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  • Who’s Selling? Here’s The Demographic Driving The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Price Crash

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    Recent data has revealed the demographics of sellers driving the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin crash. The Coinbase BTC premium index also continues to drop further in the red, which strengthens the case of where exactly the sell pressure is coming from.

    The Demographic Behind The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Price Crash

    In an X post, crypto pundit Crypto Rover noted that the U.S. session has been the weakest trading session so far this month. The pundit further shared an accompanying chart, which showed that BTC has suffered a loss of around 12% in the U.S. session since the start of November, also leading to the Ethereum and Dogecoin crash. 

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    Meanwhile, the EU has had the second-weakest session after the U.S., with Bitcoin dropping around 12% in this session since the start of this month. The Asian session has been the least volatile, with BTC trading sideways, recording a drawdown of only about 2% since the start of November. Ethereum, Dogecoin, and altcoins have also been stable during the Asian trading session. 

    Source: Chart from Crypto Rover on X

    Crypto pundit Bossman also indicated that the U.S. was responsible for most of the sell pressure that is driving the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin crash. In an X post, he noted that every single American session is marked by relentless selling for hours. Meanwhile, the Asians wake up, buy it all back, and then the Americans wake up, and the selling begins again.

    Notably, the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices record increased volatility whenever the U.S. stock market opens, with market commentator Zerohedge attributing it to the ‘10 am slam’ by market algos. This indicates that institutional investors are heavily contributing to the market crash. This is evident in the significant outflows recorded by Bitcoin ETFs in recent times. These funds have recorded five daily net outflows over the last seven days, according to SoSoValue data.

    Coinbase BTC Premium Index In The Red

    CoinGlass data shows that the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is in the red, further confirming that most of the sell pressure driving the BTC, Ethereum, and Dogecoin crash is coming from the U.S. Typically, a negative premium indicates that the BTC price on Coinbase is lower than the average global price, which signals weak demand from U.S. investors. 

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    Crypto researcher Kyle Soska noted that Bitcoin and Ethereum are roughly 10 days into a derisking event by U.S.-based entities, likely a combination of ETF users and large private, ultra-high-net-worth individuals. He further remarked that this places the market near the end of the selling episode based on historical data. 

    Soska opined that the first of a near-term bottom would be a mean reversion of the Coinbase-Binance spot discount from its current level of around -$110 back to a more normal level range of around $40. 

    At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $85,000, down over 6% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

    Bitcoin
    BTC trading at $83,783 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Retraces To Lower Bound—What Comes Next?

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    Data shows the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple has declined to the lower bound of its range recently, which suggests a slowdown in momentum for BTC.

    Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Is Now Retesting Its Lower Bound

    As explained by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple has retraced to the lower bound of its long-term range. The “Mayer Multiple” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the BTC spot price and its 200-day moving average (MA).

    In technical analysis (TA), the 200-day MA is considered as a boundary between macro bullish and bearish trends. Whenever BTC is trading above this line, a bullish bias may be assumed to be in play. Similarly, the asset being under the mark can imply a market downturn.

    Since the Mayer Multiple compares the spot price with this level, it essentially tells us about how far above or below Bitcoin is from the bull-bear boundary. The cryptocurrency gaining a large distance over the 200-day MA may imply it’s becoming overpriced, while it being too far under could increase the chances of a rebound to the upside taking place.

    Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows how the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple is looking right now:

    As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin spot price has broken below the 200-day MA with its recent downtrend, which has resulted in the Mayer Multiple approaching a value of 0.8.

    This 0.8 level happens to be where the indicator’s long-term range has found its lower boundary in the past. The last time the metric fell below this line was during the 2022 bear market.

    “Historically, such compressions have aligned with value-driven phases where price consolidates and demand begins to step in,” noted the analytics firm. It now remains to be seen whether a break below is coming for Bitcoin or not.

    This technical boundary isn’t the only one that BTC is retesting; there are also a couple of important on-chain levels that the cryptocurrency happens to be trading around right now, making the current range a potentially significant one.

    In a post on X, Glassnode senior researcher CryptoVizArt.₿ has shared some of the major on-chain price models.

    Bitcoin On-Chain Levels

    With its drop in the past day, Bitcoin has slipped under the Active Realized Price situated at $88,600, corresponding to the average cost basis of the active market participants.

    The next closest level is the True Market Mean, which is another cost basis model for the BTC network. Currently, this level is located at $82,000. “A breakdown below both Active Investors and the True Market Mean would mark the first major confirmation of a deeper bear trend since May 2022,” explained the Glassnode researcher.

    BTC Price

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $87,200, down 13% over the last week.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

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    Keshav Verma

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  • Bitcoin OG Owen Gunden Deposits Final 2,499 BTC ($228M) to Kraken – Details

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    Bitcoin is currently trading below $92,000, and the market is showing clear signs of exhaustion as selling pressure intensifies. Fear has pushed sentiment toward the bearish end of the spectrum, with many analysts now arguing that BTC may be entering a new bear market. The loss of key support levels and the rapid acceleration of downside volatility have only fueled these concerns, especially as short-term holders continue to capitulate at scale.

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    However, not all perspectives are bearish. Some analysts believe that Bitcoin may be forming a local bottom, as the current correction resembles previous mid-cycle retracements seen during strong bull markets. They argue that the broader macro environment remains supportive and that long-term holders have not shown signs of structural weakness. As selling pressure concentrates among weak hands, the possibility of a reversal increases — especially once forced sellers exhaust themselves.

    Adding to the uncertainty, new on-chain data from Lookonchain revealed that Bitcoin OG Owen Gunden just deposited all his remaining 2,499 BTC into Kraken roughly an hour ago. Moves like this often trigger speculation, as exchange deposits from early holders can signal potential selling. Yet historically, similar events have also occurred near cycle bottoms when panic is at its peak.

    A Massive BTC Transfer Sparks Market Speculation

    According to fresh data from Lookonchain, Bitcoin OG Owen Gunden has just deposited his remaining 2,499 BTC (worth $228 million) into Kraken roughly an hour ago. This move has immediately raised questions across the market, as large exchange deposits from early whales often signal potential selling pressure.

