Tag: Corporate Actions

Elon Musk teases massive Tesla stock buyback as CFO trims forecast for annual deliveries and stock falls

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Tesla Inc. Chief Executive Elon Musk suggested the electric-vehicle maker could repurchase up to $10 billion worth of its stock Wednesday, as shares declined following a third-quarter revenue miss and his CFO brought down delivery expectations for the full year.

Some Tesla
TSLA,
+0.84%
investors have been agitating for a stock buyback after multiple stock splits and the company losing more than a third of its market capitalization in 2022, and Musk said in an earnings conference call that Tesla’s board has discussed a buyback in the range of $5 billion to $10 billion.

“We debated the buyback idea extensively at board level. The board generally thinks that it makes sense to do a buyback, we want to work through the right process to do a buyback, but it is something possible for us to do a buyback on the order of $5 [billion] to $10 billion even in a downside scenario next year, given next year is very difficult,” he said, adding that it “is obviously pending board review and approval.”

“So it’s likely that we will do some meaningful buyback,” he concluded.

The statement did not immediately move Tesla’s stock, as it was followed closely by a forecast revision from Chief Financial Officer Zachary Kirkhorn, who said, “We do expect to be just under 50% growth [for deliveries] due to an increase in the cars in transit at the end of the year.”

Tesla delivered a record number of cars in the third quarter, but still missed analysts’ expectations and made it more difficult to hit executives’ target for the year of an increase of more than 50% in vehicle deliveries. Kirkhorn said that the company will increase production of cars by 50%, “although we are tracking supply-chain risks which are beyond our control.”

Shares declined more than 6% following the car company’s earnings report. Tesla reported third-quarter earnings of $3.29 billion, or 95 cents a share, on sales of $21.45 billion, up from $13.76 billion a year ago. After adjusting for stock-based compensation, the electric-vehicle manufacturer reported earnings of $1.05 a share, up from 62 cents a share a year ago.

Analysts on average were expecting adjusted earnings of $1 a share on sales of $21.98 billion, according to FactSet. Tesla shares declined about 5% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of the results, after closing with a 0.8% increase to $222.04 in the regular trading session.

Tesla shares have fallen more than 37% so far this year, a harder descent than the 22% decline of the S&P 500 index
SPX,
-0.67%,
after years of outsize gains. Pundits have put forth a variety of reasons for the downturn, including increasing competition in the EV market, negative press around Tesla’s full-self-driving claims and actual performance, and Musk’s attention being diverted to his attempt to acquire Twitter Inc.
TWTR,
+0.10%.

Don’t miss: Market share for electric vehicles expected to roughly double

None of that cowed Musk, however. He predicted that Tesla would be worth as much as the two most valuable companies in the world, Apple Inc.
AAPL,
+0.08%
and Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
2222,
+0.42%,
combined. Both companies have market capitalizations topping $2 trillion.

“Now I am of the opinion that we can far exceed Apple’s current market,” Musk said on the call, after referencing a previous prediction that Tesla would reach Apple’s then-record market cap. “In fact, I see a potential path for Tesla to be worth more than Apple and Saudi Aramco combined. That doesn’t mean it will happen or that it will be easy, in fact it will be very difficult, require a lot of work, very creative new products, expansion and always good luck. But for the first time I’m seeing, I see a way for Tesla to be, let’s say roughly twice the value of Saudi Aramco.”

In a preview of the report Tuesday, Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives said that “the Street is starting to worry that the bloom is coming off the rose in the Tesla story with delivery shortfalls front and center.”

“Between logistical issues in China, supply-chain problems, FSD black-eye moments, the Musk Twitter fiasco and EV competition increasing across the board, there is growing pressure on Musk & Co. to prove themselves,” Ives wrote.

Tesla’s automotive gross margin, which declined in the second quarter despite price increases that Musk called “embarrassing,” were the same sequentially at 27.9%. Operating margin increased both sequentially and year-over-year, however, to 17.2% from 14.6% both in the third quarter a year ago and the previous quarter.

Earnings preview: Do record Tesla deliveries mask a demand problem?

In their communications with investors on Wednesday, Tesla executives disclosed that they will change the process for one of their most challenging tasks of late — transporting cars — in hopes of bringing costs down.

“We are reaching such significant delivery volumes in the final weeks of each quarter that transportation capacity is becoming expensive and difficult to secure. As a result, we began transitioning to a smoother delivery pace, leading to more vehicles in transit at the end of the quarter,” the company’s shareholder deck reads. “We expect that smoothing our outbound logistics throughout the quarter will improve cost per vehicle.”

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October 19, 2022
McDonald’s ‘adult Happy Meal’ toys are selling for up to $300,000 on eBay

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When it comes to nostalgia, McDonald’s customers sure are lovin’ it.

The burger chain brought back its Halloween pails on Tuesday, which haven’t been offered in the U.S. since 2016. The plastic trick-or-treat buckets decorated to look like a ghost, a goblin or a jack-o’-lantern (aka McBoo, McGoblin and McPunk’n, respectively) quickly began trending among real-time Google searches on Tuesday.

But the appetite for these Halloween buckets is nothing compared to the recent McDonald’s
MCD,
+1.10%
collaboration with streetwear company Cactus Plant Flea Market, which dished out a $12-$13 box (better known as the “adult Happy Meal”) that featured a food combo and a collectible figurine targeted toward the grownups who grew up on Happy Meals.

They sold out quickly, and now some enterprising fast food lovers are hawking the adult Happy Meal toys over online resale sites for thousands of dollars.

So what’s the appeal? Nostalgia, nostalgia, nostalgia. “Everyone remembers their first Happy Meal as a kid … and the can’t-sit-still feeling as you dug in to see what was inside,” McDonald’s wrote in a press release. “And now, we’re reimagining that experience in a whole new way — this time, for adults.”

