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Tag: CN:SHCOMP

  • Hang Seng leads selloff for Asia stocks, with 4% slump after China data

    Hang Seng leads selloff for Asia stocks, with 4% slump after China data

    TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares slid Wednesday after a decline overnight on Wall Street and disappointing China growth data, while Tokyo’s main benchmark momentarily hit another 30-year high.

    Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225
    NIY00,
    -0.95%
    reached a session high of 36,239.22, but reverted lower, last down 0.3% to 35,477. The Nikkei has been hitting new 34-year highs, or the best since February 1990 during the so-called financial bubble. Buying focused on semiconductor-related shares, and a cheap yen helped boost exporter issues.

    Don’t miss: Wall Street firms catch up to Buffett enthusiasm on Japan as Nikkei keeps hitting records

    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng
    HK:HSCI
    tumbled 4% to 15,220.72, with losses building after data showed China hitting its economic growth target of 5.2% for 2023, surpassing government expectations, but short of the 5.3% some analysts expected. The Shanghai Composite
    CN:SHCOMP
    shed 2% to 2,833.62.

    Read on: China hit its economic-growth target without ‘massive stimulus,’ boasts Premier Li Qiang

    Australia’s S&P/ASX 200
    AU:ASX10000
    slipped 0.2% to 7,401.30. South Korea’s Kospi
    KR:180721
    dropped 2.4% to 2,435.90.

    Investors were keeping their eyes on upcoming earnings reports, as well as potential moves by the world’s central banks, to gauge their next moves.
    Wall Street slipped in a lackluster return to trading following a three-day holiday weekend.

    See: What’s next for stocks as ‘tired’ market stalls in 2024 ahead of closely watched retail sales

    The S&P 500
    SPX
    fell 17.85 points, or 0.4%, to 4,765.98. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA
    dropped 231.86, or 0.6%, to 37,361.12, and the Nasdaq
    COMP
    sank 28.41, or 0.2%, to 14,944.35.

    Spirit Airlines
    SAVE,
    -47.09%
    lost 47.1% after a U.S. judge blocked its takeover by JetBlue Airways
    JBLU,
    +4.91%
    on concerns it would mean higher airfares for flyers. JetBlue rose 4.9%.

    Stocks of banks were mixed, meanwhile, as earnings reporting season ramps up for the final three months of 2023. Morgan Stanley
    MS,
    -4.16%
    sank 4.2% after it said a legal matter and a special assessment knocked $535 million off its pretax earnings, while Goldman Sachs
    GS,
    +0.71%
    edged 0.7% higher after reporting results that topped Wall Street’s forecasts.

    Companies across the S&P 500 are likely to report meager growth in profits for the fourth quarter from a year earlier, if any, if Wall Street analysts’ forecasts are to be believed. Earnings have been under pressure for more than a year because of rising costs amid high inflation.

    But optimism is higher for 2024, where analysts are forecasting a strong 11.8% growth in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, according to FactSet. That, plus expectations for several cuts to interest rates by the Federal Reserve this year, have helped the S&P 500 rally to 10 winning weeks in the last 11. The index remains within 0.6% of its all-time high set two years ago.

    Treasury yields
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
    have already sunk on expectations for upcoming cuts to interest rates, which traders believe could begin as early as March. It’s a sharp turnaround from the past couple years, when the Federal Reserve was hiking rates drastically in hopes of getting high inflation under control.

    The Tell: No rate cuts in 2024? Why investors should think about the ‘unthinkable.’

    Easier rates and yields relax the pressure on the economy and financial system, while also boosting prices for investments. And for the past six months, interest rates have been the main force moving the stock market, according to Michael Wilson, strategist at Morgan Stanley.

    He sees that dynamic continuing in the near term, with the “bond market still in charge.”

    For now, traders are penciling in many more cuts to rates through 2024 than the Fed itself has indicated. That raises the potential for big market swings around each speech by a Fed official or economic report.

    Yields rose in the bond market after Fed governor Christopher Waller said in a speech that “policy is set properly” on interest rates. Following the speech, traders pushed some bets for the Fed’s first cut to rates to happen in May instead of March.

