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  • AP Decision Notes: What to expect in North Dakota on Election Day

    AP Decision Notes: What to expect in North Dakota on Election Day

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    WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump will compete for North Dakota’s three electoral votes in the Nov. 5 presidential election. Voters will also pick candidates for a full slate of federal and state offices.

    North Dakota briefly played a heightened role in the 2024 campaign when Republican Gov. Doug Burgum made it to the short-list to be Trump’s running mate. But the state historically has not attracted much attention in general elections and has a long track record of supporting the Republican nominee. The only Democratic presidential candidate to win North Dakota in the last 84 years was President Lyndon Johnson in 1964.

    Republican U.S. Sen. Kevin Cramer faces a challenge from Democrat Katrina Christiansen in his bid for a second term, while Republican Kelly Armstrong, Democrat Merrill Piepkorn and independent Michael Coachman look to succeed Burgum as governor.

    Further down the ballot, voters will decide Ballot Measure 4, which would abolish the state property tax, and Ballot Measure 5, which would legalize recreational marijuana.

    North Dakota is the only state that does not have statewide voter registration. Residents must present a valid ID to vote. Only the small tourist town of Medora has voter registration.

    In 2020, Republican candidates captured all partisan national and statewide races. Democrats won just two legislative seats, both in the Fargo area.

    The AP does not make projections and will declare a winner only when it has determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, such as candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why.

    Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in North Dakota:

    Election Day

    Nov. 5

    Poll closing time

    8 p.m. and 9 p.m. ET. North Dakota covers two time zones, so most of the state will start reporting results while some voters in the southwest are still casting ballots until 7 p.m. MT (9 p.m. ET).

    Presidential electoral votes

    3 awarded to statewide winner.

    Key races and candidates

    President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian).

    U.S. Senate: Cramer (R) vs. Christiansen (D).

    Governor: Armstrong (R) vs. Piepkorn (D) vs. Coachman (independent).

    Ballot measure: Measure 5 (legalize marijuana).

    Other races of interest

    U.S. House, state Senate, state House, auditor, insurance commissioner, public service commission, superintendent of public instruction, treasurer and additional ballot measures.

    Past presidential results

    2020: Trump (R) 65%, Biden (D) 32%, AP race call: Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2020, 9 p.m. ET.

    Voter registration and turnout

    Voting eligible population: 575,817 (as of Sept. 1, 2024).

    Voter turnout in 2020 presidential election: 62% of registered voters.

    Pre-Election Day voting

    Votes cast before Election Day 2020: about 75% of the total vote.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2022: about 44% of the total vote.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote tracker.

    How long does vote-counting take?

    First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 8:46 p.m. ET.

    By midnight ET: about 92% of total votes cast were reported.

    What to know about the 2024 Election

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    Associated Press writer Hannah Fingerhut contributed to this report.

    ___

    Read more about how U.S. elections work at Explaining Election 2024, a series from The Associated Press aimed at helping make sense of the American democracy. The AP receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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  • AP Decision Notes: What to expect in West Virginia on Election Day

    AP Decision Notes: What to expect in West Virginia on Election Day

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    WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump will compete for West Virginia’s four electoral votes in the Nov. 5 general election. Voters will also cast ballots for a full slate of federal and state contests, including a U.S. Senate race that will help decide control of the chamber next year.

    Neither Harris nor Trump have campaigned in West Virginia, and the state has not been a competitive presidential battleground for years. West Virginia was reliable Democratic territory for most of the 20th century, but Republican presidential candidates have won the state by comfortable margins since George W. Bush’s victory there in 2000.

    Also appearing on the presidential ballot this year are three independent or third-party candidates, including Jill Stein and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who dropped out of the race in August and endorsed Trump.

    In the U.S. Senate race, Republican Gov. Jim Justice is running against Democrat Glenn Elliott and Libertarian David Moran to succeed Democrat-turned-independent Joe Manchin, who is not seeking a third full term. Manchin’s retirement has complicated Democratic hopes of maintaining control of the chamber next year. A win by Justice would be enough to give the GOP a majority if Trump wins the White House, assuming they hold their other seats.

