As the first week of September concluded, the Solana (SOL) price settled at $124, raising concerns for investors as the fifth largest cryptocurrency risks breaching the critical $100 threshold.
According to market analyst Ali Martinez, recent technical analysis indicates that a sustained close below the channel’s lower boundary at $126 could trigger a significant price correction for Solana, potentially dropping to $110 or even $90.
Solana Price Challenges
In a social media update, Martinez elaborated on the current market conditions, noting that the TD Sequential indicator had previously presented a buy signal on the daily chart. This suggested a possible rebound for Solana from the lower boundary of its trading channel towards higher levels at $154 and $187.
However, the broader market’s ongoing selloff has invalidated this bullish signal, causing Solana to suffer losses of approximately 20% over the past two weeks and 13% in the last month.
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Despite these challenges, there remains a glimmer of hope for Solana’s recovery. Martinez pointed out a historical pattern indicating that Solana typically experiences a price upswing in the two weeks leading up to its “Breakpoint event”.
In 2021, the cryptocurrency surged by 35%, the following year it increased by another 35%, and in 2023 it soared by 60%. With only 16 days left until the 2024 “breakpoint event,” the analyst suggests that this trend of the past few years could continue, which would mean a significant recovery for the token.
If the historical pattern holds, Solana could potentially rally 35% towards $167, but remain just below the upper limit of its current channel at $187. However, as Martinez pointed out, the key is for SOL to recover and consolidate above the $126 level in the coming days to avoid further declines.
Influx of Capital From FTX Creditors And Historically Bullish Q4
Further adding some sense of hope for SOL investors, the fourth quarter post-Bitcoin (BTC) Halving events has historically shown bullish trends, suggesting a potential market recovery that could also benefit SOL significantly.
Adding to this hopeful outlook, the now-defunct crypto exchange FTX is set to distribute over $16 billion in cash to creditors affected by its collapse. This influx of capital into the market could signal a substantial return, particularly impacting four key cryptocurrencies.
Analyst OxNobler highlights that a majority of the affected FTX clients are retail investors, indicating that a significant portion of the recovered funds is likely to re-enter the crypto market.
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The expectation is that a substantial share of these funds will flow into Bitcoin and other dominant cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH), Solana, and Binance Coin (BNB). The anticipated return of capital not could stabilize the market but also present an opportunity for price increases across these assets.
However, it remains to be seen if this is indeed the case, but if it is, it could be a much-needed catalyst for the market following the strong sell-off activity that the largest cryptocurrencies on the market have experienced in recent months.
Due to market volatility and Bitcoin (BTC) price fluctuations, identifying the best times to buy the pioneer cryptocurrency can be challenging. Taking this into consideration, a crypto analyst has pinpointed key price levels for investors to monitor for potential buying opportunities.
Buy Levels To Watch For The Bitcoin Price
A crypto analyst identified as ‘Stockmoney Lizards’ took to X (formerly Twitter) on August 1 to discuss Bitcoin’s recent price movements, highlighting key buy levels and the cryptocurrency’s propensity for a price increase. The analyst notes that Bitcoin’s current price actions indicate a classic 5-wave uptrend followed by an ABC correction with an overarching wave B.
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An ABC correction is a continuous pattern that occurs during uptrends or downtrends. It is a pattern within the Elliott Wave Theory that reflects a three wave correction and helps identify a trend continuation.
Sharing a Bitcoin price chart illustrating each wave (A, B, and C), the analyst disclosed that Wave B ended at the Value Area High (VAH) around the $69,885 mark. According to the analyst, this price level historically acted as a resistance. This means that Bitcoin’s price may face difficulty moving above this point.
Source: X
The analyst further revealed that the $66,745 price point also acted as a resistance level for Bitcoin. He highlighted this critical level on the BTC price chart, emphasizing that the red line represents a Point Of Control (POC) for the cryptocurrency.
Moreover, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level for Bitcoin is identified as a potential support area for a new uptrend. The analyst disclosed that this crucial level coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the Value Area Low (VAL), which are all important support levels.
Concluding his analysis, the crypto analyst suggested that the support area between $61,800 and $62,300 was an important buying level to watch out for. He noted that on the higher timeframe, Bitcoin’s potential uptrend was still intact, adding that if the cryptocurrency’s price breaks below the $61,800 mark, then a further decline to test the 2.618 Fibonacci extension at $56,800 should be expected.
Overall, the crypto analyst is leaning towards a bullish outlook for the short term and mid term timeframes in Bitcoin’s price. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $61,594, reflecting a 4.21% decline in the last 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap.
BTC Poised To Breakout In September
Other analysts have also remained relatively bullish on Bitcoin’s price, predicting rallies to new all-time highs for the pioneer cryptocurrency. According to a crypto analyst identified as ‘TOBTC’ on X, Bitcoin experienced a significant decline in its price, falling below the $63,000 price mark.
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Source: X
The analyst revealed that despite Bitcoin getting rejected at the $70,000 resistance, a potential breakout is expected by September. This bullish sentiment is shared by a different crypto analyst, Michael van de Poppe, who predicts that if Bitcoin holds above $60,000 to $61,000, the cryptocurrency could witness an upward movement to new all time highs in September or October 2024.
In a recent interview with Fox News, former President Donald Trump voiced support for using Bitcoin as a tool to help pay down the United States’ $35 trillion national debt as he positions himself for a potential 2024 presidential re-election, while also signaling a notable shift in the Republican party’s stance on digital assets.
Trump’s Strategy To Tackle $35 Trillion Debt With Bitcoin
“Crypto is a very interesting thing, very high level in certain ways, intellectually very high level,” Trump said. The former president acknowledged the rapid growth and adoption of cryptocurrencies globally, warning that if the US does not embrace the technology, countries like China will move ahead and seize the initiative.
Trump’s recent comments echo proposals from Republican figures such as Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis and former House Speaker Paul Ryan, who have floated the idea of the US government investing in Bitcoin holdings to help pay down the national debt.
While Trump didn’t offer any new specifics, he did hint at the possibility of the government simply “handing out a little crypto check” or “handing them a little Bitcoin” as a way to pay down the $35 trillion debt.
Genesis Triggers $1.6 Billion In BTC And ETH Transfers
Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, briefly dipped below the $63,000 level, reaching a weekly low of $62,440 as news of the Genesis distributions hit the market. According to the announcement made by Genesis on August 2, the firm has commenced making distributions to creditors pursuant to its Chapter 11 bankruptcy plan.
As part of the initial distribution, BTC creditors will receive 51.28% of their holdings in-kind, while ETH creditors will receive 65.87% of their ETH holdings. On the other hand, creditors of other altcoins, excluding Solana (SOL), will receive an average of 87.65% of their holdings, while Solana creditors will receive 29.58% of their holdings.
The distributions have already begun, with wallets linked to Genesis Trading moving 16.6K BTC ($1.1 billion) and 166.3K ETH ($521.1 million) in the past hour, according to market intelligence platform Arkham.
