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Tag: consumer lending

  • Bank CFOs shrug off credit concerns

    Bank CFOs shrug off credit concerns

    Piper Sandler found that 62% of the chief financial officers surveyed viewed funding costs as the biggest challenge in 2023.

    lev dolgachov/Syda Productions – stock.adobe.c

    The rapidly rising cost of deposits following prominent regional bank failures was by far the most commonly cited concern for chief financial officers, according to a new report.

    Piper Sandler surveyed 82 bank CFOs in the wake of the March downfalls of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. The results, released on Friday, showed that 62% viewed funding costs as their most pressing challenge this year.

    The failures were hastened by runs on the banks’ deposits. This intensified competition for funding across the sector and compounded already elevated upward pressure on costs amid increasing interest rates. The collapse of First Republic Bank in early May amplified competitive pressures.

    Another 16% surveyed by Piper Sandler said liquidity worried them most, followed by the 15% who noted increased regulation. Only 7% cited the potential for higher loan losses as their biggest source of apprehension.

    “We were quite surprised that only 7% of the CFOs indicated that their greatest concern was asset quality,” said Mark Fitzgibbon, Piper Sandler’s research director. “Given how late we are in the economic cycle and the rapid move up in interest rates, we would have expected this to account for a much higher percentage of responses.”

    With the specter of recession looming large following 10 Federal Reserve rate hikes since spring 2022, the CFOs were asked if they saw early cracks in credit quality. Loan losses tend to mount during recessions, but 65% said they saw no signs of deterioration. Some 12% said they spotted some early issues in consumer lending and 10% were concerned about commercial real estate vulnerability. Another 2% cited construction loan weakness and 2% indicated that credit was beginning to deteriorate across all segments.

    Fitzgibbon said that, while loan portfolios appear healthy overall, the fact that a third of finance chiefs were at least concerned about pockets of credit suggests some weakness lies ahead. “It sounds like we could see some softening” with second-quarter earnings, he said.

    With the cost to fund loans rising and threats to credit quality increasing, loan growth is expected to slow throughout 2023. Piper Sandler’s survey found that 38% of CFOs indicated that they expect loan growth of 3% to 6% for 2023. Another 35% expect up to 3% growth, while 5% expect their loan portfolios to contract. Only 2% expect double-digit loan growth this year.

    During the first quarter, community banks’ collective loan growth rate fell to 1.3% from 3% in the previous quarter and 3.4% in the third quarter of 2022, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data. Growth slowed across all loan types for banks under $10 billion of assets. Executives cautioned throughout the earnings season in April that lending activity was slowing further.

    Old Second Bancorp, for one, increased its first-quarter loans 3.5% from the prior quarter. But James Eccher, chairman and CEO of the $5.9 billion-asset company, said that pace of growth “is not sustainable.” He anticipates the Aurora, Illinois-based bank’s loan portfolio will expand this year, but the rate of growth could get cut in half.

    “I think if you step back and look at the macro environment, there’s certainly recession fears out there,” Eccher told analysts on the bank’s first-quarter earnings call. “Our borrowers are being very cautious.”

    After hosting a bank conference in May, D.A. Davidson analysts said executives who spoke at the event reported loan pipelines were “down meaningfully, given reduced demand (on account of economic uncertainty and the impact of rising rates),” as well as more conservative underwriting.

    “We suspect the latter stems from the increased cost to fund that growth — and likely tighter credit standards, including a number of banks citing a higher bar for putting new CRE loans on the books,” the Davidson analysts said in a report.

    Jim Dobbs

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  • CFPB lawsuit seen as warning shot to subprime auto lenders

    CFPB lawsuit seen as warning shot to subprime auto lenders

    A federal lawsuit against the subprime auto lender Credit Acceptance Corp. is making waves, posing existential questions for the company and potentially upending some corners of the auto finance industry.

