XRP has shown some signs of recovery over the past 48 hours, climbing about 5.3 % from its recent low, according to on-chain analytics platform Santiment. The rebound comes as investor confidence appears to be returning, as it coincides with a steady rise in mid to large-sized XRP holders. Particularly, on-chain data shows that the XRP ecosystem now has more than 317,500 wallets holding at least 10,000 XRP tokens for the first time in its history.
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Mid To Large XRP Holders Reach Record 317,500 Wallets
Despite XRP’s recent price woes alongside the rest of the crypto market, on-chain data shows that XRP’s holder base is increasing among crypto investors. Notably, Santiment’s latest data shows that the number of XRP wallets holding at least 10,000 tokens has reached an all-time high of approximately 317,500.
Santiment’s data chart, as shown below, indicates that XRP’s network has added approximately 1.8% more wallets holding 10,000 or more tokens in just the last thirty days. Interestingly, Santiment’s data further shows that the upward slope of this metric has been consistent throughout 2025.
The increase in mid-sized and large wallet count shows that many XRP investors are not concerned about the recent price dips. Instead, many of them are taking advantage of lower prices to strengthen their holdings. As such, a growing segment of investors are buying XRP for long-term gains rather than short-term price action.
XRP, which is currently hovering around the $2.35 range, may benefit from this growing base of committed holders in the long term. Its price trajectory now depends on its ability to sustain momentum above $2.3. If the bullish on-chain sentiment translates into consistent buy pressure, XRP could extend its rebound and target at least $2.8 before the end of the week.
However, if momentum stalls, the price may enter another downward phase before an upward move. Nonetheless, the record growth in wallets holding over 10,000 XRP provides a strong long-term foundation that may support the cryptocurrency’s value in the coming weeks.
Ripple’s Acquisition Of GTreasury Adds Institutional Momentum
Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, recently announced the acquisition of GTreasury for $1 billion, making this its third-biggest deal in 2025. The deal will bring GTreasury’s treasury-management software, used by global corporations to manage liquidity, cash forecasting, payments and risk, into Ripple’s infrastructure suite.
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GTreasury serves over 1,000 customers across about 160 countries and has more than 40 years’ experience in corporate treasury operations. The move gives Ripple immediate access to the multi-trillion-dollar corporate treasury market and large enterprise clients previously outside its direct reach. There are also reports that Ripple is planning to raise $1 billion to build an XRP treasury.
At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $2.35.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe.
End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days?
On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days.
He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 days. According to CryptoBirb, this final stage is characterized by a “textbook shakeout of weak hands,” a common pattern observed before market peaks.
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CryptoBirb emphasized that October 24 serves as a critical target date, just nine days away, and labeled the recent crash as “right on schedule.” He further explained that the market is deep within the peak zone, with 543 days elapsing since the last Bitcoin Halving, exceeding the historical peak window of 518 to 580 days.
Bitcoin price performance after its Halving. Source: CryptoBirb on X
The sentiment in the market also appears to have shifted dramatically, with the Fear & Greed Index plummeting from 71 to 38, indicating a reset from fear to euphoria. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also dropped from 67 to 47, suggesting that this emotional washout may create an ideal launchpad for a final euphoric surge.
However, technical indicators show mixed signals: while the Average True Range (ATR) has expanded to 4,040, indicating higher volatility, the RSI’s position at 47 suggests a reset momentum.
What On-Chain Metrics Suggest
Institutional investors have also begun to shift their strategies, as evidenced by recent Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) flows, which reversed from $627 million in inflows to $4.5 million in outflows.
Ethereum ETF outflows reached $174.9 million, indicating that smart money is taking profits before retail investors potentially fear of missing out (FOMO) in. CryptoBirb asserts that this behavior aligns with a classic distribution-to-accumulation transition.
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On-chain metrics reflect a cooling market, with the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) dropping to 0.522 from 0.556, and the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) declining to 2.15 from 2.45. These profit-taking actions may be creating the necessary space for a final euphoric push.
When examining October’s performance, Bitcoin is down 2.09% month-to-date, contrasting sharply with its historical average of a 19.78% increase. This underperformance could actually be a bullish sign, suggesting that a significant move may still be on the horizon in the final weeks of the month.
In summary, the current cycle appears to be 99.3% complete. It has already spent 25 days in the peak zone and experienced a reset in sentiment and institutional distribution, as well as weak performance in October. However, if the analyst’s thesis proves right, this blending could turn into a perfect storm for a final surge before entering a new crypto winter.
The daily chart shows BTC’s increased volatility met with major price swings. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ronaldo is an experienced crypto enthusiast dedicated to the nascent and ever-evolving industry. With over five years of extensive research and unwavering dedication, he has cultivated a profound interest in the world of cryptocurrencies.
Ronaldo’s journey began with a spark of curiosity, which soon transformed into a deep passion for understanding the intricacies of this groundbreaking technology.
Driven by an insatiable thirst for knowledge, Ronaldo has delved into the depths of the crypto space, exploring its various facets, from blockchain fundamentals to market trends and investment strategies. His tireless exploration and commitment to staying up-to-date with the latest developments have granted him a unique perspective on the industry.
One of Ronaldo’s defining areas of expertise lies in technical analysis. He firmly believes that studying charts and deciphering price movements provides valuable insights into the market. Ronaldo recognizes that patterns exist within the chaos of crypto charts, and by utilizing technical analysis tools and indicators, he can unlock hidden opportunities and make informed investment decisions. His dedication to mastering this analytical approach has allowed him to navigate the volatile crypto market with confidence and precision.
Ronaldo’s commitment to his craft goes beyond personal gain. He is passionate about sharing his knowledge and insights with others, empowering them to make well-informed decisions in the crypto space. Ronaldo’s writing is a testament to his dedication, providing readers with meaningful analysis and up-to-date news. He strives to offer a comprehensive understanding of the crypto industry, helping readers navigate its complexities and seize opportunities.
Outside of the crypto realm, Ronaldo enjoys indulging in other passions. As an avid sports fan, he finds joy in watching exhilarating sporting events, witnessing the triumphs and challenges of athletes pushing their limits. Furthermore, His passion for languages extends beyond mere communication; he aspires to master German, French, Italian, and Portuguese, in addition to his native Spanish. Recognizing the value of linguistic proficiency, Ronaldo aims to enhance his work prospects, personal relationships, and overall growth.
However, Ronaldo’s aspirations extend far beyond language acquisition. He believes that the future of the crypto industry holds immense potential as a groundbreaking force in history. With unwavering conviction, he envisions a world where cryptocurrencies unlock financial freedom for all and become catalysts for societal development and growth. Ronaldo is determined to prepare himself for this transformative era, ensuring he is well-equipped to navigate the crypto landscape.
Ronaldo also recognizes the importance of maintaining a healthy body and mind, regularly hitting the gym to stay physically fit. He immerses himself in books and podcasts that inspire him to become the best version of himself, constantly seeking new ways to expand his horizons and knowledge.
