ReportWire

Tag: Business/Consumer Services

  • Pfizer gets FDA green light for new shot that can streamline teenagers’ vaccinations

    Pfizer gets FDA green light for new shot that can streamline teenagers’ vaccinations

    [ad_1]

    Pfizer Inc.
    PFE,
    -1.73%

    said Friday that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has approved the first five-in-one vaccine designed to protect teenagers and young adults against meningococcal disease. 

    The new Pfizer shot, Penbraya, protects against the five most common subgroups of meningococcal disease, a rare but serious and potentially fatal illness that most often affects babies and teenagers. 

    Penbraya “has the potential to protect more adolescents and young adults from this severe and unpredictable disease by providing the broadest meningococcal coverage in the fewest shots,” Annaliesa Anderson, Pfizer senior vice president and head of vaccine research and development, said in a statement. 

    The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention currently recommends that all 11- to 12-year-olds get a meningococcal vaccine protecting against four of the subgroups — A, C, W and Y — and get a booster dose of the same vaccine type at age 16. Teenagers and young adults age 16 to 23 may also get a meningococcal B vaccine, the CDC says, particularly if they’re at increased risk due to other health conditions. 

    The complex vaccination schedule has weighed on uptake of the meningococcal shots, and the COVID-19 pandemic may have compounded the problem, as many families missed routine appointments when vaccinations were due, researchers say. Among teenagers who were born in 2008 — who were due for their routine adolescent vaccinations as the pandemic was raging in 2020 — uptake of meningococcal and other recommended vaccines declined, according to CDC research. Only about 60% of the 17-year-olds surveyed by the CDC last year had received both recommended doses of the ACWY vaccine, and fewer than 30% had received at least one dose of the meningococcal B vaccine. 

    The new Pfizer shot combines components of a meningococcal group B vaccine and an ACWY vaccine. 

    A CDC immunization advisory committee is set to meet Oct. 25 to discuss recommendations for the use of Penbraya in teenagers and young adults, Pfizer said. 

    The green light for Penbraya gives Pfizer the edge in its race with GSK
    GSK,
    +0.54%
    ,
    which is also working on a five-in-one meningococcal shot. GSK earlier this year released positive late-stage clinical-trial results for that vaccine. 

    The FDA approval of Pfizer’s shot caps a rocky week for the pharmaceutical giant, which late last Friday cut $9 billion from its full-year revenue guidance due to reduced COVID sales expectations and announced a cost-cutting program designed to deliver savings of at least $3.5 billion. Pfizer executives said on a call with analysts Monday that development of combination respiratory vaccines, such as those that provide COVID and flu protection in one shot, remains a focus for the company, in part because they can help boost vaccine uptake.

    Pfizer shares were down 1.7% Friday and have dropped 40% in the year to date, while the S&P 500
    SPX
    has gained 10%.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Jim Jordan dropped as speaker nominee by House Republicans, who plan for new pick next week

    Jim Jordan dropped as speaker nominee by House Republicans, who plan for new pick next week

    [ad_1]

    House Republicans voted Friday in a secret ballot against keeping Rep. Jim Jordan as their nominee for speaker, and they planned to determine a new nominee next week.

    The Ohio congressman had been facing resistance in his bid to become speaker, with the number of fellow Republicans voting against him rising to 25 in a third round of voting Friday on the House floor, up from 22 in a prior ballot. 

    House GOP lawmakers were expected to meet Monday evening for a new forum for speaker candidates. Rep. Kevin Hern of Oklahoma said in a post on X that he was running for the job, and Rep. Jack Bergman of Michigan has indicated he’ll seek the post as well.

    The GOP opposition to Jordan stemmed from a range of concerns, including that his speakership could lead to cuts in defense
    ITA
    spending, as well as the view that he didn’t provide enough support for the speaker bid of House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, a Louisiana Republican. Jordan’s Republican opponents also said they’ve faced death threats for their stance, with Rep. Drew Ferguson of Georgia saying Thursday that the House GOP “does not need a bully as the Speaker.”

    Analysts have been warning that the process of picking a new speaker is preventing the Republican-run House from addressing crucial matters, such as supporting Israel and passing a budget to avoid a government shutdown next month that could rattle markets. It has been 17 days since the historic ouster of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, a California Republican.

    Related: Israel, Ukraine aid could run up against House dysfunction, making for ‘tragedy,’ analyst says

    And see: Biden seeks $14 billion for Israel, $61 billion for Ukraine in request to Congress

    With the House looking rudderless for more than two weeks, the chamber’s temporary speaker, GOP Rep. Patrick McHenry of North Carolina, has faced calls to take on the job more permanently. But a measure that would have McHenry serve in the post until January stalled on Thursday afternoon due to objections from a number of Republicans, even as Jordan offered his support for it.

    U.S. stocks
    SPX

    DJIA

    COMP
    were losing ground Friday, as rising bond yields
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
    and geopolitical tensions continue to take a toll. 

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Jim Jordan dropped as speaker nominee by House Republicans, who plan for new pick next week

    Jim Jordan dropped as speaker nominee by House Republicans, who plan for new pick next week

    [ad_1]

    House Republicans voted Friday in a secret ballot against keeping Rep. Jim Jordan as their nominee for speaker, and they planned to determine a new nominee next week.

    The Ohio congressman had been facing resistance in his bid to become speaker, with the number of fellow Republicans voting against him rising to 25 in a third round of voting Friday on the House floor, up from 22 in a prior ballot. 

    House…

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • AI stole the show this year, but earnings will drag Wall Street back to reality

    AI stole the show this year, but earnings will drag Wall Street back to reality

    [ad_1]

    Nearly a year ago, OpenAI released ChatGPT 3 into the world, and investors got visions of dollar signs in their heads as they imagined the ways that artificial intelligence could make big money for businesses.

    Wall Street’s now coming to terms with the fact that those sorts of paydays are going to take time. As investors have already seen from the past two quarters of earnings, AI has only really delivered financial benefits for a select few hardware companies so far — while spurring new costs for many others.

    “The AI boom has already bifurcated into the contenders and pretenders,” said Daniel Newman, chief executive and principal analyst of Futurum Research. And while Advanced Micro Devices Inc., Intel Corp. and Arm Holdings PLC
    ARM,
    +0.38%

    have stirred up interest, Nvidia Corp.
    NVDA,
    -4.68%

    has established itself as far and away the greatest “contender,” with AI driving strong demand for its chips tuned for AI training.

    Nvidia last quarter reported record earnings, including a 141% jump in revenue for its graphics chips used in AI infrastructure building up data centers. Nvidia, which reports near the end of earnings season on Nov. 21, posted record revenue of $13.5 billion last quarter and is expected to easily top that with $16 billion in the most recent quarter, a surge of 170% versus a year ago. Those estimates include $12.3 billion of revenue coming from data-center sales.

    Other chip companies could post gains from AI as well, but to far lesser extents. Candidates include Broadcom Corp.
    AVGO,
    -2.01%

    and system maker Super Micro Computer Inc.
    SMCI,
    +2.35%
    ,
    as well as Marvell Technology Inc.
    MRVL,
    -0.91%
    ,
    which last quarter told analysts that it expects to end the year at a revenue run rate of about $800 million this year from cloud/data-center chips related to AI.

    “This is well above what we had outlined last quarter. Put this in perspective: This would put us at the run rate we had previously communicated for all of next year,” Marvel Chief Executive Matthew Murphy told analysts.

    Super Micro is also riding the AI wave with its customized data-center servers that are designed to consume less power. But revenue in the September quarter is forecast to rise just 15% from a year ago and drop on a sequential basis, as supply constraints from Nvidia likely hampered Super Micro’s ability to meet all its demand.

    Much as Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
    AMD,
    -1.24%

    and Intel Corp.
    INTC,
    -1.37%

    want to be in the AI conversations with the graphics chips they hope will be used for AI data-center applications, they won’t see much of an impact yet from AI revenue. Plus, those companies are experiencing a slowdown in PC sales that may overshadow any small benefit from AI chips.

    The AI boom in chips is clearly not providing enough of a boost to lift finances for the overall semiconductor sector, which is forecast to see earnings fall 3.3% in the third quarter and post a revenue decline of 0.6%, according to FactSet. The industry is being dragged down in part by Micron Technology Inc.
    MU,
    -0.12%
    ,
    which reported a 40% drop in revenue and a whopping fiscal fourth-quarter loss in late September for the quarter ended Aug. 31, which is included in FactSet’s third-quarter data. Even so, the company called a bottom to the memory-chip downturn.

    Read also: Micron’s AI focused chip won’t help financial results anytime soon.

    “Most of the consumer-based tech is still struggling, [including] PCs, laptops and to a certain extent smartphones,” said Daniel Morgan, senior portfolio manager at Synovus Trust Co. Wall Street has tempered expectations related to the impact of Apple Inc.’s
    AAPL,
    -0.88%

    iPhone 15 launch on the quarter, as estimates call for an overall 1% drop in September-quarter revenue. Last quarter, Apple executives forecast that both Mac and iPad sales would be down by double-digits and that revenue performance would be similar to its June quarter, when revenue fell 1.3%

    In addition, when asked about AI, Apple CEO Tim Cook said the company views AI and machine learning “as core fundamental technologies that are integral to virtually every product that we build.” Those comments, though, can also apply to the bulk of tech companies, where AI is built into software as another layer to improve a product. Internet companies such as Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    +0.89%

    and Alphabet Inc.
    GOOG,
    +0.36%

    GOOGL,
    +0.45%

    incorporate AI into their software and algorithms but don’t treat it as a specific, revenue-generating product.

    Other software companies are building AI into their products as separate features or add-ons, but they are still in the early stages of seeing whether or not customers will pay more for them. Take Microsoft Corp.,
    MSFT,
    -0.17%

    which has showed off Copilot, an extra AI feature for customers of Microsoft 365.

