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Tag: Computers/Consumer Electronics

  • Microsoft stock dives into the red after forecast misses, CFO warns about deceleration

    Microsoft stock dives into the red after forecast misses, CFO warns about deceleration

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    Microsoft Corp.’s profit declined more than 12% in the holiday season, and executives said Tuesday that a revenue deceleration at the end of 2022 is expected to continue into the new year as the company lays off workers.

    Microsoft MSFT Chief Financial Officer Amy Hood said in a conference call Tuesday that “we are seeing customers exercise caution,” which resulted in “moderating consumption growth in Azure and lower-than-expected growth in new business” in December. Hood then said that “we expect business trends that we saw…

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  • Tesla is a ‘soft landing’ stock, says Goldman Sachs. Here are its picks for a gentle economic landing and stocks for a recession.

    Tesla is a ‘soft landing’ stock, says Goldman Sachs. Here are its picks for a gentle economic landing and stocks for a recession.

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    Pour one out for the beleaguered economists, who for once got an important indicator, the consumer price index, right on the nose, after CPI fell 0.1% in December, while core prices rose 0.3%.

    “The 2021 surge in durable goods demand normalized, and the resulting collapse in durable goods price inflation was stunningly fast,” says Paul Donovan, chief economist of UBS Global Wealth Management.

    “The commodity wave of inflation is fading, and that leaves the profit margin expansion in focus,” he adds. What a good time for earnings season to be upon us, and what do you know, it is, kicking off with the banking sector on Friday before broadening out next week.

    Strategists at Goldman Sachs have a new note out, saying that the market is pricing in a soft landing even though the trend of earnings revisions points to a hard landing.

    They’re not that optimistic — even in the soft-landing scenario, the team led by David Kostin say the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.40%

    will end the year right around current levels, at 4,000. But they identify 46 stocks that could benefit — profitable, cyclical companies that are trading at price-to-earnings valuations below their 10-year median, among other factors.

    One name jumps out: Tesla
    TSLA,
    -0.94%
    ,
    which trades at 22 times forward earnings versus the 10-year median of 117 times. But the other 45 names are less flashy, ranging from Capital One
    COF,
    +1.81%

    and Carlyle Group
    CG,
    +0.54%
    ,
    to a host of industrials including 3M
    MMM,
    +0.12%
    ,
    Parker-Hannifan
    PH,
    +0.73%

    and Otis Worldwide
    OTIS,
    +0.42%
    .
    As a whole, these typically $10 billion companies are trading at 12 times earnings, versus 17 times usually.

    In the hard landing scenario, S&P 500 profit margins would shrink by 125 basis points, to 10.9% — about in line with the median peak-to-trough decline during the eight recessions since 1970, which has been 132 basis points. Consensus expectations are for a 26 basis-point margin decline.

    The Goldman team also have a 36 stock screen for a hard landing — profitable companies in defensive industries with a positive dividend yield. They’re typically food, beverage and tobacco companies as well as software and services companies — including Costco Wholesale
    COST,
    +0.58%
    ,
    Kroger
    KR,
    -0.99%
    ,
    Altria
    MO,
    +0.48%
    ,
    Tyson Foods
    TSN,
    +0.23%
    ,
    Microsoft
    MSFT,
    +0.30%
    ,
    MasterCard
    MA,
    -1.13%

    and Visa
    V,
    -0.25%
    .
    As a whole, these $37 billion companies are trading at 22 times earnings vs. a historical 24 times.

    The market

    After a 2.3% advance for the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.40%

    over the last three sessions, U.S. stock futures
    ES00,
    +0.39%

    NQ00,
    +0.58%

    declined on Friday.

    The yield on the Japanese 10-year bond
    TMBMKJP-10Y,
    0.511%

    exceeded 0.5%, the Bank of Japan’s yield cap, ahead of next week’s rate decision , prompting a second day of aggressive bond purchases from the central bank.

    For more market updates plus actionable trade ideas for stocks, options and crypto, subscribe to MarketDiem by Investor’s Business Daily.

    The buzz

    Fourth-quarter earnings were rolling out from Bank of America
    BAC,
    +2.20%
    ,
    JPMorgan Chase
    JPM,
    +2.52%
    ,
    Citigroup
    C,
    +1.69%

    and Wells Fargo
    WFC,
    +3.25%
    ,
    and outside of banks, Delta Air Lines
    DAL,
    -3.54%
    ,
    BlackRock
    BLK,
    +0.00%

    and UnitedHealth
    UNH,
    -1.23%
    .

    JPMorgan shares slumped after forecast-beating earnings, though investment bank revenue came in light of estimates. Delta shares also declined after topping earnings estimates.

    Tesla
    TSLA,
    -0.94%

    cut prices of Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in the U.S. and elsewhere by up to 20%. The electric vehicle maker stock dropped 6%.

    Virgin Galactic
    SPCE,
    +12.34%

    surged after saying it’s on track to launch space-tourism flights in the second quarter.

    Apple
    AAPL,
    +1.01%

    says CEO Tim Cook requested, and received, a pay cut after investor criticism.

    The University of Michigan’s consumer-sentiment index is due at 10 a.m. Eastern, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker are due to speak.

    Tyler Winklevoss said charges by the Securities and Exchange Commission brought about Gemini Trust for allegedly offering unregistered securities were “super lame” as it seeks to unfreeze $900 million in investor assets.

    Best of the web

    There’s a bull market in swearing on corporate earnings calls.

    The West is now preparing to send tanks to Ukraine in what could be another escalation of its conflict with Russia, which on Friday claimed victory in the eastern town of Soledar.

    A look back at photos of Lisa Marie Presley, who died at age 54.

    Top tickers

    Here were the most active stock-market tickers as of 6 a.m. Eastern.

    Ticker

    Security name

    BBBY,
    -30.15%
    Bed Bath & Beyond

    TSLA,
    -0.94%
    Tesla

    GME,
    -0.68%
    GameStop

    AMC,
    +0.80%
    AMC Entertainment

    MULN,
    -8.59%
    Mullen Automotive

    NIO,
    -0.08%
    Nio

    APE,
    -2.56%
    AMC Entertainment preferreds

    AAPL,
    +1.01%
    Apple

    SPCE,
    +12.34%
    Virgin Galactic

    AMZN,
    +2.99%
    Amazon.com

    Random reads

    Like a scene out of “Stranger Things” — there’s uproar after new restrictions on the Hasbro
    HAS,
    +0.21%

    game Dungeons & Dragons.

    Starting next month, Starbucks
    SBUX,
    +1.30%

    rewards will be less generous for most items, though iced coffee will be easier to get.

    Need to Know starts early and is updated until the opening bell, but sign up here to get it delivered once to your email box. The emailed version will be sent out at about 7:30 a.m. Eastern.

    Listen to the Best New Ideas in Money podcast with MarketWatch reporter Charles Passy and economist Stephanie Kelton.

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  • CES 2023: AMD, Nvidia, auto applications get the hype, but analysts say this one chip maker ruled

    CES 2023: AMD, Nvidia, auto applications get the hype, but analysts say this one chip maker ruled

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    As CES 2023 draws to a close, much of the attention in the chip world was lauded on companies like Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Nvidia Corp. but a lower profile chip maker appears better positioned coming out of the convention.

    Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore said there’s still a lot of caution about overall chip demand especially with softness in China, but autos appear to be one of the strong themes of CES 2023, he said.

    “The areas that have been weak remain somewhat weaker – notably memory, semi cap, and generally PC and cloud builds – while the markets that have been strong (such as automotive and industrial) remain strong but with lead times clearly starting to normalize, which likely points to longer term revenue pressures particularly in a weaker economy,” Moore said.

    “Still, the longer term themes remain positive, especially for autos (which is increasingly the focus of CES),around themes such as EVs, ADAS and autonomous.”

    Such was the case when Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +4.16%

     said on Tuesday it was partnering with Hon Hai Technology Group
    2317,
    +0.41%

     , or Foxconn, best known for being the manufacturer of Apple Inc.’s
    AAPL,
    +3.68%

    iPhone, to make electric vehicles that use Nvidia’s Drive Orin chips and sensors, and bringing its GeForce Now streaming video game service to autos made by Hyundai Motor Group
    005380,
    +0.31%
    ,
    BYD
    1211,
    -2.60%
    ,
    and Swedish EV maker Polestar.

    “We generally think that Nvidia numbers are likely OK from here, though there was some caution on sell through in China for gaming, and a clear awareness that while the company’s position within cloud is very good, that pressure in cloud budgets leads to somewhat lower visibility,” Moore said. “But we would say that generally we think that they are past the worst of the pressures in their business, in contrast to most of the semiconductor group where there are still likely numbers cuts ahead.”