    On Wall Street, Boeing fell to one of the market’s sharper losses as worries continue about troubles for its 737 Max 9 aircraft following the recent in-flight blowout of an Alaska Air
    ALK,
    -2.13%
    jet. Boeing
    BA,
    -7.89%
    lost 7.9%.

    In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude
    CL00,
    -1.55%
    lost 90 cents to $71.75 a barrel. Brent crude
    BRN00,
    -1.37%    ,
    the international standard, fell 78 cents to $77.68 a barrel.

    In currency trading, the U.S. dollar
    USDJPY,
    +0.44%
    rose to 147.90 Japanese yen from 147.09 yen. The euro
    EURUSD,
    -0.10%
    cost $1.0868, down from $1.0880.

    MarketWatch contributed to this report

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  • China’s debt outlook cut to negative by Moody’s

    China’s debt outlook cut to negative by Moody’s

    Moody’s Investors Service on Tuesday cut the outlook on China’s debt to negative from stable citing expectations that the national government will have to step in to rescue regional and local governments.

    Moody’s kept China’s long-term rating at A1.

    “The change to a negative outlook reflects rising evidence that financial support will be provided by the government and wider public sector to financially-stressed regional and local governments and state-owned enterprises, posing broad downside risks to China’s fiscal, economic and institutional strength,” said the note from the rating agency, which last month cut the outlook on the U.S.

    China’s property troubles mean that regional and local governments face a loss of land sale revenue, which accounted for 37% of their revenue in 2022 outside of central government transfers. Moody’s says regions that relied most heavily on land sales won’t be able to offset that revenue loss from other sources.

    Moody’s estimates one-third of state-owned enterprises debt — some 40% of GDP — has an interest coverage below 1, which indicates weak debt sustainability. “While not all [state-owned enterprises] are likely to need direct government support, even a moderate proportion doing so over the medium term would represent a significant crystallization of contingent liabilities for the sovereign, increasing the costs of financial support and diminishing fiscal strength,” said Moody’s.

    In a rough day for Chinese stocks, the Hang Seng
    HK:HSI
    fell 1.9%, and the Shanghai Composite
    CN:SHCOMP
    dropped 1.7%.

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  • Asia stocks hit by slide in China factory activity, jitters over U.S. debt-ceiling vote

    Asia stocks hit by slide in China factory activity, jitters over U.S. debt-ceiling vote

    BEIJING (AP) — Asian stock markets sank Wednesday ahead of a vote by Congress on a deal to avert a government debt default, while a downturn in Chinese factory activity deepened, adding to signs global economic activity is weakening.

    Shanghai, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Sydney retreated. Oil prices declined.Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 index edged up less than 0.1% on Tuesday as President Joe Biden and U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy tried to line up votes in support of their deal to allow the government to borrow more. Without…

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  • Asian stocks tumble after Credit Suisse takeover

    Asian stocks tumble after Credit Suisse takeover

    BEIJING (AP) — Asian stock markets fell Monday after Swiss authorities arranged the takeover of troubled Credit Suisse amid fears of a global banking crisis ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting to decide on more possible interest rate hikes.

    Shanghai, Tokyo and Hong Kong declined. Oil prices retreated, and U.S. equity futures were tilting lower after initially rising on the takeover news.

    Swiss authorities on Sunday announced UBS would acquire its smaller rival as regulators try to ease fears about banks following the collapse of two U.S. lenders. Central banks announced coordinated efforts to stabilize lenders including a facility to borrow U.S. dollars if necessary.

    Investors worry banks are cracking under the strain of unexpectedly fast, large rate hikes over the past year to cool economic activity and inflation. That caused prices of bonds and other assets on their books to fall, fueling unease about the industry’s financial health.

    “Investors are waiting to see where the dust settles on the banking saga before making any bold moves,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a report.

    The Hang Seng
    HSI,
    -2.65%
    in Hong Kong lost 3% to 18,920 and the Nikkei 225
    NIK,
    -1.42%
    in Tokyo shed 1.2% to 26,990.25.

    The Shanghai Composite Index
    SHCOMP,
    -0.48%
    lost 0.2% to 3,241 after the Chinese central bank on Friday freed up additional money for lending by reducing the amount of money commercial are required to hold in reserve. Hong Kong shares of HSBC
    5,
    -6.23%
    dropped over 6%.

