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Tag: Bitcoin

  • Sam Bankman-Fried’s lawyers reveal his planned testimony in FTX fraud trial

    Sam Bankman-Fried’s lawyers reveal his planned testimony in FTX fraud trial

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    Lawyers for Sam Bankman-Fried late Wednesday revealed details of his planned testimony if he takes the witness stand at his FTX fraud trial.

    Bankman-Fried’s legal team told Judge Lewis Kaplan in a six-page letter that he would address three key areas in such testimony, including suggesting that he relied on FTX’s former legal team in allowing some actions that later led to the implosion and bankruptcy of the cryptocurrency exchange.

    Lawyers for the disgraced FTX chief also said he would also cite his understanding of common industry practices, as well as his intention to comply with Bahamian authorities.

    Bankman-Fried faces seven criminal counts, including wire fraud, securities fraud and money laundering, that could land him in prison for more than 100 years if he is convicted at his trial in Manhattan federal court.

    Bankman-Fried, the son of two Stanford legal scholars, has pleaded not guilty in the case.

    Will he or won’t he?

    The letter to Kaplan appears to cast doubt on whether the disgraced crypto billionaire will take the witness stand.

    Earlier Wednesday, one of Bankman-Fried’s two chief trial attorneys, Mark Cohen, said in a conference call that his client would testify as would three other people.

    But in his letter Wednesday evening, Cohen wrote, “Accordingly, should Mr. Bankman-Fried decide to testify in his defense, he should be permitted to testify as to his understanding of industry practices regarding use of omnibus wallets to show his good faith and lack of criminal intent.”

    The statement suggests Bankman-Fried might stand down on testifying, should the defense’s requests be rejected.

    Blaming ex-FTX lawyers

    Kaplan previously ruled that Bankman-Fried’s lawyers could not make a so-called advice of counsel argument in their opening remarks since it might risk prejudicing the jury.

    But Cohen in the new letter told Kaplan that although prosecutors “previously moved to preclude Mr. Bankman-Fried from offering evidence or argument regarding the involvement of attorneys,” Bankman-Fried’s “knowledge of the involvement of counsel in these matters” is “directly relevant” to “his state of mind and good faith at the time.”

    Cohen cited specific examples where, at the guidance of FTX lawyers, Bankman-Fried adopted a policy which prosecutors argued shows his criminality.

    One example was company-wide policy on the encrypted messaging app Signal.

    Caroline Ellison, Bankman-Fried’s ex-girlfriend who also ran crypto hedge fund Alameda Research, testified SBF directed FTX and Alameda employees to use the disappearing message setting on Signal. She said he told them to be very careful about what they put in writing because of potential legal exposure. 

    Lesser-known FTX co-founder and ex-chief technology officer Gary Wang, as well as senior FTX developer Adam Yedidia, also testified to the directive that Signal communications be set to auto-delete.

    The government similarly asserted in its opening argument before the jury that the 30-day auto-deletion policy on Signal was because Bankman-Fried “didn’t want a paper trail for his crimes.”

    But Cohen wrote that Bankman-Fried’s understanding was that these auto-deletion policies were “instituted under the guidances of lawyers.”

    In another example, Cohen pointed to the billions of dollars worth of FTX customer deposits that went directly into a bank account controlled by Alameda.

    Prosecutors say customer cash was shuttled to Alameda via two channels: users depositing cash directly into accounts held by Alameda and through a secret backdoor that was baked into FTX’s code.

    But attorneys for Bankman-Fried allege that SBF’s “understanding as to the involvement of counsel in the formation” of these accounts and in the payment arrangement established between FTX and Alameda would be “directly relevant” to the defendant’s “good faith belief that there was nothing improper about using Alameda-controlled entities to accept FTX customer deposits.”

    In these and other examples involving the guidance of former FTX counsel, defense attorneys for Bankman-Fried return to the same rationale that the ex-FTX chief was acting in good faith and not with the criminal intent alleged by the government.

    Blaming the Bahamian authorities

    Wang has testified that last Nov. 12, after FTX declared bankruptcy, Bankman-Fried asked that Wang drive with him to the Bahamas Securities Commission for a meeting.

    On the drive, Bankman-Fried told Wang to transfer assets to Bahamian liquidators because he believed they would allow him to maintain control of the company. Wang said he was not in the meeting with the securities authority, though Bankman-Fried’s dad was present. Wang said he returned to the U.S. and met with American prosecutors the next day.

    He faces up to 50 years in prison when he faces a judge for sentencing following this trial. He told jurors he signed a six-page cooperation agreement that requires him to meet with prosecutors, answer their questions truthfully and turn over evidence.

    Feds further allege that SBF prioritized paying certain creditors, including Bahamian authorities. In its pretrial motion, the government pointed to Bankman-Fried’s “criminal intent,” as well as the “false nature of his representations” that he wanted to “do right by customers.”

    Cohen writes, “We anticipate eliciting testimony from Mr. Bankman-Fried regarding his good faith intentions on November 12, 2022 with respect to compliance with orders by Bahamian authorities to transfer assets from FTX to the Securities Commission of The Bahamas over the objections of FTX’s in-house counsel and U.S. bankruptcy counsel.”

    “Such testimony would require Mr. Bankman-Fried to discuss his belief that the Bahamian authorities were acting in the best interests of FTX customers, whereas FTX’s in-house counsel and outside bankruptcy counsel in the United States had conflicts of interest,” the letter continues.

    Blaming the status quo in crypto

    Bankman-Fried’s understanding of commonly accepted industry practices may also figure prominently in his testimony.

    In the crypto vernacular, an omnibus account is where the digital assets of multiple users are held collectively in a single account. Cryptocurrency exchanges and others in the industry typically use this type of collective storage strategy into order to slash costs and streamline the workflow.

    In the case of FTX, the commingling of customer and company assets has become a major point of contention between the government and the defense.

    Prosecutors argued that FTX’s “use of omnibus wallets is relevant to this case,” the letter said.

    “For example, the Government elicited testimony from Mr. Sun that he did not believe that FTX customer deposits could permissibly be commingled with other funds of the business … and that FTX utilized an omnibus wallet for all customer digital assets,” the document continues, referring to FTX’s former general counsel, Can Sun.

    “We respectfully submit that Mr. Bankman-Fried’s knowledge of industry practices regarding the use of omnibus wallets is relevant to his good faith belief that his conduct was permissible,” the letter added.

    “Mr. Bankman-Fried’s understanding of whether FTX’s actions were consistent with the crypto industry practices with regard to use of omnibus wallets is probative of his good faith belief that FTX’s (and his own) actions were proper.”

    Prosecution in Sam Bankman-Fried trial wrapping up in coming days

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  • Bitcoin Resumes Rally After Brief Hiatus, Here’s What Happened

    Bitcoin Resumes Rally After Brief Hiatus, Here’s What Happened

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    Bitcoin saw a brief stall in its rally which triggered a decline back down to $33,700. This decline, seemingly out of nowhere, may have not been random given some developments in the crypto space. As the rally resumes once more, here’s a look at these developments.

