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Tag: Ethereum ATH

  • Ethereum’s End-Of-Year Rally Still At Play? Analysts Eye 50% December Jump

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    Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to bounce from the market’s Q4 correction, retesting the $3,000 barrier once again. As we approach the end of November, some market observers have suggested that the end-of-year rally may still be possible in the coming weeks.

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    Ethereum Eyes $3,000 Ahead Of Key Upgrade

    On Wednesday, Ethereum experienced a 4.4% daily surge, retesting the $3,000 level for the first time in nearly a week. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $2,680-$2,980 price range amid the latest market-wide correction, which also saw Bitcoin (BTC) lose some crucial support levels.

    At the start of the week, the King of Altcoins broke above the $2,900 area, attempting to retest the next key resistance over the past two days but ultimately failing to reclaim it. Analyst Ted Pillows highlighted this performance, noting that ETH “tapped the $2,950-$3,000 zone again and got rejected.”

    Per the post, until Ethereum successfully reclaims this level, “the chances of a new low are high.” On the contrary, if the cryptocurrency breaks above this zone with strong volume in the coming days, investors could “expect a rally towards the $3,400 level.”

    The analyst also suggested that the altcoin could see a remarkable recovery rally next week, driven by the upcoming Fusaka upgrade. As he explained, ETH soared around 50% after the network’s Pectra upgrade in May.

    As reported by NewsBTC, the upgrade introduced a series of improvements to increase transaction capacity, enhance efficiency, and reduce system stress. Following the implementation, the cryptocurrency rallied from the $1,800 level to the $2,700 area in a week, which was later followed by an 80% jump in Q3 to its latest all-time high (ATH) of $4,946.

    Now, the Fusaka upgrade is the network’s biggest update since The Merge and is expected to come on December 3, “to relieve one of the network’s most pressing bottlenecks: data availability for rollups,” VanEck explained in October.

    Based on this, Ted Pillows suggested that if ETH repeats its post-Pectra performance with the new upgrade, the altcoin’s price could soar above the $4,000 resistance in the next few weeks.

    End-Of-Year Rally Underway?

    Market watcher Merlijn The Trader also suggested that Ethereum could see another leg up soon, as it is “repeating a textbook wave structure” it has printed multiple times since hitting the bear market bottom in mid-2022.

    “Wave 1: Kicked off the cycle. Wave 2: Is shaking weak hands. wave 3: Where parabolas form,” the trader explained on X, noting that ETH could be ending its corrective move and potentially see another rally in the coming weeks.

    “This pattern printed 3 times before. Each time, ETH went vertical. Now it’s flashing again,” he stated. Similarly, Michaël van de Poppe highlighted Ethereum’s trading pair against Bitcoin, affirming that investors should keep an eye on the chart.

    Notably, ETH is retesting a multi-month downtrend line resistance against BTC, and could “see a strong breakout upwards in the coming weeks.” “This cycle is far from over,” van de Poppe added.

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    Meanwhile, Rekt Capital noted that Ethereum Dominance continues to occupy an area that served as a consolidation zone before the 2021 rally. “As long as ETHDOM can maintain itself above 10.05% then it should be positioned for higher market dominance levels over time,” the analyst concluded.

    As of this writing, ETH trades at $3,023, a 2% increase in the weekly timeframe.

    ETH’s performance on the one-week chart. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView

    Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

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    Rubmar Garcia

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  • Ethereum Faces Risk As Binance Leverage Ratio Skyrockets To Record Levels

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    Ethereum is at a decisive moment after a turbulent week of trading. Following a powerful surge on Friday that pushed the price into new highs, ETH quickly faced selling pressure, leading to a sharp drop by Monday. Now, the asset is trying to stabilize above the $4,400 level, a critical zone that bulls must defend to prevent further downside momentum.

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    The recent volatility highlights how fragile sentiment can become at major turning points. While bulls remain optimistic that ETH can sustain momentum and push toward the long-awaited $5,000 mark, bears argue that the market structure suggests more downside could follow if support fails.

    Adding to this uncertainty, analyst Darkfost has issued a warning about rising risks in the derivatives market. According to his analysis, the Binance Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) on ETH has reached its highest levels ever recorded, signaling extreme risk conditions. The ELR measures how heavily leveraged positions have become relative to overall open interest.

    When leverage skyrockets, markets often experience heightened volatility. Traders taking on excessive risk can trigger forced liquidations, amplifying price swings in both directions. With ETH now sitting at a fragile support level, the combination of leverage buildup and recent price swings makes the coming days critical for Ethereum’s short-term trajectory.

    Ethereum Leverage Risks Grow on Binance

    According to Darkfost, the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) is one of the most reliable indicators to measure whether a market is becoming dangerously over-leveraged. The ELR combines Open Interest data with overall market activity to highlight the extent to which traders are relying on borrowed funds to amplify their positions.

    Ethereum Binance Estimated Leverage Ratio | Source: CryptoQuant

    Recent data shows that Open Interest on Binance just hit a new all-time high of $12.6 billion on August 22, reflecting record speculative activity. For context, back in July 2020, the ELR on Binance was just 0.09, a relatively safe level. Today, that figure has skyrocketed to 0.53, marking the highest reading ever recorded. Such a sharp increase suggests that traders are entering positions with unprecedented leverage.

