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Tag: Bitcoin

  • Bitcoin Bullish Structure Weakens As Inter-Exchange Liquidity Touches Red Zone – Details

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    The Bitcoin market is experiencing a gradual trend reversal following weeks of prolonged price correction between October and November. However, recent on-chain data reveals a concerning trend around BTC’s bullish structure.

    Bitcoin IFP Indicator Suggests Market Has Reached Turning Point 

    Popular analytics page Arab Chain has shared a cautionary insight on the Bitcoin market despite the moderate price recovery in recent weeks. After Bitcoin suffered a 36.5% correction from its all-time high at $126,000, the market leader has lately experienced a significant rebound, rising from $80,000 to as high as $94,000 in the past three weeks. 

    However, data from the Bitcoin Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) suggests the upward price momentum might be short-lived. For perspective, the Bitcoin IFP measures the net movement of Bitcoin between exchanges over a given period. Arab Chain explains the IFP indicator continues to trend downward, after breaking below its 90-day moving average (MA), suggesting a weakening market participation amid fewer “bullish” flows between exchanges.

    Furthermore, the IFP also sits in the red zone, which historically coincides with or precedes a correction period or weak structural momentum that could precede a broader downtrend. Combined, these developments imply the Bitcoin market is at a critical junction, as there is a reduction in exchange flows that has historically supported the price rallies in past market phases.

    Is The Bullish Run Over?

    Amidst the structural weakness highlighted by the IFP indicator, Arab Chain also noted that the price remains relatively high compared to previous levels in similar situations. The analysts explain that this suggests price and inflows are temporarily moving irrespective of each other. Based on historical data, such detachments usually indicate a prolonged price consolidation or a significant period of extended sideways movement until inter-exchange flows can reestablish market dominance. 

    Therefore, the Bitcoin bullish structure is not collapsing into a bearish state. However, the IFP metric developments suggest there may not be sustained upward movement in the short term due to the structural slowdown in inter-exchange flows. Moreover, price is likely to become sensitive to changes in the market liquidity. Therefore, there is also significant potential for another correction.

    At press time, Bitcoin trades at $90,338, reflecting a 1.82% decline in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, daily trading volume is up by 34.64% and valued at $82.68 billion. According to Arab Chain, a continuous price rebound will only occur if the IFP successfully reclaims its 90-day MA, thereby signaling an increase in bullish exchange flows.

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    Semilore Faleti

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  • The Future of Crypto Trading Is Hybrid: CeFi and DeFi Unite

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    Hybrid trading ecosystems allow users to access traditional and crypto-native assets seamlessly, with deeper liquidity and fewer risks. Unsplash+

    Despite its rocky start, the crypto industry has firmly transitioned from niche communities to the core of global finance. In early December, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded nearly a full week of net inflows, totaling around $288 million, as BTC continues its recovery. At the same time, traditional asset managers are increasingly embracing digital assets: Vanguard, for example, recently began offering clients exposure to BTC, ETH, XRP and other crypto ETFs. What once was a fringe corner of finance is knowing seeing significant capital flows, and, naturally, traders’ expectations have evolved alongside it.

    Today’s users want simplicity above all else. They want a market structure that feels seamless and doesn’t force them to jump between five different platforms to engage with all the services they need. They don’t want to sacrifice liquidity for self-custody, transparency for better execution or choose between crypto-native assets and traditional financial instruments. 

    This is where hybrid CeFi-DeFi (centralized-decentralized finance) models enter the scene, designed to bridge these gaps. By merging centralized and decentralized rails, hybrid platforms aim to eliminate compromise and deliver better results for traders.  

    Establishing a new market backbone

    Historically, traders had to choose between two camps. CeFi offered deep liquidity, institutional-grade execution and predictable user experience. DeFi, meanwhile, provided open access, transparency and blockchain-native liquidity. Each side had its strengths and weaknesses, which users inevitably had to navigate.

    Now, these gaps are gradually closing. Tokenized real-world assets (RWA) have surged to $24 billion as of the late third quarter of this year, driven largely by tokenized U.S. treasuries, among the most liquid RWAs today. By 2028, the market could exceed $2 trillion, achieving an almost 82-fold increase. 

     On the DeFi side, decentralized perpetual-futures trading surpassed $1 trillion in monthly volume in October 2025, putting DeFi platforms on par with many centralized exchanges. In short, more traditional financial instruments are moving on-chain, while crypto-native assets demand deep liquidity. No single model—pure CeFi or pure DeFi—can meet all of these conditions simultaneously. Hybrid models, however, can.

     The world increasingly needs an environment that allows users to move between asset types without forcing them to move platforms as well. Or split their margins, for that matter. Hybrid architecture enables users to move freely between tokenized U.S. stock futures, high-leverage crypto derivatives and on-chain liquidity pools, all from a single account and interface. What used to take multiple logins is now made into a single workflow. 

    Why does this matter? CeFi rarely touches newly emerging DeFi assets; DeFi often lacks the institutional-level liquidity needed for serious capital; and traditional products remain on altogether different rails from crypto as a whole. By connecting historically siloed markets, hybrid systems unlock efficiency, scale and accessibility at unprecedented levels. 

    There is also the fact that hybrid models lower counterparty risk by reducing the number of hand-offs: fewer transfers between platforms, fewer intermediaries, fewer points of failure. And with shared liquidity pools, traders get better pricing and faster execution across multiple instrument types. This is the prime example of infrastructure finally catching up with user expectations.

    Why all-in-one ecosystems are winning

    The push toward unified trading platforms did not happen by accident. It is being driven by four key forces, all existing in tandem.

    1. User expectations. Users want simplicity when managing their finances. One account, seamless experience—this desire sets the standard for the industry to reach.
    2. Technological progress. Advances in asset tokenization, real-time settlements and blockchain rails all contribute to a market state where unified platforms can actually be built successfully. Just a couple of years ago, this wouldn’t have been very feasible.
    3. Institutional participation. As this class of investors grows more proactive about entering the crypto space, seamlessness becomes that much more necessary. Institutions need access to multiple asset classes without fragmented custody, inconsistent execution or operational gaps in order to feel confident.
    4. Regulatory maturity. Clearer frameworks support multi-asset ecosystems, which means that platforms in this sector can build with greater confidence and without fearing unexpected backlash. Europe’s MiCA and the GENIUNS Act in the U.S. are prime examples of this shift. The first created a legal base for cross-asset and cross-service platforms, while the latter introduced a comprehensive framework for stablecoins and the classification of digital asset payments. These steps lay the groundwork for platforms offering a wide range of hybrid services, and for unified CeFi-DeFi ecosystems; this legal clarity is an absolute must.

    With all of these factors aligning, consolidation stops looking like a simple “trend” and appears instead as what it truly is—the natural next stage in the development of this market.