Interestingly, billionaire investor and crypto supporter Mark Cuban has reportedly received $19.9 million in ETH from the Genesis Bankruptcy, further highlighting the implications of the firm’s downfall.
The firm also disclosed that creditors have established a $70 million litigation fund to pursue claims against various third parties, including Digital Currency Group (DCG), Genesis’ parent company.
At the time of writing, the largest cryptocurrency on the market has managed to regain the $63,100 level after falling towards the $62,000 zone on Friday. BTC is currently down 0.8% in the 24-hour time frame.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
For the crypto and broader financial market, FOMC day is upon us once again today. And analysts agree that today’s meeting will be one of the most important in recent years. Kurt S. Altrichter, a financial advisor and founder of Ivory Hill, even describes today’s FOMC meeting as the “most important of your life.” In a new post on X, Altrichter explains why.
FOMC Preview
Central to today’s FOMC meeting is the Federal Reserve’s potential indication of a September rate cut. According to Altrichter, the financial markets are almost unanimously anticipating this move, with Fed fund futures indicating a near-certain likelihood of such an outcome. “Market expectation is a strong signal for a September rate cut,” Altrichter points out, marking today’s update as a pivotal moment for financial markets.
The key question for today is: “How strongly does the Fed signal a September rate cut?” the expert explains. Investors are directed to pay close attention to the FOMC’s statement at 2:00 pm ET, especially the third paragraph, which could subtly signal the Fed’s confidence in reaching its inflation targets.
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Altrichter advises, “Look at the 3rd paragraph for this key sentence: The Committee does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent.” Any modification in this wording would be a clear signal that the Fed is nearing its inflation control goals, potentially paving the way for rate adjustments.
Altrichter outlines several potential outcomes from the meeting, each associated with specific market reactions. In a dovish scenario, the Fed signals a rate cut for September. Then, Altrichter expects a broad market rally, especially in sectors less sensitive to interest rates. “Yields and the dollar should fall modestly with a modest rally in commodities,” Altrichter predicts, suggesting significant movements in standard and sector-specific indexes.
In a hawkish scenario, there will be no change in the forward guidance by the US central bank. If the Fed maintains its current stance without hinting at future cuts, the markets might experience a downturn. “Look out below and expect a sharp decline. SPX should fall by 1-2%,” he warns, noting that tech and growth sectors might relatively outperform due to their appeal during higher yield periods.
How Will Bitcoin And Crypto React?
The potential adjustments in US monetary policy bear direct consequences for the Bitcoin and crypto markets. Crypto, often viewed as alternative investments, reacts sensitively to shifts in monetary policy, particularly regarding interest rates.
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If the dovish scenario materializes, this could make Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies more appealing. A signal of lower future rates could drive increased investment into the crypto market, potentially leading to price increases as investors seek higher returns in alternative assets.
Conversely, should the Fed signal reluctance to cut rates, indicating a stronger economic outlook or concerns about inflation, this could strengthen the US dollar and increase yields on traditional financial instruments. Such an environment might lead to a pullback in the crypto markets, as the comparative advantage of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies diminishes against strengthening traditional yields.
Max Schwartzman, CEO of Because Bitcoin Inc, commented via X: “FOMC is [today] & its incredibly important as we get into the end of this fed cycle… Here is how the last 11 meetings have gone for Bitcoin…”
How Bitcoin reacted the last 11 times | Source: X @MaxBecauseBTC
Thus, today’s FOMC meeting is a watershed moment for financial markets globally, with significant implications for both traditional and crypto markets. As Altrichter succinctly puts it, “A Sept Fed rate cut has driven the 2024 bull market. Tomorrow’s meeting will either reinforce that tailwind or refute it. If the Fed signals a cut, the rally continues. No signal: markets could get ugly.”
After hitting an all-time high of $73,400 in March 2024, the Bitcoin price has since retraced, remaining below its all-time high for the last four months. Nevertheless, expectations remain high that the Bitcoin price will eventually recover and hit a new all-time high, with crypto analyst “Melikatrader94” on TradingView predicting another run to $77,600.
Bitcoin Turns Bullish On The Charts
In the analysis that was shared on the TradingView website, crypto analyst Melikeatrader94 revealed her thesis for why the Bitcoin price could be headed to a new all-time high. The major reason behind the prediction is bullish chart patterns.
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The crypto analyst pointed out that the Bitcoin price had successfully broken out of a descending trend line. This is important because such a break indicates a return of bullish pressure, causing the price to go up. From here, Bitcoin could push toward its current all-time high price.
Furthermore, there have been multiple confirmations on the chart, suggesting that the resulting rally from this descending trend line break could be incredibly strong. The crypto analyst points out that there will be corrections along the way. But ultimately, the direction for the Bitcoin price from here is up.
Targets For The BTC Price
With the Bitcoin breakout from the descending trend line, the crypto analyst believes that the price will rise to a new all-time high of $77,604. However, this is not going to be a completely easy path for Bitcoin as major resistance levels lie ahead.
For starters, the crypto analyst believes that the BTC price risks a downward correction when it eventually gets to $70,000. This makes it the first major level to clear in the road to a new all-time high before encountering another resistance.
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If Bitcoin is able to beat $70,000, then it is expected to reclaim its current all-time high above $73,400. However, it faces major resistance just a short distance away. The analyst’s next resistance level lies at $73,612. Due to this, the analyst believes that both $70,000 and $73,612 could serve as possible re-entry points.
Going by the crypto analyst’s prediction, the Bitcoin price could see a notable 15% jump in price from its current level. Furthermore, the BTC price hitting a new all-time high would be positive for the crypto market given that the pioneer cryptocurrency is the established market mover and altcoins follow its path.
Ronaldo is an experienced crypto enthusiast dedicated to the nascent and ever-evolving industry. With over five years of extensive research and unwavering dedication, he has cultivated a profound interest in the world of cryptocurrencies.
Ronaldo’s journey began with a spark of curiosity, which soon transformed into a deep passion for understanding the intricacies of this groundbreaking technology.
Driven by an insatiable thirst for knowledge, Ronaldo has delved into the depths of the crypto space, exploring its various facets, from blockchain fundamentals to market trends and investment strategies. His tireless exploration and commitment to staying up-to-date with the latest developments have granted him a unique perspective on the industry.
One of Ronaldo’s defining areas of expertise lies in technical analysis. He firmly believes that studying charts and deciphering price movements provides valuable insights into the market. Ronaldo recognizes that patterns exist within the chaos of crypto charts, and by utilizing technical analysis tools and indicators, he can unlock hidden opportunities and make informed investment decisions. His dedication to mastering this analytical approach has allowed him to navigate the volatile crypto market with confidence and precision.
Ronaldo’s commitment to his craft goes beyond personal gain. He is passionate about sharing his knowledge and insights with others, empowering them to make well-informed decisions in the crypto space. Ronaldo’s writing is a testament to his dedication, providing readers with meaningful analysis and up-to-date news. He strives to offer a comprehensive understanding of the crypto industry, helping readers navigate its complexities and seize opportunities.
