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  • CNBC Daily Open: Did Apple’s shiny new things improve market sentiment?

    CNBC Daily Open: Did Apple’s shiny new things improve market sentiment?

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    New models of the Apple iPhone 16 are displayed after Apple’s “It’s Glowtime” event in Cupertino, California, September 9, 2024. 

    Nic Coury | AFP | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Broad rebound
    U.S. stocks rebounded on Monday after posting huge losses last week. It was a broad rally across assets: Oil prices gained 1% and bitcoin rose 4.42%. Asia-Pacific stocks were mixed Tuesday. The Hang Seng index added 0.42%, with Alibaba shares rising more than 5% after the company was added to Stock Connect. The scheme allows investors in mainland China and Hong Kong to trade and settle shares with each other’s market.

    Export growth in China
    China’s exports in August rose 8.7% year on year, in U.S. dollar terms, beating Reuters’ estimates of a 6.5% rise. Exports to the EU grew 13% from a year earlier, the most among China’s major trading partners, according to CNBC calculations of official data. Imports growth at 0.5% fell short of analysts’ expectations.

    New iPhones
    Apple unveiled lots of new products on Monday night. Highlights: the iPhone 16 Pro and Pro Max get larger screens, while their non-pro siblings finally get the Pro’s “action” button; the freshly redesigned Apple Watch Series 10; AirPods 4 earbuds. Apple’s AI features will launch in beta on the new iPhones — investors will monitor if they push up flagging iPhone sales.

    $400 million hit to Goldman
    Goldman Sachs will post a roughly $400 million pretax hit to its third-quarter results, said CEO David Solomon at a conference on Monday, as the bank winds down its ill-fated foray into consumer banking. Those ventures include Goldman’s GM Card business and a separate portfolio of loans.

    [PRO] Stocks to ride out shaky September
    September is historically the worst month for stocks. It’s the only month during which markets fell for four consecutive years. The volatility we’ve experienced at the start of the month seems to continue this unwelcome trend. Still, there are some steady stocks investors can consider to ride out September’s roller coaster.

    The bottom line

    Maybe all it takes are shiny new things to lift our mood and take our minds off recession fears.

    I’m jesting — but just partially.

    Apple on Monday launched sleek new iPhones, watches and earphones. The excitement of the event and the prospect of having something look forward to may have lifted market sentiment.

    Detractors who think that’s a far-fetched assertion should remember Apple dominates more than half of smartphone shipments in the U.S., according to Counterpoint Research. Further, a 2023 Bloomberg survey found 79% of Gen Zers prefer iPhones over other smartphones, implying that Apple’s market share could grow more as that demographic gains earning power.

    True, post-event, Apple shares just crawled up 0.04%. But, as CNBC’s Kelly Evans points out, the Cupertino-headquartered company’s stock tends to fall after product announcements.

    This reversal of the trend offers a glimmer of hope that Apple’s plans to integrate AI into its phones will rejuvenate iPhone sales, which have been slumping amid increased competition from Chinese brands.

    And when the S&P 500’s biggest constituent is experiencing favorable winds, other stocks will also benefit from its slipstream.

    Nvidia jumped 3.5% after falling 14% last week. Broader markets rose as well. Both the S&P and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.16%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.2%.

    Apart from Apple’s announcement, there wasn’t any other material news that would have impacted markets.

    Of course, Apple’s event is not the sole reason markets rose yesterday. Last week’s broad sell-off presents investors with opportunities to pick up stocks at a relatively cheaper price, which would induce a rebound rally.

    Markets are still largely driven by sentiment, as mentioned yesterday.

    That said, the consumer and producer price index reports coming out Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, are concrete pieces of data that have the potential to affect markets dramatically.

    They’ll also let us know if we can afford those shiny new things that Apple’s dangling in front of us.

    – CNBC’s Pia Singh and Lisa Kailai Han contributed to this story.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Did Apple’s shiny new things uplift markets?

    CNBC Daily Open: Did Apple’s shiny new things uplift markets?