With a genuine desire to become the best version of himself, Ronaldo is committed to continuous improvement. He sets personal goals, embraces challenges, and seeks opportunities for growth and self-reflection. Ultimately, combining his passion for cryptocurrencies, dedication to learning, and commitment to personal development, Ronaldo aims to go hand-in-hand with the exciting new era that the emerging crypto technology is bringing to the world and societies.
The recent crypto market crash stunned investors across the globe, but one analyst saw it coming long before it happened. Bitcoin plunged from above $125,000 to briefly below $102,000, and Ethereum dropped to below $3,800, exactly as predicted by popular market commentator Ash Crypto earlier this month.
His October 1 post on X warned of a sharp correction meant to liquidate all the bulls before a major rebound in Q4. Now that the dip has played out exactly as he forecasted, Ash Crypto’s outlook for the coming weeks is a powerful rebound phase.
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The Crash Prediction That Shook ‘Uptober’
The sell-off that sent shockwaves through the industry is a quick change in sentiment after Bitcoin’s recent all-time high on October 6. Bitcoin’s decline from above $125,000 to below $110,000 caused widespread panic that flowed into other cryptocurrencies, while Ethereum followed with a sharp drop below $3,800. More than $19 billion in leveraged trades were liquidated across different exchanges in under a day, making it one of the largest wipeouts in crypto history.
However, the timing of the crash aligned almost perfectly with a projection on the social media platform X by Ash Crypto. On October 1, Ash Crypto outlined what he called a “pump-then-dump setup” designed to trap overconfident bulls. In his post, he warned that early-month gains would bait retail traders into believing PUMPtober was real before the market reversed violently to shake them out.
Notably, the analyst predicted that Bitcoin would dip to around $106,000 and Ethereum to $3,800 or lower before rebounding later in the month. According to him, this correction phase would run until mid-October, sometime around the 15th to 20th of October, before transitioning into a powerful recovery in the last ten days of the month.
BTCUSD currently trading at $114,049. Chart: TradingView
What Comes Next After The Drop?
Ash Crypto’s call has proven accurate, especially against the backdrop of widespread ‘Uptober’ optimism that clouded judgment for many crypto traders. However, despite the predicted bearish move, the prediction post also carried a long-term sentiment that aligns with a bullish Uptober.
He explained that once market sentiment turns overwhelmingly bearish and traders begin to assume PUMPtober is canceled, short positions will pile up. It is at this point that a reversal will begin in the final ten days of October, leading to what he described as Q4 parabolic candles.
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Ash Crypto projected Bitcoin will reach between $150,000 and $180,000 by the end of the fourth quarter, while Ethereum will be trading anywhere in the $8,000 to $12,000 range. Following that move, he expects a full-fledged altcoin season that will cause the price of many altcoins to grow 10x to 50x in just a few months.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $114,049, and Ethereum is trading at $4,087.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Dogecoin has plunged violently over the past 24 hours, shedding a large chunk of its value in a brutal correction across the entire crypto market. What looked like a hold above $0.25 turned into a fast breakdown that dragged the Dogecoin price to as low as $0.148 within 24 hours.
However, technical analysis from crypto analyst Kaleo shows Dogecoin is ready to hit new all-time highs. In a post on X, he doubled down on a remarkably bullish prediction, stating that $6.90 is a “magnet” for Dogecoin.
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Dogecoin Chart Tells The Story
In his post on the social media platform X, Kaleo noted how members of the crypto community are increasingly waking up to see how primed Dogecoin is to reach higher levels. The chart accompanying Kaleo’s post shows the historical pattern that Dogecoin has followed after previous Bitcoin halvings.
Each halving has always been followed by years of massive upside moves in Dogecoin’s price, with the meme coin breaking out of long-term descending resistance lines to record exponential gains. Examples shown in this chart are the 2017 and 2021 explosive price surges.
Kaleo suggested that the current market phase mirrors the same structure seen just before the 2021 bull run, when Dogecoin broke above a key lower-high resistance from its previous all-time high. This moment is illustrated on the chart with the label “We are here.”
The $6.90 Magnet: Kaleo’s Logic Behind The Forecast
Kaleo acknowledged that the projection of a $6.9 Dogecoin price target might sound a little too bullish, but his logic is based on the logic of market cap math. In his post, he explained that his projection for Bitcoin this cycle is to surpass $500,000. If Bitcoin surpasses $500,000 as expected, it would translate to a $10 trillion market capitalization.
This sheer amount of inflow would flow into the rest of the crypto market, and Dogecoin could theoretically reach 10% of Bitcoin’s valuation, just as it did during the 2021 mania. That ratio implies a $1 trillion market cap for Dogecoin, which is equivalent to a $6.94 price per token based on the current circulating supply.
Dogecoin’s recent price crash has complicated this bullish narrative. Instead of confirming an imminent breakout, the meme coin has fallen below the $0.25 support level. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1971, down by 21.4% in the past 24 hours and having reached an intraday low of $0.1489.
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The breakdown looks like the kind of market-wide liquidity flushes often seen before major reversals. Yet, it also risks extending Dogecoin’s bearish structure and delaying any breakout if the price fails to recover quickly. Right now, recovery above $0.25 is important for bulls to rebuild bullish momentum.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
A consortium of major banks, including Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, announced on Friday that they will collaborate to explore the development of stablecoins pegged to G7 currencies.
A New Era For Crypto In Mainstream Finance
The renewed interest in stablecoins comes in the wake of US President Donald Trump’s endorsement of the sector, which has reignited discussions about integrating blockchain technology into mainstream finance.
Currently, the stablecoin market is heavily dominated by Tether (USDT), based in El Salvador, which accounts for approximately $179 billion of the total $310 billion in stablecoins circulating, according to data from CoinGecko.
The 1D chart shows the total market cap drop in what has been the largest liquidation event in crypto. Source: TOTAL on TradingView.com
The banks involved in this new initiative, which also includes Santander, Barclays, BNP Paribas, MUFG, TD Bank Group, and others, have stated that the goal is to assess whether a collaborative industry offering could enhance competition and bring the benefits of digital assets to the market, all while ensuring compliance.
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Notably, France’s Societe Generale recently became the first major bank to issue a dollar-backed stablecoin through its digital asset subsidiary, although it has seen limited adoption, with only $30.6 million currently in circulation.
In addition to this consortium, a separate group of nine European banks, including prominent names like ING and UniCredit, is also in the process of launching a euro-denominated stablecoin.
Meanwhile, Citi has made strides in the stablecoin space by investing in BVNK, a company focused on stablecoin infrastructure.
Demand For Stablecoin Solutions Grows
Although Citi has not disclosed the amount of its investment, the co-founder of BVNK, Chris Harmse, told during an interview with CNBC, that the company’s valuation has surpassed $750 million, as reported in its latest funding round.
Harmse remarked on the increasing demand for stablecoin infrastructure, particularly with the emergence of regulatory clarity through the passage of the GENIUS Act in the US. This has prompted major US banks to strategically position themselves in the crypto ecosystem.
