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Tag: Computing

  • 9 Things We Just Learned About Sony’s Big Playstation Plans

    9 Things We Just Learned About Sony’s Big Playstation Plans

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    With the wind at their back, Sony Interactive Entertainment CEO Jim Ryan and head of PlayStation Studios Hermen Hulst recently presented the state of the PlayStation 5 ecosystem to investors and hinted at what’s coming in the near future. Among other things, the company promised new IPs, more live-service games, and a big push behind cloud gaming.

    While Sony’s big gaming showcase will offer specific details on new game announcements, release dates, and potential hardware refreshes, the investor presentation was a broader look at the current state of the PlayStation business and where it’s headed next. We got a pretty granular breakdown of some interesting sales data as well as cryptic teases of upcoming initiatives, like Sony’s rumored cloud gaming handheld, Q Lite [Update 5/25/2023 11:07 a.m. ET: the devices was revealed in the showcase and it’s wild looking]. Here are some of the biggest takeaways from the company’s latest business meeting.

    PS VR2 is already outselling the first virtual reality headset

    Sony’s new virtual reality headset is a comfortable but pricey bundle that requires users to already own a PS5, but initial sales numbers show it’s actually tracking ahead of the first PS VR headset. PS VR2 sold 600,000 units in its first six weeks, while the PS VR1 sold closer to 550,000. Whether that momentum will build the platform into something more than an expensive accessory for enthusiasts remains to be seen.

    Image: Sony / Kotaku

    Analysts previously called for a price cut to fuel sales, and it’s unclear if big new games will arrive without a larger install base, especially as companies like Meta lay off VR developers amid cutbacks.

    Sony plans to invest a ton in new franchises

    Since the PS5 launched, fans have been waiting to see what new IPs would grow out of the latest console generation. So far it’s been mostly sequels to series that already existed or got their start on the PS4 like God of War, Horizon Zero Dawn, and Spider-Man. But Sony revealed that new franchises are planned. PlayStation Studios’ investment in new IP will hit 50 percent in 2025, compared to only 20 percent in 2019. However the lag in production means we might not end up seeing the results of that spending until late in the PS5’s life cycle.

    Live-service games will be over half of that spending

    Sony’s first-party single-player games have been setting the bar for story-driven blockbusters for years now, from The Last of Us to Ghost of Tsushima. It’s clear the company now wants to do the same for live-service multiplayer games as well, and will be leveraging its recent acquisition of Destiny 2 maker Bungie to achieve that.

    A PowerPoint slide shows how much players spend on microtransactions.

    Image: Sony / Kotaku

    The breakdown of total spending on content this year will be 55 percent on live-service business models vs 45 percent on “traditional” ones. The difference will be even more stark by 2025, when live-service spending will reach 60 percent of seemingly all production costs. It’s possible some of those games will still have a traditional single-player emphasis and just include cosmetic shops, like Ubisoft’s Assassin’s Creed Valhalla. Others are sure to be multiplayer-focused affairs more like Destiny 2.

    PS5 owners spend a ton on microtransactions

    Prestigious exclusives might help sell consoles, but it’s not what makes the most money once players are locked in. Sony revealed that PS5 players are spending over $100 more than PS4 players were at a similar point in the console cycle. That extra money isn’t coming from more games sold, however. It’s coming from spending on add-on content, meaning paid DLC and microtransactions.

    Full game sales actually dropped by 10 percent on the PS5, while add-on content grew by 210 percent. Although Sony collects a 30 percent commission on all in-game purchases in Fortnite, Call of Duty: Modern Warfare II, and Apex Legends on the platform, it would stand to make a ton more if those purchases were made inside its own first-party exclusives.

    Spider-Man sold great on PC while The Last of Us Part I is off to a slower start

    2018’s Spider-Man didn’t arrive on PC until last year. In the eight months since it hit PC, the game sold an additional 1.5 million copies on the platform. The Last of Us Part I, meanwhile, has sold 368,000 copies since it arrived on Steam in March. That’s not bad considering it’s a remaster of a decade-old game many people have already played on PS3, PS4, and PS5. But it’s not exactly God of War numbers, which sold nearly a million copies in its first two and a half months on PC.

    A PowerPoint slide shows game sales on PC.

    Image: Sony / Kotaku

    It’s not clear how much The Last of Us Part I’s rough performance and poor optimization at launch hurt its initial momentum, compared to the overall increase in sales of the game across all platforms following the success of the hit HBO adaptation. It seems like the port was in part a learning exercise for Naughty Dog, potentially as Sony eyes bringing the rest of its games to PC.

    Half of all game releases won’t just be on PS5 by 2025

    In the past Sony seemed afraid to cannibalize console sales by releasing its games on PC. Now it’s clear the company is ready to do just the opposite, porting its exclusives and investing in potential mobile spin-offs. The company plans for 50 percent of its releases in 2025 to be either PC or mobile games.

    A lot of players are paying for the more expensive PlayStation Plus subscriptions

    When Sony unveiled its overhauled PS Plus program, creating three separate tiers and folding its PlayStation Now streaming service into the priciest one, it seemed needlessly complicated. The highest tier, Premium, also didn’t seem worth the extra price in exchange for a slim selection of PlayStation Classics and cloud gaming features that are still a work-in-progress.

    A PowerPoint slide shows how many users subscribe to PS Plus Premium and Extra.

    Image: Sony / Kotaku

    It turns out a lot of people were willing to upgrade, however. Sony says 14.1 million subscribers joined the higher tiers in the first 10 months, which now represent 30 percent of all PS Plus users. And Premium actually accounts for the majority of those with 17 percent of total subscribers, while the middle-tier, Extra, only has 13 percent.

    The first PlayStation mobile game will arrive as early as 2023

    Sony said it’s currently “partnered with established teams on games,” and “bringing some of our most celebrated IP to mobile,” with the first set to release in fiscal year 2023. The company acquired mobile maker Savage Game Studios last August and Bungie has also long been rumored to be working on a mobile version of Destiny 2. According to Sony’s charts, the mobile gaming market is already bigger than console and PC gaming combined, and it only projects that gap to widen in the coming years.