    There are many tangible benefits that this transition brings to traders, but arguably the greatest one is the growth in user trust. Now market participants can see and understand the full lifecycle of their assets in one coherent system. This makes participation smoother, safer and aligned with how people actually want to trade.

    The hybrid future is already here

    The next market cycle will not be defined by any single asset class. Instead, it will be defined by interoperability: CeFi and DeFi instruments will mix seamlessly, traditional markets will connect with on-chain liquidity and A.I. will increasingly augment human decision-making.

    For traders, this means smoother workflows, deeper liquidity and fewer risks. For the industry, it means the next step in maturity and infrastructure that finally matches user expectations. The future of crypto trading is hybrid, and more importantly, it’s not a distant vision. That future is already here, developing around us in real time.

    The Future of Crypto Trading Is Hybrid: CeFi and DeFi Unite

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    Ignacio Aguirre Franco

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  • Here’s Why Bitcoin’s Reaction To Fed Policy Turns Bearish After Each FOMC Update

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    The Bitcoin’s behavior around US Federal Reserve announcements has become one of the most consistent market patterns of the year. After every FOMC update, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has reacted with a noticeable downside move, underscoring how closely the asset is now tied to shifting interest-rate expectations and broader macro sentiment. 

    What Future FOMC Meetings Could Mean For Bitcoin

    In an X post, analyst CryptoMichNL has mentioned that the Federal Reserve (FED) is preparing to update the printer from 2021 liquidity settings toward a more supportive 2025 stance. However, this doesn’t mean it will have an immediate impact on the markets, as these things take time. As a result of the update, Bitcoin has dropped after every Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in 2025, but these moves are primarily aimed at flushing out longs through high liquidations.

    According to the expert, the actual move on the markets and the direction should come in the next 1-2 weeks, which would give a better outlook going into 2026. The bullish trend has remained intact, and the thesis is still valid. However, BTC shouldn’t break the lows during the FOMC flush. Instead, it should break the $92,000 resistance zone to retest the $100,000 level.

    Bitcoin is still moving in a choppy pattern, driven by illiquid order books and fast moves in both directions. CryptoMichNL has also highlighted that BTC is still in for a new upward breakout in the coming days to weeks. Despite the volatility, BTC has continued to form higher lows, which is a clear sign that an upward structure is building.

    CryptoMichNL noted that, as the price doesn’t break down anymore, the heavy correction in the market was highly manipulated and not organic, which is very natural for the market to return to normal.

    Why Bitcoin Market Structure Remains Intact Despite Deep Pullback

    Bitcoin has not proven to be any different from the cycle. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, pointed out that the good initial bounce is right off the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is taken from the entire cycle move. Realistically, that was the lowest the price could go without breaking the broader weekly market structure.

    According to Daan, the invalidation is clearly the higher-timeframe outlook, and the November lows would become a very uncomfortable place for the bulls. As the year comes to an end, a lot of the 4-year cycle selling should also be diminishing. Meanwhile, Q1 2026 is shaping up to be extremely important as it will likely reveal where the BTC cycle will move next.

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    Godspower Owie

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  • Bitcoin (BTC) Price Remains Under Pressure Following Fed Rate Cut

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    All things being equal, easier Fed monetary policy tends to lead to a weaker U.S. dollar, falling bond yields, rising precious metals prices and gains for risk assets, bitcoin BTC$92,398.57 and crypto among them.

    Following the Fed’s rate cut yesterday, the dollar is indeed weaker — the DXY falling to a seven-week low — precious metals are sharply higher, with silver touching a new record of $64 per ounce, and the 10-year Treasury yield has pulled back to 4.12% from 4.20%.

    In what’s become a familiar story, though, crypto is not participating. After (very) briefly rallying above $94,000 in the minutes following the rate cut, bitcoin BTC$92,398.57 has slumped to $89,400, now down 3% over the past 24 hours. Ether ETH$3,247.05 is down 5.5%, while XRP and solana slide closer to 4%.

    Possibly souring the mood in crypto are declining AI-related names following Oracle’s (ORCL) disappointing quarterly earnings released last night. Oracle has plunged 14% on Thursday, pulling down familiar names like Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom. The Nasdaq is lower by 1.2%.

    Bitcoin mining stocks — many of whom have pivoted business models to focus instead on AI infrastructure — are lower alongside: Hut 8 (HUT), Iren (IREN), Cipher (CIFR) and Riot Platforms (RIOT) are among those with losses in the 5%-6% range.

    Leading bitcoin treasury player Strategy (MSTR) is off by 6.4%, while crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) is down 5%. Robinhood (HOOD) is lower by 8.3% after a November update showed a disappointing slump in crypto trading volumes.

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  • Bitcoin Lacks Fresh Momentum As Realized Cap Growth Still Declining

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    On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth indicator has continued to decline recently, a sign new capital inflows lack momentum.

    Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth Has Been Heading Down Recently

    As explained by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth has been trending lower recently. The “Realized Cap” is an on-chain capitalization model for BTC that calculates its total value by assuming the value of each individual token is equal to the spot price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain.

    This is unlike the usual market cap, which simply calculates the total valuation of the asset by multiplying the number of tokens in circulation with the current spot price, considering the latest value of the cryptocurrency to be the one value for all coins.

    In short, what the Realized Cap represents is the amount of capital that the Bitcoin investors as a whole used to purchase the asset’s supply. On the other hand, the market cap is the value that the investors are carrying in the present.

    The Realized Cap itself isn’t the indicator of interest in the current discussion, but rather the Realized Cap Growth, measuring the 365-day changes occurring in the Realized Cap.

    Changes in the indicator naturally reflect the amount of capital exiting or entering the cryptocurrency. In other words, the Realized Cap Growth contains information about the asset’s netflow.

    Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the 7-day and 59-day moving averages (MAs) of the Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth over the last few years:

    As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Cap Growth has witnessed both its 7-day and 59-day MAs reverse down recently, with the former line crossing under the latter.

    The trend indicates that growth in the Realized Cap has been slowing down during the recent market downturn. “This suggests Bitcoin is lacking momentum from new cost basis inflows,” noted the analyst.

    With the 7-day MA falling below the 59-day MA, the indicator is now flagging the current market to be in a “bear phase.” The last time this signal maintained for an extended duration was alongside BTC’s decline over the first few months of 2025. It now remains to be seen how long momentum from new capital inflows will stay weak for Bitcoin this time around.

    In some other news, the Bitcoin short-term holders are still under a notable amount of stress, as CryptoQuant author IT Tech has pointed out in an X post.

    Bitcoin STH Profit/Loss Margin

    Short-term holders (STHs) are defined as the Bitcoin buyers who got into the market during the past 155 days. Despite the rebound BTC has seen since its November low, STHs are still in a loss of 10%.

