primary residence. 

    Cook remains in her position on the Fed Board of Governors after the Supreme Court in October said it would hear arguments in January about whether the president has the authority to fire her.

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  • The Most Notable Reactions to the Jerome Powell Investigation

    The most notable reaction in Congress came from North Carolina senator Thom Tillis, a Republican who serves on the Senate Banking Committee, who took a shot at the Justice Department’s investigation and said the agency’s credibility is now “in question.” Tillis, who has been more outspoken since he announced plans to retire at the end of his term, vowed to block any of the Trump administration’s nominations to the Federal Reserve.

    Senator Lisa Murkowski said she spoke to Powell Monday morning and that it was clear that the Justice Department’s investigation was “nothing more than an attempt at coercion.” The Alaskan senator echoed her colleague Tillis and said that the Senate should refuse to confirm any Trump nominations to the Federal Reserve.

    In a statement, House Committee on Financial Services chairman French Hill noted that he’s known Powell since they both worked at the Treasury Department during the George H.W. Bush administration. The Arkansas congressman said that he knows Powell as a “man of integrity with a strong commitment to public service.”

    “Pursuing criminal charges relating to his testimony on building renovations at a time when the nation’s economy requires focus and creates an unnecessary distraction. The Federal Reserve is led by strong, capable individuals appointed by President Trump, and this action could undermine this and future Administrations’ ability to make sound monetary policy decisions,” he wrote.

    Senate Majority Leader John Thune said that he hasn’t seen the allegations against Powell, but told reporters Monday that “they better be real and they better be serious.”

    “It needs to be resolved quickly because the Fed’s role and the Fed’s independence in shaping monetary policy in the country is something we need to ensure proceeds without political interference. Hopefully they’ll be able to get this thing, whatever it is — dealt with & resolved quickly,” he said per Punchbowl News.

    Other Republicans expressed some skepticism of the federal government’s investigation even if they held their own criticisms of Powell. New York congressman Mike Lawler, a member of the House Financial Services Committee, did not appear in favor of the move in an interview with Politico. “While I fundamentally believe Chairman Powell was late in addressing inflation under Joe Biden and has been woefully slow in lowering interest rates over the past year, the independence of the Federal Reserve is paramount and I oppose any effort to pressure them into action,” he said.

    Senator Kevin Cramer of North Dakota criticized Powell’s handling of the bank but said in a statement that he doesn’t believe the chairman is a criminal.

    “I hope this criminal investigation can be put to rest quickly along with the remainder of Jerome Powell’s term. We need to restore confidence in the Fed,” Cramer said.

    Senator Dave McCormick of Pennsylvania echoed Cramer’s sentiment in a statement to Politico. “I also agree with President Trump that Chairman Powell has been slow to cut interest rates,” he said. “I think the Federal Reserve renovation may well have wasted taxpayer dollars, but the proper place to fix this is through Congressional oversight. I do not think Chairman Powell is guilty of criminal activity.”

    In an interview with Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo, Senator Roger Marshall of Kansas suggested the president might be trolling Powell. “We’ll let the system play through here. I think there’s other issues we should be focused on,” he said.

    Nia Prater

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  • Criminal probe latest in Trump clash with Fed chief Powell

    When Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell said Jan. 11 he is being criminally investigated by the federal government, President Donald Trump told NBC News, “I don’t know anything about it.”

    Trump could have been in the dark about the specifics of the Justice Department investigation — approved in November by United States Attorney for the District of Columbia Jeanine Pirro, The New York Times reported — but he has been clear about his desire to oust Powell.

    The investigation focuses on Powell’s oversight of the bank’s headquarters renovation. The Federal Reserve has been undergoing building renovations since 2021 on a project first approved in Trump’s first term. The $2.5 billion cost is about $600 million over the original budget, because of  design changes, higher costs and more asbestos than anticipated.

    The investigation is the most dramatic escalation of long-simmering tensions between Trump and Powell, who the president initially tapped for the top Fed job but who has since drawn Trump’s ire with his go-slow approach on lowering interest rates. 

