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Tag: Dan Ives

  • Dan Ives Says We’re 7 Years From Peak AI—and That the iPhone Proves It

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    This morning Wedbush analyst Dan Ives shared to X a list of five historical moments when skepticism about new technology was proven wrong, big time. The post comes amid conversation and concern of an AI bubble. 

    As stock market gains become increasingly concentrated in a handful of tech companies, some investors have expressed worries that the AI driven activity is overheated. Several tech and financial leaders have weighed in with perspectives on the situation.

    Most recently, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said after the company’s November 19 earnings call that the AI revolution was far from its peak. Ives agreed with Huang then, and his recent X post echoes the sentiment.

    The first example in Ives’ post points to the fact that most investors in 2008 believed that Apple’s iPhone wouldn’t lead to anything past a year long AT&T-led mobile phone cycle. Another reminds readers that Netflix CEO Reed Hastings was mocked for wanting to transform the way people consumed media from DVDs to streaming. 

    In other words, as one X user commented, “Skepticism has always been the prelude to every technological awakening.” 

    “They laughed at the iPhone,” the user wrote. “History doesn’t repeat – it rhymes with human disbelief.”

    Flash forward to today, when skepticism about an AI bubble has been circulating. Ives suggests that similar risks have led to huge innovations and breakthrough moments.

    “In a nutshell, this AI Revolution is just beginning today… this is Year 3 of what will be a 10-year cycle of this AI Revolution buildout,” the end of the post read. “This is a nervous, white knuckle moment… but to be clear this is still early days in this tech transformation…”

    Responses were mixed. 

    One person commented, “100% agree Dan… We have only touched the tip of the iceberg in the proliferation of this technology.” 

    Another opposed the message. 

    “Not the same Dan,” they said. “Current intrinsic value if AI has be[en] disproportionally insulted by the capex. Unless that comes down we are bound to see what every bubble has been through in history. Maybe not now or tomorrow but soon.” 

    The final deadline for the 2026 Inc. Regionals Awards is Friday, December 12, at 11:59 p.m. PT. Apply now.

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    Ava Levinson

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  • Apple delivers strong quarter despite trade war challenges and ongoing artificial technology issues

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    SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — Apple delivered financial results during its summertime quarter that exceeded analyst projections, despite being caught in the crosshairs of a global trade war at the same time the trendsetting company is scrambling to catch up to its Big Tech peers in the artificial intelligence race.

    The performance announced Thursday was driven largely by strong initial demand for its iPhone 17 lineup that went on sale last month.

    Although the iPhone 17 lacks the AI wizardry featured in rival devices recently introduced by Samsung and Google, Apple spruced up its latest models with a redesign highlighted by a sleek “liquid glass” appearance on the display screens.

    Apple also largely maintained its pricing on its latest iPhones, despite being squeezed by the tariffs that President Donald Trump has imposed on the U.S. devices that the company mostly makes in India and China. The tariffs cost Apple $1.1 billion during the past quarter and are expected to cost another $1.4 billion during the final three months of the year.

    The formula apparently was enough to win over consumers, particularly in the United States and Europe, helping to produce iPhone sales totaling $49 billion during the July-September period, a 6% increase from the same time last year. That was slightly below the 8% jump in iPhone sales that had been anticipated by analysts, and less than the 13% bump in sales during the April-June period.

    IDC estimates that 58.6 million iPhones were sold worldwide in the July-September quarter, putting Apple second behind Samsung at 61.4 million of their Android-powered phones sold worldwide in the quarter.

    Buoyed by the iPhone results, Apple earned $27.5 billion, or $1.85 per share, nearly doubling its profit from a year ago. Revenue climbed 8% from a year ago to $102.5 billion. Both the earnings and revenue eclipsed the analyst forecasts that steer the stock market.

    Apple shares surged 3% in extended trading after the numbers came out.

    In a conference call with analysts, Apple CEO Tim Cook indicated his belief that the iPhone 17 lineup will continue to do well, predicting even more of the devices will be sold during the final three months of the year. “As we head into the holiday season with our most powerful lineup ever, I couldn’t be more excited for what’s to come,” Cook said. He cited the iPhone 17’s popularity in most parts of the world except China, where sales of the device dipped by 4% from a year ago.

    The Cupertino, California, company expects its iPhone sales to increase at least 10% from last year’s holiday season, according to projections provided by Apple’s chief financial officer, Kevan Parekh. Total revenue is expected to rise at a similar rate.

    Apple’s stock has been on a tear since a report earlier this month from the research firm International Data Corp. telegraphed the quarterly results with a preliminary analysis that concluded the company had set a new July-September record for iPhone sales. The rally catapulted Apple’s market value above $4 trillion for the first time earlier this week and now the stage is set for the shares to hit another new high during Friday’s regular trading session.