    The Kospi
    180721,
    -0.69%
    in Seoul retreated 0.6% to 2,382.03 and Sydney’s S&P-ASX 200
    XJO,
    -1.38%
    lost 1.4% to 6,900.00.

    India’s Sensex opened down 1.1% at 57,341.79. New Zealand and Southeast Asian markets also declined.

    The Swiss government said UBS will acquire Credit Suisse for almost $3.25 billion after a plan for the troubled lender to borrow as much as $54 billion from Switzerland’s central bank failed to reassure investors and customers.

    U.S. regulators have also sought to calm fears over threats to banking systems. The Federal Reserve said cash-short banks had borrowed about $300 billion from the Federal Reserve in the week up to Thursday.

    Separately, New York Community Bank
    NYCB,
    -4.66%
    agreed to buy a significant chunk of the failed Signature Bank in a $2.7 billion deal, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said late Sunday. The FDIC said $60 billion in Signature Bank’s loans will remain in receivership and are expected to be sold off in time.

    Concerns persist about other lenders with shaky finances. Credit Suisse is among 30 institutions known as globally systemically important banks. Ahead of its takeover, Wall Street’s benchmark S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -1.10%
    lost 1.1% on Friday to 3,916.64.

    Shares of First Republic Bank
    FRC,
    -32.80%
    sank nearly 33% to bring their plunge for the week to 71.8%.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -1.19%
    lost 1.2% to 31,861.98. The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -0.74%
    fell 0.7% to 11,630.51. Dow futures
    YM00,
    -0.70%
    fell 0.3% early Monday, while S&P 500 futures
    ES00,
    -0.60%
    and Nasdaq-100 futures
    NQ00,
    -0.33%
    were steady.

    The unexpectedly large, fast rate hikes by the Fed and other central banks to cool inflation that is close to multi-decade highs have caused prices of bonds and other assets on their books to fall.

    Traders expect last week’s turmoil to push the Fed to limit a rate hike at its meeting this week to 0.25 percentage points. That would be the same as the previous increase and half the margin traders expected earlier.

    A survey released Friday by the University of Michigan showed inflation expectations among American consumers are falling. That matters to the Fed, which has said such expectations can feed into virtuous and vicious cycles.

    In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude
    CL.1,
    -3.27%
    sank 93 cents to $64.81 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $1.61 on Friday to $66.74. Brent crude
    BRN00,
    -3.29%    ,
    the price basis for international oils, declined $1.05 cents to $71.92 per barrel in London. It retreated $1.73 the previous session to $72.97.

    The dollar
    DXY,
    +0.13%
    gained to 131.83 yen from Friday’s 131.67 yen. The euro
    EURUSD,
    -0.11%
    declined to $1.0676 from $1.0681.

    MarketWatch contributed to this report.

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  • Asian shares follow Wall Street lower after stronger-than-expected data

    Asian shares follow Wall Street lower after stronger-than-expected data

    BANGKOK (AP) — Shares fell Monday in Asia after Wall Street benchmarks closed out their worst week since early December. U.S. futures edged higher while oil prices fell.

    Reports on inflation, the jobs market and retail spending have come in hotter than expected, leading analysts to raise forecasts for how high the Federal Reserve will have to take interest rates to slow the U.S. economy and cool inflation.

    Higher rates pressure business activity and investment prices. So far, they do not seem to be slowing growth as much as anticipated. The S&P 500 fell 1.1% Friday to cap its third straight loss.

    “It is becoming increasingly apparent that inflation, and associated inflation expectations and wage pressures, will not decline in a predictable linear manner,” Mizuho Bank said in a commentary. “Early trading on Monday suggests that risk aversion has been brought forward to Asian markets.”

    Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index
    NIK,
    -0.11%
    edged 0.1% lower to 27,423 and the Kospi
    180721,
    -0.87%
    in Seoul gave up 0.8% to 2,402.

    In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng
    HSI,
    -0.26%
    lost 0.5% to 19,907 while the Shanghai Composite index
    SHCOMP,
    -0.28%
    was down 0.2% at 3,259. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200
    XJO,
    -1.12%
    shed 1.1% to 7,224.80.

    Bangkok was 0.3% lower while the Sensex in Mumbai dropped 0.7%.

