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Tag: Earnings

  • Weekend reads: What to expect now for home prices, stocks and bonds

    Weekend reads: What to expect now for home prices, stocks and bonds

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    This week Freddie Mac said the average interest rate on a 30-year mortgage loan in the U.S. had climbed to 6.70% from 6.29% the week before and 6.02% two weeks ago. The average rate a year ago was 3.01%.

    Would-be sellers who have low-rate mortgage loans are reluctant if it means they need to take out a new loan to fund their next home. Would-be buyers are forced out of the market, as the monthly principal and interest payment for a new 30-year loan, based on Freddie Mac’s figures, has increased 53% from a year ago.

    Home-sale contracts are being canceled at a record pace in some areas.

    But these factors could lead to a buyer’s market in 2023 if prices plunge. Here are the areas economists expect to see the largest home price declines.

    The strong dollar and the stock market

    Khaled Desouki/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

    The dollar has strengthened as the Federal Reserve has taken the lead among central banks in raising interest rates. This is reverberating across the world, making it more costly for countries to make interest payments on dollar-denominated debt and increasing the cost of any commodity traded in dollars.

    The rising dollar lowers prices on imported goods for Americans and can also lower their international travel costs. But Michael Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief equity strategist, warns that earnings for the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.51%

    would decline as a direct result of the strong dollar and called the current foreign-exchange backdrop an “untenable situation” for the stock market.

    On the other hand: Companies are trying to blame weak earnings on the strong U.S. dollar, but that’s a lame excuse

    This is what happens when bearish sentiment runs high

    Michael Brush interviews David Baron, co-manager of the Baron Focused Growth Fund
    BFGFX,
    -0.76%
    ,
    who describes opportunities cropping up as institutional investors dump stocks. He also explains his winning long-term strategy, which has included a very long-term investment in Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -1.10%
    .

    A a positive sign for the stock market: These 12 stocks have seen strong insider buying

    Time to buy bonds?

    When interest rates rise, bond prices fall. But it also means that if you have money to put to work, bond yields have become much more attractive.

    Khuram Chaudhry, a European equity quantitative strategist at JPMorgan in London, makes the case for buying bonds now.

    What about preferred stocks?

    Getty Images/iStockphoto

    Preferred stocks feature stated dividend yields and prices that move the same way bond prices do. That means prices for many issues are now heavily discounted to face value and that current yields are much higher than they were at the end of 2021. Here’s an in-depth guide on how to research preferred stocks and make your own selections.

    Related: 22 dividend stocks screened for quality and safety

    The problem with macro market projections

    Stanley Druckenmiller predicted a “hard landing” in 2023 for the U.S. economy while speaking at CNBC’s Delivering Alpha Investor Summit on Sept. 28.


    Bloomberg

    Stanley Druckenmiller predicted a U.S. recession in 2023 as a result of monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve. That may not be much of a stretch, considering that the U.S. economy contracted during the first half of 2022, according to revised GDP figures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

    But investors should be careful — macro forecasts often turn out to be incorrect, Mark Hulbert warns.

    More on stocks: It’s the worst September for stocks since 2008. What that means for October.

    Recessions and your retirement plans

    Getty Images

    Alessandra Malito has advice on how retirees and people planning for retirement can prepare for tough economic times.

    Also: Reset your retirement calculator now for today’s bleaker stock markets and make sure you’re still on track

    Investors tremble and a central bank scrambles

    The Bank of England’s headquarters.


    Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

    After the new U.K. government of Prime Minister Liz Truss announced a massive tax cut along with a new spending program to help counter rising fuel costs and new borrowing, the pound hit a new low against the dollar on Sept. 26 as investors and money managers panicked and sold-off U.K. government bonds. Steve Goldstein explains how and why the Bank of England came tot the rescue.

    A closer look at reverse mortgages

    Getty Images/iStockphoto

    Beth Pinsker digs deeply to explain how to use a reverse mortgage as a financial planning tool.

    Poking a little fun at Elon Musk

    Getty Images

    After Tesla CEO Elon Musk said the upcoming Cybertruck would be sufficiently waterproof to “serve briefly as a boat,” the San Francisco Bay Ferry offered this advice to patrons.

    Want more from MarketWatch? Sign up for this and other newsletters, and get the latest news, personal finance and investing advice.

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  • Nike’s results offer a clue about the strong dollar and the upcoming earnings season

    Nike’s results offer a clue about the strong dollar and the upcoming earnings season

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  • Nike stock drops 10% as execs predict cheaper clothing for at least the rest of the year

    Nike stock drops 10% as execs predict cheaper clothing for at least the rest of the year

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    Shares of Nike Inc. plunged as much as 10% after hours Thursday, after the athletic-gear giant’s executives said price-cutting efforts to flush off-season clothing from warehouses in North America would dent gross margins for the rest of its fiscal year and warned of a big potential hit from the stronger dollar.

    Management also said they expected their rivals to keep cutting prices through at least the end of the calendar year, as they try to clear their own stockpiles. But the Nike executives said inventory levels in North America likely “peaked” in its first quarter, which ended on Aug. 31, and expected levels to even out — with newer, seasonally-aligned, in-demand product — in the months ahead as it prepares for the holiday rush.