    But Apple has been widely seen as a laggard in the AI craze, one of the reasons that Nvidia — a chipmaker whose processors power the technology — became the first company to be valued at $5 trillion earlier this week.

    Apple had promised a wide array of AI features would be rolling out on last year’s iPhone models, but was only able to deliver a few of them. The missing upgrades included a smarter and more versatile version of its frequently flummoxed Siri virtual assistant – a makeover that Apple now doesn’t expect to complete until next year.

    But Apple has a long history of late starts when technology starts to head in another direction before it finally catches up and emerges as a front-runner.

    If Apple can pull it off again by eventually implanting more AI features on the iPhone, Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives believes those breakthroughs could boost the company’s market share by another $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, translating into $75 to $100 per share.

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  • AMD Inks Huge Compute Power Deal With OpenAI, Mirroring Nvidia’s Move

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    OpenAI’s Sam Altman and AMD’s Lisa Su testify before the Senate on May 08, 2025 in Washington, DC. Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

    Nvidia may be dominating the graphics processing unit (GPU) market right now, but its closest rival, AMD, is catching up. Today, (Oct. 6), AMD announced a landmark collaboration with OpenAI that mirrors a recent deal between OpenAI and Nvidia. Under the agreement, AMD will deploy six gigawatts of computing power to OpenAI, which will in turn have the option to acquire up to 10 percent of AMD’s stock—a stake worth roughly $33 billion now after the announcement sent AMD shares to soar 24 percent.

    The partnership gives OpenAI a critical boost in computing resources as it continues to roll out new A.I. models and tools. “This partnership is a major step in building the compute capacity needed to realize A.I.’s full potential,” OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said in a statement.

    OpenAI’s first one-gigawatt deployment is scheduled for the second half of 2026 and will use AMD’s MI450 chips. This initial rollout will coincide with a vesting schedule of AMD stock for OpenAI, allowing OpenAI to acquire up to 160 million shares as deployments scale to six gigawatts. The stock grant will vest based on OpenAI hitting technical and commercial milestones. The full deal will only be executed if AMD’s stock reaches $600 per share. AMD shares are currently traded at $204 apiece.

    The AMD partnership is the latest in a string of blockbuster A.I. deals. Nvidia recently announced its own long-term pact with OpenAI, pledging up to $100 billion in investments over the next decade. In return, OpenAI will obtain as much as 10 gigawatts of computing power from Nvidia’s systems.

    Global venture capital funding rose 38 percent year-over-year to $97 billion in the third quarter, according to Crunchbase, with nearly half of that money flowing into A.I. ventures. Analysts say the current boom evokes the early days of the internet.

    “We still believe we are in the early innings of this spending cycle,” said Dan Ives, an analyst with Wedbush Securities, in a client note. AMD’s new deal with OpenAI marks a “1996 moment” for the tech world, he added, likening today’s A.I. momentum to the foundational years of the tech economy.

    Nvidia’s shares slipped more than 1 percent today following AMD’s announcement, but the company still holds a commanding lead with more than 90 percent of the global GPU market. Nvidia’s early success in meeting A.I.-fueled GPU demand has propelled its market cap to $4.5 trillion and fueled $41 billion in data center revenue between May and July. AMD, in comparison, has a market cap of $334 billion and brought in $3.2 billion in data center revenue in its most recent quarter.

    Lisa Su, who has led AMD as CEO since 2014, is confident that the OpenAI deal will accelerate that growth. Her company has a “clear line of sight” to achieve tens of billions of dollars in data center revenue by 2027, Su told analysts today, adding that these numbers could grow even higher. “In addition to the OpenAI opportunity, and the very significant revenue addition there, we expect to generate well over $100 billion in the next several years,” she said.

    AMD Inks Huge Compute Power Deal With OpenAI, Mirroring Nvidia’s Move

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    Alexandra Tremayne-Pengelly

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  • EV Credit Rush Gave Tesla a Much-Needed Boost—But Challenges Loom

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    The Elon Musk-helmed company saw its delivery numbers soar after a shaky few quarters. Photo by Katherine KY Cheng/Getty Images

    The end of U.S. electric vehicle tax credits is expected to pose long-term challenges for industry leaders like Tesla. But the policy’s looming expiration fueled a surge in sales in the latest quarter. Tesla delivered 497,099 vehicles in the July-September quarter, a record high and up 7 percent from the same quarter last year. The strong quarter marks a turnaround for the carmaker, which has struggled with intensifying EV competition and growing backlash over CEO Elon Musk’s political activity. Its previous quarterly results showed deliveries of 384,122, a 13.5 percent year-over-year drop and the company’s second consecutive decline.