    BTC Price

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $92,400, down 1.5% over the last 24 hours.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

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    Keshav Verma

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  • Bitcoin’s Market Structure Strengthens Despite Slower Trading Activity — Here’s Why

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    Despite a noticeable cooldown in trading volumes, Bitcoin’s underlying market structure has continued to strengthen. The price action has stabilized within a narrow range as long-term holders maintain firm conviction. As more BTC flows into cold storage and supply on exchanges tightens, the market is transitioning from hype-driven swings to steady structural support.

    How The Price Compression Builds Energy For A Larger Move

    CIO and founder of MNFund and MNCapital, CryptoMichNL, emphasized that Bitcoin shares a strong correlation with the Nasdaq. While Nasdaq continues to show steady resilience, BTC has stalled behind. This mismatch creates a mispricing and market divergence, which is why the path toward $100,000 remains wide open and why the 4-year cycle thesis doesn’t hold up.

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    Recently, BTC saw a massive correction, dropping from $115,000 to $80,000 in just two weeks. During that same liquidation period, what LVisserLabs calls the rotation between Pure Vol vs. Pure Profitability or Beta vs. Quality has fallen sharply. Beta here refers to high-volatility, high-beta stocks, which are essentially tech stocks that drive the markets. Meanwhile, Quality means more risk-off assets, including high-quality, profitable, and stable companies. 

    BTC exhibiting momentum for a rally | Source: Chart from CryptoMichNL

    Currently, BTC has stalled after the sell-off, and the Beta assets have recovered substantially, implying that the stocks have inverted their loss with the big drop and are now grinding upwards, signaling that risk-on appetite is clearly back. With this kind of structural divergence, it’s likely that in the coming weeks or months, BTC will grind upward to $110,000 and $115,000 levels, reversing the drop as the entire correction was a little dubious.

    CryptoMichNL advised that instead of relying on a time-based sounding the 4-year cycle assumption, it is better to focus on the charts and macro relationships that directly influence BTC price.

    On-Chain Activity Shows Clear Confidence From Big Money

    The ambassador of StandXOfficial and the KOL of Binance, who is also an advisor at KOLsAgency, Investor Ucan, has highlighted that the evidence of Bitcoin’s latest upward move is already on-chain. The last six hours have revealed a clear surge of institutional demand. On-chain data shows that Binance purchased 7,298 BTC, Coinbase bought 1,362 BTC, Wintermute bought 2,174 BTC, BlacRock bought 1,362 BTC, and an unknown whale bought 6,192 BTC. In total, 20,438 BTC were purchased in just six hours, valued at approximately $1.9 billion.

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    Ucan noted that the timing of this purchase is what stands out. These inflows hit the market hours before the Federal Reserve’s upcoming employment data was released. Institutional is clearly expecting a supportive outcome. A positive print refers to easing expectations and fresh liquidity on the horizon. Retail traders are reacting, and the institutions are anticipating early. If the Fed confirms what these flows imply, today’s buying won’t look like simple momentum, but preparation.

    Bitcoin
    BTC trading at $92,087 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Godspower Owie

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  • What Happens When an “Infinite-Money Machine” Unravels

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    The price of bitcoin, which more than doubled last year in a trend that many attributed to the “Trump trade,” obviously played a big role in this alchemy, but there was also another factor—one that did seem a little magical, or insane, depending on your viewpoint. As MicroStrategy expanded its purchases, eventually accumulating more than three per cent of all the bitcoins in existence, its purchases helped drive the price of the digital currency higher. But—and this is the magical bit—its stock price went up even faster than bitcoin did. Toward the end of last year, investors were valuing MicroStrategy at more than two times what its bitcoins were worth, which meant that, for every dollar the company invested in bitcoin, it was creating more than two dollars in value. Some observers labelled Saylor’s bitcoin strategy as an “infinite-money machine,” or an “infinite-money glitch.”

    Whatever you called it, the gap between MicroStrategy’s market value and the value of its bitcoins couldn’t be explained by the company’s non-digital assets, namely its original software businesses. Saylor’s supporters offered two explanations for why MicroStrategy was still a worthy investment. First, the price of Bitcoin could rise a lot further; Saylor claimed that, by 2045, it would reach thirteen million dollars. Second, MicroStrategy had found clever ways to amplify gains for regular shareholders. By issuing preferred stock and debt that could be converted into shares at a later date, and then using the proceeds to buy more bitcoins, MicroStrategy said it could give holders of its common stock “amplified exposure” to the cryptocurrency. Another term for this was leverage—using borrowed money to boost returns. Some skeptics, including the professional short seller Jim Chanos, questioned whether this strategy could last, but his warnings didn’t catch on at the time. This past February, MicroStrategy unveiled its latest financial results, and a rebrand. “Earlier today, we announced that we are now Strategy, a new name that powerfully and succinctly conveys the universal and global appeal of our company.”

    Hubris precedes the fall. After Strategy’s stock peaked above $450 in mid-July, it went into an extended nosedive and ended November trading at $177.18. That wasn’t the only bad news for Saylor and his believers. As Strategy’s stock fell by sixty per cent, the price of bitcoin fell by only twenty-five per cent. This meant that the spread between Strategy’s market capitalization and the value of the bitcoins that it owned was closing. By the end of last month, that premium had all but disappeared, and at one point last week the market value of Strategy dipped below the value of its bitcoins (after accounting for its debt). In the words of a columnist at Bloomberg, Saylor’s infinite money machine was “glitching out.”

    Recognizing the severity of the situation and hoping to reassure investors, Strategy announced that it had built up, by selling even more stock, a “dollar reserve” of $1.4 billion. It could use this to make required dividend payments to holders of its preferred stock over the next twelve months. (Regular shareholders don’t get a dividend.) But it also said that, if its value continued to sink below the value of bitcoin, it might sell some of its coins—a previously unthinkable move for an evangelist like Saylor, who in February of this year tweeted, “Never sell your Bitcoin.” If Strategy was forced to unload some of its bitcoins, that could conceivably send the cryptocurrency, and the firm’s stock, into another dive.

    Strategy is now facing another challenge: the possibility that its stock could be removed from a major stock index, the MSCI Index, which analysts at JPMorgan estimated could lead to outflows of billions of dollars. On a more hopeful note, the price of bitcoin has risen over the past couple of weeks on expectations that the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates and pump more money into the financial system. In the past, some analysts noted, there has been a correlation between the Fed’s monetary interventions and rallies in bitcoin. So it seems at least possible that Jerome Powell and his colleagues, who are focussed on preventing a recession, will inadvertently bail out the crypto bros, Saylor included.

    Even if this happens, though, Strategy may well struggle to repeat its earlier success. The market opening that Saylor spotted back in 2020 has been largely filled. Dozens of other public companies, including MARA Holdings, a bitcoin-mining company, and Trump Media & Technology Group have acquired substantial holdings of bitcoin. And, for investors wanting direct exposure to bitcoin through their brokerage accounts, there are now more than a dozen Bitcoin E.T.F.s, including BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, which trades under the symbol IBIT and owns even more coins than Strategy does—around seven hundred and seventy-five thousand coins compared with Strategy’s six hundred and fifty thousand.