    Consumer advocates hope the suit will curtail lending practices they consider predatory. They point to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s allegations that Credit Acceptance deceives subprime borrowers into taking out inflated loans they can’t repay, ultimately leading to their cars being repossessed and harming their already-low credit scores.

    The company is fighting the lawsuit in a case that some observers see as a warning shot to other subprime auto lenders. CFPB critics say the agency’s push to overhaul lending practices could ultimately hurt lower-income consumers by drastically limiting their access to auto loans.

    Credit Acceptance Corp.’s borrowers had median yearly gross incomes of $35,000 and median FICO scores of 546, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau said in a recent lawsuit.

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    The case, which is in its early stages, has captured the attention of some investors, who are evaluating their legal exposure and whether their investments in Credit Acceptance could suffer. But they also worry that heightened regulations — or changes the CFPB is strongly hinting it wants to see in the industry — could force subprime lenders to pull back from making auto loans.

    “That’s really what they’re really concerned about. What does this mean for the future of the industry?” said Joseph Cioffi, a partner at the law firm Davis & Gilbert.

    Southfield, Michigan-based Credit Acceptance makes indirect auto loans to consumers through its network of more than 10,000 dealers. It is one of the largest subprime auto lenders in the country, and its annual report says that most of the loans it buys from dealers are to customers who have “impaired or limited credit histories.”

    In its lawsuit, the CFPB said the company’s borrowers had median yearly gross incomes of $35,000 and median FICO scores of 546, numbers that are in “deep subprime” territory.

    Between roughly 2016 and mid-2021, Credit Acceptance made nearly 2 million loans nationally, and a majority of its borrowers became delinquent, according to the lawsuit. The company repossessed over 25% of the vehicles it financed nationally and 44% of those it financed in New York, where the CFPB and the state’s attorney general filed the suit.

    The agencies say the loan defaults are part of a business model that encourages dealers to “sell cars at inflated prices,” resulting in large “hidden finance charges” that set borrowers up for failure. “Over and over, repossession, garnishment, and bankruptcy result,” the lawsuit alleges, adding that “despite the significant human toll borne by consumers,” the company “continues to profit.”

    Credit Acceptance declined to comment for this story, but it said in a statement earlier this month that it “operates with integrity and believes it has complied with applicable laws and regulations.”

    “We believe the complaint filed is without merit and we intend to vigorously defend ourselves in this matter,” the statement read.

    Since the lawsuit was filed on Jan. 4, the company’s stock price has recouped its losses. 

    While investors are attuned to the lawsuit, some are viewing it as a “buying opportunity” since past complaints against Credit Acceptance haven’t dealt a fatal blow, said Vincent Caintic, an analyst at Stephens. In 2021, the company settled a lawsuit with the Massachusetts attorney general’s office for $27 million over similar claims.

    “There’s this skepticism that because this is nothing new, that nothing’s really going to happen,” Caintic said. 

    But if the CFPB wins the case, Credit Acceptance would have to drastically overhaul its business model, since it would be “unprofitable” to operate, Caintic said. He argued that the same would be true for other subprime auto lenders.

    The CFPB declined to comment on potential broader implications of the lawsuit, with an agency spokesperson saying its action is “targeted at the specific illegal practices of this lender.”

    The American Financial Services Association, a trade group whose members include auto lenders, said the lawsuit is a “prime example of regulation by enforcement,” or forcing changes in the industry through lawsuits rather than formal policy proposals. 

    “If creditors changed their practices based on the principles in the lawsuit, that are unmoored to any established law or regulation, it would substantially limit credit availability, and likely eliminate subprime credit,” Celia Winslow, senior vice president at the trade group, said in a written statement.

    Chuck Bell, advocacy program director at Consumer Reports, expressed an opposing view, saying that a “highly predatory” business model that results in severe customer harm should be eliminated. If Credit Acceptance were no longer able to operate, other lenders would step in to “provide safe and sustainable credit,” he said.