Citi’s CEO, Jane Fraser, has indicated that the bank is contemplating the issuance of its own stablecoin while also exploring custodian services for digital assets. However, Citi is not alone in its pursuit of digital asset integration; JPMorgan Chase has already launched its own stablecoin-like token, JPMD.
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Banks are increasingly investigating how blockchain technology—originally developed to support Bitcoin—can reduce transaction costs and enhance processing speeds across various financial operations.
This exploration includes the concept of tokenization, which involves creating digital tokens that represent traditional assets, such as deposits. For instance, Bank of New York Mellon is currently looking into tokenized deposits, while HSBC has already rolled out a tokenized deposit service.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The BNB price continues to defy broader market trends, reaching an impressive new peak of $1,240 to kick off the week and solidifying its status as one of the top performers in the cryptocurrency industry.
BNB Chain Partners With Chainlink
Over the past 30 days, the BNB price has recorded an impressive 41% gain, driven in part by a recent collaboration between BNB Chain and Chainlink (LINK), dubbed as one of the market’s leading oracle providers.
This partnership was publicly announced on Monday on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), where Chainlink revealed that BNB Chain had adopted its data standard to make official US Department of Commerce data available on-chain.
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The data sourced from the Bureau of Economic Analysis will enable Chainlink Price Feeds to deliver critical macroeconomic indicators directly to BNB Chain.
These indicators include key metrics like Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, and Real Final Sales to Private Domestic Purchasers.
Chainlink asserts that the availability of such data opens up a series of new possibilities for developers, allowing for the creation of new types of digital assets, prediction markets that leverage transparent economic inputs, and perpetual futures markets grounded in official government statistics.
Furthermore, decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols can improve their risk management strategies by aligning them with real-world economic conditions.
BNB Price Target Raised To $1,500
Market expert Crypto King has been vocal about the BNB price trajectory, asserting that the token is demonstrating a clear trend of upward momentum.
He identified three significant breakout phases: one in July that sparked a strong rally, a second in September, and the current breakout, which he believes is building toward new highs. Crypto King has set an ambitious target of $1,500 for Binance Coin, suggesting that this structural climb is anything but random.
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However, not all market analysts share the same optimism. Another expert, known as Crypto Claws on X, has issued a cautionary note, warning that if the current momentum fizzles, a correction toward the $700 range by December could be on the horizon.
This scenario would imply a potential 43% decline for the BNB price, raising concerns about the token’s technical structure and the likelihood of a necessary pullback before the next significant bullish leg.
In addition to the BNB price performance, other cryptocurrencies are also following the token’s lead. Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past the $125,000 mark, achieving a new record, while Ethereum (ETH) is just 5% shy of breaking its previous high.
Meanwhile, Chainlink’s native token, LINK, remains well below its all-time high of $52.70, currently trading just under $23—a gap of nearly 57% that suggests room for growth.
SwissBorg founding partner Alex Fazel believes the market is entering a multi-year, structurally different bull phase that could deliver “generational wealth,” laying out what he called an “alt season bible” for 2025–2026 in a wide-ranging interview with Altcoin Daily.
Speaking in a probabilistic framework, Fazel argued that the confluence of a strengthening business cycle, easier monetary policy, and twin technology booms in crypto/Web3 and artificial intelligence creates the same kind of tailwinds that powered the post-dot-com “recovery cycle” in equities. “I really want to prove to everyone that this is the biggest cycle and the biggest chance for everyone to generate generational wealth,” he said, adding that his views are expressed in probabilities rather than certainties.
The 2025–26 Crypto Altcoin Cycle Will Be Historic
Fazel’s market structure thesis centers on a familiar rotation: Bitcoin leading, followed by Ethereum and the top-cap cohort, and then a broader dispersion into mid- and small-caps as Bitcoin dominance rolls over. He insisted that the current advance lacks the hallmark “euphoria stage”—a late-cycle condition he considers statistically common and, therefore, still ahead. “It is extremely rare… to have a bull cycle without euphoria,” he said, noting that sizable drawdowns will punctuate the trend without invalidating it. “We won’t see a long bear market anymore… We’re going to see a very extended bull run but with really big corrections along the way.”
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To gauge cycle magnitude, Fazel prefers total crypto market capitalization over date-calling. He mapped prior expansions—roughly 45x from 2014 to 2017 and ~27x into 2021—into a conservative inference that a 2x–3x from the last cycle’s ~$3 trillion top would imply a $6–$9 trillion total capitalization before this run is exhausted. That—along with a still-missing euphoria phase—forms one of his primary exit heuristics. “Rather than just thinking about how long, look at how high,” he said.
On sector leadership, Fazel’s team compiled a year-over-year basket (September 2024 to early September 2025) of tokens that outperformed Bitcoin on sustained timeframes to filter out “pump-and-dump noise.” The list he highlighted was dominated by DeFi and exchange-adjacent assets: Virtuals (AI-agent) with a 20x,Hyperliquid’s HYPE 7x, Sui and its DeepBook DEX as strong performers, Curve and Ethena Labs 2.5x–3x, SwissBorg’s BORG ~2.5x, and Raydium. His conclusion was blunt: “DeFi is the best sector to invest in,” with exchange tokens repeatedly among the most resilient leaders since 2018 due to clear product-market fit in speculation and fee generation.
Fazel stitched those returns to an explicit capital-flows mechanism: buybacks. He showed a positive correlation, in his view, between top token performers and sustained buyback programs, and drew a parallel to equities where many of the cycle’s strongest stocks—including AI bellwethers—have announced large, continuing repurchases. He cautioned, however, that buybacks can be overwhelmed by emissions. “If you have $20 million buying the token, but an airdrop is emitting $53 million, do the math,” he said, citing this dynamic to explain why some well-known tokens underperformed despite revenue.
What Else To Look For On Altcoins
From there, he proposed a simple four-quadrant framework for token “pumpamentals”: clear utility that investors perceive as valuable; loyalty via locking; strong, sustainable, and scalable buybacks; and burns or other mechanisms that reduce float. Layer-1s, he argued, typically tick only the first two boxes and still rely on inflationary issuance for staking yields. By contrast, exchange tokens and some DeFi assets can check all four—particularly if fee-linked buybacks are hard-wired, ongoing, and diversified across product lines.
Fazel also outlined an increasingly prominent buyer cohort of digital asset treasuries (DATs)—public companies that raise in fiat and accumulate crypto for their balance sheets—observing that this structure can “pump the stock and the token.” He pointed to high-profile examples in Bitcoin and Ethereum, stressing that balance-sheet accumulation simultaneously adds buy pressure and removes sell pressure. More broadly, he framed today’s market as a “supercycle” moment because retail, institutions, and corporate treasuries are now converging on crypto exposure—initially in BTC and ETH, but progressively further out the risk curve as confidence grows.
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Much of Fazel’s playbook is operational at SwissBorg itself. He disclosed that the company, founded in 2017 and now at “300+ employees” and “$2.4 billion” in assets under management, has shifted to a 50% revenue-to-buyback policy for its BORG token and intentionally delisted from centralized exchanges to “control supply” and concentrate liquidity and volume in-app.
