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Zoom to Lay Off 15% of Staff, CEO Slashes Salary
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Shopify
stock got a lift after the e-commerce company announced changes to its pricing—a move one analyst said positions it for better growth.
“The price we charge for access to the best tools in commerce has remained largely unchanged for the last 12 years,” wrote Kaz Nejatian,
Shopify
‘s chief operating officer, in a blog post announcing the changes.
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Microsoft
posted better-than-expected results for the December quarter, driven by strength in cloud computing. But the strong results were tempered by disappointing guidance for the March quarter.
While the company saw weakness in its PC software business, Microsoft (ticker: MSFT) posted solid results in cloud computing and enterprise applications. In particular, the Azure public cloud business beat Wall Street growth estimates, which is a relief to investors nervous about the outlook for corporate IT spending.
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A few hours ago, Xbox CEO Phil Spencer sent out a company-wide email to all full-time employees under Microsoft’s gaming divisions. A copy of the email was shared with Kotaku by a current Xbox employee, we have confirmed its authenticity, and the full text has been transcribed below:
This has been a difficult week across Microsoft, and here, inside our teams. Now that many of the 1:1 and team conversations have happened, I want to take a moment to reiterate the message that you heard from your leaders.
This is a challenging moment in our business, and this week’s actions were painful choices. The Gaming Leadership Team had to make decisions that we felt set us up for the long-term success of our products and business, but the individual results of those decisions are real. I know that hurts. Thank you for supporting our colleagues as they process these changes.
Over the coming weeks we will have many opportunities to connect and answer your questions, including the Monthly Gaming Update next week for teams who attend that meeting, and I am in close contact with teams at ZeniMax to provide support. The GLT and I are committed to being as transparent as we can. Moving forward with ambiguity is challenging, but I am confident that together, we will get through this difficult moment in time.
Xbox has a long history of success thanks to the work you do in service of players, creators, and each other. Your work is so deeply appreciated and valued in these times of change and is integral to our business momentum. I am confident in our future and proud to be part of this team, but also conscious that this is a challenging time and I want to thank you for everything you do here.
Phil
On January 18, Microsoft laid off 10,000 employees across the company. These layoffs included gaming studios such as 343 Industries, The Coalition, ZeniMax Media, and Bethesda Game Studios. Xbox has struggled to release first-party titles last year, and is under tremendous pressure to ship flashy blockbuster titles such as Starfield. Some of the people who have lost their jobs include senior talent, and occurred a year after the publisher scourged up the pocket change to purchase Activision Blizzard for $70 billion. Kotaku has reached out to Microsoft for a statement, but did not receive a response by the time of publication.
“This feels like something you send out on obligation,” wrote a current employee at Xbox over text messages to Kotaku. “I seriously doubt any of those monthly gaming updates or other meetings are going to do anything to make anyone feel better.”
The tech workers’ union CODE-CWA put out a statement on January 19, stating that their representatives have been in contact with Microsoft. The company “recognizes its obligation to bargain over any proposed layoffs of CWA members at ZeniMax.” The ZeniMax union intends to negotiate on “alternatives to layoffs.”
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Sisi Jiang
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As Google prepares to kill off its Stadia streaming service for good, there have been a few parting gifts to emerge from its demise. Users got a final game, along with the ability to unlock the Bluetooth capabilities of their controllers (even if that was something they should have been able to do from day one), but one of the last surprises can be enjoyed by all of us. Especially those of us who never paid for Stadia in the first place.
Back in 2020 Necrosoft (finally) released Gunsport, a sci-fi take on 2D volleyball, as a Stadia exclusive. It was pretty cool! It was also, as a Stadia exclusive, a game that most of us never got to enjoy. In June 2022 it was followed by a sequel, Hyper Gunsport, which was much more widely available, since it came out on PC, Switch, Xbox and PlayStation.
While two completely separate games, they’ve now been brought a lot closer, with Necrosoft saying in a tweet earlier today “Since we care about game preservation we’ve made an offline version of Gunsport available in the Steam version of Hyper Gunsport, through the beta channel.”
You can see a video of this game-smuggling move (done by Necrosoft’s Lotte May) in action below:
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If you’ve never had to use a Steam game’s beta channel system before, the video above will give you a quick rundown on how to activate the original game, then be able to easily switch between playing it and the sequel.