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    Attendees inspect the new iPhone 16 Pro and 16 Pro Max during an Apple special event at Apple headquarters on September 09, 2024 in Cupertino, California. 

    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Broad rebound
    U.S. stocks rebounded on Monday after posting huge losses last week. It was a broad rally across assets: Oil prices gained 1% and bitcoin rose 4.42%. Europe’s Stoxx 600 index added 0.82%, its first positive movement in days. While the rally was quite broad, fashion houses fell out of favor with shares of Burberry, Hugo Boss and Kering retreating.

    New iPhones
    Apple unveiled lots of new products on Monday night. Highlights: the iPhone 16 Pro and Pro Max get larger screens, while their non-pro siblings finally get the Pro’s “action” button; the freshly redesigned Apple Watch Series 10; AirPods 4 earbuds. Apple’s AI features will launch in beta on the new iPhones — investors will monitor if they push up flagging iPhone sales.

    Debate over rate cuts
    Economists such as George Lagarias of Forvis Mazars think a 50-basis-points rate cut “might send a wrong message to markets.” Michael Yoshikami, CEO of Destination Wealth Management, however, thinks it would be “a very positive sign,” echoing Nobel Prize winner Joseph Stiglitz’s opinion that a 50-point cut should be on the table.

    $400 million hit to Goldman
    Goldman Sachs will post a roughly $400 million pretax hit to its third-quarter results, said CEO David Solomon at a conference on Monday, as the bank winds down its ill-fated foray into consumer banking. Those ventures include Goldman’s GM Card business and a separate portfolio of loans.

    [PRO] Macro factors don’t sway Buffett
    In recent weeks, markets have gyrated because of concerns over the U.S. economy’s health, the state of the labor market, the trajectory of rate cuts, among many other factors. To Warren Buffett, however, none of those macroeconomic factors matters when he invests.

    The bottom line

    Maybe all it takes are shiny new things to lift our mood and take our minds off recession fears.

    I’m jesting — but just partially.

    Apple on Monday launched sleek new iPhones, watches and earphones. The excitement of the event and the prospect of having something look forward to may have lifted market sentiment.

    Detractors who think that’s a far-fetched assertion should remember Apple dominates more than half of smartphone shipments in the U.S., according to Counterpoint Research. Further, a 2023 Bloomberg survey found 79% of Gen Zers prefer iPhones over other smartphones, implying that Apple’s market share could grow more as that demographic gains earning power.

    True, post-event, Apple shares just crawled up 0.04%. But, as CNBC’s Kelly Evans points out, the Cupertino-headquartered company’s stock tends to fall after product announcements.

    This reversal of the trend offers a glimmer of hope that Apple’s plans to integrate AI into its phones will rejuvenate iPhone sales, which have been slumping amid increased competition from Chinese brands.

    And when the S&P 500’s biggest constituent is experiencing favorable winds, other stocks will also benefit from its slipstream.

    Nvidia jumped 3.5% after falling 14% last week. Broader markets rose as well. Both the S&P and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.16%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.2%.

    Apart from Apple’s announcement, there wasn’t any other material news that would have impacted markets.

    Of course, Apple’s event is not the sole reason markets rose yesterday. Last week’s broad sell-off presents investors with opportunities to pick up stocks at a relatively cheaper price, which would induce a rebound rally.

    Markets are still largely driven by sentiment, as mentioned yesterday.

    That said, the consumer and producer price index reports coming out Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, are concrete pieces of data that have the potential to affect markets dramatically.

    They’ll also let us know if we can afford those shiny new things that Apple’s dangling in front of us.

    – CNBC’s Pia Singh and Lisa Kailai Han contributed to this story.

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  • Rich Chinese travelers are flocking to Tokyo to take advantage of the weak yen

    Rich Chinese travelers are flocking to Tokyo to take advantage of the weak yen

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    Chuo Ward, Tokyo, Japan – February 23, 2018; Top luxury shopping streets with multi colored neon signs. Ginza avenues are lined with shops of expensive brands and restaurants in the heart of Tokyo. It is half past five p.m. on Friday. People flock to Ginza for shopping, dinner and drinking with their friends. Ginza became synonymous with major shopping districts in Japan.