    Meanwhile, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +2.62%

    used the CES keynote to introduce the Instinct MI300 chip as “world’s first data-center integrated CPU + GPU.” The  combined central processing unit and graphics processing unit meant for AI inference, the months-long process where data centers spend millions of dollars a year on electricity to train and develop artificial intelligence. AMD Chief Executive and Chair Lisa Su said the MI300 can reduce the time it takes for an inference modeling process from months to weeks.

    But one chip maker that doesn’t get a lot of attention appeared to emerge from CES best positioned for the year: ON Semiconductor Corp.
    ON,
    +4.57%
    ,
    which focuses on electric vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems as primary growth drivers, leveraging its legacy position in auto chips.

    “Most notably, the company’s push into [Silicon Carbide] remains on track, and expect to still exit the year at a run-rate where the majority of crystal driving the business is internally sourced,” Moore said. “The company remains confident that demand in the EV space will far outpace supply for a long time and have thus shifted their focus over to execution on the production side.”

    Citi Research analyst Christopher Danley lauded ON as being the most bullish chip maker of CES 2023.

    “ON remains on track to triple Silicon Carbide revenue YoY from roughly $300 million in 2022 to $1.0 billion in 2023,” Danley said. “The company stated it is sold out through 2023.”

    But ON aside, Danley said everyone at CES is “nervous” about “cracks” in data-center demand, “and they should be.”

    “There was a tone of nervousness on the data center outlook with many execs and investors cautious and talking about ‘uncertainty’ in data center outlooks from both hyperscalers and enterprise customers,” Danley said. “We continue to believe data center correction will happen given a multitude of datapoints and leading indicators.”

    Back in early December, Danley said his checks “indicate order rates from the data center end market are fading with downside from the enterprise end market (roughly 40% of the data center end market) and Facebook,” which is owned by parent company Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +2.43%

    “We continue to expect a correction in the data center end market in 1H23,” Danley said.

    That said, Danley said his top pick was and continue to believe a correction there is inevitable. We remain cautious on semis until all end markets and companies correct and our top pick remains chip maker Analog Devices Inc.
    ADI,
    +3.65%

    Back to autos: Ambarella Inc.
    AMBA,
    +6.77%

    on Thursday, Ambarella said it was partnering with Continental AG
    CON,
    +2.32%

    to develop hardware and software for assisted driving using AI with the ultimate goal of an autonomous driving system. The companies hope to have systems in production in 2026.

    Moore said Ambarella’s tech “continues to impress,” and said the Continental partnership will provide software revenue that’s shared but with the larger portion going to Continental.

    At CES 2023, “the companies are showing a full L2+ ADAS implementation for a 10-camera system running on a single chip, which per AMBA was only using 8% of the compute value of the chip.”

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  • Dow futures jump more than 300 points as traders start 2023 on a bullish note

    Dow futures jump more than 300 points as traders start 2023 on a bullish note

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    U.S. stock index futures rose Tuesday as investors returned from the festive break in a generally bullish mood.

    How are stock-index futures trading
    • S&P 500 futures
      ES00,
      +0.49%

      advanced 41 points, or 1.1%, to 3902

    • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures
      YM00,
      +0.42%

      gained 332 points, or 1%, to 33617

    • Nasdaq 100 futures
      NQ00,
      +0.67%

      climbed 122 points, or 1.1%, to 11144

    On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -0.22%

    fell 74 points, or 0.22%, to 33147, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.25%

    declined 10 points, or 0.25%, to 3840, and the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.11%

    dropped 12 points, or 0.11%, to 10466. The Nasdaq Composite fell 33.1% in 2022, the largest one year percentage decline since 2008.

    What’s driving markets

    After Wall Street’s S&P 500 benchmark dropped nearly 20% in 2022, equity investors appeared determined on Tuesday to start the new year of trading on a positive note.

    Activity in index futures was choppy, however, with the S&P 500 contract wobbling in a 55 point range in early-hours action.

    “The calendar year may have changed, but the themes remain the same as the U.S. and U.K. markets reopen for 2023,” said Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor.

    “Recessionary concerns will again top the agenda, underpinned by high inflation and rising interest rates. This in turn could point to a troubled January as investors search for positive indications that the tightening policies of the central banks may begin to ease given weakening economic data,” Hunter added.

    Indeed, the International Monetary Fund greeted the new year with a warning that a third of the global economy will suffer recession in 2023, a downturn that will likely trim corporate profits.

    In addition, a burst of fresh strength in the U.S. dollar
    DXY,
    +1.16%

    on Tuesday – a common reaction to global economic slowdown worries – was likely to further crimp earnings of U.S. multinationals.

    Still, Julian Emanuel , strategist at Evercore ISI, reckoned that such concerns don’t necessarily mean stocks can’t rally.

    “Forecasting an earnings recession in 2023 to accompany the economic recession that now seems inevitable, along with a 2023 year end S&P 500 price target of 4,150, would seem impossible,” he said in a note to clients.

    “Yet not only is there a long history of earnings down/stocks up years (1970, 1982 and 1985 stand out, but there is also the tendency for strong stock/bond return years to follow historically forceful tightening cycles (1982, 1985) particularly in years (1995) following ‘havoc being wreaked’ on a 60/40 portfolio such as 2022’s declines.” Emanuel added.


    Source: Evercore ISI

    U.S. economic updates set for release on Tuesday include the December S&P U.S. manufacturing PMI at 9:45 a.m. and the November reading of construction spending at 10 a.m., both times Eastern.

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  • AMD Stock Should Benefit From Next-Generation Computer Chips

    AMD Stock Should Benefit From Next-Generation Computer Chips

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    These reports, excerpted and edited by Barron’s, were issued recently by investment and research firms. The reports are a sampling of analysts’ thinking; they should not be considered the views or recommendations of Barron’s. Some of the reports’ issuers have provided, or hope to provide, investment-banking or other services to the companies being analyzed.

    Advanced Micro Devices AMD-Nasdaq

    Buy (four stars out of five) • Price $64.52 on Dec. 23

    by CFRA

    Our Buy recommendation reflects our expectation for significant share gains on the central-processing-unit data-center side from the ramp-up of AMD’s next-generation EPYC processor, greater momentum for AMD’s graphics processing units, and our expectation for balance sheet improvement.

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  • These 20 energy stocks are worth a look if you think oil prices will soar in 2023

    These 20 energy stocks are worth a look if you think oil prices will soar in 2023

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    Harris Kupperman, the president of Praetorian Capital, made a couple of interesting calls heading into 2022. He predicted that stocks of the giant tech-oriented companies that led the bull market would be sold off, and that oil prices would continue to rise through the end of 2022.

    The first prediction came true, while the second one for oil prices fizzled. After rising to $130 in March, oil prices have fallen back to where they started the year. Then again, that second prediction still could have made you a lot of money because the share prices of oil companies kept rising anyway.

    That leads to a new prediction for 2023 and a related stock screen below.

    Here’s a chart showing the movement of front-month contract prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil
    CL.1,
    -0.62%

    since the end of 2021:


    FactSet

    Even though Kupperman didn’t get his oil price call right, the energy sector of the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.20%

    was up 60% for 2022 through Dec. 27, excluding dividends. That is the only one of the 11 S&P 500 sectors to show a gain in 2022. And the energy sector is also cheapest relative to earnings expectations, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8, compared with 16.7 for the full S&P 500.

    WTI pulled back from its momentary peak at $130.50 in early March, but that didn’t reverse the long-term trend of low capital spending by oil and natural gas producers, which has given investors confidence that supplies will remain tight.

    Vicki Hollub, the CEO of Occidental Petroleum Corp.
    OXY,
    -3.50%

    the best-performing S&P 500 stock of 2022 — said during a recent interview that there was “no pressure to increase production right now,” citing a $40 per barrel break-even point for oil prices.

    Kupperman now expects strong demand and low supplies to push oil as high as $200 a barrel in 2023.

    At the end of November, these 20 oil companies stood out as reasonable plays for 2023 based on expectations for free-cash-flow generation and dividend payments.

    For this next screen, we are only looking at ratings and consensus price targets among analysts polled by FactSet.

    There are 23 energy stocks in the S&P 500, and you can invest in that group easily by purchasing shares of the Energy Select SPDR ETF
    XLE,
    -2.24%
    .
    We can expand the list of large-cap names by looking at the components of the iShares Global Energy ETF
    IXC,
    -1.91%
    ,
    which holds all the energy stocks in the S&P 500 plus large players based outside the U.S.