    Sony’s doubling-down on cloud gaming

    In the most cryptic part of the presentation, CEO Jim Ryan said the company has “some fairly interesting and quite aggressive plans to accelerate our initiatives in the space of the cloud.” He didn’t elaborate on what those are, but made the comment in the context of mobile gaming and portability. It certainly raises eyebrows since Sony has also now revealed a cloud gaming handheld codenamed Project Q that would be a remote play accessory for the PS5.

    PS Plus also doesn’t currently support cloud gaming on smartphones either, requiring you to use a PS4, PS5, or PC. We do know that Sony has been developing a number of patents to decrease latency while streaming games, and The Verge previously reported that the company is hiring for a number of roles to build out its cloud gaming infrastructure. Cloud gaming has been at the center of the regulatory fight over Microsoft buying Activision Blizzard, and it seems like whatever the outcome of that proposed merger, Sony wants to take back some of the video game streaming market share it previously ceded to Game Pass and xCloud.

                  

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    Ethan Gach

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  • Nvidia surge boosts Nasdaq futures while debt-ceiling debacle damps Dow

    Nvidia surge boosts Nasdaq futures while debt-ceiling debacle damps Dow

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    U.S. stock futures were mixed Thursday as Nvidia results boosted tech but debt ceiling concerns weighed on the Dow.

    How are stock-index futures trading

    • S&P 500 futures
      ES00,
      +0.67%

      rose 21 points, or 0.5%, to 4147

    • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures
      YM00,
      -0.14%

      fell 107 points, or 0.3%, to 32747

    • Nasdaq 100 futures
      NQ00,
      +1.83%

      jumped 225 points, or 1.6%, to 13875

    On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -0.77%

    fell 256 points, or 0.77%, to 32800, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.73%

    declined 30 points, or 0.73%, to 4115, and the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.61%

    dropped 76 points, or 0.61%, to 12484.

    What’s driving markets

    Recurring fiscal concerns are battling with a nascent technological paradigm for the market’s lead. Fears about the looming debt-ceiling deadline is counteracted by ebullience over AI to deliver a stark bifurcation.

    Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average — a gauge arguably currently more sensitive to broader economic conditions — were under pressure early Thursday, while futures for the tech-rich Nasdaq 100 — powered by optimism over a secular AI shift — surged strongly.

    “The prospect of the U.S. government being unable to meet its financial obligations continues to be a key influence on investor sentiment in global equity markets,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

    Ructions at the short end of the Treasury market — where some 1-month bill yields
    TMUBMUSD01Y,
    5.174%

    broke above 7% — illustrate trader anxiety that unless Congress can reach an agreement to extend the debt-ceiling the U.S. government may technically default at the beginning of June.

    Ratings agency Fitch late Wednesday said it was placing Washington’s AAA credit rating on watch for a possible downgrade given what it termed the debt ceiling “brinkmanship”.

    However, results and comments from chipmaker Nvidia
    NVDA,
    -0.49%
    ,
    whose stock is soaring 25% in premarket action, have boosted hopes that AI will deliver the next period of strong growth for a number of tech companies.

    “The AI revolution may be making a lot of noise but results from microchip firm Nvidia hint at some substance behind the hype,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

    CS.ai Inc.
    AI,
    +2.54%

    and Advanced Micro Devices
    AMD,
    +0.14%

    were among those bathing in Nvidia’s AI glow early Thursday.

    The optimism over semiconductors bade well for the wider tech sector, according to Mark Newton, head of technical strategy at Fundstrat: “Semis in relative terms to broader technology, have the potential to break back out to new all-time highs this week on a ratio basis. That would be important and positive for this leading sector to show such strength.”

    U.S. economic updates set for release on Thursday include the weekly initial jobless claims data and the second reading of first quarter GDP, both at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Pending home sales for April will be published at 10 a.m..

    Fed officials making comments include Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaking at 9:50 a.m. and Boston Fed President Susan Collins talking at 10:30 a.m.

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  • Nvidia barrels toward rare $1 trillion valuation after putting a dollar figure on AI boost

    Nvidia barrels toward rare $1 trillion valuation after putting a dollar figure on AI boost

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    Nvidia Corp. headed toward market-capitalization gains of nearly $200 billion in after-hours trading Wednesday, which could put the chip maker within sight of becoming only the seventh U.S. company to top a valuation of $1 trillion.

    Nvidia shares
    NVDA,
    -0.49%

    jumped 25% in the extended session Wednesday, after executives predicted that revenue would exceed the company’s record by more than 30% in the current quarter. The audacious forecast arrived as tech companies look to jump on advances in artificial intelligence that are largely powered by Nvidia’s computing gear.

    Nvidia ended Wednesday’s session with a market cap — the total value of all shares in existence — of roughly $754.3 billion, according to FactSet. A 25% increase would add nearly $189 billion to that total, putting the company within striking distance of $1 trillion. Only six U.S. companies have ever attained a $1 trillion market cap: Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +0.16%

    and Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    -0.45%

    are currently worth more than $2 trillion apiece; Google parent Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    -1.35%

    and Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    +1.53%

    have valuation of more than $1 trillion; and Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +1.00%

    and Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -1.54%

    have both touched the $1 trillion plateau previously.

    For more: From U.S. Steel’s $1 billion market cap to Apple’s $1 trillion — a brief history of valuation milestones

    Nvidia’s market cap was ahead of both Meta and Tesla as of Wednesday’s close, with both worth less than $650 billion, showing the potential fleeting nature of such a valuation. Nvidia’s record market cap is $834.4 billion, established on Nov. 29. 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

    If Nvidia’s gains hold through Thursday’s trading session, the company could challenge for the largest one-day market-cap gain in history. The biggest currently on record was Amazon’s $191.2 billion increase on Feb. 4, 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data, followed closely by a $190.9 billion gain by Apple on Nov. 10, 2022. Nvidia also stands to gain more than rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +0.14%

    is worth in total — AMD ended Wednesday’s session with a market cap of $174.4 billion.

