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Tag: Business/Consumer Services

  • Students are turning to ChatGPT for study help, and Chegg stock is plummeting 30%

    Students are turning to ChatGPT for study help, and Chegg stock is plummeting 30%

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    Chegg Inc. shares plunged more than 30% Monday afternoon and were headed toward their lowest price since 2017, after the online-education company’s forecast called for an unexpected revenue decline as students begin to use ChatGPT.

    Chegg CHGG reported first-quarter earnings of $2.2 million, or 2 cents a share, on net revenue of $187.6 million, down from $202.2 million a year ago. After adjusting for stock compensation and other effects, the company reported earnings of 27 cents a share, down from 32 cents a share in the same…

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  • Inflation slows again, PCE shows, as the economy

    Inflation slows again, PCE shows, as the economy

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    The numbers: The cost of goods and services rose a scant 0.1% in March and the yearly rate of inflation slowed again in response to higher interest rates and a cooler economy.

    The increase in the so-called personal consumption expenditures index matched the Wall Street forecast. The PCE index is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation barometer.

    The…

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  • Amazon stock turns around as CFO admits AWS growth rates are declining further

    Amazon stock turns around as CFO admits AWS growth rates are declining further

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    Amazon.com Inc. shares zoomed higher in extended trading Thursday after the company posted its biggest quarterly profit since 2021, but shares turned around after the company’s chief financial officer said in a conference call that cloud revenue is decelerating in the current quarter.

    Amazon AMZN reported that first-quarter revenue grew to $127.4 billion from $116.44 billion in the same quarter last year. Profit reached $3.17 billion, or 31 cents a share, improving from a loss of 38 cents a share a year ago, which was Amazon’s…

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  • Intel tops Wall Street estimates, CEO says data-center business is improving

    Intel tops Wall Street estimates, CEO says data-center business is improving

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    A previous version of this article included an inaccurate number for Intel’s second-quarter profit forecast. It has been updated.

    Intel Corp. shares surged in the extended session Thursday, swinging from an initial loss after the chip maker topped Wall Street estimates for the quarter, and Chief Executive Pat Gelsinger assured analysts that the company’s data-center business was improving.

    Intel…

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  • Amazon stock gives up gains as CFO admits AWS growth rates are declining further

    Amazon stock gives up gains as CFO admits AWS growth rates are declining further

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    Amazon.com Inc. shares zoomed higher in extended trading Thursday after the company posted its biggest quarterly profit since 2021, but shares turned around after the company’s chief financial officer said in a conference call that cloud revenue is decelerating in the current quarter.

    Amazon AMZN shares jumped more than 10% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of first-quarter results, but those gains disappeared after Chief Financial Officer Brian Olsavsky said in a conference call with analysts that…

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  • U.S. stocks head for best day in 2 weeks on strong earnings from Meta and other big-tech names

    U.S. stocks head for best day in 2 weeks on strong earnings from Meta and other big-tech names

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    U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, on track for their biggest gain in two weeks, as another batch of strong big-tech earnings reports helped boost the broader market while offsetting signs of slowing economic growth.

    How are stocks trading

    On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 229 points, or 0.68%, to 33,302 as worries about First Republic Bank FRC overshadowed upbeat big-tech earnings.

    What’s driving markets

    For…

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  • Meta stock jumps toward highest price in a year as Facebook parent predicts renewed revenue growth

    Meta stock jumps toward highest price in a year as Facebook parent predicts renewed revenue growth

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    Meta Platforms Inc.’s stock soared more than 10% higher in extended trading Wednesday after the social networking company’s profit declined less than expected in the first three months of 2023, and a revenue forecast pointed toward reinvigorated sales growth.

    Facebook’s parent company META racked up fiscal first-quarter net earnings of $5.71 billion, or $2.20 a share, compared with earnings of $2.72 a share in the year-ago quarter. Revenue gained less than 3% to $28.65 billion from $27.91 billion a year ago.

    Analysts…

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  • Alphabet’s stock rises as earnings show Google ad sales holding steady

    Alphabet’s stock rises as earnings show Google ad sales holding steady

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    Alphabet Inc.’s stock rose 1.4% in extended trading Tuesday after Google’s parent company reported quarterly results that slightly topped analysts’ revenue and earnings estimates.

    Alphabet also said its board of directors authorized $70 billion in share repurchases.

    “Resilience in Search and momentum in Cloud resulted in Q1 consolidated revenues…

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  • Consumer confidence falls to 9-month low on worries about jobs and recession

    Consumer confidence falls to 9-month low on worries about jobs and recession

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    The numbers: A survey of consumer confidence fell in April to a nine-month low of 101.3, reflecting nagging worries about a possible recession and a softening labor market.

    The closely followed index dropped 2.7 points from a revised 104 in the prior month, the Conference Board said Tuesday. The level of confidence in April was the lowest since July 2022.

    Consumer…

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  • Worried the IRS is going to audit your tax return? If you earn less than $400,000, you can probably relax.

    Worried the IRS is going to audit your tax return? If you earn less than $400,000, you can probably relax.

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    Some clarity is emerging regarding statements from Biden administration officials that no one making less than $400,000 will see higher audit rates by the Internal Revenue Service, which is about to step up its scrutiny of wealthy taxpayers.

    The Inflation Reduction Act — the tax and climate package enacted last summer — earmarked $80 billion for the IRS over the next decade and a half. The money is intended in part to facilitate more audits of corporations and wealthier individuals.

    Ahead of the bill’s passage, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen pledged that there would be no increase in the audit rate for households and small businesses with annual incomes below $400,000 “relative to historical levels.