    Republican state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey is running against Democrat Steve Williams and three third-party candidates to replace Justice as governor. Voters also will decide two U.S. House races, including the 2nd Congressional District seat Republican incumbent Alex Mooney gave up to run in the U.S. Senate primary against Justice.

    Other races on the ballot include state Senate, state House, attorney general and other state offices, as well as a ballot measure that would prohibit medically assisted suicide.

    In recent years, West Virginia has increasingly chosen Republican candidates for the U.S. Senate and House and for statewide offices. Before switching party affiliations, Manchin was one of the last remaining Democrats representing the state.

    The Associated Press doesn’t make projections and will declare a winner only when it has determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. If a race hasn’t been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, like candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear it hasn’t declared a winner and explain why.

    Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in West Virginia:

    Election Day

    Nov. 5.

    Poll closing time

    7:30 p.m. ET.

    Presidential electoral votes

    4 awarded to statewide winner.

    Key races and candidates

    President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Jill Stein (Mountain Party) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (independent).

    U.S. Senate: Elliott (D) vs. Justice (R) and one other.

    Governor: Williams (R) vs. Morrisey (R) and three others.

    Ballot measure: Constitutional Amendment 1 (prohibit medically assisted suicide).

    Other races of interest

    U.S. House, state Senate, state House, attorney general, agriculture commissioner, auditor, secretary of state and treasurer.

    Past presidential results

    2020: Trump (R) 69%, Biden (D) 30%, AP race call: Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2020, 7:30 p.m. ET.

    What to know about the 2024 Election

    Voter registration and turnout

    Registered voters: 1,201,724 (as of Sept. 30, 2024). About 29% Democrats, 41% Republicans and 25% no party.

    Voter turnout in 2020 presidential election: 63% of registered voters.

    Pre-Election Day voting

    Votes cast before Election Day 2020: about 50% of the total vote.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2022: about 29% of the total vote.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote tracker.

    How long does vote-counting take?

    First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 7:57 p.m. ET.

    By midnight ET: about 96% of total votes cast were reported.

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    Associated Press writer Maya Sweedler contributed to this report.

    ___

    Read more about how U.S. elections work at Explaining Election 2024, a series from The Associated Press aimed at helping make sense of the American democracy. The AP receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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  • AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama on Election Day

    AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama on Election Day

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    WASHINGTON (AP) — Alabama voters head to the polls on Nov. 5 with a newly drawn congressional district and a long history of Republican dominance in the state on the line.

    The Democratic candidate for president hasn’t carried Alabama since Jimmy Carter in 1976. Since then, the state has become reliably red. Both U.S. senators, six of the state’s seven members of the U.S. House and the governor are Republicans. Former President Donald Trump won the state by 28 percentage points in 2016 and 26 points four years later.

    Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and three independent candidates round out the field on the presidential ballot. Alabama has nine electoral votes.

    Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District was redrawn this year after the Supreme Court ruled that the state had illegally diluted the influence of Black voters. The district stretches across the lower third of the state and includes the cities of Mobile and Montgomery. Democrat Shomari Figures and Republican Caroleene Dobson are both seeking the open seat. Its voting-age population is 49% Black, up from 30% from when the district was reliably Republican.

    The current representative, Barry Moore, opted to run in the neighboring 1st District where he beat incumbent Jerry Carl in the primary. The other five incumbent representatives are running for reelection in their current seats.

    Neither senator nor the governor is on the ballot this year, and the state’s lone ballot measure would affect only Franklin County.

    Alabama doesn’t offer early in-person voting. It also is one of the few states that still requires an excuse to vote by mail. As a result, nearly all Alabama voters cast their ballots in person on Election Day. In recent elections, the state has reported more than 80% of its votes between poll close and midnight on Election Day.

    Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in Alabama:

    Election Day

    Nov. 5.

    Poll closing time

    8 p.m. ET (portions of some counties that operate in Eastern Time have the option to close at 7 p.m. Eastern).

