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  • 11 high-yield dividend stocks that are Wall Street’s favorites for 2023

    11 high-yield dividend stocks that are Wall Street’s favorites for 2023

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    Investors love dividend stocks but there are different ways to look at them, including various “quality” approaches. Today we are focusing on high yields.

    A high dividend yield can be a warning that investors have lost confidence in a company’s ability to maintain its dividend payout. But there are always exceptions, some of which can be brought about by market events — some investors remain skeptical of energy stocks, for example, after so much pain before this year’s outstanding performance for the sector.

    Below is a screen of stocks that have high dividend yields and are favored by analysts. The screen has no financial quality filters.

    For investors who are interested in dividend stocks but wish to focus on quality and total returns, this recent look at the S&P Dividend Aristocrats (companies that have raised dividends consistently for many years) might be of interest. For those looking for income but also worried about dividend cuts, here is a list of stocks with dividend yields of at least 5% whose payouts are expected to be well-covered by free cash flow in 2023.

    If you are looking for higher yields with moderate risk, you should at also learn about funds that use covered-call option strategies to enhance income.

    Removing the filters for a high-yield dividend-stock screen

    For a broad screen of stocks with high dividend yields that are favored by analysts, we began with the S&P Composite 1500 Index
    SP1500,
    +1.42%    ,
    which is made up of the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +1.42%    ,
    the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
    MID,
    +1.48%    ,
    and the S&P 600 Small Cap Index
    SML,
    +1.49%    .

    The S&P indexes exclude energy partnerships, so we added the 15 stocks held by the Alerian MLP ETF
    AMLP,
    +1.81%
    to the list. Energy partnerships tend to have high distribution yields, in part because they pass most earnings through to investors. But they also can make tax preparation more complicated. They can also be volatile as oil
    CL00,
    +2.96%
    CL00 and natural-gas
    NG00,
    +1.58%
    prices swing.

    The S&P indexes also exclude business development companies, or BDCs, so we expanded our initial screen to include the 24 stocks held by the VanEck BDC income ETF
    BIZD,
    +0.76%    .
    BDCs are specialized leveraged lenders that make loans with high interest rates, mainly to middle-market companies. They often take equity stakes in the companies they lend to, for a venture-capital-type of investment style. The BDC space features several stocks with very high dividend yields, but is also known for volatility.

    You have been warned — this particular stock screen focuses only on high yields and favorable ratings among analysts working for brokerage firms. There is no look back at dividend cuts and no cash-flow analysis as featured in other dividend-stock articles. If you see anything of interest resulting from the screen, you need to do your own research to consider whether or not a long-term commitment to one or more of these companies is worth the risk as you seek high income.

    The screen

    Starting with the S&P Composite 1500 and the components of AMLP and BIZD, there are 68 stocks with dividend yields of at least 8%, according to data provided by FactSet.

    Among the 68 companies, 55 made the first screen, because they are covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.

    Among the 55 companies, 11 have “buy” or equivalent ratings among at least 70% of analysts.

    Here they are, ranked by upside potential implied by analysts’ consensus price targets:

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 Dividend yield

    		 Share “buy” ratings

    		 Dec. 20 price

    		 Consensus price target

    		 Implied 12-month upside potential
    Energy Transfer LP

    		 ET,
    +2.35%         		9.08%

    		 95%

    		 $11.68

    		 $16.24

    		 39%
    Enterprise Products Partners LP

    		 EPD,
    +0.88%         		8.12%

    		 79%

    		 $23.39

    		 $31.69

    		 35%
    Barings BDC Inc.

    		 BBDC,
         		11.67%

    		 86%

    		 $8.14

    		 $10.75

    		 32%
    Redwood Trust Inc.

    		 RWT,
    +2.70%         		13.45%

    		 80%

    		 $6.84

    		 $8.92

    		 30%
    Crestwood Equity Partners LP

    		 CEQP,
    +0.78%         		9.75%

    		 100%

    		 $26.86

    		 $35.00

    		 30%
    KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.

    		 KREF,
    +1.38%         		11.90%

    		 71%

    		 $14.45

    		 $18.50

    		 28%
    Owl Rock Capital Corp.

    		 ORCC,
    +0.38%         		11.21%

    		 91%

    		 $11.78

    		 $14.73

    		 25%
    Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc.

    		 TSLX,
    +1.89%         		10.48%

    		 82%

    		 $17.18

    		 $20.90

    		 22%
    Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp.

    		 OCSL,
    -0.37%         		9.97%

    		 100%

    		 $6.77

    		 $7.75

    		 14%
    Ares Capital Corp.

    		 ARCC,
    +1.22%         		10.45%

    		 93%

    		 $18.38

    		 $20.87

    		 14%
    BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.

    		 TCPC,
    +1.76%         		10.25%

    		 71.43%

    		 $12.49

    		 $14.00

    		 12%
    Source: FactSet

    One way to begin your own research into any company listed here is to click on the ticker for more information.

    You should also read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available free on the MarketWatch quote page.

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  • Wells Fargo ordered to pay $3.7 billion for alleged mismanagement of auto loans, mortgages and deposit accounts

    Wells Fargo ordered to pay $3.7 billion for alleged mismanagement of auto loans, mortgages and deposit accounts

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    The Consumer Financial Protection Board on Tuesday said it is requiring Wells Fargo & Co. to pay $3.7 billion as a result of alleged widespread mismanagement of auto loans, mortgages and deposit accounts.

    The CFPB said Wells Fargo “repeatedly misapplied loan payments, wrongfully foreclosed on homes and illegally repossessed vehicles, incorrectly assessed fees and interest, charged surprise overdraft fees, along with other illegal activity affecting over 16 million consumer accounts.”

    Wells Fargo
    WFC,
    -2.01%
    has been ordered to pay more than $2 billion in redress to consumers in addition to a $1.7 billion civil penalty for legal violations.

    “Consumers were illegally assessed fees and interest charges on auto and mortgage loans, had their cars wrongly repossessed, and had payments to auto and mortgage loans misapplied by the bank,” the CFBP said.

    Wells Fargo did not admit wrongdoing as part of the settlement.

    Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf said the settlement marks an “important milestone in our work to transform the operating practices of Wells Fargo and to put these issues behind us.”

    As a result of the settlement, the CFPB will terminate a 2016 consent order, Wells Fargo said.

    The settlement will also provide clarity and a path forward for termination of a 2018 consent order and will underscore that the CFPB “recognizes recent acceleration of efforts,” the bank said.

    “The CFPB recognized that since 2020, the company has accelerated corrective actions and remediation, including to address the matters covered by today’s settlement,” the bank said in a statement.

    Wells Fargo warned it will book an operating-loss expense of $3.5 billion, or $2.8 billion net of tax, when it reports fourth-quarter results on Jan. 13.

    “Wells Fargo has made significant progress in strengthening its risk and control infrastructure over the past several years,” the bank said.

    Jefferies analyst Ken Usdin said in a research note that the CFPB action marks a “positive step in the regulatory improvement process” for Wells Fargo.

    But he said Wells Fargo’s plan to book a fourth-quarter operating loss of $3.5 billion does not mean that the bank’s accrual for probable and estimable losses (RPL), which it discloses every quarter, will go to zero.

    “We would hope that probable and estimated losses would decline somewhat after [the fourth quarter] given the magnitude of today’s settlement,” Usdin said. “[Wells Fargo’s] separate announcement that it will book $3.5 billion of operating losses in [the fourth quarter] suggests that only some of the CFPB-specific settlement was already reserved for. But this sizable [fourth-quarter] number also means that [Wells Fargo] has been booking losses for other actions along the way that are still open-ended.”

    Scharf has been CEO of Wells Fargo since late 2019 and has been focusing on bringing the megabank into regulatory compliance.

    While an asset cap has remained in place for Wells Fargo since 2018 as punishment for its phony-accounts scandal, other regulatory matters are now in the rear-view mirror.

    In December 2021, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) terminated a consent order issued in 2015 regarding add-on products that the bank sold to retail banking customers.

    A CFPB consent order issued in 2016 regarding the bank’s retail practices expired in 2021, and a 2015 consent order from the OCC regarding Wells Fargo’s bank-secrecy and anti-money-laundering compliance was terminated in January 2021.

    Finally, a CFPB consent order issued in 2015 regarding claims that the bank violated the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act expired in January 2020.