    Darkfost explains that when leverage climbs to these extremes, the short-term market outlook becomes risky. Excessive optimism often leaves participants vulnerable to forced liquidations. Once liquidations cascade, they can magnify price swings far beyond what would happen in a spot-driven move.

    Despite heavy institutional and whale accumulation in Ethereum, Binance remains the largest hub for trading activity. With derivatives volumes outweighing spot activity, leveraged positioning now has the power to dictate short-term price moves.

    Given that this spike in leverage comes just as Ethereum has broken above its all-time high, the risk of a deleveraging event is high. Such an event could temporarily drive ETH lower, wiping out leveraged positions before the market regains balance. Yet, many analysts believe this would act as a reset, ultimately paving the way for Ethereum to retest and potentially surpass the $5,000 level, which remains the key target for bulls.

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    Holding Key Support Amid Selling Pressure

    Ethereum is currently showing signs of fragility after its strong rally last week. On this 4-hour chart, ETH trades around $4,426, holding near a crucial support zone defined by the 50-day moving average (blue line) at roughly $4,451. Price action shows a sharp rejection from highs above $4,800, followed by a steep retracement that now challenges short-term momentum.

    ETH consolidates around key levels | Source: ETHUSDT Chart on TradingView
    ETH consolidates around key levels | Source: ETHUSDT Chart on TradingView

    The $4,400 region has emerged as an immediate support level, where ETH is attempting to stabilize. A sustained hold above this area could allow bulls to regroup and attempt another push toward the $4,800–$5,000 resistance zone, which remains the next psychological target. Conversely, if the $4,400 level fails, ETH could slide toward the 100-day moving average (green line) around $4,350, with further downside risk toward the 200-day average (red line) near $4,090.

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    The structure still favors bulls in the broader trend, but the recent correction highlights the market’s sensitivity to leverage and short-term volatility. For traders, the $4,400 level is key: holding above it keeps the bullish continuation alive, while a breakdown may trigger deeper profit-taking. Overall, ETH remains in an uptrend, but volatility at these levels demands caution.

    Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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    Sebastian Villafuerte

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  • Ethereum Open Interest Jumps 10% As $3.18B In New Positions Flood In

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    Ethereum is entering a decisive phase in its bull cycle, pushing into fresh highs after finally breaking above its 2021 all-time high of $4,860. The move comes as bulls regained full control of the market following a remarkable 14% surge on Friday, marking one of the strongest single-day performances of the year.

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    The rally was ignited by remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium. In his speech, Powell hinted at a potential easing of US monetary policy, stating that restrictive conditions may no longer be appropriate as risks shift. The market reaction was immediate: within minutes, both equities and cryptocurrencies spiked sharply, with Ethereum leading the charge in the altcoin sector.

    At the same time, derivatives market data confirms the intensity of the move. Open Interest (OI) surged aggressively as traders piled into leveraged positions, reflecting renewed speculative appetite. The sudden influx of liquidity added fuel to Ethereum’s rally, pushing price momentum beyond its multi-year resistance level.

    With ETH now in uncharted territory, analysts see potential for continuation as long as OI expansion does not overheat into excessive leverage. The coming weeks will determine whether this breakout sustains or turns into another volatile correction.

    Ethereum Derivatives Signal Historic Momentum

    Ethereum’s breakout into new highs is being reinforced by extraordinary action in the derivatives market. According to top analyst Maartunn, at least $3.18 billion in new positions have entered Ethereum derivatives within just 24 hours, pushing Open Interest (OI) up nearly 10%. He described this as “insane stuff,” highlighting the scale and speed at which traders are positioning for the next move.

    Ethereum Open Interest | Source: Maartunn

    This surge in OI indicates aggressive speculation, with investors betting on Ethereum’s momentum continuing after breaching its 2021 all-time high. While higher OI often fuels rallies by injecting liquidity, it can also create sharp volatility if leveraged positions unwind. Still, the magnitude of the inflows reflects growing conviction in ETH’s upside potential.

    At the same time, Ethereum’s Taker Buy Volume (hourly) has reached a multi-month high of $5.76 billion. This metric, which captures aggressive market buy orders, shows that demand is not just speculative but also immediate. Such strong taker-side activity often coincides with breakout phases, when bulls dominate both spot and derivatives markets.

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    Price Surges To Retest New Highs

    The 4-hour ETH chart shows Ethereum exploding higher, pushing above $4,800 after a sharp breakout from recent consolidation. This surge follows a bounce near the 100-period SMA (green line around $4,298), where bulls defended support aggressively before sending the price into a vertical move.

    ETH sets new ATH | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
    ETH sets new ATH | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

    Ethereum is now retesting its previous all-time high region around $4,860, with momentum signaling strong buying pressure. The 50-period SMA (blue line) is turning upward again, confirming a short-term bullish structure. Meanwhile, the 200-period SMA (red line around $3,994) remains comfortably below the price, showing the broader uptrend is intact.

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    This rally also broke through a series of lower highs formed during the recent pullback, suggesting that bearish control has faded. Volume spikes during the breakout add confidence to the strength of this move. If bulls sustain momentum, Ethereum could enter price discovery, targeting the $5,000 psychological level.

    However, if rejection occurs at $4,860, ETH may retest the $4,400–$4,500 support zone, where the moving averages converge. The chart highlights a critical phase: Ethereum either continues its breakout toward new highs or consolidates before another attempt. Bulls clearly hold the upper hand after this explosive breakout.

    Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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    Sebastian Villafuerte

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