    In the crypto world, you can never say never, but for now the longtime skeptics of Strategy have been vindicated. They include Chanos, who said he has made money by shorting the firm’s stock and buying bitcoins in what is known as a paired trade. Last week, he told Sherwood, an in-house news site for the online trading platform Robinhood, “Our core thesis from the beginning—and it’s still our core thesis—is don’t pay more than $1 for something worth $1.” If investors follow this advice, Saylor and Strategy will still benefit from any sustained rebound in Bitcoin. But, alas, they won’t be able to reboot their infinite-money machine. ♦

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    John Cassidy

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  • Bitcoin’s November Slump Could Trigger A 2026 Revival, Analysts Say

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    Bitcoin dropped sharply this month and is set to post one of its worst Novembers in years, leaving traders and fund managers weighing whether to buy or hold fire.

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    Based on reports, the token is down about 18% for November and was trading below $91,000 as markets quieted heading into the weekend.

    Market Cleansing Opens The Door For Buyers

    According to CoinGlass, this decline approaches the scale of losses seen in November 2019, when Bitcoin fell roughly 17%, and is far from the harsh 35% crash of November 2018.

    Reports have disclosed that some analysts view the drop as a market reset. Nick Ruck, research director at LVRG, said overleveraged positions and weak projects have been mostly cleared out, which could let longer-term holders add exposure at lower prices.

    Source: Coinglass

    Technical Levels Take Center Stage

    Traders are watching a pair of monthly-close levels closely. An analyst using the handle CrediBull Crypto identified $93,400 and $102,400 as the two most relevant thresholds.

    A close above $93,000 would be interpreted as a modest positive sign, the analyst said, while any monthly finish above $102,000 would be read as very bullish — though that may not happen until another month.

    Bitcoin changed hands around $91,450 in midweek trade, failing to break a resistance just under $92,000.

    Cycle Changes And Institutional Flows

    Based on reports from industry sources, some market watchers think the rhythm of rallies has shifted since the arrival of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024.

    According to some analysts, institutional participation has altered the timing and breadth of moves. That has meant gains that once clustered at year-end can show up earlier.

    BTCUSD trading at $90,641 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView

    Market experts pointed out that November is usually a strong month for Bitcoin, and that a red November has often been followed by a red December in past years.

    A Stalemate Between Bulls And Bears

    Matrixport described the market as a rare zone of impasse where sentiment, positioning and macro cues are all converging. Reports noted that Bitcoin rebounded above $91.8K during Thanksgiving, but the move did little to resolve the split between bullish and bearish expectations.

    Liquidity has thinned, volatility has dropped, and requests for crash protection have faded. Glassnode added that realized losses have risen and futures markets are deleveraging, signs that short-term conviction is weak. That mix leaves the market stuck between a push toward $100K and a slide down to $80K.

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    Signs Point To A Big Move, Direction Unknown

    A bullish hammer reversal emerged when Bitcoin briefly touched the $80K area, giving some traders hope of a rally into the holiday season.

    Others say weak demand and thin liquidity could push prices lower before confidence returns. In either case, markets have been quietly positioning for a larger directional move, even if nobody can say for sure which way that move will go.

    For now, Bitcoin sits in a cautious in-between. Investors and traders will be watching the monthly close, liquidity measures and options flows for clues.

    The next clear signal could decide whether late buyers get rewarded — or whether sellers set a new range.

    Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView

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    Christian Encila

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  • Bitcoin Must Break Key Supply Clusters To Regain ATH Momentum – Watch These Levels

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    Bitcoin has rallied more than 12% since last week’s sharp drop to the $80,000 low, offering the market a brief moment of relief after an intense period of capitulation. Despite this rebound, fear and uncertainty continue to dominate sentiment, especially following what analysts describe as the largest short-term holder capitulation in Bitcoin’s history.

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    This wave of realized losses—fast, aggressive, and record-breaking—has left many investors questioning whether the recent recovery is sustainable or simply a temporary bounce in a broader downtrend.

    According to new data from Glassnode, the path ahead remains challenging. Analysts explain that Bitcoin must break above the major supply clusters created by top buyers earlier in the cycle if it is to regain meaningful upward momentum.

    These clusters represent areas where a large number of investors previously bought at higher prices and may now look to exit at breakeven, increasing the likelihood of heavy sell-side pressure as BTC climbs.

    Bitcoin Faces Critical Supply Barriers

    Glassnode reports that Bitcoin is now approaching two major supply clusters that will play a decisive role in determining whether the recent rebound can evolve into a sustained recovery. The first cluster sits between $93,000 and $96,000, while the second—much larger and more structurally important—spans $100,000 to $108,000.

    These zones were formed by heavy buying activity earlier in the cycle and represent areas where many investors are currently underwater or sitting near breakeven.

    Bitcoin Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap | Source: Glassnode

     

    Because of this, Glassnode notes that these ranges typically act as strong resistance, as recent buyers who endured the latest drawdown may choose to sell once the price returns to their entry levels. This dynamic can create temporary supply walls, slowing down momentum even in moments of aggressive recovery.

    Bitcoin’s ability to break through these clusters will determine whether it can re-establish a path toward a new all-time high or remain trapped under heavy distribution pressure. The market is now entering a critical phase, with traders closely watching how BTC behaves as it approaches these levels. A clean breakout would signal renewed confidence, while rejection could signal that the broader corrective structure is not yet over.

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    Testing Support After a Sharp Multi-Week Selloff

    Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows a market attempting to stabilize after one of the most aggressive drawdowns of the cycle. BTC has rebounded to the $91,500 area following a deep wick to the $80K region last week, signaling that buyers are finally stepping in at key support. This rebound coincides with a strong weekly candle showing a long lower shadow, a classic sign of demand absorption during heavy selloffs.

    BTC consolidates around key level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
    BTC consolidates around key level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

    However, despite this bounce, the broader structure remains fragile. The price is trading below the 50-week moving average, a level that previously acted as reliable support throughout the bull phase. Losing this dynamic support earlier in the month was a significant technical break, and BTC is now attempting to reclaim it from below—typically a challenging move that often acts as resistance.

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    The 100-week moving average around the mid-$80K region has proven critical, halting the decline and serving as the primary area where buyers defended the trend. As long as BTC holds above this zone, the broader market avoids confirming a deeper macro reversal.

    Volume remains elevated, reflecting capitulation-level activity, and the market is now in a decisive phase. A sustained close above $92K–$94K would strengthen recovery prospects, while rejection would risk another retest of the $80K support.

    Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

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    Sebastian Villafuerte

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  • Solana Reclaims Crucial Resistance Despite First SOL ETF Outflows – 25% Rally Ahead?