    Shares of Wells Fargo fell 0.3% on Tuesday. The stock is down 13.1% in 2022, compared with a 19.6% loss by the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.10%    .

    Also read: Fed banking supervisor eyes ‘holistic’ review of bank regulations while doubling down on protections they offer

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  • Swiss National Bank Slows Tightening Cycle With a 50 Basis Points Interest-Rate Rise

    Swiss National Bank Slows Tightening Cycle With a 50 Basis Points Interest-Rate Rise

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    By Xavier Fontdegloria

    Switzerland’s National Bank on Thursday increased interest rates for a third consecutive time in as many meetings, but slowed the pace of rises as inflation pressures moderated.

    The Swiss central bank increased its policy rate by 50 basis points, to 1.0%, after a larger increase of 75 basis points at its September meeting.

    …

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  • Vanguard sees a recession in 2023 — and one ‘silver lining’ for investors

    Vanguard sees a recession in 2023 — and one ‘silver lining’ for investors

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    The last 12 months was a year of fast-rising inflation, fast-rising interest rates and fast-rising questions about a future recession.

    Prices went up while stock markets and savings account balances went down, leaving consumers and investors dizzy and their wallets hurting.

    There may be more financial pain, that’s pretty sure — but it might not be as bad as feared, according to Vanguard’s look ahead to 2023.

    The likely recession will not send jobless rates charging sharply higher, sticker shock will fade for the price of goods, and the rise in rent and mortgages will also ease, Vanguard said.

    “On Tuesday, inflation data for November showed prices are continuing to cool. Analysts say that makes a 50-basis point increase, rather than a 75-basis-point increase, more likely.”

    The good news: This opens up chances for stocks to rebound, the asset-manager added.

    The outlook, released this week, comes as Americans are trying to guess what 2023 holds for their finances while they manage their holiday shopping budgets, and 2022 investments.

    On Tuesday, inflation data for November showed prices are continuing to cool. From October to November, the cost of living nudged up 0.1%, lower than the 0.3% forecast, the Consumer Price Index showed. Year over year, the inflation rate receded to 7.1% from 7.7% in October, according to the CPI data.

    On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest decision on interest rate increases. A 50-basis point increase is widely expected after four jumbo-sized 75-basis point hikes from the central bank.

    Here’s one roadmap for what’s next, as far as Vanguard’s researchers and experts can see.

    Hot inflation will cool

    Inflation rates during 2022 climbed to four-decade highs. There have been signs of easing, such as smaller-than-expected price increases in October.

    “As we step into 2023, early signs of a recovery in goods supply and softening demand could help balance supply and demand for consumption goods and bring prices lower,” the authors noted ahead of Tuesday’s CPI numbers.

    But the cost and demand of services are going to prevent a quick fall, they noted. Signs of slowing price increases are already emerging in rents and mortgages, but they will take longer to ease than prices of consumer goods, the authors said.

    That echoes the view from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who said Sunday there will be “much lower inflation,” absent any unanticipated shocks to the economy.

    But while hot inflation will cool, it will still be warm to the touch. The Fed says 2% inflation is its target goal; Vanguard sees 3% inflation by the end of 2023.

    A recession is very much on the cards

    As “generationally high inflation” slowed economies across the world, the Fed and other central banks have countered with interest-rate increases to tame price increases. That “will ultimately succeed, but at a cost of a global recession in 2023,” according to Vanguard’s report. Vanguard sees a 90% chance of a recession in the United States by the end of next year.

    Vanguard is hardly alone in the recession call, so the question is how bad could the big picture look?

    In Vanguard’s view, it’s not so bad. “Households, businesses, and financial institutions are in a much better position to handle the eventual downturn, such that drawing parallels with the 1970s, 1980s, 2008, or 2020 seems misplaced,” the authors wrote.

    Job losses may be clustered

    For now, the jobless rate in a tight labor market is 3.7%, which is just a little above the lowest levels in five decades. That stands against the headline-grabbing list of companies where layoffs are mounting, notably in the tech sector.

    When a recession, in all likelihood, lands next year, “unemployment may peak around 5%, a historically low rate for a recession,” the Vanguard outlook said. As interest rates climb, the job losses “should be most concentrated in the technology and real estate sectors, which were among the strongest beneficiaries of the zero-rate environment.”

    The unemployment rate going from 3.7% to the 5% vicinity is “a sizable move,” Roger Aliaga-Díaz, Americas chief economist for Vanguard, said in a Monday press conference on the report. “But it is less dramatic of a rise than compared to past recessions perhaps.”

    Spotting the opportunities

    When interest rates go up, bond prices go down. So it’s been difficult for bonds with lower returns and “near-term pain” for investors this year, the Vanguard outlook said.

    “However the bright side of higher rates is higher interest payments. These have led our return expectations for U.S. and international bonds to increase by more than twofold,” the report said.

    Vanguard said U.S. bond return projections could be 4.1% – 5.1% annually over the next year versus its 1.4% – 2.4% return estimate last year. For U.S. stocks, the forecast could be 4.7% – 6.7% annually, while returns in emerging market equities could be between 7% and 9%.

    On Tuesday morning, stock markets are soaring higher on the cooler than expected inflation data, igniting hopes of an end of year Santa Claus rally.

    “‘There’s one silver lining of our outlook for a modest global recession. And it’s the clear silver lining of higher expected returns for investors.’”


    — Joseph Davis, Vanguard’s chief global economist

    Still, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.30%
    is down nearly 5% year to date. The S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.73%
    is off 14% in that time and for the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    +0.38%
    is down more than 26%.

    When the market hits bottom is impossible to know, the outlook said — but it noted “valuations and yields are clearly more attractive than they were a year ago.”

    “There’s one silver lining of our outlook for a modest global recession. And it’s the clear silver lining of higher expected returns for investors,” said Joseph Davis, Vanguard’s chief global economist.

    “We’re long concerned that the low rate environment was both unsustainable and ultimately a tax and a headwind for savers and long term investors,” Davis said.

    But even with all the turbulence this year, “we certainly are starting to see the dividends to higher real interest rates around the world in the higher projected returns that we anticipate for investors over the coming decade.”

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  • Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

    Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

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    Following a sharp and sustained rise in interest rates, U.S. stocks have taken a broad beating this year.

    But 2023 may bring very different circumstances.

    Below are lists of analysts’ favorite stocks among the benchmark S&P 500
    SPX,
    the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
    MID
    and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index
    SML
    that are expected to rise the most over the next year. Those lists are followed by a summary of opinions of all 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA.

    Stocks rallied on Dec. 13 when the November CPI report showed a much slower inflation pace than economists had expected. Investors were also anticipating the Federal Open Market Committee’s next monetary policy announcement on Dec. 14. The consensus among economists polled by FactSet is for the Federal Reserve to raise the federal funds rate by 0.50% to a target range of 4.50% to 4.75%.

    Read: 5 things to watch when the Fed makes its interest-rate decision

    A 0.50% increase would be a slowdown from the four previous increases of 0.75%. The rate began 2022 in a range of zero to 0.25%, where it had sat since March 2020.

    A pivot for the Fed Reserve and the possibility that the federal funds rate will reach its “terminal” rate (the highest for this cycle) in the near term could set the stage for a broad rally for stocks in 2023.

    Wall Street’s large-cap favorites

    Among the S&P 500, 92 stocks are rated “buy” or the equivalent by at least 75% of analysts working for brokerage firms. That number itself is interesting — at the end of 2021, 93 of the S&P 500 had this distinction. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has declined 16% in 2022, with all sectors down except for energy, which has risen 53%, and the utilities sector, which his risen 1% (both excluding dividends).

    Here are the 20 stocks in the S&P 500 with at least 75% “buy” or equivalent ratings that analysts expect to rise the most over the next year, based on consensus price targets:

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 Industry

    		 Closing price – Dec. 12

    		 Consensus price target

    		 Implied 12-month upside potential

    		 Share “buy” ratings

    		 Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12
    EQT Corp.

    		 EQT Oil and Gas Production

    		 $36.91

    		 $59.70

    		 62%

    		 78%

    		 69%
    Catalent Inc.

    		 CTLT Pharmaceuticals

    		 $45.50

    		 $72.42

    		 59%

    		 75%

    		 -64%
    Amazon.com Inc.

    		 AMZN Internet Retail

    		 $90.55

    		 $136.02

    		 50%

    		 91%

    		 -46%
    Global Payments Inc.

