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Tag: Climate Experts

  • Why Iceland Is Becoming a Model for Renewable-Powered High-Performance Computing

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    With abundant renewable energy, efficient cooling and community-first development, Iceland shows how data centers can grow without compromising the planet. Unsplash+

    As the demand for A.I.-ready digital infrastructure skyrockets, data center development has become an urgent and necessary foundation for a wide spectrum of high-performance computing technologies—and for the businesses that are increasingly dependent on them. Unsurprisingly, data center construction has surged globally. Yet as growth accelerates, teh roadblocks to building at the required pace and scale have become far more pronounced. 

    Arguably, the most critical factor in data center development today is access to power. Alex de Vries-Gao, the founder of tech sustainability website Digiconomist, estimates that by the end of 2025, energy consumption by A.I. systems could reach 23 gigawatts—twice the total energy consumption of the Netherlands.

    This poses two intertwined challenges. First, many countries simply lack sufficient power or a modern grid capable of supporting these demands. Much of the U.S. and U.K. national grid infrastructure was built between 1950 and 1970 and designed around large coal-fired plants—a post-war regeneration system now decades overdue for modernization. As coal availability waned, nuclear and renewable sources such as wind and solar began to fill the gap. Yet, these types of energy systems take time to develop and rely heavily on robust, upgraded power networks. The sudden increase in power demand resulting from the proliferation of data centers has highlighted the crucial need for investment in power infrastructure globally.

    Second, the demand for such vast power has sharpened scrutiny on the carbon footprint of data centers. As a result, data-intensive businesses are increasingly looking for data center partners that have proven sustainability credentials and can help decarbonize their IT workloads. That often means looking further afield than your local neighborhood data center provider to find a partnership that is environmentally and financially beneficial and sustainable long-term. At atNorth, we are seeing unprecedented demand for environmentally responsible A.I. infrastructure at speed and scale. Power bottlenecks caused by power availability simply cannot be allowed to become a limiting factor to growth.

    The Icelandic example

    Data centers located in cooler climates such as the Nordics can leverage highly energy-efficient cooling systems that significantly reduce the energy required to power and cool the hardware they host. The region also benefits from abundant renewable energy and relatively young, resilient power and internet networks. 

    Iceland, in particular, is a global leader in clean energy: 71 percent of its energy is generated by hydropower, and 29 percent from geothermal energy. Icelandic data centers can combine renewable energy with its naturally cool ambient temperatures to achieve exceptional energy efficiency. While global average Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE)—the metric of data center energy efficiency where the ideal value is 1.0 (representing 100 percent efficiency)—hovers around 1.48, Icelandic facilities average between 1.1 and 1.2, enabling customers to significantly decarbonize their IT workloads. For example, BNP Paribas lowered its total cost of ownership, cut energy use by 50 percent and reduced CO₂ output by 85 percent by relocating a portion of its IT infrastructure to one of atNorth’s Icelandic facilities.

    Temperatures in Iceland typically range from 30°F (-1 °C) in winter to 52°F (11 °C) in summer, enabling free-air cooling of some IT workloads. As compute density increases to accommodate A.I. and other high-performance applications, more advanced cooling technologies—such as Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) or Direct to Chip Cooling—that allow water (or coolants) to reduce the temperature of the computer equipment more efficiently due to superior heat dissipation have become essential. These solutions are widely available in Iceland and across the Nordic countries, which are well known for their environmentally friendly ethos and circular economy principles.

    Moreover, Iceland’s political and economic stability offers another key advantage as geopolitical uncertainty grows across regions. Businesses are now more sensitive to the physical location of their data and the legal frameworks that govern it. As a member of the European Economic Area (EEA), Iceland has adopted the E.U.’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and reinforced it with national legislation, resulting in robust safeguards for data privacy and security.

    Going beyond carbon reduction

    These factors have driven a surge in Nordic data center development in recent years, positioning the region at the forefront of the industry. While much of the world works to upgrade legacy power networks in order to start building data centers, the Nordic countries are addressing newer challenges associated with more mature data center development. Certainly, at atNorth, we have seen growing demand for a more holistic approach to sustainability and responsible operations. It is not enough to mitigate environmental impact; data center operators must deliver tangible benefits to the local communities in which we operate to support long-term sustainability and economic growth.

    Using the most sustainable materials possible is one factor that can showcase an honest commitment to care for the natural environment. atNorth’s ICE03 data center was constructed using Glulam, a sustainable laminated wood product with lower environmental impact and superior fire resistance compared to steel. Similarly, the site was insulated using sustainable Icelandic rockwool, produced from natural volcanic basalt and known for its durability, fire resistance and low ecological footprint.  