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    As the crypto market rebounds from the recent lows, Solana (SOL) has reclaimed a crucial level, nearing a key resistance area that could set the stage for a long-awaited price recovery rally, according to some market watchers.

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    Solana Bounces Despite ETF Outflows

    The crypto market has surged above the $3 trillion mark for the first time in a week, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and most leading cryptocurrencies reclaiming crucial support levels lost during the latest market pullback.

    Solana joined the market rally and jumped from the recently recovered $135-$140 area to the upper zone of its local range on Wednesday afternoon. Notably, the altcoin has been trading between the $130-$145 price range over the past two weeks, briefly losing the lower boundary during last week’s correction.

    This week, SOL’s price has reclaimed some crucial ground, surging over 10% since Monday’s opening and nearing the $145 resistance. Amid this performance, analyst Ted Pillows noted institutional participation, as SOL treasury companies have started to show early signs of recovery.

    He also highlighted that Solana Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have experienced record inflows this month despite the correction. According to Farside Investors’ data, the SOL-based investment products have registered $613 million in inflows since their launch on October 28.

    It’s worth noting that throughout the recent pullbacks, Solana funds have seen a strong demand, with a 22-day positive streak while the altcoin’s price descended to multi-month lows.

    However, as its price recovered, SOL’s ETFs registered their first negative in nearly a month. 21Shares’ TSOL, which launched a week ago, saw $34 million in outflows on Wednesday, outshining the over $13 million and $10 million in inflows of Bitwise’s BSOL and Grayscale’s GSOL. As a result, the whole category recorded net outflows of $8.1 million.

    In his analysis, Ted Pillows also noted that “It seems like SOL has bottomed for a while, but institutional buying needs to accelerate here. Otherwise, it won’t take long for Solana to make new lows.”

    SOL Ready For December Recovery?

    Analyst Ali Martinez suggested that Solana’s pain might be over as its price “usually bottoms when investors capitulate… And for the past two weeks, that’s exactly what’s been happening.”

    According to the chart, SOL’s price has historically found a floor when the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator reaches the capitulation zone, which it has recently fallen to. Meanwhile, Crypto Patel highlighted that Solana is breaking out of a one-month downtrend, which could trigger a 25% recovery rally near the key $180 barrier in the coming weeks.

    Another market observer warned that the altcoin is “walking straight into the lion’s den” as its price nears the $144-$146 resistance levels. Trader Mr. Ape noted that Solana’s price has been rejected three times from this heavy supply area, and momentum “is slowing again as we hit the zone.”

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    To the trader, this is the crucial level to watch, as another rejection could send the price to the $132 support, where strong demand lies from the previous bounce. On the contrary, a successful breakout from this level and reclaiming it as support could confirm the shift and trigger a surge to the $157 area.

    As of this writing, Solana is trading at $142, a 7.7% increase on the weekly timeframe.

    SOL’s performance on the one-week chart. Source: SOLUSDT on TradingView

    Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

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    Rubmar Garcia

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  • Crypto Wins Big: Thailand Moves To A 0% Tax On Local Exchange Gains

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    They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

    Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

    Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley!

    So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

    Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

    Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

    Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

    Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects.

    So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.

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    Christian Encila

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  • Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Hit $100 Before Bitcoin Hits $1 Million

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    A crypto analyst has issued a decisive projection that challenges the long timelines often associated with major price milestones for Bitcoin. His outlook was presented in response to the ultra-bullish forecasts from Michael Saylor and Jack Mallers, who have spoken openly about the possibility of Bitcoin reaching between $1 million and $20 million per coin. 

    Rather than focusing on Bitcoin’s distant targets, the analyst directed attention to XRP, insisting that XRP will reach $100 long before Bitcoin touches the seven-figure mark.

    Analyst Says XRP Will Reach $100 Before Bitcoin’s Million-Dollar Target

    There have been many bullish predictions of Bitcoin breaking above the $1 million mark in recent months, with notable names like Michael Saylor and Cathie Wood pointing to million-dollar targets. 

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    However, an analyst who goes by the name 24HRSCRYPTO on the social media platform X referenced Saylor and Mallers’ price prediction, which places future Bitcoin valuations in the tens of millions per coin and implies a market cap approaching $500 trillion. He contrasted those long-range projections with what he believes is a more attainable and nearer-term milestone for XRP. 

    Punching in the numbers shows that XRP is a 4,445% move away from $100 based on its current price level of around $2.2. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is 990% away from the $1 million price.

    Even with that difference, the analyst noted, “You will see XRP at $100 before Bitcoin hits $1 million.” The statement points to the view that XRP is positioned for faster price growth in the foreseeable future, as seen by price dynamics in the past few months. The crypto is increasingly being positioned in a situation where demand and adoption of the Ripple ecosystem could take it to new heights.

    On the other hand, Bitcoin’s price action is slowing down relative to XRP. Notably, technical analysis of the XRP/BTC pair places XRP on the path to outperforming Bitcoin in the coming weeks and months. 

    The Altcoin Will Hit $1,000 Before Bitcoin Touches $19 Million

    The analyst extended his projection even further by asserting that XRP could rally to $1,000 before Bitcoin comes close to the $19 million figure referenced by Saylor. Such a valuation for Bitcoin would imply a market capitalization of roughly $500 trillion, a scale far beyond anything seen in global financial history. 

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    Measured from today’s levels, Bitcoin would need to climb roughly 20,635% to reach the $19 million mark. XRP’s path to $1,000 amounts to an even larger jump of about 45,300%, which corresponds to a market cap of $60 trillion based on its current circulating supply. Still, XRP reaching $1,000 is, in his view, more feasible than Bitcoin reaching millions per coin.

    XRP trading at $2.19 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Selling Storm: Bitcoin Whales Could Drive Prices Down Further, Experts Warn

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    According to exchange data, inflows to trading venues topped 9,000 Bitcoin on Nov. 21 as prices slid to $80,600 on Coinbase — the weakest showing in seven months.

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    Reports show that about 45% of those deposits came in chunks of 100 BTC or more, and on one day large transfers reached 7,000 BTC.

    The average deposit size in November rose to 1.23 BTC, the largest monthly figure in a year. Those numbers point to more than casual rebalancing; they point to coins being moved where they can be sold.

    Binance Stablecoins Hit Record

    According to market coverage, Binance’s stablecoin holdings climbed to a record $51 billion. At the same time, BTC and Ether inflows to exchanges swelled to roughly $40 billion this week, with Binance and Coinbase leading the move.

    Traders often park funds in dollar-pegged tokens when they want to wait on the sidelines. That build-up means cash is available, but it is sitting idle until sellers either step back or buyers turn up again.

    Analysts Eye Further Pullback

    Some market watchers warn the recent recovery could be only a pause, flagging remaining margin positions and suggested a test of lower levels.

    They said a wick into the $70k–$80k zone would be one way to clear out the last pockets of exposure.

    10x Research put resistance levels at $92,000 and $101,000 as the key ranges to watch during any rebound.