Outside of the crypto realm, Ronaldo enjoys indulging in other passions. As an avid sports fan, he finds joy in watching exhilarating sporting events, witnessing the triumphs and challenges of athletes pushing their limits. Furthermore, His passion for languages extends beyond mere communication; he aspires to master German, French, Italian, and Portuguese, in addition to his native Spanish. Recognizing the value of linguistic proficiency, Ronaldo aims to enhance his work prospects, personal relationships, and overall growth.
However, Ronaldo’s aspirations extend far beyond language acquisition. He believes that the future of the crypto industry holds immense potential as a groundbreaking force in history. With unwavering conviction, he envisions a world where cryptocurrencies unlock financial freedom for all and become catalysts for societal development and growth. Ronaldo is determined to prepare himself for this transformative era, ensuring he is well-equipped to navigate the crypto landscape.
Ronaldo also recognizes the importance of maintaining a healthy body and mind, regularly hitting the gym to stay physically fit. He immerses himself in books and podcasts that inspire him to become the best version of himself, constantly seeking new ways to expand his horizons and knowledge.
With a genuine desire to become the best version of himself, Ronaldo is committed to continuous improvement. He sets personal goals, embraces challenges, and seeks opportunities for growth and self-reflection. Ultimately, combining his passion for cryptocurrencies, dedication to learning, and commitment to personal development, Ronaldo aims to go hand-in-hand with the exciting new era that the emerging crypto technology is bringing to the world and societies.
A crypto analyst has predicted that Ethereum (ETH), the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency will surge to new all-time highs around the $8,000 price mark. However, for Ethereum to reach this ambitious price target, the analyst emphasized that the cryptocurrency must fulfill certain key conditions.
Ethereum Road Map To $8,000 ATH
A crypto analyst identified as ‘Bluntz’ on X (formerly Twitter) has expressed bullish optimism for Ethereum’s future outlook. The analyst forecasted that ETH could witness a mega rally to an $8,000 all-time high this market cycle.
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Bluntz shared a video on June 8 via his official X account, highlighting key conditions Ethereum will have to overcome before it can reach a new all-time high around $8,000. The crypto analyst noted that ETH/USD is presently near recent lows, as a result, Ethereum could be getting closer to its lowest point in this current bearish trend.
The analyst disclosed that it was highly unlikely that Ethereum would immediately start surging upwards from its current low point. He emphasized that the cryptocurrency will need to undergo additional downward movement before witnessing a surge to the $8,000 price target.
For Ethereum to begin its road map to the $8,000 all-time high, Bluntz believes that the cryptocurrency must “sweep $2,800, take out the low and reclaim it.” After this, the analyst revealed that a three-wave corrective pattern, termed an “ABC,” will be completed, potentially signaling the end of Ethereum’s downward trend and the beginning of a substantial upward movement.
Bluntz also noted in his video that Ethereum’s ABC wave correction will send the price of the cryptocurrency to $6,000 before pulling back and rallying again to a cyclic top of around $8,000. He expects Ethereum to trade sideways for a while, testing new lows before entering a recovery stage.
Analyst Asserts Ethereum’s Biggest Gains Are Yet To Come
In his post, Bluntz confidently asserted that Ethereum has yet to experience its “big run” in this market cycle. Although the cryptocurrency surged to new highs above $4,000 earlier this year, Bluntz and a few other crypto analysts have predicted more bullish upsides for the cryptocurrency.
One of the primary reasons behind the market’s optimism concerning Ethereum’s price outlook is the upcoming launch of Spot Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Bluntz disclosed in his video that the introduction of Ethereum Spot ETFs will likely trigger a substantial price increase for Ethereum.
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The analyst revealed that various crypto community members have engaged in a hot debate about the potential launch of the Ethereum ETF, expecting it to have a positive impact on Ethereum’s value. However, contrary to belief, Bluntz anticipates a major ETH sell-off, emphasizing that the price of the cryptocurrency will likely drop following the launch of its ETF.
This initial sell-off phase could indicate the shakeout of weaker hands in the crypto market. Following this, Bluntz expects Ethereum to be “bid up heavily,” potentially driving the price upwards.
Raoul Pal, the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Real Vision Group, has predicted that the global crypto market will reach a market capitalization of $100 trillion. The financial expert has maintained a strong bullish position for the future of the industry, outlining several reasons why he believes the market will jump 44X from its current market capitalization.
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Crypto Market To Hit $100 Trillion Market Cap
In a recent YouTube interview on the Blockworks Macro channel, Pal predicted that the total market capitalization of the crypto industry could jump from $2.5 trillion to $100 trillion in less than a decade. The financial expert disclosed that if the market maintains a steady growth rate and continues to evolve at a rapid pace, then it could see its market capitalization surging by up to 44X.
In an earlier post on X (formerly Twitter), Pal disclosed that assets like cryptocurrency and technology perform extremely well during secular trends based on adoption. He highlighted that this growth rate was twice the speed of the internet’s adoption when comparing active wallets and IP addresses.
The analyst has based his $100 trillion crypto market capitalization on the rate of adoption of the crypto industry, highlighting that the increasing number of cryptocurrency users will have a massive impact on the market’s value. Additionally, in the interview, Pal advised against taking unnecessary investment risks when engaging in cryptocurrencies.
He disclosed that the goal should be to maximize investment opportunities without getting caught up in tribal or philosophical debates. He emphasized that with the cryptocurrency market potentially reaching a $100 trillion market capitalization, it’s unnecessary to take excessive investment risks. Instead, investors should balance risk and opportunity, utilizing the right portfolio management strategies to effectively capture the majority of the market gains.
Total crypto market cap currently at $2.04 trillion. Chart: TradingView
Market Liquidity May Continue Into 2025
During the YouTube interview, Pal forecasted that the current market liquidity cycle could extend into 2025. The Real Vision CEO disclosed that since 2008, there has been a notable cyclicality in global liquidity. Diving into the nuances of what he calls “The Everything Code,” Pal revealed that the current market cycle is significantly driven by the growth of market assets such as stocks, cryptocurrency and technology.
He noted that the market was shifting towards a “Macro Summer,” marked by liquidity growth and often associated with the “Banana Zone.” According to Pal, the banana zone is a period of significant upward price movements where market indicators turn bullish signaling the start of a new bull run.
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The financial expert emphasized that the global liquidity cycle tends to have a predictable pattern which influences economic activities. He highlighted several factors that could also impact the cryptocurrency market cycle including the upcoming US Presidential elections and a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
In a significant development for the cryptocurrency industry, FTX, the exchange that collapsed in November 2022 under the leadership of convicted Sam Bankman-Fried, is preparing to distribute a staggering $16 billion in cash to its customers, which could lead to significant gains for Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL) prices.
Crypto researcher Xremlin has predicted that a considerable portion of this cash will flow back into the crypto market, serving as a catalyst for growth towards the end of the year.
FTX $16 Billion Cash Injection
In a recent social media post, Xremlin highlighted the significance of the distribution, emphasizing that it involves returning $16 billion in cash to individuals already involved in the crypto space.