    		 GPN Misc. Commercial Services

    		 $99.64

    		 $147.43

    		 48%

    		 75%

    		 -26%
    Signature Bank

    		 SBNY Regional Banks

    		 $122.73

    		 $180.44

    		 47%

    		 78%

    		 -62%
    Salesforce Inc.

    		 CRM Software

    		 $133.11

    		 $195.59

    		 47%

    		 80%

    		 -48%
    Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc. Class A

    		 BIO Medical Specialties

    		 $418.28

    		 $591.00

    		 41%

    		 100%

    		 -45%
    Zoetis Inc. Class A

    		 ZTS Pharmaceuticals

    		 $152.86

    		 $212.80

    		 39%

    		 87%

    		 -37%
    Delta Air Lines Inc.

    		 DAL Airlines

    		 $34.77

    		 $48.31

    		 39%

    		 90%

    		 -11%
    Diamondback Energy Inc.

    		 FANG Oil and Gas Production

    		 $134.21

    		 $182.33

    		 36%

    		 84%

    		 24%
    Caesars Entertainment Inc

    		 CZR Casinos/ Gaming

    		 $50.27

    		 $67.79

    		 35%

    		 81%

    		 -46%
    Alphabet Inc. Class A

    		 GOOGL Internet Software/ Services

    		 $93.31

    		 $125.70

    		 35%

    		 92%

    		 -36%
    Halliburton Co.

    		 HAL Oilfield Services/ Equipment

    		 $34.30

    		 $45.95

    		 34%

    		 86%

    		 50%
    Alaska Air Group Inc.

    		 ALK Airlines

    		 $45.75

    		 $61.08

    		 34%

    		 93%

    		 -12%
    Targa Resources Corp.

    		 TRGP Gas Distributors

    		 $70.42

    		 $93.95

    		 33%

    		 95%

    		 35%
    Charles River Laboratories International Inc.

    		 CRL Misc. Commercial Services

    		 $201.94

    		 $269.25

    		 33%

    		 88%

    		 -46%
    ServiceNow Inc.

    		 NOW Information Technology Services

    		 $401.64

    		 $529.83

    		 32%

    		 92%

    		 -38%
    Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.

    		 TTWO Software

    		 $102.61

    		 $135.04

    		 32%

    		 79%

    		 -42%
    EOG Resources Inc.

    		 EOG Oil and Gas Production

    		 $124.06

    		 $158.24

    		 28%

    		 82%

    		 40%
    Southwest Airlines Co.

    		 LUV Airlines

    		 $38.94

    		 $49.56

    		 27%

    		 76%

    		 -9%
    Source: FactSet

    Most of the companies on the S&P 500 list expected to soar in 2023 have seen large declines in 2022. But the company at the top of the list, EQT Corp.
    EQT,
    is an exception. The stock has risen 69% in 2022 and is expected to add another 62% over the next 12 months. Analysts expect the company’s earnings per share to double during 2023 (in part from its expected acquisition of THQ), after nearly a four-fold EPS increase in 2022.

    Shares of Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN
    are expected to soar 50% over the next year, following a decline of 46% so far in 2022. If the shares were to rise 50% from here to the price target of $136.02, they would still be 18% below their closing price of 166.72 at the end of 2021.

    Read: Here’s why Amazon is Citi’s top internet stock idea

    You can see the earnings estimates and more for any stock in this article by clicking on its ticker.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Mid-cap stocks expected to rise the most

    The lists of favored stocks are limited to those covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.

    Among components of the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index, there are 84 stocks with at least 75% “buy” ratings. Here at the 20 expected to rise the most over the next year:

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 Industry

    		 Closing price – Dec. 12

    		 Consensus price target

    		 Implied 12-month upside potential

    		 Share “buy” ratings

    		 Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12
    Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc.

    		 ARWR Biotechnology

    		 $31.85

    		 $69.69

    		 119%

    		 83%

    		 -52%
    Lantheus Holdings Inc.

    		 LNTH Medical Specialties

    		 $54.92

    		 $102.00

    		 86%

    		 100%

    		 90%
    Progyny Inc.

    		 PGNY Misc. Commercial Services

    		 $31.21

    		 $55.57

    		 78%

    		 100%

    		 -38%
    Coherent Corp.

    		 COHR Electronic Equipment/ Instruments

    		 $35.41

    		 $60.56

    		 71%

    		 84%

    		 -48%
    Exelixis Inc.

    		 EXEL Biotechnology

    		 $16.08

    		 $26.07

    		 62%

    		 81%

    		 -12%
    Darling Ingredients Inc.

    		 DAR Food: Specialty/ Candy

    		 $61.17

    		 $97.36

    		 59%

    		 93%

    		 -12%
    Perrigo Co. PLC

    		 PRGO Pharmaceuticals

    		 $31.83

    		 $49.25

    		 55%

    		 100%

    		 -18%
    Mattel Inc.

    		 MAT Recreational Products

    		 $17.39

    		 $26.58

    		 53%

    		 87%

    		 -19%
    ACI Worldwide Inc.

    		 ACIW Software

    		 $20.75

    		 $31.40

    		 51%

    		 83%

    		 -40%
    Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.

    		 MODG Recreational Products

    		 $21.99

    		 $32.91

    		 50%

    		 83%

    		 -20%
    Dycom Industries Inc.

    		 DY Engineering and Construction

    		 $86.03

    		 $128.13

    		 49%

    		 100%

    		 -8%
    Travel + Leisure Co.

    		 TNL Hotels/ Resorts/ Cruiselines

    		 $37.98

    		 $56.00

    		 47%

    		 75%

    		 -31%
    Frontier Communications Parent Inc.

    		 FYBR Telecommunications

    		 $25.21

    		 $36.18

    		 44%

    		 82%

    		 -15%
    Manhattan Associates Inc.

    		 MANH Software

    		 $120.06

    		 $171.80

    		 43%

    		 88%

    		 -23%
    MP Materials Corp Class A

    		 MP Other Metals/ Minerals

    		 $31.39

    		 $44.79

    		 43%

    		 92%

    		 -31%
    Lumentum Holdings Inc.

    		 LITE Electrical Products

    		 $54.45

    		 $76.44

    		 40%

    		 76%

    		 -49%
    Tenet Healthcare Corp.

    		 THC Hospital/ Nursing Management

    		 $44.22

    		 $62.00

    		 40%

    		 80%

    		 -46%
    Repligen Corp.

    		 RGEN Pharmaceuticals

    		 $166.88

    		 $233.10

    		 40%

    		 82%

    		 -37%
    STAAR Surgical Co.

    		 STAA Medical Specialties

    		 $59.57

    		 $82.67

    		 39%

    		 82%

    		 -35%
    Carlisle Cos. Inc.

    		 CSL Building Products

    		 $251.99

    		 $348.33

    		 38%

    		 75%

    		 2%
    Source: FactSet
    Wall Street’s favorite small-cap names

    Among companies in the S&P Small Cap 600 Index, 91 are rated “buy” or the equivalent by at least 75% of analysts. Here are the 20 with the highest 12-month upside potential indicated by consensus price targets:

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 Industry

    		 Closing price – Dec. 12

    		 Consensus price target

    		 Implied 12-month upside potential

    		 Share “buy” ratings

    		 Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12
    UniQure NV

    		 QURE Biotechnology

    		 $22.99

    		 $51.29

    		 123%

    		 95%

    		 11%
    Cara Therapeutics Inc.

    		 CARA Biotechnology

    		 $11.34

    		 $23.63

    		 108%

    		 88%

    		 -7%
    Vir Biotechnology Inc.

    		 VIR Biotechnology

    		 $25.50

    		 $53.00

    		 108%

    		 75%

    		 -39%
    Dynavax Technologies Corp.

    		 DVAX Biotechnology

    		 $11.22

    		 $23.20

    		 107%

    		 100%

    		 -20%
    Thryv Holdings Inc.

    		 THRY Advertising/ Marketing Services

    		 $18.40

    		 $36.75

    		 100%

    		 100%

    		 -55%
    Artivion Inc.

    		 AORT Medical Specialties

    		 $12.93

    		 $23.13

    		 79%

    		 83%

    		 -36%
    Cytokinetics Inc.

    		 CYTK Pharmaceuticals

    		 $38.33

    		 $67.43

    		 76%

    		 100%

    		 -16%
    Harsco Corp.