    Owen Gunden Bitcoin Transaction | Source: Lookonchain

    What makes this development even more notable is the context: just two weeks ago, Lookonchain reported that Gunden appeared ready to offload his entire 11,000 BTC stash — a position worth over $1.12 billion at the time. Now, with this final deposit, it appears he has officially completed the move.

    For many traders, this confirms that one of the oldest and largest long-term holders has fully exited or is preparing to exit the market. Such whale behavior can amplify fear during corrective phases, especially as Bitcoin continues to struggle below $92K. Moves of this scale not only contribute to short-term volatility but also influence sentiment by signaling that even early accumulators may be reducing exposure.

    However, historically, capitulation events from long-term holders have often coincided with or preceded major turning points. If this massive transfer marks the end of Gunden’s sell-off, the market may soon absorb the pressure — potentially clearing the path for a recovery once the fear subsides.

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    Short-Term Trend Still Under Pressure

    Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart reveals a market that remains firmly under short-term selling pressure, despite occasional relief bounces. The price is struggling to reclaim $92,000, a level that previously acted as support but is now working as resistance. The series of lower highs and lower lows highlights a persistent downtrend that has shaped BTC’s trajectory since early October.

    BTC testing fresh demand level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
    BTC testing fresh demand level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

    All major moving averages—the 50 SMA, 100 SMA, and 200 SMA—are positioned above current price action and pointing downward. This alignment confirms a clear short-term bearish structure. Each time BTC attempts to recover, it meets strong resistance at these declining MAs, signaling that sellers remain in control. The most recent bounce barely reached the 50 SMA before being rejected again, reinforcing the weakness of buyer momentum.

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    Volume remains elevated on downswings, which indicates that sell-offs continue to be driven by conviction rather than random volatility. Buyers are stepping in around the $89,000–$91,000 zone, but so far, this support has only produced temporary pauses rather than meaningful reversals.

    For a structural shift, BTC would need to reclaim at least the $95,000 area and break above the 100 SMA. Until then, the trend remains tilted toward further downside or continued consolidation near current levels.

    Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

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    Sebastian Villafuerte

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  • CEO Cuts Cardano Founder’s Bitcoin Price Forecast, Warns Bear Market Just Starting

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    Cardano (ADA) founder Charles Hoskinson previously projected that the Bitcoin price could reach an impressive price of $250,000 as early as this year. This bold forecast, made in April, came at a time when Bitcoin was trading at $77,000 after achieving a record high of $109,000 in January. 

    Hoskinson’s Optimistic Bitcoin Price Forecast

    Hoskinson’s optimism was based on his belief that international negotiations, particularly between the US and China, would favor Bitcoin’s growth. 

    The Cardano founder suggested that easing tariffs would lead to a positive market reaction and bolster adoption, particularly with the anticipated passage of the GENIUS Act, which was signed into law by President Trump a few months later.

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    However, the current market realities have raised doubts about Hoskinson’s prediction. Since then, Bitcoin has experienced significant fluctuations, briefly regaining momentum to reach $126,000 mid-October, only to see the broader crypto market subsequently shed over $1 trillion in total market cap. 

    This downturn has largely been attributed to persistent selling pressure by concerned investors, and substantial outflows from the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) sector, with nearly $2 billion sold over since October.

    As it stands, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $89,300, marking a nearly 30% decline from its recently achieved all-time highs. In light of this, Jacob King, CEO of Swandesk, publicly dismissed Hoskinson’s $250,000 price target, characterizing it as unrealistic. 

    The daily chart shows BTC’s retrace below the key $90,000 mark. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

    Is Bitcoin In A New Bear Market Cycle?

    In a post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), King stated that such lofty price predictions are “pulled out of thin air” and reflect a market still grappling with “delusions.” King elaborated on his viewpoint, suggesting that the industry is in the early stages of a new bear market cycle. 

    He is not alone in this assessment. Market expert Lark Davis recently noted that, based on the classic four-year Bitcoin price cycle, the cryptocurrency has officially entered bear market territory. 

    Bitcoin price
    BTC entering bear territory based on past cycle performances. Source: Lark Davis on X

    Davis commented that this scenario leaves two possibilities: either the established four-year cycle is no longer relevant, or the market has indeed shifted into a bearish phase. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, he leans toward the latter interpretation.

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    Additionally, others in the market have echoed these bearish sentiments. An analyst known as Mr. Wall Street has recently speculated that the Bitcoin price peaked at $126,000. 

    The analyst believes that this may mark the zenith for this cycle, predicting that the Bitcoin price could next face significant downward pressure, potentially slipping to a range between $74,000 and $82,000. He further forecasts a possible decline to levels between $54,000 and $60,000 by the fourth quarter of 2026.

    Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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  • Analyst Backs Bitcoin Rally To $174,000 If This Support Remains Intact – Details

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    Semilore Faleti is a cryptocurrency writer specialized in the field of journalism and content creation. While he started out writing on several subjects, Semilore soon found a knack for cracking down on the complexities and intricacies in the intriguing world of blockchains and cryptocurrency.

    Semilore is drawn to the efficiency of digital assets in terms of storing, and transferring value. He is a staunch advocate for the adoption of cryptocurrency as he believes it can improve the digitalization and transparency of the existing financial systems.

    In two years of active crypto writing, Semilore has covered multiple aspects of the digital asset space including blockchains, decentralized finance (DeFi), staking, non-fungible tokens (NFT), regulations and network upgrades among others.

    In his early years, Semilore honed his skills as a content writer, curating educational articles that catered to a wide audience. His pieces were particularly valuable for individuals new to the crypto space, offering insightful explanations that demystified the world of digital currencies.

    Semilore also curated pieces for veteran crypto users ensuring they were up to date with the latest blockchains, decentralized applications and network updates. This foundation in educational writing has continued to inform his work, ensuring that his current work remains accessible, accurate and informative.

    Currently at NewsBTC, Semilore is dedicated to reporting the latest news on cryptocurrency price action, on-chain developments and whale activity. He also covers the latest token analysis and price predictions by top market experts thus providing readers with potentially insightful and actionable information.

    Through his meticulous research and engaging writing style, Semilore strives to establish himself as a trusted source in the crypto journalism field to inform and educate his audience on the latest trends and developments in the rapidly evolving world of digital assets.

    Outside his work, Semilore possesses other passions like all individuals. He is a big music fan with an interest in almost every genre. He can be described as a “music nomad” always ready to listen to new artists and explore new trends.