Xremlin believes that a significant portion of this money will be reinvested in the market, specifically in purchasing various tokens, including Bitcoin and Solana, creating significant buying pressure and price growth for both cryptocurrencies.
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The source of this massive cash injection can be traced back to FTX’s agreement with US government agencies, where assets acquired with misappropriated customer funds were sold. These assets encompassed investments in cryptocurrencies, tech companies, venture funds, and real estate.
Following the sale of shares in AI startup Anthropic, where FTX had previously invested $500 million, the distressed exchange found $6.4 billion in cash. It is important to note that the amount also includes assets controlled by debtors and liquidators.
However, the distribution has faced dissatisfaction among some clients due to settling customer claims based on lower cryptocurrency prices from November 2022, when FTX filed for bankruptcy.
For instance, clients holding 10 Ethereum’s native token ETH in their accounts will receive approximately $12,000 in cash, significantly lower than the asset’s current worth of around $29,000 as ETH trades at $2,900.
Despite objections, the court has approved creditor voting on the liquidation plan, and if passed by the necessary number of votes, the plan will be implemented after final court approval.
Buying Frenzy For Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana?
Key dates to watch for further developments include August 16, 2024, which marks the deadline for FTX customers to vote on the bankruptcy wind-down payments, and October 7, 2024, when Judge John Dorsey will consider approving the FTX bankruptcy plan.
If the current plan is approved, clients can expect payouts to begin by the end of Q3, potentially providing much-needed liquidity for token purchases. This timing coincides with the US elections, which could contribute to increased market volatility.
Consequently, FTX payouts could serve as an additional factor fueling a bullish trend in the crypto market as it finds itself in significant price declines.
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Bitcoin has fallen over 21% in the past month at one end of the market, from a high of $71,000 to a current trading price of $56,400. Meanwhile, Solana surpasses BTC’s losses with a 22% drop in the same time frame, currently trading at $134.
Furthermore, it is expected that the ongoing selling pressure from the US and German governments witnessed over the past month could continue for the rest of the year, and the cash injection from FTX to crypto investors could help mitigate the expected selling pressure.
The researcher points out that since most affected FTX customers are retail crypto investors, a significant portion of the money is expected to flow back into cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are likely to receive the most liquidity.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Recently, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a consolidation phase, fluctuating between $61,000 and $62,000 after a brief drop to $58,000 on June 24. While retail investors have shown renewed interest alongside institutional counterparts, the market faces a mix of bullish signs and potential headwinds.
Retail Investors Return To Bitcoin
In a recent social media post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlights the resurgence of retail investors, as evidenced by a four-month high in new BTC addresses reaching 432,026, adding to the sentiment that investors are betting on a significant price increase for BTC in the coming months, despite recent price volatility.
In a separate post analyzing BTC’s recent price action, Martinez also suggested that the largest cryptocurrency on the market is currently confined within a parallel channel, with a potential rebound to $63,200 or $63,800 if the lower bound at $62,500 holds.
In particular, Martinez cites the critical resistance areas of $65,795 and $78,700 as key targets if BTC breaks above them.
However, not all news is positive for the Bitcoin market. In the past 72 hours, BTC miners have sold over 2,300 BTC worth approximately $145 million. This selling pressure adds to the US and German governments’ ongoing sell-off of confiscated BTC.
Mining Industry Under Pressure
The mining industry faces challenges due to lower network fees and reduced block rewards resulting from the Halving event in April.
Kaiko Research notes that average network fees have decreased from $3 to $5, a significant drop from around $45 in January. The halving saw block rewards reduce from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, impacting miner revenue.
This revenue squeeze has put pressure on miners, eroding profitability while fixed expenses such as energy, wages, and rent remain constant. The decline in network fees has further contributed to the reduction in revenue.
Historically, Bitcoin price rallies following Halving events have helped miners compensate for the drop in rewards. However, the price of Bitcoin has remained relatively unchanged since the April 19 software update.
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In April, fees briefly surged to nearly $150 due to the increased minting of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) on the BTC blockchain. Although this temporarily relieved miners, fees have since returned to average levels.
According to Bloomberg, Marathon Digital, one of the largest Bitcoin miners, sold 390 BTC in May and plans to sell more tokens to manage its finances.
Kaiko Research warns that the risk of forced selling by miners may persist in the coming months. As a result, the industry is expected to witness consolidation as miners seek to “consolidate assets” and “increase efficiency.”
Notable examples include miner Riot Blockchain’s “hostile takeover attempt” of Bitfarms Ltd. and CleanSpark Inc.’s recent agreement to acquire Griid Infrastructure Inc. for $155 million in an all-stock transaction.
At the time of writing, BTC is still consolidating within its range at $61,880, down 2% in the 24-hour time frame, wiping out all gains in the past 30 days, as losses in this time frame amount to 9%.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ronaldo is an experienced crypto enthusiast dedicated to the nascent and ever-evolving industry. With over five years of extensive research and unwavering dedication, he has cultivated a profound interest in the world of cryptocurrencies.
Ronaldo’s journey began with a spark of curiosity, which soon transformed into a deep passion for understanding the intricacies of this groundbreaking technology.
Driven by an insatiable thirst for knowledge, Ronaldo has delved into the depths of the crypto space, exploring its various facets, from blockchain fundamentals to market trends and investment strategies. His tireless exploration and commitment to staying up-to-date with the latest developments have granted him a unique perspective on the industry.
One of Ronaldo’s defining areas of expertise lies in technical analysis. He firmly believes that studying charts and deciphering price movements provides valuable insights into the market. Ronaldo recognizes that patterns exist within the chaos of crypto charts, and by utilizing technical analysis tools and indicators, he can unlock hidden opportunities and make informed investment decisions. His dedication to mastering this analytical approach has allowed him to navigate the volatile crypto market with confidence and precision.
Ronaldo’s commitment to his craft goes beyond personal gain. He is passionate about sharing his knowledge and insights with others, empowering them to make well-informed decisions in the crypto space. Ronaldo’s writing is a testament to his dedication, providing readers with meaningful analysis and up-to-date news. He strives to offer a comprehensive understanding of the crypto industry, helping readers navigate its complexities and seize opportunities.
Outside of the crypto realm, Ronaldo enjoys indulging in other passions. As an avid sports fan, he finds joy in watching exhilarating sporting events, witnessing the triumphs and challenges of athletes pushing their limits. Furthermore, His passion for languages extends beyond mere communication; he aspires to master German, French, Italian, and Portuguese, in addition to his native Spanish. Recognizing the value of linguistic proficiency, Ronaldo aims to enhance his work prospects, personal relationships, and overall growth.
However, Ronaldo’s aspirations extend far beyond language acquisition. He believes that the future of the crypto industry holds immense potential as a groundbreaking force in history. With unwavering conviction, he envisions a world where cryptocurrencies unlock financial freedom for all and become catalysts for societal development and growth. Ronaldo is determined to prepare himself for this transformative era, ensuring he is well-equipped to navigate the crypto landscape.
