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Tag: Computer Services

  • Intel stock drops nearly 10% after earnings miss, execs predict quarterly loss as data-center market shrinks

    Intel stock drops nearly 10% after earnings miss, execs predict quarterly loss as data-center market shrinks

    Intel Corp. shares dropped more than 9% in the extended session Thursday after the chip maker reported a big miss for the fourth quarter, forecast a loss for the first quarter, said the data-center market was contracting and that inventory digestion will gnaw at margins.

    Intel
    INTC,
    +1.31%
    executives forecast an adjusted loss of 15 cents a share on revenue of about $10.5 billion to $11.5 billion and adjusted gross margins of about 39% for the current quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had estimated adjusted first-quarter earnings of 25 cents a share on revenue of $13.93 billion.

    Chief Executive Pat Gelsinger told analysts on a conference call he would not provide a 2023 forecast. Gelsinger restricted the outlook to the current quarter, citing macro uncertainties, a digestion of PC inventory that was “difficult” to forecast and a contracting data-center market. In the fourth quarter, AI group sales dropped 33% to $4.3 billion, while the Street expected revenue of $4.08 billion.

    “We expect Q1 server consumption [total addressable market] to decline both sequentially and year-over-year at an accelerated rate, with first-half 2023 server consumption TAM down year-on-year before returning to growth in the second half,” Gelsinger said.

    Chief Financial Officer David Zinsner told analysts that the company will institute an accounting change in the first quarter, where Intel will extend the useful life of their machinery to eight years from a current five years. Gelsinger said that Intel was going to “squeeze” its effective capacity.

    While Zinsner would not give a full-year outlook, he did say that continued inventory digestion should be weighted to the first half of the year.

    Pressed on how Intel could get back to the 51% to 53% margins range he promised a year ago, Zinsner said a “significant inventory burn” on PC inventory would hit gross margins by 400 basis points in the first quarter. Gross margins for the fourth quarter dropped to 43.8% from 55.8% a year ago, and from 45.9% in the third quarter.

    Intel reported a fourth-quarter loss of $664 million, or 16 cents a share, versus net income of $4.62 billion, or $1.13 a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for restructuring charges and other items, Intel reported earnings of 10 cents a share, compared with $1.13 a share from a year ago.

    Revenue declined to $14.04 billion from $20.52 billion in the year-ago quarter, for a 10th straight quarter of year-over-year declines.

    Analysts surveyed by FactSet estimated earnings of 21 cents a share on revenue of $14.49 billion, based on Intel’s forecast of 20 cents a share on about $14 billion to $15 billion.

    Intel shares fell 9% in after-hours trading, after closing the regular session up 1.3% at $30.09. Other chip stocks also declined, including top rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +0.33%    ,
    which saw shares drop more than 3% in after-hours trading, and Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +2.48%    ,
    which declined 2%.

    Breaking down divisions: Client-computing sales fell 36% to $6.6 billion from a year ago; “network and edge” sales slipped 1% to $2.1 billion; and foundry services revenue rose 30% to $319 million.

    Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected revenue from client computing to come in at $7.36 billion; “network and edge” revenue of $2.23 billion; and foundry services revenue of $199.1 million.

    Over the past 12 months, Intel stock has fallen 43%. Over the same period, the Dow Jones Industrial Average 
    DJIA,
    +0.61%
     — which counts Intel as a component — has slipped 1%, the PHLX Semiconductor Index 
    SOX,
    +1.63%
     has dropped 13%, the S&P 500 index 
    SPX,
    +1.10%
     has declined 7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index 
    COMP,
    +6.59%
     has dropped 15%.

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  • U.S. stocks climb as GDP report shows economy taking Fed’s rate hikes in stride

    U.S. stocks climb as GDP report shows economy taking Fed’s rate hikes in stride

    U.S. stocks opened higher on Thursday as optimism over Tesla’s earnings results and a stronger-than-expected GDP report left investors in a better mood following Wednesday’s intraday selloff.

    How are stocks trading
    • The S&P 500
      SPX,
      +0.40%
      rose by 34 points, or 0.8%, to 4,049.

    • Dow Jones Industrial Average
      DJIA,
      +0.05%
      gained 145 points, or 0.4%, to 33,889.

    • Nasdaq Composite
      COMP,
      +0.89%
      advanced 174 points, or 1.5%, to 11,487.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished Wednesday’s session up 10 points after falling roughly 400 points at the lows earlier in the session. The S&P 500 finished little-changed after erasing its early losses, while the Nasdaq ended lower.

    What’s driving markets

    Stocks opened higher after a flurry of economic data including a fourth quarter GDP report that came in stronger than expected, but the focus was on the latest batch of earnings, which helped to revive investors’ optimism following disappointing guidance from Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    +1.35%
    earlier in the week.

    The economy grew at a robust 2.9% annual pace to close out 2022, according to the first estimate of fourth quarter GDP, released Thursday morning — the latest sign that the U.S. economy is holding up well despite the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest-rate hikes.

    “Thursday’s GDP report suggests that the economy is relatively strong even in the face of aggressive measures by the Federal Reserve to calm inflation,” said Carol Schleif, chief investment officer, BMO Family Office, in emailed commentary.

    Stocks rose after the data were released as investors found solace in the latest signs that a soft landing for the U.S. economy — a scenario where growth slows, but a recession is avoided — remains possible, or even likely.

    “This is a bit of a relief rally,” said Christopher Zook, chairman and chief investment officer of CAZ Investments.

    However, corporate earnings and guidance are still the primary concern for investors, along with expectations about when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, Zook said.

    The labor market also showed signs of strength despite more reports of layoffs in the tech, finance and media spaces, as the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to their lowest level since April. Investors also digested durable goods orders for December. New home sales for December will be published at 10 a.m. ET.

    Investors also celebrated a surge in Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    +9.64%
    shares premarket after the firm released well-received results that showed record quarterly profits.

    Disappointing guidance from technology behemoth Microsoft had clobbered stocks on Wednesday as traders worried it signaled not just difficulties for the sector but also broadly worsening economic conditions.

    However, before the end of Wednesday’s session, Microsoft shares had recovered most of their 4.5% loss and the S&P 500 finished the session almost exactly where it began, according to data from FactSet.

    As for the Federal Reserve, the central bank is expected to slow the pace of interest rate hikes when it next week raises its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%.

    Companies announcing results on Thursday include: McDonald’s
    MCD,
    -0.28%    ,
    Intel
    INTC,
    -0.34%    ,
    Comcast
    CMCSA,
    +0.86%    ,
    Visa
    V,
    +0.15%    ,
    Dow
    DOW,
    -1.16%    ,
    Whirl pool
    WHR,
    -0.91%    ,
    Western Digital
    WDC,
    +3.72%
    and Northrop Grumman
    NOC,
    -0.90%    .

    Companies in focus

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  • Microsoft Posts Earnings Beat On Solid Cloud Results, But Guidance Disappoints

    Microsoft Posts Earnings Beat On Solid Cloud Results, But Guidance Disappoints



    Microsoft


    posted better-than-expected results for the December quarter, driven by strength in cloud computing. But the strong results were tempered by disappointing guidance for the March quarter.

