Tag: Doge price

The Dogecoin weekly chart is flashing a cluster of technically constructive signals, according to crypto analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow), who published a four-panel weekly read on DOGE on Oct. 27. Price is currently hovering near $0.208 on Binance spot, and the setup he highlights pivots on four independent checks: the cycle-high anchored VWAP, Ichimoku “Katana” support, a 0.5 log-scale Fibonacci hold, and conspicuously light sell-side volume during the recent drawdown.

4 Reason To Be Bullish On Dogecoin

In his post, Cantonese Cat wrote: “Attempting to reclaim cycle high AVWAP as support. Claiming Ichimoku Tenkan + Kijun fusion (blue and red lines fused together), AKA Katana, as support so far. Holding 0.5 log fib from cycle high–cycle low as support so far. There’s been no volume so far during this downturn on multiple exchanges including Coinbase and Binance, and all it takes is just some volume to come in and we could reverse any downtrend in a hurry.”

On the anchored VWAP chart, the teal line measured from Dogecoin’s cycle peak tracks the market’s volume-weighted cost basis since the 2021 top. DOGE is pressing that band from above/at parity, attempting to convert it into support after a failed breakdown earlier this month.

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On a weekly basis, closing and subsequently holding above the cycle-high AVWAP tilts risk-reward positively because it implies the marginal participant who bought since the peak is no longer underwater. Notably, the most recent weekly wick that probed below the band—printing a sharp stab toward the low-$0.09s—was retraced swiftly, with subsequent candles clustering back around ~$0.21. That rejection of lower prices right at the anchored VWAP argues against sustained distribution at current levels.

The Ichimoku frame reinforces the same idea. Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are fused around ~$0.2009 on the weekly (a configuration the analyst labels “Katana”), and price is currently riding that confluence as support. The cloud (Senkou span) remains red and overhead, spanning roughly the $0.24s into the ~$0.29 region, which defines the near-term supply zone that would need to be cleared on a weekly close to confirm trend resumption.

Until then, the Katana acting as a shelf at ~$0.20 is the near line in the sand; lose it decisively and the bias flips back to testing deeper supports, but sustain it and the path of least resistance shifts to re-engaging the cloud’s lower boundary.

Fibonacci context adds precision to those levels. Measured log-scale from the cycle high to the cycle low, DOGE has so far defended the 0.5 retracement at $0.19070 on multiple weekly closes.

That 50% line is the pivot of the current structure: a confirmed weekly close and acceptance below would hand momentum to bears toward the 0.382 at $0.13847, while continued defense keeps the market pointed at successive retracement ceilings overhead—the 0.618 at $0.26261, the 0.707 at $0.33430, the 0.786 at $0.41416, and the 0.886 at $0.54318—before the full retrace to the cycle high marker around $0.73995.

Price has been oscillating in a broad $0.16–$0.27 corridor for months; sitting above the 0.5 while probing the AVWAP strengthens the case that the mid-$0.20s could be revisited if buyers can reclaim momentum.

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Volume is the wild card—and the fourth reason the analyst cites for optimism. The weekly histogram across multiple years shows that persistent selloffs have been accompanied by contracting volume, with downward arrows on the chart denoting successive periods of declining activity into lows.

By contrast, the last major impulsive advance in late 2024 printed the cycle’s heaviest weekly turnover. The current downturn lacks that distribution signature; bins on Coinbase and Binance have thinned rather than expanded. In market-structure terms, falling volume on pullbacks is textbook corrective behavior, and it leaves the door open for a sharp reversal if/when demand returns.

Put together, the four lenses describe a market sitting on top of a stacked support cluster: the cycle-high AVWAP roughly at the current price, the Ichimoku Katana fused near ~$0.2009, and the 0.5 log Fibonacci at $0.19070 just below. The invalidation path is clear enough—a decisive weekly loss of the $0.19 handle would expose the $0.13847 (0.382) shelf—while the upside path is equally mapped: first reclaim the lower edge of the cloud in the low-$0.20s, then test $0.26261 (0.618), with any weekly close through that level shifting focus to $0.33430 and beyond.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.206.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Dogecoin is compressing beneath a dense band of weekly resistance that could unlock a powerful upside continuation once cleared, according to crypto analyst The Great Mattsby (@matthughes13).

In his October 5 video, Mattsby frames the 0.618 retracement from the 2021 peak to the 2022 cycle low—marked at $0.26261—as the immediate trigger that “price is still getting rejected at,” adding: “That’s the area of interest to maybe try to close above.” Screenshots of his weekly DOGE/USDT chart show price hovering around $0.248–$0.249 at the time of recording, with a session high near $0.265 and low near $0.226, underscoring how repeatedly the market has tested the band without securing a decisive close.

Dogecoin Coils Beneath Massive Resistance

Mattsby argues the difficulty stems from confluence rather than a single line. “A big pile of resistance right here in the 24 to 26-cent zone,” he said, pointing to the lower edge of the Ichimoku Cloud and the conversion line stacked atop the 0.618. His chart annotates the Ichimoku Conversion Line at ~$0.2512, with clustered simple moving averages just beneath and around it—~$0.2464 and ~$0.2453—creating a narrow corridor where rallies stall and pullbacks find immediate bids.