    Semilore Faleti is also a strong advocate for social justice, preaching fairness, inclusivity, and equity. He actively promotes the engagement of issues centred around systemic inequalities and all forms of discrimination.

    He also promotes political participation by all persons at all levels. He believes active contribution to governmental systems and policies is the fastest and most effective way to bring about permanent positive change in any society.

    In conclusion, Semilore Faleti exemplifies the convergence of expertise, passion, and advocacy in the world of crypto journalism. He is a rare individual whose work in documenting the evolution of cryptocurrency will remain relevant for years to come.

    His dedication to demystifying digital assets and advocating for their adoption, combined with his commitment to social justice and political engagement, positions him as a dynamic and influential voice in the industry.

    Whether through his meticulous reporting at NewsBTC or his fervent promotion of fairness and equity, Semilore continues to inform, educate, and inspire his audience, striving for a more transparent and inclusive financial future.

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    Semilore Faleti

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  • Bitcoin Price In Trouble As Sell-Side Momentum Spikes — $92,000 Next?

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    The Bitcoin price has ostensibly continued down in its bearish direction, which started in the second week of October. After slipping beneath the psychological $100,000 support, worries have surfaced among Bitcoin market participants regarding the broader market structure. Interestingly, the latest on-chain evaluation justifies this worry, as the downside bias for the Bitcoin price seems to be on the rise.

    Binance Taker Imbalance Falls Into Negative Territory

    In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, on-chain research firm Arab Chain revealed an increase in sell-side momentum for Bitcoin on Binance, the world’s largest exchange by trading volume.

    This revelation revolves around the BTC Taker Imbalance % metric, which tracks whether the market is dominated by aggressive buyers or sellers. Narrowing it down, this metric offers insights into taker activity on Binance. 

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    Because the metric works by revealing the percentage difference between taker buy volume and taker sell volume, readings with positive values suggest the dominance of buyers in the market. On the contrary, negative readings reveal a seller-dominated market. 

    As Arab Chain reported, there has been an evident spike in the amount of selling pressure in recent hours. A Taker Imbalance % reading of -0.17%, which typically reflects continued bearish action, supports this observation.

    Moreover, the research firm pointed out that there has been an evident difference between the selling and buying volumes recently. The Quicktake post revealed a record of $1.517 billion in selling volume against $1.058 billion dedicated to buying power, making it clear what party is currently winning this Bitcoin price tussle. 

    Is $92,000 The Next Bitcoin Price Target?

    What’s interesting is, the current seller-dominated market has caused the BTC price to continuously hover around the key $94,000 level. Arab Chain noted that each attempt by the Bitcoin price to rise has faced an even greater amount of sell resistance, dousing any serious bullish momentum. 

    Source: CryptoQuant

    The grey bars in the above chart suggest that this increasing bearish pressure might not just be a market correction; instead, it reflects a recurrent injection of sell-pressure, one which Arab Chain implied would eventually defeat the weaker buy-side liquidity at the current support.

    In the likely scenario where more bearish momentum is injected to push the market to the downside, the next level, which could act as a cushion for price, lies around $92,000. 

    If a significant amount of liquidity is not introduced to neutralize the dominance of Bitcoin’s sellers, the Bitcoin price could see an even deeper bearish correction. At press time, Bitcoin is valued at $96,241, reflecting a nearly 2% loss in the past day.

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    Bitcoin price
    The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

    Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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    Opeyemi Sule

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  • Bitcoin Market Top May Be In As Analyst Shares 1,064-Day Bull Cycle Pattern – Details

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    Semilore Faleti is a cryptocurrency writer specialized in the field of journalism and content creation. While he started out writing on several subjects, Semilore soon found a knack for cracking down on the complexities and intricacies in the intriguing world of blockchains and cryptocurrency.

    Semilore is drawn to the efficiency of digital assets in terms of storing, and transferring value. He is a staunch advocate for the adoption of cryptocurrency as he believes it can improve the digitalization and transparency of the existing financial systems.

    In two years of active crypto writing, Semilore has covered multiple aspects of the digital asset space including blockchains, decentralized finance (DeFi), staking, non-fungible tokens (NFT), regulations and network upgrades among others.

    In his early years, Semilore honed his skills as a content writer, curating educational articles that catered to a wide audience. His pieces were particularly valuable for individuals new to the crypto space, offering insightful explanations that demystified the world of digital currencies.

    Semilore also curated pieces for veteran crypto users ensuring they were up to date with the latest blockchains, decentralized applications and network updates. This foundation in educational writing has continued to inform his work, ensuring that his current work remains accessible, accurate and informative.

    Currently at NewsBTC, Semilore is dedicated to reporting the latest news on cryptocurrency price action, on-chain developments and whale activity. He also covers the latest token analysis and price predictions by top market experts thus providing readers with potentially insightful and actionable information.

    Through his meticulous research and engaging writing style, Semilore strives to establish himself as a trusted source in the crypto journalism field to inform and educate his audience on the latest trends and developments in the rapidly evolving world of digital assets.

    Outside his work, Semilore possesses other passions like all individuals. He is a big music fan with an interest in almost every genre. He can be described as a “music nomad” always ready to listen to new artists and explore new trends.

    Semilore Faleti is also a strong advocate for social justice, preaching fairness, inclusivity, and equity. He actively promotes the engagement of issues centred around systemic inequalities and all forms of discrimination.

    He also promotes political participation by all persons at all levels. He believes active contribution to governmental systems and policies is the fastest and most effective way to bring about permanent positive change in any society.

    In conclusion, Semilore Faleti exemplifies the convergence of expertise, passion, and advocacy in the world of crypto journalism. He is a rare individual whose work in documenting the evolution of cryptocurrency will remain relevant for years to come.

    His dedication to demystifying digital assets and advocating for their adoption, combined with his commitment to social justice and political engagement, positions him as a dynamic and influential voice in the industry.

    Whether through his meticulous reporting at NewsBTC or his fervent promotion of fairness and equity, Semilore continues to inform, educate, and inspire his audience, striving for a more transparent and inclusive financial future.