The limited-edition Cactus Plant Flea Market Box at McDonald’s rolled out on Oct. 3, feeding the inner child of the average customer by offering a choice of a Big Mac or 10-piece chicken nuggets main dish, french fries and a soft drink, as well as one of four “toys” featuring redesigned McDonald’s mascots like the Grimace, the Hamburgler and Birdie, as well as a new “Cactus Buddy!” figure (yes, the exclamation point is part of his name.)

The Cactus Plant Flea Market boxes sold out in many places on the same day that they came out. Some McDonald’s employees took to Reddit and TikTok to share how much they were not lovin’ it — which was reminiscent of the hatred many Starbucks
SBUX,
+0.07%
employees felt toward the viral unicorn frappuccino in 2017.

And now, both the toys and the boxes have become near impossible to come by — unless you’re willing to cough up a lot of cash. A medium Cactus Plant Flea Market Box costs about $12, with large box closer to $13 — and one New Jersey mom noted that in her area, a Big Mac combo with fries and a drink runs under $10, so she spent $3 basically get the collectible toy.

But one eBay listing offering three of the collectible Cactus Plant Flea Market, still unwrapped and in their original packaging, is asking for a whopping $300,000.

The sold-out Cactus Plant Flea Market Boxes, aka McDonald’s “adult Happy Meals,” are popping up on resale sites for thousands of dollars.

Screenshot

Another listing on the fashion marketplace Grailed, which is marked as an “authenticated” post, features the “Cactus Buddy!” figure for the asking price of $39,999 (10% off of the original $44,444 price tag.)

The sold-out Cactus Plant Flea Market Boxes, aka McDonald’s “adult Happy Meals,” are popping up on resale sites for thousands of dollars.

Screenshot

But there are dozens of other listings for the individual toys and boxes on resale sites such as eBay and Facebook Marketplace in the much more palatable $10-$30 range, or bundles with all four collectible figurines running between $60-$70.

McDonald’s was not immediately available for comment, but a rep told Axios that, “The hype for the Cactus Plant Flea Market Box was so real that some of our restaurants have sold out of the limited-edition experience.” They added that, “We’re thrilled by the excitement we’re seeing.”

The official McDonald’s Twitter account has also been fielding queries from disappointed potential customers who haven’t been able to get their hands on any of the adult Happy Meals, apologizing that this was only a limited time offer.

Time will tell if more “adult Happy Meals” will be offered in the future. There’s clearly a customer base hungry for more.

This isn’t McDonald’s first viral sensation, of course. The fast food giant has also scored success with celebrity collaborations featuring K-Pop sensation BTS, or singing diva Mariah Carey — which also reportedly sold out.

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October 18, 2022
Russia Wipes Out Exxon’s Stake in Sakhalin Oil-and-Gas Project

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Russia Wipes Out Exxon’s Stake in Sakhalin Oil-and-Gas Project

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October 17, 2022
‘Material risk’ looms over stocks as investors face bear market’s ‘second act,’ warns Morgan Stanley

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Stock-market investors have been adjusting to the jump in interest rates amid high inflation, but they have yet to cope with profit headwinds faced by the S&P 500, according to Morgan Stanley Wealth Management.

“While a rate peak may solidify estimates for the equity risk premium and valuation multiples, equity investors still face the bear market’s second act — the earnings outlook,” said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in a note Monday.

“They have been slow to recognize that pricing power and operating margins, which hit all-time highs in the past two years, are unsustainable,” she said. “Even without a recession, the mean reversion of profits in 2023 translates to a 10%-to-15% decline from current estimates.”

MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT NOTE DATED OCT. 17 2022

Unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus during the throes of the pandemic had led to the largest U.S. companies booking record operating margins that were 150 to 200 basis points above norms seen in the past decade, according to Shalett.

See: Stock market’s wild gyrations put earnings in focus as inflation crushes Fed ‘pivot’ hopes

She said that company profits may now be imperiled by slowing growth, with “demand skewing toward services” after pulling forward toward goods earlier in the pandemic, and a likely reversal in “extremely strong” pricing power as the Fed fights surging inflation with interest-rate hikes.

“Such risks are not discounted in 2023 consensus yet, constituting a material risk to stocks for the remainder of the year,” Shalett said.

While many sectors have discounted the potential drop in 2023 profits from current estimates that could stir headwinds even with no recession, “the megacap secular growth stocks that dominate market-cap indexes have not,” she warned. “And those indexes are where risk gets repriced in the bear market’s final stages.”

Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson estimates as much as 11% downside from consensus estimates, with his base-case, earnings-per-share forecast for the S&P 500 for 2023 being $212, according to Shalett’s note.

U.S. stocks were bouncing Monday, with major stock benchmarks trading sharply higher in the afternoon, after sinking Friday amid inflation concerns as earnings season got under way. The S&P 500
SPX,
+2.65%
was up 2.7% in afternoon trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+1.86%
gained 1.9% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite surged 3.5%, FactSet data show, last check.

In the bond market, Treasury rates were trading slightly lower Monday afternoon, after the 2-year yield hit a 15-year high and the 10-year yield notched a 14-year high on Friday, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Two-year yields ended last week at 4.507%, the highest level since August 8, 2007 based on 3 p.m. Eastern time levels, while the 10-year rate climbed to 4.005% for its highest rate since Oct. 15, 2008.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note
TMUBMUSD10Y,
3.992%
was down about 1 basis point Monday afternoon at around 4%, while two-year yields
TMUBMUSD02Y,
4.439%
fell about five basis points to around 4.45%, FactSet data show, at last check.

Meanwhile, as investors capitulated to higher inflation, “peak policy rates moved up aggressively in the fed funds futures market, with the terminal rate now at nearly 5%, an aggressive stance that smacks of ‘peak hawkishness,’” according to the Morgan Stanley note.

“Critically, although the market is still pricing 1.5 cuts in 2023, the January 2024 fed-funds rate is estimated at 4.5%, a comfortable 100 basis points above our forecast” for core inflation measured by the consumer-price index, Shalett wrote.