    Presidential electoral votes

    9 awarded to statewide winner.

    Key race and candidates

    President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent) vs. Jill Stein (Independent) vs. Chase Oliver (Independent).

    Other races of interest

    U.S. House, state Supreme Court, Civil Appeals, Criminal Appeals, Public Service Commission, state Board of Education and a ballot measure.

    Past presidential results

    2020: Trump (R) 62%, Biden (D) 37%, AP race call: Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2020, 8 p.m. ET.

    Voter registration and turnout

    Registered voters: 3,776,498 (as of September 2024).

    Voter turnout in 2020 presidential election: 62% of registered voters.

    Pre-Election Day voting

    Votes cast before Election Day 2020: about 13% of the total vote.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2022: about 3% of the total vote.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote tracker.

    How long does vote-counting take?

    First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 8:11 p.m. ET.

    By midnight ET: about 84% of total votes cast were reported.

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    AP writer Hannah Fingerhut contributed to this report.

    ___

    Read more about how U.S. elections work at Explaining Election 2024, a series from The Associated Press aimed at helping make sense of the American democracy. The AP receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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  • AP Decision Notes: What to expect in New Mexico on Election Day

    AP Decision Notes: What to expect in New Mexico on Election Day

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    WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, Republican former President Donald Trump and five third-party candidates will compete for New Mexico’s five electoral votes, but the most competitive race on the ballot will likely be a U.S. House race that could determine control of the narrowly divided chamber.

    New Mexico was once one of the nation’s most competitive presidential battlegrounds, having gone for Democrat Al Gore in 2000 and Republican George W. Bush in 2004 by less than 1 percentage point. Democratic presidential candidates have since won seven of the last eight general elections in the state, where neither of the major party candidates has campaigned this year.

    In the U.S. House, Democratic Rep. Gabriel Vasquez is seeking a second term in the 2nd Congressional District against the Republican he narrowly defeated in 2022, former Rep. Yvette Herrell. Immigration has been a major issue in the sprawling district that spans the state’s entire border with Mexico. Republicans hold a slim majority in the House, and a Herrell victory would complicate Democratic hopes to retake the chamber.

    In the U.S. Senate, Democratic incumbent Martin Heinrich is seeking a third term against Republican Nella Domenici. She is the daughter of the late Republican Sen. Pete Domenici, who served six terms, from 1973 to 2009 and was the last Republican elected to the Senate from New Mexico.

    More than 60% of New Mexicans typically vote before Election Day. A 2023 law requires counties to post early and absentee results no later than 11 p.m. ET.

    Democratic presidential candidates historically have won most of the state’s largest counties — Bernalillo, which includes Albuquerque; Santa Fe, the state’s capital; and Dona Ana, in the south part of the state. Republicans tend to do well in the east of the state bordering Texas, and in San Juan County in the Four Corners area in the northwest.

    The Associated Press doesn’t make projections and will declare a winner only when it has determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. If a race hasn’t been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, like candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear it hasn’t declared a winner and explain why.

    Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in New Mexico:

    Election Day

    Nov. 5.

    Poll closing time

    9 p.m. ET.

    Presidential electoral votes

    5 awarded to statewide winner.

    Key races and candidates

    President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (DTS) vs. Chase Oliver (OTH) vs. Jill Stein (Green) and two others.

    U.S. Senate: Heinrich (D) vs. Domenici (R).

    2nd Congressional District: Vasquez (D) vs. Herrell (R).

    Other races of interest

    U.S. House, state Senate, state House, district attorney, bond measures, ballot measures.

    Past presidential results

    2020: Biden (D) 54%, Trump (R) 44%, AP race call: Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2020, 9 p.m. ET.

    Voter registration and turnout

    Registered voters: 1,361,117 (as of Sept. 30, 2024). About 43% Democrats, 31% Republicans and 24% other.

    Voter turnout in 2020 presidential election: 68% of registered voters.

    What to know about the 2024 Election

    Pre-Election Day voting

    Votes cast before Election Day 2020: about 85% of the total vote.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2022: about 63% of the total vote.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote tracker.