    Trump said at a Dec. 29 press conference with Israeli President Benjamin Netanyahu that his team was weighing a “a gross incompetence lawsuit” against Powell.

    Trump might have been referring to a claim of “gross negligence,” which can be pursued in either civil or criminal law, depending on its severity.

    That’s different from the criminal investigation launched against Powell. That addresses whether he lied to Congress about the cost and scope of the renovations.

    Powell’s term as chair ends in May, but he can remain as a Fed governor through January 2028.

    “No one — certainly not the chair of the Federal Reserve — is above the law,” Powell said in a video statement. “But this unprecedented action should be seen in the broader context of the administration’s threats and ongoing pressure.”

    The White House did not respond to our request for comment.

    The investigation into Powell aligns with other Trump administration efforts to prosecute the president’s adversaries, including former FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James. Both prosecutions have experienced setbacks with grand juries declining to indict or judicial rulings in the defendants’ favor.

    In a September Truth Social post, Trump directly addressed Attorney General Pam Bondi, urging her to step up the Justice Department’s prosecutorial efforts, including against Sen. Adam Schiff, D-Calif. He wrote, in all caps, “Justice must be served, now!” 

    Trump also moved to fire another Fed governor, Lisa Cook, citing a “criminal referral” from Federal Housing Finance Agency Director William Pulte, a Trump appointee, relating to mortgage fraud. Cook has challenged her firing, and her court case is proceeding.

    Trump’s Dec. 29 remarks are the clearest he made about using the legal system to oust Powell.

    In his second term, Trump has often called for Powell to resign and frequently attacked him:

    • On April 17, 2025: “I’m not happy with him. I let him know it and, oh, if I want him out, he’ll be out of there real fast.” 

    • On June 18, 2025: “We have a stupid person, frankly, at the Fed.” 

    • On July 13, 2025: “Jerome Powell’s been very bad for our country.” 

    • On July 15, 2025: “You talk to the guy, it’s like talking to a nothing. It’s like talking to a chair. No personality, no high intelligence, no nothing.” 

    • On July 22, 2025: “I was very nice to him at the beginning because I know how to sell and, you know, at a certain point it didn’t matter anymore because the guy is just not a smart person.” 

    • On Aug 1, 2025: Powell is “a stubborn MORON.”

    • On Aug. 13, 2025 and Sept. 20, 2025: Powell is “incompetent.” 

    • On Nov. 18, 2025 and Dec. 9, 2025: Powell is “a stupid man” and “not a smart guy.” 

    If the Justice Department is able to convict Powell, it could satisfy the narrow grounds for removing the Fed chair, which can be done “for cause by the President.” This refers to “inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office,” according to a Supreme Court decision about the Federal Trade Commission.

    In a May decision that allowed the president to fire members of independent commissions, the Supreme Court noted that the ruling didn’t affect the Fed, which it called “a uniquely structured, quasi-private entity.”

    Peter Conti-Brown, a University of Pennsylvania professor of financial regulation, told PolitiFact in July that Powell could argue that leveraging the renovation budget is a “pretext” for his firing — a legal term used to describe a false reason an employer gives for firing an employee in order to cover the real reason.

    “Courts evaluating any attempted removal after the fact will assess both the animus and pretext very heavily against President Trump,” Conti-Brown said.

    Powell, in his video response, called the investigatory inquiries “pretexts” that mask the real reason for the administration’s desire to oust him, which is the dispute over setting interest rates.

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  • Federal Reserve Chair Powell Says DOJ Has Subpoenaed Central Bank, Threatens Criminal Indictment – KXL

    WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Sunday the Department of Justice has served the central bank with subpoenas and threatened it with a criminal indictment over his testimony this summer about the Fed’s building renovations.

    The move represents an unprecedented escalation in President Donald Trump’s battle with the Fed, an independent agency he has repeatedly attacked for not cutting its key interest rate as sharply as he prefers.

    The renewed fight will likely rattle financial markets Monday and could over time escalate borrowing costs for mortgages and other loans.