    While the company saw weakness in its PC software business, Microsoft (ticker: MSFT) posted solid results in cloud computing and enterprise applications. In particular, the Azure public cloud business beat Wall Street growth estimates, which is a relief to investors nervous about the outlook for corporate IT spending.

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  • CES 2023: AMD, Nvidia, auto applications get the hype, but analysts say this one chip maker ruled

    CES 2023: AMD, Nvidia, auto applications get the hype, but analysts say this one chip maker ruled

    As CES 2023 draws to a close, much of the attention in the chip world was lauded on companies like Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Nvidia Corp. but a lower profile chip maker appears better positioned coming out of the convention.

    Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore said there’s still a lot of caution about overall chip demand especially with softness in China, but autos appear to be one of the strong themes of CES 2023, he said.

    “The areas that have been weak remain somewhat weaker – notably memory, semi cap, and generally PC and cloud builds – while the markets that have been strong (such as automotive and industrial) remain strong but with lead times clearly starting to normalize, which likely points to longer term revenue pressures particularly in a weaker economy,” Moore said.

    “Still, the longer term themes remain positive, especially for autos (which is increasingly the focus of CES),around themes such as EVs, ADAS and autonomous.”

    Such was the case when Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +4.16%
     said on Tuesday it was partnering with Hon Hai Technology Group
    2317,
    +0.41%
     , or Foxconn, best known for being the manufacturer of Apple Inc.’s
    AAPL,
    +3.68%
    iPhone, to make electric vehicles that use Nvidia’s Drive Orin chips and sensors, and bringing its GeForce Now streaming video game service to autos made by Hyundai Motor Group
    005380,
    +0.31%    ,
    BYD
    1211,
    -2.60%    ,
    and Swedish EV maker Polestar.

    “We generally think that Nvidia numbers are likely OK from here, though there was some caution on sell through in China for gaming, and a clear awareness that while the company’s position within cloud is very good, that pressure in cloud budgets leads to somewhat lower visibility,” Moore said. “But we would say that generally we think that they are past the worst of the pressures in their business, in contrast to most of the semiconductor group where there are still likely numbers cuts ahead.”

    Meanwhile, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +2.62%
    used the CES keynote to introduce the Instinct MI300 chip as “world’s first data-center integrated CPU + GPU.” The  combined central processing unit and graphics processing unit meant for AI inference, the months-long process where data centers spend millions of dollars a year on electricity to train and develop artificial intelligence. AMD Chief Executive and Chair Lisa Su said the MI300 can reduce the time it takes for an inference modeling process from months to weeks.

    But one chip maker that doesn’t get a lot of attention appeared to emerge from CES best positioned for the year: ON Semiconductor Corp.
    ON,
    +4.57%    ,
    which focuses on electric vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems as primary growth drivers, leveraging its legacy position in auto chips.

    “Most notably, the company’s push into [Silicon Carbide] remains on track, and expect to still exit the year at a run-rate where the majority of crystal driving the business is internally sourced,” Moore said. “The company remains confident that demand in the EV space will far outpace supply for a long time and have thus shifted their focus over to execution on the production side.”

    Citi Research analyst Christopher Danley lauded ON as being the most bullish chip maker of CES 2023.

    “ON remains on track to triple Silicon Carbide revenue YoY from roughly $300 million in 2022 to $1.0 billion in 2023,” Danley said. “The company stated it is sold out through 2023.”

    But ON aside, Danley said everyone at CES is “nervous” about “cracks” in data-center demand, “and they should be.”

    “There was a tone of nervousness on the data center outlook with many execs and investors cautious and talking about ‘uncertainty’ in data center outlooks from both hyperscalers and enterprise customers,” Danley said. “We continue to believe data center correction will happen given a multitude of datapoints and leading indicators.”

    Back in early December, Danley said his checks “indicate order rates from the data center end market are fading with downside from the enterprise end market (roughly 40% of the data center end market) and Facebook,” which is owned by parent company Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +2.43%
    “We continue to expect a correction in the data center end market in 1H23,” Danley said.

    That said, Danley said his top pick was and continue to believe a correction there is inevitable. We remain cautious on semis until all end markets and companies correct and our top pick remains chip maker Analog Devices Inc.
    ADI,
    +3.65%

    Back to autos: Ambarella Inc.
    AMBA,
    +6.77%
    on Thursday, Ambarella said it was partnering with Continental AG
    CON,
    +2.32%
    to develop hardware and software for assisted driving using AI with the ultimate goal of an autonomous driving system. The companies hope to have systems in production in 2026.

    Moore said Ambarella’s tech “continues to impress,” and said the Continental partnership will provide software revenue that’s shared but with the larger portion going to Continental.

    At CES 2023, “the companies are showing a full L2+ ADAS implementation for a 10-camera system running on a single chip, which per AMBA was only using 8% of the compute value of the chip.”

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  • These 20 stocks were the biggest losers of 2022

    These 20 stocks were the biggest losers of 2022

    This has been the year of reckoning for Big Tech stocks — even those of companies that have continued to grow sales by double digits.

    Below is a list of the 20 stocks in the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.72%
    that have declined the most in 2022.

    First, here’s how the 11 sectors of the benchmark index have performed this year:

    S&P 500 sector

    		 2022 price change

    		 Forward P/E

    		 Forward P/E as of Dec. 31, 2021
    Energy

    		 57.8%

    		 9.6

    		 11.1
    Utilities

    		 -0.5%

    		 18.8

    		 20.4
    Consumer Staples

    		 -2.7%

    		 20.9

    		 21.8
    Healthcare

    		 -3.2%

    		 17.4

    		 17.2
    Industrials

    		 -6.7%

    		 18.0

    		 20.8
    Financials

    		 -12.1%

    		 11.7

    		 14.6
    Materials

    		 -13.4%

    		 15.6

    		 16.6
    Real Estate

    		-27.7%

    		 16.2

    		 24.2
    Information Technology

    		 -28.8%

    		 19.6

    		 28.1
    Consumer Discretionary

    		 -37.4%

    		 20.7

    		 33.2
    Communication Services

    		 -40.4%

    		 14.0

    		 20.8
    S&P 500

    		 -19.2%

    		 16.5

    		 21.4
    Source: FactSet

    The energy sector has been the only one to show a gain in 2022, and it has been a whopper, even as West Texas Intermediate crude oil
    CL.1,
    +0.41%
    has given up most of its gains from earlier in the year. Here’s why investors are still confident in the supply/demand setup for oil and energy stocks.

    Looking at the worst-performing sectors, you might wonder why the consumer discretionary and communication services sectors have fared worse than information-technology, the core tech sector. One reason is that S&P Dow Jones Indices can surprise investors with its sector choices. The consumer discretionary sector includes Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    +0.70%
    and Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    -1.17%    ,
    which has fallen nearly 50% this year. The communications sector includes Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    -1.21%    ,
    along with Match Group Inc.
    MTCH,
    +0.50%    ,
    which is down 69% for 2022, and Netflix Inc.
    NFLX,
    -0.44%    ,
    which is down 52% this year.