    For context, Bitcoin had clawed back above $90,000 and was trading slightly higher at the time of reporting, but it remains down about 28% from the all-time high north of $126,000 reached in October.

    BTCUSD currently trading at $91,681. Chart: TradingView

    Short-Term Bounce, Not A Full Recovery

    Meanwhile, market moves in stocks and crypto have shown mixed signals. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were pushing gains as investors bet on a US Fed rate cut, and that helped risk assets.

    Yet reports from strategists show the usual close link between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq has weakened, with Bitcoin’s decline steeper in recent weeks.

    Ether and many altcoins also faced higher exchange inflows, and several tokens returned to bear-market lows as selling pressure widened.

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    What This Means Next

    Liquidity is present but it is parked in stablecoins, and big holders are still moving assets toward exchanges. A meaningful rally will likely need either heavy buying demand or a clear catalyst that draws those stablecoins back into risk assets.

    For now, the market sits in a waiting mode: a short rally could continue, but a deeper dip remains possible as positions get cleared and sellers complete their rotations.

    Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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    Christian Encila

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  • Bitcoin Dead Cat Bounce: Analyst Reveals What To Expect As Price Recovers

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    Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest upward move arrives at a time when confidence in the market remains uncertain, with many traders unsure whether the slight price recovery marks early strength or another temporary bounce. With last week’s pullback still fresh, a crypto analyst argues that most traders may label the recent recovery a dead cat bounce. However, he believes the narrative is misleading and predicts that Bitcoin’s rebound this week may be setting the stage for a stronger rally. 

    Why The Bitcoin Price Recovery Is Not A Dead Cat Bounce

    Market analyst and founder of The House of Crypto, Peter Anthony, has released a new technical analysis of Bitcoin that challenges the prevailing bearish sentiment among traders. In his post on X, Anthony stated that the repeated claims of a dead cat bounce are part of a recurring pattern that has appeared at multiple stages of previous Bitcoin price recoveries. 

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    He explained that market sentiments have swung so far into fear that many traders may have already locked in their worst losses just as the market began to recover. According to his analysis, last week’s BTC sell-off and price crash prompted many participants to exit their positions near the bottom. Now that the cryptocurrency is recovering, the analyst believes those same traders will hesitate to re-enter the market, convinced that the recent rebound is nothing more than a dead cat bounce. 

    In his chart, Anthony highlighted several instances in the past when similar skepticism emerged after Bitcoin continued trending higher following a downturn. The analyst expects this pessimistic behavior to persist, stating that traders may continue labeling every upward push a dead cat bounce until BTC reaches $100,000 and beyond. This suggests that investors might interpret each step higher as a warning sign that the price rally is only temporary and bound to fail. 

    Source: X

    While he believes the underlying trend is bullish, Anthony has acknowledged that a correction could still emerge as Bitcoin approaches previous highs. However, he reassures that the routine pullback would not negate the broader recovery underway. 

    The analyst’s report indicates that the dead cat bounce narrative will prove to be a false signal. He predicts that disbelief in the market will eventually give way to Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) once Bitcoin decisively moves above $115,000. At that point, Anthony forecasts that many traders who sold during the downturn will scramble to buy back in at higher levels, completing a cycle of selling low and buying high. 

    BTC Could Hit $115,000 Before Skeptics Turn Bullish

    In a follow-up post, Anthony issued a sharp critique of the emotional trading patterns and bearish sentiment dominating the crypto market. According to him, many of these traders who insist the Bitcoin rally has ended will continue to call every upward move a dead cat bounce, even as the price advances. 

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    By the time Bitcoin hits $115,000, the analyst expects investor sentiment to shift abruptly, triggering a late surge of bullishness from traders who had doubted the initial recovery. Anthony argues that these sudden changes in viewpoint will have little to do with careful analysis and everything to do with watching the chart move and reacting afterward. 

    Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
    BTC continues moving above $87,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image created with Shedevrum, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Sandra White

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  • Fear Surges, But Real XRP Holders Aren’t Shaken—Analyst

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    According to Versan Aljarrah, founder of Black Swan Capitalist, fear has crept back into the XRP market as the token trades under pressure. Prices slipped below the $2 mark and recently hit about $1.83 before a small rebound. Volatility has been sharp, and many traders are being pushed into quick exits.

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    Volatility Tests Investors

    Based on reports, XRP’s slide accelerated after a broad market crash in early October tied to tariff tensions between the US and China.

    That turmoil forced billions of dollars of liquidations across exchanges. Different platforms briefly showed very different lows — Kraken recorded $1.40 while Binance charts on TradingView showed a flash low at $0.76.

    Those swings left behind gaps in liquidity, including a zone around $1.98 to $1.99 that traders are watching closely.

    Price action has been messy but not one-directional. XRP was trading around $2.22, up about 1.8% in the last 24 hours, and in another snapshot it was reported changing hands close to $2.24 amid a rebound. Over the most recent 72 hours, the token posted a rally of more than 18%, showing how fast sentiment can flip.

    According to Aljarrah, fear has returned, and “it always hits those who don’t understand what it means to hold XRP.” The analyst pointed out that a good number of people will fall before they could even make it and “survive the engineered volatility ahead.” The system, he said, “shakes out the weak” long before actual market valuation takes its course.

    History And Psychology At Work

    Analysts and market observers point to XRP’s stop-and-go history as part of the problem. In 2017, the coin lingered for months before surging roughly 70,000% and then dropping by as much as 95% at certain stretches.

    XRPUSD now trading at $2.21. Chart: TradingView

    In 2024, it traded quietly for much of the year before jumping over 600% near year end. That pattern makes holding the token psychologically hard for many. People sell too soon, often right before big moves.

    Support levels are being watched closely. Reports list key buffers at $1.95, $1.75, and $1.60. On the upside, some analysts are projecting a rebound to $4 by 2026, with longer-range targets of $13 and $27. Those are forecasts, not promises, and they assume steady market conditions and continued interest.

    Whales Take Profit Amid Rally And ETF Flows

    Meanwhile, analyst Ali Martinez said larger holders have been taking profits during the rebound. Whales holding between 1 million and 10 million XRP reportedly sold over 180 million tokens, trimming their balances to about 4.74 billion XRP. That kind of selling can add pressure even while the price is trying to recover.

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    Institutional flows appear to be a counterweight. Based on reports, the Franklin Templeton and Grayscale XRP ETFs launched in the US yesterday and drew combined positive flows of $130 million on their first day.

    Net inflows into US XRP ETFs on Monday were placed at $164 million, a figure that helped absorb some of the selling and supported a more than 7% gain over 24 hours in some trading windows.

    Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

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    Christian Encila

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  • Financial Strategist Debunks Prediction That Bitcoin Price Will Reach $220,000 In 45 Days

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    A recent claim that the Bitcoin price could surge to $220,000 in just 45 days has drawn sharp criticism from a financial strategist. The analyst frames such ambitious forecasts as unrealistic and highly speculative. Considering the recent decline in the BTC market, if the projection is taken at face value without supporting data, it overlooks ongoing market trends, macroeconomic conditions, and potential investor risks. 

    Strategist Labels $220,000 Bitcoin Price Forecast “Nonsense”

    South Korean scientist YoungHoon Kim, who holds the world’s highest reported IQ of 276, recently predicted that Bitcoin could more than double its current price and reach $220,000 within 45 days. Based on this forecast, the BTC price is expected to surge by over 151% from current levels below $87,500, potentially reaching a new all-time high by mid-January 2026. 

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    With Bitcoin down more than 31% from its ATH above $126,000, the bold forecast came as a surprise to many crypto members. The founder of Black Swan Capitalist, Versan Aljarrah, in particular, criticized the projection, calling it “nonsense.” He described it as an example of the speculative behavior that has long characterized the crypto space. 

    Source: Chart from YoungHoon Kim on X

    Aljarrah argued that predictions like Kim’s, which lack the visible support of a technical analysis, are what transform the crypto space into a “circus.” He highlighted that Bitcoin maxis will often go to extreme lengths to sustain the hype, promoting narratives that keep the speculative bubble alive even when market fundamentals raise caution.

    The Black Swan Capitalist founder also disclosed that Bitcoin has historically functioned more as a tool for predators and bad actors. His statements suggest that Kim’s forecast oversimplifies the complexities of the crypto market and distracts investors and traders from the fundamental structural factors driving Bitcoin’s price.  

    Bitcoin Price Continues To Falter Amidst Bullish Forecasts

    The Bitcoin market remains at a crossroads, with analysts forecasting sharp upward moves despite choppy price action. Despite predictions of a potential rally, BTC’s recent performance paints a more cautious picture, as its price has fallen by more than 20% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap. 

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    Crypto analyst Pepesso recently issued a bullish forecast, suggesting that Bitcoin may have hit its bottom and could potentially start a recovery toward levels between $126,000 and $160,000. However, broader market indicators, such as the Fear and Greed Index, point to extreme fear, suggesting investors remain highly uncertain about BTC’s near-term outlook. 

    Other analysts, like Gen Detector, have presented a more conservative outlook, predicting that Bitcoin could first stabilize around the $100,000 psychological level before its next bear wave begins. However, he has not ruled out the likelihood of further price corrections, highlighting the potential for BTC to revisit the $70,000 to $50,000 range before the next major bull run.

    Bitcoin
    BTC trading at $86,867 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • JPMorgan’s Alleged Short On Strategy (MSTR): How A 50% Price Jump Could Spell Major Troubles

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    Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, the largest public holder of Bitcoin (BTC), finds itself at the center of a stormy controversy involving JPMorgan as Bitcoin prices continue to struggle. 

    With signs of a potential bear market emerging, fresh rumors suggest that one of the world’s largest banks allegedly holds a significant short position on Strategy’s stock (MSTR), which has plunged 69% from its record high of $543 per share last year.

    Strategy Faces Potential MSCI Exclusion

    The turmoil escalated last week when JPMorgan issued a warning that Strategy might soon be removed from major equity indices, specifically the MSCI USA Index. 

    JPMorgan’s analysts noted that the issues facing Strategy extend beyond the recent downturn in cryptocurrency prices, which have seen Bitcoin fall more than 30% from its all-time highs. 

    As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading around $86,000, while the broader crypto market has experienced a staggering $1 trillion decline in total market capitalization over the past month.

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    JPMorgan’s analysts indicated that MSCI is considering whether companies with over 50% of their total assets in digital currencies should qualify for inclusion in traditional equity indices. Given that Strategy’s balance sheet is heavily weighted with Bitcoin, it is at significant risk of exclusion. 

    The analysts stated that “MicroStrategy [is] at risk of exclusion from major equity indices as the January 15th MSCI decision approaches.” They speculated that removal from the MSCI could trigger approximately $2.8 billion in outflows, and if other index providers follow MSCI’s lead, the total could reach as high as $8.8 billion.

    The situation is complicated by market dynamics, particularly the timing of JPMorgan’s bearish note, which coincided with Bitcoin’s weakness and MSTR’s decline, all while liquidity was thin and overall sentiment fragile. 

    JPMorgan Faces Account Closures Surge

    According to analysts at the Bull Theory, JPMorgan has been noted for timing its market reports—bearing down when prices are already weak and striking a more bullish tone near market peaks. 

    The analysts have highlighted that share lending for MSTR has reportedly increased, allowing brokers to lend shares to short sellers, which can exacerbate downward pressure on the stock price. 

    Additionally, there are escalating reports of widespread account closures at JPMorgan, with thousands claiming to have exited due to perceived manipulation of both MSTR and Bitcoin. 

    Amid these developments, the fear of a potential short squeeze is growing. The analysts believe that if Strategy’s stock were to rally around 40% to 50%, it could trigger a short squeeze in the bank’s position and spell major financial troubles. 

    In response, Michael Saylor, the CEO of Strategy, has sought to clarify the company’s identity, emphasizing that it is not just a passive Bitcoin holder. He pointed out that Strategy operates as a software business with an active financial strategy, countering the narrative circulating around MSCI’s concerns.

    As the situation unfolds, several key points emerge. The October 10th crash appeared to align with the MSCI announcement, coinciding with an already fragile market state. JP Morgan’s strategic timing of its bearish insights has amplified existing fears, creating further uncertainty as MSCI’s final decision looms.

    The daily chart shows MSTR’s valuation trending downwards, trading below $170. Source: MSTR on TradingView.com

    Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

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    Ronaldo Marquez

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  • On-Chain Proof: The Crash Was a Bitcoin Panic, Not an Ethereum Collapse

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    Ethereum’s supply mechanics limited selling pressure, keeping losses smaller than typical Bitcoin corrections.

    Bitcoin’s violent slide from around $107,000 on November 11 to lows near $81,000 on November 21 has rattled traders across the market.

    However, new on-chain data shows this was first and foremost a Bitcoin panic, not an Ethereum meltdown.

    A Tale of Two Sell-Offs

    Analysis from XWIN Research Japan shows how the October–November correction split the two majors. Indexed from October 1, Bitcoin dropped into the low-70s by late November, while Ethereum slid into the high-60s.

    Historically, a 30% pullback in BTC has often meant a 40–50% hit for ETH, but this time the gap stayed unusually narrow, signaling that the latter held up better than usual even as fear spread.

    The reason sits on-chain. Since the Merge, a growing share of ETH is locked in staking, while EIP-1559 continues to remove coins from circulation during busy periods. That means there are fewer tokens available to dump when the market panics.

    By contrast, Bitcoin saw a clear liquidation spike on November 21, matching reports of nearly $2 billion in wiped-out positions in a single day as the asset briefly slid toward $81,000 before bouncing back above $84,000 and later reclaiming levels near $88,000 over the weekend.