“Consider locking in solid short-term yields in bonds and shoring up positions in high growth, dividend-paying stocks,” she said. “Short-duration Treasuries look attractive, especially because the yield is more than 2.5 times that of the dividend yield on the S&P 500.”

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October 17, 2022
Why It’s Time to Buy This Uranium Miner’s Stock

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Heading into this past week, uranium miner

Cameco

was that rare stock in the market: It had posted a double-digit gain in 2022. One deal made those gains disappear—and created a buying opportunity.

At first glance, there didn’t seem to be all that much that was controversial about the joint venture Cameco (ticker: CCJ) announced this past Tuesday. Along with

Brookfield Renewable Partners

(BEP), Cameco agreed to buy Westinghouse Electric, a servicer to nuclear power plants, for $7.88 billion, including debt. Cameco will own 49% of the joint venture once the deal is completed.

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October 14, 2022
Kroger and Albertsons Say Their Merger Will Cut Prices. Their Shares Are Tumbling.

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With inflation still an untamed threat, Friday’s announced merger of the grocers

Kroger

and

Albertsons

will spur debate about whether the consolidation will raise food prices, or lower them.

The Biden administration’s antitrust regulators are scrutinizing mergers more closely than did predecessors, and an old argument against combinations is that they lead to price-gouging.

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October 14, 2022
WSJ News Exclusive | Peloton Co-Founder John Foley Faced Repeated Margin Calls From Goldman Sachs as Stock Slumped

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John Foley, the co-founder and former chief executive of Peloton Interactive faced repeated margin calls on money he borrowed against his Peloton holdings before he left the fitness company’s board last month, according to people familiar with the situation.

As Peloton’s shares slumped over the past year, Goldman Sachs Group asked Mr. Foley several times to provide fresh funds or additional collateral for personal loans the bank had extended to him, the people said. The company’s share price has fallen nearly 95% from its $160 peak in December 2020.

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October 11, 2022
WSJ News Exclusive | Bio-Rad Laboratories in Talks to Combine With Qiagen

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Bio-Rad Laboratories is in talks to combine with fellow life-sciences company Qiagen NV in a deal that would be worth more than $10 billion, according to people familiar with the matter.

The talks have been going on for a while but any agreement isn’t likely for another few weeks or more—and there may not be one.

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October 10, 2022
Stocks could fall ‘another easy 20%’ and next drop will be ‘much more painful than the first’, Jamie Dimon says

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JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM,
-0.93%
CEO Jamie Dimon warned investors on Monday that he expects markets to remain volatile for the foreseeable future, and that the S&P 500 could easily fall another 20% as the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates.

Asked by CNBC about where he expects stocks to bottom, Dimon said he couldn’t say for sure, but that it’s easy to imagine the S&P 500 falling by another 20% as volatile markets become even more “disorderly” as rates continue to climb.

“It may have a ways to go. It really depends on that soft-landing, hard-landing thing and since I don’t know the answer to that it’s hard to answer…it could be another easy 20%,” Dimon said.

“The next 20% could be much more painful than the first. Rates going up another 100 basis points will be a lot more painful than the first 100 because people aren’t used to it, and I think negative rates, when all is said and done, will have been a complete failure.”

Europe is already in a recession, Dimon said, and he expects a recession in the U.S. will arrive within “six to nine months.”

An eventual economic downturn in the U.S. could range from “very mild to quite hard.” Ultimately, it will depend on the outcome of the war in Ukraine, Dimon added.

Since it’s impossible to “guess” exactly how bad things might get for both the economy and markets, investors and companies should “be prepared” for the worst-case scenario, Dimon said.

Companies should start shoring up their balance sheets now, Dimon said, adding that “if you need money, go raise it.”

He also warned that cracks are starting to appear in credit markets, and that a full-blown panic could emerge somewhere in the universe of global debt.

“The likely place you might see more of a crack or a little bit more of a panic is in credit markets. And it might be ETFs, it might be a country, it might be something you don’t suspect. If you make a list of all the credit crises…you cannot predict where they came from, although I think you can predict that this time it will happen,” he said.

After assuring the public that the Fed would do its best to minimize the fallout for the U.S. economy, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has recently adjusted his rhetoric to suggest that Americans likely won’t be spared from another recession as the Fed’s hopes for a “soft landing” dim.

In September, the central bank cut its projections for U.S. economic growth to just 0.2% for 2022 and 1.2% in 2023.

JPMorgan is already becoming “very conservative” with its lending standards, Dimon added. The New York-based megabank is expected to report third-quarter earnings on Friday.

Dimon’s comments helped to drive U.S. stocks to their lows of the session on Monday as the main indexes were on track for a fourth day of losses. In recent trade, the S&P 500
SPX,
-0.75%
was down 0.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
-0.32%
flat, and the Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
-1.04%
off 0.5% as major indexes bounced off session lows.

The longtime bank chief warned earlier this year that he saw an “economic hurricane” headed for the U.S. In August, he warned that chances of a “harder recession” were on the rise.

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October 10, 2022
Texas Pete maker sued for crafting its hot sauce in — gasp — North Carolina

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Some Texas Pete customers are hot under the collar about where this sauce is actually cooked up.

A California man has filed a class action suit against the hot sauce maker, claiming it “capitalizes on consumers’ desire to partake in the culture and authentic cuisine of one of the most prideful states in America” with a name and label that plays up Texas — yet, the product is actually whipped up in Winston-Salem, N.C.

Hey, at least it wasn’t made in New York City!

The complaint filed by the Clarkson Law Firm on behalf of customer Philip White says that the dissatisfied customer bought a bottle of Texas Pete for about $3 at a Ralph’s Supermarket in September 2021, because he believed it was made in Texas. The suit claims that White would have passed over the bottle of Texas Pete if he knew it really came from North Carolina.

But with a name like Texas Pete, as well as a label featuring “distinct Texan imagery” like the “lone star” from the Texas flag and a cowboy, the suit says that consumers like White looking for an authentic Texas hot sauce are being misled.