    “[Microsoft] can distinguish itself by providing more details around its AI revenue
    ramp since we don’t expect much information from Google, who really doesn’t seem
    to have the monetization plan for Bard and AI-assisted search (SGE) ready to
    articulate yet,” Melius Research analyst Ben Reitzes said in a note to clients this week. He also noted that the cost of offering AI products to consumers is steep, and requires lots of investment.

    “There are sophisticated issues to contend with for Microsoft, including balancing the potential for higher revenue from Copilots with the high costs per query and much-needed investment,” Reitzes said. “The balance of AI adoption vs. cost was implied when Microsoft guided to flat operating margins year over year for fiscal 2024.”

    Earlier this year, the Information reported that OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT and recipient of a hefty investment from Microsoft, has costs of up to $700,000 a day, because the massive amounts of computing power needed to run queries. In February, OpenAI launched ChatGPT Plus, for $20 a month, a service that will give subscribers access to its AI during peak times and faster response times.

    Another example is Adobe Inc.
    ADBE,
    +1.70%
    ,
    which has a few AI offerings, including a subscription service called Generative Credits, tokens that let customers turn text-based prompts into images. Another is Firefly, a generative AI service for images, and an AI option in Photoshop, currently called Photoshop Beta AI, to help users fill in images and other collaborative tools. Adobe did not provide any forecasts on potential revenue generation during its analyst day earlier this month.

    Toni Sacconaghi, a Bernstein Research analyst, said AI could drive a massive increase in enterprise productivity, and companies could dramatically increase IT spending on servers in order to invest in productivity-enhancing AI. “However, we note that enterprise adoption appears to be in early stages,” he said in a recent note to clients, adding that it was feasible that spending on AI infrastructure could take money away from other IT projects in process. “We do worry that projected AI infrastructure build out may be occurring too quickly, necessitating a digestion period, which could result in a commensurate stock pullback in AI-related names.”

    Overall, the information-technology sector itself is expected to see anemic revenue growth this quarter. The consensus on FactSet forecasts a meager 1.35% revenue uptick in the third quarter, with earnings growth of 4.65%. FactSet’s estimates for IT companies exclude internet companies like Meta and Alphabet, which are under the category of communications/interactive media services. That sector is expected to see sales growth of 12%, and earnings growth of 51%, thanks to a 116% boost in Meta’s net income, after it hit a low point in the year-ago quarter.

    Amazon.com Inc.
    AMZN,
    -0.81%
    ,
    in the category of consumer discretionary/broadline retail, is forecast to see earnings growth of 109%, and revenue growth of 11%. Amazon’s cloud services business, AWS, is expected to also see a potential uplift from customers spending money on AI projects, according to a TD Cowen & Co. survey, in which 41% of respondents said they were “highly considering” allocating a budget for generative AI.

    “This trend could bode well for Amazon’s AWS,” TD Cowen analyst John Blackledge said in a recent report, adding that he expects AWS revenue growth to reaccelerate in the second half of this year and in 2024, boosted by the move of additional workloads to the cloud, possibly including generative AI.

    As companies build up their infrastructure, or their spending on cloud computing to add or improve AI capabilities, they are seeing higher costs, which is affecting margins — especially if revenue has slowed down, as it has in some sectors. Across both the broader S&P 500
    SPX,
    and the IT sector, earnings are lower than a year ago.

    As Newman of Futurum pointed out, “AI stole the budget this year.” And that is a mixed bag for tech.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • These are the biggest money mistakes we make in our 20s, 30s and 40s

    These are the biggest money mistakes we make in our 20s, 30s and 40s

    [ad_1]

    Financial literacy peaks at age 54, according to a 2022 study. That’s around the time you’ve gained enough knowledge and experience to make sound money decisions — and before your cognitive ability might start to ebb.

    “As we get older, we seem to rely more on past experience, rules of thumb, and intuitive knowledge about which products and strategies are better,” said Rafal Chomik, an economist in Australia who led the study.

    If people in their mid-50s tend to make smart financial moves, where does that leave younger generations?

    Advisers often educate clients at different stages of life to avoid money mistakes. While those in their 50s usually demonstrate optimal prudence  in navigating investments and savings, advisers keep busy helping others — from twentysomethings to mid-career professionals — avoid costly financial blunders:

    Navigate your 20s

    Perhaps the biggest blunder for young earners is spending too much and saving too little. They may also lack the long-term perspective that encourages long-range planning.

    “The mistake is not establishing the saving habit early, and not appreciating the power of compounding” over time, said Mark Kravietz, a certified financial planner in Melville, N.Y.

    Similarly, it’s common for young workers to delay enrolling in an employer-sponsored retirement plan. Not participating from the get-go comes with a steep long-term cost.

    Better to prioritize debt with the highest interest rate, which can result in paying less interest over the long run.

    People in their 20s process incoming information quickly. But their high level of fluid intelligence can work against them. Cursory research into a consumer trend or hot sector of the stock market can spur them to make rash investments. Such impulsive moves might backfire.

    “It’s important to resist the hype,” Kravietz said. “Don’t chase fads or try to make fast money” by timing the market.

    Many young adults with student debt juggle multiple loans. Eager to chip away at their debt, they fall into the trap of choosing the wrong loan to tackle first, says Megan Kowalski, an adviser in Boca Raton, Fla.

    Rather than pay off the highest-interest rate loan first (so-called avalanche debt), they mistakenly focus on the smallest loan (a.k.a. snowball debt). It’s better to prioritize debt with the highest interest rate, which can result in paying less interest over the long run.

    Navigate your 30s

    Resist the temptation to lower your 401(k) contribution to boost your take-home pay.

    By your 30s, insurance grows in importance. You want to protect what you have — now and in the future. But many people in this age group neglect their insurance needs. Or they misunderstand which coverages matter most.

    “If you have a life partner and kids, get the proper life insurance while in your 30s,” Kravietz said. 

    It’s easy to get caught up in your career and assume you can put off life insurance. But even low odds of your untimely death doesn’t mean you can ignore the risk of leaving your loved ones without a cash cushion.

    Another common blunder involves disability insurance. If your employer offers short-term disability insurance as an employee perk, you may think you’re all set.

    However, the real risk is how you’d earn income if you suffer a serious and lasting illness or injury. Don’t confuse short-term disability insurance (which might cover you for as long as one year) with long-term disability coverage that pays benefits for many years.

    Assuming you were wise enough to enroll in your employer-sponsored retirement plan from the outset, don’t slough off in your 30s. Resist the temptation to lower your 401(k) contribution to boost your take-home pay.

    “You want to give till it hurts,” Kravietz said. “Keep putting money away” in your 401(k) or other tax-advantaged plan until you feel a sting. Weigh the minor pain you feel now against the major relief of having a much bigger nest egg decades from now.

    Navigate your 40s

    ‘The 40s are often the most expensive in anyone’s life. Life is getting more complicated.’

    For Kravietz, the 40s represent a decade of heavy spending pressures. Mid-career professionals face a mortgage and mounting tuition bills for their children.

    “The 40s are often the most expensive in anyone’s life,” he said. “Life is getting more complicated.”

    As a result, it’s easy to overlook seemingly minor financial matters like updating beneficiaries on your 401(k) plan or completing all the appropriate estate documents such as a will.

    “People in their 40s sometimes fail to update beneficiaries,” Kravietz said. For example, a new marriage might mean changing the beneficiary from a prior partner or current parent to the new spouse.

    It’s also easy to get complacent about your investments, especially if you’re the conservative type who favors a set-it-and-forget-it strategy. Instead, think in terms of tax optimization.

    “In your 40s, you want to take advantage of what the government gives you,” Kravietz said. “If you have a lot of money in a bank money market account and you’re in a top tax bracket, shifting some of that money into municipal bonds can make sense” depending on your state of residence and other factors.

    If you’re saving for a child’s college tuition using a 529 plan — and you have parents who also want to chip in — work together to strategize. Don’t make assumptions about how much (or how little) your parents might contribute to your kid’s education.

    “Rather than assume you’ll have to pay a certain amount for educational expenses, coordinate between generations of parents and grandparents” on how much they intend to give, Kowalski said. “That way, you’re not duplicating efforts and you won’t put extra funds in a 529 plan.”

    More: 7 more ways to save that you may not have considered

    Also read: ‘We live a rather lavish lifestyle’: My wife and I are 33, live in New York City and earn $270,000. Can we retire at 55?

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Wall Street’s Q3 expectations have been all over the place. Now, a swing to profit growth is ‘likely’ — with a bigger rebound next year

    Wall Street’s Q3 expectations have been all over the place. Now, a swing to profit growth is ‘likely’ — with a bigger rebound next year

    [ad_1]

    Wall Street spent much of this year getting more tepid on third-quarter corporate profits, with expectations for subdued growth giving way to expectations for a slight decline.

    But after results from a handful of companies soundly beat estimates in recent days, one analyst who tracks the ebbs and flows of earnings data says at least a slight profit gain for the quarter is more likely — with potentially double-digit percentage growth next year.

    FactSet Senior Earnings Analyst John Butters, in a report out Friday, said that of the 32 companies in the S&P 500 Index
    SPX
    that reported third-quarter results through Friday, 84% have reported per-share profits that were above Wall Street’s expectations, and he said they were beating those expectations by a greater degree than usual.

    The index collectively, so far, was putting up a third-quarter earnings growth rate of 0.4% — compared to estimates on Oct. 6 for a 0.3% decline. Most companies, he said, tend to turn in earnings results that beat estimates.

    “Based on the average improvement in the earnings growth rate during the earnings season, the index will likely report year-over-year growth in earnings or more than 0.4% for Q3,” he said.

    That assessment follows quarterly results from big companies like JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Delta Air Lines, Inc.. Both the bank and the airline reported better-than-expected profits. JPMorgan
    JPM,
    +1.50%

    Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said U.S. consumers and businesses “generally remain healthy,” despite thinning pandemic-era savings, while Delta
    DAL,
    -2.99%

    pointed to enduring “robust” travel demand.