    The top five holdings of IXC are:

    Company

    Ticker

    Country

    % of portfolio

    Share “buy” ratings

    Dec. 27 price

    Price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Exxon Mobil Corp.

    XOM,
    -1.64%
    U.S.

    16.4%

    54%

    110.19

    118.89

    7.89%

    Chevron Corp.

    CVX,
    -1.48%
    U.S.

    11.5%

    54%

    179.63

    190.52

    6.06%

    Shell PLC

    SHEL,
    -0.70%
    U.K.

    7.8%

    83%

    23.67

    29.82

    25.99%

    TotalEnergies SE

    TTE,
    -1.40%
    France

    5.6%

    62%

    59.63

    64.40

    8.00%

    ConocoPhillips

    COP,
    -2.67%
    U.K.

    5.4%

    83%

    118.47

    140.84

    18.88%

    Source: FactSet

    Prices on the tables in this article are in local currencies.

    IXC holds 51 stocks. To expand the list for a stock screen, we added the energy stocks in the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
    MID,
    -1.24%

    and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index
    SML,
    -1.89%

    to bring the list up to 91 companies, which we then pared to 83 covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.

    Here are the 20 companies in the list with at least 75% “buy” or equivalent ratings that have the most upside potential over the next 12 months, based on consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Country

    Share “buy” ratings

    Dec. 27 price

    Price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    EQT Corp.

    EQT,
    -7.82%
    U.S.

    83%

    36.34

    59.14

    63%

    Green Plains Inc.

    GPRE,
    -2.72%
    U.S.

    80%

    29.80

    43.40

    46%

    Cameco Corp.

    CCO,
    +0.33%
    Canada

    100%

    30.48

    44.25

    45%

    Talos Energy Inc.

    TALO,
    -8.40%
    U.S.

    86%

    19.77

    28.67

    45%

    Ranger Oil Corp. Class A

    ROCC,
    -6.22%
    U.S.

    100%

    41.33

    58.00

    40%

    Tourmaline Oil Corp.

    TOU,
    -4.92%
    Canada

    100%

    71.40

    98.83

    38%

    Civitas Resources Inc.

    CIVI,
    -4.06%
    U.S.

    100%

    58.82

    80.83

    37%

    Inpex Corp.

    1605,
    -2.08%
    Japan

    88%

    1,477.00

    1,965.56

    33%

    Diamondback Energy Inc.

    FANG,
    -2.26%
    U.S.

    84%

    137.58

    181.90

    32%

    Santos Limited

    STO,
    -3.12%
    Australia

    100%

    7.20

    9.26

    29%

    Matador Resources Co.

    MTDR,
    -3.98%
    U.S.

    79%

    57.59

    73.75

    28%

    Targa Resources Corp.

    TRGP,
    -2.63%
    U.S.

    95%

    73.89

    94.05

    27%

    Cenovus Energy Inc.

    CVE,
    -2.55%
    Canada

    84%

    26.24

    33.22

    27%

    Shell PLC

    SHEL,
    -0.70%
    U.K.

    83%

    23.67

    29.82

    26%

    Ampol Limited

    ALD,
    -2.89%
    Australia

    85%

    28.29

    35.01

    24%

    EOG Resources Inc.

    EOG,
    -3.54%
    U.S.

    79%

    132.08

    157.52

    19%

    ConocoPhillips

    COP,
    -2.67%
    U.S.

    83%

    118.47

    140.84

    19%

    Repsol SA

    REP,
    -0.66%
    Spain

    75%

    15.05

    17.88

    19%

    Halliburton Co.

    HAL,
    -3.03%
    U.S.

    86%

    39.27

    45.95

    17%

    Marathon Petroleum Corp.

    MPC,
    -1.97%
    U.S.

    76%

    116.82

    132.56

    13%

    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more information about the companies.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

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  • This company has wiped out more investor wealth in 2022 than Tesla

    This company has wiped out more investor wealth in 2022 than Tesla

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    Elon Musk has been trying this week to defend Tesla’s abysmal stock performance in 2022. The electric vehicle giant has seen its stock plummet by 61% this year, making it the 11th-worst performing stock in the S&P 500 in 2022.

    “As bank savings account interest rates, which are guaranteed, start to approach stock market returns, which are *not* guaranteed, people will increasingly move their money out of stocks into cash, thus causing stocks to drop,” Musk tweeted.

    You might expect that Tesla’s stock drop has wiped out more investor wealth than any other stock in the world this year. But you would be wrong.

    If we look at declines in market capitalization — the value of companies’ common-shares outstanding — Tesla
    TSLA,
    -1.76%

    has been the fourth worst-performing stock in the benchmark S&P 500 this year, as of 1 p.m. ET on Dec. 21:

    Company

    Ticker

    2022 market cap change ($bil)

    Intraday market cap on Dec. 21 ($bil)

    Dec. 31, 2021 market cap ($bil)

    2022 price change

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN,
    +1.74%
    -$805

    $886

    $1,691

    -48%

    Apple Inc.

    AAPL,
    -0.28%
    -$753

    $2,160

    $2,913

    -24%

    Microsoft Corp.

    MSFT,
    +0.23%
    -$700

    $1,825

    $2,525

    -27%

    Tesla Inc.

    TSLA,
    -1.76%
    -$622

    $439

    $1,061

    -61%

    Meta Platforms Inc. Class A

    META,
    +0.79%
    -$466

    $318

    $784

    -64%

    Nvidia Corp.

    NVDA,
    -0.87%
    -$329

    $406

    $735

    -44%

    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    PYPL,
    +0.67%
    -$143

    $79

    $222

    -63%

    Netflix Inc.

    NFLX,
    -0.94%
    -$134

    $133

    $267

    -51%

    Walt Disney Co.

    DIS,
    +1.55%
    -$122

    $160

    $282

    -44%

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM,
    +0.19%
    -$119

    $131

    $250

    -49%

    Source: FactSet

    On a percentage basis, all these stocks have performed worse than the full S&P 500, which has fallen 19%, excluding dividends.

    Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    +1.74%

    has erased more shareholder wealth than any other publicly traded company in 2022. In total, investors in Amazon have lost $804.6 billion this year. The stock is down 48% in 2022.

    Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    -0.28%

    and Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    +0.23%

    have also suffered larger market-cap declines than Tesla, by virtue of their sheer size.

    The companies have different fiscal and annual period ends, but if we look at data for the past three reported quarters and compare to the same period a year earlier, here’s how the four stack up:

    Company

    Ticker

    Change in sales for three quarters from year-earlier period

    Change in EPS for three quarters from year-earlier period

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN,
    +1.74%

     

    10%

    N/A

    Apple Inc.

     
    AAPL,
    -0.28%
    6%

    2%

    Microsoft Corp.

     
    MSFT,
    +0.23%
    14%

    -2%

    Tesla Inc.

     
    TSLA,
    -1.76%
    58%

    169%

    Source: FactSet

    Amazon showed a net loss of $3 billion for the first three quarters of 2022 as the company neared the end of its extraordinary multiyear effort to build out its warehouse and fulfillment infrastructure. For the first three quarters of 2021, the company booked $19 billion in profits. When announcing Amazon’s third-quarter results CEO Andy Jassy said the company was working methodically toward “a stronger cost structure for the business moving forward.”

    The incredible growth of Amazon’s cloud business has stalled and disappointed the expectations the company had nurtured on Wall Street. The Amazon Web Services business is facing increasing competition from the likes of Microsoft and its customers are pulling back. Meanwhile, retail sales have also come in weak going into the Christmas and holiday season. 

    Amazon’s stock has declined 22% since it closed at $110.96 on Oct. 27, right before it disappointed investors not only with its third-quarter results, but with its outlook: It expects to break even during the holiday quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet had previously expected a profit of more than $5 billion.

    Tesla stands in contrast to Amazon, as you can see on the table above. Its sales grew by 58% during the first three quarters of 2022 from the year-earlier period and its earnings per share rose nearly threefold.

    This has been a year of significant declines for shares of giant tech-oriented companies, especially those that had traded at lofty price-to-earnings valuations — that group includes Amazon and Tesla. In fact, these companies have given up all their pandemic era gains int he stock market.

    But with Tesla’s results so outstanding through the first three quarters of 2022, it raises the question: How much of the drop in the electric car makers share price was tied to Musk’s actions as CEO of Twitter, which he acquired on Oct. 27 after a monthslong saga? And how much of a relief rally, if any, might there be for Tesla if Musk, as expected, steps down as Twitter CEO?