    But Republican critics and other observers have asked what “historical levels” might actually mean.

    The audit rate on returns for tax year 2018 is the reference point to keep in mind, IRS Commissioner Danny Werfel told senators on Wednesday. He emphasized that “there’s no surge coming for workers, retirees and others.”

    The IRS audited fewer than 1% of 2018 returns with total positive incomes — the sum of all positive amounts shown for various sources of income reported on an individual income-tax return, which excludes losses — of between $1 and $500,000, according to statistics that the tax agency released last week.

    The agency has three years to start an audit from the time it receives a return.

    Also read: The IRS wants more people working in tax enforcement. Now it has to find them.

    The numbers show that 0.4% of returns for taxpayers earning up to $25,000 were audited. That figure was 0.3% for returns between $200,000 and $500,000 and more than 9% for returns over $10 million, the IRS data show. Six years earlier, more than 13% of returns over $10 million were scrutinized, according to the IRS.

    “Help us with understanding what the words ‘historic level’ means,” Sen. James Lankford, a Republican from Oklahoma, asked Werfel during a Wednesday budget hearing.

    “We will take the most recent final audit rate, and it’s historically low … and we allow that to be the marker for least several years, and then we’re revisit it,” Werfel said. The 2018 audit rates were the newest final rates, he added.

    “So the 2018 number is what it’s going to be?” Lankford asked.

    “Yes,” Werfel replied.

    “Werfel’s explanation that 2018 audit levels will be the reference point is the most detail I’ve heard so far,” Erica York, s senior economist at the Tax Foundation, told MarketWatch. “He did seem to leave open the possibility of revisiting the reference year for ‘historical’ in the future,” she added.

    Another open question has been how the $400,000 income threshold will be determined. Months after the Inflation Reduction Act passed, IRS and Treasury officials still hadn’t finalized what counted as $400,000 in income, according to a January Treasury Department watchdog report.

    “How are you arriving at this number?” asked Sen. Marsha Blackburn, a Republican from Tennessee. Blackburn’s state has many self-employed entrepreneurs who might appear richer on paper than they actually are, she said. “While they may have a higher gross, their net is very low,” she added.

    “We’re going to look at total positive income as our metric,” Werfel said. He later added that “there would be no increased likelihood of an audit if they have less than $400,000 in total positive income.”

    The IRS description of total positive income as “the sum of all positive amounts shown for the various sources of income reported on an individual income tax return and, thus, excludes losses” represents, effectively, a tally of income before taxpayers subtract their losses.

    Total positive income is a metric the IRS usually applies to categorize audits, the Tax Foundation’s York noted. But one challenge of strict thresholds for more audits, she said, “is that it creates incentives for underreporting income” to stay under the line.

    Compared with recent years, there are now more specifics about how the IRS will implement additional audits of higher-income taxpayers, said Janet Holtzblatt, a senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center.

    “But still there are questions,” she noted, about how the agency will treat situations when taxpayers don’t provide full picture of their income.

    Read on: Make sure the tax breaks you’re taking now won’t hammer you in retirement

    Also: ‘This was a test’: IRS has handled more than 100 million returns already — Tax Day by the numbers

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  • Facebook settlement: How to apply for some of Meta’s $725 million payout

    Facebook settlement: How to apply for some of Meta’s $725 million payout

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    If you used Facebook between May 2007 and December 2022, the social-media giant may owe you some money.

    A California judge preliminarily approved a $725 million settlement between Facebook parent Meta Platforms
    META,
    -1.01%

    and users who say the company allowed their data to be viewed or shared by third parties, notably Cambridge Analytica, without their consent.

    The judge’s approval was a precursor to the final approval hearing, which will take place in September, but people can begin submitting claims now to potentially get a cash payment.

    Who does the Facebook settlement apply to?

    The $725 million settlement applies to anybody who was a Facebook user in the U.S. between May 24, 2007 and Dec. 22, 2022. The class-action form simply states that people who were Facebook users during that period are eligible. It does not mention any required level of activity on the account.

    It’s unclear if someone with multiple Facebook accounts would be entitled to more money than a person with a single account. To find out if you are included in the settlement group, you can email info@FacebookUserPrivacySettlement.com 

    When is the deadline to submit a claim?

    The claim form must be submitted no later than Aug. 25, 2023.

    The form can be completed online or downloaded and mailed to the settlement administrator at the following address: Facebook Consumer Privacy User Profile Litigation, c/o Settlement Administrator, 1650 Arch St., Suite 2210, Philadelphia, PA 19103.

    How much money will you get?

    As is typical with class-action lawsuits, the amount an individual will receive is dependent on a variety of factors.

    The settlement form says the payment will vary based on how many people submit claims. Additionally, administrative costs and attorneys’ fees will be deducted from the settlement fund prior to its release.

    See also: Mark Zuckerberg’s total 2022 pay rose because of the increased use of private aircraft

    “Settlement payments will be distributed as soon as possible if the Court grants Final Approval of the Settlement and after any appeals are resolved,” the claim website notes.

    How many people does this affect?

    Because Facebook has so many users and because of the 16-year time frame for this settlement, there are millions of people who could submit a claim.

    According to data compiled by Statista, total Facebook users in the U.S. numbered roughly 240 million in 2022.

    What has Meta said about the lawsuit?

    In December 2022, Meta agreed in principle to pay the settlement. At the time, a Meta spokesman said settling the class-action suit was “in the best interest of our community and shareholders.” The company added that it had revamped its privacy approach and “implemented a comprehensive privacy program.”