“Because there is nothing ’Texas’ about Texas Pete, [the company’s] deceptive marketing and labeling scheme violates well-established federal and state consumer protection laws aimed at preventing this exact type of fraudulent scheme,” the suit states.

Garner Foods told MarketWatch in a statement over email that, “We are aware of the current lawsuit that has been filed against our company regarding the Texas Pete brand name. We are currently investigating these assertions with our legal counsel to find the clearest and most effective way to respond.”

It should be noted that both the Texas Pete and T.W. Garner Food Co. websites point out that the hot sauce is made in North Carolina. What’s more, the back label on the hot sauce bottle also reveals that it is made in the Tar Heel State.

But the suit argues that “consumers do not view the back label of the products when purchasing everyday food items such as hot sauce.” The plaintiffs are asking for unspecified damages, as well as for Texas Pete to change its label and advertising practices.

This brings to mind an Illinois woman’s $5 million suit against Kellogg last year, claiming the company is misleading consumers by selling “Frosted Strawberry Pop-Tarts” that barely contain any strawberries.

Or when Starbucks faced backlash several years ago as more consumers started realizing their beloved pumpkin spice lattes didn’t actually contain any pumpkin. The coffee chain has since tweaked the recipe to squeeze in autumn’s signature gourd.

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October 10, 2022
Ford stock is now a ‘sell’ at UBS as an oversupply problem looms

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Shares of Ford Motor Co. were hit hard Monday by UBS analyst Patrick Hummel’s recommendation that investors sell, as the auto industry is facing a worrisome U-turn from undersupply to oversupply.

Hummel also cut his ratings on several other global auto makers, including General Motors Co.
GM,
-5.59%,
saying that as a recession concerns grow, “demand destruction is no longer a vague risk.”

In addition to all of the data suggesting the economy is slowing, Hummel said growing U.S. dealer inventories, weak used-car pricing, used-car dealer profit warnings and signs indicating deteriorating orders and shorter delivery times make him more cautious on the overall auto industry.

Don’t miss: CarMax stock suffered biggest selloff since the year 2000, as inflation, low consumer confidence lead to big profit miss.

“We think it will only take 3-6 months for the auto industry to end up in oversupply, which will put an abrupt end to a 3-year phase of unprecedented OEM [original equipment manufacturer] pricing power and margins,” Hummel wrote in a note to clients.

As part of his negative industry outlook, he cut his rating on Ford
F,
-7.38%
to sell from neutral and his stock price target to $10 from $13, with the new target implying about 11% downside from current levels.

Ford’s stock sank 7.6% in morning trading. It was trading up just 0.6% month to date, after plunging 26.5% in September to suffer its worst monthly performance since it plummeted 30.6% during pandemic-stricken March 2020.

Hummel noted that Ford has already warned about having more vehicles in inventory than expected, and above payments to suppliers running about $1 billion higher than projected, so he sees little margin left for negative surprises in terms of fourth-quarter deliveries and supply costs.

Hummel cut his 2023 adjusted earnings-per-share estimate by 61% to 52 cents a share, to reflect a $6.5 billion drop in price and sales mix. The compares with the current 2023 FactSet EPS consensus of $1.87.

“This sounds very negative, but Ford gains $19 billion in price alone since the beginning of 2020,” Hummel wrote.

Also read: Ford again raises price of F-150 Lightning electric pickup.

Read more: Ford September sales fall as drop in trucks offsets near tripling in EVs.

Meanwhile, GM’s stock dove 6.9% in morning trading toward a three-month low, and shares have shed 2.5% so far this month after tumbling 16% last month.

Hummel downgraded GM to neutral from buy, and dropped his price target by 32%, to $38 from $56.

The rating remains above Ford’s, because unlike its rival, Hummel noted that GM has had “no hiccups” in its third-quarter production schedule and therefore a “solid” quarterly report is expected. However, the downgrade reflects the fact that GM is “not immune” to a downturn in the industry.

Separately, Hummel also cut his stock-price target on Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
-0.16%
to $350 from $367, saying that following a third-quarter volume report that was below expectations, it will be “more challenging” for the electric-vehicle maker to meet its 2022 delivery growth target.

However, Hummel reiterated his buy rating on Tesla, as he believes the EV maker is best positioned to use pricing as the tool to fill its factories.

“Overall, the recession outlook should result in moderately lower margins for Tesla than previously expected, but we’re highly confident that by keeping the top line [revenue] momentum, Tesla will even widen the gap vs. competitors in terms of profitability,” Hummel wrote.

Ford’s stock has fallen 3% over the past three months, while GM shares have lost 3.1% and Tesla’s stock has dropped 11.8%. In comparison, the S&P 500 index
SPX,
-1.08%
has declined 7.5% the past three months.

Among other auto makers, he also downgraded both Renault SA
RNO,
+2.41%

RNLSY,
+1.17%
and Volkswagen AG
VOW,
-3.29%
to neutral from buy. He also downgraded auto parts makers Continental AG
CON,
+0.10%
and Faurecia SE
EO,
-3.77%

FURCF,
-3.67%
to neutral from buy.

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October 10, 2022
Rivian stock sinks toward 3-month low in wake of vehicle recall for safety issue

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Shares of Rivian Automotive Inc.
RIVN,
-7.64%
sank 8.8% toward a three-month low in premarket trading, in the wake of the electric vehicle maker’s large vehicle recall due to steering problems. The company said late Friday that it intends to recall about 13,000 vehicles, which The Wall Street Journal reported was to repair improperly installed fasteners that could cause drivers to lose steering control. The company said it was “committed to fixing this issue” as quickly as possible. The stock, which sank 7.6% on Friday prior to the report of the recall, has plunged 67.3% year to date while the S&P 500
SPX,
-2.80%
has shed 23.6%.

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October 10, 2022
Elon Musk would lose 13.5 million Twitter followers if he scraps most spam accounts; Justin Bieber would lose 27.6 million, data finds

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Elon Musk would lose about 13.5 million Twitter followers, if he pushes through his plan to get rid of most spam accounts, according to data crunched by CodeClan, a Scottish digital skills academy.

The Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
-3.84%
CEO on Tuesday gave up a legal battle and agreed to pay $44 billion to take over the social-media company. Musk has said he wants less than 5% of Twitter
TWTR,
-2.35%
accounts to be spam.

But Musk’s losses pale in comparison with singer Justin Bieber, who would lose 27.6 million of his 114.2 million followers, according to the data.

Britney Spears would lose the highest percentage of fake followers out of the top 20 with some 48% of her 55.8 million followers being classified as fakes.

See also: Elon Musk says Twitter will eventually be part of ‘X, the everything app’

Former President Barack Obama would lose 19.3 million of his 131.9 million followers, the data shows.

Among other high profile names; Katy Perry has about 23.3 million fakes among her 108.9 million followers, or 21.4% of the total; Rihanna has about 26.5 million fakes, or 24.9% of her 106.5 million followers; Lady Gaga has 10.9 million fakes in her roster of 84.7 million followers, for 12.9% of the total; Kim Kardashian has about 14 million fakes, or 19.4% of her 72.4 million followers, and Ellen DeGeneres has about 24.4 million fakes, equal to 31.5% of her 77.5 million followers.

See now: Elon Musk’s legal battle with Twitter may be over, but his war with the SEC continues

In the world of politics, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has about 17.5 million fakes in his 78.8 million followers, equal to 22.2% of the total.

CNN Breaking News has about 7.7 million fakes, or 12.2% of its 63.1 million followers. Bill Gates has about 14.3 million fakes, or 24.2% of his 58.9 million followers. And NASA has some 14.7 million fakes, or 26.8% of its 57.1 million followers.

Twitter shares were slightly lower premarket, while Tesla was down 1.1%.

Shares of Digital World Acquisition Corp.
DWAC,
+0.03%,
the special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC, buying the company behind former President Donald Trump’s Truth Social social-media company, was slightly higher premarket after falling more than 5% Tuesday in the wake of the Musk/Twitter news.

The SPAC has fallen 67% in the year to date, while the S&P 500
SPX,
-1.28%
has fallen 20%.

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October 5, 2022
Elon Musk wants to move forward with his purchase of Twitter. Here’s how some Twitter users reacted.

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Elon Musk sent a letter to Twitter
TWTR,
+22.24%
indicating he intends to move forward with his original proposal that he acquire the company for $54.20 a share, according to a filing from the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
+2.90%
CEO agreed to buy the social media company back in April for $44 billion, but in recent months said he wanted to terminate the deal, publicly citing concerns about bots on the platform. The two sides had been entrenched in a legal battle over the past few months, and a Delaware Chancery Court judge was scheduled to hear arguments on the case in October, a case Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives said Musk was “highly unlikely” to win.

See also: College students who got low grades complained about their ‘dismissive’ professor. Then NYU fired him.

Twitter users reacted to the news on Tuesday afternoon, many of them joking about a potential resolution to the seemingly never-ending Elon Musk Twitter saga.

One Twitter user said she believes Musk will look to reinstate the account of former President Donald Trump, which was banned shortly after the attack on the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. Trump has claimed he won’t return to Twitter even if the Musk deal is executed, and he’ll continue to post on his platform, Truth Social.

See also: Trump’s Facebook ban may end as soon as January 2023, Meta executive says

“We’re doing a big platform right now, so I probably wouldn’t have any interest,” the former president said.

Another user tweeted that supporters of the meme crypto dogecoin
DOGEUSD,
+1.11%
are excited by Musk’s move to proceed with the deal. Musk has touted dogecoin on several occasions in the past few years.

Similar to bitcoin, dogecoin is a peer-to-peer, open-source cryptocurrency. It trades under the ticker symbol “DOGE” and features the face of the shiba inu from the popular Doge meme as its logo. Dogecoin was up as much as 9.16% after the Bloomberg news was published.

Musk has not publicly commented on the report, but one Twitter user pointed out that he tweeted about his satellite internet project Starlink after the news broke, but did not mention Twitter in any way.

A report from The Wall Street Journal stated Musk’s legal team relayed the proposal to Twitter’s team “overnight Monday.”

Shares of Tesla Inc. dipped after the news, and are now up just 1.31% during Tuesday’s trading. Shares of the EV maker were up as much as 5.65% on the day before the Musk news.

See also: SPAC backing Trump’s Truth Social hit by news Musk is again offering to acquire Twitter at original price

The news comes a few days after hundreds of text messages from Musk’s phone were made public as evidence in Twitter’s lawsuit.

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October 4, 2022

21 dividend stocks yielding 5% or more of companies that will produce plenty of cash in 2023

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When the stock market has jumped two days in a row, as it has now, it is easy to become complacent.

But the Federal Reserve isn’t finished raising interest rates, and recession talk abounds. Stock investors aren’t out of the woods yet. That can make dividend stocks attractive if the yields are high and the companies produce more cash flow than they need to cover the payouts.

Below is a list of 21 stocks drawn from the S&P Composite 1500 Index
SP1500,
+3.12%
that appear to fit the bill. The S&P Composite 1500 is made up of the S&P 500
SPX,
+3.06%,
the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
MID,
+3.18%
and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index
SML,
+3.80%.

The purpose of the list is to provide a starting point for further research. These stocks may be appropriate for you if you are looking for income, but you should do your own assessment to form your own opinion about a company’s ability to remain competitive over the next decade.

Cash flow is key

One way to measure a company’s ability to pay dividends is to look at its free cash flow yield. Free cash flow is remaining cash flow after planned capital expenditures. This money can be used to pay for dividends, buy back shares (which can raise earnings and cash flow per share), or fund acquisitions, organic expansion or for other corporate purposes.

If we divide a company’s estimated annual free cash flow per share by its current share price, we have its estimated free cash flow yield. If we compare the free cash flow yield to the current dividend yield, we may see “headroom” for cash to be deployed in ways that can benefit shareholders.