This is a very cool move! Not just because people are getting essentially a free video game, but because this is a super interesting way to implement a form of game preservation, one that thinks way outside the box but which, thanks to the way Steam is structured, also seems to work pretty damn well!
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Luke Plunkett
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If you haven’t heard, Google Stadia is shutting down and closing shop next week. But before the never-quite-successful game streaming service dies, it has provided one neat (and free) little gift you can only play for a few days before it all goes offline.
Launched back in 2019, Google Stadia was a costly and massive investment from Google into the world of video games. Powered by the cloud aka a bunch of servers and off-site computers, Stadia’s big promise was instantaneous gaming on the go. No more updates or expensive consoles. And while it sometimes worked, the high cost of games, lack of features, small library, and internet costs ended up dooming the service. Sure, some superfans logged thousands of hours into it, but for most, it just wasn’t what they wanted or needed from a video game platform.
So it wasn’t surprising that in September of last year, Google announced the end of Stadia. In five days, on January 18, the video game streaming service will shut down. With the end so near, it seemed unlikely that Stadia would receive any new game releases. Yet, Google has published one final game. But don’t expect some big open-world RPG or remake. Instead, the final Stadia game is Worm Game, an internally developed title used to test Stadia long before it became a public service.
We probably were never meant to see or play this Snake-like test game as it sports fairly rudimentary graphics and kinda ugly menus. But in the final days of Stadia, it appears the devs working on the project were able to provide its community one final treat. Even better, anyone can play Worm Game as it’s free. (Which makes sense considering the Stadia store stopped working already.)
The game’s store page features this nice and touching description of the game and what it was used for:
Play the game that came to Stadia before Stadia came to the world. “Worm Game” is a humble title we used to test many of Stadia’s features, starting well before our 2019 public launch, right through 2022. It won’t win Game of the Year, but the Stadia team spent a LOT of time playing it, and we thought we’d share it with you. Thanks for playing, and for everything.
Is Worm Game some incredibly important or amazing thing? Not really. However, it’s still really cool to get a peek behind the scenes, and thanks to videos of Worm Game, this little piece of test software will be somewhat preserved for folks to look back at years from now.
In other cool End Of Stadia news, Google has confirmed that starting next week, it will start allowing players to unlock the Bluetooth functionally of its Stadia controller.
This is a nice way to make the controller—which has one of my favorite modern D-pads on it—more useful and easier to hook up to more devices. I doubt the devs who worked on Stadia for years were planning for the controller to be the only thing left of Stadia in 2023, but here we are.
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Zack Zwiezen
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As CES 2023 draws to a close, much of the attention in the chip world was lauded on companies like Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Nvidia Corp. but a lower profile chip maker appears better positioned coming out of the convention.
Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore said there’s still a lot of caution about overall chip demand especially with softness in China, but autos appear to be one of the strong themes of CES 2023, he said.
“The areas that have been weak remain somewhat weaker – notably memory, semi cap, and generally PC and cloud builds – while the markets that have been strong (such as automotive and industrial) remain strong but with lead times clearly starting to normalize, which likely points to longer term revenue pressures particularly in a weaker economy,” Moore said.
“Still, the longer term themes remain positive, especially for autos (which is increasingly the focus of CES),around themes such as EVs, ADAS and autonomous.”
Such was the case when Nvidia Corp.
NVDA,
said on Tuesday it was partnering with Hon Hai Technology Group
2317,
, or Foxconn, best known for being the manufacturer of Apple Inc.’s
AAPL,
iPhone, to make electric vehicles that use Nvidia’s Drive Orin chips and sensors, and bringing its GeForce Now streaming video game service to autos made by Hyundai Motor Group
005380,
BYD
1211,
and Swedish EV maker Polestar.
“We generally think that Nvidia numbers are likely OK from here, though there was some caution on sell through in China for gaming, and a clear awareness that while the company’s position within cloud is very good, that pressure in cloud budgets leads to somewhat lower visibility,” Moore said. “But we would say that generally we think that they are past the worst of the pressures in their business, in contrast to most of the semiconductor group where there are still likely numbers cuts ahead.”
Meanwhile, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
AMD,
used the CES keynote to introduce the Instinct MI300 chip as “world’s first data-center integrated CPU + GPU.” The combined central processing unit and graphics processing unit meant for AI inference, the months-long process where data centers spend millions of dollars a year on electricity to train and develop artificial intelligence. AMD Chief Executive and Chair Lisa Su said the MI300 can reduce the time it takes for an inference modeling process from months to weeks.