    Nvidia is closing in on the rare $1 trillion plateau because of huge gains in its stock this year, as hopes and hype about generative AI have flooded the tech sector. After OpenAI debuted its ChatGPT AI offering, and investor Microsoft quickly integrated the chatbot into many of its services, expectations for the technology have exploded.

    Despite the hype, most companies have avoided providing hard figures for revenue gains expected from AI. Nvidia’s fiscal second-quarter forecast — which calls for roughly $11 billion in sales, nearly 33% higher than Nvidia’s previous quarterly record of $8.28 billion — could be seen as the first sign of a wave of fresh spending coursing through the tech sector.

    Other companies have indicated that they will be forced to spend to develop their technology before reaping large financial rewards from it. Microsoft, for example, disclosed to investors last month that capital expenditures are increasing as it builds AI capabilities into its Azure cloud-computing platform — spending that is largely going toward Nvidia.

    Full earnings coverage: Nvidia stock soars toward all-time high as AI push leads executives to predict record revenue

    That is a rather typical path for large jumps in tech spending: Companies that make the necessary hardware see gains before the companies that use that gear can develop offerings that take advantage of it. Other gear makers joined Nvidia in the sharp move higher in after-hours trading Wednesday, including AMD, which gained more than 10%; chip maker Marvell Technology Inc.
    MRVL,
    -1.31%
    ,
    which increased more than 5%; and networking specialist Arista Networks Inc.
    ANET,
    +0.53%
    ,
    which added about 5%.

    Alphabet and Microsoft stocks both increased around 2% in after-hours trading, and software companies that have made AI a core part of their offerings also saw gains. Palantir Technologies Inc.
    PLTR,
    -3.24%

    and C3.ai Inc.
    AI,
    +2.54%

    shares both increased more than 8%, for example.

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  • Nvidia stock soars toward all-time high as record revenue forecast backed by ‘killer app’ of AI

    Nvidia stock soars toward all-time high as record revenue forecast backed by ‘killer app’ of AI

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    Nvidia Corp. executives predicted record revenue well beyond anything the company has experienced Wednesday, pushing shares toward all-time highs, as margins improve with AI-driven data-center sales.

    Nvidia
    NVDA,
    -0.49%

    guided for second-quarter revenue of $11 billion, plus or minus 2%; the chip maker has never before reported quarterly revenue higher than $8.29 billion, which it hit in the fiscal first quarter a year ago. Analysts on average were expecting $7.17 billion, according to FactSet, a gain from the $6.7 billion in sales Nvidia put up in the fiscal second quarter last year.

    On the conference call with analysts, Huang said the simple way to think about it is that the world has “a trillion dollars of data center installed and it used to be 100% CPU,” or central processing units, as opposed to Nvidia’s graphics processors that data centers and AI models have embraced in recent years. And while the world’s data-center budget is strapped, at the same time larger and larger AI models require more and more computing power, he said.

    “The easiest way to think about that is over the next four or five, 10 years, most of that trillion dollars, and compensating adjusting for all the growth in data center still, it will be largely generative AI,” Huang said.

    “What happened is, when generative AI came along, it triggered a killer app for this computing platform that’s been in preparation for some time,” he added.

    The company forecast adjusted gross margins of 70% for the second quarter, after reporting 66.8% for the first quarter, not only as higher data-center margins counter the deficit in gaming, but as Nvidia Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress said on the call: ” We believe the channel inventory correction is behind us.”

    Shares soared more than 25% in after-hours trading, following a 0.5% decline in the regular session to $305.38. Nvidia’s record closing price is $333.76 and the all-time intraday high is $346.47, according to FactSet data. After-hours “prices” topped both of those marks, reaching more than 14% beyond all-time highs for the regular session, as shares registered as high as $395, according to FactSet. The last time Nvidia shares rallied as much in a single session was Nov. 11, 2016, when shares surged 29.8% after the company reported that profit more than doubled.


    FactSet (blue = regular session, yellow = pre- and post-market activity)

    Meanwhile, shares of rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +0.14%

    rallied 6% after hours.

    Nvidia did not provide full-year guidance, but Chief Executive Jensen Huang has been effusive in his predictions that increased focus on AI from Big Tech partners such as Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    -0.45%

    and Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    -1.35%

    GOOG,
    -1.34%

    will lead to revenue gains in the near future. Speaking to the media at Nvidia’s developers conference in March, he said that generative AI has only accounted for a “tiny, tiny, tiny” single-digit percentage of revenue over the past 12 months, but predicted that in the next year, revenue from generative AI will grow to be “quite large — exactly how large, it’s hard to say.”

    Nvidia reported fiscal first-quarter earnings of $2.04 billion, or 82 cents a share, on sales of $7.19 billion, a decline from $8.29 billion a year ago but well ahead of expectations. After adjusting for stock compensation and other effects, the chip maker reported earnings of $1.09 a share, a decline from $1.36 a share a year ago. Analysts on average were expecting adjusted earnings of 92 cents a share on sales of $6.53 billion, according to FactSet.

    Gaming sales for the first quarter fell 38% to $2.24 billion, while data-center sales at Nvidia rose 14% to a record $4.28 billion, “led by growing demand for generative AI and large language models using GPUs based on our Nvidia Hopper and Ampere architectures.”

    “The revenue growth reflects strong demand from large consumer internet companies and cloud service providers,” the company said in a statement. “Enterprise demand for GPU platforms was strong, although general purpose networking solutions declined both sequentially and from a year ago.”

    Analysts had expected gaming sales of $1.97 billion — nearly half of last year’s $3.62 billion — and data-center sales of $3.9 billion, a 4% increase from a year ago. Auto chip sales soared 114% to $296 million from a year ago.