    The subpoenas relate to Powell’s testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June, the Fed chair said, regarding the Fed’s renovation of two office buildings.

    More about:

    Grant McHill

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  • A breakable regime

    Iran’s death toll: Hundreds of protesters have been killed in Iran, as the government tries to crack down on what look like some of the country’s largest protests since 1979.

    “The Center for Human Rights in Iran, based in New York, said it had received eyewitness accounts and credible reports that hundreds of protesters have been killed since the government shut down access to the internet Thursday night,” reports The Washington Post. “The Human Rights Activists News Agency, also based in the United States, said 490 protesters have been killed since the protests began.” The regime has attempted internet and cell service blackouts to try to suppress the spread of information, but the West has still managed to see videos of full body bags spread out, on hospital grounds, substantiating reports of a significant (yet still unknown) death toll.

    The protests started over economic grievances, but they have snowballed into more generalized anger with the repressive regime. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has threatened to insert the U.S. into the conflict. “Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf warned Sunday against such strikes,” reports the Post. “If the country were attacked, he said, it could target the United States, Israel and international shipping lanes.”

    “Iran’s 12-day war with Israel and the U.S. last June broke the regime’s carefully nurtured image of invincibility, many ordinary Iranians say,” reports The Wall Street Journal. “Israeli strikes across Iran destroyed much of its military leadership, and the follow-on U.S. bombing campaign struck a heavy blow against Iran’s nuclear program. It was a humiliation for a regime that had invested so much of the country’s national wealth into a proxy network that was designed to deter exactly this sort of assault on the homeland.”

    A regime that once looked unbreakable has cracks forming everywhere.

    Iran is not merely a theocracy, Tahmineh Dehbozorgi points outs on X: “It is a centrally controlled, state-dominated economy where markets are strangled, private enterprise is criminalized or co-opted, and economic survival depends on proximity to political power. Decades of price controls, subsidies, nationalization, and bureaucratic micromanagement have obliterated the middle class and entrenched corruption as the only functional system. The result is not equality or justice. It is poverty, stagnation, and dependence on government’s dark void of empty promises.”

    Wealth tax barely understood by normies: “California helped make them among the richest people in the world. Now they’re fleeing because California wants a little something back,” writes Lorraine Ali in an unintentionally hilarious Los Angeles Times article about a proposed “billionaire tax.”

    “The proposed California Billionaire Tax Act has plutocrats saying they are considering deserting the Golden State for fear they’ll have to pay a one-time, 5% tax, on top of the other taxes they barely pay in comparison to the rest of us,” continues Ali. “Think of it as the Dust Bowl migration in reverse, with The Monied headed East to grow their fortunes.” Those who’ve already left the state “include In-n-Out Burger owner and heiress Lynsi Snyder, PayPal co-founder and conservative donor Peter Thiel, Venture Capitalist David Sacks, co-founder of Craft Ventures, and Google co-founder Larry Page, who recently purchased $173 million worth of waterfront property in Miami’s Coconut Grove. Thank goodness he landed on his feet in these tough times.”

    About that last one: Ali doesn’t seem to understand the mechanics of how the tax would be applied. But the affected people sure do.

    “Larry [Page] and Sergey [Brin] can’t stay in California since the wealth tax as written would confiscate 50% of their Alphabet shares,” writes Y Combinator CEO Gary Tan on X. “Each own ~3% of Alphabet’s stock, worth about $120 billion each at today’s ~$4 trillion market cap. But because their shares have 10x voting power, the…billionaire tax would treat them as owning 30% of Alphabet (3% × 10 = 30%). That means each founder’s taxable wealth would be $1.2 trillion. A 5% wealth tax on $1.2 trillion = $60 billion tax bill, each. That’s 50% of their actual Alphabet holdings—wiped out by a ‘5%’ tax.”

    Consider the way the law is written: “For any interests that confer voting or other direct control rights, the percentage of the business entity owned by the taxpayer shall be presumed to be not less than the taxpayer’s percentage of the overall voting or other direct control rights.” This is probably to ensure rich people can’t use complex share structures to make it seem like they have lower ownership (and thus a lower tax burden).

