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Tag: bitcoin hodlers

  • Bitcoin Crashes To $98,000 As HODLer Selling Accelerates

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    On-chain data shows Bitcoin long-term holders have been ramping up their selling recently, a potential reason behind BTC’s fall under $100,000.

    Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Been Booking Profits

    In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in the supply of the Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs). These are referred to as the investors holding their coins for a period longer than 155 days, without selling or involving them in a transaction on the blockchain.

    Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. As such, the LTHs with their long holding times are usually considered to be resolute entities.

    Despite their resilience, however, there are times when even these diamond hands can decide to part with their holdings. One such time happens to be right now.

    As the below chart shared by Glassnode shows, the Bitcoin LTHs have been reducing their supply recently.

    This latest wave of selling from the LTHs isn’t their first for the cycle. As is apparent in the graph, these HODLers sold into both the 2024 rallies as well. In between these selloffs, their supply was rising with significant speed.

    Something to note is that while LTH selling is instantly registered in the chart, the same isn’t true for buying. When the LTH supply grows, it doesn’t mean any accumulation is happening in the present. Rather, what it implies is that some coins were bought five months ago, which have now been held long enough to clear the LTH threshold.

    The last wave of coin maturation into the LTH cohort peaked in mid-2025. Since then, the group has been shedding coins at a variable rate. The latest trend has clearly been that of acceleration, as the below chart visualizes.

    Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change

    The accelerating wave of distribution from the LTHs has arrived as Bitcoin has been suffering from bearish momentum. It’s possible that some of the HODLers are thinking this could be their last chance to take profits, so they have decided to exit.

    During the last few days, BTC was trying to hold above $100,000 in the face of this selloff, but the asset appears to have buckled during the past day as its price has breached under the mark.

    Historically, bull markets have sustained so long as fresh demand has kept coming in to absorb the selling from the diamond hands, so it remains to be seen whether the price plunge will be met with an injection of demand, or if this selling will lead into an extended bearish phase for Bitcoin.

    BTC Price

    At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $98,500, down 3% over the last 24 hours.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

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    Keshav Verma

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  • HODLing Rewards: Average Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Now Carries 55% Profit

    HODLing Rewards: Average Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Now Carries 55% Profit

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    On-chain data shows the Bitcoin long-term holders (the so-called HODLers) are now carrying an unrealized profit of 55% on average.

    Bitcoin Long-Term Holder NUPL Has Hit A Value Of 0.55

    According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the profit that the BTC long-term holders are holding has gone up recently. The indicator of interest here is the “Net Unrealized Profit/Loss” (NUPL), which keeps track of the difference between the unrealized profit and loss that Bitcoin investors are carrying currently.

    By “unrealized,” what’s meant here is that the profit or loss is yet to be harvested, as the investor carrying it hasn’t transferred their BTC on the blockchain yet. Once the holder would eventually move the coins, the profit/loss they were holding would then become “realized.”

    In the context of the current discussion, the NUPL of only a specific segment of the market is of relevance: the long-term holders (LTHs). The LTHs are the Bitcoin holders who have been keeping their coins dormant on the network since at least 155 days ago.

    These are the diamond hands of the market who are known to hold through periods of uptrends and downtrends alike, only selling when major market events take place.

    “This includes periods when the market sets new ATHs, around cycle tops and bottoms, and during large shifts in market structure (e.g. Mt Gox, Halvings, and now the launch of spot ETFs),” explains the analytics firm.

    Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin LTH NUPL over the history of the asset:

    The value of the metric seems to have been going up in recent weeks | Source: Glassnode's The Week Onchain - Week 3, 2024

    As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin LTH NUPL has registered a rise in the last couple of months as the cryptocurrency’s spot price has gone through a notable surge.

    “This metric reached 0.55 this week, which is meaningfully positive, and puts the average long-term investor at a 55% unrealized profit,” notes the report. Interestingly, BTC has registered some resistance around this level during the past.

    As Glassnode has highlighted in the chart, the bulls encountered trouble here during August 2012, June 2016, July 2019, and August 2020. In all of these cases, the resulting top was only a local one, except for July 2019, where the recovery rally of the cycle hit a top that BTC wouldn’t surpass for a significant period of time.

    Generally, investors in profit are more likely to sell their coins. The higher the gains that they hold, the stronger can be the allure of profit-taking. Thus, it’s not surprising to see that the LTHs holding significant profits has lead to selling pressure in the market during previous cycles.

    The LTHs have indeed participated in some selling recently as well, as the data for their supply suggests.

    Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply

    Looks like the value of the metric has seen some decline recently | Source: Glassnode's The Week Onchain - Week 3, 2024

    The Bitcoin LTH supply has now come down 75,000 BTC since the all-time high registered in November, while the opposite cohort, the short-term holders (STHs), have naturally gained some share.

    “Whilst 75k BTC is a meaningful sum, it should also be viewed within the context of total LTH supply accounting for a whopping 76.3% of the circulating coin supply,” says the report.

    BTC Price

    Bitcoin has continued its recent sideways trend during the past day as its price currently floats around the $42,600 level.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

    The price of the coin hasn't shown much volatility recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

    Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com

    Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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    Keshav Verma

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