Fazel repeatedly returned to risk management, urging investors to think in probabilities and to be willing to “divorce” underperforming tokens that lack real revenues or sound token economics. He also addressed dilution fears sparked by the proliferation of new tokens, contending that almost none reach meaningful size. “Out of all these coins… 0.00001% have a market cap above $1 million,” he said, arguing that the sheer number of microcap launches should not preclude an altseason in larger, revenue-generating names.
His timeline remains conditional, but his conviction in the structure is clear. He expects Bitcoin could suffer 30%–40% pullbacks without derailing a longer advance, believes the equity backdrop is still “AI-led” rather than in a blow-off, and contends crypto adoption curves move faster than Web2 because they build atop the existing internet. As for a headline Bitcoin target, he demurred on specifics, but hinted the ceiling is higher than casual forecasts imply. “Almost $200k for Bitcoin seems too small,” he said at one point, before pivoting back to total-market metrics and the presence—or not—of broad-based euphoria.
At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $4.2 trillion.
Total crypto market cap eyes the 1.618 Fib extension, 1-week chart | Source: TOTAL on TradingView.com
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin has shown signs of renewed momentum after reclaiming ground above $0.26 in the past 24 hours, but it hasn’t made a clean breakout yet. Nonetheless, crypto analysts are bullish on the meme coin, and a few of them have highlighted important support, resistance, and breakout levels. As it stands, Dogecoin path to $0.3 still holds merit, and its reaction here will determine how its price action plays out.
Analysts Map Out Bullish Setups And Near-Term Targets
The $0.30 level, in particular, stands out as the next critical threshold for Dogecoin: both as a psychological and technical marker that could open the door for a stronger rally if conquered.
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For instance, crypto analyst Ali Martinez observed that Dogecoin is currently trading within an ascending channel. This pattern holds merit as a bullish continuation, and according to the analyst, Dogecoin is still in the accumulation phase. The projection on the chart shows all that’s needed now is for a clean break above $0.3 for Dogecoin to enter into an expansion phase.
EtherNasyonaL, another crypto analyst, is more aggressive with Dogecoin. According to his projection, Dogecoin has now completed a successful retest after breaking above a descending trendline of lower highs. The most recent 3-day candlestick now shows Dogecoin forming a bullish candle above $0.25, and now the next step is a bullish leg to new all-time highs.
Dogecoin has been consolidating in a clear nine-month ascending triangle and is now approaching a key breakout point, according to a TradingView analysis. The pattern has been forming since early 2025 with rising support around $0.22 and a horizontal resistance zone between $0.28 and $0.30.
Therefore, a confirmed breakout above $0.30 could send the Dogecoin price to between $0.38 and $0.40, matching the height of the formation and aligning with a prior resistance zone from earlier in the year. The breakout must come with a strong daily candle close above $0.30 and a clear volume surge, ideally two to three times higher than normal.
Failure to hold above $0.30 or a drop below $0.22 would invalidate the bullish setup, but for now, Dogecoin’s structure suggests that a decisive move is close.
Dogecoin needs enough trading volume in order to complete this predicted move. The move needs to be backed by a noticeable surge in trading volume, ideally two to three times higher than the recent average.
Dogecoin’s trading volume has spiked notably in the past 24 hours, coming to $2.5 billion across all exchanges. Furthermore, active addresses and transaction frequency have both increased over the last few trading hours.
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At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.2644, up by 4.5% and 16.7% in the past 24 hours and seven days, respectively.
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView
Dogecoin’s price action in recent days has been defined by steady higher lows and attempts to break above $0.25. The meme coin has managed to maintain bullish momentum in the past 24 hours after ending September consolidating.
This recent move has kept Dogecoin’s uptrend intact on the daily chart, and according to technical analysis shared on the social media platform X by analyst Javon Marks, this structure could be setting the stage for a powerful upward move.
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Breakout Structure And Higher Lows
According to Marks, Dogecoin’s current price formation could be the early stages of a massive rally that carries the meme coin to $0.65 in a quick move.
This prediction is based off a clear sequence of higher lows (HL) and higher highs that has been forming on the Dogecoin price chart. This formation is on the 5-day candlestick timeframe chart, and it goes as far back as the 2022 bear market. The first higher low started from the capitulation low in 2022 and continued through 2023 into 2024. Each higher low shows growing buyer interest after every correction, which is a sign of bullish continuation on higher timeframes.
The most recent example came during September’s downturn, when Dogecoin found a strong support at $0.22. Rather than breaking down further, the price rebounded from this level to create yet another higher low in the series. This response was important because it confirmed that Dogecoin’s uptrend was still intact.
Dogecoin is currently trading at $0.24. Chart: TradingView
Marks points out that this upward structure of higher lows means that another wave up is likely to be in the works. Therefore, the current phase between $0.22 and $0.25 now is more of a build-up before the next explosive move higher.
Marks’ projection goes beyond a simple breakout. The analyst projected Dogecoin to go on to create another higher high in the coming weeks and months. This wave up could be an over 153% run from Dogecoin’s current price level.
His chart identifies $0.6533 as the immediate target for this wave. Achieving this level would require Dogecoin to more than double from its current price, but this is not unprecedented given its price history. If Dogecoin were to reach the $0.6533 breakout target, it would be its strongest bullish rally since early 2021. However, this is still below its 2021 all-time high of $0.7316, meaning there’s still room for further upside if bullish conditions persist.
Interestingly, the analysis also noted that Dogecoin might extend the rally above the $1 threshold. Particularly, the second price target is at $1.25711, although this may seem far-fetched in the short term.
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At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.2525, down by 1.7% in the past 24 hours, but up by 10% in a seven-day timeframe.
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView
Dogecoin (DOGE) is currently showing signs of entering one of its strongest bullish phases yet, with an analyst pointing toward a rare chart formation that could trigger a powerful upside rally. According to technical analysis, Dogecoin may be on its way to hitting new all-time highs, with $0.8 marked as the next bullish target.
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Analyst Doubles Down On Bold Dogecoin Forecast
A new analysis by Mikybull Crypto, a prominent market expert on X social media, reveals that Dogecoin has completed the critical phases of a Bump and Run reversal chart pattern—a setup that historically precedes explosive breakouts. With price action already reclaiming its trendline, the analyst has doubled down on earlier forecasts, predicting that the DOGE price could experience an explosive surge toward the $0.8 level.
Sharing a price chart, Mikybull clearly highlights the textbook Bump and Run reversal, which consists of a lead-in phase, a bump phase, and a final breakout followed by a throwback to the trendline below $0.23. DOGE’s weekly price action has mirrored this chart structure, with the recent move back to retest the broken resistance now serving as a potential springboard for the next phase.
In technical terms, this “throwback” often marks the last opportunity for accumulation before the real rally begins. Mikybull, who has been closely tracking Dogecoin’s macro setup, emphasized in his X post that “the main bullish rally is about to kick off.” In an earlier update, the analyst described the upcoming bull phase as a “face-melting rally,” noting that the Bump and Run pattern is rare but extremely reliable when confirmed.