    This law is being pitches as a means of making up for the $100 billion state budget shortfall, including $19 billion in federal cuts to Medi-Cal, $7 billion to $9 billion in state cuts to the same program, and possible cuts to the state’s Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. And the line that keeps being repeated—that these billionaires couldn’t have done it without the state of California, or without being in their specific location—is kind of a strange one. Sure, Silicon Valley agglomeration effects are great, but it’s not like they were bilking the state in some way.

    “Billionaires have built their extraordinary fortunes with the help of California resources and were the largest beneficiaries of the federal legislation that contributed to the current state budget crisis,” write the drafters of the law. “It therefore is both necessary and equitable to ask those who have benefitted most from California’s resources to contribute proportionately to support health care, education, and nutrition in California through a one-time 5% tax on billionaire wealth.”


    Scenes from New York: “The group Palestinian Assembly for Liberation organized a rally outside Young Israel of Kew Gardens Hills yeshiva in protest of an event promoting real estate investments in Jerusalem,” reports CBS. “Protesters gathered on the sidewalk behind barricades across the street from the yeshiva at the corner of 150th Street and 70th Road, some carrying Palestinian flags. In at least one video posted to social media, the demonstrators appear to be chanting, ‘We support Hamas here.’…’Showing support for terrorist organizations outside of the synagogue is a horrific act,’ said Scott Richman, regional director of the Anti-Defamation League New York and New Jersey.”


    QUICK HITS

    • “The U.S. attorney’s office in the District of Columbia has opened a criminal investigation into Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, over the central bank’s renovation of its Washington headquarters and whether Mr. Powell lied to Congress about the scope of the project, according to officials briefed on the situation,” reports The New York Times.
    • “Venezuela’s current political moment is a paradox of tutelage: a partial rupture with authoritarian rule that has not translated into democratic control,” writes Juan Miguel Matheus in the Journal of Democracy. “The removal of Nicolás Maduro marks the end of a long and suffocating autocratic cycle centered on a single ruler. Yet, the way in which that rupture has occurred—through external intervention and in coordination with remnants of the old regime—has produced a political landscape that is at once post-Maduro and still undemocratic. Liberation has begun, but it remains partial, contested, and insufficient to restore Venezuelan self-government….Venezuela’s present moment does not fit the model of democratic transition made familiar by the third wave. It is neither a negotiated pact between authoritarian incumbents and democratic challengers, nor a clean electoral alternation, nor a revolutionary rupture. It is instead a unique conjuncture produced by the intersection of extreme autocratic entrenchment, external intervention, institutional collapse, and the displacement—rather than the empowerment—of democratic initiative. What Venezuela is experiencing is not a postliberation order, but a partial liberation. Maduro has been removed, but the regime has not been defeated.”
    • “I went sober to prioritize my health,” writes Dean Stattmann for GQ. “But then slowly but surely I realized the best parts of life were passing me by.” (This is why I’m long booze.)
    • “Nearly 16,000 nurses at three major hospitals in New York City are expected to strike amid a severe flu season, the last group of New York Nurses Association practitioners who have not settled their contracts,” reports Bloomberg. “A strike would come three years after a similar labor dispute ended in a historic contract. Operations at hospitals including Mount Sinai Medical Center and NewYork-Presbyterian in Manhattan as well as Montefiore Medical Center in the Bronx are expected to be affected.”
    • Pivot to manufacturing isn’t going so well:

    Liz Wolfe

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  • Fed chair Jerome Powell calls federal investigation

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in a video Sunday that the Justice Department is investigating whether he lied to Congress about the Central Bank’s renovation project. He compared the threat of criminal indictment to intimidation and said, “This unprecedented action should be seen in the broader context of the administration’s threats and ongoing pressure.” Scott MacFarlane reports.

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  • President Trump Just Made a Big Move That Could Benefit 1 of My Top Stock Picks for 2026

    • U.S. existing home sales are near a five-year low right now, as elevated interest rates keep buyers sidelined.