    BlackRock Spot Bitcoin ETF Listing Taken Down

    The BlackRock Spot Bitcoin ETF was first listed on the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation’s (DTCC) on Tuesday, triggering the first wave of the Bitcoin rally. However, in the same day, crypto community members noticed that the listing on DTCC had been mysteriously taken down.

    The listing would remain off the site for several hours while community members speculated on what could be the cause of this. Around this time, the price of Bitcoin began to fall, seemingly driven by the fact that investors saw the removal of the BlackRock listing as a sign that a Spot Bitcoin ETF wasn’t coming as soon as they expected.

    Hours later, Bloomberg Analyst Joe Light revealed that the listing was back up on the site. Apparently, the initial listing and the subsequent ones had carried one small change in detail which was a change in the Create/Redeem section from a “Y” to a “N.”

    Another Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart explained that this likely meant that it was to indicate whether the ETF listing was open to creations/redemptions. When Light asked if this change could point out a launch without using that attribute, to which Seyffart said:

    “I personally don’t think this means all that much if I’m being honest. Think it indicates Blackrock is getting everything ready to launch if and when they get an SEC approval. And that the N just means it’s not open for create redeem because it’s not live yet.”

    BTC recovers to $34,400 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    BTC Price Bounces Back

    The return of the BlackRock Spot Bitcoin ETF on the DTCC sparked enthusiasm across the space once more than it did before. The price of Bitcoin quickly started to recover and by Wednesday morning, was back above the $34,000 mark once more.

    These events outline the importance of a Spot ETF and how it is the major driver behind the most recent price rally. So an approval or a rejection would both have a major impact on the digital asset’s price. For one, an approval would likely see Bitcoin clear above $40,000. However, a rejection would be detrimental to the rally, and will probably send it back below $30,000.

    Presently, Bitcoin is maintaining bullish momentum above $34,100. But it is seeing small losses of 0.99% on the 24-hour chart, and its daily trading volume is down 34.58%.

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    Best Owie

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  • Two tries left: Swiss entrepreneur’s $243m Bitcoin drama

    Two tries left: Swiss entrepreneur’s $243m Bitcoin drama

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    Crypto entrepreneur faces a $243 million Bitcoin dilemma, with just two password attempts left and a reluctant decision on accepting Unciphered’s hacking expertise.

    Over the years, the crypto industry has seen many stories of users buying thousands of Bitcoins over a decade ago, when it was worth merely $10-$13, only to lose access to their wallet today when the leading cryptocurrency is worth 3,000 times more. The story of Stefan Thomas, a Swiss crypto entrepreneur, follows a similar plot but has come across a rather surprising turning point. 

    Thomas holds 7,002 Bitcoins in an IronKey USB, which is a portable USB storage with secured encryption. These assets are worth more than $243 million today. However in a rather unfortunate scenario, Thomas has lost his password and only has two password attempts left before the USB drive erases the Bitcoin wallet keys. The only one that can help Thomas is Unciphered, a hacker group that has developed a technique to crack the passwords of IronKey S200 devices. The only problem is that Thomas doesn’t want their help. 

    IronKeys are designed to permanently erase their contents after ten incorrect password guesses. Unciphered’s hackers have confirmed to the WIRED that they can bypass this limitation, giving them virtually infinite tries to guess the password. They’ve demonstrated their capabilities, unlocking an IronKey in what they dubbed “Project Everest.” 

    Despite Unciphered’s success and offer to help, Thomas has declined their assistance, remaining committed to two other teams he had engaged earlier. Unciphered has not disclosed the specifics of their cracking technique due to potential national security implications. They have managed to decrypt 2011-era IronKeys more than a thousand times, demonstrating a non-destructive, reliable method. 

    Despite their technological triumph, convincing Thomas to use their services has proven to be a challenge, leaving Unciphered with a powerful decryption tool but no agreement to unlock the high-value cryptocurrency treasure.


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    Mohammad Shahidullah

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  • The Real Reason Bitcoin’s Price Exploded This Week, According to Arthur Hayes

    The Real Reason Bitcoin’s Price Exploded This Week, According to Arthur Hayes

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    BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes published another macro-economic breakdown on Tuesday, focusing on why Bitcoin’s price suddenly surged this week.

    The analyst argued that now is the best time for crypto traders to step out of US Treasuries, and back into BTC.

    The Speech That Pumped Bitcoin

    According to Hayes, the crypto community has falsely attributed Bitcoin’s rally this week to excitement about a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF potentially receiving approval. Such excitement, he said, already occurred last week in response to false rumors, and Bitcoin’s price sank back to $27,000 as the rumor was dispelled.

    “Bitcoin — along with gold — is rallying against a backdrop of an aggressive selloff in long-end US Treasuries,” wrote Hayes. “This isn’t speculation as to an ETF being approved — this is Bitcoin discounting a future, very inflationary global world war situation.”

    Hayes noted that bonds are selling off in response to recent statements from the Federal Reserve and President Joe Biden. On one hand, the Fed has signaled that it is near the end of its interest rate hiking cycle, meaning the market has no more incentive to hold long-end bonds.

    On the other, Biden has called on Congress to continue supporting overseas conflicts in countries like Ukraine and Israel, totaling $105 billion in total. This has caused more Treasures to sell off as bondholders doubt the government’s capacity to fund such war efforts.

    It also drove investors to park their wealth in gold instead as an alternative safe-haven asset. Bitcoin, which also rose, is often compared to gold since both assets share many valuable monetary properties.

    “Gold nor Bitcoin yield anything,” Hayes explained. “Therefore, if they are rallying while US Treasury yields spike, that tells me that both safe haven assets are discounting a future of more government spending and more inflation.”

    Time to Buy Bitcoin

    Over the past year, Hayes has frequently argued in favor of continuing to buy U.S. Treasuries due to their high yield rate, until receiving some type of market signal to return to buying BTC.

    While once waiting for a “financial blowup” or “Fed pivot” to return to crypto, Hayes said Biden’s commitment to “another open-ended conflict” is the return trigger he needed.

    “It’s time to start rotating out of short-term US Treasury bills and into crypto,” he concluded. “The perfect setup is usually staring you right in the face, and you are just too preoccupied with the past to notice.”

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    Andrew Throuvalas

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  • Bitcoin ETF Will Send BTC Back To $44,000, This Firm Bets On It

    Bitcoin ETF Will Send BTC Back To $44,000, This Firm Bets On It

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    The price of BTC continues to push higher, and the bullish momentum remains intact as news around the Bitcoin ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) improves overall sentiment. In the wake of the recent rally, some trading firms doubled down on their bullish positions.

    As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin stands at $24,200 with sideways movement in the last 24 hours. The cryptocurrency rose by over 20% the previous week, operating as the top performer in the top 10 by market capitalization.

    BTC’s price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview

    Bitcoin ETF To Trigger Larger Rally: What’s The Target?

