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  • Cramer’s week ahead: Labor report, plus GitLab and CrowdStrike earnings

    Cramer’s week ahead: Labor report, plus GitLab and CrowdStrike earnings

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    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Friday told investors what to pay attention to next week on Wall Street, highlighting the nonfarm payroll report and earnings from GitlLab and CrowdStrike.

    “To those of you who want the Fed to cut so badly that you’re staying on the sidelines until they do,” he said, “you’d better hope we get some weakness in the employment numbers next Friday.”

    GitLab will report on Monday. Cramer said he’s waiting to see how the company will perform because some in the enterprise software sector see issues with sales. He noted that GitLab’s last quarter was disappointing. It seemed to him as a one-off situation at the time, but maybe the report was a precursor of trouble to come in the industry, he said.

    Tuesday brings quarterly results from CrowdStrike, and Cramer said the cybersecurity company has been doing better than many of its peers.

    Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Ferguson and PVH also report Tuesday. Cramer will be waiting to see how HPE stacks up against competitors like Dell. According to Cramer, Ferguson is a great way to invest in infrastructure. He’ll also be watching PVH, known from brands like Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, but said he prefers Ralph Lauren in the apparel space.

    Dollar Tree, Campbell Soup, Jack Daniels maker Brown-Forman and Lululemon will report on Wednesday. Cramer said he wonders if Brown-Forman will be able to explain what’s hurting liquor sales, as well as whether a difficult and crowded market for athleisure is already “baked into” Lululemon’s stock.

    On Thursday, JM Smucker and DocuSign are due to report. Cramer said JM Smucker needs to find something to make the company grow faster, and he wondered how DocuSign will figure out how to turn its business around.

    Friday brings perhaps the most important event of the week, according to Cramer, the Labor Department’s nonfarm payroll report for the month of May. He stressed the Federal Reserve won’t be inclined to cut rates until the unemployment rate reaches 4%. In April, the jobless rate inched up to 3.9% from 3.8% the previous month.

    Don’t miss these exclusives from CNBC PRO

    Jim Cramer looks ahead to next week's market game plan

    Jim Cramer’s Guide to Investing

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  • Here are Tuesday’s biggest analyst calls: Apple, Tesla, Dollar Tree, Amazon, Alphabet, Toll & more

    Here are Tuesday’s biggest analyst calls: Apple, Tesla, Dollar Tree, Amazon, Alphabet, Toll & more

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  • Family Dollar recalls dozens of P&G, J&J, Colgate products in 23 states due to incorrect temperature storage

    Family Dollar recalls dozens of P&G, J&J, Colgate products in 23 states due to incorrect temperature storage

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    Family Dollar voluntarily recalled dozens of over-the-counter drugs, products and medical devices sold at its stores because they had been stored at improper temperatures, according to the Food and Drug Administration late Tuesday.

    On the FDA’s website, the regulator said products affected by the recall were stored “outside of labeled temperature requirements by Family Dollar and inadvertently shipped to certain stores on or around June 1, 2023 through September 21, 2023.”

    Brands affected by the recall include Procter & Gamble’s
    PG,
    +0.99%

    Crest, Vicks and Pepto Bismol; Colgate
    CL,
    +0.26%

    ; Johnson & Johnson Inc.’s
    JNJ,
    -0.11%

    Tylenol and Listerine; and Bayer’s
    BAYN,
    +3.04%

    Aleve, according to a list provided by the FDA.

    The items were sold at stores in Alabama, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, North Dakota, Nebraska, New Mexico, Nevada, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Washington and Wyoming, between June 1 and Oct. 4, the FDA said.

    Family Dollar was acquired by Dollar Tree Inc.
    DLTR,
    +3.26%

    in a deal that closed in July 2015.

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  • Five takeaways about the consumer from Walmart, other retailers after a big week of earnings

    Five takeaways about the consumer from Walmart, other retailers after a big week of earnings

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    A Target department store in North Miami Beach, Florida, May 17, 2023.

    Joe Raedle | Getty Images

    More grocery purchases, fewer ambitious do-it-yourself projects and last-minute splurges at the store.

    This week, some of the biggest retailers in the country reported earnings and described how their customers are shopping. As Home Depot, Target and Walmart reported their quarterly sales and shared full-year outlooks, the companies offered up the latest clues about the health of the American consumer and previewed what could be ahead for the economy.

    Some smaller retailers also offered warning signs for the current quarter and this year.

    Next week will give even more insight into the retail industry and economy. Best Buy, Lowe’s, Costco, Dollar Tree and Kohl’s are among the earnings on tap. Some mall retailers are also reporting earnings, including Gap, American Eagle and Abercrombie & Fitch.