    “This type of lending that these companies are doing is really a disaster,” Bell said. “They’re pricing the loans so aggressively. They don’t really care whether the customer can afford it or not because they know they can get the car back and that they can make their money back in other ways by selling the car again.”

    The definition of a “finance charge” figures to feature heavily in the case. The CFPB argues that the money that dealerships get for selling loans to Credit Acceptance is a proxy for what they would have accepted from an all-cash buyer. Any amounts above that level are finance charges, the CFPB alleges, even if they are not explicitly called interest. 

    In New York, Credit Acceptance typically discloses annual interest rates of just below 25%, the maximum rate allowed in the state, according to the lawsuit. But the company’s loans often exceed that cap, the CFPB alleges, thanks to what isn’t explicitly stated as an interest charge: the “inflated” prices that dealers charge so they can get more money from Credit Acceptance.

    That theory is an “incredibly aggressive” approach, said Scott Pearson, a partner at the law firm Manatt. It suggests that the CFPB believes secondary market transactions — the sale of the original loan — need to be taken into account in disclosures to consumers.

    “If they win, then investors in secondary markets are going to have less of an appetite for purchasing loans,” Pearson said. “When that happens, then companies that are making loans in the first place are going to make fewer of them.”

    The CFPB also alleges that Credit Acceptance does not assess borrowers’ “ability to repay” their loans. In its lawsuit, the agency notes that the lender requires proof of income for borrowers, and it generally doesn’t approve loans if monthly payments exceed 25% of the borrowers’ gross monthly income. But it doesn’t consider other debts, rent payments, mortgage payments or other critical expenses like food, healthcare or childcare.

    Specific “ability to repay” requirements are not currently in place for auto lenders — and efforts to implement them for payday lenders have stalled in the face of industry-backed litigation.

    The CFPB doesn’t want auto lenders to just “look at income and FICO and say: ‘OK, that’s good enough,’” said Ed Groshans, an analyst at Compass Point Research & Trading. But rather than writing an ability-to-repay rule for auto lenders, the agency appears to be taking an “iron first” approach toward certain lenders, Groshans said.

    “If there’s a lending model out there where there’s elevated defaults and collections, their view is that is harm to the consumer,” Groshans said.

    Polo Rocha

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  • Consumers more upbeat about their finances in 2023, New York Fed finds

    Consumers more upbeat about their finances in 2023, New York Fed finds

    Consumers are a bit more optimistic about their financial situation in the coming year despite persistent worries about the economic outlook, according to a survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. 

    Roughly 30% of households surveyed in December said they expect to be somewhat worse off or much worse off next year, which was down 4 percentage points from November’s survey. The figure has improved significantly from last summer, when inflation was rising at a faster pace and the share of households expecting worsening prospects reached nearly 45%.

    The national survey of 1,300 household heads, released on Monday, found that about 45% of respondents expect to be in a similar financial situation next year. Households anticipating better prospects rose slightly to 26%.

    Shoppers scoured the merchandise last month at a holiday market in Detroit. In a survey released Monday, U.S. households expressed significantly more confidence about their financial situation in the coming year than they did over the summer.

    Emily Elconin/Bloomberg

    The survey’s results are a positive sign for banks as the industry starts reporting earnings for the fourth quarter of 2022. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Bank of America and Citigroup are set to kick off the quarterly earnings season on Friday, and any hint of consumers struggling more to pay off their loans could trigger alarms.

    While investors have been worrying about a looming recession, U.S. consumers and the overall economy have “proved more resilient than expected” and should continue pushing through, according to Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities.

    “I expect consumer and business spending to continue to advance in early 2023, sustaining growth that is tepid but easily out of the recession danger zone,” Stanley wrote last month in a note to clients.

    Lower-income households may experience more stress this year, particularly if a recession does hit or if inflation continues to impact their wallets, Stanley noted. But U.S. households are “still sitting on a massive reservoir of spending power,” with most consumers maintaining larger cushions thanks to stimulus funds and elevated savings during the pandemic, he wrote.