    • President Trump just announced a plan that could bring down mortgage rates and reignite the real estate market.

    • Douglas Elliman is one of America’s largest real estate brokerage companies, and its stock could soar in 2026 if the president’s plan works.

    • 10 stocks we like better than Douglas Elliman ›

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    In August 2023, the U.S. Federal Reserve concluded an aggressive campaign to hike interest rates, which sent the cost of a mortgage skyrocketing to the highest level in two decades. The goal was to tame a soaring inflation rate, and thankfully, it worked, so the Fed has now cut interest rates six times since September 2024.

    That isn’t fast enough for President Donald Trump, though, who regularly calls for the Fed to cut rates more quickly to bring relief to homeowners. However, he might have found a workaround, as last Thursday, he instructed his representatives to purchase $200 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities (MBSes). These bonds hold thousands of mortgages and are sold to investors.

    As is the case with all bonds, a sudden flurry of buying activity will increase the price of each MBS, while decreasing its yield. A lower yield, in theory, will translate to lower interest rates on mortgages, thus helping Trump achieve his goal without help from the Fed.

    Federal Housing Finance Director Bill Pulte said government-controlled enterprises Fannie Mae (Federal National Mortgage Association) and Freddie Mac (Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation) will carry out the $200 billion in MBS purchases in the public market.

    Image source: Getty Images.

    Existing home sales in the U.S. are currently hovering near a five-year low, and according to Redfin, there were 529,770 more sellers than buyers in November. Elevated interest rates have reduced the borrowing capacity of first-time home buyers, shutting many of them out of the market.

    Additionally, many existing homeowners are locked into 30-year mortgages at significantly lower interest rates than what is currently available, so even if they wanted to upgrade or downsize, moving isn’t a financially sound decision at this time. That takes even more would-be buyers out of the market. It’s very hard for real estate brokers to deliver sales in this environment, especially at favorable prices.

    US Existing Home Sales Chart
    US Existing Home Sales data by YCharts

    Douglas Elliman (NYSE: DOUG) is America’s fifth-largest real estate brokerage company, but it’s one of the leaders in luxury markets in California, Florida, New York, Texas, and more. It was founded in 1911, so it has over a century of experience navigating the peaks and troughs of the housing market.

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  • Video: Fed Chair Responds to Inquiry on Building Renovations

    new video loaded: Fed Chair Responds to Inquiry on Building Renovations

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    Fed Chair Responds to Inquiry on Building Renovations

    Federal prosecutors opened an investigation into whether Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, lied to Congress about the scope of renovations of the central bank’s buildings. He called the investigation “unprecedented” in a rare video message.

    “Good evening. This new threat is not about my testimony last June or about the renovation of the Federal Reserve buildings. This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions, or whether instead, monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation.” “Well, thank you very much. We’re looking at the construction. Thank you.”

    Federal prosecutors opened an investigation into whether Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, lied to Congress about the scope of renovations of the central bank’s buildings. He called the investigation “unprecedented” in a rare video message.

    By Nailah Morgan

    January 12, 2026

    Nailah Morgan

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  • Stock futures slide while gold and silver jump after Powell investigation raises fears over the Fed’s independence | Fortune

    U.S. equity futures fell sharply Sunday night after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that he is under investigation related to testimony he gave last June concerning the renovation of Federal Reserve buildings. 

    The New York Times report breaking news of the investigation and Powell’s subsequent disclosure rattled markets, reviving fears that years of President Donald Trump pressuring the Federal Reserve could now be realized into a direct assault on its independence.

    Futures tied to the Nasdaq 100 led the decline, falling about 0.8%, as interest-rate-sensitive technology stocks bore the brunt of the selloff. S&P 500 futures were down roughly 0.5%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell about 0.4%, according to late-evening pricing.

    Investors sought protection in the traditional safe-haven assets. Gold futures rose 1.7% to around $4,578 an ounce, while silver jumped more than 4%, reflecting renewed demand for protection against political and monetary instability. The U.S. dollar weakened modestly against several major currencies, including the Swiss franc and Japanese yen.