    There have been many reasons easy to cite for Big Tech’s decline, such as a questionable change in strategy for Facebook’s holding company, Meta, as CEO Mark Zuckerberg has put so much of the company’s resources into developing a new world that most people don’t wish to enter, at least yet. Meta’s shares were down 64% for 2022 through Dec. 29.

    You might also blame the Twitter-related antics and sales of Tesla shares by CEO Elon Musk for the 65% decline in the electric-vehicle maker’s stock this year. But Tesla had a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 120.3 at the end of 2021, while the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.72%
    traded for 21.4 times its weighted forward earnings estimate, according to FactSet. Those P/E ratios have now declined to 21.7 and 16.4, respectively. So Tesla no longer appears to be a very expensive stock, especially for a company that increased its vehicle deliveries by 42% in the third quarter from a year earlier.

    Analysts polled by FactSet expect Tesla’s stock to double during 2023. It nearly made this list of 20 EV stocks expected to rebound the most in 2023.

    The worst-performing S&P 500 stocks of 2022

    Here are the 20 stocks in the S&P 500 that fell the most for 2022 through the close on Dec. 29.

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 2022 price change

    		 Forward P/E

    		 Forward P/E as of Dec. 32, 2021
    Generac Holdings Inc.

    		 GNRC,
    -0.84%         		-71.4%

    		 13.7

    		 30.2
    Match Group Inc.

    		 MTCH,
    +0.50%         		-68.9%

    		 20.1

    		 48.5
    Align Technology Inc.

    		 ALGN,
    -0.52%         		-67.7%

    		 27.4

    		 48.7
    Tesla Inc.

    		 TSLA,
    +0.70%         		-65.4%

    		 21.7

    		 120.3
    SVB Financial Group

    		 SIVB,
    -0.38%         		-65.4%

    		 10.8

    		 23.0
    Catalent Inc.

    		 CTLT,
    -0.40%         		-64.6%

    		 13.0

    		 32.5
    Meta Platforms Inc. Class A

    		 META,
    -1.21%         		-64.2%

    		 14.7

    		 23.5
    Signature Bank

    		 SBNY,
    -0.34%         		-64.1%

    		 6.2

    		 18.6
    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    		 PYPL,
    -0.01%         		-62.6%

    		 14.8

    		 36.0
    V.F. Corp.

    		 VFC,
    +0.15%         		-62.5%

    		 11.9

    		 20.4
    Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. Series A

    		 WBD,
    -1.64%         		-59.9%

    		 N/A

    		 7.5
    Carnival Corp.

    		 CCL,
    -0.23%         		-59.8%

    		 38.1

    		 N/A
    Stanley Black & Decker Inc.

    		 SWK,
    -0.42%         		-59.8%

    		 17.0

    		 15.9
    Lumen Technologies Inc.

    		 LUMN,
    -1.79%         		-57.8%

    		 7.7

    		 7.8
    Zebra Technologies Corp. Class A

    		 ZBRA,
    -0.44%         		-56.7%

    		 14.5

    		 30.1
    Dish Network Corp. Class A

    		 DISH,
    -0.96%         		-56.5%

    		 8.6

    		 10.9
    Caesars Entertainment Inc.

    		 CZR,
    +0.24%         		-55.7%

    		 51.4

    		 144.5
    Lincoln National Corp.

    		 LNC,
    +0.26%         		-55.1%

    		 3.4

    		 6.2
    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    		 AMD,
    -0.97%         		-55.0%

    		 17.8

    		 43.1
    Seagate Technology Holdings PLC

    		 STX,
    -0.55%         		-53.1%

    		 15.0

    		 12.4
    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more information about the companies.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    Another way of measuring the biggest stock-market losers of 2022

    It is one thing to have a large decline based on the share price, but that doesn’t tell the entire story. How much of a decline have investors seen in the holdings of their shares during the year? The S&P 500’s total market capitalization declined to $31.66 trillion as of Dec. 28 (the most recent figure available) from $40.36 trillion at the end of 2021, according to FactSet.

    Shareholders of these companies have suffered the largest declines in market cap during 2022.

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 2022 market capitalization change ($bil)

    		 2022 price change
    Apple Inc.

    		 AAPL,
    -0.63%         		-$851

    		 -27.0%
    Amazon.com Inc.

    		 AMZN,
    -1.17%         		-$832

    		 -49.5%
    Microsoft Corp.

    		 MSFT,
    -1.15%         		-$728

    		 -28.3%
    Tesla Inc.

    		 TSLA,
    +0.70%         		-$677

    		 -65.4%
    Meta Platforms Inc. Class A

    		 META,
    -1.21%         		-$465

    		 -64.2%
    Nvidia Corp.

    		 NVDA,
    -1.37%         		-$376

    		 -50.3%
    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    		 PYPL,
    -0.01%         		-$141

    		 -62.6%
    Netflix Inc.

    		 NFLX,
    -0.44%         		-$138

    		 -51.7%
    Walt Disney Co.

    		 DIS,
    -1.62%         		-$123

    		 -43.7%
    Salesforce Inc.

    		 CRM,
    -0.96%         		-$118

    		 -47.8%
    Source: FactSet

    So there is your surprise for today: Apple is this year’s biggest stock-market loser.

    Don’t miss: Best stock picks for 2023: Here are Wall Street analysts’ most heavily favored choices

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  • Oracle’s Cloud Business Is Still Growing

    Oracle’s Cloud Business Is Still Growing



    Oracle


    shares were moving higher late Monday after the company posted better-than-expected financial results for its latest quarter. The enterprise software giant continued to see success in shifting more of its business to the cloud during the period.

    “Simply put, we had an outstanding quarter,” Oracle CEO Safra Catz said on a call with analysts. “More and more customers are recognizing our second generation infrastructure cloud as being better architected for higher performance, better security and unmatched reliability” than other cloud providers.

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  • Okta CEO promises profit for all of next year — ‘The problem was never that we didn’t have talented sales people’

    Okta CEO promises profit for all of next year — ‘The problem was never that we didn’t have talented sales people’

    Okta Inc. executives on Wednesday said they will report an adjusted profit in the fourth quarter and, in a surprise, predicted profitability for all of next fiscal year, trumping profit concerns stemming from recent sales-operation issues.

    For the fourth quarter, Okta
    OKTA,
    +4.04%
    guided for adjusted earnings of 9 cents to 10 cents a share on revenue of $488 million to $490 million. Analysts, on average, were expecting an adjusted loss of 12 cents a share on sales of $488.3 million, according to FactSet.

    In a surprise announcement during the conference call, Chief Financial Officer Brett Tighe revealed a full forecast for fiscal 2024 as well. Most software companies shy away from such practices amid uncertainty about macroeconomic conditions. He said Okta executives are aiming for adjusted profits for the full year on revenue of $2.13 billion to $2.15 billion. Analysts on average expected adjusted losses of 30 cents a share on sales of $2.3 billion, beating profit projections widely but also missing sales expectations by more than $100 million.

    Shares rallied as much as 18% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of the results, but those gains noticeably pared back to a steady 12% level after Tighe announced the outlook to analysts on the call. They have fallen 76% so far this year, compared with a 27% decline by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP,
    +4.41%    .