    Via social media platform X, trading desk QCP Capital disclosed their positions coming into the rally. The firm longed Bitcoin volatility with options contracts, taking some profits on their positions as the cryptocurrency rallied.

    Still, the firm remains optimistic, holding on to their calls due to expiry in December. By then, the firm targets a BTC price above $38,000 to $44,000, based on the momentum generated by a potential Bitcoin ETF approval.

    In the last week, the news generated by this event has shifted market sentiment, leading investors to a more favorable area. However, the firm remains cautious about the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving a spot Bitcoin ETF in the short term.

    QCP Capital stated:

    (…) we believe the SEC will avoid playing the role of kingmaker, sticking with its own precedent set during the BTC/ETH futures ETF approval process and will wait to approve multiple managers at the same time. Nonetheless with this bullish break of 32k, we believe the market has started to price in an approval as the base case. The only question now is when the approval will happen.

    Bitcoin ETF BTC BTCUSDT
    BTC’s price is approaching 0.38 Fibonacci levels, which hints at a reversal. Source: QCP Capital

    SEC To Avoid Kingmaking In Bitcoin ETF Approval.

    The trading firm believes the financial instrument will get approved in 2024. The SEC will likely avoid favoring one firm to prevent BlackRock or other asset managers from taking a large portion of the clients and the trading volume, as when the future Bitcoin ETF was approved.

    The firm believes the financial instrument could get approved “much later than the market expects now.” As mentioned, investors have begun pricing in any price action associated with the ETF, which could lead BTC to another range until 2024.

    The firm cautioned players from taking late long positions:

    (…) we are seeing stretched positive perp funding rates especially on Deribit (BTC over 70% and ETH over 100%) as well as elevated short-end ATM vols (BTC up to 75%!) – typically indicative of an exhausted short-term move.

    Cover image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

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    Reynaldo Marquez

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  • Bitcoin prices have doubled this year and potentially new ways to invest may drive prices higher

    Bitcoin prices have doubled this year and potentially new ways to invest may drive prices higher

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    NEW YORK — NEW YORK (AP) — Bitcoin is having another moment. The world’s largest cryptocurrency soared to almost $35,000 this week, marking its highest point in nearly 18 months — and more than double the price seen at the start of 2023.

    The cryptocurrency rocketed from just over $5,000 each during the start of the pandemic to nearly $68,000 in November 2021, according to FactSet, during an era of massive tech growth. Prices came back down to earth during an aggressive series of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve as it battled inflation, and then the collapse of one of the biggest companies in crypto, FTX.

    When 2023 began, a single bitcoin could be had for less than $17,000 after losing more than 75% of its value. Investors, however, began returning in large numbers this year as inflation started to cool. And the collapse of prominent tech-focused banks actually led more investors to turn to crypto as they bailed out of positions in Silicon Valley start-ups and other more risky bets.

    Now, bitcoin is getting another boost on the prospects of creating a much larger pool of investors. Industry advocates say a new way to invest in bitcoin at spot prices, instead of futures, could make it easier for anyone to enter the cryptoverse while lowering some of the well-documented risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies.

    There’s rising optimism about the possibility of bitcoin exchange-traded funds — a pooled investment security that can be bought and sold like stocks — potentially being launched.

    A green light from federal regulators hasn’t arrived yet, but recent wins for some crypto fund managers with applications for bitcoin spot ETFs have improved odds for approval, perhaps in the coming months.

    The District of Columbia Court of Appeals recently ordered the Securities and Exchange Commission to reconsider the ETF for Grayscale’s bitcoin fund, for example, after the company sued the regulator last year for rejecting its application over concerns about investor protections and other issues. The SEC did not appeal the decision.

    Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at Oanda, also points to the listing of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust by the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation, which clears market trades, gaining attention online Monday. That may have contributed to this week’s Bitcoin surge, he said.

    IShares Bitcoin Trust appeared to be temporarily removed Tuesday, but was back online as of Wednesday. In a statement to The Associated Press, a DTCC spokesperson noted that both active and potential ETF securities appear on this list. iShares was added back in August, the spokesperson said.

    Social media chatter, as well as misinformation, can make notable impacts on crypto trading, Moya and others note. Kaiko Research points to a brief spike in the price of bitcoin last week, for example, after crypto news outlet Cointelegraph erroneously posted about the SEC approving iShares’ spot bitcoin ETF on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter. That post was soon retracted.

    Still, the most recent surge bitcoin goes beyond single developments or participants, Kaiko research analyst Riyad Carey notes — crediting “more of a broad market rally” around spot bitcoin ETF prospects.

    Despite the recent excitement around bitcoin, crypto is still a risky bet. Experts like Moya call it “the most volatile asset class,” pointing to wildly unpredictable fluctuations in value. In short, investors can lose money as quickly as they make it.

    The collapse of crypto exchange giant FTX also “left a big scar” on the public’s confidence in the crypto industry and crushed retail investors, Moya said — noting that institutional money, like hedge funds, are behind the bulk of crypto investing today.

    “We’re still seeing interest is coming back into the space, but it’s not the same as it was before,” he said, adding that he’s watching how future regulation unfolds.

    And a lot is uncertain. While the price of bitcoin — as well as the stocks of crypto players like Coinbase and MicroStrategy — has risen amid prospects of spot ETF approval, it’s not clear if it will stay that way. A regulatory green light doesn’t promise continued gains.

    “(In the case of approval), are we going to see sustained interest? Are we going to see the trading volumes with this ETF? If it disappoints, then bitcoin’s going to struggle,” Moya said. “I might be more short-term bullish until we get the actual confirmation.”

    As of around 12:30 p.m. ET Wednesday, the price of bitcoin stood at $34,789.

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  • Bitcoin Spot ETF: Crypto Research Firm Reveals What Will Happen In The First Three Years | Bitcoinist.com

    Bitcoin Spot ETF: Crypto Research Firm Reveals What Will Happen In The First Three Years | Bitcoinist.com

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    The potential approval of a Spot Bitcoin ETF by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to have significant effects on Bitcoin and the Spot Bitcoin ETF market. Addressing what investors can expect, the crypto research firm Galaxy Digital recently provided insights as to what could happen in the first three years upon the launch of this fund. 

    What To Expect In The First Three Years

    In a research paper released on October 24, Galaxy Digital’s research associate Charles Yu provided a vivid illustration of the heights a Spot Bitcoin ETF could attain in terms of market size and inflows in the first three years. 

    Source: Galaxy Research

    As to market size, Yu made his predictions on the addressable market size of a US Bitcoin ETF based on how they expect various wealth channels to adopt the fund. According to him, RIA (Registered Investment Advisor) will ramp up starting at 50% in the first year and increasing to 100% in the third year. 

    Meanwhile, broker-dealers and bank channels will ramp up at a slower pace, starting at 25% and increasing to 75% by the third year. If their assumption comes true, they estimate the market size to hit $14 trillion in the first year, $26 trillion in the second, and $39 trillion in the third year. 

