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Tag: Crypto Winter

  • Bitcoin May Already Be Entering Crypto Winter, Researchers Warn

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    Bitcoin’s recent slide has left traders squinting at charts and asking the same blunt question: correction or crash? Prices have tumbled sharply, but some market watchers still see this as a deep pullback inside a longer uptrend. Others warn the data points to something colder.

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    Price Decline And Hard Numbers

    According to XWIN Research’s CryptoQuant analysis, Bitcoin has fallen about 46% from a peak near $126,000 and now trades around $67,900 after five straight months of losses.

    The Fear & Greed Index sits at 14 — a reading labeled Extreme Fear. Reports note that net realized losses recently hit over $13 billion, a level that matched the worst stretches of the 2022 slump.

    In 2024, roughly $10 billion of inflows helped lift market cap. Then in 2025, more than $300 billion flowed in while the overall market value shrank. That odd mix of heavy inflows and falling market cap suggests selling pressure is higher than fresh buying.

    Capital Flows Versus Price Action

    Based on reports, the capital flow numbers are the most awkward fact for bulls. Money moved in, but value fell. Who was selling into that demand? Large holders, paper traders, or complex derivatives desks might have taken profits or hedged positions.

    The data alone doesn’t name the seller, but the pattern is a red flag. On-chain measures also reveal shrinking realized gains even as prices remained far above prior bear-era levels. That tends to weaken the internal strength of the market over time.

    Sentiment And Historical Echoes

    Some traders point to a quirk of memory: high nominal prices make pain feel milder. People don’t want to relive the chaos of 2022. Reports say the launch of spot ETFs and deeper institutional access have changed the market’s plumbing, and that gives many confidence.

    Bitcoin is now trading at $67,918. Chart: TradingView

    Yet sentiment readings at extreme fear often show up near capitulation points. It’s worth remembering that in 2022 realized losses peaked about five months before the market bottom, which means big losses can precede a final low by a long stretch.

    Technical Patterns And The Bigger Picture

    Bitcoin posted four consecutive losing months and a 41% decline across that stretch — a streak last seen during 2018 rather than 2022. That pattern matters because similar sequences have led to extended downturns in the past.

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    Bitcoin At A Crossroads As XWIN Flags Early Signs Of Crypto Winter

    For XWIN Research, the message is simple: price alone does not define the cycle. What matters is who is buying, who is selling, and whether demand can absorb supply without market value shrinking.

    Right now, that balance looks strained. Until inflows begin translating into sustained market cap growth and realized losses cool meaningfully, the firm believes the market should be treated with caution rather than optimism. Winter may not have fully arrived, but based on the data, the temperature is clearly dropping.

    Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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    Christian Encila

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  • Bitcoin Shaken By Major Capitulation Event As Price Drops To $65K

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    They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

    Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

    Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley!

    So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

    Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

    Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

    Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

    Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects.

    So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

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    Christian Encila

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  • Justin Sun predicts the harshest of crypto winter has passed

    Justin Sun predicts the harshest of crypto winter has passed

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    The Justin Sun Group, including TRON, HTX, Poloniex and TUSD, reported a 14% increase in revenue from the previous quarter.

    Sun suggests that the ability to sustain revenue growth in these adverse conditions presents a more promising fourth quarter as the market displays signs of recovery.

    Better conditions to come

    In a post on X dated Oct. 26, Sun shares that following the third quarter of 2023, actual revenue was $202 million, with profits being estimated at $98 million. Based on these numbers, the Group’s estimate for revenue in the next quarter is now projected at $190 million, which would suggest profits of $104 million.

    Sun surmises an optimistic fourth quarter due to the third quarter being plagued with formidable challenges in the industry, including a backdrop of high-interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, which led to a decline in the industry’s overall revenue. 

    The TRON founder goes on to state that his group is holding the view that the most challenging times are now behind them. With the impending approval of the Bitcoin ETF on the horizon, Sun believes the crypto market is poised for a resurgence in the coming Q4 and Q1 of 2024.

    A huge shift

    Justin Sun’s comments on X coincide with analysts of the Wall Street giant Morgan Stanley, who have said the Bitcoin and crypto winter could finally be over.

    After seeing prices collapse since late 2021, the price of Bitcoin, the number one cryptocurrency by trading volume, has rocketed to over $30,000, in what is believed to be a huge shift moving forward.


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    Sarah Jansen

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