    In an exclusive interview with MarketWatch ahead of the company’s conference call, Okta Chief Executive and co-founder Todd McKinnon said the company is not providing any forecasts past 2024 because of uncertainty in the macro environment.

    “We’re thinking a pretty conservative assumption that the macro is going to get worse before it gets better, so that’s definitely factored into the guide,” McKinnon told MarketWatch.

    On a more positive note, McKinnon said sales-rep attrition has been the lowest it has been in the past several quarters, following a spike last quarter. Okta also announced that Susan St. Ledger, the president of worldwide field operations, is retiring and McKinnon will take over her duties on an interim basis.

    “What we’ve done over the last six months is what a lot of companies are doing, slowing hiring, re-evaluating real estate, doubling down on the things we know are high value. And some of the things that are maybe less value we’re doing less of, so that’s where we see the profitability come from,” McKinnon told MarketWatch.

    Much of that comes from addressing the company’s struggle in combining Okta’s salesforce with sales reps acquired in the May 2021 acquisition of identity-platform Auth0 (pronounced “Auth Zero”), which is more focused on direct-to-user sales than Okta’s corporate focus.

    “The problem was never that we didn’t have talented sales people,” McKinnon told MarketWatch. “The problem is that we didn’t enable them and clarify things with them.”

    In-depth: Okta CEO says ‘short-term challenges’ resulted in workers leaving at a higher rate

    “We still have work to do,” McKinnon said. “We don’t think we’ve solved it after one quarter of a positive trend but I do think it’s progress.”

    “The biggest factor: We’ve really done a much better job clarifying the products and the positioning and saying we have two clouds: We have Workforce Identity Cloud and Customer Identity Cloud and it’s very clear what to sell when,” he said.

    Okta reported a third-quarter loss of $208.9 million, or $1.32 a share, compared with a loss of $221.3 million, or $1.44 a share, in the year-ago period. After adjusting for stock-based compensation expenses and other items, the company reported break-even results on a per-share basis, compared with a loss of 7 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $481.4 million from $350.7 million in the year-ago quarter.

    Analysts had forecast an adjusted loss of 24 cents a share on revenue of $465.4 million, based on the company’s forecast for a loss of 24 cents to 25 cents a share on sales of $463 million to $465 million.

    For the current year, Okta forecast an adjusted loss of 27 cents to 26 cents a share on revenue of about $1.84 billion, compared with the Street’s forecast of 73 cents a share on revenue of $1.82 billion.

    So far in November, cloud software stocks have been getting trashed. While the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +3.09%
    has gained 5.4%, and the Nasdaq has advanced 4.4%, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
    IGV,
    +4.39%
    has risen 1.6%, the Global X Cloud Computing ETF
    CLOU,
    +6.00%
    has ticked up 0.8%, the First Trust Cloud Computing ETF
    SKYY,
    +4.54%
    has fallen 2%, and the WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund
    WCLD,
    +4.99%
    has dropped 6.9%.

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  • Amazon stock sinks after holiday forecast and cloud growth, profit disappoint; $150 billion in market cap at risk

    Amazon stock sinks after holiday forecast and cloud growth, profit disappoint; $150 billion in market cap at risk

    Amazon.com Inc. predicted Thursday that holiday sales and profit would come in well lower than analysts expected as cloud growth slowed and Amazon Web Services profit missed expectations by nearly $1 billion, sending shares south in after-hours trading.

    Amazon
    AMZN,
    -4.06%
    executives guided for fourth-quarter operating profit of break-even to $4 billion and holiday sales of $140 billion to $148 billion, while analysts on average were expecting operating income of $5.05 billion on revenue of $155.09 billion, according to FactSet. AWS sales of $20.54 billion grew 27.5% from the year before, the lowest growth rate for the pioneering cloud-computing product in records dating back to the beginning of 2014, and lower than analysts’ average estimate of $21.2 billion; AWS operating income of $5.4 billion handily missed analysts’ average estimate of $6.37 billion, according to FactSet.

    “As the third quarter progressed, we saw moderating sales growth across many of our businesses, as well as increased foreign-currency headwinds … and we expect these impacts to persist throughout the fourth quarter,” Chief Financial Officer Brian Olsavsky said in a conference call Thursday afternoon. “As we have done in similar times in our history we are also taking action to tighten our belt, including pausing hiring in certain businesses and winding down products and services where we believe our resources are better spent elsewhere.”

    Shares dove as much as 20% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of the results, after closing with a 4.1% decline at $110.96, but ended the extended trading period down 13%. After-hours prices could chop roughly $150 billion from Amazon’s market capitalization and send it lower than $1 trillion for the first time since April 2020 if they were to persist through Friday’s regular trading session, according to FactSet.

    Amazon reported its first quarterly profit of the year for the third quarter, and easily beat analysts’ expectations for the back-to-school period that included the company’s first Prime Day of the year, but earnings still declined from last year. Executives reported third-quarter profit of $2.87 billion, or 28 cents a share, down from 31 cents a share in the year-ago quarter after adjusting for Amazon’s 20-to-1 stock split.

    Revenue grew to $127.1 billion from $110.8 billion, in the middle of executives’ forecast for $125 billion to $130 billion but slightly missing analysts’ expectations; executives said revenue would have been $5 billion higher without the effects of the strengthening dollar. Analysts on average expected earnings of 22 cents a share on sales of $127.39 billion, according to FactSet.

    “There is obviously a lot happening in the macroeconomic environment, and we’ll balance our investments to be more streamlined without compromising our key long-term, strategic bets,” Chief Executive Andy Jassy said in a statement. “What won’t change is our maniacal focus on the customer experience, and we feel confident that we’re ready to deliver a great experience for customers this holiday shopping season.”

    Amazon had reported quarterly losses through the first half of the year, largely because of a rapid post-IPO decline in one of its investments, Rivian Automotive Inc.
    RIVN,
    +0.17%    .
    But the Seattle-based company has also been looking to cut costs after spending wildly during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic to keep up with spiking demand for its online store and Amazon Web Services cloud-computing products.

    Amazon’s stock has suffered as it faces comparisons to the headier days of last year, and will do so again in the holiday season, when it faces a comparison with a nearly $12 billion profit from its Rivian investment, which has declined more than 50% from its IPO price and stands at roughly one-fifth its peak post-IPO price.

    There were thoughts that Amazon would be cautious with its holiday forecast, as its attempts to cut costs run into the need to keep its giant logistics operation running smoothly. The company is looking to hire 150,000 workers to get through the holiday season, and recently announced increased pay for fulfillment workers.

    “On 4Q consensus estimates, we believe AMZN will likely err on the side of being more conservative, given the uncertain consumer spend environment,” MKM Partners Managing Director Rohit Kulkarni wrote in a note. “We believe recently announced wage hike, higher near-term content costs amortization (NFL & Lord Of Rings), and potentially greater merchandise discounting might weigh on 4Q Op Margins.”

    Amazon’s e-commerce operations were boosted in the third quarter by the company’s annual Prime Day event in July, and the company tried to replicate the event in October, but analysts saw the second Prime Day as less successful and potentially a sign of weakness.