    The firm’s estimates of inflows into the Bitcoin ETFs are based on their market size estimates. Going by this, they predict that these funds could see $14 billion of inflows in the first year, $27 billion by the second year, and up to $39 billion by the third year after launch.  

    Yu noted that factors such as a potential delay or denial of the pending Spot Bitcoin ETFs could affect their analysis. Other factors like poor price performance could also cause a low adoption rate, which they believe will potentially affect their estimates.

    Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com (Spot Bitcoin ETF)

    BTC price retraces to $33,900 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com 

    Potential Impact On Bitcoin’s Price

    Yu also provided insight into the effect that these Spot Bitcoin ETFs could have on BTC’s price. They predict that Bitcoin’s price could see a 74.1% increase in the first year of these funds launching. He made this estimate using the expected amount of inflows ($14 trillion), which is expected to come into these funds in the first year while making comparisons to Gold ETFs. 

    Bitcoin spot ETF
    Source: Galaxy Research

    Specifically, they project that Bitcoin’s price could see a 6.2% increase in the first month of these funds’ launch as they estimate an adjusted inflow of over $10 billion in the first month. This price increase in the first month is expected to keep ramping down to a 3.7% price impact in the last month of the first year of launch, all of which will cumulatively add up to the 74.1% increase. 

    Featured image from The Conversation, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • From $35,000 To $500,000? The Bitcoin Rollercoaster This Expert Sees Ahead

    From $35,000 To $500,000? The Bitcoin Rollercoaster This Expert Sees Ahead

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    Stephan Livera, an esteemed host of his namesake podcast and Swan Bitcoin’s Head of Education, has now provided the crypto community with projections for Bitcoin’s future trajectory. This week, Bitcoin experienced a rally that took its price to as high as $35,000, marking its highest point since May 2022.

    However, amid the favorable climate around a potential spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval and institutional adoption, Livera posits that this surge is merely the precursor to a much grander bull run.

    The Potential Impetus: A Spot Bitcoin ETF

    Approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF could be a game-changer for Bitcoin’s valuation, according to Livera. Conversing with Michelle Makori, the Lead Anchor and Editor-in-Chief at Kitco News, during the Pacific Bitcoin Festival, Livera emphasized the possible ripple effects of such an approval.

    While murmurs suggest that ETF approval might be on the horizon by the close of this year, Livera diverges from this sentiment. Livera anticipates this landmark event to materialize more likely in 2024. The Head of Education at Swan Bitcoin noted:

    Although many experts predict that [a spot Bitcoin ETF] will come in three to six months, I don’t believe it will happen this year. Next year is the more likely scenario … in the first or second quarter of 2024, which would coincide with the halving cycle, which is expected in April.

    Notably, a significant event, such as the halving cycle, will impact Bitcoin’s market dynamics. Historically, this event – which slices the miners’ reward for new block addition to the Bitcoin blockchain by half – has spurred price shifts.

    The upcoming cycle will set the block reward at 3.125 BTC. This, combined with the potential spot ETF approval, could catalyze a heightened interest and influx of investments into Bitcoin, according to Livera.

    Projected Peaks And Troughs: The BTC Landscape

    Livera offers a roadmap of Bitcoin’s possible pricing journey. The Swan Bitcoin’s Head of Education foresees a stabilization around the $30,000 mark shortly, with a potential escalation toward $40,000 as we approach next year’s halving event.

    But the real fireworks might commence after the halving, ushering in a wild bull run. Expounding on historical trends, Livera shared:

    Historically, what we’ve seen around the halving is a bit of a rise into the halving, then a bit of a selloff after. Six to 12 months out, that’s when the real crazy bull run happens, and you get 10x or 20x in the Bitcoin price at that point.

    This extrapolation by Livera culminates in a noteworthy prediction for the end of 2024 – a bold ascent, perhaps reaching roughly $500,000 by 2025 or early 2026, according to the expert.

    However, the climb might be coupled with a steep decline. Drawing parallels to gold, Livera posits Bitcoin could potentially mimic its valuation range. Livera added, emphasizing the volatility of the crypto domain:

    It’s quite possible that Bitcoin comes close to the range of gold, and that would imply a price in the $500k range. As is a tradition in this industry, we’ll probably hit that as a blow-off top, followed by a drop of 80%. So, it might go to $500k and then crash to $100k.

    Bitcoin (BTC) price is moving sideways on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

    Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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    Samuel Edyme

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  • Floor Prices Of BAYC, Top NFT Collections Rising: Why Is This Analyst Skeptical?

    Floor Prices Of BAYC, Top NFT Collections Rising: Why Is This Analyst Skeptical?

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    According to one non-fungible token (NFT) researcher on X, the floor prices of some of the largest collections might be up between 10% and 30% in the past few weeks, but that doesn’t mean the markets are preparing for a big bull run.

    Taking to X on October 22, “Wale.Swoosh” acknowledged that the markets have been performing well. However, based on several factors, the NFT trading community shouldn’t be excited that the market is ready for a big rally in the coming sessions.

    NFT Floor Prices Rising

    At spot rates, some of NFTs’ popular and valuable collections, such as the Bored Ape Yacht Collection (BAYC), Mutant Ape Yacht Club (MAYC), and even CryptoPunks, have posted gains in trading volume and floor prices.

    To illustrate, the floor price of BAYC is at around 26.19 ETH, up from 23 ETH recorded in late August 2023. Meanwhile, Azuki’s floor price stands at 5.33 ETH, up from 3.41 ETH in late August. 

    Floor price of top NFT collections| Source: Coingecko

    Looking at trends, however, there could be a notable spike in floor price and trading volume in the past week, though trading activity is suppressed. As a demonstration, while BAYC’s floor price is at 26.19 ETH, up roughly 9.8% on the last trading day, there has been no change in the number of owners. There has been a 0.1% increase in new owners for CryptoPunks in the past trading day.

    Only a tiny percentage of the bigger NFT collectors or traders showed interest, subsequently buying an item. It suggests that though floor prices are rising, only a few active trading wallets exist.

    Crypto Prices Rising, Readying An NFT Bull Run?

    The floor price of an NFT is the lowest asking price set for any collection. While this metric changes between collections, it can gauge interest and how the broader crypto community perceives the value of that collection to be. Moreover, since the market determines the floor price, it tends to fluctuate, as evidenced in the last year. 

    Based on available data and the current market conditions, the researcher didn’t dismiss the odds of floor prices rising even further. Even so, based on the analyst’s view, citing historical performance, floor prices tend to expand at a faster rate only once Ethereum (ETH) and BTC volatility drops.

    Bitcoin price on October 24 when floor prices of top NFT collections are rising| Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
    Bitcoin price on October 24| Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

    At spot rates, Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are steadily rising. Bitcoin has already pierced above July 2023 highs, racing above $33,000 as the crypto community expects even more gains. The spike has lifted the markets, channeling more liquidity to crypto, a precursor for a “real NFT bull run” to begin, according to Wale.Swoosh.