    More broadly, the quarter will be a look at how customers are faring amid still-high prices, an approaching holiday season and borrowing costs that could stay higher for longer. Recession pessimism has shown signs of easing. But Citigroup Inc.’s chief financial officer, Mark Mason, said on Friday that the bank expected a soft economic landing with a “mild recession” in the first half of 2024. However, he said such an outcome was “hard to call,” amid a strong job market.

    Financial forecasts tend to fluctuate as analysts digest real-life financial data. For now, they expect S&P 500 index earnings growth of 7.6% for the fourth quarter, and 0.9% for 2023 overall, according to FactSet. Next year, at the moment, looks better, with expected earnings growth of 12.2%.

    This week in earnings

    More names from the financial sector will report in the week ahead, following results from JPMorgan, Citigroup
    C,
    -0.24%

    and Wells Fargo & Co.
    WFC,
    +3.07%
    .
    Reports from Morgan Stanley
    MS,
    -0.03%

    and Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
    GS,
    -0.18%

    will offer more context on deal-making and market sentiment, while earnings from credit-card giants Discover Financial Services
    DFS,
    -1.47%

    and American Express
    AXP,
    -0.12%

    will get more granular on customer spending.

    More airlines, like United Airlines Holdings Inc.
    UAL,
    -2.76%

    and American Airlines Group Inc.
    AAL,
    -2.82%
    ,
    will also report, providing more detail on whether revenge travel still has any life left. Earnings are also due from Johnson & Johnson
    JNJ,
    +0.33%

    and AT&T Inc.
    T,
    -0.62%
    .

    In total 55 S&P 500 companies total will report quarterly results this week, including five from the Dow, according to FactSet.

    The call to put on your calendar

    Has Netflix become a utility? Hollywood’s writers will start returning to work, while talks with actors and studios have stalled. But the TV-and-film production limbo hasn’t been the only headache for streaming platform Netflix Inc., which reports quarterly results on Wednesday. The company will report amid greater pressure to boost profits, as the entertainment industry tries to find its footing in the streaming era. Ahead of the results, Wolfe Research analyst Peter Supino recently expressed concern that Netflix’s
    NFLX,
    -1.53%

    ad-supported plan was slow to catch on with viewers. Bernstein analysts likened the company to a mature, durable “utility.” But they also compared the stock to a long-running TV show that, while still good, might be starting to bore its audience. Executives will be hoping for better a better reception from investors.

    The number to watch

    Tesla margins: When EV maker Tesla Inc. reports results on Wednesday, it will be “all about margins,” Deepwater Asset Management’s Gene Munster said in note recently. Those results, and the focus on margins, will follow price cuts, and questions over profit growth and enthusiasm for Tesla’s
    TSLA,
    -2.99%

    new Cybertruck. And Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, in a research note, said the year ahead could be “volatile.”

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Mortgage bankers expect the 30-year rate to drop to 6.1% by the end of 2024

    Mortgage bankers expect the 30-year rate to drop to 6.1% by the end of 2024

    [ad_1]

    PHILADELPHIA — High mortgage rates are hammering home buyers, but expect rates to fall over the next year, one industry group says.

    Mortgage rates are over 7.5% as of mid-October, but expect rates to fall to 6.1% by the end of 2024, according to a forecast by the Mortgage Bankers Association. The group also expects the 30-year mortgage rate to fall to 5.5% by the end of 2025.

    A big driver pushing down rates will be a slowing U.S. economy, Mike Fratantoni, chief economist and senior vice president at the MBA, said during the group’s annual convention in Philadelphia on Sunday.

    Not only is the group expecting a recession in the first half of 2024, but the MBA also forecasts unemployment to rise and inflation to slow, which are signs of a weakening U.S. economy. That will, in turn, push rates down, as the market will expect the Fed to back off on hiking interest rates, they said.

     “The Fed’s hiking cycle is likely nearing an end, but while Fed officials have indicated that additional rate hikes might not be needed, rate cuts may not come as soon or proceed as rapidly as previously expected,” Fratantoni said.

    Consequently, mortgage lenders could see origination volume to increase 19% in 2024, to $1.95 trillion from the $1.64 trillion expected this year. Purchase originations are expected to rise by 11%, the MBA said. 

    The pandemic years were boom times for the mortgage industry. 2021 was a record year, when $4.4 trillion in mortgages were originated.

    But after the Fed began hiking interest rates in the middle of 2022, surging rates have put a damper on home-buying activity. Homes are far more expensive to purchase due to high rates, with the median principal and interest payment rising to $2,170 in August, compared to $1,284 in August 2021, according to MBA data.

    Fratantoni on Sunday said that he believed the “Fed is done” with rate hikes. There are two Fed meetings left this year. The MBA said it does not expect the Fed to hike interest rates in November, and to potentially hold off in December, depending on the data.

    But for now, lenders should brace for “a little bit more pain” for the next few months, which is generally a slower season for home sales, until a turnaround at the end of spring in 2024, Marina Walsh, vice president of industry analysis at the MBA, said during a presentation.

    Home prices will still continue to rise over the next three years, the MBA added, due to the persistence of tight inventory.

    Millennials are entering their prime home-buying years, said Joel Kan, deputy chief economist at the MBA, which will keep prices from falling.

    “The forecast is for low single-digit growth over the next few years supported by [low] inventory,” he said. “We’re not expecting national declines yet.”

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Stocks Are Poised to Rise Monday

    Stocks Are Poised to Rise Monday

    [ad_1]

    U.S. stocks are poised to rise on Monday ahead of a week of earnings and economic data releases, including quarterly reports from Tesla, Netflix, and .

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • These are the biggest money mistakes we make in our 20s, 30s and 40s

    These are the biggest money mistakes we make in our 20s, 30s and 40s

    [ad_1]

    Financial literacy peaks at age 54, according to a 2022 study. That’s around the time you’ve gained enough knowledge and experience to make sound money decisions — and before your cognitive ability might start to ebb.

    “As we get older, we seem to rely more on past experience, rules of thumb, and intuitive knowledge about which products and strategies are better,” said Rafal Chomik, an economist in Australia who led the study.

    If people in their mid-50s tend to make smart financial moves, where does that leave younger generations?

    Advisers often educate clients at different stages of life to avoid money mistakes. While those in their 50s usually demonstrate optimal prudence  in navigating investments and savings, advisers keep busy helping others — from twentysomethings to mid-career professionals — avoid costly financial blunders:

    Navigate your 20s

    Perhaps the biggest blunder for young earners is spending too much and saving too little. They may also lack the long-term perspective that encourages long-range planning.

    “The mistake is not establishing the saving habit early, and not appreciating the power of compounding” over time, said Mark Kravietz, a certified financial planner in Melville, N.Y.

    Similarly, it’s common for young workers to delay enrolling in an employer-sponsored retirement plan. Not participating from the get-go comes with a steep long-term cost.

    Better to prioritize debt with the highest interest rate, which can result in paying less interest over the long run.

    People in their 20s process incoming information quickly. But their high level of fluid intelligence can work against them. Cursory research into a consumer trend or hot sector of the stock market can spur them to make rash investments. Such impulsive moves might backfire.

    “It’s important to resist the hype,” Kravietz said. “Don’t chase fads or try to make fast money” by timing the market.

    Many young adults with student debt juggle multiple loans. Eager to chip away at their debt, they fall into the trap of choosing the wrong loan to tackle first, says Megan Kowalski, an adviser in Boca Raton, Fla.

    Rather than pay off the highest-interest rate loan first (so-called avalanche debt), they mistakenly focus on the smallest loan (a.k.a. snowball debt). It’s better to prioritize debt with the highest interest rate, which can result in paying less interest over the long run.

    Navigate your 30s

    Resist the temptation to lower your 401(k) contribution to boost your take-home pay.

    By your 30s, insurance grows in importance. You want to protect what you have — now and in the future. But many people in this age group neglect their insurance needs. Or they misunderstand which coverages matter most.

    “If you have a life partner and kids, get the proper life insurance while in your 30s,” Kravietz said. 

    It’s easy to get caught up in your career and assume you can put off life insurance. But even low odds of your untimely death doesn’t mean you can ignore the risk of leaving your loved ones without a cash cushion.

    Another common blunder involves disability insurance. If your employer offers short-term disability insurance as an employee perk, you may think you’re all set.

    However, the real risk is how you’d earn income if you suffer a serious and lasting illness or injury. Don’t confuse short-term disability insurance (which might cover you for as long as one year) with long-term disability coverage that pays benefits for many years.

    Assuming you were wise enough to enroll in your employer-sponsored retirement plan from the outset, don’t slough off in your 30s. Resist the temptation to lower your 401(k) contribution to boost your take-home pay.

    “You want to give till it hurts,” Kravietz said. “Keep putting money away” in your 401(k) or other tax-advantaged plan until you feel a sting. Weigh the minor pain you feel now against the major relief of having a much bigger nest egg decades from now.

    Navigate your 40s

    ‘The 40s are often the most expensive in anyone’s life. Life is getting more complicated.’

    For Kravietz, the 40s represent a decade of heavy spending pressures. Mid-career professionals face a mortgage and mounting tuition bills for their children.

    “The 40s are often the most expensive in anyone’s life,” he said. “Life is getting more complicated.”

    As a result, it’s easy to overlook seemingly minor financial matters like updating beneficiaries on your 401(k) plan or completing all the appropriate estate documents such as a will.

    “People in their 40s sometimes fail to update beneficiaries,” Kravietz said. For example, a new marriage might mean changing the beneficiary from a prior partner or current parent to the new spouse.

    It’s also easy to get complacent about your investments, especially if you’re the conservative type who favors a set-it-and-forget-it strategy. Instead, think in terms of tax optimization.

    “In your 40s, you want to take advantage of what the government gives you,” Kravietz said. “If you have a lot of money in a bank money market account and you’re in a top tax bracket, shifting some of that money into municipal bonds can make sense” depending on your state of residence and other factors.

    If you’re saving for a child’s college tuition using a 529 plan — and you have parents who also want to chip in — work together to strategize. Don’t make assumptions about how much (or how little) your parents might contribute to your kid’s education.