    How about some bottom-feeding?

    Here’s the same list of 10 stocks in the S&P 500 that have seen the largest declines in market cap this year, with a summary of analysts’ ratings, consensus price targets and declines in their forward price-to-earnings ratios:

    Company

    Ticker

    Share “buy” ratings

    Dec. 21 closing price

    Cons. price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Forward P/E as of Dec. 20

    Forward P/E as of Dec. 31, 2021

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN,
    +1.74%
    91%

    $85.19

    $134.85

    58%

    49.3

    64.9

    Apple Inc.

    AAPL,
    -0.28%
    74%

    $132.30

    $173.44

    31%

    21.4

    30.2

    Microsoft Corp.

    MSFT,
    +0.23%
    91%

    $241.80

    $293.06

    21%

    23.7

    34.0

    Tesla Inc.

    TSLA,
    -1.76%
    63%

    $137.80

    $272.64

    98%

    24.6

    120.3

    Meta Platforms Inc. Class A

    META,
    +0.79%
    63%

    $117.09

    $145.45

    24%

    14.5

    23.5

    Nvidia Corp.

    NVDA,
    -0.87%
    68%

    $160.85

    $195.72

    22%

    39.2

    58.0

    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    PYPL,
    +0.67%
    71%

    $68.76

    $104.32

    52%

    14.5

    36.0

    Netflix Inc.

    NFLX,
    -0.94%
    47%

    $288.19

    $302.89

    5%

    28.4

    45.6

    Walt Disney Co.

    DIS,
    +1.55%
    82%

    $87.02

    $119.60

    37%

    19.8

    34.2

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM,
    +0.19%
    78%

    $128.45

    $195.18

    52%

    23.4

    53.5

    Source: FactSet

    A majority of analysts see a golden path ahead for 2023 for all of these stocks except for Netflix.

    For more information about any of these companies, click the tickers.

    Click here for a detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Don’t miss: 11 high-yield dividend stocks that are Wall Street’s favorites for 2023

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  • Nvidia, AMD, and Lam Research Slide After Micron Disappoints

    Nvidia, AMD, and Lam Research Slide After Micron Disappoints

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    Nvidia, AMD, and Lam Research Slide After Micron Disappoints

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  • 11 high-yield dividend stocks that are Wall Street’s favorites for 2023

    11 high-yield dividend stocks that are Wall Street’s favorites for 2023

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    Investors love dividend stocks but there are different ways to look at them, including various “quality” approaches. Today we are focusing on high yields.

    A high dividend yield can be a warning that investors have lost confidence in a company’s ability to maintain its dividend payout. But there are always exceptions, some of which can be brought about by market events — some investors remain skeptical of energy stocks, for example, after so much pain before this year’s outstanding performance for the sector.

    Below is a screen of stocks that have high dividend yields and are favored by analysts. The screen has no financial quality filters.

    For investors who are interested in dividend stocks but wish to focus on quality and total returns, this recent look at the S&P Dividend Aristocrats (companies that have raised dividends consistently for many years) might be of interest. For those looking for income but also worried about dividend cuts, here is a list of stocks with dividend yields of at least 5% whose payouts are expected to be well-covered by free cash flow in 2023.

    If you are looking for higher yields with moderate risk, you should at also learn about funds that use covered-call option strategies to enhance income.

    Removing the filters for a high-yield dividend-stock screen

    For a broad screen of stocks with high dividend yields that are favored by analysts, we began with the S&P Composite 1500 Index
    SP1500,
    +1.42%
    ,
    which is made up of the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +1.42%
    ,
    the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
    MID,
    +1.48%
    ,
    and the S&P 600 Small Cap Index
    SML,
    +1.49%
    .

    The S&P indexes exclude energy partnerships, so we added the 15 stocks held by the Alerian MLP ETF
    AMLP,
    +1.81%

    to the list. Energy partnerships tend to have high distribution yields, in part because they pass most earnings through to investors. But they also can make tax preparation more complicated. They can also be volatile as oil
    CL00,
    +2.96%

    CL00 and natural-gas
    NG00,
    +1.58%

    prices swing.

    The S&P indexes also exclude business development companies, or BDCs, so we expanded our initial screen to include the 24 stocks held by the VanEck BDC income ETF
    BIZD,
    +0.76%
    .
    BDCs are specialized leveraged lenders that make loans with high interest rates, mainly to middle-market companies. They often take equity stakes in the companies they lend to, for a venture-capital-type of investment style. The BDC space features several stocks with very high dividend yields, but is also known for volatility.

    You have been warned — this particular stock screen focuses only on high yields and favorable ratings among analysts working for brokerage firms. There is no look back at dividend cuts and no cash-flow analysis as featured in other dividend-stock articles. If you see anything of interest resulting from the screen, you need to do your own research to consider whether or not a long-term commitment to one or more of these companies is worth the risk as you seek high income.

    The screen

    Starting with the S&P Composite 1500 and the components of AMLP and BIZD, there are 68 stocks with dividend yields of at least 8%, according to data provided by FactSet.

    Among the 68 companies, 55 made the first screen, because they are covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.

    Among the 55 companies, 11 have “buy” or equivalent ratings among at least 70% of analysts.

    Here they are, ranked by upside potential implied by analysts’ consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Dividend yield

    Share “buy” ratings

    Dec. 20 price

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Energy Transfer LP

    ET,
    +2.35%
    9.08%

    95%

    $11.68

    $16.24

    39%

    Enterprise Products Partners LP

    EPD,
    +0.88%
    8.12%

    79%

    $23.39

    $31.69

    35%

    Barings BDC Inc.

    BBDC,
    11.67%

    86%

    $8.14

    $10.75

    32%

    Redwood Trust Inc.

    RWT,
    +2.70%
    13.45%

    80%

    $6.84

    $8.92

    30%

    Crestwood Equity Partners LP

    CEQP,
    +0.78%
    9.75%

    100%

    $26.86

    $35.00

    30%

    KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.

    KREF,
    +1.38%
    11.90%

    71%

    $14.45

    $18.50

    28%

    Owl Rock Capital Corp.

    ORCC,
    +0.38%
    11.21%

    91%

    $11.78

    $14.73

    25%

    Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc.

    TSLX,
    +1.89%
    10.48%

    82%

    $17.18

    $20.90

    22%

    Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp.

    OCSL,
    -0.37%
    9.97%

    100%

    $6.77

    $7.75

    14%

    Ares Capital Corp.

    ARCC,
    +1.22%
    10.45%

    93%

    $18.38

    $20.87

    14%

    BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.

    TCPC,
    +1.76%
    10.25%

    71.43%

    $12.49

    $14.00

    12%

    Source: FactSet

    One way to begin your own research into any company listed here is to click on the ticker for more information.

    You should also read Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available free on the MarketWatch quote page.

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  • Adobe stock jumps after earnings beat, in-line annual forecast

    Adobe stock jumps after earnings beat, in-line annual forecast

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    Adobe Inc. shares rose in the extended session Thursday after the software company capped off its fiscal year by topping quarterly earnings expectations, and executives predicted the new fiscal year would play out close to Wall Street’s expectations.

    Adobe ADBE reported fiscal fourth-quarter net income of $1.18 billion, or $2.53 a share, compared with $1.23 billion, or $2.57 a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings, which exclude stock-based compensation expenses and other items, were $3.60 a share, compared with…

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  • Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

    Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

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    Following a sharp and sustained rise in interest rates, U.S. stocks have taken a broad beating this year.

    But 2023 may bring very different circumstances.

    Below are lists of analysts’ favorite stocks among the benchmark S&P 500
    SPX,
    the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index
    MID
    and the S&P Small Cap 600 Index
    SML
    that are expected to rise the most over the next year. Those lists are followed by a summary of opinions of all 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA.

    Stocks rallied on Dec. 13 when the November CPI report showed a much slower inflation pace than economists had expected. Investors were also anticipating the Federal Open Market Committee’s next monetary policy announcement on Dec. 14. The consensus among economists polled by FactSet is for the Federal Reserve to raise the federal funds rate by 0.50% to a target range of 4.50% to 4.75%.

    Read: 5 things to watch when the Fed makes its interest-rate decision

    A 0.50% increase would be a slowdown from the four previous increases of 0.75%. The rate began 2022 in a range of zero to 0.25%, where it had sat since March 2020.

    A pivot for the Fed Reserve and the possibility that the federal funds rate will reach its “terminal” rate (the highest for this cycle) in the near term could set the stage for a broad rally for stocks in 2023.