Ronaldo also recognizes the importance of maintaining a healthy body and mind, regularly hitting the gym to stay physically fit. He immerses himself in books and podcasts that inspire him to become the best version of himself, constantly seeking new ways to expand his horizons and knowledge.
With a genuine desire to become the best version of himself, Ronaldo is committed to continuous improvement. He sets personal goals, embraces challenges, and seeks opportunities for growth and self-reflection. Ultimately, combining his passion for cryptocurrencies, dedication to learning, and commitment to personal development, Ronaldo aims to go hand-in-hand with the exciting new era that the emerging crypto technology is bringing to the world and societies.
In a thread on X, Miles Deutscher, a renowned figure in the crypto analysis sector, has dissected what he views as a critical flaw in the current altcoin market. Addressing his extensive following, Deutscher elaborated on the impact of the rapid increase in the number of new crypto tokens, an issue he believes to be at the core of the altcoins’ underperformance in this cycle.
The Proliferation Of Crypto
Since April 2024, the crypto landscape has witnessed the introduction of over 1 million new crypto tokens, with a notable half of these being memecoins created primarily on the Solana network. According to Deutscher, the ease of deploying these tokens on-chain contributes to an inflated token count but highlights a deeper issue of market saturation and dilution.
Deutscher elaborates, “We now have 5.7 times the amount of crypto tokens than we did during peak bull in 2021. This is a major reason why crypto has been struggling this year, despite Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs.” He likens the excessive issuance of new tokens to inflation, where “the more tokens that launch, the more cumulative supply pressure on the market.”
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The analyst also sheds light on the dynamics of venture capital (VC) investments in the crypto space, noting the largest quarter for VC funding peaked at $12 billion in Q1 2022, just as the market began to turn bearish. Deutscher criticizes the timing and strategy of VCs, suggesting that while their capital injection is essential for project development, it often leads to market imbalances.
“VCs, like retail investors, are opportunists. Their investment timing often aims to maximize returns rather than support sustainable project growth, contributing to cyclical peaks and troughs in the market,” Deutscher explains. He continues to discuss the subsequent market effects, where projects delay launches in unfavorable conditions, only to flood the market when sentiment turns, worsening the dilution.
The constant introduction of new tokens not only strains the market’s liquidity but also affects investor confidence, especially among retail investors. Deutscher emphasizes, “The skew towards private markets is one of the biggest and most damaging issues in crypto, especially compared to other markets like equities and real estate.”
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This environment creates a barrier to entry for new liquidity and leaves retail investors feeling sidelined, a sentiment exacerbated by high-profile failures like LUNA and FTX. Deutscher argues, “If retail investors feel like they can’t win, they won’t play the game, which is why memes have dominated this year—it’s the only meta where retail feels like they have a fighting chance.”
Looking forward, Deutscher proposes several strategies to mitigate these issues. Exchanges could enforce better token distribution standards and prioritize larger community allocations. Additionally, adjusting the percentage of tokens unlocked at launch could help manage sell pressure more effectively.
“Even if the insiders don’t enforce change, the market eventually will,” Deutscher asserts. He suggests that exchanges should adopt rigorous standards for listing new projects and be equally stringent about delisting those that fail to meet ongoing criteria, thus preserving market integrity and liquidity.
In his closing remarks, Miles Deutscher hopes his insights will foster better understanding and prompt a reevaluation of current practices. “Dispersion isn’t the only problem, but it certainly is a major one—and something that needs to be discussed more openly to foster a healthier crypto ecosystem.”
Bernstein analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra recently revised their price targets for Bitcoin in their latest market report, which also initiated coverage on MicroStrategy. These analysts also outlined factors that they believe could contribute to BTC’s exponential price surge.
Bitcoin To Hit $200,000 And Then $1 Million
Chhugani and Sapra predicted in the report that BTC will rise to a cycle high of $200,000 by 2025 and that the flagship crypto will reach $1 million by 2033. Bernstein had previously predicted that Bitcoin would reach $150,000 by 2025. However, these analysts have now revised their targets and alluded to the institutional demand for BTC as one of the reasons they believe the flagship crypto can reach such heights.
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The research firm predicts that the Spot Bitcoin ETFs will continue to record impressive demand and that the Bitcoin under management could reach $190 billion by 2025, a significant increase from the $60 billion in BTC that funds issuers already have under management.
In other words, these analysts expect BTC’s price to succumb to the supply and demand dynamics, considering that the Bitcoin in circulation is bound to drastically reduce as these Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to accumulate a significant amount of the crypto token for their respective ETFs. Moreover, two Bitcoin halvings are set to occur before 2033, further reducing miners’ supply and thereby supporting their base case of BTC hitting $1 million.
MicroStrategy To Benefit From BTC’s Growth
These Berstein analysts also initiated coverage on MicroStrategy with an outperform rating. They predict that the software company’s stock can rise to $2,890 thanks to its BTC exposure. A rise to $2,890 represents about a 95% increase for MicroStrategy’s stock, which is currently valued at around $1,500.
The research firm noted that MicroStrategy has committed itself to “building the world’s largest Bitcoin company.” This has already paid off so far, with Chhugani and Sapra stating that the software company has transformed from a “small software company to the largest BTC holding company” since August 2020 (when it started accumulating BTC).
MicroStrategy already owns 1.1% of Bitcoin’s total supply, with holdings worth around $14.5 billion. The company’s BTC holdings are expected to increase soon enough, as they recently announced plans to offer $500 million of Convertible Senior Notes. Some of the proceeds from the proposed sale will be used to buy additional BTC.
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Berstein highlighted how the company’s co-founder Michael Saylor has become synonymous with the Bitcoin brand and that the company’s position as the leading Bitcoin company has helped attract “at scale capital (both debt and equity) for an active Bitcoin acquisition strategy.” In dollar terms, Bernstein noted that MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin net asset value (NAV) per share “has grown nearly fourfold, surpassing the 2.4x growth in Bitcoin’s spot price.”
“We believe MSTR’s long term convertible debt strategy allows it enough time to gain from Bitcoin upside, with limited liquidation risk to its Bitcoin on balance sheet.” Chhugani and Sapra added.
The crypto market is showing signs of a bullish resurgence, with reports of an impressive $2 billion in inflows for May alone.
Alongside this positive trend, Ethereum (ETH) has seen a notable turnaround in investor sentiment as the long-awaited spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the market’s second-largest cryptocurrency received approval from the US regulators last week.
Record-Breaking Month For Crypto Products
According to a recent report from research firm CoinShares, digital asset investment products consistently attracted inflows during the four weeks, amassing a total of $185 million.
May proved to be particularly fruitful, with inflows surpassing $2 billion. This achievement marks the first time on record that year-to-date inflows have exceeded the $15 billion mark, highlighting investors’ growing interest in the crypto market.
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Most inflows originated from the United States, with a net inflow of $130 million. However, it is worth noting that ETF issuers experienced outflows amounting to $260 million.
Switzerland also witnessed a significant uptick in investor interest, recording its second-largest weekly inflow this year at $36 million. Meanwhile, Canada witnessed a positive turnaround, with inflows of $25 million, despite experiencing a net outflow of $39 million in May.