    Despite agreeing to pay the settlement, “Meta expressly denies any liability or wrongdoing,” according to the lawsuit website.

    Representatives for Meta didn’t immediately respond to MarketWatch’s request for comment on this story.

    See also: NPR’s CEO sayd ‘I have lost my faith in the decision-making’ at Twitter under Elon Musk

    The settlement comes as Meta is set to announce another round of layoffs this week.

    Meta shares were down 0.95% in the early afternoon on Wednesday and have gained nearly 80% year to date, compared with the S&P 500’s
    SPX,
    -0.01%

     8.11% gain in 2023.

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  • Netflix stock falls after subscriber growth, earnings forecast miss. But it’s bouncing back on ad plans, shared-password crackdown in U.S.

    Netflix stock falls after subscriber growth, earnings forecast miss. But it’s bouncing back on ad plans, shared-password crackdown in U.S.

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    Netflix Inc.’s stock initially plunged in after-hours trading Tuesday, after the streaming giant posted weaker subscriber growth and forecast a smaller profit than Wall Street expected. But shares later recovered and crossed into positive territory on company disclosures that its new ad-supported service is a success and its crackdown on shared accounts in the U.S. is coming this quarter.

    Netflix
    NFLX,
    +0.29%

    reported that subscribers increased by 1.75 million in the first quarter of the year, missing analysts’ average estimate of 2.2 million. Netflix reported fiscal first-quarter net earnings of $1.31 billion, or $2.88 a share, compared with $3.53 a share in the year-ago quarter.

    Revenue improved to $8.16 billion from $7.87 billion a year ago. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected on average net earnings of $2.86 a share on revenue of $8.18 billion.

    For the second quarter, Netflix executives guided for earnings of $2.84 a share on $8.24 billion in revenue, while analysts on average were expecting earnings of $3.07 a share on sales of $8.18 billion. Netflix no longer provides guidance on subscriber additions, a sign its years of rapid growth are clearly cooling.

    Shares plunged lower than $300 in after-hours trading immediately following the release of the results, after closing with a 0.3% increase at $333.70. But shares had crossed into positive territory and were recently above $335 in the extended session.

    Netflix executives have hoped to goose their financial results with cheaper, ad-supported options and a crackdown on password sharing. In a letter to shareholders Tuesday, company executives said the ads plan in the U.S. “already has a total ARM (subscription + ads) greater than our standard plan.”

    At the same time, they disclosed a password crackdown in the U.S. will occur in the second quarter, a bit later from previous expectations.

    “We shifted out the timing of the broad launch from late Q1 to Q2,” Netflix executives wrote. “While this means that some of the expected membership growth and revenue benefit will fall in Q3 rather than Q2, we believe this will result in a
    better outcome for both our members and our business.”

    Additionally, Netflix also announced that it will end the DVD-by-mail business that launched the company into consumers’ homes. Revenue from the DVD business had declined from $911 million in 2013 to $146 million in 2022.

    “This a catch-22 environment for streaming companies as they are pivoting from chasing subscribers to chasing profits while at the same time inflation-weary consumers are reassessing their discretionary spending habits,” KPMG U.S. National Media Leader Scott Purdy said, in assessing the results. “Today’s figures, a bellwether for the industry at large, signal that winter is coming for the consumer. All of the subsidies are ending. Consumers can expect to be hit with ads, higher prices, and password sharing crackdown.”

    Expectations among investors heading into Netflix’s quarterly report were muted. The focus was on Netflix’s switch toward better monetization with an ad-supported service and a rolling crackdown on shared accounts. Analysts in particular were closely watching the performance of Netflix’s new “Basic with Ads” plan ($6.99 a month) and its effectiveness in stanching the defection of subscribers to competing services from Walt Disney Co.
    DIS,
    +0.63%

    and Apple Inc.
    AAPL,
    +0.75%
    .

    Netflix’s rollout of the ad-supported tier could also have a temporary impact on margins: Netflix reported an operating margin of 21%, compared with about 25% in the year-ago quarter.

    At the same time, Netflix put an end to paid shared accounts in some Latin American countries last year, and expanded plans to do so Canada, New Zealand, Portugal and Spain in February.

    “In our view, the password-sharing crackdown will result in a greater number of subs as well as revenue because the primary account holder will either pay an additional fee for members who have moved out of the household or those sharing accounts become full subscribers,” Bank of America analysts said in a recent note.

    Shares of Netflix have climbed 12% so far this year, while the broader S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    +0.09%

    has advanced 8%.

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  • Why Snap is suddenly eligible to join the S&P 500

    Why Snap is suddenly eligible to join the S&P 500

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    Snap Inc.’s initial public offering led to changes that barred the company and others like it from joining major stock indexes, but at least one major index provider has decided to drop those limitations after less than six years.

    S&P Dow Jones Indices announced Monday afternoon that a 2017 rule barring companies with multiple share classes from joining indexes such as the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.33%

    has been dropped. The move comes after the index manager consulted with “market participants” at the end of last year to discuss several potential changes to the policy.

    Snap
    SNAP,
    +1.78%

    was the poster child for the initial change, after the parent company of the Snapchat mobile app went public in 2017 by selling a class of shares with no voting rights. That unprecedented move ensured that co-founders Evan Spiegel and Bobby Murphy would retain absolute power over their company even while selling shares to the public.