    “We’re taking decisive action to clear excess inventory, focusing on specific pockets of seasonally late product, predominantly in apparel,” Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend said on Nike’s earnings call.

    He added that he expected the moves to have a “transitory impact” on gross margins for the year.

    The lopsided inventory levels, which grew 44% during Nike’s third quarter, followed factory closures last year in Asia, where most of its footwear is made, that led to late product deliveries, Friend said.

    But those late deliveries are now getting mixed in with holiday-season deliveries that are set to arrive earlier than planned. The earlier arrivals, executives said, were a function of earlier ordering — due to the shipping delays that have characterized the past year —and then a sudden, more recent improvement in those shipping times.

    And as the U.S. dollar strengthens, Friend said he expected the full-year negative impact of foreign exchange on reported sales and earnings before interest and taxes to be $4 billion and $900 million, respectively.

    Still, executives said inventory management in China was “ahead of plan” as it recalibrates supply and navigates COVID-19 related restrictions there. And they said that consumer demand was still strong, despite rising prices. Friend and CEO John Donahoe both repeated that Nike remained customers’ “No. 1 cool” and “No. 1 favorite” brand.

    Donahoe said shoes like the Air Max Scorpion — which offered the “most air ever, in terms of pound per square inch” — reflected Nike’s commitment to innovation. The company’s Travis Scott and LeBron 20 sneakers also remained popular, executives said. The back-to-school season, and demand for its Jordan and Converse sneakers, were also solid.

    As for fiscal first-quarter financials, Nike reported net income of $1.5 billion, or 93 cents a share, compared with $1.9 billion, or $1.16 a share, in the year-earlier period. Sales came in at $12.7 billion, compared with $12.2 billion a year ago.

    Analysts polled by FactSet expected earnings of 92 cents a share on sales of $12.28 billion. Shares of Nike
    NKE,
    -3.41%

    were last down 9.3% after hours, but fell more than 10% at one point after the close.

    Prior to the report, analysts following Nike had zeroed in on the impact of the stronger U.S. dollar, the impact of China’s COVID lockdowns, as well as the effects from bigger discounts to sell shoes and other gear that sat around for too long due to backups in the company’s supply chain. The back-to-school season, and competition with the likes of Adidas AG
    ADDYY,
    -5.21%

    were also points of focus for Wall Street.

    Gross margins fell to 44.3% from 46.5% during the quarter. Nike executives said the decrease “was primarily driven by North America, which took measures to liquidate excess inventory through Nike Direct markdowns and wholesale marketplace actions.”

    Inventory for Nike stood at $9.7 billion, a 44% increase from the year-earlier period, due to what executives described as “ongoing supply-chain volatility, partially offset by strong consumer demand during the quarter.”

    Nike, in June, said it expected “higher promotional activity” in the first quarter, as it tries to sell seasonal items that arrived late, following the factory closures last year in Asia. However, for the full year ahead, management at that time said it was planning for “mid-single-digit price increases.”

    Executives also said then that they were planning to expand sales that go directly to consumers, via its own stores and online. The company over the years has been trying to rely less on retail chains like Foot Locker Inc.
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    -6.36%

    for sales.

    Shares of Nike have fallen 43% so far this year. By comparison, the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -2.11%

    is down around 24% over that time.

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  • Micron Posts Weak Results as Memory Demand Softens

    Micron Posts Weak Results as Memory Demand Softens

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    Micron Technology


    shares are under renewed pressure after the memory chip company posted weak results and provided softer-than-expected financial forecasts.

    The anemic quarterly results, reported after the close of trading on Thursday, were no real surprise. Micron had ratcheted down expectations amid weak demand from personal-computer manufacturers and other customers, reflecting softening consumer spending. But even with the market braced for bad numbers, the severity of the expected downturn flagged in management’s earnings guidance still managed to surprise the Street.

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  • H&M profit drops after Russia exit costs

    H&M profit drops after Russia exit costs

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    Sweden’s Hennes & Mauritz AB said Thursday that net profit for its third quarter fell significantly after it booked a one-time cost related to the winding down of its Russian operations, and that it will start a cost and efficiency program.

    The company
    HM.B,
    -3.17%

    posted a net profit of 531 million Swedish kronor ($47.4 million) for the fiscal quarter ended Aug. 31, compared with SEK4.69 billion a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected a net profit of SEK2.17 billion.

    Sales were SEK57.45 billion compared with SEK55.59 billion a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected sales of SEK57.45 billion.

    The company said it has booked a one-time cost of SEK2.10 billion, related to the winding down of Russian operations, hitting the result for the quarter.

    The cost and efficiency program is expected to result in annual savings of around SEK2 billion.

    “The third quarter has largely been impacted by our decision to pause sales and then wind down the business in Russia. This has had a significant effect on our sales and profitability, which explains half of the decrease in profits compared with the third quarter last year,” Chief Executive Helena Helmersson said.

    Write to Kyle Morris at kyle.morris@dowjones.com

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  • Cramer: JPMorgan’s ‘excellent’ earnings mean nothing to the market

    Cramer: JPMorgan’s ‘excellent’ earnings mean nothing to the market

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    CNBC’s Jim Cramer and the ‘Squawk on the Street’ team break down JPMorgan Chase’s latest earnings report.

    03:35

    Wed, Oct 13 202110:13 AM EDT

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