    Nvidia’s profit and sales have declined in recent quarters as the company deals with oversupply in the market, a result of pandemic-era shortages flipping to a glut after demand for personal computers and gaming gear waned. Analysts expect that trend to end with this report, however, as demand for gear that can power artificial intelligence kicks into higher gear amid a bevy of promises from tech companies about the power of generative AI.

    Nvidia’s stock has soared toward all-time highs amid the hype for generative AI, which was launched after the successful debut of OpenAI’s ChatGPT service. Shares have more than doubled so far this year, growing 109% as the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.73%

    has increased 8%.

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  • Nvidia Might Have Some Bad News on Gaming. Buy the Stock Anyway?

    Nvidia Might Have Some Bad News on Gaming. Buy the Stock Anyway?

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    Nvidia Might Have Some Bad News on Gaming. Buy the Stock Anyway?

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  • Instagram is readying a Twitter-like service

    Instagram is readying a Twitter-like service

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    Embattled Twitter may soon have a serious rival: Facebook’s Instagram is planning to release a text-based app as a competitor.

    Instagram, a property of Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    -0.49%
    ,
    has been testing the service with creators, celebrities and influencers for months, according to people familiar with Meta’s strategy.

    “We’re exploring a standalone decentralized social network for sharing text updates. We believe there’s an opportunity for a separate space where creators and public figures can share timely updates about their interests,” a Meta spokesperson told MarketWatch.

    The app could debut as early as June, according to Lia Haberman, an adjunct professor at the University of California, Los Angeles, who teaches social and influencer marketing. She published a screenshot of an early description of the app, which may eventually be compatible with rival Twitter apps like Mastodon.

    Twitter has hemorrhaged users since Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    +1.84%

    Chief Executive Elon Musk began his chaotic leadership of the company late last year, prompting an exodus by disgruntled customers to alternative services like Mastodon and Bluesky.

    Jasmine Enberg, an analyst at Insider Intelligence, said the text-based service has been in the works for months alternately code-named P92 or Barcelona.

    “The big picture here is that there is clearly an appetite for Twitter-like services,” Enberg said in an interview. “With Twitter’s problems and so many alternatives, Meta’s new service looks like a mashup of Instagram and Twitter. Meta sees an opportunity to tap into this market, and it has a history of copying other popular apps [like Snap].”

    Meta’s stock was flat in Friday’s regular trading session.

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  • 20 AI stocks expected to post the highest compound annual sales growth through 2025

    20 AI stocks expected to post the highest compound annual sales growth through 2025

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    Things move quickly in the world of artificial intelligence. It is easy to sit back and complain about developments that could be disruptive, but sometimes investors are best served by putting emotions aside and observing new developments and how they affect markets. Could AI developments and related trends make you a lot of money?

    Below is a new screen showing a group of AI-oriented companies expected to increase their sales most rapidly through 2025, based on consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet. Then we show expected revenue growth rates for the largest AI-oriented companies in the screen.

    Over the long haul, many businesses might perform more efficiently by employing AI. Maybe this technology can create an economic revolution similar to the one that moved the majority of the working population away from agricultural labor during the 19th and 20th centuries.

    Back in February, we screened 96 stocks held by five exchange-traded funds focused on AI and related industries and listed the 20 that analysts thought would rise the most over the following 12 months.

    Three months is a long time for AI, and the shakeout hasn’t even started.

    Read: Congress and tech seem open to regulating AI efforts, but that doesn’t mean it will happen

    There is no way to predict how politicians will react to perceived or real threats of AI and machine learning. And the largest U.S. tech players are doing everything they can to employ the new technology and remain dominant. But that doesn’t mean they will grow more quickly than smaller AI-focused players.

    A new AI stock screen

    Once again we will begin a screen with these five ETFs:

    • The Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF
      BOTZ,
      +0.97%

      BOTZ was established 2016 and has $1.8 billion in assets under management. The fund tracks an index of companies listed in developed markets that are expected to benefit from the increased utilization of robotics and AI. There are 44 stocks in the BOTZ portfolio, which is weighted by market capitalization and rebalanced once a year. Its largest holding is Intuitive Surgical Inc.
      ISRG,
      +0.53%
      ,
      which makes up 10% of the portfolio, followed by Nvidia Corp.
      NVDA,
      +3.30%

      at 9.4%.

    • The iShares Robotics and Artificial Intelligence Multisector ETF
      IRBO,
      +1.64%

      holds 116 stocks that are equal-weighted, as it tracks a global index of companies that derive at east 50% of revenue from robotics or AI, or have significant exposure to related industries. This ETF was launched in 2018 and has $304 million in assets.

    • The $246 million First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence & Robotics ETF
      ROBT,
      +1.83%

      has 107 stocks in its portfolio, with a modified weighting based on how directly companies are involved in AI or robotics. It was established in 2018.

    • The Robo Global Artificial Intelligence ETF
      THNQ,
      +1.81%

      has $26 million in assets and was established in 2020. I holds 69 stocks and isn’t concentrated. It uses a scoring system to weight its holdings by percentage of revenue derived from AI, with holdings also subject to minimum market capitalization and liquidity requirements.

    • The newest ETF on this list is the WisdomTree Artificial Intelligence and Innovation Fund
      WTAI,
      +2.42%
      ,
      which was established in December and has $13 million in assets and holds 73 stocks in an equal-weighted portfolio. According to FactSet, stocks are handpicked and selected companies “generate at least 50% of their revenue from AI and innovation activities, including those related to software, semiconductors, hardware technology, machine learning and innovative products.”

    Altogether and removing duplicates, the five ETFs hold 270 stocks of companies in 23 countries. We first narrowed the list to 197 covered by at least nine analysts and for which consensus sales estimates are available through calendar 2025. We used calendar-year estimates because some companies have fiscal years that don’t match the calendar.