    “Rather than assume you’ll have to pay a certain amount for educational expenses, coordinate between generations of parents and grandparents” on how much they intend to give, Kowalski said. “That way, you’re not duplicating efforts and you won’t put extra funds in a 529 plan.”

    More: 7 more ways to save that you may not have considered

    Also read: ‘We live a rather lavish lifestyle’: My wife and I are 33, live in New York City and earn $270,000. Can we retire at 55?

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Your retirement checklist: 9 steps toward a better retirement

    Your retirement checklist: 9 steps toward a better retirement

    [ad_1]

    The U.S. is approaching “peak 65.” Are you ready for it?

    The number of people who turn 65 every day will peak in 2024, and more people will be staring at the possibility of retirement, often without a plan or a roadmap to help them thrive. Given that more people are living longer, that’s a long time to spend bored, lonely or financially insecure.

    Here’s a checklist to help you navigate the financial decisions, legal complications and social ramifications of retiring. Since 60% of workers retire earlier than planned, according to the Transamerica Institute and the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies, you shouldn’t leave these tasks to the last minute. Get started now.

    1. Update your will and estate-planning documents

    Your will may be decades out of date and your financial accounts may have beneficiaries linked to a previous marriage. Dust off those documents and get them refreshed as soon as possible.

    “Before you even start thinking about retirement, there’s some housekeeping that needs to get done,” says Eric Bond, the president of Bond Wealth Management. 

    On your immediate to-do list, make sure you have a will, power of attorney and healthcare power of attorney in case you become incapacitated and can’t act on your own behalf. You’ll also need a HIPAA waiver as well as a trust, says Catherine Collinson, the chief executive and president of the nonprofit Transamerica Institute and Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies.

    “There’s still widespread belief that trusts are only for the affluent, but they’re for everyone,” Collinson says. “It’s amazing how small issues can take on enormous bureaucratic proportions. You want to try to avoid that.”

    Nicholas Yeomans, a financial adviser and the president of Yeomans Consulting Group, says to check retirement plans, life insurance and annuity accounts to make sure you have your beneficiaries listed properly. You may have a will, but beware that beneficiaries on such accounts supersede a will, he says. Be sure to name secondary or contingent beneficiaries, as well.

    2. Create a budget

    “It’s really basic, but only 23% of preretirees and 19% of retirees have a written plan. Until you put the numbers into a spreadsheet, it’s impossible to come up with realistic expectations for how you’re going to live your life. Otherwise, you’re just winging it,” Collinson says.

    “Life is much more complicated and challenging. You need backup plans and contingency plans,” she says. “It’s really important to plan for life’s unforeseen circumstances.”

    Bond, meanwhile, cautions that people who retire in their 60s need to realize that longevity has increased and they could be retired for decades.

    “Milk and eggs are not getting cheaper. You have to plan for the long haul,” he says.

    Working Americans think they need an average of $1.1 million to retire, according to the Schroders 2023 U.S. Retirement Survey. Financial advisers generally recommend that people have 75% to 85% of their preretirement income for each year of their retirement.

    Also read: How never to outlive your money

    3. Build up your cash reserves

    Once you have a budget in place, build up cash reserves to cover six to nine months of basic expenses, such as mortgage, utilities and living expenses, Yeomans says.

    “People are either one of two extremes when it comes to emergency funds — too much cash or not enough,” he says.

    And in the years leading up to retirement, Brandon Robinson, the president and founder of JBR Associates, recommends that you work on eliminating your “bad” debt, such as credit cards or vehicle payments. Having a mortgage, however, is not necessarily a bad thing, since a house is generally an appreciating asset, he says. 

    4. Consider hiring an adviser

    “Most people only retire once,” Collinson says. “Financial advisers have the depth and breadth of experience to help. Many workers have a 401(k), and with that often comes access to financial guidance. Take advantage of that.” 

    She adds: “In today’s turbulent economy, the many people who may have felt comfortable taking a do-it-yourself approach may need help navigating uncharted territory.”

    And make sure you meet with your financial adviser on an annual basis, Robinson adds.

    5. Plan for healthcare and long-term-care needs

    Healthcare is costly, and it can be even more so for retirees. It can cost as much as $5,100 a month for a home health aide, for instance, and an average of about $8,000 a month for a semiprivate room in a nursing home, according to the Genworth Cost of Care Survey. Genworth is a long-term-care insurance company. 

    By another measure, a 65-year-old retiring in 2023 could spend an average of $157,500 on health and medical expenses throughout his or her retirement, according to Fidelity Investments, which tracks retiree healthcare expenses annually. 

    Also think about the long-term costs of help with the activities of daily living, such as bathing, toileting and dressing — assistance that is not covered by Medicare.

    When asked what their plans are for if and when their heath declined, 46% of retirees said they’d rely on family and friends, and 31% said they don’t have any plans or haven’t thought about it, Collinson says. 

    “People don’t want to think about needing someone to bathe and dress them. The cost and potential impact of these topics is enormous,” she says. 

    Collinson says it’s important to learn about long-term care — what’s available and at what price. That can help guide your decisions about long-term care insurance, but options in that market have contracted and costs have risen, putting such services out of reach for many people

    Only 14% of retirees are very confident they could afford long-term care if needed, she says.

    “Many people are under the impression that Medicare covers more long-term care than it actually does,” Collinson says. “And qualifying for Medicaid is extreme. It means that you’re at dire financial means, if not bankrupt. And Medicaid facilities have long waiting lists.”

    6. Get the facts about Medicare 

    Speaking of Medicare, it’s important to learn what the program covers and what it doesn’t.

    “There are so many decision criteria about the type, level and cost of care,” Collinson says. “It behooves everyone to understand the Medicare options best for them and review those plans regularly.”

    Also, it’s critical to plan for Medicare when you’re 65, even if you’re not planning to retire until 67 or 70.

    There’s a seven-month window to enroll in Medicare, which includes the three months before you turn 65, the month of your birthday and the three months after. If you miss that seven-month window and you don’t have health insurance from a large employer, you can face lifetime penalties for late enrollment in Medicare. 

    The first step is to contact the Social Security Administration — not Medicare itself — to start Medicare. And you’ll enroll only yourself — it’s not a family plan.

    If you’re getting Social Security and you enroll in Medicare, your premiums will come directly out of your Social Security check. However, if you’re not getting Social Security yet, you should set up automatic payments for Medicare, because your enrollment can get canceled for nonpayment.

    7. Plan your Social Security strategy

    You need to know when and how to manage your Social Security claiming. The Social Security Administration website is a great starting point, but be sure to talk with a financial adviser or visit your 401(k) plan’s financial resource center to get more information.

    Read: How much does my Social Security benefit increase when I delay filing?

    “Ideally, you want to wait until the full retirement age or age 70, which is the maximum age,” Collinson says. 

    Full retirement age is 67 for those born in 1960 or later.

    “When to take Social Security is a major decision that depends on your health, the health of your spouse, your jobs. Making that decision is a big one. Don’t take it lightly,” Robinson says. 

    Read: Inflation is already racing past next year’s Social Security COLA

    8. Consider downsizing

    “Consider downsizing or moving, but take your time,” Yeomans says. “People make major purchase mistakes in the first 12 to 18 months of retirement. But take your time. Consider renting before pulling that trigger.”

    Aging in place is something about nine out of 10 people want to do, according to a survey from Transamerica Institute and the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies, but Collinson says people need to prepare their homes for that.

    You may need wider doorways that can accommodate a wheelchair, as well as chairlifts, grab bars and shower seats. 

    “If your dream home in retirement has lots of stairs, know that you may need to move when stairs become unmanageable,” she says.

    9. Retire to something meaningful

    Once you have the financial and legal aspects taken care of, think about how — and with whom — you want to spend your time in retirement. 

    “Make sure you’re not retiring from something, but instead retiring to something,” Yeomans says. “Men struggle with this the most. The average man has no close friends in their life who aren’t connected to work. And so much of our health in retirement comes from relationships.”

    Now read: In retirement, time is short. Don’t waste it on things you hate.

    People often don’t realize what they’ll lose when they quit working: routine, structure, social interactions, mental stimulation and in some cases physical activity, says Robert Laura, founder of the Retirement Coaches Association.

    People also often don’t take their personality into account when considering retirement.

    “If you’re a Type A personality, you may feel out of sorts with endless time. A lot of people don’t critically question retirement. They think it’s golden. But people often don’t want to retire — they just want to stop doing their primary job,” Laura says. 

    Joe Casey, managing partner of retirement-coaching company Retirement Wisdom, recommends talking to people who are thriving in retirement and learning how they spend their time and energy. 

    “People miss the challenge of working. What’s the new challenge that will help you keep growing? Don’t get too hung up on finding a singular new purpose. Try new things. Volunteer. Try several activities and be open to experimenting,” Casey says. 

    Casey suggests mapping out what a typical day or week will look like in retirement and how you plan to fill those hours. Give yourself some structure by having three things to do every day. That will provide you with a road map of how to spend your time but will also give you flexibility to let the day unfold.

    Laura says the newly retired should set 30-, 60- and 90-day goals to create some structure and have small objectives to work toward.

    “People suffer from choice paralysis — they have all the time in the world and so many options open to them. People go into retirement with vague ideas and don’t know where to start doing something, so they never do it,” Laura says. 

    “Retirement is the longest New Year’s resolution. It’s goals you have and never accomplish unless you’re focused. You don’t get extra motivation or energy in retirement, so you need to focus on what you want to accomplish,” Laura says.

    A sobering statistic may spur you into action: The average retiree watches as much as 47 hours of television a week, according to AgeWave.

    To avoid that, start thinking about and planning for retirement with your partner far ahead of the actual date. Learn each other’s goals and expectations for retirement and compare notes. Some adjustments might be in order.

    “What if one wants to sail around the world and the other wants to see the grandkids every month?” Laura says.

    Casey also recommends taking retirement for a test drive by taking a week off work. “You can get a good sense of retirement in a week trial,” he says. “It will show you how long a day can be.”