    		 HSC Environmental Services

    		 $7.17

    		 $12.30

    		 72%

    		 80%

    		 -57%
    Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc.

    		 LGND Pharmaceuticals

    		 $64.80

    		 $110.83

    		 71%

    		 100%

    		 -35%
    Corcept Therapeutics Inc.

    		 CORT Pharmaceuticals

    		 $20.84

    		 $34.20

    		 64%

    		 80%

    		 5%
    Payoneer Global Inc.

    		 PAYO Misc. Commercial Services

    		 $5.70

    		 $9.33

    		 64%

    		 100%

    		 -22%
    Xencor Inc.

    		 XNCR Biotechnology

    		 $28.69

    		 $46.71

    		 63%

    		 93%

    		 -28%
    Pacira Biosciences Inc.

    		 PCRX Pharmaceuticals

    		 $45.50

    		 $72.90

    		 60%

    		 80%

    		 -24%
    BioLife Solutions Inc.

    		 BLFS Chemicals

    		 $19.72

    		 $31.38

    		 59%

    		 89%

    		 -47%
    Customers Bancorp Inc.

    		 CUBI Regional Banks

    		 $30.00

    		 $47.63

    		 59%

    		 75%

    		 -54%
    ModivCare Inc.

    		 MODV Other Transportation

    		 $92.22

    		 $145.83

    		 58%

    		 100%

    		 -38%
    Stride Inc.

    		 LRN Consumer Services

    		 $32.56

    		 $51.25

    		 57%

    		 100%

    		 -2%
    Ranger Oil Corp. Class A

    		 ROCC Oil and Gas Production

    		 $36.98

    		 $58.00

    		 57%

    		 100%

    		 37%
    Outfront Media Inc.

    		 OUT Real Estate Investment Trusts

    		 $17.59

    		 $27.00

    		 53%

    		 83%

    		 -34%
    Walker & Dunlop Inc.

    		 WD Finance/ Rental/ Leasing

    		 $82.22

    		 $125.20

    		 52%

    		 100%

    		 -46%
    Source: FactSet
    The Dow

    Here are all 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average ranked by how much analysts expect their prices to rise over the next year:

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 Industry

    		 Closing price – Dec. 12

    		 Consensus price target

    		 Implied 12-month upside potential

    		 Share “buy” ratings

    		 Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12
    Salesforce Inc.

    		 CRM Software

    		 $133.11

    		 $195.59

    		 47%

    		 80%

    		 -48%
    Walt Disney Co.

    		 DIS Movies/ Entertainment

    		 $94.66

    		 $119.60

    		 26%

    		 82%

    		 -39%
    Apple Inc.

    		 AAPL Telecommunications Equipment

    		 $144.49

    		 $173.70

    		 20%

    		 74%

    		 -19%
    Verizon Communications Inc.

    		 VZ Telecommunications

    		 $37.95

    		 $44.60

    		 18%

    		 21%

    		 -27%
    Visa Inc. Class A

    		 V Misc.s Commercial Services

    		 $214.59

    		 $249.33

    		 16%

    		 86%

    		 -1%
    Microsoft Corp.

    		 MSFT Software

    		 $252.51

    		 $293.06

    		 16%

    		 91%

    		 -25%
    Chevron Corp.

    		 CVX Integrated Oil

    		 $169.75

    		 $191.20

    		 13%

    		 54%

    		 45%
    Cisco Systems Inc.

    		 CSCO Information Technology Services

    		 $49.30

    		 $53.76

    		 9%

    		 44%

    		 -22%
    UnitedHealth Group Inc.

    		 UNH Managed Health Care

    		 $545.86

    		 $593.30

    		 9%

    		 85%

    		 9%
    Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

    		 GS Investment Banks/ Brokers

    		 $363.18

    		 $392.63

    		 8%

    		 59%

    		 -5%
    Walmart Inc.

    		 WMT Specialty Stores

    		 $148.02

    		 $159.86

    		 8%

    		 72%

    		 2%
    JPMorgan Chase & Co.

    		 JPM Banks

    		 $134.21

    		 $143.84

    		 7%

    		 59%

    		 -15%
    Home Depot Inc.

    		 HD Home Improvement Chains

    		 $327.98

    		 $346.61

    		 6%

    		 61%

    		 -21%
    American Express Co.

    		 AXP Finance/ Rental/ Leasing

    		 $157.31

    		 $164.57

    		 5%

    		 43%

    		 -4%
    McDonald’s Corp.

    		 MCD Restaurants

    		 $276.62

    		 $288.67

    		 4%

    		 72%

    		 3%
    Johnson & Johnson

    		 JNJ Pharmaceuticals

    		 $177.84

    		 $185.35

    		 4%

    		 36%

    		 4%
    Coca-Cola Co.

    		 KO Beverages: Non-Alcoholic

    		 $63.97

    		 $66.62

    		 4%

    		 73%

    		 8%
    Boeing Co.

    		 BA Aerospace and Defense

    		 $186.27

    		 $192.69

    		 3%

    		 77%

    		 -7%
    Intel Corp.

    		 INTC Semiconductors

    		 $28.69

    		 $29.54

    		 3%

    		 13%

    		 -44%
    Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.

    		 WBA Drugstore Chains

    		 $41.06

    		 $42.24

    		 3%

    		 17%

    		 -21%
    Merck & Co. Inc.

    		 MRK Pharmaceuticals

    		 $108.97

    		 $110.62

    		 2%

    		 65%

    		 42%
    Caterpillar Inc.

    		 CAT Trucks/ Construction/ Farm Machinery

    		 $233.06

    		 $236.23

    		 1%

    		 41%

    		 13%
    Honeywell International Inc.

    		 HON Aerospace and Defense

    		 $214.50

    		 $217.35

    		 1%

    		 54%

    		 3%
    Nike Inc. Class B

    		 NKE Apparel/ Footwear

    		 $112.07

    		 $112.58

    		 0%

    		 64%

    		 -33%
    3M Co.

    		 MMM Industrial Conglomerates

    		 $126.85

    		 $127.30

    		 0%

    		 5%

    		 -29%
    Procter & Gamble Co.

    		 PG Household/ Personal Care

    		 $152.47

    		 $150.22

    		 -1%

    		 59%

    		 -7%
    Travelers Companies Inc.

    		 TRV Multi-Line Insurance

    		 $187.11

    		 $184.24

    		 -2%

    		 18%

    		 20%
    Amgen Inc.

    		 AMGN Biotechnology

    		 $276.78

    		 $264.79

    		 -4%

    		 24%

    		 23%
    Dow Inc.

    		 DOW Chemicals

    		 $51.11

    		 $48.73

    		 -5%

    		 15%

    		 -10%
    International Business Machines Corp.

    		 IBM Information Technology Services

    		 $149.21

    		 $140.29

    		 -6%

    		 33%

    		 12%
    Source: FactSet

    Don’t miss: 10 Dividend Aristocrat stocks expected by analysts to rise up to 54% in 2023

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  • Need some financial advice? A new Bank of America program will help you for free

    Need some financial advice? A new Bank of America program will help you for free

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    Bank of America announced Tuesday that it will offer no-cost financial counseling to customers in 17 cities, starting next year. That’ll include locations in Charlotte.

    Bank of America announced Tuesday that it will offer no-cost financial counseling to customers in 17 cities, starting next year. That’ll include locations in Charlotte.


    Jason Vorhees

    jvorhees@macon.com

    If you’re looking to pay down debt, raise your credit score or reach a savings goal in the new year, you can find some free professional help at a local Bank of America branch starting next month.

    The Charlotte-based bank announced Tuesday that it’s partnering with Operation HOPE, a financial education nonprofit, to offer no-cost financial counseling to customers in 180 bank branches across the country. That’ll include locations in Charlotte and 16 other cities across the U.S., according to a news release from the bank.

    Charlotte will be the only city in the Carolinas to offer the counseling.

    The program is open to all customers but will be primarily based in branches in low- to moderate- income communities, said Christine Channels, Bank of America’s head of community banking.

    “There’s a real need in these communities for more financial literacy and more counseling when it comes to financial goals,” Channels said. “It also helps with consumers that may have had some financial damage, particularly over the last few years with all of the things we’ve seen through the pandemic, like job losses.”