For this screen, we began with the S&P Composite 1500, then narrowed the list as follows:

Dividend yield of at least 5.00%.
Consensus free cash flow estimate available for calendar 2023, among at least five analysts polled by FactSet. We used calendar-year estimates, even though fiscal years for many companies don’t match the calendar.
Estimated 2023 free cash flow yield of at least double the current dividend yield.

For real-estate investment trusts, dividend-paying ability is measured by funds from operations (FFO), a non-GAAP figure that adds depreciation and amortization back to earnings. Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) takes this a step further, subtracting cash expected to be used to maintain properties. So for the two REITs on the list, the FCF yield column makes use of AFFO.

For many companies in the financial sector, especially banks and insurers, free cash flow figures aren’t available, so the screen made use of earnings-per-share estimates. These are generally considered to run close to actual cash flow for these heavily regulated industries.

Here are the 21 companies that passed the screen, with dividend yields of at least 5% and estimated 2023 FCF yields at least twice the current payout. They are sorted by dividend yield:

Company	Ticker	Type	Dividend yield	Estimated 2023 FCF yield	Estimated “headroom”
Uniti Group Inc.	UNIT, +7.36%	Real-Estate Investment Trusts	8.33%	25.25%	16.92%
Hanesbrands Inc.	HBI, +5.56%	Apparel/ Footwear	8.33%	17.29%	8.96%
Kohl’s Corp.	KSS, +5.80%	Department Stores	7.68%	16.72%	9.04%
Rent-A-Center Inc.	RCII, +10.40%	Finance/ Rental/ Leasing	7.52%	17.26%	9.73%
Macerich Co.	MAC, +8.18%	Real-Estate Investment Trusts	7.43%	18.04%	10.60%
Devon Energy Corp.	DVN, +5.72%	Oil & Gas Production	7.13%	14.47%	7.33%
AT&T Inc.	T, +1.19%	Major Telecommunications	6.98%	14.82%	7.84%
Newell Brands Inc.	NWL, +5.16%	Industrial Conglomerates	6.59%	17.42%	10.82%
Dow Inc.	DOW, +2.96%	Chemicals	6.18%	15.63%	9.45%
LyondellBasell Industries NV	LYB, +3.64%	Chemicals	6.09%	16.07%	9.99%
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. Class A	SMG, +5.01%	Chemicals	6.04%	12.68%	6.65%
Diamondback Energy Inc.	FANG, +5.23%	Oil & Gas Production	5.56%	13.63%	8.08%
Best Buy Co. Inc.	BBY, +5.86%	Electronics/ Appliance Stores	5.53%	14.08%	8.55%
Viatris Inc.	VTRS, +5.62%	Pharmaceuticals	5.50%	28.95%	23.45%
Prudential Financial Inc.	PRU, +5.66%	Life/ Health Insurance	5.38%	13.30%	7.91%
Ford Motor Co.	F, +7.76%	Motor Vehicles	5.23%	15.95%	10.72%
Invesco Ltd.	IVZ, +6.76%	Investment Managers	5.23%	14.95%	9.73%
Franklin Resources Inc.	BEN, +4.37%	Investment Managers	5.17%	13.21%	8.04%
Kontoor Brands Inc.	KTB, +0.73%	Apparel/ Footwear	5.17%	14.15%	8.98%
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC	STX, +4.09%	Computer Peripherals	5.11%	13.19%	8.07%
Foot Locker Inc.	FL, +1.35%	Apparel/ Footwear Retail	5.03%	15.52%	10.49%
Source: FactSet

Any stock screen has its limitations. If you are interested in stocks listed here, it is best to do your own research, and it is easy to get started by clicking the tickers in the table for more information about each company. Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

For the “estimated FCF yields,” consensus free cash flow estimates for calendar 2023 were used for all companies except the following:

For the REITs, (Uniti Group Inc.
UNIT,
+7.36%
and Macerich Co.
MAC,
+8.18%
), consensus AFFO estimates were used.
Consensus EPS estimates were used for Prudential Financial Inc.
PRU,
+5.66%,
Invesco Ltd.
IVZ,
+6.76%
and Franklin Resources Inc.
BEN,
+4.37%.

Don’t miss: Dividend yields on preferred stocks have soared. This is how to pick the best ones for your portfolio.

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October 4, 2022

Twitter stock surges 22% after Elon Musk gives up bot battle and commits to $44 billion deal

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Tesla Inc. Chief Executive Elon Musk now plans to close his proposed $44 billion deal for Twitter Inc., according to a Tuesday filing that arrived less than two weeks before a judge was scheduled to hear a case on the disputed acquisition.

Musk’s lawyers sent a letter to Twitter’s management team indicating that he was proposing to move forward with the original acquisition terms late Monday, and that letter was released as a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission Tuesday afternoon. A Twitter spokesperson later confirmed to MarketWatch that the company intended to proceed with the deal for $54.20 a share.

Twitter
TWTR,
+22.24%
shares jumped 22.2% to $52 in Tuesday’s session, after an hours-long trading halt that started after Bloomberg News first reported the move around noon Eastern time, suggesting a possible end to the legal saga between the two parties. The increase is the second best daily percentage gain on record for Twitter stock, behind only the 27.1% gain experienced when Musk disclosed his initial ownership stake in Twitter in April. Twitter was the best performing stock Tuesday in the S&P 500 index
SPX,
+3.06%,
and is now up 20.3% on the year.

The two sides have been locked in a legal battle for months, and a Delaware Chancery Court judge was expected to hear from both sides in a five-day trial slated to begin Oct. 17. The Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday that the Delaware judge asked the two sides to come up with a plan by the end of the day that could bring about an end to the litigation.

“Musk could see the writing on the wall that he was going to lose the trial,” said Josh White, an assistant finance professor at Vanderbilt University, in an email to MarketWatch. “By doing this, he can save legal costs, time and ultimately losing in a very public trial.”