    After years of largely staying silent while Trump repeatedly mocked and threatened him, Powell appeared to have reached a breaking point, issuing a rare and pointed statement. 

    He wrote that while “No one—certainly not the chair of the Federal Reserve—is above the law,” the attack should be seen in the “the broader context of the administration’s threats and ongoing pressure.” 

    “This new threat is not about my testimony last June or about the renovation of the Federal Reserve buildings…Those are pretexts. The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President.”

    Economists warn that if the executive branch successfully co-opts the Fed, it could create a “self-fulfilling prophecy” of higher long-term inflation.

    As Oxford Economics recently noted, any “cracks in the Fed’s independence” could spread rapidly through markets and ultimately raise borrowing costs for the businesses the administration seeks to protect with low interest rates. 

    In a note published last July, when Trump publicly threatened to fire Powell, Deutsche Bank warned that such a move could spark severe market disruption.

    “Both the currency and the bond market can collapse,” the bank wrote, citing heightened risks of inflation and financial instability. “The empirical and academic evidence on the impact of a loss of central-bank independence is fairly clear.”

    Wall Street executives have echoed those concerns. Brian Moynihan, chief executive of Bank of America, said recently the erosion of Fed independence would carry serious consequences.

    “The market will punish people if we don’t have an independent Fed,” Moynihan said.

    Eva Roytburg

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  • Federal Reserve Chair Powell says DOJ has subpoenaed central bank, threatens criminal indictment

    By CHRISTOPHER RUGABER, Associated Press

    WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Sunday the Department of Justice has served the central bank with subpoenas and threatened it with a criminal indictment over his testimony this summer about the Fed’s building renovations.

    The move represents an unprecedented escalation in President Donald Trump’s battle with the Fed, an independent agency he has repeatedly attacked for not cutting its key interest rate as quickly as Trump prefers. The subpoena relates to his testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June, Powell said, regarding the Fed’s $2.5 billion renovation of two office buildings, a project that Trump criticized as excessive.

    Powell on Sunday cast off what has up to this point been a restrained approach to Trump’s criticisms and personal insults, which he has mostly ignored. Instead, Powell issued a video statement in which he bluntly characterized the threat of criminal charges as simple “pretexts” to undermine the Fed’s independence when it comes to setting interest rates.

    “This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions — or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation,” Powell said.

    Associated Press

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  • The US is taking control of Venezuela and targeting Greenland. The Dow could still hit 50,000

    (CNN) — The United States attacked Venezuela and President Donald Trump is threatening to take Greenland “the hard way.” All the while, the US has an uncertain economic outlook and a weak jobs report.

    But the Dow Jones Industrial Average could still hit a record 50,000 points on Monday.

    The Dow, which consists of large companies that are thought to be representative of the market, usually reflects broader American sentiment. When tensions are high or people are gloomy, the Dow tends to drop; when people sing a more positive tune, the Dow trends upward.

    Now, Americans are facing a stark political divide: strikes in Venezuela, protests against ICE following the fatal shooting of a Minneapolis mother, the economy capping off 2025 with weak job gains and intentions to “do something on Greenland, whether they like it or not.”

    That should mean the Dow is suffering, not nearing a record high. So, why is it contradicting history?

    Economic impact over big headlines

    Wall Street is more concerned with the economic impact of Trump’s political moves, such as whether strikes in Venezuela could disrupt the flow of oil.

    But Trump has proposed that the US will invest in Venezuela’s oil infrastructure, potentially tapping into the country’s crude — which amounts to about a fifth of the world’s global reserves, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

    It could increase defense spending, but not enough to spook the market, said Jay Hatfield, chief executive at Infrastructure Capital Advisors.

    “It’s really critical to focus on the economic drivers of the stock market and recognize that the political and international affairs issues are just that, unless they’re extreme,” he said.