    Here are some of the emerging themes.

    Sales trends have weakened

    So far, at least five retailers — Target, Walmart, Tapestry, Bath & Body Works and Foot Locker — have spoken about sales trends across the country getting worse.

    As the three-month period went on, shoppers spent less, especially on discretionary merchandise, Target CEO Brian Cornell said on a call with investors. Walmart noticed the same pattern.

    Both big-box retailers reported a sharp sales drop after February.

    Walmart’s Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey attributed the decline, in part, to the end of pandemic-related SNAP benefits and a decrease in tax refunds. 

    Cornell said headline-grabbing events could have shaken consumer confidence too. He pointed to the March banking crisis. Silicon Valley Bank collapsed that month, sparking fears of broader economic woes.

    Bath & Body Works saw sales fall off in March. Yet, sales recovered in April as the retailer turned to a common playbook: promotions. It got a boost as customers spent money at sales events toward the end of the quarter, CFO Wendy Arlin said on a Thursday earnings call.

    Foot Locker also said it may have to motivate shoppers with markdowns for the rest of the year. The company cut its full-year forecast Friday, as it reported earnings that missed expectations. CEO Mary Dillon said in a statement, “sales have since softened meaningfully given the tough macroeconomic backdrop.”

    On a call with investors Friday, Dillon said the sneaker seller’s sales got hurt by lower tax refunds and high inflation as customers spent more on food and services. While she said sales rebounded in April, “they did not improve nearly to the extent we expected, and that weakness has continued into May.”

    A few other retailers that reported earnings had specific factors working in their favor.

    When Tapestry, the parent company of Coach and Kate Spade, reported earnings last week, the company said sales softened as the quarter progressed and into April as consumers became more cautious.

    But it has a factor going for it that some other retailers don’t: A growing business in China and other international markets to offset some of those softer sales.

    Home Depot bucked the slowing sales trend, but that may have to do more with what it offers than consumer health.

    Spring is peak season for home improvement. The retailer’s comparable sales in the U.S. declined 4.6% in the quarter versus the year-ago period. In February, its comparable sales were down 2.8%. March was its weakest month of the quarter, as comparable sales fell nearly 8% year over year in the U.S.

    Home Depot’s trends were still negative in April but saw a slight improvement as comparable sales slid 3.7%, according to CFO Richard McPhail. Customers may have been buying more spring items such as potted plants.

    Inflation is still a key factor

    Inflation is easing, according to a Labor Department report this month. Yet, that’s cold comfort for shoppers who are still paying a lot more at the grocery store than they were a few years ago.

    Stubbornly high prices, especially for food, are a storm cloud that hangs over many families who shop at Walmart, and looms over the retail industry as a whole, the big-box giant’s CEO Doug McMillon said. On a call with investors Thursday, he called the persistent inflation “one of the key factors creating uncertainty for us in the back half of the year.”

    “We all need those prices to come down,” he said on the call. “The persistently high rates of inflation in these categories, lasting for such a long period of time, are weighing on some of the families we serve.”

    For example, he said general merchandise costs in the U.S. are lower than a year ago, but still higher than two years ago. In dry grocery and consumables categories, Walmart is seeing high single-digit to low double-digit cost inflation on items such as toilet paper or paper towels. For food, inflation has climbed more than 20% on a two-year basis, according to Walmart’s Rainey.

    A shopper browses the eggs section at a Walmart store in Santa Clarita, California.

    Mario Anzuoni | Reuters

    Walmart is feeling the inflation crunch even though it is better positioned to manage higher costs than other retailers. As the nation’s largest retailer and biggest grocer, Walmart can use its scale to manufacture private-label merchandise or negotiate with vendors over price.

    One rare item that dropped dramatically in price? Lumber. Home Depot cited the sharp price decrease as a factor that contributed to its fiscal first-quarter revenue miss.

    In plenty of other categories, however, inflation is still driving a higher average ticket for customers, Home Depot CEO Ted Decker said on an earnings call Tuesday.

    Consumers are spending on needs, not wants

    Target, Home Depot and Walmart all saw a noticeable pattern: fewer pricey and fun items in shopping carts.

    At Home Depot, customers bought fewer big-ticket items such as appliances and grills in the fiscal first quarter.

    Home projects got more modest, too, Decker said on an investor call. Contractors and other home professionals noticed a change from large-scale remodels to smaller renovations and repairs.

    Decker said consumers’ increased focus on value could be contributing to that shift, along with an uptick in spending on traveling, dining out and other services. He added some homeowners already tackled big projects and bought some high-priced home items during the early years of the Covid-19 pandemic, leaving less for them to do or to buy now.

    Oppenheimer's Brian Nagel on Home Depot Q1 earnings: This is a weak report

    The trend extended beyond home improvement.