    “We see Amazon’s decision to hold two Prime Day sales in one calendar year as a red flag for weak e-commerce sales; consistent with retailers, in general, holding more sales when their sales are under pressure,” D.A. Davidson analyst Tom Forte wrote in a preview of Amazon’s report.

    In the third quarter — with back-to-school sales and the first Prime Day event — quarterly retail sales in North America hit $78.84 billion, while overseas revenue totaled $27.72 billion. Analysts on average were expecting $77.24 billion and $29 billion respectively, according to FactSet. Sales in both locations were unprofitable from an operating perspective for the fourth consecutive quarter, losing a total of $2.88 billion.

    Amazon’s profit largely comes from the fat margins of its AWS cloud-computing offering, but there have been concerns about growth leveling off for cloud after rival Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    -1.98%
    reported a deceleration earlier this week and guided for a further decline in growth in the fourth quarter. AWS did provide enough profit in the third quarter to overcome the losses in e-commerce, but the result was the lowest quarterly operating income for Amazon overall since the first quarter of 2018, according to FactSet records.

    Opinion: The cloud boom is coming back to Earth, and that could be scary for tech stocks

    “The ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties have seen an uptick in AWS customers focused on controlling costs and we are proactively working to help customers cost-optimize just as we have done throughout our history, especially in periods of economic uncertainty,” Olsavsky said in Thursday’s conference call, before adding that revenue growth dipped to the mid-20s late in the period from an overall rate of 27.5% for the quarter.

    “So carry that forecast to the fourth quarter, we are not sure how it’s going to play out, but that’s generally our assumption,” he said, suggesting that Amazon expects the AWS revenue-growth rate to decline again in the fourth quarter.

    Amazon’s other higher-margin business is advertising, which has grown strongly in recent years as companies seeking to sell products on Amazon pay the company to list their products higher when consumers search for them on the e-commerce platform. Amazon reported third-quarter advertising revenue of $9.55 billion, up from $7.61 billion a year ago and topping the average analysts estimate of $9.48 billion.

    The results seemed to spread fears to other e-commerce companies and cloud-focused companies. Wayfair Inc.
    W,
    +0.37%    ,
    eBay Inc.
    EBAY,
    +0.71%
    and Etsy Inc.
    ETSY,
    -0.48%
    shares all fell roughly 5% or more in after-hours trading, as did cloud-software providers Snowflake Inc.
    SNOW,
    -0.20%    ,
    MongoDB Inc.
    MDB,
    -0.35%
    and Datadog Inc.
    DDOG,
    +0.81%
    Microsoft’s stock declined about 1.5%.

    Amazon stock has fallen 33.5% so far this year, as the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.61%
    has dropped 19.6%.

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  • Meta spending slams Facebook stock, but here are the chip stocks that are benefiting

    Meta spending slams Facebook stock, but here are the chip stocks that are benefiting

    Data-center stocks buoyed an otherwise down chip sector Thursday as shares of Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. cratered on torn-in-half profits and a hike in capital spending to fuel Mark Zuckerberg’s metaverse ambitions, prompting one analyst to ask if server chips can only go up now.

    As shares of Meta dropped as much as 25% Thursday, shares of Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +2.31%
    surged as much as 7%, compared with less than 1% declines on the PHLX Semiconductor Index
    SOX,
    -1.51%
    and S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.69%    .

    Late Wednesday, Meta reported that quarterly profits fell by more than 50% and added that it expects 2022 capital expenditure of $32 billion to $33 billion, compared with a previous range of $30 billion to $34 billion. In 2023, the company said, it expects capital expenditure in the range of $34 billion to $39 billion, “driven by our investments in data centers, servers, and network infrastructure.”

    Meta
    META,
    -24.64%
    noted that an “increase in AI capacity is driving substantially all of our capital expenditure growth in 2023.”

    Soon after Meta made that announcement, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis said in a note that “positive capex commentary from Alphabet
    GOOGL,
    -2.80%    ,
    Microsoft
    MSFT,
    -2.03%
    and Meta” was all a positive for data-center equipment providers Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    -1.92%    ,
    Broadcom Inc.
    AVGO,
    -1.26%
    and Marvell Technology Inc.
    MRVL,
    +3.61%    .
    Lipacis has buy ratings on all four stocks.

    Shares of AMD rallied as much as 5%, Broadcom shares rose as much as 2% and Marvell shares surged as much as 10% Thursday. Intel Corp.
    INTC,
    -3.69%
    shares were up a little more than 1% at one point ahead of its earnings report, scheduled for after the close Thursday.

    Opinion: Facebook and Google grew into tech titans by ignoring Wall Street. Now it could lead to their downfall

    Jefferies noted that Meta’s capital expenditure for 2023 alone charts a 12% year-over-year hike at midpoint, compared with the Wall Street consensus of $29 billion, or a 5% year-over-year decline.

    “We sense investor caution around Nvidia’s datacenter business this quarter, but we expect all four [equipment providers] to discuss positive datacenter trends this earnings season,” Lipacis said, noting he was a buyer of Nvidia stock “in front of its earnings call.”

    From the perspective of the chip industry — which has gone from a two-year global chip shortage to a sudden glut in a matter of months as PC and consumer-electronics demand has dropped sharply, causing chip fabricators to pump the brakes on investments in new capacity — Lipacis questioned whether the glut will ever reach data-center sales, as many have feared.

    “The most common comment we hear from investors on Nvidia is ‘the Datacenter Shoe has to Drop,’” Lipacis said, noting that his data shows that the shoe has already dropped and an uptick is on the horizon.

    Lipacis explained that data-center sales from Nvidia, AMD and Intel combined declined to $10.5 billion in the second quarter from $12 billion in the fourth quarter of 2021 and that he is modeling another $10.5 billion quarter in the third.

    “This looks consistent with the pattern since 2017 of 4-to-5 qtrs above trendline, followed by 2-to-3 qtrs of below trendline ‘digestion,’ i.e., it looks like the datacenter shoe has already dropped,” Lipacis said.

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  • Microsoft stock slips as Azure growth slows and cloud sales miss projections

    Microsoft stock slips as Azure growth slows and cloud sales miss projections

    Microsoft Corp. shares slipped in after-hours trading Tuesday despite an earnings beat, as the company’s cloud-computing revenue came in lower than expected and its core cloud product, Azure, grew at a slower rate than projections.

    Microsoft’s
    MSFT,
    +1.38%
    cloud-computing business has grown into the largest and most important business for the company, especially for investors who like Azure’s high margins and strong growth. There have been concerns about cloud growth as the U.S. faces its first possible recession since the technology became ubiquitous, and Azure’s growth in Tuesday’s report was the slowest Microsoft has reported in the past two years, while Microsoft’s cloud division was the only segment to come in lower than estimates.

    The “Intelligent Cloud” segment reported first-quarter revenue of $20.3 billion, up from $16.96 billion a year ago but slightly lower than the average analyst estimate tracked by FactSet of $20.46 billion. Microsoft said that Azure grew by 35%, while analysts on average were expecting 36.5% growth, according to FactSet.