At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading slightly above $0.25, and a rally to the projected $0.8 target would represent a massive gain of approximately 220%. Such a move would propel DOGE’s price beyond its 2021 record high of $0.73, setting a fresh ATH with an additional 9.6% upside.
DOGEUSD currently trading at $0.25. Chart: TradingView
DOGE Breakout Structure Reinforces Rally Setup
A second technical analysis by crypto market expert Unipcs on X delivers a similar bullish outlook for the Dogecoin price. His chart highlights a tightening wedge structure, where DOGE has been consolidating below long-term resistance while forming a series of higher lows. Recently, the price broke out from this compression zone, reinforcing the meme coin’s bullish narrative.
Unipcs reiterated that “DOGE to $1 is a meme until it isn’t,” suggesting that this cycle could deliver the long-anticipated push toward the $1 price level. He further noted that Dogecoin looks primed for an aggressive move that could generate strong spillover effects for other major meme coins in the market.
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In an earlier post, he pointed out that Dogecoin’s structure still looked bullish on the Higher Time Frame (HTF), coinciding with the FED interest rate cut and the DTCC listing of a new Dogecoin ETF in September. With Digital Asset Trusts (DATs) and institutional players already accumulating, the analyst maintains a strong bullish stance on the meme coin’s price outlook.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
However, data from on-chain analytics platform Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock) reveals that accumulation is quietly underway. Despite the price declines, exchange outflows for both assets have remained strongly negative.
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Key Weekly Metrics
An extended decline carried over from the previous week saw the Bitcoin price falling below $110,000 with increasing selling pressure and liquidations of leveraged positions. However, despite this sharp move to the downside, on-chain data illustrates an interesting different trend occurring beneath the surface of the volatility. According to figures provided by the on-chain analytics platform Sentora, more than $5.75 billion worth of BTC flowed out of centralized exchanges over the course of the week.
This outflow, although small compared to periods of strong bullish action, shows a lingering investor conviction, especially among some investors that might be taking advantage and buying the dip.
Ethereum’s price movement over the same period was even more pronounced than that of Bitcoin. The price crash saw the leading altcoin break down beneath the psychologically significant $4,000 support level and proceed to briefly test lower zones around $3,850. Still, despite the depth of this decline, the exchange flow data makes it clear that the bearish price action did not manage to deter accumulation activity across the network.
BTCUSD now trading at $109,585. Chart: TradingView
Over $3.08 billion worth of ETH exited exchanges during the week, which serves as evidence of a continued willingness among investors to steadily accumulate Ethereum, even in the face of short-term losses and market pressure.
Despite negative price performance, exchange outflows remained strong for both ETH and BTC, indicating accumulation across the market pic.twitter.com/eAqZTk6Vof
Outflows Drive Exchange Balances To Multi-Year Lows
Interestingly, Ethereum last week’s outflows ties into a notable trend that has been developing in recent months. Data shows that Ethereum’s total supply on exchanges has dropped to just 14.8 million ETH, its lowest level since 2016. Much of this supply has been redirected into staking, long-term cold storage, and DeFi protocols, which have all led to a drastic decline in the ETH on trading platforms.
Data from a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor CryptoOnchain adds further weight to this trend of heavy outflows. Between August and September 2025, Ethereum’s 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) netflow dropped below -40,000 ETH per day, the lowest level seen since February 2023. This persistent negative netflow shows that investors have been steadily shifting their ETH away from exchanges and placing it into staking, cold storage, or other long-term holding options. “Lower exchange balances equals reduced short-term supply,” the analyst said.
Dogecoin’s price action is working on a rebound after hitting $0.222 in the past 24 hours. Zooming out into a larger timeframe shows the price structure on the weekly timeframe is pointing to an explosive breakout is in the making. Technical analysis shows that the meme coin, which has already shown it can deliver extraordinary rallies, is now sitting on a powder keg that will send it to new all-time highs. Particularly, technical projections indicate that if the current trend continues, Dogecoin could surge to $1.30.
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Pattern Repetition Points To $1.3 Target
The first interesting chart observation focuses on how Dogecoin rallies unfold in repeating waves of expansion. This analysis, which was posted on the social media platform X by
Kamran Asghar, shows how Dogecoin has been following a repeating structure in the weekly candlestick timeframe chart.
In late 2023, the Dogecoin price broke out of consolidation with a 300% surge, followed by another wave in 2024 that delivered a 500% rally from trendline support to resistance. Each cycle began with a bounce from the ascending white trendline shown on the weekly chart below, which has consistently acted as the backbone of Dogecoin’s long-term uptrend.
Now, the pattern is setting up for what could be an 800% rally, highlighted in the green projection box on the chart below. This move, if completed, would see the Dogecoin price rallying past its current all-time high of $0.7316 and finally breaking above the $1 price level. Particularly, the projection puts Dogecoin rallying more than 800% to reach a price target around $1.30.
Another technical analysis looks at a broader view of Dogecoin’s performance over the last four years. Price action on the weekly timeframe is plotted within a colored channel system, starting from the 2021 breakout, as shown in the chart below. The lower orange line has consistently acted as support, while the green midline has worked as a pivot point. Lastly, the upper blue line is serving as resistance.
DOGEUSD currently trading at $0.23. Chart: TradingView
At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading around $0.23, and this is just between the green midline and the orange support, meaning the bullish structure is still playing out. According to analyst KrissPax, who posted the technical analysis on the social media platform X, Dogecoin is still on track to keep moving to the upper band of the channel, which is marked in blue. Reaching this upper band would put the meme coin in the $0.70 to $1.00 range and retesting its all-time high in 2021. However, in this case, the first step would be to break above the green midline, which is currently around $0.4.
The cryptocurrency market remains in disarray following widespread declines, yet the XRP price continues to attract the attention of analysts who maintain an optimistic outlook. One expert noted that XRP has just printed a rare and bullish setup, with multiple chart indicators aligning in support of upward momentum.
XRP Price Forms Rare Multi-Layered Bullish Setup
According to crypto market expert Bobby A, XRP is in a rare market position, consolidating above key historical levels while preparing for a move that could lead to new all-time highs. He noted that different indicators are aligning in support of a possible uptrend.
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In a chart shared on X social media, Bobby explained that XRP’s market capitalization has been holding above its 2018 peak for more than 300 days, an uncommon show of strength amid the recent downturn. This long consolidation above a major resistance-turned support level suggests a massive build-up of energy before the next leg higher. He argues that this base formation signals a potentially explosive move to the upside, with the next market cap targets identified at $173 billion and a peak around $727 billion.
On the price front, Bobby reveals that XRP has been forming a multi-month bullish flag pattern on its charts. He labels the critical support zones as “Base Camp 1” around $1.9 and “Base Camp 2” at $2.89—both of which have been successfully defended. He further highlighted that the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also positioning itself for one final push toward overbought territory, often a precursor to a sharp upward move. Based on his projections, XRP’s take profit zones sit between $5 and $13, levels that would mark fresh all-time highs.