    Here are the 20 screened AI-related companies expected by analysts to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales from 2023 through 2025. Sales estimates are in millions of U.S. dollars. The list also shows which of the above five ETFs holds each stocks.

    Company

    Ticker

    Estimated sales – 2023 ($mil)

    Estimated sales – 2024 ($mil)

    Estimated sales – 2025 ($mil)

    Two-year estimated sales CAGR through 2025

    Held by

    BioXcel Therapeutics Inc.

    BTAI,
    -2.47%
    $5

    $39

    $121

    411.5%

    WTAI

    Luminar Technologies Inc. Class A

    LAZR,
    +8.82%
    $86

    $266

    $588

    161.0%

    ROBT, WTAI

    BlackBerry Ltd.

    BB,
    +6.01%
    $685

    $769

    $1,925

    67.6%

    ROBT

    Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd.

    CRDO,
    +10.29%
    $183

    $259

    $363

    40.9%

    IRBO

    SentinelOne Inc. Class A

    S,
    +1.05%
    $619

    $881

    $1,176

    37.9%

    WTAI

    Wolfspeed Inc.

    WOLF,
    +5.02%
    $982

    $1,323

    $1,860

    37.6%

    WTAI

    SK hynix Inc.

    000660,
    +1.66%
    $18,319

    $27,899

    $34,542

    37.3%

    WTAI

    Mobileye Global Inc. Class A

    MBLY,
    +1.67%
    $2,109

    $2,782

    $3,920

    36.3%

    ROBT, WTAI

    Snowflake Inc. Class A

    SNOW,
    +1.42%
    $2,811

    $3,863

    $5,139

    35.2%

    IRBO, THNQ, WTAI

    Lemonade Inc.

    LMND,
    +8.08%
    $395

    $471

    $712

    34.2%

    THNQ, WTAI

    Nio Inc. ADR Class A

    NIO,
    +1.39%
    $11,874

    $16,733

    $21,304

    33.9%

    ROBT

    Stem Inc.

    STEM,
    +4.88%
    $607

    $833

    $1,055

    31.8%

    WTAI

    Upstart Holdings Inc.

    UPST,
    +10.37%
    $547

    $768

    $938

    31.0%

    BOTZ, WTAI

    Cloudflare Inc. Class A

    NET,
    +5.84%
    $1,284

    $1,669

    $2,194

    30.7%

    THNQ

    Samsara Inc. Class A

    IOT,
    +1.42%
    $830

    $1,062

    $1,364

    28.2%

    THNQ

    Ambarella Inc.

    AMBA,
    +3.45%
    $287

    $355

    $472

    28.2%

    IRBO, ROBT, THNQ, WTAI

    iflytek Co. Ltd. Class A

    002230,
    -1.34%
    $3,561

    $4,582

    $5,851

    28.2%

    THNQ

    Tesla Inc.

    TSLA,
    +4.41%
    $99,558

    $128,412

    $161,061

    27.2%

    ROBT, THNQ, WTAI

    CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. Class A

    CRWD,
    +2.40%
    $2,935

    $3,793

    $4,739

    27.1%

    THNQ, WTAI

    PB Fintech Ltd.

    543390,
    +1.39%
    $358

    $462

    $573

    26.5%

    IRBO

    Source: FactSet

    Click the tickers for more about each company or ETF.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information for free on the MarketWatch quote pages.

    We have screened for expected revenue growth, rather than for earnings or cash flow, because in a newer tech-oriented business area, investors are most likely to consider the top line as companies sacrifice profits to build market share.

    It is important to do your own research if you consider purchasing any individual stock, to form your own opinion about a company’s ability to remain competitive over the long term. Starting from the top of the list, BioXcel Therapeutics Inc.
    BTAI,
    -2.47%

    is expected to show exponential sales growth, but that is from a low expected baseline this year.

    What about the largest AI-related companies held by these ETFs?

    Here are the largest 20 companies in the screen by market capitalization, ranked by expected sales CAGR from 2022 through 2025. Once again the sales estimates are in millions of U.S. dollars, but the market caps are in billions.

    Company

    Ticker

    Estimated sales – 2023 ($mil)

    Estimated sales – 2024 ($mil)

    Estimated sales – 2025 $mil)

    Two-year estimated sales CAGR through 2025

    Market Cap ($bil)

    Held by

    Tesla Inc.

    TSLA,
    +4.41%
    $99,558

    $128,412

    $161,061

    27.2%

    $528

    ROBT, THNQ, WTAI

    Nvidia Corp.

    NVDA,
    +3.30%
    $29,839

    $36,877

    $46,154

    24.4%

    $722

    BOTZ, IRBO, ROBT, THNQ, WTAI

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. ADR

    TSM,
    +5.83%
    $71,434

    $86,284

    $101,112

    19.0%

    $445

    ROBT, WTAI

    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    AMD,
    +2.23%
    $22,976

    $26,823

    $30,359

    15.0%

    $163

    IRBO, ROBT, THNQ, WTAI

    ASML Holding NV ADR

    ASML,
    +2.83%
    $28,974

    $32,374

    $37,796

    14.2%

    $263

    THNQ, WTAI

    Microsoft Corp.

    MSFT,
    +0.95%
    $223,438

    $251,028

    $282,397

    12.4%

    $2,318

    IRBO, ROBT, THNQ, WTAI

    Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd.

    005930,
    -0.61%
    $200,595

    $227,286

    $252,129

    12.1%

    $292

    IRBO, WTAI

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN,
    +1.85%
    $559,438

    $626,549

    $702,395

    12.1%

    $1,164

    IRBO, ROBT, THNQ, WTAI

    Adobe Inc.

    ADBE,
    +3.34%
    $19,470

    $21,784

    $24,276

    11.7%

    $158

    IRBO, THNQ

    Netflix Inc.

    NFLX,
    +1.86%
    $33,915

    $38,067

    $42,275

    11.6%

    $148

    IRBO, THNQ

    Tencent Holdings Ltd.