    Opinion: The cloud boom is coming back to Earth, and that could be scary for tech stocks

    That is a marked slowdown from Azure’s 40% growth rate in the previous quarter, as well as the 50% growth shown in the same quarter last year. Microsoft only reports percentage growth for its core cloud-computing product, even as main rivals Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    +0.65%
    and Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    +1.91%
    GOOG,
    +1.90%
    report revenue and profit margin for their cloud-computing products.

    Overall, Microsoft
    MSFT,
    +1.38%
    reported fiscal first-quarter earnings of $17.56 billion, or $2.35 a share, down from $2.71 a share in the same quarter a year ago, when Microsoft disclosed a 44 cent-per-share tax benefit. Revenue increased to $50.1 billion from $45.32 billion a year ago. Analysts on average were expecting earnings of $2.31 a share on sales of $49.66 billion, according to FactSet.

    Microsoft shares fell between 1% and 2% in after-hours trading following the release of the results, after closing with a 1.4% increase at $250.66. Microsoft stock tends to react most strongly in after-hours trading following earnings reports after executives share their forecast for the current quarter in their conference call, which is scheduled to begin at 5:30 p.m. Eastern.

    Microsoft has started to show some effects of a weakening macroeconomic climate, confirming layoffs of fewer than 1,000 employees earlier this month. Microsoft has suffered from the strengthening dollar, as well as a sharp downturn in personal-computer sales, which spiked during the pandemic but are now showing record regression.

    For more: The pandemic PC boom is over, but its legacy will live on

    Microsoft reported PC revenue of $13.3 billion for the quarter, roughly flat from $13.31 billion a year before and beating the average analyst estimate of $13.12 billion, according to FactSet. While PCs have long been what consumers largely know Microsoft for, their importance to the company’s financials has declined in recent years as cloud computing has grown in importance.

    “Historically, Windows was a very large driver of Microsoft revenue and, given its strong margins, a disproportionate driver of earnings,” Bernstein analysts wrote in a preview of the report, while maintaining an “overweight” rating. “Over time other businesses, especially Microsoft’s commercial Cloud, have grown fast while the Windows business has grown quite slower, decreasing the relative impact of Windows.”

    Microsoft’s other revenue segment, “Productivity and Business Processes,” reported revenue of $16.5 billion, up from $15.04 billion a year ago and higher than the average analyst estimate of $16.13 billion, according to FactSet. That segment includes Microsoft’s core cloud-software properties such as its Office suite of products — which is being officially renamed Microsoft 365 — as well as LinkedIn and some other properties.

    Microsoft’s second-quarter guidance will be crucial to investors hoping that the tech giant can withstand any economic jolts headed its way and show stronger growth in cloud. Analysts on average were expecting overall second-quarter revenue of $56.16 billion and “Intelligent Cloud” sales of $21.82 billion heading into the print, according to FactSet, while some wrote that they would like to hear more from Microsoft executives about the picture for the full year.

    “Our hope is that management provides a bit more color on full-year fiscal 2023 beyond just the double-digit revenue growth and operating margins being roughly flat commentary from last quarter,” MoffetNathanson analysts, who have a “market perform” rating and $282 price target on the stock, wrote in their preview. “We would expect headcount-related revenue streams like Office to see increasing headwinds in coming quarters, but volume businesses like Azure, which is tied to data, being more resilient.”

    Microsoft stock has declined 25.5% so far this year, as the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    +1.63%
    has dropped 20.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +1.07%
    — which counts Microsoft as one of its 30 components — has declined 13.3%.

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  • SAP reports cloud-driven higher revenue, confirms annual profit and sales outlook

    SAP reports cloud-driven higher revenue, confirms annual profit and sales outlook

    SAP SE, the German business software company, confirmed its profit and sales outlook for the year after posting higher third-quarter revenue led by growth at its cloud business.

    Reporting on a non-IFRS basis, the Walldorf, Germany-based company
    SAP,
    +0.14%

    SAP,
    +4.18%
    said Tuesday that revenue jumped to 7.84 billion euros ($7.74 billion) from EUR6.85 billion, with cloud revenue up to EUR3.29 billion from EUR2.39 billion. Software-licenses revenue fell to EUR406 million from EUR657 million.

    Analysts polled by FactSet had forecast overall revenue of EUR7.65 billion, and cloud revenue of EUR3.19 billion.

    “We have delivered a strong cloud quarter with accelerating momentum across all key cloud indicators,” SAP Chief Financial Officer Luka Mucic said. The company said its cloud business performed strongly in all regions led by the U.S. and Germany, while activity in Brazil, China, India and Switzerland was particularly robust.

    SAP is moving away from software-licenses sales, once its biggest revenue streams, to subscription-based cloud services, banking on a more profitable and predictable model based on recurring revenue.

    “With a recurring revenue share of more than 80%, it’s clear that our transformation has reached an important inflection point, paving the way for continued growth in the future,” SAP Chief Executive Christian Klein said.

    Operating profit for the quarter slipped to EUR2.09 billion from EUR2.10 billion a year earlier, with SAP’s operating margin down to 26.7% from 30.7%. Analysts polled by FactSet had forecast operating profit of EUR2 billion.

    SAP, like other European software companies, presents its figures as two sets of numbers. One set is based on the International Financial Reporting Standards–an international accounting method that seeks to provide a global reporting standard–though analysts and investors tend to follow SAP’s non-IFRS numbers. Those figures exclude share-based compensation, restructuring expenses and acquisition-related charges.

    For the year, SAP continues to expect non-IFRS operating profit at constant currencies between EUR7.6 billion and EUR7.9 billion, and cloud revenue at constant currencies between EUR11.55 billion and EUR11.85 billion. However, free cash flow is now expected at roughly EUR4.5 billion against a previous forecast above EUR4.5 billion.

    Looking ahead, SAP is still targeting double-digit growth in operating profit for 2023, though the company said it expects to update midterm targets in the coming quarters, citing the strong cloud momentum and favorable currency movements.

    Write to Mauro Orru at mauro.orru@wsj.com; @MauroOrru94

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  • IBM stock rallies on third-quarter results, upbeat forecast

    IBM stock rallies on third-quarter results, upbeat forecast

    Shares of International Business Machines Corp. rallied in extended trading Wednesday, after the tech software, consulting and infrastructure giant reported third-quarter results that beat expectations and offered up a more upbeat full-year sales forecast.

    IBM
    IBM,
    -0.35%
    reported earnings as Wall Street tries to gauge the impact of a tough foreign-exchange environment, and the state of business spending on tech services amid worries over a downturn. But the company saw gains in hybrid cloud services, products like open-source software platform Red Hat, its consulting services and its zSystems servers and software.

    “Globally, clients view technology as an opportunity to enhance their business, which is evident in the results across our portfolio,” Chief Executive Arvind Krishna said in a statement. He added that he now expects full-year sales growth “above our mid-single-digit model.”

    That’s a bit more optimistic than the forecast he gave over the summer, when IBM reported second-quarter results. Krishna, at that time, said he continued “to expect full-year revenue growth at the high end of our mid-single-digit model.”

    Wall Street expects IBM’s full-year sales to come in at $59.667 billion, according to FactSet. Analysts expect 2022 earnings per share of $9.28. IBM also said it continued to expect around $10 billion in consolidated free cash flow for the year.