    No official deals have been reached, Energy Secretary Chris Wright told CNN’s Kristen Holmes, but there was “tremendous interest” from major oil companies after Friday’s meeting between administration officials and executives.

    Opening up the flow of oil would boost the economy, noted Hatfield, which is a more optimistic outlook for investors.

    The index continued to post gains throughout the week as America’s tensions shifted inward. On Friday, the Dow gained another 237 points.

    There’s a few reasons for optimism: Trump ordered his “representatives” to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds to drive down housing costs, investors are looking forward to AI adoption and there haven’t been mass layoffs, Hatfield said.

    The University of Michigan’s latest consumer survey showed that sentiment increased in January for the second consecutive month, to a preliminary reading of 54, up from December’s 52.9. Most people were surveyed before the capture of Nicolás Maduro.

    Americans have a more sour outlook on Trump’s economy due to concerns about more expensive groceries and services. But it’s not translating to consumer spending, which has continued to support the economy.

    US retail sales on Black Friday, for instance, climbed 4.1% compared with last year, according to Mastercard SpendingPulse data.

    It’s largely due to the K-shaped economy, where wealthier Americans continue to spend as their wallets are bolstered by the strong stock market, wage gains and higher home values. Meanwhile, lower income households pull back on spending because of the slowing job market, high debt and inflation.

    “They’re a little bit cautious that jobs aren’t being created, but they’re not losing jobs either,” said Paul Christopher, the head of Wells Fargo Investment Institute’s global investment strategy. And this year is expected to have strong job growth, he said.

    Interest rate cut optimism

    Investors are still optimistic about the Federal Reserve slashing interest rates, after three back-to-back rate cuts in 2025, noted Hatfield.

    There could be more volatility in the coming weeks, though, because of earnings season and the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ December Consumer Price Index report releases, according to Christopher.

    The “no-hire no-fire” jobs report gives the Fed a green light to cut rates, he said.

    “The markets look through the other stuff, the political stuff, and they’re going to focus on what’s going to be, we think, a pretty strong economy in 2026. So whether we hit Dow (50,000) on Monday or Tuesday or Wednesday, we’ll sort of look at the larger picture here,” Christopher said.

    Auzinea Bacon and CNN

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  • HELOC and home equity loan rates today, January 9, 2026: A new low mark for HELOCs

    The national average rate for home equity lines of credit (HELOC) fell to a new low in well more than a year. The average home equity loan rate is down three basis points from last month.

    According to Curinos data, the average HELOC rate is 7.25%, down 19 basis points from last month. The national average rate on a home equity loan is 7.56%, three basis points lower than one month ago.

    Both rates are based on applicants with a minimum credit score of 780 and a maximum combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of less than 70%.

    Homeowners have an impressive amount of value tied up in their houses — nearly $36 trillion at the end of the second quarter of 2025, according to the Federal Reserve. That’s the largest amount of home equity on record.

    With mortgage rates remaining in the low-6% range, homeowners are unlikely to let go of their primary mortgage anytime soon, so selling a house may not be an option. A cash-out refinance might not be workable either. Why give up your 5%, 4% — or even 3% mortgage?

    Accessing some of that value with a use-it-as-you-need-it HELOC or lump-sum home equity loan can be an excellent alternative.

    MORE: Here are our picks for the best home equity loan lenders.

    Home equity interest rates are calculated differently from mortgage rates. Second mortgage rates are based on an index rate plus a margin. That index is often the prime rate, which is 6.75% following the last Federal Reserve rate cut on December 10. If a lender added 0.75% as a margin, the HELOC would have a variable rate of 7.50%.

    A home equity loan may have a different margin, because it is a fixed-interest product.

    Lenders have flexibility with pricing on a second mortgage product, such as a HELOC or home equity loan. Your rate will depend on your credit score, the amount of debt you carry, and the amount of your credit line compared to the value of your home. Shop two or three lenders to find your best interest rate offer.

    With three rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2025, the prime rate has fallen to 6.75%. As a result, home equity lenders have been repricing their products.