Ethereum Rebounds With $200M Inflows
Per the report, Bitcoin (BTC) continued to dominate the crypto market, attracting inflows totaling $148 million. Conversely, short-Bitcoin products witnessed another week of outflows, amounting to $3.5 million, suggesting that sentiment among ETF investors remains largely positive for the leading cryptocurrency.
Ethereum, on the other hand, experienced a notable change in investor sentiment following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of a spot-based ETF that is expected to launch in July 2024.
CoinShares notes that this approval marked a turning point for Ethereum, which had endured ten weeks of outflows totaling $200 million. Interestingly, the positive news for Ethereum had a ripple effect on Solana (SOL), which received an additional $5.8 million in inflows last week.
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While direct investments in crypto assets have been thriving, blockchain equities faced a different scenario. In the past week alone, blockchain equities witnessed outflows of $7.2 million.
The report notes that since the beginning of the year, the sector has suffered outflows totaling $516 million, reflecting a challenging period for blockchain-related stocks.
The 1-D chart shows ETH’s sideways price action between $3,700 and $3,900 over the past 10 days. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com
At the time of writing, Ethereum has seen a 4% price drop in the last week, resulting in a trading price of $3,770. However, the second-largest cryptocurrency on the market still holds gains of 21%, as recorded in the 30 days.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
In a recently published video titled “Best Altcoins To Buy Now,” crypto influencer Lark Davis shared his latest insights on promising altcoins with his 546,000 YouTube subscribers. Known for his candid and straightforward approach, Davis emphasized the speculative nature of his recommendations and the inherent risks of crypto investments.
Davis began by acknowledging Bitcoin’s role as the premier digital store of value, noting that while it remains the most secure asset in the crypto space, it is unlikely to deliver the high returns that some altcoins can offer. “If you’re after life-changing gains, then you have to risk life and limb in the altcoin jungle,” Davis remarked, underscoring the potential of altcoins to yield substantial returns, albeit with significant risks. He pointed out that Bitcoin, while being a solid choice for wealth preservation, probably won’t deliver 100x or even 10x returns in the near future.
The approval of spot Ethereum ETFs is a significant development that Davis believes will bring attention to other altcoin projects, setting the stage for a broader “altcoin season.” He acknowledged that while memecoins often gain the most attention during these times, other projects with real utility deserve closer scrutiny. Davis expressed his intent to highlight coins with actual use cases, as these have better chances of surviving market cycles and potentially achieving long-term success.
Best Altcoins To Buy Now
The first altcoin Davis highlighted is Jupiter (JUP), a decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator built on the Solana blockchain. Jupiter stands out due to its ability to consistently offer the best token prices by aggregating data from multiple exchanges. Davis emphasized the importance of Jupiter’s user-friendly interface, which simplifies the onboarding process for new users entering the DeFi space. This ease of use, combined with Solana’s recent popularity driven by memecoins, positions Jupiter as a key gateway for traders looking to capitalize on emerging trends.
Davis detailed Jupiter’s significant trading volumes, noting that it frequently surpasses Uniswap. In March and April, Jupiter achieved $47 billion and $35 billion in trading volume, respectively. He highlighted Jupiter’s perpetual exchange feature, which offers up to 100x leverage, as a significant attraction for traders seeking substantial gains. Moreover, Jupiter’s staking rewards model incentivizes participation in project governance, providing stakeholders with additional benefits such as incentivized tokens, launchpad fees, and airdrops. Davis mentioned Jupiter’s plans to expand into the forex and stock markets, which could further enhance its utility and market position.
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Next on Davis’s list is Aerodrome (AERO), a DEX operating on Coinbase’s Base ecosystem. Davis underscored the strategic advantage of having Coinbase, with its extensive user base of over 120 million, backing the Base ecosystem. This support, combined with the upcoming introduction of smart wallets to simplify user onboarding, gives Aerodrome a significant edge. Although there is no native token for the Base ecosystem yet, Davis believes Aerodrome’s token could serve as a viable alternative, benefiting from its role as a major DeFi platform within the ecosystem.
Davis pointed out Aerodrome’s impressive total value locked (TVL) of around $700 million and a market cap of approximately $500 million. He suggested that as more Coinbase users engage with the Base ecosystem, the Aero token could see substantial appreciation. Davis revealed that he has increased his holdings in Aerodrome, confident that the platform’s growth potential aligns with his investment strategy.
Davis also discussed SubSquid (SQD), describing it as the “Google of blockchains.” SubSquid is a comprehensive blockchain indexing solution designed to facilitate quick and cost-effective access to on-chain data. Davis explained that SubSquid acts like a decentralized filing cabinet, organizing data from multiple blockchains to enable developers to build decentralized applications (dApps) without the burden of slow queries. Supporting over 100 networks and utilized by more than 5,000 dApps, SubSquid offers a robust infrastructure for blockchain development.
With a total token supply of 1.34 billion and a market cap of around $21 million, SubSquid presents a compelling investment opportunity, according to Davis. He compared SubSquid’s market position to that of The Graph (GRT), which boasts a market cap of $3 billion, suggesting that SubSquid has significant room for growth. Davis mentioned his participation in SubSquid’s private sale and his current holding strategy, watching for the project’s development and market performance.
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The Oasis Network (ROSE), a layer-1 blockchain focused on privacy and scalability, was another recommendation. Davis highlighted its unique two-layer architecture, which separates consensus and smart contract execution to enhance privacy and scalability. This structure makes Oasis suitable for applications in finance, artificial intelligence (AI), and the metaverse. Davis emphasized the importance of privacy in blockchain applications, especially for attracting institutional users. He likened Oasis’s approach to Polkadot’s independent parachains and Avalanche’s subnet infrastructure.
Davis pointed out Oasis’s robust ecosystem fund, supported by prominent investors such as Binance Labs, Pantera Capital, and Jump Capital. The network’s ongoing rebrand aims to emphasize its focus on decentralized AI, aligning with current market narratives. Collaborations with projects like the Ocean Protocol and the involvement of notable figures in AI further bolster Oasis’s credibility and potential. The native token, ROSE, has a market cap of around $600 million and a maximum supply of 10 billion coins. Davis disclosed that he acquired a significant amount of ROSE during the bear market and continues to monitor the project’s progress.
Finally, Davis discussed Fantom (FTM), a layer-1 blockchain designed to challenge Ethereum’s dominance. He highlighted the upcoming Sonic upgrade, which will transform Fantom into a new blockchain, replacing the original. This rebrand, accompanied by technical enhancements, could drive significant interest and investment in Fantom. Davis praised Sonic’s impressive transaction speed of 2,000 transactions per second and sub-second finality, noting that these features position Fantom as a strong contender in the blockchain space.
Davis revealed that he secured a substantial position in Fantom through an OTC deal and later doubled his holdings by purchasing more on Binance. He emphasized the potential of the Sonic upgrade to attract attention and investment, driven by the involvement of popular developer Andre Cronje. With on-chain statistics improving and renewed interest in the Fantom ecosystem, Davis remains optimistic about its prospects.