Bobby’s analysis highlights that XRP’s indicators are “firing on all cylinders,” with momentum across higher timeframes aligning for a potentially powerful surge. He further pointed out that Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), currently at 58.7%, is set to retrace toward the mid-to-low 40% zone soon. Such a move would enable altcoins like XRP to capturea larger market share, thereby reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish breakout. The analyst described this rare alignment as a generational setup that occurs only a few times in a decade.
Bearish Divergence Sparks Short-Term XRP Sell-Off
While XRP appears to be resisting the present market downturn, not all analysts share an immediate bullish sentiment. Crypto expert JD has warned about a Bearish Divergence forming on XRP’s weekly chart—a signal that has now played out as expected.
XRP currently trading at $2.77. Chart: TradingView
As shown in the chart, while XRP’s price made higher highs, the RSI indicator printed lower highs, creating a textbook Bearish Divergence pattern. This divergence has already led to a sharp 27% correction from the $3.37 take profit level that JD had previously identified. According to him, many market participants are now questioning why XRP has been under pressure despite broader optimism.
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JD argues that the Bearish Divergence was the clearest warning signal, and those who ignored it are now witnessing its full effect. He cautions that while XRP may still avoid a deeper breakdown into the “grey box” supply zone, the short-term trajectory remains bearish until momentum resets.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Crypto markets have recently faced renewed challenges, despite a brief resurgence following the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut that initially propelled Bitcoin (BTC) back toward the $120,000 mark.
This week, however, Bitcoin has dropped to the lower end of its established consolidation range, fluctuating between $110,000 and $115,000. Analysts from The Bull Theory have pinpointed several factors contributing to this downturn.
How Fed Policies And QT Are Impacting Crypto
One of the primary reasons for the current situation is the ongoing capital flow favoring traditional assets. In the wake of rate cuts, institutional investors tend to channel their funds into stocks and gold first, as these are considered high-liquidity assets with a proven track record.
In contrast, cryptocurrencies, particularly altcoins, often find themselves at the end of the liquidity pipeline. They typically see price increases only when risk appetite broadens significantly among investors.
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Additionally, liquidity remains tight in the crypto space, despite the Fed’s recent actions. While the central bank cut rates in September, other variables are restricting the flow of capital into cryptocurrencies.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is still being implemented, with the Fed actively reducing its balance sheet. Moreover, the US Treasury is absorbing liquidity through the replenishment of the Treasury General Account (TGA), and money market funds are currently holding over $7.7 trillion in cash that remains largely idle.
This lack of liquidity means that any spillover effect into the crypto market will be limited, resulting in a slower rotation of capital into digital assets.
Cyclical Trends Suggest Potential Rebound
The macroeconomic patterns observed in September 2024 are also reemerging. Last year, following a rate cut, Bitcoin surged past $60,000, while Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins enjoyed significant gains. However, this was followed by a sharp decline, with Bitcoin dropping 11% and Ethereum experiencing an even steeper fall.
In a similar vein, this September has seen Bitcoin hover around $112,000 after briefly touching $118,000, while Ethereum has slipped from $4,600 to approximately $4.1,00.
This cyclical pattern suggests that crypto may be primed for a rebound, but only after a period of consolidation and confirmation. Moreover, the impending expiry of options contracts for Bitcoin and Ethereum is adding another layer of volatility to the market.
Stablecoin Movement And Institutional Inflows
Another factor impacting the market is the supply and velocity of stablecoins. While the total supply of stablecoins has surged from $204 billion in January to $308 billion in September—an all-time high—the velocity of these assets is not keeping pace.
The analysts have identified that much of this capital remains inactive, either sitting idle, bridged, or utilized off-exchange. Until stablecoin velocity increases, the price impact on cryptocurrencies is likely to remain subdued.
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Looking ahead, historical trends suggest that although crypto may be lagging in the short term, they often follow traditional assets with significant gains once the market stabilizes.
In the aftermath of all-time highs in equity markets, Bitcoin has previously averaged a 12% increase within 30 days and a remarkable 35% over 90 days. Notably, following the Nasdaq’s all-time highs, Bitcoin surged by an impressive 46% in the same 90-day timeframe.
For crypto markets to regain their momentum, active movement of stablecoins is essential, along with a cooling off of derivatives trading and substantial purchases from institutional investors and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The daily chart shows the total crypto market cap valuation at $3.8 trillion. Source: TOTAL on TradingView.com
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has failed to maintain bullish momentum after pushing as high as $3.13 during the week. At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $3.00 and testing its resilience above this level after sliding alongside Bitcoin. The resulting price action is a defining moment for XRP’s short-term trend, according to technical analysis, and crypto analyst CasiTrades has pointed out a decisive support level that could determine whether the bullish structure remains intact.
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XRP Tests $2.98 Support Zone
Taking to the social media platform X, crypto analyst CasiTrades highlighted an important support level that XRP must hold in order to continue its bullish momentum. According to CasiTrades, XRP’s most immediate challenge is at the $2.98 support line.
The analyst’s technical analysis outlines an Elliott Wave formation now unfolding into an ABC corrective pattern. The analysis unfolds XRP’s price action since the beginning of September into Elliot Waves and suggests that XRP is now playing out Wave 4, which is a corrective wave divided into an ABC pattern.
Although XRP is still holding above $2.98, momentum indicators such as the RSI on both the one-hour and four-hour timeframes show no bullish divergence, often a necessary condition for reversal. This puts the $2.98 level in the spotlight, and a break below it could increase the likelihood of further downside pressure.
The analysis highlights the possibility of corrective Wave C extending below $2.98 towards Fibonacci retracement levels near the low $2.90s. The measured C wave extension points to the 0.618 Fib retracement, which is around $2.92 and $2.94.
Interestingly, the 15-minute chart does reveal a short-term bullish divergence, offering a small window for relief bounces. However, without confirmation on the higher timeframes, such reactions are likely to remain temporary. The broader outlook, as outlined by the analyst, still leans toward the probability of another downward wave unless buyers step in strongly at $2.98 to restore confidence and preserve the larger bullish structure.
If buyers manage to hold above $2.98, XRP could stabilize and enter a consolidation phase that will create a foundation for the next leg higher. This consolidation would give the XRP price the breathing room it needs for an eventual upward attempt, one that would mark the beginning of an impulse Wave 5 formation within the Elliott Wave count. In this scenario, a decisive push through the $3.10 level becomes the first hurdle, and breaking it would confirm that bullish momentum is once again in play.
Should XRP successfully clear $3.10 with volume and follow-through, the next target identified by the analyst is another resistance at $3.25. A sustained bullish momentum beyond this point could carry the price toward the next resistance at $3.44.