    Today, FourLeaf Credit Union is offering a HELOC APR of 5.99% for 12 months on lines up to $500,000. That’s an introductory rate that will convert to a variable rate at a later date.

    As the offer proves, lenders will not only lower their adjustable rates, but their introductory rates too, following the Fed’s lower-rate policy.

    When shopping for lenders, be aware of both rates. And as always, compare fees, repayment terms, and the minimum draw amount. The draw is the amount of money a lender requires you to initially take from your equity.

    The best home equity loan lenders may be easier to find, because the fixed rate you earn will last the length of the repayment period. That means just one rate to focus on. And you’re getting a lump sum, so no draw minimums to consider.

    Rates vary significantly from one lender to the next. You may see rates from 6% to as much as 18%. It really depends on your creditworthiness and how diligent you are as a shopper. Currently, the national average for a HELOC is 7.25%, and for a home equity loan it’s 7.56%.

    Interest rates fell for most of 2025. They will likely keep dipping lower this year. So yes, it’s a good time to get a second mortgage. And with a HELOC or a HEL, you can use the cash drawn from your equity for things like home improvements, repairs, and upgrades.

    If you withdraw the full $50,000 from a line of credit on your home and pay a 7.50% interest rate, your monthly payment during the 10-year draw period would be about $313. That sounds good, but remember that the rate is usually variable, so it changes periodically, and your payments will increase during the 20-year repayment period. A HELOC essentially becomes a 30-year loan. HELOCs are best if you borrow and repay the balance within a much shorter period of time.

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  • Trump says he still might fire Powell as Fed chair pick looms | Fortune

    President Donald Trump teased that he has a preferred candidate to be the next chair of the Federal Reserve, but is in no hurry to make an announcement — while also musing that he might fire the central bank’s current leader, Jerome Powell.

    “I do, still do — hasn’t changed,” Trump said at a press conference Monday, when asked if he has a favorite candidate. “I’ll announce him at the right time. There’s plenty of time.”

    Trump added the Powell should resign and that he’d “love to fire him.”

    “Maybe I still might,” Trump told reporters at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida.

    Trump did not specify who is his leading chair candidate and said an announcement would be made in “January sometime.” 

    National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett has been seen as the frontrunner, though Trump has also expressed interest in former Fed governor Kevin Warsh. Other finalists in the process have included current Fed governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman and BlackRock’s Rick Rieder. 

    Earlier: Bessent Sees Room for a Future Revamp of the Fed’s 2% Target

    Trump has made numerous cryptic — and sometimes contradictory — remarks about his decision-making process regarding the new central bank chief. The president earlier in December said he’d narrowed the pool of contenders down to one, but subsequently said he was considering multiple candidates and has heaped praise on several of the names on the short list.

    Trump has long been a critic of Powell, who he picked to lead the central bank during his first term. The president has indicated he wants the next chair to more aggressively cut interest rates as the White House looks to lower mortgage costs.

    He said Monday he was considering a “gross incompetence” lawsuit against Powell related to an ongoing renovation project at the Fed. Powell’s term as chair is set to end in May of 2026, but his term on the Fed’s Board of Governors doesn’t expire until 2028.

    Join us at the Fortune Workplace Innovation Summit May 19–20, 2026, in Atlanta. The next era of workplace innovation is here—and the old playbook is being rewritten. At this exclusive, high-energy event, the world’s most innovative leaders will convene to explore how AI, humanity, and strategy converge to redefine, again, the future of work. Register now.

    Josh Wingrove, Kate Sullivan, Bloomberg

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  • Full interview: Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan

    Watch Margaret Brennan’s full interview with Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, a portion of which aired on Dec. 28, 2025. Editor’s note: This interview was recorded on Dec. 17, 2025.

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  • Bank of America CEO says “the market will punish people if we don’t have an independent Fed”

    Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan talks prices, affordability, inflation predictions for 2026, the “shock” from the business community when President Trump enacted tariffs and how “the market will punish people if we don’t have an independent Fed.” Editor’s note: This interview was filmed on Dec. 17, 2025.

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