He also flags the cloud ceiling as the last gate before momentum expansion; while he verbally referenced “around 28 cents,” the screenshotted weekly readout places Ichimoku Leading Span B near ~$0.2937, effectively defining a resistance shelf running from roughly $0.26 up to the high-$0.28s–$0.29s.

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Despite the stall, Mattsby is clear that the structure has turned constructive. “It was a beautiful breakout back test of this orange arc… and ever since that bottom in April, it’s higher highs, higher low, higher high, higher low. So, it is the market structure that is required to break out.”

He expects more time within the range but anticipates an impulsive resolution once the lid gives way: “One of these weeks we might be able to see like a bullish engulfing candle just breaking through multiple levels and just continuing higher.” In his words, “Not ready to break free just yet, but the setup is there… a little bit more patience, but it’s setting up perfectly to go higher.”

The screenshots anchor both the upside roadmap and the invalidation rungs. Overhead, the Fibonacci stack above the 0.618 pins subsequent hurdles at the 0.702 (~$0.3298), 0.786 (~$0.4142), 0.886 (~$0.5432) levels as well as the all-time high at 0.73995—zones that historically attract profit-taking and trend acceleration when reclaimed in strong cycles.

Below, the weekly Ichimoku scaffolding outlines support stair-steps at Leading Span A (~$0.2348) and the Base Line (~$0.2184), aligning with Mattsby’s preferred “accumulation” pocket. “I love this 24-cent zone, maybe even down to the 22-cent zone. That area of support looks beautiful for accumulation until it’s ready to break free,” he said. Deeper, the mid-cycle retracement marks line up at 0.500 (~$0.1907), 0.382 (~$0.1385) and 0.236 (~$0.0932).

Related Reading: Can Dogecoin Hit $1? Bullish Patterns and Global Adoption Spark Fresh October Optimism

Mattsby also reiterates the role of the weekly 50-period moving average as an active barrier within the same band, emphasizing that DOGE is “still battling that as a potential resistance trying to flip it all to support.” The proximity of the 50-week to the conversion line and the 0.618 fib is part of what makes the cluster decisive: a weekly close through $0.26261 that also recaptures the conversion line and neutralizes the cloud’s lower boundary would simultaneously flip multiple filters—momentum, trend, and mean—into alignment.

The bottom line of his roadmap is unambiguous. The market is coiling directly beneath the $0.26 trigger while building a rising base above $0.22–$0.24. The analyst’s expectation is for continued high-level consolidation until an outsized candle resolves the stalemate. “It’s almost ready—just not yet,” he concluded. “It’s not if, it is when… once that barrier breaks, the true excitement can begin.”

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.25671.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Dogecoin’s daily chart is coiling into a technically clean inflection, according to trader IncomeSharks, who posted a rising channel and an on-balance volume (OBV) wedge that together map a straightforward route to higher levels. “DOGE – Not a bad setup. Obvious channel and clear OBV wedge. Ideally OBV will break out before price,” the analyst wrote, sharing the chart that frames the current advance.

Dogecoin Breakout Watch: $0.33 Trigger On Deck

Price has been respecting a well-defined ascending channel that has governed trade since early summer. Multiple touches on both boundaries validate the structure: higher lows along the lower trendline from July through early October, and lower-high rejections against the upper rail through mid-July, late August, and late September.

After a fresh rebound off the rising support area at the start of October, DOGE has pushed back into the channel’s mid-range, where it typically pauses before the next impulse. IncomeSharks’ path sketch envisions a brief consolidation or shallow pullback inside the channel, followed by a drive toward the ceiling.

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The destination is explicit on the chart. The upper boundary currently intersects in the low-to-mid $0.30s, and the drawing marks a breakout attempt between roughly $0.32 and $0.33. That zone represents confluence: it’s where the rising channel’s resistance comes into play and where late-September supply capped the prior thrust. A decisive daily close through that band would confirm a bullish channel breakout and leave the door open for a run towards the early December 2024 high at $0.4843.

Volume dynamics are the tell to watch. The lower panel plots OBV, a cumulative measure of buy/sell pressure, compressed into a symmetrical wedge: a gently rising base since mid-July and a descending lid drawn off the July and September OBV peaks. This kind of narrowing range in OBV often precedes a directional expansion.

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IncomeSharks’ comment underscores that sequencing: an OBV breakout ahead of price would signal fresh accumulation and improve the odds that price follows with a push to the channel’s top. Conversely, failure of OBV at its wedge support would warn that the rebound lacks sponsorship, increasing the risk of another test of the lower channel line.

Structurally, the setup is straightforward. As long as DOGE continues to hold the rising support that has defined the trend since July, the path of least resistance remains up within the channel. A clean OBV break of its wedge would strengthen that view.

If bulls can then clear overhead supply and convert the $0.32–$0.33 band into support, the chart would confirm the breakout roadmap IncomeSharks outlined. If instead price loses the ascending base, the channel thesis would be invalidated and the market would likely revisit prior higher-low areas along the lower rail before attempting another trend leg.

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.2559.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chartfrom TradingView.com