    Stanley’s outlook mirrors recent comments from bank CEOs, who have said that lower-income customers are feeling more pressure but that the overall credit environment remains healthy.

    Late payments on consumer loans are gradually returning to more normal levels, but there’s “nothing in there that would suggest” that the deterioration is happening quickly, Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf said at a conference last month.

    “What we see is still extremely strong credit performance on the consumer side with an expected level of normalization,” Scharf said.

    The New York Fed survey indicated that consumers have become a bit more worried about the job market this year. On average, they saw a 12.6% possibility that they could lose their job in the next year, the highest figure since November 2021. They also expressed slightly less confidence about whether they’d be able to find another job, and said that they expect their spending to grow at a significantly lower pace.

    But households’ median expectation of income growth hit a new high of 4.6%, up by 0.1 percentage point. On average, households saw an 11.4% possibility that they may miss a minimum loan payment in the next three months, down from 11.8% in November.

    Polo Rocha

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  • Car repos are on the rise, thanks to record-high monthly payments, recession warnings

    Car repos are on the rise, thanks to record-high monthly payments, recession warnings

    Car repossessions have grown less common in the past two years, but those days may be over. Credit rating agency Fitch Ratings says repossession rates have nearly returned to pre-pandemic levels. Some analysts fear they could grow from there. For the lowest-credit consumers — those who make up the subprime loan market — the repossession rate is now higher than it was in 2019.

    Repossessions fell for a combination of reasons. Lenders grew more lenient with late payments, confident that the pandemic was a temporary disruption. They knew they’d likely make more money by giving people time to adjust than by seizing back cars to sell at lower prices. Government stimulus programs also helped many Americans stay afloat.

    But economic conditions have begun to change.

    High monthly payments meet recession warnings

    Skyrocketing car prices have left consumers with more debt for the same cars. According to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, loans that started in 2021 and 2022 have proven particularly hard to afford.

    Loans taken out in those years performed worse than earlier loans “because those consumers had to finance cars once the supply chains were jammed and the prices started to go up,” says Ryan Kelly, acting auto finance program manager for the bureau. The average monthly payment for a new car bought last month is now a shocking $762.

    “Those consumers got hit with inflation twice,” Kelly says. “First, when they had to finance a car after the prices went up, and then when they had to put gas in the car after the Russia-Ukraine conflict started.”

    The CFPB this year warned lenders not to repossess cars before the law allows it.

    Repossession firms seeing new business

    Jeremy Cross, the president of repossession firm International Recovery Systems, calls the last two years “a recipe for disaster.”

    He explains, “Over the last two years, vehicle prices were inflated because there was no new car supply.” But Americans had saved money staying at home under lockdown, and some spent it on more expensive cars.

    Now that the economy may face a downturn, those payments are proving harder to make.

    Now “the volume is picking up, and the remaining companies that are still performing repossessions are very busy,” Cross says. He thinks lenders are preparing for a new wave of repossessions in 2023 and 2024 because they’re beginning to offer his company new incentives “jockeying for position,” knowing that repossession firms will have more business than they can handle.

    See: The big question about new car prices: When will they go down?

    Cox Automotive analysts predict that long-term through 2025, repossessions will remain at or below historical norms. But between now and then, we could see a peak. (Cox Automotive is the parent company of Kelley Blue Book.)

    This story originally ran on KBB.com

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  • New Insta-Client™ Solution Delivers SMBs a Frictionless, Easy-Button Experience to Attract New Customers and Instantly Offer Credit Financing

    New Insta-Client™ Solution Delivers SMBs a Frictionless, Easy-Button Experience to Attract New Customers and Instantly Offer Credit Financing

    Direct Performance Data and PayPossible Partner Up to Launch Full-Funnel Marketing Solution Aimed at Helping Companies Flip Qualified Prospects into Paying Customers

    Press Release



    updated: Oct 26, 2020

    ​​Direct Performance Data (DPD), a leader in credit enhanced marketing, and PayPossible Inc., the go-to, turnkey point-of-sale (POS) financing platform for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs), today announced the launch of their new joint offering: Insta-Client™. Aimed at helping SMBs rapidly grow their business and compete against the “big guys”, Insta-Client delivers companies a game-changing combination of targeted marketing paired with flexible retail financing.