    BTC is currently trading around $86,000, down about 10% on the week, 19% over two weeks, and 23% on the month. On its part, ETH is sitting near $2,800, which is about 12% lower on the week, 22% down over 14 days, and 29% lower on the month; painful, but not the outsized damage of past cycles.

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    Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio, a key on-chain valuation gauge, has dropped from around 2.5 earlier in 2025 to roughly 1.5 in this selloff, a zone that has often marked deep mid-cycle resets rather than final tops.

    ETH Leverage Is a Time Bomb, but Supply Is on Its Side

    Despite the seemingly positive news for the world’s second-largest digital asset, other market technicians have said that the calmer ETH spot picture hides a dangerous build-up in derivatives.

    According to CryptoOnchain, Ethereum’s estimated leverage ratio on Binance climbed to a record 0.562, even as the price fell from about $4,200 to $2,800.

    In other words, traders kept piling into leveraged longs while the chart trended lower, leaving the market exposed to another wave of liquidations if the cryptocurrency takes one more leg down.

    Elsewhere, analysts are calling the current climate a “Zebra Market,” a term coined by XWIN Research to describe an environment defined by sharp, black-and-white price swings rather than a sustained bull or bear trend.

    In such conditions, on-chain data becomes a critical tool for separating signal from noise, and for now, they frame this episode as a BTC-led flush in a choppy mid-cycle, not the start of an Ethereum breakdown.

    SPECIAL OFFER (Exclusive)

    SECRET PARTNERSHIP BONUS for CryptoPotato readers: Use this link to register and unlock $1,500 in exclusive BingX Exchange rewards (limited time offer).

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    Wayne Jones

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  • Bitcoin Veterans Cashing Out Could Trigger Deeper Losses, Schiff Claims

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    Bitcoin has tumbled more than 30% from its all-time high of $126k and is trading around $85,500 after briefly falling to $82K, according to market reports. Traders warn that recent moves by long-term holders are changing how the market reacts to stress. Liquidity has thinned, and that makes price swings larger than usual.

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    Schiff Issues A Stark Warning

    According to gold investor Peter Schiff, Bitcoin is “finally having its IPO moment.” He said that when veteran holders turn into sellers, supply at the top of the market rises and future selloffs can become deeper.

    “This much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands not only increases the float, but also means future selloffs will be bigger,” Schiff said on Saturday.

    His view has been repeated by bearish voices for years, but this time the comment lands against clear on-chain moves and big ETF outflows.

    Traders note that when confident, long-term holders prune positions near local peaks; when many do it at once, price action often becomes more violent.

    Whale Moves And Major Sales

    Based on reports, whales and early wallets moved over 400,000 BTC in October, activity linked with large selling pressure. One early investor, Owen Gunden, reportedly liquidated his entire 11,000 BTC stake across October and November.

    High-profile retail figures also sold: Robert Kiyosaki announced a sale worth roughly $2.25 million, saying he bought when BTC was about $6,000 and sold near $90,000, and that he plans to redeploy proceeds into income businesses.

    Analysts at Bitfinex point to two key drivers of the recent drop: long-term holder sales and leveraged liquidations in derivatives markets. When margin positions unwind, prices can cascade lower before the market finds support.

    BTCUSD trading at $86,550 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView

    ETF Flows And Retail Sentiment

    According to Bloomberg and fund filings, investors pulled nearly $1 billion from Bitcoin ETFs in a single session, the second-largest daily outflow among the group of 12 funds.

    BlackRock’s IBIT led with $355 million, while Grayscale’s GBTC and Fidelity’s FBTC each saw about $200 million leave.

    Over the past month, ETF products have recorded roughly $4 billion in net outflows. Citi Research figures cited by market watchers place every $1 billion withdrawn at roughly a 3.4% negative swing in Bitcoin’s price.

    Still, there was a counter-move: reports show ETFs posted $238 million of inflows yesterday, underlining how flows can reverse quickly.

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    Schiff’s warning shows that Bitcoin can still be shaken when big holders sell. Even with some institutions buying, moving coins from long-term owners to casual investors could make future price drops bigger and faster.

    People watching the market will likely pay close attention to what these veteran holders do, because their actions could decide how steep the next crash might be.

    Featured image from Born Free Foundation, chart from TradingView

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    Christian Encila

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  • Bitcoin Rapid Downturn Triggered By Excessive Long Positions — Expert Weighs In

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    According to the latest on-chain data, investors have been excessively betting on the Bitcoin price in recent weeks, leading to its overall struggles.

    Longs Vs Shorts Imbalance — How This Induced Price Crash

    In a November 22 post on social media platform X, Alphractal CEO and founder Joao Wedson revealed the underlying dynamics behind Bitcoin’s recent unchecked fall. In deciphering this downward trend, the crypto pundit evaluated the Estimated Long/Short Positions metric, which estimates how much of the Open Interest across exchanges is dedicated to long positions relative to short positions.

    Wedson reported that, across 19 exchanges, there are about 71,000 BTC positioned in longs, while a relatively smaller amount of BTC (27,900) is dedicated to shorts. While this observation does not include data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the discrepancy between longs and shorts remains unusually large.

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    This imbalance is significant because when there are clusters of long positions at similar price levels, the market tends to lean into a more fragile state. Moderate pullbacks beneath these clusters often lead to a cascade of forced liquidations (known as a long squeeze) — an event which could in turn push prices further south.

    Source: @joao_wedson on X

    Notably, Wedson pointed out that traders must have been convinced that $100,000 was Bitcoin’s price bottom — a speculation that soon became null after its failure. Afterwards, $90,000 came into focus, with another series of liquidations following suit. At the moment, $84,000 seems to be the price majority of Bitcoin’s speculative traders target as the new price bottom.

    These liquidation events that took place after the $100,000 and $90,000 supports were breached provided more buy-side liquidity for the Bitcoin price to topple. At the same time, most significant short positions have been closed off, making it difficult for a more defined price recovery to take place, as there is barely any sell-side liquidity to send the Bitcoin price to the upside.

    For Bitcoin to recover, Wedson explained that there needs to be a significant decrease in long positioning, while short exposure goes on the rise.

    Watch Out For $81,250 — Analyst

    In another post on X, technical analyst Ali Martinez noted that Bitcoin’s 2-year moving average, which stands at approximately $81,250, is an important landmark for the future trajectory of the flagship cryptocurrency.

    The analyst explained that historical failures of the 730-day SMA have often marked the beginnings of bear markets. Thus, in the scenario where the Bitcoin price slips past its current 2-year average price, we could be witnessing the start of a long bearish cycle

    As of press time, Bitcoin holds a valuation of $86,251, reflecting an over 3% price jump in the past 24 hours.

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    Bitcoin
    The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

    Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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    Opeyemi Sule

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