    Marco Ferrarin | Moment | Getty Images

    SHANGHAI — Luxury brands are seeing a surge in sales in Japan, largely driven by purchases from Chinese travelers taking advantage of a weak yen, according to earnings results this month.

    LVMH, Kering and Burberry all noted the uptick, despite weaker sales in China that weighed on overall results.

    Japan sales for Kering-owned Yves Saint Laurent surged by 42% in the first half of the year “due to strong growth in the number of tourists visiting from China and Southeast Asia, who were attracted by the pricing differential arising from the favorable exchange rate,” the parent company said Wednesday of its second-largest brand.

    For the first half of the year, luxury group LVMH this week reported “exceptional growth in Japan arising in particular from purchases made by Chinese travelers.”

    The Chinese yuan has gained 6.9% against the yen so far this year after this month hitting its strongest level against the Japanese currency in at least 24 years, according to Wind Information data going back to 2000.

    The yen has fallen to 38-year lows against the U.S. dollar as the interest rate differential between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains wide.

    Global visitors to Japan surged in the first half of the year, with South Korea accounting for the most travelers, according to the Japan National Tourism Organization.

    But visitors from mainland China by far grew the most, surging by 415% in the first half of the year to 3.1 million visitors, the data showed.

    Trip.com told CNBC it has seen an increase in spending from Chinese travelers heading to Japan in recent months compared to the previous three months. The travel service reported more than 60% growth both in bookings made through their customized travel team, and in their global shopping service, which partners with luxury brands worldwide. Trip did not specify which months, citing forthcoming earnings which have historically been released in September.

    On Chinese social media sites like Weibo and Xiao Hong Shu, users have shared tips on where to luxury shop in Japan.

    One netizen urged fellow netizens to save money — by shopping in Japan. She lauded a shopping mall in Sapporo for being the “top” standard for shopping with a “pretty” Gucci store.

    Another post that CNBC viewed saw the creator saying that they “shopped till their legs turned jelly.”

    Affluent Chinese households’ interest in visiting Japan rose by 5 percentage points in May versus a survey done last year in September, according to a study by consulting firm Oliver Wyman. The income segment covers families in mainland China earning at least 30,000 yuan a month ($4,140, or about $50,000 a year).

    The Oliver Wyman research found that across a variety of luxury products, prices in Japan were 10% to 30% cheaper than in mainland China.

    That was a steeper discount than when compared with Hong Kong. For example, a Louis Vuitton Speedy Bandouliere 20 sold for 16,700 yuan in mainland China at the time of the Oliver Wyman study, with a 3% discount in Hong Kong — and a 19% cheaper price in Japan.

    Malaysia offered a 10% discount and France a 27% discount, the report said.

    It cited an unnamed luxury brand retailer director as saying that “In Asia, Japan has the most comprehensive product range (e.g. style, color, etc.) besides Hong Kong, across most luxury brands.”

    Slower growth in China

    Chinese shoppers’ interest in Japan comes as overall Chinese luxury spending has declined amid uncertainty about future income. Locals have also increasingly preferred to take cheaper vacations within mainland China.

    About half of Chinese luxury spending took place abroad prior to the pandemic, but that has now halved to about 20% to 25%, according to Oliver Wyman.

    Japan was the fourth-most popular destination for overseas luxury shopping, although Hong Kong remained by far the most popular site, followed by Macao and Singapore, the report showed, as of May.

    “Globally, the Chinese customer group also declined but held up better than Mainland China as spend was diverted offshore,” Burberry said in its earnings release earlier this month. “Japan continued to grow, benefitting from strong tourism spend mainly from Chinese and near shore customers in Asia, whilst locals remained soft.”

    Burberry’s mainland China sales fell by 21% in the latest quarter from a year ago, while those in Japan rose by 6%. An overall decline in global sales prompted the luxury brand to issue a profit warning and suspend its dividend, as well as replace its CEO.