    For the third quarter, the company reported a net loss of $3.2 billion, or $3.54 per share, compared with a $1.1 billion profit, or $1.25 per share, in the year-earlier period. On an adjusted basis, IBM earned $1.81 per share.

    Sales came in at $14.1 billion, compared with $13.3 billion a year ago.

    Analysts polled by FactSet expected adjusted earnings per share of $1.79, on revenue of $13.517 billion.

    Revenue in the company’s software segment grew 7.5%. Consulting revenue rose 5.4%, while the company’s infrastructure segment jumped 14.8%.

    Shares gained 4.8% after hours on Wednesday.

    Prior to the results, analysts had zeroed in on the impact of the strong dollar and what Morgan Stanley, in a recent note, described as “continued wage pressure in consulting.” IBM has also been trying to lean more into cloud and AI technology, unloading some businesses in an effort to narrow its focus.

    Last year, in a move toward that goal, IBM spun off its infrastructure services business into Kyndryl Holdings
    KD,
    -2.85%    .
    But afterward, some analysts raised questions about IBM’s ability to grow sales and compete in the cloud-services industry. Francisco Partners, an investment firm, this year also acquired health-care data and analytics assets that were part of IBM’s Watson Health segment.

    In January, IBM declined to provide an earnings-per-share forecast. The company also changed how it organizes its business segments at the beginning of this year.

    But during the spring, Krishna said he saw “demand staying strong” even if economic growth flattens or enters into a brief recession, with the decision to halt business in Russia, following its invasion of Ukraine, the only drag on results.

    IBM stock is down 8% year to date. By comparison, the S&P 500 Index
    SPX,
    -0.67%
    is down 22%.

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  • These 11 stocks can lead your portfolio’s rebound after the S&P 500 ‘earnings recession’ and a market bottom next year

    These 11 stocks can lead your portfolio’s rebound after the S&P 500 ‘earnings recession’ and a market bottom next year

    This may surprise you: Wall Street analysts expect earnings for the S&P 500 to increase 8% during 2023, despite all the buzz about a possible recession as the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy to quell inflation.

    Ken Laudan, a portfolio manager at Kornitzer Capital Management in Mission, Kan., isn’t buying it. He expects an “earnings recession” for the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +2.78%
    — that is, a decline in profits of around 10%. But he also expects that decline to set up a bottom for the stock market.

    Laudan’s predictions for the S&P 500 ‘earnings recession’ and bottom

    Laudan, who manages the $83 million Buffalo Large Cap Fund
    BUFEX,
    -2.86%
    and co-manages the $905 million Buffalo Discovery Fund
    BUFTX,
    -2.82%    ,
    said during an interview: “It is not unusual to see a 20% hit [to earnings] in a modest recession. Margins have peaked.”

    The consensus among analysts polled by FactSet is for weighted aggregate earnings for the S&P 500 to total $238.23 a share in 2023, which would be an 8% increase from the current 2022 EPS estimate of $220.63.

    Laudan said his base case for 2023 is for earnings of about $195 to $200 a share and for that decline in earnings (about 9% to 12% from the current consensus estimate for 2022) to be “coupled with an economic recession of some sort.”

    He expects the Wall Street estimates to come down, and said that “once Street estimates get to $205 or $210, I think stocks will take off.”

    He went further, saying “things get really interesting at 3200 or 3300 on the S&P.” The S&P 500 closed at 3583.07 on Oct. 14, a decline of 24.8% for 2022, excluding dividends.

    Laudan said the Buffalo Large Cap Fund was about 7% in cash, as he was keeping some powder dry for stock purchases at lower prices, adding that he has been “fairly defensive” since October 2021 and was continuing to focus on “steady dividend-paying companies with strong balance sheets.”

    Leaders for the stock market’s recovery

    After the market hits bottom, Laudan expects a recovery for stocks to begin next year, as “valuations will discount and respond more quickly than the earnings will.”

    He expects “long-duration technology growth stocks” to lead the rally, because “they got hit first.” When asked if Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    +6.14%
    and Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    +3.69%
    were good examples, in light of the broad decline for semiconductor stocks and because both are held by the Buffalo Large Cap Fund, Laudan said: “They led us down and they will bounce first.”

    Laudan said his “largest tech holding” is ASML Holding N.V.
    ASML,
    +3.79%    ,
    which provides equipment and systems used to fabricate computer chips.

    Among the largest tech-oriented companies, the Buffalo Large Cap fund also holds shares of Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +3.09%    ,
    Microsoft Corp.
    MSFT,
    +3.88%    ,
    Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    +6.63%
    and Alphabet Inc.
    GOOG,
    +3.91%

    GOOGL,
    +3.73%    .

    Laudan also said he had been “overweight’ in UnitedHealth Group Inc.
    UNH,
    +1.77%    ,
    Danaher Corp.
    DHR,
    +2.64%
    and Linde PLC
    LIN,
    +2.25%
    recently and had taken advantage of the decline in Adobe Inc.’s
    ADBE,
    +2.32%
    price following the announcement of its $20 billion acquisition of Figma, by scooping up more shares.

    Summarizing the declines

    To illustrate what a brutal year it has been for semiconductor stocks, the iShares Semiconductor ETF
    SOXX,
    +2.12%    ,
    which tracks the PHLX Semiconductor Index
    SOX,
    +2.29%
    of 30 U.S.-listed chip makers and related equipment manufacturers, has dropped 44% this year. Then again, SOXX had risen 38% over the past three years and 81% for five years, underlining the importance of long-term thinking for stock investors, even during this terrible bear market for this particular tech space.

    Here’s a summary of changes in stock prices (again, excluding dividends) and forward price-to-forward-earnings valuations during 2022 through Oct. 14 for every stock mentioned in this article. The stocks are sorted alphabetically:

    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 2022 price change

    		 Forward P/E

    		 Forward P/E as of Dec. 31, 2021
    Apple Inc.

    		 AAPL,
    +3.09%         		-22%

    		 22.2

    		 30.2
    Adobe Inc.

    		 ADBE,
    +2.32%         		-49%

    		 19.4

    		 40.5
    Amazon.com Inc.

    		 AMZN,
    +6.63%         		-36%

    		 62.1

    		 64.9
    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    		 AMD,
    +3.69%         		-61%

    		 14.7

    		 43.1
    ASML Holding N.V. ADR

    		 ASML,
    +3.79%         		-52%

    		 22.7

    		 41.2
    Danaher Corp.

    		 DHR,
    +2.64%         		-23%

    		 24.3

    		 32.1
    Alphabet Inc. Class C

    		 GOOG,
    +3.91%         		-33%

    		 17.5

    		 25.3
    Linde PLC

    		 LIN,
    +2.25%         		-21%

    		 22.2

    		 29.6
    Microsoft Corp.

    		 MSFT,
    +3.88%         		-32%

    		 22.5

    		 34.0
    Nvidia Corp.

    		 NVDA,
    +6.14%         		-62%

    		 28.9

    		 58.0
    UnitedHealth Group Inc.

    		 UNH,
    +1.77%         		2%

    		 21.5

    		 23.2
    Source: FactSet

    You can click on the tickers for more about each company. Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    The forward P/E ratio for the S&P 500 declined to 16.9 as of the close on Oct. 14 from 24.5 at the end of 2021, while the forward P/E for SOXX declined to 13.2 from 27.1.