    Snap’s move was an acceleration of an approach used by a generation of Silicon Valley tech companies to ensure that founders retained control of their companies even while selling shares to the public. Companies such as Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc.
    META,
    -1.19%

    and Google parent Alphabet Inc.
    GOOGL,
    -2.66%

    GOOG,
    -2.78%

    used similar structures that provided their leaders with special shares that included increased voting rights, which Snap took further by offering no voting rights.

    From 2017: Snap backlash, Facebook capitulation won’t stop founder-friendly stock structures

    In response, FTSE Russell established rules about putting votes in the public’s hands while selling stock, and S&P Dow Jones Indices completely barred all companies that had multiple classes of stock from joining its core indexes. While FTSE Russell’s rule — which requires that at least 5% of votes rest in the hands of public investors — remains, S&P Dow Jones Indices will now drop its rule entirely, after roughly 80% of respondents voted in favor of a change in 2017.

    There were other options besides completely dropping the rule. Participants in the consultation process were given several options and asked to rank them, including barring companies that only offer nonvoting stock to the public — such as Snap — or allowing companies that establish “sunset” provisions that would eventually revert all shares to equal voting rights.

    Related: Investors want change, but founders like Mark Zuckerberg hold them off

    Snap declined to comment Monday afternoon.

    The change to allow all companies with multiple share classes to join the S&P Composite 1500 and its multiple component indexes is effective as of Monday, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced, though no changes were immediately made to any index. Tracking stocks will still not be eligible for inclusion, according to the announcement.

    For more: As Snap melts down, its founders make sure to protect the people who matter — themselves

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  • 10 dividend stocks yielding at least 4.5% that are rated ‘buy’ by most analysts

    10 dividend stocks yielding at least 4.5% that are rated ‘buy’ by most analysts

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    During a period of high interest rates, it might be more difficult to impress investors with dividend stocks. But the stocks can have an important advantage over the long term. The dividend payouts can increase over the years, helping to push share prices higher over time.

    When considering stocks for dividend income, yield shouldn’t be the only thing you consider. If a stock’s price has tumbled because investors are worried about the company’s business prospects, the dividend yield might be very high. A double-digit yield might mean investors expect to see a cut to the dividend soon.

    There are many ways to look at companies’ expected ability to maintain or raise their dividend payouts. But one can also take a simple approach to begin researching stock choices.

    At the moment, you can get a bank CD with a yield of close to 5% pretty easily. Here’s a look at current yields for CDs and U.S. Treasury securities and an approach for laddering them not only to protect your cash but to hedge against interest-rate risk.

    For investors who would rather aim for long-term growth to go along with dividend income, or take a relatively conservative approach to growth while reinvesting dividends, a screen of stocks in the S&P 500
    SPX,
    +0.33%

    produces only 10 stocks with dividend yields of 4.5% or higher with majority “buy” or equivalent ratings among analysts polled by FactSet. Here they are, sorted by dividend yield:

    Company

    Ticker

    Dividend Yield

    Expected payout increase through 2025

    Share “buy” ratings

    April 16 price

    Consensus price target

    implied 12-month upside potential

    Comerica Inc.

    CMA,
    +4.00%
    6.56%

    10%

    58%

    $43.30

    $60.53

    40%

    Citizens Financial Group Inc.

    CFG,
    +4.19%
    5.77%

    12%

    74%

    $29.10

    $39.29

    35%

    Healthpeak Properties Inc.

    PEAK,
    +2.33%
    5.71%

    9%

    60%

    $21.01

    $27.69

    32%

    Hasbro Inc.

    HAS,
    +1.28%
    5.34%

    8%

    69%

    $52.40

    $69.27

    32%

    Philip Morris International Inc.

    PM,
    +0.46%
    5.11%

    11%

    67%

    $99.48

    $113.56

    14%

    Realty Income Corp.

    O,
    +1.30%
    5.04%

    7%

    56%

    $60.77

    $70.00

    15%

    Fifth Third Bancorp

    FITB,
    +3.33%
    4.99%

    3%

    72%

    $26.44

    $34.55

    31%

    VICI Properties Inc.

    VICI,
    +1.58%
    4.82%

    12%

    95%

    $32.35

    $37.73

    17%

    Organon & Co.

    OGN,
    +1.01%
    4.71%

    5%

    55%

    $23.80

    $31.89

    34%

    Iron Mountain Inc.

    IRM,
    +0.82%
    4.69%

    15%

    78%

    $52.76

    $56.00

    6%

    Source: FactSet

    Click on the ticker for more about each company.

    Click here for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the MarketWatch quote page.

    The dividend yields for this group of 10 companies are based on current annual regular payout rates, with all paying quarterly except for Realty Income Corp.
    O,
    +1.30%
    ,
    which pays monthly.

    These two oil and natural gas producers would have passed the above screen based on their most recent dividend payments and analysts’ sentiment, however, they pay a combined fixed-plus-variable dividend every quarter, with the fixed portion relatively low:

    • Shares of Pioneer Natural Resources Co.
      PXD,
      -0.77%

      closed at $230 on April 14. Among analysts polled by FactSet, 59% rate the stock a “buy” or the equivalent, and the consensus price target is $257.42. The company pays a fixed quarterly dividend of $1.10 a share, which would make for a dividend yield of only 1.91%. However, the most recent variable quarterly dividend was $4.48 a share, for a combined quarterly dividend of $5.58, which would translate to an annualized dividend yield of 9.70%. The consensus estimate for dividends in 2025 is $4.63 — the analysts are only estimating the fixed portion of the dividend. Pioneer has held preliminary merger discussions with Exxon Corp.
      XOM,
      -1.16%
      ,
      according to a Wall Street Journal report.