    700,
    -0.58%
    $88,727

    $99,212

    $110,556

    11.6%

    $422

    IRBO, ROBT

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM,
    +2.37%
    $34,392

    $38,273

    $42,786

    11.5%

    $205

    IRBO, THNQ

    Alphabet Inc. Class A

    GOOGL,
    +1.11%
    $299,810

    $333,077

    $369,195

    11.0%

    $710

    IRBO, ROBT, THNQ, WTAI

    Intel Corp.

    INTC,
    -1.20%
    $51,060

    $57,799

    $62,675

    10.8%

    $122

    IRBO, ROBT

    Meta Platforms Inc. Class A

    META,
    +1.53%
    $125,901

    $139,545

    $154,259

    10.7%

    $528

    IRBO, WTAI

    Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ADR

    BABA,
    +2.17%
    $134,140

    $148,206

    $162,199

    10.0%

    $235

    ROBT, THNQ

    Texas Instruments Inc.

    TXN,
    +1.20%
    $17,941

    $19,433

    $20,799

    7.7%

    $148

    IRBO

    Apple Inc.

    AAPL,
    +0.36%
    $390,845

    $416,761

    $445,956

    6.8%

    $2,706

    IRBO, WTAI

    Siemens Aktiengesellschaft

    SIE,
    +2.55%
    $84,681

    $89,145

    $93,925

    5.3%

    $130

    ROBT

    Johnson & Johnson

    JNJ,
    -0.20%
    $98,761

    $100,990

    $103,870

    2.6%

    $414

    ROBT

    Source: FactSet

    Tech-stock picks that are small and focused: This fund invests in unsung innovators. Here are 2 top choices.

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  • Looks Like Steam Now Has Timed Demos, Dead Space Up First

    Looks Like Steam Now Has Timed Demos, Dead Space Up First

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    Image: Valve

    The ability to try before you buy has been a thorn in gaming retail’s side for generations. From the demo discs of old to the subscription models of today, publishers and shopfronts have had to wrestle with the idea that a lot of people only want to spend money on games they’ll enjoy.

    Whether that’s right or not, I don’t have the bandwidth for today—the idea that you could get a refund for a bad movie is laughable, but then, movies don’t cost $70, and what even is a “bad” game anyway?—but regardless, I’ve always been fascinated by the systems and processes companies have tried over the years to help sell their games.

    Like this! Steam has long been a battleground for this kind of stuff. You’ve long been able to download demos on Steam if the studio/publisher wanted it, and free weekends have also been here for ages, but for a while now the accepted practice on the platform has been buy a game, play it for a bit and if you don’t like it within the first two hours, you can just refund it and get your money back.

    That’s not an ideal scenario for anyone. Games are big downloads these days, and companies are actually losing money on processing fees every time you have to refund a transaction. So Valve looks to have thought of something new: a demo, only you get to play the full game, only you get a very limited amount of time to actually play it.

    Dead Space is the first to offer the “Timed Trial” feature—which is baked into Steam itself, so surely it’s more than a one-off—and you can see how it works below:

    Image for article titled Looks Like Steam Now Has Timed Demos, Dead Space Up First

    Image: Valve

    Is 90 minutes enough time to really get a handle on a game? I don’t know! It’s a figure that sits below the point you used to be able to request a refund on, but also sits a few hours back from the point where some games start getting good, so who knows how useful this could be.

    I’ve asked Valve if other games are going to be implementing this soon, and if so if their time limits can be adjusted by publishers/studios.

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    Luke Plunkett

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  • Tech-stock picks that are small and focused: This fund invests in unsung innovators. Here are 2 top choices.

    Tech-stock picks that are small and focused: This fund invests in unsung innovators. Here are 2 top choices.

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    When investors think of technology stocks, they might automatically gravitate toward “the next big thing,” or to the giant companies that dominate the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.40%
    .
    But Robert Stimson, chief investment officer of Oak Associates Funds, makes a case for diversification through exposure to smaller innovators which he believes are “overlooked in this environment.”

    The River Oak Discovery Fund
    RIVSX,
    +0.98%

    invests in tech-oriented companies with market capitalizations of $5 billion or less, with an average of about $2 billion. It has a five-star rating, the highest, from Morningstar, despite having what the investment information firm considers “above average” annual expenses of 1.19% of assets under management. The fund is ranked in the 6th percentile among 546 funds in Morningstar’s “Small Blend” category for five-year performance and in the 13th percentile among 374 funds for 10-year performance. The performance comparisons are net of expenses.

    The Black Oak Emerging Technologies Fund
    BOGSX,
    +1.54%

    has more of a midcap focus, with some small-cap stocks and follows a similar strategy to that of RIVSX. But with no restriction on the size of companies this fund invests in, “we don’t have to sell stocks,” Stimpson said. So long-term holdings of this fund include Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    -0.05%

    and Salesforce.com Inc.
    CRM,
    +0.69%
    .
    This fund is rated three stars within Morningstar’s “Technology” category and has a lower expense ratio of 1.03%.

    Both funds are concentrated. The River Oak Discovery Fund held 34 stocks and the Black Oak Emerging Technologies Fund held 35 stocks as of March 31. Lists of both funds’ largest holdings are below.

    During an Interview, Stimpson, who co-manages both funds, said that when investing in the small-cap technology space, he and colleagues identify companies that are “focused on niches.

    “I want a company that knows who they are, what they do and do it well, rather than a small company trying to growing into the next Microsoft, Google or Salesforce,” he said.

    More about giant companies dominating stock indexes: This twist on a traditional S&P 500 stock fund can lower your risk and still beat the market overall

    Stimpson said Oak Associates pays close attention to what corporate management teams say during earnings calls and in presentations, preferring comments related to improving sales and operations with a market niche, rather than expressions of grand visions for exponential growth.

    That type of narrow focus can support higher valuations over time, Stimpson said. “They have better execution, a better ability to fend-off competition and they are quality acquisition candidates.”