    Until today, SMBs have been limited to broadly targeted ad campaigns that fail to answer the question, “Is this consumer-ready and able to buy?”. Now, they can compete on a level playing field. With Insta-Client, companies of nearly any size can invest in targeted, credit-data based advertising campaigns. From digital to social to direct mail, advertisers can ensure that each dollar invested reaches people who are in-market and credit qualified. Best of all, when those consumers visit a website or come through the door, companies can quickly close the sale by providing them with instant financing options from a network of lenders.

    “When customers can buy now, they buy more,” says Larry Crawford, CEO and Co-Founder of PayPossible. “That’s why we are excited to bring to market Insta-Client. Especially now, businesses are looking for a competitive edge to continue growing.  With this solution, we believe we’re opening the floodgates for SMBs to unlock the types of marketing and sales opportunities typically reserved for Fortune 500 companies. By delivering smarter, focused campaigns and a frictionless, digital financing option, companies have the power to increase sales, improve cash flow and boost the customer experience,” adds Crawford.

    The Insta-Client full-service solution supports the entire marketing funnel, from prospecting to sale, by helping companies:

    • Launch, manage and optimize omni-channel marketing to attract new paying customers
    • Maximize the power of their current customer database for cross-sell, upsell and retention efforts
    • Deliver a flexible, simple and fast lending experience that covers the entire credit spectrum and delivers an 80%+ approval rate

    “Together, DPD and PayPossible are changing the whole marketing paradigm. We think about how to help our clients close the deal before they’ve spent a single ad dollar. You could say we’ve flipped the funnel,” explains Steve Scruton, CEO of DPD. “For over 30 years, we’ve tapped into the power of data to help thousands of clients launch targeted campaigns. Now, by partnering with a lending platform like PayPossible, we’re handing companies the ‘easy-button’ to grow their business,” says Scruton.

    Offering flexible, frictionless credit and financing options for shoppers across the credit spectrum is especially critical as consumer behaviors shift. For example, nearly 63% of millennials don’t have a credit card. If businesses, from medspas to local auto dealers to fitness brands, want to reach and attract key audiences, it’s critical to offer an experience that doesn’t leave shoppers and their purchases abandoned.

    Insta-Client is available today. To learn more about Insta-Client, and how companies can access the lending platform at no charge, visit https://www.insta-client.com/​.

    About Direct Performance Data Inc.
    Direct Performance Data Inc. (DPD) is a leader in credit enhanced marketing. Today, DPD manages over 4,000+ data-driven campaigns, helping clients better target prospects with the right offer by leveraging DPD’s unique, multi-sourced database and proprietary lending relationships. By partnering with DPD, companies can exceed their sales goals by delivering pre-qualified offers with 100% FCRA compliance. To learn more about DPD’s marketing solutions, visit https://www.dpddata.com.

    About PayPossible Inc.
    PayPossible was built to give any small to medium-sized business the ability to offer customers financing options at the point-of-sale. Our multi-lender financing platform covers the entire credit spectrum, providing all customers the ability to quickly check and discover the financing options available to help them complete their purchase. Our mission is to give business owners the tools they need to grow. When businesses create jobs, they grow the economy, and keep the communities we call home vibrant and thriving. To learn more about PayPossible, visit https://paypossible.com.​​ 

    Media Contact:
    Brie Pinnow
    brie@blincdigitalgroup.com
    347.948.5824

    Source: Direct Performance Data

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