    Feature image from Canva, chart from TradingView

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    Dalmas Ngetich

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  • Bitcoin Surge Puts 81% Of Supply In Profit: Glassnode

    Bitcoin Surge Puts 81% Of Supply In Profit: Glassnode

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    Bitcoin (BTC)’s explosion to a new yearly high on Monday has placed the vast majority of investors’ holdings back into profit, according to a new report from Glassnode.

    The blockchain and market intelligence platform said that 4.7 million BTC flipped green after the rally, representing 24% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply.

    Chaos In The Derivatives Market

    The asset’s rise was coupled with a slew of short liquidations clearing 35,000 BTC worth of open-interest from the perpetual futures market on October 23, after a similar 25,000 BTC liquidation on October 17.

    Glassnode compared the event to a similar short-squeeze in January, which took Bitcoin past $20,000 for the first time in months. Broken down by geography, data from K33 research showed that perpetual OI shark by 26,735 BTC on offshore exchanges, while it rose by 4,380 BTC in CME-regulated venues.

    Meanwhile, the options market has exploded, with open interest in call options registering an 80% rise by $4.3 billion. High open interest in call options is thought to indicate bullish market sentiment.

    “This is a relatively new development in Bitcoin market structure, where options markets are now of a comparable scale to futures,” wrote Glassnode.

    Passing Key Price Thresholds

    Glassnode noted that Bitcoin’s rally took it above two important “cost-basis” levels – estimates surrounding the price at which the typical investor bought their current BTC.

    Firstly, the firm’s True Market Mean Price estimate currently sits in the rear-view at $29,780. “This model…has historically, seen the Bitcoin market trade half its time above, and half below this level,” Glassnode said.

    Bitcoin’s Short Term-Holder cost basis was also overcome at $28,000, putting the average recent investor into 20% profit. Despite the gains, Glassnode said that long-term investors were “impressively unaffected,” with their aggregate holdings breaking to a new all-time high of 14.899 million BTC.

    About 29.6% of this cohort currently holds their Bitcoin at a loss, similar to late 2015, early 2019, and the March 2020 market crash. Glassnode said this cohort may be more “hardened” and “firm-handed” than in previous cycles.

    “The market has crossed over several key levels where aggregate investor psychology is likely to be anchored, making the weeks that follow important to keep an eye on,” concluded the firm.

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  • Bitcoin: On-Chain Tracker Points Out Interesting Difference Between Current And Past Rallies

    Bitcoin: On-Chain Tracker Points Out Interesting Difference Between Current And Past Rallies

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    The current Bitcoin rally has taken most of the crypto space by surprise after going from under $27,000 to $35,000 in less than two weeks. As prices continue to fly, on-chain data tracker Santiment has revealed something different between the current Bitcoin rally and its previous rallies above $30,000.

    Altcoins Refuse To Fall Behind Bitcoin

    In the report that was posted on X (formerly Twitter), Santiment revealed that altcoins have changed their usual routine for when the Bitcoin price is surging. For instance, when Bitcoin had rallied to $30,000 in April and July of this year, altcoins had taken a back seat, allowing BTC to enjoy the shine.

    This time around, the rally has been just as prominent in altcoins as it has been in Bitcoin, and in some cases, even outshining BTC’s price trajectory. Some of these altcoins that have shown teeth this time include Chainlink’s LINK, Polygon’s MATIC, Aptos’s APT, AAVE, and UIP. All of these altcoins have defied the established trend with their prices surging double-digits in a short time.

    Source: Santiment on X

    Not only are these altcoins seeing a lot of success at a time when Bitcoin would be the only one rallying, but they have also managed to decouple completely from the leading cryptocurrency. According to Santiment, all of the named altcoins “are all seeing their best performing decouplings of 2023.”

    Meme Coins Show Their Prowess

    As the crypto market rally has progressed through some of its most bullish stages, other altcoins such as meme coins have begun to also show a lot of promise. The usual culprits such as PEPE saw double-digit gains as well, with ELON rallying up to 57%. Additionally, $BITCOIN also saw a $36 rise in one week.

    Meme coins Bitcoin

    Source: Santiment on X

    PEPE has continued to surge as well and is up 34.55% in the last day, bringing its weekly gains to 51.49%. The meme coin’s run has seen it emerge as a top gainer, also trending alongside the likes of Bitcoin (BTC) and Chainlink (LINK).

    Another altcoin that stands out is Troller’s TRB. The coin rose around 750% in a 3-month period to emerge as one of the winners of the rallies. It also saw large transactions from unique whale addresses, suggesting a very high level of interest in the altcoin from investors.

    Trellor TRB Bitcoin

    Source: Santiment on X

    In all, this rally is completely different from the previous rallies recorded this year in that the whole market seems to be pulling up together. This is interesting because rallies like these are usually seen in bull markets, with 2021 serving as a perfect example.

    Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com

    BTC price falls below $34,400 support | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

    Featured image from Business Insider, chart from Tradingview.com

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  • Bitcoin Surged to its Highest Value in Over a Year, Then Dropped. Here’s Why. | Entrepreneur

    Bitcoin Surged to its Highest Value in Over a Year, Then Dropped. Here’s Why. | Entrepreneur

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    Bitcoin fell by 3% late Tuesday morning, dropping to $30,000 from over $35,000 following the 10% surge on Monday and 6% spike earlier in the day on Tuesday. The drop comes after BlackRock’s bitcoin ETF was removed from the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation’s (DTCC) website, Coindesk reported. Its appearance on the DTCC website on Monday had previously sparked optimism that the ETF approval was imminent, signaling a rise in the value of the cryptocurrency in the near future.

    Original story below:

    Bitcoin surged 6% early on Tuesday, rising to over $35,000, marking its highest spike in value in nearly 18 months. The surge comes amid growing anticipation of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) potentially granting approval for a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), which could significantly boost demand, Reuters reported.

    An ETF would provide individuals a way to invest in and track the price movements of bitcoin on traditional stock exchanges, offering a more accessible and regulated investment option for the cryptocurrency market. Enabling investors to participate in bitcoin trade without directly holding or managing the cryptocurrency could introduce a new surge of capital into the industry, according to experts.

    Related: Why the Next Crypto Bull Run Will Be Like Nothing We’ve Ever Experienced

    Anticipation of an EFT approval has grown over the past month, exacerbated by news that the SEC would not appeal a court ruling that found it had wrongly rejected an ETF application from the cryptocurrency firm Grayscale Investments.

    The court formally returned the application to the SEC for review on Monday and, with mounting “pressure” from the count, it increases the likelihood of an ETF approval, Geoffrey Kendrick, the Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, told Reuters.

    The news sparked a 10% surge in Bitcoin on Monday, followed by a 6% spike on Tuesday, where it rose to $35,198.

    Meanwhile, BlackRock, the largest provider of ETFs worldwide, applied to register a bitcoin spot ETF in June and is pending approval. In additon, BlackRock’s bitcoin ETF appeared on the clearing house Depository Trust and Clearing Corp website this week (a Nasdaq-operated financial institution that acts as a middleman in the process of buying and selling securities), further fueling anticipation it is ready to launch soon.