    On Friday, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -1.05%
    closed 1% lower at 3,970.04. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -1.02%
    dropped 1% to 32,816.92, while the Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    -1.69%
    lost 1.7% to 11,394.94.

    Higher rates can drive down inflation, but they raise the risk of a recession.

    The measure of inflation preferred by the Fed, reported Friday, said prices were 4.7% higher in January than a year earlier, after ignoring costs for food and energy because they can swing more quickly than others. That was an acceleration from December’s inflation rate and was higher than economists’ expectations for 4.3%.

    It echoed other reports earlier in the month that showed inflation at both the consumer and wholesale levels was higher than expected in January.

    Other data Friday showed that consumer spending, the biggest piece of the economy, returned to growth in January, rising 1.8% from December. A separate reading on sentiment among consumers came in slightly stronger than earlier thought, while sales of new homes improved a bit more than expected.

    Such strength paired with the remarkably resilient job market raises the likelihood the economy might avoid a recession in the near term.

    Tech and high-growth stocks once again took the brunt of the pressure.

    Investments seen as the most expensive, riskiest or making their investors wait the longest for big growth are among the most vulnerable to higher rates.

    Traders are increasing bets on the Fed raising its benchmark rate to at least 5.25% and keeping it that high through the end of the year. It’s currently in a range of 4.50% to 4.75%, and it was at virtually zero a year ago.

    Expectations for a firmer Fed have caused yields in the Treasury market to shoot higher this month, and they climbed further Friday.

    The yield on the 10-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.928%
    was steady at 3.94%, up from 3.89% late Thursday. It helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans. The two-year yield
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    4.815%    ,
    which moves more on expectations for the Fed, rose to 4.79% from 4.71% and is near its highest level since 2007.

    In other trading Monday, U.S. benchmark crude oil
    CL.1,
    +0.20%
    lost 56 cents to $75.75 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It gained 93 cents to $76.32 per barrel. Brent crude oil
    BRN00,
    +0.10%    ,
    the pricing basis for international trading, shed 65 cents to $82.51 per barrel.

    The dollar
    DXY,
    -0.12%
    rose to 136.41 Japanese yen
    USDJPY,
    -0.30%
    from 136.45 yen. The euro
    EURUSD,
    +0.12%
    slipped to $1.0533 from $1.0549.

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  • Asian shares rise in thin holiday trading, with U.S., European markets closed

    Asian shares rise in thin holiday trading, with U.S., European markets closed

    BANGKOK (AP) — Shares rose Monday in Asia in thin post-Christmas holiday trading, with markets in Hong Kong, Sydney and several other places closed.

    Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index
    NIK,
    +0.65%
    gained 0.6% to 26,393.32 and the Kospi
    180721,
    +0.15%
    in Seoul added 0.2% to 2,318.54. The Shanghai Composite index
    SHCOMP,
    +0.65%
    rose 0.5% to 3,061.93 and the SET
    SET,
    +0.47%
    in Bangkok added 0.6%.

    Bank of Japan Gov. Haruhiko Kuroda indicated in a widely watched speech Monday that the central bank does not intend to alter its longstanding policy of monetary easing to cope with pressures from inflation on the world’s third-largest economy.

    Last week, markets were jolted by a slight adjustment in the target range for the yield of long-term Japanese government bonds, viewing it as a sign the Bank of Japan might finally unwind its massive support for the economy through ultra-low interest rates and purchases of bonds and other assets.

    A widening gap between interest rates in Japan and other countries has pulled the Japanese yen sharply lower against the U.S. dollar and other currencies and accentuated the impact of higher costs for many imported products and commodities.

    But the BOJ has kept its key lending rate at minus 0.1%, cautious over risks of recession.

    Kuroda told the Keidanren, the country’s most powerful business group, that with economies facing likely downward pressure, and with Japan’s economy not fully recovered from the impacts of the pandemic, the BOJ “deems it necessary to conduct monetary easing and thereby firmly support the economy. …”

    On Friday, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.59%
    reversed a 0.7% loss to close 0.6% higher, at 3,844.82. With one week left of trading in 2022, the benchmark index is down 19.3% for the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.53%
    rose 0.5% to 33,203.93, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq
    COMP,
    +0.21%
    edged 0.2% higher, to 10,497.86.

    Small company stocks also rose. The Russell 2000 index
    RUT,
    +0.39%
    picked up 0.4% to 1,760.93.