    • Devon Energy Corp.’s
      DVN,
      -0.72%

      stock closed at $55.70 on April 14. The shares are rated “buy” or the equivalent by 55% of analysts and the consensus price target is $67.66. The fixed portion of Devon’s quarterly dividend is 20 cents a share, for an annualized dividend yield of 1.44%. The variable portion of the most recent quarterly dividend was 69 cents a share. The total payout of 89 cents would make for an annual dividend yield of 6.39%. Analysts expect the fixed portion of annual dividends to total $3.61 in 2025, according to FactSet.

    Don’t miss: Buffett is buying in Japan. This overseas value-stock fund is also making bets there. Is it a good way to diversify?

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  • Is it safe to live near recycling centers? Questions surge after Indiana plastics site burns.

    Is it safe to live near recycling centers? Questions surge after Indiana plastics site burns.

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    As the fire at an Indiana plastics-recycling storage facility burned over several days and officials scrambled to calm evacuated residents and measure air quality, larger safety questions emerged across a nation that relies on recycling to help offset the impact of teeming landfills and littered waterways.

    Authorities in the eastern part of the state on Sunday finally lifted a dayslong evacuation order after it was determined immediate environmental concerns related to the fire had passed.

    But the man-made disaster had already done its part, leaving many wondering if recycling centers — challenging to regulate because they range from small community-led efforts to major industrial facilities — are as safe as Americans think they are?

    Public health experts told MarketWatch the nation needs to take a harder look at how we store and dispose of chemicals-heavy plastics in particular, along with other recycled materials that can act as a tinderbox in certain conditions. It may be a wakeup call to the scores of Americans who embrace recycling as one of the longest-tested and straightforward solutions to help the environment. What happens after recyclable materials leave the home can be quite another story, however.

    Read: Recycling is confusing — how to be smarter about all that takeout plastic

    Worker safety in the handling of large recycling machinery remains a priority of the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) and other agencies, but less scrutiny may be given to the emissions those workers breathe in, and in the case of the Indiana emergency, what pollution community members near a recycling center may be exposed to.

    “Any company, regardless of its intentions, must be held accountable for regulations, not only for the safety of its employees, but for the communities around it,” Dr. Panagis Galiatsatos, a pulmonologist, who is the national spokesperson for the American Lung Association, told MarketWatch.

    “This [Indiana crisis] is alarming — a good deed [such as recycling] undone by the consequences of not having sound safety precautions,” said Galiatsatos, who is also an assistant professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and helps lead community engagement for the Baltimore Breathe Center.

    As for the fire in Richmond, Ind., a college town and county seat of about 35,000 people near the Ohio border, the city’s fire chief, Tim Brown, made clear that there were known code violations by the operator of the former factory that had been turned into plastics storage for recycling or resale. This dangerous fire was a matter of “when, not if,” Brown said in the initial hours that the fire, whose origin is not yet known, burned.

    The city of Richmond’s official site about the disaster described the fire as initially impacting “two warehouses containing large amounts of chipped, shredded and bulk recycled plastic, [which] caught fire.” The site does offer cleanup help advice.

    Brown, the fire chief, reported that just over 13 of the 14 acres which made up the recycling facility’s property had burned, according to nearby Dayton, Ohio, station WDTN. Brown told reporters the six buildings at the site of the fire were full of plastic from “floor to ceiling, wall to wall,” along with several full semi-trailers. He said Sunday that fire fighters would continue to monitor for flare-ups, according to the Associated Press.

    Richmond Mayor Dave Snow said the owner of the buildings has ignored citations that dinged his operation for code violations, and the city has continued to go through steps to get the owner to clean up the property, including preventing the operator from taking on additional plastic.

    “We just wish the property owner and the business owner would’ve taken this more serious from day one,” Snow said, according to the report out of Dayton, which cited sister station WXIN. “This person has been negligent and irresponsible, and it’s led to putting a lot of people in danger,” the mayor added.

    But some environmental groups say lax enforcement puts citizens at risk.

    “Indiana is already top in the nation for water and air quality violations, but the consequences are too negligible here for industry to adhere to the laws,” said Susan Thomas, communications director at Just Transition Northwest Indiana, a climate justice group based in the state.

    “We need real solutions to the climate crisis, not more false ones that shield chronic polluters from justice,” she said.

    The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) had collected debris samples from the Richmond fire and searched nearby grounds for any debris, which will be sampled for asbestos given the age of the buildings housing the recycling facility. Residents have been warned not to touch or mow over debris until the sample results are available. Testing was also carried out on the Ohio side of the border.

    No doubt, the catastrophe had impacted daily life. Wayne County, Ind., health department officials and fire-safety officials told residents to shelter in place and reduce outdoor activity if they even smelled smoke. According to the health department’s help line, symptoms that may be related to breathing smoke include repeated coughing, shortness of breath or difficulty breathing, wheezing, chest tightness or pain, palpitations, nausea or lightheadedness.

    Any safer than a landfill?

    When a lens on recycling is widened, it comes to light that how facilities handle their plastic and other materials may not involve much more care than that given to chemical-emitting plastic left to break down in a landfill, say the concerned public health officials.

    Of the 40 million tons of plastic waste generated in the U.S., only 5%-6%, or about two million tons, is recycled, according to a report conducted by the environmental groups Beyond Plastics and The Last Beach Cleanup. About 85% went to landfills, and 10% was incinerated. The rate of plastic recycling has decreased since 2018, when it was at 8.7%, per the study.