    Still, not everyone is as optimistic about the fate of bitcoin’s ETF debut, and some experts are saying that the excitement of the stock surges may be getting ahead of itself.

    “I think that these rapid rises in bitcoin are somewhat exaggerated,” Samer Hasn, market analyst at online brokerage XS.com, told CNN. “Regulatory and legislative concerns are still clouding this market, and I don’t see opportunities soon to dispel these concerns as the legal battles continue.”

    Related: Why Another Bitcoin Boom Could Be the Key to Institutional Adoption. Should You Buy In?

    At its peak, bitcoin was worth over $65,000 in November 2021, per Statista. However, the value faced a steady decline thereafter, following a series of crashes in the crypto market and its inability to hold value amid rampant inflation as many once thought.

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    Madeline Garfinkle

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  • Coinbase denies weekly $5k withdrawal limit on Bitcoin

    Coinbase denies weekly $5k withdrawal limit on Bitcoin

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    Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase has denied reports that it has introduced $5,000 weekly limits on Bitcoin (BTC) withdrawals.

    In a post, one user X (form. Twitter) claimed he had encountered a limitation on withdrawing Bitcoin from Coinbase. The limit was $5,000 per week.

    The post received over 250,000 views, over 420 retweets, and almost 2,000 likes. It also caught the attention of cryptocurrency researcher Chris Black, who asked if anyone could verify the claim made.

    It later turned out that there are no restrictions on withdrawing BTC to Coinbase. According to the user, exchange support contacted him and unblocked BTC.

    “Unfortunately, they offered a pretty bullshit explanation about algorithms as to why it was frozen. I don’t want to be an alarmist, and this could have been an edge case.”

    X user

    However, the user was dissatisfied with the solution to the problem. He noted that self-sufficiency should be a protected principle of Bitcoin. If Coinbase support hadn’t seen the tweet, he would have been doomed to spend $5,000 a week to get his coin back slowly.

    “Weekly withdrawal limits are an insipid attack on bitcoin.”

    X user

    Earlier, analysts at Berenberg Capital Markets said that the influence of Coinbase’s lobbying efforts in the United States is greatly weakened by reports of using cryptocurrencies by the Islamist organization Hamas.

    A report says that Coinbase continues to face problems in the US despite its campaign to push Congress for more clarity on cryptocurrencies.


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  • How High Can Bitcoin Go if SEC Approves an ETF? Top BTC Price Predictions

    How High Can Bitcoin Go if SEC Approves an ETF? Top BTC Price Predictions

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    TL;DR

    • Bitcoin exceeded $35,000, attributed to the anticipated approval of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF in the US.
    • Experts, including Lark Davis and Matrixport, predict that ETF approval could send Bitcoin’s price between $42K-$100K.
    • Anthony Scaramucci believes SEC approval might increase Bitcoin’s valuation from $600 billion to $6 trillion.

    How High Can BTC Shoot?

    The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been among the most intriguing topics in the cryptocurrency space for years. Recently, it skyrocketed above $35,000, giving bulls fresh hopes that a further rally might be on the cards. It is worth noting that such a valuation was last seen in May 2022.

    Bitcoin’s impressive performance lately is undoubtedly due to the potential approval of BlackRock’s application to launch a spot BTC ETF in the United States. Earlier this week, the company’s product was listed with the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, and many assumed that this was the last step before the SEC’s long-awaited nod.

    Multiple experts and analysts have suggested over the past several months that approving a spot BTC ETF in the States could have an explosive effect on the price of the leading digital asset. One such person is the popular entrepreneur and Bitcoin investor using the X (Twitter) handle, Lark Davis.

    He compared the possible launch of a spot BTC ETF in America to the approval of that type of product focused on gold in 2004. The price of the yellow metal has risen almost 400% since then, with Davis arguing the same thing might happen to Bitcoin in the following years.

    The digital assets financial services platform – Matrixport – also laid out a bullish forecast, assuming the ETF sees the light of day in the world’s largest economy. The team behind the organization expects to see BTC trading between $42K and $56K once the SEC says “yes.”

    It is worth mentioning that ChatGPT estimated that the asset has a chance to skyrocket to the coveted level of $100,000 if the product goes live. However, other factors like the upcoming halving, regulatory developments, and interest from institutional investors should also be in place for the surge.

    How About an 11,000% Jump?

    Another prominent figure who recently gave their two cents on the matter was the former White House official – Anthony Scaramucci. The Founder and Managing Partner of SkyBridge Capital predicted that BTC could multiply its price by 11 times should the SEC approve a spot Bitcoin ETF in the States:

    “Think of the magnitude of that. If there’s a hundred billion dollars that flows into Bitcoin, the guys at Fidelity think that could have an 11 times factor in terms of valuation, so you could see Bitcoin go from a $600 billion asset to a $6 trillion asset.”

    The SEC’s probable approval of a spot BTC ETF is not the only element that could act as a catalyst for Bitcoin’s price. Those willing to see what other factors could play a role and the top five price predictions coming from experts could take a look at our video below:

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  • Bitcoin Hits $35,000 for First Time Since 2022 on ETF Optimism

    Bitcoin Hits $35,000 for First Time Since 2022 on ETF Optimism

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    (Bloomberg) — Bitcoin extended a rally fueled by expectations of fresh demand from exchange-traded funds, reaching the highest price since May last year.

    Most Read from Bloomberg

    The largest digital asset rose as much as 11.5% to top $35,000 before paring some of the gain to trade at $33,918 as of 7:25 a.m. in London on Tuesday, taking its year-to-date rebound from 2022’s digital-asset rout to 105%.

    The possible approval in coming weeks of the first US spot Bitcoin ETFs is stoking speculative ardor for the token. Asset managers BlackRock Inc. and Fidelity Investments are among those in the race to offer such products. Digital-asset bulls argue the ETFs would widen adoption of the cryptocurrency.

    A US federal appeals court on Monday also formalized a victory for Grayscale Investments LLC in its bid to create a spot Bitcoin ETF over objections from the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

    Read more: Grayscale Gets Court Order in Fight With SEC on Bitcoin ETF

    The SEC has so far resisted allowing ETFs that invest directly in Bitcoin, citing risks such as fraud and manipulation in the underlying market. The court ruling and flurry of applications from investment heavyweights to start spot funds stoked speculation that the agency will relent.

    ETF Ticker

    Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analyst Eric Balchunas flagged on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, that the iShares Bitcoin Trust “has been listed on the DTCC” with the ticker IBTC.

    BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, operates the iShares business. The DTCC is the Depository Trust and Clearing Corp., which undertakes clearing and settlement in US markets.

    “This doesn’t mean it’s technically approved,” Balchunas said in an interview. “It’s not home free. But this is pretty much checking every box that you need to check before you launch an ETF. When we see a ticker added, those things are usually right before launch.”

    Bitcoin also surged 10% intraday at the start of last week on ETF hype. On that occasion, an erroneous report that BlackRock had won approval to launch a fund caused the move and the rally cooled once the mistake came to light.