But one chip maker that doesn’t get a lot of attention appeared to emerge from CES best positioned for the year: ON Semiconductor Corp.
ON,
which focuses on electric vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems as primary growth drivers, leveraging its legacy position in auto chips.
“Most notably, the company’s push into [Silicon Carbide] remains on track, and expect to still exit the year at a run-rate where the majority of crystal driving the business is internally sourced,” Moore said. “The company remains confident that demand in the EV space will far outpace supply for a long time and have thus shifted their focus over to execution on the production side.”
Citi Research analyst Christopher Danley lauded ON as being the most bullish chip maker of CES 2023.
“ON remains on track to triple Silicon Carbide revenue YoY from roughly $300 million in 2022 to $1.0 billion in 2023,” Danley said. “The company stated it is sold out through 2023.”
But ON aside, Danley said everyone at CES is “nervous” about “cracks” in data-center demand, “and they should be.”
“There was a tone of nervousness on the data center outlook with many execs and investors cautious and talking about ‘uncertainty’ in data center outlooks from both hyperscalers and enterprise customers,” Danley said. “We continue to believe data center correction will happen given a multitude of datapoints and leading indicators.”
Back in early December, Danley said his checks “indicate order rates from the data center end market are fading with downside from the enterprise end market (roughly 40% of the data center end market) and Facebook,” which is owned by parent company Meta Platforms Inc.
META,
“We continue to expect a correction in the data center end market in 1H23,” Danley said.
That said, Danley said his top pick was and continue to believe a correction there is inevitable. We remain cautious on semis until all end markets and companies correct and our top pick remains chip maker Analog Devices Inc.
ADI,
Back to autos: Ambarella Inc.
AMBA,
on Thursday, Ambarella said it was partnering with Continental AG
CON,
to develop hardware and software for assisted driving using AI with the ultimate goal of an autonomous driving system. The companies hope to have systems in production in 2026.
Moore said Ambarella’s tech “continues to impress,” and said the Continental partnership will provide software revenue that’s shared but with the larger portion going to Continental.
At CES 2023, “the companies are showing a full L2+ ADAS implementation for a 10-camera system running on a single chip, which per AMBA was only using 8% of the compute value of the chip.”
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These reports, excerpted and edited by Barron’s, were issued recently by investment and research firms. The reports are a sampling of analysts’ thinking; they should not be considered the views or recommendations of Barron’s. Some of the reports’ issuers have provided, or hope to provide, investment-banking or other services to the companies being analyzed.
Advanced Micro Devices AMD-Nasdaq
Buy (four stars out of five) • Price $64.52 on Dec. 23
by CFRA
Our Buy recommendation reflects our expectation for significant share gains on the central-processing-unit data-center side from the ramp-up of AMD’s next-generation EPYC processor, greater momentum for AMD’s graphics processing units, and our expectation for balance sheet improvement.
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Harris Kupperman, the president of Praetorian Capital, made a couple of interesting calls heading into 2022. He predicted that stocks of the giant tech-oriented companies that led the bull market would be sold off, and that oil prices would continue to rise through the end of 2022.
The first prediction came true, while the second one for oil prices fizzled. After rising to $130 in March, oil prices have fallen back to where they started the year. Then again, that second prediction still could have made you a lot of money because the share prices of oil companies kept rising anyway.
That leads to a new prediction for 2023 and a related stock screen below.
Here’s a chart showing the movement of front-month contract prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil
CL.1,
since the end of 2021:
Even though Kupperman didn’t get his oil price call right, the energy sector of the S&P 500
SPX,
was up 60% for 2022 through Dec. 27, excluding dividends. That is the only one of the 11 S&P 500 sectors to show a gain in 2022. And the energy sector is also cheapest relative to earnings expectations, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8, compared with 16.7 for the full S&P 500.
WTI pulled back from its momentary peak at $130.50 in early March, but that didn’t reverse the long-term trend of low capital spending by oil and natural gas producers, which has given investors confidence that supplies will remain tight.
Vicki Hollub, the CEO of Occidental Petroleum Corp.
OXY,
— the best-performing S&P 500 stock of 2022 — said during a recent interview that there was “no pressure to increase production right now,” citing a $40 per barrel break-even point for oil prices.