In closing, Davis reminded viewers of the speculative nature of crypto investments and the importance of conducting thorough research. “Just because I like these coins doesn’t mean they’re guaranteed to succeed,” he cautioned. Davis’s insights reflect the dynamic and high-risk environment of the cryptocurrency market, where informed decision-making is crucial.
Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has provided another bullish narrative for the XRP price. This time, he outlined two scenarios that could occur and cause the crypto token to experience a breakout, potentially sending it as high as $7.5. This comes with the recent revelation that XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached its lowest ever.
Time For An XRP Price Breakout
Egrag Crypto shared a chart in an X (formerly Twitter) post that showed that the crypto token could rise to $7.5 when it accomplishes the breakout, which the crypto analyst claimed is imminent. Egrag highlighted a “White Triangle” breakout on the chart, which he stated is “aligning perfectly” with the previous charts and the Fib 0.702 to 0.786 levels.
Source: X
He added that the measured move is projected to be between $1.2 and $1.5 before XRP could take off and climb to $7.5. Egrag further remarked that the “critical breakout point” for XRP is around $0.70 and $0.7’5 and that the crypto token is “poised” to achieve this breakout in the “next couple of weeks.
Egrag warned that XRP could still experience significant declines before then, stating that a retest of the breakout might be on the cards. However, he is convinced that a “MEGA RUN for XRP is on the horizon.”
Meanwhile, for the second scenario of how XRP could achieve its impending breakout, Egrag Crypto highlighted an ‘Atlas Line’ on the XRP chart and claimed that the breakout point for XRP is at $0.6799. He noted that XRP is still holding strong “like a boss” on the atlas line, suggesting it shouldn’t be long before it breaks above $0.6799.
In the meantime, $0.5777 and $0.5000 are key price levels that XRP holders should monitor. Egrag labels them resistance and support levels for XRP’s upward trend along this atlas line.
Source: X
XRP Hits Its Lowest RSI In History
Egrag revealed in a more recent X post that XRP’s RSI is at its lowest ever. He noted that this assertion was based on the monthly time frame and shared a chart to prove his claim. Following his revelation, Egrag highlighted how bullish this was for XRP, stating, “If this isn’t a positive signal, I don’t know what is.”
Source: X
The chart he shared showed that XRP’s Relative Strength Index is at 38, which is indeed bullish for the crypto token. Low RSI levels are considered a buy signal since they suggest that the coin is oversold and undervalued. Therefore, crypto investors might be looking to accumulate XRP, with these buy orders expected to trigger a move to the upside for the crypto token.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at around $0.52, up almost 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
In his latest YouTube video titled “If I Had To 10X My Money In 90 Days, I’d Buy This Crypto Altcoin”, Miles Deutscher, renowned crypto analyst Miles Deutscher presented a refined outlook on altcoins he believes are positioned for significant gains in the next 90 days. Originally aiming to spotlight altcoins capable of a 20x return by the cycle’s end, Deutscher adjusted expectations based on realistic market analysis, highlighting those with the potential for a 10x increase.
Altcoins With A 10x Potential
Deutscher began his analysis by addressing the volatility and uncertainty inherent in the crypto markets, particularly within the altcoin sector. “A 20X return is not easy,” he explained, detailing the necessity of venturing deep into the risk curve and focusing on altcoins with smaller market caps to achieve such high returns. “You’re gonna need to go for coins in the one to $200 million market cap region, maybe $500 million to a billion,” he added.
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Recognizing the often unpredictable nature of the crypto market, Deutscher revised his approach: “So I’m actually going to reduce this question to 10x. I think 10x is much more realistic for many alts. I like the risk reward on a 10x more, than a 20x.”
Deutscher highlighted several altcoins he believes hold the potential for substantial gains:
Dogwifhat (WIF): Positioned as the premier meme coin on the Solana blockchain, WIF was discussed with particular enthusiasm by the analyst. With a current market cap of around $3.7 billion, Deutscher forecasted a possible climb to $37 billion, supported by strong community backing and favorable market conditions. He cited recent price movements and community engagement as indicators of an imminent rise, “WIF is starting to break out past this level [at around $3.60] on the daily, which is super bullish.”
Pepe (PEPE): Another meme coin, Pepe, was noted for its volatility and high-risk, high-reward nature by Deutscher. Despite achieving a 70x return personally, Deutscher still foresees a lot of potential. However, he also advised viewers on the strategy of taking profits progressively, underscoring the necessity to secure gains in a high-volatility environment.
Prime (Gaming Sector): Turning to the gaming niche, PRIME was mentioned by the crypto analysis as a promising candidate for a 10x increase, leveraging the growing popularity and investment flowing into blockchain-based gaming.
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Fantom (Infrastructure) and AIOZ (DePin/AI): Both Fantom and AIOZ were recognized for their technological innovations and potential market growth, with Deutscher predicting feasible 10x gains due to their solid technological foundations and market positions. “Fantom (FTM) can 10x. AIOZ can 10x,” he stated.
Risk Management In Crypto
Importantly, Deutscher emphasized the differentiation in investment strategies based on coin type and market position. While coins like Solana and Ondo Finance might not present a 10x gain, their market leadership and stability offer lower yet significant returns, which can be crucial for maintaining balance within a diversified portfolio.
“Can Solana and Ondo Finance (ONDO) 10x? Maybe not, but they’re leaders in their respective sectors. So you may be happy with a 3, 4x there. Not everything needs to be a 10x. This is what you also have to understand. Certain coins in your portfolio have a different purpose. You go in with bigger size, they’re safer. So you’re not taking on as much risk,” Deutscher explained.
He also discussed riskier ventures such as Astroport, which, due to its lower market cap, presents a classic high-risk, high-reward scenario. “The lower the market cap, the easier it is to pump because the less liquidity it takes to impact the price,” Deutscher noted, highlighting the speculative nature of such altcoins.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), has been consolidating over the past week, trading between $67,000 and $70,000 after experiencing a brief 20% price correction that sent it as low as $56,400 in early May.
This consolidation period comes as inflows into the US spot Bitcoin ETF market have reignited, and selling pressure appears to have cooled off, both in the ETF market and among Bitcoin investors more broadly.
Bitcoin Selling Pressure Fades
According to Julio Moreno, head of research at on-chain market analytics firm CryptoQuant, the current Bitcoin price level of $70,000 differs from when it last reached that mark in March.
Moreno notes that traders are now exerting much lower selling pressure, as unrealized profits are only around 3%, compared to 69% in early March. This suggests that much of the “heavy selling” has been exhausted, as seen in the chart below.
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Unrealized gains for BTC holders are only 3%. Source: Julio Moreno on X
Santiment data also shows that Bitcoin has once again eclipsed a $70,000 market capitalization, even as the US stock market took a hiatus for the Memorial Day holiday.
Market intelligence platform Santiment sees this as an encouraging sign, as it demonstrates BTC’s ability to perform positively on days when it is not closely correlated with the primary stock market, which has been the case for much of 2022.