    “I caution everyone that until there is revenue, earnings and a product, the hype can be more dangerous than an opportunity.”


    — Robert Stimpson, chief investment officer at Oak Funds, when discussing AI and ChatGPT.

    All of those factors can be important to investors, considering how easily tech giants such as Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    +1.00%

    or Google holding company Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    +2.89%

    GOOG,
    +2.88%

    can begin to compete with smaller innovative companies because they can afford to make such large investments, he said.

    Simpson went further, saying that when running screens for “quality” metrics, such as improving free cash flow yields, the Oak Associates team also looks for “shareholder friendly practices.” For example, a company may be repurchasing shares. But are the buybacks lowering the share count significantly (which boosts earnings per share) or are they merely mitigating the dilution caused by the shoveling of new shares to executives as part of their compensation?

    Finally, Simpson cautioned investors not to get caught up in tech-focused hype.

    “When I talk to our clients, I get questions about AI and ChatGPT and how to play it. People get focused on a new great tech innovation,” he said. “You can replace ChatGPT with bitcoin, metaverse or 3-D printing.”

    “I caution everyone that until there is revenue, earnings and a product, the hype can be more dangerous than an opportunity.”

    Two examples

    These companies are held by theRiver Oak Discovery Fund and the Black Oak Emerging Technologies Fund.

    Cirrus Logic Inc.
    CRUS,
    -2.37%

    is the largest holding of the River Oak Discovery Fund. Stimpson calls the company “a derivative play on the success of Apple.”

    “They are focused on the chips that go into mobile and [vehicles],” as well as the needs of their customers, including Apple, “rather than problem areas of the chip sector, such as memory or PCs. They are not talking about chips for AI, for example,” Stimpson said.

    Cirrus focuses on systems and related software used in audio systems..

    Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc.
    KLIC,
    +1.92%

    makes equipment, tools and related software used by a variety of manufacturers of computer chips and integrated electronic devices.

    Stimpson likes the company as a long-term play on the worldwide disruption in semiconductor manufacturing and supply, in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. “All chip companies learned that any supply disruption in Southeast Asia is a problem. Over time, the opportunities for semiconductor equipment makers are very good. There will be more plants in more locations, so more equipment,” he said.

    He said KLICK was in a “protected” position, with returns on equity of about 20% and free cash flow yields of about 10%.

    Top holdings of the funds

    Here are the largest 10 holdings of the River Oak Discovery Fund as of March 31:

    Company

    Ticker

    % of portfolio

    Cirrus Logic Inc.

    CRUS,
    -2.37%
    4.9%

    Kulicke & Soffa Industries Inc.

    KLIC,
    +1.92%
    4.6%

    Advanced Energy Industries Inc.

    AEIS,
    +0.30%
    4.5%

    Cohu Inc.

    COHU,
    +1.45%
    3.7%

    Asbury Automotive Group Inc.

    ABG,
    -1.75%
    3.7%

    Korn Ferry

    KFY,
    -0.96%
    3.6%

    Kforce Inc.

    KFRC,
    -2.40%
    3.4%

    Ambarella Inc.

    AMBA,
    -0.50%
    3.3%

    Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.

    AIT,
    -1.71%
    3.3%

    Perficient Inc.

    PRFT,
    +0.72%
    3.2%

    Click on the tickers for more about each company.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Here are the largest 10 holdings of the Black Oak Emerging Technology Fund as of March 31:

    Company

    Ticker

    % of portfolio

    Apple Inc.

    AAPL,
    -0.05%
    5.7%

    KLA Corp.

    KLAC,
    +1.69%
    4.6%

    Advanced Energy Industries Inc.

    AEIS,
    +0.30%
    4.5%

    Cohu Inc.

    COHU,
    +1.45%
    4.1%

    SolarEdge Technologies Inc.

    SEDG,
    -3.76%
    3.9%

    Cirrus Logic Inc.

    CRUS,
    -2.37%
    3.9%

    Cohu Inc.

    COHU,
    +1.45%
    3.9%

    Ambarella Inc.

    AMBA,
    -0.50%
    3.4%

    Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.

    AIT,
    -1.71%
    3.4%

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM,
    +0.69%
    3.3%

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  • Berkshire Bought Capital One, Unloaded 2 Banks

    Berkshire Bought Capital One, Unloaded 2 Banks

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    Berkshire Hathaway Sold U.S. Bancorp, Bank of New York Stock. Here’s What It Bought.

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  • Walmart, Alibaba, Target, and More Stocks to Watch This Week

    Walmart, Alibaba, Target, and More Stocks to Watch This Week

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    Walmart, Alibaba, Target, and More Stocks to Watch This Week

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  • Palantir Earnings Sent the Stock Soaring. Why Analysts Aren’t So Excited.

    Palantir Earnings Sent the Stock Soaring. Why Analysts Aren’t So Excited.

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    Palantir


    Technology’s earnings looked like they had something for everyone, as the data-analytics software company forecast its first profitable year and talked up its artificial-intelligence prospects. However, some Wall Street analysts are focused on slowing revenue growth as a reason to be wary of the stock. 

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  • Palantir stock roars more than 20% higher after second straight earnings surprise

    Palantir stock roars more than 20% higher after second straight earnings surprise

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    Palantir Technologies Inc. delivered a surprise profit for the second quarter in a row Monday, while also topping revenue expectations, sending shares more than 20% higher in after-hours trading.

    The software company reported first-quarter net income of $17 million, or 1 cent a share, whereas Palantir PLTR posted a loss of $101 million, or 5 cents a share, in the year-earlier quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet were expecting a loss of a penny a share on a GAAP basis. The stock closed with a 4.7% gain at $7.76 in Monday’s…

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  • Discord Announces Forced Name Changes, Pisses Everyone Off

    Discord Announces Forced Name Changes, Pisses Everyone Off

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    Discord is a pretty good product. It’s an easy way to communicate with friends, find realtime communities around topics of mutual interest, and crucial for making use of voice chat across most online multiplayer games. And now Discord’s decided to muck it all up by forcing everyone to switch to a new username in a giant migration no one seems to understand the reasoning for.