    Generally speaking, when plastic particles break down, they gain new physical and chemical properties, increasing the risk they will have a toxic effect on organisms, says the environmental arm of the United Nations. The larger the number of potentially affected species and ecological functions, the more likely it is that toxic effects will occur.

    And although the conditions of the Indiana fire differ from those experienced earlier this year when a Norfolk Southern Corp.
    NSC,
    +0.30%

    freight train carrying hazardous materials in several cars derailed near East Palestine, Ohio, the public’s concern for that event — which also sparked an evacuation after a chemical plume from a controlled burn — spread widely on social media.

    Now, add in Richmond. The public, at large, is increasingly wondering if officials are doing their job to prevent such disasters, and whether the full extent of chemical exposure is known.

    “This [fire in Indiana] overlaps in a general sense the chemical safety question raised by the Ohio derailment — and it shouldn’t have just been raised by that one event, but that certainly brought it into focus,” said Dr. Peter Orris, chief of occupational and environmental medicine at the University of Illinois – Chicago.

    Orris said lasting solutions pushing awareness and safety around the storage and transportation of chemicals and chemical-based plastic must span political differences over the reach of regulation. He recalled a time just after the 9/11 terror attacks when a fresh look at the transportation of toxic chemicals and the storage and shipment of ammonia and other substances that can have nefarious uses in the wrong hands drew support from unusual partners.

    “Shortly after 9/11 a rather broad coalition, including environmental interests such as Greenpeace, and consumer groups, with congressional support, alongside Homeland Security all pushed a model bill about where and how you could transport toxic chemicals, especially going through populated areas,” he said. “Dealing with new concerns around chemicals and recycling plastic may require the same breadth of interests.”

    Already, the Biden administration has shown the will to target chemical exposure in U.S. water. Earlier this year, the EPA moved to require near-zero levels of perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substances, part of a classification of chemicals known as PFAS, and also called “forever chemicals” due to how long they persist in the environment. Both the chemical companies and their trade groups have pushed their own steps toward reducing risk, they say. Exposure to some of the chemicals has been linked to cancer, liver damage, fertility and thyroid problems, as well as asthma and other health effects.

    Read more: Cancer-linked PFAS — known as ‘forever chemicals’ — could be banned in drinking water for first time

    And, Orris stressed, regulating recycling with a one-size-fits-all approach may not work.

    Surprisingly, it can be the smaller recycling facilities that take bigger steps in curbing emissions than their larger counterparts. Orris in recent years reported on efforts of a San Francisco recycling plant that made emissions reduction a priority, including by banning incineration. The same research trip turned up issues with a Los Angeles-area plant, exposing “real problems with its policies and procedures beginning with the neighborhood smell from organic materials to other issues with toxins.”

    How can plastic be so dangerous?

    Specifically, the chemicals that help fortify plastic for its many uses present their own unique conditions.

    As plastic is heated at high temperatures, melted and reformed into small pellets, it emits toxic chemicals and particulate matter, including volatile gases and fly ash, into the air, which pose threats to health and the local environment, says a Human Rights Watch paper, citing environmental engineering research. When plastic is recycled into pellets for future use, its toxic chemical additives are carried over to the new products. Plus, the recycling process can generate new toxic chemicals, like dioxins, if plastics are not heated at a high enough temperature.

    There are other concerns. Plastic melting facilities can emit volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and carcinogens, which in higher concentrations can pollute air both inside facilities and in areas near recycling facilities.

    “Plastics, the way they burn, put out dangerous toxins. And plastic can create its own unique chemistry even when it comes into interaction with benign chemicals,” said Galiatsatos of Johns Hopkins.

    “There are the lung issues from people breathing in these chemicals and the toxins associated with them. But there is more: systemic inflation from breathing in chemicals, and that can lead to heart disease,” he said.

    “I wish we would pay the same amount of attention to plastics, their recycling and their disposal, as we do with sewer systems. When was the last time we heard of a waste system-based cholera outbreak in the U.S.?” he asked rhetorically. “Exactly. That we care about. Yet plastics, especially the burning of chemicals, we treat too lightly.”

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  • Tesla, Netflix earnings due: Cheaper cars, cheaper content, more workout videos, as ‘earnings recession’ seems likely

    Tesla, Netflix earnings due: Cheaper cars, cheaper content, more workout videos, as ‘earnings recession’ seems likely

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    For anyone watching Netflix, the streaming services’ recent moves to cut costs could mean fewer films, lower-budget shows and — depending on your subscription — more ads. For anyone buying a Tesla, its moves to cut prices will make it easier on customers, but harder on profit-seeking investors.

    With both companies reporting results this week, Wall Street will get a look at who still wants a Tesla, amid growing competition, and what kind of growth and viewership anyone can expect from Netflix, as it recalibrates its streaming ambitions and focuses more on profitability following years of rapid growth.

    Netflix Inc.
    NFLX,
    -2.18%
    ,
    which reports first-quarter results on Tuesday, is trying to crack down on shared accounts, and analysts polled by FactSet see subscriptions coming in well below the average. However, BofA analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich said that first-quarter results would likely “mark the low point” of the year, “reflecting the initial impact of password sharing efforts in select markets.”

    Netflix will report as shareholders’ growing influence over the streaming universe raises questions over what shows and films get streamed, and for how long, as Wall Street tries to wring more bottom-line gains from an industry that boomed before and during the pandemic but burned cash and got crowded in the process. Netflix, along with Walt Disney Co.
    DIS,
    -0.93%
    ,
    have laid off employees, while Warner Brothers Discovery Inc.
    WBD,
    -1.85%

    fuses its streaming holdings together.