    Wall Street’s large-cap favorites

    Among the S&P 500, 92 stocks are rated “buy” or the equivalent by at least 75% of analysts working for brokerage firms. That number itself is interesting — at the end of 2021, 93 of the S&P 500 had this distinction. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has declined 16% in 2022, with all sectors down except for energy, which has risen 53%, and the utilities sector, which his risen 1% (both excluding dividends).

    Here are the 20 stocks in the S&P 500 with at least 75% “buy” or equivalent ratings that analysts expect to rise the most over the next year, based on consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    EQT Corp.

    EQT Oil and Gas Production

    $36.91

    $59.70

    62%

    78%

    69%

    Catalent Inc.

    CTLT Pharmaceuticals

    $45.50

    $72.42

    59%

    75%

    -64%

    Amazon.com Inc.

    AMZN Internet Retail

    $90.55

    $136.02

    50%

    91%

    -46%

    Global Payments Inc.

    GPN Misc. Commercial Services

    $99.64

    $147.43

    48%

    75%

    -26%

    Signature Bank

    SBNY Regional Banks

    $122.73

    $180.44

    47%

    78%

    -62%

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM Software

    $133.11

    $195.59

    47%

    80%

    -48%

    Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc. Class A

    BIO Medical Specialties

    $418.28

    $591.00

    41%

    100%

    -45%

    Zoetis Inc. Class A

    ZTS Pharmaceuticals

    $152.86

    $212.80

    39%

    87%

    -37%

    Delta Air Lines Inc.

    DAL Airlines

    $34.77

    $48.31

    39%

    90%

    -11%

    Diamondback Energy Inc.

    FANG Oil and Gas Production

    $134.21

    $182.33

    36%

    84%

    24%

    Caesars Entertainment Inc

    CZR Casinos/ Gaming

    $50.27

    $67.79

    35%

    81%

    -46%

    Alphabet Inc. Class A

    GOOGL Internet Software/ Services

    $93.31

    $125.70

    35%

    92%

    -36%

    Halliburton Co.

    HAL Oilfield Services/ Equipment

    $34.30

    $45.95

    34%

    86%

    50%

    Alaska Air Group Inc.

    ALK Airlines

    $45.75

    $61.08

    34%

    93%

    -12%

    Targa Resources Corp.

    TRGP Gas Distributors

    $70.42

    $93.95

    33%

    95%

    35%

    Charles River Laboratories International Inc.

    CRL Misc. Commercial Services

    $201.94

    $269.25

    33%

    88%

    -46%

    ServiceNow Inc.

    NOW Information Technology Services

    $401.64

    $529.83

    32%

    92%

    -38%

    Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.

    TTWO Software

    $102.61

    $135.04

    32%

    79%

    -42%

    EOG Resources Inc.

    EOG Oil and Gas Production

    $124.06

    $158.24

    28%

    82%

    40%

    Southwest Airlines Co.

    LUV Airlines

    $38.94

    $49.56

    27%

    76%

    -9%

    Source: FactSet

    Most of the companies on the S&P 500 list expected to soar in 2023 have seen large declines in 2022. But the company at the top of the list, EQT Corp.
    EQT,
    is an exception. The stock has risen 69% in 2022 and is expected to add another 62% over the next 12 months. Analysts expect the company’s earnings per share to double during 2023 (in part from its expected acquisition of THQ), after nearly a four-fold EPS increase in 2022.

    Shares of Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN
    are expected to soar 50% over the next year, following a decline of 46% so far in 2022. If the shares were to rise 50% from here to the price target of $136.02, they would still be 18% below their closing price of 166.72 at the end of 2021.

    Read: Here’s why Amazon is Citi’s top internet stock idea

    You can see the earnings estimates and more for any stock in this article by clicking on its ticker.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Mid-cap stocks expected to rise the most

    The lists of favored stocks are limited to those covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet.

    Among components of the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index, there are 84 stocks with at least 75% “buy” ratings. Here at the 20 expected to rise the most over the next year:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc.

    ARWR Biotechnology

    $31.85

    $69.69

    119%

    83%

    -52%

    Lantheus Holdings Inc.

    LNTH Medical Specialties

    $54.92

    $102.00

    86%

    100%

    90%

    Progyny Inc.

    PGNY Misc. Commercial Services

    $31.21

    $55.57

    78%

    100%

    -38%

    Coherent Corp.

    COHR Electronic Equipment/ Instruments

    $35.41

    $60.56

    71%

    84%

    -48%

    Exelixis Inc.

    EXEL Biotechnology

    $16.08

    $26.07

    62%

    81%

    -12%

    Darling Ingredients Inc.

    DAR Food: Specialty/ Candy

    $61.17

    $97.36

    59%

    93%

    -12%

    Perrigo Co. PLC

    PRGO Pharmaceuticals

    $31.83

    $49.25

    55%

    100%

    -18%

    Mattel Inc.

    MAT Recreational Products

    $17.39

    $26.58

    53%

    87%

    -19%

    ACI Worldwide Inc.

    ACIW Software

    $20.75

    $31.40

    51%

    83%

    -40%

    Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.

    MODG Recreational Products

    $21.99

    $32.91

    50%

    83%

    -20%

    Dycom Industries Inc.

    DY Engineering and Construction

    $86.03

    $128.13

    49%

    100%

    -8%

    Travel + Leisure Co.

    TNL Hotels/ Resorts/ Cruiselines

    $37.98

    $56.00

    47%

    75%

    -31%

    Frontier Communications Parent Inc.

    FYBR Telecommunications

    $25.21

    $36.18

    44%

    82%

    -15%

    Manhattan Associates Inc.

    MANH Software

    $120.06

    $171.80

    43%

    88%

    -23%

    MP Materials Corp Class A

    MP Other Metals/ Minerals

    $31.39

    $44.79

    43%

    92%

    -31%

    Lumentum Holdings Inc.

    LITE Electrical Products

    $54.45

    $76.44

    40%

    76%

    -49%

    Tenet Healthcare Corp.

    THC Hospital/ Nursing Management

    $44.22

    $62.00

    40%

    80%

    -46%

    Repligen Corp.

    RGEN Pharmaceuticals

    $166.88

    $233.10

    40%

    82%

    -37%

    STAAR Surgical Co.

    STAA Medical Specialties

    $59.57

    $82.67

    39%

    82%

    -35%

    Carlisle Cos. Inc.

    CSL Building Products

    $251.99

    $348.33

    38%

    75%

    2%

    Source: FactSet

    Wall Street’s favorite small-cap names

    Among companies in the S&P Small Cap 600 Index, 91 are rated “buy” or the equivalent by at least 75% of analysts. Here are the 20 with the highest 12-month upside potential indicated by consensus price targets:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    UniQure NV

    QURE Biotechnology

    $22.99

    $51.29

    123%

    95%

    11%

    Cara Therapeutics Inc.

    CARA Biotechnology

    $11.34

    $23.63

    108%

    88%

    -7%

    Vir Biotechnology Inc.

    VIR Biotechnology

    $25.50

    $53.00

    108%

    75%

    -39%

    Dynavax Technologies Corp.

    DVAX Biotechnology

    $11.22

    $23.20

    107%

    100%

    -20%

    Thryv Holdings Inc.

    THRY Advertising/ Marketing Services

    $18.40

    $36.75

    100%

    100%

    -55%

    Artivion Inc.

    AORT Medical Specialties

    $12.93

    $23.13

    79%

    83%

    -36%

    Cytokinetics Inc.

    CYTK Pharmaceuticals

    $38.33

    $67.43

    76%

    100%

    -16%

    Harsco Corp.

    HSC Environmental Services

    $7.17

    $12.30

    72%

    80%

    -57%

    Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc.

    LGND Pharmaceuticals

    $64.80

    $110.83

    71%

    100%

    -35%

    Corcept Therapeutics Inc.

    CORT Pharmaceuticals

    $20.84

    $34.20

    64%

    80%

    5%

    Payoneer Global Inc.

    PAYO Misc. Commercial Services

    $5.70

    $9.33

    64%

    100%

    -22%

    Xencor Inc.

    XNCR Biotechnology

    $28.69

    $46.71

    63%

    93%

    -28%

    Pacira Biosciences Inc.

    PCRX Pharmaceuticals

    $45.50

    $72.90

    60%

    80%

    -24%

    BioLife Solutions Inc.

    BLFS Chemicals

    $19.72

    $31.38

    59%

    89%

    -47%

    Customers Bancorp Inc.