    And Collinson says to prioritize physical fitness — but don’t forget about your mental health, too. Stay engaged with other people and avoid isolation. 

    Loneliness is as deadly as smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day and is associated with a greater risk of cardiovascular disease, dementia, stroke, depression, anxiety and premature death, according to a recent advisory from the U.S. Surgeon General.

    The takeaway: Make sure you plan how you’ll carry out your hopes and dreams in retirement to make it all feel worthwhile.

    “What was the reason you worked hard for so many years?” Casey says. “It wasn’t to watch 47 hours of TV each week.”

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • These 10 college athletes are making over $1 million a year from NIL

    These 10 college athletes are making over $1 million a year from NIL

    [ad_1]

    It now pays to be an amateur.

    The NCAA started allowing college athletes to make money from their name, image and likeness in 2021, after decades of student-athletes saying it wasn’t fair that they didn’t receive any money while the games they played in generated millions of dollars — especially football and basketball contests. And today, many of these athletes are not just making some extra cash on the side — they’re making millions.

    These NIL deals are negotiated by college athletes and their representation, and typically involve leveraging an athlete’s brand and influence through promotional means. For example, a car dealership near a university campus may ask the college’s high-profile quarterback to do a commercial for them in exchange for a monetary payment or a car. Similarly, an athlete can make money from social media, depending on how big their following is.

    Football players are among the college athletes who make the most money from NIL deals, followed by men’s basketball, women’s volleyball and women’s basketball. That’s because college football and basketball have multibillion-dollar TV contracts to broadcast games, while most other sports generally have lower visibility.

    With that in mind, here are the college athletes who make the most money from NIL deals according to On3’s proprietary NIL algorithm, which is based on NIL-deal data, performance, influence and exposure

    10. J.J. McCarthy, $1.3 million 

    J.J. McCarthy of the Michigan Wolverines in action against the Georgia Bulldogs.


    Getty Images

    As the junior quarterback for the Michigan Wolverines football team, McCarthy is one of the six college football QBs in the top 10 of NIL earners.

    McCarthy sports 276,000 followers across his social-media platforms, and has deals with Alo, Bose and Bowman.

    Tie-8. Bo Nix, $1.4 million

    Bo Nix of the Oregon Ducks throws a pass against the Stanford Cardinals.


    Getty Images

    The senior QB for the Oregon Ducks has led his team to a perfect 5-0 start this season.

    Nix has 219,000 followers on social media and NIL deals with 7-Eleven, Bojangles and Celsius. Nix is considered one of the top players in the nation and has the third-best betting odds to win college football’s Heisman Trophy on DraftKings
    DKNG,
    -2.52%

    sportsbook.

    Tie-8. Spencer Rattler, $1.4 million

    Spencer Rattler of the South Carolina Gamecocks warms up before a game against the Tennessee Volunteers.


    Getty Images

    The South Carolina Gamecocks senior QB has one of the more robust NIL profiles in the nation. He has deals with Mercedes-Benz
    MBG,
    -1.23%
    ,
    Leaf trading cards and Raising Canes.

    Rattler also has 578,000 followers across TikTok, Instagram
    META,
    -0.71%

    and X, the platform formerly known as Twitter.

    7. Angel Reese, $1.7 million

    Angel Reese of the LSU Lady Tigers during the 2023 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament championship game.


    Getty Images

    Reese was one of the breakout stars of the women’s March Madness basketball tournament this year. The Louisiana State University hooper led her team to the 2023 title and famously flashed a “you can’t see me” gesture in the title game.

    Reese has brand deals with Airbnb, PlayStation and Intuit TurboTax
    INTU,
    -0.50%

    and has appeared in ads for Amazon
    AMZN,
    +0.01%

    and Pepsi Co.’s
    PEP,
    +0.59%

    Starry. She also has 5.2 million followers across her social-media platforms.

    During LSU’s magical title run last season, Reese set an NCAA single-season record with her 34th double-double against the Iowa Hawkeyes and was named the most outstanding player of the Final Four.

    Reese is one of just two female athletes inside the top 10 in On3’s NIL valuation tracker, and the top college basketball player on the list.

    6. Travis Hunter, $2.3 million

    Travis Hunter of the Colorado Buffaloes signals first down after a catch against the TCU Horned Frogs.


    Getty Images

    Hunter was one of the college football players who transferred to the University of Colorado from Jackson State last season to follow coach Deion Sanders.

    Hunter, a five-star sophomore prospect, plays on both offense and defense — as a wide receiver and a cornerback — a rarity in a high-level college program. He has 1.9 million followers on social media, a successful YouTube
    GOOG,
    -0.08%

    channel, and endorsements with Celsius Energy Drink and 7-Eleven.

    Hunter entered the 2023 college season as the most highly touted NFL prospect at Colorado, and Deion Sanders contends rival schools have attempted to poach him via lucrative NIL deals.

    “People offered Travis Hunter a bag — about $1.5 million to try to lure him and buy him out of the transfer portal,” coach Sanders told 247Sports over the summer. “But Travis is not the kind of guy that can be bought. He isn’t built like that. Travis is a relational young man that is built on relationships and stability. And that’s what he wanted and desired. That is why he decided to ride and stay with us.”

    If and when Hunter decides to declare for the NFL draft, he will likely have a multimillion-dollar contract as a rookie that could dwarf his collegiate NIL earnings.

    5. Caleb Williams, $2.7 million

    Caleb Williams of the USC Trojans warms up before a game against the Arizona State Sun Devils.


    Getty Images

    The University of Southern California QB is seen as a generational NFL prospect and the presumptive No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft, but he isn’t the top NIL earner.

    Williams has 347,000 followers on social media, and brand deals with United Airlines
    UAL,
    -1.24%
    ,
    Alo and Beats by Dre.

    Once the USC junior QB declares for the draft, his rookie contract will likely be set above $37 million, per Spotrac’s estimates.

    4. Arch Manning, $2.8 million

    Arch Manning of the Texas Longhorns warms up prior to a game against the Alabama Crimson Tide.


    Getty Images

    The Texas Longhorns freshman QB is one of several top NIL earners whose family plays a role in their fame. Arch Manning is the nephew of Super Bowl champion QBs Peyton and Eli Manning, and the grandson of former NFL QB Archie Manning.

    Despite being a backup quarterback with no recorded statistics, the younger Manning has 277,000 followers on social media and has a brand deal with Panini. That deal involved him autographing an extremely rare one-of-one Prizm Black card that was auctioned off for $102,500, which was later donated to charity.

    Manning was a standout high school recruit, ranked No. 5 in the nation in the 2023 class, and could have an NFL future.

    3. Livvy Dunne, $3.2 million

    Olivia Dunne of LSU looks on during a PAC-12 meet against Utah.


    Getty Images

    Dunne is the only college athlete in the top 10 of NIL earners who doesn’t play basketball or football. The junior LSU gymnast is the top female NIL earner in the nation and has brand deals with Vuori clothing, Body Armor
    KO,
    +0.62%

    and American Eagle Outfitters.

    Dunne is the second most-followed college athlete on social media with 12.1 million followers on Instagram, TikTok and X combined.

    For many years Dunne was seen as the poster child for NIL deals, and she said earlier this year that she could make as much as $500,000 from a single post.

    “What I love with certain brands is getting long-term brand deals,” Dunne said on the Full Send podcast in June. “Those are probably the best because you build a relationship with the brand and they want you year after year.”

    2. Shedeur Sanders, $4.8 million

    Shedeur Sanders of the Colorado Buffaloes celebrates as he walks off the field following an NCAAF game against the Arizona State Sun Devils.


    Getty Images

    University of Colorado’s Shedeur Sanders has become a phenomenon in the sports world. The 21-year-old junior made headlines after throwing for 510 yards and four touchdowns in Colorado’s season-opening shocker against No. 17–ranked Texas Christian.

    Colorado has become the center of the football world since Shedeur’s father Deion took over as coach. Coach Prime’s team is currently 4-2 — the team was 1-11 last season, good for last place in its conference.

    The quarterback has more than 2.3 million followers on social media, and has already inked several deals with big brands, including with yogurt producer Oikos
    0KFX,
    -1.13%
    ,
    Gatorade and Mercedes-Benz. He has shown fans some of his new Mercedes cars on social media, too.

    Overall, Shedeur Sanders’s NIL value currently sits at $4.8 million, according to On3, up from $1.5 million at the beginning of the year — that’s the highest value in all of college football. For context, that’s nearly twice the average NFL player’s salary.

    1. Bronny James, $5.9 million

    Bronny James playing at his high school, Sierra Canyon.


    Getty Images

    James has perhaps the most famous family member of any person on this list. He is the son of NBA legend LeBron James, and is currently set to begin his freshman basketball season at USC.

    The younger James has yet to play a game at his new school, but will immediately be one of the most well-known players in college athletics. James has 13.5 million social media followers, the most of any college athlete, and has brand deals with Nike
    NKE,
    +1.10%

    and Beats by Dre
    AAPL,
    -0.06%
    ,
    two brands his dad is also repped by.

    Bronny James suffered cardiac arrest in July during a basketball practice and had to be taken to the hospital. But he’s on the road to recovery, and hopes to play basketball this season.

    “Bronny is doing extremely well,” the older James said last week. “He has begun his rehab process to get back on the floor this season with his teammates at USC. (With) the successful surgery that he had, he’s on the up-and-up. It’s definitely a whirlwind, a lot of emotions for our family this summer. But the best thing we have is each other.”

    See also: Michael Jordan is now worth $3 billion. Here’s what billionaire athletes have in common.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Ford, Microsoft, Delta, Walgreens, Birkenstock, and More Stock Market Movers

    Ford, Microsoft, Delta, Walgreens, Birkenstock, and More Stock Market Movers

    [ad_1]

    Stock futures posted modest gains Thursday ahead of a report likely to show that U.S. inflation fell in September as gasoline price growth slowed and used-car costs declined.

    [ad_2]
    Source link

  • ‘Banks fail. It’s OK,’ says former FDIC chair Sheila Bair.