    Mixed economic news weighed on stocks early on, but the indexes rebounded by late afternoon amid relatively light trading ahead of the long holiday weekend. U.S. and European markets will be closed Monday.

    Markets are in a tricky situation where relatively solid consumer spending and a strong employment market reduce the risk of a recession but also raise the threat of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve as it presses its campaign to crush inflation.

    The government reported Friday that a key measure of inflation is continuing to slow, though the inflation gauge in the consumer spending report was still far higher than anyone wants to see. Also, growth in consumer spending weakened last month by more than expected, but incomes were a bit stronger than expected.

    Last week’s reports were the last big U.S. economic updates of the year. Investors will soon turn their focus to the next round of corporate earnings.

    The Fed has said it will keep raising interest rates to tame inflation, even though the pace of price increases has continued to ease. The Fed’s key overnight rate is at its highest level in 15 years, after beginning the year at a record low of roughly zero.

    The key lending rate, the federal funds rate, stands at a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, and Fed policymakers have forecast that the rate will reach a range of 5% to 5.25% by the end of 2023.

    Given the persistence of high inflation, “many are starting to believe the main story is that there will be no scope for Fed cuts in the year ahead and that central banks will maintain these relatively high rates until underlying inflation is truly cracked — and that process will take time,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary.

    The Fed’s forecast doesn’t call for a rate cut before 2024, and the higher rates have raised concerns the economy could stall and slip into a recession in 2023. High rates have also been weighing heavily on prices for stocks and other investments.

    In currency dealings, the U.S. dollar
    DXY,
    -0.10%
    slipped to 132.62 Japanese yen from 132.82 yen late Friday. The euro rose to $1.0629 from $1.0614.

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  • Hong Kong stocks suffer worst single-day rout since 2008 as Xi consolidates power

    Hong Kong stocks suffer worst single-day rout since 2008 as Xi consolidates power

    Hong Kong stocks suffered their worst single session since the 2008 financial crisis after Chinese leader Xi Jinping tightened his grip on power.

    The Hang Seng
    HSI,
    -6.36%
    ended more than 6% lower to a new 13-year low, with tech giants including JD.com
    9618,
    -13.17%

    JD,
    -0.02%    ,
    Baidu
    9888,
    -12.20%

    BIDU,
    -2.29%    ,
    Tencent
    700,
    -11.43%
    and Alibaba
    9988,
    -11.42%

    BABA,
    +0.22%
    dropping between 11% and 13% each.

    The local Shanghai Composite
    SHCOMP,
    -2.02%
    index fell a less dramatic 2%.

    Over the weekend, the 69-year-old Xi secured his third term as general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party. Reporters captured video of former Chinese President Hu Jintao getting escorted out of the closing ceremony. Four of the seven standing committee members were replaced, all of whom are at least 60 years old.

    Analysts at Goldman Sachs say most of the new appointees worked with Xi at earlier stages of their careers. “We note that incoming leaders could arguably be more focused on ideological and political subjects while the retiring policymakers appear more economy/market-oriented,” they said.

    They added that for valuations to improve, more clarity on the zero COVID policy, stabilization of the property markets, and de-escalation of both cross-straits and U.S.-China tensions would be needed.

    China also reported delayed data, saying its economy grew at a 3.9% year-over-year rate in the third quarter, up from 0.4% in the second quarter.

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  • Asian stocks moving lower in wake of latest volatile session on Wall Street

    Asian stocks moving lower in wake of latest volatile session on Wall Street

    TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were mostly lower on Wednesday following another volatile day on Wall Street, as traders braced for updates on inflation and corporate earnings.

    Benchmarks fell in Tokyo
    NIY00,
    +0.09%    ,
    Shanghai
    SHCOMP,
    -1.12%
    and Hong Kong
    HSI00,
    -2.90%
    but rose in Sydney.

    South Korea’s Kospi
    180721,
    +0.34%
    lost 0.1% to 2,189.86 after the Bank of Korea raised its key rate by 0.5 percentage point, amid the backdrop of Fed rate hikes in the U.S. and growing inflation risks from the weak won and rebounding global oil prices.