    CUBI Regional Banks

    $30.00

    $47.63

    59%

    75%

    -54%

    ModivCare Inc.

    MODV Other Transportation

    $92.22

    $145.83

    58%

    100%

    -38%

    Stride Inc.

    LRN Consumer Services

    $32.56

    $51.25

    57%

    100%

    -2%

    Ranger Oil Corp. Class A

    ROCC Oil and Gas Production

    $36.98

    $58.00

    57%

    100%

    37%

    Outfront Media Inc.

    OUT Real Estate Investment Trusts

    $17.59

    $27.00

    53%

    83%

    -34%

    Walker & Dunlop Inc.

    WD Finance/ Rental/ Leasing

    $82.22

    $125.20

    52%

    100%

    -46%

    Source: FactSet

    The Dow

    Here are all 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average ranked by how much analysts expect their prices to rise over the next year:

    Company

    Ticker

    Industry

    Closing price – Dec. 12

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    Share “buy” ratings

    Price change – 2022 through Dec. 12

    Salesforce Inc.

    CRM Software

    $133.11

    $195.59

    47%

    80%

    -48%

    Walt Disney Co.

    DIS Movies/ Entertainment

    $94.66

    $119.60

    26%

    82%

    -39%

    Apple Inc.

    AAPL Telecommunications Equipment

    $144.49

    $173.70

    20%

    74%

    -19%

    Verizon Communications Inc.

    VZ Telecommunications

    $37.95

    $44.60

    18%

    21%

    -27%

    Visa Inc. Class A

    V Misc.s Commercial Services

    $214.59

    $249.33

    16%

    86%

    -1%

    Microsoft Corp.

    MSFT Software

    $252.51

    $293.06

    16%

    91%

    -25%

    Chevron Corp.

    CVX Integrated Oil

    $169.75

    $191.20

    13%

    54%

    45%

    Cisco Systems Inc.

    CSCO Information Technology Services

    $49.30

    $53.76

    9%

    44%

    -22%

    UnitedHealth Group Inc.

    UNH Managed Health Care

    $545.86

    $593.30

    9%

    85%

    9%

    Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

    GS Investment Banks/ Brokers

    $363.18

    $392.63

    8%

    59%

    -5%

    Walmart Inc.

    WMT Specialty Stores

    $148.02

    $159.86

    8%

    72%

    2%

    JPMorgan Chase & Co.

    JPM Banks

    $134.21

    $143.84

    7%

    59%

    -15%

    Home Depot Inc.

    HD Home Improvement Chains

    $327.98

    $346.61

    6%

    61%

    -21%

    American Express Co.

    AXP Finance/ Rental/ Leasing

    $157.31

    $164.57

    5%

    43%

    -4%

    McDonald’s Corp.

    MCD Restaurants

    $276.62

    $288.67

    4%

    72%

    3%

    Johnson & Johnson

    JNJ Pharmaceuticals

    $177.84

    $185.35

    4%

    36%

    4%

    Coca-Cola Co.

    KO Beverages: Non-Alcoholic

    $63.97

    $66.62

    4%

    73%

    8%

    Boeing Co.

    BA Aerospace and Defense

    $186.27

    $192.69

    3%

    77%

    -7%

    Intel Corp.

    INTC Semiconductors

    $28.69

    $29.54

    3%

    13%

    -44%

    Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.

    WBA Drugstore Chains

    $41.06

    $42.24

    3%

    17%

    -21%

    Merck & Co. Inc.

    MRK Pharmaceuticals

    $108.97

    $110.62

    2%

    65%

    42%

    Caterpillar Inc.

    CAT Trucks/ Construction/ Farm Machinery

    $233.06

    $236.23

    1%

    41%

    13%

    Honeywell International Inc.

    HON Aerospace and Defense

    $214.50

    $217.35

    1%

    54%

    3%

    Nike Inc. Class B

    NKE Apparel/ Footwear

    $112.07

    $112.58

    0%

    64%

    -33%

    3M Co.

    MMM Industrial Conglomerates

    $126.85

    $127.30

    0%

    5%

    -29%

    Procter & Gamble Co.

    PG Household/ Personal Care

    $152.47

    $150.22

    -1%

    59%

    -7%

    Travelers Companies Inc.

    TRV Multi-Line Insurance

    $187.11

    $184.24

    -2%

    18%

    20%

    Amgen Inc.

    AMGN Biotechnology

    $276.78

    $264.79

    -4%

    24%

    23%

    Dow Inc.

    DOW Chemicals

    $51.11

    $48.73

    -5%

    15%

    -10%

    International Business Machines Corp.

    IBM Information Technology Services

    $149.21

    $140.29

    -6%

    33%

    12%

    Source: FactSet

    Don’t miss: 10 Dividend Aristocrat stocks expected by analysts to rise up to 54% in 2023

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  • Oracle’s Cloud Business Is Still Growing

    Oracle’s Cloud Business Is Still Growing

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    Oracle


    shares were moving higher late Monday after the company posted better-than-expected financial results for its latest quarter. The enterprise software giant continued to see success in shifting more of its business to the cloud during the period.

    “Simply put, we had an outstanding quarter,” Oracle CEO Safra Catz said on a call with analysts. “More and more customers are recognizing our second generation infrastructure cloud as being better architected for higher performance, better security and unmatched reliability” than other cloud providers.

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  • Oracle stock rises as earnings and revenue beat, but forecast is still to come

    Oracle stock rises as earnings and revenue beat, but forecast is still to come

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    Oracle Corp. topped Wall Street’s expectations for profit and revenue in its most recent quarter, though the software company is still expected to issue a forecast that could be more fraught.

    Oracle
    ORCL,
    +1.78%

    on Monday reported fiscal second-quarter net income of $1.74 billion, or 63 cents a share, on revenue of $12.28 billion, up from $10.36 billion a year ago. After adjusting for stock-based compensation and other costs, Oracle reported earnings of $1.21 a share, even with the same quarter a year ago.

    Analysts on average expected adjusted earnings of $1.17 a share on sales of $11.96 billion, according to FactSet. Oracle shares gained nearly 3% in after-hours trading immediately after the results were announced, following a 1.8% increase to $81.29 in regular trading.

    Oracle executives did not provide guidance for the fiscal third quarter in Monday’s announcement, but Chief Executive Safra Catz does typically provide a forecast in their conference call, which is scheduled for 5 p.m. Eastern time. Those numbers are likely to affect earnings more than the results, as concerns about an increasing slowdown in business spending have rocked a swath of software companies in recent weeks.

    “We believe the darkest days of this downturn are ahead of us,” Monness Crespi Hardt analyst Brian J. White wrote in a preview of Oracle results, later adding that “results across Big Tech, the leading public clouds, and the enterprise software complex paint an increasingly concerning picture for the software world heading into 2023.”

    Oracle stock has outperformed the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    +1.43%

    since executives hosted an event for financial analysts and investors in October, with shares gaining 4.8% in the past three months while the larger index fell 3.9%. Oracle executives promised to grow adjusted earnings by more than 10% every year as revenue growth accelerates, after years of stagnant sales growth led to large share repurchases and constant cuts to improve the software company’s bottom line.

    Oracle is experiencing strong revenue growth thanks to the acquisition of healthcare-focused company Cerner, a $28 billion deal that closed in June. There are hopes for organic growth as well, though, as Oracle’s cloud-computing effort starts to show fruit, including winning part of a recent Defense Department contract after suing to halt an earlier version of that award.

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  • FTC sues to block Microsoft’s $69 billion acquisition of game giant Activision Blizzard

    FTC sues to block Microsoft’s $69 billion acquisition of game giant Activision Blizzard

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    The Federal Trade Commission on Thursday sued Microsoft Corp. to block its $69 billion deal to buy Activision Blizzard Inc.

    The acquisition, which would be Microsoft’s
    MSFT,
    +1.07%

    largest and the biggest ever in the video gaming industry, would “enable Microsoft to suppress competitors to its Xbox gaming consoles and its rapidly growing subscription content and cloud-gaming business,” the FTC claimed.

    “Microsoft has already shown that it can and will withhold content from its gaming rivals,” Holly Vedova, director of the FTC’s Bureau of Competition, said in a statement. “Today we seek to stop Microsoft from gaining control over a leading independent game studio and using it to harm competition in multiple dynamic and fast-growing gaming markets.”

    FTC members pointed to Microsoft’s record of “acquiring and using valuable gaming content to suppress competition from rival consoles,” including its acquisition of ZeniMax, parent company of Bethesda Softworks.