    In the three months ending March 30, Coach owner Tapestry saw Greater China sales, which includes mainland China, Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan, drop by 2%. But Japan sales rose by 2% during that time. The company has yet to schedule its next earnings release.

    — CNBC’s Sonia Heng contributed reporting from Singapore.

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings point to a grim season

    CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings point to a grim season

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    (L-R) Brian Moynihan, Chairman and CEO of Bank of America; Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase; and Jane Fraser, CEO of Citigroup; testify during a Senate Banking Committee hearing at the Hart Senate Office Building on December 06, 2023 in Washington, DC.

    Win Mcnamee | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Banks kick off earnings
    Four of Wall Street’s Big Banks reported earnings Friday.
    JPMorgan Chase started the season with lower fourth-quarter profit as it paid a $2.9 billion fee linked to the rescue of some regional banks last year. Citigroup reported a $1.8 billion quarterly loss, while also announcing that it would slash 10% of its workforce. Bank of America’s fourth-quarter net income fell more than 50% from a year ago, while Wells Fargo reported higher quarterly earnings but warned about lower interest income this year.  

    Positive inflation signal?
    An unexpected decline in wholesale prices indicated inflation could be declining for good. The Labor Department’s producer price index fell 0.1% in December, as opposed to a 0.1% rise seen by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. PPI data measures inflation from the producer or manufacturer’s perspective.

    Markets rose for the week  
    The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average shed over 100 points on Friday but rose 0.3% for the week. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed the day nearly flat, while also ending higher for the week. Markets digested the start of the earnings season and an unexpected decline in producer prices. In Asia, China stocks erased losses from earlier in the session after the country’s central bank left its medium-term policy loans rate unchanged, while Taiwan stocks gained after election.

    China skeptic wins Taiwan elections
    Taiwan’s Lai Ching-te won the island’s presidential election on Saturday. This was the Democratic Progressive Party’s third straight win. Lai, who is seen as a strong China skeptic, won by more than 40% of the popular vote. He said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” Beijing dismissed his victory.

    [PRO] Goldman Sachs picks unloved stocks
    Goldman Sachs said Europe’s utilities sector may not have had much action in the last three years, but there could be a potential shift waiting to happen. The investment bank names which European stocks, that have lagged the broader market by nearly 20%, are worthy plays in the industry in 2024.

    The bottom line

    Fourth-quarter earnings have officially begun with four of Wall Street’s top six banks reporting rather bleak results.

    JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, paid a sizeable fee linked to the government seizures associated with regional banking crisis last March, which impacted its earnings.

    CEO Jamie Dimon said: “the U.S. economy continues to be resilient, with consumers still spending, and markets currently expect a soft landing.”

    But he added that deficit spending and supply chain adjustments “may lead inflation to be stickier and rates to be higher than markets expect.”

    Citigroup was also hit by last year’s regional banking crisis but focus was mostly on CEO Jane Fraser’s massive overhaul plan aimed at lifting sentiment around the bank’s financial health and also its stock price.

    The third largest U.S. bank by assets said it will slash about 20,000 jobs over the “medium term,” but did not make it immediately clear on the exact duration. Citigroup has lagged its Wall Street peers since the 2008 financial crisis and remains the lowest valued among the top six banks.

    Outlook from Wall Street’s biggest lenders was cautious against the backdrop of markets pricing in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as early as March. Lower rates hurt the net interest income generated by banks.

    Separately, data showing a decline in wholesale prices came as a positive surprise. It came a day after prices consumers pay for goods and services rose 0.3% in December and were up 3.4% on the year. Still remaining much above the Fed’s 2% target for the year.

    “What inflation risks remain in the U.S. economy clearly cannot be sourced to any upward pressure in producers’ costs,” said Kurt Rankin, senior economist at PNC.

    “Whether surveying from producers’ intermediate or final demand perspective, there is little to no pricing pressure headed into the U.S. economy from the supply side entering 2024.”

    During Asia hours, Taiwan’s election results stole the show. Voters in the island chose the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, or DPP for a third straight presidential term, handing victory to China-skeptic Lai Ching-te.