    Don’t miss: This is how high interest rates might rise, and what could scare the Federal Reserve into a policy pivot

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  • These 20 stocks in the S&P 500 tumbled between 20% and 30% in September

    These 20 stocks in the S&P 500 tumbled between 20% and 30% in September

    Stocks declined again on Friday, closing out September with large losses across the board as the rally from the June lows partway through August faded into memory.

    The S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.51%
    fell 1.5% on Friday. The benchmark index slumped 9.3% for September, leading to a 2022 loss of 24.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -1.71%
    gave up 1.7% on Friday, for a September decline of 8.8%. The Dow has now fallen 20.9% for 2022. The Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP,
    -1.51%
    pulled back 1.5% on Friday for a September drop of 10.5% and a year-to-date plunge of 32.4%. (All price changes in this article exclude dividends.)

    Below is a list of stocks in the S&P 500 that fell the most during September.

    It was the worst September performance for U.S. stocks since 2008, according to Dow Jones Market Data. William Watts looked back to see what poor performance during September may portend for October.

    Real estate leads the sector bloodbath

    All sectors of the S&P 500 were down during September, including five that fell by double digits:

    S&P 500 sector

    		 Sept. 30 price change

    		 September price change

    		 2022 price change
    Real Estate

    		 1.0%

    		 -13.6%

    		 -30.4%
    Communication Services

    		 -1.7%

    		 -12.2%

    		 -39.4%
    Information Technology

    		 -1.9%

    		 -12.0%

    		 -31.9%
    Utilities

    		 -2.0%

    		 -11.5%

    		 -8.6%
    Industrials

    		 -1.3%

    		 -10.6%

    		 -21.7%
    Energy

    		 -0.9%

    		 -9.7%

    		 30.7%
    Materials

    		 -0.3%

    		 -9.6%

    		 -24.9%
    Consumer Staples

    		 -1.8%

    		 -8.3%

    		 -13.5%
    Consumer Discretionary

    		 -1.8%

    		 -8.1%

    		 -30.3%
    Financials

    		 -1.1%

    		 -7.9%

    		 -22.4%
    Health Care

    		 -1.4%

    		 -2.7%

    		 -14.1%
    S&P 500

    		 -1.5%

    		 -9.3%

    		 -24.8%
    Source: FactSet
    Worst performers in the S&P 500 in September
    Company

    		 Ticker

    		 Sept. 30 price change

    		 September price change

    		 2022 price change

    		 Decline from 52-week intraday high

    		 Date of 52-week intraday high
    FedEx Corp.

    		 FDX,
    -2.52%         		-2.5%

    		 -29.6%

    		 -42.6%

    		 -44.4%

    		 01/05/2022
    V.F. Corp.

    		 VFC,
    -2.73%         		-2.7%

    		 -27.8%

    		 -59.2%

    		 -62.1%

    		 11/16/2021
    Lumen Technologies Inc.

    		 LUMN,
    -1.36%         		-1.4%

    		 -26.9%

    		 -42.0%

    		 -49.8%

    		 11/05/2021
    Ford Motor Co.

    		 F,
    -2.35%         		-2.4%

    		 -26.5%

    		 -46.1%

    		 -56.7%

    		 01/13/2022
    Charter Communications Inc. Class A

    		 CHTR,
    -2.96%         		-3.0%

    		 -26.5%

    		 -53.5%

    		 -59.8%

    		 10/07/2021
    Adobe Inc.

    		 ADBE,
    -1.10%         		-1.1%

    		 -26.3%

    		 -51.5%

    		 -60.7%

    		 11/22/2021
    Carnival Corp.

    		 CCL,
    -23.25%         		-23.3%

    		 -25.7%

    		 -65.1%

    		 -73.5%

    		 10/01/2021
    CarMax Inc.

    		 KMX,
    +1.32%         		1.3%

    		 -25.4%

    		 -49.3%

    		 -57.7%

    		 11/08/2021
    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    		 AMD,
    -1.22%         		-1.2%

    		 -25.3%

    		 -56.0%

    		 -61.5%

    		 11/30/2021
    Caesars Entertainment Inc.

    		 CZR,
    -0.49%         		-0.5%

    		 -25.2%

    		 -65.5%

    		 -73.1%

    		 10/01/2021
    Boeing Co.

    		 BA,
    -3.39%         		-3.4%

    		 -24.4%

    		 -39.9%

    		 -48.2%

    		 11/15/2021
    WestRock Co.

    		 WRK,
    -1.56%         		-1.6%

    		 -23.9%

    		 -30.4%

    		 -43.6%

    		 05/05/2022
    International Paper Co.

    		 IP,
    -1.22%         		-1.2%

    		 -23.8%

    		 -32.5%

    		 -44.0%

    		 10/13/2021
    Western Digital Corp.

    		 WDC,
    +1.15%         		1.1%

    		 -23.0%

    		 -50.1%

    		 -53.1%

    		 01/05/2022
    Newell Brands Inc.

    		 NWL,
    -0.57%         		-0.6%

    		 -22.2%

    		 -36.4%

    		 -47.5%

    		 02/16/2022
    Eastman Chemical Co.

    		 EMN,
    +0.34%         		0.3%

    		 -21.9%

    		 -41.2%

    		 -45.1%

    		 01/19/2022
    Nike Inc. Class B

    		 NKE,
    -12.81%         		-12.8%

    		 -21.9%

    		 -50.1%

    		 -53.6%

    		 11/05/2021
    Seagate Technology Holdings PLC

    		 STX,
    -2.11%         		-2.1%

    		 -20.5%

    		 -52.9%

    		 -54.8%

    		 01/05/2022
    PVH Corp.

    		 PVH,
    -3.55%         		-3.6%

    		 -20.4%

    		 -58.0%

    		 -64.3%

    		 11/05/2021
    Dish Network Corp. Class A

    		 DISH,
    -2.19%         		-2.2%

    		 -20.3%

    		 -57.4%

    		 -70.1%

    		 10/04/2021
    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more about each company, including developments that led to their share-price declines.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    FedEx Corp.
    FDX,
    -2.52%
    tops the list because of investors’ harsh reaction to the company’s sales and profit warning on Sept. 16. Claudia Assis and Greg Robb explained the implications of FedEx’s warning for the broad economy.

    Shares of Carnival Corp.
    CCL,
    -23.25%
    fell 23% on Friday (for a September decline of 26%) after the cruise giant again reported sales and earnings below what analysts had expected, even though it reported increasing its capacity usage to 92%.

    Nike Inc.
    NKE,
    -12.81%
    was down 13% on Friday for a September decline of 22%, after the company warned that discounting to clear inventory would continue to affect its earnings performance. Here’s how analysts reacted.

    Adobe Inc.
    ADBE,
    -1.10%
    made the list because of investors’ doubt about its dilutive $20 billion deal to acquire Figma.

    The bulk of CarMax’s
    KMX,
    +1.32%
    drop for the month came on Sept. 29, after the used-car dealer missed sales and earnings estimates and indicated that consumers were beginning to resist high prices.

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