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    Semilore Faleti

    Source link

  • Massive Bitcoin Bid Walls Spotted On Binance: Bulls Step In With 2,800 BTC Cluster

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    Bitcoin has slipped below the $100,000 mark, now trading around $97,000 for the first time since May, as selling pressure intensifies across the market. Bulls are struggling to defend critical support, and sentiment has turned decidedly fearful, with traders scaling back leverage and rotating into stablecoins amid heightened volatility. Despite this weakness, on-chain data suggests that large buyers may already be positioning for a potential rebound.

    Related Reading

    According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, massive bid walls have been spotted on Binance Futures, signaling that aggressive buyers are stepping in to absorb the recent wave of selling. Historically, such large-scale bids have often coincided with local bottoms, as whales and institutional traders accumulate into weakness.

    This emerging liquidity pattern may suggest growing confidence among deep-pocketed players that Bitcoin’s downside could be limited. However, with macro uncertainty still weighing heavily on the market, traders remain cautious.

    Aggressive Buyers Step In As Bid Walls Signal Dip Accumulation

    According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, recent order book data reveals a strong layer of support forming on Binance Futures, where two major bid clusters have emerged — one around 800 BTC and another stacking up to 2,000 BTC. This concentration of buy orders suggests that large traders, often referred to as aggressive dip buyers, are actively accumulating Bitcoin at current levels around $97,000.

    BTCUSDT Binance Futures | Source: Maartunn

    Bid walls of this size are significant because they indicate a willingness among deep-pocketed investors to absorb selling pressure and defend price levels perceived as undervalued. In practice, such large orders create a temporary price floor, making it harder for BTC to fall further without massive selling volume. This behavior is often observed in early phases of market reversals. Smart money begins building positions while retail sentiment remains fearful.

    Maartunn notes that these clusters reflect renewed confidence from high-volume traders who see long-term value despite the recent correction. If these orders remain active and continue to absorb liquidity, Bitcoin could stabilize above the $95,000–$97,000 range. Historically, periods of strong bid support have preceded short-term relief rallies, suggesting that the current dip may be setting the stage for a broader recovery.

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    Bitcoin Tests Key Support After Losing $100K

    Bitcoin’s price action has turned increasingly fragile, with the asset now trading near $96,800, its lowest level since May. The three-day chart shows a decisive break below the $100,000 psychological threshold, confirming a short-term bearish shift as sellers dominate. Volume has spiked notably in recent sessions, suggesting panic-driven liquidations as traders unwind leveraged positions.

    BTC testing key demand level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
    BTC testing key demand level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

    The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 100-day, signaling fading momentum, while the 200-day moving average — currently near $88,000 — stands as the next central support zone if selling pressure persists. Despite the breakdown, price is showing early signs of stabilization around current levels, hinting that dip buyers may be stepping in.

    Related Reading

    Market structure remains corrective but not fully bearish. Bitcoin has repeatedly found support above its 200-day MA during previous mid-cycle retracements. A pattern that often precedes recovery once selling exhausts. The RSI (not shown here) is likely near oversold territory, reinforcing this view.

    If BTC can reclaim and hold above $100,000, a short-term relief rally toward $105,000–$108,000 could unfold. However, failure to defend $95,000 may accelerate the decline toward $90,000. Overall, the chart reflects a market in consolidation, balancing between capitulation risk and early accumulation.

    Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

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    Sebastian Villafuerte

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  • Bitcoin Crashes To $98,000 As HODLer Selling Accelerates

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    On-chain data shows Bitcoin long-term holders have been ramping up their selling recently, a potential reason behind BTC’s fall under $100,000.

    Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Been Booking Profits

    In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in the supply of the Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs). These are referred to as the investors holding their coins for a period longer than 155 days, without selling or involving them in a transaction on the blockchain.

    Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. As such, the LTHs with their long holding times are usually considered to be resolute entities.

    Despite their resilience, however, there are times when even these diamond hands can decide to part with their holdings. One such time happens to be right now.

    As the below chart shared by Glassnode shows, the Bitcoin LTHs have been reducing their supply recently.

    This latest wave of selling from the LTHs isn’t their first for the cycle. As is apparent in the graph, these HODLers sold into both the 2024 rallies as well. In between these selloffs, their supply was rising with significant speed.

    Something to note is that while LTH selling is instantly registered in the chart, the same isn’t true for buying. When the LTH supply grows, it doesn’t mean any accumulation is happening in the present. Rather, what it implies is that some coins were bought five months ago, which have now been held long enough to clear the LTH threshold.

    The last wave of coin maturation into the LTH cohort peaked in mid-2025. Since then, the group has been shedding coins at a variable rate. The latest trend has clearly been that of acceleration, as the below chart visualizes.

    Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change

    The accelerating wave of distribution from the LTHs has arrived as Bitcoin has been suffering from bearish momentum. It’s possible that some of the HODLers are thinking this could be their last chance to take profits, so they have decided to exit.

    During the last few days, BTC was trying to hold above $100,000 in the face of this selloff, but the asset appears to have buckled during the past day as its price has breached under the mark.

    Historically, bull markets have sustained so long as fresh demand has kept coming in to absorb the selling from the diamond hands, so it remains to be seen whether the price plunge will be met with an injection of demand, or if this selling will lead into an extended bearish phase for Bitcoin.

    BTC Price

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $98,500, down 3% over the last 24 hours.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

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    Keshav Verma

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  • Bitcoin Drops Again After Failed Recovery — $100K Support Now in Focus

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    Bitcoin price failed to recover above $105,000. BTC is trimming gains and might could continue to move down if it trades below $101,200.

    • Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear $105,500.
    • The price is trading below $105,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
    • There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $103,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
    • The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $101,200 zone.

    Bitcoin Price Dips Further

    Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $105,500 pivot level. BTC bears remained active below $105,500 and pushed the price lower.

    The last swing high was formed at $107,400 before the price started a fresh decline. There was a drop below the $105,000 and $104,000 levels. The price dipped below the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $99,220 swing low to the $107,400 high.

    Bitcoin is now trading below $104,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $103,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

    Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    If the bulls attempt another recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $102,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $103,250 level and the trend line. The next resistance could be $103,500. A close above the $103,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $105,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $105,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $106,800 and $107,000.

    More Losses In BTC?

    If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $103,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $101,200 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $99,220 swing low to the $107,400 high. The first major support is near the $100,500 level.

    The next support is now near the $100,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $98,800 support in the near term. The main support sits at $96,500, below which BTC might accelerate lower in the near term.