    Customers at Walmart have become more selective when shopping for electronics, TVs, home items and apparel, Rainey told CNBC. The items have become a tougher sell and when customers do buy them, they often wait for a sale, he said.

    At Target, sales declined in some discretionary categories as much as low double-digits as customers bought less clothing and home decor, Chief Growth Officer Christina Hennington said on an investor call. Groceries and essentials drove a bigger portion of the retailer’s quarterly sales.

    One exception? Beauty. Hennington said Target’s beauty category was its strongest in the fiscal first quarter. Sales grew in the mid-teens year over year, showing shoppers are still willing to replenish the cosmetic case and get a new tube of lipstick.

    Weather dampened demand (literally)

    Weather has not worked in retailers’ favor, at least not yet.

    As the weather turns warm and sunnier, it can inspire shoppers to buy summer dresses, beach towels or gardening supplies.

    Yet, Home Depot said cooler and wetter weather in California and parts of the western U.S. hit its sales, contributing to its biggest revenue miss in more than 20 years.

    Walmart is eager for warmer weather too. Sam’s Club has noticed slower sales of patio sets, perhaps because of the later-to-hit spring weather, its CEO Kath McLay said on an investor call. Walmart has seen a sharp drop in air conditioner sales at its big-box stores, its CFO Rainey said.

    “We’re ready to get some spring or summer weather,” he said on a call with CNBC.

    Target noted it’s looking forward to another upcoming season: back-to-school.

    The discounter expects to get a sales boost in the back half of the year due to the big shopping season, Hennington said on an investor call. She said the return to classrooms and college dorms triggers sales across almost every department of its store, from lunch ingredients in the grocery aisles to new outfits in the kids’ clothing department.

    Shoppers have become more last-minute

    Retailers may be saying so long to the days of stockpiling and early shopping.

    Company leaders said there are signs shoppers are reverting to some of their old ways.

    At Walmart-owned Sam’s Club, McLay said shoppers are not just opting for lower price points. They’re also shopping later for seasonal items. For example, she said, customers used to buy patio furniture just as soon as it was set at the stores.

    “Now we’re seeing people wait a little bit later into the season,” she said.

    It saw a similar pattern with Mother’s Day sales, she said.

    McLay said that may indicate people have returned to shopping habits of 2018 and 2019. The trend could be fueled by shoppers’ reluctance to open their wallets or because they’re not as worried about out-of-stock items — or a combination.

    At Target, shoppers have also embraced more procrastinator tendencies, especially for discretionary items such as apparel.

    “Guests are shifting to shop more just in time in these categories, as they wait until the last moments before key events to invest in new decor or wardrobe refreshes,” Hennington said on an earnings call.

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  • Here’s what I want to see before buying in a stock market that stumbled on solid bank earnings

    Here’s what I want to see before buying in a stock market that stumbled on solid bank earnings

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    People walk past a Wells Fargo branch on January 10, 2023 in New York City.

    Leonardo Munoz | View Press | Corbis News | Getty Images

    We just had three fantastic quarters from three disparate banks, and I didn’t read a good word about them.

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  • The PC boom has gone bust, and we are about to see the results ahead of Black Friday

    The PC boom has gone bust, and we are about to see the results ahead of Black Friday

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    The pandemic-fueled personal-computer boom has ended, so how will that affect demand and pricing for PCs and the retailers that sell them this holiday season?

    A sense of the fallout will be provided in the week ahead with results due from PC makers Dell Technologies Inc.
    DELL,
    +0.67%

    and HP Inc.
    HPQ,
    +0.17%
    ,
    along with videoconferencing platform Zoom Video Communications Inc.
    ZM,
    -1.15%

    and electronics chain Best Buy Co Inc.
    BBY,
    +2.88%

    All of those companies will report amid signs of deep holiday discounting for products such as clothing and electronics, after many customers — stuck at home in 2020 and 2021 — loaded up on laptops and other goods and turned Zoom into a digital conference room. But this year, decades-high inflation, and a return to prepandemic spending on travel and hanging out in person, have forced retailers and electronics makers to adjust to a world where more people are spending on essentials.

    PC shipments have fallen at rates not seen since at least the 1990s. Adobe
    ADBE,
    -2.06%

    has said online holiday discounts for electronics have been as steep as 17%. For computers, they’ve run for as much as 10% less. TVs are also being sold for cheaper. Holiday-season forecasts have generally called for sales increases, helped by price increases and enduring demand despite those price increases.