    Through the program, bank branch employees can refer customers to Operation HOPE’s financial coaches, who can provide free monthly counseling sessions focused on credit and money management. Customers can access sessions in English and Spanish at most locations.

    Bank of America launched the program at four branches in Atlanta and Los Angeles, according to the news release. At those centers, participating customers raised their FICO scores by 21 points and increased their yearly savings by $4,313 on average, the bank said.

    “By having one-on-one coaching, being able to meet every month and talk about your financial goals… It’s really created that accountability that has made a significant difference in consumers’ lives,” Channels said.

    Bank of America plans to continue expanding the program to more cities and branches, she added. “We’re looking for centrally located centers that can cover the most people where we see the direct need.”

    Customers who are interested in the program can ask an employee at their local branch about a referral.

    ’They all fit together’

    The free financial counseling program is the second equity-focused initiative that Bank of America has announced in the last several months.

    In September, the bank announced it was testing a new program that offers home loans with no down payments and no closing costs to first-time homebuyers in Black and Latino communities. It’s available in five cities, including in Charlotte.

    “They all fit together,” Channels said. “We know literacy is important, access to products and services is important, (and so is) access to credit, jobs and capital.”

    Related stories from Charlotte Observer

    Hannah Lang covers banking, finance and economic equity for The Charlotte Observer. Her work has appeared in The Wall Street Journal, the Triangle Business Journal and the Greensboro News & Record. She studied business journalism at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and grew up in the same town as her alma mater.

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  • FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried is arrested in Bahamas, charges pending in U.S.

    FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried is arrested in Bahamas, charges pending in U.S.

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    Sam Bankman-Fried, founder of the cryptocurrency exchange FTX, which faced a colossal collapse this year, was arrested in the Bahamas on Monday, and is facing criminal charges in the United States, according to a Bahamian official.

    The Attorney General of the Bahamas, through spokesman Latrae Rahming, posted a statement on Twitter detailing the arrest. Bankman-Fried, commonly known as SBF, lives in the Bahamas, where the cryptocurrency exchange was also based.

    “SBF’s arrest followed receipt of formal notification from the United States that it has filed criminal charges against SBF and is likely to request his extradition,” the statement reads.

    The U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York later tweeted that his office had filed a sealed indictment, which led to the arrest.

    “We expect to move to unseal the indictment in the morning and will have more to say at that time,” Damian Williams said in a tweet from the office’s official Twitter account.

    The Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department are investigating the company, and the New York Times reported last week that Manhattan-based federal prosecutors are investigating whether Bankman-Fried steered prices of cryptocurrencies TerraUSD and Luna to benefit FTX and his Alameda hedge fund. The former chief executive of FTX was expected to testify remotely in front of a House Financial Services Committee panel on Tuesday.

    FTX, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges in the world, filed for bankruptcy protection in November, and Bankman-Fried resigned as CEO. The new CEO of FTX, John J. Ray III, is expected to testify in front of members of Congress on Tuesday, and in prepared remarks released Monday, he said that Bankman-Fried’s management of FTX was an “utter failure” that lacked any level of financial control.

    MarketWatch staff writer Robert Schroeder contributed to this article.

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  • Sinema ditches Democrats, but analysts say it’s no Senate earthquake, just a re-election gambit

    Sinema ditches Democrats, but analysts say it’s no Senate earthquake, just a re-election gambit

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    Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced Friday that she’s leaving the Democratic Party to register as an independent.

    So what does that mean?

    The initial reaction from analysts is that the Arizona lawmaker’s move won’t shake up how the Senate functions that much, and that it has more to do with her possible 2024 campaign for re-election.

    “At this point, we don’t expect Sinema’s defection to formally change the balance of power in the Senate,” said Benjamin Salisbury, director of research at Height Capital Markets, in a note.

    “Two independents, Senators Angus King [of Maine] and Bernie Sanders [of Vermont], formally caucus with Democrats,” Salisbury noted. “While Sinema declined to say which party she would caucus with, she did say that the change would not change how she votes, and she plans to keep her committee assignments, which is an indication to us that she will keep her affiliation with Democrats. In our view, the move is more about positioning herself for a tough 2024 reelection.”

    Sinema, who has been criticized frequently by progressive Democrats for moves such as opposing changes to the so-called carried-interest loophole, was expected to face a challenge from the left in a Democratic primary. But as an independent, she can avoid a primary and focus on the general election in her battleground state.

    Her calculation is that “the progressive Democratic ‘brand’ won’t help her to reelection in Arizona, but centrists and some from each party will,” Terry Haines, founder of Pangaea Policy, wrote in a note. “So there’s no percentage in doing anything but emphasizing her independence, and this is a high-profile, direct, and effective way of doing it.”

    Haines said the senator’s move isn’t an earthquake for the Senate: “Sinema herself says it’s not so, that she’ll continue to do the job in the same way — and there’s no reason to dispute it.”

    He also wrote that the “basic result for 2023-24 is as it was before Sinema’s announcement: domestic gridlock, basic fiscal/government spending stability, and continued foreign policy unanimity, particularly on China and Ukraine.”

    The Biden White House offered a similar reaction on Friday, saying that Sinema’s decision to “register as an independent in Arizona does not change the new Democratic majority control of the Senate, and we have every reason to expect that we will continue to work successfully with her.”

    Sinema has voted with Democrats 97% of the time, according to Bloomberg Government data.

    Related: Mitch McConnell praises Kyrsten Sinema as ‘the most effective first-term senator’ he’s seen in his career

    And see: Republicans clinch slim majority in House, likely signaling 2023 gridlock ahead

    Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said Sinema would keep her committee assignments.

    “I believe she’s a good and effective Senator and am looking forward to a productive session in the new Democratic majority Senate,” Schumer, a New York Democrat, also said. “We will maintain our new majority on committees, exercise our subpoena power, and be able to clear nominees without discharge votes.”

    For the past two years, Democrats have controlled the 50-50 Senate only because Vice President Kamala Harris can cast tiebreaking votes.

    Following Georgia Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock’s win on Tuesday over Republican challenger Herschel Walker in their closely watched runoff election, Democrats were expected to enjoy a 51-49 majority in the Senate.

    There’s talk that Sinema’s announcement on Friday may have changed that, but analysts such as Salisbury and Haines are pushing against that view.

    “Sinema’s defection is another sign of the tentative rise of overt bipartisanship in Congress,” Haines wrote. “There’s an increasing view that solving issues is what the vast majority of voters want, and some legislators seem prepared to risk the wrath of their party establishments to achieve it.”

    Most U.S. senators have been affiliated with a major political party, but more than 70 have been independents or represented a minor party, according to Senate records.

    Former Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut is a recent example of that group, as he started out as a Democrat, then became an independent but still caucused with his former party. That’s even as Democratic leaders criticized him for backing the late Republican John McCain in the 2008 presidential race.

    U.S. stocks 
    SPX,
    -0.73%
     
    DJIA,
    -0.90%
    traded mixed Friday and were on track for weekly losses.

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  • U.S. wholesale price inflation picks up in November, but is lower for year

    U.S. wholesale price inflation picks up in November, but is lower for year

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    The number: U.S. wholesale prices rose 0.3% in November, the Labor Department said Friday.

    Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal has forecast a 0.2% gain.

    This is the third straight 0.3% monthly gain in the PPI index. Inflation in October and September was also revised up from the prior estimate of a 0.2% gain.

    The core producer price index, which excludes volatile food, energy and trade prices, also rose 0.3% in November, up from a 0.2% gain in the prior month.

    The increase in producer prices over the past 12 months slowed to 7.4% gain from 8.1% in the prior month. This is down from the peak of 11.7% in March.

    Over the past year, core prices rose 4.9%, down from 5.4% in October.

    Key details: The cost of energy fell 3.3% in November after a 2.3% gain in the prior month.

    Food prices jumped 3.3% after a 0.8% increase in the prior month.

    The cost of trade services jumped 0.7% in November after two straight monthly declines.

    Big picture: Although hotter than expected in November, inflation at the wholesale level is showing steady deceleration from the peak in March.

    The market is more focused on consumer price inflation report, which will be released next Tuesday, one day before the Fed’s decision on interest rates.

    Market reaction: Stock futures
    DJIA,
    -0.25%
    turned lower on the upside surprise to the monthly gain. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.533%
    jumped to 3.5%.