    Technical indicators:

    Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

    Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

    Major Support Levels – $101,200, followed by $100,500.

    Major Resistance Levels – $103,250 and $103,500.

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    Aayush Jindal

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  • Ripple Exec Reveals Why The Bitcoin Price Is So High Now

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    Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer (CTO), David Schwartz, has provided a clear explanation for why the Bitcoin price remains so high, currently the most expensive cryptocurrency on the market. Notably, Schwartz’s statement had sparked new discussions across the crypto community. His remarks focused on how people view and use BTC in transactions, revealing a simple economic truth that helps explain the market’s continued confidence in the world’s leading cryptocurrency. 

    Ripple CTO Explains Logic Behind Elevated Bitcoin Price

    On Tuesday, Schwartz shared his thoughts on X, offering a simple but insightful explanation for Bitcoin’s current price strength. Responding to a community member’s question about why anyone would spend BTC given its potential for future appreciation, Schwartz explained that the reason lies in the asset’s perceived value and future expectations. 

    Related Reading

    According to the Ripple CTO, when individuals use Bitcoin to pay for goods or services, they are essentially realizing the full expected value of its future growth today. Rather than holding Bitcoin as a long-term investment and waiting for price gains, these users convert its potential into immediate utility. This behavior, he noted, reflects a broader belief in BTC’s enduring value and is one of the primary reasons why the cryptocurrency’s price remains so high. 

    Notably, Schwartz’s remarks followed a conversation that began when Jack Dorsey, co-founder of Square, a business technology company, announced that Bitcoin payments had gone live across the firm’s platforms. Dorsey revealed that Square customers can now pay for services and products using Bitcoin directly, and sellers can choose between multiple settlement options, including BTC-to-BTC, BTC-to-fiat, and fiat-to-BTC transactions. Funds received through Bitcoin payments will be automatically stored in a user’s Square wallet, with self-custody transfer limits of up to $15,000 per day or $50,000 per week. 

    Interestingly, the timing of Schwartz’s explanation comes a month after BTC reached a new all-time high of over $126,000. Compared to other digital assets, Bitcoin is the only cryptocurrency in the six-figure territory, even surpassing traditional investments like gold and major stock indices. While some analysts argue that Bitcoin is overvalued, many investors remain convinced that it could still climb significantly higher in the long term.

    Bitcoin Price Expected To Rise Even Higher 

    The Bitcoin price is currently sitting above the $100,000 level, but analysts believe it could rise even further. The leading cryptocurrency is hovering near $103,300, experiencing some volatility, which has triggered a nearly 2% dip in the past 24 hours amid whale capitulations. Crypto analyst Joe Francesco noted that Bitcoin had initially surged to $107,000 following a wave of optimism sparked by US President Donald Trump’s proposed $2,000 stimulus plan. 

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    Source: X

    However, the rally proved short-lived, as BTC fell a few days later. Despite the pullback, Francesco has described the cryptocurrency’s chart setup as positive, predicting that Bitcoin could soon break through $107,000, with the potential to reach $115,000 and even $120,000 if upward momentum continues. 

    Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (Ripple exec)
    BTC price sees sharp recovery | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Sandra White

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  • Is The Bitcoin Price Bottom In? Latest On-Chain Data Suggests So

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    As the Bitcoin market continues to experience a flurry of sales, which started in mid-October, recent on-chain data paints a somewhat optimistic picture of the cryptocurrency’s future. The question is — is the Bitcoin bottom in?

    Is A BTC Price Reversal Imminent? 

    In a recent Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, pseudonymous crypto pundit Sunny Mom shared that a bottom formation for the Bitcoin price may be around the corner. Sunny Mom’s post was based on four different on-chain metrics, all looking into the behavior of Bitcoin’s market participants.

    The first of these is the Futures Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) metric, which helps track the net difference between aggressive buy and sell volumes (referred to as taker orders) in the Bitcoin futures market over the last 90 days. 

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    According to the online pundit, the more dominant sell zones (in red) are turning into neutral zones. This means the leveraged short positions (typically held by the most fearful and aggressive of Bitcoin’s market participants) are slowly taking their exits, thus pointing to the weakening of these speculative hands.

    Next, the on-chain analyst referenced data from the Spot Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) metric. Although the number of speculative sellers is declining, the spot CVD still appears to be in the red. Typically, a ‘red’ reading from this metric suggests that Bitcoin’s holders are still selling their coins. 

    Another interesting event is that the Bitcoin: Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) has fallen to a hallmark low. For context, this metric measures the ratio between Bitcoin’s supply and the supply of stablecoins (like USDT and USDC). 

    Source: CryptoQuant

    A high SSR indicates that there are fewer stablecoins in comparison to Bitcoin. As an extension, it points out that there is lower buying power to purchase Bitcoin in order to send its price to the upside. On the other hand, a low SSR indicates a relative abundance of stablecoins compared to the premier cryptocurrency, suggesting the presence of more potential buying power in the Bitcoin market. 

    Upon examination of past price action, it is apparent that periods where the SSR read ‘significantly low’ have often preceded significant price rebounds of the flagship cryptocurrency. If history is anything to go by, the analyst inferred that we might be set for another rebound, seeing as the SSR metric currently hovers around a historical low.

    Lastly, Sunny Mom explained that data from the Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) also supports the overall conjecture of an imminent price bottom. At the moment, the aSOPR reads around 1.0 — a level whose breach in April 2025 preceded a major price reversal. 

    Bitcoin Price At A Glance

    As of this writing, the price of BTC stands around $102,510, reflecting an over 1% increase in the past 24 hours. 

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    Bitcoin
    The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

    Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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    Opeyemi Sule

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  • Bitcoin Erases Recovery As Coinbase Users Relentlessly Sell

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    Bitcoin has retraced its recent recovery above $104,000 as data shows the Coinbase Premium Gap has continued to be negative.

    Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Gap Has Been Red Recently

    As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, investors on Coinbase keep selling Bitcoin. The indicator of relevance here is the “Coinbase Premium Gap,” which measures the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair).

    When the value of this metric is positive, it means the asset is trading at a higher rate on Coinbase than Binance. Such a trend suggests the users of the former are applying a higher buying pressure (or lower selling pressure) than those of the latter. On the other hand, the indicator being under the zero mark implies Binance users are the ones participating in a higher amount of accumulation as they have pushed the asset to a higher price on the platform.

    Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows how the Coinbase Premium Gap has fluctuated over the past week:

    As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has stayed mostly in the negative zone during the past week, implying users on Coinbase have been participating in selling. The metric briefly turned neutral-green as the cryptocurrency witnessed a surge back above $104,000, but since then, the indicator’s value has again plummeted, and with it, the BTC price has erased its recovery.

    Since the start of 2024, Bitcoin has often reacted to movements in the Coinbase Premium Gap in a similar manner, showcasing how Coinbase users have been a driving force in the market. The exchange is mainly used by American investors, especially large institutional entities like the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), so the Coinbase Premium Gap essentially reflects how the US-based whales differ in behavior from Binance’s global traffic.

    Since the indicator has been red recently, it would appear that the American institutions have been distributing the cryptocurrency. Considering the pattern over the last couple of years, it’s possible that BTC’s recovery might depend on whether a bullish sentiment can return among this cohort.

    In some other news, a movement of old tokens has just been spotted on the Bitcoin blockchain, as Maartunn has highlighted in another X post.

    Bitcoin SOAB

    From the chart, it’s visible that a stack of over 13,000 BTC that has been dormant for between 3 and 5 years has become involved in a transaction, a potential sign that a HODLer may be gearing up for selling.

    BTC Price

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $100,200, down almost 9% over the last week.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

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    Keshav Verma

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  • Bitcoin Supply In Profit Just Crashed To A New 2025 Low – What This Means For Price

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    Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around a precarious stage below the $100,000 psychological level as supply in profit just crashed to a new 2025 low. Amid this decline, Glassnode analysts Chris Beamish, Antoine Colpaert, and CryptoVizArt highlight a complex interplay of structural weakness, cautious investor behavior, and decreased institutional demand. Bitcoin also remains oversold; however, it has yet to enter full capitulation. This suggests that price is fragile but not broken, balancing between recovery and the risk of a deeper decline. 

    Bitcoin Supply In Profit Crash Signals Weak Demand And Price

    Bitcoin’s supply in profit has fallen sharply, hitting its lowest level of 2025 and reflecting the broader slowdown in market momentum. Glassnode analysts note that this decline indicates fading demand and persistent sell pressure as the BTC price consolidates near $100,000, after falling 21% from its all-time high above $126,000. 

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    According to the report, roughly 71% of Bitcoin’s supply remains in profit, near the lower edge of the typical 70% – 90% range seen in mid-cycle slowdowns. This drop marks the lowest probability level of the year, suggesting that BTC’s price stability and recovery may depend on whether fresh demand can return to the market in the coming weeks. 

    Source: Glassnode

    The analysis also disclosed that Bitcoin has broken below the Short-Term Holder’s cost basis of roughly $112,500, and is now struggling to recover, confirming that its earlier bullish phase has ended. They say that the market has been unable to regain a solid footing since the October 10 flash crash and reset, with prices hovering just above the Active Investor’s Realized Price at $88,500. 

    Additionally, on-chain data shows that long-term holders are contributing to the bearish pressure. Since July, Bitcoin’s total supply has decreased from 14.7 million BTC to 14.4 million BTC, representing a net reduction of approximately 300,000 coins. Glassnode analysts estimate that around 2.4 million BTC have been spent during this period, which is roughly 12% of its circulating supply. 

    BTC 2
    Source: Glassnode

    Unlike earlier in the market cycle, these long-term holders are now selling into weakness rather than strength, signaling fatigue and reduced sentiment, likely due to the consistent market declines. While the Relative Unrealized Loss remains moderate at 3.1%, Glassnode analysts highlight that the combination of declining profitability and steady long-term distribution leaves the Bitcoin price in a vulnerable position near $100,000. 

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    ETF Outflows And Unsteady Derivatives Deepen Market Caution

    In addition to the decline in Bitcoin’s supply in profit, off-chain indicators also point to caution. Glassnode analysts note that US Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen net outflows between $150 million and $700 million per day over the past two weeks, reversing the strong inflow streak from September and early October. This slowdown reflects a significant decline in institutional appetite, with capital rotating out of Bitcoin exposure as the price declines. 

    Bitcoin 3
    Source: Glassnode

    Bitcoin’s Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has also turned negative on Binance and major exchanges. In derivatives, analysts noted that the Perpetual Market Directional Premium has declined from $338 million in April to $118 million per month, indicating that traders are pulling back on risk and avoiding aggressive long positions.  

    BTC 4
    Source: Glassnode

    For now, Bitcoin remains in a delicate position, oversold but structurally intact. Glassnode experts have stated that the next key test lies at $112,000 and $113,000, where a sustained recovery would signal renewed demand, while further weakness could deepen the correction.  

    Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
    BTC stuck at $103,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Sandra White

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  • Weakness In Major Cryptos: What Key Technical Metrics Indicate For Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana

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    Despite a slight recovery in cryptocurrency prices on Wednesday, experts remain divided on the future direction of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL). The market is at a crossroads, with some analysts anticipating a deeper correction, while others see the potential for a renewed recovery.

    iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF Hits 52-Week Low 

    According to a report from Barron’s, all three cryptocurrencies have attracted attention from major exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers and President Trump’s administration, spurring hopes that increased institutional adoption could help stabilize volatility. 

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    The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF is currently trading more than 20% below its recent 52-week high, which was reached less than a month ago. This peak coincided with the formation of a bearish evening star pattern, and the ETF experienced a notable decline of 3% on October 7. 

    The drop below the $70 mark has added to the bearish sentiment, with the ETF declining in three of the last four weeks, closing within the lower half of its trading range. 

    This week alone has seen an 8% drop, and the ETF recently undercut its 200-day simple moving average, marking a steep 5.5% decline—the largest single-day drop since April 7. 

    For investors to regain confidence, analysts assert that it is crucial for the ETF to hold near current levels and reclaim the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), a key indicator of bullish momentum. Historically, recoveries have taken about six sessions, as seen back in April.

    Ethereum ETF Faces 17% Weekly Decline

    Ethereum, represented through the Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF, has experienced a more pronounced decline, now down 34% from its annual peak and showing a negative year-to-date performance of 5%. This week alone, the ETF has dropped 17%, roughly double the decline seen in the Bitcoin Trust ETF. 