    How long does vote-counting take?

    First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 9:24 p.m. ET.

    By midnight ET: about 78% of total votes cast were reported.

    ___

    Associated Press writer Maya Sweedler contributed to this report.

    ___

    Read more about how U.S. elections work at Explaining Election 2024, a series from The Associated Press aimed at helping make sense of the American democracy. The AP receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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  • AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Utah on Election Day

    AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Utah on Election Day

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    WASHINGTON (AP) — Utah voters will cast ballots for the full range of federal and state offices in the Nov. 5 general election, including president, Congress, governor, state Legislature and others.

    Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, Republican former President Donald Trump and half a dozen third-party candidates are competing for Utah’s six electoral votes to replace outgoing Democratic President Joe Biden. It has been 60 years since a Democratic presidential candidate has won Utah.

    GOP Congressman John Curtis, Democrat Caroline Gleich and independent candidate Carlton Bowen are squaring off to replace Republican U.S. Sen. Mitt Romney, who announced last year he would not seek a second term.

    Republican Gov. Spencer Cox is running for reelection against Democratic state Rep. Brian King and three other candidates on the ballot. Cox received 64% of the vote in 2020.

    Utah’s four congressional seats, all held by Republicans, are up for election, including the 3rd District seat Curtis is vacating to run for the Senate.

    Two constitutional amendments are on the ballot but votes for or against them won’t count after state courts voided the measures. Both amendments, however, remain on the ballot to keep printing and other election deadlines on track. One amendment would have allowed state lawmakers to rewrite citizen-approved initiatives and the other asked voters to consider changing how state income tax revenue is spent.

    Polls close in Utah at 10 p.m. ET. Utah’s elections are conducted predominantly by mail, and all registered voters are sent absentee ballots, which can returned to a drop box or by mail. Mailed votes must be postmarked by Nov. 4, the day before Election Day. Utah tallies advance ballots prior to Election Day.

    Utah counted a third of its votes after Election Day in 2022 and those additional ballots favored Democrats by 4 percentage points. That’s a substantial change from recent prior elections when the shift expanded the margin of victory for Republicans by one half to almost a full percentage point. The main counties to watch for additional votes have been Davis, Salt Lake and Utah.

    Utah’s mandatory recount provision is triggered when the difference in votes for each candidate is equal to or less than 0.25% of the total number of votes cast.

    Utah has been solidly Republican. Lyndon Johnson was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win there, carrying the state in 1964.

    Still, Utah bears watching. As the state’s Mormon population has dropped, Utah has become more diverse. And some of the state’s Mormon voters have half-heartedly embraced Trump. Although Trump won Utah by 18 and 20 percentage point margins in 2016 and 2020, he far underperformed previous GOP nominees, who carried the state by nearly 30- to almost 50-point margins from 2000 through 2012.

    The AP does not make projections and will declare a winner only when it has determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidates to close the gap. If a race has not been called, the AP will continue to cover any newsworthy developments, such as candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will make clear that it has not yet declared a winner and explain why.

    Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in Utah:

    What to know about the 2024 Election

    Election Day

    Nov. 5.

    Poll closing time

    10 p.m. ET.

    Presidential electoral votes

    6 awarded to statewide winner.

    Key races and candidates

    President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Jill Stein (Green) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) vs. Cornel West (unaffiliated) and three others.

    U.S. Senate: Curtis (R) vs. Gleich (D) and one other.

    Governor: Cox (R) vs. Smith King (D) and three others.

    Other races of interest

    U.S. House, state Senate, state House, attorney general, auditor, state Board of Education, treasurer and ballot measures.

    Past presidential results

    2020: Trump (R) 58%, Biden (D) 38%, AP race call: Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2020, 11:07 p.m. ET.

    Voter registration and turnout

    Registered voters: 2,025,754 (as of Oct. 21, 2024). About 14% Democrats, 50% Republicans and 29% unaffiliated.

    Voter turnout in 2020 presidential election: 80% of registered voters.