     

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  • This fund beats the S&P 500 by using just 75 of its components. Here’s how it works.

    This fund beats the S&P 500 by using just 75 of its components. Here’s how it works.

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    What worked well during the years-long bull market through 2021 — a focus on growth, regardless of price — has ground to a halt this year. The rebirth of the value style of investing — and modest valuations overall — has taken hold.

    The approach taken by the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF has paid off through both bull and bear markets.

    Let’s begin with a 10-year chart comparing total returns with dividends reinvested for the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF
    SPGP,
    +0.67%
    and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
    SPY,
    +0.78%    ,
    which tracks the benchmark S&P 500:


    FactSet

    So far this year, SPGP is down 12%, while SPY is down 16%. But the long-term chart shows significant and consistent outperformance for SPGP, even during the bull market.

    The S&P 500 GARP Index

    GARP stands for “growth at a reasonable price.” SPGP tracks the S&P 500 GARP Index, which is reconstituted and rebalanced twice a year, on the third Fridays of June and December. The next change occurs Dec. 16.

    S&P Dow Jones Indices assigns a growth score to each component of the S&P 500 by averaging the three-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for earnings and sales per share.

    The top 150 components of the S&P 500 by growth score are eligible for inclusion in the GARP index. Those 150 are ranked by “quality/value composite score,” which is the average of these three ratios:

    • Financial leverage — total debt to book value.

    • Return on equity — trailing 12 months’ earnings per share divided by book value per share.

    • Earnings-to-price — 12 months’ earnings per share divided by the share price.

    The top 75 of the 150 by QV rankings are then included in the GARP index and weighted by the growth score, with portfolio weightings ranging from 0.5% to 5%.

    There is a weighting limitation of 40% to any one of the 11 S&P sectors.

    Addressing concentration risk

    The benchmark S&P 500 Index
    SPX,
    +0.75%
    is weighted by market capitalization, which means it is more heavily concentrated than you might expect — success is rewarded, with rising stocks more heavily weighted over time.

    That can backfire during a bear market, with Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    +2.14%
    down 47% and Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -0.34%
    down 51% this year, to name two prominent examples.

    Looking at the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
    SPY,
    +0.78%    ,
    which is the first and largest exchange traded fund and tracks the benchmark index by holding all of its components, six companies (Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +1.21%    ,
    Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    +1.24%    ,
    Amazon, both common share classes of Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    -1.30%
     
    GOOG,
    -1.26%
    and Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
    BRK.B,
    +0.06%
    ) make up 19.2% of the portfolio.

    That percentage has come down this year, but a lot of risk remains concentrated in a handful of companies. (Apple alone makes up 6.4% of the SPY portfolio. Tesla is now the ninth-largest holding, making up 1.4% of the portfolio.)

    One way to address high concentration in an index fund is to use an equal-weighted approach, which Mark Hulbert recently discussed.

    For the Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF, the underlying index’s selection methodology has resulted in much less portfolio concentration than we see in SPY, with the top five holdings making up 10.9% of the portfolio.

    Here are the 10 largest holdings of SPGP:

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 Share of portfolio
    Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

    		 REGN,
    +0.15%         		2.49%
    Cigna Corporation

    		 CI,
    +0.39%         		2.26%
    Everest Re Group, Ltd.

    		 RE,
    +0.24%         		2.21%
    Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

    		 VRTX,
    +1.18%         		1.98%
    D.R. Horton, Inc.

    		 DHI,
    -0.39%         		1.97%
    Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

    		 EXPD,
    +0.23%         		1.96%
    Incyte Corporation

    		 INCY,
    +0.10%         		1.92%
    Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

    		 GS,
    -0.51%         		1.83%
    Ebay Inc.

    		 EBAY,
    +1.67%         		1.81%
    Pfizer Inc.

    		 PFE,
    +3.07%         		1.73%
    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more information about any company, ETF or index in this article.

    You should also read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Don’t miss: 10 Dividend Aristocrat stocks expected by analysts to rise up to 54% in 2023

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  • Feds said to investigate FTX’s SBF over possible crypto price manipulation, while senators want his testimony

    Feds said to investigate FTX’s SBF over possible crypto price manipulation, while senators want his testimony

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    FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried is being investigated by federal prosecutors over whether he manipulated prices of two cryptocurrencies to benefit his companies, according to a new report, and has also been ordered to testify before a Senate committee about the collapse of his crypto platform.

    The New York Times reported Wednesday night that Manhattan-based federal prosecutors are investigating whether Bankman-Fried steered prices of TerraUSD and Luna to benefit FTX and his Alameda hedge fund. Terra and Luna saw more than $50 billion in market value wiped out when they collapsed in May. That contributed to a wider crypto crash, and eventually the implosion of FTX.

    The Times reported the probe is in its early stages, and is part of a wider investigation into FTX’s collapse and the potential misappropriation of billions of dollars of customers’ funds, which are now missing. Additionally, the Times confirmed a November Bloomberg report that FTX was also being investigated for potentially violating U.S. money-laundering laws months before FTX’s collapse.

    FTX, once one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, collapsed and filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in November after running into liquidity issues. Bankman-Fried resigned as CEO, and saw his personal fortune of about $23 billion all but evaporate. About $8 billion remains missing from FTX’s balance sheet; Bankman-Fried said in a Bloomberg interview the funds were “misaccounted,”

    Also see: As FTX collapse spurs calls for tighter rules, ‘we’re already suited up’ on crypto, SEC chief Gensler says

    Separately, the Senate Banking Committee late Wednesday ordered Bankman-Fried to testify about the collapse of FTX on Dec. 14, and said it is prepared to issue a subpoena if he does not voluntarily agree to comply by the end of the day Thursday.

    “FTX’s collapse has caused real financial harm to consumers, and effects have spilled over into other parts of the crypto industry. The American people need answers about Sam Bankman-Fried’s misconduct at FTX,” Sens. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, and Pat Toomey, R-Pa., said in a statement. 

    “You must answer for the failure of both entities that was caused, at least in part, by the clear misuse of client funds and wiped out billions of dollars owed to over a million creditors,” the senators said in a letter to Bankman-Fried.

    On Tuesday, Binance Chief Executive Changpeng Zhao called Bankman-Fried a “master manipulator” and “one of the greatest fraudsters in history.”

    Read more: Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says it’s ‘baffling’ that Sam Bankman-Fried isn’t in custody

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  • Democratic incumbent Warnock wins Georgia’s Senate runoff election — here’s why it matters

    Democratic incumbent Warnock wins Georgia’s Senate runoff election — here’s why it matters

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    Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock of Georgia has defeated his Republican challenger Herschel Walker in their closely watched runoff election, according to an Associated Press projection. 

    While Democrats already had maintained their grip on the Senate by winning other crucial races in last month’s midterm elections, Warnock’s win means his party will have a 51-49 majority in the Senate for the next two years of President Joe Biden’s term.

    That’s an upgrade from their situation over the past two years, when the chamber has been split 50-50, and they’ve controlled it only because Vice President Kamala Harris can cast tiebreaking votes.

    Democrats now are expected to adjust ratios on Senate committees so they have a one-vote majority on each panel. Currently, committee ratios are set at 50-50 to reflect the chamber’s split.

    A Stifel analyst has warned investors that committees next year could end up issuing subpoenas without Republican support, increasing headline risk for some sectors such as tech
    XLK,
    -2.14%    ,
    social media
    SOCL,
    -2.05%    ,
    financials
    XLF,
    -0.88%
    and healthcare
    XLV,
    -0.76%    .

    A 51-49 Senate also is expected to lessen the influence of two moderate Democratic senators — West Virginia’s Joe Manchin and Arizona’s Kyrsten Sinema.

    Manchin derailed Biden’s Build Back Better package a year ago, and Democratic-run Washington ended up passing a scaled-back measure in August. Sinema’s recent moves, meanwhile, have included successfully opposing changes to the so-called carried-interest loophole that allows private-equity firms to pay lower tax rates.

    Walker’s loss is another blow for Donald Trump as the former president ramps up his 2024 White House campaign. Trump already saw other allies flop in their Senate midterm races, with, for example, Mehmet Oz coming up short in Pennsylvania and Blake Masters going down in Arizona.

    Warnock had been favored to win by betting markets such as PredictIt, but Cook Political Report said the contest would be close and rated it as a toss-up.

    Walker faced criticism from both Democrats and Republicans for his past treatment of women and gaffes while campaigning.