See also: Here’s how Twitter’s users reacted to Musk agreeing to buy the platform

Musk agreed in April to buy Twitter in a deal that valued the company at roughly $44 billion, but he later said that he was terminating the deal. The Tesla
TSLA,
+2.90%
CEO cited concerns about bot activity on Twitter and said he believed the company’s management team wasn’t accurate in its public disclosures about the extent of spam activity on the platform.

White noted that text messages released in conjunction with the case showed that Musk was aware of Twitter’s bot issue before going forward with his original deal offer, and he doubted that Musk would be able to show that “something really changed” after that point.

“If he offered less than $54.20, Twitter might have proceeded with the trial, and he would be deposed,” White continued. “By offering the original price, he maximizes the chance that Twitter accepts and the trial ends. I expect Twitter’s board to accept the deal and for it to close rather quickly.”

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives agreed that the Tesla leader’s latest move marked a “clear sign that Musk recognized heading into Delaware Court that the chances of winning vs. Twitter board was highly unlikely and this $44 billion deal was going to be completed one way or another,” he wrote in a note to clients. “Being forced to do the deal after a long and ugly court battle in Delaware was not an ideal scenario and instead accepting this path and moving forward with the deal will save a massive legal headache.”

Opinion: Twitter stood up to Elon Musk and won, but will it feel like a win once he owns it?

Vanderbilt’s White noted that a deal at the original price would be a “big” win for Twitter shareholders.

“The stock price of Snap
SNAP,
+8.42%
and Twitter seemed to trade around the same price level before the offer,” he told MarketWatch. “Snap is now a ~$10 stock with a $17 billion market cap. So Twitter’s shareholders win by getting $54.20 rather than having the price drop to $10-20 per share.”

Additionally, he deemed Delaware business law another winner: “This deal shows that even the richest man in the world cannot overcome well-written contracts enforced in a neutral and fair way by the Delaware courts.”

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October 4, 2022
Buffett’s Likely Successor Buys $68 Million of Berkshire Stock

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Berkshire Hathaway

Vice Chairman Greg Abel, the likely successor to CEO Warren Buffett, bought about $68 million of the company’s shares last Thursday in what appears to be his first purchases of Berkshire stock since he assumed the position in 2018.

In several Form 4 filings Monday with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Abel disclosed that he purchased 168 Berkshire Hathaway (ticker: BRK/A, BRK/B) Class A shares through the Gregory Abel Revocable Trust on behalf of his wife, children, and other family members.

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October 3, 2022
Poshmark to be bought by South Korean internet company Naver in $1.2 billion deal

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Online secondhand-fashion marketplace Poshmark Inc. has agreed to be bought by South Korean internet company Naver in a $1.2 billion deal, the companies announced Monday, a move that executives said would help both brands expand internationally.

Shares of Poshmark
POSH,
-0.64%
jumped 11.8% in after-hours trading on the news.

Under the terms of the deal, Naver
035420,
-8.79%
will acquire Poshmark’s outstanding shares for $17.90 in cash, representing a 15% upside to Poshmark’s Monday closing price of $15.57. The transaction is set to close by the first quarter of next year, pending Poshmark shareholders’ approval.

Poshmark went public in late 2020, pricing shares at $42 a share, and ended its first day of trading at more than $100 a share, but has never approached those heights again. It last traded for more than the acquisition price Naver has agreed to pay late last year.

For more: Five things to know about Poshmark

In a statement, executives from both companies talked up the potential to combine Naver’s array of search, e-commerce, AI and social-media technology with Poshmark’s social and shopping platforms. Poshmark, the companies said, would also embark on a bigger international expansion strategy, including into other markets in Asia, in the “medium-term.”

They also talked about the potential for the combined company to save around $30 million annually within two years after the deal’s closing through “rationalization of public company costs” and higher operating leverage, along with the potential for more than 20% yearly sales growth by harnessing Naver’s advertising resources.

Naver, which runs large search and e-commerce platforms, said the move would broaden its e-commerce platform, bring younger users into the company’s fold and allow it to “capitalize on the global online fashion re-commerce and sustainable economy opportunity.”

“Naver’s leading technology in search, AI recommendation and e-commerce tools will help power the next phase of Poshmark’s global growth,” Choi Soo-Yeon, Naver’s chief executive, said in a statement, which also said that Naver hosted a large number of digital content creators in Korea.

Naver owns companies like Wattpad, a social-media platform, and runs Webtoon, a site for digital comics, along with a metaverse platform called Zepeto, and also has joint ownership of an internet service group in Japan. Naver said its online community in Korea consists of more than 36 million monthly users, who use its search engine and other services.

Poshmark Chief Executive Manish Chandra said the deal would also give Poshmark opportunities to grow.

“Longer term, as part of Naver, we will benefit from their financial resources, significant technology capabilities, and leading presence across Asia to expand our platform, elevate our product and user experiences, and enter new and large markets,” he said in the statement.

Naver said the acquisition would also help give it a bigger foothold in the U.S. And it said the deal would allow it to broaden the appeal of so-called live-stream shopping.

“Live-stream shopping is a key driver of e-commerce in China and Korea (and increasingly in the U.S.) today, allowing shoppers to buy products in real-time through live video broadcasts, enabling greater insights and more clarity around purchasing decisions,” the statement said.

Once the deal closes, Poshmark will be a standalone subsidiary of Naver, with the same management team, brand and headquarters in Redwood City, Calif., the companies revealed.

At the close of Monday’s trading, shares of Poshmark were down around 9% year-to-date. The S&P 500 index
SPX,
+2.59%,
by comparison, has slid 23% over that time.

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October 3, 2022
Intel files for Mobileye IPO, creating a share structure that will keep the chipmaker in control

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After nearly a year’s wait, Mobileye is on the highway to Wall Street.

Intel Corp.
INTC,
-2.31%
-owned Mobileye Global Inc. launched its drive to an initial public offering in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing late Friday, leaving the size of the offering blank for now on what is expected to be one of the largest IPOs of the year.