    Ether, the second-largest token, jumped 6% to exceed $1,800 in Bitcoin’s slipstream on Tuesday. Smaller coins such as BNB, XRP and meme-crowd favorite Dogecoin initially climbed sharply before moderating.

    Coinglass data shows that about $387 million worth of crypto trading positions, mostly from speculators who were betting on lower prices, were liquidated in the past 24 hours.

    SEC Clampdown

    The SEC has already allowed ETFs that hold Bitcoin and Ether futures. But the agency overall has intensified a crypto crackdown following last year’s market crash and blowups like the bankruptcy of the FTX exchange, whose co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried is on trial for fraud.

    Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Elliott Stein and James Seyffart have said “approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF looks inevitable” and that a batch of funds is likely to be given the green light, though the timing remains uncertain.

    Bitcoin remains below its pandemic-era, 2021 peak of almost $69,000, squeezed by rising interest rates that hit demand for risky assets. The token’s correlations with assets such as stocks, bonds and gold have ebbed lately, stoking questions about whether mainstream investors have disengaged.

    “Liquidity is somewhat better than before,” said Justin d’Anethan, head of business development in the Asia Pacific at crypto market maker Keyrock. “Prices have now recuperated and with it a certain amount of liquidity — still nothing compared to the euphoria of 2020-2021, though.”

    Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

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  • Bitcoin Miners Are Outperforming BTC This Year – Here’s Why

    Bitcoin Miners Are Outperforming BTC This Year – Here’s Why

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    While Bitcoin has nearly doubled in value since the start of the year, one of its close neighbors in the investment universe has proven a more profitable buy: mining companies.

    Nearly all publicly-traded Bitcoin mining firms have soared over 100% since January 1, benefitted by both BTC’s rising value and positive business developments.

    Bitcoin Miners VS BTC

    Shares for Marathon Digital (MARA), one of the largest public miners by hashrate, are currently up 158% year to date.

    Meanwhile, rivals like the renewables-focused Iris Energy (IREN) and Riot Platforms (RIOT) have surged 168% and 186% respectively.

    Mining companies earn money by running powerful and expensive computer equipment to mine Bitcoin’s next block, to which a fixed portion of new BTC is attached. As such, as Bitcoin’s value rises, so does the dollar-denominated value of their rewards, and thus their profits.

    Thus far, Bitcoin is up 90% in 2023, spurred largely by a series of U.S. bank failures in March that shook confidence in the traditional financial system.

    It’s also rallied on excitement that a spot Bitcoin ETF may finally receive approval before the end of the year, in light of applications from BlackRock and crypto industry court victories.
    Bitcoin rallied 5.6% to $31,600 on Monday alone as the Court of Appeals officially ordered the SEC to review Grayscale (GBTC)’s Bitcoin ETF application. Like mining firms, GBTC shares have also outperformed Bitcoin this year, rising 201%.

    Miners Preparing For Halving

    Generally speaking, Bitcoin-adjacent companies have a higher beta than BTC itself, meaning they are susceptible to greater volatility in both directions. Coinbase (COIN), for example, the only publicly traded crypto exchange, is up 129% this year.

    However, the mining industry has made unique strides this year to boost its value proposition to investors. Firstly, firms like CleanSpark (CLSK) – up 111% – have announced multiple major investments in the latest Bitcoin mining hardware this year, bolstering their capacity to win new BTC.

    Such investments from CleanSpark and others have helped drive Bitcoin’s total hashrate to many new highs this year, and lowered the cost of old mining hardware that’s become less efficient over time.

    Miners are also diversifying: many firms including Iris, HIVE, Applied Digital, and others have moved beyond Bitcoin mining and into cloud computing / HPC services using their existing infrastructure. Multiple firms have claimed that such services are much more profitable per unit of energy than Bitcoin mining.

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  • Bitcoin Mania: EY Insider Reveals Demand From Wall Street Titans

    Bitcoin Mania: EY Insider Reveals Demand From Wall Street Titans

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    Paul Brody, a prominent figure in the blockchain community and the Global Blockchain Leader at Ernst & Young (EY), recently shed light on the burgeoning demand for crypto, with Bitcoin taking the limelight. Earlier today, during a CNBC interview, Brody emphasized the heightened interest, particularly from family offices.

    Family Offices Lead The Charge

    According to Brody, family offices, which typically manage the vast wealth of affluent families, are increasingly diversifying their portfolios with cryptocurrencies. This is not entirely surprising, given the meteoric rise of Bitcoin and its potential as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.

    However, while family offices are diving headfirst into the crypto pool, institutional investors are more cautious.

    Brody mentions that these larger entities, controlling over 200 trillion dollars in assets, are awaiting regulatory clarity, such as the approval of a Bitcoin ETF by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, before committing significant resources.

    Bitcoin, despite comparisons, is distinctly different from traditional assets like gold. Brody highlights a unique trait of Bitcoin: its price does not result in increased issuance. Instead, the issuance of new Bitcoin reduces over time due to halving events.

    This property makes its price more “rigid,” especially compared to other assets traditionally used as inflation hedges.

    Moreover, the purpose behind acquiring Bitcoin varies among its buyers. Brody points out:

    If you look at people who are buying Bitcoin, they are buying it as an asset. They are not buying it as a payment tool.

    Brody further notes that Ethereum, another major cryptocurrency, is mostly acquired for its utility as a computing platform, particularly for business transactions and decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions.

    Bitcoin To $40,000?

    So far, Bitcoin has showcased a bullish trend, witnessing a near 10% increase over the past week and a 4.7% uptick in the last 24 hours. This surge has propelled Bitcoin to trade beyond the $31,000 mark, reaching $31,824 recently.

    Observing the asset’s chart in the 1-day timeframe, BTC seems poised for even higher gains. As shown below, the asset has recently tapped into an order block and could continue its reversal to the upside, reaching a notable high.

    Bitcoin (BTC) price recently taps an order block on the 1-day chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

    Additionally, considering the strong institutional demand for BTC, as revealed by Brody, coupled with the potential approval of a spot BTC ETF, a rally to the $40,000 mark seems to be on the horizon.

    Furthermore, peering into the future of the financial landscape, Brody believes that traditional fiat currencies will continue to hold their ground.

    However, with the ongoing discussions around Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and the growing adoption of payment stablecoins, the crypto realm may be poised for evolution. 

    With global political developments unfolding and pivotal elections on the horizon, Brody foresees Bitcoin and the broader crypto space experiencing accelerated growth in adoption and recognition.

    Featured image from iStock, Chart from TradingView

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    Samuel Edyme

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  • Solana Remains Institutional Investor Darling As Inflows Continue

    Solana Remains Institutional Investor Darling As Inflows Continue

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    Solana has gained the favor of institutional investors recently which has seen a marked increase in the amount of inflows that the altcoin has recorded. This trend has continued with last week’s numbers which show a significant amount of inflows for Solana compared to the likes of Ethereum.

