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Tag: Cotality

  • Colorado homes acquired by inheritance reach record 12% of home transfers

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    In “The Game of Life,” landing on the “Inherit a House”  square is one of the most coveted on the board. In real life, a home or condo is also one of the greatest financial gifts that can be passed on, especially in a housing-strapped state like Colorado.

    More Coloradans are seeing the big wheel spin in their favor each year. But the pace won’t be enough to make up for a housing shortfall estimated at more than 106,000 units in 2023, according to a report from the Colorado Department of Local Affairs.

    About one in eight homes that traded hands in Colorado last year represented an inheritance, which is a little below the share that new home sales represented, according to data from the real estate research firm Cotality.

    “Inheritance in the 12 months ending in 2025 totaled nearly 12,000 homes, which happened to be almost 12% of all total property transfers. This is higher, both in terms of the number and the share, than previous years — in line with the national trend,” said Matt Delventhal, a principal economist at Cotality.

    Cotality measured the 12-month pace of home sales, new and existing, and inheritance transfers in Colorado through October for the odd-numbered years from 2019 to 2025. Existing home sales were down sharply between 2021 and 2025, falling from 128,899 in 2021 to 75,833 in 2025.

    Likewise, new home sales fell from 22,064 in 2021 to 15,610 in 2023 to 12,755 in 2025, according to Cotality.

    Inheritances, by contrast, continued to chug along, going from 10,052 in 2021 to 10,243 in 2023 to 11,945 in 2025. The gap between new home sales and inheritances was only 810. Inheritances are contributing almost as much to inventory as new home construction.

    A lack of enough new construction, especially for first-time buyers, has pushed up existing home prices. High prices, when combined with higher mortgage rates, have resulted in fewer sales. Because home sales have fallen so much, the “inheritance” share of all home transfers has nearly doubled in Colorado, from 6.2% in 2021 to 9.9% in 2023 to a record 11.9% in 2025.

    “The increase in the share is a bit sharper than the national trend, mostly because Colorado resales drop off a bit more sharply in 2023-25 than the national average,” Delventhal said.

    Nationally, the market share of inherited homes went from just under 5% in 2021 to 6.8% in 2023 to 8.7% in 2025, which translated into 412,174 homes and condos passed down. Those percentages also reflect the 12-month tally through October.

    “The behavior around inherited homes does feel different from what it did pre-2022. Historically, most estate transfers functioned as pass-through transactions. Heirs would inherit the property, do some light clean-up or updates, and put it on the market fairly quickly. That still happens, but I am seeing more cases where families pause and evaluate other options first,” said Cooper Thayer, a Realtor with the Thayer Group in Castle Rock.

    Because inherited homes have little or no debt and strong rent potential, and because selling has become more difficult, heirs are increasingly looking at keeping the homes as rentals or to move into, he said.

    While Colorado’s share of inherited homes is above average, it lags behind California, a more expensive market where 18% of home transfers involved an inheritance, according to Cotality.

    In California, favorable tax laws locked in lower property tax rates and provided beneficiaries with an incentive to use an inherited home as a primary residence. For the first time this year, passed-down homes ran more than double the number of new homes sold in the state, according to Cotality.

    Prop 19, passed in 2020, limited the transfer of a lower tax base only to homes that a child or heir actually occupied, and excluded rental homes. It also excluded only the first $1 million in added value beyond the original value used to determine property taxes. The state, however, could see a ballot measure this year that would restore some of the more generous property tax breaks to heirs.

    At first glance, the increase in home inheritances seems to validate the “Silver Tsunami” hypothesis. Baby Boomers, those born between 1946 and 1964, were not only huge in numbers, but also more likely to own homes than earlier generations. By the time they turned 65, individuals born in 1948 owned 50% more homes than those who were born in 1938 did at the same age.

    Compared to prior generations, baby boomers have also shown a greater propensity to hold onto their homes more tightly, adding a different meaning to “until death do us part.” About six in 10 say they don’t plan to ever sell their homes, and three in 10 are holding on so they can pass the properties down, according to HousingWire.