Final Pre-Breakout Consolidation Phase
Despite this positive momentum, crypto analyst Rekt Capital has noted that Bitcoin’s latest weekly candle closed below the range high resistance of its ongoing “re-accumulation” phase, which spans roughly $60,000 to $70,000.
This likely sentences the leading cryptocurrency to further consolidation within this range, aligned with Rekt Capital’s thesis that two phases remain in the current bull cycle: the post-halving re-accumulation phase and the “parabolic rally phase.”
Historically, Bitcoin has tended to consolidate around all-time highs before embarking on the most illustrative stretch of its bull cycles. According to the analyst, Bitcoin has indeed been consolidating at these highs for quite some time now, especially by the standards of previous cycles.
While there is still room for further sideways trading at these elevated price levels, the time remaining in this phase is slowly running out. This leads to the belief that the long-awaited post-Halving rally, coupled with renewed investor sentiment, is poised to take the largest cryptocurrency on the market to even higher levels than the current $73,700 reached in mid-March.
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As such, Bitcoin appears to be entering a critical juncture in its current bull cycle. The consolidation and re-accumulation that has dominated the market in recent months could soon give way to the next parabolic surge, should historical patterns hold.
As of now, BTC has gained 2% in the past 24 hours, adding to its 10% positive movement in the past month alone. Bitcoin is currently trading at $70,200.
Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
In a week marked by consolidation across the cryptocurrency market, the native token of Uniswap, UNI, has defied the trend, surging over 15%, and surpassing the $10 mark. This bullish run comes amid positive developments within the Ethereum ecosystem and Uniswap’s ongoing legal battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
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Riding The Ethereum Wave
Beyond the legal battle, the current momentum within the Ethereum ecosystem is also propelling UNI’s price upwards. On-chain data reveals significant whale withdrawals from crypto exchanges following news of a potential spot Ethereum ETF.
This flight to safety, coupled with the overall bullish sentiment surrounding Ethereum, is creating a ripple effect that benefits UNI, a key player within the Ethereum DeFi landscape.
From a technical standpoint, UNI’s breakout from a monthly consolidation phase paints a promising picture. Both technical indicators and on-chain data suggest a potential 25% price increase for UNI.
Source: Lookonchain
The token’s recent surge indicates a potential bull run, with analysts eyeing a price target of $12.80 if the current momentum continues.
Adding fuel to the fire is Santiment’s Age Consumed index, which measures the movement of dormant tokens. Spikes in this index often precede price rallies, and the latest uptick by the latter part of April seems to have foreshadowed UNI’s current uptrend.
This on-chain metric reinforces the bullish outlook for UNI, suggesting that investors are awakening to its potential.
Short Sellers Get Burned As Bulls Take Charge
The recent price rally has also been accompanied by a significant rise in trading activity. Data from Coinalyze reveals over $1 million in Uniswap liquidations in the last day.
The majority of these liquidations (over $750,000) were short positions, indicating that traders betting against UNI are feeling the heat. This surge in open interest, with more traders going long on UNI, further strengthens the bullish control over the token’s price.
UNI is currently trading at $10,8. Chart: TradingView
Uniswap Takes A Stand Against The SEC
This display of defiance has instilled confidence among investors, who view it as a positive sign for Uniswap’s future. The popular decentralized exchange (DEX) recently received a Wells notice from the regulatory body, alleging that UNI is a security. However, Uniswap has vowed to challenge this claim, asserting that the SEC’s case is weak.
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The SEC case against Uniswap remains unresolved, and a negative outcome could dampen investor sentiment. A broader market correction could still impact UNI’s price.
Featured image from Wallpapers, chart from TradingView
A crypto analyst has made a rather cryptic prediction, suggesting that the approval of Ethereum Spot ETFs by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could unleash a new wave of “animal spirits.” This term in crypto is often used to describe an irrational exuberance and optimism that fuels financial markets.
Ethereum Spot ETF To Reignite Animal Spirits
In an X (formerly Twitter) post on May 22, a crypto analyst identified as “the DeFi Villain,” made a bold forecast, anticipating the resurgence of the bull run altcoin season following the SEC’s approval of Ethereum Spot ETF. The analyst revealed that the approval could let loose “animal spirits,” driving renewed demand and positive sentiment in the market and possibly resulting in a bull market.
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The analyst outlined a long list of altcoins that outperformed and experienced remarkable rallies in 2021. These rallies propelled each of their market capitalizations from mere hundreds of millions to billions in the span of a few days and months.
Among the cryptocurrencies highlighted by DeFi Villain, some notable altcoins recorded a massive rise in market capitalization, including Dogecoin (DOGE), THORChain (RUNE), Filecoin (FIL), Binance Coin (BNB), Axie Infinity (AXS), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and others.
According to the crypto analyst, Dogecoin witnessed a 10x increase in one day, in January 2021. While RUNE market capitalization surged from $200 million to $5 billion in just five months.
One of the most remarkable increases was seen in Filecoin which almost reached the current market capitalization of Ethereum. The cryptocurrency had jumped close to a whopping $400 billion during the altcoin bull run in 2021.
Other cryptocurrencies like AXS surged from a market capitalization of $200 million to $10 billion, with its Fully Diluted Value (FDV) topping $43 billion at some point. Additionally, Binance Coin, which was already worth $6 billion in early 2021 and among the top 20 cryptocurrencies, had witnessed a mega 8x pump in 20 days, reaching a staggering $50 billion in February 2021.
Even popular meme coins like Shiba Inu (SHIB) had rallied hard, jumping from $4 billion to $40 billion in less than a month. Ethereum Cash (ETC) also saw its market capitalization rise from $600 million to $17 billion in five months.
These massive surges during the 2021 bull run underscore the potential altcoins have on the crypto market and how insane they can surge once the altcoin season hits and the dominance for Bitcoin shifts to lesser cryptocurrencies.
DeFi Villain has predicted that the final leg for meme coins is likely going to be “Vertical and Brutal,” suggesting that these volatile cryptocurrencies could have another powerful rally to new highs this market cycle.
Over the past few months, the US SEC has made claims implying that Ethereum, the second largest cryptocurrency, was considered a security. However following the authorization of Ethereum Spot ETFs, the SEC has finally recognized Ethereum as a non-security.
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Calling the regulator out on this contradiction, Paul Grewal, Chief Legal Officer (CLO) of Coinbase disclosed that if Ethereum which lacks “contractual agreement or undertaking,” is no longer considered a security by the SEC, then Bitcoin (BTC), which operates similarly without the above agreements, should also be a non-security.
Grewal posed a compelling question regarding the classification of 12 other cryptocurrencies, which can be compared to Ethereum and Bitcoin in terms of their non-security treatment by the SEC. The Coinbase CLO disclosed that the implications that these 12 other cryptocurrencies are considered securities despite also lacking contractual agreement or undertaking raises the question about the SEC’s possible lack of regulatory clarity and inconsistent regulatory approach to different crypto assets.