    In currency trading the Japanese yen declined to a 24-year low against the U.S. dollar
    JPYUSD,
    -0.24
    at 146 yen-levels, raising expectations of another intervention by Tokyo to prop up the yen. By midday the dollar
    USDJPY,
    +0.24%
    was at 146.17 yen, up from 145.80 late Tuesday. The euro
    EURUSD,
    +0.12%
    cost 96.96 cents, inching down from 97.07 yen.

    The weaker yen raises costs for both consumers and businesses who rely on imports of food, fuel and other needs, but the bigger purchasing power for foreign currencies is expected to boost tourism. Japan reopened fully to individual tourist travel this week after being closed for more than two years because of the pandemic.

    Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 lost 0.2% to 26,348.73 in morning trading. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200
    ASX10000,
    -1.54%
    gained nearly 0.2% to 6,656.00. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slipped 2% to 16,491.39, while the Shanghai Composite shed 1.2% to 2,943.24.

    On Tuesday, the S&P 500
    SPX,
    -0.65%
    fell 0.7%, marking its fifth straight loss, closing at 3,588.84. The Nasdaq
    COMP,
    -1.10%
    dropped 1.1% to 10,426.19. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.12%
    added 0.1% to 29,239.19, while the Russell 2000 index
    RUT,
    +0.06%
    rose 1 point, or about 0.1%, to 1,692.92.

    Recession fears have been weighing heavily on markets as stubbornly hot inflation burns businesses and consumers. Economic growth has been slowing as consumers temper spending and the Federal Reserve and other central banks raise interest rates.

    The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its forecast for global economic growth in 2023 to 2.7%, down from the 2.9% it had estimated in July. The cut comes as Europe faces a particularly high risk of a recession with energy costs soaring amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

    See: Global economy most vulnerable since COVID crisis, with housing market at potential ‘tipping point,’ IMF warns

    Wall Street is closely watching the Federal Reserve as it continues to aggressively raise its benchmark interest rate to make borrowing more expensive and slow economic growth. The goal is to cool inflation, but the strategy carries the risk of slowing the economy too much and pushing it into a recession.

    “The market desperately wants a reason for the Fed to be able to stop tightening and the data recently hasn’t given them that opening with respect to inflation,” said Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at All Star Charts.

    Computer-chip manufacturers continued slipping in the wake of the U.S. government’s decision to tighten export controls on semiconductors and chip manufacturing equipment to China. Qualcomm
    QCOM,
    -3.99%
    fell 4%.

    See: Intel reportedly plans to lay off thousands of workers, with details potentially emerging alongside quarterly earnings

    Uber
    UBER,
    -10.42%
    fell 10.4% and Lyft
    LYFT,
    -12.02%
    slumped 12% following a proposal by the U.S. government that could give contract workers at ride-hailing and other gig economy companies full status as employees.

    The Fed will release minutes from its last meeting on Wednesday, possibly giving Wall Street more insight into its views on inflation and next steps.

    Investors still expect the Fed to raise its overnight rate by three-quarters of a percentage point next month, the fourth such increase. That’s triple the usual amount, and would bring the rate up to a range of 3.75% to 4%. It started the year at virtually zero.

    Rex Nutting: Leading indicators show inflation is slowing, but Fed policy makers are too busy looking in rearview mirror to notice

    The government will also release its report on wholesale prices Wednesday, providing an update on how inflation is hitting businesses. The closely watched report on consumer prices will be released on Thursday, and a report on retail sales is due Friday.

    “Everyone is still hoping that every inflation report will be the one that shows that pressure is alleviating,” Delwiche said.

    Wall Street is also gearing up for the start of the latest corporate earnings reporting season, which could provide a clearer picture of inflation’s impact.

    Among the companies reporting quarterly results this week: PepsiCo
    PEP,
    +0.48%    ,
    Delta Air Lines
    DAL,
    -1.97%
    and Domino’s Pizza
    DPZ,
    -1.99%    .
    Banks including Citigroup
    C,
    -2.76%
    and JPMorgan Chase
    JPM,
    -2.89%
    will also report results.

    In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude
    CL00,
    -0.75%
    lost 82 cents to $88.53 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. U.S. crude-oil prices fell 2% Tuesday. Brent crude
    BRN00,
    -0.56%    ,
    the international pricing standard, fell 62 cents to $93.67 a barrel.

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