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Tag: bitcoin funding rates

  • Bitcoin Funding Rates Improve, But Signal Still Not Decisive: Glassnode

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    Analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted how the Bitcoin Funding Rates have increased across the various exchanges, but still not to a high degree.

    Bitcoin Perps Funding Rates Have Surged

    In a new post on X, Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Funding Rates for the major perpetual futures markets. The “Funding Rate” is an indicator that measures the amount of periodic fees that traders on the futures market are exchanging between each other on a given derivatives platform.

    When the value of this metric is positive, it means the long holders are paying a premium to the shorts in order to hold onto their position. Such a trend implies a bullish mentality is dominant in the market.

    On the other hand, the indicator being below the zero mark suggests the shorts outweigh the longs and a bearish sentiment is shared by the majority of traders on the exchange.

    Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Funding Rate for major exchanges over the last couple of years:

    As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Funding Rate has witnessed an increase across these platforms recently, indicating that investors have been setting up fresh bullish positions.

    The mean Funding Rate for these exchanges dropped to the 0% mark back in November as the cryptocurrency’s price went through a crash. As the asset settled into its consolidation phase, investors gradually set up longs, culminating in the indicator recovering to 0.005%.

    In the last 24 hours, however, the mean Funding Rate has retraced back to 0.003%, implying some investors have closed up their long positions after the latest recovery rally and/or others have set up shorts to bet against the bullish price action.

    In the past, major rallies have tended to occur alongside notable positive Funding Rates on the different exchanges. According to Glassnode, the threshold has generally lied at 0.001%. Since the mean Funding Rate is still below this level, the analytics firm has noted, “current conditions remain supportive but not yet decisive.”

    BTC Broke Above $94,000 Before Retracing Down

    Bitcoin has seen the renewal of bullish momentum recently, with its price recovering as high as $94,700, but the past day has seen a setback for the digital asset as it’s now back at $92,100.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

    Other cryptocurrencies have also been volatile to varying degrees in the past day, which has resulted in liquidations of over $500 million on the derivatives exchanges, as data from CoinGlass shows. Out of these $503 million in liquidations, about $146 million of the positions involved were Bitcoin-related ones.

    Bitcoin Liquidations

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    Keshav Verma

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  • Bitcoin Funding Rates Turn Negative: Shorts’ Turn To Get Squeezed?

    Bitcoin Funding Rates Turn Negative: Shorts’ Turn To Get Squeezed?

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    Data shows the Bitcoin funding rates on exchanges have turned negative, a sign that the shorts have now become the dominant force in the market.

    Bitcoin Funding Rates Have Turned Negative After Market Crash

    As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin funding rates have seen a sharp decline recently. The “funding rate” refers to a metric that keeps track of the periodic fee that derivatives contract holders are currently exchanging with each other.

    When the value of this indicator is positive, it means the long investors are paying a premium to the short ones in order to hold onto their positions. Such a trend implies a bullish sentiment is shared by the majority in the sector.

    On the other hand, the metric being negative implies a bearish mentality could be the dominant one in the market as the short holders outweigh the longs.

    Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in this Bitcoin indicator for all exchanges over the past few months:

    As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin funding rate had been positive throughout the year 2024, save for a couple of small dips into the negative region, until this latest crash, which finally took the indicator to notable red values.

    The earlier positive values were naturally due to the fact that the market had a bullish atmosphere to it, so the average investor was trying to bet on the price to rise. From the graph, it’s visible that this positive sentiment was the strongest during the rally to the all-time high (ATH) price fueled by the spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand.

    During the consolidation period that had followed this rally, BTC had seen a couple of notable drawdowns, but they weren’t enough to shake off the bullish mood. The recent sharp crash, though, appears to have finally caused investors to have a bearish outlook on the cryptocurrency.

    The Bitcoin crash had resulted in a huge amount of long liquidations in the market, triggering what’s known as a squeeze. In a squeeze event, a sharp swing in the price causes mass liquidations, which in turn fuels the price move further. This then unleashes a cascade of more liquidations.

    Since the latest such event involved the longs, it would be called a long squeeze. In general, an event of this kind is more likely to affect the side of the derivatives market that is more dominant. As this power balance has shifted towards the shorts now, it’s possible that the market could instead see a short squeeze in the near future.

    Naturally, it’s not necessary that a short squeeze should take place, but if the price ends up witnessing some volatility, it’s possible it may end up punishing the short-heavy market.

    BTC Price

    Bitcoin has been steadily making recovery from the crash as its price has now climbed back to $57,500.

    Bitcoin Price Chart

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    Keshav Verma

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