Intel executives were targeting mid-2022 as of late last year, and filed confidentially with the SEC in March for the IPO of its self-driving-car unit, but the IPO market has been dry amid a decline for stocks, especially those that went public in a 2021 rush.

Mobileye plans to trade Class A shares of common stock on the Nasdaq exchange under the symbol “MBLY,” the same symbol the company had before Intel acquired Mobileye in 2017 for $15.3 billion in cash. While selling shares in Mobileye, Intel will retain official control of the company, keeping class B shares that carry 10 votes apiece while selling class A shares that have only one vote.

Mobileye also plans to have four Intel-affiliated members on its board, including Chief Executive Pat Gelsinger serving as chairman of Mobileye’s board.

Intel will also get paid from the offering: Mobileye issued Intel a dividend note for $3.5 billion, and expects to pay that off with proceeds from the sale, according to the filing; there was an initial payment of $336 million, leaving more than $3 billion still owed to Intel. Earlier reporting suggested Intel would seek a $30 billion valuation for Mobileye in the IPO, though the initial filing Friday did not include targeted prices for the shares.

The filing did include financial information, though: Mobileye reported revenue of $1.39 billion in 2021, well ahead of Nvidia Corp.
NVDA,
-0.66%,
which reported fiscal-year revenue of $566 million in auto chip sales in January. Mobileye reported a loss of $70 million last year, compared with a $196 million loss in 2020 and $328 million in 2019. Revenue in the first half of this year hit $854 million, growing 41% in the second quarter from the year before.

The filing lists a whopping 24 underwriters for the deal including Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Evercore ISI, Barclays, Citigroup, and B of A Securities.

Shares of Intel were up 0.5% after hours Friday, following a 2.3% decline in the regular session to close at $25.77.

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September 30, 2022
Weekend reads: What to expect now for home prices, stocks and bonds

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This week Freddie Mac said the average interest rate on a 30-year mortgage loan in the U.S. had climbed to 6.70% from 6.29% the week before and 6.02% two weeks ago. The average rate a year ago was 3.01%.

Would-be sellers who have low-rate mortgage loans are reluctant if it means they need to take out a new loan to fund their next home. Would-be buyers are forced out of the market, as the monthly principal and interest payment for a new 30-year loan, based on Freddie Mac’s figures, has increased 53% from a year ago.

Home-sale contracts are being canceled at a record pace in some areas.

But these factors could lead to a buyer’s market in 2023 if prices plunge. Here are the areas economists expect to see the largest home price declines.

The strong dollar and the stock market

Khaled Desouki/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

The dollar has strengthened as the Federal Reserve has taken the lead among central banks in raising interest rates. This is reverberating across the world, making it more costly for countries to make interest payments on dollar-denominated debt and increasing the cost of any commodity traded in dollars.

The rising dollar lowers prices on imported goods for Americans and can also lower their international travel costs. But Michael Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief equity strategist, warns that earnings for the S&P 500
SPX,
-1.51%
would decline as a direct result of the strong dollar and called the current foreign-exchange backdrop an “untenable situation” for the stock market.

On the other hand: Companies are trying to blame weak earnings on the strong U.S. dollar, but that’s a lame excuse

This is what happens when bearish sentiment runs high

Michael Brush interviews David Baron, co-manager of the Baron Focused Growth Fund
BFGFX,
-0.76%,
who describes opportunities cropping up as institutional investors dump stocks. He also explains his winning long-term strategy, which has included a very long-term investment in Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
-1.10%.

A a positive sign for the stock market: These 12 stocks have seen strong insider buying

Time to buy bonds?

When interest rates rise, bond prices fall. But it also means that if you have money to put to work, bond yields have become much more attractive.

Khuram Chaudhry, a European equity quantitative strategist at JPMorgan in London, makes the case for buying bonds now.

What about preferred stocks?

Getty Images/iStockphoto

Preferred stocks feature stated dividend yields and prices that move the same way bond prices do. That means prices for many issues are now heavily discounted to face value and that current yields are much higher than they were at the end of 2021. Here’s an in-depth guide on how to research preferred stocks and make your own selections.

Related: 22 dividend stocks screened for quality and safety

The problem with macro market projections

Stanley Druckenmiller predicted a “hard landing” in 2023 for the U.S. economy while speaking at CNBC’s Delivering Alpha Investor Summit on Sept. 28.

Bloomberg

Stanley Druckenmiller predicted a U.S. recession in 2023 as a result of monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve. That may not be much of a stretch, considering that the U.S. economy contracted during the first half of 2022, according to revised GDP figures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

But investors should be careful — macro forecasts often turn out to be incorrect, Mark Hulbert warns.

More on stocks: It’s the worst September for stocks since 2008. What that means for October.

Recessions and your retirement plans

Getty Images

Alessandra Malito has advice on how retirees and people planning for retirement can prepare for tough economic times.

Also: Reset your retirement calculator now for today’s bleaker stock markets and make sure you’re still on track

Investors tremble and a central bank scrambles

The Bank of England’s headquarters.

Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

After the new U.K. government of Prime Minister Liz Truss announced a massive tax cut along with a new spending program to help counter rising fuel costs and new borrowing, the pound hit a new low against the dollar on Sept. 26 as investors and money managers panicked and sold-off U.K. government bonds. Steve Goldstein explains how and why the Bank of England came tot the rescue.

A closer look at reverse mortgages

Getty Images/iStockphoto

Beth Pinsker digs deeply to explain how to use a reverse mortgage as a financial planning tool.

Poking a little fun at Elon Musk

Getty Images

After Tesla CEO Elon Musk said the upcoming Cybertruck would be sufficiently waterproof to “serve briefly as a boat,” the San Francisco Bay Ferry offered this advice to patrons.

Want more from MarketWatch? Sign up for this and other newsletters, and get the latest news, personal finance and investing advice.

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September 30, 2022