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At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.01, down by 2.8% in a seven-day timeframe. Preserving the bullish wave structure and holding above $2.98 at this point is essential to avoid the corrective pattern turning into a deeper downtrend.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
While tokens like XRP dominate headlines amid rising ETF approval speculations, the Cardano price is also gaining attention as market conditions slowly recover from bearish trends. New data from Changelly, a crypto exchange, has suggested that Cardano could be gearing up for a massive breakout. The big question now is whether the cryptocurrency has the momentum to reach a $100 milestone.
Why A $100 Cardano Price Remains A Distant Goal
Cardano’s price action has generated significant interest in recent months, as analysts from Changelly attempt to project its next big move. According to their forecasts, ADA remains a relatively low-priced cryptocurrency compared to some of its altcoin rivals like XRP, with projections pointing to modest gains in the near term and a potential surge above $100 by 2040.
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Changelly’s outlook for 2025 suggests a trading range between $0.77 and $0.97, with the average price stabilizing around $1.17. These numbers highlight a steady upward trend but remain far from the speculative $100 level. Breaking this down further, experts from the crypto platform project that in September 2025, ADA could fluctuate between $0.891 and $0.924, averaging near $0.908.
By October 2025, expectations widen slightly, with potential movement between $0.88 and $1.17. November’s outlook places the Cardano price between $0.77 and $1.05, averaging around $0.91, while December 2025 suggests values between $0.807 and $0.87. Taken together, these estimates show that ADA is likely to continue strengthening its price floor while maintaining realistic, incremental growth rather than explosive parabolic moves.
From this perspective, a $100 Cardano price seems improbable within the near or mid-term future. However, in the long-term, Changelly predicts that ADA could exceed the $100 target to reach $116.83 by February 2040. The maximum price for that month has also been set at $132.72.
Cardano’s Price Action
While Changelly’s technical analysis provides insight into potential short-term price movements, Cardano’s long-term story is deeply rooted in its fundamentals. At present, the cryptocurrency trades around $0.91 with a circulating supply of over 35.7 billion ADA, giving it a market capitalization of approximately $32 billion.
ADA has displayed steady momentum in the last week, climbing 1.48% and nearly 6% over the past month. According to Changelly, this growth signals that Cardano still commands a solid market presence, reinforcing its potential for a breakout soon. Although the cryptocurrency has dipped by over $0.01 in the past 24 hours, Changelly points out that recent trading activity has turned notably bullish for the cryptocurrency.
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While Cardano’s strong fundamentals fuel its expanding ecosystem and steady price recovery, its vast circulating supply makes a potential surge to $100 mathematically challenging. Reaching this level would demand a market cap far exceeding that of Bitcoin at its peak. Still, Changelly notes that ADA is showing great potential lately, suggesting that its current price level could be a good buying opportunity for investors.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
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The Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2025 has landed—25 basis points on September 17—and, in Trader Mayne’s telling, that removes the last macro “X-factor” hanging over the crypto market. In a video analysis posted the same day, the veteran price-action trader argued that with the policy move now in the rear-view mirror, crypto can “just focus on the charts,” sketching a roadmap in which Bitcoin posts one more leg higher into new all-time highs before a pullback ushers in a classic altseason blow-off. “We had FOMC today and the rates got cut finally… It’s 25 basis points,” he said. “Now the market’s going to digest it.”
Where Is Bitcoin Price Going Next?
The policy backdrop he’s reacting to is straightforward: the FOMC lowered the fed funds target range by a quarter point to 4.00%–4.25% on Sept. 17, with Chair Jerome Powell describing the move as a risk-management response to weakening labor dynamics and leaving the door open to additional easing this year. The decision drew an 11–1 vote, with newly appointed Governor Stephen Miran dissenting in favor of a larger, 50 bps cut—an unusually hawkish dissent in a dovish direction—while the Board’s implementation note reset key administered rates effective Sept. 18. Markets read the statement and projections as signaling scope for further cuts into year-end.
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From here, Mayne’s framework is unapologetically technical. He characterizes Bitcoin’s most recent upswing as corrective relative to the prior impulse and expects price to “push above the mid-range” toward a range high around $120,000–$121,000, where he will watch for rejection at a higher-time-frame confluence defined by a weekly swing-failure pattern (SFP) and an H12 breaker.
If momentum stalls there, he plans to short into a washout to clear out built-up leverage—“HYPE made another all-time high today. PUMP has tripled in the last two weeks… there’s some leverage in the system”—and then buy the dip for what he calls the last parabolic leg of the cycle. “Any sort of dip on BTC, I want to be looking for a long,” he said, adding that a shallow retest in the $110,000–$111,000 area or a deeper sweep of recent lows would both be acceptable springboards if the rebound is decisive.
If, instead, price grinds through the $120,000 s with no signs of exhaustion, Mayne says he has “no problem” flipping to breakout longs above the all-time high once strength is confirmed intraday—an approach that mirrors his playbook from prior expansions (“Once this thing broke out aggressively… you’re looking for longs”). He emphasizes sequence over prediction: the short he’s eyeing is counter-trend—“a pullback in an uptrend”—and the prime objective remains to position for the next impulsive advance.
When Will The Crypto Market Top?
Timing-wise, he situates the prospective cycle top in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026, describing a pattern in which Bitcoin’s final vertical leg into the $150,000 to $180,000 region is followed by distribution while altcoins reprice higher—the archetypal altseason.
“This parabolic leg I think would be the last leg of the bull run,” he said, before outlining notional alt targets consistent with a late-cycle melt-up: Ethereum $5,000–$7,000, Solana $300–$500, Dogecoin $0.50–$0.70. The mechanics, as he narrates them: a last BTC push, a corrective wash, a V-shaped reclaim of the 2024 ATH “very quickly,” then Q4 “mania” with breadth shifting to large-cap alts as Bitcoin distributes.
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The technical scaffolding behind that view leans on concepts familiar to discretionary price-action traders. Weekly SFPs (failed breaks of prior extremes) set the trap line at range edges; H12 breakers and order blocks frame high-probability reaction zones; and fair-value gaps guide where liquidity vacuums might fill during a corrective flush.
On structure, he insists the weekly trend remains up, so any short is tactical and any deeper dip must resolve in a swift V-bottom and reclaim of the former highs to keep the cyclical script intact. His invalidation is equally clear: “If we spend any significant time back below [the 2024 all-time high], it’s really bad… I’m probably going to reassess my thoughts.”
Macro, in Mayne’s view, now recedes to the background. The rate cut may have helped pull forward some September strength—“you could argue… the up move we’ve seen on Bitcoin… is in anticipation of this rate cut”—but with the decision made and Powell hinting there “could be another one… there could be two,” his emphasis is squarely on execution: wait for price to trade into the $120,000s and signal weakness for the clean counter-trend short; or, absent weakness, wait for the breakout continuation and ride it. Either way, he’s explicit about the north star for the coming weeks: “Focus on Bitcoin… Any sort of dip on BTC, I want to be looking for a long… Then altseason.”