    Pre-Election Day voting

    Votes cast before Election Day 2020 and 2022: almost all votes cast by mail.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote tracker.

    How long does vote-counting take?

    First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 10:01 p.m. ET.

    By midnight ET: about 63% of total votes cast were reported.

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    Associated Press writer Maya Sweedler contributed to this report.

    ___

    Read more about how U.S. elections work at Explaining Election 2024, a series from The Associated Press aimed at helping make sense of the American democracy. The AP receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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  • AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Oregon on Election Day

    AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Oregon on Election Day

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    WASHINGTON (AP) — The presidential election and the race for control of the closely divided U.S. House are expected to dominate attention in Oregon on election night on Nov. 5. Voters will also decide a ballot measure to establish ranked-choice voting.

    At the top of the ballot, Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump will compete for Oregon’s eight electoral votes. The state had one of the closest vote margins in the 2000 presidential election but was overshadowed by the Florida recount. Since then, Oregon has moved sharply towards Democratic candidates in presidential elections, so much so that neither ticket has stepped foot in the state since becoming their parties’ nominees.

    In the U.S. House, Republican incumbent Lori Chavez-DeRemer faces a tough reelection bid for a second term in a district where voters preferred President Joe Biden over Trump by almost 10 percentage points in 2020. The Democratic nominee is Janelle Bynum, a state representative. Three third-party or independent candidates are also on the ballot. Chavez-DeRemer was first elected in 2022 by a 51%-49% margin.

    Republicans are targeting two first-term incumbents in Democratic-leaning districts covering the Salem and Eugene areas. Both Reps. Val Hoyle and Andrea Salinas won their seats in 2022 with a fraction more than 50% of the vote, although Hoyle enjoyed an 8-point margin of victory over her Republican opponent. Biden carried both Hoyle’s 4th District and Salinas’ 6th District with 55% of the vote.

    Voters will also consider Measure 117, which would establish ranked-choice voting. If passed, the measure would represent a significant shift in Oregon’s voting system. It’s one of five statewide questions on the ballot.

    Voters are also casting ballots for Portland mayor and the city’s new 12-member City Council.

    Oregon’s first reports typically focus on votes cast before Election Day, as the state primarily uses mail-in ballots. Oregon allows ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted if they arrive up to seven days later. This means initial results can shift as later ballots are processed. Key areas to watch include Clackamas and Deschutes counties, which are often pivotal in close races. Ballots were mailed out starting Oct. 16.

    Here’s a look at what to expect in the 2024 election in Oregon:

    Election Day

    Nov. 5.

    Poll closing time

    11 p.m. ET.

    Presidential electoral votes

    8 awarded to statewide winner.

    Key races and candidates

    President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (We the People) vs. Cornel West (Progressive) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) vs. Randall Terry (Constitution) vs. Jill Stein (Green).

    5th Congressional District: Chavez-DeRemer (R) vs. Janelle Bynum (D) and three others.

    Ballot measures: Measure 117 (establish ranked-choice voting).

    Other races of interest

    U.S. House, state Senate, state House, attorney general, secretary of state, treasurer, Portland mayor and other ballot measures.

    Past presidential results

    2020: Biden (D) 56%, Trump (R) 40%, AP race call: Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2020, 11 p.m. ET.

    Voter registration and turnout

    Registered voters: 3,051,923 (as of Oct. 2, 2024). About 33% Democrats, 24% Republicans and 36% nonaffiliated.

    Voter turnout in 2020 presidential election: 80% of registered voters.

    What to know about the 2024 Election

    Pre-Election Day voting

    Votes cast before Election Day 2020 and 2022: Almost all votes cast by mail.

    Votes cast before Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote tracker.

    How long does vote-counting take?

    First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 11 p.m. ET.

    By midnight ET: about 80% of total votes cast were reported.

    ___

    Associated Press writer Maya Sweedler contributed to this report.

    ___

    Read more about how U.S. elections work at Explaining Election 2024, a series from The Associated Press aimed at helping make sense of the American democracy. The AP receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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