    Lai, who won by more than 40% of the popular vote, said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” 

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  • CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings signal downbeat quarter

    CNBC Daily Open: Big Bank earnings signal downbeat quarter

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    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Monday, June 27, 2022.

    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

    What you need to know today

    Banks kick off earnings
    Four of Wall Street’s Big Banks reported earnings Friday.
    JPMorgan Chase kicked things off with lower fourth-quarter profit as it paid a $2.9 billion fee linked to the government’s take over of some regional banks last year. Citigroup reported a $1.8 billion quarterly loss, while also announcing that it would slash 10% of its workforce. Bank of America’s fourth quarter net income fell more than 50% from a year ago, while Wells Fargo reported higher quarterly earnings but warned about lower interest income this year.  

    Positive inflation signal?
    An unexpected decline in wholesale prices indicated inflation could be declining for good. The Labor Department’s producer price index fell 0.1% in December, as opposed to a 0.1% rise seen by economists surveyed by Dow Jones. PPI data measures inflation from the producer or manufacturer’s perspective.

    Markets rose for the week  
    The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average shed over 100 points on Friday but closed 0.3% higher for the week. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed the day nearly flat, while also ending higher for the week. Markets digested the start of the earnings season and an unexpected decline in producer prices. European stocks ended higher, but shares of British luxury firm Burberry fell 7% after a profit warning.  

    China skeptic wins Taiwan elections
    Taiwan’s Lai Ching-te won the island’s presidential election on Saturday. This was the Democratic Progressive Party’s third straight win. Lai, who is seen as a strong China skeptic, won by more than 40% of the popular vote. He said he was “determined to safeguard Taiwan from threats and intimidation from China.” Beijing dismissed his victory.

    [PRO] Buffett’s view on airlines                                                                                                       
    Wall Street legend Warren Buffett will most likely never add airline stocks to his portfolio again. The “Oracle of Omaha” has been swift in unloading $4 billion worth of airline stocks in the pandemic and recently with disappointing profit forecast, more aircraft groundings and midair emergencies, he will not give such stocks a chance again.

    The bottom line

    Fourth-quarter earnings have officially begun with four of Wall Street’s top six banks reporting rather bleak results.

    JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, paid a sizeable fee linked to the government seizures associated with regional banking crisis last March, which impacted its earnings.

    CEO Jamie Dimon said: “the U.S. economy continues to be resilient, with consumers still spending, and markets currently expect a soft landing.”

    But he added that deficit spending and supply chain adjustments “may lead inflation to be stickier and rates to be higher than markets expect.”

    Citigroup was also hit by last year’s regional banking crisis but focus was mostly on CEO Jane Fraser’s massive overhaul plan aimed at lifting sentiment around the bank’s financial health and also its stock price.

    The third largest U.S. bank by assets said it will slash about 20,000 jobs over the “medium term,” but did not make it immediately clear on the exact duration. Citigroup has lagged its Wall Street peers since the 2008 financial crisis and remains the lowest valued among the top six banks.

    Outlook from Wall Street’s biggest lenders was cautious against the backdrop of markets pricing in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve as early as March. Lower rates hurt the net interest income generated by banks.

    Separately, data showing a decline in wholesale prices came as a positive surprise. It came a day after prices consumers pay for goods and services rose 0.3% in December and were up 3.4% on the year. Still remaining much above the Fed’s 2% target for the year.

    “What inflation risks remain in the U.S. economy clearly cannot be sourced to any upward pressure in producers’ costs,” said Kurt Rankin, senior economist at PNC.

    “Whether surveying from producers’ intermediate or final demand perspective, there is little to no pricing pressure headed into the U.S. economy from the supply side entering 2024.”

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  • Morgan Stanley names cash-rich global stocks with ‘better downside protection’

    Morgan Stanley names cash-rich global stocks with ‘better downside protection’

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  • Here are 10 global stocks analyst love coming out of the earnings week, Bank of America says

    Here are 10 global stocks analyst love coming out of the earnings week, Bank of America says

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