    The process of heat reuse—the recycling of waste heat from the data center cooling systems for use in the local community—is a practice that is common in the Nordic countries and growing in popularity across northern Europe. This is a fundamental part of sustainable data center design, and even in countries like Iceland, where naturally heated geothermal water is abundant, opportunities for further improvement remain. At ICE03, for example, atNorth partnered with the municipality of Akureyri to channel waste heat into a new community-run greenhouse, which will provide a space for schoolchildren to explore ecological farming practices and sustainable food production. These initiatives reduce carbon emissions for both the data center and the receiving organization while addressing specific local needs, such as fresh vegetable production in a country that imports 80 percent of its fresh produce.

    Community engagement is also becoming pivotal to the data center development process as competition over suitable land intensifies. Just as the concept of a “trusted brand” has proven fundamental in the consumer retail market—with some research suggesting that 81 percent of consumers need to trust a brand before considering a purchase—the same principle extends to regional decision-making that directly affects the lives of local people. Therefore, operators that can demonstrate a genuine commitment to good corporate citizenship will undoubtedly find more success.

    To ensure authentic integration with local communities, local hiring is essential. Over 90 percent of the workforce involved in developing atNorth’s ICE03 site came from nearby communities. The company also supports local education, charities and community projects through volunteer support and financial donations—sponsoring a local run in Akureyri, funding Reykjanesbær’s light festival and donating advanced mechatronics equipment to Akureyri University to support training for data center-related careers. 

    Building for the A.I. era—responsibly 

    As digitalization intensifies, so will the demand for high-performance data center capacity. Yet such rapid expansion carries risks that could seriously undermine long-term sustainability. The boom-and-reckoning pattern seen in industries like palm oil—where explosive growth preceded significant deforestation—serves as a warning. 

    The data center industry must learn from history and chart a new path in which digital infrastructure can be technologically advanced, environmentally responsible and locally beneficial. In short: data centers must be developed to meet A.I.-era performance demands while driving responsible growth and long-term value for clients, communities and our planet.

    Why Iceland Is Becoming a Model for Renewable-Powered High-Performance Computing

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    Erling Freyr Guðmundsson

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  • Understanding the New Paradigm of Natural Capital Investment

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    High-integrity carbon and biodiversity markets are scaling fast, transforming natural capital into one of the century’s most powerful asset classes. Unsplash+

    Natural capital, the planet’s stocks of soil, air, water and biodiversity, has shifted from the margins of philanthropy into the center of global finance. Once the concern of activists and campaigners, it is now emerging as a recognised asset class. As climate change, biodiversity loss and sustainability pressures mount, governments, corporations and investors are rethinking how to value and invest in ecosystems that underpin our economies.

    This represents a profound paradigm shift: nature’s services are no longer just to be protected, but also priced, traded and embedded within financial systems. To understand how we reached this point, it’s worth tracing the origins of natural capital markets in early carbon trading systems, which laid the groundwork for today’s more sophisticated structures—and looking ahead to what the future may hold. 

    Early ventures to structured financial markets

    The first formal natural capital investment frameworks emerged out of regulated carbon markets. The Kyoto Protocol (1997) established international carbon trading, and by 2005, the E.U. Emissions Trading System (E.U. ETS) became the world’s largest compliance market. Standardized allowances and credits represented one tonne of CO₂ equivalent (CO₂e) either avoided or removed from the atmosphere, making projects comparable and markets transparent.

    Yet these early compliance systems were never designed to create truly investable products. They were blunt policy instruments focused on reducing emissions at the lowest cost. In practice, over-allocation and volatility led to price collapses, and the system often acted as a “licence to pollute,” permitting emitters to continue business as usual so long as they purchased allowances or credits.

    In parallel, voluntary—or perhaps better described as private—carbon markets offered something more innovative: opportunities for companies or individuals to fund projects with positive environmental and increasingly social outcomes. This distinction between regulation-as-permission and voluntary action-as-restoration is central to the modern natural capital story.

    Still, voluntary markets were fragmented and highly variable in pricing. In 2006, reforestation projects traded anywhere between £0.37 and £33.33 ($0.50 and $45) per tonne, while avoided deforestation and monoculture plantations commanded lower values. Early voluntary markets also faced significant integrity challenges. Project methodologies were inconsistent, verification standards varied widely and some credits were criticised for overstating emissions reductions or lacking additionality, meaning they might have happened without market funding. These early weaknesses highlighted the importance of robust standards, independent verification and transparency, lessons that continue to shape modern natural capital investment and the evolution of high-integrity carbon and biodiversity markets.