    Microsoft President Brad Smith indicated the software giant will fight the lawsuit. In a statement, he said Microsoft has “been committed since Day One to addressing competition concerns.”

    “While we believed in giving peace a chance, we have complete confidence in our case and welcome the opportunity to present our case in court,” Smith said.

    Activision CEO Bobby Kotick, in a statement, said the suit “sounds alarming, so I want to reinforce my confidence that this deal will close. The allegation that this deal is anti-competitive doesn’t align with the facts, and we believe we’ll win this challenge.”

    Still, In recent weeks Microsoft has taken steps to demonstrate to regulators its acquisition of Activision would not give it an unfair advantage in the gaming market. On Tuesday, Microsoft said it would bring the “Call of Duty” franchise to Nintendo Co.’s
    7974,
    -1.31%

    Switch, a rival of Microsoft Xbox, and Microsoft has said it would make Call of Duty available on rival Sony Group Corp.’s
    SONY,
    -0.06%

    PlayStation.

    “It’s a bad idea,” Geoffrey Manne, president of the International Center for Law and Economics, said of the FTC’s lawsuit vs. Microsoft. “There may be markets in which some activities of some of these large tech companies cause concerns, but when they are expanding into new markets or enhancing competition in markets where they aren’t leaders, we should be encouraging them, not threatening them with lawsuits.”

    The government’s action in administrative court marks the first serious regulatory threat to Microsoft’s business in more than two decades, when the Justice Department brought a landmark antitrust lawsuit against the software giant that took years and was settled in 2002. Since then, Microsoft had sidestepped antitrust scrutiny and Smith in particular has focused the glare on its tech rivals Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    +2.24%
    ,
    Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +1.19%
    ,
    Alphabet Inc.’s
    GOOGL,
    -0.94%

     
    GOOG,
    -0.89%

    Google, and Facebook parent company Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +1.26%
    .

    Read more: Microsoft’s shadowy presence in antitrust push is angering the rest of Big Tech

    Shares of Microsoft are up 1% in trading Thursday. Activision’s
    ATVI,
    -1.33%

    stock is down 1.5%.

    The FTC’s lawsuit comes the same day it is heading to court in San Jose, Calif., in what is expected to be a three-week trial to bloc Meta’s $300 million acquisition of VR fitness app maker Within.

    The trial is likely to showcase an intriguing look at the agency’s ability to stifle alleged anticompetitive conduct using largely untested legal theories at a time when Congress is sitting on tech antitrust legislation.

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  • Microsoft to bring ‘Call of Duty’ to Nintendo if Activision merger approved

    Microsoft to bring ‘Call of Duty’ to Nintendo if Activision merger approved

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    Microsoft Corp. said late Tuesday it has made a “10-year commitment” to bring the massively popular “Call of Duty” videogame series to Nintendo Co. consoles, when — and if — its merger with Activision Blizzard Inc. is completed.

    In a tweet late Tuesday night, Xbox head Phil Spencer announced the deal. “Microsoft is committed to helping bring more games to more people – however they choose to play,” he said, adding: “I’m also pleased to confirm that Microsoft has committed to continue to offer Call of Duty on @Steam simultaneously to Xbox after we have closed the merger with Activision Blizzard King.”

    Microsoft is awaiting federal approval of its $68.7 billion acquisition of Activision.

    A deal to share one of Activision’s
    ATVI,
    -0.29%

    most lucrative videogame titles could appease some antitrust concerns from regulators. Spencer told Bloomberg News that a similar offer had been extended to rival Sony Corp.
    SONY,
    -2.62%

    for its PlayStation consoles, but said that offer had so far been rebuffed.

    A “Call of Duty” title has not been available on Nintendo since 2013.

    In an interview with the Washington Post published Tuesday, Spencer said there was no Nintendo “Call of Duty” release date set yet, but that if the merger closes — it has a June 2023 target date — future “Call of Duty” games would be released for all platforms at once. “Once we get into the rhythm of this, our plan would be that when [a Call of Duty game] launches on PlayStation, Xbox, and PC, that it would also be available on Nintendo at the same time,” he told the Post.

    Nintendo shares
    7974,
    +0.33%

    rose slightly in Tokyo trading following the news. Microsoft shares
    MSFT,
    -2.03%

    fell Monday, and are down 17% year to date, compared to the S&P 500’s
    SPX,
    -1.44%

    17% decline this year.

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  • $3,000 gold and more outrageous market predictions investors shouldn’t brush aside.

    $3,000 gold and more outrageous market predictions investors shouldn’t brush aside.

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    Monday served as another smackdown for investors who are banking on a Goldilocks economy and a less aggressive Fed.

    Some are now not ruling out a Grinch-like turn from the central bank — a 0.75% hike next week instead of the 0.50% markets have been pinning hopes on — following strong data on services, jobs and wages.

    It all goes along with the theme of 2022 — expect the unexpected. The relief of moving out of a crippling pandemic was quickly replaced by the biggest war on Europe’s shores in decades, that sparked worldwide inflation surges.

    What comes next is anyone’s guess and that brings us to our call of the day via Saxo Bank’s annual “Outrageous Predictions” for 2023.

    While some of these will sound crazy, note that the Saxo team, led by Chief Investment Officer Steen Jakobsen, have nailed a few wild prophecies in the past decade. Those include: a Brexit prediction in 2015, a 25% drop for the S&P 500 from its 2007 high in 2008, a tripling of Bitcoin’s value forecast in 2017.

    The focus for 2023’s prediction is that “a return to the disinflationary prepandemic dynamic is impossible because we have entered into a global war economy, with every major power across the world now scrambling to shore up their national security on all fronts; whether in an actual military sense, or due to profound supply-chain, energy and even financial insecurities that have been laid bare by the pandemic experience and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine,” says Jakobsen.

    As for those predictions, here we go:

    • Gold crosses $2,075 then rockets to $3,000 on unstoppable inflation. “Fed policy tightening and quantitative tightening drives a new snag in U.S. treasury markets that forces new sneaky ‘measures’ to contain Treasury market volatility that really amounts to new de facto quantitative easing,” says Saxo. And China’s end of zero-COVID drives up demand, commodity prices and inflation.

    • Widespread price controls to cap official inflation due to war economy mentality. “In 2023, expect broadening price and even wage controls, maybe even something like a new National Board for Prices and Incomes being established in the U.K. and the U.S.,” said Saxo. Market fallout? Fuel for gold’s
      GC00,
      +0.19%

      climb.

    • There’s a new reserve asset in town. Non U.S.-allied countries move away from the U.S. and IMF to create an “international clearing union (ICU) and a new reserve asset, called the Bancor (currency code KEY)” that borrows from economist John Maynard Keynes idea of resisting U.S. power over the international monetary system. Nonaligned central banks slash U.S. dollar reserves, Treasury yields soar and the dollar
      DXY,
      +0.09%

      drops 25% against a basket of currencies that trade with Bancor.

    • Japan pegs USDJPY to 200. Pressure intensifies on the already weak yen
      USDJPY,
      +0.04%

      into 2023 as currency intervention fails and inflation soars. The government resets the financial system, erasing all debt, recapitalizing banks, as trillions of yen return to Japan shores. But the yen still weakens by year-end.

    • A $10 trillion-dollar Manhattan project. A team of major tech leaders form a mega research-and-development effort for energy infrastructure and ground-breaking technologies — the Third Stone. Companies tied to the project soar in an overall weak environment for investing.

    • Tax haven ban kills private equity. The OECD launches a full ban on the biggest tax havens in the world in 2023 and in the U.S., carried interest tax as capital gains is shifted to ordinary income. It’s a body blow for private equity and venture capital — the valuation of publicly listed private-equity firms fall 50%.

    The rest of their predictions are here, such as the formation of an EU Armed Forces in 2023 and an “UnBrexit” referendum.

    Read: Why Monday’s stock-market rout should be a wake up call for investors

    The markets

    MarketWatch

    Stocks
    DJIA,
    -0.96%

     
    SPX,
    -1.40%

     
    COMP,
    -1.77%

    are drifting into the red, with Treasury yields
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.571%

     
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    4.395%

    steady, the dollar
    DXY,
    +0.09%

    lower and oil
    CL.1,
    -3.43%

     
    BRN00,
    -3.73%

    also down.

    For more market updates plus actionable trade ideas for stocks, options and crypto, subscribe to MarketDiem by Investor’s Business Daily.

    The buzz

    BioVie stock
    BIVI,
    -18.43%

    is climbing after positive results from the clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company on a drug for Parkinson’s and Alzheimer’s.