    Solana Inflows Reach $15.5 Million

    According to data from the latest CoinShares report, the inflows into Solana for the last week came out to $15.5 million. This came while some altcoins such as Ethereum saw outflows for the week. For context, Ethereum outflows reached $7.4 million in the same time frame.

    As a result of the latest round of inflows, the total Solana Asses under Management (AuM) has reached $74 million. This means that the Solana AuM is up 47% year-to-date, compared to Ethereum’s which has dropped continuously this year, climbing to $119 million in outflows year-to-date.

    Cardano is another altcoin that saw inflows for the week but to a lesser degree. Its inflows were $0.1 million, bringing its total AuM to $24 million, with a $6 million increase year-to-date. Other investment products saw $0.9 million, leading their AuM to reach $76 million.

    Multi-asset products, however, went the way of Ethereum with outflows of $0.6 million. This brings its AuM to $1.17 billion, a $31 million decrease year-to-date.

    SOL price sitting at $29.20 | Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview.com

    Bitcoin Dominates Inflows

    For the same week, Bitcoin once again came out ahead in terms of inflows, with numbers topping that of Solana. The leading cryptocurrency saw $55.3 million in inflows, bringing its AuM to $24.205 billion. The asset’s month-to-date inflows are currently sitting at an impressive $111.9 million.

    In the same vein, Bitcoin’s year-to-date inflows have also remained on the high side with $315 million in inflows so far. This has further solidified its position as the leading asset with the most interest from institutional investors so far.

    Short Bitcoin products were also not left out of the inflow trend. Its weekly inflows sit at $1.6 million, while the month-to-date inflows came out to $4.5 million. Its year-to-date inflows sit at $46 million, bringing its AuM to $99 million. In total, the AuM of crypto investment products is nearly $33 billion.

    “Following recent price appreciation, total Assets under Management (AuM) have risen by 15% since their lows in early September, now totalling nearly US$33bn, the highest point since mid-August,” the CoinShares report said.

    CoinShares also notes that the inflows could be linked to the excitement and anticipation of a Spot Bitcoin ETF being approved by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). However, the numbers are much lower compared to when asset manager BlackRock first announced that it had filed for a Spot Bitcoin ETF.

    Featured image from Outlook India, chart from Tradingview.com

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    Scott Matherson

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  • Crypto Turmoil: How The US Banking Collapse Dented Institutional Trading

    Crypto Turmoil: How The US Banking Collapse Dented Institutional Trading

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    March witnessed a series of bank failures that have had ramifications for institutional crypto trading, putting a damper on what was once considered a bustling market space.

    According to the latest insights from the blockchain intelligence platform Chainalysis, concerning North America, the fallout from these bank closures has been far-reaching, impacting the pace and volume of large-scale crypto transactions. 

    A Dip In Institutional Crypto Activity

    Chainalysis’s recent report highlights the drop in “institutional” cryptocurrency transaction volume – transactions valued at more than $10 million. Starting in April 2023, the volume of these transactions plunged sharply, particularly in the North American region.

    Interestingly, this downturn was specific to institutional transactions, as professional and retail trading volumes reportedly “remained constant.”

    Transaction volume transfer-wise from July 2022 to June 2023. | Source: Chainalysis

    The report points directly to the banking crisis in March, which led to several major US bank shutdowns, including the “Silicon Valley Bank and the crypto-friendly banks Signature and Silvergate” as factors that resulted in this drop.

    In addition, the failure of troubled digital currency exchanges and lending desks, such as FTX and Alameda Research, in the preceding November further exacerbated the decline, according to the Chainalysis report.

    The Exodus Of Stablecoins From North America

    Furthermore, in the Chainlalysis report, one of the notable aftermaths of the banking crisis has been the dwindling dominance of stablecoins in North America. Stablecoins, primarily USD-pegged tokens, accounting for roughly 90% of global activity, began to lose ground in North America from February 2023 onwards.

    Within a short span from February to June, the percentage of digital currency volume in the region attributable to stablecoins declined from 70.3% to 48.8%.

    North America crypto transaction volume by asset type from June 2022 to July 2023.
    North America crypto transaction volume by asset type from June 2022 to July 2023. | Source: Chainalysis

    Chainalysis’s research further underscores that since the spring of 2023, there has been a noticeable shift of stablecoin inflows from US -US-licensed crypto services to their non-U.S. counterparts.

    This shift denotes a broader migration pattern, with businesses and traders seeking financial shores beyond US jurisdictions. The report noted:

    Since [the] spring of 2023, the majority of stablecoin inflows to the 50 biggest crypto services have shifted from US licensed-services to non-U.S. licensed services, undoing a shift in the opposite direction that occurred over the course of late 2022 and early 2023.

    Stablecoin inflows in U.S. licensed-services compared to in non-U.S. licensed services.
    Stablecoin inflows in US-licensed services compared to non-US-licensed services. | Source: Chainalysis

    Chainalysis further disclosed that non-U.S. licensed platforms received 54.6% of stablecoin inflows among the top 50 services as of June.

    The global crypto market cap value on TradingView
    The global crypto market cap value on the 1-day chart. Source: Crypto TOTAL Market Cap on TradingView.com

    Featured image from iStock, Chart from TradingView

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    Samuel Edyme

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  • Bitcoin leaders: ease of use now vital for worldwide adoption

    Bitcoin leaders: ease of use now vital for worldwide adoption

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    At the Plan B conference on Oct. 21, a panel of Bitcoin (BTC) leaders discussed the opportunities and challenges of increasing Bitcoin adoption globally. The panelists included Luis Buenaventura of TerraMidPhoenix, Paulo Renelle of NamX Payments AG, and Dayan Petrov of Nakamoto Card.

    A key theme was the difficulty of onboarding new users and merchants in different cultural contexts. Buenaventura gave the example of El Salvador, where despite the country adopting Bitcoin as legal tender, there are still challenges getting merchants set up to accept Bitcoin payments.

    It’s always something missing, you know? Or, you know how many times it happened in El Salvador?

    Luis Buenaventura

    We have situations in which, you know, we have the sticker saying that Bitcoin is accepted here, but then the actual employee is so afraid of just interacting with Bitcoin that they will say, no, no, we don’t accept Bitcoin here.

    Dayan Petrov

    The panelists agreed education is critical, and there needs to be a focus on easy-to-use consumer applications rather than complex technologies.

    We shouldn’t think that people that have other jobs, they are teaching kindergarten or they are driving a taxi, they don’t have the time to fully understand the tech.

    Dayan Petrov

    Petrov discussed his company’s card that allows contactless Bitcoin payments, as an example of a consumer-focused approach. Other topics included whether cities adopting Bitcoin like Lugano face competition from other cities, and how to collaborate across the Bitcoin industry.

    The panel provided an insightful look at how Bitcoin leaders are tackling adoption obstacles in different markets and cultures. More user-friendly applications and education were cited as key priorities to bring Bitcoin into the mainstream globally.


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    Adrian Zmudzinski

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