    The rush in sales was driven in large part by the September 30 termination of federal EV tax credits, which offered up to $7,500 per purchase. The policy change, enacted earlier this year by President Donald Trump, spurred buyers to close deals before the deadline. Tesla wasn’t the only beneficiary—Cox Automotive projects total U.S. EV sales in the third quarter will reach 410,000, a 21 percent increase over last year.

    “This was a great bounce back quarter for [Tesla] to lay the groundwork for deliveries moving forward,” said Dan Ives, a Wedbush Securities analyst, in a client note. Nevertheless, “EV demand is expected to fall with the EV tax credit expiration,” he warned. Tesla shares are down by more than 4 percent today (Oct. 2).

    Whether Tesla can sustain this momentum remains uncertain. Musk has increasingly positioned his company around a future dominated by self-driving cars and robotics, rolling out autonomous cars in Austin this summer. But for now, the bulk of Tesla’s revenue continues to come from EV sales, accounting for nearly three-quarters of its $22.5 billion in revenue last quarter.

    The company faces particular headwinds in Europe, where political backlash has weighed heavily on sales. In the first eight months of 2025, Tesla registrations in European Union countries fell 43 percent compared to the same period last year, according to data from the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association. August alone saw a 36 percent year-over-year drop. Overall, however, EV adoption in the EU continues to climb, with market share rising to 15.8 percent from last year’s 12.6 percent.

    In China, Tesla is also losing ground. Shipments from its Shanghai Gigafactory reportedly fell 4 percent year-over-year in August, marking declines in seven of the past eight months. In an effort to combat local EV rivals, Tesla recently introduced its Model Y L to the region.

    One bright spot for the company is its energy storage unit. The unit deployed 12.5 GWh of storage products over the past three months, up more than 80 percent from last year. The business, which includes Megapack and Powerwall battery systems, is gaining traction with utilities and companies expanding their A.I. infrastructure. Musk’s own A.I. startup, xAI, was among its clients, contributing nearly 2 percent of Tesla’s $10 billion in energy revenue last year.

    EV Credit Rush Gave Tesla a Much-Needed Boost—But Challenges Loom

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    Alexandra Tremayne-Pengelly

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  • Nvidia earnings will put an entire stock market meme to the test. Again.

    Nvidia earnings will put an entire stock market meme to the test. Again.

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    Nvidia (NVDA) is at the center of a new meme stock rally.

    Its earnings report on Wednesday will put that theme to the test. Again.

    Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, the most creative voice on Wall Street today, marrying a dramatic flair with a prescient, unabashed bullishness on AI’s investment case, called Nvidia’s quarterly results from last May a “jaw dropping” event.

    “The Street was all awaiting last night’s Nvidia quarter and guidance to gauge the magnitude of this AI demand story with many skeptics saying an AI bubble was forming and instead Jensen & Co. delivered guidance for the ages,” Ives wrote at the time

    And Ives was only just getting started.

    In August, Nvidia’s increased revenue forecast was a “drop the mic” moment for the company, in Ives’ view.

    By November, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang had been crowned by Ives as the “Godfather of AI” after the company once again raised its sales forecast. Ives added the company’s November outlook was “guidance heard around the world as the AI Revolution is accelerating into 2024 for the broader tech sector.”

    Three months later, and what do we have in the market? Anything and everything with an AI play catching a bid while Nvidia has become the third-largest company in the market.

    On Wednesday, for instance, the chip giant disclosed modest stock investments in Arm Holdings (ARM), SoundHound AI (SOUN), and biotech company Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX).

    Shares of all three rallied on Thursday following the news, most notably SoundHound, which gained 60% on news Nvidia owned about 1.5% of the company’s outstanding shares as of Dec. 31.

    Add to this the recent action seen in Arm stock, and the rally in cloud storage play Super Micro Computer (SMCI) — which saw its stock gain about 200% in a month and nearly 1000% over the last 12 months, before pulling back on Friday — and we can see that a bona fide AI craze has broken out in the stock market. One in which the mere suggestion that a company could be set to benefit from accelerating AI-related spending is enough to bid shares higher.

    Now, the notion that an AI-fueled market rally is hanging by a thread only Nvidia can sew on tightly is far from a novel idea, as Ives noted in his May 2023 report. And so perhaps it is our error to see this week’s results from Nvidia as holding much significance beyond the fortunes of Nvidia itself.

    Moreover, the corporate earnings outlook that can backstop a rally growing beyond AI continues to improve. Meanwhile, the number of times corporate executives have brought up AI on earnings calls of late has actually been on the decline.

    And unlike the meme stock rally of 2021 — in which fundamental stories were haphazardly retrofitted to explain why a stock might double or triple in a few trading days — the enthusiasm for AI plays is based on a firmer foundation of actual corporate spending.

    But with the locus of that investment found on Nvidia’s income statement, it’s hard to shake the feeling that these results will mean something bigger for the stock market rally. Even if we’ve seen this film before.

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