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In a wide-ranging CoinDesk interview released yesterday, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson sharpened a years-long critique of Ethereum’s long-term viability, arguing that the network’s reliance on rollups and external scaling layers has created economic incentives that will ultimately hollow out the base chain. While acknowledging Ethereum’s technical progress, he contended that “as a general-purpose, smart-contract ledger,” the project has nurtured an ecosystem that “will slowly but surely eat [it] alive.”
Why Ethereum Is Doomed To Fail: Cardano Founder
Hoskinson framed the core problem as one of misaligned incentives between Ethereum’s L1 and its expanding constellation of L2s. “To make Ethereum better, they’ve had to embrace layer twos,” he said. “The layer twos are not strong allies… they’re partners of necessity.”
In his view, rollup teams “don’t particularly care if they’re attached to Solana or they become a layer one,” so if better economics or user growth lie elsewhere, “they could simply migrate or go multi-chain.” New applications and liquidity, he added, are already “outside of the Ethereum ecosystem,” eroding the network’s historical network effects.
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“So if they’re gobbling up the transaction volume and gobbling up the users and they’re gobbling up the token appreciation, if there’s a more attractive target, they could simply migrate or go multi-chain,” Hoskinson said, adding that this trend is already observable with LayerZero and Espresso.
That erosion, Hoskinson argued, is set to accelerate as two external forces gather momentum. First, he described Bitcoin DeFi as a “sleeping giant” that could attract “hundreds of billions” in total value once primitives such as stablecoins, DEXs and lending are built with credible security assumptions. “When Bitcoin wakes up… its TVL will be… larger than the market cap of Ethereum,” he said, noting that sovereigns and major asset managers would likely prefer to build around Bitcoin exposure.
Second, he expects large technology platforms and traditional financial institutions to enter with their own infrastructure, adjacent to public chains but not economically dependent on Ethereum’s base layer—“Microsoft… Google… Amazon… have no incentive to go boost Ethereum or deploy on Ethereum,” he said.
The technological arc, in Hoskinson’s telling, also tilts away from shared-state blockchains. As zero-knowledge proofs and “proof-carrying code” mature, more computation can be executed off-chain—in secure enclaves, on devices, or within MPC systems—leaving the chain to verify succinct proofs. “Why… spend billions of dollars a year maintaining this very weak computer that’s shared and replicated,” he asked, “when you can turn it into a distributed problem that runs everywhere?”
Like Microsoft missing mobile and pivoting from Windows dominance to Azure, he suggested, Ethereum may ultimately need to “pivot to a new McGuffin” to retain relevance even if it remains present in the stack.
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Notably, Hoskinson’s assessment was not unqualified dismissal. He credited Ethereum for “keeping up with the times,” investing in rollups and zero-knowledge technology, and building a “Goliath” ecosystem that survived early funding scares and the DAO crisis. “They’ve done some really incredible things,” he said, and he allowed that “it’s entirely possible that Ethereum could pivot… and get very good at that” new role. The nub of his skepticism is not competence but structure: in his view, the more rollups succeed, the less compelling the L1 becomes as the economic hub.
The remarks reprise and elaborate on a stance Hoskinson aired earlier this year, when he said during an AMA: “I don’t think Ethereum will survive more than 10 to 15 years,” predicting that L2s would “suckle out all of the alpha.”
Hoskinson’s analysis also folds into his own current bets for Cardano. He cast Bitcoin-centric DeFi as a three-rule design target—security derived from Bitcoin, fees paid in Bitcoin, and yields returned in Bitcoin—and argued that companion chains and trust-minimized bridges will be necessary to make it work. He presented Cardano’s extended-UTXO design and its privacy sidechain Midnight as infrastructure positioned to serve that market while offering selective-disclosure compliance for institutions.
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JPMorgan’s US trading desk is cautioning clients that a widely expected Federal Reserve rate cut on September 17 could mark a near-term peak for risk assets rather than a new leg higher—an outcome that would not spare crypto.
In a note flagged by desk head Andrew Tyler, the bank writes: “We have concerns that the September 17 Fed meeting which delivers a 25bp cut could turn into a ‘Sell the News’ event as investors pullback to consider macro data, Fed’s reaction function, potentially stretched positioning, a weaker corporate buyback bid, and waning participation from the Retail investor.”
The timing matters. The Fed’s next policy meeting runs September 16–17, with a statement and press conference scheduled for Wednesday, September 17. That calendar alone has become a catalyst as traders position around both the size of the cut and the tone of the guidance.
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Standard Chartered, pointing to a labor market that has cooled far faster than anticipated, now expects the Fed to deliver a 50-basis-point move. “August labor market data has paved the way for a ‘catch-up’ 50 basis point rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, similar to what occurred at this time last year,” the bank said, after US nonfarm payrolls rose by just 22,000 in August and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.3%.
Steve Englander, global head of G10FX research at Standard Chartered, discusses the need for the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 50 basis points at the September meeting and why he would consider anything less to be a policy error https://t.co/TJQBGIytImpic.twitter.com/VP2rVusiA5
JPMorgan’s desk is not abandoning its “lower-conviction Tactical Bullish” stance, but it is urging investors to carry insurance into the event. In addition to recommending that equity investors “consider” adding or increasing gold exposure as cut expectations sap the dollar, Tyler’s team spelled out more explicit hedges for a volatility shock: “we like VIX call spreads or VXX longs as a hedge, as well as parts of Defensives.”
The macro backdrop has indeed turned more complicated. August payrolls barely grew and prior data were revised down, while the unemployment rate rose to a near four-year high, developments that have hardened expectations for policy easing but also raised the specter of a growth scare.
Meanwhile, gold has been screaming higher—printing successive record highs above $3,600/oz—as investors price both easier policy and broader political-economic risk. Those concurrent signals—weakening labor, stronger bullion—frame why a rate cut may not automatically equal “risk-on” for beta.
Crypto Faces Volatility Test
For crypto, the read-through is two-sided and highly path dependent. On one hand, the same jobs-driven repricing that has juiced gold has also supported bitcoin in recent sessions as traders lean into the idea of easier money and a softer dollar—classic tailwinds for risk assets and for store-of-value narratives alike.
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On the other hand, a mechanical “equities down, vol up” impulse around the decision would likely transmit into crypto assets, where cross-asset de-risking and margin unwinds have historically amplified intraday swings. That tension is visible in current coverage: bitcoin has bounced back toward the $112k area alongside rate-cut bets, yet several market observers warn that a run-of-the-mill 25bp move—especially if framed as a “hawkish cut”—may fail to spark a sustained crypto rally.
Notably, a “catch-up” 50bp cut, as Standard Chartered projects, would accelerate the compression in real yields and could weaken the dollar at the margin—conditions that have tended to support bitcoin and liquidity-sensitive altcoins when the move is not seen as recessionary triage.
Conversely, a smaller or caveated cut could deliver precisely the “sell the news” pattern JPMorgan warns about, with equities and high-beta assets like crypto marking lower first before reassessing the glide path. History is no lodestar—post-cut outcomes have ranged from strong rallies in mid-cycle adjustments to drawdowns when cuts presaged recession—but it does argue for elevated realized volatility around the first step.