    ‘Banks fail. It’s OK,’ says former FDIC chair Sheila Bair.

    [ad_1]

    Higher interest rates may be painful in the short term, but banks, savers and the financial ecosystem will be better off in the long run, said Sheila Bair, former chair of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

    “When money is free, you squander it,” Bair said in an interview with MarketWatch. “It’s like anything. If it doesn’t cost you anything, you’re going to value it less. And we’ve had free money for quite some time now.”

    Bair, who led the FDIC from 2006 to 2011, caused a stir recently in criticizing “moonshots,” the crypto industry and “useless innovations” like Bored Ape NFTs, which proliferated because of speculation and near-zero interest rates.

    Her main message has been that the path to higher rates, while potentially “tricky,” ultimately will lead to a more stable financial system, where “truly promising innovations will attract capital” and where savers can actually save.

    Former FDIC Chair Sheila Bair was dubbed “the little guy’s protector in chief” by Time Magazine in the wake of the subprime mortgage crisis.

    Bair sat down for an interview with Barron’s Live, MarketWatch edition, to talk about the ripple effects of higher rates, what could trigger another financial crisis and why more regional banks sitting on unrealized losses could fail in the wake of Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse in March.

    “We probably will have more bank failures,” Bair said. “But you know what? Banks fail. It’s OK. The system goes on. It’s important for people to understand that households stay below the insured deposit caps.”

    The FDIC insures bank deposits up to $250,000 per account. It also has overseen 565 bank failures since 2001.

    “I know borrowing costs are going up, but your rewards for saving it are going up too,” she said. “I think that’s a very good thing.”

    However, Bair isn’t focused only on money traps and pitfalls for grown-ups. She also has two new picture books coming out that aim to explain big financial themes to young readers, including where easy-money ways, speculation and inflation come from.

    “One thing that I’ve learned from the kids is to not ask them what a loan is, because when I did that, a little hand when up, and she said: ‘That’s when you’re by yourself,’” Bair said.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Treasury yields are climbing: ‘There’s never really been such an attractive opportunity for fixed-income investments’

    Treasury yields are climbing: ‘There’s never really been such an attractive opportunity for fixed-income investments’

    [ad_1]

    While stocks get clobbered by rising bond yields, financial experts say everyday investors can roll with the punches by increasing their exposure to longer-term Treasurys and other fixed income — so long as they understand what they are doing.

    Yield — and more of it — has been a great-sounding idea for more people ever since the Federal Reserve started increasing its benchmark interest rate in March 2022.

    High-yield savings accounts, certificates of deposit and money market-mutual funds have all become alluring ways to reap rewards for parking cash. It’s easy to find these products with rates in the 4% and 5% range.

    Treasury bills, which come due within a year, have also been a yield-producing place to put cash. Yields on T-bills
    BX:TMUBMUSD06M
    of varying length are over 5%, up from roughly 4.5% around the start of the year.

    High-yield savings accounts, certificates of deposit and money market-mutual funds have all become alluring ways to reap rewards for parking cash.

    Yet yields have been inducing anxiety lately. For well over a month, the speedy ascent of yields for longer-term Treasury debt and a bond market sell-off have been knocking the stock market for a loop.

    Still, some financial experts say there’s nothing wrong with buying longer-term Treasurys for the person who wants to keep putting their cash to work. Of course, they need to understand the risks and rewards for bonds when interest rates rise and fall.

    Also see: As Treasury yields rise, Wall Street wonders what the Fed will do next. Where should you park your extra cash?

    “Moving from cash to fixed income is the right move right now,” said wealth adviser Marisa Bradbury, managing director of the Florida offices for Sigma Investment Counselors. “You can definitely lock in some decent rates we haven’t seen in a long time.”

    “Before, fixed income was so much a principal protection piece of the portfolio. Now you can actually earn a decent income on it too,” she said.

    “The upside to what’s happened is for savers,” said Matt Sommer, head of specialist consulting group at Janus Henderson Investors. “There’s never really been such an attractive opportunity for fixed income investments as there is now.”

    To be sure, there was a time when Treasury yields where far above their current mark. In the early to mid-1980s, the yields on the 10-year Treasury note and 30-year Treasury bond exceeded 10%. Of course, Sommer and other financial planners are focused on the present and the future because that’s what financial planning is all about. Here’s what they are thinking:

    The ‘barbell’ approach

    When clients building their nest egg want to go all in on T-bills, Sommer is instead advising they use a “barbell” approach that adds a mix of longer-term Treasurys and fixed income too.

    “This is exactly the time investors shouldn’t hibernate on the short end of the [yield] curve,” said Richard Steinberg, chief market strategist and a principal at The Colony Group, a wealth advisory firm. He’s also advising clients to extend their duration on their Treasury and fixed income investments.

    Yields climbed again Friday morning after the stronger than expected September jobs report. The yield on the two-year Treasury note
    BX:TMUBMUSD02Y
    rose to almost 5.1%, up from 5.023% Thursday afternoon and up from 4.26% a year ago.

    The yield on the ten-year Treasury note
    BX:TMUBMUSD10Y
    climbed to 4.86%, up from 4.715% Thursday afternoon, and up from 3.82% a year ago. The yield on the 30-year bond
    BX:TMUBMUSD30Y
    reached 5.01%, up from 4.88% on Thursday and up from 3.78% a year ago – heading Friday morning for the highest level since August 2007.

    Bond yield and price always move in different directions. When interest rates rise, bond prices decrease and bond yields increase. When rates fall, prices increase and yields decrease. That’s where the note of caution comes in.

    Brace for losses if the Fed keeps increasing interest rates, said David Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at Morningstar, the investment research firm.

    For now, it may be a good time for bond portfolios to beef up the long side. “Part of what we are seeing in the stock market is a reallocation out of stocks and into fixed income,” he said.

    Related: Why rising Treasury yields are upsetting financial markets

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Social Security Administration to review overpayments, may claw back payments

    Social Security Administration to review overpayments, may claw back payments

    [ad_1]

    The Social Security Administration said Wednesday it would review its overpayment procedures and policies, and may claw back any overpayments found.

    During the 2022 fiscal year, the agency recovered $4.7 billion of overpayments, according to a report by the SSA’s Office of the Inspector General. 

    While payment accuracy rates are high, overpayments do happen given the number of people the agency serves, the number of changes in their circumstances and the complexity of the programs, the SSA said.  

    “Despite our high accuracy rates, I am putting together a team to review our overpayment policies and procedures to further improve how we serve our customers,” said Kilolo Kijakazi, acting commissioner of Social Security.

    “There is misinformation in the media claiming that the Social Security Administration is attempting to collect $21 billion. This figure was derived from the total amount of overpayments that have occurred over the history of the programs,” the SSA said in a statement.

    The announcement comes the week before Social Security’s cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, is expected to be released.

    The 2024 COLA for Social Security is expected to rise about 3.2%, according to estimates from the Senior Citizens League, a pro-senior think tank. That’s compared with an 8.7% increase for 2023, which was the highest COLA in more than 40 years amid high inflation.

    Social Security is an important benefit for most Americans. Half of the population age 65 or older live in households that receive at least 50% of their family income from Social Security benefits, according to SSA data, and about 25% of senior households rely on Social Security benefits for at least 90% of their income.

    “The government’s got to fix this,” Sen. Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Democrat who chairs a Senate panel that oversees Social Security, recently told KFF Health News on the subject of overpayments. Meanwhile, Rep. Mike Carey of Ohio, the No. 2 Republican on a House panel that oversees Social Security, has called for a congressional hearing to review the problem, according to the KFF Health News report.

    Social Security pays $1.4 trillion in benefits to more than 71 million people each year. Only around 0.5% of Social Security payments are overpayments, the SSA said.

    “For the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program, overpayments also represent a small percentage of payments — about 8% — but are higher due to the complexity in administering statutory income and resource limits and asset evaluations,” the agency said in the announcement.

    If a person doesn’t agree that they’ve been overpaid, or believes the amount is incorrect, they can appeal. If they believe they shouldn’t have to pay the money back, they can request that the agency waive collection of the overpayment. There’s no time limit for filing a waiver.

    The SSA said it is required by law to adjust benefits or recover debts when overpayments occur. The law allows Social Security to waive recovery in some cases.

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Amazon, Microsoft Cloud Services Face UK Competition Probe

    Amazon, Microsoft Cloud Services Face UK Competition Probe

    [ad_1]

    By Michael Susin

    The U.K.’s communications regulator has referred the cloud market to the country’s competition watchdog for an investigation, alleging that certain features by market leaders Amazon and Microsoft could limit competition.

    The Office of Communications regulator said Thursday that a market study found that high fees for transferring data, committed spend discounts and technical restrictions could make it difficult for customers to switch cloud provider or to use multiple providers.

    “Some U.K. businesses have told us they’re concerned about it being too difficult to switch or mix and match cloud provider, and it’s not clear that competition is working well. So, we’re referring the market to the [Competition and Markets Authority] for further scrutiny, to make sure business customers continue to benefit from cloud services,” Ofcom’s director responsible for the market study, Fergal Farragher, said.

    The regulator said Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft had a combined market share in the U.K. of 70% to 80% in 2022.

    The CMA will now start an independent investigation to decide whether there is an impact on competition.

    Neither Amazon nor Microsoft were immediately available for comment.

    Write to Michael Susin at michael.susin@wsj.com

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Biden administration to cancel $9 billion in student debt for 125,000 borrowers

    Biden administration to cancel $9 billion in student debt for 125,000 borrowers

    [ad_1]

    Roughly 125,000 borrowers will have $9 billion in student debt cancelled, the Biden administration announced Wednesday. 

    The cohort receiving the relief includes three groups of borrowers who have been eligible to have their debt forgiven for years but struggled to access that benefit. They are public servants who have been working for the government or certain nonprofits for more than 10 years and paying on their student loans during that time; borrowers who have been in repayment on their loans for more than 20 years; and borrowers who are severely disabled. 