    Related: Second woman claims Herschel Walker pressured her to have abortion

    The former football star’s loss means the 2022 midterms end on a downbeat note for Republicans, and that’s after their hopes for a red wave were dashed. The GOP took control of the House of Representatives, but will have a slim majority in that chamber.

    Analysts had said voters appeared increasingly focused on issues on which Republicans claimed high ground such as inflation. But exit polls on Nov. 8 suggested the party performed worse than expected because many Democrats and independents voted partly to show their disapproval of Trump — and those voters were energized by the Supreme Court’s June decision that overturned Roe v. Wade.

    See: Anti-Trump vote and Dobbs abortion ruling boost Democrats in 2022 election

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  • Interactive: Here are the politicians who received money from FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried

    Interactive: Here are the politicians who received money from FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried

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    Sam Bankman-Fried opened up his wallet to Washington in a big way during the 2022 election cycle, donating about $40 million publicly.

    So which politicians got money from the founder and former CEO of collapsed cryptocurrency exchange FTX?

    MarketWatch has compiled an interactive list below of the candidates and committees who received funds from Bankman-Fried based on the latest disclosures to the Federal Election Commission.

    Overall, he gave almost all of the $40 million to Democratic politicians or groups, and just over $200,000 to Republicans, according to the disclosures.

    In a wide-ranging interview at the New York Times Dealbook Summit last week, Bankman-Fried said donations were made to candidates who voiced support for pandemic prevention. 

    At least two Democratic senators received over $20,000 each from Bankman-Fried through joint political action committees tied to their candidacies. Those are Michigan’s Debbie Stabenow and New Hampshire’s Maggie Hassan. New York Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand got at least $10,000. Gillibrand is the co-sponsor of a crypto bill that would have the Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversee bitcoin, ether and most other digital assets and give a secondary regulatory role to the Securities and Exchange Commission.

    In the wake of FTX’s collapse, politicians have been saying they will donate or have donated the money that they received from SBF to charities or other groups, or they’re giving it back.

    Gillibrand spokesman Evan Lukaske said the senator donated her funds to Ariva Inc., a Bronx-based nonprofit that offers free financial counseling. Stabenow, whose own bill empowering the CFTC to regulate crypto was backed by Bankman-Fried, plans to donate the contributions to a local charity. A representative for Sen. Hassan did not respond to requests for comment.

    Related: ‘Bedazzled by money’: Democratic ties to Sam Bankman-Fried under scrutiny after FTX collapse

    While 50 Democratic House and Senate candidates received donations, only eight Republican Senate candidates received money from the former CEO.

    SBF — known for being a Democratic megadonor — has claimed he made contributions that don’t show up in FEC disclosures. He told video blogger Tiffany Fong that he donated as much to Republicans as he did to Democrats, but the GOP donations were “dark-money” contributions, making his claim difficult to verify. Such secret contributions, allowed by the Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United ruling, wouldn’t show up in the FEC disclosures used to compile MarketWatch’s list.

    Another FTX exec, Ryan Salame, became known as a Republican megadonor earlier this year, with a MarketWatch analysis in October finding that he publicly gave about $17 million to GOP groups.

    Use our interactive below to search through donations as reported to the FEC.

    Donations also filtered into committees associated with Bankman-Fried himself — Guarding Against Pandemics and GMI PAC.

    MarketWatch’s Victor Reklaitis contributed to this story.

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  • The Path To A Bitcoin Economy: Decentralized Bitcoin-Backed Credit

    The Path To A Bitcoin Economy: Decentralized Bitcoin-Backed Credit

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    This is an opinion editorial by David Seroy, Founder and President of Old North Capital Fund.

    It is the author’s opinion that credit-based, bitcoin-backed dollars will act as the bridge connecting bitcoin, dollars, the Lightning Network, validity roll-ups, and elements of free banking in a hyperbitcoinized world.

    Bitcoin and the dollar are symbiotic. Like yin and yang, bitcoin and dollars provide balance. On the one hand, bitcoin acts as a counterparty-free, decentralized, scarce, digital bearer asset to hedge against excessive credit creation. On the other hand, the free market has an insatiable desire for issuing credit-based dollars which fill the role of both a ‘stable” unit of account and an elastic monetary layer.

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    David Seroy

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  • Saudi crown prince set to invest in Credit Suisse’s new investment bank

    Saudi crown prince set to invest in Credit Suisse’s new investment bank

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    Saudi Arabia’s crown prince and a U.S. private-equity firm run by Barclays PLC’s former chief executive are among investors preparing to invest $1 billion or more into Credit Suisse’s
    CSGN,
    +6.61%

    CS,
    +9.39%
    new investment bank, people familiar with the matter said. 

    Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is considering an investment of around $500 million to back the new unit, CS First Boston, and its CEO-designate, Michael Klein, some of the people said. Additional financial backing could come from U.S. investors including veteran banker Bob Diamond‘s Atlas Merchant Capital, people familiar with that potential investment said. Credit Suisse previously said it had $500 million committed from an additional investor it hasn’t named.  

    Credit Suisse has received a number of proposals from investors interested in CS First Boston. Credit Suisse Chairman Axel Lehmann at a conference on Thursday said it has other firm commitments in addition to the $500 million from the unnamed investor. The bank hasn’t received a formal proposal from any Saudi entity, some of the people familiar with the matter said. 

    Credit Suisse is spinning off the New York-based investment bank as part of a fresh start after being buffeted by scandals, regulatory scrutiny and steep losses. It is raising $4.2 billion in new stock that separately will make Saudi National Bank its largest shareholder. It isn’t clear if Prince Mohammed would make the investment through that bank, or another investment vehicle. He is chairman of the country’s sovereign-wealth fund, Public Investment Fund, which along with another government fund is Saudi National Bank’s main owner. 

    An expanded version of this report appears on WSJ.com.

    Also popular on WSJ.com:

    Apple makes plans to move production out of China.

    FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried says he can’t account for billions sent to Alameda.

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  • Bill Ackman says he sees why FTX victims want Sam Bankman-Fried to ‘suffer’ severe consequences ‘including jail time’

    Bill Ackman says he sees why FTX victims want Sam Bankman-Fried to ‘suffer’ severe consequences ‘including jail time’

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    Hedge-fund titan Bill Ackman appears to be walking back comments he made via Twitter last week about Sam Bankman-Fried that some interpreted as implicit support for the 30-something who presided over one of the most epic bankruptcies in financial markets in recent memory.

    Last week, Ackman tweeted that Bankman-Fried’s statements made during a widely watched interview, streamed to New York from the crypto founder’s location in the Bahamas, was “believable.”

    “Many have interpreted my tweet to mean that I am defending SBF or somehow supporting him. Nothing could be further from the truth,” Ackman wrote Saturday, referring to Bankman-Fried by his initials SBF.

    Ackman went on to describe the implosion of Bankman-Fried’s crypto exchange FTX, and some of its associated businesses, as “at a minimum, the most egregious, large-scale case of business gross negligence that I have observed in my career.”

    Check out: The Sam Bankman-Fried roadshow rolls on: 10 crazy things the FTX founder has just said

    Ackman, who is the chief executive of Pershing Square Capital, a prominent investor in traditional markets, and an advocate of crypto, last week, tweeted this message following the widely watched interview of Bankman-Fried at the New York Times Dealbook Summit:

    “Call me crazy, but I think SBF is telling the truth.”

    Ackman has been chastised by some for seemingly offering verbal succor to a person who some have accused of, at the least, an epic mismanagement of client assets.

    Speaking against the wishes of his lawyers, Bankman-Fried on Wednesday, during the Dealbook interview, admitted to making mistakes but said that he never intended to mingle client funds with those of the firm to make leveraged bets on crypto via hedge fund Alameda Research, which he founded before he started FTX.

    “I didn’t know exactly what was going on,” Bankman said at the time.

    At least one response to Ackman’s Saturday tweet, questioned whether the hedge funder might be responding to blowback from his own clients.

    It isn’t the first time that Ackman has cast Bankman-Fried’s actions in a positive light. As the implosion of FTX was unfolding, Ackman said, in a now-deleted tweet, that he’d never before seen a CEO take responsibility as the crypto exchange operator did and that he wanted to give him “credit” for his actions. “It reflects well on him and the possibility of a more favorable outcome” for FTX, he wrote.