    As things stand, every Discord username is case sensitive and has four digits at the end of it. This lets multiple people adopt the same name and also makes it harder to search for people unless you have their exact handle—a virtue in a world where online harassment has become the norm. The system is occasionally annoying but overall feels befitting the platform’s greater amount of intimacy and privacy, and has helped it become a great hangout space, especially for gaming. Sony and Microsoft recently integrated it directly into the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S. And of course it’s also become a hotbed for leaks lately, including classified military reports.

    Image: Discord

    Not content with that successful status quo, Discord now plans to massively shake things up. “We wanted to make it easier for you to identify and add your friends while preserving your ability to use your preferred name across Discord,” the company announced this week. “So, we are removing discriminators and introducing new, unique usernames (@username) and display names.”

    These changes will arrive in the coming weeks and will initially be voluntary. Eventually, however, everyone will have to move over to the new system. Display names will still exist and be the primary way people are identified in chat, but the underlying username will become similar to the kind used everywhere else, complete with lots of potential duplicates once everyone is forced to change. Many of the initial reactions have not been kind:

    Aside from the fact that many Discord users seem to have adopted the platform precisely because it’s not easily searchable like Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram, there are plenty of other concerns as well. The move could open up more possibilities for fraud and impersonation, as we’ve seen with the recent hellfire on Twitter. There’s also been speculation that some people will now start camping on high profile usernames that belong to streamers and influencers on other platforms. But the biggest issue is that there’s no clear benefit to users with the change.

    Discord, on the other hand, is a for-profit startup that needs to continually scale in order to get bought or eventually go public. Like Slack, it can’t just be really good at private messaging and voice channels, it seemingly needs to be a huge social platform all its own. Bleh. There are already genuine concerns about how the company harvests use data, and might potentially exploit it to train AI chat tools. Many of the better features, meanwhile, are locked behind the service’s monthly Nitro subscription.

    The platform has been great in recent years, and was a lifeline for many when the pandemic shuttered everyone inside. Who knows what it will become in the future though, and changes like this are never reassuring. In the meantime, game companies keep moving their internet forums to Discord, leaving entire online communities at the mercy of the Silicon Valley growth mindset.

                   

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    Ethan Gach

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  • CEOs of Microsoft and Alphabet called to AI meeting at White House

    CEOs of Microsoft and Alphabet called to AI meeting at White House

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    Vice President Kamala Harris will host the chief executives of Alphabet GOOG GOOGL, Microsoft MSFT, OpenAI and Anthropic at the White House on Thursday to discuss artificial-intelligence issues.

    Harris and senior administration officials aim to have a “frank discussion” of the risks in AI development and of “ways we can work together to ensure the American people benefit from advances in AI while being protected from its harms,” according to an invitation for the meeting obtained by MarketWatch.

    The…

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  • Students are turning to ChatGPT for study help, and Chegg stock is plummeting 30%

    Students are turning to ChatGPT for study help, and Chegg stock is plummeting 30%

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    Chegg Inc. shares plunged more than 30% Monday afternoon and were headed toward their lowest price since 2017, after the online-education company’s forecast called for an unexpected revenue decline as students begin to use ChatGPT.

    Chegg CHGG reported first-quarter earnings of $2.2 million, or 2 cents a share, on net revenue of $187.6 million, down from $202.2 million a year ago. After adjusting for stock compensation and other effects, the company reported earnings of 27 cents a share, down from 32 cents a share in the same…

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  • Deutsche Boerse Makes Offer for SimCorp

    Deutsche Boerse Makes Offer for SimCorp

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    By Sarah Sloat

    Deutsche Boerse SE said Thursday it would make a voluntary takeover offer for Danish software company SimCorp AS for a total 3.9 billion euros ($4.31 billion).

    The all-cash offer of DKK735 ($108.86) per share represents a 38.9% premium over the closing price of DKK529, and a 45.3% premium over the three-month volume-weighted…

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  • Why the U.K. is blocking Microsoft’s deal for Activision and what comes next

    Why the U.K. is blocking Microsoft’s deal for Activision and what comes next

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    A U.K. regulator made the surprising decision Wednesday to block Microsoft Corp.’s deal for Activision Blizzard Inc. in a further sign of resistance to the power of Big Tech.

    The U.K.’s Competition and Markets Authority announced Wednesday that it would prohibit the $69 billion deal as the merger could hurt competition in the nascent market for cloud gaming. The decision comes after the agency said in late March that it no longer thought the deal would threaten console gaming, which is a vastly larger and more established…

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  • Microsoft stock zooms toward highest prices in a year after strong earnings, forecast

    Microsoft stock zooms toward highest prices in a year after strong earnings, forecast

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    Microsoft Corp. shares headed toward their highest prices in more than year in Tuesday’s extended session, after the software giant reported better-then-expected profit and revenue and guided for continued strong results in an uncertain economy.

    Microsoft MSFT reported fiscal third-quarter profit of $18.3 billion, or $2.45 a share, up from $2.22 a share a year ago. Revenue grew to $52.86 billion from $49.36 billion in the same quarter last year. Analysts on average were expecting earnings of $2.24 a share on sales of $51.02…

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  • SAP Cloud Sales Miss and Software Giant Cuts Outlook. Why the Stock Is Rising.

    SAP Cloud Sales Miss and Software Giant Cuts Outlook. Why the Stock Is Rising.

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    SAP


    missed expectations for sales in its key cloud division and cut its outlook in first-quarter earnings released Friday. But the stock is still rising after the German software giant beat estimates for overall profit and revenue.



    SAP


    (ticker: SAP) reported earnings of €1.27 ($1.39) a share on revenue of €7.44 billion in the first three months of 2023. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected profit of €1.10 on sales of €7.30 billion.

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