    The announcement comes as payments are resuming this month for 28 million student-loan borrowers for the first time in three years, now that the pandemic-era payment pause has ended. Some have reported challenges enrolling in repayment plans and getting correct information from their servicers about their payment amounts. 

    Student-loan borrower advocates had called on the Biden administration to wipe debt off the books for borrowers who are already eligible for cancellation under the law before resuming repayment. They’ve said that would help alleviate some of the strain the return to repayment is putting on the student-loan system. It wasn’t immediately clear whether borrowers who are part of Wednesday’s announcement will have their debt cancelled right away or need to wait for a period for the discharge to be processed. 

    Wednesday’s announcement is distinct from the broad-based debt cancellation that’s grabbed headlines in recent months. Earlier this year, the Supreme Court struck down the Biden administration’s plan to cancel up to $20,000 in debt for borrowers earning less than $125,000.

    Last week, officials provided more detail on President Joe Biden’s plan to take another stab at mass debt forgiveness. The process to determine the contours of that relief continues, with a set of meetings next week, and likely won’t be resolved for several months. 

    Part of groups already eligible for relief under the law

    The borrowers covered by Wednesday’s announcement are part of groups that were already entitled to debt cancellation under the law, but for years have struggled to access it due to paperwork and technicalities. Officials have faced pressure from advocates for years to smooth the path to relief for these borrowers. 

    The group includes 53,000 borrowers who are receiving $5.2 billion in cancellations under the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program. That initiative allows borrowers who work for the government and certain nonprofits to have their student debt forgiven after at least 10 years of payments. 

    But it was notoriously challenging to access. Roughly 1% of borrowers who applied for relief in the first years of the program actually had their debt cancelled. The Biden administration has taken steps to make it easier for borrowers who meet the spirit of the law to overcome technicalities that in the past had stymied their path to forgiveness. 

    In addition, the Department of Education has approved debt discharges totaling $2.8 billion for nearly 51,000 borrowers who made more than 20 years of payments on their loans, officials announced Wednesday.

    For decades, the government has offered federal student-loan borrowers the ability to pay their debt as a percentage of their income and have the remainder cancelled after at least 20 years. The idea was to provide an alternative to borrowers who couldn’t afford to pay off their debt in 10 years through a mortgage-style plan. 

    But in the first years, borrowers would have been eligible to have their debt forgiven under these income-driven repayment plans, more than 2 million borrowers who were in repayment for more than 20 years were still paying.

    Consumer advocates and regulators said that was largely because servicers were steering borrowers towards forbearance — a status that pauses payments, but where the debt still accrues interest and borrowers don’t build credit toward forgiveness — instead of helping them sign up for these plans. 

    Last year, the Department of Education said it would review borrowers’ payment history to see whether there were periods when they should have been building credit toward forgiveness, but those months weren’t accurately counted. The agency said it would adjust their payment history accordingly. The 51,000 borrowers are part of this group. Already the Biden administration has cancelled the debt of more than 800,000 borrowers through this initiative. 

    Finally, officials said that nearly 22,000 borrowers who have a total or permanent disability will have about $1.2 billion in student loans cancelled. Borrowers with a disability that is so severe they’ll never work again qualify to have their federal student loans wiped out. But for years, many eligible borrowers found the application process, which historically required them to provide proof of their disability, challenging to navigate

    In 2021, the Biden administration announced it would match borrowers’ data with data at the Social Security Administration, which through its work administering disability benefits has the information that would indicate whether a borrower is eligible for a total and permanent disability discharge. The roughly 22,000 had their debt discharged approved through this data match, the agency said. 

    “For years, millions of eligible borrowers were unable to access the student-debt relief they qualified for, but that’s all changed thanks to President Biden and this administration’s relentless efforts to fix the broken student-loan system,” Miguel Cardona, the secretary of education, said in a statement announcing the relief.

    “Today’s announcement builds on everything our administration has already done to protect students from unaffordable debt, make repayment more affordable and ensure that investments in higher education pay off for students and working families,” he added.  

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • Kevin McCarthy ousted as House speaker, falling after historic challenge by Matt Gaetz

    Kevin McCarthy ousted as House speaker, falling after historic challenge by Matt Gaetz

    [ad_1]

    The U.S. House of Representatives removed Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his post on Tuesday, as 216 members of his chamber voted in favor of ousting him while 210 supported him.

    Rep. Matt Gaetz of Florida led the challenge against his fellow Republican, filing what’s known as a “motion to vacate” late Monday, after McCarthy relied on House Democrats to pass a short-term measure that averted a partial government shutdown.

    “I don’t think voting against Kevin McCarthy is chaos,” Gaetz said in a speech Tuesday on the House floor. “I think $33 trillion in debt is chaos. I think that facing a $2.2 trillion annual deficit is chaos. I think that not passing single-subject spending bills is chaos.”

    The Florida congressman had said on Sunday that he expected Democrats were “going to bail out” McCarthy, meaning support him enough to offset the opposition from Gaetz and some other Republicans, but the vote didn’t play out that way.

    Eight Republicans joined with all Democrats to vote against McCarthy. The eight were Andy Biggs of Arizona, Ken Buck of Colorado, Tim Burchett of Tennessee, Eli Crane of Arizona, Gaetz, Bob Good of Virginia, Nancy Mace of South Carolina and Matt Rosendale of Montana. There were a few lawmakers who were absent, such as Democratic Rep. Nancy Pelosi of California, McCarthy’s predecessor.

    See: Kevin McCarthy’s House speakership appears in peril with Democrats ‘not saving’ him

    GOP Rep. Patrick McHenry of North Carolina is now serving as the speaker pro tempore, or temporary speaker.

    Until now, no House speaker had ever been removed by a motion to vacate. The move requires a simple majority of the House to succeed and can be triggered by a single member.

    Rep. Tom Emmer of Minnesota, who has been the No. 3 House Republican, was among the GOP lawmakers who spoke in favor of McCarthy.

    “Under Speaker McCarthy’s leadership, our House Republican majority has actually defied all odds and over-performed expectations again and again and again,” Emmer said on the House floor.

    There has been a view among analysts that a divided Washington’s spending might not change that much even if Gaetz managed to oust McCarthy, as MarketWatch reported.

    About 80% of Congress looks likely to vote for a spending deal that would call for some increases in outlays, Ukraine aid, money for the U.S.-Mexico border and a new commission on the nation’s debt, said Chris Krueger, managing director at TD Cowen’s Washington Research Group, in a note. That agreement would come around when a new deadline of Nov. 17 hits.

    U.S. stocks
    SPX

    DJIA

    COMP
    could end up taking a hit from the House’s drama, according to Stifel’s chief Washington policy strategist, Brian Gardner.

    “Removing Mr. McCarthy as Speaker could fuel temporary risk-off sentiment in the markets,” Gardner wrote in a note Tuesday. He suggested that markets “might react negatively to government dysfunction.”

    Stocks closed sharply lower Tuesday, after a report on job openings showed the labor market remains tight, leaving room for more interest-rate hikes.

    Read more: What McCarthy ouster means for markets as investors fret over congressional ‘dysfunction’

    A motion to vacate last went to a House vote in 1910, with then-Speaker Joseph Cannon surviving it and staying on as the chamber’s leader. Such a motion was filed in July 2015 against then-Speaker John Boehner and not voted on by the House at that time, but Boehner went on to announce his resignation in September 2015.

    In addition, a motion to vacate was considered in 1997 but ultimately not used by a small group of House Republicans who had grown disgruntled with the leadership of then-Speaker Newt Gingrich.

    Now read: Kevin McCarthy ousted: Here’s who could replace him as House speaker

    [ad_2]

    Source link

  • These 20 stocks in the S&P 500 are expected to soar after rising interest rates have pushed down valuations

    These 20 stocks in the S&P 500 are expected to soar after rising interest rates have pushed down valuations

    [ad_1]

    Two things investors can be sure about: Nothing lasts forever and the stock market always overreacts. The spiking of yields on long-term U.S. Treasury securities has been breathtaking, and it has led to remarkable declines for some sectors and possible bargains for contrarian investors who can commit for the long term.

    First we will show how the sectors of the S&P 500

    have performed. Then we will look at price-to-earnings valuations for the sectors and compare them to long-term averages. Then we will screen the entire index for companies trading below their long-term forward P/E valuation averages and narrow the list to companies most favored by analysts.

    Here are total returns, with dividends reinvested, for the 11 sectors of the S&P 500, with broad indexes below. The sectors are sorted by ascending total returns this year through Monday.

    Sector or index

    2023 return

    2022 return

    Return since end of 2021

    1 week return

    1 month return

    Utilities

    -18.4%

    1.6%

    -17.2%

    -11.1%

    -9.6%

    Real Estate

    -7.1%

    -26.1%

    -31.4%

    -3.0%

    -8.8%

    Consumer Staples

    -5.4%

    -0.6%

    -6.0%

    -2.2%

    -4.4%

    Healthcare

    -4.2%

    -2.0%

    -6.1%

    -1.7%

    -3.3%

    Financials

    -2.5%

    -10.5%

    -12.7%

    -2.5%

    -4.7%

    Materials

    1.3%

    -12.3%

    -11.2%

    -1.9%

    -7.0%

    Industrials

    3.5%

    -5.5%

    -2.1%

    -1.8%

    -7.3%

    Energy

    4.0%

    65.7%

    72.4%

    -1.9%

    -1.4%

    Consumer Discretionary

    27.0%

    -37.0%

    -20.0%

    -0.6%

    -5.2%

    Information Technology

    36.5%

    -28.2%

    -2.0%

    0.8%

    -5.9%

    Communication Services

    42.5%

    -39.9%

    -14.3%

    1.1%

    -1.3%

    S&P 500
    13.1%

    -18.1%

    -7.4%

    -1.1%

    -4.9%

    DJ Industrial Average
    2.5%

    -6.9%

    -4.5%

    -1.7%

    -4.0%

    Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP
    28.0%

    -32.5%

    -13.7%

    0.3%

    -5.1%

    Nasdaq-100 Index
    36.5%

    -32.4%

    -7.7%

    0.5%

    -4.2%

    Source: FactSet

    Returns for 2022 are also included, along with those since the end of 2021. Last year’s weakest sector, communications services, has been this year’s strongest performer. This sector includes Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL
    and Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    which have returned 52% and 155% this year, respectively, but are still down since the end of 2021. To the right are returns for the past week and month through Monday.