    NRG Energy
    NRG,
    -15.79%

    agreed to buy Vivint Smart Home
    VVNT,
    +32.31%

    in a $5.2 billion deal. Vivint shares are soaring.

    MEI Pharma
    MEIP,
    -33.52%

    shares are tumbing after drugmaker said it would stop developing cancer treatment zandelisib outside of Japan and announces job cuts. Herbalife shares
    HLF,
    -18.85%

    are down 10% after an offering of convertible notes 

    Powell Industries
    POWL,
    +19.11%

    stock is up 9% after the electrical equipment maker’s well-received results and new orders. Within software Sumo Logic
    SUMO,
    +11.65%

    and GitLab shares
    GTLB,
    +5.71%

    are surging on upbeat results and forecasts.

    Layoffs extending beyond tech? PepsiCo 
    PEP,
    -0.86%

    is reportedly cutting hundreds of workers at its North American headquarters.

    Home builder Toll Brothers
    TOL,
    -1.56%

    will report results after the close.

    The October trade deficit jumped 5.4% to $78,2 billion.

    The U.S. and EU are reportedly considering fresh steel and aluminum tariffs on China to fight carbon emissions.

    Best of the web

    “Nothing to be glad about.” An empty, lonely and cold formerly occupied Ukraine city.

    Morocco’s World Cup team leans on its secret weapon of parents in the stands.

    Why human composting could be the next big thing.

    The chart

    Headed into the holidays, consumers are using savings and credit, says a team of Jefferies analysts led by Corey Tarlowe. “The savings rate continues to trend lower and credit card balances are growing +15% Y/Y. We believe these trends indicate that the consumer is stretched.”

    Against this backdrop, they like Costco
    COST,
    -1.34%
    ,
    Dollar General
    DG,
    -1.52%
    ,
    Target
    TGT,
    +0.13%

    and Walmart
    WMT,
    -0.98%
    .


    FactSet/Jefferies

    The tickers

    These were the top-searched tickers on MarketWatch at 6 a.m.:

    Ticker

    Security name

    TSLA,
    -2.00%
    Tesla

    GME,
    -5.32%
    GameStop

    AMC,
    -9.00%
    AMC Entertainment

    NIO,
    +2.37%
    NIO

    BBBY,
    -8.86%
    Bed Bath & Beyond

    AAPL,
    -1.83%
    Apple

    APE,
    -5.40%
    AMC Entertainment Holdings preferred shares

    COSM,
    -17.49%
    Cosmos

    AMZN,
    -2.26%
    Amazon.com

    MULN,
    -3.08%
    Mullen Automotive

    Random reads

    Tributes pour after “Cheers” star Kirstie Alley dies at 71.

    Happy 190th birthday to the world’s oldest tortoise.

    A green Grinchy dog for Christmas? Not everyone’s heart grew three sizes.

    Need to Know starts early and is updated until the opening bell, but sign up here to get it delivered once to your email box. The emailed version will be sent out at about 7:30 a.m. Eastern.

    Listen to the Best New Ideas in Money podcast with MarketWatch reporter Charles Passy and economist Stephanie Kelton

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  • Apple, Alibaba, NIO, and More Stock Market Movers Monday

    Apple, Alibaba, NIO, and More Stock Market Movers Monday

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    Stock futures traded lower Monday as investors remained keyed on interest rate policy from the Federal Reserve and as a surge in China stocks over a loosening of Covid-19 restrictions in the country failed to boost U.S. equities.

    Here are some stocks that could make moves Monday:

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  • Apple Makes Plans to Move Production Out of China

    Apple Makes Plans to Move Production Out of China

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    In recent weeks, Apple Inc. has accelerated plans to shift some of its production outside China, long the dominant country in the supply chain that built the world’s most valuable company, say people involved in the discussions. It is telling suppliers to plan more actively for assembling Apple products elsewhere in Asia, particularly India and Vietnam, they say, and looking to reduce dependence on Taiwanese assemblers led by Foxconn Technology Group. 

    Turmoil at a place called iPhone City helped propel Apple’s shift. At the giant city-within-a-city in Zhengzhou, China, as many as 300,000 workers work at a factory run by Foxconn to make iPhones and other Apple products. At one point, it alone made about 85% of the Pro lineup of iPhones, according to market-research firm Counterpoint Research. 

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  • Okta CEO promises profit for all of next year — ‘The problem was never that we didn’t have talented sales people’

    Okta CEO promises profit for all of next year — ‘The problem was never that we didn’t have talented sales people’

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    Okta Inc. executives on Wednesday said they will report an adjusted profit in the fourth quarter and, in a surprise, predicted profitability for all of next fiscal year, trumping profit concerns stemming from recent sales-operation issues.

    For the fourth quarter, Okta
    OKTA,
    +4.04%

    guided for adjusted earnings of 9 cents to 10 cents a share on revenue of $488 million to $490 million. Analysts, on average, were expecting an adjusted loss of 12 cents a share on sales of $488.3 million, according to FactSet.

    In a surprise announcement during the conference call, Chief Financial Officer Brett Tighe revealed a full forecast for fiscal 2024 as well. Most software companies shy away from such practices amid uncertainty about macroeconomic conditions. He said Okta executives are aiming for adjusted profits for the full year on revenue of $2.13 billion to $2.15 billion. Analysts on average expected adjusted losses of 30 cents a share on sales of $2.3 billion, beating profit projections widely but also missing sales expectations by more than $100 million.

    Shares rallied as much as 18% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of the results, but those gains noticeably pared back to a steady 12% level after Tighe announced the outlook to analysts on the call. They have fallen 76% so far this year, compared with a 27% decline by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP,
    +4.41%
    .

    In an exclusive interview with MarketWatch ahead of the company’s conference call, Okta Chief Executive and co-founder Todd McKinnon said the company is not providing any forecasts past 2024 because of uncertainty in the macro environment.

    “We’re thinking a pretty conservative assumption that the macro is going to get worse before it gets better, so that’s definitely factored into the guide,” McKinnon told MarketWatch.

    On a more positive note, McKinnon said sales-rep attrition has been the lowest it has been in the past several quarters, following a spike last quarter. Okta also announced that Susan St. Ledger, the president of worldwide field operations, is retiring and McKinnon will take over her duties on an interim basis.

    “What we’ve done over the last six months is what a lot of companies are doing, slowing hiring, re-evaluating real estate, doubling down on the things we know are high value. And some of the things that are maybe less value we’re doing less of, so that’s where we see the profitability come from,” McKinnon told MarketWatch.

    Much of that comes from addressing the company’s struggle in combining Okta’s salesforce with sales reps acquired in the May 2021 acquisition of identity-platform Auth0 (pronounced “Auth Zero”), which is more focused on direct-to-user sales than Okta’s corporate focus.

    “The problem was never that we didn’t have talented sales people,” McKinnon told MarketWatch. “The problem is that we didn’t enable them and clarify things with them.”

    In-depth: Okta CEO says ‘short-term challenges’ resulted in workers leaving at a higher rate

    “We still have work to do,” McKinnon said. “We don’t think we’ve solved it after one quarter of a positive trend but I do think it’s progress.”

    “The biggest factor: We’ve really done a much better job clarifying the products and the positioning and saying we have two clouds: We have Workforce Identity Cloud and Customer Identity Cloud and it’s very clear what to sell when,” he said.

    Okta reported a third-quarter loss of $208.9 million, or $1.32 a share, compared with a loss of $221.3 million, or $1.44 a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for stock-based compensation expenses and other items, the company reported break-even results on a per-share basis, compared with a loss of 7 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $481.4 million from $350.7 million in the year-ago quarter.

    Analysts had forecast an adjusted loss of 24 cents a share on revenue of $465.4 million, based on the company’s forecast for a loss of 24 cents to 25 cents a share on sales of $463 million to $465 million.

    For the current year, Okta forecast an adjusted loss of 27 cents to 26 cents a share on revenue of about $1.84 billion, compared with the Street’s forecast of 73 cents a share on revenue of $1.82 billion.

    So far in November, cloud software stocks have been getting trashed. While the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +3.09%

    has gained 5.4%, and the Nasdaq has advanced 4.4%, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
    IGV,
    +4.39%

    has risen 1.6%, the Global X Cloud Computing ETF
    CLOU,
    +6.00%

    has ticked up 0.8%, the First Trust Cloud Computing ETF
    SKYY,
    +4.54%

    has fallen 2%, and the WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund
    WCLD,
    +4.99%

    has dropped 6.9%.

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