Kupperman now expects strong demand and low supplies to push oil as high as $200 a barrel in 2023.
At the end of November, these 20 oil companies stood out as reasonable plays for 2023 based on expectations for free-cash-flow generation and dividend payments.
For this next screen, we are only looking at ratings and consensus price targets among analysts polled by FactSet.
There are 23 energy stocks in the S&P 500, and you can invest in that group easily by purchasing shares of the Energy Select SPDR ETF
XLE,
We can expand the list of large-cap names by looking at the components of the iShares Global Energy ETF
IXC,
which holds all the energy stocks in the S&P 500 plus large players based outside the U.S.
The top five holdings of IXC are:
| Company | Ticker | Country | % of portfolio | Share “buy” ratings | Dec. 27 price | Price target | Implied 12-month upside potential |
| Exxon Mobil Corp. |
XOM, |
U.S. | 16.4% | 54% | 110.19 | 118.89 | 7.89% |
| Chevron Corp. |
CVX, |
U.S. | 11.5% | 54% | 179.63 | 190.52 | 6.06% |
| Shell PLC |
SHEL, |
U.K. | 7.8% | 83% | 23.67 | 29.82 | 25.99% |
| TotalEnergies SE |
TTE, |
France | 5.6% | 62% | 59.63 | 64.40 | 8.00% |
| ConocoPhillips |
COP, |
U.K. | 5.4% | 83% | 118.47 | 140.84 | 18.88% |
| Source: FactSet | |||||||
Prices on the tables in this article are in local currencies.
IXC holds 51 stocks. To expand the list for a stock screen, we added the energy stocks in the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
MID,
and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index
SML,
to bring the list up to 91 companies, which we then pared to 83 covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.
Here are the 20 companies in the list with at least 75% “buy” or equivalent ratings that have the most upside potential over the next 12 months, based on consensus price targets:
| Company | Ticker | Country | Share “buy” ratings | Dec. 27 price | Price target | Implied 12-month upside potential |
| EQT Corp. |
EQT, |
U.S. | 83% | 36.34 | 59.14 | 63% |
| Green Plains Inc. |
GPRE, |
U.S. | 80% | 29.80 | 43.40 | 46% |
| Cameco Corp. |
CCO, |
Canada | 100% | 30.48 | 44.25 | 45% |
| Talos Energy Inc. |
TALO, |
U.S. | 86% | 19.77 | 28.67 | 45% |
| Ranger Oil Corp. Class A |
ROCC, |
U.S. | 100% | 41.33 | 58.00 | 40% |
| Tourmaline Oil Corp. |
TOU, |
Canada | 100% | 71.40 | 98.83 | 38% |
| Civitas Resources Inc. |
CIVI, |
U.S. | 100% | 58.82 | 80.83 | 37% |
| Inpex Corp. |
1605, |
Japan | 88% | 1,477.00 | 1,965.56 | 33% |
| Diamondback Energy Inc. |
FANG, |
U.S. | 84% | 137.58 | 181.90 | 32% |
| Santos Limited |
STO, |
Australia | 100% | 7.20 | 9.26 | 29% |
| Matador Resources Co. |
MTDR, |
U.S. | 79% | 57.59 | 73.75 | 28% |
| Targa Resources Corp. |
TRGP, |
U.S. | 95% | 73.89 | 94.05 | 27% |
| Cenovus Energy Inc. |
CVE, |
Canada | 84% | 26.24 | 33.22 | 27% |
| Shell PLC |
SHEL, |
U.K. | 83% | 23.67 | 29.82 | 26% |
| Ampol Limited |
ALD, |
Australia | 85% | 28.29 | 35.01 | 24% |
| EOG Resources Inc. |
EOG, |
U.S. | 79% | 132.08 | 157.52 | 19% |
| ConocoPhillips |
COP, |
U.S. | 83% | 118.47 | 140.84 | 19% |
| Repsol SA |
REP, |
Spain | 75% | 15.05 | 17.88 | 19% |
| Halliburton Co. |
HAL, |
U.S. | 86% | 39.27 | 45.95 | 17% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corp. |
MPC, |
U.S. | 76% | 116.82 | 132.56 | 13% |
| Source: FactSet | ||||||
Click on the tickers for more information about the companies.
Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.
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