    However, the sharp pullback follows a significant increase of over 220% from early April to late August, making the current retreat appear both prudent and necessary. 

    Notably, the fund has not yet pierced its 200-day simple moving average, having touched it recently while retesting a breakout above a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. 

    The behavior of the ETF around this critical moving average in the coming week will be crucial; if stability can be achieved, it may present an attractive buying opportunity. After facing resistance at the $40 level on August 22, recent price action could be forming a double-bottom base, provided that the recent lows hold.

    Heightened Concerns For Solana

    Solana’s performance has been the most concerning, with its ETF plummeting 41% from its most recent 52-week high set in September. This heightened volatility may reflect the asset’s relative newness, as it began trading only in April. 

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    The Solana ETF peaked on September 18 and has since formed a bearish island reversal pattern. Over the past seven weeks, it has fallen in five of those, with three weeks recording double-digit declines. 

    This week alone, the ETF has dropped another 19% through just two trading sessions. On the daily chart, a break below the bearish head-and-shoulders pivot at $19 raises concerns of a potential measured move down to $12.

    Ultimately, the report suggests that a potential recovery for the trio would imply further inflows into these exchange-traded funds. This would also indicate a new wave of bullish sentiment returning to the market. 

    The daily chart shows BTC’s increased volatility seen over the past month. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,190, marking a 3% surge over the past 24 hours. During the same time frame, ETH and SOL also recorded gains of 5% and 4%, respectively. 

    Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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  • Bitcoin Recovery Lacks Conviction, Market Signals Another Pullback Risk

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    Bitcoin price is struggling below $105,000. BTC could continue to move down if it stays below the $104,200 resistance.

    • Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $104,000 support.
    • The price is trading below $104,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
    • There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $103,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
    • The pair might continue to move down if it fails to surpass the $105,000 zone.

    Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance

    Bitcoin price failed to stay above the $105,000 support level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below $103,500 and $102,000 to enter a bearish zone.

    The decline was such that the price even spiked below the $100,000 support. A low was formed at $98,900 and the price recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $111,000 swing high to the $98,900 low.

    Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $103,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. However, the bears remained active near $104,000.

    Bitcoin is now trading below $104,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. If the bulls attempt another recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $103,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $104,000 level.

    Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

    The next resistance could be $105,000 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $111,000 swing high to the $98,900 low. A close above the $105,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $106,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $107,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $108,500 and $108,800.

    Another Decline In BTC?

    If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $104,000 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support is near the $102,150 level. The first major support is near the $100,500 level.

    The next support is now near the $100,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $98,800 support in the near term. The main support sits at $97,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term.

    Technical indicators:

    Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

    Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

    Major Support Levels – $102,150, followed by $100,500.

    Major Resistance Levels – $103,500 and $104,000.

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    Aayush Jindal

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  • Bitcoin Bears Press On — Is $102,000 Flush The Final Washout Before A Rally?

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    Bitcoin’s price continues to face mounting pressure as it hovers near key support levels. With sellers pushing toward the $102,000 zone, BTC is now at a moment that may mark the final washout before a major rebound. The coming days could be decisive in determining whether Bitcoin finds its footing or continues its decline.

    Bitcoin Faces Pressure Below $108,000 As Bears Regain Control

    Crypto analyst Crypto Candy shared insights into Bitcoin’s latest price action, noting that the flagship cryptocurrency tried to hold the $107,000–$108,000 support zone but ultimately failed to do so, closing below that level. This development signals a potential shift in market dynamics, as the $107,000–$108,000 zone may now act as a strong resistance area. 

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    Crypto Candy further explained that if the downward momentum continues, Bitcoin could retrace deeper toward the $99,000–$101,000 range, an area viewed as a critical support zone where fresh buying interest might emerge. A dip into this range could also help clear out weak positions and create healthier conditions for a long-term rebound.

    BTC’s correction to extend before a bounce | Source: Chart from Crypto Candy on X

    However, the analyst added that if Bitcoin manages to reclaim and hold above the $107,000–$108,000 zone, it would signal that bullish strength is returning to the market. Such a breakout could restore confidence among investors, paving the way for renewed upward momentum and possibly another push toward higher targets. 

    $102,000: The Ideal Flush Zone Before The Next Big Move

    In his latest BTC daily update, Super฿ro emphasized the critical role of the $102,000 support zone, describing it as an ideal area for the market to flush out remaining leveraged long positions. This kind of shakeout is often necessary to clear weak hands and set the stage for a more sustainable bullish continuation.

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    Super฿ro further noted that once this cleanup phase concludes, Bitcoin could see a sharp rebound, primarily fueled by a short squeeze from traders caught on the wrong side of the market. As shorts begin to close their positions, buying pressure could intensify, creating a rapid upward move that reclaims lost levels. 

    That said, the crypto analyst has warned that a break below the $101,000 level would not be ideal, as it might signal that market weakness is deeper than anticipated. Still, he maintains confidence in the broader picture, highlighting that high-timeframe (HTF) indicators remain supportive of a potential rebound.

    Presently, the price of BTC is hovering around $104,000, indicating a more than 3% decline over the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, its trading volume has picked up pace, rising by over 79% in the same time frame.

    Bitcoin
    BTC trading at $103,978 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Godspower Owie

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  • Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Enters Deep Red Zone — Impact On Price?

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    The price of Bitcoin closed the historically bullish month of October on a loss for the first time in seven years. While the month started in typical fashion—on a bullish tear, the intense downturn didn’t begin until October 10, when US President Donald Trump threatened new trade tariffs on China.

    Now, although the United States and China seem to have found a temporary truce, the cryptocurrency market has been unable to find similar relief. In fact, the latest on-chain data suggests that US investors are still less optimistic about the digital asset market, specifically Bitcoin.

    Negative Coinbase Gap Premium Coincides With Massive ETF Outflows 

    In a November 1st post on social media platform X, crypto analyst Maartunn revealed that the world’s largest cryptocurrency has seen extremely low demand in the United States in recent days. The relevant indicator here is the Coinbase Premium Gap, which has entered a deep red territory in the past few days.

    This on-chain metric measures the difference between the Bitcoin price on the US-based Coinbase exchange (USD pair) and the global Binance exchange (USDT pair). A positive difference indicates that the flagship cryptocurrency has a higher value on Coinbase than on Binance.