    On Monday, the S&P 500 Utilities sector had its worst one-day performance since 2020, with a 4.7% decline. Investors were reacting to the jump in long-term interest rates.

    Here is a link to the U.S. Treasury Department’s summary of the daily yield curve across maturities for Treasury securities.

    The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes

    jumped 10 basis points in only one day to 4.69% on Monday. A month earlier the 10-year yield was only 4.27%. Also on Monday, the yield on 20-year Treasury bonds

    rose to 5.00% from 4.92% on Friday. It was up from 4.56% a month earlier.

    Market Extra: Bond investors feel the heat as popular fixed-income ETF suffers lowest close since 2007

    The Treasury yield curve is still inverted, with 3-month T-bills

    yielding 5.62% on Monday, but that was up only slightly from a month earlier. An inverted yield curve has traditionally signaled that bond investors expect a recession within a year and a lowering of interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Demand for bonds pushes their prices down. But the reverse has happened over recent days, with the selling of longer-term Treasury securities pushing yields up rapidly.

    Another way to illustrate the phenomenon is to look at how the Federal Reserve has shifted the U.S. money supply. Odeon Capital analyst Dick Bove wrote in a note to clients on Friday that “the Federal Reserve has not deviated from its policy to defeat inflation by tightening monetary policy,” as it has shrunk its balance sheet (mostly Treasury securities) to $8.1 trillion from $9 trillion in March 2022. He added: “The M2 money supply was $21.8 trillion in March 2022; today it is $20.8 trillion. You cannot get tighter than these numbers indicate.”

    Then on Tuesday, Bove illustrated the Fed’s tightening and the movement of the 10-year yield with two charts:


    Odeon Capital Group, Bloomberg

    Bove said he believes the bond market has gotten it wrong, with the inverted yield curve reflecting expectations of rate cuts next year. If he is correct, investors can expect longer-term yields to keep shooting up and a normalization of the yield curve.

    This has set up a brutal environment for utility stocks, which are typically desired by investors who are seeking dividend income. In a market in which you can receive a yield of 5.5% with little risk over the short term, and in which you can lock in a long-term yield of about 5%, why take a risk in the stock market? And if you believe that the core inflation rate of 3.7% makes a 5% yield seem paltry, keep in mind that not all investors think the same way. Many worry less about the inflation rate because large components of official inflation calculations, such as home prices and car prices, don’t affect everyone every year.

    We cannot know when this current selloff of longer-term bonds will end, or how much of an effect it will have on the stock market. But sharp declines in the stock market can set up attractive price points for investors looking to go in for the long haul.

    Screening for lower valuations and high ratings

    A combination of rising earnings estimates and price declines could shed light on potential buying opportunities, based on forward price-to-earnings ratios.

    Let’s look at the sectors again, in the same order, this time to show their forward P/E ratios, based on weighted rolling 12-month consensus estimates for earnings per share among analysts polled by FactSet:

    Sector or index

    Current P/E to 5-year average

    Current P/E to 10-year average

    Current P/E to 15-year average

    Forward P/E

    5-year average P/E

    10-year average P/E

    15-year average P/E

    Utilities

    82%

    86%

    95%

    14.99

    18.30

    17.40

    15.82

    Real Estate

    76%

    80%

    81%

    15.19

    19.86

    18.89

    18.72

    Consumer Staples

    93%

    96%

    105%

    18.61

    19.92

    19.30

    17.64

    Healthcare

    103%

    104%

    115%

    16.99

    16.46

    16.34

    14.72

    Financials

    88%

    92%

    97%

    12.90

    14.65

    14.08

    13.26

    Materials

    100%

    103%

    111%

    16.91

    16.98

    16.42

    15.27

    Industrials

    88%

    96%

    105%

    17.38

    19.84

    18.16

    16.56

    Energy

    106%

    63%

    73%

    11.78

    11.17

    18.80

    16.23

    Consumer Discretionary

    79%

    95%

    109%

    24.09

    30.41

    25.39

    22.10

    Information Technology

    109%

    130%

    146%

    24.20

    22.17

    18.55

    16.54

    Communication Services

    86%

    86%

    94%

    16.41

    19.09

    19.00

    17.43

    S&P 500
    94%

    101%

    112%

    17.94

    19.01

    17.76

    16.04

    DJ Industrial Average
    93%

    98%

    107%

    16.25

    17.49

    16.54

    15.17

    Nasdaq Composite Index
    92%

    102%

    102%

    24.62

    26.71

    24.18

    24.18

    Nasdaq-100 Index
    97%

    110%

    126%

    24.40

    25.23

    22.14

    19.43

    There is a limit to how many columns we can show in the table. The S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio is now 17.94, compared with 16.79 at the end of 2022 and 21.53 at the end of 2021. The benchmark index’s P/E is above its 10- and 15-year average levels but below the five-year average.

    If we compare the current sector P/E numbers to 5-, 10- and 15-year averages, we can see that the current levels are below all three averages for four sectors: utilities, real estate, financials and communications services. The first three face obvious difficulties as they adjust to the rising-rate environment, while the real-estate sector reels from continuing low usage rates for office buildings, from the change in behavior brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic.

    Your own opinions, along with the pricing for some sectors, might drive some investment choices.

    A broader screen of the S&P 500 might point to companies for you to research further.

    We narrowed the S&P 500 as follows:

    • Current forward P/E below 5-, 10- and 15-year average valuations. For stocks with negative earnings-per-share estimates for the next 12 months, there is no forward P/E ratio so they were excluded. For stocks listed for less than 15 years, we required at least a 5-year average P/E for comparison. This brought the list down to 138 companies.

    • “Buy” or equivalent ratings from at least two-thirds of analysts: 41 companies.

    Here are the 20 companies that passed the screen, for which analysts’ price targets imply the highest upside potential over the next 12 months.

    There is too much data for one table, so first we will show the P/E information:

    Company

    Ticker

    Current P/E to 5-year average

    Current P/E to 10-year average

    Current P/E to 15-year average

    SolarEdge Technologies Inc.

    SEDG 89%

    N/A

    N/A

    AES Corp.

    AES 66%

    75%

    90%

    Insulet Corp.

    PODD 18%

    N/A

    N/A

    United Airlines Holdings Inc.

    UAL 42%

    50%

    N/A

    Alaska Air Group Inc.

    ALK 51%

    57%

    N/A

    Tapestry Inc.

    TPR 39%

    49%

    70%

    Albemarle Corp.

    ALB 39%

    50%

    73%

    Delta Air Lines Inc.

    DAL 60%

    63%

    21%

    Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.

    ARE 59%

    68%

    N/A

    Las Vegas Sands Corp.

    LVS 96%

    78%

    53%

    Paycom Software Inc.

    PAYC 61%

    N/A

    N/A

    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    PYPL 33%

    N/A

    N/A

    SBA Communications Corp. Class A

    SBAC 27%

    N/A

    N/A

    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    AMD 58%

    39%

    N/A

    LKQ Corp.

    LKQ 92%

    44%

    78%

    Charles Schwab Corp.

    SCHW 75%

    54%

    73%

    PulteGroup Inc.

    PHM 94%

    47%

    N/A

    Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.

    LW 71%

    N/A

    N/A

    News Corp Class A

    NWSA 93%

    73%

    N/A

    CVS Health Corp.

    CVS 75%

    61%

    67%

    Source: FactSet

    Click on the tickers for more about each company or index.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    News Corp
    NWSA
    is on the list. The company owns Dow Jones, which in turn owns MarketWatch.

    Here’s the list again, with ratings and consensus price-target information:

    Company

    Ticker

    Share “buy” ratings

    Oct. 2 price

    Consensus price target

    Implied 12-month upside potential

    SolarEdge Technologies Inc.

    SEDG 74%

    $122.56

    $268.77

    119%

    AES Corp.

    AES 79%

    $14.16

    $25.60

    81%

    Insulet Corp.

    PODD 68%

    $165.04

    $279.00

    69%

    United Airlines Holdings Inc.

    UAL 71%

    $41.62

    $69.52

    67%

    Alaska Air Group Inc.

    ALK 87%

    $36.83

    $61.31

    66%

    Tapestry Inc.

    TPR 75%

    $28.58

    $46.21

    62%

    Albemarle Corp.

    ALB 81%

    $162.41

    $259.95

    60%

    Delta Air Lines Inc.

    DAL 95%

    $36.45

    $58.11

    59%

    Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.

    ARE 100%

    $98.18

    $149.45

    52%

    Las Vegas Sands Corp.

    LVS 72%

    $45.70

    $68.15

    49%

    Paycom Software Inc.

    PAYC 77%

    $260.04

    $384.89

    48%

    PayPal Holdings Inc.

    PYPL 69%

    $58.56

    $86.38

    48%

    SBA Communications Corp. Class A

    SBAC 68%

    $198.24

    $276.69

    40%

    Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

    AMD 74%

    $103.27

    $143.07

    39%

    LKQ Corp.

    LKQ 82%

    $49.13

    $67.13

    37%

    Charles Schwab Corp.

    SCHW 77%

    $53.55

    $72.67

    36%

    PulteGroup Inc.

    PHM 81%

    $73.22

    $98.60

    35%

    Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.

    LW 100%

    $92.23

    $123.50

    34%

    News Corp Class A

    NWSA 78%

    $20.00

    $26.42

    32%

    CVS Health Corp.

    CVS 77%

    $69.69

    $90.88

    30%

    Source: FactSet

    A year may actually be a short period for a long-term investor, but 12-month price targets are the norm for analysts working for brokerage companies.

    Don’t miss: This fund shows that industry expertise can help you make a lot of money in the stock market

    [ad_2]

    Source link