    On Saturday, one Twitter user asked Ackman if had any ties to Bankman-Fried, which the investor bluntly said he doesn’t.

    Bankman-Fried had been viewed as a financial darling inside and outside the crypto industry until his empire collapsed on Nov. 11 and it was revealed that affiliated hedge fund Alameda lost billions in FTX client money in leveraged crypto bets.

    John Ray, the new chief executive of FTX, in a filing to the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware, described the state of the crypto platform “as a complete failure of corporate controls and such a complete absence of trustworthy financial information.” 

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  • ‘I’m paycheck to paycheck.’ I make $350K a year, but have $88K in student loans, $170K in car loans and a mortgage I pay $4,500 a month on. Do I need professional help?

    ‘I’m paycheck to paycheck.’ I make $350K a year, but have $88K in student loans, $170K in car loans and a mortgage I pay $4,500 a month on. Do I need professional help?

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    I’m the first of my generation to own a home and the first to earn this much annually and don’t want to mess this up. How, specifically, can a financial adviser help me?


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    Question: By the end of 2022, I will have made $350,000 before taxes as the sole breadwinner and head of household. This is a great starting point and I’m very aware how blessed we are to be in this position, but I’m always looking ahead on how to improve. I currently have $88K left in student loans (originally close to $150K) and very little credit card debt (less than $2K with more than $25K available). I have two auto loans totaling $170K for two electric vehicles at 5% interest.

    I’ve recently been offered a $200K HELOC at 9%, which would help me bring down some of my monthly payments and do some small home repairs and improvements, but I want to make the right moves. And I’ve also been presented with a few long-term real estate investment opportunities that are rental properties out of state and are currently bringing it 10-12% ROI.  But my biggest concern is that after taxes, 401(k) contributions, bills, savings and mortgage ($4,500), on paper I’m paycheck to paycheck. I’d like to use this HELOC to consolidate debt while also participating in some of these investment opportunities. I’m the first of my generation to own a home and the first to earn this much annually and don’t want to mess this up. How, specifically, can a financial adviser help me? (Looking for a new financial adviser too? This tool can help match you with an adviser who might meet your needs.)

    Answer: You have a few questions to tackle here, so let’s go one by one. The first being the HELOC. Yes, HELOCs can be a good way to consolidate debt, but the rate you’re being offered isn’t favorable, as average HELOC rates are a little over 6%. “I would ask if 9% is the best rate you can get, because it appears a bit high,” says Chris Chen, certified financial planner at Insight Financial Strategists. What’s more, “I would like you to consider the potential impact that our Fed policy and inflation are having on interest rates, as HELOCs usually have variable interest rates and we’re in an environment with rising rates. You may start at 9% and end up significantly higher,” says Chen. 

    What’s more, your student loans, car loans and mortgage are all likely less than 9%, so it’s not likely that consolidation via a HELOC would save you money. “You may want to start somewhere different, like the snowball method, where you focus on one loan, usually the smallest one, and direct all of your resources to pay off that loan while maintaining payments on the others,” says Chen. This method could work to finish off your student loans and maybe one of your car loans, to start with. 

    Have an issue with your financial adviser or have questions about hiring a new one? Email picks@marketwatch.com.

    As for those real estate investments, what do you really know about those returns? “With regards to real estate investments, I assume that the 10% to 12% ROI you speak of is the income that you would be getting from the investment. If so, that’s very high and often when you get a return that is significantly higher than the norm, there’s something else that makes the investment less desirable. Be careful,” says Chen. (Looking for a new financial adviser too? This tool can help match you with an adviser who might meet your needs.)

    Certified financial planner Kaleb Paddock says you may actually want to work with a money coach before you work with a financial adviser. Whereas a financial adviser assists with developing investment strategies and long-term financial plans, a money coach offers a more educational experience and focuses on shorter term goals for money management. “A money coach will help you with paying off all of your debts, maximize your cash flow and help you create systems and processes to direct your money proactively,” says Paddock. 

    While having a high income is great, there’s a concept called Parkinson’s Law, which essentially states that your spending will always rise to meet your income no matter how high that income rises, explains Paddock. “Working with a money coach will help you defeat Parkinson’s Law, eliminate your debt and then enable you to supercharge your investing and life planning with a financial adviser,” says Paddock.

    A financial adviser could help too, and Danielle Harrison, certified financial planner at Harrison Financial Planning, says to look for one who does comprehensive financial planning and can help you create a more holistic plan for your money. “They can assist you in the creation of both short and long-term goals and then help you by giving guidance on the financial decisions and opportunities you are presented with,” says Harrison.

    A financial adviser would also help you take a long-term approach to your money and help you create a spending plan where you don’t feel like you’re living paycheck to paycheck on a $350,000 salary. “Everyone has blind spots when it comes to their finances, so finding a competent financial partner can be invaluable,” says Harrison. (Looking for a new financial adviser too? This tool can help match you with an adviser who might meet your needs.)

    Have an issue with your financial adviser or have questions about hiring a new one? Email picks@marketwatch.com.

    *Questions edited for brevity and clarity.

    The advice, recommendations or rankings expressed in this article are those of MarketWatch Picks, and have not been reviewed or endorsed by our commercial partners.

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  • November jobs report is most important data for inflation this year- and not in a good way

    November jobs report is most important data for inflation this year- and not in a good way

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    The November U.S. jobs report on Friday showed the U.S. economy gained 261,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 3.7%.

    Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had expected an addition of 200,000 jobs.

    Wages jumped 0.6% in November, double the expected pace.

    Below are some initial reactions from economists and other analysts as U.S. stocks
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    -0.20%

    SPX,
    -0.37%
    traded lower and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.569%
    jumped following the data on nonfarm payrolls.

    • “You probably want to revise your view on inflation and it’s overall dynamic more based on today’s job report than any other data report this entire year. And not in a favorable direction,” The report dashes hopes wage growth was cooling, said Jason Furman, economics professor at Harvard and former Obama White House economist, in a tweet.

    • “A stronger than expected 263,000 monthly payroll print plus the spike in wages…will reinforce the Fed’s assessment that the labor market remains very overheated, and rates will need to go higher for longer in order to bring it back into balance,” said Krishna Guha, vice chairman of Evercore ISI.

    • “The Fed will not like the renewed strength in wages,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

    • “The U.S. labor market has lost some momentum this year, but it’s still speeding ahead as we approach the new year. Continue to underestimate the momentum in the U.S. labor market at your own peril. Job gains continue to be added at a pace that would have drawn cheers in 2019. The labor market might encounter some bumps in the road next year, but it’s heading into 2023 cruising,” said Nick Bunker, head of economic research at the Indeed Hiring Lab.

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  • Collapsing Crypto Yield Offerings Signal ‘Extreme Duress’

    Collapsing Crypto Yield Offerings Signal ‘Extreme Duress’

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    The below is an excerpt from a recent edition of Bitcoin Magazine Pro, Bitcoin Magazine’s premium markets newsletter. To be among the first to receive these insights and other on-chain bitcoin market analysis straight to your inbox, subscribe now.

    Speculation And Yields

    This cycle has been super charged by speculation and yield, leading all the way back to the initial Grayscale Bitcoin Trust premium arbitrage opportunity. That opportunity in the market incentivized hedge funds and trading shops from all over the world to lever up in order to capture the premium spread. It was a ripe time for making money, especially back in early 2021 before the trade collapsed and switched to the significant discount we see today.

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    Dylan LeClair And Sam Rule

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  • U.S. pending home sales drop for fifth straight month in October

    U.S. pending home sales drop for fifth straight month in October

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    The numbers: U.S. pending home sales fell 4.6% in October, the fifth straight monthly decline, the National Association of Realtors said Wednesday. 

    Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal expected pending home sales to fall 5.5%. 

    The index captures transactions where a contract has been signed, but the home sale has not yet closed.

    Key details: On a year-on-year basis, pending home sales were down a sharp 37%.

    Sales fell in three of the four regions, with the Midwest registering an increase.

    Big picture: Sales have stalled as mortgage rates have jumped, making houses less affordable. Pending home sales are a leading indicator for the sector. Some economists think that buyers might return to the market as mortgage rates have plateaued.

    Market reaction: Stocks
    DJIA,
    -0.63%

    SPX,
    -0.35%
    opened slightly higher on Wednesday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note jumped to 3.78%.

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