    “They are going to have to take me out of there in a box, even though it is a two-story home,” said Jennifer Antonio, an agent with Sotheby’s International Realty in Denver.

    Antonio, who puts herself in the never-sell boomer group, said she and her husband purchased their first home when she was 23. They did so on two minimum wage salaries, proof of just how much better the market did in matching options to incomes. Now the average age of a first-time homebuyer is 38, she said.

    Her four millennial children still don’t own, despite being college-educated. With her parents too old to host big events, her home has become a stable gathering place for the family, where adult children can flow in and out, and where everyone gathers for Thanksgiving and Christmas.

    “I need to stay in that home,” she said. Antonio said her older clients complain about a lack of good options if they do sell, which can keep them locked into homes that have become burdensome. Builders, seeking to get as much square footage as they can on a lot, aren’t building enough products like ranch homes that would appeal to older buyers.

    That baby boomer hesitancy, Cotality says, is “effectively freezing the anticipated flow of supply.”  Boomers can’t hold on forever, but it could be well into the 2030s before a substantial amount of older housing stock better-suited for young families emerges. Younger generations could find themselves stuck renting for longer than they would like.

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    Aldo Svaldi

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  • Fed holds interest rates steady  – Houston Agent Magazine

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    The Federal Reserve left interest rates untouched at its Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday, the first time it hasn’t cut them since July. 

    In a statement after the meeting, the 12-member body said that while economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace, job growth has remained low, and inflation is “somewhat elevated.”  

    Two members appointed by President Trump — Stephen Miran and Christopher Waller — voted against the decision to leave the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% because they wanted another cut, while the rest voted in favor of it. 

    The Fed has a dual mandate to achieve maximum employment and keep inflation below 2%. 

    “Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated,” the Fed said. “The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate.” 

    The Fed began cutting rates in September after the nation’s economic outlook began to soften. The housing industry has been eager for more cuts to help improve affordability, which has stymied the pace of home sales over the last couple years. Observers expect the Fed to cut rates at least 0.25% this year.

    “While the Federal Reserve is maintaining interest rates in order to try to bring inflation levels closer to its target, uncertainties surrounding the economy remain elevated,” Cotality Chief Economist Selma Hepp said. “The job market remains a sticking point, even though the economy as a whole remains on solid ground. With tariffs continuing to impact pricing on so many consumer products, pressure will remain to find stronger solutions that would help lower the cost of everyday items for families.” 

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    John Yellig

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  • Investors are buying up Texas’ attached single-family homes – Houston Agent Magazine

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    As prices cool for attached homes in Texas, real estate investors are taking advantage of the discounts, according to a Cotality analysis.

    Investors accounted for 39.5% of all attached-home sales in 2025, compared to 31.8% for detached homes. That’s much more significant than the national investor share of 30.5% for attached-homes sales.

    And while attached-home prices are declining in Texas, rents are growing: Nationwide, rents increased 1.58% from 2024 to 2025 while prices stayed flat. In Texas, rents increased 2.56% during the same time period while prices dipped 4.03%.

    “The trend is clear,” Cotality analyst Brian Lopez wrote. “Investor behavior is responding directly to where value has emerged fastest. Attached inventory is now priced to move, and capital is moving with it.”

    Lopez called that trend a “yield play”:

    “The purchase price is shrinking while rent is expanding,” he said. “Investors are capitalizing on a unique window to acquire assets at 2022 prices but lease them at 2025 rates. That means stronger yields on new acquisitions and a higher return profile across both short-term cash flow and longer-term upside.”

    Cotality predicts Texas’ attached-home price trend will begin to curb early this year. The company projects 3.2% annual growth through 2030 — making now an ideal time to jump into the market as an investor.

    As rent growth continues to outpace property values, Lopez said, Texas could serve as a model for similar markets elsewhere in the country, including Florida, Arizona and the Carolinas, where attached-home prices are softening as supply catches up with demand and affordability remains strained for prospective first-time buyers.

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    Emily Marek

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