    “We expect Netflix to continue reining in spending, particularly by seeking alternatives to its past practices,” Wedbush analysts Alicia Reese and Michael Pachter wrote in a research note on Thursday. “The company appears to us to be producing fewer feature length films, which we have always viewed as a poor investment, and appears focused on lower cost television content.”

    “We are equally encouraged that Netflix is looking at low-cost content like workout videos, which we believe will present a lot of value to subscribers at very low cost,” they added later.

    The analysts said that they felt Netflix was well positioned, as other streamers rethink their approach to expansion and financials. And they said Netflix “should be valued as an immensely profitable, slow-growth company.” They also said that Netflix’s decision to launch a cheaper ad-supported option was a “great decision” after growth stalled in the U.S. and Canada and the company’s business in Europe, the Middle East and Africa reaches the saturation point.

    For Tesla Inc.
    TSLA,
    -0.48%
    ,
    which reports results on Wednesday, the focus for investors will be on price-cutting and its impact on margins. Still, Potter, an analyst at Piper Sandler, has said Tesla is on a “warpath” and “maintaining its aggressive approach to pricing,” and said investors “should expect relentless price cuts to continue.”

    Base prices for Tesla’s Model S and Model X have fallen by around $5,000, MarketWatch has noted, as the electric-vehicle maker tries to stimulate demand. The company is also selling a more affordable Model Y SUV.

    “Tesla concerns on pricing and a race to the bottom persisted as general sentiment on the stock is souring given recent price cuts after a brief period of stabilization,” TD Cowen analyst Jeffrey Osborne said in a note.

    Tesla will report as the Biden administration tries to take a harder stance on auto pollution. The EPA recently proposed new emissions restrictions intended to hasten electric-vehicle usage, by incrementally curtailing tailpipe emissions each year for vehicle model years 2027 through 2032. However, some analysts said the measures would push prices higher for regular and electric vehicles.

    This week in earnings

    The first-quarter earnings reporting season will pick up steam in the week ahead, with 60 S&P 500 companies, including six from the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -0.42%
    ,
    reporting quarterly results, according to FactSet. Those companies will report as Wall Street analysts remain pessimistic about results for the quarter, and the prospect of another so-called “earnings recession” in which profits contract for at least two straight quarters.

    “As of today, the S&P 500 is reporting a year-over-year decline in earnings of -6.5% for the first quarter, which would mark the largest earnings decline reported by the index since Q2 2020 (-31.6%) and the second straight quarter the index has reported a decline in earnings,” FactSet Senior Earnings Analyst John Butters said in a report on Friday.

    After investors cheered JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s
    JPM,
    +7.55%

    quarterly results on Friday — despite Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse and broader recession anxieties — other banking giants, like Bank of America Corp.
    BAC,
    +3.36%
    ,
    Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
    GS,
    +1.44%

    and Morgan Stanley
    MS,
    +1.19%

    report during the week ahead. So does Johnson & Johnson
    JNJ,
    -0.16%
    ,
    after it agreed to pay as much as $8.9 billion to settle scores of lawsuits alleging that its talc baby powder was linked to cancer. Charles Schwab Corp.
    SCHW,
    -1.40%
    ,
    United Airlines Holdings Inc.
    UAL,
    -0.71%

    and AT&T Inc.
    T,
    -0.15%

    also report during the week.

    The calls to put on your calendar

    Supply-chain update, anyone? Shipping rates have fallen. Labor tensions have risen. Railroad safety is under scrutiny. Elsewhere in that industry, hedge funders are applying pressure. Memories of 2021’s supply-chain meltdown are still fresh after it led to shipping delays and put the low-work labor that fuels much of that distribution network under a spotlight.

    At any rate, trucking and logistics company J.B. Hunt Transportation Services Inc.
    JBHT,
    +1.23%

    reports on Monday, while railroad giant CSX Corp.
    CSX,
    +0.13%

    reports on Thursday. Both companies report after a drop-off in demand for goods last year, as inflation remolded consumers’ buying habits. They also report after rail workers threatened to strike over what they said were inadequate sick-time policies. More recently, a group representing the terminal operators at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach alleged that dockworkers were disrupting daily operations at the two massive import gateways, as the workers’ union and the terminal operators try to work out a contract. The quarterly financial reports and earnings calls will offer a look at what the year ahead has in store.

    The number to watch

    Credit-card transactions, charge-offs: Credit-card providers Discover Financial Services
    DFS,
    +0.68%

    and American Express Co.
    AXP,
    +0.57%

    report Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. The companies will report after Discover took a hit in January after it forecast credit-card net charge-offs — a measure of debt a company doesn’t think it’ll get back — that were worse than what Wall Street expected. Similar to the results from the big banks, the results from American Express and Discover will tells us how much consumers are still spending, and whether more are falling behind on their bills, as recession anxieties prevail.

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  • Why 5% interest rates might not derail the stock market or the U.S. economy

    Why 5% interest rates might not derail the stock market or the U.S. economy

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    Here’s a thought for investors: If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to 5% or more would that wreck the economy and stock prices ?

    The U.S. stock market has been rallying to start 2023, clawing back a big chunk of the painful losses from a year ago. The bullish tone has been linked to a view that the Federal Reserve will need to cut interest rates this year to prevent a recession, reversing one of its quickest rate-increasing campaigns in history.

    Doomsday investors, including hedge-fund billionaire Paul Singer, have been warning against that outcome. Singer thinks a credit crunch and deep recession may be necessary to purge dangerous levels of froth in markets after an era of near-zero interest rates.