    When the Coinbase Premium Gap is positive, it implies that US-based investors are purchasing Bitcoin aggressively. On the flip side, a negative Coinbase Premium Gap typically indicates heavy selling pressure for the market leader.

    According to data highlighted by Maartunn, this on-chain metric is back around -$80, reflecting significant selling pressure from the US institutional players. This reduced demand can be seen with the disappointing performance of the US-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in recent days.

    Data from SoSoValue shows the Bitcoin ETFs registered a total net outflow of more than $191 million on Friday. This marked the third consecutive day of negative outflows, having seen withdrawals of nearly $500 million each on Wednesday and Thursday.

    From a historical perspective, a negative Coinbase Premium Gap is often correlated with periods of sluggish or downward movement for the BTC price. Hence, with the current intense selling pressure from large US investors, it is difficult to see the premier cryptocurrency making a strong recovery in the coming days.

    Bitcoin Price At A Glance

    As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above $110,200, reflecting a measly 0.9% jump in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down exactly 1% in the last seven days.

    Bitcoin

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    Opeyemi Sule

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  • Bitcoin Struggles To Hold Key Support: Could $88,000 Be Next?

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    Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the short-term holder Realized Price, a key on-chain level. Here’s where the next major support line lies for the asset.

    Bitcoin Has Again Dipped Below STH Realized Price

    In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about some key Realized Price levels for Bitcoin. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that measures the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network.

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    When the metric is trading above the asset’s price, it means the holders as a whole are sitting on a net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being below the spot BTC value implies the dominance of loss on the blockchain.

    The Realized Price of the entire network is generally not useful, as often, the cryptocurrency’s price trades significantly over it. The reason behind this lies in the fact that a notable part of the asset’s supply has been dormant for years, possessing a cost basis far below today’s price.

    In fact, a chunk of this dormant supply will never return to circulation, as the wallets holding such tokens have had their keys become permanently inaccessible. To account for this, Glassnode came up with the “Active Realized Price,” a metric that only tracks the cost basis of the supply that can be considered economically active.

    Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows how the Realized Price and Active Realized Price of Bitcoin have changed since the last bull market.

    The price of the coin seems to be above both of these lines at the moment | Source: Glassnode’s The Week Onchain – Week 43, 2025

    As is visible in the graph, Bitcoin last interacted with the Realized Price in 2023. Since finding a rebound at it back then, the coin has only moved away from the line.

    The cryptocurrency has been trading much closer to the Active Realized Price since breaking above it in late 2023, but even in its case, the gap is still notable. A version of the indicator that BTC regularly interacts with, however, is the third type listed on the chart: the short-term holder cost basis.

    Short-term holders (STHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. This cohort represents the recent buyers, who can be reactive to changes in the market.

    The Realized Price of the group, which is often considered a divider between bullish and bearish trends, is currently located at $113,100. Bitcoin first fell below this mark during its crash earlier in the month, but the recovery surge took it back above the line. Though the latest retracement has once again brought the asset under it.

    “Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has struggled to close a weekly candle above this key level, raising the risk of further weakness ahead,” noted Glassnode. The next on-chain support level is the Active Realized Price, currently valued at $88,000.

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    It now remains to be seen whether BTC can recover above the STH Realized Price, or if a deeper correction is coming.

    BTC Price

    Bitcoin has fallen by nearly 3% during the past day, with its price coming down to the $109,900 level.

    Bitcoin Price Chart
    The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

    Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

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    Keshav Verma

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  • Bitcoin Poised For New Run Beyond $125,000? Nasdaq’s Record Recalls 2021 BTC Pattern

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    The second part of the year has seen a notable surge in the US stock market, while Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market has faced its share of uncertainty and significant corrections. 

    With the Nasdaq recently surpassing the 26,000 mark, leading analysts are now suggesting that this milestone could be a clear indicator for Bitcoin to finish the year at new highs.

    What Historical Patterns Indicate

    According to experts at The Bull Theory, the pattern observed with the Nasdaq reaching all-time highs typically suggests a flow of liquidity, an increased risk appetite, and a shift of capital into growth assets. As this phase develops, it often sets the stage for Bitcoin’s next significant movement.

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    Data compiled by the analysts supports this assertion. Historically, in the first 30 days following a Nasdaq all-time high, Bitcoin has averaged a gain of approximately 7%. This return tends to grow, reaching about 14% within 60 days and climbing to an average of 25% by the 90-day mark. 

    The daily chart shows BTC’s price volatility. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

    This pattern is not merely coincidental; it reflects a capital rotation where liquidity does not disappear but instead shifts from traditional markets into higher-risk assets like Bitcoin. 

    The current situation appears to follow a similar trajectory. The Nasdaq’s rise to 26,000 indicates a wave of liquidity building beneath the surface. With rate cuts beginning and quantitative tightening coming to an end, global capital is once again seeking yield. 

    This scenario mirrors the conditions that contributed to Bitcoin’s significant breakouts in previous years, particularly in 2017, 2020, and 2023.

    As such, the analysts note that the next four to five months may represent an acceleration phase for Bitcoin, coinciding with a potential pause in equities, which could lead to crypto becoming the primary outlet for liquidity. 

    Bitcoin Poised For Breakout Similar To 2020-2021 Cycle

    Analysts like Ash Crypto also noted on social media that the BTC/NASDAQ weekly chart is revealing a repeating pattern reminiscent of the 2020-2021 cycle, during which Bitcoin significantly outperformed traditional tech stocks. In both cycles, the October to March timeframe has historically prompted major upward movements. 

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    After a period of consolidation within a rising wedge, the BTC/NASDAQ pair appears poised for another breakout. Should this pattern repeat, Bitcoin may see substantial gains compared to the Nasdaq in the fourth quarter and into early 2026, Ash Crypto noted. 

    Bitcoin
    BTC/NASDAQ weekly chart showing similar bullish pattern to previous cycles. Source: Ash Crypto on X

    Notably, this sets the stage for a major rally that could see Bitcoin prices surpassing current records of over $126,000. However, the market is still characterized by increased volatility, and there is no clear path ahead for BTC.

    The leading cryptocurrency is trading at $113,350 after a 2% correction in Tuesday’s trading session, following an initial surge above $115,000. This puts BTC 6.5% below record highs. 

    Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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