    In-depth: The pandemic PC boom is over, but its legacy will live on

    However, results from Target
    TGT,
    +0.54%

    on Wednesday missed big on third-quarter earnings, and the big-box retailer said it was bracing for a possible decline in fourth-quarter same-store sales, citing “softening sales and profit trends that emerged late in the third quarter and persisted into November.” Results from Walmart
    WMT,
    +1.51%

    were almost the opposite, however, detailing earnings that beat by a wide margin and a raised full-year outlook.

    Among smaller retailers, discounter Ross Stores Inc.
    ROST,
    +9.86%

    hiked its full-year profit forecast, citing sales momentum but easier year-over-year comparisons up ahead. But Williams-Sonoma Inc.
    WSM,
    -6.15%

    noted “macro uncertainty” and “increasingly inconsistent” demand.

    This week in earnings

    The companies report during a shortened, quieter week — thanks to Thanksgiving — and after concerns about a recession have hung over much of the year. With 94% of S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.48%

    companies having already reported third-quarter results, only a dozen are set to release earnings in the week ahead.

    But among those 94%, there are signs that preoccupations with a downturn might be easing, after the economy grew during the third quarter and reversed after two quarters of declines.

    FactSet senior analyst John Butters, in a report on Thursday, said 179 companies have mentioned the term “recession,” during earnings calls in the third quarter. That’s still above the average over 10 years, but it’s below the 242 companies that mentioned a recession in the second quarter.

    Previously: Executives seem pretty convinced a recession is coming

    Elsewhere on Monday, J.M. Smucker Co.
    SJM,
    +1.11%

    — best known for Folgers and Jif — reports results, following concerns about higher food prices and how much higher they might go. Life-sciences electronics maker Agilent Tecnologies Inc.
    A,
    +1.21%

    report results on Monday as well. Fast-food chain Jack in the Box Inc.
    JACK,

    reports Tuesday. Tractor and construction-vehicle Deere & Co.
    DE,
    +0.31%

    reports Wednesday, following production and supply-chain snarls but steady demand.

    The calls to put on your calendar

    Clothing demand, discount demand: Urban Outfitters Inc.
    URBN,
    +2.44%

    reports Monday, while Burlington Stores Inc.
    BURL,
    +4.63%
    ,
    Nordstrom Inc.
    JWN,
    +1.71%

    and dollar-store chain Dollar Tree Inc.
    DLTR,
    -0.21%

    report on Tuesday.

    The discounting wave across clothing retailers, an effort to clear inventories, might attract more consumers, but it’s worried Wall Street analysts focused on margins and the bottom line. Still, some analysts have said that more younger shoppers feel like their wardrobes are getting stale, and they say Nordstrom, whose customers tend to have more money, is best geared for “an upcoming wardrobe refresh.

    Off-price clothing and home-goods retailer Burlington, meanwhile, will report after rival discounters Ross and TJX received a lift from investors this week.

    See also: The holiday-shopping season has a different problem this year than last — and it could lead to some deals

    Ross’ chief executive, Barbara Rentler, noted that rising prices had hurt its lower-income consumers. But Jefferies analysts said that Burlington and other discounters, which often buy up goods that other retailers don’t want, stood to benefit from the inventory purge.

    Dollar Tree, meanwhile, reports as more shoppers seek cheaper grocery options, but as food prices rise nonetheless. But Bank of America analysts, in a note last month, said traffic data implied a “slowdown” heading into the results.

    The numbers to watch

    Demand trends for PCs, electronics: Dell and HP report in the wake of deeper job cuts across the tech industry, while Zoom tries to tack on more features — such as calendar and email functions — to appeal to small business and adapt to a hybrid-work world.

    The PC boom’s demise hit home at Dell during its prior quarter, reported in August, after personal-computer sales at the company came in below estimates. Executives, at that time, said PC demand had fallen and that “customers are taking a more cautious view of their needs given the uncertainty.”

    Opinion: Tech earnings are about to dive, and there’s no life preserver in sight

    Some analysts, however, signaled that some degree of investor pessimism was already baked into the stock prices.

    “We recognize the deteriorating industry fundamentals in relation to PCs as well as incremental slowdown in IT Infrastructure. That said, we believe the magnitude of the cuts last quarter set up Dell to be less exposed to another round of material earnings revisions,” JPMorgan analysts said in a note. And even as HP feels similar pain, analysts there said share buybacks could be “a bright spot.”

    Results from HP and Dell could also have implications for Best Buy, which sells laptops, TVs, phones and other electronic devices.

    “Recall that initial expectations for the year were that BBY would face pressure as it lapped stimulus-fueled spending and broad-based demand for technology products and services,” Wedbush analysts said in a note on Friday.

    “However, the macro has been more volatile than expected with consumers facing significant inflationary pressures and lower-income households are making decisions to trade down in some categories such as televisions.”

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