    Meanwhile, the United States pioneered wetland and conservation banking, where developers purchase credits to offset habitat impacts. Today, this market has expanded to more than $100 billion in credit value and can be viewed as the early ancestor of the U.K.’s Biodiversity Net Gain market. While these systems created a mechanism for private capital to flow into conservation, they were restricted to specific habitats or species and designed around achieving “no net loss” rather than genuine biodiversity uplift, limiting the diversity of investment opportunities and potential for landscape-scale enhancement.

    The acceleration of private natural capital markets

    Natural capital markets are now scaling quickly. Growth is fueled by compliance mandates, corporate net-zero pledges and recognition that resilient, nature-based investments are essential in a changing climate. High-integrity credits from peatland restoration, reforestation and coastal ecosystems now command premium prices.

    In 2024, U.K.-accredited credits averaged £26.85 tCO₂e for Woodland Carbon Code projects. By 2025, landmark deals—including Burges Salmon x Oxygen Conservation x WCC (£125 or $169 tCO₂e for up to 8,000 tonnes) and Arup x Nattergal x Wilder Carbon (£100 or $135 tCO₂e for up to 10,000 tonnes)—reset global benchmarks. Forward projections, including the Oxygen Carbon Curve, suggest that prices for the highest-integrity credits could reach £150 ($203) tCO₂e by 2030 and potentially £500 ($675) tCO₂e by 2050. 

    Major corporate buyers are accelerating global demand. Microsoft, now the largest purchaser of carbon-removal credits, has secured millions of tonnes to meet its 2030 carbon-positive goal. Stripe’s Frontier fund has committed over $300 million to remove over half a million tonnes of CO₂e, while JP Morgan has invested nearly $200 million into durable carbon removal solutions. Such transactions signal institutional-scale interest and reinforce natural capital’s credibility as an asset class.

    Biodiversity net gain: the U.K. compliance catalyst

    The Environment Act 2021 created the U.K.’s first compliance-driven biodiversity market by mandating a 10 percent Biodiversity Net Gain (BNG) for most developments from January 2024. This has spurred a growing supply chain of habitat banks and trading platforms, including Environment Bank, Gaia Marketplace and BNGx.

    In its first year, mandatory BNG delivered strong signals of market activity:

    Although only two percent of registered biodiversity units have been sold so far, forecasts suggest a $4 billion market by 2035. Pricing dynamics within BNG markets are also revealing. Common habitat units currently trade between £25,000 and £35,000 ($33,760 and $47,266) per unit, reflecting their broader availability. At the other end of the spectrum, the rarest units, particularly those linked to river and wetland restoration, are commanding extraordinary premiums, often exceeding £100,000 ($135,000) per unit. Their scarcity makes them both ecologically significant and highly attractive to investors seeking exposure to the most exclusive segment of the biodiversity market.

    Innovation is also advancing quickly. The leading U.K. business in this space, CreditNature, has designed methodologies to baseline and measure biodiversity gains over time. These credits are increasingly viewed as the private-market equivalent of BNG, extending principles of standardization and integrity into wider ecosystem services.

    Globally, demand for carbon and biodiversity natural capital credits is projected to reach between $37 and $49 billion annually by the early 2030s, with some forecasts suggesting voluntary biodiversity credits alone may be worth as much as $69 billion by 2050—underscoring the scale of opportunity. 

    The new frontier of natural capital

    Natural capital is fast becoming one of the most compelling investment opportunities of the century. Once speculative, high-quality projects that restore ecosystems, sequester carbon and enhance biodiversity are now attracting large-scale institutional capital.

    What began as a mechanism to channel private capital into environmental projects has matured into markets with robust governance, transparent measurement and increasing liquidity. The co-benefits—from cleaner air and water to healthier communities—enhance, rather than substitute, financial performance.

    The U.K. is already setting the pace for global leadership in this transformation. With strong legal systems, advanced science and technology and transparent price-setting mechanisms, it is demonstrating how commercial success and ecological impact can be mutually reinforcing. Whether the challenge is climate change, biodiversity collapse or the search for diversified investment opportunities, the imperative is clear: act now. There has never been greater urgency—or greater opportunity.

    Understanding the New Paradigm of Natural Capital Investment

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    Dr. Rich Stockdale

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