    Another scenario might be that little changes: Credit markets could tolerate interest rates that prevailed before 2008. The Fed’s policy rate could increase a bit from its current 4.75%-5% range, and stay there for a while.

    “A 5% interest rate is not going to break the market,” said Ben Snider, managing director, and U.S. portfolio strategist at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, in a phone interview with MarketWatch.

    Snider pointed to many highly rated companies which, like the majority of U.S. homeowners, refinanced old debt during the pandemic, cutting their borrowing costs to near record lows. “They are continuing to enjoy the low rate environment,” he said.

    “Our view is, yes, the Fed can hold rates here,” Snider said. “The economy can continue to grow.”

    Profits margins in focus

    The Fed and other global central banks have been dramatically increasing interest rates in the aftermath of the pandemic to fight inflation caused by supply chain disruptions, worker shortages and government spending policies.

    Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Friday warned that interest rates might need to increase even more than markets currently anticipate to restrain the rise in the cost of living, reflected recently in the March consumer-price index at a 5% yearly rate, down to the central bank’s 2% annual target.

    The sudden rise in interest rates led to bruising losses in stock and bond portfolios in 2022. Higher rates also played a role in last month’s collapse of Silicon Valley Bank after it sold “safe,” but rate-sensitive securities at a steep loss. That sparked concerns about risks in the U.S. banking system and fears of a potential credit crunch.

    “Rates are certainly higher than they were a year ago, and higher than the last decade,” said David Del Vecchio, co-head of PGIM Fixed Income’s U.S. investment grade corporate bond team. “But if you look over longer periods of time, they are not that high.”

    When investors buy corporate bonds they tend to focus on what could go wrong to prevent a full return of their investment, plus interest. To that end, Del Vecchio’s team sees corporate borrowing costs staying higher for longer, inflation remaining above target, but also hopeful signs that many highly rated companies would be starting off from a strong position if a recession still unfolds in the near future.

    “Profit margins have been coming down (see chart), but they are coming off peak levels,” Del Vecchio said. “So they are still very, very strong and trending lower. Probably that continues to trend lower this quarter.”

    Net profit margins for the S&P 500 are coming down, but off peak levels


    Refinitiv, I/B/E/S

    Rolling with it, including at banks

    It isn’t hard to come up with reasons why stocks could still tank in 2023, painful layoffs might emerge, or trouble with a wall of maturing commercial real estate debt could throw the economy into a tailspin.

    Snider’s team at Goldman Sachs Asset Management expects the S&P 500 index
    SPX,
    -0.21%

    to end the year around 4,000, or roughly flat to it’s closing level on Friday of 4,137. “I wouldn’t call it bullish,” he said. “But it isn’t nearly as bad as many investors expect.”

    Read: These five Wall Street veterans have 230 years of combined experience. Here’s why they are bearish on stocks.

    “Some highly levered companies that have debt maturities in the near future will struggle and may even struggle to keep the lights on,” said Austin Graff, chief investment officer at Opal Capital.

    Still, the economy isn’t likely to “enter a recession with a bang,” he said. “It will likely be a slow slide into a recession as companies tighten their belts and reduce spending, which will have a ripple effect across the economy.”

    However, Graff also sees the benefit of higher rates at big banks that have better managed interest rate risks in their securities holdings. “Banks can be very profitable in the current rate environment,” he said, pointing to large banks that typically offer 0.25%-1% on customer deposits, but now can lend out money at rates around 4%-5% and higher.

    “The spread the banks are earning in the current interest rate market is staggering,” he said, highlighting JP Morgan Chase & Co.
    JPM,
    +7.55%

    providing guidance that included an estimated $81 billion net interest income for this year, up about $7 billion from last year.

    Del Vecchio at PGIM said his team is still anticipating a relatively short and shallow recession, if one unfolds at all. “You can have a situation where it’s not a synchronized recession,” he said, adding that a downturn can “roll through” different parts of the economy instead of everywhere at once.

    The U.S. housing market saw a sharp slowdown in the past year as mortgage rates jumped, but lately has been flashing positive signs while “travel, lodging and leisure all are still doing well,” he said.

    U.S. stocks closed lower Friday, but booked a string of weekly gains. The S&P 500 index gained 0.8% over the past five days, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    -0.42%

    advanced 1.2% and the Nasdaq Composite Index
    COMP,
    -0.35%

    closed up 0.3% for the week, according to FactSet.

    Investors will hear from more Fed speakers next week ahead of the central bank’s next policy meeting in early May. U.S. economic data releases will include housing-related data on Monday, Tuesday and Thursday, while the Fed’s Beige Book is due Wednesday.

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  • Microsoft Looks to ChatGPT AI to Transform Its Digital Ad Business

    Microsoft Looks to ChatGPT AI to Transform Its Digital Ad Business

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    Microsoft Looks to ChatGPT AI to Transform Its Digital Ad Business

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  • Buffett is buying in Japan. This overseas value-stock fund is also making bets there. Is it a good way to diversify?

    Buffett is buying in Japan. This overseas value-stock fund is also making bets there. Is it a good way to diversify?

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    After a long period of underperformance when compared with the U.S. equity market, stocks in other countries are holding their own this year. One way to lower your overall risk with real diversification is to add exposure to an active international management style that doesn’t mirror a broad stock index.

    One example is the $2.7 billion Columbia Overseas Value Fund COSZX, which is rated four stars out of five by Morningstar in its Foreign Large Value category. Fred Copper and Daisuke Nomoto co-manage the fund and described…

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